Tether DataCONCEPT
A toolkit with a bunch of different metrics for the widely used stablecoin called tether (USDT).
It's very easy to use, just select in the settings what data you want to look at.
FEATURES
Value index.
The "index" setting shows a volume weighted index of different exchanges to give the most accurate average USDT/USD price.
Market cap.
Very straight forward. This shows you the current tether market cap.
Market cap changes.
This gives you a better visualization of increases (or sometimes decreases) in the tether market cap.
Dominance
This shows tether dominance in the market, same concept as bitcoin dominance.
It compares the USDT mcap to the total crypto mcap and then shows the dominance percentage wise.
It's considered bearish when USDT dominance goes up because it means people want to get out of coins and flee to something more stable.
BTC buying power.
This compares the tether market cap and compares it to the bitcoin market cap to give you an idea of how much BTC buying power has in theory.
The higher this ratio the more bitcoin could be bought with all the tether available.
You'll notice that this often looks very similar to the dominance metric.
Exchanges.
The tether price of multiple exchanges.
In the settings you can select which ones you want the indicator to show.
TRADING
I can't tell you exactly how useful this indicator is for trading, I don't have strong opinions on it.
Some people think a high tether price and dominance is bearish.
Some think the market cap increasing (because of new prints) is bullish.
The buying power metric can give you an idea of how much dry powder there is in the market.
The exchanges metric shows you where you can get the cheapest USDT...
Just some ideas.
This indicator is free so if you add it to your favourites you can start using it immediately (it's possible that you have to refresh Tradingview before it actually works).
Source code is visible for learning purposes.
Cheers.
Search in scripts for "bitcoin"
Altseason FinderTo know when to buy altcoins instead of bitcoin.
It is based on BTCUSD and BTC Dominance RSIs.
Pi Cycle Top Indicator for BTCUSDThis indicator adds the Pi Cycle Top Indicator for BTCUSD to your chart.
Indicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days. It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking. It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter term moving average, which is the 111 day moving average, has reached a x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average. Historically it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin at this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
Pi Cycle Top IndicatorIndicator Overview
The Pi Cycle Top Indicator has historically been effective in picking out the timing of market cycle highs to within 3 days.
It uses the 111 day moving average (111DMA) and a newly created multiple of the 350 day moving average, the 350DMA x 2.
Note: The multiple is of the price values of the 350DMA not the number of days.
For the past three market cycles, when the 111DMA moves up and crosses the 350DMA x 2 we see that it coincides with the price of Bitcoin peaking.
It is also interesting to note that 350 / 111 is 3.153, which is very close to Pi = 3.142. In fact, it is the closest we can get to Pi when dividing 350 by another whole number.
It once again demonstrates the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action over long time frames. Though in this instance it does so with a high degree of accuracy over the past 7 years.
How It Can Be Used
Pi Cycle Top is useful to indicate when the market is very overheated. So overheated that the shorter term moving average, which is the 111 day moving average, has reached a x2 multiple of the 350 day moving average. Historically it has proved advantageous to sell Bitcoin at this time in Bitcoin's price cycles.
Created By
Philip Swift
Statistical and Financial MetricsGood morning traders!
This time I want to share with you a little script that, thanks to the use of arrays, allows you to have interesting statistical and financial insights taken from the symbol on chart and compared to those of another symbol you desire (in this case the metrics taken from the perpetual future ETHUSDT are compared to those taken from the perpetual future BTCUSDT, used as a proxy for the direction of cryptocurrency market)
By enabling "prevent repainting", the data retrieved from the compared symbol won't be on real time but they will static since they will belong to the previous closed candle
Here are the metrics you can have by storing data from a variable period of candles (by default 51):
✓ Variance (of the symbol on chart in GREEN; of the compared symbol in WHITE)
✓ Standard Deviation (of the symbol on chart in OLIVE; of the compared symbol in SILVER)
✓ Yelds (of the symbol on chart in LIME; of the compared symbol in GRAY) → yelds are referred to the previous close, so they would be calculated as the the difference between the current close and the previous one all divided by the previous close
✓ Covariance of the two datasets (in BLUE)
✓ Correlation coefficient of the two datasets (in AQUA)
✓ β (in RED) → this insight is calculated in three alternative ways for educational purpose (don't worry, the output would be the same).
WHAT IS BETA (β)?
The BETA of an asset can be interpretated as the representation (in relative terms) of the systematic risk of an asset: in other terms, it allows you to understand how big is the risk (not eliminable with portfolio diversification) of an asset based on the volatilty of its yelds.
We say that this representation is made in relative terms since it is expressed according to the market portfolio: this portfolio is hypothetically the portfolio which maximizes the diversification effects in order to kill all the specific risk of that portfolio; in this way the standard deviation calculated from the yelds of this portfolio will represent just the not-eliminable risk (the systematic risk), without including the eliminable risk (the specific risk).
The BETA of an asset is calculated as the volatilty of this asset around the volatilty of the market portfolio: being more precise, it is the covariance between the yelds of the current asset and those of the market portfolio all divided by the variance of the yelds of market portfolio.
Covariance is calculated as the product between correlation coefficient, standard deviation of the first dataset and standard deviation of the second asset.
So, as the correlation coefficient and the standard deviation of the yelds of our asset increase (it means that the yelds of our asset are very similiar to those of th market portfolio in terms of sign and intensity and that the volatility of these yelds is quite high), the value of BETA increases as well
According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) promoted by William Sharpe (the guy of the "Sharpe Ratio") and Harry Markowitz, in efficient markets the yeld of an asset can be calculated as the sum between the risk-free interest rate and the risk premium. The risk premium of the specific asset would be the risk premium of the market portfolio multiplied with the value of beta. It is simple: if the volatility of the yelds of an asset around the yelds of market protfolio are particularly high, investors would ask for a higher risk premium that would be translated in a higher yeld.
In this way the expected yeld of an asset would be calculated from the linear expression of the "Security Market Line": r_i = r_f + β*(r_m-r_f)
where:
r_i = expected yeld of the asset
r_f = risk free interest rate
β = beta
r_m = yeld of market portfolio
I know that considering Bitcoin as a proxy of the market portfolio involved in the calculation of Beta would be an inaccuracy since it doesn't have the property of maximum diversification (since it is a single asset), but there's no doubt that it's tying the prices of altcoins (upward and downward) thanks to the relevance of its dominance in the capitalization of cryptocurrency market. So, in the lack of a good index of cryptocurrencies (as the FTSE MIB for the italian stock market), and as long the dominance of Bitcoin will persist with this intensity, we can use Bitcoin as a proxy of the market portfolio
Combo VIX and DXYHello traders
It's been a while :)
I wanted to share a cool script that you can use for any asset class.
The script isn't really special - though what it displays is super helpful
Volatility Index $VIX
(Source: Wikipedia)
VIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index, a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options.
It is calculated and disseminated on a real-time basis by the CBOE, and is often referred to as the fear index or fear gauge.
I consider that a $VIX above 30% is a very bearish signal.
Above 30% translating investors selling in masse their assets. #blood #on #the #street
Dollar Index $DXY
(Source: Wikipedia)
The U.S. Dollar Index (USDX, DXY, DX, or, informally, the "Dixie") is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies, often referred to as a basket of U.S. trade partners' currencies.
The Index goes up when the U.S. dollar gains "strength" (value) when compared to other currencies.
The index is designed, maintained, and published by ICE (Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.), with the name "U.S. Dollar Index" a registered trademark.
It is a weighted geometric mean of the dollar's value relative to following select currencies:
Euro (EUR), 57.6% weight
Japanese yen (JPY) 13.6% weight
Pound sterling (GBP), 11.9% weight
Canadian dollar (CAD), 9.1% weight
Swedish krona (SEK), 4.2% weight
Swiss franc (CHF) 3.6% weight
In "bear markets", the $DXY usually goes up.
People are selling their hard assets to get some $USD in return - pumping the $DXY higher
Corollary
I'm not sure which one happens first between a bearish $DXY or bearish $DXY... though both are usually correlated
If:
- $VIX goes above 30%, usually $DXY increases and assets versus the good old' $USD drop
- $VIX goes below 30%, usually $DXY decreases and assets versus the good old' $USD increases
This is a nice lever effect between both the $VIX, $DXY and the assets versus the $USD
That's being said, I don't only use those 2 information to enter in a trade.
It gives me though a strong confirmation whenever I'm long or short
Imagine I get a LONG signal but the combo $VIX + $DXY is bearish... this tells me to be cautious and to:
- enter at a pullback
- protect my position quickly at breakeven
- take my profit quick
For a mega bull market (some called it hyperinflation), you want your fiat to drop in value for the counter-asset to increase in value.
And before you ask.... yes I look at what $DXY is doing before taking a trade on $BTCUSD :)
In other words, $DXY going down is quite bullish for Bitcoin.
Settings and Alerts
The settings by default are the ones I use for my trading.
The background colors will be colored whenever the COMBO is bullish (green) or bearish (red)
Alerts are enabled using the brand new alert function published last week by @TradingView
That's it for today, I hope you'll like it :)
PS: In this chart above, I'm using the Supertrend indicator from @KivancOzbilgic
Dave
grayscale alt ratioThis script tracks the volume of grayscale altcoin trust with the grayscale bitcoin trust in percent.
It sums the litecoin, bitcoin cash, ethereum and ethereum classic volume and divides it by the bitcoin volume.
Going to add the new trusts as soon as they are available.
Universal Global SessionUniversal Global Session
This Script combines the world sessions of: Stocks, Forex, Bitcoin Kill Zones, strategic points, all configurable, in a single Script, to capitalize the opening and closing times of global exchanges as investment assets, becoming an Universal Global Session .
It is based on the great work of @oscarvs ( BITCOIN KILL ZONES v2 ) and the scripts of @ChrisMoody. Thank you Oscar and Chris for your excellent judgment and great work.
At the end of this writing you can find all the internet references of the extensive documentation that I present here. To maximize your benefits in the use of this Script, I recommend that you read the entire document to create an objective and practical criterion.
All the hours of the different exchanges are presented at GMT -6. In Market24hClock you can adjust it to your preferences.
After a deep investigation I have been able to show that the different world sessions reveal underlying investment cycles, where it is possible to find sustained changes in the nominal behavior of the trend before the passage from one session to another and in the natural overlaps between the sessions. These underlying movements generally occur 15 minutes before the start, close or overlap of the session, when the session properly starts and also 15 minutes after respectively. Therefore, this script is designed to highlight these particular trending behaviors. Try it, discover your own conclusions and let me know in the notes, thank you.
Foreign Exchange Market Hours
It is the schedule by which currency market participants can buy, sell, trade and speculate on currencies all over the world. It is open 24 hours a day during working days and closes on weekends, thanks to the fact that operations are carried out through a network of information systems, instead of physical exchanges that close at a certain time. It opens Monday morning at 8 am local time in Sydney —Australia— (which is equivalent to Sunday night at 7 pm, in New York City —United States—, according to Eastern Standard Time), and It closes at 5pm local time in New York City (which is equivalent to 6am Saturday morning in Sydney).
The Forex market is decentralized and driven by local sessions, where the hours of Forex trading are based on the opening range of each active country, becoming an efficient transfer mechanism for all participants. Four territories in particular stand out: Sydney, Tokyo, London and New York, where the highest volume of operations occurs when the sessions in London and New York overlap. Furthermore, Europe is complemented by major financial centers such as Paris, Frankfurt and Zurich. Each day of forex trading begins with the opening of Australia, then Asia, followed by Europe, and finally North America. As markets in one region close, another opens - or has already opened - and continues to trade in the currency market. The seven most traded currencies in the world are: the US dollar, the euro, the Japanese yen, the British pound, the Australian dollar, the Canadian dollar, and the New Zealand dollar.
Currencies are needed around the world for international trade, this means that operations are not dominated by a single exchange market, but rather involve a global network of brokers from around the world, such as banks, commercial companies, central banks, companies investment management, hedge funds, as well as retail forex brokers and global investors. Because this market operates in multiple time zones, it can be accessed at any time except during the weekend, therefore, there is continuously at least one open market and there are some hours of overlap between the closing of the market of one region and the opening of another. The international scope of currency trading means that there are always traders around the world making and satisfying demands for a particular currency.
The market involves a global network of exchanges and brokers from around the world, although time zones overlap, the generally accepted time zone for each region is as follows:
Sydney 5pm to 2am EST (10pm to 7am UTC)
London 3am to 12 noon EST (8pm to 5pm UTC)
New York 8am to 5pm EST (1pm to 10pm UTC)
Tokyo 7pm to 4am EST (12am to 9am UTC)
Trading Session
A financial asset trading session refers to a period of time that coincides with the daytime trading hours for a given location, it is a business day in the local financial market. This may vary according to the asset class and the country, therefore operators must know the hours of trading sessions for the securities and derivatives in which they are interested in trading. If investors can understand market hours and set proper targets, they will have a much greater chance of making a profit within a workable schedule.
Kill Zones
Kill zones are highly liquid events. Many different market participants often come together and perform around these events. The activity itself can be event-driven (margin calls or option exercise-related activity), portfolio management-driven (asset allocation rebalancing orders and closing buy-in), or institutionally driven (larger players needing liquidity to complete the size) or a combination of any of the three. This intense cross-current of activity at a very specific point in time often occurs near significant technical levels and the established trends emerging from these events often persist until the next Death Zone approaches or enters.
Kill Zones are evolving with time and the course of world history. Since the end of World War II, New York has slowly invaded London's place as the world center for commercial banking. So much so that during the latter part of the 20th century, New York was considered the new center of the financial universe. With the end of the cold war, that leadership appears to have shifted towards Europe and away from the United States. Furthermore, Japan has slowly lost its former dominance in the global economic landscape, while Beijing's has increased dramatically. Only time will tell how these death zones will evolve given the ever-changing political, economic, and socioeconomic influences of each region.
Financial Markets
New York
New York (NYSE Chicago, NASDAQ)
7:30 am - 2:00 pm
It is the second largest currency platform in the world, followed largely by foreign investors as it participates in 90% of all operations, where movements on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) can have an immediate effect (powerful) on the dollar, for example, when companies merge and acquisitions are finalized, the dollar can instantly gain or lose value.
A. Complementary Stock Exchanges
Brazil (BOVESPA - Brazilian Stock Exchange)
07:00 am - 02:55 pm
Canada (TSX - Toronto Stock Exchange)
07:30 am - 02:00 pm
New York (NYSE - New York Stock Exchange)
08:30 am - 03:00 pm
B. North American Trading Session
07:00 am - 03:00 pm
(from the beginning of the business day on NYSE and NASDAQ, until the end of the New York session)
New York, Chicago and Toronto (Canada) open the North American session. Characterized by the most aggressive trading within the markets, currency pairs show high volatility. As the US markets open, trading is still active in Europe, however trading volume generally decreases with the end of the European session and the overlap between the US and Europe.
C. Strategic Points
US main session starts in 1 hour
07:30 am
The euro tends to drop before the US session. The NYSE, CHX and TSX (Canada) trading sessions begin 1 hour after this strategic point. The North American session begins trading Forex at 07:00 am.
This constitutes the beginning of the overlap of the United States and the European market that spans from 07:00 am to 10:35 am, often called the best time to trade EUR / USD, it is the period of greatest liquidity for the main European currencies since it is where they have their widest daily ranges.
When New York opens at 07:00 am the most intense trading begins in both the US and European markets. The overlap of European and American trading sessions has 80% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during US business hours and 70% of the total average trading range for all currency pairs during European business hours. The intersection of the US and European sessions are the most volatile overlapping hours of all.
Influential news and data for the USD are released between 07:30 am and 09:00 am and play the biggest role in the North American Session. These are the strategically most important moments of this activity period: 07:00 am, 08:00 am and 08:30 am.
The main session of operations in the United States and Canada begins
08:30 am
Start of main trading sessions in New York, Chicago and Toronto. The European session still overlaps the North American session and this is the time for large-scale unpredictable trading. The United States leads the market. It is difficult to interpret the news due to speculation. Trends develop very quickly and it is difficult to identify them, however trends (especially for the euro), which have developed during the overlap, often turn the other way when Europe exits the market.
Second hour of the US session and last hour of the European session
09:30 am
End of the European session
10:35 am
The trend of the euro will change rapidly after the end of the European session.
Last hour of the United States session
02:00 pm
Institutional clients and very large funds are very active during the first and last working hours of almost all stock exchanges, knowing this allows to better predict price movements in the opening and closing of large markets. Within the last trading hours of the secondary market session, a pullback can often be seen in the EUR / USD that continues until the opening of the Tokyo session. Generally it happens if there was an upward price movement before 04:00 pm - 05:00 pm.
End of the trade session in the United States
03:00 pm
D. Kill Zones
11:30 am - 1:30 pm
New York Kill Zone. The United States is still the world's largest economy, so by default, the New York opening carries a lot of weight and often comes with a huge injection of liquidity. In fact, most of the world's marketable assets are priced in US dollars, making political and economic activity within this region even more important. Because it is relatively late in the world's trading day, this Death Zone often sees violent price swings within its first hour, leading to the proven adage "never trust the first hour of trading in America. North.
---------------
London
London (LSE - London Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:35 am
Britain dominates the currency markets around the world, and London is its main component. London, a central trading capital of the world, accounts for about 43% of world trade, many Forex trends often originate from London.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Dubai (DFM - Dubai Financial Market)
12:00 am - 03:50 am
Moscow (MOEX - Moscow Exchange)
12:30 am - 10:00 am
Germany (FWB - Frankfurt Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 10:30 am
Afríca (JSE - Johannesburg Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 09:00 am
Saudi Arabia (TADAWUL - Saudi Stock Exchange)
01:00 am - 06:00 am
Switzerland (SIX - Swiss Stock Exchange)
02:00 am - 10:30 am
B. European Trading Session
02:00 am - 11:00 am
(from the opening of the Frankfurt session to the close of the Order Book on the London Stock Exchange / Euronext)
It is a very liquid trading session, where trends are set that start during the first trading hours in Europe and generally continue until the beginning of the US session.
C. Middle East Trading Session
12:00 am - 06:00 am
(from the opening of the Dubai session to the end of the Riyadh session)
D. Strategic Points
European session begins
02:00 am
London, Frankfurt and Zurich Stock Exchange enter the market, overlap between Europe and Asia begins.
End of the Singapore and Asia sessions
03:00 am
The euro rises almost immediately or an hour after Singapore exits the market.
Middle East Oil Markets Completion Process
05:00 am
Operations are ending in the European-Asian market, at which time Dubai, Qatar and in another hour in Riyadh, which constitute the Middle East oil markets, are closing. Because oil trading is done in US dollars, and the region with the trading day coming to an end no longer needs the dollar, consequently, the euro tends to grow more frequently.
End of the Middle East trading session
06:00 am
E. Kill Zones
5:00 am - 7:00 am
London Kill Zone. Considered the center of the financial universe for more than 500 years, Europe still has a lot of influence in the banking world. Many older players use the European session to establish their positions. As such, the London Open often sees the most significant trend-setting activity on any trading day. In fact, it has been suggested that 80% of all weekly trends are set through the London Kill Zone on Tuesday.
F. Kill Zones (close)
2:00 pm - 4:00 pm
London Kill Zone (close).
---------------
Tokyo
Tokyo (JPX - Tokyo Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
It is the first Asian market to open, receiving most of the Asian trade, just ahead of Hong Kong and Singapore.
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
Singapore (SGX - Singapore Exchange)
07:00 pm - 03:00 am
Hong Kong (HKEx - Hong Kong Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 02:00 am
Shanghai (SSE - Shanghai Stock Exchange)
07:30 pm - 01:00 am
India (NSE - India National Stock Exchange)
09:45 pm - 04:00 am
B. Asian Trading Session
06:00 pm - 03:00 am
From the opening of the Tokyo session to the end of the Singapore session
The first major Asian market to open is Tokyo which has the largest market share and is the third largest Forex trading center in the world. Singapore opens in an hour, and then the Chinese markets: Shanghai and Hong Kong open 30 minutes later. With them, the trading volume increases and begins a large-scale operation in the Asia-Pacific region, offering more liquidity for the Asian-Pacific currencies and their crosses. When European countries open their doors, more liquidity will be offered to Asian and European crossings.
C. Strategic Points
Second hour of the Tokyo session
07:00 pm
This session also opens the Singapore market. The commercial dynamics grows in anticipation of the opening of the two largest Chinese markets in 30 minutes: Shanghai and Hong Kong, within these 30 minutes or just before the China session begins, the euro usually falls until the same moment of the opening of Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Second hour of the China session
08:30 pm
Hong Kong and Shanghai start trading and the euro usually grows for more than an hour. The EUR / USD pair mixes up as Asian exporters convert part of their earnings into both US dollars and euros.
Last hour of the Tokyo session
11:00 pm
End of the Tokyo session
12:00 am
If the euro has been actively declining up to this time, China will raise the euro after the Tokyo shutdown. Hong Kong, Shanghai and Singapore remain open and take matters into their own hands causing the growth of the euro. Asia is a huge commercial and industrial region with a large number of high-quality economic products and gigantic financial turnover, making the number of transactions on the stock exchanges huge during the Asian session. That is why traders, who entered the trade at the opening of the London session, should pay attention to their terminals when Asia exits the market.
End of the Shanghai session
01:00 am
The trade ends in Shanghai. This is the last trading hour of the Hong Kong session, during which market activity peaks.
D. Kill Zones
10:00 pm - 2:00 am
Asian Kill Zone. Considered the "Institutional" Zone, this zone represents both the launch pad for new trends as well as a recharge area for the post-American session. It is the beginning of a new day (or week) for the world and as such it makes sense that this zone often sets the tone for the remainder of the global business day. It is ideal to pay attention to the opening of Tokyo, Beijing and Sydney.
--------------
Sidney
Sydney (ASX - Australia Stock Exchange)
06:00 pm - 12:00 am
A. Complementary Stock Exchange
New Zealand (NZX - New Zealand Stock Exchange)
04:00 pm - 10:45 pm
It's where the global trading day officially begins. While it is the smallest of the megamarkets, it sees a lot of initial action when markets reopen Sunday afternoon as individual traders and financial institutions are trying to regroup after the long hiatus since Friday afternoon. On weekdays it constitutes the end of the current trading day where the change in the settlement date occurs.
B. Pacific Trading Session
04:00 pm - 12:00 am
(from the opening of the Wellington session to the end of the Sydney session)
Forex begins its business hours when Wellington (New Zealand Exchange) opens local time on Monday. Sydney (Australian Stock Exchange) opens in 2 hours. It is a session with a fairly low volatility, configuring itself as the calmest session of all. Strong movements appear when influential news is published and when the Pacific session overlaps the Asian Session.
C. Strategic Points
End of the Sydney session
12:00 am
---------------
Conclusions
The best time to trade is during overlaps in trading times between open markets. Overlaps equate to higher price ranges, creating greater opportunities.
Regarding press releases (news), it should be noted that these in the currency markets have the power to improve a normally slow trading period. When a major announcement is made regarding economic data, especially when it goes against the predicted forecast, the coin can lose or gain value in a matter of seconds. In general, the more economic growth a country produces, the more positive the economy is for international investors. Investment capital tends to flow to countries that are believed to have good growth prospects and subsequently good investment opportunities, leading to the strengthening of the country's exchange rate. Also, a country that has higher interest rates through its government bonds tends to attract investment capital as foreign investors seek high-yield opportunities. However, stable economic growth and attractive yields or interest rates are inextricably intertwined. It's important to take advantage of market overlaps and keep an eye out for press releases when setting up a trading schedule.
References:
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
www.investopedia.com
market24hclock.com
market24hclock.com
Buy the Dips (by Coinrule)Taking your first steps into automated trading may be challenging. Coinrule's mission is to make it as easy as possible, also for beginners.
Here follows the best trading strategy to get started with Coinrule. This strategy doesn't involve complex indicators, yet was proved to be effective in the long term for many coins. Results seem to be improved when trading a coin vs Bitcoin.
The strategy buys the dips of a coin to sell with a profit. A stop-loss protects every trade.
Crypto markets offer high volatility and, thus, excellent opportunities for trading. Excluding times of severe downtrend, buying the dip is a simple and effective long-term trading strategy. The buy-signal is set to a 2% drop in a 30-minutes time frame.
Each trade comes with a take profit and a stop loss. Both set at 2%.
You can adjust these percentages to the market volatility as an advanced setup. You can backtest the outcomes using the backtesting tool from Tradingview
The strategy assumes each order to trade 30% of the available capital. A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
True Inflation Compensator (USD)This script will draw your underlying ticker compensating for a truer USD inflation rate based on an average between the M2 money supply increase and the government's reported CPI. It only considers the last year of inflation by default, but you can set any amount of years in the options.
This is especially relevant given the current massive printing that is going on within the US economic system. If you look at the S&P500 the market has by no means completely recovered, but due to massive printing most do not realize this by just looking at the base chart. A similar concept applies to Bitcoin. Unfortunately due to today's economic climate one must compensate for printing to get a true analysis of how investments are doing.
STOCH_HVP(picte)This indicator is made up of a stochastic oscillator and of historical volatility percentile. Historical volatility percentile basically tells you how volatile the market is based on how volatile it has been in the history.
Historical volatility is great for trading options but i have also found it to be great at finding trades with good risk/reward ratio. When market has extremely low volatility we can expect a bigger move to emerge along with expansion of volatility. But since historical volatility does not imply the direction of the market i added a stochastic oscillator with some horizontal levels i have found to serve as good support/resistance levels.
I found it useful for trading Forex pairs but it is especially powerful with bitcoin.
EulerMethod: CryptoCapEN
Shows the cryptocurrency market capitalization balance for the period
Initial data
Bitcoin Capitalization - CRYPTOCAP: BTC
Altcoin Capitalization - CRYPTOCAP: TOTAL2
Money circulates from fiat to bitcoin, from bitcoin to altcoins, from altcoins to fiat
This indicator applies the RSI algorithm to changes in capitalization
The divergence of indices shows an imbalance
Balance level: 0, Maximum: +100, Minimum: -100
(!) Artifacts of indicator readings may occur due to incorrect input data
RU
Показывает баланс капитализации крипторынка за период
Исходные данные
Капитализация Биткоина — CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Капитализация Альткоинов — CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
Деньги циркулируют из фиата в биткоин, из биткоина в альткоины, из альткоинов в фиат
В этом индикаторе применяется алгоритм RSI к изменениям капитализации
Расхождения индексов показывают дисбаланс
Балансовый уровень: 0, Максимум: +100, Минимум: -100
(!) Могут возникать артефакты показаний индикатора из-за неправильных исходных данных
Ranged Volume Strategy - evoThis is the strategy version for the ranged volume indicator I published a few days ago.
Long : First yellow break-out after red
Short : First red break-out after yellow
Because this is volume, you want to be using this on an exchange with high volume for the best results. Default settings are not optimized but work great on bitcoins daily chart.
A short explanation of the indicator below:
OneGeenCandle - Tether-Printer**************** OnegreenCandle - Tether Printer ************************
Shows the total market cap of USDT (US Dollar Tether) currency. Helpful for swing trading longer timeframes and indentifying new supply in the crypto market.
SPPO — Simple Percentage Price Oscillator SPPO is Simple Percentage Price Oscillator .
SPPO is calculated as the ratio of the current price to the moving average.
This indicator is used in the trading strategy to determine overbought and oversold markets. Chart period D1.
I use this oscillator on the BTCUSD and ETHUSD pairs. It can also be used on other top crypto symbols.
If SPPO on the BTCUSDT chart > 35%, this means that in the Bitcoin market pamp . So it’s time to close long positions.
If SPPO on the bitcoin chart is <-30%, then bitcoin is oversold and you need to think about starting to buy it.
Recommended timeframe: 1d
Input parameters:
MA Length — number of bars for moving average. Default = 25.
Source — type of price used to calculate the MA. Default = close.
High Level — upper horizontal constant on the SPPO chart. Default = 35.
Low Level — lower horizontal constant on the SPPO chart. Default = -35.
Simple MA(Oscillator) — type of MA indicator used. If false = Exponential Moving Average , if true = Simple Moving Average . Default = true.
BTC Mayer Multiple BandsIntroduced by Trace Mayer as a way to gauge the current price of Bitcoin against its long range historical price movements (200 day moving average), the Mayer Multiple highlights when Bitcoin is overbought or oversold in the context of longer time frames.
It's worth noting that as the market becomes larger and less volatile, the peaks are becoming less exaggerated. This is because a 200 day moving average baseline is a static yardstick against an ever growing, more stable, Bitcoin market. We should recalibrate what constitutes the overbought/oversold extremes on this chart accordingly.
Idea by CryptoKea. Original author:
FTX Index Advance Decline LineAs of publishing, all the tickers from FTX with the word "index" in it, plus bitcoin.
This is your regular ADL except instead of hundreds in the basket you've got them condensed into 7 (for now) and in open/close candle form instead of a line.
I'm a bit disappointed because I thought I'd lever more utility from indexes. It may just need some tweaking.
Doesn't it look like Renko?
Some notes:
Reason why it expands:
Total number of constituents is a static 7, to fix that use time to change the total variable based on dates of introduction.
Reallly looks like Renko:
Renko with ATR, length 14, hourly chart.
It's Sunday and 2300UTCCME bitcoin trading opens at 5p.m. CT (UTC-6) on Sunday. This translates to 2300 UTC.
www.cmegroup.com
Orange: CME open hour candle's range is smaller than the previous hourly candle
Fuchsia: CME open hour candle's range is larger than the previous hourly candle
If there is a blue highlight after CME open, that means the candle after the open has a larger range. Otherwise there is no highlight.
Sessions_for_cryptoCoinCollege's article found that between September 1, 2019 and January 15, 2020, Bitcoin price movements tended to be the most driven by US time.
Japan time was the least active. This is similar to forex.
In the article, it was defined as follows:
NY time: 00:00 to 8:00 (NYK時間)
Tokyo time: 8: 00-16: 00 (TKY時間)
London time: 16:00 to 00:00 (LDN時間)
This indicator colors the time zone according to its definition.
Reference: Consideration on the time zone and day of the week when the Bitcoin market is easy to move (September 2019-January 2020)
Original title: ビットコイン相場が動き易い時間帯と曜日についての考察（2019年9月〜2020年1月）
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コインカレッジさんの記事で「米国時間が一番Bitcoin動くよね」という調査結果が出ていました。
なのですが、時間帯を色分けしてくれる丁度よいインジがなかったので作りました。
Voss Strategy (Filter + Trend Indicator) [Bitduke]Created strategy based on Voss Predictive Filter, implemented by TradingView user e2e4mfck.
Voss Predictive Filter
This is a relatively new filter from John F. Ehlers’ article, “A Peek Into The Future .” Ehlers describes the calculation of a new filter that could help signal cyclical turning points in markets.
But filter has a negative group delay and while an indicator based on it cannot actually see into the future, it may provide the trader with signals in advance of other indicators.
In mentioned article he tested filter on SPY and at one point in time "it went into a trend mode in January 2019, and the cycle signal failed miserably, signaling a short position during the runup. <...> The only way to minimize the impact of this condition is to employ an additional trend detector."
Thus I've added another Ehlers' based trend based indicator Instantaneous Trendline (thanks to LazyBear for implementation) to minimize the impact of the trend mode and got a good results on XBTUSD pair 4h.
Backtest :
> Range: 2016 - 2020
> XBTUSD
> 4h
> ~20% drawdown
> Sharpe (0.361, not too impressive)
I think it can be improved with Risk Management system and experimenting with various trend following indicators.
BTC Transaction/On-Chain Volume (Basic)Description:
Whale: Whale utilizing discounted prices (increasing on-chain volume & decreasing price)
Recovering: Positive momentum in price after potential whale activity
Cycle Volume Support: The transaction volume support during a cycle
What’s the best time to invest?
After institutions make up their mind at low price levels.
How’s on-chain volume related to whales or institutional money?
On-chain volume is contributed not only by using BTC as payment methods, but more importantly by large custodians using the BTC chain to settle internal whale trades. When OTC volume is estimated 2-3 times of exchange volume, and when total on-chain volume is only a small fraction of the exchange volume, the OTC settlement plays a big factor in moving the on-chain volume around.
Why does the price drop further after spotting whale money?
Does new money equal higher true value? Yes.
Does new money equal higher price? No.
Whales could not only ladder in when they see the price on discount, but also push the price further down to accumulate at better price levels. However, either route chosen, it’s most likely for the price to rise to a higher level compared to the level when the whales enter. Whales are here to make money after all.
Moving Average ChannelIntended for use on BTC long term (BNC:BLX Weekly) with Logarithmic charts only
As Bitcoin is adopted, it moves through market cycles. These are created by periods where market participants are over-excited causing the price to over-extend, and periods where they are overly pessimistic where the price over-contracts. Identifying and understanding these periods can be beneficial to the long term investor. This long term investment tool is a simple and effective way to highlight those periods.
Buying Bitcoin when the price drops below the green line has historically generated outsized returns. Selling Bitcoin when price goes above the red line has been historically effective for taking profits.
NOTE: 144 Week = 2¾ Years. 104 Weeks = 2 Years. Originally created by Philip Swift
Blockchain Fundamentals - MCCD - Miner Capitulation Conv/Div🔗Blockchain Fundamentals - MCCD - Miner Capitulation & Convergence Divergence
(a.k.a. Hash Ribbons)
Intro
Miner Capitulation has been talked about alot recently in the news and on twitter. I wanted to join the in fun and add my own spin on things.
Description
This shows the 30 (yellow) and 60 (orange) day moving average of the hash rate of bitcoin. I added an option to show the convergence/divergence of the two moving averages in a visual manner similar to the MACD.
I also added the ability to select both the length and type of MA used in the calculation of the capitulation so you can experiment.
Other additions include bar coloration by trade state, and background highlighting of capitulation periods.
Editable Capitulation/Recovery plots will show clearly when the crosses happen.
The way to replicate my display is to add the indicator twice below the chart and combine in the same pane. First indicator displays the averages by default. The second one you enable convergence/divergence display option and uncheck the rest.
Last I add the indicator one more time and dragged it on chart. Do not combine the scales into one, of else it will ruin the scale (you want them separate scales). Its just showing you possibilities, use whatever works for you!
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