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PpSignal Variable Index Dynamic Average V2The Moving Average is, perhaps, the most popular indicator in trading for a reason. Comparatively, the crossing average can tell you plenty about a trend, i.e. whether it’s broken or unbroken, changing or holding. But the Moving Average isn’t perfect; there is one area where it falls short and that is volatility. Even an Exponential Moving Average, which places more emphasis on the latest data, can miss the mark when it comes to a sudden change in volatility, rising or falling. Consequently, it can either give a fake signal or else generate a signal only when it is too late to trade on. Volatility is where the Variable Index Dynamic Average comes in, or VIDYA for short. The Variable Index Dynamic Average or VIDYA was developed by Tushar Chande, and its focus is precisely on volatility. In other words, the VIDYA is an average that adjusts itself to changing volatility. When volatility is high, the VIDYA becomes more sensitive and when volatility is low, the VIDYA becomes less sensitive. That allows you to assess the trend according to current market conditions (and not irrelevant conditions that had earlier prevailed). The VIDYA in Essence The math behind the VIDYA formula is quite complicated, but the logic is not. The VIDYA essentially has two components, the first being the Exponential Moving Average (aka EMA). The second indicator is in the “oscillator family” and it is known as the Chande Momentum Oscillator (aka CMO). Like most oscillators, the Chande Momentum Oscillator generates a signal of -100 and 100, with -100 being oversold and 100 overbought. The EMA is the anchor index, and the CMO’s job is to adjust the exponential average to volatility. The closer the CMO is to 100 or -100 the higher the volatility and the more sensitive our exponential average will turn. Conversely, the closer the CMO is to 0 the less sensitive our exponential average will turn. The final reading after the volatility adjustment is the VIDYA. As you can see below, once you add the Variable Index Dynamic Average in MetaTrader you get a window with two parameters from which to choose: One is the Period CMO and the other is Period EMA. We can then decide which period the CMO will run on (and thus affect the sensitivity of our EMA) and which period the EMA will run on (to capture our trend). Usually, the best CMO to plug in is a third of the value of the EMA duration; this is to allow the latest change in volatility to impact to the greatest degree. If the CMO period is too long, it will likewise spread over the period too long and consequently fail to reflect current levels of volatility, thus defeating the VIDYA’s purpose. VIDYA Comparing the VIDA to the EMA When we compare the two, we can see the clear advantages the VIDYA(Red) has over the EMA(Green). Both the VIDYA and the EMA run on a 30-week period, but the VIDYA is smoothed out by the Chande Momentum Oscillator running on a 10-week period (again, a third of the whole period). The VIDYA simply captures the trend much more accurately. We can see how, in Point A, when momentum weakens, the Variable Index Dynamic Average starts to flatten, while the EMA just moves across the price and fails to adjust. This quality is especially beneficial when we want to get an indication if a trend has broken or not. The EMA, in this case, suggests the trend has, indeed, broken but when we look at the VIDYA we quickly get a more accurate picture. We can see that the downtrend has not been broken which allows us to prepare for another bearish round rather than mistakenly expect a rebound. VIDYA Of course, for every upside there is a downside and the downside of the VIDYA is that it becomes less effective on a very high duration, such as above 90. The Chande Momentum Oscillator cannot reflect sentiment very well when the duration ןד high and therefore it stops being effective at balancing the Exponential Moving Average within the Variable Index Dynamic Average. One way to tackle or mitigate this is to go higher in the intervals whenever possible, such as from days to weeks or weeks to months. Nonetheless, you should be cognizant of this in inherent weakness in the Variable Index Dynamic Average. Yet, despite that, the Variable Index Dynamic Average does a very effective job. If you are trading under volatile conditions and want to figure out if a trend is broken or set to continue, the Variable Index Dynamic Average could be the solution. When combined with other indicators of momentum, the VIDYA can give you the bigger, clearer picture. www.onestepremoved.com
Pine Script® indicator
by PpSignal01
3
@WACC Volatility Weighted PUT/CALL Positions [SPX]This indicator is based on Volatility and Market Sentiment. When volatility is high, and market sentiment is positive, the indicator is in a low or 'buy state'. When volatility is low and market sentiment is poor, the indicator is high. The indicator uses the VIX as it's volatility input. The indicator uses the spread between the Call Volume on SPX/SPY and the Put Volume. This is pulled from CVSPX and PVSPX. When volatility and put/call reaches a critical level, such as the levels present in a crisis or a sell off, the line will be green. See Sept 2015, 2008, and Feb 2018. This level can be edited in the source code. As the indicator is based on Put/Call, the indicator works best on larger time frames as the put/call ratio becomes a more discernible measure of sentiment over time.
Pine Script® indicator
by UnknownUnicorn2421992
1
IV/HV ratio 1.0 [dime]This script compares the implied volatility to the historic volatility as a ratio. The plot indicates how high the current implied volatility for the next 30 days is relative to the actual volatility realized over the set period. This is most useful for options traders as it may show when the premiums paid on options are over valued relative to the historic risk. The default is set to one year (252 bars) however any number of bars can be set for the lookback period for HV. The default is set to VIX for the IV on SPX or SPY but other CBOE implied volatility indexes may be used. For /CL you have OVX/HV and for /GC you have GVX/HV. Note that the CBOE data for these indexes may be delayed and updated EOD and may not be suitable for intraday information. (Future versions of this script may be developed to provide a realtime intraday study. ) There is a list of many volatility indexes from CBOE listed at: www.cboe.com (Some may not yet be available on Tradingview) RVX Russell 2000 VXN NASDAQ VXO S&P 100 VXD DJIA GVX Gold OVX OIL VIX3M 3-Month VIX6M S&P 500 6-Month VIX1Y 1-Year VXEFA Cboe EFA ETF VXEEM Cboe Emerging Markets ETF VXFXI Cboe China ETF VXEWZ Cboe Brazil ETF VXSLV Cboe Silver ETF VXGDX Cboe Gold Miners ETF VXXLE Cboe Energy Sector ETF EUVIX FX Euro JYVIX FX Yen BPVIX FX British Pound EVZ Cboe EuroCurrency ETF Volatility Index Amazon VXAZN Apple VXAPL Goldman Sachs VXGS Google VXGOG IBM VXIBM
Pine Script® indicator
by dime
2
(JS) S&P 500 Volatility Oscillator For OptionsThe idea for this started here: www.tradingview.com with the user @dime This should only be used on SPX or SPY (though you could use it on other things for correlation I suppose) given that the instrument used to create this calculation is derived from the S&P 500 (thank you VIX). There's a lot of moving parts here though, so allow me to explain... First: The main signal is when Implied Volatility (from VIX) drops beneath Historical Volatility - which is what you want to see so you aren't purchasing a ton of premium on long options. Green and above 0 means that IV% has dropped lower than Historical Volatility. (this signal, for example, would suggest using a Long Call or Put depending on your sentiment) Second: The green line running underneath zero is the bottom portion of the "Average True Range" derived from the values used to create the oscillator. the closer the bottom histogram is to the green line, the more "normal" IV% is. Obviously, if this gets far away from the line then it could be setting up nicely to short options and sell the IV premium to someone else. (this signal, for example, would suggest using something like a Bull Put Spread) Third: The red background along with the white line that drops down below zero signals when (and how far) the IV% from 3 months out (from VIX3M) is less than the current IV%. This would signal the current environment has IV way too high, a signal to short options once again (and don't take any long option positions!). Tried to make this simple, yet effective. If you trade options on SPX, SPY, even ES1! futures - this is a tool tailored specifically for you! As I said before, if you want you can use it for correlation on other securities. Any other ideas or suggestions surrounding this, please let me know! Enjoy!
Pine Script® indicator
by J-Streak
3