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VWAP For Loop [BackQuant]VWAP For Loop
What this tool does—in one sentence
A volume-weighted trend gauge that anchors VWAP to a calendar period (day/week/month/quarter/year) and then scores the persistence of that VWAP trend with a simple for-loop “breadth” count; the result is a clean, threshold-driven oscillator plus an optional VWAP overlay and alerts.
Plain-English overview
Instead of judging raw price alone, this indicator focuses on anchored VWAP —the market’s average price paid during your chosen institutional period. It then asks a simple question across a configurable set of lookback steps: “Is the current anchored VWAP higher than it was i bars ago—or lower?” Each “yes” adds +1, each “no” adds −1. Summing those answers creates a score that reflects how consistently the volume-weighted trend has been rising or falling. Extreme positive scores imply persistent, broad strength; deeply negative scores imply persistent weakness. Crossing predefined thresholds produces objective long/short events and color-coded context.
Under the hood
• Anchoring — VWAP using hlc3 × volume resets exactly when the selected period rolls:
Day → session change, Week → new week, Month → new month, Quarter/Year → calendar quarter/year.
• For-loop scoring — For lag steps i = , compare today’s VWAP to VWAP .
– If VWAP > VWAP , add +1.
– Else, add −1.
The final score ∈ , where N = (end − start + 1). With defaults (1→45), N = 45.
• Signal logic (stateful)
– Long when score > upper (e.g., > 40 with N = 45 → VWAP higher than ~89% of checked lags).
– Short on crossunder of lower (e.g., dropping below −10).
– A compact state variable ( out ) holds the current regime: +1 (long), −1 (short), otherwise unchanged. This “stickiness” avoids constant flipping between bars without sufficient evidence.
Why VWAP + a breadth score?
• VWAP aggregates both price and volume—where participants actually traded.
• The breadth-style count rewards consistency of the anchored trend, not one-off spikes.
• Thresholds give you binary structure when you need it (alerts, automation), without complex math.
What you’ll see on the chart
• Sub-pane oscillator — The for-loop score line, colored by regime (long/short/neutral).
• Main-pane VWAP (optional) — Even though the indicator runs off-chart, the anchored VWAP can be overlaid on price (toggle visibility and whether it inherits trend colors).
• Threshold guides — Horizontal lines for the long/short bands (toggle).
• Cosmetics — Optional candle painting and background shading by regime; adjustable line width and colors.
Input map (quick reference)
• VWAP Anchor Period — Day, Week, Month, Quarter, Year.
• Calculation Start/End — The for-loop lag window . With 1→45, you evaluate 45 comparisons.
• Long/Short Thresholds — Default upper=40, lower=−10 (asymmetric by design; see below).
• UI/Style — Show thresholds, paint candles, background color, line width, VWAP visibility and coloring, custom long/short colors.
Interpreting the score
• Near +N — Current anchored VWAP is above most historical VWAP checkpoints in the window → entrenched strength.
• Near −N — Current anchored VWAP is below most checkpoints → entrenched weakness.
• Between — Mixed, choppy, or transitioning regimes; use thresholds to avoid reacting to noise.
Why the asymmetric default thresholds?
• Long = score > upper (40) — Demands unusually broad upside persistence before declaring “long regime.”
• Short = crossunder lower (−10) — Triggers only on downward momentum events (a fresh breach), not merely being below −10. This combination tends to:
– Capture sustained uptrends only when they’re very strong.
– Flag downside turns as they occur, rather than waiting for an extreme negative breadth.
Tuning guide
Choose an anchor that matches your horizon
– Intraday scalps : Day anchor on intraday charts.
– Swing/position : Month or Quarter anchor on 1h/4h/D charts to capture institutional cycles.
Pick the for-loop window
– Larger N (bigger end) = stronger evidence requirement, smoother oscillator.
– Smaller N = faster, more reactive score.
Set achievable thresholds
– Ensure upper ≤ N and lower ≥ −N ; if N=30, an upper of 40 can never trigger.
– Symmetric setups (e.g., +20/−20) are fine if you want balanced behavior.
Match visuals to intent
– Enabling VWAP coloring lets you see regime directly on price.
– Background shading is useful for discretionary reading; turn it off for cleaner automation displays.
Playbook examples
• Trend confirmation with disciplined entries — On Month anchor, N=45, upper=38–42: when the long regime engages, use pullbacks toward anchored VWAP on the main pane for entries, with stops just beyond VWAP or a recent swing.
• Downside transition detection — Keep lower around −8…−12 and watch for crossunders; combine with price losing anchored VWAP to validate risk-off.
• Intraday bias filter — Day anchor on a 5–15m chart, N=20–30, upper ~ 16–20, lower ~ −6…−10. Only take longs while score is positive and above a midline you define (e.g., 0), and shorts only after a genuine crossunder.
Behavior around resets (important)
Anchored VWAP is hard-reset each period. Immediately after a reset, the series can be young and comparisons to pre-reset values may span two periods. If you prefer within-period evaluation only, choose end small enough not to bridge typical period length on your timeframe, or accept that the breadth test intentionally spans regimes.
Alerts included
• VWAP FL Long — Fires when the long condition is true (score > upper and not in short).
• VWAP FL Short — Fires on crossunder of the lower threshold (event-driven).
Messages include {{ticker}} and {{interval}} placeholders for routing.
Strengths
• Simple, transparent math — Easy to reason about and validate.
• Volume-aware by construction — Decisions reference VWAP, not just price.
• Robust to single-bar noise — Needs many lags to agree before flipping state (by design, via thresholds and the stateful output).
Limitations & cautions
• Threshold feasibility — If N < upper or |lower| > N, signals will never trigger; always cross-check N.
• Path dependence — The state variable persists until a new event; if you want frequent re-evaluation, lower thresholds or reduce N.
• Regime changes — Calendar resets can produce early ambiguity; expect a few bars for the breadth to mature.
• VWAP sensitivity to volume spikes — Large prints can tilt VWAP abruptly; that behavior is intentional in VWAP-based logic.
Suggested starting profiles
• Intraday trend bias : Anchor=Day, N=25 (1→25), upper=18–20, lower=−8, paint candles ON.
• Swing bias : Anchor=Month, N=45 (1→45), upper=38–42, lower=−10, VWAP coloring ON, background OFF.
• Balanced reactivity : Anchor=Week, N=30 (1→30), upper=20–22, lower=−10…−12, symmetric if desired.
Implementation notes
• The indicator runs in a separate pane (oscillator), but VWAP itself is drawn on price using forced overlay so you can see interactions (touches, reclaim/loss).
• HLC3 is used for VWAP price; that’s a common choice to dampen wick noise while still reflecting intrabar range.
• For-loop cap is kept modest (≤50) for performance and clarity.
How to use this responsibly
Treat the oscillator as a bias and persistence meter . Combine it with your entry framework (structure breaks, liquidity zones, higher-timeframe context) and risk controls. The design emphasizes clarity over complexity—its edge is in how strictly it demands agreement before declaring a regime, not in predicting specific turns.
Summary
VWAP For Loop distills the question “How broadly is the anchored, volume-weighted trend advancing or retreating?” into a single, thresholded score you can read at a glance, alert on, and color through your chart. With careful anchoring and thresholds sized to your window length, it becomes a pragmatic bias filter for both systematic and discretionary workflows.
Adaptive Pulsar Momentum | QuantEdgeB⚡ Adaptive Pulsar Momentum | QuantEdgeB
🔭 What is Adaptive Pulsar Momentum?
The Adaptive Pulsar Momentum (APM) is a high-performance, modular trading system designed to decode market momentum across a range of conditions. It combines multi-indicator adaptability (RSI, MFI, Z-Score, ROC, and a hybrid AVG mode) with dynamic signal generation using five advanced "modes" of signal logic: Impulse, Trend, Heikin-Ashi Candles, Statistical Deviation, and MACD.
💡 Think of APM as a scientific instrument, scanning, adapting, and broadcasting precision-tuned momentum data in real-time, helping traders eliminate noise, guesswork, and lag.
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1.🔧 System Core: Customizability and Adaptation
📊 Indicator Modes
• 𝓡𝓢𝓘 (Relative Strength Index): Classic oscillator detecting overbought/oversold zones.
• 𝓩-𝓢𝓒𝓞𝓡𝓔: Normalized deviation from mean; ideal for statistical reversion plays.
• 𝓜𝓕𝓘 (Money Flow Index): Volume-weighted RSI-style metric.
• 𝓡𝓞𝓒 (Rate of Change): Measures the velocity of price change.
• 𝓐𝓥𝓖: Combines RSI, MFI, Z-Score, and ROC into a unified signal (normalized to 0–100 scale).
🧠 MA Engine (Smoothing)
Over a dozen moving average types:
• Includes ALMA, TEMA, JMA, SMMA, HMA, LSMA, VWMA, and more.
• Dynamic smoothing makes this system versatile across markets and timeframes.
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2.🧨 SIGNAL MODES – THE ENGINE ROOM
Each mode turns the raw smoothed indicator into a powerful momentum signal with thresholds and logic specific to the use case.
1️⃣ 𝓘𝓶𝓹𝓾𝓵𝓼𝓮 Mode
🚀 Use case:
Best for detecting explosive, fast-moving momentum before the crowd catches on.
🔍 Logic:
• Thresholds can be Static, Percentile-based, or Standard Deviation derived.
• Dynamic signal: +1 for breakout, -1 for breakdown, 0 for neutral.
• Custom threshold percentiles enable precise tuning.
🎯 Ideal for:
• Scalping breakouts
• Event-driven spikes (e.g., CPI, FOMC)
• Early trend initiation
2️⃣ 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭 Mode
🧭 Use case:
Built to identify and follow trends with minimal noise. Stable, low-churn logic for riding moves.
🔍 Logic:
• Signal generated via cross above/below a calculated midline (either fixed or dynamic mean).
• Best paired with SMMA or TEMA smoothing.
🎯 Ideal for:
• Swing traders
• Momentum trend followers
• Portfolio rotation strategies
3️⃣ 𝓗𝓐 𝓒𝓪𝓷𝓭𝓵𝓮𝓼 Mode
🔥 Use case:
Filters volatility while capturing structural momentum shifts using Heikin-Ashi logic on smoothed indicators.
🔍 Logic:
• Converts the smoothed signal into Heikin-Ashi candles.
• Measures close vs open to determine trend direction.
• Thresholds again can be static, percentile, or SD-based.
🎯 Ideal for:
• Visual trend clarity
• Avoiding whipsaws in sideways markets
• Discretionary trading with cleaner structure
• Mean-Reverting
4️⃣ 𝓢𝓽𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓼𝓽𝓲𝓬𝓪𝓵 𝓓𝓮𝓿𝓲𝓪𝓽𝓲𝓸𝓷 Mode
🧪 Use case:
Detects high-volatility expansions before or during major directional surges.
🔍 Logic:
• Calculates absolute deviation using HA open vs close.
• Filters this with a moving average and overlays a volatility cloud.
• Breaks above/below the cloud signal directional surge.
🎯 Ideal for:
• Pre-breakout scanning
• Identifying regime shifts
• Options traders looking for volatility expansions
5️⃣ 𝓜𝓐𝓒𝓓 Mode
🧲 Use case:
Classic MACD principles adapted to smoothed momentum indicators—ideal for trend continuation or crossovers.
🔍 Logic:
• MACD line = Pulsar signal - EMA of signal.
• Thresholds (up/down) define bias.
• Optional extra filter to validate with midline crossing.
🎯 Ideal for:
• Trend confirmation
• Crossover-based entry strategies
• Confluence with higher timeframe bias
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3.📊 System Sensor Table
Adaptive Pulsar Momentum includes a live multi-layered analytics table designed to give traders a complete pulse on current market behavior. Here's what each section reveals:
🔁 System Signal
At any given bar, the algorithm outputs one of three states:
• Long ⟹ Bullish conditions are active and sustained
• Short ⟹ Bearish momentum dominates
• Cash ⟹ Neutral zone — conditions lack a strong directional bias
This is dynamically adjusted based on the selected signal mode (Impulse, Trend, etc.) and adapts in real time to shifts in smoothed oscillator logic or candle structure.
📊 Strength: Conviction & Potential
Unlike binary signals, this table offers graded insights into how strong or fragile the signal actually is, a huge upgrade from traditional systems.
There are two distinct layers:
1. Conviction Strength –> shown when the system is in a full long or short signal.
- A value like “Long Strength: 84%” means there's high confidence in the continuation or follow-through of the current bias.
- It blends distance from threshold, momentum velocity (Rate of Change), and position in range to avoid false positives and overstretched signals.
2. Potential Strength –> shown during neutral (Cash) periods.
- Two bars appear: one for bullish potential, another for bearish potential.
- These answer: “If the market were to move soon, which side has the edge?”
- Example: "↗ 68% / ↘ 32%" means bulls have more pent-up energy or structure.
These bars provide pre-signal tension, helping traders anticipate breakouts or avoid traps during choppy periods.
🔸 HA Candle Phase (When Mode = HA Candles)
Instead of showing strength bars, this mode displays a phase label, interpreting the Heikin-Ashi candle structure in context of momentum and thresholds:
- Momentum Up / Down –> Strong impulse direction confirmed above or below dynamic bounds.
- Reversal Up / Down –> Early signs of potential reversals (price beyond bounds but opposite signal ).
- Continuation Up / Down –> Sustained movement after a signal confirmation (post-threshold cross).
- Chop –> Sideways indecisiveness, often signaling to reduce risk or await clarity.
- Neutral –> No active momentum or pattern signal.
This provides a narrative view of market behavior, ideal for discretionary traders who rely on visual rhythm and pattern recognition.
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5. 🧠 Optional Smart Configuration
Enable “Use Recommended Settings” to auto-configure:
• Optimized lengths
• Best-suited moving averages
• Signal type filters
• Volatility lookbacks
Perfect for those wanting precision without manual tuning.
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6.🧪 Use Cases by Mode Summary
🔹 Impulse Mode
Ideal for traders looking to capitalize on sharp breakouts or high-momentum reversals. This mode is built for speed and sensitivity, making it a go-to for scalping, reacting to news events, or identifying trends at their earliest inflection points.
🔹 Trend Mode
Engineered for longer-term positioning, this mode tracks sustained directional bias over time. Best suited for swing traders or those managing portfolio allocations, it's focused on the midline dynamics that define trend health and commitment.
🔹 HA Candles Mode
This mode filters out noise through smoothed Heikin-Ashi transformations, providing clean visual structure. It's perfect for discretionary traders, pattern recognizers, or those looking to enter pullbacks within broader trends. The phase system (e.g. Momentum, Reversal, Chop) adds narrative context to price action.
🔹 Statistical Deviation Mode
A quantitative engine for traders who thrive on volatility exploitation. By modeling deviations from mean behavior, it's particularly powerful in options strategies, regime detection, or scanning for expansion conditions. This mode excels when price breaks away from standard norms.
🔹 MACD Mode
The classic concept of momentum meets modern smoothing in this variant. Use this for confirmation, spotting divergences, or executing crossover-based strategies. MACD mode gives clarity in ambiguous zones, favoring structured continuation or reversal bias.
Each mode is uniquely crafted for a different style of trader and market environment, and switching between them transforms the entire engine’s behavior
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🧭 Conclusion
Adaptive Pulsar Momentum isn’t just a signal tool, it’s a market intelligence system. Whether you’re scalping volatility, swinging trends, or navigating uncertain chop, APM dynamically adjusts to the rhythm of the market. With precision-tuned signal modes, a smart strength matrix, and plug-and-play configuration, it transforms raw momentum into actionable clarity.
📌 Trade with Statistical Precision | Powered by QuantEdgeB
🔹 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results.
🔹 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
Six Meridian Divine Swords [theUltimator5]The Six Meridian Divine Sword is a legendary martial arts technique in the classic wuxia novel “Demi-Gods and Semi-Devils” (天龙八部) by Jin Yong (金庸). The technique uses powerful internal energy (qi) to shoot invisible sword-like energy beams from the six meridians of the hand. Each of the six fingers/meridians corresponds to a “sword,” giving six different sword energies.
The Six Meridian Divine Swords indicator is a compact “signal dashboard” that fuses six classic indicators (fingers)—MACD, KDJ, RSI, LWR (Williams %R), BBI, and MTM—into one pane. Each row is a traffic-light dot (green/bullish, red/bearish, gray/neutral). When all six align, the script draws a confirmation line (“All Bullish” or “All Bearish”). It’s designed for quick consensus reads across trend, momentum, and overbought/oversold conditions.
How to Read the Dashboard
The pane has 6 horizontal rows (explained in depth later):
MACD
KDJ
RSI
LWR (Larry Williams %R)
BBI (Bull & Bear Index)
MTM (Momentum)
Each tick in the row is a dot, with sentiment identified by a color.
Green = bullish condition met
Red = bearish condition met
Gray = inside a neutral band (filtering chop), shown when Use Neutral (Gray) Colors is ON
There are two lines that track the dots on the top or bottom of the pane.
All Bullish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bullish (default color = white)
All Bearish Signal Line: appears only if all 6 are strongly bearish (default color = fuchsia)
The Six Meridians (Indicators) — What They Mean:
1) MACD — Trend & Momentum
What it is: A trend-following momentum indicator based on the relationship between two moving averages (typically 12-EMA and 26-EMA)
Logic used: Classic MACD line (EMA12−EMA26) vs its 9-EMA signal.
Bullish: MACD > Signal and |MACD−Signal| > Neutral Threshold
Bearish: MACD < Signal and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Small crosses can whipsaw. The neutral band ignores tiny separations to reduce noise.
Inputs: Fast/Slow/Signal lengths, Neutral Threshold.
2) KDJ — Stochastic with J-line boost
What it is: A variation of the stochastic oscillator popular in Chinese trading systems
Logic used: K = SMA(Stochastic, smooth), D = SMA(K, smooth), J = 3K − 2D.
Bullish: K > D and |K−D| > 2
Bearish: K < D and |K−D| > 2
Neutral: |K−D| ≤ 2
Why: K–D separation filters tiny wiggles; J offers an “extreme” early-warning context in the value label.
Inputs: Length, Smoothing.
3) RSI — Momentum balance (0–100)
What it is: A momentum oscillator measuring speed and magnitude of price changes (0–100)
Logic used: RSI(N).
Bullish: RSI > 50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: RSI < 50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Centerline/adaptive bands (around 50) give a directional bias without relying on fixed 70/30.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around 50).
4) LWR (Williams %R) — Overbought/Oversold
What it is: An oscillator similar to stochastic, measuring how close the close is to the high-low range over N periods
Logic used: %R over N bars (0 to −100).
Bullish: %R > −50 + Neutral Zone
Bearish: %R < −50 − Neutral Zone
Neutral: Between those bands
Why: Uses a centered band around −50 instead of only −20/−80, making it act like a directional filter.
Inputs: Length, Neutral Zone (± around −50).
5) BBI (Bull & Bear Index) — Smoothed trend bias
What it is: A composite moving average, essentially the average of several different moving averages (often 3, 6, 12, 24 periods)
Logic used: Average of 4 SMAs (3/6/12/24 by default):
BBI = (MA3 + MA6 + MA12 + MA24) / 4
Bullish: Close > BBI and |Close−BBI| > 0.2% of BBI
Bearish: Close < BBI and |diff| > threshold
Neutral: |diff| ≤ threshold
Why: Multiple MAs blended together reduce single-MA whipsaw. A dynamic 0.2% band ignores tiny drift.
Inputs: 4 lengths (default 3/6/12/24). Threshold is auto-scaled at 0.2% of BBI.
6) MTM (Momentum) — Rate of change in price
What it is: A simple measure of rate of change
Logic used: MTM = Close − Close
Bullish: MTM > 0.5% of Close
Bearish: MTM < −0.5% of Close
Neutral: |MTM| ≤ threshold
Why: A percent-based gate adapts across prices (e.g., $5 vs $500) and mutes insignificant moves.
Inputs: Length. Threshold auto-scaled to 0.5% of current Close.
Display & Inputs You Can Tweak
🎨 Use Neutral (Gray) Colors
ON (default): 3-color mode with clear “no-trade”/“weak” states.
OFF: classic binary (green/red) without neutral filtering.
Nasdaq Sentiment DashboardBuilds a composite sentiment state — RISK-ON / NEUTRAL / RISK-OFF — using three legs:
Volatility: CBOE VXN vs its moving average and absolute thresholds (risk-on when low & below MA; risk-off when high & above MA).
Breadth (quality of participation): QQEW/QQQ ratio vs its MA (equal-weight beating cap-weight = healthier breadth).
Advance/Decline (intraday breadth): advdec.nq vs its MA, with a magnitude filter (ignores tiny A/D days).
How it works
Pulls each series on your chosen signal timeframe (default Daily).
Creates binary signals per leg:
Vol: volOn if VXN < MA and < vxnLower; volOff if VXN > MA and > vxnUpper.
Breadth: brOn if QQEW/QQQ is above its MA by a deadband; brOff if below.
A/D: adOn if A/D > MA and above adMin; adOff if below MA and < -adMin.
Scores each leg (+1 on, −1 off, 0 neutral) → sums to −3…+3.
State rule (default): RISK-ON if score ≥ +2, RISK-OFF if ≤ −2, else NEUTRAL (i.e., need 2 of 3 to agree).
Detects flips (changes in state) and provides alert conditions that fire only on the flip bar.
What you see
Lines for VXN & MA, QQEW/QQQ & MA, A/D & MA.
Background color shows current composite state.
Triangle markers on the flip bar (up for ON, down for OFF).
A top-right table summarizing state, each leg vs its MA, and the composite score.
How to tune
Vol thresholds: vxnLower / vxnUpper.
Breadth whipsaw control: deadbandBps around the ratio’s MA.
A/D sensitivity: adMin and adMaLen.
Stricter regime: require all 3 to agree by changing the state line to score == 3 / -3.
Timeless Command | QuantEdgeB🔍 Overview
Timeless Command is a multi-asset, multi-timeframe “sentiment dashboard” built around a custom Universal Strategy. It fuses two independent proprietary oscillators into one normalized signal, then snapshots that signal across six user-chosen assets and six user-chosen timeframes—right on your price chart. You instantly see whether Bitcoin, Ethereum, Gold, the U.S. Dollar Index, the S&P 500 or the Nasdaq are “Bullish” or “Bearish” from the 2-day down to the 15-minute horizon, plus an overall bias and bar-color overlays.
✨ Key Features
• 🧠 Universal Strategy
o Combines two independent strategic modules into a single oscillator.
o Applies upper/lower thresholds to generate Long/Short/Neutral signals.
• 🌐 Multi-Asset, Multi-TF Grid
o Up to six symbols (e.g. BTC, ETH, SPX, NDX, GOLD, DXY).
o Six configurable timeframes (days, hours, minutes).
o Automatic conversion of “4H” → “240” minutes for seamless request.security calls.
• 📊 Live Sentiment Table
o Arrow icons per asset/timeframe (“⬆️” vs “⬇️”).
o Per-asset average bias (“Bullish” / “Bearish” / “Neutral”), color-coded.
o Clean, right-aligned table overlay with asset labels and timeframe headers.
• 🎨 Chart Overlays
o Bar coloring driven by the first asset’s average TPI bias.
o Two EMAs (default 12/21) filled to show trend direction.
o Optional mini info table to explain bar-color logic.
⚙️ How It Works
1. Signal Calculation
o Applies thresholds (±0.1) to yield discrete signals from a Universal Strategy: +1 (long), –1 (short), 0 (neutral).
2. Multi-TF Signal Gathering
o For each asset, the script uses request.security to pull the TPI on each selected timeframe, locking values at bar close for consistency.
o Converts each reading into a binary direction (up/down).
3. Averaging & Labeling
o Averages the six directional values per asset to gauge overall bias.
o Renders a “Bullish” or “Bearish” label (or “Neutral” if exactly zero).
4. Visual Overlay
o Bar Color: The chart’s candles recolor based on the first asset’s average bias—blue for bullish, orange for bearish, gray for neutral.
o EMAs: Two exponential moving averages sweep the chart, filled to highlight trending regimes.
5. Dashboard Table
o Rows = assets, columns = timeframes + “Average” column.
o Each cell shows an arrow icon with background shading.
o Last column spells out the per-asset average bias in styled text and color.
🎯 Who Should Use It
• Macro Traders who want a quick cross-market heatmap.
• Multi-Asset Strategists balancing exposure across crypto, equities, FX and commodities.
• Systematic & Discretionary players looking for unified, threshold-based signals.
• Risk Managers needing a real-time sentinel on regime shifts across key markets.
⚙️ Default Settings
• Assets: BTCUSD, ETHUSD, SPX, NDX, GOLD, DXY
• Timeframes: 2D, 1D, 12H, 4H, 1H, 15m
• Thresholds: ±0.1 for long/short entries
📌 Conclusion
With Timeless Command, you gain an at-a-glance “command center” for cross-market sentiment. It turns complex, multi-TF oscillator data into a simple arrow-and-table view, coloring your price bars to reinforce the prevailing bias. Whether you’re hunting trend continuations, regime changes or mean-reversion setups, this overlay gives you the high-level context you need—without digging through six different charts.
🔹 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy can guarantee success in financial markets.
🔹 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
BTC/USD sainBTC/USD 30s Trend-Following Alert v2
Description
This script is designed for short-term trading on BTC/USD, especially for 30-second entries.
It combines EMA (trend direction) and RSI (momentum filter) to generate trend-following buy/sell alerts.
• Core logic
1. EMA (Exponential Moving Average) identifies the main market direction.
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index) checks overbought/oversold conditions within the short-term trend.
3. A signal appears only when both conditions align with the trend, filtering out weak entries.
• Entry conditions
・High (BUY): Price closes above EMA and RSI is above the high threshold → bullish continuation.
・Low (SELL): Price closes below EMA and RSI is below the low threshold → bearish continuation.
• Features
・Simple but effective trend-following method for very short timeframes.
・Customizable parameters: EMA length, RSI length, RSI thresholds.
・Clear chart labels (“HIGH” / “LOW”) with real-time alerts for automated or manual trading decisions.
• Usage
Apply on lower timeframes (e.g., 30s–1m) to catch quick trend continuations.
Signals can be used for scalping or binary options style entries.
• Disclaimer
This script does not guarantee profits. Always manage risk and combine with price action or additional confirmation tools.
EMA Trend Regime Filter by JaeheeOverview
This indicator defines bullish/bearish regimes using a five-EMA stack and emits one signal per confirmed regime flip. Optional ATR gap gating and an ADX gate require structure and strength before a switch is confirmed. An optional, subtle center line improves readability. This is not a strategy and it does not execute trades.
Note: This tool is not the ATR-based Supertrend; it uses EMA stacking with ATR/ADX gating.
Why this combination (originality & value)
• EMA stacking provides a clear directional framework.
• ATR gap gating filters compressed/fragile stacks by requiring each adjacent EMA distance to exceed ATR × multiplier.
• A state machine limits signals to one per direction change, reducing alert fatigue.
• Confirm bars + ADX gate elevate the quality of regime recognition under directional pressure.
Together, these components interact to emphasize durable regime shifts while curbing noise typical of sideways phases.
How it works (concept)
EMA stack: Bullish when EMA1 > EMA2 > EMA3 > EMA4 > EMA5; bearish is the reverse.
ATR spacing (optional): When enabled, each EMA gap must exceed ATR × k to qualify for a flip.
Confirmation streak: Conditions must persist for confirmBars before a flip is validated.
Trend-strength gate: A flip is allowed only when ADX ≥ adxMin.
Flip & signal: On validation, a single marker/label is emitted; duplicates are suppressed.
Visual layer (optional): Subtle background/center line for context; visuals do not affect logic.
Why it’s useful
• Regime clarity: A binary bullish/bearish state reduces decision fatigue and aligns your playbook with market context.
• Counter-trend filter: In a bullish regime, counter-trend shorts are discouraged; in a bearish regime, counter-trend longs are discouraged—until the regime flips.
• Signal economy: One signal per confirmed flip helps avoid alert fatigue and over-trading.
• Volatility awareness: ATR gap gating filters compressed EMA stacks that often precede whipsaws.
• Strength confirmation: The ADX gate requires directional pressure before a switch is allowed.
Practical workflows (how it can be used)
• HTF compass (e.g., H4): Use a higher timeframe such as the 4-hour chart to set directional bias; execute on your lower timeframe with your own triggers and risk rules.
• Alignment rule: Trade in the direction of the active regime—prefer long setups during a bullish regime and short setups during a bearish regime—until a confirmed flip occurs.
• Pullback playbook: In a bullish regime, consider pullbacks to structure/MA confluence; in a bearish regime, consider rallies into resistance. Always size risk independently of the indicator.
• Parameter tuning: Adapt confirmBars, ATR × multiplier, and ADX minimum to the instrument’s volatility. Higher thresholds generally reduce noise but may delay flips.
• Alerts/automation: Set alerts on regime flips but confirm on bar close; intrabar values can update.
Context note (BTC, H4)
On higher timeframes such as the 4-hour chart, trends are often more stable. For BTC, the regime can help distinguish whether the broader market is trending up or down: when the H4 regime is bullish, favor long-side opportunities even if lower-timeframe candles retrace; when the regime turns bearish, favor short-side opportunities. This is context, not signals—entries/exits and risk management remain your responsibility.
Key inputs
• EMA lengths (1–5), Confirm Bars, Min Spacing by ATR
• ADX Length, ADX Minimum
• Visualization toggles (background opacity, center line, label/marker colors)
Alerts
• EMA REGIME LONG — fires once on a confirmed bullish regime
• EMA REGIME SHORT — fires once on a confirmed bearish regime
Notes & limitations
• Designed without future-bar references. Values can update intrabar, so confirm on close before acting on signals.
• This is an indicator for study purposes; it does not place trades.
• Parameters may require tuning across symbols/timeframes.
• Publish with a clean chart so the indicator’s output is clearly identifiable.
• Use on standard bar types (e.g., candles). Non-standard chart types can yield unrealistic behavior for signal logic.
Franco Varacalli binary options |ENGLISH|
What if you could know, with mathematical precision, when your trades have the highest probability of success?
Franco V. ~ Stats is not just an indicator: it’s a real-time performance tracking and analysis system that transforms price action into clear, actionable metrics.
🔍 What it does
It analyzes candle sequences and detects changes in price dynamics, filtering opportunities according to your settings (buy only, sell only, or both). From there, it records each entry, counts wins and losses, and calculates success probabilities for different scenarios.
🛠 How it works (core concepts)
-Evaluates proportional relationships between open, close, high, and low prices.
-Detects shifts in the balance of buying/selling pressure.
-Classifies trades by the number of prior consecutive losses.
-Calculates success probabilities based on accumulated historical data.
📈 What you get
-On-chart table showing entries, wins, losses, and win percentage.
-Dynamic colors to instantly spot the best-performing scenarios.
-Optional arrows marking moments when conditions are met.
-Filters and thresholds to adapt the analysis to your trading style.
💡 How to use it
-Set your preferred signal type and consecutive loss threshold.
-Monitor the table to see which sequences show higher probability.
-Use the signals as a reference and confirm with your own technical analysis.
⚠ Disclaimer: This tool is designed for market analysis and performance tracking. It should be used in combination with your own research, risk management, and decision-making process.
Franco Varacalli
FlowScape PredictorFlowScape Predictor is a non-repainting, regime-aware entry qualifier that turns complex market context into two readiness scores (Long & Short, each 0/25/50/75/100) and clean, confirmed-bar signals. It blends three orthogonal pillars so you act only when trend energy, momentum, and location agree:
Regime (energy): ATR-normalized linear-regression slope of a smooth HMA → EMA baseline, gated by ADX to confirm when pressure is meaningful.
Momentum (push): RSI slope alignment so price has directional follow-through, not just drift.
Structure (location): proximity to pivot-confirmed swings, scaled by ATR, so “ready” appears near constructive pullbacks—not mid-trend chases.
A soft ATR cloud wraps the baseline for context. A yellow Predictive Baseline extends beyond the last bar to visualize near-term trajectory. It is visual-only: scores/alerts never use it.
What you see
Baseline line that turns green/red when regime is strong in that direction; gray when weak.
ATR cloud around the baseline (context for stretch and pullbacks).
Scores (Long & Short, 0–100 in steps of 25) and optional “L/S” icons on bar close.
Yellow Predictive Baseline that extends to the right for a few bars (visual trajectory of the smoothed baseline).
The scoring system (simple and transparent)
Each side (Long/Short) sums four binary checks, 25 points each:
Regime aligned: trendStrong is true and LR slope sign favors that side.
Momentum aligned: RSI side (>50 for Long, <50 for Short) and RSI slope confirms direction.
Baseline side: price is above (Long) / below (Short) the baseline.
Location constructive: distance from the last confirmed pivot is healthy (ATR-scaled; not overstretched).
Valid totals are 0, 25, 50, 75, 100.
Best-quality signal: 100/0 (your side/opposite) on bar close.
Good, still valid: 75/0, especially when the missing block is only “location” right as price re-engages the cloud/baseline.
Avoid: 75/25 or any opposition > 0 in a weak (gray) regime.
The Predictive (Kalman) line — what it is and isn’t
The yellow line is a visual forward extension of the smoothed baseline to help you see the current trajectory and time pullback resumptions. It does not predict price and is excluded from scores and alerts.
How it’s built (plain English):
We maintain a one-dimensional Kalman state x as a smoothed estimate of the baseline. Each bar we observe the current baseline z.
The filter adjusts its trust using the Kalman gain K = P / (P + R) and updates:
x := x + K*(z − x), then P := (1 − K)*P + Q.
Q (process noise): Higher Q → expects faster change → tracks turns quicker (less smoothing).
R (measurement noise): Higher R → trusts raw baseline less → smoother, steadier projection.
What you control:
Lead (how many bars forward to draw).
Kalman Q/R (visual smoothness vs. responsiveness).
Toggle the line on/off if you prefer a minimal chart.
Important: The predictive line extends the baseline, not price. It’s a visual timing aid—don’t automate off it.
How to use (step-by-step)
Keep the chart clean and use a standard OHLC/candlestick chart.
Read the regime: Prefer trades with green/red baseline (trendStrong = true).
Check scores on bar close:
Take Long 100 / Short 0 or Long 75 / Short 0 when the chart shows a tidy pullback re-engaging the cloud/baseline.
Mirror the logic for shorts.
Confirm location: If price is > ~1.5 ATR from its reference pivot, let it come back—avoid chasing.
Set alerts: Add an alert on Long Ready or Short Ready; these fire on closed bars only.
Risk management: Use ATR-buffered stops beyond the recent pivot; target fixed-R multiples (e.g., 1.5–3.0R). Manage the trade with the baseline/cloud if you trail.
Best-practice playbook (quick rules)
Green light: 100/0 (best) or 75/0 (good) on bar close in a colored (non-gray) regime.
Location first: Prefer entries near the baseline/cloud right after a pullback, not far above/below it.
Avoid mixed signals: Skip 75/25 and anything with opposition while the baseline is gray.
Use the yellow line with discretion: It helps you see rhythm; it’s not a signal source.
Timeframes & tuning (practical defaults)
Intraday indices/FX (5m–15m): Demand 100/0 in chop; allow 75/0 when ADX is awake and pullback is clean.
Crypto intraday (15m–1h): Prefer 100/0; 75/0 on the first pullback after a regime turn.
Swing (1h–4h/D1): 75/0 is often sufficient; 100/0 is excellent (fewer but cleaner signals).
If choppy: raise ADX threshold, raise the readiness bar (insist on 100/0), or lengthen the RSI slope window.
What makes FlowScape different
Energy-first regime filter: ATR-normalized LR slope + ADX gate yields a consistent read of trend quality across symbols and timeframes.
Location-aware entries: ATR-scaled pivot proximity discourages mid-air chases, encouraging pullback timing.
Separation of concerns: The predictive line is visual-only, while scores/alerts are confirmed on close for non-repainting behavior.
One simple score per side: A single 0–100 readiness figure is easier to tune than juggling multiple indicators.
Transparency & limitations
Scores are coarse by design (25-point blocks). They’re a gatekeeper, not a promise of outcomes.
Pivots confirm after right-side bars, so structure signals appear after swings form (non-repainting by design).
Avoid using non-standard chart types (Heikin Ashi, Renko, Range, etc.) for signals; use a clean, standard chart.
No lookahead, no higher-timeframe requests; alerts fire on closed bars only.
Kelly Position Size CalculatorThis position sizing calculator implements the Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. at Bell Laboratories in 1956, to determine mathematically optimal position sizes for maximizing long-term wealth growth. Unlike arbitrary position sizing methods, this tool provides a scientifically solution based on your strategy's actual performance statistics and incorporates modern refinements from over six decades of academic research.
The Kelly Criterion addresses a fundamental question in capital allocation: "What fraction of capital should be allocated to each opportunity to maximize growth while avoiding ruin?" This question has profound implications for financial markets, where traders and investors constantly face decisions about optimal capital allocation (Van Tharp, 2007).
Theoretical Foundation
The Kelly Criterion for binary outcomes is expressed as f* = (bp - q) / b, where f* represents the optimal fraction of capital to allocate, b denotes the risk-reward ratio, p indicates the probability of success, and q represents the probability of loss (Kelly, 1956). This formula maximizes the expected logarithm of wealth, ensuring maximum long-term growth rate while avoiding the risk of ruin.
The mathematical elegance of Kelly's approach lies in its derivation from information theory. Kelly's original work was motivated by Claude Shannon's information theory (Shannon, 1948), recognizing that maximizing the logarithm of wealth is equivalent to maximizing the rate of information transmission. This connection between information theory and wealth accumulation provides a deep theoretical foundation for optimal position sizing.
The logarithmic utility function underlying the Kelly Criterion naturally embodies several desirable properties for capital management. It exhibits decreasing marginal utility, penalizes large losses more severely than it rewards equivalent gains, and focuses on geometric rather than arithmetic mean returns, which is appropriate for compounding scenarios (Thorp, 2006).
Scientific Implementation
This calculator extends beyond basic Kelly implementation by incorporating state of the art refinements from academic research:
Parameter Uncertainty Adjustment: Following Michaud (1989), the implementation applies Bayesian shrinkage to account for parameter estimation error inherent in small sample sizes. The adjustment formula f_adjusted = f_kelly × confidence_factor + f_conservative × (1 - confidence_factor) addresses the overconfidence bias documented by Baker and McHale (2012), where the confidence factor increases with sample size and the conservative estimate equals 0.25 (quarter Kelly).
Sample Size Confidence: The reliability of Kelly calculations depends critically on sample size. Research by Browne and Whitt (1996) provides theoretical guidance on minimum sample requirements, suggesting that at least 30 independent observations are necessary for meaningful parameter estimates, with 100 or more trades providing reliable estimates for most trading strategies.
Universal Asset Compatibility: The calculator employs intelligent asset detection using TradingView's built-in symbol information, automatically adapting calculations for different asset classes without manual configuration.
ASSET SPECIFIC IMPLEMENTATION
Equity Markets: For stocks and ETFs, position sizing follows the calculation Shares = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Share Price). This straightforward approach reflects whole share constraints while accommodating fractional share trading capabilities.
Foreign Exchange Markets: Forex markets require lot-based calculations following Lot Size = Kelly Fraction × Account Size / (100,000 × Base Currency Value). The calculator automatically handles major currency pairs with appropriate pip value calculations, following industry standards described by Archer (2010).
Futures Markets: Futures position sizing accounts for leverage and margin requirements through Contracts = floor(Kelly Fraction × Account Size / Margin Requirement). The calculator estimates margin requirements as a percentage of contract notional value, with specific adjustments for micro-futures contracts that have smaller sizes and reduced margin requirements (Kaufman, 2013).
Index and Commodity Markets: These markets combine characteristics of both equity and futures markets. The calculator automatically detects whether instruments are cash-settled or futures-based, applying appropriate sizing methodologies with correct point value calculations.
Risk Management Integration
The calculator integrates sophisticated risk assessment through two primary modes:
Stop Loss Integration: When fixed stop-loss levels are defined, risk calculation follows Risk per Trade = Position Size × Stop Loss Distance. This ensures that the Kelly fraction accounts for actual risk exposure rather than theoretical maximum loss, with stop-loss distance measured in appropriate units for each asset class.
Strategy Drawdown Assessment: For discretionary exit strategies, risk estimation uses maximum historical drawdown through Risk per Trade = Position Value × (Maximum Drawdown / 100). This approach assumes that individual trade losses will not exceed the strategy's historical maximum drawdown, providing a reasonable estimate for strategies with well-defined risk characteristics.
Fractional Kelly Approaches
Pure Kelly sizing can produce substantial volatility, leading many practitioners to adopt fractional Kelly approaches. MacLean, Sanegre, Zhao, and Ziemba (2004) analyze the trade-offs between growth rate and volatility, demonstrating that half-Kelly typically reduces volatility by approximately 75% while sacrificing only 25% of the growth rate.
The calculator provides three primary Kelly modes to accommodate different risk preferences and experience levels. Full Kelly maximizes growth rate while accepting higher volatility, making it suitable for experienced practitioners with strong risk tolerance and robust capital bases. Half Kelly offers a balanced approach popular among professional traders, providing optimal risk-return balance by reducing volatility significantly while maintaining substantial growth potential. Quarter Kelly implements a conservative approach with low volatility, recommended for risk-averse traders or those new to Kelly methodology who prefer gradual introduction to optimal position sizing principles.
Empirical Validation and Performance
Extensive academic research supports the theoretical advantages of Kelly sizing. Hakansson and Ziemba (1995) provide a comprehensive review of Kelly applications in finance, documenting superior long-term performance across various market conditions and asset classes. Estrada (2008) analyzes Kelly performance in international equity markets, finding that Kelly-based strategies consistently outperform fixed position sizing approaches over extended periods across 19 developed markets over a 30-year period.
Several prominent investment firms have successfully implemented Kelly-based position sizing. Pabrai (2007) documents the application of Kelly principles at Berkshire Hathaway, noting Warren Buffett's concentrated portfolio approach aligns closely with Kelly optimal sizing for high-conviction investments. Quantitative hedge funds, including Renaissance Technologies and AQR, have incorporated Kelly-based risk management into their systematic trading strategies.
Practical Implementation Guidelines
Successful Kelly implementation requires systematic application with attention to several critical factors:
Parameter Estimation: Accurate parameter estimation represents the greatest challenge in practical Kelly implementation. Brown (1976) notes that small errors in probability estimates can lead to significant deviations from optimal performance. The calculator addresses this through Bayesian adjustments and confidence measures.
Sample Size Requirements: Users should begin with conservative fractional Kelly approaches until achieving sufficient historical data. Strategies with fewer than 30 trades may produce unreliable Kelly estimates, regardless of adjustments. Full confidence typically requires 100 or more independent trade observations.
Market Regime Considerations: Parameters that accurately describe historical performance may not reflect future market conditions. Ziemba (2003) recommends regular parameter updates and conservative adjustments when market conditions change significantly.
Professional Features and Customization
The calculator provides comprehensive customization options for professional applications:
Multiple Color Schemes: Eight professional color themes (Gold, EdgeTools, Behavioral, Quant, Ocean, Fire, Matrix, Arctic) with dark and light theme compatibility ensure optimal visibility across different trading environments.
Flexible Display Options: Adjustable table size and position accommodate various chart layouts and user preferences, while maintaining analytical depth and clarity.
Comprehensive Results: The results table presents essential information including asset specifications, strategy statistics, Kelly calculations, sample confidence measures, position values, risk assessments, and final position sizes in appropriate units for each asset class.
Limitations and Considerations
Like any analytical tool, the Kelly Criterion has important limitations that users must understand:
Stationarity Assumption: The Kelly Criterion assumes that historical strategy statistics represent future performance characteristics. Non-stationary market conditions may invalidate this assumption, as noted by Lo and MacKinlay (1999).
Independence Requirement: Each trade should be independent to avoid correlation effects. Many trading strategies exhibit serial correlation in returns, which can affect optimal position sizing and may require adjustments for portfolio applications.
Parameter Sensitivity: Kelly calculations are sensitive to parameter accuracy. Regular calibration and conservative approaches are essential when parameter uncertainty is high.
Transaction Costs: The implementation incorporates user-defined transaction costs but assumes these remain constant across different position sizes and market conditions, following Ziemba (2003).
Advanced Applications and Extensions
Multi-Asset Portfolio Considerations: While this calculator optimizes individual position sizes, portfolio-level applications require additional considerations for correlation effects and aggregate risk management. Simplified portfolio approaches include treating positions independently with correlation adjustments.
Behavioral Factors: Behavioral finance research reveals systematic biases that can interfere with Kelly implementation. Kahneman and Tversky (1979) document loss aversion, overconfidence, and other cognitive biases that lead traders to deviate from optimal strategies. Successful implementation requires disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations.
Time-Varying Parameters: Advanced implementations may incorporate time-varying parameter models that adjust Kelly recommendations based on changing market conditions, though these require sophisticated econometric techniques and substantial computational resources.
Comprehensive Usage Instructions and Practical Examples
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on your desired trading instrument's chart. The system automatically detects asset type across stocks, forex, futures, and cryptocurrency markets while extracting current price information. Navigation to the indicator settings allows input of your specific strategy parameters.
Strategy statistics configuration requires careful attention to several key metrics. The win rate should be calculated from your backtest results using the formula of winning trades divided by total trades multiplied by 100. Average win represents the sum of all profitable trades divided by the number of winning trades, while average loss calculates the sum of all losing trades divided by the number of losing trades, entered as a positive number. The total historical trades parameter requires the complete number of trades in your backtest, with a minimum of 30 trades recommended for basic functionality and 100 or more trades optimal for statistical reliability. Account size should reflect your available trading capital, specifically the risk capital allocated for trading rather than total net worth.
Risk management configuration adapts to your specific trading approach. The stop loss setting should be enabled if you employ fixed stop-loss exits, with the stop loss distance specified in appropriate units depending on the asset class. For stocks, this distance is measured in dollars, for forex in pips, and for futures in ticks. When stop losses are not used, the maximum strategy drawdown percentage from your backtest provides the risk assessment baseline. Kelly mode selection offers three primary approaches: Full Kelly for aggressive growth with higher volatility suitable for experienced practitioners, Half Kelly for balanced risk-return optimization popular among professional traders, and Quarter Kelly for conservative approaches with reduced volatility.
Display customization ensures optimal integration with your trading environment. Eight professional color themes provide optimization for different chart backgrounds and personal preferences. Table position selection allows optimal placement within your chart layout, while table size adjustment ensures readability across different screen resolutions and viewing preferences.
Detailed Practical Examples
Example 1: SPY Swing Trading Strategy
Consider a professionally developed swing trading strategy for SPY (S&P 500 ETF) with backtesting results spanning 166 total trades. The strategy achieved 110 winning trades, representing a 66.3% win rate, with an average winning trade of $2,200 and average losing trade of $862. The maximum drawdown reached 31.4% during the testing period, and the available trading capital amounts to $25,000. This strategy employs discretionary exits without fixed stop losses.
Implementation requires loading the calculator on the SPY daily chart and configuring the parameters accordingly. The win rate input receives 66.3, while average win and loss inputs receive 2200 and 862 respectively. Total historical trades input requires 166, with account size set to 25000. The stop loss function remains disabled due to the discretionary exit approach, with maximum strategy drawdown set to 31.4%. Half Kelly mode provides the optimal balance between growth and risk management for this application.
The calculator generates several key outputs for this scenario. The risk-reward ratio calculates automatically to 2.55, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 53% before scientific adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 166 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 27% after Half Kelly and Bayesian adjustment factors. Position value reaches approximately $6,750, translating to 16 shares at a $420 SPY price. Risk per trade amounts to approximately $2,110, representing 31.4% of position value, with expected value per trade reaching approximately $1,466. This recommendation represents the mathematically optimal balance between growth potential and risk management for this specific strategy profile.
Example 2: EURUSD Day Trading with Stop Losses
A high-frequency EURUSD day trading strategy demonstrates different parameter requirements compared to swing trading approaches. This strategy encompasses 89 total trades with a 58% win rate, generating an average winning trade of $180 and average losing trade of $95. The maximum drawdown reached 12% during testing, with available capital of $10,000. The strategy employs fixed stop losses at 25 pips and take profit targets at 45 pips, providing clear risk-reward parameters.
Implementation begins with loading the calculator on the EURUSD 1-hour chart for appropriate timeframe alignment. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 58, average win at 180, and average loss at 95. Total historical trades input receives 89, with account size set to 10000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 25 pips, reflecting the fixed exit strategy. Quarter Kelly mode provides conservative positioning due to the smaller sample size compared to the previous example.
Results demonstrate the impact of smaller sample sizes on Kelly calculations. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 1.89, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 32% before adjustments. Sample confidence achieves 89%, providing moderate statistical confidence given the 89 trades. The recommended position settles at approximately 7% after Quarter Kelly application and Bayesian shrinkage adjustment for the smaller sample. Position value amounts to approximately $700, translating to 0.07 standard lots. Risk per trade reaches approximately $175, calculated as 25 pips multiplied by lot size and pip value, with expected value per trade at approximately $49. This conservative position sizing reflects the smaller sample size, with position sizes expected to increase as trade count surpasses 100 and statistical confidence improves.
Example 3: ES1! Futures Systematic Strategy
Systematic futures trading presents unique considerations for Kelly criterion application, as demonstrated by an E-mini S&P 500 futures strategy encompassing 234 total trades. This systematic approach achieved a 45% win rate with an average winning trade of $1,850 and average losing trade of $720. The maximum drawdown reached 18% during the testing period, with available capital of $50,000. The strategy employs 15-tick stop losses with contract specifications of $50 per tick, providing precise risk control mechanisms.
Implementation involves loading the calculator on the ES1! 15-minute chart to align with the systematic trading timeframe. Parameter configuration includes win rate at 45, average win at 1850, and average loss at 720. Total historical trades receives 234, providing robust statistical foundation, with account size set to 50000. The stop loss function is enabled with distance set to 15 ticks, reflecting the systematic exit methodology. Half Kelly mode balances growth potential with appropriate risk management for futures trading.
Results illustrate how favorable risk-reward ratios can support meaningful position sizing despite lower win rates. The risk-reward ratio calculates to 2.57, while the Kelly fraction reaches approximately 16%, lower than previous examples due to the sub-50% win rate. Sample confidence achieves 100% given the 234 trades providing high statistical confidence. The recommended position settles at approximately 8% after Half Kelly adjustment. Estimated margin per contract amounts to approximately $2,500, resulting in a single contract allocation. Position value reaches approximately $2,500, with risk per trade at $750, calculated as 15 ticks multiplied by $50 per tick. Expected value per trade amounts to approximately $508. Despite the lower win rate, the favorable risk-reward ratio supports meaningful position sizing, with single contract allocation reflecting appropriate leverage management for futures trading.
Example 4: MES1! Micro-Futures for Smaller Accounts
Micro-futures contracts provide enhanced accessibility for smaller trading accounts while maintaining identical strategy characteristics. Using the same systematic strategy statistics from the previous example but with available capital of $15,000 and micro-futures specifications of $5 per tick with reduced margin requirements, the implementation demonstrates improved position sizing granularity.
Kelly calculations remain identical to the full-sized contract example, maintaining the same risk-reward dynamics and statistical foundations. However, estimated margin per contract reduces to approximately $250 for micro-contracts, enabling allocation of 4-5 micro-contracts. Position value reaches approximately $1,200, while risk per trade calculates to $75, derived from 15 ticks multiplied by $5 per tick. This granularity advantage provides better position size precision for smaller accounts, enabling more accurate Kelly implementation without requiring large capital commitments.
Example 5: Bitcoin Swing Trading
Cryptocurrency markets present unique challenges requiring modified Kelly application approaches. A Bitcoin swing trading strategy on BTCUSD encompasses 67 total trades with a 71% win rate, generating average winning trades of $3,200 and average losing trades of $1,400. Maximum drawdown reached 28% during testing, with available capital of $30,000. The strategy employs technical analysis for exits without fixed stop losses, relying on price action and momentum indicators.
Implementation requires conservative approaches due to cryptocurrency volatility characteristics. Quarter Kelly mode is recommended despite the high win rate to account for crypto market unpredictability. Expected position sizing remains reduced due to the limited sample size of 67 trades, requiring additional caution until statistical confidence improves. Regular parameter updates are strongly recommended due to cryptocurrency market evolution and changing volatility patterns that can significantly impact strategy performance characteristics.
Advanced Usage Scenarios
Portfolio position sizing requires sophisticated consideration when running multiple strategies simultaneously. Each strategy should have its Kelly fraction calculated independently to maintain mathematical integrity. However, correlation adjustments become necessary when strategies exhibit related performance patterns. Moderately correlated strategies should receive individual position size reductions of 10-20% to account for overlapping risk exposure. Aggregate portfolio risk monitoring ensures total exposure remains within acceptable limits across all active strategies. Professional practitioners often consider using lower fractional Kelly approaches, such as Quarter Kelly, when running multiple strategies simultaneously to provide additional safety margins.
Parameter sensitivity analysis forms a critical component of professional Kelly implementation. Regular validation procedures should include monthly parameter updates using rolling 100-trade windows to capture evolving market conditions while maintaining statistical relevance. Sensitivity testing involves varying win rates by ±5% and average win/loss ratios by ±10% to assess recommendation stability under different parameter assumptions. Out-of-sample validation reserves 20% of historical data for parameter verification, ensuring that optimization doesn't create curve-fitted results. Regime change detection monitors actual performance against expected metrics, triggering parameter reassessment when significant deviations occur.
Risk management integration requires professional overlay considerations beyond pure Kelly calculations. Daily loss limits should cease trading when daily losses exceed twice the calculated risk per trade, preventing emotional decision-making during adverse periods. Maximum position limits should never exceed 25% of account value in any single position regardless of Kelly recommendations, maintaining diversification principles. Correlation monitoring reduces position sizes when holding multiple correlated positions that move together during market stress. Volatility adjustments consider reducing position sizes during periods of elevated VIX above 25 for equity strategies, adapting to changing market conditions.
Troubleshooting and Optimization
Professional implementation often encounters specific challenges requiring systematic troubleshooting approaches. Zero position size displays typically result from insufficient capital for minimum position sizes, negative expected values, or extremely conservative Kelly calculations. Solutions include increasing account size, verifying strategy statistics for accuracy, considering Quarter Kelly mode for conservative approaches, or reassessing overall strategy viability when fundamental issues exist.
Extremely high Kelly fractions exceeding 50% usually indicate underlying problems with parameter estimation. Common causes include unrealistic win rates, inflated risk-reward ratios, or curve-fitted backtest results that don't reflect genuine trading conditions. Solutions require verifying backtest methodology, including all transaction costs in calculations, testing strategies on out-of-sample data, and using conservative fractional Kelly approaches until parameter reliability improves.
Low sample confidence below 50% reflects insufficient historical trades for reliable parameter estimation. This situation demands gathering additional trading data, using Quarter Kelly approaches until reaching 100 or more trades, applying extra conservatism in position sizing, and considering paper trading to build statistical foundations without capital risk.
Inconsistent results across similar strategies often stem from parameter estimation differences, market regime changes, or strategy degradation over time. Professional solutions include standardizing backtest methodology across all strategies, updating parameters regularly to reflect current conditions, and monitoring live performance against expectations to identify deteriorating strategies.
Position sizes that appear inappropriately large or small require careful validation against traditional risk management principles. Professional standards recommend never risking more than 2-3% per trade regardless of Kelly calculations. Calibration should begin with Quarter Kelly approaches, gradually increasing as comfort and confidence develop. Most institutional traders utilize 25-50% of full Kelly recommendations to balance growth with prudent risk management.
Market condition adjustments require dynamic approaches to Kelly implementation. Trending markets may support full Kelly recommendations when directional momentum provides favorable conditions. Ranging or volatile markets typically warrant reducing to Half or Quarter Kelly to account for increased uncertainty. High correlation periods demand reducing individual position sizes when multiple positions move together, concentrating risk exposure. News and event periods often justify temporary position size reductions during high-impact releases that can create unpredictable market movements.
Performance monitoring requires systematic protocols to ensure Kelly implementation remains effective over time. Weekly reviews should compare actual versus expected win rates and average win/loss ratios to identify parameter drift or strategy degradation. Position size efficiency and execution quality monitoring ensures that calculated recommendations translate effectively into actual trading results. Tracking correlation between calculated and realized risk helps identify discrepancies between theoretical and practical risk exposure.
Monthly calibration provides more comprehensive parameter assessment using the most recent 100 trades to maintain statistical relevance while capturing current market conditions. Kelly mode appropriateness requires reassessment based on recent market volatility and performance characteristics, potentially shifting between Full, Half, and Quarter Kelly approaches as conditions change. Transaction cost evaluation ensures that commission structures, spreads, and slippage estimates remain accurate and current.
Quarterly strategic reviews encompass comprehensive strategy performance analysis comparing long-term results against expectations and identifying trends in effectiveness. Market regime assessment evaluates parameter stability across different market conditions, determining whether strategy characteristics remain consistent or require fundamental adjustments. Strategic modifications to position sizing methodology may become necessary as markets evolve or trading approaches mature, ensuring that Kelly implementation continues supporting optimal capital allocation objectives.
Professional Applications
This calculator serves diverse professional applications across the financial industry. Quantitative hedge funds utilize the implementation for systematic position sizing within algorithmic trading frameworks, where mathematical precision and consistent application prove essential for institutional capital management. Professional discretionary traders benefit from optimized position management that removes emotional bias while maintaining flexibility for market-specific adjustments. Portfolio managers employ the calculator for developing risk-adjusted allocation strategies that enhance returns while maintaining prudent risk controls across diverse asset classes and investment strategies.
Individual traders seeking mathematical optimization of capital allocation find the calculator provides institutional-grade methodology previously available only to professional money managers. The Kelly Criterion establishes theoretical foundation for optimal capital allocation across both single strategies and multiple trading systems, offering significant advantages over arbitrary position sizing methods that rely on intuition or fixed percentage approaches. Professional implementation ensures consistent application of mathematically sound principles while adapting to changing market conditions and strategy performance characteristics.
Conclusion
The Kelly Criterion represents one of the few mathematically optimal solutions to fundamental investment problems. When properly understood and carefully implemented, it provides significant competitive advantage in financial markets. This calculator implements modern refinements to Kelly's original formula while maintaining accessibility for practical trading applications.
Success with Kelly requires ongoing learning, systematic application, and continuous refinement based on market feedback and evolving research. Users who master Kelly principles and implement them systematically can expect superior risk-adjusted returns and more consistent capital growth over extended periods.
The extensive academic literature provides rich resources for deeper study, while practical experience builds the intuition necessary for effective implementation. Regular parameter updates, conservative approaches with limited data, and disciplined adherence to calculated recommendations are essential for optimal results.
References
Archer, M. D. (2010). Getting Started in Currency Trading: Winning in Today's Forex Market (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2012). An empirical Bayes approach to optimising betting strategies. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician), 61(1), 75-92.
Breiman, L. (1961). Optimal gambling systems for favorable games. In J. Neyman (Ed.), Proceedings of the Fourth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability (pp. 65-78). University of California Press.
Brown, D. B. (1976). Optimal portfolio growth: Logarithmic utility and the Kelly criterion. In W. T. Ziemba & R. G. Vickson (Eds.), Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance (pp. 1-23). Academic Press.
Browne, S., & Whitt, W. (1996). Portfolio choice and the Bayesian Kelly criterion. Advances in Applied Probability, 28(4), 1145-1176.
Estrada, J. (2008). Geometric mean maximization: An overlooked portfolio approach? The Journal of Investing, 17(4), 134-147.
Hakansson, N. H., & Ziemba, W. T. (1995). Capital growth theory. In R. A. Jarrow, V. Maksimovic, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), Handbooks in Operations Research and Management Science (Vol. 9, pp. 65-86). Elsevier.
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-291.
Kaufman, P. J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Kelly Jr, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926.
Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A. C. (1999). A Non-Random Walk Down Wall Street. Princeton University Press.
MacLean, L. C., Sanegre, E. O., Zhao, Y., & Ziemba, W. T. (2004). Capital growth with security. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 28(4), 937-954.
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Michaud, R. O. (1989). The Markowitz optimization enigma: Is 'optimized' optimal? Financial Analysts Journal, 45(1), 31-42.
Pabrai, M. (2007). The Dhandho Investor: The Low-Risk Value Method to High Returns. John Wiley & Sons.
Shannon, C. E. (1948). A mathematical theory of communication. Bell System Technical Journal, 27(3), 379-423.
Tharp, V. K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill.
Thorp, E. O. (2006). The Kelly criterion in blackjack sports betting, and the stock market. In L. C. MacLean, E. O. Thorp, & W. T. Ziemba (Eds.), The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice (pp. 789-832). World Scientific.
Van Tharp, K. (2007). Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom (2nd ed.). McGraw-Hill Education.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Vince, R., & Zhu, H. (2015). Optimal betting under parameter uncertainty. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 161, 19-31.
Ziemba, W. T. (2003). The Stochastic Programming Approach to Asset, Liability, and Wealth Management. The Research Foundation of AIMR.
Further Reading
For comprehensive understanding of Kelly Criterion applications and advanced implementations:
MacLean, L. C., Thorp, E. O., & Ziemba, W. T. (2011). The Kelly Capital Growth Investment Criterion: Theory and Practice. World Scientific.
Vince, R. (1992). The Mathematics of Money Management: Risk Analysis Techniques for Traders. John Wiley & Sons.
Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House.
Cover, T. M., & Thomas, J. A. (2006). Elements of Information Theory (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Ziemba, W. T., & Vickson, R. G. (Eds.). (2006). Stochastic Optimization Models in Finance. World Scientific.
HyperChannelThought for 1m 33sHyperChannel Exhaustion Indicator
Overview
This open-source indicator creates a dynamic volatility channel to identify trend directions and potential support/resistance levels, while incorporating momentum analysis, trend strength assessment, and a composite exhaustion metric to highlight possible trend fatigue and reversal points. The core idea is to combine volatility adaptation with multi-layered exhaustion signals, providing a unified tool that goes beyond standalone channels or oscillators. By integrating these elements, it offers a comprehensive view: the channel tracks price within volatile bounds, momentum detects strength or weakening, and exhaustion quantifies reversal risks—allowing users to spot continuations in strong trends or prepare for reversals during fatigue. This synergy creates a unique, actionable framework not found in isolated indicators, helping users make informed decisions across various market conditions.
The indicator builds on public domain concepts like ATR-based channels and standard exhaustion ratios (with credits to Franklin Moormann for foundational exhaustion logic, significantly enhanced here through integration and scoring). Improvements include a custom composite score weighting multiple factors, adaptive coloring for visual clarity, and a dashboard for quick stats—resulting in a tool that's more than a simple merge, but a cohesive system for trend management.
Key Features
Volatility Channel: Plots adaptive upper and lower bands based on smoothed true range multiples around a price midpoint, with trend confirmation requiring consecutive closes beyond bands for reliability.
Momentum Layer: Uses averaged relative changes across varying periods to flag strong impulses or pullbacks, enhancing channel breakouts with contextual strength.
Trend Strength: Differentiates strong trends from ranges or transitions, altering band colors for intuitive reading (e.g., vibrant in trends, subdued otherwise).
Exhaustion Metrics:
A ratio-based signal comparing price advances to highs, smoothed to detect fading momentum.
A composite score (0-100%) aggregating normalized exhaustion, divergence flags, and volume surges—low scores suggest trend health, medium warn of fatigue, high indicate reversal potential.
Visuals:
Band plots (active/inactive) with fills for trend highlighting.
Circles on candles for pullback warnings.
Candle coloring: Dark shades for robust trends (e.g., deep green/up, maroon/down), lighter/warning tones (yellow/up, orange/down) for weakening phases.
Divergence labels on price vs. momentum for hidden/regular setups.
Dashboard: Compact table with trend, risk score (integrated exhaustion), composite value, regime, and higher-timeframe levels; background gradients from green (low risk) to red (high) for at-a-glance reversal probability.
Alerts: For channel events, momentum shifts, exhaustion thresholds, and signals.
How It Works
The indicator operates on core technical concepts without relying on external data:
Channel Construction: Starts with true range (high-low, gaps) smoothed over a period (default 120) to form ATR. Bands are midpoint ± ATR multiple (default 3.0), tightened/loosened based on closes and momentum to avoid whipsaws. Trends flip only after confirmed breaches (default 2 bars), reducing false signals.
Momentum Calculation: Aggregates percentage changes from short to long moving averages (defaults 10-200 periods), smoothed into dynamic thresholds. This detects "strong" (beyond multiples) vs. "exhausting" (pullbacks below fractions), feeding into channel logic and warnings.
Strength and Regime: ADX (default period 14) classifies markets: above high threshold (25) as trending, below low (20) as ranging, in-between as transitioning (with bias if rising and momentum aligns).
Exhaustion and Scoring:
Compares cumulative closes above priors vs. new highs, smoothed (default length 10) into a slope: positive/negative for bull/bear, intensifying for strength.
Composite score weights this normalization (40%), binary divergence checks on a standard oscillator (30%), and volume ratios (30%)—scaled to 0-100%. Thresholds (e.g., 80 for high) trigger color shifts.
Reversal risk (0-100%) blends exhaustion depth, divergences, unconfirmed bars, and the score—labeled Low (<30%), Medium (30-70%), High (>70%).
These interact: e.g., channel bands adjust with momentum, exhaustion colors candles/dashboard, creating a feedback loop for holistic analysis.
Usage Suggestions
Setup: Add to a clean chart (no other indicators unless combining for confluence, e.g., with volume—explain in notes). Use defaults for most assets; tweak ATR period/multiplier for volatility (shorter for crypto, longer for stocks). Set higher timeframe (default 60min) for context.
Interpreting Trends: Green-filled uptrends (active support band) signal buys on pullbacks; red downtrends for shorts. Vibrant colors indicate ADX strength—trade with trend.
Spotting Exhaustion/Reversals: Watch for yellow/orange candles (weakening signal) or circles (pullback warnings). Composite >80% (red dashboard cell) or high risk (yellow/orange table background) suggests exits/preparation. Divergences add confirmation: bullish (green label) near supports, bearish (red) at resistances.
Regimes: Trending: Follow channel breaks. Ranging: Fade extremes. Transitioning: Wait for emerging bias.
Alerts: Enable for real-time notifications—e.g., high exhaustion for potential tops/bottoms.
Customization: Adjust weights for risk sensitivity (e.g., boost exhaustion for conservative trading). Test on historical data to align with strategy; aim for balanced risk (e.g., <5% per trade).
This tool visualizes concepts like volatility clustering and momentum divergence, aiding in trend-following or mean-reversion setups. Always combine with personal analysis—it's not a signal generator but a decision aid.
Credits and Notes
Builds on public domain ATR/ADX ideas; exhaustion ratio inspired by Franklin Moormann (cheatcountry), with major enhancements like multi-momentum integration, composite scoring, and visual/dashboard features for originality.
Compliant with Pine v6; open-source for community use. No ads/guarantees—past performance isn't indicative. Manage risk; this is educational. For chart: Publish clean, with this script only, showing clear outputs.
Altcoin Breadth | QuantumResearch🔹 Altcoin Breadth | QuantumResearch
Purpose:
Altcoin Breadth measures the strength of the altcoin market by tracking how many assets trade above key moving averages (50-day and 200-day). It offers a normalized view of trend participation across 40 major crypto assets.
How It Works:
For each of the 40 altcoins:
The script checks whether the asset's current price is above its 50-day and/or 200-day simple moving average.
Each condition counts as a binary "1" (trend up) or "0" (trend down).
The total values are averaged, yielding two normalized values between 0 and 1:
Breadth 50: % of assets above their 50 SMA
Breadth 200: % of assets above their 200 SMA
Visual Display:
Plots Breadth 50 and Breadth 200 separately as two gradient-colored lines.
Dynamic labels at the latest bar indicate current breadth values.
Optional bar coloring to reflect underlying breadth momentum.
Key Features:
Evaluates short-term and long-term trend strength across the altcoin sector.
Dynamic visualization of market participation breadth.
Clear trend shifts and sector-wide bullish/bearish transitions.
Separate toggles to show either Breadth 50, Breadth 200, or both.
Trading Application:
Identify broad altcoin uptrends or breakdowns.
Use Breadth 200 for macro confirmation; Breadth 50 for tactical shifts.
Align altcoin exposure with healthy trend participation levels.
⚠️ Breadth tools offer market-wide context, not individual entry signals. Use in combination with trend or momentum indicators.
Disclaimer: Past performance does not guarantee future results. This tool is intended for informational and educational use only. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile and involve high risk.
Fear Volatility Gate [by Oberlunar]The Fear Volatility Gate by Oberlunar is a filter designed to enhance operational prudence by leveraging volatility-based risk indices. Its architecture is grounded in the empirical observation that sudden shifts in implied volatility often precede instability across financial markets. By dynamically interpreting signals from globally recognized "fear indices", such as the VIX, the indicator aims to identify periods of elevated systemic uncertainty and, accordingly, restrict or flag potential trade entries.
The rationale behind the Fear Volatility Gate is rooted in the understanding that implied volatility represents a forward-looking estimate of market risk. When volatility indices rise sharply, it reflects increased demand for options and a broader perception of uncertainty. In such contexts, price movements can become less predictable, more erratic, and often decoupled from technical structures. Rather than relying on price alone, this filter provides an external perspective—derived from derivative markets—on whether current conditions justify caution.
The indicator operates in two primary modes: single-source and composite . In the single-source configuration, a user-defined volatility index is monitored individually. In composite mode, the filter can synthesize input from multiple indices simultaneously, offering a more comprehensive macro-risk assessment. The filtering logic is adaptable, allowing signals to be combined using inclusive (ANY), strict (ALL), or majority consensus logic. This allows the trader to tailor sensitivity based on the operational context or asset class.
The indices available for selection cover a broad spectrum of market sectors. In the equity domain, the filter supports the CBOE Volatility Index ( CBOE:VIX VIX) for the S&P 500, the Nasdaq-100 Volatility Index ( CBOE:VXN VXN), the Russell 2000 Volatility Index ( CBOEFTSE:RVX RVX), and the Dow Jones Volatility Index ( CBOE:VXD VXD). For commodities, it integrates the Crude Oil Volatility Index ( CBOE:OVX ), the Gold Volatility Index ( CBOE:GVZ ), and the Silver Volatility Index ( CBOE:VXSLV ). From the fixed income perspective, it includes the ICE Bank of America MOVE Index ( OKX:MOVEUSD ), the Volatility Index for the TLT ETF ( CBOE:VXTLT VXTLT), and the 5-Year Treasury Yield Index ( CBOE:FVX.P FVX). Within the cryptocurrency space, it incorporates the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility Index ( VOLMEX:BVIV BVIV), the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility Index ( VOLMEX:EVIV EVIV), the Deribit Bitcoin Volatility Index ( DERIBIT:DVOL DVOL), and the Deribit Ethereum Volatility Index ( DERIBIT:ETHDVOL ETHDVOL). Additionally, the user may define a custom instrument for specialized tracking.
To determine whether market conditions are considered high-risk, the indicator supports three modes of evaluation.
The moving average cross mode compares a fast Hull Moving Average to a slower one, triggering a signal when short-term volatility exceeds long-term expectations.
The Z-score mode standardizes current volatility relative to historical mean and standard deviation, identifying significant deviations that may indicate abnormal market stress.
The percentile mode ranks the current value against a historical distribution, providing a relative perspective particularly useful when dealing with non-normal or skewed distributions.
When at least one selected index meets the condition defined by the chosen mode, and if the filtering logic confirms it, the indicator can mark the trading environment as “blocked”. This status is visually highlighted through background color changes and symbolic markers on the chart. An optional tabular interface provides detailed diagnostics, including raw values, fast-slow MA comparison, Z-scores, percentile levels, and binary risk status for each active index.
The Fear Volatility Gate is not a predictive tool in itself but rather a dynamic constraint layer that reinforces discipline under conditions of macro instability. It is particularly valuable when trading systems are exposed to highly leveraged or short-duration strategies, where market noise and sentiment can temporarily override structural price behavior. By synchronizing trading signals with volatility regimes, the filter promotes a more cautious, informed approach to decision-making.
This approach does not assume that all volatility spikes are harmful or that market corrections are imminent. Rather, it acknowledges that periods of elevated implied volatility statistically coincide with increased execution risk, slippage, and spread widening, all of which may erode the profitability of even the most technically accurate setups.
Therefore, the Fear Volatility Gate acts as a protective mechanism.
Oberlunar 👁️⭐
Crypto Breadth | AlphaNatt\ Crypto Breadth | AlphaNatt\
A dynamic, visually modern market breadth indicator designed to track the strength of the top 40 cryptocurrencies by measuring how many are trading above their respective 50-day moving averages. Built with precision, branding consistency, and UI enhancements for fast interpretation.
\ 📊 What This Script Does\
* Aggregates the performance of \ 40 major cryptocurrencies\ on Binance
* Calculates a \ breadth score (0.00–1.00)\ based on how many tokens are above their moving averages
* Smooths the breadth with optional averaging
* Displays the result as a \ dynamic, color-coded line\ with aesthetic glow and gradient fill
* Provides automatic \ background zones\ for extreme bullish/bearish conditions
* Includes \ alerts\ for key threshold crossovers
* Highlights current values in an \ information panel\
\ 🧠 How It Works\
* Pulls real-time `close` prices for 40 coins (e.g., XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, PEPE, RENDER, etc.)
* Compares each coin's price to its 50-day SMA (adjustable)
* Assigns a binary score:
• 1 if the coin is above its MA
• 0 if it’s below
* Aggregates all results and divides by 40 to produce a normalized \ breadth percentage\
\ 🎨 Visual Design Features\
* Smooth blue-to-pink \ color gradient\ matching the AlphaNatt brand
* Soft \ glow effects\ on the main line for enhanced legibility
* Beautiful \ multi-stop fill gradient\ with 16 transition zones
* Optional \ background shading\ when extreme sentiment is detected:
• Bullish zone if breadth > 80%
• Bearish zone if breadth < 20%
\ ⚙️ User Inputs\
* \ Moving Average Length\ – Number of periods to calculate each coin’s SMA
* \ Smoothing Length\ – Smooths the final breadth value
* \ Show Background Zones\ – Toggle extreme sentiment overlays
* \ Show Gradient Fill\ – Toggle the modern multicolor area fill
\ 🛠️ Utility Table (Top Right)\
* Displays live breadth percentage
* Shows how many coins (e.g., 27/40) are currently above their MA
\ 🔔 Alerts Included\
* \ Breadth crosses above 50%\ → Bullish signal
* \ Breadth crosses below 50%\ → Bearish signal
* \ Breadth > 80%\ → Strong bullish trend
* \ Breadth < 20%\ → Strong bearish trend
\ 📈 Best Used For\
* Gauging overall market strength or weakness
* Timing trend transitions in the crypto market
* Confirming trend-based strategies with broad market support
* Visual dashboard in macro dashboards or strategy overlays
\ ✅ Designed For\
* Swing traders
* Quantitative investors
* Market structure analysts
* Anyone seeking a macro view of crypto performance
Note: Not financial advise
Mongoose Conflict Risk Radar v1.1 (Separate Panel) description
The Mongoose Capital: Risk Rotation Index is a macro market sentiment tool designed to detect elevated risk conditions by aggregating signals across key asset classes.
This script evaluates trend strength across 8 ETFs representing major risk-on and risk-off flows:
GLD – Gold
VIXY – Volatility
TLT – Long-Term Bonds
SPY – S&P 500
UUP – U.S. Dollar Index
EEM – Emerging Markets
SLV – Silver
FXI – China Large-Cap
Each asset is assigned a binary signal based on price position vs. its 21-period SMA (or a crossover for bonds). The signals are then totaled into a composite Risk Rotation Score, plotted as a bar graph.
How to Use
0–2 = Low risk-on behavior
3–4 = Caution / Mixed regime
5–8 = Elevated conflict or macro stress
Use this as a macro confirmation layer for trend entries, risk reduction, or allocation shifts.
Alerts
Set alerts when the index exceeds 5 to track major rotations into defensive assets.
Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)# Tensor Market Analysis Engine (TMAE)
## Advanced Multi-Dimensional Mathematical Analysis System
*Where Quantum Mathematics Meets Market Structure*
---
## 🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a revolutionary synthesis of three cutting-edge mathematical frameworks that have never before been combined for comprehensive market analysis. This indicator transcends traditional technical analysis by implementing advanced mathematical concepts from quantum mechanics, information theory, and fractal geometry.
### 🌊 Multi-Dimensional Volatility with Jump Detection
**Hawkes Process Implementation:**
The TMAE employs a sophisticated Hawkes process approximation for detecting self-exciting market jumps. Unlike traditional volatility measures that treat price movements as independent events, the Hawkes process recognizes that market shocks cluster and exhibit memory effects.
**Mathematical Foundation:**
```
Intensity λ(t) = μ + Σ α(t - Tᵢ)
```
Where market jumps at times Tᵢ increase the probability of future jumps through the decay function α, controlled by the Hawkes Decay parameter (0.5-0.99).
**Mahalanobis Distance Calculation:**
The engine calculates volatility jumps using multi-dimensional Mahalanobis distance across up to 5 volatility dimensions:
- **Dimension 1:** Price volatility (standard deviation of returns)
- **Dimension 2:** Volume volatility (normalized volume fluctuations)
- **Dimension 3:** Range volatility (high-low spread variations)
- **Dimension 4:** Correlation volatility (price-volume relationship changes)
- **Dimension 5:** Microstructure volatility (intrabar positioning analysis)
This creates a volatility state vector that captures market behavior impossible to detect with traditional single-dimensional approaches.
### 📐 Hurst Exponent Regime Detection
**Fractal Market Hypothesis Integration:**
The TMAE implements advanced Rescaled Range (R/S) analysis to calculate the Hurst exponent in real-time, providing dynamic regime classification:
- **H > 0.6:** Trending (persistent) markets - momentum strategies optimal
- **H < 0.4:** Mean-reverting (anti-persistent) markets - contrarian strategies optimal
- **H ≈ 0.5:** Random walk markets - breakout strategies preferred
**Adaptive R/S Analysis:**
Unlike static implementations, the TMAE uses adaptive windowing that adjusts to market conditions:
```
H = log(R/S) / log(n)
```
Where R is the range of cumulative deviations and S is the standard deviation over period n.
**Dynamic Regime Classification:**
The system employs hysteresis to prevent regime flipping, requiring sustained Hurst values before regime changes are confirmed. This prevents false signals during transitional periods.
### 🔄 Transfer Entropy Analysis
**Information Flow Quantification:**
Transfer entropy measures the directional flow of information between price and volume, revealing lead-lag relationships that indicate future price movements:
```
TE(X→Y) = Σ p(yₜ₊₁, yₜ, xₜ) log
```
**Causality Detection:**
- **Volume → Price:** Indicates accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume:** Suggests retail participation or momentum chasing
- **Balanced Flow:** Market equilibrium or transition periods
The system analyzes multiple lag periods (2-20 bars) to capture both immediate and structural information flows.
---
## 🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
### Core Parameters Group
**Primary Analysis Window (10-100, Default: 50)**
The fundamental lookback period affecting all calculations. Optimization by timeframe:
- **1-5 minute charts:** 20-30 (rapid adaptation to micro-movements)
- **15 minute-1 hour:** 30-50 (balanced responsiveness and stability)
- **4 hour-daily:** 50-100 (smooth signals, reduced noise)
- **Asset-specific:** Cryptocurrency 20-35, Stocks 35-50, Forex 40-60
**Signal Sensitivity (0.1-2.0, Default: 0.7)**
Master control affecting all threshold calculations:
- **Conservative (0.3-0.6):** High-quality signals only, fewer false positives
- **Balanced (0.7-1.0):** Optimal risk-reward ratio for most trading styles
- **Aggressive (1.1-2.0):** Maximum signal frequency, requires careful filtering
**Signal Generation Mode:**
- **Aggressive:** Any component signals (highest frequency)
- **Confluence:** 2+ components agree (balanced approach)
- **Conservative:** All 3 components align (highest quality)
### Volatility Jump Detection Group
**Volatility Dimensions (2-5, Default: 3)**
Determines the mathematical space complexity:
- **2D:** Price + Volume volatility (suitable for clean markets)
- **3D:** + Range volatility (optimal for most conditions)
- **4D:** + Correlation volatility (advanced multi-asset analysis)
- **5D:** + Microstructure volatility (maximum sensitivity)
**Jump Detection Threshold (1.5-4.0σ, Default: 3.0σ)**
Standard deviations required for volatility jump classification:
- **Cryptocurrency:** 2.0-2.5σ (naturally volatile)
- **Stock Indices:** 2.5-3.0σ (moderate volatility)
- **Forex Major Pairs:** 3.0-3.5σ (typically stable)
- **Commodities:** 2.0-3.0σ (varies by commodity)
**Jump Clustering Decay (0.5-0.99, Default: 0.85)**
Hawkes process memory parameter:
- **0.5-0.7:** Fast decay (jumps treated as independent)
- **0.8-0.9:** Moderate clustering (realistic market behavior)
- **0.95-0.99:** Strong clustering (crisis/event-driven markets)
### Hurst Exponent Analysis Group
**Calculation Method Options:**
- **Classic R/S:** Original Rescaled Range (fast, simple)
- **Adaptive R/S:** Dynamic windowing (recommended for trading)
- **DFA:** Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (best for noisy data)
**Trending Threshold (0.55-0.8, Default: 0.60)**
Hurst value defining persistent market behavior:
- **0.55-0.60:** Weak trend persistence
- **0.65-0.70:** Clear trending behavior
- **0.75-0.80:** Strong momentum regimes
**Mean Reversion Threshold (0.2-0.45, Default: 0.40)**
Hurst value defining anti-persistent behavior:
- **0.35-0.45:** Weak mean reversion
- **0.25-0.35:** Clear ranging behavior
- **0.15-0.25:** Strong reversion tendency
### Transfer Entropy Parameters Group
**Information Flow Analysis:**
- **Price-Volume:** Classic flow analysis for accumulation/distribution
- **Price-Volatility:** Risk flow analysis for sentiment shifts
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Cross-timeframe causality detection
**Maximum Lag (2-20, Default: 5)**
Causality detection window:
- **2-5 bars:** Immediate causality (scalping)
- **5-10 bars:** Short-term flow (day trading)
- **10-20 bars:** Structural flow (swing trading)
**Significance Threshold (0.05-0.3, Default: 0.15)**
Minimum entropy for signal generation:
- **0.05-0.10:** Detect subtle information flows
- **0.10-0.20:** Clear causality only
- **0.20-0.30:** Very strong flows only
---
## 🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
### Tensor Volatility Field Visualization
**Five-Layer Resonance Bands:**
The tensor field creates dynamic support/resistance zones that expand and contract based on mathematical field strength:
- **Core Layer (Purple):** Primary tensor field with highest intensity
- **Layer 2 (Neutral):** Secondary mathematical resonance
- **Layer 3 (Info Blue):** Tertiary harmonic frequencies
- **Layer 4 (Warning Gold):** Outer field boundaries
- **Layer 5 (Success Green):** Maximum field extension
**Field Strength Calculation:**
```
Field Strength = min(3.0, Mahalanobis Distance × Tensor Intensity)
```
The field amplitude adjusts to ATR and mathematical distance, creating dynamic zones that respond to market volatility.
**Radiation Line Network:**
During active tensor states, the system projects directional radiation lines showing field energy distribution:
- **8 Directional Rays:** Complete angular coverage
- **Tapering Segments:** Progressive transparency for natural visual flow
- **Pulse Effects:** Enhanced visualization during volatility jumps
### Dimensional Portal System
**Portal Mathematics:**
Dimensional portals visualize regime transitions using category theory principles:
- **Green Portals (◉):** Trending regime detection (appear below price for support)
- **Red Portals (◎):** Mean-reverting regime (appear above price for resistance)
- **Yellow Portals (○):** Random walk regime (neutral positioning)
**Tensor Trail Effects:**
Each portal generates 8 trailing particles showing mathematical momentum:
- **Large Particles (●):** Strong mathematical signal
- **Medium Particles (◦):** Moderate signal strength
- **Small Particles (·):** Weak signal continuation
- **Micro Particles (˙):** Signal dissipation
### Information Flow Streams
**Particle Stream Visualization:**
Transfer entropy creates flowing particle streams indicating information direction:
- **Upward Streams:** Volume leading price (accumulation phases)
- **Downward Streams:** Price leading volume (distribution phases)
- **Stream Density:** Proportional to information flow strength
**15-Particle Evolution:**
Each stream contains 15 particles with progressive sizing and transparency, creating natural flow visualization that makes information transfer immediately apparent.
### Fractal Matrix Grid System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Levels:**
The system calculates and displays fractal highs/lows across five Fibonacci periods:
- **8-Period:** Short-term fractal structure
- **13-Period:** Intermediate-term patterns
- **21-Period:** Primary swing levels
- **34-Period:** Major structural levels
- **55-Period:** Long-term fractal boundaries
**Triple-Layer Visualization:**
Each fractal level uses three-layer rendering:
- **Shadow Layer:** Widest, darkest foundation (width 5)
- **Glow Layer:** Medium white core line (width 3)
- **Tensor Layer:** Dotted mathematical overlay (width 1)
**Intelligent Labeling System:**
Smart spacing prevents label overlap using ATR-based minimum distances. Labels include:
- **Fractal Period:** Time-based identification
- **Topological Class:** Mathematical complexity rating (0, I, II, III)
- **Price Level:** Exact fractal price
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Current mathematical field strength
- **Hurst Exponent:** Current regime classification
- **Anomaly Indicators:** Visual strength representations (○ ◐ ● ⚡)
### Wick Pressure Analysis
**Rejection Level Mathematics:**
The system analyzes candle wick patterns to project future pressure zones:
- **Upper Wick Analysis:** Identifies selling pressure and resistance zones
- **Lower Wick Analysis:** Identifies buying pressure and support zones
- **Pressure Projection:** Extends lines forward based on mathematical probability
**Multi-Layer Glow Effects:**
Wick pressure lines use progressive transparency (1-8 layers) creating natural glow effects that make pressure zones immediately visible without cluttering the chart.
### Enhanced Regime Background
**Dynamic Intensity Mapping:**
Background colors reflect mathematical regime strength:
- **Deep Transparency (98% alpha):** Subtle regime indication
- **Pulse Intensity:** Based on regime strength calculation
- **Color Coding:** Green (trending), Red (mean-reverting), Neutral (random)
**Smoothing Integration:**
Regime changes incorporate 10-bar smoothing to prevent background flicker while maintaining responsiveness to genuine regime shifts.
### Color Scheme System
**Six Professional Themes:**
- **Dark (Default):** Professional trading environment optimization
- **Light:** High ambient light conditions
- **Classic:** Traditional technical analysis appearance
- **Neon:** High-contrast visibility for active trading
- **Neutral:** Minimal distraction focus
- **Bright:** Maximum visibility for complex setups
Each theme maintains mathematical accuracy while optimizing visual clarity for different trading environments and personal preferences.
---
## 📊 INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE DASHBOARD
### Tensor Field Status Section
**Field Strength Display:**
Real-time Mahalanobis distance calculation with dynamic emoji indicators:
- **⚡ (Lightning):** Extreme field strength (>1.5× threshold)
- **● (Solid Circle):** Strong field activity (>1.0× threshold)
- **○ (Open Circle):** Normal field state
**Signal Quality Rating:**
Democratic algorithm assessment:
- **ELITE:** All 3 components aligned (highest probability)
- **STRONG:** 2 components aligned (good probability)
- **GOOD:** 1 component active (moderate probability)
- **WEAK:** No clear component signals
**Threshold and Anomaly Monitoring:**
- **Threshold Display:** Current mathematical threshold setting
- **Anomaly Level (0-100%):** Combined volatility and volume spike measurement
- **>70%:** High anomaly (red warning)
- **30-70%:** Moderate anomaly (orange caution)
- **<30%:** Normal conditions (green confirmation)
### Tensor State Analysis Section
**Mathematical State Classification:**
- **↑ BULL (Tensor State +1):** Trending regime with bullish bias
- **↓ BEAR (Tensor State -1):** Mean-reverting regime with bearish bias
- **◈ SUPER (Tensor State 0):** Random walk regime (neutral)
**Visual State Gauge:**
Five-circle progression showing tensor field polarity:
- **🟢🟢🟢⚪⚪:** Strong bullish mathematical alignment
- **⚪⚪🟡⚪⚪:** Neutral/transitional state
- **⚪⚪🔴🔴🔴:** Strong bearish mathematical alignment
**Trend Direction and Phase Analysis:**
- **📈 BULL / 📉 BEAR / ➡️ NEUTRAL:** Primary trend classification
- **🌪️ CHAOS:** Extreme information flow (>2.0 flow strength)
- **⚡ ACTIVE:** Strong information flow (1.0-2.0 flow strength)
- **😴 CALM:** Low information flow (<1.0 flow strength)
### Trading Signals Section
**Real-Time Signal Status:**
- **🟢 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Long signal availability
- **🔴 ACTIVE / ⚪ INACTIVE:** Short signal availability
- **Components (X/3):** Active algorithmic components
- **Mode Display:** Current signal generation mode
**Signal Strength Visualization:**
Color-coded component count:
- **Green:** 3/3 components (maximum confidence)
- **Aqua:** 2/3 components (good confidence)
- **Orange:** 1/3 components (moderate confidence)
- **Gray:** 0/3 components (no signals)
### Performance Metrics Section
**Win Rate Monitoring:**
Estimated win rates based on signal quality with emoji indicators:
- **🔥 (Fire):** ≥60% estimated win rate
- **👍 (Thumbs Up):** 45-59% estimated win rate
- **⚠️ (Warning):** <45% estimated win rate
**Mathematical Metrics:**
- **Hurst Exponent:** Real-time fractal dimension (0.000-1.000)
- **Information Flow:** Volume/price leading indicators
- **📊 VOL:** Volume leading price (accumulation/distribution)
- **💰 PRICE:** Price leading volume (momentum/speculation)
- **➖ NONE:** Balanced information flow
- **Volatility Classification:**
- **🔥 HIGH:** Above 1.5× jump threshold
- **📊 NORM:** Normal volatility range
- **😴 LOW:** Below 0.5× jump threshold
### Market Structure Section (Large Dashboard)
**Regime Classification:**
- **📈 TREND:** Hurst >0.6, momentum strategies optimal
- **🔄 REVERT:** Hurst <0.4, contrarian strategies optimal
- **🎲 RANDOM:** Hurst ≈0.5, breakout strategies preferred
**Mathematical Field Analysis:**
- **Dimensions:** Current volatility space complexity (2D-5D)
- **Hawkes λ (Lambda):** Self-exciting jump intensity (0.00-1.00)
- **Jump Status:** 🚨 JUMP (active) / ✅ NORM (normal)
### Settings Summary Section (Large Dashboard)
**Active Configuration Display:**
- **Sensitivity:** Current master sensitivity setting
- **Lookback:** Primary analysis window
- **Theme:** Active color scheme
- **Method:** Hurst calculation method (Classic R/S, Adaptive R/S, DFA)
**Dashboard Sizing Options:**
- **Small:** Essential metrics only (mobile/small screens)
- **Normal:** Balanced information density (standard desktop)
- **Large:** Maximum detail (multi-monitor setups)
**Position Options:**
- **Top Right:** Standard placement (avoids price action)
- **Top Left:** Wide chart optimization
- **Bottom Right:** Recent price focus (scalping)
- **Bottom Left:** Maximum price visibility (swing trading)
---
## 🎯 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
### Multi-Component Convergence System
**Component Signal Architecture:**
The TMAE generates signals through sophisticated component analysis rather than simple threshold crossing:
**Volatility Component:**
- **Jump Detection:** Mahalanobis distance threshold breach
- **Hawkes Intensity:** Self-exciting process activation (>0.2)
- **Multi-dimensional:** Considers all volatility dimensions simultaneously
**Hurst Regime Component:**
- **Trending Markets:** Price above SMA-20 with positive momentum
- **Mean-Reverting Markets:** Price at Bollinger Band extremes
- **Random Markets:** Bollinger squeeze breakouts with directional confirmation
**Transfer Entropy Component:**
- **Volume Leadership:** Information flow from volume to price
- **Volume Spike:** Volume 110%+ above 20-period average
- **Flow Significance:** Above entropy threshold with directional bias
### Democratic Signal Weighting
**Signal Mode Implementation:**
- **Aggressive Mode:** Any single component triggers signal
- **Confluence Mode:** Minimum 2 components must agree
- **Conservative Mode:** All 3 components must align
**Momentum Confirmation:**
All signals require momentum confirmation:
- **Long Signals:** RSI >50 AND price >EMA-9
- **Short Signals:** RSI <50 AND price 0.6):**
- **Increase Sensitivity:** Catch momentum continuation
- **Lower Mean Reversion Threshold:** Avoid counter-trend signals
- **Emphasize Volume Leadership:** Institutional accumulation/distribution
- **Tensor Field Focus:** Use expansion for trend continuation
- **Signal Mode:** Aggressive or Confluence for trend following
**Range-Bound Markets (Hurst <0.4):**
- **Decrease Sensitivity:** Avoid false breakouts
- **Lower Trending Threshold:** Quick regime recognition
- **Focus on Price Leadership:** Retail sentiment extremes
- **Fractal Grid Emphasis:** Support/resistance trading
- **Signal Mode:** Conservative for high-probability reversals
**Volatile Markets (High Jump Frequency):**
- **Increase Hawkes Decay:** Recognize event clustering
- **Higher Jump Threshold:** Avoid noise signals
- **Maximum Dimensions:** Capture full volatility complexity
- **Reduce Position Sizing:** Risk management adaptation
- **Enhanced Visuals:** Maximum information for rapid decisions
**Low Volatility Markets (Low Jump Frequency):**
- **Decrease Jump Threshold:** Capture subtle movements
- **Lower Hawkes Decay:** Treat moves as independent
- **Reduce Dimensions:** Simplify analysis
- **Increase Position Sizing:** Capitalize on compressed volatility
- **Minimal Visuals:** Reduce distraction in quiet markets
---
## 🚀 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
### The Mathematical Convergence Method
**Entry Protocol:**
1. **Fractal Grid Approach:** Monitor price approaching significant fractal levels
2. **Tensor Field Confirmation:** Verify field expansion supporting direction
3. **Portal Signal:** Wait for dimensional portal appearance
4. **ELITE/STRONG Quality:** Only trade highest quality mathematical signals
5. **Component Consensus:** Confirm 2+ components agree in Confluence mode
**Example Implementation:**
- Price approaching 21-period fractal high
- Tensor field expanding upward (bullish mathematical alignment)
- Green portal appears below price (trending regime confirmation)
- ELITE quality signal with 3/3 components active
- Enter long position with stop below fractal level
**Risk Management:**
- **Stop Placement:** Below/above fractal level that generated signal
- **Position Sizing:** Based on Mahalanobis distance (higher distance = smaller size)
- **Profit Targets:** Next fractal level or tensor field resistance
### The Regime Transition Strategy
**Regime Change Detection:**
1. **Monitor Hurst Exponent:** Watch for persistent moves above/below thresholds
2. **Portal Color Change:** Regime transitions show different portal colors
3. **Background Intensity:** Increasing regime background intensity
4. **Mathematical Confirmation:** Wait for regime confirmation (hysteresis)
**Trading Implementation:**
- **Trending Transitions:** Trade momentum breakouts, follow trend
- **Mean Reversion Transitions:** Trade range boundaries, fade extremes
- **Random Transitions:** Trade breakouts with tight stops
**Advanced Techniques:**
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Confirm regime on higher timeframe
- **Early Entry:** Enter on regime transition rather than confirmation
- **Regime Strength:** Larger positions during strong regime signals
### The Information Flow Momentum Strategy
**Flow Detection Protocol:**
1. **Monitor Transfer Entropy:** Watch for significant information flow shifts
2. **Volume Leadership:** Strong edge when volume leads price
3. **Flow Acceleration:** Increasing flow strength indicates momentum
4. **Directional Confirmation:** Ensure flow aligns with intended trade direction
**Entry Signals:**
- **Volume → Price Flow:** Enter during accumulation/distribution phases
- **Price → Volume Flow:** Enter on momentum confirmation breaks
- **Flow Reversal:** Counter-trend entries when flow reverses
**Optimization:**
- **Scalping:** Use immediate flow detection (2-5 bar lag)
- **Swing Trading:** Use structural flow (10-20 bar lag)
- **Multi-Asset:** Compare flow between correlated assets
### The Tensor Field Expansion Strategy
**Field Mathematics:**
The tensor field expansion indicates mathematical pressure building in market structure:
**Expansion Phases:**
1. **Compression:** Field contracts, volatility decreases
2. **Tension Building:** Mathematical pressure accumulates
3. **Expansion:** Field expands rapidly with directional movement
4. **Resolution:** Field stabilizes at new equilibrium
**Trading Applications:**
- **Compression Trading:** Prepare for breakout during field contraction
- **Expansion Following:** Trade direction of field expansion
- **Reversion Trading:** Fade extreme field expansion
- **Multi-Dimensional:** Consider all field layers for confirmation
### The Hawkes Process Event Strategy
**Self-Exciting Jump Trading:**
Understanding that market shocks cluster and create follow-on opportunities:
**Jump Sequence Analysis:**
1. **Initial Jump:** First volatility jump detected
2. **Clustering Phase:** Hawkes intensity remains elevated
3. **Follow-On Opportunities:** Additional jumps more likely
4. **Decay Period:** Intensity gradually decreases
**Implementation:**
- **Jump Confirmation:** Wait for mathematical jump confirmation
- **Direction Assessment:** Use other components for direction
- **Clustering Trades:** Trade subsequent moves during high intensity
- **Decay Exit:** Exit positions as Hawkes intensity decays
### The Fractal Confluence System
**Multi-Timeframe Fractal Analysis:**
Combining fractal levels across different periods for high-probability zones:
**Confluence Zones:**
- **Double Confluence:** 2 fractal levels align
- **Triple Confluence:** 3+ fractal levels cluster
- **Mathematical Confirmation:** Tensor field supports the level
- **Information Flow:** Transfer entropy confirms direction
**Trading Protocol:**
1. **Identify Confluence:** Find 2+ fractal levels within 1 ATR
2. **Mathematical Support:** Verify tensor field alignment
3. **Signal Quality:** Wait for STRONG or ELITE signal
4. **Risk Definition:** Use fractal level for stop placement
5. **Profit Targeting:** Next major fractal confluence zone
---
## ⚠️ COMPREHENSIVE RISK MANAGEMENT
### Mathematical Position Sizing
**Mahalanobis Distance Integration:**
Position size should inversely correlate with mathematical field strength:
```
Position Size = Base Size × (Threshold / Mahalanobis Distance)
```
**Risk Scaling Matrix:**
- **Low Field Strength (<2.0):** Standard position sizing
- **Moderate Field Strength (2.0-3.0):** 75% position sizing
- **High Field Strength (3.0-4.0):** 50% position sizing
- **Extreme Field Strength (>4.0):** 25% position sizing or no trade
### Signal Quality Risk Adjustment
**Quality-Based Position Sizing:**
- **ELITE Signals:** 100% of planned position size
- **STRONG Signals:** 75% of planned position size
- **GOOD Signals:** 50% of planned position size
- **WEAK Signals:** No position or paper trading only
**Component Agreement Scaling:**
- **3/3 Components:** Full position size
- **2/3 Components:** 75% position size
- **1/3 Components:** 50% position size or skip trade
### Regime-Adaptive Risk Management
**Trending Market Risk:**
- **Wider Stops:** Allow for trend continuation
- **Trend Following:** Trade with regime direction
- **Higher Position Size:** Trend probability advantage
- **Momentum Stops:** Trail stops based on momentum indicators
**Mean-Reverting Market Risk:**
- **Tighter Stops:** Quick exits on trend continuation
- **Contrarian Positioning:** Trade against extremes
- **Smaller Position Size:** Higher reversal failure rate
- **Level-Based Stops:** Use fractal levels for stops
**Random Market Risk:**
- **Breakout Focus:** Trade only clear breakouts
- **Tight Initial Stops:** Quick exit if breakout fails
- **Reduced Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Range-Based Targets:** Profit targets at range boundaries
### Volatility-Adaptive Risk Controls
**High Volatility Periods:**
- **Reduced Position Size:** Account for wider price swings
- **Wider Stops:** Avoid noise-based exits
- **Lower Frequency:** Skip marginal setups
- **Faster Exits:** Take profits more quickly
**Low Volatility Periods:**
- **Standard Position Size:** Normal risk parameters
- **Tighter Stops:** Take advantage of compressed ranges
- **Higher Frequency:** Trade more setups
- **Extended Targets:** Allow for compressed volatility expansion
### Multi-Timeframe Risk Alignment
**Higher Timeframe Trend:**
- **With Trend:** Standard or increased position size
- **Against Trend:** Reduced position size or skip
- **Neutral Trend:** Standard position size with tight management
**Risk Hierarchy:**
1. **Primary:** Current timeframe signal quality
2. **Secondary:** Higher timeframe trend alignment
3. **Tertiary:** Mathematical field strength
4. **Quaternary:** Market regime classification
---
## 📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE AND MATHEMATICAL CONCEPTS
### Advanced Mathematical Concepts
**Tensor Analysis in Markets:**
The TMAE introduces traders to tensor analysis, a branch of mathematics typically reserved for physics and advanced engineering. Tensors provide a framework for understanding multi-dimensional market relationships that scalar and vector analysis cannot capture.
**Information Theory Applications:**
Transfer entropy implementation teaches traders about information flow in markets, a concept from information theory that quantifies directional causality between variables. This provides intuition about market microstructure and participant behavior.
**Fractal Geometry in Trading:**
The Hurst exponent calculation exposes traders to fractal geometry concepts, helping understand that markets exhibit self-similar patterns across multiple timeframes. This mathematical insight transforms how traders view market structure.
**Stochastic Process Theory:**
The Hawkes process implementation introduces concepts from stochastic process theory, specifically self-exciting point processes. This provides mathematical framework for understanding why market events cluster and exhibit memory effects.
### Learning Progressive Complexity
**Beginner Mathematical Concepts:**
- **Volatility Dimensions:** Understanding multi-dimensional analysis
- **Regime Classification:** Learning market personality types
- **Signal Democracy:** Algorithmic consensus building
- **Visual Mathematics:** Interpreting mathematical concepts visually
**Intermediate Mathematical Applications:**
- **Mahalanobis Distance:** Statistical distance in multi-dimensional space
- **Rescaled Range Analysis:** Fractal dimension measurement
- **Information Entropy:** Quantifying uncertainty and causality
- **Field Theory:** Understanding mathematical fields in market context
**Advanced Mathematical Integration:**
- **Tensor Field Dynamics:** Multi-dimensional market force analysis
- **Stochastic Self-Excitation:** Event clustering and memory effects
- **Categorical Composition:** Mathematical signal combination theory
- **Topological Market Analysis:** Understanding market shape and connectivity
### Practical Mathematical Intuition
**Developing Market Mathematics Intuition:**
The TMAE serves as a bridge between abstract mathematical concepts and practical trading applications. Traders develop intuitive understanding of:
- **How markets exhibit mathematical structure beneath apparent randomness**
- **Why multi-dimensional analysis reveals patterns invisible to single-variable approaches**
- **How information flows through markets in measurable, predictable ways**
- **Why mathematical models provide probabilistic edges rather than certainties**
---
## 🔬 IMPLEMENTATION AND OPTIMIZATION
### Getting Started Protocol
**Phase 1: Observation (Week 1)**
1. **Apply with defaults:** Use standard settings on your primary trading timeframe
2. **Study visual elements:** Learn to interpret tensor fields, portals, and streams
3. **Monitor dashboard:** Observe how metrics change with market conditions
4. **No trading:** Focus entirely on pattern recognition and understanding
**Phase 2: Pattern Recognition (Week 2-3)**
1. **Identify signal patterns:** Note what market conditions produce different signal qualities
2. **Regime correlation:** Observe how Hurst regimes affect signal performance
3. **Visual confirmation:** Learn to read tensor field expansion and portal signals
4. **Component analysis:** Understand which components drive signals in different markets
**Phase 3: Parameter Optimization (Week 4-5)**
1. **Asset-specific tuning:** Adjust parameters for your specific trading instrument
2. **Timeframe optimization:** Fine-tune for your preferred trading timeframe
3. **Sensitivity adjustment:** Balance signal frequency with quality
4. **Visual customization:** Optimize colors and intensity for your trading environment
**Phase 4: Live Implementation (Week 6+)**
1. **Paper trading:** Test signals with hypothetical trades
2. **Small position sizing:** Begin with minimal risk during learning phase
3. **Performance tracking:** Monitor actual vs. expected signal performance
4. **Continuous optimization:** Refine settings based on real performance data
### Performance Monitoring System
**Signal Quality Tracking:**
- **ELITE Signal Win Rate:** Track highest quality signals separately
- **Component Performance:** Monitor which components provide best signals
- **Regime Performance:** Analyze performance across different market regimes
- **Timeframe Analysis:** Compare performance across different session times
**Mathematical Metric Correlation:**
- **Field Strength vs. Performance:** Higher field strength should correlate with better performance
- **Component Agreement vs. Win Rate:** More component agreement should improve win rates
- **Regime Alignment vs. Success:** Trading with mathematical regime should outperform
### Continuous Optimization Process
**Monthly Review Protocol:**
1. **Performance Analysis:** Review win rates, profit factors, and maximum drawdown
2. **Parameter Assessment:** Evaluate if current settings remain optimal
3. **Market Adaptation:** Adjust for changes in market character or volatility
4. **Component Weighting:** Consider if certain components should receive more/less emphasis
**Quarterly Deep Analysis:**
1. **Mathematical Model Validation:** Verify that mathematical relationships remain valid
2. **Regime Distribution:** Analyze time spent in different market regimes
3. **Signal Evolution:** Track how signal characteristics change over time
4. **Correlation Analysis:** Monitor correlations between different mathematical components
---
## 🌟 UNIQUE INNOVATIONS AND CONTRIBUTIONS
### Revolutionary Mathematical Integration
**First-Ever Implementations:**
1. **Multi-Dimensional Volatility Tensor:** First indicator to implement true tensor analysis for market volatility
2. **Real-Time Hawkes Process:** First trading implementation of self-exciting point processes
3. **Transfer Entropy Trading Signals:** First practical application of information theory for trade generation
4. **Democratic Component Voting:** First algorithmic consensus system for signal generation
5. **Fractal-Projected Signal Quality:** First system to predict signal quality at future price levels
### Advanced Visualization Innovations
**Mathematical Visualization Breakthroughs:**
- **Tensor Field Radiation:** Visual representation of mathematical field energy
- **Dimensional Portal System:** Category theory visualization for regime transitions
- **Information Flow Streams:** Real-time visual display of market information transfer
- **Multi-Layer Fractal Grid:** Intelligent spacing and projection system
- **Regime Intensity Mapping:** Dynamic background showing mathematical regime strength
### Practical Trading Innovations
**Trading System Advances:**
- **Quality-Weighted Signal Generation:** Signals rated by mathematical confidence
- **Regime-Adaptive Strategy Selection:** Automatic strategy optimization based on market personality
- **Anti-Spam Signal Protection:** Mathematical prevention of signal clustering
- **Component Performance Tracking:** Real-time monitoring of algorithmic component success
- **Field-Strength Position Sizing:** Mathematical volatility integration for risk management
---
## ⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE AND LIMITATIONS
### Mathematical Model Limitations
**Understanding Model Boundaries:**
While the TMAE implements sophisticated mathematical concepts, traders must understand fundamental limitations:
- **Markets Are Not Purely Mathematical:** Human psychology, news events, and fundamental factors create unpredictable elements
- **Past Performance Limitations:** Mathematical relationships that worked historically may not persist indefinitely
- **Model Risk:** Complex models can fail during unprecedented market conditions
- **Overfitting Potential:** Highly optimized parameters may not generalize to future market conditions
### Proper Implementation Guidelines
**Risk Management Requirements:**
- **Never Risk More Than 2% Per Trade:** Regardless of signal quality
- **Diversification Mandatory:** Don't rely solely on mathematical signals
- **Position Sizing Discipline:** Use mathematical field strength for sizing, not confidence
- **Stop Loss Non-Negotiable:** Every trade must have predefined risk parameters
**Realistic Expectations:**
- **Mathematical Edge, Not Certainty:** The indicator provides probabilistic advantages, not guaranteed outcomes
- **Learning Curve Required:** Complex mathematical concepts require time to master
- **Market Adaptation Necessary:** Parameters must evolve with changing market conditions
- **Continuous Education Important:** Understanding underlying mathematics improves application
### Ethical Trading Considerations
**Market Impact Awareness:**
- **Information Asymmetry:** Advanced mathematical analysis may provide advantages over other market participants
- **Position Size Responsibility:** Large positions based on mathematical signals can impact market structure
- **Sharing Knowledge:** Consider educational contributions to trading community
- **Fair Market Participation:** Use mathematical advantages responsibly within market framework
### Professional Development Path
**Skill Development Sequence:**
1. **Basic Mathematical Literacy:** Understand fundamental concepts before advanced application
2. **Risk Management Mastery:** Develop disciplined risk control before relying on complex signals
3. **Market Psychology Understanding:** Combine mathematical analysis with behavioral market insights
4. **Continuous Learning:** Stay updated on mathematical finance developments and market evolution
---
## 🔮 CONCLUSION
The Tensor Market Analysis Engine represents a quantum leap forward in technical analysis, successfully bridging the gap between advanced pure mathematics and practical trading applications. By integrating multi-dimensional volatility analysis, fractal market theory, and information flow dynamics, the TMAE reveals market structure invisible to conventional analysis while maintaining visual clarity and practical usability.
### Mathematical Innovation Legacy
This indicator establishes new paradigms in technical analysis:
- **Tensor analysis for market volatility understanding**
- **Stochastic self-excitation for event clustering prediction**
- **Information theory for causality-based trade generation**
- **Democratic algorithmic consensus for signal quality enhancement**
- **Mathematical field visualization for intuitive market understanding**
### Practical Trading Revolution
Beyond mathematical innovation, the TMAE transforms practical trading:
- **Quality-rated signals replace binary buy/sell decisions**
- **Regime-adaptive strategies automatically optimize for market personality**
- **Multi-dimensional risk management integrates mathematical volatility measures**
- **Visual mathematical concepts make complex analysis immediately interpretable**
- **Educational value creates lasting improvement in trading understanding**
### Future-Proof Design
The mathematical foundations ensure lasting relevance:
- **Universal mathematical principles transcend market evolution**
- **Multi-dimensional analysis adapts to new market structures**
- **Regime detection automatically adjusts to changing market personalities**
- **Component democracy allows for future algorithmic additions**
- **Mathematical visualization scales with increasing market complexity**
### Commitment to Excellence
The TMAE represents more than an indicator—it embodies a philosophy of bringing rigorous mathematical analysis to trading while maintaining practical utility and visual elegance. Every component, from the multi-dimensional tensor fields to the democratic signal generation, reflects a commitment to mathematical accuracy, trading practicality, and educational value.
### Trading with Mathematical Precision
In an era where markets grow increasingly complex and computational, the TMAE provides traders with mathematical tools previously available only to institutional quantitative research teams. Yet unlike academic mathematical models, the TMAE translates complex concepts into intuitive visual representations and practical trading signals.
By combining the mathematical rigor of tensor analysis, the statistical power of multi-dimensional volatility modeling, and the information-theoretic insights of transfer entropy, traders gain unprecedented insight into market structure and dynamics.
### Final Perspective
Markets, like nature, exhibit profound mathematical beauty beneath apparent chaos. The Tensor Market Analysis Engine serves as a mathematical lens that reveals this hidden order, transforming how traders perceive and interact with market structure.
Through mathematical precision, visual elegance, and practical utility, the TMAE empowers traders to see beyond the noise and trade with the confidence that comes from understanding the mathematical principles governing market behavior.
Trade with mathematical insight. Trade with the power of tensors. Trade with the TMAE.
*"In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them." - John von Neumann*
*With the TMAE, mathematical market understanding becomes not just possible, but intuitive.*
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric SynthesisDskyz's Grothendieck-Teichmüller Geometric Synthesis (GTGS)
THEORETICAL FOUNDATION: A SYMPHONY OF GEOMETRIES
The 🎓 GTGS is built upon a revolutionary premise: that market dynamics can be modeled as geometric and topological structures. While not a literal academic implementation—such a task would demand computational power far beyond current trading platforms—it leverages core ideas from advanced mathematical theories as powerful analogies and frameworks for its algorithms. Each component translates an abstract concept into a practical market calculation, distinguishing GTGS by identifying deeper structural patterns rather than relying on standard statistical measures.
1. Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory: Deforming Market Structure
The Theory : Studies symmetries and deformations of geometric objects, focusing on the "absolute" structure of mathematical spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_grothendieck_field function models price action as a "deformation" from its immediate state. Using the nth root of price ratios (math.pow(price_ratio, 1.0/prime)), it measures market "shape" stretching or compression, revealing underlying tensions and potential shifts.
2. Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology: From Local to Global Patterns
The Theory : A framework for assembling local properties into a global picture, with cohomology measuring "obstructions" to consistency.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_topos_coherence function uses sine waves (math.sin) to represent local price "sections." Summing these yields a "cohomology" value, quantifying price action consistency. High values indicate coherent trends; low values signal conflict and uncertainty.
3. Tropical Geometry: Simplifying Complexity
The Theory : Transforms complex multiplicative problems into simpler, additive, piecewise-linear ones using min(a, b) for addition and a + b for multiplication.
Indicator Analogy : The calculate_tropical_metric function applies tropical_add(a, b) => math.min(a, b) to identify the "lowest energy" state among recent price points, pinpointing critical support levels non-linearly.
4. Motivic Cohomology & Non-Commutative Geometry
The Theory : Studies deep arithmetic and quantum-like properties of geometric spaces.
Indicator Analogy : The motivic_rank and spectral_triple functions compute weighted sums of historical prices to capture market "arithmetic complexity" and "spectral signature." Higher values reflect structured, harmonic price movements.
5. Perfectoid Spaces & Homotopy Type Theory
The Theory : Abstract fields dealing with p-adic numbers and logical foundations of mathematics.
Indicator Analogy : The perfectoid_conv and type_coherence functions analyze price convergence and path identity, assessing the "fractal dust" of price differences and price path cohesion, adding fractal and logical analysis.
The Combination is Key : No single theory dominates. GTGS ’s Unified Field synthesizes all seven perspectives into a comprehensive score, ensuring signals reflect deep structural alignment across mathematical domains.
🎛️ INPUTS: CONFIGURING THE GEOMETRIC ENGINE
The GTGS offers a suite of customizable inputs, allowing traders to tailor its behavior to specific timeframes, market sectors, and trading styles. Below is a detailed breakdown of key input groups, their functionality, and optimization strategies, leveraging provided tooltips for precision.
Grothendieck-Teichmüller Theory Inputs
🧬 Deformation Depth (Absolute Galois) :
What It Is : Controls the depth of Galois group deformations analyzed in market structure.
How It Works : Measures price action deformations under automorphisms of the absolute Galois group, capturing market symmetries.
Optimization :
Higher Values (15-20) : Captures deeper symmetries, ideal for major trends in swing trading (4H-1D).
Lower Values (3-8) : Responsive to local deformations, suited for scalping (1-5min).
Timeframes :
Scalping (1-5min) : 3-6 for quick local shifts.
Day Trading (15min-1H) : 8-12 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading (4H-1D) : 12-20 for deep structural trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : Use 8-12 for stable trends.
Crypto : 3-8 for volatile, short-term moves.
Forex : 12-15 for smooth, cyclical patterns.
Pro Tip : Increase in trending markets to filter noise; decrease in choppy markets for sensitivity.
🗼 Teichmüller Tower Height :
What It Is : Determines the height of the Teichmüller modular tower for hierarchical pattern detection.
How It Works : Builds modular levels to identify nested market patterns.
Optimization :
Higher Values (6-8) : Detects complex fractals, ideal for swing trading.
Lower Values (2-4) : Focuses on primary patterns, faster for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 2-3 for speed.
Day Trading : 4-5 for balanced patterns.
Swing Trading : 5-8 for deep fractals.
Sectors :
Indices : 5-8 for robust, long-term patterns.
Crypto : 2-4 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 4-6 for cyclical trends.
Pro Tip : Higher towers reveal hidden fractals but may slow computation; adjust based on hardware.
🔢 Galois Prime Base :
What It Is : Sets the prime base for Galois field computations.
How It Works : Defines the field extension characteristic for market analysis.
Optimization :
Prime Characteristics :
2 : Binary markets (up/down).
3 : Ternary states (bull/bear/neutral).
5 : Pentagonal symmetry (Elliott waves).
7 : Heptagonal cycles (weekly patterns).
11,13,17,19 : Higher-order patterns.
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 2 or 3 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 5 or 7 for wave or cycle detection.
Sectors :
Forex : 5 for Elliott wave alignment.
Stocks : 7 for weekly cycle consistency.
Crypto : 3 for volatile state shifts.
Pro Tip : Use 7 for most markets; 5 for Elliott wave traders.
Topos Theory & Sheaf Cohomology Inputs
🏛️ Temporal Site Size :
What It Is : Defines the number of time points in the topological site.
How It Works : Sets the local neighborhood for sheaf computations, affecting cohomology smoothness.
Optimization :
Higher Values (30-50) : Smoother cohomology, better for trends in swing trading.
Lower Values (5-15) : Responsive, ideal for reversals in scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 5-10 for quick responses.
Day Trading : 15-25 for balanced analysis.
Swing Trading : 25-50 for smooth trends.
Sectors :
Stocks : 25-35 for stable trends.
Crypto : 5-15 for volatility.
Forex : 20-30 for smooth cycles.
Pro Tip : Match site size to your average holding period in bars for optimal coherence.
📐 Sheaf Cohomology Degree :
What It Is : Sets the maximum degree of cohomology groups computed.
How It Works : Higher degrees capture complex topological obstructions.
Optimization :
Degree Meanings :
1 : Simple obstructions (basic support/resistance).
2 : Cohomological pairs (double tops/bottoms).
3 : Triple intersections (complex patterns).
4-5 : Higher-order structures (rare events).
Timeframes :
Scalping/Day Trading : 1-2 for simplicity.
Swing Trading : 3 for complex patterns.
Sectors :
Indices : 2-3 for robust patterns.
Crypto : 1-2 for rapid shifts.
Commodities : 3-4 for cyclical events.
Pro Tip : Degree 3 is optimal for most trading; higher degrees for research or rare event detection.
🌐 Grothendieck Topology :
What It Is : Chooses the Grothendieck topology for the site.
How It Works : Affects how local data integrates into global patterns.
Optimization :
Topology Characteristics :
Étale : Finest topology, captures local-global principles.
Nisnevich : A1-invariant, good for trends.
Zariski : Coarse but robust, filters noise.
Fpqc : Faithfully flat, highly sensitive.
Sectors :
Stocks : Zariski for stability.
Crypto : Étale for sensitivity.
Forex : Nisnevich for smooth trends.
Indices : Zariski for robustness.
Timeframes :
Scalping : Étale for precision.
Swing Trading : Nisnevich or Zariski for reliability.
Pro Tip : Start with Étale for precision; switch to Zariski in noisy markets.
Unified Field Configuration Inputs
⚛️ Field Coupling Constant :
What It Is : Sets the interaction strength between geometric components.
How It Works : Controls signal amplification in the unified field equation.
Optimization :
Higher Values (0.5-1.0) : Strong coupling, amplified signals for ranging markets.
Lower Values (0.001-0.1) : Subtle signals for trending markets.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0.5-0.8 for quick, strong signals.
Swing Trading : 0.1-0.3 for trend confirmation.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0.5-1.0 for volatility.
Stocks : 0.1-0.3 for stability.
Forex : 0.3-0.5 for balance.
Pro Tip : Default 0.137 (fine structure constant) is a balanced starting point; adjust up in choppy markets.
📐 Geometric Weighting Scheme :
What It Is : Determines the framework for combining geometric components.
How It Works : Adjusts emphasis on different mathematical structures.
Optimization :
Scheme Characteristics :
Canonical : Equal weighting, balanced.
Derived : Emphasizes higher-order structures.
Motivic : Prioritizes arithmetic properties.
Spectral : Focuses on frequency domain.
Sectors :
Stocks : Canonical for balance.
Crypto : Spectral for volatility.
Forex : Derived for structured moves.
Indices : Motivic for arithmetic cycles.
Timeframes :
Day Trading : Canonical or Derived for flexibility.
Swing Trading : Motivic for long-term cycles.
Pro Tip : Start with Canonical; experiment with Spectral in volatile markets.
Dashboard and Visual Configuration Inputs
📋 Show Enhanced Dashboard, 📏 Size, 📍 Position :
What They Are : Control dashboard visibility, size, and placement.
How They Work : Display key metrics like Unified Field , Resonance , and Signal Quality .
Optimization :
Scalping : Small size, Bottom Right for minimal chart obstruction.
Swing Trading : Large size, Top Right for detailed analysis.
Sectors : Universal across markets; adjust size based on screen setup.
Pro Tip : Use Large for analysis, Small for live trading.
📐 Show Motivic Cohomology Bands, 🌊 Morphism Flow, 🔮 Future Projection, 🔷 Holographic Mesh, ⚛️ Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Toggle visual elements representing mathematical calculations.
How They Work : Provide intuitive representations of market dynamics.
Optimization :
Timeframes :
Scalping : Enable Morphism Flow and Spectral Flow for momentum.
Swing Trading : Enable all for comprehensive analysis.
Sectors :
Crypto : Emphasize Morphism Flow and Future Projection for volatility.
Stocks : Focus on Cohomology Bands for stable trends.
Pro Tip : Disable non-essential visuals in fast markets to reduce clutter.
🌫️ Field Transparency, 🔄 Web Recursion Depth, 🎨 Mesh Color Scheme :
What They Are : Adjust visual clarity, complexity, and color.
How They Work : Enhance interpretability of visual elements.
Optimization :
Transparency : 30-50 for balanced visibility; lower for analysis.
Recursion Depth : 6-8 for balanced detail; lower for older hardware.
Color Scheme :
Purple/Blue : Analytical focus.
Green/Orange : Trading momentum.
Pro Tip : Use Neon Purple for deep analysis; Neon Green for active trading.
⏱️ Minimum Bars Between Signals :
What It Is : Minimum number of bars required between consecutive signals.
How It Works : Prevents signal clustering by enforcing a cooldown period.
Optimization :
Higher Values (10-20) : Fewer signals, avoids whipsaws, suited for swing trading.
Lower Values (0-5) : More responsive, allows quick reversals, ideal for scalping.
Timeframes :
Scalping : 0-2 bars for rapid signals.
Day Trading : 3-5 bars for balance.
Swing Trading : 5-10 bars for stability.
Sectors :
Crypto : 0-3 for volatility.
Stocks : 5-10 for trend clarity.
Forex : 3-7 for cyclical moves.
Pro Tip : Increase in choppy markets to filter noise.
Hardcoded Parameters
Tropical, Motivic, Spectral, Perfectoid, Homotopy Inputs : Fixed to optimize performance but influence calculations (e.g., tropical_degree=4 for support levels, perfectoid_prime=5 for convergence).
Optimization : Experiment with codebase modifications if advanced customization is needed, but defaults are robust across markets.
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM: TRADING IN A GEOMETRIC UNIVERSE
The GTTMTSF ’s visuals are direct representations of its mathematics, designed for intuitive and precise trading decisions.
Motivic Cohomology Bands :
What They Are : Dynamic bands ( H⁰ , H¹ , H² ) representing cohomological support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Colors reflect energy levels ( H⁰ tightest, H² widest). Breaks into H¹ signal momentum; H² touches suggest reversals.
How to Trade : Use for stop-loss/profit-taking. Band bounces with Dashboard confirmation are high-probability setups.
Morphism Flow (Webbing) :
What It Is : White particle streams visualizing market momentum.
Interpretation : Dense flows indicate strong trends; sparse flows signal consolidation.
How to Trade : Follow dominant flow direction; new flows post-consolidation signal trend starts.
Future Projection Web (Fractal Grid) :
What It Is : Fibonacci-period fractal projections of support/resistance.
Color & Meaning : Three-layer lines (white shadow, glow, colored quantum) with labels showing price, topological class, anomaly strength (φ), resonance (ρ), and obstruction ( H¹ ). ⚡ marks extreme anomalies.
How to Trade : Target ⚡/● levels for entries/exits. High-anomaly levels with weakening Unified Field are reversal setups.
Holographic Mesh & Spectral Flow :
What They Are : Visuals of harmonic interference and spectral energy.
How to Trade : Bright mesh nodes or strong Spectral Flow warn of building pressure before price movement.
📊 THE GEOMETRIC DASHBOARD: YOUR MISSION CONTROL
The Dashboard translates complex mathematics into actionable intelligence.
Unified Field & Signals :
FIELD : Master value (-10 to +10), synthesizing all geometric components. Extreme readings (>5 or <-5) signal structural limits, often preceding reversals or continuations.
RESONANCE : Measures harmony between geometric field and price-volume momentum. Positive amplifies bullish moves; negative amplifies bearish moves.
SIGNAL QUALITY : Confidence meter rating alignment. Trade only STRONG or EXCEPTIONAL signals for high-probability setups.
Geometric Components :
What They Are : Breakdown of seven mathematical engines.
How to Use : Watch for convergence. A strong Unified Field is reliable when components (e.g., Grothendieck , Topos , Motivic ) align. Divergence warns of trend weakening.
Signal Performance :
What It Is : Tracks indicator signal performance.
How to Use : Assesses real-time performance to build confidence and understand system behavior.
🚀 DEVELOPMENT & UNIQUENESS: BEYOND CONVENTIONAL ANALYSIS
The GTTMTSF was developed to analyze markets as evolving geometric objects, not statistical time-series.
Why This Is Unlike Anything Else :
Theoretical Depth : Uses geometry and topology, identifying patterns invisible to statistical tools.
Holistic Synthesis : Integrates seven deep mathematical frameworks into a cohesive Unified Field .
Creative Implementation : Translates PhD-level mathematics into functional Pine Script , blending theory and practice.
Immersive Visualization : Transforms charts into dynamic geometric landscapes for intuitive market understanding.
The GTTMTSF is more than an indicator; it’s a new lens for viewing markets, for traders seeking deeper insight into hidden order within chaos.
" Where there is matter, there is geometry. " - Johannes Kepler
— Dskyz , Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
AWR R & LR Oscillator with plots & tableHello trading viewers !
I'm glad to share with you one of my favorite indicator. It's the aggregate of many things. It is partly based on an indicator designed by gentleman goat. Many thanks to him.
1. Oscillator and Correlation Calculations
Overview and Functionality: This part of the indicator computes up to 10 Pearson correlation coefficients between a chosen source (typically the close price, though this is user-configurable) and the bar index over various periods. Starting with an initial period defined by the startPeriod parameter and increasing by a set increment (periodIncrement), each correlation coefficient is calculated using the built-in ta.correlation function over successive ranges. These coefficients are stored in an array, and the indicator calculates their average (avgPR) to provide a complete view of the market trend strength.
Display Features: Each individual coefficient, as well as the overall average, is plotted on the chart using a specific color. Horizontal lines (both dashed and solid) are drawn at levels 0, ±0.8, and ±1, serving as visual thresholds. Additionally, conditional fills in red or blue highlight when values exceed these thresholds, helping the user quickly identify potential extreme conditions (such as overbought or oversold situations).
2. Visual Signals and Automated Alerts
Graphical Signal Enhancements: To reinforce the analysis, the indicator uses graphical elements like emojis and shape markers. For example:
If all 10 curves drop below -0.79, a 🌋 emoji appears at the bottom of the chart;
When curves 2 through 10 are below -0.79, a ⛰️ emoji is displayed below the bar, potentially serving as a buy signal accompanied by an alert condition;
Likewise, symmetrical conditions for correlations exceeding 0.79 produce corresponding emojis (🤿 and 🏖️) at the top or bottom of the chart.
Alerts and Notifications: Using these visual triggers, several alertcondition statements are defined within the script. This allows users to set up TradingView alerts and receive real-time notifications whenever the market reaches these predefined critical zones identified by the multi-period analysis.
3. Regression Channel Analysis
Principles and Calculations: In addition to the oscillator, the indicator implements an analysis of regression channels. For each of the 8 configurable channels, the user can set a range of periods (for example, min1 to max1, etc.). The function calc_regression_channel iterates through the defined period range to find the optimal period that maximizes a statistical measure derived from a regression parameter calculated by the function r(p). Once this optimal period is identified, the indicator computes two key points (A and B) which define the main regression line, and then creates a channel based on the calculated deviation (an RMSE multiplied by a user-defined factor).
The regression channels are not displayed on the chart but are used to plot shapes & fullfilled a table.
Blue shapes are plotted when 6th channel or 7th channel are lower than 3 deviations
Yellow shapes are plotted when 6th channel or 7th channel are higher than 3 deviations
4. Scores, Conditions, and the Summary Table
Scoring System: The indicator goes further by assigning scores across multiple analytical categories, such as:
1. BigPear Score
What It Represents: This score is based on a longer-term moving average of the Pearson correlation values (SMA 100 of the average of the 10 curves of correlation of Pearson). The BigPear category is designed to capture where this longer-term average falls within specific ranges.
Conditions: The script defines nine boolean conditions (labeled BigPear1up through BigPear9up for the “up” direction).
Here's the rules :
BigPear1up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0.5 and bigsma_avgPR > 0.25)
BigPear2up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0.25 and bigsma_avgPR > 0)
BigPear3up = (bigsma_avgPR <= 0 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.25)
BigPear4up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.25 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.5)
BigPear5up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.5 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.65)
BigPear6up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.65 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.7)
BigPear7up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.7 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.75)
BigPear8up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.75 and bigsma_avgPR > -0.8)
BigPear9up = (bigsma_avgPR <= -0.8)
Conditions: The script defines nine boolean conditions (labeled BigPear1down through BigPear9down for the “down” direction).
BigPear1down = (bigsma_avgPR >= -0.5 and bigsma_avgPR < -0.25)
BigPear2down = (bigsma_avgPR >= -0.25 and bigsma_avgPR < 0)
BigPear3down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.25)
BigPear4down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.25 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.5)
BigPear5down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.5 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.65)
BigPear6down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.65 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.7)
BigPear7down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.7 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.75)
BigPear8down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.75 and bigsma_avgPR < 0.8)
BigPear9down = (bigsma_avgPR >= 0.8)
Weighting:
If BigPear1up is true, 1 point is added; if BigPear2up is true, 2 points are added; and so on up to 9 points from BigPear9up.
Total Score:
The positive score (posScoreBigPear) is the sum of these weighted conditions.
Similarly, there is a negative score (negScoreBigPear) that is calculated using a mirrored set of conditions (named BigPear1down to BigPear9down), each contributing a negative weight (from -1 to -9).
In essence, the BigPear score tells you—in a weighted cumulative way—where the longer-term correlation average falls relative to predefined thresholds.
2. Pear Score
What It Represents: This category uses the immediate average of the Pearson correlations (avgPR) rather than a longer-term smoothed version. It reflects a more current picture of the market’s correlation behavior.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: There are nine conditions defined for the “up” scenario (named Pear1up through Pear9up), which partition the range of avgPR into intervals. For instance:
Pear1up = (avgPR > -0.2 and avgPR <= 0)
Pear2up = (avgPR > -0.4 and avgPR <= -0.2)
Pear3up = (avgPR > -0.5 and avgPR <= -0.4)
Pear4up = (avgPR > -0.6 and avgPR <= -0.5)
Pear5up = (avgPR > -0.65 and avgPR <= -0.6)
Pear6up = (avgPR > -0.7 and avgPR <= -0.65)
Pear7up = (avgPR > -0.75 and avgPR <= -0.7)
Pear8up = (avgPR > -0.8 and avgPR <= -0.75)
Pear9up = (avgPR > -1 and avgPR <= -0.8)
There are nine conditions defined for the “down” scenario (named Pear1down through Pear9down), which partition the range of avgPR into intervals. For instance:
Pear1down = (avgPR >= 0 and avgPR < 0.2)
Pear2down = (avgPR >= 0.2 and avgPR < 0.4)
Pear3down = (avgPR >= 0.4 and avgPR < 0.5)
Pear4down = (avgPR >= 0.5 and avgPR < 0.6)
Pear5down = (avgPR >= 0.6 and avgPR < 0.65)
Pear6down = (avgPR >= 0.65 and avgPR < 0.7)
Pear7down = (avgPR >= 0.7 and avgPR < 0.75)
Pear8down = (avgPR >= 0.75 and avgPR < 0.8)
Pear9down = (avgPR >= 0.8 and avgPR <= 1)
Weighting:
Each condition has an associated weight, such as 0.9 for Pear1up, 1.9 for Pear2up, and so on, up to 9 for Pear9up.
Sum up :
Pear1up = 0.9
Pear2up = 1.9
Pear3up = 2.9
Pear4up = 3.9
Pear5up = 4.99
Pear6up = 6
Pear7up = 7
Pear8up = 8
Pear9up = 9
Total Score:
The positive score (posScorePear) is the sum of these values for each condition that returns true.
A corresponding negative score (negScorePear) is calculated using conditions for when avgPR falls on the positive side, with similar weights in the negative direction.
This score quantifies the current correlation reading by translating its relative level into a numeric score through a weighted sum.
3. Trendpear Score
What It Represents: The Trendpear score is more dynamic as it compares the current avgPR with its short-term moving average (sma_avgPR / 14 periods ) and also considers its relationship with an even longer moving average (bigsma_avgPR / 100 periods). It is meant to capture the trend or momentum in the correlation behavior.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: Nine conditions (from Trendpear1up to Trendpear9up) are defined to check:
Whether avgPR is below, equal to, or above sma_avgPR by different margins;
Whether it is trending upward (i.e., it is higher than its previous value).
Here are the rules
Trendpear1up = (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.2) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear2up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.2) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.07) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear3up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.07) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.03) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear4up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.03) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.02) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear5up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.02) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.01) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear6up = (avgPR > sma_avgPR -0.01) and (avgPR <= sma_avgPR -0.001) and (avgPR >= avgPR )
Trendpear7up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR <= bigsma_avgPR)
Trendpear8up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR >= bigsma_avgPR -0.03)
Trendpear9up = (avgPR >= sma_avgPR) and (avgPR >= avgPR ) and (avgPR >= bigsma_avgPR)
Weighting:
The weights here are not linear. For example, the lightest condition may add 0.1 point, whereas the most extreme condition (e.g., when avgPR is not only above the moving average but also reaches a high proportion relative to bigsma_avgPR) might add as much as 90 points.
Trendpear1up = 0.1
Trendpear2up = 0.2
Trendpear3up = 0.3
Trendpear4up = 0.4
Trendpear5up = 0.5
Trendpear6up = 0.69
Trendpear7up = 7
Trendpear8up = 8.9
Trendpear9up = 90
Total Score:
The positive score (posScoreTrendpear) is the sum of the weights from all conditions that are satisfied.
A negative counterpart (negScoreTrendpear) exists similarly for when the trend indicates a downward bias.
Trendpear integrates both the level and the direction of change in the correlations, giving a strong numeric indication when the market starts to diverge from its short-term average.
4. Deviation Score
What It Represents: The “Écart” score quantifies how far the asset’s price deviates from the boundaries defined by the regression channels. This metric can indicate if the price is excessively deviating—which might signal an eventual reversion—or confirming a breakout.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions: For each channel (with at least seven channels contributing to the scoring from the provided code), there are three levels of deviation:
First tier (EcartXup): Checks if the price is below the upper boundary but above a second boundary.
Second tier (EcartXup2): Checks if the price has dropped further, between a lower and a more extreme boundary.
Third tier (EcartXup3): Checks if the price is below the most extreme limit.
Weighting:
Each tier within a channel has a very small weight for the lowest severities (for example, 0.0001 for the first tier, 0.0002 for the second, 0.0003 for the third) with weights increasing with the channel index.
First channel : 0.0001 to 0.0003 (very short term)
Second channel : 0.001 to 0.003 (short term)
Third channel : 0.01 to 0.03 (short mid term)
4th channel : 0.1 to 0.3 ( mid term)
5th channel: 1 to 3 (long mid term)
6th channel : 10 to 30 (long term)
7th channel : 100 to 300 (very long term)
Total Score:
The overall positive score (posScoreEcart) is the sum of all the weights for conditions met among the first, second, and third tiers.
The corresponding negative score (negScoreEcart) is calculated similarly (using conditions when the price is above the channel boundaries), with the weights being the same in magnitude but negative in sign.
This layered scoring method allows the indicator to reflect both minor and major deviations in a gradated and cumulative manner.
Example :
Score + = 321.0001
Score - = -0.111
The asset price is really overextended in long term view, not for mid term & short term expect the in the very short term.
Score + = 0.0033
Score - = -1.11
The asset price is really extended in short term view, not for mid term (even a bit underextended) & long term is neutral
5. Slope Score
What It Represents: The Slope score captures the trend direction and steepness of the regression channels. It reflects whether the regression line (and hence the underlying trend) is sloping upward or downward.
How It’s Calculated:
Conditions:
if the slope has a uptrend = 1
if the slope has a downtrend = -1
Weighting:
First channel : 0.0001 to 0.0003 (very short term)
Second channel : 0.001 to 0.003 (short term)
Third channel : 0.01 to 0.03 (short mid term)
4th channel : 0.1 to 0.3 ( mid term)
5th channel: 1 to 3 (long mid term)
6th channel : 10 to 30 (long term)
7th channel : 100 to 300 (very long term)
The positive slope conditions incrementally add weights from 0.0001 for the smallest positive slopes to 100 for the largest among the seven checks. And negative for the downward slopes.
The positive score (posScoreSlope) is the sum of all the weights from the upward slope conditions that are met.
The negative score (negScoreSlope) sums the negative weights when downward conditions are met.
Example :
Score + = 111
Score - = -0.1111
Trend is up for longterm & down for mid & short term
The slope score therefore emphasizes both the magnitude and the direction of the trend as indicated by the regression channels, with an intentional asymmetry that flags strong downtrends more aggressively.
Summary
For each category—BigPear, Pear, Trendpear, Écart, and Slope—the indicator evaluates a defined set of conditions. Each condition is a binary test (true/false) based on different thresholds or comparisons (for example, comparing the current value to a moving average or a channel boundary). When a condition is true, its assigned weight is added to the cumulative score for that category. These individual scores, both positive and negative, are then displayed in a table, making it easy for the trader to see at a glance where the market stands according to each analytical dimension.
This comprehensive, weighted approach allows the indicator to encapsulate several layers of market information into a single set of scores, aiding in the identification of potential trading opportunities or market reversals.
5. Practical Use and Application
How to Use the Indicator:
Interpreting the Signals:
On your chart, observe the following components:
The individual correlation curves and their average, plotted with visual thresholds;
Visual markers (such as emojis and shape markers) that signal potential oversold or overbought conditions
The summary table that aggregates the scores from each category, offering a quick glance at the market’s state.
Trading Alerts and Decisions: Set your TradingView alerts through the alertcondition functions provided by the indicator. This way, you receive immediate notifications when critical conditions are met, allowing you to react as soon as the market reaches key levels. This tool is especially beneficial for advanced traders who want to combine multiple technical dimensions to optimize entry and exit points with a confluence of signals.
Conclusion and Additional Insights
In summary, this advanced indicator innovatively combines multi-scale Pearson correlation analysis (via multiple linear regressions) with robust regression channel analysis. It offers a deep and nuanced view of market dynamics by delivering clear visual signals and a comprehensive numerical summary through a built-in score table.
Combine this indicator with other tools (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, volume indicators) to enhance overall strategy robustness.
Bitcoin: Pi Cycle Top & Bottom | QuantumResearchBitcoin: Pi Cycle Top & Bottom | QuantumResearch
Adaptive Deviation Model for Bitcoin Macro Extremes
Bitcoin: Pi Cycle Top & Bottom by QuantumResearch is a proprietary interpretation of the famous Pi Cycle concept—enhanced with normalized deviation logic, adjustable thresholds, and visual clarity. Unlike traditional models that simply cross two moving averages, this tool calculates the dynamic spread between a short-term and amplified long-term exponential average, delivering a continuous score that adapts to Bitcoin's evolving volatility profile.
🧠 What Makes It Unique?
🔹 Pi Deviation Engine:
This creates a centered, symmetric oscillator that better visualizes overextended conditions—something the original Pi Cycle model does not offer.
🔹 Dynamic Zoning via Thresholds:
Users can set custom top and bottom thresholds to adjust sensitivity based on current market regimes, making it more flexible than static crossover models.
🔹 Gradient-Powered Area Fill:
The oscillator plot is filled with directional gradients that react to the score's magnitude, creating an intuitive visual spectrum between bullish and bearish extremes.
🔹 Macro-Focused, Overlay-Free:
The indicator runs in a clean subpanel, preserving chart space and allowing better integration into multi-layered macro dashboards.
🔹 Built for BTC’s Unique Structure:
The moving average lengths and logic are specifically calibrated to Bitcoin’s halving-driven cycles, unlike generic Pi models applied across asset classes.
🔍 Key Features
✅ Continuous Cycle Score (not binary crosses)
✅ Custom upper/lower thresholds for signal flexibility
✅ Visual gradient fill and background shading
✅ Zero chart clutter (non-overlay)
✅ Fully customizable moving average lengths
✅ Designed for macro cycle top/bottom detection
📌 Ideal For:
Long-term Bitcoin investors
Macro traders and analysts
Those seeking early warning signs of euphoria or despair
Anyone using on-chain + cyclical tools to time large market pivots
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only.
It does not provide financial advice or guarantees.
Past performance does not predict future behavior.
Always confirm with additional tools and analysis.
ML: Lorentzian Classification Premium█ OVERVIEW
Lorentzian Classification Premium represents the culmination of two years of collaborative development with over 1,000 beta testers from the TradingView community. Building upon the foundation of the open-source version, this premium edition introduces powerful enhancements that transform how machine-learning classification can be applied to market analysis.
The premium version maintains the core Lorentzian distance-based classification algorithm while expanding its capabilities through triple the feature dimensionality (up to 15 features), sophisticated mean-reversion detection, first-pullback identification, and a comprehensive signal taxonomy that goes far beyond simple buy/sell signals. Whether you're building automated trading systems, conducting deep market research, or integrating proprietary indicators into ML workflows, this tool provides the advanced edge needed for professional-grade analysis.
█ BACKGROUND
Lorentzian Classification analyzes market structures, especially those exhibiting non-linear distortions under stress, by employing advanced distance metrics like the Lorentzian metric, prominent in fields such as relativity theory. Where traditional indicators assume flat space, we embrace the curve. The heart of this approach is the Lorentzian distance metric—a sophisticated mathematical tool. This framework adeptly navigates the complex curves and distortions of market space, aiming to provide insights that traditional analysis might miss, especially during moments of extreme volatility. It analyzes historical data from a multi-dimensional feature space consisting of various technical indicators of your choosing. Where traditional approaches fail, Lorentzian space reveals the true geometry of market dynamics.
Neighborhoods in Different Geometries: In the above figure, the Lorentzian metric creates distinctive cross-patterns aligned with feature axes (RSI, CCI, ADX), capturing both local similarity and dimensional extremes. This unique geometry allows the algorithm to recognize similar market conditions that Euclidean spheres and Manhattan diamonds would miss entirely. In LC Premium, users can have up to 15 features -- you are not limited to 3-dimensions.
Among the thousands of distance metrics discovered by mathematicians, each perceives data through its own geometric lens. The Lorentzian metric stands apart with its unique ability to capture market behavior during volatile events.
█ COMMUNITY-DRIVEN EVOLUTION
It has been profoundly humbling over the past 2 years to witness this indicator's evolution through the collaborative efforts of our incredible community. This journey has been shaped by thousands of user suggestions and validated through real-world application.
A particularly amazing milestone was the development of a complete community-driven Python port, which meticulously matched even the most minute PineScript quirks. Building on this solid foundation, a new command-line interface (CLI) has opened up exciting possibilities for chart-specific parameter optimization:
Early insights from parameter optimization research: Through grid-search testing across thousands of parameter combinations, the analysis identifies which parameters have the biggest effects on performance and maps regions of stability across different market regimes. This reveals that optimal neighbor counts vary significantly based on market conditions—opening up incredible potential for timeframe-specific optimization.
This is just one of the insights gleaned so far from this ongoing investigation. The potential for chart-specific optimization for any given timeframe could transform how traders approach parameter selection.
Demand from power users for extra capabilities—while keeping the open-source version simple—sparked this Premium release. The open-source branch remains maintained, but the premium tier adds unique features for those who need an analytical edge and to leverage their own custom indicators as feature series for the algorithm.
█ KEY PREMIUM FEATURES
📈 First Pullback Detection System
Automatically identifies high-probability trend-continuation entries after initial momentum moves.
Detects when price retraces to optimal entry zones following breakouts or trend initiations.
Green/red triangle signals often fire before main classification arrows.
Dedicated alerts for both bullish and bearish pullback opportunities.
Based on veryfid's extensive research into pullback mechanics and market structure.
🔄 Dynamic Kernel Regression Envelope
Powerful, zero-setup confluence layer that immediately communicates trend shifts.
Dual-kernel system creates a visual envelope between trend estimates.
Color gradient dynamically represents prediction strength and market conviction.
Crossovers provide additional confirmation without cluttering your chart.
Professional visualization that rivals institutional-grade analysis tools.
✨ Massively Expanded Dimensionality: 10 Custom Sources, 5 Built-In Sources
Transform the indicator from 5 built-in standard to 15 total total features—triple the analytical power.
Integrate ANY TradingView indicator as a machine learning feature.
Built-in normalization ensures all indicators contribute equally regardless of scale.
Create theme-based systems: pure volume analysis, multi-timeframe momentum, or hybrid approaches.
📊 Tiered Mean Reversion Signals with Scalping Alerts
Regular (🔄) and Strong (⬇️/⬆️) mean reversion signals based on statistical extremes.
Opportunities often arise before candle close—perfect for scalping entries.
Visual markers appear at high-probability reversal zones.
Four specialized alert types: upward/downward for both regular and strong reversals.
Pre-optimized probability thresholds, no fine-tuning required.
📅 Daily Kernel Trend Filter
Instantly cleans up noisy intraday charts by aligning with higher timeframe trends.
Swing traders report immediate signal quality improvement.
Automatically deactivates on daily+ timeframes (intelligent context awareness).
Reduces counter-trend signals by up to 60% on lower timeframes.
Simple toggle—no complex multi-timeframe setup required.
📋 Professional Backtesting Stream (-6 to +6)
Multiple distinct signal types (including pullbacks, mean reversions, and kernel deviations) vs. basic binary (buy/sell) output for nuanced analysis.
Enables detailed walk-forward analysis and ML model training.
Compatible with external backtesting frameworks via numeric stream.
Rare precision for TradingView indicators—usually only found in institutional tools.
Perfect for quants building sophisticated strategy layers.
⚡ Performance Optimizations
Faster distance calculations through algorithmic improvements.
Reduced indicator load time (measured via Pine Profiler).
Handles 15 active features without timeouts—critical for multi-chart setups.
Optimized for live auto-trading bots requiring minimal latency.
🎨 Full Visual Customization & Accessibility
Complete color control for all visual elements.
Colorblind-safe default palette with customization options.
Dark mode optimization for extended trading sessions.
Professional appearance matching your trading workspace.
Accessibility features meeting modern UI standards.
🛠️ Advanced Training Modes
Downsampling mode for training on diverse market conditions; Down-sampling and remote-fractals for exotic pattern discovery.
Remote fractals option extends analysis to deep historical patterns.
Reset factor control for fine-tuning neighbor diversity; Reset-factor tuning to control neighbor diversity.
Appeals to systematic traders exploring exotic data approaches.
Prevents temporal clustering bias in model training.
█ HOW TO USE
Understanding the Approach (Core Concept):
Lorentzian Classification uses a k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN) algorithm. It searches for historical price action "neighborhoods" similar to the current market state. Instead of a simple straight-line (Euclidean) distance, it primarily uses a Lorentzian distance metric, which can account for market "warping" or distortions often seen during high volatility or significant events. Each historical neighbor "votes" on what happened next in its context, and these votes aggregate into a classification score for the current bar.
Interpreting Bar Scores & Signals (Interpreting the Chart):
Bar Prediction Values: Numbers over each candle (e.g., ranging from -8 to +8 if Neighbors Count is 8) represent the aggregated vote from the nearest neighbors. Strong positive scores (e.g., +7, +8) indicate a strong bullish consensus among historical analogs. Strong negative scores (e.g., -7, -8) indicate a strong bearish consensus. Scores near zero suggest neutrality or conflicting signals from neighbors. The intensity of bar colors (if Use Confidence Gradient is on) often reflects these scores.
Main Arrows (Main Buy/Sell Labels): Large ▲/▼ labels are the primary entry signals generated when the overall classification (after filters) is bullish or bearish.
Pullback Triangles: Small green/red ▲/▼ identify potential trend continuation entries. These signals often appear after an initial price move and a subsequent minor retracement, suggesting the trend might resume. This is based on recognizing patterns where a brief counter-movement is followed by a continued advance in the initial trend direction.
Mean-Reversion Symbols: 🔄 (Regular Reversion) appears when price has crossed the average band of the Dynamic Kernel Regression Envelope. ⬇️/⬆️ (Strong Reversion) means price has crossed the far band of the envelope, indicating a more extreme deviation and potentially a stronger reversion opportunity.
Custom Mean Reversion Deviation Markers (Deviation Dots): If Enable Custom Mean Reversion Alerts is on, these dots appear when price deviates from the main kernel regression line by a user-defined ATR multiple, signaling a custom-defined reversion opportunity.
Kernel Regression Lines & Envelope: The Main Kernel Estimate (thicker line) is an adaptive moving average that smooths price and helps identify trend direction. Its color indicates the current trend bias. The Envelope (outer bands and a midline) creates a channel around price, and its interaction with price generates mean reversion signals.
Key Input Groups & Their Purpose:
🔧 GENERAL SETTINGS:
Reduce Price-Time Warping : Toggles the distance metric. When enabled, it reduces the characteristic "warping" effect of the default Lorentzian metric, making the distance calculation more Euclidean in nature. This may be suited for periods exhibiting less pronounced price-time distortions.
Source : Price data for calculations (default: close ).
Neighbors Count : The 'k' in k-NN – number of historical analogs considered.
Max Bars Back : How far back the indicator looks for historical patterns.
Show Exits / Use Dynamic Exits : Controls visibility and logic for exit signals.
Include Full History (Use Remote Fractals) : Allows model to pick "exotic" fractals from deep chart history.
Use Downsampling / Reset Factor : Advanced training parameters affecting neighbor selection.
Show Trade Stats / Use Worst Case Estimates : Displays a real-time performance table (for calibration only).
🎛️ DEFINE CUSTOM SOURCES (OPTIONAL):
Integrate up to 10 external data series (e.g., from other indicators) as features. Each can be optionally normalized. Load the external indicator on your chart first for it to appear in the dropdown.
🧠 FEATURE ENGINEERING:
Configure up to 15 features for the k-NN algorithm. Select type (RSI, WT, CCI, ADX, Custom Sources), parameters, and enable/disable. Start simple (3-5 features) and add complexity gradually. Normalize features with vastly different scales.
🖥️ DISPLAY SETTINGS:
Controls visibility of chart elements: bar colors, prediction values/labels, envelope, etc.
Align Signal with Current Bar : If true, pullback signals appear on the current bar (calculated on closed data). If false (default), they appear on the next bar.
Use ATR Offset : Positions bar prediction values using ATR for visibility.
🧮 FILTERS SETTINGS:
Refine raw classification signals: Volatility, Regime, ADX, EMA/SMA, and Daily Kernel filters.
🌀 KERNEL SETTINGS (Main Kernel):
Adjust parameters for the primary Nadaraya-Watson Kernel Regression line. Lookback Window , Relative Weighting , Regression Level , Lag control sensitivity and smoothness.
✉️ ENVELOPE SETTINGS (for Mean Reversion):
Configure the dynamic Kernel Regression Envelope. ATR Length , Near/Far ATR Factor define band width.
🎨 COLOR SETTINGS (Colors):
Customize colors for all visual elements; override every palette element.
General Approach to Using the Indicator (Suggested Workflow):
Load defaults and observe behavior: Familiarize yourself with the indicator's behavior.
Feature Engineering: Experiment with features, considering momentum, trend, and volatility. Add/replace features gradually.
Apply Filters: Refine signals according to your trading style.
Contextualize: Use kernels and envelope to understand broader trend and potential overbought/oversold areas.
Observe Signals: Pay attention to the interplay of main signals, pullbacks, and mean reversions. Watch interplay of main, pullback & mean-reversion signals.
Calibrate (Not Backtest): Use the "Trade Stats" table for real-time feedback on current settings. This is for calibration, *not a substitute for rigorous backtesting.*
Iterate & refine: Adjust settings, observe outcomes, and refine your approach.
█ ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This premium version wouldn't exist without the invaluable contributions of:
veryfid for his groundbreaking ideas on unifying pullback detection with Lorentzian Classification, but most of all for always believing in and encouraging me and so many others. For being a mentor and, most importantly, a friend. We all miss you.
RikkiTavi for his help in creating the settings optimization framework and for other invaluable theoretical discussions.
The 1,000+ beta testers worldwide who provided continuous feedback over two years.
The Python porting team who created the foundation for advanced optimization; for the cross-language clone.
The broader TradingView community for making this one of the platform's most popular indicators.
█ FUTURE DEVELOPMENT
The Premium version will continue to evolve based on community feedback. Planned enhancements include:
Specialized exit model trained independently from entry signals (ML-based exit model).
Feature hub with pre-normalized, commonly requested indicators (Pre-normalized feature hub).
Better risk-management options (Enhanced risk-management options).
Fully automated settings optimization (Auto-settings optimization tool).
PhenLabs - Market Fluid Dynamics📊 Market Fluid Dynamics -
Version: PineScript™ v6
📌 Description
The Market Fluid Dynamics - Phen indicator is a new thinking regarding market analysis by modeling price action, volume, and volatility using a fluid system. It attempts to offer traders control over more profound market forces, such as momentum (speed), resistance (thickness), and buying/selling pressure. By visualizing such dynamics, the script allows the traders to decide on the prevailing market flow, its power, likely continuations, and zones of calmness and chaos, and thereby allows improved decision-making.
This measure avoids the usual difficulty of reconciling multiple, often contradictory, market indications by including them within a single overarching model. It moves beyond traditional binary indicators by providing a multi-dimensional view of market behavior, employing fluid dynamic analogs to describe complex interactions in an accessible manner.
🚀 Points of Innovation
Integrated Fluid Dynamics Model: Combines velocity, viscosity, pressure, and turbulence into a single indicator.
Normalized Metrics: Uses ATR and other normalization techniques for consistent readings across different assets and timeframes.
Dynamic Flow Visualization: Main flow line changes color and intensity based on direction and strength.
Turbulence Background: Visually represents market stability with a gradient background, from calm to turbulent.
Comprehensive Dashboard: Provides an at-a-glance summary of key fluid dynamic metrics.
Multi-Layer Smoothing: Employs several layers of EMA smoothing for a clearer, more responsive main flow line.
🔧 Core Components
Velocity Component: Measures price momentum (first derivative of price), normalized by ATR. It indicates the speed and direction of price changes.
Viscosity Component: Represents market resistance to price changes, derived from ATR relative to its historical average. Higher viscosity suggests it’s harder for prices to move.
Pressure Component: Quantifies the force created by volume and price range (close - open), normalized by ATR. It reflects buying or selling pressure.
Turbulence Detection: Calculates a Reynolds number equivalent to identify market stability, ranging from laminar (stable) to turbulent (chaotic).
Main Flow Indicator: Combines the above components, applying sensitivity and smoothing, to generate a primary signal of market direction and strength.
🔥 Key Features
Advanced Smoothing Algorithm: Utilizes multiple EMA layers on the raw flow calculation for a fluid and responsive main flow line, reducing noise while maintaining sensitivity.
Gradient Flow Coloring: The main flow line dynamically changes color from light to deep blue for bullish flow and light to deep red for bearish flow, with intensity reflecting flow strength. This provides an immediate visual cue of market sentiment and momentum.
Turbulence Level Background: The chart background changes color based on calculated turbulence (from calm gray to vibrant orange), offering an intuitive understanding of market stability and potential for erratic price action.
Informative Dashboard: A customizable on-screen table displays critical metrics like Flow State, Flow Strength, Market Viscosity, Turbulence, Pressure Force, Flow Acceleration, and Flow Continuity, allowing traders to quickly assess current market conditions.
Configurable Lookback and Sensitivity: Users can adjust the base lookback period for calculations and the sensitivity of the flow to viscosity, tailoring the indicator to different trading styles and market conditions.
Alert Conditions: Pre-defined alerts for flow direction changes (positive/negative crossover of zero line) and detection of high turbulence states.
🎨 Visualization
Main Flow Line: A smoothed line plotted below the main chart, colored blue for bullish flow and red for bearish flow. The intensity of the color (light to dark) indicates the strength of the flow. This line crossing the zero line can signal a change in market direction.
Zero Line: A dotted horizontal line at the zero level, serving as a baseline to gauge whether the market flow is positive (bullish) or negative (bearish).
Turbulence Background: The indicator pane’s background color changes based on the calculated turbulence level. A calm, almost transparent gray indicates low turbulence (laminar flow), while a more vibrant, semi-transparent orange signifies high turbulence. This helps traders visually assess market stability.
Dashboard Table: An optional table displayed on the chart, showing key metrics like ‘Flow State’, ‘Flow Strength’, ‘Market Viscosity’, ‘Turbulence’, ‘Pressure Force’, ‘Flow Acceleration’, and ‘Flow Continuity’ with their current values and qualitative descriptions (e.g., ‘Bullish Flow’, ‘Laminar (Stable)’).
📖 Usage Guidelines
Setting Categories
Show Dashboard - Default: true; Range: true/false; Description: Toggles the visibility of the Market Fluid Dynamics dashboard on the chart. Enable to see key metrics at a glance.
Base Lookback Period - Default: 14; Range: 5 - (no upper limit, practical limits apply); Description: Sets the primary lookback period for core calculations like velocity, ATR, and volume SMA. Shorter periods make the indicator more sensitive to recent price action, while longer periods provide a smoother, slower signal.
Flow Sensitivity - Default: 0.5; Range: 0.1 - 1.0 (step 0.1); Description: Adjusts how much the market viscosity dampens the raw flow. A lower value means viscosity has less impact (flow is more sensitive to raw velocity/pressure), while a higher value means viscosity has a greater dampening effect.
Flow Smoothing - Default: 5; Range: 1 - 20; Description: Controls the length of the EMA smoothing applied to the main flow line. Higher values result in a smoother flow line but with more lag; lower values make it more responsive but potentially noisier.
Dashboard Position - Default: ‘Top Right’; Range: ‘Top Right’, ‘Top Left’, ‘Bottom Right’, ‘Bottom Left’, ‘Middle Right’, ‘Middle Left’; Description: Determines the placement of the dashboard on the chart.
Header Size - Default: ‘Normal’; Range: ‘Tiny’, ‘Small’, ‘Normal’, ‘Large’, ‘Huge’; Description: Sets the text size for the dashboard header.
Values Size - Default: ‘Small’; Range: ‘Tiny’, ‘Small’, ‘Normal’, ‘Large’; Description: Sets the text size for the metric values in the dashboard.
✅ Best Use Cases
Trend Identification: Identifying the dominant market flow (bullish or bearish) and its strength to trade in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Momentum Confirmation: Using the flow strength and acceleration to confirm the conviction behind price movements.
Volatility Assessment: Utilizing the turbulence metric to gauge market stability, helping to adjust position sizing or avoid choppy conditions.
Reversal Spotting: Watching for divergences between price and flow, or crossovers of the main flow line above/below the zero line, as potential reversal signals, especially when combined with changes in pressure or viscosity.
Swing Trading: Leveraging the smoothed flow line to capture medium-term market swings, entering when flow aligns with the desired trade direction and exiting when flow weakens or reverses.
Intraday Scalping: Using shorter lookback periods and higher sensitivity to identify quick shifts in flow and turbulence for short-term trading opportunities, particularly in liquid markets.
⚠️ Limitations
Lagging Nature: Like many indicators based on moving averages and lookback periods, the main flow line can lag behind rapid price changes, potentially leading to delayed signals.
Whipsaws in Ranging Markets: During periods of low volatility or sideways price action (high viscosity, low flow strength), the indicator might produce frequent buy/sell signals (whipsaws) as the flow oscillates around the zero line.
Not a Standalone System: While comprehensive, it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis (e.g., price action, support/resistance levels, other indicators) and not as a sole basis for trading decisions.
Subjectivity in Interpretation: While the dashboard provides quantitative values, the interpretation of “strong” flow, “high” turbulence, or “significant” acceleration can still have a subjective element depending on the trader’s strategy and risk tolerance.
💡 What Makes This Unique
Fluid Dynamics Analogy: Its core strength lies in translating complex market interactions into an intuitive fluid dynamics framework, making concepts like momentum, resistance, and pressure easier to visualize and understand.
Market View: Instead of focusing on a single aspect (like just momentum or just volatility), it integrates multiple factors (velocity, viscosity, pressure, turbulence) to provide a more comprehensive picture of market conditions.
Adaptive Visualization: The dynamic coloring of the flow line and the turbulence background provide immediate, adaptive visual feedback that changes with market conditions.
🔬 How It Works
Price Velocity Calculation: The indicator first calculates price velocity by measuring the rate of change of the closing price over a given ‘lookback’ period. The raw velocity is then normalized by the Average True Range (ATR) of the same lookback period. Normalization enables comparison of momentum between assets or timeframes by scaling for volatility. This is the direction and speed of initial price movement.
Viscosity Calculation: Market ‘viscosity’ or resistance to price movement is determined by looking at the current ATR relative to its longer-term average (SMA of ATR over lookback * 2). The further the current ATR is above its average, the lower the viscosity (less resistance to price movement), and vice-versa. The script inverts this relationship and bounds it so that rising viscosity means more resistance.
Pressure Force Measurement: A ‘pressure’ variable is calculated as a function of the ratio of current volume to its simple moving average, multiplied by the price range (close - open) and normalized by ATR. This is designed to measure the force behind price movement created by volume and intraday price thrusts. This pressure is smoothed by an EMA.
Turbulence State Evaluation: A equivalent ‘Reynolds number’ is calculated by dividing the absolute normalized velocity by the viscosity. This is the proclivity of the market to move in a chaotic or orderly fashion. This ‘reynoldsValue’ is smoothed with an EMA to get the ‘turbulenceState’, which indicates if the market is laminar (stable), transitional, or turbulent.
Main Flow Derivation: The ‘rawFlow’ is calculated by taking the normalized velocity, dampening its impact based on the ‘viscosity’ and user-input ‘sensitivity’, and orienting it by the sign of the smoothed ‘pressureSmooth’. The ‘rawFlow’ is then put through multiple layers of exponential moving average (EMA) smoothing (with ‘smoothingLength’ and derived values) to reach the final ‘mainFlow’ line. The extensive smoothing is designed to give a smooth and clear visualization of the overall market direction and magnitude.
Dashboard Metrics Compilation: Additional metrics like flow acceleration (derivative of mainFlow), and flow continuity (correlation between close and volume) are calculated. All primary components (Flow State, Strength, Viscosity, Turbulence, Pressure, Acceleration, Continuity) are then presented in a user-configurable dashboard for ease of monitoring.
💡 Note:
The “Market Fluid Dynamics - Phen” indicator is designed to offer a unique perspective on market behavior by applying principles from fluid dynamics. It’s most effective when used to understand the underlying forces driving price rather than as a direct buy/sell signal generator in isolation. Experiment with the settings, particularly the ‘Base Lookback Period’, ‘Flow Sensitivity’, and ‘Flow Smoothing’, to find what best suits your trading style and the specific asset you are analyzing. Always combine its insights with robust risk management practices.
MA Thrust Processor | QuantEdgeB⚡MA Thrust Processor | QuantEdgeB
🔭 What is the MA Thrust Processor?
The MA Thrust Processor (MTP) is a dynamic and modular market momentum engine that specializes in thrust-based signal analysis derived from smoothed moving averages. It’s engineered to model directional commitment, detect signal imbalances, and visualize structural momentum in a range of market conditions.
🧬 Think of MTP as a precision-engineered motion sensor — decoding strength, follow-through, and structural imbalance in real time — it detects force, direction, velocity, and alignment, adapting based on your preferred calculation model (Wave, Thrust, Z-Score, or Normalized) and signal mode (Impulse, Trend, or HA Candles).
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1. 🔧 System Core: Customizability and Processing Engine
📊 Moving Average Types
MA Thrust Processor supports a rich menu of 13+ moving average styles:
• Standard: SMA, EMA, WMA
• Advanced: HMA, LSMA, ALMA, JMA, TEMA, DEMA, SMMA
• Volume-Based: VWMA
• Adaptive Models: VIDYA (3 modes), FRAMA
💡 Each MA type acts as the backbone for signal smoothing and thrust deviation modeling, giving the user tight control over behavior and lag tradeoffs.
⚙️ Calculation Methods (MA Derivatives)
You choose how the core value is calculated:
1️⃣ 𝓦𝓪𝓿𝓮
• Sine-wave modeled oscillator
• Combines MA distance with standard deviation normalization
• Ideal for detecting divergences and cyclical structure
• Output includes center, smoothed line , and histogram.
2️⃣ 𝓣𝓱𝓻𝓾𝓼𝓽
• Calculates MA deviation vs. price and midpoint
• Captures aggressive directional pushes relative to range center
• Excellent for breakout/trend force analysis
3️⃣ 𝓩-𝓢𝓬𝓸𝓻𝓮
• Mean-reverting z-score over MA
• Expresses statistical distance from norm
• Used in reversion or probabilistic strategies
4️⃣ 𝓝𝓸𝓻𝓶𝓪𝓵𝓲𝔃𝓮𝓭
• Scales MA output to 0–1 (centered at 0.5)
• Tracks where the signal lies in its own relative range
• Great for flat vs. trending recognition
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2. 🧨 SIGNAL MODES – The Behavioral Core
The system supports 3 powerful signal modes that define how the thrust logic is interpreted and visualized.
1️⃣ 𝓘𝓶𝓹𝓾𝓵𝓼𝓮 Mode
🔥 Use Case: Breakouts, aggressive reversals, divergences
🔍 Logic:
• In Wave mode: compares Wave O (oscillator) and S (smoothed)
• In Thrust/Z-Score/Normalized: applies thresholds (static, SD, or percentile)
• Detects sharp departures or rejections from bounds
🎯 Ideal for:
• Scalp or event trades
• High-velocity moves
• Leading edge of trend or compression breaks
2️⃣ 𝓣𝓻𝓮𝓷𝓭 Mode
🧭 Use Case: Stable continuation and trend following
🔍 Logic:
• Signal triggers when value crosses a calculated midline or long-term average
• Thresholds: midline or 365-SMA of smoothed value
• Acts as a stable “bias direction” for trades
🎯 Ideal for:
• Swing trading
• Portfolio allocations
• Holding directional exposure longer
3️⃣ 𝓗𝓐 𝓒𝓪𝓷𝓭𝓵𝓮𝓼 Mode
🎨 Use Case: Visual clarity + phase detection
🔍 Logic:
• Converts signal to Heikin-Ashi candles
• Adds logic for momentum, reversal, continuation, or chop
• Highly discretionary and pattern-oriented
🎯 Ideal for:
• Visual traders
• Phase-based strategies
• Avoiding false positives in chop
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3. 📊 System Sensor Table (Strength Meter)
MA Thrust Processor includes a sophisticated sensor display with multi-layered insights.
🔁 Signal State
• Long ⟹ bullish conviction or thrust
• Short ⟹ bearish dominance or rejection
• Cash ⟹ neutrality or low conviction
Dynamically generated by logic mode and indicator thresholds.
📊 Strength Bars: Conviction + Potential
Strength output is never binary — instead, it’s expressed via:
1️⃣ Conviction Strength (when signal is active):
• Score from 0% to 100%
• Based on:
o Momentum velocity (Rate of Change)
o Distance from key thresholds
o Divergence signal (Wave mode)
o Flat signal detection (for Normalized)
2️⃣ Potential Strength (when signal = neutral):
• Displays both Bullish and Bearish readiness
• Interprets which side is loading pressure
• Helps traders spot “who has the edge” before breakout
👀 In Wave Mode, potential is calculated from oscillator vs. smoothed
👀 In Impulse/Trend, it blends distance + RoC + signal stability
🔸 HA Candle Phase (HA Mode Only)
When HA mode is active, strength bars are replaced with a live phase classifier:
• Momentum Up/Down: price above/below threshold + same color trend
• Reversal Up/Down: price above/below bounds, opposite signal color
• Continuation Up/Down: following a breakout/confirmation
• Chop: indecision zone
• Neutral: no clear trend
This turns HA mode into a narrative engine, expressing what’s happening, why, and what might come next.
_______________________
4. 🧠 Smart Auto-Configuration
Enabling Use Recommended Settings triggers optimized configurations:
• Pre-set thresholds (static, percentile, SD)
• Ideal lengths for each logic type
• Proper bounds scaling
• MA selections that match the logic
For example:
• Impulse + Thrust ⇒ shorter length + SD
• Trend + Z-Score ⇒ long mean-based
• Wave ⇒ balanced smoothing + SD blend
_______________________
5. 🧪 Summary of Use Cases
Each mode and calculation method within the MA Thrust Processor is tailored for specific trading styles and market conditions. Here’s how to think about their best applications:
🔹 Signal Modes
Impulse Mode is designed for speed and responsiveness. It excels in fast markets where breakouts or sharp reversals happen quickly. Ideal for scalpers, intraday traders, or anyone looking to catch momentum just as it ignites. It’s particularly effective around high-impact events like economic reports or news catalysts, as it picks up directional shifts rapidly.
Trend Mode focuses on longer-term, stable price action. It identifies directional bias using midline or average-based thresholds, making it best for swing traders and trend followers. Because of its stability, it filters out minor fluctuations and helps you stay in trades longer when the directional move is sustained.
HA Candles Mode is for traders who prefer a visual, phase-based approach. It smooths data using Heikin-Ashi logic and adds interpretive layers like "Momentum," "Reversal," or "Chop" to describe what’s happening structurally. This is excellent for discretionary traders, those who use price rhythm or structure, and those seeking cleaner entry points in noisy environments.
🔹 Calculation Methods
Wave is an oscillator-based model. It detects momentum swings and divergence between price and the smoothed oscillator. Great for spotting early reversals, pullback continuations, or cyclical rhythm patterns. In Impulse mode, it shows histogram shifts that reflect internal thrust dynamics.
Thrust quantifies directional pressure by comparing the signal’s distance from both the midpoint of price range and an SMA. This method is powerful when you want to assess how much true force is behind a move — especially useful during breakout scenarios or strong directional pushes.
Z-Score mode normalizes the signal to its statistical distance from the mean. This makes it ideal for mean reversion strategies or situations where price has deviated too far from historical behavior. Traders can look for exhaustion zones or pullback opportunities with greater confidence.
Normalized rescales the signal within a 0–1 range (centered at 0.5), helping traders understand where the price sits within its own context — whether it’s relatively extended or compressed. It’s great for range traders, flat market identification, or mapping gradual bias accumulation.
_______________________
Each mode and method has been thoughtfully designed to align with different strategy frameworks — and switching between them completely reconfigures the way the system operates, giving traders unmatched flexibility across timeframes and asset classes
_______________________
🧭 Conclusion
MA Thrust Processor isn’t just a tool - it’s a precision-calibrated thrust engine that gives market context form. It lets you define your logic, style, and MA behavior while delivering rich visual output and conviction-based strength insight.
Whether you're reading momentum waves, modeling thrust deviation, or interpreting candle structure, MTP adapts to your strategy.
🚀 From short-term scalps to long-term rotations, MTP delivers signal clarity with the quantitative conviction needed in modern markets.
📌 Trade with Statistical Precision | Powered by QuantEdgeB
🔹 Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results.
🔹 Strategic Advice: Always backtest, optimize, and align parameters with your trading objectives and risk tolerance before live trading.
