Big Candle Identifier with RSI Divergence and Advanced Stops1. Strategy Objective
The main goal of this strategy is to:
Identify significant price momentum (big candles).
Enter trades at opportune moments based on market signals (candlestick patterns and RSI divergence).
Limit initial risk through a fixed stop loss.
Maximize profits by using a trailing stop that activates only after the trade moves a specified distance in the profitable direction.
2. Components of the Strategy
A. Big Candle Identification
The strategy identifies big candles as indicators of strong momentum.
A big candle is defined as:
The body (absolute difference between close and open) of the current candle (body0) is larger than the bodies of the last five candles.
The candle is:
Bullish Big Candle: If close > open.
Bearish Big Candle: If open > close.
Purpose: Big candles signal potential continuation or reversal of trends, serving as the primary entry trigger.
B. RSI Divergence
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum oscillator used to detect overbought/oversold conditions and divergence.
Fast RSI: A 5-period RSI, which is more sensitive to short-term price movements.
Slow RSI: A 14-period RSI, which smoothens fluctuations over a longer timeframe.
Divergence: The difference between the fast and slow RSIs.
Positive divergence (divergence > 0): Bullish momentum.
Negative divergence (divergence < 0): Bearish momentum.
Visualization: The divergence is plotted on the chart, helping traders confirm momentum shifts.
C. Stop Loss
Initial Stop Loss:
When entering a trade, an immediate stop loss of 200 points is applied.
This stop loss ensures the maximum risk is capped at a predefined level.
Implementation:
Long Trades: Stop loss is set below the entry price at low - 200 points.
Short Trades: Stop loss is set above the entry price at high + 200 points.
Purpose:
Prevents significant losses if the price moves against the trade immediately after entry.
D. Trailing Stop
The trailing stop is a dynamic risk management tool that adjusts with price movements to lock in profits. Here’s how it works:
Activation Condition:
The trailing stop only starts trailing when the trade moves 200 ticks (profit) in the right direction:
Long Position: close - entry_price >= 200 ticks.
Short Position: entry_price - close >= 200 ticks.
Trailing Logic:
Once activated, the trailing stop:
For Long Positions: Trails behind the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close - 150 ticks).
For Short Positions: Trails above the price by 150 ticks (trail_stop = close + 150 ticks).
Exit Condition:
The trade exits automatically if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Purpose:
Ensures profits are locked in as the trade progresses while still allowing room for price fluctuations.
E. Trade Entry Logic
Long Entry:
Triggered when a bullish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at low - 200 points.
Short Entry:
Triggered when a bearish big candle is identified.
Stop loss is set at high + 200 points.
F. Trade Exit Logic
Trailing Stop: Automatically exits the trade if the price touches the trailing stop level.
Fixed Stop Loss: Exits the trade if the price hits the predefined stop loss level.
G. 21 EMA
The strategy includes a 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a trend filter.
EMA helps visualize the overall market direction:
Price above EMA: Indicates an uptrend.
Price below EMA: Indicates a downtrend.
H. Visualization
Big Candle Identification:
The open and close prices of big candles are plotted for easy reference.
Trailing Stop:
Plotted on the chart to visualize its progression during the trade.
Green Line: Indicates the trailing stop for long positions.
Red Line: Indicates the trailing stop for short positions.
RSI Divergence:
Positive divergence is shown in green.
Negative divergence is shown in red.
3. Key Parameters
trail_start_ticks: The number of ticks required before the trailing stop activates (default: 200 ticks).
trail_distance_ticks: The distance between the trailing stop and price once the trailing stop starts (default: 150 ticks).
initial_stop_loss_points: The fixed stop loss in points applied at entry (default: 200 points).
tick_size: Automatically calculates the minimum tick size for the trading instrument.
4. Workflow of the Strategy
Step 1: Entry Signal
The strategy identifies a big candle (bullish or bearish).
If conditions are met, a trade is entered with a fixed stop loss.
Step 2: Initial Risk Management
The trade starts with an initial stop loss of 200 points.
Step 3: Trailing Stop Activation
If the trade moves 200 ticks in the profitable direction:
The trailing stop is activated and follows the price at a distance of 150 ticks.
Step 4: Exit the Trade
The trade is exited if:
The price hits the trailing stop.
The price hits the initial stop loss.
5. Advantages of the Strategy
Risk Management:
The fixed stop loss ensures that losses are capped.
The trailing stop locks in profits after the trade becomes profitable.
Momentum-Based Entries:
The strategy uses big candles as entry triggers, which often indicate strong price momentum.
Divergence Confirmation:
RSI divergence helps validate momentum and avoid false signals.
Dynamic Profit Protection:
The trailing stop adjusts dynamically, allowing the trade to capture larger moves while protecting gains.
6. Ideal Market Conditions
This strategy performs best in:
Trending Markets:
Big candles and momentum signals are more effective in capturing directional moves.
High Volatility:
Larger price swings improve the probability of reaching the trailing stop activation level (200 ticks).
Oscillators
Systematic Risk Aggregation ModelThe “Systematic Risk Aggregation Model” is a quantitative trading strategy implemented in Pine Script™ designed to assess and visualize market risk by aggregating multiple financial risk factors. This model uses a multi-dimensional scoring approach to quantify systemic risk, incorporating volatility, drawdowns, put/call ratios, tail risk, volume spikes, and the Sharpe ratio. It derives a composite risk score, which is dynamically smoothed and plotted alongside adaptive Bollinger Bands to identify trading opportunities. The strategy’s theoretical framework aligns with modern portfolio theory and risk management literature (Markowitz, 1952; Taleb, 2007).
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Key Components of the Model
1. Volatility as a Risk Proxy
The model calculates the standard deviation of the closing price over a specified period (volatility_length) to quantify market uncertainty. Volatility is normalized to a score between 0 and 100, using its historical minimum and maximum values.
Reference: Volatility has long been regarded as a critical measure of financial risk and uncertainty in capital markets (Hull, 2008).
2. Drawdown Assessment
The drawdown metric captures the relative distance of the current price from the highest price over the specified period (drawdown_length). This is converted into a normalized score to reflect the magnitude of recent losses.
Reference: Drawdown is a key metric in risk management, often used to measure potential downside risk in portfolios (Maginn et al., 2007).
3. Put/Call Ratio as a Sentiment Indicator
The strategy integrates the put/call ratio, sourced from an external symbol, to assess market sentiment. High values often indicate bearish sentiment, while low values suggest bullish sentiment (Whaley, 2000). The score is normalized similarly to other metrics.
4. Tail Risk via Modified Z-Score
Tail risk is approximated using the modified Z-score, which measures the deviation of the closing price from its moving average relative to its standard deviation. This approach captures extreme price movements and potential “black swan” events.
Reference: Taleb (2007) discusses the importance of considering tail risks in financial systems.
5. Volume Spikes as a Proxy for Market Activity
A volume spike is defined as the ratio of current volume to its moving average. This ratio is normalized into a score, reflecting unusual trading activity, which may signal market turning points.
Reference: Volume analysis is a foundational tool in technical analysis and is often linked to price momentum (Murphy, 1999).
6. Sharpe Ratio for Risk-Adjusted Returns
The Sharpe ratio measures the risk-adjusted return of the asset, using the mean log return divided by its standard deviation over the same period. This ratio is transformed into a score, reflecting the attractiveness of returns relative to risk.
Reference: Sharpe (1966) introduced the Sharpe ratio as a standard measure of portfolio performance.
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Composite Risk Score
The composite risk score is calculated as a weighted average of the individual risk factors:
• Volatility: 30%
• Drawdown: 20%
• Put/Call Ratio: 20%
• Tail Risk (Z-Score): 15%
• Volume Spike: 10%
• Sharpe Ratio: 5%
This aggregation captures the multi-dimensional nature of systemic risk and provides a unified measure of market conditions.
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Dynamic Bands with Bollinger Bands
The composite risk score is smoothed using a moving average and bounded by Bollinger Bands (basis ± 2 standard deviations). These bands provide dynamic thresholds for identifying overbought and oversold market conditions:
• Upper Band: Signals overbought conditions, where risk is elevated.
• Lower Band: Indicates oversold conditions, where risk subsides.
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Trading Strategy
The strategy operates on the following rules:
1. Entry Condition: Enter a long position when the risk score crosses above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating elevated market activity.
2. Exit Condition: Close the long position when the risk score drops below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling a reduction in risk.
These conditions are consistent with momentum-based strategies and adaptive risk control.
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Conclusion
This script exemplifies a systematic approach to risk aggregation, leveraging multiple dimensions of financial risk to create a robust trading strategy. By incorporating well-established risk metrics and sentiment indicators, the model offers a comprehensive view of market dynamics. Its adaptive framework makes it versatile for various market conditions, aligning with contemporary advancements in quantitative finance.
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References
1. Hull, J. C. (2008). Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives. Pearson Education.
2. Maginn, J. L., Tuttle, D. L., McLeavey, D. W., & Pinto, J. E. (2007). Managing Investment Portfolios: A Dynamic Process. Wiley.
3. Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.
4. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets. New York Institute of Finance.
5. Sharpe, W. F. (1966). Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Business, 39(1), 119–138.
6. Taleb, N. N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. Random House.
7. Whaley, R. E. (2000). The Investor Fear Gauge. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 26(3), 12–17.
Kinetik Model [NantzOS]Description:
The Kinetik Model is a strategy that reinterprets the traditional stochastic oscillator to take advantage of momentum instead of the standard overbought/oversold reversal approach. Primarily operating upon zero line crosses, what you observe is the difference between the K and D plots. the first unique feature about this system is that the stochastic calculation has been made "boundless" in order to more accurately gauge the rate of momentum. It doesn't consolidate in upper or lower channels. The second feature is the dataset typically known as %K smoothing is set to a fixed value, the %K length and %D smoothing serve as a customizable length and signal. The third is that it takes trades based on the difference between the fixed %K and customizable %D, a reminder that is your oscillator display. This oscillator versus the traditional stochastic is comparable to the MACD histogram versus the MACD line plots. The fourth feature is that the user dynamically tests the upper and lower thresholds, displayed with a color background on the oscillator, to act as a filtration method. The system won't take shorts if momentum is above the upper threshold and won't take longs if it's performing below the lower threshold. Lastly, this system uses a trailing stop exit strategy, which can be deactivated, and the option to test long only.
Features Summarized:
A reimagined stochastic that operates without fixed boundries, offering flexibility for properly observing momentum.
High and low levels act as extreme zones for highlighting strong trends.
Users can modify data length, signal input, and thresholds from the settings to suit their preferred asset and time frame.
A built-in optional stop-loss mechanism with adjustable sensitivity, enabling tighter or more relaxed risk management.
Includes and optional long only setting and candle coloring with signals.
How to Use:
Navigate to the indicator tab in TradingView to search and apply the Kinetik Model.
Access the settings icon on the indicator to navigate the style and settings:
Length: Modifies the amount of data used to calculate the oscillator.
Signal: Further calibrates the sensitivity of the final plot.
High/Low Thresholds: A single filtration method for defining extreme zones of momentum bias, which determines entry/exits along with the zero line crosses.
Remaining Settings: Customize stop loss calibration along with optional features and styling choice.
Oscillators have been a staple in financial analysis since the mid-20th century, with tools like the RSI, MACD, and Stochastic helping gauge overbought and oversold conditions. What makes the latter unique is that the stochastic utilizes highs and lows as opposed to various EMA rates of change. Kinetik's unique boundless stochastic calculation and K/D difference plotting are the heart of this strategy.
Sunil High-Frequency Strategy with Simple MACD & RSISunil High-Frequency Strategy with Simple MACD & RSI
This high-frequency trading strategy uses a combination of MACD and RSI to identify quick market opportunities. By leveraging these indicators, combined with dynamic risk management using ATR, it aims to capture small but frequent price movements while ensuring tight control over risk.
Key Features:
Indicators Used:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The strategy uses a shorter MACD configuration (Fast Length of 6 and Slow Length of 12) to capture quick price momentum shifts. A MACD crossover above the signal line triggers a buy signal, while a crossover below the signal line triggers a sell signal.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A shorter RSI length of 7 is used to gauge overbought and oversold market conditions. The strategy looks for RSI confirmation, with a long trade initiated when RSI is below the overbought level (70) and a short trade initiated when RSI is above the oversold level (30).
Risk Management:
Dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy uses ATR (Average True Range) to calculate dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility.
Stop Loss is set at 0.5x ATR to limit risk.
Take Profit is set at 1.5x ATR to capture reasonable price moves.
Trailing Stop: As the market moves in the strategy’s favor, the position is protected by a trailing stop set at 0.5x ATR, allowing the strategy to lock in profits as the price moves further.
Entry & Exit Signals:
Long Entry: Triggered when the MACD crosses above the signal line (bullish crossover) and RSI is below the overbought level (70).
Short Entry: Triggered when the MACD crosses below the signal line (bearish crossover) and RSI is above the oversold level (30).
Exit Conditions: The strategy exits long or short positions based on the stop loss, take profit, or trailing stop activation.
Frequent Trades:
This strategy is designed for high-frequency trading, with trade signals occurring frequently as the MACD and RSI indicators react quickly to price movements. It works best on lower timeframes such as 1-minute, 5-minute, or 15-minute charts, but can be adjusted for different timeframes based on the asset’s volatility.
Customizable Parameters:
MACD Settings: Adjust the Fast Length, Slow Length, and Signal Length to tune the MACD’s sensitivity.
RSI Settings: Customize the RSI Length, Overbought, and Oversold levels to better match your trading style.
ATR Settings: Modify the ATR Length and multipliers for Stop Loss, Take Profit, and Trailing Stop to optimize risk management according to market volatility.
Important Notes:
Market Conditions: This strategy is designed to capture smaller, quicker moves in trending markets. It may not perform well during choppy or sideways markets.
Optimizing for Asset Volatility: Adjust the ATR multipliers based on the asset’s volatility to suit the risk-reward profile that fits your trading goals.
Backtesting: It's recommended to backtest the strategy on different assets and timeframes to ensure optimal performance.
Summary:
The Sunil High-Frequency Strategy leverages a simple combination of MACD and RSI with dynamic risk management (using ATR) to trade small but frequent price movements. The strategy ensures tight stop losses and reasonable take profits, with trailing stops to lock in profits as the price moves in favor of the trade. It is ideal for scalping or intraday trading on lower timeframes, aiming for quick entries and exits with controlled risk.
EMA RSI Trend Reversal Ver.1Overview:
The EMA RSI Trend Reversal indicator combines the power of two well-known technical indicators—Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—to identify potential trend reversal points in the market. The strategy looks for key crossovers between the fast and slow EMAs, and uses the RSI to confirm the strength of the trend. This combination helps to avoid false signals during sideways market conditions.
How It Works:
Buy Signal:
The Fast EMA (9) crosses above the Slow EMA (21), indicating a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
The RSI is above 50, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Visual Signal: A green arrow below the price bar and a Buy label are plotted on the chart.
Sell Signal:
The Fast EMA (9) crosses below the Slow EMA (21), indicating a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
The RSI is below 50, confirming weak or bearish momentum.
Visual Signal: A red arrow above the price bar and a Sell label are plotted on the chart.
Key Features:
EMA Crossovers: The Fast EMA crossing above the Slow EMA signals potential buying opportunities, while the Fast EMA crossing below the Slow EMA signals potential selling opportunities.
RSI Confirmation: The RSI helps confirm trend strength—values above 50 indicate bullish momentum, while values below 50 indicate bearish momentum.
Visual Cues: The strategy uses green arrows and red arrows along with Buy and Sell labels for clear visual signals of when to enter or exit trades.
Signal Interpretation:
Green Arrow / Buy Label: The Fast EMA (9) has crossed above the Slow EMA (21), and the RSI is above 50. This is a signal to buy or enter a long position.
Red Arrow / Sell Label: The Fast EMA (9) has crossed below the Slow EMA (21), and the RSI is below 50. This is a signal to sell or exit the long position.
Strategy Settings:
Fast EMA Length: Set to 9 (this determines how sensitive the fast EMA is to recent price movements).
Slow EMA Length: Set to 21 (this smooths out price movements to identify the broader trend).
RSI Length: Set to 14 (default setting to track momentum strength).
RSI Level: Set to 50 (used to confirm the strength of the trend—above 50 for buy signals, below 50 for sell signals).
Risk Management (Optional):
Use take profit and stop loss based on your preferred risk-to-reward ratio. For example, you can set a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio (2x take profit for every 1x stop loss).
Backtesting and Optimization:
Backtest the strategy on TradingView by opening the Strategy Tester tab. This will allow you to see how the strategy would have performed on historical data.
Optimization: Adjust the EMA lengths, RSI period, and risk-to-reward settings based on your asset and time frame.
Limitations:
False Signals in Sideways Markets: Like any trend-following strategy, this indicator may generate false signals during periods of low volatility or sideways movement.
Not Suitable for All Market Conditions: This indicator performs best in trending markets. It may underperform in choppy or range-bound markets.
Strategy Example:
XRP/USD Example:
If you're trading XRP/USD and the Fast EMA (9) crosses above the Slow EMA (21), while the RSI is above 50, the indicator will signal a Buy.
Conversely, if the Fast EMA (9) crosses below the Slow EMA (21), and the RSI is below 50, the indicator will signal a Sell.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD):
On the BTC/USD chart, when the indicator shows a green arrow and a Buy label, it’s signaling a potential long entry. Similarly, a red arrow and Sell label indicate a short entry or exit from a previous long position.
Summary:
The EMA RSI Trend Reversal Indicator helps traders identify potential trend reversals with clear buy and sell signals based on the EMA crossovers and RSI confirmations. By using green arrows and red arrows, along with Buy and Sell labels, this strategy offers easy-to-understand visual signals for entering and exiting trades. Combine this with effective risk management and backtesting to optimize your trading performance.
Kernel Regression Envelope with SMI OscillatorThis script combines the predictive capabilities of the **Nadaraya-Watson estimator**, implemented by the esteemed jdehorty (credit to him for his excellent work on the `KernelFunctions` library and the original Nadaraya-Watson Envelope indicator), with the confirmation strength of the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** to create a dynamic trend reversal strategy. The core idea is to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions using the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and then confirm these signals with the SMI before entering a trade.
**Understanding the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope:**
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator is a non-parametric regression technique that essentially calculates a weighted average of past price data to estimate the current underlying trend. Unlike simple moving averages that give equal weight to all past data within a defined period, the Nadaraya-Watson estimator uses a **kernel function** (in this case, the Rational Quadratic Kernel) to assign weights. The key parameters influencing this estimation are:
* **Lookback Window (h):** This determines how many historical bars are considered for the estimation. A larger window results in a smoother estimation, while a smaller window makes it more reactive to recent price changes.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** This parameter controls the influence of different time frames in the estimation. Lower values emphasize longer-term price action, while higher values make the estimator more sensitive to shorter-term movements.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** This allows you to exclude the potentially volatile initial bars of a chart from the calculation, leading to a more stable estimation.
The script calculates the Nadaraya-Watson estimation for the closing price (`yhat_close`), as well as the highs (`yhat_high`) and lows (`yhat_low`). The `yhat_close` is then used as the central trend line.
**Dynamic Envelope Bands with ATR:**
To identify potential entry and exit points around the Nadaraya-Watson estimation, the script uses **Average True Range (ATR)** to create dynamic envelope bands. ATR measures the volatility of the price. By multiplying the ATR by different factors (`nearFactor` and `farFactor`), we create multiple bands:
* **Near Bands:** These are closer to the Nadaraya-Watson estimation and are intended to identify potential immediate overbought or oversold zones.
* **Far Bands:** These are further away and can act as potential take-profit or stop-loss levels, representing more extreme price extensions.
The script calculates both near and far upper and lower bands, as well as an average between the near and far bands. This provides a nuanced view of potential support and resistance levels around the estimated trend.
**Confirming Reversals with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):**
While the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies potential overextended conditions, the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** is used to confirm a potential trend reversal. The SMI, unlike a traditional stochastic oscillator, oscillates around a zero line. It measures the location of the current closing price relative to the median of the high/low range over a specified period.
The script calculates the SMI on a **higher timeframe** (defined by the "Timeframe" input) to gain a broader perspective on the market momentum. This helps to filter out potential whipsaws and false signals that might occur on the current chart's timeframe. The SMI calculation involves:
* **%K Length:** The lookback period for calculating the highest high and lowest low.
* **%D Length:** The period for smoothing the relative range.
* **EMA Length:** The period for smoothing the SMI itself.
The script uses a double EMA for smoothing within the SMI calculation for added smoothness.
**How the Indicators Work Together in the Strategy:**
The strategy enters a long position when:
1. The closing price crosses below the **near lower band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
2. The SMI crosses above its EMA, indicating positive momentum.
3. The SMI value is below -50, further supporting the oversold idea on the higher timeframe.
Conversely, the strategy enters a short position when:
1. The closing price crosses above the **near upper band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential overbought condition.
2. The SMI crosses below its EMA, indicating negative momentum.
3. The SMI value is above 50, further supporting the overbought idea on the higher timeframe.
Trades are closed when the price crosses the **far band** in the opposite direction of the trade. A stop-loss is also implemented based on a fixed value.
**In essence:** The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies areas where the price might be deviating significantly from its estimated trend. The SMI, calculated on a higher timeframe, then acts as a confirmation signal, suggesting that the momentum is shifting in the direction of a potential reversal. The ATR-based bands provide dynamic entry and exit points based on the current volatility.
**How to Use the Script:**
1. **Apply the script to your chart.**
2. **Adjust the "Kernel Settings":**
* **Lookback Window (h):** Experiment with different values to find the smoothness that best suits the asset and timeframe you are trading. Lower values make the envelope more reactive, while higher values make it smoother.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** Adjust to control the influence of different timeframes on the Nadaraya-Watson estimation.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** Increase this value if you want to exclude the initial, potentially volatile, bars from the calculation.
* **Stoploss:** Set your desired stop-loss value.
3. **Adjust the "SMI" settings:**
* **%K Length, %D Length, EMA Length:** These parameters control the sensitivity and smoothness of the SMI. Experiment to find settings that work well for your trading style.
* **Timeframe:** Select the higher timeframe you want to use for SMI confirmation.
4. **Adjust the "ATR Length" and "Near/Far ATR Factor":** These settings control the width and sensitivity of the envelope bands. Smaller ATR lengths make the bands more reactive to recent volatility.
5. **Customize the "Color Settings"** to your preference.
6. **Observe the plots:**
* The **Nadaraya-Watson Estimation (yhat)** line represents the estimated underlying trend.
* The **near and far upper and lower bands** visualize potential overbought and oversold zones based on the ATR.
* The **fill areas** highlight the regions between the near and far bands.
7. **Look for entry signals:** A long entry is considered when the price touches or crosses below the lower near band and the SMI confirms upward momentum. A short entry is considered when the price touches or crosses above the upper near band and the SMI confirms downward momentum.
8. **Manage your trades:** The script provides exit signals when the price crosses the far band. The fixed stop-loss will also close trades if the price moves against your position.
**Justification for Combining Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and SMI:**
The combination of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and the SMI provides a more robust approach to identifying potential trend reversals compared to using either indicator in isolation. The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope excels at identifying potential areas where the price is overextended relative to its recent history. However, relying solely on the envelope can lead to false signals, especially in choppy or volatile markets. By incorporating the SMI as a confirmation tool, we add a momentum filter that helps to validate the potential reversals signaled by the envelope. The higher timeframe SMI further helps to filter out noise and focus on more significant shifts in momentum. The ATR-based bands add a dynamic element to the entry and exit points, adapting to the current market volatility. This mashup aims to leverage the strengths of each indicator to create a more reliable trading strategy.
DAILY Supertrend + EMA Crossover with RSI FilterThis strategy is a technical trading approach that combines multiple indicators—Supertrend, Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—to identify and manage trades.
Core Components:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Two EMAs, one with a shorter period (fast) and one with a longer period (slow), are calculated. The idea is to spot when the faster EMA crosses above or below the slower EMA. A fast EMA crossing above the slow EMA often suggests upward momentum, while crossing below suggests downward momentum.
2. Supertrend Indicator:
The Supertrend uses Average True Range (ATR) to establish dynamic support and resistance lines. These lines shift above or below price depending on the prevailing trend. When price is above the Supertrend line, the trend is considered bullish; when below, it’s considered bearish. This helps ensure that the strategy trades only in the direction of the overall trend rather than against it.
3. RSI Filter:
The RSI measures momentum. It helps avoid buying into markets that are already overbought or selling into markets that are oversold. For example, when going long (buying), the strategy only proceeds if the RSI is not too high, and when going short (selling), it only proceeds if the RSI is not too low. This filter is meant to improve the quality of the trades by reducing the chance of entering right before a reversal.
4. Time Filters:
The strategy only triggers entries during user-specified date and time ranges. This is useful if one wants to limit trading activity to certain trading sessions or periods with higher market liquidity.
5. Risk Management via ATR-based Stops and Targets:
Both stop loss and take profit levels are set as multiples of the ATR. ATR measures volatility, so when volatility is higher, both stops and profit targets adjust to give the trade more breathing room. Conversely, when volatility is low, stops and targets tighten. This dynamic approach helps maintain consistent risk management regardless of market conditions.
Overall Logic Flow:
- First, the market conditions are analyzed through EMAs, Supertrend, and RSI.
- When a buy (long) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses above the slow EMA, the trend is bullish according to Supertrend, and RSI is below the specified “overbought” threshold—the strategy initiates or adds to a long position.
- Similarly, when a sell (short) condition is met—meaning the fast EMA crosses below the slow EMA, the trend is bearish, and RSI is above the specified “oversold” threshold—it initiates or adds to a short position.
- Each position is protected by an automatically calculated stop loss and a take profit level based on ATR multiples.
Intended Result:
By blending trend detection, momentum filtering, and volatility-adjusted risk management, the strategy aims to capture moves in the primary trend direction while avoiding entries at excessively stretched prices. Allowing multiple entries can potentially amplify gains in strong trends but also increases exposure, which traders should consider in their risk management approach.
In essence, this strategy tries to ride established trends as indicated by the Supertrend and EMAs, filter out poor-quality entries using RSI, and dynamically manage trade risk through ATR-based stops and targets.
3 EMA + RSI with Trail Stop [Free990] (LOW TF)This trading strategy combines three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify trend direction, uses RSI to signal exit conditions, and applies both a fixed percentage stop-loss and a trailing stop for risk management. It aims to capture momentum when the faster EMAs cross the slower EMA, then uses RSI thresholds, time-based exits, and stops to close trades.
Short Explanation of the Logic
Trend Detection: When the 10 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA and both are above the 100 EMA (and the current price bar closes higher), it triggers a long entry signal. The reverse happens for a short (the 10 EMA crosses below the 20 EMA and both are below the 100 EMA).
RSI Exit: RSI crossing above a set threshold closes long trades; crossing below another threshold closes short trades.
Time-Based Exit: If a trade is in profit after a set number of bars, the strategy closes it.
Stop-Loss & Trailing Stop: A fixed stop-loss based on a percentage from the entry price guards against large drawdowns. A trailing stop dynamically tightens as the trade moves in favor, locking in potential gains.
Detailed Explanation of the Strategy Logic
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Setup
Short EMA (out_a, length=10)
Medium EMA (out_b, length=20)
Long EMA (out_c, length=100)
The code calculates three separate EMAs to gauge short-term, medium-term, and longer-term trend behavior. By comparing their relative positions, the strategy infers whether the market is bullish (EMAs stacked positively) or bearish (EMAs stacked negatively).
Entry Conditions
Long Entry (entryLong): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses above the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are above the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes higher than it opened (close > open).
This suggests that momentum is shifting to the upside (short-term EMAs crossing up and price action turning bullish). If there’s an existing short position, it’s closed first before opening a new long.
Short Entry (entryShort): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses below the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are below the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes lower than it opened (close < open).
This indicates a potential shift to the downside. If there’s an existing long position, that gets closed first before opening a new short.
Exit Signals
RSI-Based Exits:
For long trades: When RSI exceeds a specified threshold (e.g., 70 by default), it triggers a long exit. RSI > short_rsi generally means overbought conditions, so the strategy exits to lock in profits or avoid a pullback.
For short trades: When RSI dips below a specified threshold (e.g., 30 by default), it triggers a short exit. RSI < long_rsi indicates oversold conditions, so the strategy closes the short to avoid a bounce.
Time-Based Exit:
If the trade has been open for xBars bars (configurable, e.g., 24 bars) and the trade is in profit (current price above entry for a long, or current price below entry for a short), the strategy closes the position. This helps lock in gains if the move takes too long or momentum stalls.
Stop-Loss Management
Fixed Stop-Loss (% Based): Each trade has a fixed stop-loss calculated as a percentage from the average entry price.
For long positions, the stop-loss is set below the entry price by a user-defined percentage (fixStopLossPerc).
For short positions, the stop-loss is set above the entry price by the same percentage.
This mechanism prevents catastrophic losses if the market moves strongly against the position.
Trailing Stop:
The strategy also sets a trail stop using trail_points (the distance in price points) and trail_offset (how quickly the stop “catches up” to price).
As the market moves in favor of the trade, the trailing stop gradually tightens, allowing profits to run while still capping potential drawdowns if the price reverses.
Order Execution Flow
When the conditions for a new position (long or short) are triggered, the strategy first checks if there’s an opposite position open. If there is, it closes that position before opening the new one (prevents going “both long and short” simultaneously).
RSI-based and time-based exits are checked on each bar. If triggered, the position is closed.
If the position remains open, the fixed stop-loss and trailing stop remain in effect until the position is exited.
Why This Combination Works
Multiple EMA Cross: Combining 10, 20, and 100 EMAs balances short-term momentum detection with a longer-term trend filter. This reduces false signals that can occur if you only look at a single crossover without considering the broader trend.
RSI Exits: RSI provides a momentum oscillator view—helpful for detecting overbought/oversold conditions, acting as an extra confirmation to exit.
Time-Based Exit: Prevents “lingering trades.” If the position is in profit but failing to advance further, it takes profit rather than risking a trend reversal.
Fixed & Trailing Stop-Loss: The fixed stop-loss is your safety net to cap worst-case losses. The trailing stop allows the strategy to lock in gains by following the trade as it moves favorably, thus maximizing profit potential while keeping risk in check.
Overall, this approach tries to capture momentum from EMA crossovers, protect profits with trailing stops, and limit risk through both a fixed percentage stop-loss and exit signals from RSI/time-based logic.
DemaRSI StrategyThis is a repost to a old script that cant be updated anymore, the request was made on Feb, 27, 2016.
Here's a engaging description for the tradingview script:
**DemaRSI Strategy: A Proven Trading System**
Join thousands of traders who have already experienced the power of this highly effective strategy. The DemaRSI system combines two powerful indicators - DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average) and RSI (Relative Strength Index) - to generate profitable trades with minimal risk.
**Key Features:**
* **Trend-Following**: Our algorithm identifies strong trends using a combination of DEMA and RSI, allowing you to ride the waves of market momentum.
* **Risk Management**: The system includes built-in stop-loss and take-profit levels, ensuring that your gains are protected and losses are minimized.
* **Session-Based Trading**: Trade during specific sessions only (e.g., London or New York) for even more targeted results.
* **Customizable Settings**: Adjust the length of moving averages, RSI periods, and other parameters to suit your trading style.
**What You'll Get:**
* A comprehensive strategy that can be used with any broker or platform
* Easy-to-use interface with customizable settings
* Real-time performance metrics and backtesting capabilities
**Start Trading Like a Pro Today!**
This script is designed for intermediate to advanced traders who want to take their trading game to the next level. With its robust risk management features, this strategy can help you achieve consistent profits in various market conditions.
**Disclaimer:** This script is not intended as investment advice and should be used at your own discretion. Trading carries inherent risks, and losses are possible.
~Llama3
Precision Trading Strategy: Golden EdgeThe PTS: Golden Edge strategy is designed for scalping Gold (XAU/USD) on lower timeframes, such as the 1-minute chart. It captures high-probability trade setups by aligning with strong trends and momentum, while filtering out low-quality trades during consolidation or low-volatility periods.
The strategy uses a combination of technical indicators to identify optimal entry points:
1. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): A fast EMA (3-period) and a slow EMA (33-period) are used to detect short-term trend reversals via crossover signals.
2. Hull Moving Average (HMA): A 66-period HMA acts as a higher-timeframe trend filter to ensure trades align with the overall market direction.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): A 12-period RSI identifies momentum. The strategy requires RSI > 55 for long trades and RSI < 45 for short trades, ensuring entries are backed by strong buying or selling pressure.
4. Average True Range (ATR): A 14-period ATR ensures trades occur only during volatile conditions, avoiding choppy or low-movement markets.
By combining these tools, the PTS: Golden Edge strategy creates a precise framework for scalping and offers a systematic approach to capitalize on Gold’s price movements efficiently.
LETF Leveraged Edge Strategy v1.5Overview
The strategy is based on Stochastics to detect trends and then makes Buys and Sell based on custom entry and exit criteria as described below in the Execution Logic Rules section. It will NOT work with standard Stochastics.
This is not a standard Stochastics implementation. It has been customized and modified, and does not match any widely known Stochastics variations (like Fast, Slow, or Full Stochastics) in its smoothing and iterative calculation process with:
• A unique smoothing mechanism.
• Iterative calculations.
• Additional conditional logic for strategy execution.
This strategy is designed to focus on volatile, liquid leveraged ETFs to capture gains equal to or better than Buy and Hold, and mitigate the risk of trading with a goal of reducing drawdown to a lot less than Buy and Hold. It has had successful backtest performance to varying degrees with TQQQ, SOXL, FNGU, TECL, FAS, UPRO, NAIL and SPXL. Results have not been good on other LETFs that have been backtested.
Performance
In this backtest the Net Profit shows to be $4,561 or 45.61%. Considering the initial order size was $1,000 I have to wonder if the Strategy Tester is calculating this correctly. The Strategy Tester Performance Summary shows the Buy and Hold Return at $61,165 or 611.7%. Based on calculating the price of the last shares sold, less the price paid, times the number of initial shares purchased, my math shows the Buy and Hold Gain at $4,572 or about equal with the strategy performance in this case. The Performance Summary also states the strategy had a Max DD of 3.46% which I believe is incorrect. Based on other backtests I’ve done, I believe the strategy drawdown here was closer to 28.4% and the Buy and Hold Drawdown at 82.7%. I manually calculated the Buy and Hold drawdown.
How it Works
The author provides training and support resource materials for this at his website. The strategy execution logic is driven by these rules:
Execution Logic Rules
Buy the LETF When:
BR #1a) The Daily Fast Line (FL) crosses above the Daily Slow Line (SL) and the FL is between the Low (L*) and High (H*) Range set (often referred to as Oversold and Overbought Lines). This can execute (Buy) any trading day of the week.
BR #1b) Re-Buy the next day after any Stop or Take Profit Sell if the Buy Rule condition is true (FL is above SL), if not, remain in cash and wait for the next Buy Signal.
Sell the LETF When:
SR #1a) The Daily Fast Line (FL) crosses below Daily Slow Line (SL) within the Low (L*) and High (H*) Range (often referred to as Oversold and Overbought Lines). “Crossunder Range Exit” This can execute (Sell) any trading day of the week.
SR #1b) If the (FL) crosses Below the SL above the Exit Level*, wait. Only Sell if the FL drops down below the Exit Level* “Crossunder Level Exit” This can execute (Sell) any trading day of the week.
SR #2a) Sell at the open any day the gap-down price is at or below the 1-Day Stop%*, based on previous day’s closing price (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #2b) Sell intraday any day the price is at or below the 1-Day Stop %*, based on previous day’s closing price (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #3a) Sell at the open any day the price is at or below the Trailing Stop %*, based on highest intraday price since Buy date (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #3b) Sell intraday any day the price is at or below the Trailing Stop%*, based on highest intraday price since Buy date (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #4) Sell any day when the opening price exceeds, or intraday price meets the Profit Target % price* (Execute on the day it happens.)
SR #5) After each Sell go to Rule BR #1b to determine if a Re-Buy should occur the next day, or stay in cash until next Buy Signal
Settings:
Properties Tab – Initial Capital has been set to $10,000 and order size 10% of Equity, 0.1% commission and 3 Ticks for slippage. Net order size is $1,000
Input Tab:
Stochastic
Timeframe is selected to Daily or Weekly based on preference. Daily has more trades, but on average higher profitability.
Type: Proprietary (best selection for most LETFs, but a few will work better with the Full selection
%k Length 20, %K Smoothing 14, %D Smoothing (many LETFs work better with a specific Stoch setting, often each different) A List of these is provided for your starting point.
Trade Settings
Direction: Longs (This strategy only works on the Long side)
Stop Type: Trailing is recommended, but Fixed is an option.
Stop % (based on user risk tolerance)
PD Stop % (Suggest start at 5%. Based on volatility of LETF and is a stop percentage from prior day’s close. Designed to protect against sudden market volatility. Will need to balance between strategy performance and user risk tolerance)
Profit Target: User preference. (I can help with suggestions based on historical performance)
Entry/Exit Conditions
Enter on Tie: Default Checked – if a Fast line crosses a Slow line for a Buy signal, but doesn’t do so in the range set, this will trigger if it crosses at a tie.
Renter – Default Checked – If stopped out of a position, this tells the strategy to re-buy the position the next day if the conditions are still positive.
Exit Level: This is a exit level for a Fast cross below a Slow line that takes place above the Sell Range, but only happens if the Fast continues down to the level set. These usually don’t happen often, but can have a significant impact on performance. Unfortunately, it’s a trial and error process starting with 90 and working down to see if there’s any positive impact.
Trade Range
Buy Range: Start at typical 20 to 80. Expand the low end down first to check on performance impact. Normally a wide buying range is better for performance.
Sell Range: Start at 20 to 80 and tighten gradually to see performance impact. In some cases a very tight sell range does better. I have worked on our primary LETFs for many months to determine ranges for each that typically produce better results.
External Indicator: Some additional indicators have a positive impact on the strategy performance by increasing P/l, reducing drawdown and reducing the number of trades. This is not always the case and each LETF and time period for the LETF will have a bearing on whether the secondary indicator will help or not. Two that have helped are the MACD Histogram, and the Sloe-Velocity Indicator by Kamleshkumar43. Sometimes a couple of different indicators will have a positive impact, then it’s a personal preference which you pick to use with the strategy.
Since this strategy is focused on a very narrow selection of liquid LETFs, I have a lot of experience experimenting with the settings for the primary ones and can suggest things that will help. Additional training on the rules, working with the settings, and mitigating some of the negative trades during choppy markets is available at the website.
Chart
The strategy can be selected to use either a Daily or Weekly version of stochastic. This is important because the characteristics are different while still generating very good gains and minimal drawdowns. Generally, the daily stochastic will have a greater number of, and certainly more frequent, trades than the weekly stochastic. However, on average the daily version of the stochastic will generates greater profitability.
The Settings tabs have tooltip icons that will assist in inputting values that correspond to the written rules for the strategy, and some include specific rule detail.
Buying
The strategy generates Buy signals with the Fast line crossing over the Slow line within a “Buy Range” which is adjusted based on volatility of the leveraged ETF. This is unique in that a default is set for these entries to occur if the values are tied and doesn’t need to be within the high and low range if that occurs. The trader can select in the strategy for this to occur the same day, if he’s selected a Daily Stochastic timeframe, or at the end of the trading week if he’s selected a Weekly stochastic timeframe. The volatility of a leveraged ETF will sometimes cause a shake-out exit, a trailing stop can be hit, or there can be an exit based on taking a profit. A big part of the timing challenge was how to handle these. The strategy normally (set as a default) will immediately re-buy the next day only if the original buy conditions are still true. This helps capture gains when conditions are still favorable but keeps the trader out when they’re not.
Selling
Exits are handled in several ways. The strategy will exit if there is a fast line cross below a slow line within the “range”. The range is adjusted based on volatility of the leveraged ETF. The exit occurs at the close of the day if the trader has selected to use a Daily stochastic setting. The exit will occur at the end of the trading week if the trader has chosen a weekly stochastic strategy. The trader will set a level based on the instrument and volatility for another exit type. The level will sometimes coincide with the range exit high level but does not need to. If a fast line crosses down through a slow line above the level set, and then comes down to that level, the strategy will exit the position.
Another unique aspect of the strategy is the PD Stop setting. This is short for “Prior Day”, Rather than a normal stop based on the price paid for a position, the PD Stop is based on a percentage drop from the previous day’s closing price. This helps account for the volatility of the leveraged ETF and will cause an exit quickly if there’s a market, or index moving event. This helps capture gains and reduce risk should there be continued pullback.
Exits will also occur based on setting a trailing stop level and profit taking level. These are adjusted based on the leveraged ETFs volatility and historical performance.
Limitations
Choppy, or sideways markets are the most prone to poor performance and potential for being stopped out multiple times. If stopped out two consecutive times, make sure you’re monitoring market health and there are clear signs of a new uptrend such as a 10D and 21D MA in proper alignment and moving up. If you get a Buy signal from the strategy and you’re not confident yet about market and price direction then it’s fine to wait a day, or several days, to enter after the Buy signal when you have greater confidence about market direction. The author can help with a short list of tactical rules developed for these sideways or choppy markets.
This strategy has proven successful backtest results with a very limited set of LETFs as discussed earlier. The author does not know if it will prove successful with any others, or other types of ETFs such as 2X or plain ETFs. A lot more testing needs to be done.
The strategy buys and sells , excluding stops or take profit, at the market close. It can be very challenging to enter an order at market close.
Disclaimer
Please remember that past performance may not be indicative of future results.
Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting. This post and the script do not provide any financial advice and are for educational and entertainment purposes only.
TTM Grid StrategyThis strategy uses a TTM (based on EMAs of highs and lows) to determine the market's trend direction.
It then deploys a grid trading system around a dynamically updated base price, with the grid's direction and levels adjusting based on the trend.
Trades are executed as the price crosses the predefined grid levels, with the strategy risking a set percentage of equity per trade.
Core Strategy Logic:
TTM State Calculation (ttmState() function):
* Calculates two EMAs based on the `ttmPeriod`: one for the lows (`lowMA`) and one for the highs (`highMA`).
* Defines two threshold levels: `lowThird` (1/3 from the bottom) and `highThird` (2/3 from the bottom) of the range between `highMA` and `lowMA`.
* Returns the current TTM state as an integer:
+ `1` if the close price is above `highThird` (indicating an uptrend).
+ `0` if the close price is below `lowThird` (indicating a downtrend).
+ `-1` if the close price is between `lowThird` and `highThird` (indicating a neutral state).
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
RSI Strategy With TP/SL - Lower TFThis Pine Script strategy integrates the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for trade signals with user-defined Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels. It's designed for flexible application in different market conditions, offering long, short, or dual-direction trading.
Short Description
The strategy uses the RSI to identify overbought and oversold market conditions:
Buy signal: When RSI drops below the specified "Buy Level."
Sell signal: When RSI rises above the "Sell Level."
Additionally, it manages risk and profit targets with:
Take Profit (TP): Exits trades when the price reaches a percentage gain.
Stop Loss (SL): Exits trades to limit losses if the price falls by a certain percentage.
The strategy is versatile and includes options for visualizing performance, monthly profit/loss data, and detailed trade metrics.
How to Use
Set Parameters:
RSI Period: Default is 14. Adjust based on your analysis.
RSI Buy/Sell Levels:
Buy Level: Default is 40. Consider higher levels for conservative entries.
Sell Level: Default is 60. Lower this for earlier exits.
Take Profit (%): Set your profit target (default: 5%).
Stop Loss (%): Set your risk tolerance (default: 2%).
Trade Direction: Choose "Long Only," "Short Only," or "Both."
Interpret Signals:
Buy signals appear when RSI crosses below the buy threshold.
Sell signals appear when RSI crosses above the sell threshold.
Risk Management:
The strategy dynamically calculates TP and SL levels for each trade.
TP/SL is applied using the percentage input based on the entry price.
Monitor Performance:
Review trade statistics in the "Strategy Tester."
Use the monthly performance table to track P/L across months.
Customize Alerts:
Alerts for buy, sell, TP, and SL events can be used to automate notifications.
Key Features
Configurable RSI Settings: Adaptable to various market conditions.
Risk Management: Built-in TP and SL management.
Customizable Trade Direction: Tailored for long-only, short-only, or both directions.
Monthly P/L Table: Visualizes performance trends over time.
Alerts: Notifies when critical trade events occur.
Please do your own research before ase this to your real trading.
ADX Breakout Strategy█ OVERVIEW
The ADX Breakout strategy leverages the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify and execute breakout trades within specified trading sessions. Designed for the NQ and ES 30-minute charts, this strategy aims to capture significant price movements while managing risk through predefined stop losses and trade limits.
This strategy was taken from a strategy that was posted on YouTube. I would link the video, but I believe is is "against house rules".
█ CONCEPTS
The strategy is built upon the following key concepts:
ADX Indicator: Utilizes the ADX to gauge the strength of a trend. Trades are initiated when the ADX value is below a certain threshold, indicating potential for trend development.
Trade Session Management: Limits trading to specific hours to align with optimal market activity periods.
Risk Management: Implements a fixed dollar stop loss and restricts the number of trades per session to control exposure.
█ FEATURES
Customizable Stop Loss: Set your preferred stop loss amount to manage risk effectively.
Trade Session Configuration: Define the trading hours to focus on the most active market periods.
Entry Conditions: Enter long positions when the price breaks above the highest close in the lookback window and the ADX indicates potential trend strength.
Trade Limits: Restrict the number of trades per session to maintain disciplined trading.
Automated Exit: Automatically closes all positions at the end of the trading session to avoid overnight risk.
█ HOW TO USE
Configure Inputs :
Stop Loss ($): Set the maximum loss per trade.
Trade Session: Define the active trading hours.
Highest Lookback Window: Specify the number of bars to consider for the highest close.
Apply the Strategy :
Add the ADX Breakout strategy to your chart on TradingView.
Ensure you are using a 30-minute timeframe for optimal performance.
█ LIMITATIONS
Market Conditions: The strategy is optimized for trending markets and may underperform in sideways or highly volatile conditions.
Timeframe Specific: Designed specifically for 30-minute charts; performance may vary on different timeframes.
Single Asset Focus: Primarily tested on NQ and ES instruments; effectiveness on other symbols is not guaranteed.
█ DISCLAIMER
This ADX Breakout strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be construed as such. Trading involves significant risk, and you may incur substantial losses. Always perform your own analysis and consider your financial situation before using this or any other trading strategy. The source material for this strategy is publicly available in the comments at the beginning of the code script. This strategy has been published openly for anyone to review and verify its methodology and performance.
Adaptive Squeeze Momentum StrategyThe Adaptive Squeeze Momentum Strategy is a versatile trading algorithm designed to capitalize on periods of low volatility that often precede significant price movements. By integrating multiple technical indicators and customizable settings, this strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points for both long and short positions.
Key Features:
Long/Short Trade Control:
Toggle Options: Easily enable or disable long and short trades according to your trading preferences or market conditions.
Flexible Application: Adapt the strategy for bullish, bearish, or neutral market outlooks.
Squeeze Detection Mechanism:
Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels: Utilizes the convergence of Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels to detect "squeeze" conditions, indicating a potential breakout.
Dynamic Squeeze Length: Calculates the average squeeze duration to adapt to changing market volatility.
Momentum Analysis:
Linear Regression: Applies linear regression to price changes over a specified momentum length to gauge the strength and direction of momentum.
Dynamic Thresholds: Sets momentum thresholds based on standard deviations, allowing for adaptive sensitivity to market movements.
Momentum Multiplier: Adjustable setting to fine-tune the aggressiveness of momentum detection.
Trend Filtering:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Implements a trend filter using an EMA to align trades with the prevailing market direction.
Customizable Length: Adjust the EMA length to suit different trading timeframes and assets.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Filtering:
Overbought/Oversold Signals: Incorporates RSI to avoid entering trades during overextended market conditions.
Adjustable Levels: Set your own RSI oversold and overbought thresholds for personalized signal generation.
Advanced Risk Management:
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Adaptive Levels: Uses the Average True Range (ATR) to set stop loss and take profit points that adjust to market volatility.
Custom Multipliers: Modify ATR multipliers for both stop loss and take profit to control risk and reward ratios.
Minimum Volatility Filter: Ensures trades are only taken when market volatility exceeds a user-defined minimum, avoiding periods of low activity.
Time-Based Exit:
Holding Period Multiplier: Defines a maximum holding period based on the momentum length to reduce exposure to adverse movements.
Automatic Position Closure: Closes positions after the specified holding period is reached.
Session Filtering:
Trading Session Control: Limits trading to predefined market hours, helping to avoid illiquid periods.
Custom Session Times: Set your preferred trading session to match market openings, closings, or specific timeframes.
Visualization Tools:
Indicator Plots: Displays Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and trend EMA on the chart for visual analysis.
Squeeze Signals: Marks squeeze conditions on the chart, providing clear visual cues for potential trade setups.
Customization Options:
Indicator Parameters: Fine-tune lengths and multipliers for Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, momentum calculation, and ATR.
Entry Filters: Choose to use trend and RSI filters to refine trade entries based on your strategy.
Risk Management Settings: Adjust stop loss, take profit, and holding periods to match your risk tolerance.
Trade Direction Control: Enable or disable long and short trades independently to align with your market strategy or compliance requirements.
Time Settings: Modify the trading session times and enable or disable the time filter as needed.
Use Cases:
Trend Traders: Benefit from aligning entries with the broader market trend while capturing breakout movements.
Swing Traders: Exploit periods of low volatility leading to significant price swings.
Risk-Averse Traders: Utilize advanced risk management features to protect capital and manage exposure.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is a tool to assist in trading decisions and should be used in conjunction with other analyses and risk management practices. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test the strategy thoroughly and adjust settings to suit your specific trading style and market conditions.
Balthazar by Aloupay📈 BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY: Advanced Trading Strategy for Precision and Reliability
BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY is a comprehensive trading strategy developed for TradingView, designed to assist traders in making informed and strategic trading decisions. By integrating multiple technical indicators, this strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points, manage risk effectively, and enhance overall trading performance.
🌟 Key Features
1. Integrated Indicator Suite
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) : Utilizes Fast (12), Medium (26), and Slow (50) EMAs to determine trend direction and strength.
Stochastic RSI : Employs Stochastic RSI with customizable smoothing periods to assess momentum and potential reversal points.
Average True Range (ATR) : Calculates dynamic stop loss and take profit levels based on market volatility using ATR multipliers.
MACD Confirmation : Incorporates MACD histogram analysis to validate trade signals, enhancing the reliability of entries.
2. Customizable Backtesting Parameters
Date Range Selection: Allows users to define specific backtesting periods to evaluate strategy performance under various market conditions.
Timezone Adaptability: Ensures accurate time-based filtering in alignment with the chart's timezone settings.
3. Advanced Risk Management
Dynamic Stop Loss & Take Profit: Automatically adjusts exit points using ATR multipliers to adapt to changing market volatility.
Position Sizing: Configurable to risk a sustainable percentage of equity per trade (recommended: 5-10%) to maintain disciplined money management.
4. Clear Trade Signals
Long & Short Entries: Generates actionable signals based on the convergence of EMA alignment, Stochastic RSI crossovers, and MACD confirmation.
Automated Exits: Implements predefined take profit and stop loss levels to secure profits and limit losses without emotional interference.
5. Visual Enhancements
EMA Visualization: Displays Fast, Medium, and Slow EMAs on the chart for easy trend identification.
Stochastic RSI Indicators: Uses distinct shapes to indicate bullish and bearish momentum shifts.
Risk Levels Display: Clearly marks take profit and stop loss levels on the chart for transparent risk-reward assessment.
🔍 Strategy Mechanics
Trend Identification with EMAs
Bullish Trend: Fast EMA (12) > Medium EMA (26) > Slow EMA (50)
Bearish Trend: Fast EMA (12) < Medium EMA (26) < Slow EMA (50)
Momentum Confirmation with Stochastic RSI
Bullish Signal: %K line crosses above %D line, indicating upward momentum.
Bearish Signal: %K line crosses below %D line, signaling downward momentum.
Volatility-Based Risk Management with ATR
Stop Loss: Positioned at 1.0 ATR below (for long) or above (for short) the entry price.
Take Profit: Positioned at 4.0 ATR above (for long) or below (for short) the entry price.
MACD Confirmation
Long Trades: Executed only when the MACD histogram is positive.
Short Trades: Executed only when the MACD histogram is negative.
💱 Recommended Forex Pairs
While BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY has shown robust performance on the 4-hour timeframe for Gold (XAU/USD), it is also well-suited for the following highly liquid forex pairs:
EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)
GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar)
USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen)
AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar)
USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar)
NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar)
EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound)
These pairs offer high liquidity and favorable trading conditions that complement the strategy's indicators and risk management features.
⚙️ Customization Options
Backtesting Parameters
Start Date: Define the beginning of the backtesting period.
End Date: Define the end of the backtesting period.
EMAs Configuration
Fast EMA Length: Default is 12.
Medium EMA Length: Default is 26.
Slow EMA Length: Default is 50.
Source: Default is Close price.
Stochastic RSI Configuration
%K Smoothing: Default is 5.
%D Smoothing: Default is 4.
RSI Length: Default is 14.
Stochastic Length: Default is 14.
RSI Source: Default is Close price.
ATR Configuration
ATR Length: Default is 14.
ATR Smoothing Method: Options include RMA, SMA, EMA, WMA (default: RMA).
Stop Loss Multiplier: Default is 1.0 ATR.
Take Profit Multiplier: Default is 4.0 ATR.
MACD Configuration
MACD Fast Length: Default is 12.
MACD Slow Length: Default is 26.
MACD Signal Length: Default is 9.
📊 Why Choose BALTHAZAR BY ALOUPAY?
Comprehensive Integration: Combines trend, momentum, and volatility indicators for a multifaceted trading approach.
Automated Precision: Eliminates emotional decision-making with rule-based entry and exit signals.
Robust Risk Management: Protects capital through dynamic stop loss and take profit levels tailored to market conditions.
User-Friendly Customization: Easily adjustable settings to align with individual trading styles and risk tolerance.
Proven Reliability: Backtested over extensive periods across various market environments to ensure consistent performance.
Disclaimer : Trading involves significant risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities.
CCI Threshold StrategyThe CCI Threshold Strategy is a trading approach that utilizes the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) as a momentum indicator to identify potential buy and sell signals in financial markets. The CCI is particularly effective in detecting overbought and oversold conditions, providing traders with insights into possible price reversals. This strategy is designed for use in various financial instruments, including stocks, commodities, and forex, and aims to capitalize on price movements driven by market sentiment.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI was developed by Donald Lambert in the 1980s and is primarily used to measure the deviation of a security's price from its average price over a specified period.
The formula for CCI is as follows:
CCI=(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015MeanDeviation
CCI=MeanDeviation(TypicalPrice−SMA)×0.015
where:
Typical Price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
SMA = Simple Moving Average of the Typical Price
Mean Deviation = Average of the absolute deviations from the SMA
The CCI oscillates around a zero line, with values above +100 indicating overbought conditions and values below -100 indicating oversold conditions (Lambert, 1980).
Strategy Logic
The CCI Threshold Strategy operates on the following principles:
Input Parameters:
Lookback Period: The number of periods used to calculate the CCI. A common choice is 9, as it balances responsiveness and noise.
Buy Threshold: Typically set at -90, indicating a potential oversold condition where a price reversal is likely.
Stop Loss and Take Profit: The strategy allows for risk management through customizable stop loss and take profit points.
Entry Conditions:
A long position is initiated when the CCI falls below the buy threshold of -90, indicating potential oversold levels. This condition suggests that the asset may be undervalued and due for a price increase.
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the closing price exceeds the highest price of the previous day, indicating a bullish reversal. Additionally, if the stop loss or take profit thresholds are hit, the position will be exited accordingly.
Risk Management:
The strategy incorporates optional stop loss and take profit mechanisms, which can be toggled on or off based on trader preference. This allows for flexibility in risk management, aligning with individual risk tolerances and trading styles.
Benefits of the CCI Threshold Strategy
Flexibility: The CCI Threshold Strategy can be applied across different asset classes, making it versatile for various market conditions.
Objective Signals: The use of quantitative thresholds for entry and exit reduces emotional bias in trading decisions (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974).
Enhanced Risk Management: By allowing traders to set stop loss and take profit levels, the strategy aids in preserving capital and managing risk effectively.
Limitations
Market Noise: The CCI can produce false signals, especially in highly volatile markets, leading to potential losses (Bollinger, 2001).
Lagging Indicator: As a lagging indicator, the CCI may not always capture rapid market movements, resulting in missed opportunities (Pring, 2002).
Conclusion
The CCI Threshold Strategy offers a systematic approach to trading based on well-established momentum principles. By focusing on overbought and oversold conditions, traders can make informed decisions while managing risk effectively. As with any trading strategy, it is crucial to backtest the approach and adapt it to individual trading styles and market conditions.
References
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Lambert, D. (1980). Commodity Channel Index. Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities, 2, 3-5.
Pring, M. J. (2002). Technical Analysis Explained. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 185(4157), 1124-1131.
Dynamic RSI Mean Reversion StrategyDynamic RSI Mean Reversion Strategy
Overview:
This strategy uses an RSI with ATR-Adjusted OB/OS levels in order to enhance the quality of it's mean reversion trades. It also incorporates a form of trend filtering in an effort to minimize downside and maximize upside. The backtest has fewer trades, as it uses substantial filtering to enhance trade quality. As you can see, I didn't cherry pick the results, so the results aren't the most beautiful thing you'll see in your life. I did this to ensure nobody gets misled. If you need a higher frequency of trades, consider removing the trend filter or increasing the length of the EMAs used for trend detection.
Features:
Dynamic OB/OS Levels: Uses ATR to adjust overbought and oversold thresholds dynamically, making the RSI more responsive in varying volatility conditions. This approach enhances signal strength by expanding the RSI range in high volatility and tightening it in low volatility.
Mean Reversion Focus: Designed for mean reversion but incorporates a trend-following filter to reduce countertrend trades. When the RSI is high, it often indicates an uptrend, so a trend filter prevents shorting in these cases and the same goes for downtrends and longing.
Trend Filtering: A moving average cross trend filter checks for the trend direction, with the RSI signal line color-coded to reflect trend shifts. Entries occur when the RSI crosses above or below the dynamic thresholds and is not a countertrend trade.
Stop Losses: Stop losses are set based on ATR distance from the entry price, providing volatility-adjusted protection.
Note:
If you're using this strategy on assets with a higher price, remember to increase the initial capital in the strategy settings. Otherwise, the strategy won't generate any (or many) trades and you'll end up with some inaccurate results.
Recommended Use:
Test it on different assets and timeframes. I’ve found the best results with standard RSI inputs, a relatively slow ATR, and a slower MA cross for trend filtering. Thus, the defaults are set that way. If the trend metrics are too slow, you’ll filter out too many good trades while allowing crummy ones; if too fast, most trades may be filtered out. As always, this has a lot of configurability so experiment to find the balance that works for your trading style.
Z-Score RSI StrategyOverview
The Z-Score RSI Indicator is an experimental take on momentum analysis. By applying the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to a Z-score of price data, it measures how far prices deviate from their mean, scaled by standard deviation. This isn’t your traditional use of RSI, which is typically based on price data alone. Nevertheless, this unconventional approach can yield unique insights into market trends and potential reversals.
Theory and Interpretation
The RSI calculates the balance between average gains and losses over a set period, outputting values from 0 to 100. Typically, people look at the overbought or oversold levels to identify momentum extremes that might be likely to lead to a reversal. However, I’ve often found that RSI can be effective for trend-following when observing the crossover of its moving average with the midline or the crossover of the RSI with its own moving average. These crossovers can provide useful trend signals in various market conditions.
By combining RSI with a Z-score of price, this indicator estimates the relative strength of the price’s distance from its mean. Positive Z-score trends may signal a potential for higher-than-average prices in the near future (scaled by the standard deviation), while negative trends suggest the opposite. Essentially, when the Z-Score RSI indicates a trend, it reflects that the Z-score (the distance between the average and current price) is likely to continue moving in the trend’s direction. Generally, this signals a potential price movement, though it’s important to note that this could also occur if there’s a shift in the mean or standard deviation, rather than a meaningful change in price itself.
While the Z-Score RSI could be an insightful addition to a comprehensive trading system, it should be interpreted carefully. Mean shifts may validate the indicator’s predictions without necessarily indicating any notable price change, meaning it’s best used in tandem with other indicators or strategies.
Recommendations
Before putting this indicator to use, conduct thorough backtesting and avoid overfitting. The added parameters allow fine-tuning to fit various assets, but be careful not to optimize purely for the highest historical returns. Doing so may create an overly tailored strategy that performs well in backtests but fails in live markets. Keep it balanced and look for robust performance across multiple scenarios, as overfitting is likely to lead to disappointing real-world results.
XAUUSD 10-Minute StrategyThis XAUUSD 10-Minute Strategy is designed for trading Gold vs. USD on a 10-minute timeframe. By combining multiple technical indicators (MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, and ATR), the strategy effectively captures both trend-following and reversal opportunities, with adaptive risk management for varying market volatility. This approach balances high-probability entries with robust volatility management, making it suitable for traders seeking to optimise entries during significant price movements and reversals.
Key Components and Logic:
MACD (12, 26, 9):
Generates buy signals on MACD Line crossovers above the Signal Line and sell signals on crossovers below the Signal Line, helping to capture momentum shifts.
RSI (14):
Utilizes oversold (below 35) and overbought (above 65) levels as a secondary filter to validate entries and avoid overextended price zones.
Bollinger Bands (20, 2):
Uses upper and lower Bollinger Bands to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions, aiming to enter long trades near the lower band and short trades near the upper band.
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss and Take Profit levels are dynamically set as multiples of ATR (3x for stop loss, 5x for take profit), ensuring flexibility with market volatility to optimise exit points.
Entry & Exit Conditions:
Buy Entry: T riggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses above the Signal Line
RSI is oversold
Price drops below the lower Bollinger Band
Sell Entry: Triggered when any of the following conditions are met:
MACD Line crosses below the Signal Line
RSI is overbought
Price moves above the upper Bollinger Band
Exit Strategy: Trades are closed based on opposing entry signals, with adaptive spread adjustments for realistic exit points.
Backtesting Configuration & Results:
Backtesting Period: July 21, 2024, to October 30, 2024
Symbol Info: XAUUSD, 10-minute timeframe, OANDA data source
Backtesting Capital: Initial capital of $700, with each trade set to 10 contracts (equivalent to approximately 0.1 lots based on the broker’s contract size for gold).
Users should confirm their broker's contract size for gold, as this may differ. This script uses 10 contracts for backtesting purposes, aligned with 0.1 lots on brokers offering a 100-contract specification.
Key Backtesting Performance Metrics:
Net Profit: $4,733.90 USD (676.27% increase)
Total Closed Trades: 526
Win Rate: 53.99%
Profit Factor: 1.44 (1.96 for Long trades, 1.14 for Short trades)
Max Drawdown: $819.75 USD (56.33% of equity)
Sharpe Ratio: 1.726
Average Trade: $9.00 USD (0.04% of equity per trade)
This backtest reflects realistic conditions, with a spread adjustment of 38 points and no slippage or commission applied. The settings aim to simulate typical retail trading conditions. However, please adjust the initial capital, contract size, and other settings based on your account specifics for best results.
Usage:
This strategy is tuned specifically for XAUUSD on a 10-minute timeframe, ideal for both trend-following and reversal trades. The ATR-based stop loss and take profit levels adapt dynamically to market volatility, optimising entries and exits in varied conditions. To backtest this script accurately, ensure your broker’s contract specifications for gold align with the parameters used in this strategy.
DSL Strategy [DailyPanda]
Overview
The DSL Strategy by DailyPanda is a trading strategy that synergistically combines the idea from indicators to create a more robust and reliable trading tool. By integrating these indicators, the strategy enhances signal accuracy and provides traders with a comprehensive view of market trends and momentum shifts. This combination allows for better entry and exit points, improved risk management, and adaptability to various market conditions.
Combining ideas from indicators adds value by:
Enhancing Signal Confirmation : The strategy requires alignment between trend and momentum before generating trade signals, reducing false entries.
Improving Accuracy : By integrating price action with momentum analysis, the strategy captures more reliable trading opportunities.
Providing Comprehensive Market Insight : The combination offers a better perspective on the market, considering both the direction (trend) and the strength (momentum) of price movements.
How the Components Work Together
1. Trend Identification with DSL Indicator
Dynamic Signal Lines : Calculates upper and lower DSL lines based on a moving average (SMA) and dynamic thresholds derived from recent highs and lows with a specified offset. These lines adapt to market conditions, providing real-time trend insights.
ATR-Based Bands : Adds bands around the DSL lines using the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a width factor. These bands account for market volatility and help identify potential stop-loss levels.
Trend Confirmation : The relationship between the price, DSL lines, and bands determines the current trend. For example, if the price consistently stays above the upper DSL line, it indicates a bullish trend.
2. Momentum Analysis
RSI Calculation : Computes the RSI over a specified period to measure the speed and change of price movements.
Zero-Lag EMA (ZLEMA) : Applies a ZLEMA to the RSI to minimize lag and produce a more responsive oscillator.
DSL Application on Oscillator : Implements the DSL concept on the oscillator by calculating dynamic upper and lower levels. This helps identify overbought or oversold conditions more accurately.
Signal Generation : Detects crossovers between the oscillator and its DSL lines. A crossover above the lower DSL line signals potential bullish momentum, while a crossover below the upper DSL line signals potential bearish momentum.
3. Integrated Signal Filtering
Confluence Requirement : A trade signal is generated only when both the DSL indicator and oscillator agree. For instance, a long entry requires both an uptrend confirmation from the DSL indicator and a bullish momentum signal from the oscillator.
Risk Management Integration : The strategy uses the DSL indicator's bands for setting stop-loss levels and calculates take-profit levels based on a user-defined risk-reward ratio. This ensures that every trade has a predefined risk management plan.
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Originality and Value Added to the Community
Unique Synergy : While both indicators are available individually, this strategy is original in how it combines them to enhance their strengths and mitigate their weaknesses, offering a novel approach not present in existing scripts.
Enhanced Reliability : By requiring confirmation from both trend and momentum indicators, the strategy reduces false signals and increases the likelihood of successful trades.
Versatility : The customizable parameters allow traders to adapt the strategy to different instruments, timeframes, and trading styles, making it a valuable tool for a wide range of trading scenarios.
Educational Contribution : The script demonstrates an effective method of combining indicators for improved trading performance, providing insights that other traders can learn from and apply to their own strategies.
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How to Use the Strategy
Adding the Strategy to Your Chart
Apply the DSL Strategy to your desired trading instrument and timeframe on TradingView.
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Configuring Parameters
DSL Indicator Settings :
Length (len) : Adjusts the sensitivity of the DSL lines (default is 34).
Offset : Determines the look-back period for threshold calculations (default is 30).
Bands Width (width) : Changes the distance of the ATR-based bands from the DSL lines (default is 1).
DSL-BELUGA Oscillator Settings :
Beluga Length (len_beluga) : Sets the period for the RSI calculation in the oscillator (default is 10).
DSL Lines Mode (dsl_mode) : Chooses between "Fast" (more responsive) and "Slow" (smoother) modes for the oscillator's DSL lines.
Risk Management :
Risk Reward (risk_reward) : Defines your desired risk-reward ratio for calculating take-profit levels (default is 1.5).
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Interpreting Signals
Long Entry Conditions :
Trend Confirmation : Price is above the upper DSL line and the upper DSL band (dsl_up1 > dsl_dn).
Price Behavior : The last three candles have both their opens and closes above the upper DSL line.
Momentum Signal : The DSL-BELUGA oscillator crosses above its lower DSL line (up_signal), indicating bullish momentum.
Short Entry Conditions :
Trend Confirmation : Price is below the lower DSL line and the lower DSL band (dsl_dn < dsl_up1).
Price Behavior : The last three candles have both their opens and closes below the lower DSL band.
Momentum Signal : The DSL-BELUGA oscillator crosses below its upper DSL line (dn_signal), indicating bearish momentum.
Exit Conditions :
Stop-Loss : Automatically set at the DSL indicator's band level (upper band for longs, lower band for shorts).
Take-Profit : Calculated based on the risk-reward ratio and the initial risk determined by the stop-loss distance.
Visual Aids
Signal Arrows : Upward green arrows for long entries and downward blue arrows for short entries appear on the chart when conditions are met.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Lines : Red and green lines display the calculated stop-loss and take-profit levels for active trades.
Background Highlighting : The chart background subtly changes color to indicate when a signal has been generated.
Backtesting and Optimization
Use TradingView's strategy tester to backtest the strategy over historical data.
Adjust parameters to optimize performance for different instruments or market conditions.
Regularly review backtesting results to ensure the strategy remains effective.
Supertrend StrategyThe Supertrend Strategy was created based on the Supertrend and Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators, widely respected tools in technical analysis. This strategy combines these two indicators to capture market trends with precision and reliability, looking for optimizing exit levels at oversold or overbought price levels.
The Supertrend indicator identifies trend direction based on price and volatility by using the Average True Range (ATR). The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between an asset’s high and low prices over a set period. It provides insight into price fluctuations, with higher ATR values indicating increased volatility and lower values suggesting stability. The Supertrend Indicator plots a line above or below the price, signaling potential buy or sell opportunities: when the price closes above the Supertrend line, an uptrend is indicated, while a close below the line suggests a downtrend. This line shifts as price movements and volatility levels change, acting as both a trailing stop loss and trend confirmation.
To enhance the Supertrend strategy, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been added as an exit criterion. As a momentum oscillator, the RSI indicates overbought (usually above 70) or oversold (usually below 30) conditions. This integration allows trades to close when the asset is overbought or oversold, capturing gains before a possible reversal, even if the percentage take profit level has not been reached. This mechanism aims to prevent losses due to market reversals before the Supertrend signal changes.
### Key Features
1. **Entry criteria**:
- The strategy uses the Supertrend indicator calculated by adding or subtracting a multiple of the ATR from the closing price, depending on the trend direction.
- When the price crosses above the Supertrend line, the strategy signals a long (buy) entry. Conversely, when the price crosses below, it signals a short (sell) entry.
- The strategy performs a reversal if there is an open position and a change in the direction of the supertrend occurs
2. **Exit criteria**:
- Take profit of 30% (default) on the average position price.
- Oversold (≤ 5) or overbought (≥ 95) RSI
- Reversal when there is a change in direction of the Supertrend
3. **No Repainting**:
- This strategy is not subject to repainting, as long as the timeframe configured on your chart is the same as the supertrend timeframe .
4. **Position Sizing by Equity and risk management**:
- This strategy has a default configuration to operate with 35% of the equity. At the time of opening the position, the supertrend line is typically positioned at about 12 to 16% of the entry price. This way, the strategy is putting at risk about 16% of 35% of equity, that is, around 5.6% of equity for each trade. The percentage of equity can be adjusted by the user according to their risk management.
5. **Backtest results**:
- This strategy was subjected to deep backtesting and operations in replay mode, including transaction fees of 0.12%, and slippage of 5 ticks.
- The past results in deep backtest and replay mode were compatible and profitable (Variable results depending on the take profit used, supertrend and RSI parameters). However, it should be noted that few operations were evaluated, since the currency in question has been created for a short time and the frequency of operations is relatively small.
- Past results are no guarantee of future results. The strategy's backtest results may even be due to overfitting with past data.
Default Settings
Chart timeframe: 2h
Supertrend Factor: 3.42
ATR period: 14
Supertrend timeframe: 2 h
RSI timeframe: 15 min
RSI Lenght: 5 min
RSI Upper limit: 95
RSI Lower Limit: 5
Take Profit: 30%
BYBIT:1000000MOGUSDT.P
