Ichimoku MTF (best MTF 4H - Entry 15M)The Ichimoku Cloud is a collection of technical indicators that show support and resistance levels, as well as momentum and trend direction. It does this by taking multiple averages and plotting them on a chart. It also uses these figures to compute a “cloud” that attempts to forecast where the price may find support or resistance in the future.
The technical indicator shows relevant information at a glance by using averages.
The overall trend is up when the price is above the cloud, down when the price is below the cloud, and trendless or transitioning when the price is in the cloud.
Charles G. Koonitz. “Ichimoku Analysis & Strategies: The Visual Guide to Spot the Trends in Stock Market, Cryptocurrency and Forex Using Technical Analysis and Cloud Charts," Tripod Solutions Inc., 2019.
When Leading Span A is rising and above Leading Span B, this helps to confirm the uptrend and the space between the lines is typically colored green. When Leading Span A is falling and below Leading Span B, this helps confirm the downtrend. The space between the lines is typically colored red in this case.1
Traders will often use the Ichimoku Cloud as an area of support and resistance depending on the relative location of the price. The cloud provides support/resistance levels that can be projected into the future. This sets the Ichimoku Cloud apart from many other technical indicators that only provide support and resistance levels for the current date and time.
Traders should use the Ichimoku Cloud in conjunction with other technical indicators to maximize their risk-adjusted returns. For example, the indicator is often paired with the relative strength index (RSI), which can be used to confirm momentum in a certain direction. It’s also important to look at the bigger trends to see how the smaller trends fit within them. For example, during a very strong downtrend, the price may push into the cloud or slightly above it, temporarily, before falling again. Only focusing on the indicator would mean missing the bigger picture that the price was under strong longer-term selling pressure.
Crossovers are another way that the indicator can be used. Watch for the conversion line to move above the base line, especially when the price is above the cloud. This can be a powerful buy signal. One option is to hold the trade until the conversion line drops back below the base line. Any of the other lines could be used as exit points as well.
Forecasting
TRENDSYNC BUY/SELL BY SIMPLY_DANTE-FXTrendSync Buy and Sell Indicator
PS: Kindly give me feedback on the comment section, I will really appriciate
Created By: Simply_Dante-FX
About the Author:
Simply_Dante-FX is a skilled trader and developer with a focus on creating custom indicators and strategies for technical analysis. With a strong understanding of market behavior, he has designed the TrendSync Buy and Sell indicator to help traders identify high-probability buy and sell signals based on a combination of trend-following, momentum, and price action strategies. Simply_Dante-FX aims to provide tools that enhance trading decisions and improve the overall trading experience.
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Description:
The TrendSync Buy and Sell indicator is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell signals based on a combination of trend-following and momentum-based strategies. This custom indicator combines a range of technical tools, including the Simple Moving Average (SMA), Average True Range (ATR), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), to filter and confirm entry points.
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How It Works:
1. Trend Identification (SMA):
- The indicator uses the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) to determine the overall trend direction.
- A Buy Signal is generated when the price is above the SMA, indicating an uptrend.
- A Sell Signal is generated when the price is below the SMA, indicating a downtrend.
2. Range Filtering (ATR):
- The Average True Range (ATR) is used to filter out signals that occur during periods of low volatility.
- The ATR is multiplied by a user-defined range filter multiplier (default is 1.2) to ensure the signal is coming from a sufficiently volatile market condition.
3. Momentum Confirmation (RSI):
- The RSI is used as a momentum filter. For Buy Signals, the RSI must be above the user-defined threshold (default is 50), indicating bullish momentum.
- For Sell Signals, the RSI must be below the opposite threshold (100 - RSI Threshold), indicating bearish momentum.
4.Price Action Conditions:
- Buy and Sell signals are further confirmed by price action:
- Buy Signal: Identifies higher lows during an uptrend.
- Sell Signal: Identifies higher highs during an uptrend, or lower highs in a downtrend.
5. Unified Signal:
- The script combines the various conditions to generate a unified signal, ensuring that only high-probability trade opportunities are highlighted.
How to Use It:
1.Buy Signal: Look for a green label below the bar, which indicates a potential buying opportunity. This signal is generated when:
- The price is above the 200-period SMA (uptrend).
- The RSI is above the defined threshold (momentum confirmation).
- The ATR-based range filter confirms sufficient market movement.
2. Sell Signal: Look for a red label above the bar, which indicates a potential selling opportunity. This signal is generated when:
- The price is below the 200-period SMA (downtrend).
- The RSI is below the defined threshold (momentum confirmation).
- The ATR-based range filter confirms sufficient market movement.
3. Visual Confirmation: The script also plots the 200-period SMA for easy identification of the overall trend direction.
4.Alert Setup: You can set up an alert using the “Unified Buy/Sell Alert” condition to notify you when a buy or sell signal is triggered.
Disclaimer:
- Risk Warning: The TrendSync Buy and Sell indicator is a tool for technical analysis and is not a guaranteed method for predicting market movements. Trading carries risk, and it is essential to use proper risk management techniques and not rely solely on any one indicator.
- No Financial Advice: This indicator does not constitute financial advice, and the author, Simply_Dante-FX, does not take responsibility for any trading losses or profits resulting from the use of this tool.
- Performance: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and use additional tools and strategies to confirm trade decisions.
Use this indicator with caution, and always ensure that you understand the risks involved in trading before committing real capital.
Best Buffett Ratio w/ Std-Dev Offset + Conditional PlotSummary:
This script provides a visually clear way to track the so-called “Buffett Ratio,”
a popular market valuation gauge which compares the total US stock market cap
to the country’s GDP. In addition, it plots a “hardcoded” long-term trend line,
along with fixed standard-deviation bands (in log space), and uses background colors
to signal potentially overvalued or undervalued zones.
What Is the Buffett Ratio?
Often credited to Warren Buffett, the Buffett Ratio (or Buffett Indicator) measures:
(Total US Stock Market Capitalization) / (US GDP)
• A higher ratio typically means equities are more expensive relative to the size of the economy.
• A lower ratio suggests equities may be more attractively valued compared to GDP.
Historically, the ratio has tended to drift upward over many decades,
as the US economy and stock markets grow, but it still oscillates around some trend over time.
How to Use
1) Add to Chart:
- In TradingView, simply apply the indicator (it internally fetches CRSPTM1 & GDP data).
2) Tweak Inputs:
- Log Offset for 1σ: Adjust how wide the ±1σ/±2σ bands appear around the trend.
- Anchor Points: Edit startYear , endYear , startRatio , endRatio
if you want a different slope or different “fair value” anchors.
3) Interpretation:
- If the indicator is above +2σ (red line) , it’s historically “very expensive,”
often leading to lower future returns over the long term.
- If it’s below –2σ (green line) , it’s historically “deep undervaluation,”
often pointing to better future returns over time.
- The intermediate zones show degrees of mild over- or undervaluation.
How This Script Works
1) Buffett Ratio Calculation:
- The script requests data from TradingView’s built-in CRSPTM1 index (total US market cap).
- It also requests US GDP data via request.economic("US", "GDP") .
- If GDP data is missing, the ratio becomes na on that bar.
2) Hardcoded Trend Line:
- Rather than a rolling average, the script uses two “anchors” (e.g. 1950 → 0.30 ratio, 2024 → 1.25 ratio)
and solves for a single log-growth rate to produce a steady upward slope.
3) Fixed Standard Deviations in Log Space:
- The script takes the log of the trend line, then applies a fixed offset for ±1σ and ±2σ,
creating proportional bands that do not “expand/contract” from a rolling window.
4) Conditional Plotting:
- The script only begins plotting once the Buffett Ratio actually has data (around 2011).
5) Color-Coded Zones:
- Above +2σ: red background (historically very expensive)
- Between +1σ and +2σ: yellow background (moderately expensive)
- Between –1σ and +1σ: no background color (around normal)
- Between –2σ and –1σ: aqua background (moderately undervalued)
- Below –2σ: green background (historically deep undervaluation)
Final Notes
• Data Limitations: US GDP data and CRSPTM1 only go back so far, so this starts around 2011.
• Long-Term vs. Short-Term: Best viewed on monthly/quarterly charts and interpreted over years.
• Tuning: If you believe structural changes have shifted the ratio’s fair slope,
adjust the code’s anchors or log offsets.
Enjoy, and use responsibly!
RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer is a comprehensive trading tool designed to help traders identify and evaluate overbought/oversold reversal opportunities using the Relative Strength Index (RSI). It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of RSI-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
RSI Calculation
Calculates RSI with customizable period (default 14)
Plots dynamic overbought (70) and oversold (30) levels
Adds background coloring for OB/OS regions
Reversal Signals
Identifies signals based on RSI crossing OB/OS levels
Two entry strategies available:
Revert Cross: Triggers when RSI exits OB/OS zone
Cross Threshold: Triggers when RSI enters OB/OS zone
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on oversold reversals (bullish signals)
Short: Focuses on overbought reversals (bearish signals)
Performance Metrics
Calculates three key statistics for each lookback period:
Win Rate: Percentage of profitable trades
Mean Return: Average return across all trades
Median Return: Median return across all trades
Metrics calculated as percentage changes from entry price
Visual Signals
Dual-layer signal display:
BUY: Green triangles + text labels below price
SELL: Red triangles + text labels above price
Semi-transparent background highlighting in OB/OS zones
Performance Table
Interactive table showing metrics for each lookback period
Color-coded visualization:
Win Rate: Gradient from red (low) to green (high)
Returns: Green for positive, red for negative
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
Adjustable table font sizes: Auto/Small/Normal/Large
Toggle option for table visibility
█ PURPOSE
The RSI OB/OS Strategy Analyzer helps traders:
Identify mean-reversion opportunities through RSI extremes
Backtest entry strategy effectiveness across multiple time horizons
Optimize trade timing through visual historical performance data
Quickly assess strategy robustness with color-coded metrics
█ IDEAL USERS
Counter-Trend Traders: Looking to capitalize on RSI extremes
Systematic Traders: Needing quantitative strategy validation
Educational Users: Studying RSI behavior in different market conditions
Multi-Timeframe Analysts: Interested in forward returns analysis
Breakout Detection using EMAs and Mansfield Relative StrengthThis script identifies breakout opportunities based on a combination of price action, volume, and relative strength. It is designed for daily timeframe charts and helps traders pinpoint strong bullish setups with the following criteria:
Price Action: Stock price is above both the 10-day EMA and 5-week EMA.
EMA Trends: The 10-day EMA is above the 20-day EMA, and the 5-week EMA is above the 10-week EMA, confirming bullish momentum.
Customizable Parameters: Customize the index for the Mansfield Relative Strength, the volume multiplier, and the price breakout look-back period.
Price Breakout: The price is at a 3-month high, indicating strength.
Volume Breakout: A volume spike occurs, surpassing the 20-day average volume by a user-defined multiplier.
Features:
Generates clear breakout signals with a green triangle below the bar.
Integrated Mansfield Relative Strength for relative performance analysis.
Alerts for when all conditions are met, ensuring you never miss an opportunity.
How to Use:
Add this script to a daily chart of your chosen stock.
Look for green triangle signals indicating a potential breakout.
Adjust the parameters to suit your trading strategy and preferred index for the Mansfield Relative Strength.
This tool is ideal for swing traders looking to combine technical analysis with relative strength metrics for high-conviction bullish setups.
Bollinger Bands Reversal Strategy Analyzer█ OVERVIEW
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is a versatile trading tool designed to help traders identify potential reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands. It provides visual signals, performance metrics, and a detailed table to analyze the effectiveness of reversal-based strategies over a user-defined lookback period.
█ KEY FEATURES
Bollinger Bands Calculation
The indicator calculates the standard Bollinger Bands, consisting of:
A middle band (basis) as the Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the closing price.
An upper band as the basis plus a multiple of the standard deviation.
A lower band as the basis minus a multiple of the standard deviation.
Users can customize the length of the Bollinger Bands and the multiplier for the standard deviation.
Reversal Signals
The indicator identifies potential reversal signals based on the interaction between the price and the Bollinger Bands.
Two entry strategies are available:
Revert Cross: Waits for the price to close back above the lower band (for longs) or below the upper band (for shorts) after crossing it.
Cross Threshold: Triggers a signal as soon as the price crosses the lower band (for longs) or the upper band (for shorts).
Trade Direction
Users can select a trade bias:
Long: Focuses on bullish reversal signals.
Short: Focuses on bearish reversal signals.
Performance Metrics
The indicator calculates and displays the performance of trades over a user-defined lookback period ( barLookback ).
Metrics include:
Win Rate: The percentage of trades that were profitable.
Mean Return: The average return across all trades.
Median Return: The median return across all trades.
These metrics are calculated for each bar in the lookback period, providing insights into the strategy's performance over time.
Visual Signals
The indicator plots buy and sell signals on the chart:
Buy Signals: Displayed as green triangles below the price bars.
Sell Signals: Displayed as red triangles above the price bars.
Performance Table
A customizable table is displayed on the chart, showing the performance metrics for each bar in the lookback period.
The table includes:
Win Rate: Highlighted with gradient colors (green for high win rates, red for low win rates).
Mean Return: Colored based on profitability (green for positive returns, red for negative returns).
Median Return: Colored similarly to the mean return.
Time Filtering
Users can define a specific time window for the indicator to analyze trades, ensuring that performance metrics are calculated only for the desired period.
Customizable Display
The table's font size can be adjusted to suit the user's preference, with options for "Auto," "Small," "Normal," and "Large."
█ PURPOSE
The Bollinger Bands Reversal Overlay is designed to:
Help traders identify high-probability reversal opportunities using Bollinger Bands.
Provide actionable insights into the performance of reversal-based strategies.
Enable users to backtest and optimize their trading strategies by analyzing historical performance metrics.
█ IDEAL USERS
Swing Traders: Looking for reversal opportunities within a trend.
Mean Reversion Traders: Interested in trading price reversals to the mean.
Strategy Developers: Seeking to backtest and refine Bollinger Bands-based strategies.
Performance Analysts: Wanting to evaluate the effectiveness of reversal signals over time.
Bearish Gap Down DetectionThis indicator is designed to identify bearish gap downs in price action and visually mark them on your chart. A gap down occurs when today's opening price is below the previous day's low, and the closing price remains below that low, signaling a potential bearish continuation or reversal.
Features:
Precise Gap Down Detection: Identifies only confirmed bearish gap downs, avoiding false signals.
Clear Visual Markers: Marks detected gap downs with a red downward triangle above the bar for easy identification.
Minimalist Design: Focuses solely on gap down detection, without any reliance on moving averages or additional noise.
Use Cases:
Trend Reversals: Spot potential downward trends as they develop.
Momentum Confirmation: Use alongside other indicators or strategies to confirm bearish momentum.
Swing Trading Opportunities: Ideal for traders looking to capitalize on significant price movements.
How It Works:
The script detects a gap down when:
Today's opening price is below the previous day's low.
Today's closing price stays below the previous day's low.
When these conditions are met, the indicator plots a red triangle above the price bar, signaling a bearish gap down.
Best Practices:
Apply this script to daily or higher timeframes for more reliable results.
Combine it with other indicators, such as support/resistance levels or volume analysis, for enhanced decision-making.
Previous D, W, M High/LowThis indicator plots previous day's high,low,open and close values and plots previous week's and month's high and low value on the chart.
US30 Q4_trade _levels_Jan2025updated description and use
US30 Trade Levels.plus 50% take profit levels
this indicator is based on the US30 quarterly theory level strategy
the difference here is that the zones have been zoom'd out for the H2 view for oversight and M30 as application theory to the Q4 levels.
The Q4 levels are spaced and calculated 385 pips apart, and also span within the daily ADR range for US30.
so these are zones that has proven to be valid going back as far as Nov2022
these are pass through levels, to together with other confluences like order blocks and or breaker blocks, will give you a guideline as to expect a valid zone of interest.
USE this indicator in conjunction with an SMC point of view to identify OB & CHOCH
Price Projection by Linear RegressionPurpose:
This is a TradingView Pine Script indicator that performs a linear regression on historical price data to project potential future price levels. It's designed to help traders visualize long-term price trends and potential future price targets.
Key Components:
User Inputs:
Historical Data Points (default 1000 bars) - The amount of historical data used to calculate the trend
Years to Project (default 10 years) - How far into the future to project the price
Technical Implementation:
Uses linear regression (ta.linreg) to calculate the trend slope
Converts years to trading days using 252 trading days per year
Limits visible projection to 500 bars due to TradingView's drawing limitations
Projects prices using the formula: current_price + (slope × number_of_bars)
Visual Elements:
Blue line showing actual historical prices
Red projection line showing the expected price path
Label showing the projected price at the visible end of the line
Information table in the top-right corner showing:
Current price
Final projected price after the full time period
Limitations:
Can only display projections up to 500 bars into the future (about 2 years) due to TradingView limitations
The full projection value is still calculated and shown in the table
Past performance doesn't guarantee future results - this is a mathematical projection based on historical trends
Usage:
Traders can use this to:
Visualize potential long-term price trends
Set long-term price targets
Understand the historical trend's trajectory
Compare current prices with projected future values
Bitcoin 1H-15M Breakout StrategyKey Features
1H and 15M Timeframes:
The script uses the 1-hour timeframe for the range and 15-minute timeframe for breakout conditions.
request.security is used to fetch the higher timeframe data.
Risk Management:
Variables entry_price, sl_price, and tp_price are declared explicitly as float with na initialization to handle dynamic assignment.
Stop-loss and take-profit levels are calculated based on the specified Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) and buffer (in pips).
Trade Logic:
Long trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes above the 1-hour high.
Short trade triggered when the 15-minute candle closes below the 1-hour low.
Visualization:
The range_high and range_low (previous 1-hour high and low) are plotted on the chart using dashed lines.
Debugging:
Enabling the show_debug input displays labels showing stop-loss and take-profit values for easier troubleshooting.
Quasimodo PatternWhat is a Quasimodo Pattern?
A Quasimodo Pattern is a chart pattern traders look for to predict possible price reversals in the market:
- Bullish Quasimodo: Signals a possible price increase (buying opportunity).
- Bearish Quasimodo: Signals a potential price decrease (selling opportunity).
How the Script Works
1. Bullish Quasimodo:
- Checks if the price pattern shows signs of a potential upward movement:
- The current low price is higher than a previous price point (suggesting fair value gap).
- The previous candle closed higher than it opened (bullish candle).
- The candle before that closed lower than it opened (bearish candle).
2. Bearish Quasimodo:
- Looks for signs of a downward movement:
- The current high price is lower than a previous price point (suggesting fair value gap).
- The previous candle closed lower than it opened (bearish candle).
- The candle before that closed higher than it opened (bullish candle).
Visual Indicators
- Yellow Candles: Indicate a bullish Quasimodo pattern.
- Pink Candles: Indicate a bearish Quasimodo pattern.
Alerts
If a Quasimodo pattern is detected, the script sends an alert:
- The alert says: "A Quasimodo Pattern has appeared!"
Purpose
Traders can use this tool to quickly spot potential trend changes without manually analyzing every chart, saving time and improving decision-making for trades.
Year-over-Year % Change for PCEPILFEHello, traders!
This indicator is specifically for FRED:PCEPILFE , which is a 'Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index excluding food and energy.'
What this indicator does is compare the monthly data to that of the same month last year to see how it has changed over the year. This comparison method is widely known as YoY(Year-over-Year).
While I made this indicator to use for FRED:PCEPILFE , you may use it for different charts as long as they show monthly data.
FRED:PCEPILFE is one of the main measures of inflation the Federal Reserve uses.
You can see the YoY % change of the PCE Index excluding food and energy in the official website for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, but unfortunately, I couldn't find one in TradingView.
So instead, I decided to make my own indicator showing the changes using FRED:PCEPILFE .
The code is very simple: it compares the data to the data 12 points ago because 12 points would mean 12 months in this chart. We then multiply the result by 100 for percentage.
Doing so, we compare the current month to the same month of the previous year.
Because I am only interested in the YoY % Change of the index, I pulled the indicator all the way up, covering the original chart data entirely. (Or you could achieve the same by simply moving your indicator to the pane above. But this way, the original chart data is also visible.)
I hope this indicator helps you with your analysis. Feel free to ask questions if have any!
God bless!
ICT CRT Model Range with EquilibriumICT CRT Model Range with Equilibrium Indicator
This indicator calculates and displays the high, low, and equilibrium levels within a custom-defined session (9:00 am to 10:00 am New York Time and the lines will stop appearing at 16:00pm ). It draws horizontal lines to represent the session's range and marks the equilibrium point as a reference.
What is CRT (Candle Range Theory)?
Candle Range Theory (CRT) is based on the concept that every candle on any timeframe forms its own range. These ranges can either be manipulated—through strategies like Turtle Soup—or broken, resulting in price movements such as engulfing patterns, breakouts, and retests beyond the candle's high or low.
CRT is commonly visualized as a 3-candle model, but it can include more candles due to the presence of inside bars. An inside bar is a candle whose high is not higher than the previous candle's high and whose low is not lower than the previous candle's low.
The CRT model follows the A-M-D structure:
Accumulation (A): The first candle or group of candles (inside bars) represents market consolidation.
Manipulation (M): The second candle signals a false move, often a Turtle Soup setup designed to trap traders.
Distribution (D): The third candle confirms the true market move, breaking out of the range and establishing the trend.
Customizable Settings:
Line Colors: Choose your preferred colors for the high, low, and equilibrium lines.
Line Widths: Adjust the thickness of the lines for better visibility.
Line Styles: Select from solid, dotted, or dashed styles for each line.
Label Settings: Customize the text and colors of the labels for the high, low, and equilibrium points.
Traders can easily modify these settings to suit their visual preferences and trading strategies. This indicator is ideal for identifying price action within a specific range, offering clear visual cues for potential CRT Setup.
Lead-Lag Market Detector [CryptoSea]The Lead-Lag Market Detector is an advanced tool designed to help traders identify leading and lagging assets within a chosen market. This indicator leverages correlation analysis to rank assets based on their influence, making it ideal for traders seeking to optimise their portfolio or spot key market trends.
Key Features
Dynamic Asset Ranking: Utilises real-time correlation calculations to rank assets by their influence on the market, helping traders identify market leaders and laggers.
Customisable Parameters: Includes adjustable lookback periods and correlation thresholds to adapt the analysis to different market conditions and trading styles.
Comprehensive Asset Coverage: Supports up to 30 assets, offering broad market insights across cryptocurrencies, stocks, or other markets.
Gradient-Enhanced Table Display: Presents results in a colour-coded table, where assets are ranked dynamically with influence scores, aiding in quick visual analysis.
In the example below, the ranking highlights how assets tend to move in groups. For instance, BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, BNBUSDT, SOLUSDT, and LTCUSDT are highly correlated and moving together as a group. Similarly, another group of correlated assets includes XRPUSDT, FILUSDT, APEUSDT, XTZUSDT, THETAUSDT, and CAKEUSDT. This grouping of assets provides valuable insights for traders to diversify or spread exposure.
If you believe one asset in a group is likely to perform well, you can spread your exposure into other correlated assets within the same group to capitalise on their collective movement. Additionally, assets like AVAXUSDT and ZECUSDT, which appear less correlated or uncorrelated with the rest, may offer opportunities to act as potential hedges in your trading strategy.
How it Works
Correlation-Based Scoring: Calculates pairwise correlations between assets over a user-defined lookback period, identifying assets with high influence scores as market leaders.
Customisable Thresholds: Allows traders to define a correlation threshold, ensuring the analysis focuses only on significant relationships between assets.
Dynamic Score Calculation: Scores are updated dynamically based on the timeframe and input settings, providing real-time insights into market behaviour.
Colour-Enhanced Results: The table display uses gradients to visually distinguish between leading and lagging assets, simplifying data interpretation.
Application
Portfolio Optimisation: Identifies influential assets to help traders allocate their portfolio effectively and reduce exposure to lagging assets.
Market Trend Identification: Highlights leading assets that may signal broader market trends, aiding in strategic decision-making.
Customised Trading Strategies: Adapts to various trading styles through extensive input settings, ensuring the analysis meets the specific needs of each trader.
The Lead-Lag Market Detector by is an essential tool for traders aiming to uncover market leaders and laggers, navigate complex market dynamics, and optimise their trading strategies with precision and insight.
Fibonacci Trend [ChartPrime]Fibonacci Trend Indicator
This powerful indicator leverages supertrend analysis to detect market direction while overlaying dynamic Fibonacci levels to highlight potential support, resistance, and optimal trend entry zones. With its straightforward design, it is perfect for traders looking to simplify their workflow and enhance decision-making.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Supertrend Trend Identification :
The indicator uses a supertrend algorithm to identify market direction. It displays purple for downtrends and green for uptrends, ensuring quick and clear trend analysis.
⯌ Fibonacci Levels for Current Swings :
Automatically calculates Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 0.786) for the current swing leg.
- These levels act as key zones for potential support, resistance, and trend continuation.
- The high and low swing points are labeled with exact prices, ensuring clarity.
- If the swing range is insufficient (less than five times ATR), Fibonacci levels are not displayed, avoiding irrelevant data.
⯌ Extended Fibonacci Levels :
User-defined extensions project Fibonacci levels into the future, aiding traders in planning price targets or projecting key zones.
⯌ Optimal Trend Entry Zone :
A filled area between 0.618 and 0.786 levels visually highlights the optimal entry zone for trend continuation. This allows traders to refine their entry points during pullbacks.
⯌ Diagonal Trend Line :
A dashed diagonal line connects the swing high and low, visually confirming the range and trend strength of the current swing.
⯌ Visual Labels for Fibonacci Levels :
Each Fibonacci level is marked with a label displaying its value for quick reference.
⯁ HOW TRADERS CAN POTENTIALLY USE THIS TOOL
Fibonacci Retracements:
Use the Fibonacci retracement levels to find key support or resistance zones where the price may pull back before continuing its trend.
Example: Enter long trades when the price retraces to 0.618–0.786 levels in an uptrend.
Fibonacci Extensions:
Use Fibonacci extensions to project future price targets based on the current trend's swing leg. Levels like 127.2% and 161.8% are commonly used as profit-taking zones.
Reversal Identification:
Spot potential reversals by monitoring price reactions at key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.236 or 0.382) or the swing high/low.
Optimal Trend Entries:
The filled zone between 0.618 and 0.786 is a statistically strong area for entering a position in the direction of the trend.
Example: Enter long positions during retracements to this range in an uptrend.
Risk Management:
Set stop-losses below key Fibonacci levels or the swing low/high, and take profits at extension levels, enhancing your trade management strategies.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Fibonacci Trend Indicator is a straightforward yet effective tool for identifying trends and key Fibonacci levels. It simplifies analysis by integrating supertrend-based trend identification with Fibonacci retracements, extensions, and optimal entry zones. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, this indicator is an essential addition to your toolkit for trend trading, reversal spotting, and risk management.
Enhanced VIP-like IndicatorSettings Breakdown Tutorial: Optimizing a Trading Strategy
This guide explains the key trading strategy settings and how to customize them based on your trading style and goals. Each parameter is essential for tailoring the strategy to market conditions and your risk appetite.
1. Short Moving Average Length (Default: 9)
• Purpose: Tracks short-term trends using a small number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Smaller Values (e.g., 9): Quickly react to price changes, useful for fast-moving markets.
• Larger Values (e.g., 12-15): Generate smoother signals for less volatile trades.
2. Long Moving Average Length (Default: 21)
• Purpose: Identifies long-term trends.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 50): Spot broader trends at the expense of slower signals.
• Trend Analysis: The interaction of short and long MAs helps determine bullish or bearish trends (e.g., bullish when short MA crosses above long MA).
3. Higher Timeframe MA Length (Default: 200)
• Purpose: Filters long-term trends on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily).
• Settings Tips:
• 200 Periods: Standard for defining bullish (price above) or bearish (price below) markets.
• Adjustable: Use 100 for faster responses or stick with 200 for reliability.
4. Higher Timeframe (Default: 1 Day)
• Purpose: Defines the timeframe for the higher moving average.
• Settings Tips:
• Shorter Timeframes (e.g., 4 Hours): More frequent trading signals.
• Daily Timeframe: Best for swing trading and identifying macro trends.
5. RSI Length (Default: 14)
• Purpose: Measures momentum over a specific number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 7): More sensitive to price changes, ideal for quick trades.
• Higher Values (e.g., 20): Smooth signals for more stable markets.
6. RSI Overbought (70) and Oversold (30) Levels
• Purpose: Marks thresholds for overbought and oversold conditions.
• Settings Tips:
• Stricter Levels (e.g., 80/20): Fewer, higher-quality signals.
• Looser Levels (e.g., 65/35): More frequent signals, suitable for active trading.
7. Pivot Left Bars (5) and Pivot Right Bars (5)
• Purpose: Confirms pivot points (support/resistance) based on surrounding candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 10): Stronger but less frequent pivot points.
• Lower Values: More responsive, for traders seeking quick pivots.
8. Take Profit Percentage (Default: 2%)
• Purpose: Defines the profit level to exit trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 5%): For swing traders holding positions longer.
• Lower Values (e.g., 1%): For scalpers focusing on quick trades.
9. Minimum Volume (Default: 1,000,000)
• Purpose: Ensures sufficient liquidity for trading.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values: For lower-volume markets.
• Higher Values: Reduces risk in high-liquidity assets.
10. Stop Loss Percentage (Default: 1%)
• Purpose: Sets the maximum acceptable loss per trade.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 0.5%): Reduces risk, suited for conservative trading.
• Higher Values (e.g., 2%): Allows more price fluctuation, ideal for volatile markets.
11. Entry Conditions
• Options:
• MA Crossover & RSI: Combines trend-following and momentum for well-rounded signals.
• Pivot Breakout: Focuses on support/resistance breakouts for high-impact trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Trend-Following Traders: Use MA Crossover & RSI.
12. Exit Conditions
• Options:
• Opposite Signal: Exits when the trade’s opposite condition occurs (e.g., bullish to bearish).
• Fixed Take Profit/Stop Loss: Exits based on predefined profit/loss thresholds.
• Settings Tips:
• Opposite Signal: Ideal for trend-following strategies.
Summary
Customizing these settings aligns the strategy with your trading goals. Test configurations in a demo environment before live trading to refine the approach and optimize results. Always balance profit potential with risk management.
• Fixed Levels: Better for strict risk management.
• Breakout Traders: Opt for Pivot Breakout.
Bear Market LevelMarks the bear market level. Calculated as 20% drop from highs. Useful on indices to determine technical Bull or Bear markets.
Normalized Price ComparisonNormalized Price Comparison Indicator Description
The "Normalized Price Comparison" indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual tool for comparing the price movements of up to three different financial instruments on a common scale, despite their potentially different price ranges. Here's how it works:
Features:
Normalization: This indicator normalizes the closing prices of each symbol to a scale between 0 and 1 over a user-defined period. This normalization process allows for the comparison of price trends regardless of the absolute price levels, making it easier to spot relative movements and trends.
Crossing Alert: It features an alert functionality that triggers when the normalized price lines of the first two symbols (Symbol 1 and Symbol 2) cross each other. This can be particularly useful for identifying potential trading opportunities when one asset's relative performance changes against another.
Customization: Users can input up to three symbols for analysis. The normalization period can be adjusted, allowing flexibility in how historical data is considered for the scaling process. This period determines how many past bars are used to calculate the minimum and maximum prices for normalization.
Visual Representation: The indicator plots these normalized prices in a separate pane below the main chart. Each symbol's normalized price is represented by a distinct colored line:
Symbol 1: Blue line
Symbol 2: Red line
Symbol 3: Green line
Use Cases:
Relative Performance Analysis: Ideal for investors or traders who want to compare how different assets are performing relative to each other over time, without the distraction of absolute price differences.
Divergence Detection: Useful for spotting divergences where one asset might be outperforming or underperforming compared to others, potentially signaling changes in market trends or investment opportunities.
Crossing Strategy: The alert for when Symbol 1 and Symbol 2's normalized lines cross can be used as a part of a trading strategy, signaling potential entry or exit points based on relative price movements.
Limitations:
Static Alert Messages: Due to Pine Script's constraints, the alert messages cannot dynamically include the names of the symbols being compared. The alert will always mention "Symbol 1" and "Symbol 2" crossing.
Performance: Depending on the timeframe and the number of symbols, performance might be affected, especially on lower timeframes with high data frequency.
This indicator is particularly beneficial for those interested in multi-asset analysis, offering a streamlined way to observe and react to relative price movements in a visually coherent manner. It's a powerful tool for enhancing your trading or investment analysis by focusing on trends and relationships rather than raw price data.
Poisson Projection of Price Levels### **Poisson Projection of Price Levels**
**Overview:**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* is a cutting-edge technical indicator designed to identify and visualize potential support and resistance levels based on historical price interactions. By leveraging the Poisson distribution, this tool dynamically adjusts the significance of each price level's past "touches" to project future interactions with varying degrees of probability. This probabilistic approach offers traders a nuanced view of where price levels may hold or react in upcoming bars, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
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**🔍 **Math & Methodology**
1. **Strata Levels:**
- **Definition:** Strata are horizontal lines spaced evenly around the current closing price.
- **Calculation:**
\
where \(i\) ranges from 0 to \(\text{Strata Count} - 1\).
2. **Forecast Iterations:**
- **Structure:** The indicator projects five forecast iterations into the future, each spaced by a Fibonacci sequence of bars: 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead. This spacing is inspired by the Fibonacci sequence, which is prevalent in financial market analysis for identifying key levels.
- **Purpose:** Each iteration represents a distinct forecast point where the price may interact with the strata, allowing for a multi-step projection of potential price levels.
3. **Touch Counting:**
- **Definition:** A "touch" occurs when the closing price of a bar is within half the increment of a stratum level.
- **Process:** For each stratum and each forecast iteration, the indicator counts the number of touches within a specified lookback window (e.g., 80 bars), offset by the forecasted position. This ensures that each iteration's touch count is independent and contextually relevant to its forecast horizon.
- **Adjustment:** Each forecast iteration analyzes a unique segment of the lookback window, offset by its forecasted position to ensure independent probability calculations.
4. **Poisson Probability Calculation:**
- **Formula:**
\
\
- **Interpretation:** \(p(k=1)\) represents the probability of exactly one touch occurring within the lookback window for each stratum and iteration.
- **Application:** This probability is used to determine the transparency of each stratum line, where higher probabilities result in more opaque (less transparent) lines, indicating stronger historical significance.
5. **Transparency Mapping:**
- **Calculation:**
\
- **Purpose:** Maps the Poisson probability to a visual transparency level, enhancing the readability of significant strata levels.
- **Outcome:** Strata with higher probabilities (more historical touches) appear more opaque, while those with lower probabilities appear fainter.
---
**📊 **Comparability to Standard Techniques**
1. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Traditional Approach:** Traders identify support and resistance based on historical price reversals, pivot points, or psychological price levels.
- **Poisson Projection:** Automates and quantifies this process by statistically analyzing the frequency of price interactions with specific levels, providing a probabilistic measure of significance.
2. **Statistical Modeling:**
- **Standard Models:** Techniques like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci Retracements offer dynamic and rule-based levels but lack direct probabilistic interpretation.
- **Poisson Projection:** Introduces a discrete event probability framework, offering a unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity that complements traditional indicators.
3. **Event-Based Analysis:**
- **Financial Industry Practices:** Event studies and high-frequency trading models often use Poisson processes to model order arrivals or price jumps.
- **Indicator Application:** While not identical, the use of Poisson probabilities in this indicator draws inspiration from event-based modeling, applying it to the context of price level interactions.
---
**💡 **Strengths & Advantages**
1. **Innovative Visualization:**
- Combines statistical probability with traditional support/resistance visualization, offering a fresh perspective on price level significance.
2. **Dynamic Adaptability:**
- Parameters like strata increment, lookback window, and probability threshold are user-defined, allowing customization across different markets and timeframes.
3. **Independent Probability Calculations:**
- Each forecast iteration calculates its own Poisson probability, ensuring that projections are contextually relevant and independent of other iterations.
4. **Clear Visual Cues:**
- Transparency-based coloring intuitively highlights significant price levels, making it easier for traders to identify key areas of interest at a glance.
---
**⚠️ **Limitations & Considerations**
1. **Poisson Assumptions:**
- Assumes that touches occur independently and at a constant average rate (\(\lambda\)), which may not always align with market realities characterized by trends and volatility clustering.
2. **Computational Intensity:**
- Managing multiple iterations and strata can be resource-intensive, potentially affecting performance on lower-powered devices or with very high lookback windows.
3. **Interpretation Complexity:**
- While transparency offers visual clarity, understanding the underlying probability calculations requires a basic grasp of Poisson statistics, which may be a barrier for some traders.
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**📢 **How to Use It**
1. **Add to TradingView:**
- Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script Editor.
- Paste the script above and click **Add to Chart**.
2. **Configure Inputs:**
- **Strata Increment:** Set the desired price step between strata (e.g., `0.1` for 10 cents).
- **Lookback Window:** Define how many past bars to consider for calculating Poisson probabilities (e.g., `80`).
- **Probability Transparency Threshold (%):** Set the threshold percentage to map probabilities to line transparency (e.g., `25%`).
3. **Understand the Forecast Iterations:**
- The indicator projects five forecast points into the future at bar spacings of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead.
- Each iteration independently calculates its Poisson probability based on the touch counts within its specific lookback window offset by its forecasted position.
4. **Interpret the Visualization:**
- **Opaque Lines:** Indicate higher Poisson probabilities, suggesting historically significant price levels that are more likely to interact again.
- **Fainter Lines:** Represent lower probabilities, indicating less historically significant levels that may be less likely to interact.
- **Forecast Spacing:** The spacing of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead aligns with Fibonacci principles, offering a natural progression in forecast horizons.
5. **Apply to Trading Strategies:**
- **Support/Resistance Identification:** Use the opaque lines as potential support and resistance levels for placing trades.
- **Entry and Exit Points:** Anticipate price interactions at forecasted levels to plan strategic entries and exits.
- **Risk Management:** Utilize the transparency mapping to determine where to place stop-loss and take-profit orders based on the probability of price interactions.
6. **Customize as Needed:**
- Adjust the **Strata Increment** to fit different price ranges or volatility levels.
- Modify the **Lookback Window** to capture more or fewer historical touches, adapting to different timeframes or market conditions.
- Tweak the **Probability Transparency Threshold** to control the sensitivity of transparency mapping to Poisson probabilities.
**📈 **Practical Applications**
1. **Identifying Key Levels:**
- Quickly visualize which price levels have historically had significant interactions, aiding in the identification of potential support and resistance zones.
2. **Forecasting Price Reactions:**
- Use the forecast iterations to anticipate where price may interact in the near future, assisting in planning entry and exit points.
3. **Risk Management:**
- Determine areas of high probability for price reversals or consolidations, enabling better placement of stop-loss and take-profit orders.
4. **Market Analysis:**
- Assess the strength of market levels over different forecast horizons, providing a multi-layered understanding of market structure.
---
**🔗 **Conclusion**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* bridges the gap between statistical modeling and traditional technical analysis, offering traders a sophisticated tool to quantify and visualize the significance of price levels. By integrating Poisson probabilities with dynamic transparency mapping, this indicator provides a unique and insightful perspective on potential support and resistance zones, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
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**📞 **Contact:**
For support or inquiries, please contact me on TradingView!
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**📢 **Join the Conversation!**
Have questions, feedback, or suggestions for further enhancements? Feel free to comment below or reach out directly. Your input helps refine and evolve this tool to better serve the trading community.
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**Happy Trading!** 🚀
Indicador CME - DOLAR BRLConversão do Dólar em Real pelo CME. Normalmente o gráfico do CME é Dólar/Real. Com esse indicador é possível inverter e obter o valor do real em dólar.
Santa Clause RallyA Santa Claus rally is a calendar effect that involves a rise in stock prices during the last 5 trading days in December and the first 2 trading days in the following January.
The Santa Claus rally can potentially predict the future trend of stocks in the coming year.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎄🎄🎄
Phase Cross Strategy with Zone### Introduction to the Strategy
Welcome to the **Phase Cross Strategy with Zone and EMA Analysis**. This strategy is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the crossover of smoothed oscillators (referred to as "phases") and exponential moving averages (EMAs). By combining these two methods, the strategy offers a versatile tool for both trend-following and short-term trading setups.
### Key Features
1. **Phase Cross Signals**:
- The strategy uses two smoothed oscillators:
- **Leading Phase**: A simple moving average (SMA) with an upward offset.
- **Lagging Phase**: An exponential moving average (EMA) with a downward offset.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when these phases cross over or under each other, visually represented on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) labels.
2. **Phase Zone Visualization**:
- The area between the two phases is filled with a green or red zone, indicating bullish or bearish conditions:
- Green zone: Leading phase is above the lagging phase (potential uptrend).
- Red zone: Leading phase is below the lagging phase (potential downtrend).
3. **EMA Analysis**:
- Includes five commonly used EMAs (13, 26, 50, 100, and 200) for additional trend analysis.
- Crossovers of the EMA 13 and EMA 26 act as secondary buy/sell signals to confirm or enhance the phase-based signals.
4. **Customizable Parameters**:
- You can adjust the smoothing length, source (price data), and offset to fine-tune the strategy for your preferred trading style.
### What to Pay Attention To
1. **Phases and Zones**:
- Use the green/red phase zone as an overall trend guide.
- Avoid taking trades when the phases are too close or choppy, as it may indicate a ranging market.
2. **EMA Trends**:
- Align your trades with the longer-term trend shown by the EMAs. For example:
- In an uptrend (price above EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize buy signals.
- In a downtrend (price below EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize sell signals.
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Consider combining phase cross signals with EMA crossovers for higher-confidence trades.
- Look for confluence between the phase signals and EMA trends.
4. **Risk Management**:
- Always set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
- Use the phase and EMA zones to estimate potential support/resistance areas for exits.
5. **Whipsaws and False Signals**:
- Be cautious in low-volatility or sideways markets, as the strategy may generate false signals.
- Use additional indicators or filters to avoid entering trades during unclear market conditions.
### How to Use
1. Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
2. Adjust the input settings (e.g., smoothing length, offsets) to suit your trading preferences.
3. Enable the strategy tester to evaluate its performance on historical data.
4. Combine the signals with your own analysis and risk management plan for best results.
This strategy is a versatile tool, but like any trading method, it requires proper understanding and discretion. Always backtest thoroughly and trade with discipline. Let me know if you need further assistance or adjustments to the strategy!
