RISK ROTATION MATRIX ║ BullVision [3.0]🔍 Overview
The Risk Rotation Matrix is a comprehensive market regime detection system that analyzes global market conditions across four critical domains: Liquidity, Macroeconomic, Crypto/Commodities, and Risk/Volatility. Through proprietary algorithms and advanced statistical analysis, it transforms 20+ diverse market metrics into a unified framework for identifying regime transitions and risk rotations.
This institutional-grade system aims to solve a fundamental challenge: how to synthesize complex, multi-domain market data into clear, actionable trading intelligence. By combining proprietary liquidity calculations with sophisticated cross-asset analysis.
The Four-Domain Architecture
1. 💧 LIQUIDITY DOMAIN
Our liquidity analysis combines standard metrics with proprietary calculations:
Proprietary Components:
Custom Global Liquidity Index (GLI): Unique formula aggregating central bank assets, credit spreads, and FX dynamics through our weighted algorithm
Federal Reserve Balance Proxy: Advanced calculation incorporating reverse repos, TGA fluctuations, and QE/QT impacts
China Liquidity Proxy: First-of-its-kind metric combining PBOC operations with FX-adjusted aggregates
Global M2 Composite: Custom multi-currency M2 aggregation with proprietary FX normalization
2. 📈 MACRO DOMAIN
Sophisticated integration of global economic indicators:
S&P 500: Momentum and trend analysis with custom z-score normalization
China Blue Chips: Asian market sentiment with correlation filtering
MBA Purchase Index: Real estate market health indicator
Emerging Markets (EEMS): Risk appetite measurement
Global ETF (URTH): Worldwide equity exposure tracking
Each metric undergoes proprietary transformation to ensure comparability and regime-specific sensitivity.
3. 🪙 CRYPTO/COMMODITIES DOMAIN
Unique cross-asset analysis combining:
Total Crypto Market Cap: Liquidity flow indicator with custom smoothing
Bitcoin SOPR: On-chain profitability analysis with adaptive periods
MVRV Z-Score: Advanced implementation with multiple MA options
BTC/Silver Ratio: Novel commodity-crypto relationship metric
Our algorithms detect when crypto markets lead or lag traditional assets, providing crucial timing signals.
4. ⚡ RISK/VOLATILITY DOMAIN
Advanced volatility regime detection through:
MOVE Index: Bond volatility with inverse correlation analysis
VVIX/VIX Ratio: Volatility-of-volatility for regime extremes
SKEW Index: Tail risk measurement with custom normalization
Credit Stress Composite: Proprietary combination of credit spreads
USDT Dominance: Crypto flight-to-safety indicator
All risk metrics are inverted and normalized to align with the unified scoring system.
🧠 Advanced Integration Methodology
Multi-Stage Processing Pipeline
Data Collection: Real-time aggregation from 20+ sources
Normalization: Custom z-score variants accounting for regime-specific volatility
Domain Scoring: Proprietary weighting within each domain
Cross-Domain Synthesis: Advanced correlation matrix between domains
Regime Detection: State-transition model identifying four market phases
Signal Generation: Composite score with adaptive smoothing
🔁 Composite Smoothing & Signal Generation
The user can apply smoothing (ALMA, EMA, etc.) to highlight trends and reduce noise. Smoothing length, type, and parameters are fully customizable for different trading styles.
🎯 Color Feedback & Market Regimes
Visual dynamics (color gradients, labels, trails, and quadrant placement) offer an at-a-glance interpretation of the market’s evolving risk environment—without forecasting or forward-looking assumptions.
🎯 The Quadrant Visualization System
Our innovative visual framework transforms complex calculations into intuitive intelligence:
Dynamic Ehlers Loop: Shows current position and momentum
Trailing History: Visual path of regime transitions
Real-Time Animation: Immediate feedback on condition changes
Multi-Layer Information: Depth through color, size, and positioning
🚀 Practical Applications
Primary Use Cases
Multi-Asset Portfolio Management: Optimize allocation across asset classes based on regime
Risk Budgeting: Adjust exposure dynamically with regime changes
Tactical Trading: Time entries/exits using regime transitions
Hedging Strategies: Implement protection before risk-off phases
Specific Trading Scenarios
Domain Divergence: When liquidity improves but risk metrics deteriorate
Early Rotation Detection: Crypto/commodity signals often lead broader markets
Volatility Regime Trades: Position for mean reversion or trend following
Cross-Asset Arbitrage: Exploit temporary dislocations between domains
⚙️ How It Works
The Composite Score Engine
The system's intelligence emerges from how it combines domains:
Each domain produces a normalized score (-2 to +2 range)
Proprietary algorithms weight domains based on market conditions
Composite score indicates overall market regime
Smoothing options (ALMA, EMA, etc.) optimize for different timeframes
Regime Classification
🟢 Risk-On (Green): Positive composite + positive momentum
🟠 Weakening (Orange): Positive composite + negative momentum
🔵 Recovery (Blue): Negative composite + positive momentum
🔴 Risk-Off (Red): Negative composite + negative momentum
Signal Interpretation Framework
The indicator provides three levels of analysis:
Composite Score: Overall market regime (-2 to +2)
Domain Scores: Identify which factors drive regime
Individual Metrics: Granular analysis of specific components
🎨 Features & Functionality
Core Components
Risk Rotation Quadrant: Primary visual interface with Ehlers loop
Data Matrix Dashboard: Real-time display of all 20+ metrics
Domain Aggregation: Separate scores for each domain
Composite Calculation: Unified score with multiple smoothing options
Customization Options
Selective Metrics: Enable/disable individual components
Period Adjustment: Optimize lookback for each metric
Smoothing Selection: 10 different MA types including ALMA
Visual Configuration: Quadrant scale, colors, trails, effects
Advanced Settings
Pre-smoothing: Reduce noise before final calculation
Adaptive Periods: Automatic adjustment during volatility
Correlation Filters: Remove redundant signals
Regime Memory: Hysteresis to prevent whipsaws
📋 Implementation Guide
Setup Process
Add to chart (optimized for daily, works on all timeframes)
Review default settings for your market focus
Adjust domain weights based on trading style
Configure visual preferences
Optimization by Trading Style
Position Trading: Longer periods (60-150), heavy smoothing
Swing Trading: Medium periods (20-60), balanced smoothing
Active Trading: Shorter periods (10-40), minimal smoothing
Best Practices
Monitor domain divergences for early signals
Use extreme readings (-1.5/+1.5) for high-conviction trades
Combine with price action for confirmation
Adjust parameters during major events (FOMC, earnings)
💎 What Makes This Unique
Beyond Traditional Indicators
Multi-Domain Integration: Only system combining liquidity, macro, crypto, and volatility
Proprietary Calculations: Custom formulas for GLI, Fed, China, and M2 proxies
Adaptive Architecture: Dynamically adjusts to market regimes
Institutional Depth: 20+ integrated metrics vs typical 3-5
Technical Innovation
Statistical Normalization: Custom z-score variants for cross-asset comparison
Correlation Management: Prevents double-counting related signals
Regime Persistence: Algorithms to identify sustainable vs temporary shifts
Visual Intelligence: Information-dense display without overwhelming
🔢 Performance Characteristics
Strengths
Early regime detection (typically 1-3 weeks ahead)
Robust across different market environments
Clear visual feedback reduces interpretation errors
Comprehensive coverage prevents blind spots
Optimal Conditions
Most effective with 100+ bars of history
Best on daily timeframe (4H minimum recommended)
Requires liquid markets for accurate signals
Performance improves with more enabled components
⚠️ Risk Considerations & Limitations
Important Disclaimers
Probabilistic system, not predictive
Requires understanding of macro relationships
Signals should complement other analysis
Past regime behavior doesn't guarantee future patterns
Known Limitations
Black swan events may cause temporary distortions
Central bank interventions can override signals
Requires active management during regime transitions
Not suitable for pure technical traders
💎 Conclusion
The Risk Rotation Matrix represents a new paradigm in market regime analysis. By combining proprietary liquidity calculations with comprehensive multi-domain monitoring, it provides institutional-grade intelligence previously available only to large funds. The system's strength lies not just in its individual components, but in how it synthesizes diverse market information into clear, actionable trading signals.
⚠️ Access & Intellectual Property Notice
This invite-only indicator contains proprietary algorithms, custom calculations, and years of quantitative research. The mathematical formulations for our liquidity proxies, cross-domain correlation matrices, and regime detection algorithms represent significant intellectual property. Access is restricted to protect these innovations and maintain their effectiveness for serious traders who understand the value of comprehensive market regime analysis.
Fundamental Analysis
Ralph Indicator - ZaraTrust Smart MoneyThe Ralph Indicator – ZaraTrust Smart Money is a powerful yet simple Smart Money Concepts (SMC) based tool designed for traders who want to trade like institutions. It auto-detects high-probability Buy/Sell zones, Support/Resistance levels, and Demand/Supply areas on the chart — giving you clear, visual, and actionable signals without the clutter.
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🔍 Key Features:
✅ Smart Money Structure
• Uses pivot-based logic to identify potential structure points
• Helps you understand market flow (e.g., BOS, CHoCH simplified logic)
✅ Automatic Support & Resistance
• Plots major levels based on significant highs and lows
• Helps catch key reversal or breakout zones
✅ Demand & Supply Zones
• Visually shows areas where price may react strongly
• Based on smart pivot detection from recent swings
✅ Buy/Sell Trade Signals
• Highlights buy when price breaks resistance (possible bullish shift)
• Highlights sell when price breaks support (possible bearish shift)
✅ Clean & Easy UI
• Toggle features on/off from settings panel
• Labels and shapes are plotted clearly on the chart for instant reading
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🛠️ Recommended Use:
• Use on 15min to 4H timeframe for intraday or swing trading
• Combine with price action (e.g., confirmation candles, liquidity grab)
• Works best when paired with institutional logic (OBs, FVG, liquidity)
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This indicator is a tool, not a signal service.
It does not guarantee 98% accuracy, but it’s designed to highlight smart money zones and high-probability areas. Always do your own risk management and backtest before using on a live account.
Boomerang Trading Indicator# Boomerang News Trading Indicator
## Overview
The Boomerang Trading Indicator is designed to identify potential reversal opportunities following major economic news releases. This indicator analyzes the initial market reaction to news events and provides visual cues for potential counter-trend trading opportunities based on Fibonacci retracement levels.
## How It Works
### News Event Detection
- Automatically detects major news release times (NFP, CPI, FOMC, etc.)
- Analyzes the first significant price movement following news releases
- Requires minimum candle size threshold to filter out weak reactions
### First Move Analysis
The indicator employs multiple analytical methods to determine the initial market direction:
**Simple Analysis (High Confidence):**
- When the news candle has ≥70% body-to-total ratio, uses straightforward bullish/bearish classification
**Advanced Analysis (Complex Cases):**
- Volume-weighted direction analysis
- Momentum and wick pattern analysis
- Market structure and gap analysis
- Weighted voting system combining all methods
### Entry Signal Generation
Based on the "boomerang" concept where markets often reverse after initial news reactions:
**For Bullish First Moves (Price Up Initially):**
- Generates SHORT entry signals when price retraces to 1.25-1.5 Fibonacci levels
- Visual: Red triangles above price bars
**For Bearish First Moves (Price Down Initially):**
- Generates LONG entry signals when price retraces to -0.25 to -0.5 Fibonacci levels
- Visual: Green triangles below price bars
## Key Features
### Visual Elements
- **Fibonacci Levels**: Displays key retracement levels based on the initial reaction range
- **Entry Zones**: Clear visual marking of optimal entry areas
- **Direction Arrows**: Shows the initial market reaction direction
- **Target Levels**: Displays profit target zones at 50% and 100% retracement levels
### Information Panel
Real-time display showing:
- Current setup status
- First move direction and body percentage
- Recommended trade direction
- Key price levels (reaction high/low)
- Profit targets with historical success rates
### Alert System
- Pre-news warnings (customizable timing)
- News event notifications
- Setup activation alerts
- Entry signal notifications
### Success Tracking
- Visual "BOOM!" animations when targets are hit
- Target 1 (50% level): ~95% historical success rate
- Target 2 (Main target): ~80% historical success rate
## Configuration Options
### Time Settings
- News release hour and minute (customizable for different events)
- Pre-news alert timing
- Setup duration (default 60 bars after news)
### Fibonacci Levels
- Adjustable retracement percentages
- Customizable target levels
- Mid-level importance weighting
### Risk Management
- Minimum reaction candle size filter
- Maximum risk point setting
- Visual risk/reward display
### Display Options
- Toggle Fibonacci level visibility
- Toggle target level display
- Toggle animation effects
- Customizable alert preferences
## Applicable News Events
This indicator is designed for high-impact economic releases:
- Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) - First Friday, 8:30 AM ET
- Consumer Price Index (CPI) - Monthly, 8:30 AM ET
- Producer Price Index (PPI) - Monthly, 8:30 AM ET
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - Quarterly, 8:30 AM ET
- FOMC Interest Rate Decisions - 8 times yearly, 2:00 PM ET
## Trading Strategy Framework
### Core Principle
Markets often overreact to news initially, then reverse toward more rational price levels. This "boomerang effect" creates short-term trading opportunities.
### Entry Strategy
1. Wait for significant initial reaction (>10 points minimum)
2. Identify the initial direction using multi-factor analysis
3. Trade opposite to the initial reaction when price reaches sweet spot zones
4. Use Fibonacci retracement levels as entry triggers
### Risk Management
- Always use appropriate position sizing
- Set stop losses beyond recent swing levels
- Consider market volatility and news importance
- Monitor for setup invalidation signals
## Important Notes
### Educational Purpose
This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. Users should:
- Thoroughly test strategies in demo environments
- Understand the risks involved in news trading
- Consider market conditions and volatility
- Use proper risk management techniques
### Market Considerations
- High volatility during news events increases both opportunity and risk
- Spreads may widen significantly during news releases
- Different brokers may have varying execution conditions
- Economic calendar timing may vary between sources
### Limitations
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- Market conditions can change, affecting strategy effectiveness
- News events may have unexpected outcomes affecting normal patterns
- Technical analysis should be combined with fundamental analysis
## Version Information
- Compatible with TradingView Pine Script v5
- Designed for 1-minute timeframe optimal performance
- Works on major forex pairs, indices, and commodities
- Regular updates based on market condition changes
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**Disclaimer:** This indicator is provided for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own research and consider their financial situation before making trading decisions.
Real 10Y Yield (DGS10 - T10YIE)The Real 10Y Yield (DGS10 – T10YIE) indicator computes the inflation-adjusted U.S. 10-year Treasury yield by subtracting the 10-year breakeven inflation rate (T10YIE) from the nominal 10-year Treasury yield (DGS10), both sourced directly from FRED. By filtering out inflation expectations, this script reveals the true, real borrowing cost over a 10-year horizon—one of the most reliable gauges of overall risk sentiment and capital–market health.
How It Works
Data Inputs
• DGS10 (Nominal 10-Year Treasury Yield)
• T10YIE (10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate)
Both series are fetched on a daily timeframe via request.security from FRED.
Real Yield Calculation
pine
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Edit
real10y = DGS10 – T10YIE
A positive value indicates that nominal yields exceed inflation expectations (real yields are positive), while a negative value signals deep-negative real rates.
Thresholds & Coloring
• Bullish Zone: Real yield < –0.1 %
• Bearish Zone: Real yield > +0.1 %
The background turns green when real yields drop below –0.1 %, reflecting an ultra-accommodative environment that historically aligns with risk-on rallies. It turns red when real yields exceed +0.1 %, indicating expensive real borrowing costs and a potential shift toward risk-off.
Alerts
• Deep-Negative Real Yields (Bullish): Triggers when real yield < –0.1 %
• High Real Yields (Bearish): Triggers when real yield > +0.1 %
Why It’s Powerful
Forward-Looking Sentiment Gauge
Real yields incorporate both market-implied inflation and nominal rates, making them a leading indicator for risk appetite, equity flows, and crypto demand.
Clear, Actionable Zones
The –0.1 % / +0.1 % thresholds cleanly delineate structurally bullish vs. bearish regimes, removing noise and false signals common in nominal-only yield studies.
Macro & Cross-Asset Confluence
Combine with equity indices, dollar strength (DXY), or credit spreads for a fully contextual macro view. When real yields break deeper negative alongside weakening dollar, it often precedes stretch in risk assets.
Automatic Alerts
Never miss regime shifts—alerts notify you the moment real yields breach key zones, so you can align your strategy with prevailing macro momentum.
How to Use
Add to a separate pane for unobstructed visibility.
Monitor breaks beneath –0.1 % for early “risk-on” signals in stocks, commodities, and crypto.
Watch for climbs above +0.1 % to hedge or rotate into defensive assets.
Combine with your existing trend-following or mean-reversion strategies to improve timing around major market turning points.
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Feel free to adjust the threshold lines to your preferred sensitivity (e.g., tighten to ±0.05 %), or overlay with moving averages to smooth out whipsaws. This script is ideal for macro traders, portfolio managers, and quantitative quants who demand a distilled, inflation-adjusted view of real rates.
National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI)This is one of the most important macro indicators in my trading arsenal due to its reliability across different market regimes. I'm excited to share this with the TradingView community because this Federal Reserve data is not only completely free but extraordinarily useful for portfolio management and risk assessment.
**Important Disclaimers**: Be aware that some NFCI components are updated only monthly but carry significant weighting in the composite index. Additionally, the Fed occasionally revises historical NFCI data, so historical backtests should be interpreted with some caution. Nevertheless, this remains a crucial leading indicator for financial stress conditions.
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## What is the National Financial Conditions Index?
The National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) is a comprehensive measure of financial stress and liquidity conditions developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. This indicator synthesizes over 100 financial market variables into a single, interpretable metric that captures the overall state of financial conditions in the United States (Brave & Butters, 2011).
**Key Principle**: When the NFCI is positive, financial conditions are tighter than average; when negative, conditions are looser than average. Values above +1.0 historically coincide with financial crises, while values below -1.0 often signal bubble-like conditions.
## Scientific Foundation & Research
The NFCI methodology is grounded in extensive academic research:
### Core Research Foundation
- **Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011)**. "Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach." *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
- **Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010)**. "Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis." *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
- **Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012)**. "Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes." *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
### Methodological Validation
The NFCI employs Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to extract common factors from financial market data, following the methodology established by **English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005)** in "Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables." The index has been validated through extensive academic research (Koop & Korobilis, 2014).
## NFCI Components Explained
This indicator provides access to all five official NFCI variants:
### 1. **Main NFCI**
The primary composite index incorporating all financial market sectors. This serves as the main signal for portfolio allocation decisions.
### 2. **Adjusted NFCI (ANFCI)**
Removes the influence of credit market disruptions to focus on non-credit financial stress. Particularly useful during banking crises when credit markets may be impaired but other financial conditions remain stable.
### 3. **Credit Sub-Index**
Isolates credit market conditions including corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates, and bank lending standards. Important for assessing corporate financing stress.
### 4. **Leverage Sub-Index**
Measures systemic leverage through margin requirements, dealer financing, and institutional leverage metrics. Useful for identifying leverage-driven market stress.
### 5. **Risk Sub-Index**
Captures market-based risk measures including volatility, correlation, and tail risk indicators. Provides indication of risk appetite shifts.
## Practical Trading Applications
### Portfolio Allocation Framework
Based on the academic research, the NFCI can be used for portfolio positioning:
**Risk-On Positioning (NFCI declining):**
- Consider increasing equity exposure
- Reduce defensive positions
- Evaluate growth-oriented sectors
**Risk-Off Positioning (NFCI rising):**
- Consider reducing equity exposure
- Increase defensive positioning
- Favor large-cap, dividend-paying stocks
### Academic Validation
According to **Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011)** in "The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions," financial conditions indices like the NFCI provide early warning capabilities for systemic risk conditions.
**Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006)** demonstrated in "Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada" that composite financial stress measures can be useful for predicting economic downturns.
## Advanced Features of This Implementation
### Dynamic Background Coloring
- **Green backgrounds**: Risk-On conditions - potentially favorable for equity investment
- **Red backgrounds**: Risk-Off conditions - time for defensive positioning
- **Intensity varies**: Based on deviation from trend for nuanced risk assessment
### Professional Dashboard
Real-time analytics table showing:
- Current NFCI level and interpretation (TIGHT/LOOSE/NEUTRAL)
- Individual sub-index readings
- Change analysis
- Portfolio guidance (Risk On/Risk Off)
### Alert System
Professional-grade alerts for:
- Risk regime changes
- Extreme stress conditions (NFCI > 1.0)
- Bubble risk warnings (NFCI < -1.0)
- Major trend reversals
## Optimal Usage Guidelines
### Best Timeframes
- **Daily charts**: Recommended for intermediate-term positioning
- **Weekly charts**: Suitable for longer-term portfolio allocation
- **Intraday**: Less effective due to weekly update frequency
### Complementary Indicators
For enhanced analysis, combine NFCI signals with:
- **VIX levels**: Confirm stress readings
- **Credit spreads**: Validate credit sub-index signals
- **Moving averages**: Determine overall market trend context
- **Economic surprise indices**: Gauge fundamental backdrop
### Position Sizing Considerations
- **Extreme readings** (|NFCI| > 1.0): Consider higher conviction positioning
- **Moderate readings** (|NFCI| 0.3-1.0): Standard position sizing
- **Neutral readings** (|NFCI| < 0.3): Consider reduced conviction
## Important Limitations & Considerations
### Data Frequency Issues
**Critical Warning**: While the main NFCI updates weekly (typically Wednesdays), some underlying components update monthly. Corporate bond indices and commercial paper rates, which carry significant weight, may cause delayed reactions to current market conditions.
**Component Update Schedule:**
- **Weekly Updates**: Main NFCI composite, most equity volatility measures
- **Monthly Updates**: Corporate bond spreads, commercial paper rates
- **Quarterly Updates**: Banking sector surveys
- **Impact**: Significant portion of index weight may lag current conditions
### Historical Revisions
The Federal Reserve occasionally revises NFCI historical data as new information becomes available or methodologies are refined. This means backtesting results should be interpreted cautiously, and the indicator works best for forward-looking analysis rather than precise historical replication.
### Market Regime Dependency
The NFCI effectiveness may vary across different market regimes. During extended sideways markets or regime transitions, signals may be less reliable. Consider combining with trend-following indicators for optimal results.
**Bottom Line**: Use NFCI for medium-term portfolio positioning guidance. Trust the directional signals while remaining aware of data revision risks and update frequency limitations. This indicator is particularly valuable during periods of financial stress when reliable guidance is most needed.
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**Data Source**: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
**Update Frequency**: Weekly (typically Wednesdays)
**Historical Coverage**: 1973-present
**Cost**: Free (public Fed data)
*This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.*
## References
Brave, S., & Butters, R. A. (2011). Monitoring financial stability: A financial conditions index approach. *Economic Perspectives*, 35(1), 22-43.
English, W. B., Tsatsaronis, K., & Zoli, E. (2005). Assessing the predictive power of measures of financial conditions for macroeconomic variables. *BIS Papers*, 22, 228-252.
Hatzius, J., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Schoenholtz, K. L., & Watson, M. W. (2010). Financial conditions indexes: A fresh look after the financial crisis. *US Monetary Policy Forum Report*, No. 23.
Illing, M., & Liu, Y. (2006). Measuring financial stress in a developed country: An application to Canada. *Bank of Canada Working Paper*, 2006-02.
Kliesen, K. L., Owyang, M. T., & Vermann, E. K. (2012). Disentangling diverse measures: A survey of financial stress indexes. *Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review*, 94(5), 369-397.
Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2014). A new index of financial conditions. *European Economic Review*, 71, 101-116.
Oet, M. V., Eiben, R., Bianco, T., Gramlich, D., & Ong, S. J. (2011). The financial stress index: Identification of systemic risk conditions. *Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Working Paper*, 11-30.
Crowding model ║ BullVision🔬 Overview
The Crypto Crowding Model Pro is a sophisticated analytical tool designed to visualize and quantify market conditions across multiple cryptocurrencies. By leveraging Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Z-score calculations, this indicator provides traders with an intuitive and detailed snapshot of current crypto market dynamics, highlighting areas of extreme momentum, crowded trades, and potential reversal points.
⚙️ Key Concepts
📊 RSI and Z-Score Analysis
RSI (Relative Strength Index) evaluates the momentum and strength of each cryptocurrency, identifying overbought or oversold conditions.
Z-Score Normalization measures each asset's current price deviation relative to its historical average, identifying statistically significant extremes.
🎯 Crowding Analytics
An integrated analytics panel provides real-time crowding metrics, quantifying market sentiment into four distinct categories:
🔥 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out): High momentum, potential exhaustion.
❄️ Fear: Low momentum, potential reversal or consolidation.
📈 Recovery: Moderate upward momentum after a downward trend.
💪 Strength: Stable bullish conditions with sustained momentum.
🖥️ Visual Scatter Plot
Assets are plotted on a dynamic scatter plot, positioning each cryptocurrency according to its RSI and Z-score.
Color coding, symbol shapes, and sizes help quickly identify main market segments (BTC, ETH, TOTAL, OTHERS) and individual asset conditions.
🧩 Quadrant Classification
Assets are categorized into four quadrants based on their momentum and deviation:
Overbought Extended: High RSI and positive Z-score.
Recovery Phase: Low RSI but positive Z-score.
Oversold Compressed: Low RSI and negative Z-score.
Strong Consolidation: High RSI but negative Z-score.
🔧 User Customization
🎨 Visual Settings
Bar Scale: Adjust the scatter plot visual scale.
Asset Visibility: Optionally display key market benchmarks (TOTAL, BTC, ETH, OTHERS).
Gradient Background: Enhances visual interpretation of asset clusters.
Crowding Analytics Panel: Toggle the analytics panel on/off.
📊 Indicator Parameters
RSI Length: Defines the calculation period for RSI.
Z-score Lookback: Historical lookback period for normalization.
Crowding Alert Threshold: Sets alert sensitivity for crowded market conditions.
🎯 Zone Settings
Quadrant Labels: Displays descriptive labels for each quadrant.
Danger Zones: Highlights extreme RSI levels indicative of heightened market risk.
📈 Visual Output
Dynamic Scatter Plot: Visualizes asset positioning clearly and intuitively.
Gradient and Grid: Professional gridlines and subtle gradient backgrounds assist visual assessment.
Danger Zone Highlights: Visually indicates RSI extremes to warn of potential market turning points.
Crowding Analytics Panel: Real-time summary of market sentiment and asset distribution.
🔍 Use Cases
This indicator is particularly beneficial for traders and analysts looking to:
Identify crowded trades and potential reversal points.
Quickly assess overall market sentiment and individual asset strength.
Integrate a robust momentum analysis into broader technical or fundamental strategies.
Enhance market timing and improve risk management decisions.
⚠️ Important Notes
This indicator does not provide explicit buy or sell signals.
It is intended solely for informational, analytical, and educational purposes.
Past performance and signals are not indicative of future market results.
Always combine with additional tools and analysis as part of comprehensive decision-making.
Auto LevelsSimple auto level tracker that automatically detects and plots the high/low for the current week, day, and month, as well as the previous week/day/month.
Includes a built-in dashboard that shows how close or far price is from each level, along with directional guidance (above/below). The closest level to current price is automatically highlighted for quick awareness.
Everything is fully toggleable to only show the levels and info that is needed.
Asset Premium/Discount Monitor📊 Overview
The Asset Premium/Discount Monitor is a tool for analyzing the relative value between two correlated assets. It measures when one asset is trading at a premium or discount compared to its historical relationship with another asset, helping traders identify potential mean reversion opportunities, or pairs trading opportunities.
🎯 Use Cases
Perfect for analyzing:
NASDAQ:MSTR vs CRYPTO:BTCUSD - MicroStrategy's premium/discount to Bitcoin
NASDAQ:COIN vs BITSTAMP:BTCUSD - Coinbase's relative value to Bitcoin
NASDAQ:TSLA vs NASDAQ:QQQ - Tesla's premium to tech sector
Regional banks AMEX:KRE vs AMEX:XLF - Individual bank stocks vs financial sector
Any two correlated assets where relative value matters
Example of a trade: MSTR vs BTC - When indicator shows MSTR at 95% percentile (extreme premium): Short MSTR, Buy BTC. Then exit when the spread reverts to the mean, say 40-60% percentile.
🔧 How It Works
Core Calculation
Ratio Analysis: Calculates the price ratio between your asset and the correlated asset
Historical Baseline: Establishes the "normal" relationship using a 252-day moving average. You can change this.
Premium Measurement: Measures current deviation from historical average as a percentage
Statistical Context: Provides percentile rankings and standard deviation bands
The Math
Premium % = (Current Ratio / Historical Average Ratio - 1) × 100
🎨 Customization Options
Correlated Asset: Choose any symbol for comparison
Lookback Period: Adjust historical baseline (50-1000 days)
Smoothing: Reduce noise with moving average (1-50 days)
Visual Toggles: Show/hide bands and percentile lines
Color Themes: Customize premium/discount colors
📊 Interpretation Guide
Premium/Discount Reading
Positive %: Asset trading above historical relationship (premium)
Negative %: Asset trading below historical relationship (discount)
Near 0%: Asset at fair value relative to correlation
Percentile Ranking
90%+: Near recent highs - potential selling opportunity
10% and below: Near recent lows - potential buying opportunity
25-75%: Normal trading range
Signal Classifications
🔴 SELL PREMIUM: Asset expensive relative to recent range
🟡 Premium Rich: Moderately expensive, monitor for reversal
⚪ NEUTRAL: Fair value territory
🟡 Discount Opportunity: Moderately cheap, potential accumulation zone
🟢 BUY DISCOUNT: Asset cheap relative to recent range
🚨 Built-in Alerts
Extreme Premium Alert: Triggers when percentile > 95%
Extreme Discount Alert: Triggers when percentile < 5%
⚠️ Important Notes
Works best with highly correlated assets
Historical relationships can change - monitor correlation strength
Not investment advice - use as one factor in your analysis
Backtest thoroughly before implementing any strategy
🔄 Updates & Future Features
This indicator will be continuously improved based on user feedback. So... please give me your feedback!
Zinc Model [Mr Zinc x MMT]The Zinc Model is a TradingView indicator designed to assist traders by plotting key price levels from two defined trading sessions: the previous day's session (4:00 AM to 8:00 PM) and the current day's London session (4:00 AM to 9:15 AM). It overlays horizontal lines for session highs, lows, and midpoints (EQ levels), along with a vertical anchor line to mark session starts. The indicator is highly customizable, allowing traders to tailor its appearance and focus on specific sessions for strategic analysis.
Features
Session-Based Levels : Tracks and displays high, low, and midpoint (50% EQ) levels for two sessions: the previous day's session and the current day's London session.
Customizable Display : Users can toggle visibility of high, low, EQ levels, and session anchor lines, with options to adjust line styles, colors, and widths.
Session Selection : Configurable session show times (default: 8:00 AM to 4:00 PM in New York time) for displaying levels, with a projection offset to extend lines into future bars.
Labels: Optional labels for each level (High, Low, EQ) with customizable sizes (Tiny, Small, Normal, Large) for clear identification.
Time Zone Support : Anchors sessions to a specified time zone (default: America/New_York).
How It Works
The indicator calculates key price levels based on two user-defined sessions:
- Previous Day Session (4:00 AM–8:00 PM) : Tracks the high, low, and midpoint (50% of the range) of the previous day's session.
- London Session (4:00 AM–9:15 AM) : Tracks the high, low, and midpoint of the current day's London session.
- Levels Displayed :
High/Low Levels : Horizontal lines at the highest and lowest prices of each session.
EQ Level : A horizontal line at the 50% midpoint of the session's range.
Anchor Line : A vertical line marking the start of the user-defined display session.
- Levels are plotted during a user-specified "Show Session" time window (default: 8:00 AM–4:00 PM) and extended forward by a configurable number of bars (default: 15).
- The indicator updates dynamically as new highs or lows occur within the active session.
Usage
- Add to Chart : Apply the indicator to any TradingView chart.
- Configure Settings :
Session Settings : Adjust the "Session Show Time" (default: 8:00 AM–4:00 PM) and time zone to align with your trading strategy.
Projection Offset : Set the number of bars to extend level lines into the future.
Anchor Line : Toggle the vertical line at session start and customize its style, color, and width.
High/Low/EQ Levels : Enable or disable lines and labels for each session's high, low, and midpoint, and customize their appearance.
Label Size : Choose from Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large for level labels.
- Interpret Levels :
High/Low Lines : Act as potential resistance (high) or support (low) levels.
EQ Line : Represents the session's midpoint, often a pivot point for price action.
Anchor Line : Marks the start of the display session for context.
- Trading Application : Use levels to identify support/resistance zones, set entry/exit points, or confirm breakouts during the specified session.
Settings
- Session Settings :
Session Show Time : Defines when levels are displayed (default: 8:00 AM–4:00 PM).
Projection Offset : Extends lines forward (default: 15 bars).
Time Zone : Sets the session time zone (default: America/New_York).
- Anchor Line Settings : Toggle visibility, style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted), color, and width.
- High/Low/EQ Settings : Separate controls for previous day and London sessions to toggle visibility, adjust line styles (Solid, Dashed, Dotted), colors, widths, and label visibility.
- Label Size : Options for Tiny, Small, Normal, or Large to adjust label appearance.
Ideal Use Case
The Zinc Model is ideal for day traders and swing traders focusing on session-based price action, particularly those trading forex, indices, or other markets with significant activity during the London session. It helps identify key support, resistance, and pivot levels for intraday strategies, with flexible settings to suit various timeframes and trading styles.
Price Ranged FVG📌 Price Ranged FVG
Is a clean and efficient tool designed to detect Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) with adjustable filters and structural context. It’s especially useful for traders looking to filter out insignificant gaps and focus on high-probability areas, particularly around swing breaks or structural shifts.
🧠 What is a Fair Value Gap (FVG)?
A Fair Value Gap appears when there’s a price imbalance between candles — typically after a strong move — where the market skips over certain price levels without trading there. These zones can act as potential areas for price to return to (mean reversion), or serve as support/resistance depending on market structure.
🔍 FVG Detection Types
You can choose between three different detection modes under the "FVG Detection" input:
Same Type: Only detects FVGs where the last 3 candles are in the same direction (all bullish or all bearish).
All: Detects any FVG, regardless of candle direction.
Twin Close: Detects FVGs only when the last two candles are in the same direction and close accordingly — offering a stricter confirmation.
🎯 FVG % Filters
To filter out noise or insignificant gaps, this indicator includes:
Minimum FVG % Filter: Ignores FVGs smaller than your specified percentage of the current close.
Maximum FVG % Filter: Ignores overly large gaps that may be unreliable or caused by anomalies.
These filters help focus on relevant FVGs that are more likely to act as reaction zones.
🏛 Structural Context (Swing Highs and Lows)
The indicator plots swing highs and swing lows with dots to provide structure-based context:
Set Swing Strength to 3 for detecting internal structure (shorter-term moves).
Use a higher setting like 5 to focus on external structure (more significant highs/lows).
These levels can help you determine whether an FVG is forming within a consolidation, breakout, or key structural transition.
✅ Use Case (My Personal Workflow)
I personally use this indicator to:
Filter out weak or irrelevant FVGs using the % filters.
Watch for price interaction at swing breaks — especially when an FVG aligns with a break in internal or external structure.
Refine entry and exit planning in confluence with other tools or strategies.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is not financial advice. It is a technical analysis tool intended to support your own decision-making process. Always do your own research and risk management.
Daily Profiler NFPDaily Profiler NFP
Overview
The Daily Profiler NFP is a comprehensive trading tool designed to track, visualize, and analyze price action during Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release days. By capturing and displaying high, low, and mid-range levels from these significant market events, traders gain valuable support and resistance reference points that often influence future price movements.
Key Features
Monthly NFP Tracking: Captures and displays the high, low, and mid-range levels for each month's NFP release day
Customizable NFP Dates: Easily set the correct NFP release date for each month of the year
Dynamic Support & Resistance: Identifies the closest NFP levels above and below current price with color-coded boxes
Multi-Timeframe Compatibility: Works seamlessly across intraday, daily, and weekly charts
Comprehensive Visualization Options:
High, low, and mid-range horizontal lines
Price labels with customizable display options
Support and resistance boxes with adjustable opacity and size
NFP range extension boxes showing potential influence zones
Trading Applications
Identify key support and resistance levels based on NFP day price action
Anticipate potential reversal or continuation zones when price approaches historical NFP levels
Develop trading strategies around recurring patterns at NFP price levels
Use as confluence with other technical analysis methods for higher probability trades
Customization
Extensive customization options allow you to:
Adjust color schemes and line styles
Modify box heights and extensions
Show or hide specific elements (high/low lines, midpoint lines, labels, prices)
Set hour offset to match exact NFP release timing
Customize label styles and positions
Perfect for futures, forex, and equity index traders who recognize the significance of NFP releases on market dynamics. The Daily Profiler NFP provides a structured framework for incorporating these major economic events into your technical analysis.
Greer Value Yields Line📈 Greer Value Yields Line – Valuation Signal Without the Clutter
Part of the Greer Financial Toolkit, this streamlined indicator tracks four valuation-based yield metrics and presents them clearly via the Data Window, GVY Score badge, and an optional Yield Table:
Earnings Yield (EPS ÷ Price)
FCF Yield (Free Cash Flow ÷ Price)
Revenue Yield (Revenue per Share ÷ Price)
Book Value Yield (Book Value per Share ÷ Price)
✅ Each yield is compared against its historical average
✅ A point is scored for each metric above average (0–4 total)
✅ Color-coded GVY Score badge highlights valuation strength
✅ Yield trend-lines Totals (TVAVG & TVPCT) help assess direction
✅ Clean layout: no chart clutter – just actionable insights
🧮 GVY Score Color Coding (0–4):
⬜ 0 = None (White)
⬜ 1 = Weak (Gray)
🟦 2 = Neutral (Aqua)
🟩 3 = Strong (Green)
🟨 4 = Gold Exceptional (All metrics above average)
Total Value Average Line Color Coding:
🟥 Red – Average trending down
🟩 Green – Average trending up
Ideal for long-term investors focused on fundamental valuation, not short-term noise.
Enable the table and badge for a compact yield dashboard — or keep it minimal with just the Data Window and trend-lines.
Nasdaq Macro Radar 3.5Nasdaq Macro Radar is an intraday tool that condenses five macro-drivers of the Nasdaq-100 into a single color-coded table:
• real-time moves in the 10- and 2-year Treasury yields
• dollar strength via the Dollar Index
• equity volatility level (VIX)
• risk tone in high-yield credit (HYG ETF)
• dynamic slope of the 2-10-year curve
Each cell flips from neutral to “long” or “short” on the fly, letting you see at a glance whether the macro backdrop is helping trend continuation or signalling a potential reversal.
• No extra pane – the table sits directly on your price chart and can be parked in any corner.
• All sensitivity thresholds are user-adjustable from Settings.
• Built-in alerts for the most critical levels.
Designed for scalpers and day-traders who need an instant macro check without juggling multiple charts
Nasdaq Macro Radar è un indicatore intraday che sintetizza, in un’unica tabella color-code, cinque motori macro-finanziari chiave per il Nasdaq-100:
• movimento dei rendimenti Treasury a 10 a & 2 a
• variazioni del Dollar Index
• livello della volatilità implicita (VIX)
• tono del mercato credito high-yield (ETF HYG)
• pendenza dinamica della curva 2-10 a
Ogni cella passa dal neutro a “long” o “short” in tempo reale, consentendo di valutare a colpo d’occhio se il contesto macro favorisce prosecuzioni o inversioni del trend di prezzo.
• Nessuna finestra separata: la tabella resta sovrapposta al grafico e può essere spostata in qualsiasi angolo.
• Parametri di sensibilità completamente regolabili dal pannello Settings.
• Alert integrati per le soglie critiche più importanti.
Pensato per chi fa scalping o day-trading sul Nasdaq e vuole un check macro immediato senza aprire dieci grafici di supporto.
Greer Book Value Yield📘 Script Title
Greer Book Value Yield – Valuation Insight Based on Balance Sheet Strength
🧾 Description
Greer Book Value Yield is a valuation-focused indicator in the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to evaluate how much net asset value (book value) a company provides per share relative to its current market price. This script calculates the Book Value Per Share Yield (BV%) using the formula:
Book Value Yield (%) = Book Value Per Share ÷ Stock Price × 100
This yield helps investors assess whether a stock is trading at a discount or premium to its underlying assets. It dynamically highlights when the yield is:
🟢 Above its historical average (potentially undervalued)
🔴 Below its historical average (potentially overvalued)
🔍 Use Case
Analyze valuation through asset-based metrics
Identify buy opportunities when book value yield is historically high
Combine with other scripts in the Greer Financial Toolkit:
📘 Greer Value – Tracks year-over-year growth consistency across six key metrics
📊 Greer Value Yields Dashboard – Visualizes multiple valuation-based yields
🟢 Greer BuyZone – Highlights long-term technical buy zones
🛠️ Inputs & Data
Uses Book Value Per Share (BVPS) from TradingView’s financial database (Fiscal Year)
Calculates and compares against a static average yield to assess historical valuation
Clean visual feedback via dynamic coloring and overlays
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Greer EPS Yield📘 Script Title
Greer EPS Yield – Valuation Insight Based on Earnings Productivity
🧾 Description
Greer EPS Yield is a valuation-focused indicator from the Greer Financial Toolkit, designed to evaluate how efficiently a company generates earnings relative to its current stock price. This script calculates the Earnings Per Share Yield (EPS%), using the formula:
EPS Yield (%) = Earnings Per Share ÷ Stock Price × 100
This yield metric provides a quick snapshot of valuation through the lens of profitability per share. It dynamically highlights when the EPS yield is:
🟢 Above its historical average (potentially undervalued)
🔴 Below its historical average (potentially overvalued)
🔍 Use Case
Quickly assess valuation attractiveness based on earnings yield.
Identify potential buy opportunities when EPS% is above its long-term average.
Combine with other indicators in the Greer Financial Toolkit for a fundamentals-driven investment strategy:
📘 Greer Value – Tracks year-over-year growth consistency across six key metrics
📊 Greer Value Yields Dashboard – Visualizes valuation-based yield metrics
🟢 Greer BuyZone – Highlights long-term technical buy zones
🛠️ Inputs & Data
Uses fiscal year EPS data from TradingView’s built-in financial database.
Tracks a static average EPS Yield to compare current valuation to historical norms.
Clean, intuitive visual with automatic color coding.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This tool is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
THE HISTORY By [VXN]
THE HISTORY By - Monthly Seasonal Analysis Indicator
Development Status: This indicator is currently in the development phase and is not yet finished. Features and functionality may change as development continues.
Overview:
This indicator provides comprehensive historical analysis of monthly price patterns, designed to help traders identify recurring seasonal behaviors and market tendencies for the current month across multiple years of data.
Key Features:
Historical Data Analysis:
- Analyzes up to 10 years of historical performance for the current month
- Calculates monthly returns, win rates, and statistical metrics
- Tracks maximum drawdowns and runups for risk assessment
- Requires daily timeframe for accurate monthly calculations
Pattern Recognition:
- Implements a three-period classification system that breaks each month into segments
- Uses visual indicators (🟢🔴🟡) to represent bullish, bearish, and neutral periods
- Helps identify recurring intra-month behavior patterns
Statistical Display:
- Presents historical data in an organized table format
- Shows year-by-year performance comparisons
- Calculates average returns, best/worst performance, and confidence levels
- Displays overall market bias (bullish/bearish tendency) for the current month
Dynamic Zone Overlays:
- Projects Fibonacci-based support/resistance levels based on historical volatility
- Adjusts zone positioning based on the month's historical bias
- Provides visual reference points for potential price targets or reversal areas
Practical Applications:
- Seasonal trading strategy development
- Risk management through historical context
- Understanding market cyclicality and recurring patterns
- Educational tool for studying price behavior over time
Note: This indicator is designed for analysis and education purposes, helping traders understand historical market patterns rather than providing direct trading signals. The data should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and proper risk management. As this is still under development, please expect updates and refinements to functionality.
H turnoverTrading Value refers to the total monetary amount of all transactions for a particular stock or the entire market over a specific period. It is calculated by multiplying the trading volume (the number of shares traded) by the price at which they were traded. For example, if 10,000 shares of a stock are traded in a day at an average price of 50,000 KRW, the trading value for that day would be 500,000,000 KRW.
Key points about trading value:
Market Activity and Liquidity: A high trading value indicates an active and liquid market.
Flow of Investment Funds: Increasing trading value suggests more money is flowing into the market or a particular stock.
Relationship with Price Movements: When both trading value and price rise together, it often signals strong buying interest. Conversely, significant price changes with low trading value may be less reliable.
Market Sentiment Indicator: Changes in trading value can reflect shifts in investor interest and sentiment.
In summary, trading value is the total amount of money exchanged in trades and serves as an important indicator of market activity, liquidity, and investor sentiment.
Dynamic VWAP: Fair Value & Divergence SuiteDynamic VWAP: Fair Value & Divergence Suite
Dynamic VWAP: Fair Value & Divergence Suite is a comprehensive tool for tracking contextual valuation, overextension, and potential reversal signals in trending markets. Unlike traditional VWAP that anchors to the start of a session or a fixed period, this indicator dynamically resets the VWAP anchor to the most recent swing low. This design allows you to monitor how far price has extended from the most recent significant low, helping identify zones of potential profit-taking or reversion.
Deviation bands (standard deviations above the anchored VWAP) provide a clear visual framework to assess whether price is in a fair value zone (±1σ), moderately extended (+2σ), or in zones of extreme extension (+3σ to +5σ). The indicator also highlights contextual divergence signals, including slope deceleration, weak-volume retests, and deviation failures—giving you actionable confluence around potential reversal points.
Because the anchor updates dynamically, this tool is particularly well suited for trend-following assets like BTC or stocks in sustained moves, where price rarely returns to deep negative deviation zones. For this reason, the indicator focuses on upside extension rather than symmetrical reversion to a long-term mean.
🎯 Key Features
✅ Dynamic Swing Low Anchoring
Continuously re-anchors VWAP to the most recent swing low based on your chosen lookback period.
Provides context for trend progression and overextension relative to structural lows.
✅ Standard Deviation Bands
Plots up to +5σ deviation bands to visualize levels of overextension.
Extended bands (+3σ to +5σ) can be toggled for simplicity.
✅ Conditional Zone Fills
Colored background fills show when price is inside each valuation zone.
Helps you immediately see if price is in fair value, moderately extended, or highly stretched territory.
✅ Divergence Detection
VWAP Slope Divergence: Flags when price makes a higher high but VWAP slope decelerates.
Low Volume Retest: Highlights weak re-tests of VWAP on low volume.
Deviation Failure: Identifies when price reverts back inside +1σ after closing beyond +3σ.
✅ Volume Fallback
If volume is unavailable, uses high-low range as a proxy.
✅ Highly Customizable
Adjust lookbacks, show/hide extended bands, toggle fills, and enable or disable divergences.
🛠️ How to Use
Identify Buy and Sell Zones
Price in the fair value band (±1σ) suggests equilibrium.
Reaching +2σ to +3σ signals increasing overextension and potential areas to take profits.
+4σ to +5σ zones can be used to watch for exhaustion or mean-reversion setups.
Monitor Divergence Signals
Use slope divergence and deviation failures to look for confluence with overextension.
Low volume retests can flag rallies lacking conviction.
Adapt Swing Lookback
30–50 bars: Faster re-anchoring for swing trading.
75–100 bars: More stable anchors for longer-term trends.
🧭 Best Practices
Combine the anchored VWAP with higher timeframe structure.
Confirm signals with other tools (momentum, volume profiles, or trend filters).
Use extended deviation zones as context, not as standalone signals.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or asset. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial professional before making any trading decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
RISK## Main Purpose
The indicator calculates and displays risk levels based on margin requirements and daily settlement prices, helping traders visualize their potential risk exposure.
## Key Features
**Inputs:**
- **Margin for Calculation**: The CME long margin requirement for the asset
- **HTF Margin Line**: An anchor point for higher timeframe margin calculations
**Core Calculations:**
1. **Settlement Price Tracking**: Captures daily settlement prices during specific session times (6:58-6:59 PM ET for close, 6:00-6:01 PM ET for new day open)
2. **Risk Percentage**: Calculates `margin / (point value × settlement price)` - with special handling for Micro contracts (symbols starting with "M") that uses 10× point value
3. **Risk Intervals**: Determines price intervals representing one margin unit of risk
## Visual Display
The indicator plots multiple risk levels on the chart:
- **Settlement price** (orange circles)
- **Globex open** (green circles)
- **Upper/Lower Risk levels** (red circles) - one and two risk intervals away
- **Subdivision levels** (blue crosses) - 25%, 50%, and 75% of each risk interval
- **MHP+ level** (black crosses) - HTF anchor adjusted by risk percentage
- **HTF Anchor** (black crosses)
## Practical Use
This helps futures traders:
- Visualize how far price can move before hitting margin calls
- See risk levels relative to daily settlements
- Plan position sizing and risk management
- Understand exposure in terms of actual margin requirements
The indicator essentially transforms abstract margin numbers into concrete price levels on the chart, making risk management more visual and intuitive.
Bullish Auto FibsBullish Auto Fibs Indicator
Description
The Bullish Auto Fibs indicator is a sophisticated tool designed for traders on the TradingView platform, specifically tailored for analyzing bullish price movements on XRP and other assets. It automatically plots Fibonacci retracement, B Wave, and extension levels based on a customizable ZigZag pattern, providing clear visual cues for potential support, resistance, and price targets. With a focus on the 15-minute timeframe, this indicator enhances technical analysis by dynamically updating Fibonacci levels as new pivot highs and lows are detected, ensuring traders stay aligned with evolving market trends.
Key Features:
Automatic Fibonacci Levels: Plots retracement (23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%), B Wave (23.6% to 161.8%), and extension (100%, 161.8%, 261.8%) levels.
Dynamic ZigZag Detection: Identifies pivot highs and lows with an adjustable length (1–100 bars, default 20).
Real-Time Updates: Adjusts Fibonacci levels when new highs (for retracements) or lows (for B Wave and extensions) are detected, preserving key reference points like the B Wave pivot high.
Customizable Display: Toggle visibility for retracement, B Wave, and extension levels to suit your analysis needs.
Visual Clarity: Uses distinct colors (gray for retracements, yellow for B Wave, green for extensions) and labels for easy interpretation.
This indicator is ideal for traders employing Elliott Wave theory, Fibonacci-based strategies, or trend-following approaches, offering a robust framework for identifying key price levels in bullish markets.
User Manual
Configuration
The indicator’s settings can be adjusted via the “Settings” panel in TradingView:
Yellow ZigZag Length (default: 20, range: 1–100): Controls the sensitivity of pivot detection. Higher values detect more significant pivots; lower values increase sensitivity for shorter-term swings.
Show Retracement Fibs (default: true): Enable/disable retracement levels (low to high, 0% at high, 100% at low).
Show B Wave Fibs (default: true): Enable/disable B Wave levels (high to low, 100% at high, 0% at low, with extensions up to 161.8%).
Show Extension Fibs (default: true): Enable/disable extension levels (pivot low as 0%, projecting upward).
How It Works
ZigZag Pattern:
The indicator identifies pivot highs and lows using the ta.pivothigh and ta.pivotlow functions, with the specified yellowLength.
Pivots are marked with “H” (high) or “L” (low) labels in yellow.
Fibonacci Levels:
Retracement Fibs: Drawn from a pivot low (100%) to a pivot high (0%). Updates to a new high if detected, maintaining the original low.
B Wave Fibs: Drawn from a pivot high (100%) to a pivot low (0%), with extensions above 100%. Updates to a new low if detected, preserving the original high.
Extension Fibs: Drawn from a pivot low (0%) upward, based on the prior low-to-high wave length. Updates to a new low if detected.
Dynamic Updates:
Lines and labels extend to the current bar for active Fibonacci levels, ensuring real-time relevance.
When a new pivot is detected, previous levels are cleared, and new levels are drawn to reflect the latest price structure.
Usage Tips
Trend Confirmation: Use retracement levels to identify potential support zones during pullbacks in a bullish trend.
B Wave Analysis: Leverage B Wave levels for corrective wave targets, especially in Elliott Wave strategies.
Price Targets: Extension levels highlight potential bullish continuation zones.
Timeframe Flexibility: While optimized for 15-minute charts, adjust yellowLength for higher (e.g., 50–100) or lower (e.g., 5–10) timeframes.
Combine with Other Tools: Pair with trend indicators (e.g., moving averages) or oscillators (e.g., RSI) for enhanced decision-making.
Troubleshooting
No Levels Displayed: Ensure at least two pivots (high and low) are detected. Increase yellowLength if pivots are sparse.
Overlapping Labels: Reduce chart zoom or toggle off unnecessary Fibonacci types to declutter.
Performance Issues: The indicator limits arrays to 500 entries to prevent slowdowns. Older pivots are automatically removed.
Notes
The indicator is optimized for bullish markets but can be adapted for other assets by adjusting the ZigZag length.
For best results, test settings on historical data to align with your trading style.
RTH Standard Deviation+RTH Standard Deviation+ Indicator
Overview
The RTH Standard Deviation+ (RTH SD+) indicator is a versatile tool designed for traders to visualize key price levels based on the Regular Trading Hours (RTH) session.
It calculates and displays the high, low, equilibrium (midpoint), and standard deviation-based levels derived from the RTH session's price range.
This indicator is ideal for day traders and swing traders looking to identify potential support, resistance, and breakout zones.
Features
Customizable Session Window: Define the RTH session based on your preferred time window and timezone.
Key Price Levels: Displays high, low, equilibrium, 25%/75% quartile levels, and standard deviation levels (±0.5, ±1.0, ±1.33, ±1.66, ±2.0, and optional extended levels up to ±4.0).
Visual Elements: Includes horizontal lines, labels, boxes, and vertical lines to highlight key levels and session boundaries.
Flexible Styling: Customize line styles, colors, thicknesses, and visibility for all elements.
Extended Levels: Optional display of additional standard deviation levels (±2.25, ±2.33, ±2.5, ±2.66, ±2.75, ±3.0, ±3.25, ±3.33, ±3.5, ±3.66, ±3.75, ±4.0).
Deviation Boxes: Visualize specific standard deviation ranges (±0.1, ±1.33/1.66, ±2.33/2.66, ±3.33/3.66) with customizable colors.
Inputs
Session Window: Set the RTH session time (default: 06:00–09:00).
Timezone: Select the appropriate timezone (default: UTC-4).
Label Offset: Adjust the horizontal offset for price level labels (default: 5 bars).
Line Offset: Set the length of horizontal lines extending from the session end (default: 20 bars).
Show SD Levels: Toggle visibility of standard deviation lines (±0.5, ±1.0, ±1.33, ±1.66, ±2.0).
Show SD Labels: Enable or disable labels for standard deviation levels.
Show SD Boxes: Display shaded boxes for specific standard deviation ranges (e.g., ±1.33/1.66).
Show ±0.1 Dev Boxes: Highlight smaller deviation ranges (±0.1) with boxes.
Vertical Line: Toggle a vertical line at the session end, with customizable color, style, and thickness.
High/Low, Equilibrium, 25%/75%, ±0.1 Dev, ±1.33/1.66: Toggle visibility and customize colors, styles, and thicknesses for these levels.
Extended Levels: Enable additional standard deviation levels (e.g., ±2.25, ±2.5, etc.) for advanced analysis.
How It Works
Session Tracking: The indicator identifies the user-defined RTH session based on the specified time window and timezone.
It tracks the high, low, and equilibrium (midpoint) of the session's price action.
Price Range Calculation: At the session's end, the indicator calculates the price range (high - low) and uses it to compute standard deviation levels relative to the high, low, or equilibrium.
Level Visualization:
High/Low Lines: Display the session's high and low prices as horizontal lines, extended beyond the session end.
Equilibrium Line: Shows the midpoint of the session range.
Quartile Lines: Plots 25% and 75% levels within the session range.
Standard Deviation Lines: Displays levels at ±0.5, ±1.0, ±1.33, ±1.66, and ±2.0 standard deviations, with optional extended levels up to ±4.0.
Deviation Boxes: Shaded boxes highlight specific ranges (e.g., ±1.33/1.66) for quick reference.
±0.1 Deviation Lines/Boxes: Optional smaller deviation levels for precise analysis.
Dynamic Updates: During the session, high and low lines update in real-time. At session end, all levels are finalized and extended forward for post-session analysis.
Clearing Mechanism: When a new session begins, previous drawings are cleared to avoid clutter.
Usage
Add to Chart: Apply the indicator to your TradingView chart via the Pine Editor or Indicator menu.
Configure Settings:
Adjust the session window and timezone to match your market (e.g., 09:30–16:00 UTC-4 for US equities RTH).
Customize visibility, colors, styles, and thicknesses to suit your chart preferences.
Enable extended levels for deeper analysis or disable them for simplicity.
Interpret Levels:
High/Low: Act as potential support/resistance or breakout levels.
Equilibrium: Represents the session's midpoint, often a pivot point.
25%/75% Quartiles: Indicate intermediate levels within the session range.
Standard Deviation Levels: Highlight statistically significant price zones for potential reversals or breakouts.
Boxes: Emphasize key zones for quick visual reference.
Trading Application: Use levels to identify entry/exit points, set stop-losses, or gauge market volatility.
For example, ±1.0 standard deviation levels often act as strong support/resistance, while ±2.0 levels may indicate overextension.
Notes
Ensure the session window aligns with the market’s trading hours for accurate calculations.
The indicator is designed for intraday and post-session analysis but can be adapted for other timeframes.
Use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for comprehensive decision-making.
Extended levels (±2.25 and beyond) are disabled by default to reduce chart clutter but can be enabled for specific strategies.
TradingView House Rules Compliance
This indicator contains no copyrighted material and adheres to TradingView’s Pine Script guidelines.
This indicator was approved and created with @TIMELESS1_
Opening Range Breakout🧭 Overview
The Open Range Breakout (ORB) indicator is designed to capture and display the initial price range of the trading day (typically the first 15 minutes), and help traders identify breakout opportunities beyond this range. This is a popular strategy among intraday and momentum traders.
🔧 Features
📊 ORB High/Low Lines
Plots horizontal lines for the session’s high and low
🟩 Breakout Zones
Background highlights when price breaks above or below the range
🏷️ Breakout Labels
Text labels marking breakout events
🧭 Session Control
Customizable session input (default: 09:15–09:30 IST)
📍 ORB Line Labels
Text labels anchored to the ORB high and low lines (aligned right)
🔔 Alerts
Configurable alerts for breakout events
⚙️ Adjustable Settings
Show/hide background, labels, session window, etc.
⏱️ Session Logic
• The ORB range is calculated during a defined session window (default: 09:15–09:30).
• During this window, the highest high and lowest low are recorded as ORB High and ORB Low.
📈 Breakout Detection
• Breakout Above: Triggered when price crosses above the ORB High.
• Breakout Below: Triggered when price crosses below the ORB Low.
• Each breakout can trigger:
• A background highlight (green/red)
• A text label (“Breakout ↑” / “Breakout ↓”)
• An optional alert
🔔 Alerts
Two built-in alert conditions:
1. Breakout Above ORB High
• Message: "🔼 Price broke above ORB High: {{close}}"
2. Breakout Below ORB Low
• Message: "🔽 Price broke below ORB Low: {{close}}"
You can create alerts in TradingView by selecting these from the Add Alert window.
📌 Best Use Cases
• Intraday momentum trading
• Breakout and scalping strategies
• First 15-minute range traders (NSE, BSE markets)
XAU/USD Lot Size CalculatorThis indicator automatically calculates the optimal lot size for XAUUSD (gold) based on the level of risk the trader wants to take. It is designed for traders using MetaTrader 4 or 5 and helps adjust position size according to the specific volatility of gold. The user can set the percentage of capital they are willing to risk on a single trade, for example 1%. The indicator also takes into account the stop loss level, which can be entered in pips or in dollars, as well as the account size (balance or equity).
Based on these parameters, it calculates the exact lot size that matches the risk amount. It then displays on the chart the recommended lot size, the risk amount in dollars, the pip value for XAUUSD, and a confirmation of the stop loss level. This type of indicator is useful for maintaining disciplined risk management and avoiding position sizing errors, especially on a highly volatile asset like gold.
Non-Commercial Bias TrackerNon-Commercial Bias Tracker
Overview
The Non-Commercial Bias Tracker is a sophisticated sentiment analysis tool designed to provide traders with a clear view of the positioning of institutional speculators in the futures market. By analyzing the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, this indicator helps you understand the underlying bias of large market participants for a wide range of assets, including forex, commodities, and indices.
The primary goal of this tool is to identify the prevailing trend in market sentiment and alert you to significant shifts in that trend, allowing you to align your strategy with the flow of institutional money.
Key Features
Dual Asset Analysis: Automatically detects the two assets in a trading pair (e.g., EUR and USD in EURUSD) or a single asset (e.g., GOLD) and displays their sentiment data side-by-side.
Comprehensive Data Table: A clean, customizable dashboard shows you the most critical sentiment metrics at a glance, including the current Net Position, the Change %, and the Overall Bias.
Visual Sentiment Plot: The indicator plots the primary sentiment metric and its signal line, giving you a visual representation of momentum and trend.
Clear Bias-Shift Signals: Green and red circles appear directly on the plot to highlight the exact moment the underlying sentiment momentum shifts, providing clear and timely signals.
How to Use the Indicator
Important Note: The Commitment of Traders data is released weekly. For the most accurate and meaningful signals, it is strongly recommended to use this indicator on the Weekly (W) chart timeframe.
1. The Data Table
The table in the corner of your screen is your main dashboard. Here’s what each row means:
Net Position: Shows the net difference between long (bullish) and short (bearish) contracts held by non-commercial traders. A positive number indicates a net long position; a negative number indicates a net short position.
Change %: This is the primary metric used for analysis, representing the net sentiment as a percentage.
Overall Bias: This is the final output of the indicator's analysis. It provides a clear "Long" or "Short" signal based on the current sentiment momentum. This cell is color-coded for quick interpretation (Green for Long, Red for Short).
2. The Chart Plots
Blue Line: Represents the current sentiment metric ("Change %" or "Net Position %").
Orange Line: Represents the signal line, or the average sentiment over a specific period.
Crossover Signals:
A Green Circle appears when the blue line crosses above the orange line, signaling a shift to a Long Bias.
A Red Circle appears when the blue line crosses below the orange line, signaling a shift to a Short Bias.
Settings & Customization
You can tailor the indicator to your specific needs via the Settings menu:
Data Source: Choose between "Futures Only" or the combined "Futures and Options" data.
Metric Type: Select whether to analyze the market using "Change %" (for momentum) or "Net Position %" (for conviction).
Bias Signal Line Length: Adjust the sensitivity of the crossover signals. A shorter length is faster, while a longer length provides smoother, more confirmed signals.
Style Settings: Customize the position of the data table and the color of the text to match your chart theme.
Disclaimer: This indicator is a tool for analysis and should not be considered as direct financial advice. All trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own due diligence before making any trading decisions.