AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend)The AiTrend Pattern Matrix for kNN Forecasting (AiBitcoinTrend) is a cutting-edge indicator that combines advanced mathematical modeling, AI-driven analytics, and segment-based pattern recognition to forecast price movements with precision. This tool is designed to provide traders with deep insights into market dynamics by leveraging multivariate pattern detection and sophisticated predictive algorithms.
👽 Core Features
Segment-Based Pattern Recognition
At its heart, the indicator divides price data into discrete segments, capturing key elements like candle bodies, high-low ranges, and wicks. These segments are normalized using ATR-based volatility adjustments to ensure robustness across varying market conditions.
AI-Powered k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Prediction
The predictive engine uses the kNN algorithm to identify the closest historical patterns in a multivariate dictionary. By calculating the distance between current and historical segments, the algorithm determines the most likely outcomes, weighting predictions based on either proximity (distance) or averages.
Dynamic Dictionary of Historical Patterns
The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of historical patterns, storing multivariate data for:
Candle body ranges, High-low ranges, Wick highs and lows.
This dynamic approach ensures the model adapts continuously to evolving market conditions.
Volatility-Normalized Forecasting
Using ATR bands, the indicator normalizes patterns, reducing noise and enhancing the reliability of predictions in high-volatility environments.
AI-Driven Trend Detection
The indicator not only predicts price levels but also identifies market regimes by comparing current conditions to historically significant highs, lows, and midpoints. This allows for clear visualizations of trend shifts and momentum changes.
👽 Deep Dive into the Core Mathematics
👾 Segment-Based Multivariate Pattern Analysis
The indicator analyzes price data by dividing each bar into distinct segments, isolating key components such as:
Body Ranges: Differences between the open and close prices.
High-Low Ranges: Capturing the full volatility of a bar.
Wick Extremes: Quantifying deviations beyond the body, both above and below.
Each segment contributes uniquely to the predictive model, ensuring a rich, multidimensional understanding of price action. These segments are stored in a rolling dictionary of patterns, enabling the indicator to reference historical behavior dynamically.
👾 Volatility Normalization Using ATR
To ensure robustness across varying market conditions, the indicator normalizes patterns using Average True Range (ATR). This process scales each component to account for the prevailing market volatility, allowing the algorithm to compare patterns on a level playing field regardless of differing price scales or fluctuations.
👾 k-Nearest Neighbors (kNN) Algorithm
The AI core employs the kNN algorithm, a machine-learning technique that evaluates the similarity between the current pattern and a library of historical patterns.
Euclidean Distance Calculation:
The indicator computes the multivariate distance across four distinct dimensions: body range, high-low range, wick low, and wick high. This ensures a comprehensive and precise comparison between patterns.
Weighting Schemes: The contribution of each pattern to the forecast is either weighted by its proximity (distance) or averaged, based on user settings.
👾 Prediction Horizon and Refinement
The indicator forecasts future price movements (Y_hat) by predicting logarithmic changes in the price and projecting them forward using exponential scaling. This forecast is smoothed using a user-defined EMA filter to reduce noise and enhance actionable clarity.
👽 AI-Driven Pattern Recognition
Dynamic Dictionary of Patterns: The indicator maintains a rolling dictionary of N multivariate patterns, continuously updated to reflect the latest market data. This ensures it adapts seamlessly to changing market conditions.
Nearest Neighbor Matching: At each bar, the algorithm identifies the most similar historical pattern. The prediction is based on the aggregated outcomes of the closest neighbors, providing confidence levels and directional bias.
Multivariate Synthesis: By combining multiple dimensions of price action into a unified prediction, the indicator achieves a level of depth and accuracy unattainable by single-variable models.
Visual Outputs
Forecast Line (Y_hat_line):
A smoothed projection of the expected price trend, based on the weighted contribution of similar historical patterns.
Trend Regime Bands:
Dynamic high, low, and midlines highlight the current market regime, providing actionable insights into momentum and range.
Historical Pattern Matching:
The nearest historical pattern is displayed, allowing traders to visualize similarities
👽 Applications
Trend Identification:
Detect and follow emerging trends early using dynamic trend regime analysis.
Reversal Signals:
Anticipate market reversals with high-confidence predictions based on historically similar scenarios.
Range and Momentum Trading:
Leverage multivariate analysis to understand price ranges and momentum, making it suitable for both breakout and mean-reversion strategies.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Patternrecognition
TechniTrend: Advance Custom Candle Finder (CCF)🟦 Description:
The TechniTrend: Advanced Custom Candle Finder (CCF) is a versatile tool designed to help traders identify custom candlestick patterns using various configurable criteria. This indicator provides a flexible framework to filter and highlight specific candles based on volume, volatility, candle characteristics, and other important metrics. Below is a detailed explanation of each filter and its customization options:
🟦 Volume-Based Filters
🔸Volume Spike Filter:
Enable filtering based on volume spikes. Use the Volume Spike Multiplier to define what constitutes a significant increase in volume compared to the average. A spike indicates unusually high trading interest.
🔸Volume Range Filter:
Filter candles based on specific volume ranges. Set Minimum Volume and Maximum Volume thresholds to isolate candles with trading volumes within your desired boundaries.
🟦 Candle Body & Wick Filters
🔸Body Size Filter:
Filter candles based on the size of their body. A Body Size Multiplier determines what is considered a large body relative to historical averages.
🔸Body Percentage Filter:
Filter based on the proportion of the body to the entire candle size. Use the Body Percentage Threshold to highlight candles where the body makes up a certain percentage of the total candle range.
🔸Wick-to-Body Ratio Filter:
Identify candles with specific wick-to-body ratios. A higher Wick-to-Body Ratio can indicate indecision or reversals.
🟦 Volatility & Range Filters
🔸Volatility Filter:
Highlight candles based on price changes relative to volume. The Volatility Multiplier sets the threshold for what is considered a volatile candle.
🔸Candle Range Filter:
Filter based on the range (High - Low) of each candle. Use Minimum Candle Range and Maximum Candle Range to specify your desired candle size in points or pips.
🔸Short-Term and Long-Term Volatility Filters:
Analyze volatility over different periods. Enable Short-Term Volatility or Long-Term Volatility filters to compare recent volatility against historical averages, helping you detect sudden market shifts.
🟦 Candle Color & Open/Close Filters
🔸Candle Color Filter:
Filter based on the candle's color. Choose between Bullish (close > open) or Bearish (close < open) to focus on specific market sentiments.
🔸Open/Close Price Range Filter:
Filter based on the difference between the open and close prices. Use Minimum Open/Close Range and Maximum Open/Close Range to specify your acceptable range in price movements.
🟦 Core Functionality
The CCF indicator combines these filters to provide a final signal whenever a candle meets all the enabled criteria. By default, it highlights any qualifying candle directly on the chart and changes the background color for added visibility.
🟦 Key Features:
🔸Highly Customizable Filters: Adjust the parameters for each filter to tailor the indicator to your specific needs.
🔸Multiple Conditions: Combine several conditions to identify complex candlestick patterns.
🔸Real-Time Alerts: Receive instant notifications when a matching candle pattern is found based on your custom criteria.
🟦 How to Use:
🔸Enable the filters you wish to apply (e.g., Volume Spike, Candle Body Size, Volatility).
🔸Adjust the thresholds for each filter to fine-tune the pattern recognition criteria.
🔸Observe the chart to see visual cues for candles that match your specified conditions.
🟦 Notes:
🔸Ensure that you clearly understand each filter’s role. Over-filtering with very strict criteria may reduce the number of signals.
🔸This indicator is designed to be a customizable tool, not providing buy or sell recommendations.
🔸Use in combination with other analysis tools and indicators for the best results.
Sniffer
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Overview
A vast majority of modern data analysis & modelling techniques rely upon the idea of hidden patterns, wether it is some type of visualisation tool or some form of a complex machine learning algorithm, the one thing that they have in common is the belief, that patterns tell us what’s hidden behind plain numbers. The same philosophy has been adopted by many traders & investors worldwide, there’s an entire school of thought that operates purely based on chart patterns. This is where Sniffer comes in, it is a tool designed to simplify & quantify the job of pattern recognition on any given price chart, by combining various factors & techniques that generate high-quality results.
This tool analyses bars selected by the user, and highlights bar clusters on the chart that exhibit similar behaviour across multiple dimensions. It can detect a single candle pattern like hammers or dojis, or it can handle multiple candles like morning/evening stars or double tops/bottoms, and many more. In fact, the tool is completely independent of such specific candle formations, instead, it works on the idea of vector similarity and generates a degree of similarity for every single combination of candles. Only the top-n matches are highlighted, users get to choose which patterns they want to analyse and to what degree, by customising the feature-space.
Background
In the world of trading, a common use-case is to scan a price chart for some specific candlestick formations & price structures, and then the chart is further analysed in reference to these events. Traders are often trying to answer questions like, when was the last time price showed similar behaviour, what are the instances similar to what price is doing right now, what happens when price forms a pattern like this, what were some of other indicators doing when this happened last(RSI, CCI, ADX etc), and many other abstract ideas to have a stronger confluence or to confirm a bias.Having such a context can be vital in making better informed decisions, but doing this manually on a chart that has thousands of candles can have many disadvantages. It’s tedious, human errors are rather likely, and even if it’s done with pin-point accuracy, chances are that we’ll miss out on many pieces of information. This is the thought that gave birth to Sniffer .
Sniffer tries to provide a general solution for pattern-based analysis by deploying vector-similarity computation techniques, that cover the full-breadth of a price chart and generate a list of top-n matches based on the criteria selected by the user. Most of these techniques come from the data science space, where vector similarity is often implemented to solve classification & clustering problems. Sniffer uses same principles of vector comparison, and computes a degree of similarity for every single candle formation within the selected range, and as a result generates a similarity matrix that captures how similar or dissimilar a set of candles is to the input set selected by the user.
How It Works
A brief overview of how the tool is implemented:
- Every bar is processed, and a set of features are mapped to it.
- Bars selected by the user are captured, and saved for later use.
- Once the all the bars have been processed, candles are back-tracked and degree of similarity is computed for every single bar(max-limit is 5000 bars).
- Degree of similarity is computed by comparing attributes like price range, candle breadth & volume etc.
- Similarity matrix is sorted and top-n results are highlighted on the chart through boxes of different colors.
A brief overview of the features space for bars:
- Range: Difference between high & low
- Body: Difference between close & open
- Volume: Traded volume for that candle
- Head: Upper wick for green candles & lower wick for red candles
- Tail: Lower wick for green candles & upper wick for red candles
- BTR: Body to Range ratio
- HTR: Head to Range ratio
- TTR: Tail to Range ratio
- HTB: Head to Body ratio
- TTB: Tail to Body ratio
- ROC: Rate of change for HL2 for four different periods
- RSI: Relative Strength Index
- CCI: Commodity Channel Index
- Stochastic: Stochastic Index
- ADX: DMI+, DMI- & ADX
A brief overview of how degree of similarity is calculated:
- Each bar set is compared to the inout bar set within the selected feature space
- Features are represented as vectors, and distance between the vectors is calculated
- Shorter the distance, greater the similarity
- Different distance calculation methods are available to choose from, such as Cosine, Euclidean, Lorentzian, Manhattan, & Pearson
- Each method is likely to generate slightly different results, users are expected to select the method & the feature space that best fits their use-case
How To Use It
- Usage of this tool is relatively straightforward, users can add this indicator to their chart and similar clusters will be highlighted automatically
- Users need to select a time range that will be treated as input, and bars within that range become the input formation for similarity calculations
- Boxes will be draw around the clusters that fit the matching criteria
- Boxes are color-coded, green color boxes represent the top one-third of the top-n matches, yellow boxes represent the middle third, red boxes are for bottom third, and white box represents user-input
- Boxes colors will be adjusted as you adjust input parameters, such as number of matches or look-back period
User Settings
Users can configure the following options:
- Select the time-range to set input bars
- Select the look-back period, number of candles to backtrack for similarity search
- Select the number of top-n matches to show on the chart
- Select the method for similarity calculation
- Adjust the feature space, this enables addition of custom features, such as pattern recognition, technical indicators, rate of change etc
- Toggle verbosity, shows degree of similarity as a percentage value inside the box
Top Features
- Pattern Agnostic: Designed to work with variable number of candles & complex patterns
- Customisable Feature Space: Users get to add custom features to each bar
- Comprehensive Comparison: Generates a degree of similarity for all possible combinations
Final Note
- Similarity matches will be shown only within last 4500 bars.
- In theory, it is possible to compute similarity for any size candle formations, indicator has been tested with formations of 50+ candles, but it is recommended to select smaller range for faster & cleaner results.
- As you move to smaller time frames, selected time range will provide a larger number of candles as input, which can produce undesired results, it is advised to adjust your selection when you change time frames. Seeking suggestions on how to directly receive bars as user input, instead of time range.
- At times, users may see array index out of bound error when setting up this indicator, this generally happens when the input range is not properly configured. So, it should disappear after you select the input range, still trying to figure out where it is coming from, suggestions are welcome.
Credits
- @HeWhoMustNotBeNamed for publishing such a handy PineScript Logger, it certainly made the job a lot easier.
FunctionPatternDecompositionLibrary "FunctionPatternDecomposition"
Methods for decomposing price into common grid/matrix patterns.
series_to_array(source, length) Helper for converting series to array.
Parameters:
source : float, data series.
length : int, size.
Returns: float array.
smooth_data_2d(data, rate) Smooth data sample into 2d points.
Parameters:
data : float array, source data.
rate : float, default=0.25, the rate of smoothness to apply.
Returns: tuple with 2 float arrays.
thin_points(data_x, data_y, rate) Thin the number of points.
Parameters:
data_x : float array, points x value.
data_y : float array, points y value.
rate : float, default=2.0, minimum threshold rate of sample stdev to accept points.
Returns: tuple with 2 float arrays.
extract_point_direction(data_x, data_y) Extract the direction each point faces.
Parameters:
data_x : float array, points x value.
data_y : float array, points y value.
Returns: float array.
find_corners(data_x, data_y, rate) ...
Parameters:
data_x : float array, points x value.
data_y : float array, points y value.
rate : float, minimum threshold rate of data y stdev.
Returns: tuple with 2 float arrays.
grid_coordinates(data_x, data_y, m_size) transforms points data to a constrained sized matrix format.
Parameters:
data_x : float array, points x value.
data_y : float array, points y value.
m_size : int, default=10, size of the matrix.
Returns: flat 2d pseudo matrix.
Pattern Recognition Probabilities [racer8]Brief 🌟
Pattern Recognition Probabilities (PRP) is a REALLY smart indicator. It uses the correlation coefficient formula to determine if the current set of bars resembles that of past patterns. It counts the number of times the current pattern has occurred in the past and looks at how it performed historically to determine the probability of an up move, down move, or neutral move.
I'd like to say, I'm proud of this indicator 😆🤙 This is the SMARTEST indicator I have ever made 🧠🧠🧠
Note: PRP doesn't give you actual probabilities, but gives you instead the historical occurrences of up, down, and neutral moves that resulted after the pattern. So you can calculate probabilities based on these valuable statistics. So for example, PRP can tell you this pattern has historically resulted in 55 up moves, 20 down moves, and 60 neutral moves.
Parameters 🌟
You can adjust the Pattern length, Minimum correlation, Statistics lookback, Exit after time, and Atr multiplier parameters.
Pattern length - determines how long the pattern is
Minimum correlation - determines the minimum correlation coefficient needed to pass as a similiar enough pattern.
Statistics lookback - lookback period for gathering all the patterns in the past.
Exit after time - determines when exit occurred (number of periods after pattern) ; is the point that represents the pattern's result.
Atr multiplier - determines minimum atr move needed to qualify whether result was an up/down move or a neutral move. If a particular historical pattern resulted in a move that was less than the min atr, then it is recorded as a neutral move in the statistics.
Thanks for reading! 🙏
Good luck 🍀 Stay safe 😷 Drink lots of water💧
Enjoy! 🥳 and Hit the like button! 👍
Test: Pattern RecognitionEXPERIMENTAL:
a test on how to compare price at different frequency's with static patterns.
