Engulfing Detector (Supply and Demand)Bullish and bearish engulfing candles marked with horizontal lines around engulfed candle.
This indicator can be used to assist in locating potential supply and demand zones.
The fresh zones will be of green and red line colors and the tested zone lines are grey in color.
Search in scripts for "demand"
IZAYOI -Stoch Chikou + CVD Momentum v1IZAYOI -Stoch Chikou + CVD Momentum Sync-
Overview
"IZAYOI" (The 16th Night Moon) is a professional-grade momentum indicator that harmonizes the Japanese traditional Chikou Span logic with modern CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) analysis.
While standard oscillators only track price exhaustion, IZAYOI validates every signal through a three-layer confirmation: Trend (Chikou), Momentum (Slow Stoch), and Supply/Demand (Rolling CVD). It is designed to capture high-probability reversals and trend-following opportunities while filtering out market noise.
Core Features
Chikou Span Filter (The White Path): Plots a white Chikou line on the main chart. The background changes dynamically (Blue for Bullish / Red for Bearish) based on the price's position relative to this line.
Neon Pulse Stochastic: A refined Slow Stochastic (plotted in vivid purple) provides smooth, reliable entry timing from Overbought/Oversold levels.
Rolling CVD Dashboard: A real-time UI panel monitors the balance of aggressive buyers vs. sellers. It includes a "Volume Climax" alert to warn you of potential trend exhaustion.
Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Intelligence: The indicator automatically scans a higher timeframe (HTF) to ensure your entry aligns with the "Power Zone" (Stoch K between 20-80).
How to Trade with IZAYOI
Identify the Zone: Only look for Longs when the background is Blue (Price > Chikou) and Shorts when the background is Red (Price < Chikou).
Wait for the Signal: Watch for the Triangle Arrows indicating a Stochastic reversal from the 20/80 boundaries.
The "MATCH" Confirmation: The highest probability trades occur when the UI displays "✅ MATCH." This means the HTF trend, CVD momentum, and local signals are all perfectly synchronized.
Manage the Exit: When the UI flashes "⚠️ VOL CLIMAX!", it signals an unusual surge in volume—often a sign to tighten your Stop Loss or take profits.
Technical Specifications
Script Type: Oscillator with Main Chart Overlays.
Key Inputs: Customizable Stoch lengths, HTF selection, and CVD lookback.
Compatibility: Works best on Liquid pairs (Crypto, Forex, Indices) where volume data is reliable.
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概要
「IZAYOI（十六夜）」は、日本独自の分析手法である「遅行スパン」に、モダンな需給分析「CVD（累積ボリュームデルタ）」を融合させた、ハイブリッド・モメンタム・インジケーターです。
単なるオシレーターの過熱感だけではなく、価格の先行指標としての遅行スパン、そして大口投資家の意図を映し出す出来高の偏りを組み合わせることで、精度の高いトレンド転換を捉えることを目的としています。
主な機能と意匠
十六夜の月（Slow Stochastic）: メインラインには明るい紫色（Neon Purple）を採用。相場のリズムを優雅に描き出します。
白妙の遅行線（Chikou Span）: メインチャートに表示される白いライン。これがロウソク足を上抜ければ「買い」、下抜ければ「売り」の領域として背景が鮮やかに変化します。
CVD需給分析: 左下のパネルには、直近の出来高バランスをリアルタイム表示。大口の買い越し・売り越しを数値で監視します。
上位足との同調 (MTF Sync): 上位足のストキャスティクスが「20〜80の推進ゾーン」にある時のみ、真のシグナル（MATCH）として点灯。無駄なエントリーを排除します。
使い方：IZAYOIの極意
領域（Zone）を確認する: 背景が青なら「買い有利」、赤なら「売り有利」。まずは土俵を定めます。
兆し（Signal）を待つ: 紫のラインがOS/OB（20/80）から反転し、矢印が出現するのを待ちます。
確信（MATCH）を得る: パネルに「✅ MATCH」が表示されれば、それは上位足の波とCVDの勢いが重なった、最も期待値の高い瞬間です。
警告（Climax）に備える: ボリューム・クライマックスが発生し、パネルが黄色く点滅した時は、欲を張らずに利確を検討する引き際です。
設定のヒント
IZAYOIの色: 暗いチャート背景（ダークモード）で使用すると、明るい紫のラインと白い遅行線がより一層美しく映えます。
上位足設定: 5分足でのトレードなら1時間足（60）、15分足なら4時間足（240）を「上位足設定」に選ぶのがおすすめです。
Fear & Greed Index (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Fear & Greed Index is an indicator that provides a comprehensive view of market sentiment. By analyzing various market factors such as market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand, the Index can depict the overall emotions driving market behavior, categorizing them into two main sentiments: Fear and Greed.
Fear: Indicates a market scenario where investors are scared, possibly leading to a sell-off or a stagnant market. In such conditions, the indicator helps in identifying potential buying opportunities as assets may be undervalued.
Greed: Represents a state where investors are overly confident and buying aggressively, which can lead to inflated asset prices. The indicator in such cases can signal overbought conditions, advising caution or potential short opportunities.
█ How It Works
The Fear & Greed Index is an aggregate of seven distinct indicators, each gauging a specific dimension of stock market activity. These indicators include market momentum, stock price strength, stock price breadth, put and call options, junk bond demand, market volatility, and safe haven demand. The Index assesses the deviation of each individual indicator from its average, in relation to its typical fluctuations. In compiling the final score, which ranges from 0 to 100, the Index assigns equal weight to each indicator. A score of 100 denotes the highest level of Greed, while a score of 0 represents the utmost level of fear.
S&P 500's Momentum: The Index monitors the S&P 500's position relative to its 125-day moving average. Positive momentum (price above the average) signals growing confidence among investors (Greed), while negative momentum (price below the average) indicates rising fear.
Stock Price Strength: By comparing the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs to those at 52-week lows on the NYSE, the Index gauges market breadth. An extreme number of highs indicates Greed, whereas an extreme number of lows suggests Fear.
Stock Price Breadth (Market Volume): Using the McClellan Volume Summation Index, which considers the volume of advancing versus declining stocks, the Index assesses whether the market is broadly participating in a trend, or if a smaller subset of stocks is driving it.
Put and Call Options: The put/call ratio helps gauge investor sentiment. A rising ratio, particularly above 1, indicates increasing fear, as more investors are buying puts to protect against a decline. A falling ratio suggests growing confidence.
Market Volatility (VIX): The VIX measures expected market volatility. Higher values generally indicate Fear, while lower values point to Greed. The Fear & Greed Index compares the VIX to its 50-day moving average to understand its trend.
Safe Haven Demand: The performance of stocks versus bonds over a 20-day period helps understand where investors are putting their money. Bonds outperforming stocks is a sign of Fear, while the opposite suggests Greed.
Junk Bond Demand: By comparing the yields on junk bonds to safer investment-grade bonds, the Index gauges risk appetite. A narrower yield spread suggests Greed (investors are taking more risk), while a wider spread indicates Fear.
The Fear & Greed Index combines these components, scales, and averages them to produce a single value between 0 (Extreme Fear) and 100 (Extreme Greed).
█ How to Use
The Fear & Greed Index serves as a tool to evaluate the prevailing sentiments in the market. Investors, often driven by emotions, can react impulsively, and sentiment indicators like the Fear & Greed Index aim to highlight these emotional states, helping investors recognize personal biases that might impact their investment choices. When integrated with fundamental analysis and additional analytical instruments, the Index becomes a valuable resource for understanding and interpreting market moods and tendencies.
The Fear & Greed Index operates on the principle that excessive fear can result in stocks trading well below their intrinsic values,
while uncontrolled Greed can push prices above what they should be.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Credit Spread RegimeThe Credit Market as Economic Barometer
Credit spreads are among the most reliable leading indicators of economic stress. When corporations borrow money by issuing bonds, investors demand a premium above the risk-free Treasury rate to compensate for the possibility of default. This premium, known as the credit spread, fluctuates based on perceptions of economic health, corporate profitability, and systemic risk.
The relationship between credit spreads and economic activity has been studied extensively. Two papers form the foundation of this indicator. Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Robert Goldstein, and Spencer Martin published their influential 2001 paper in the Journal of Finance, documenting that credit spread changes are driven by factors beyond firm-specific credit quality. They found that a substantial portion of spread variation is explained by market-wide factors, suggesting credit spreads contain information about aggregate economic conditions.
Simon Gilchrist and Egon Zakrajsek extended this research in their 2012 American Economic Review paper, introducing the concept of the Excess Bond Premium. They demonstrated that the component of credit spreads not explained by default risk alone is a powerful predictor of future economic activity. Elevated excess spreads precede recessions with remarkable consistency.
What Credit Spreads Reveal
Credit spreads measure the difference in yield between corporate bonds and Treasury securities of similar maturity. High yield bonds, also called junk bonds, carry ratings below investment grade and offer higher yields to compensate for greater default risk. Investment grade bonds have lower yields because the probability of default is smaller.
The spread between high yield and investment grade bonds is particularly informative. When this spread widens, investors are demanding significantly more compensation for taking on credit risk. This typically indicates deteriorating economic expectations, tighter financial conditions, or increasing risk aversion. When the spread narrows, investors are comfortable accepting lower premiums, signaling confidence in corporate health.
The Gilchrist-Zakrajsek research showed that credit spreads contain two distinct components. The first is the expected default component, which reflects the probability-weighted cost of potential defaults based on corporate fundamentals. The second is the excess bond premium, which captures additional compensation demanded beyond expected defaults. This excess premium rises when investor risk appetite declines and financial conditions tighten.
The Implementation Approach
This indicator uses actual option-adjusted spread data from the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED), available directly in TradingView. The ICE BofA indices represent the industry standard for measuring corporate bond spreads.
The primary data sources are FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2, the ICE BofA US High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread, and FRED:BAMLC0A0CM, the ICE BofA US Corporate Index Option-Adjusted Spread for investment grade bonds. These indices measure the spread of corporate bonds over Treasury securities of similar duration, expressed in basis points.
Option-adjusted spreads account for embedded options in corporate bonds, providing a cleaner measure of credit risk than simple yield spreads. The methodology developed by ICE BofA is widely used by institutional investors and central banks for monitoring credit conditions.
The indicator offers two modes. The HY-IG excess spread mode calculates the difference between high yield and investment grade spreads, isolating the pure compensation for below-investment-grade credit risk. This measure is less affected by broad interest rate movements. The HY-only mode tracks the absolute high yield spread, capturing both credit risk and the overall level of risk premiums in the market.
Interpreting the Regimes
Credit conditions are classified into four regimes based on Z-scores calculated from the spread proxy.
The Stress regime occurs when spreads reach extreme levels, typically above a Z-score of 2.0. At this point, credit markets are pricing in significant default risk and economic deterioration. Historically, stress regimes have coincided with recessions, financial crises, and major market dislocations. The 2008 financial crisis, the 2011 European debt crisis, the 2016 commodity collapse, and the 2020 pandemic all triggered credit stress regimes.
The Elevated regime, between Z-scores of 1.0 and 2.0, indicates above-normal risk premiums. Credit conditions are tightening. This often occurs in the build-up to stress events or during periods of uncertainty. Risk management should be heightened, and exposure to credit-sensitive assets may be reduced.
The Normal regime covers Z-scores between -1.0 and 1.0. This represents typical credit conditions where spreads fluctuate around historical averages. Standard investment approaches are appropriate.
The Low regime occurs when spreads are compressed below a Z-score of -1.0. Investors are accepting below-average compensation for credit risk. This can indicate complacency, strong economic confidence, or excessive risk-taking. While often associated with favorable conditions, extremely tight spreads sometimes precede sudden reversals.
Credit Cycle Dynamics
Beyond static regime classification, the indicator tracks the direction and acceleration of spread movements. This reveals where credit markets stand in the credit cycle.
The Deteriorating phase occurs when spreads are elevated and continuing to widen. Credit conditions are actively worsening. This phase often precedes or coincides with economic downturns.
The Recovering phase occurs when spreads are elevated but beginning to narrow. The worst may be over. Credit conditions are improving from stressed levels. This phase often accompanies the early stages of economic recovery.
The Tightening phase occurs when spreads are low and continuing to compress. Credit conditions are very favorable and improving further. This typically occurs during strong economic expansions but may signal building complacency.
The Loosening phase occurs when spreads are low but beginning to widen from compressed levels. The extremely favorable conditions may be normalizing. This can be an early warning of changing sentiment.
Relationship to Economic Activity
The predictive power of credit spreads for economic activity is well-documented. Gilchrist and Zakrajsek found that the excess bond premium predicts GDP growth, industrial production, and unemployment rates over horizons of one to four quarters.
When credit spreads spike, the cost of corporate borrowing increases. Companies may delay or cancel investment projects. Reduced investment leads to slower growth and eventually higher unemployment. The transmission mechanism runs from financial conditions to real economic activity.
Conversely, tight credit spreads lower borrowing costs and encourage investment. Easy credit conditions support economic expansion. However, excessively tight spreads may encourage over-leveraging, planting seeds for future stress.
Practical Application
For equity investors, credit spreads provide context for market risk. Equities and credit often move together because both reflect corporate health. Rising credit spreads typically accompany falling stock prices. Extremely wide spreads historically have coincided with equity market bottoms, though timing the reversal remains challenging.
For fixed income investors, spread regimes guide sector allocation decisions. During stress regimes, flight to quality favors Treasuries over corporates. During low regimes, spread compression may offer limited additional return for credit risk, suggesting caution on high yield.
For macro traders, credit spreads complement other indicators of financial conditions. Credit stress often leads equity volatility, providing an early warning signal. Cross-asset strategies may use credit regime as a filter for position sizing.
Limitations and Considerations
FRED data updates with a lag, typically one business day for the ICE BofA indices. For intraday trading decisions, more current proxies may be necessary. The data is most reliable on daily timeframes.
Credit spreads can remain at extreme levels for extended periods. Mean reversion signals indicate elevated probability of normalization but do not guarantee timing. The 2008 crisis saw spreads remain elevated for many months before normalizing.
The indicator is calibrated for US credit markets. Application to other regions would require different data sources such as European or Asian credit indices. The relationship between spreads and subsequent economic activity may vary across market cycles and structural regimes.
References
Collin-Dufresne, P., Goldstein, R.S., and Martin, J.S. (2001). The Determinants of Credit Spread Changes. Journal of Finance, 56(6), 2177-2207.
Gilchrist, S., and Zakrajsek, E. (2012). Credit Spreads and Business Cycle Fluctuations. American Economic Review, 102(4), 1692-1720.
Krishnamurthy, A., and Muir, T. (2017). How Credit Cycles across a Financial Crisis. Working Paper, Stanford University.
Polynomial Regression Bands + Channel [DW]This is an experimental study designed to calculate polynomial regression for any order polynomial that TV is able to support.
This study aims to educate users on polynomial curve fitting, and the derivation process of Least Squares Moving Averages (LSMAs).
I also designed this study with the intent of showcasing some of the capabilities and potential applications of TV's fantastic new array functions.
Polynomial regression is a form of regression analysis in which the relationship between the independent variable x and the dependent variable y is modeled as a polynomial of nth degree (order).
For clarification, linear regression can also be described as a first order polynomial regression. The process of deriving linear, quadratic, cubic, and higher order polynomial relationships is all the same.
In addition, although deriving a polynomial regression equation results in a nonlinear output, the process of solving for polynomials by least squares is actually a special case of multiple linear regression.
So, just like in multiple linear regression, polynomial regression can be solved in essentially the same way through a system of linear equations.
In this study, you are first given the option to smooth the input data using the 2 pole Super Smoother Filter from John Ehlers.
I chose this specific filter because I find it provides superior smoothing with low lag and fairly clean cutoff. You can, of course, implement your own filter functions to see how they compare if you feel like experimenting.
Filtering noise prior to regression calculation can be useful for providing a more stable estimation since least squares regression can be rather sensitive to noise.
This is especially true on lower sampling lengths and higher degree polynomials since the regression output becomes more "overfit" to the sample data.
Next, data arrays are populated for the x-axis and y-axis values. These are the main datasets utilized in the rest of the calculations.
To keep the calculations more numerically stable for higher periods and orders, the x array is filled with integers 1 through the sampling period rather than using current bar numbers.
This process can be thought of as shifting the origin of the x-axis as new data emerges.
This keeps the axis values significantly lower than the 10k+ bar values, thus maintaining more numerical stability at higher orders and sample lengths.
The data arrays are then used to create a pseudo 2D matrix of x power sums, and a vector of x power*y sums.
These matrices are a representation the system of equations that need to be solved in order to find the regression coefficients.
Below, you'll see some examples of the pattern of equations used to solve for our coefficients represented in augmented matrix form.
For example, the augmented matrix for the system equations required to solve a second order (quadratic) polynomial regression by least squares is formed like this:
(∑x^0 ∑x^1 ∑x^2 | ∑(x^0)y)
(∑x^1 ∑x^2 ∑x^3 | ∑(x^1)y)
(∑x^2 ∑x^3 ∑x^4 | ∑(x^2)y)
The augmented matrix for the third order (cubic) system is formed like this:
(∑x^0 ∑x^1 ∑x^2 ∑x^3 | ∑(x^0)y)
(∑x^1 ∑x^2 ∑x^3 ∑x^4 | ∑(x^1)y)
(∑x^2 ∑x^3 ∑x^4 ∑x^5 | ∑(x^2)y)
(∑x^3 ∑x^4 ∑x^5 ∑x^6 | ∑(x^3)y)
This pattern continues for any n ordered polynomial regression, in which the coefficient matrix is a n + 1 wide square matrix with the last term being ∑x^2n, and the last term of the result vector being ∑(x^n)y.
Thanks to this pattern, it's rather convenient to solve the for our regression coefficients of any nth degree polynomial by a number of different methods.
In this script, I utilize a process known as LU Decomposition to solve for the regression coefficients.
Lower-upper (LU) Decomposition is a neat form of matrix manipulation that expresses a 2D matrix as the product of lower and upper triangular matrices.
This decomposition method is incredibly handy for solving systems of equations, calculating determinants, and inverting matrices.
For a linear system Ax=b, where A is our coefficient matrix, x is our vector of unknowns, and b is our vector of results, LU Decomposition turns our system into LUx=b.
We can then factor this into two separate matrix equations and solve the system using these two simple steps:
1. Solve Ly=b for y, where y is a new vector of unknowns that satisfies the equation, using forward substitution.
2. Solve Ux=y for x using backward substitution. This gives us the values of our original unknowns - in this case, the coefficients for our regression equation.
After solving for the regression coefficients, the values are then plugged into our regression equation:
Y = a0 + a1*x + a1*x^2 + ... + an*x^n, where a() is the ()th coefficient in ascending order and n is the polynomial degree.
From here, an array of curve values for the period based on the current equation is populated, and standard deviation is added to and subtracted from the equation to calculate the channel high and low levels.
The calculated curve values can also be shifted to the left or right using the "Regression Offset" input
Changing the offset parameter will move the curve left for negative values, and right for positive values.
This offset parameter shifts the curve points within our window while using the same equation, allowing you to use offset datapoints on the regression curve to calculate the LSMA and bands.
The curve and channel's appearance is optionally approximated using Pine's v4 line tools to draw segments.
Since there is a limitation on how many lines can be displayed per script, each curve consists of 10 segments with lengths determined by a user defined step size. In total, there are 30 lines displayed at once when active.
By default, the step size is 10, meaning each segment is 10 bars long. This is because the default sampling period is 100, so this step size will show the approximate curve for the entire period.
When adjusting your sampling period, be sure to adjust your step size accordingly when curve drawing is active if you want to see the full approximate curve for the period.
Note that when you have a larger step size, you will see more seemingly "sharp" turning points on the polynomial curve, especially on higher degree polynomials.
The polynomial functions that are calculated are continuous and differentiable across all points. The perceived sharpness is simply due to our limitation on available lines to draw them.
The approximate channel drawings also come equipped with style inputs, so you can control the type, color, and width of the regression, channel high, and channel low curves.
I also included an input to determine if the curves are updated continuously, or only upon the closing of a bar for reduced runtime demands. More about why this is important in the notes below.
For additional reference, I also included the option to display the current regression equation.
This allows you to easily track the polynomial function you're using, and to confirm that the polynomial is properly supported within Pine.
There are some cases that aren't supported properly due to Pine's limitations. More about this in the notes on the bottom.
In addition, I included a line of text beneath the equation to indicate how many bars left or right the calculated curve data is currently shifted.
The display label comes equipped with style editing inputs, so you can control the size, background color, and text color of the equation display.
The Polynomial LSMA, high band, and low band in this script are generated by tracking the current endpoints of the regression, channel high, and channel low curves respectively.
The output of these bands is similar in nature to Bollinger Bands, but with an obviously different derivation process.
By displaying the LSMA and bands in tandem with the polynomial channel, it's easy to visualize how LSMAs are derived, and how the process that goes into them is drastically different from a typical moving average.
The main difference between LSMA and other MAs is that LSMA is showing the value of the regression curve on the current bar, which is the result of a modelled relationship between x and the expected value of y.
With other MA / filter types, they are typically just averaging or frequency filtering the samples. This is an important distinction in interpretation. However, both can be applied similarly when trading.
An important distinction with the LSMA in this script is that since we can model higher degree polynomial relationships, the LSMA here is not limited to only linear as it is in TV's built in LSMA.
Bar colors are also included in this script. The color scheme is based on disparity between source and the LSMA.
This script is a great study for educating yourself on the process that goes into polynomial regression, as well as one of the many processes computers utilize to solve systems of equations.
Also, the Polynomial LSMA and bands are great components to try implementing into your own analysis setup.
I hope you all enjoy it!
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NOTES:
- Even though the algorithm used in this script can be implemented to find any order polynomial relationship, TV has a limit on the significant figures for its floating point outputs.
This means that as you increase your sampling period and / or polynomial order, some higher order coefficients will be output as 0 due to floating point round-off.
There is currently no viable workaround for this issue since there isn't a way to calculate more significant figures than the limit.
However, in my humble opinion, fitting a polynomial higher than cubic to most time series data is "overkill" due to bias-variance tradeoff.
Although, this tradeoff is also dependent on the sampling period. Keep that in mind. A good rule of thumb is to aim for a nice "middle ground" between bias and variance.
If TV ever chooses to expand its significant figure limits, then it will be possible to accurately calculate even higher order polynomials and periods if you feel the desire to do so.
To test if your polynomial is properly supported within Pine's constraints, check the equation label.
If you see a coefficient value of 0 in front of any of the x values, reduce your period and / or polynomial order.
- Although this algorithm has less computational complexity than most other linear system solving methods, this script itself can still be rather demanding on runtime resources - especially when drawing the curves.
In the event you find your current configuration is throwing back an error saying that the calculation takes too long, there are a few things you can try:
-> Refresh your chart or hide and unhide the indicator.
The runtime environment on TV is very dynamic and the allocation of available memory varies with collective server usage.
By refreshing, you can often get it to process since you're basically just waiting for your allotment to increase. This method works well in a lot of cases.
-> Change the curve update frequency to "Close Only".
If you've tried refreshing multiple times and still have the error, your configuration may simply be too demanding of resources.
v4 drawing objects, most notably lines, can be highly taxing on the servers. That's why Pine has a limit on how many can be displayed in the first place.
By limiting the curve updates to only bar closes, this will significantly reduce the runtime needs of the lines since they will only be calculated once per bar.
Note that doing this will only limit the visual output of the curve segments. It has no impact on regression calculation, equation display, or LSMA and band displays.
-> Uncheck the display boxes for the drawing objects.
If you still have troubles after trying the above options, then simply stop displaying the curve - unless it's important to you.
As I mentioned, v4 drawing objects can be rather resource intensive. So a simple fix that often works when other things fail is to just stop them from being displayed.
-> Reduce sampling period, polynomial order, or curve drawing step size.
If you're having runtime errors and don't want to sacrifice the curve drawings, then you'll need to reduce the calculation complexity.
If you're using a large sampling period, or high order polynomial, the operational complexity becomes significantly higher than lower periods and orders.
When you have larger step sizes, more historical referencing is used for x-axis locations, which does have an impact as well.
By reducing these parameters, the runtime issue will often be solved.
Another important detail to note with this is that you may have configurations that work just fine in real time, but struggle to load properly in replay mode.
This is because the replay framework also requires its own allotment of runtime, so that must be taken into consideration as well.
- Please note that the line and label objects are reprinted as new data emerges. That's simply the nature of drawing objects vs standard plots.
I do not recommend or endorse basing your trading decisions based on the drawn curve. That component is merely to serve as a visual reference of the current polynomial relationship.
No repainting occurs with the Polynomial LSMA and bands though. Once the bar is closed, that bar's calculated values are set.
So when using the LSMA and bands for trading purposes, you can rest easy knowing that history won't change on you when you come back to view them.
- For those who intend on utilizing or modifying the functions and calculations in this script for their own scripts, I included debug dialogues in the script for all of the arrays to make the process easier.
To use the debugs, see the "Debugs" section at the bottom. All dialogues are commented out by default.
The debugs are displayed using label objects. By default, I have them all located to the right of current price.
If you wish to display multiple debugs at once, it will be up to you to decide on display locations at your leisure.
When using the debugs, I recommend commenting out the other drawing objects (or even all plots) in the script to prevent runtime issues and overlapping displays.
VPA ANALYSIS VPA Analysis provide the indications for various conditions as per the Volume Spread Analysis concept. The various legends are provided below
LEGEND DETAILS
UT1 - Upthrust Bar: This will be widespread Bar on high Volume closing on the low. This normally happens after an up move. Here the smart money move the price to the High and then quickly brings to the Low trapping many retail trader who rushed into in order not to miss the bullish move. This is a bearish Signal
UT2 -Upthrust Bar Confirmation: A widespread Down Bar following a Upthrust Bar. This confirms the weakness of the Upthrust Bar. Expect the stock to move down
Confirms . This is a Bearish Signal
PUT - Pseudo Upthrust: An Upthrust Bar in bar action but the volume remains average. This still indicates weakness. Indicate Possible Bearishness
PUC -Pseudo Upthrust Confirmation: widespread Bar after a pseudo–Upthrust Bar confirms the weakness of the Pseudo Upthrust Bar
Confirms Bearishness
BC - Buying Climax: A very wide Spread bar on ultra-High Volume closing at the top. Such a Bar indicates the climatic move in an uptrend. This Bar traps many retailers as the uptrend ends and reverses quickly. Confirms Bearishness
TC - Trend Change: This Indicates a possible Trend Change in an uptrend. Indicates Weakness
SEC- Sell Condition: This bar indicates confluence of some bearish signals. Possible end of Uptrend and start of Downtrend soon. Bearish Signal
UT - Upthrust Condition: When multiple bearish signals occur, the legend is printed in two lines. The Legend “UT” indicates that an upthrust condition is present. Bearish Signal
ND - No demand in uptrend: This bar indicates that there is no demand. In an uptrend this indicates weakness. Bearish Signal
ND - No Demand: This bar indicates that there is no demand. This can occur in any part of the Trend. In all place other than in an uptrend this just indicates just weakness
ED - Effort to Move Down: Widespread Bar closing down on High volume or above average volume . The smart money is pushing the prices down. Bearish Signal
EDF - Effort to Move Down Failed: Widespread / above average spread Bar closing up on High volume or above average volume appearing after ‘Effort to move down” bar.
This indicates that the Effort to move the pries down has failed. Bullish signal
SV - Stopping Volume: A high volume medium to widespread Bar closing in the upper middle part in a down trend indicates that smart money is buying. This is an indication that the down trend is likely to end soon. Indicates strength
ST1 - Strength Returning 1: Strength seen returning after a down trend. High volume adds to strength. Indicates Strength
ST2 - Strength Returning 2: Strength seen returning after a down trend. High volume adds to strength.
BYC - Buy Condition: This bar indicates confluence of some bullish signals Possible end of downtrend and start of uptrend soon. Indicates Strength
EU - Effort to Move Up: Widespread Bar closing up on High volume or above average volume . The smart money is pushing the prices up. Bullish Signal
EUF - Effort to Move Up Failed: Widespread / above average spread Bar closing down on High volume or above average volume appearing after ‘Effort to move up” bar.
This indicates that the Effort to move the pries up has failed. Bearish Signal
LVT- Low Volume Test: A low volume bar dipping into previous supply area and closing in the upper part of the Bar. A successful test is a positive sign. Indicates Strength
ST(after a LVT ) - Strength after Successful Low Volume Test: An up Bar closing near High after a Test confirms strength. Bullish Signal
RUT - Reverse Upthrust Bar: This will be a widespread Bar on high Volume closing on the high is a Down Trend. Here the buyers have become active and move the prices from the low to High. The down Move is likely to end and up trend likely to start soon. indicates Strength
NS - No supply Bar: This bar indicates that there is no supply. This is a sign of strength especially in a down trend. Indicates strength
ST - Strength Returns: When multiple bullish signals occur, the legend is printed in two lines. The Legend “ST” indicates that an condition of strength other than the condition mentioned in the second line is present. Bullish Signals
BAR COLORS
Green- Bullish / Strength
Red - Bearish / weakness
Blue / White - Sentiment Changing from bullish to Bearish and Vice Versa
RSI Analytic Volume Matrix [RAVM] Overview
RSI Analytic Volume Matrix is an overlay indicator that turns classic RSI into a multi-layered market-reading engine. Instead of treating RSI 30 and 70 as simple buy/sell lines, RAVM combines RSI geometry (angle and acceleration), statistical volume analysis, and a 5×5 VSA-inspired matrix to describe what is really happening inside each candle.
The script is designed as an educational and analytical tool. It does not generate trading signals. Instead, it helps you read the market context, understand where the pressure is coming from (buyers vs. sellers), and see how price, momentum, and volume interact in real time.
Concept & Philosophy
RAVM is built around a hierarchical logic and a few core ideas:
• Hierarchical State Machine: First, RSI defines a context (where we are in the 0–100 range). Then the geometric engine evaluates the angle-of-turn of RSI using a Z-Score. Only after a meaningful geometric event is detected does the system promote a bar to a potential setup (warning vs. confirmed).
• Geometric Primacy: The angle and acceleration of RSI (RSI geometry) are more important than the raw RSI level itself. RAVM uses a geometric veto: if the geometric trigger is not confirmed, the confidence score is capped below 50%, even if volume looks interesting.
• RSI Beyond 30 and 70: Being above 70 or below 30 is not treated as an automatic overbought/oversold signal. RAVM treats those zones as contextual factors that contribute only a partial portion of the final score, alongside geometry, total volume expansion, buy/sell balance, and delta power.
• Volume Decomposition: Volume is decomposed into total, buy-side, sell-side, and delta components. Each of these is normalized with a Z-Score over a shared statistical window, so RSI geometry and volume live in the same statistical context.
• Educational Scoring Pipeline: RAVM builds a 0–100 "Quantum Score" for each detected setup. The score expresses how strong the story is across four dimensions: geometry (RSI angle-of-turn), total volume expansion, which side is driving that volume (buyers vs. sellers), and the power of delta. The score is designed for learning and weighting, not for mechanical trade entries.
• VSA Matrix Engine: A 5×5 matrix combines momentum states and volume dynamics. Each cell corresponds to an interpreted VSA-style scenario (Absorption, Distribution, No Demand, Stopping Volume, Strong Reversal, etc.), shown both as text and as a heatmap dashboard on the chart.
How RAVM Works
1. RSI Context & Geometry
RAVM starts with a classic RSI, but it does not stop at simple level checks. It computes the velocity and acceleration of RSI and normalizes them via a Z-Score to produce an Angle-of-Turn metric (Z-AoT). This Z-AoT is then mapped into a 0–1 intensity value called MSI (Momentum Shift Intensity).
The script monitors both classic RSI zones (around 30 and 70) and geometric triggers. Entering the lower or upper zone is treated as a contextual event only. A setup becomes "confirmed" when a significant geometric turn is detected (based on Z-AoT thresholds). Otherwise, the bar is at most a warning.
2. Volume & Statistical Engine
The volume engine can work in two modes: a geometric approximation (based on candle structure) or a more precise intrabar mode using up/down volume requests. In both cases, RAVM builds a volume packet consisting of:
• Total volume
• Buy-side volume
• Sell-side volume
• Delta (buy – sell)
Each of these series is normalized using a Z-Score over the same statistical window that is used for RSI geometry. This allows RAVM to answer questions such as: Is total volume exceptional on this bar? Is the expansion mostly coming from buyers or from sellers? Is delta unusually strong or weak compared to recent history?
3. Scoring System (Quantum Score)
For each bar where a setup is active, RAVM computes a 0–100 score intended as an educational confidence measure. The scoring pipeline follows this sequence:
A. RSI Geometry (MSI): Measures the strength of the RSI angle-of-turn via Z-AoT. This has geometric primacy over simple level checks.
B. RSI Zone Context: Being below 30 or above 70 contributes only a partial bonus to the score, reflecting the idea that these zones are context, not automatic signals. Mildly supportive zones (e.g., RSI below 50 for bullish contexts) can also contribute with lower weight.
C. Total Volume Expansion: A normalized Volume Power term expresses how exceptional the total volume is relative to its recent distribution. If there is no meaningful volume expansion, the score remains modest even if RSI geometry looks interesting.
D. Which Side Is Driving the Volume: RAVM then checks whether the expansion is primarily on the buy side or the sell side, using Z-Score statistics for buy and sell volume separately. This stage does not yet rely on delta as a power metric; it simply answers the question: "Is this expansion mostly driven by buyers, sellers, or both?"
E. Delta as Final Power: Only at the final stage does the script bring in delta and its Z-Score as a measure of how one-sided the pressure really is. A strong negative delta during a bullish context, for example, can highlight absorption, while a strong positive delta against a bearish context can highlight distribution or a buying climax.
If a setup is not geometrically confirmed (for example, a simple entry into RSI 30/70 without a strong geometric turn), RAVM caps the final score below 50%. This "Geometric Veto" enforces the idea that RSI geometry must confirm before a scenario can be considered high-confidence.
4. Overlay UI & Smart Labels
RAVM is an overlay indicator: all information is drawn directly on the price chart, not in a separate pane. When a setup is active, a smart label is attached to the bar, together with a vertical connector line. Each label shows:
• Direction of the setup (bullish or bearish)
• Trigger type (classic OS/OB vs. geometric/hidden)
• Status (warning vs. confirmed)
• Quantum Score as a percentage
Confirmed setups use stronger colors and solid connectors, while warnings use softer colors and dotted connectors. The script also manages label placement to avoid overlap, keeping the chart clean and readable.
In addition to labels, a dashboard table is drawn on the chart. It displays the currently active matrix scenario, the dominant bias, a short textual interpretation, the full 5×5 heatmap, and summary metrics such as RSI, MSI, and Volume Power.
RSI Is Not Just 30 and 70
One of the central design decisions in RAVM is to treat RSI 30 and 70 as context, not as fixed buy/sell buttons. Many traders mechanically assume that RSI below 30 means "buy" and RSI above 70 means "sell". RAVM explicitly rejects this simplification.
Instead, the script asks a series of deeper questions: How sharp is the angle-of-turn of RSI right now? Is total volume expanding or contracting? Is that expansion dominated by buyers or sellers? Is delta confirming the move, or is there a hidden absorption or distribution taking place?
In the scoring logic, being in a lower or upper RSI zone contributes only part of the final score. Geometry, volume expansion, the buy/sell split, and delta power all have to align before a high-confidence scenario emerges. This makes RAVM much closer to a structured market-reading tool than a classic overbought/oversold indicator.
Matrix User Manual – Reading the 5×5 Grid
The heart of RAVM is its 5×5 matrix, where the vertical axis represents momentum states (M1–M5) and the horizontal axis represents volume dynamics (V1–V5). Each cell in this grid corresponds to a VSA-style scenario. The dashboard highlights the currently active cell and prints a textual description so you can read the story at a glance.
1. Confirmation Scenarios
These scenarios occur when momentum direction and volume expansion are aligned:
• Bullish Confirmation / Strong Reversal: Momentum is shifting strongly upward (often from a depressed RSI context), and expanded volume is driven mainly by buyers. Often seen as a strong bullish reversal or continuation signal from a VSA perspective.
• Bearish Confirmation / Strong Drop: Momentum is turning decisively downward, and expanded volume is driven mainly by sellers. This maps to strong bearish continuation or sharp reversal patterns.
2. Absorption & Stopping Volume
• Absorption: Total volume expands, but the dominant flow is opposite to the recent price move or the geometric bias. For example, heavy selling volume while the geometric context is bullish. This can indicate smart money quietly absorbing orders from the crowd.
• Stopping Volume: Exceptionally high volume appears near the end of an extended move, while momentum begins to decelerate. Price may still print new extremes, but the effort vs. result relationship signals potential exhaustion and the possibility of a turn.
3. Distribution & Buying Climax
• Distribution: Heavy buying volume appears within a bearish or topping context. Rather than healthy accumulation, this often represents larger players offloading inventory to late buyers. The matrix will typically flag this as a bearish-leaning scenario despite strong upside prints.
• Buying Climax: A surge of buy-side volume near the end of a strong uptrend, with momentum starting to weaken. From a VSA point of view, this is often the last push where retail aggressively buys what smart money is selling.
4. No Demand & No Supply
• No Demand: Price attempts to rise but does so on low, non-expansive volume. The market is not interested in following the move, and the lack of participation often precedes weakness or sideways action.
• No Supply: Price tries to push lower on thin volume. Selling pressure is limited, and the lack of supply can precede stabilization or recovery if buyers step back in.
5. Trend Exhaustion
• Uptrend Exhaustion: Momentum remains nominally bullish, but the quality of volume deteriorates (e.g., more effort, less net result). The matrix marks this as an uptrend losing internal strength, often after a series of aggressive moves.
• Downtrend Exhaustion: Similar logic in the opposite direction: strong prior downtrend, but increasingly inefficient downside progress relative to the volume invested. This can precede accumulation or a relief rally.
6. Effort vs. Result Scenarios
• Bullish Effort, Little Result: Buyers invest notable volume, but price progress is limited. This may reveal hidden selling into strength or a lack of follow-through from the broader market.
• Bearish Effort, Little Result: Sellers push volume, but price does not decline proportionally. This can indicate absorption of selling pressure and potential underlying demand.
7. Neutral, Churn & Thin Markets
• Neutral / Thin Market: Momentum and volume both remain muted. RAVM marks these as neutral cells where aggressive decision-making is usually less attractive and observing the broader structure is more important.
• High Volume Churn / Volatility: Both sides are active with high volume but limited directional progress. This can correspond to battle zones, local ranges, or high volatility rotations where the main message is conflict rather than clear trend.
Inputs & Options
RAVM includes several input groups to adapt the tool to your preferences:
• Localization: Multiple language options for all labels and dashboard text (e.g., English, Farsi, Turkish, Russian).
• RSI Core Settings: RSI length, source, and upper/lower contextual zones (typically around 30 and 70).
• Geometric Engine: Z-AoT sigma thresholds, confirmation ratios, and normalization window multiplier. These control how sensitive the script is to RSI angle-of-turn events.
• Volume Engine: Choice between geometric approximation and intrabar up/down volume, Z-Score thresholds for volume expansion, and related parameters.
• Visual Interface: Toggles for smart labels, dashboard table, font sizes, dashboard position, and color themes for bullish, bearish, and warning states.
Disclaimer
RSI Analytic Volume Matrix is provided for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice and is not a signal generator. Any trading decisions you make based on this tool, or any other, are entirely your own responsibility. Always consider your own risk management rules and conduct your own analysis.
Langlands-Operadic Möbius Vortex (LOMV)Langlands-Operadic Möbius Vortex (LOMV)
Where Pure Mathematics Meets Market Reality
A Revolutionary Synthesis of Number Theory, Category Theory, and Market Dynamics
🎓 THEORETICAL FOUNDATION
The Langlands-Operadic Möbius Vortex represents a groundbreaking fusion of three profound mathematical frameworks that have never before been combined for market analysis:
The Langlands Program: Harmonic Analysis in Markets
Developed by Robert Langlands (Fields Medal recipient), the Langlands Program creates bridges between number theory, algebraic geometry, and harmonic analysis. In our indicator:
L-Function Implementation:
- Utilizes the Möbius function μ(n) for weighted price analysis
- Applies Riemann zeta function convergence principles
- Calculates quantum harmonic resonance between -2 and +2
- Measures deep mathematical patterns invisible to traditional analysis
The L-Function core calculation employs:
L_sum = Σ(return_val × μ(n) × n^(-s))
Where s is the critical strip parameter (0.5-2.5), controlling mathematical precision and signal smoothness.
Operadic Composition Theory: Multi-Strategy Democracy
Category theory and operads provide the mathematical framework for composing multiple trading strategies into a unified signal. This isn't simple averaging - it's mathematical composition using:
Strategy Composition Arity (2-5 strategies):
- Momentum analysis via RSI transformation
- Mean reversion through Bollinger Band mathematics
- Order Flow Polarity Index (revolutionary T3-smoothed volume analysis)
- Trend detection using Directional Movement
- Higher timeframe momentum confirmation
Agreement Threshold System: Democratic voting where strategies must reach consensus before signal generation. This prevents false signals during market uncertainty.
Möbius Function: Number Theory in Action
The Möbius function μ(n) forms the mathematical backbone:
- μ(n) = 1 if n is a square-free positive integer with even number of prime factors
- μ(n) = -1 if n is a square-free positive integer with odd number of prime factors
- μ(n) = 0 if n has a squared prime factor
This creates oscillating weights that reveal hidden market periodicities and harmonic structures.
🔧 COMPREHENSIVE INPUT SYSTEM
Langlands Program Parameters
Modular Level N (5-50, default 30):
Primary lookback for quantum harmonic analysis. Optimized by timeframe:
- Scalping (1-5min): 15-25
- Day Trading (15min-1H): 25-35
- Swing Trading (4H-1D): 35-50
- Asset-specific: Crypto 15-25, Stocks 30-40, Forex 35-45
L-Function Critical Strip (0.5-2.5, default 1.5):
Controls Riemann zeta convergence precision:
- Higher values: More stable, smoother signals
- Lower values: More reactive, catches quick moves
- High frequency: 0.8-1.2, Medium: 1.3-1.7, Low: 1.8-2.3
Frobenius Trace Period (5-50, default 21):
Galois representation lookback for price-volume correlation:
- Measures harmonic relationships in market flows
- Scalping: 8-15, Day Trading: 18-25, Swing: 25-40
HTF Multi-Scale Analysis:
Higher timeframe context prevents trading against major trends:
- Provides market bias and filters signals
- Improves win rates by 15-25% through trend alignment
Operadic Composition Parameters
Strategy Composition Arity (2-5, default 4):
Number of algorithms composed for final signal:
- Conservative: 4-5 strategies (higher confidence)
- Moderate: 3-4 strategies (balanced approach)
- Aggressive: 2-3 strategies (more frequent signals)
Category Agreement Threshold (2-5, default 3):
Democratic voting minimum for signal generation:
- Higher agreement: Fewer but higher quality signals
- Lower agreement: More signals, potential false positives
Swiss-Cheese Mixing (0.1-0.5, default 0.382):
Golden ratio φ⁻¹ based blending of trend factors:
- 0.382 is φ⁻¹, optimal for natural market fractals
- Higher values: Stronger trend following
- Lower values: More contrarian signals
OFPI Configuration:
- OFPI Length (5-30, default 14): Order Flow calculation period
- T3 Smoothing (3-10, default 5): Advanced exponential smoothing
- T3 Volume Factor (0.5-1.0, default 0.7): Smoothing aggressiveness control
Unified Scoring System
Component Weights (sum ≈ 1.0):
- L-Function Weight (0.1-0.5, default 0.3): Mathematical harmony emphasis
- Galois Rank Weight (0.1-0.5, default 0.2): Market structure complexity
- Operadic Weight (0.1-0.5, default 0.3): Multi-strategy consensus
- Correspondence Weight (0.1-0.5, default 0.2): Theory-practice alignment
Signal Threshold (0.5-10.0, default 5.0):
Quality filter producing:
- 8.0+: EXCEPTIONAL signals only
- 6.0-7.9: STRONG signals
- 4.0-5.9: MODERATE signals
- 2.0-3.9: WEAK signals
🎨 ADVANCED VISUAL SYSTEM
Multi-Dimensional Quantum Aura Bands
Five-layer resonance field showing market energy:
- Colors: Theme-matched gradients (Quantum purple, Holographic cyan, etc.)
- Expansion: Dynamic based on score intensity and volatility
- Function: Multi-timeframe support/resistance zones
Morphism Flow Portals
Category theory visualization showing market topology:
- Green/Cyan Portals: Bullish mathematical flow
- Red/Orange Portals: Bearish mathematical flow
- Size/Intensity: Proportional to signal strength
- Recursion Depth (1-8): Nested patterns for flow evolution
Fractal Grid System
Dynamic support/resistance with projected L-Scores:
- Multiple Timeframes: 10, 20, 30, 40, 50-period highs/lows
- Smart Spacing: Prevents level overlap using ATR-based minimum distance
- Projections: Estimated signal scores when price reaches levels
- Usage: Precise entry/exit timing with mathematical confirmation
Wick Pressure Analysis
Rejection level prediction using candle mathematics:
- Upper Wicks: Selling pressure zones (purple/red lines)
- Lower Wicks: Buying pressure zones (purple/green lines)
- Glow Intensity (1-8): Visual emphasis and line reach
- Application: Confluence with fractal grid creates high-probability zones
Regime Intensity Heatmap
Background coloring showing market energy:
- Black/Dark: Low activity, range-bound markets
- Purple Glow: Building momentum and trend development
- Bright Purple: High activity, strong directional moves
- Calculation: Combines trend, momentum, volatility, and score intensity
Six Professional Themes
- Quantum: Purple/violet for general trading and mathematical focus
- Holographic: Cyan/magenta optimized for cryptocurrency markets
- Crystalline: Blue/turquoise for conservative, stability-focused trading
- Plasma: Gold/magenta for high-energy volatility trading
- Cosmic Neon: Bright neon colors for maximum visibility and aggressive trading
📊 INSTITUTIONAL-GRADE DASHBOARD
Unified AI Score Section
- Total Score (-10 to +10): Primary decision metric
- >5: Strong bullish signals
- <-5: Strong bearish signals
- Quality ratings: EXCEPTIONAL > STRONG > MODERATE > WEAK
- Component Analysis: Individual L-Function, Galois, Operadic, and Correspondence contributions
Order Flow Analysis
Revolutionary OFPI integration:
- OFPI Value (-100% to +100%): Real buying vs selling pressure
- Visual Gauge: Horizontal bar chart showing flow intensity
- Momentum Status: SHIFTING, ACCELERATING, STRONG, MODERATE, or WEAK
- Trading Application: Flow shifts often precede major moves
Signal Performance Tracking
- Win Rate Monitoring: Real-time success percentage with emoji indicators
- Signal Count: Total signals generated for frequency analysis
- Current Position: LONG, SHORT, or NONE with P&L tracking
- Volatility Regime: HIGH, MEDIUM, or LOW classification
Market Structure Analysis
- Möbius Field Strength: Mathematical field oscillation intensity
- CHAOTIC: High complexity, use wider stops
- STRONG: Active field, normal position sizing
- MODERATE: Balanced conditions
- WEAK: Low activity, consider smaller positions
- HTF Trend: Higher timeframe bias (BULL/BEAR/NEUTRAL)
- Strategy Agreement: Multi-algorithm consensus level
Position Management
When in trades, displays:
- Entry Price: Original signal price
- Current P&L: Real-time percentage with risk level assessment
- Duration: Bars in trade for timing analysis
- Risk Level: HIGH/MEDIUM/LOW based on current exposure
🚀 SIGNAL GENERATION LOGIC
Balanced Long/Short Architecture
The indicator generates signals through multiple convergent pathways:
Long Entry Conditions:
- Score threshold breach with algorithmic agreement
- Strong bullish order flow (OFPI > 0.15) with positive composite signal
- Bullish pattern recognition with mathematical confirmation
- HTF trend alignment with momentum shifting
- Extreme bullish OFPI (>0.3) with any positive score
Short Entry Conditions:
- Score threshold breach with bearish agreement
- Strong bearish order flow (OFPI < -0.15) with negative composite signal
- Bearish pattern recognition with mathematical confirmation
- HTF trend alignment with momentum shifting
- Extreme bearish OFPI (<-0.3) with any negative score
Exit Logic:
- Score deterioration below continuation threshold
- Signal quality degradation
- Opposing order flow acceleration
- 10-bar minimum between signals prevents overtrading
⚙️ OPTIMIZATION GUIDELINES
Asset-Specific Settings
Cryptocurrency Trading:
- Modular Level: 15-25 (capture volatility)
- L-Function Precision: 0.8-1.3 (reactive to price swings)
- OFPI Length: 10-20 (fast correlation shifts)
- Cascade Levels: 5-7, Theme: Holographic
Stock Index Trading:
- Modular Level: 25-35 (balanced trending)
- L-Function Precision: 1.5-1.8 (stable patterns)
- OFPI Length: 14-20 (standard correlation)
- Cascade Levels: 4-5, Theme: Quantum
Forex Trading:
- Modular Level: 35-45 (smooth trends)
- L-Function Precision: 1.6-2.1 (high smoothing)
- OFPI Length: 18-25 (disable volume amplification)
- Cascade Levels: 3-4, Theme: Crystalline
Timeframe Optimization
Scalping (1-5 minute charts):
- Reduce all lookback parameters by 30-40%
- Increase L-Function precision for noise reduction
- Enable all visual elements for maximum information
- Use Small dashboard to save screen space
Day Trading (15 minute - 1 hour):
- Use default parameters as starting point
- Adjust based on market volatility
- Normal dashboard provides optimal information density
- Focus on OFPI momentum shifts for entries
Swing Trading (4 hour - Daily):
- Increase lookback parameters by 30-50%
- Higher L-Function precision for stability
- Large dashboard for comprehensive analysis
- Emphasize HTF trend alignment
🏆 ADVANCED TRADING STRATEGIES
The Mathematical Confluence Method
1. Wait for Fractal Grid level approach
2. Confirm with projected L-Score > threshold
3. Verify OFPI alignment with direction
4. Enter on portal signal with quality ≥ STRONG
5. Exit on score deterioration or opposing flow
The Regime Trading System
1. Monitor Aether Flow background intensity
2. Trade aggressively during bright purple periods
3. Reduce position size during dark periods
4. Use Möbius Field strength for stop placement
5. Align with HTF trend for maximum probability
The OFPI Momentum Strategy
1. Watch for momentum shifting detection
2. Confirm with accelerating flow in direction
3. Enter on immediate portal signal
4. Scale out at Fibonacci levels
5. Exit on flow deceleration or reversal
⚠️ RISK MANAGEMENT INTEGRATION
Mathematical Position Sizing
- Use Galois Rank for volatility-adjusted sizing
- Möbius Field strength determines stop width
- Fractal Dimension guides maximum exposure
- OFPI momentum affects entry timing
Signal Quality Filtering
- Trade only STRONG or EXCEPTIONAL quality signals
- Increase position size with higher agreement levels
- Reduce risk during CHAOTIC Möbius field periods
- Respect HTF trend alignment for directional bias
🔬 DEVELOPMENT JOURNEY
Creating the LOMV was an extraordinary mathematical undertaking that pushed the boundaries of what's possible in technical analysis. This indicator almost didn't happen. The theoretical complexity nearly proved insurmountable.
The Mathematical Challenge
Implementing the Langlands Program required deep research into:
- Number theory and the Möbius function
- Riemann zeta function convergence properties
- L-function analytical continuation
- Galois representations in finite fields
The mathematical literature spans decades of pure mathematics research, requiring translation from abstract theory to practical market application.
The Computational Complexity
Operadic composition theory demanded:
- Category theory implementation in Pine Script
- Multi-dimensional array management for strategy composition
- Real-time democratic voting algorithms
- Performance optimization for complex calculations
The Integration Breakthrough
Bringing together three disparate mathematical frameworks required:
- Novel approaches to signal weighting and combination
- Revolutionary Order Flow Polarity Index development
- Advanced T3 smoothing implementation
- Balanced signal generation preventing directional bias
Months of intensive research culminated in breakthrough moments when the mathematics finally aligned with market reality. The result is an indicator that reveals market structure invisible to conventional analysis while maintaining practical trading utility.
🎯 PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION
Getting Started
1. Apply indicator with default settings
2. Select appropriate theme for your markets
3. Observe dashboard metrics during different market conditions
4. Practice signal identification without trading
5. Gradually adjust parameters based on observations
Signal Confirmation Process
- Never trade on score alone - verify quality rating
- Confirm OFPI alignment with intended direction
- Check fractal grid level proximity for timing
- Ensure Möbius field strength supports position size
- Validate against HTF trend for bias confirmation
Performance Monitoring
- Track win rate in dashboard for strategy assessment
- Monitor component contributions for optimization
- Adjust threshold based on desired signal frequency
- Document performance across different market regimes
🌟 UNIQUE INNOVATIONS
1. First Integration of Langlands Program mathematics with practical trading
2. Revolutionary OFPI with T3 smoothing and momentum detection
3. Operadic Composition using category theory for signal democracy
4. Dynamic Fractal Grid with projected L-Score calculations
5. Multi-Dimensional Visualization through morphism flow portals
6. Regime-Adaptive Background showing market energy intensity
7. Balanced Signal Generation preventing directional bias
8. Professional Dashboard with institutional-grade metrics
📚 EDUCATIONAL VALUE
The LOMV serves as both a practical trading tool and an educational gateway to advanced mathematics. Traders gain exposure to:
- Pure mathematics applications in markets
- Category theory and operadic composition
- Number theory through Möbius function implementation
- Harmonic analysis via L-function calculations
- Advanced signal processing through T3 smoothing
⚖️ RESPONSIBLE USAGE
This indicator represents advanced mathematical research applied to market analysis. While the underlying mathematics are rigorously implemented, markets remain inherently unpredictable.
Key Principles:
- Use as part of comprehensive trading strategy
- Implement proper risk management at all times
- Backtest thoroughly before live implementation
- Understand that past performance does not guarantee future results
- Never risk more than you can afford to lose
The mathematics reveal deep market structure, but successful trading requires discipline, patience, and sound risk management beyond any indicator.
🔮 CONCLUSION
The Langlands-Operadic Möbius Vortex represents a quantum leap forward in technical analysis, bringing PhD-level pure mathematics to practical trading while maintaining visual elegance and usability.
From the harmonic analysis of the Langlands Program to the democratic composition of operadic theory, from the number-theoretic precision of the Möbius function to the revolutionary Order Flow Polarity Index, every component works in mathematical harmony to reveal the hidden order within market chaos.
This is more than an indicator - it's a mathematical lens that transforms how you see and understand market structure.
Trade with mathematical precision. Trade with the LOMV.
*"Mathematics is the language with which God has written the universe." - Galileo Galilei*
*In markets, as in nature, profound mathematical beauty underlies apparent chaos. The LOMV reveals this hidden order.*
— Dskyz, Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
BTC - Cycle Integrity Index (CII) BTC - Cycle Integrity Index (CII) | RM
Are we following a calendar or a capital flow? Is the Halving still the heartbeat of Bitcoin, or has the institutional "Engine" taken over?
The most polarized debate in the digital asset space today centers on a single question: Is the 4-year Halving Cycle dead? While some market participants wait for a pre-ordained calendar countdown, the reality of 2026 suggests that visual guesswork is no longer sufficient. As institutional gravity takes hold, we cannot rely on the simple "Clock" of the past. Instead, we must audit the Integrity of the present.
The Cycle Integrity Index (CII) was engineered to move beyond simple price action and provide a clinical answer to the market's biggest mystery: "Is this trend supported by structural substance, or is it merely speculative foam?" By aggregating eight diverse Pillars into a single 0-100% score, this model uses Gaussian Distributions and Sigmoid Normalization to distinguish between professional accumulation and retail-driven chaos. We aren't guessing where we are in a cycle; we are measuring the internal health of the asset's engine in real-time.
Why these 8 Pillars?
The CII does not rely on a single indicator because the "New Era" of Bitcoin is multi-dimensional. To capture the full picture, I selected eight specific pillars that cover the three layers of market truth:
• The Capital Layer: Global Liquidity (M2) and ETF Flows (Wall Street Absorption).
• The Network Layer: Mining Difficulty and Security Backbone expansion.
• The Sentiment Layer: Long-Term Holder conviction, Valuation Heat (MVRV), and Corporate Adoption (MSTR). While alternatives like the Pi Cycle or RSI exist, they are often "one-dimensional." The CII is a synthesis—a modular engine where every part validates the others.
How the Calculation Works
The CII is a sophisticated model for Bitcoin. It aggregates 8 diverse pillars into a single 0-100% score in the following way:
• Mathematical Normalization: We don't just use raw prices. We use Gaussian Distributions to find "Institutional DNA" in drawdowns and Sigmoid (S-Curve) functions to score volatility and valuation.
• Dynamic Weighting: The index is modular. If a data source (like a specific on-chain metric) is toggled off, the engine automatically redistributes the weight among the active sensors so the final integrity score is always balanced to 100%.
• Multi-Source Integration: The script pulls from Global Liquidity (M2), ETF flows, Corporate Treasury premiums (MSTR), and Network Difficulty to create a truly "Full-Stack" view of the asset.
The 8 Pillars of Integrity
Pillar 1: Drawdown DNA The "Identity Crisis" Filter
• Concept: Audits the depth of corrections to distinguish between "Institutional Floors" and "Retail Panics."
• Logic: Historically, retail crashes reached -80%, while institutions view -20% to -25% as primary value entries.
• Implementation: Uses a Gaussian (Normal) Distribution centered at -25%. Scores of 10/10 are awarded for holding institutional targets; scores decay as drawdowns accelerate toward legacy "crash" levels.
Basis: DNA Drawdown
Pillar 2: Volatility Regime The "Smoothness" Audit
• Concept: Measures the "vibration" of the trend. High-integrity moves are characterized by "smooth" price action.
• Logic: Erratic volatility signals speculative bubbles; consistent "volatility clusters" indicate professional trend-following.
• Implementation: Calculates a Z-Score of the 14-day ATR against a 100-day benchmark. This is passed through a Sigmoid function to penalize "chaotic" price shocks while rewarding stability.
Basis: RVPM
Pillar 3: Liquidity Sync (Global M2) The Macro Heartbeat
• Concept: Audits whether price growth is fueled by monetary expansion or internal speculative leverage.
• Logic: True cycle integrity requires a positive correlation between Central Bank balance sheets and price action.
• Implementation: Aggregates a custom Global Liquidity Proxy (Fed, RRP, TGA, PBoC, ECB, BoJ). It measures the Pearson Correlation between BTC and M2 with a standardized 80-day transmission lag.
Basis: Liquisync
Pillar 4: ETF Absorption (Wall Street Entry) The "Cost Basis" Defense
• Concept: Tracks the aggregate institutional cost-basis since the January 2024 Spot ETF launch.
• Logic: Integrity is high when the "Wall Street Floor" is defended; it fails when the aggregate position is underwater.
• Implementation: A Cumulative VWAP engine tracking the "Big 3" (IBIT, FBTC, BITB). Scoring decays based on the percentage distance the price drifts below this institutional average entry.
Basis: Institutional Cost Corridor
Note: Turning this to OFF will significantly expand the timeframe of the indicator on the chart (otherwise it will just start in 2024)
Pillar 5: LTH Dormancy (Conviction) The HODL Floor Audit
• Concept: Monitors the conviction of Long-Term Holders (LTH) to identify supply-side constraints.
• Logic: Sustainable cycles require stable or increasing 1Y+ dormant supply; rapid "thawing" signals distribution.
• Implementation: Uses Min-Max Normalization on the Active 1Y Supply over a 252-day window. A score of 10/10 indicates peak annual holding conviction.
Basis: RHODL Proxy & VDD Multiple
Pillar 6: Valuation Intensity The MVRV Heat Map
• Concept: Measures market "overheat" by comparing Market Value to Realized Value.
• Logic: High integrity trends rise steadily; vertical spikes in MVRV indicate "speculative foam" and bubble risk.
• Implementation: Performs a Relative Rank Analysis of the MVRV Ratio over a 730-day window, passed through a high-steepness Sigmoid curve to identify extreme valuation anomalies.
Pillar 7: Miner Stress The Security Backbone
• Concept: Tracks Mining Difficulty to ensure network infrastructure is expanding alongside price.
• Logic: Difficulty expansion signals health; drops in difficulty (Miner Stress) signal capitulation and sell-side pressure.
• Implementation: Monitors the 30-day Rate of Change (ROC) of Global Mining Difficulty. Maintains a 10/10 score during expansion; decays rapidly during network contraction.
Pillar 8: Corporate Adoption The MSTR NAV Proxy
• Concept: Audits the MicroStrategy (MSTR) premium as a barometer for institutional demand.
• Logic: A high premium indicates a willingness to pay a "convenience fee" for BTC exposure; a collapsing premium signals waning appetite.
• Implementation: Calculates the Adjusted Enterprise Value (Market Cap + Debt - Cash) relative to the Net Asset Value (NAV) of its BTC holdings.
Note1: Debt and share parameters are user-adjustable to maintain accuracy as corporate balance sheets evolve.
Note2: I just included this because I was curious about the mNAV calculation I saw in other scripts, where the printed value often does not match exactly the propagated value from the MSTR page itself. Hence, for my live calculation, we calculate the Adjusted Enterprise Value to find the "Market NAV" (mNAV). Unlike simpler scripts that only look at Market Cap vs. Bitcoin holdings, our engine accounts for the Capital Structure . We explicitly factor in the corporate debt (approx. $8.24B long-term + $7.95B convertible notes) and subtract the cash reserves (approx. $2.18B) to find the true cost Wall Street is paying for the underlying Bitcoin. Since this will ran "old" very quickly, I recommend to update in the code by yourself from time to time, or just de-select this parameter.
Interpretation Guide
• Score 100% (The Perfect Storm): This represents a state of "Maximum Integrity." All 8 pillars are in perfect institutional alignment—liquidity is surging, conviction is at yearly highs, and price action is perfectly smooth. This is the hallmark of a healthy, structural parabolic run.
• 75% - 100% (High Integrity): Robust trend. Price is supported by structural demand and macro tailwinds.
• 35% - 75% (Equilibrium): Transition zone. The market is digesting gains or waiting for a new liquidity pulse.
• 0% - 35% (Fragile): Speculative foam. Structural support has failed.
• Score 0% (The Ghost Trend): Absolute structural failure. All pillars (liquidity, miners, LTH, ETFs) have broken down. Note: Due to the robust nature of the Bitcoin network, the index naturally floors around 20-30% during deep bear markets, as specific pillars (like Miner Security) rarely drop to zero.
To provide a complete experience, I have included the Cycle Triad —a visualization layer consisting of the Halving, Ideal Peak, and Ideal Low. It is important to understand the role of this feature:
• Benchmark Only (Not Calculated): The Triad is based purely on historical evidence from previous Bitcoin epochs. While the Halving is fixed anyway, the "Ideal Peak" or "Ideal Low" are not calculated or computed by the 8 pillars. These are user-adjustable temporal anchors drawn on the chart to provide a static map of the "Legacy 4-Year Cycle."
• The Temporal Audit: The power of the CII lies in comparing the Engine (the 8 Pillars) against the Clock (the Triad) . By overlaying historical time-windows on top of our integrity math, we can see if the "New Era" is currently ahead of, behind, or perfectly in sync with the past.
• The "Peak Divergence" Logic: Based on the specific models selected for this ECU—specifically Volatility Decay and Valuation Heat —traders will notice that a cycle peak often coincides with a low integrity score (Red Zone) . While the index measures structural health, a low score is a byproduct of a market that has become "too hot to handle."
• Regime Detection: Although the primary goal is to audit the "New Era," the CII is highly effective at detecting overheated regimes. When the score drops toward the 25–35% range, the structural floor is giving way to speculative foam—making it a dual-purpose tool for both cycle analysis and risk management.
Dashboard Calibration & Settings
Cycle Triad Calibration
• Ideal Peak/Trough Window: Defines the historical "Average Days" from a Halving to the cycle top and bottom. This sets the vertical anchors for the Halving, Peak, and Low labels.
• Show Cycle Triad: A master toggle to enable or disable the temporal lines and labels on your dashboard.
The CII Master ECU is fully modular. You can toggle individual pillars ON/OFF to focus on specific market dimensions, and calibrate the sensitivity of each sensor to match your strategic bias.
• P1: Drawdown DNA Lookback (Weeks): Defines the window for the "Rolling High." Inst. Target (%): The specific percentage drawdown you define as "Institutional Support" (e.g., -25%).
• P2: Volatility Regime Benchmark (Days): The historical window used to define "Normal" vs. "Abnormal" volatility.
• P3: Liquidity Sync Corr. Window (Bars): The lookback for the Pearson Correlation calculation. Transmission Lag (Bars): The delay (standard 80 days) for Central Bank M2 to hit price.
• P4: ETF Absorption FBTC Ticker: The data source for the ETF volume audit (Default: CBOE:FBTC).
• P5: LTH Dormancy LTH Source: The ticker for 1Y+ Active Supply (Default: GLASSNODE:BTC_ACTIVE1Y). Norm. Window: The lookback (252 days) used to rank current conviction.
• P6: Valuation Intensity MVRV Source: The ticker for the MVRV Ratio (Default: INTOTHEBLOCK:BTC_MVRV). Relative Window: The lookback (730 days) to calculate the valuation rank.
• P7: Miner Stress Mining Diff: The data source for Global Mining Difficulty (Default: QUANDL:BCHAIN/DIFF).
• P8: Corporate Adoption Shares (M) & BTC (K): The balance sheet parameters for MicroStrategy (MSTR). Update these as the company executes new purchases to maintain mNAV accuracy.
Operational Usage This index is best used on the Daily (D) (recommended - description for inputs optimized for this time-window) or Weekly (W) timeframes. While the code is optimized to fetch daily data regardless of your chart setting, the structural "Integrity" of a cycle is a macro phenomenon and should be viewed with a medium-to-long-term lens.
The Verdict: Is the 4-Year Cycle Still Alive?
Based on the data provided by the CII Master ECU, the answer remains a nuanced "Work in Progress." The evidence presents a fascinating conflict between legacy patterns and the new institutional regime:
• The Case for the Cycle: Historically, a local "Peak" in price corresponds with a "Local Low" in our integrity indicator (Red Zone). We observed this exact phenomenon in October 2025. When viewed through the lens of the "Ideal Peak" anchor, this alignment suggests that the 4-year temporal rhythm is still exerts a massive influence on market behavior.
• The Case for the New Era: While the timing of the October 2025 peak followed the legacy script, the intensity did not. Previous cycle tops produced far more aggressive and persistent "Red Zone" clusters. The relative brevity of the integrity breakdown suggests that the "Institutional Era" provides a much higher floor than the retail-driven bubbles of 2017 and 2021.
• The Institutional Floor: Our data shows that while "Tops" still resemble the 4-year cycle, the "Lows" now reflect a regime of constant institutional absorption. This suggests that the brutal 80% drawdowns of the past may be replaced by the "Institutional DNA" of Pillar 1.
Final Outlook: As we move through 2026, the ultimate test lies in the Q3/Q4 window. While classical theory demands a "Cycle Low" during this period, the CII will be our primary auditor. We cannot definitively say the cycle is dead, but we can say it has evolved. We will not know if the 4-year low will manifest until the model either flags a total structural breakdown or confirms that the institutional "Floor" has permanently shifted the rhythm of the asset.
Tags: Bitcoin, Institutional, Macro, On-chain, Liquidity, MSTR, ETF, Cycle
Note to Moderators: This script is a "Master Index" that aggregates several quantitative models I have previously published on this platform (including DNA Drawdown, RVPM, and Liquisync). I am the original author of the logic and source code referenced in the "Basis" sections of the description.
CNN Fear and Greed StrategyAdaptation of the CNN Fear and Greed Index Indicator (Original by EdgeTools)
The following changes have been implemented:
Put/Call Ratio Data Source: The data source for the Put/Call Ratio has been updated.
Bond Data Source: The data sources for the bond components (Safe Haven Demand and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated.
Normalization Adjustment: The normalization method has been adjusted to allow the CNN Fear and Greed Index to display over a longer historical period, optimizing it for backtesting purposes.
Style Modification: The display style has been modified for a simpler and cleaner appearance.
Strategy Logic Addition: Added a new strategy entry condition: index >= 25 AND index crosses over its 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), and a corresponding exit condition of holding the position for 252 bars (days).
CNN Fear & Greed Backtest Strategy (Adapted)
This script is an adaptation of the popular CNN Fear & Greed Index, originally created by EdgeTools, with significant modifications to optimize it for long-term backtesting on the TradingView platform.
The core function of the Fear & Greed Index is to measure the current emotional state of the stock market, ranging from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). It operates on the principle that excessive fear drives prices too low (a potential buying opportunity), and excessive greed drives them too high (a potential selling opportunity).
Key Components of the Index (7 Factors)
The composite index is calculated as a weighted average of seven market indicators, each normalized to a score between 0 and 100:
Market Momentum: S&P 500's current level vs. its 125-day Moving Average.
Stock Price Strength: Stocks hitting 52-week highs vs. those hitting 52-week lows.
Stock Price Breadth: Measured by the McClellan Volume Summation Index (or similar volume/breadth metric).
Put/Call Ratio: The relationship between volume of put options (bearish bets) and call options (bullish bets).
Market Volatility: The CBOE VIX Index relative to its 50-day Moving Average.
Safe Haven Demand: The relative performance of stocks (S&P 500) vs. bonds.
Junk Bond Demand: The spread between high-yield (junk) bonds and U.S. Treasury yields.
Critical Adaptations for Backtesting
To improve the index's utility for quantitative analysis, the following changes were made:
Long-Term Normalization: The original normalization method (ta.stdev over a short LENGTH) has been replaced or adjusted to use longer historical data. This change ensures the index generates consistent and comparable sentiment scores across decades of market history, which is crucial for reliable backtesting results.
Updated Data Sources: Specific ticker requests for the Put/Call Ratio and Bond components (Safe Haven and Junk Bond Demand) have been updated to use the most reliable and long-running data available on TradingView, reducing data gaps and improving chart continuity.
Simplified Visuals: The chart display is streamlined, focusing only on the final Fear & Greed Index line and key threshold levels (25, 50, 75) for quick visual assessment.
Integrated Trading Strategy
This script also includes a simple, rules-based strategy designed to test the counter-trend philosophy of the index:
Entry Logic (Long Position): A long position is initiated when the market shows increasing fear, specifically when the index score is less than or equal to the configurable FEAR_LEVEL (default 25) and the index crosses above its own short-term 5-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This crossover acts as a confirmation that sentiment may be starting to turn around from peak fear.
Exit Logic (Time-Based): All positions are subject to a time-based exit after holding for 252 trading days (approximately one year). This fixed holding period aims to capture the typical duration of a cyclical market recovery following a major panic event.
$TUBR: 7-25-99 Moving Average7, 25, and 99 Period Moving Averages
This indicator plots three moving averages: the 7-period, 25-period, and 99-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA). These moving averages are widely used to smooth out price action and help traders identify trends over different time frames. Let's break down the significance of these specific moving averages from both supply and demand perspectives and a price action perspective.
1. Supply and Demand Perspective:
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term) :
The 7-period moving average represents the short-term sentiment in the market. It captures the rapid fluctuations in price and is heavily influenced by recent supply and demand changes. Traders often look to the 7-period SMA for immediate price momentum, with price moving above or below this line signaling short-term strength or weakness.
- Bullish Supply/Demand : When price is above the 7-period SMA, it suggests that buyers are currently in control and demand is higher than supply. Conversely, price falling below this line indicates that supply is overpowering demand, leading to a short-term downtrend.
Is current price > average price in past 7 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in short term.
- Key Supply/Demand Zones : The 7-period SMA often acts as dynamic support or resistance in a trending market, where traders might use it to enter or exit positions based on how price interacts with this level.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term) :
The 25-period SMA smooths out more of the noise compared to the 7-period, providing a more stable indication of intermediate trends. This moving average is often used to gauge the market's supply and demand balance over a broader timeframe than the short-term 7-period SMA.
- Supply/Demand Balance : The 25-period SMA reflects the medium-term equilibrium between supply and demand. A crossover between the price and the 25-period SMA may indicate a shift in this balance. When price sustains above the 25-period SMA, it shows that demand is strong enough to maintain an upward trend. Conversely, if the price stays below it, supply is likely exceeding demand.
Is current price > average price in past 25 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in mid term.
- Momentum Shift : Crossovers between the 7-period and 25-period SMAs can indicate momentum shifts between short-term and medium-term demand. For example, if the 7-period crosses above the 25-period, it often signifies growing short-term demand relative to the medium-term trend, signaling potential buy opportunities. What this crossover means is that if 7MA > 25MA that means in past 7 candles average price is more than past 25 candles.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term):
The 99-period SMA represents the long-term trend and reflects the market's supply and demand over an extended period. This moving average filters out short-term fluctuations and highlights the market's overall trajectory.
- Long-Term Supply/Demand Dynamics : The 99-period SMA is slower to react to changes in supply and demand, providing a more stable view of the market's overall trend. Price staying above this line shows sustained demand dominance, while price consistently staying below reflects ongoing supply pressure.
Is current price > average price in past 99 candles (depending on timeframe)? This will tell you how aggressive buyers are in long term.
- Market Trend Confirmation : When both the 7-period and 25-period SMAs are above the 99-period SMA, it signals a strong bullish trend with demand outweighing supply across all timeframes. If all three SMAs are below the 99-period SMA, it points to a bear market where supply is overpowering demand in both the short and long term.
2. Price Action Perspective :
- 7-period Moving Average (Short-Term Trends):
The 7-period moving average closely tracks price action, making it highly responsive to quick shifts in price. Traders often use it to confirm short-term reversals or continuations in price action. In an uptrend, price typically stays above the 7-period SMA, whereas in a downtrend, price stays below it.
- Short-Term Price Reversals : Crossovers between the price and the 7-period SMA often indicate short-term reversals. When price breaks above the 7-period SMA after staying below it, it suggests a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a price breakdown below the 7-period SMA could signal a bearish reversal.
- 25-period Moving Average (Medium-Term Trends) :
The 25-period SMA helps identify the medium-term price action trend. It balances short-term volatility and longer-term stability, providing insight into the more persistent trend. Price pullbacks to the 25-period SMA during an uptrend can act as a buying opportunity for trend traders, while pullbacks during a downtrend may offer shorting opportunities.
- Pullback and Continuation: In trending markets, price often retraces to the 25-period SMA before continuing in the direction of the trend. For instance, if the price is in a bullish trend, traders may look for support at the 25-period SMA for potential continuation trades.
- 99-period Moving Average (Long-Term Trend and Market Sentiment ):
The 99-period SMA is the most critical for identifying the overall market trend. Price consistently trading above the 99-period SMA indicates long-term bullish momentum, while price staying below the 99-period SMA suggests bearish sentiment.
- Trend Confirmation : Price action above the 99-period SMA confirms long-term upward momentum, while price action below it confirms a downtrend. The space between the shorter moving averages (7 and 25) and the 99-period SMA gives a sense of the strength or weakness of the trend. Larger gaps between the 7 and 99 SMAs suggest strong bullish momentum, while close proximity indicates consolidation or potential reversals.
- Price Action in Trending Markets : Traders often use the 99-period SMA as a dynamic support/resistance level. In strong trends, price tends to stay on one side of the 99-period SMA for extended periods, with breaks above or below signaling major changes in market sentiment.
Why These Numbers Matter:
7-Period MA : The 7-period moving average is a popular choice among short-term traders who want to capture quick momentum changes. It helps visualize immediate market sentiment and is often used in conjunction with price action to time entries or exits.
- 25-Period MA: The 25-period MA is a key indicator for swing traders. It balances sensitivity and stability, providing a clearer picture of the intermediate trend. It helps traders stay in trades longer by filtering out short-term noise, while still being reactive enough to detect reversals.
- 99-Period MA : The 99-period moving average provides a broad view of the market's direction, filtering out much of the short- and medium-term noise. It is crucial for identifying long-term trends and assessing whether the market is bullish or bearish overall. It acts as a key reference point for longer-term trend followers, helping them stay with the broader market sentiment.
Conclusion:
From a supply and demand perspective, the 7, 25, and 99-period moving averages help traders visualize shifts in the balance between buyers and sellers over different time horizons. The price action interaction with these moving averages provides valuable insight into short-term momentum, intermediate trends, and long-term market sentiment. Using these three MAs together gives a more comprehensive understanding of market conditions, helping traders align their strategies with prevailing trends across various timeframes.
------------- RULE BASED SYSTEM ---------------
Overview of the Rule-Based System:
This system will use the following moving averages:
7-period MA: Represents short-term price action.
25-period MA: Represents medium-term price action.
99-period MA: Represents long-term price action.
1. Trend Identification Rules:
Bullish Trend:
The 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This structure shows that short, medium, and long-term trends are aligned in an upward direction, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Bearish Trend:
The 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, and the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This suggests that the market is in a downtrend, with bearish momentum dominating across timeframes.
Neutral/Consolidation:
The 7-period MA and 25-period MA are flat or crossing frequently with the 99-period MA, and they are close to each other.
This indicates a sideways or consolidating market where there’s no strong trend direction.
2. Entry Rules:
Bullish Entry (Buy Signals):
Primary Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is above the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is above the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new upward trend, with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Buy Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains above the 25-period MA.
This indica
tes that the pullback is a temporary correction in an uptrend, and buyers may re-enter the market as price approaches the 25-period MA.
You can further confirm the signal by waiting for price action (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns) at the 25-period MA level.
Breakout Buy Signal:
The price crosses above the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also both above the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bullish breakout after consolidation or a long-term downtrend.
Bearish Entry (Sell Signals):
Primary Sell Signal:
The price crosses below the 7-period MA, AND the 7-period MA is below the 25-period MA, AND the 25-period MA is below the 99-period MA.
This indicates the start of a new downtrend with alignment across the short, medium, and long-term trends.
Pullback Sell Signal (for trend continuation):
The price pulls back to the 25-period MA, and the 7-period MA remains below the 25-period MA.
This indicates that the pullback is a temporary retracement in a downtrend, providing an opportunity to sell as price meets resistance at the 25-period MA.
Breakdown Sell Signal:
The price breaks below the 99-period MA, and the 7-period and 25-period MAs are also below the 99-period MA.
This confirms a strong bearish breakdown after consolidation or a long-term uptrend reversal.
3. Exit Rules:
Bullish Exit (for long positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes below the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing below the 25-period MA.
This indicates weakening momentum in the uptrend, suggesting an exit from the long position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price falls below the 99-period MA, signaling the breakdown of the long-term trend.
This can act as a final exit signal to minimize losses if the long-term uptrend is invalidated.
Bearish Exit (for short positions):
Short-Term Exit:
The price closes above the 7-period MA, and the 7-period MA starts crossing above the 25-period MA.
This indicates a potential weakening of the downtrend and signals an exit from the short position.
Stop-Loss Trigger:
The price breaks above the 99-period MA, invalidating the bearish trend.
This signals that the market may be reversing to the upside, and exiting short positions would be prudent.
Multi-Factor Long Bias ToolThe Multi Factor Long Bias Tool is designed to highlight periods when multiple bullish conditions align, helping traders identify higher probability long opportunities. By combining trend, momentum, and participation metrics into a unified visual signal, the indicator goes beyond single factor analysis to support more consistent decision making.
Optimized for a 1-hour chart, it integrates four complementary components—MACD momentum, RSI confirmation, volume participation, and optional short interest filtering—to reveal when market conditions collectively favor a long bias rather than isolated upswings.
Core Logic
1. Momentum confirmation with MACD (1 Hour Frame):
The tool uses a fast MACD configuration to capture short term momentum shifts. A bullish MACD state—where the MACD line is above its signal line, above zero, and supported by a positive histogram—indicates that short term momentum exceeds long term trend strength. This alignment reflects sustained upward pressure rather than temporary mean reversion.
2. Relative strength moderation via RSI:
RSI serves as a context filter to avoid extremes. The tool favors an RSI that falls between the oversold and overbought thresholds, typically between 30 and 70. This “healthy momentum zone” identifies when price maintains strength without being overheated, aligning with controlled, directional moves rather than exhaustion.
3. Volume backed participation:
A volume filter confirms whether moves are supported by meaningful market participation. The script compares current daily volume to its 20-day average; only sessions meeting or exceeding a user defined multiple (default: 1×) qualify as high volume days. This ensures momentum signals align with genuine liquidity rather than thin, unreliable activity.
4. Optional short interest condition:
An additional input allows traders to incorporate short interest data, either manually or from external sources. When enabled, the tool verifies that short interest meets a chosen minimum percentage before validating a long bias. This feature is especially useful for setups targeting potential short squeezes or for avoiding markets lacking a meaningful contrarian base.
Signal Interpretation
When MACD momentum, RSI positioning, volume participation, and optional short interest filters align, the chart background softens to green, indicating a “long bias” environment.
If the “Focus on Longs Only” option is active, a small upward triangle marker labeled LONG appears beneath price bars for clear visual confirmation.
Traders can also choose to view MACD, its signal line, histogram, and RSI in a detachable sub panel. This optional visualization makes it easy to inspect alignment between underlying momentum and the on-chart bias signal without cluttering the main price view.
Why These Factors Are Combined
Each component contributes a distinct layer of confirmation:
Momentum + liquidity: Ensures directional strength is backed by solid participation, preventing false breakouts on low volume moves.
RSI moderation: Filters out overextended rallies and unsustainable intraday spikes.
Short interest filter: Adds an optional contrarian check for potential squeeze setups or sentiment imbalance.
Together, these signals improve reliability by demanding agreement across multiple perspectives—trend, momentum, and market depth—before painting a bullish bias.
Practical Use and Tuning
The indicator serves as a bias and timing aid rather than a standalone trading system. It helps discretionary traders focus attention on periods when multiple conditions favor looking for long entries, while leaving exact entry, exit, and risk parameters to individual strategies.
All inputs—including MACD lengths, RSI range, daily volume multiplier, and short interest requirements—are fully adjustable to match various instruments, timeframes, and trading styles.
For instance:
Adjusting MACD lengths fine tunes responsiveness to trend shifts.
Modifying RSI thresholds changes the tolerance for extended momentum.
Raising the volume multiplier demands stronger conviction from market participants.
Visual Cues
Background highlight: Shaded green when all long bias conditions align.
Triangle markers: “LONG” indicators below bars when the tool detects favorable conditions.
Optional chart pane: Displays MACD and RSI for manual confirmation.
Intended Use
This tool assists traders in recognizing when technical, behavioral, and participation factors converge to support long opportunities. It is best used as part of a comprehensive trading process that includes broader context analysis, defined risk management, and confirmation from higher timeframe trends.
All parameters are user configurable for customization across markets and trading approaches. This indicator is for analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
Trading Toolkit - Comprehensive AnalysisTrading Toolkit – Comprehensive Analysis
A unified trading analysis toolkit with four sections:
📊 Company Info
Fundamentals, market cap, sector, and earnings countdown.
📅 Performance
Date‑range analysis with key metrics.
🎯 Market Sentiment
CNN‑style Fear & Greed Index (7 components) + 150‑SMA positioning.
🛡️ Risk Levels
ATR/MAD‑based stop‑loss and take‑profit calculations.
Key Features
CNN‑style Fear & Greed approximation using:
Momentum: S&P 500 vs 125‑DMA
Price Strength: NYSE 52‑week highs vs lows
Market Breadth: McClellan Volume Summation (Up/Down volume)
Put/Call Ratio: 5‑day average (inverted)
Volatility: VIX vs 50‑DMA (inverted)
Safe‑Haven Demand: 20‑day SPY–IEF return spread
Junk‑Bond Demand: HY vs IG credit spread (inverted)
Normalization: z‑score → percentile (0–100) with ±3 clipping.
CNN‑aligned thresholds:
Extreme Fear: 0–24 | Fear: 25–44 | Neutral: 45–54 | Greed: 55–74 | Extreme Greed: 75+.
Risk tools: ATR & MAD volatility measures with configurable multipliers.
Flexible layout: vertical or side‑by‑side columns.
Data Sources
S&P 500: CBOE:SPX or AMEX:SPY
NYSE: INDEX:HIGN, INDEX:LOWN, USI:UVOL, USI:DVOL
Options: USI:PCC (Total PCR), fallback INDEX:CPCS (Equity PCR)
Volatility: CBOE:VIX
Treasuries: NASDAQ:IEF
Credit Spreads: FRED:BAMLH0A0HYM2, FRED:BAMLC0A0CM
Risk Management
ATR risk bands: 🟢 ≤3%, 🟡 3–6%, ⚪ 6–10%, 🟠 10–15%, 🔴 >15%
MAD‑based stop‑loss and take‑profit calculations.
Author: Daniel Dahan
(AI Generated, Merged & enhanced version with CNN‑style Fear & Greed)
CNN Fear and Greed IndexThe “CNN Fear and Greed Index” indicator in this context is designed to gauge market sentiment based on a combination of several fundamental indicators. Here’s a breakdown of how this indicator works and what it represents:
Components of the Indicator:
1. Stock Price Momentum:
• Calculates the momentum of the S&P 500 index relative to its 125-day moving average. Momentum is essentially the rate of acceleration or deceleration of price movements over time.
2. Stock Price Strength:
• Measures the breadth of the market by comparing the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus lows. This provides insights into the overall strength or weakness of the market trend.
3. Stock Price Breadth:
• Evaluates the volume of shares trading on the rise versus the falling volume. Higher volume on rising days suggests positive market breadth, while higher volume on declining days indicates negative breadth.
4. Put and Call Options Ratio (Put/Call Ratio):
• This ratio indicates the sentiment of investors in the options market. A higher put/call ratio typically signals increased bearish sentiment (more puts relative to calls) and vice versa.
5. Market Volatility (VIX):
• Also known as the “fear gauge,” the VIX measures the expected volatility in the market over the next 30 days. Higher VIX values indicate higher expected volatility and often correlate with increased fear or uncertainty in the market.
6. Safe Haven Demand:
• Compares the returns of stocks (represented by S&P 500) versus safer investments like 10-year Treasury bonds. Higher returns on bonds relative to stocks suggest a flight to safety or risk aversion.
7. Junk Bond Demand:
• Measures the spread between yields on high-yield (junk) bonds and investment-grade bonds. Widening spreads may indicate increasing risk aversion as investors demand higher yields for riskier bonds.
Normalization and Weighting:
• Normalization: Each component is normalized to a scale of 0 to 100 using a function that adjusts the range based on historical highs and lows of the respective indicator.
• Weighting: The user can adjust the relative importance (weight) of each component using input parameters. This customization allows for different interpretations of market sentiment based on which factors are considered more influential.
Fear and Greed Index Calculation:
• The Fear and Greed Index is calculated as a weighted average of all normalized components. This index provides a single numerical value that summarizes the overall sentiment of the market based on the selected indicators.
Usage:
• Visualization: The indicator plots the Fear and Greed Index and its components on the chart. This allows traders and analysts to visually assess the sentiment trends over time.
• Analysis: Changes in the Fear and Greed Index can signal shifts in market sentiment. For example, a rising index may indicate increasing greed and potential overbought conditions, while a falling index may suggest increasing fear and potential oversold conditions.
• Customization: Traders can customize the indicator by adjusting the weights assigned to each component based on their trading strategies and market insights.
By integrating multiple fundamental indicators into a single index, the “CNN Fear and Greed Index” provides a comprehensive snapshot of market sentiment, helping traders make informed decisions about market entry, exit, and risk management strategies.
Smart RebalanceThis script is based on the portfolio rebalancing strategy. It's designed to work with cryptocurrencies, but it can work with any market.
How portfolio rebalance works?
Let's assume your initial capital is $1000, and you want to distribute it into 4 coins. This script takes the USDT as the stable coin for the initial money, so in case you want other currency, the pairs must be with that fiat as the quote.
Following our example, you would take BTC, ETH, BNB, and FTT. After selecting the coins, it's time to choose how much allocation is on each. Let's put 25% on each. This way, $250 of our capital on each coin.
After selecting the coins and their allocation, you choose the price change ratio for rebalancing. Let's use 1%. Next, you start to watch the markets. The first thing that happens, following our example, is the BTCUSDT price moving 1% up.
That amount hit the ratio of 1% for the rebalance. Hence, you sell 1% of BTC for USDT and redistribute to the other coins, buying 0.25% of each currency to rebalance the portfolio.
Next, ETHUSDT goes 1% down, time to rebalance again. This time, you need to take 0.33% of each other coin and buy ETH, so this way, it's all divided as the chosen allocation.
Why use rebalancing?
Looks easy, right? It is, but very time demanding. Demands even more if you raise the number of coins you want to distribute. Having a system to do that automatically is a must to work efficiently. Rebalancing spreads the risk among multiple currencies. This way, you earn small when it goes up, but you lose small when it goes down.
What this script helps with portfolio rebalance?
This indicator will not buy/sell for you but will help you choose the best markets for your rebalancing. Which coin will work best in that period? Do I need to have more than 8 coins? How much must be my ratio? Those questions you can answer using this indicator.
What this script has?
Start and End dates
The script will work for a certain period. All calculations will be done in that period.
Coin Ratio %
The amount of price movement of each asset that will be used to calculate the rebalancing
Initial Capital and Broker Fee
The amount of capital to be used on the rebalancing and the broker fee you want to use the strategy. The cost will be applied on every trade, buying or selling the coins.
Assets, allocations, and colors
It's possible to select from 2 to 10 assets to be used on the portfolio. Each purchase must have the allocation %. Suppose the sum of the allocations is different from 100%. In that case, a warning message will appear on the chart instead of the statistics.
Panel and tooltips
There is a panel with a summary of the results
Set allocations automatically
There is an option to make the indicator use the daily asset volume from the day before to determine the allocation percentage of each asset. This option is better if you are unsure how much allocation you want to use on each coin.
Use this indicator as a backtest for your rebalancing strategy. The selected market on the chart will not affect the calculation on this indicator, but the time frame will. The higher the time frame, the higher the coin ratio % must be.
About the code
The code is written to use arrays to store the values of each asset, making the calculations on each candle inside the time range. The for-loops are used to reduce the code length and make it easy to change the analysis of all assets. Finally, the script has some comments on the code.
Monte Carlo Range Forecast [DW]This is an experimental study designed to forecast the range of price movement from a specified starting point using a Monte Carlo simulation.
Monte Carlo experiments are a broad class of computational algorithms that utilize random sampling to derive real world numerical results.
These types of algorithms have a number of applications in numerous fields of study including physics, engineering, behavioral sciences, climate forecasting, computer graphics, gaming AI, mathematics, and finance.
Although the applications vary, there is a typical process behind the majority of Monte Carlo methods:
-> First, a distribution of possible inputs is defined.
-> Next, values are generated randomly from the distribution.
-> The values are then fed through some form of deterministic algorithm.
-> And lastly, the results are aggregated over some number of iterations.
In this study, the Monte Carlo process used generates a distribution of aggregate pseudorandom linear price returns summed over a user defined period, then plots standard deviations of the outcomes from the mean outcome generate forecast regions.
The pseudorandom process used in this script relies on a modified Wichmann-Hill pseudorandom number generator (PRNG) algorithm.
Wichmann-Hill is a hybrid generator that uses three linear congruential generators (LCGs) with different prime moduli.
Each LCG within the generator produces an independent, uniformly distributed number between 0 and 1.
The three generated values are then summed and modulo 1 is taken to deliver the final uniformly distributed output.
Because of its long cycle length, Wichmann-Hill is a fantastic generator to use on TV since it's extremely unlikely that you'll ever see a cycle repeat.
The resulting pseudorandom output from this generator has a minimum repetition cycle length of 6,953,607,871,644.
Fun fact: Wichmann-Hill is a widely used PRNG in various software applications. For example, Excel 2003 and later uses this algorithm in its RAND function, and it was the default generator in Python up to v2.2.
The generation algorithm in this script takes the Wichmann-Hill algorithm, and uses a multi-stage transformation process to generate the results.
First, a parent seed is selected. This can either be a fixed value, or a dynamic value.
The dynamic parent value is produced by taking advantage of Pine's timenow variable behavior. It produces a variable parent seed by using a frozen ratio of timenow/time.
Because timenow always reflects the current real time when frozen and the time variable reflects the chart's beginning time when frozen, the ratio of these values produces a new number every time the cache updates.
After a parent seed is selected, its value is then fed through a uniformly distributed seed array generator, which generates multiple arrays of pseudorandom "children" seeds.
The seeds produced in this step are then fed through the main generators to produce arrays of pseudorandom simulated outcomes, and a pseudorandom series to compare with the real series.
The main generators within this script are designed to (at least somewhat) model the stochastic nature of financial time series data.
The first step in this process is to transform the uniform outputs of the Wichmann-Hill into outputs that are normally distributed.
In this script, the transformation is done using an estimate of the normal distribution quantile function.
Quantile functions, otherwise known as percent-point or inverse cumulative distribution functions, specify the value of a random variable such that the probability of the variable being within the value's boundary equals the input probability.
The quantile equation for a normal probability distribution is μ + σ(√2)erf^-1(2(p - 0.5)) where μ is the mean of the distribution, σ is the standard deviation, erf^-1 is the inverse Gauss error function, and p is the probability.
Because erf^-1() does not have a simple, closed form interpretation, it must be approximated.
To keep things lightweight in this approximation, I used a truncated Maclaurin Series expansion for this function with precomputed coefficients and rolled out operations to avoid nested looping.
This method provides a decent approximation of the error function without completely breaking floating point limits or sucking up runtime memory.
Note that there are plenty of more robust techniques to approximate this function, but their memory needs very. I chose this method specifically because of runtime favorability.
To generate a pseudorandom approximately normally distributed variable, the uniformly distributed variable from the Wichmann-Hill algorithm is used as the input probability for the quantile estimator.
Now from here, we get a pretty decent output that could be used itself in the simulation process. Many Monte Carlo simulations and random price generators utilize a normal variable.
However, if you compare the outputs of this normal variable with the actual returns of the real time series, you'll find that the variability in shocks (random changes) doesn't quite behave like it does in real data.
This is because most real financial time series data is more complex. Its distribution may be approximately normal at times, but the variability of its distribution changes over time due to various underlying factors.
In light of this, I believe that returns behave more like a convoluted product distribution rather than just a raw normal.
So the next step to get our procedurally generated returns to more closely emulate the behavior of real returns is to introduce more complexity into our model.
Through experimentation, I've found that a return series more closely emulating real returns can be generated in a three step process:
-> First, generate multiple independent, normally distributed variables simultaneously.
-> Next, apply pseudorandom weighting to each variable ranging from -1 to 1, or some limits within those bounds. This modulates each series to provide more variability in the shocks by producing product distributions.
-> Lastly, add the results together to generate the final pseudorandom output with a convoluted distribution. This adds variable amounts of constructive and destructive interference to produce a more "natural" looking output.
In this script, I use three independent normally distributed variables multiplied by uniform product distributed variables.
The first variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by one uniformly distributed variable. This produces a bit more tailedness (kurtosis) than a normal distribution, but nothing too extreme.
The second variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by two uniformly distributed variables. This produces moderately greater tails in the distribution.
The third variable is generated by multiplying a normal variable by three uniformly distributed variables. This produces a distribution with heavier tails.
For additional control of the output distributions, the uniform product distributions are given optional limits.
These limits control the boundaries for the absolute value of the uniform product variables, which affects the tails. In other words, they limit the weighting applied to the normally distributed variables in this transformation.
All three sets are then multiplied by user defined amplitude factors to adjust presence, then added together to produce our final pseudorandom return series with a convoluted product distribution.
Once we have the final, more "natural" looking pseudorandom series, the values are recursively summed over the forecast period to generate a simulated result.
This process of generation, weighting, addition, and summation is repeated over the user defined number of simulations with different seeds generated from the parent to produce our array of initial simulated outcomes.
After the initial simulation array is generated, the max, min, mean and standard deviation of this array are calculated, and the values are stored in holding arrays on each iteration to be called upon later.
Reference difference series and price values are also stored in holding arrays to be used in our comparison plots.
In this script, I use a linear model with simple returns rather than compounding log returns to generate the output.
The reason for this is that in generating outputs this way, we're able to run our simulations recursively from the beginning of the chart, then apply scaling and anchoring post-process.
This allows a greater conservation of runtime memory than the alternative, making it more suitable for doing longer forecasts with heavier amounts of simulations in TV's runtime environment.
From our starting time, the previous bar's price, volatility, and optional drift (expected return) are factored into our holding arrays to generate the final forecast parameters.
After these parameters are computed, the range forecast is produced.
The basis value for the ranges is the mean outcome of the simulations that were run.
Then, quarter standard deviations of the simulated outcomes are added to and subtracted from the basis up to 3σ to generate the forecast ranges.
All of these values are plotted and colorized based on their theoretical probability density. The most likely areas are the warmest colors, and least likely areas are the coolest colors.
An information panel is also displayed at the starting time which shows the starting time and price, forecast type, parent seed value, simulations run, forecast bars, total drift, mean, standard deviation, max outcome, min outcome, and bars remaining.
The interesting thing about simulated outcomes is that although the probability distribution of each simulation is not normal, the distribution of different outcomes converges to a normal one with enough steps.
In light of this, the probability density of outcomes is highest near the initial value + total drift, and decreases the further away from this point you go.
This makes logical sense since the central path is the easiest one to travel.
Given the ever changing state of markets, I find this tool to be best suited for shorter term forecasts.
However, if the movements of price are expected to remain relatively stable, longer term forecasts may be equally as valid.
There are many possible ways for users to apply this tool to their analysis setups. For example, the forecast ranges may be used as a guide to help users set risk targets.
Or, the generated levels could be used in conjunction with other indicators for meaningful confluence signals.
More advanced users could even extrapolate the functions used within this script for various purposes, such as generating pseudorandom data to test systems on, perform integration and approximations, etc.
These are just a few examples of potential uses of this script. How you choose to use it to benefit your trading, analysis, and coding is entirely up to you.
If nothing else, I think this is a pretty neat script simply for the novelty of it.
----------
How To Use:
When you first add the script to your chart, you will be prompted to confirm the starting date and time, number of bars to forecast, number of simulations to run, and whether to include drift assumption.
You will also be prompted to confirm the forecast type. There are two types to choose from:
-> End Result - This uses the values from the end of the simulation throughout the forecast interval.
-> Developing - This uses the values that develop from bar to bar, providing a real-time outlook.
You can always update these settings after confirmation as well.
Once these inputs are confirmed, the script will boot up and automatically generate the forecast in a separate pane.
Note that if there is no bar of data at the time you wish to start the forecast, the script will automatically detect use the next available bar after the specified start time.
From here, you can now control the rest of the settings.
The "Seeding Settings" section controls the initial seed value used to generate the children that produce the simulations.
In this section, you can control whether the seed is a fixed value, or a dynamic one.
Since selecting the dynamic parent option will change the seed value every time you change the settings or refresh your chart, there is a "Regenerate" input built into the script.
This input is a dummy input that isn't connected to any of the calculations. The purpose of this input is to force an update of the dynamic parent without affecting the generator or forecast settings.
Note that because we're running a limited number of simulations, different parent seeds will typically yield slightly different forecast ranges.
When using a small number of simulations, you will likely see a higher amount of variance between differently seeded results because smaller numbers of sampled simulations yield a heavier bias.
The more simulations you run, the smaller this variance will become since the outcomes become more convergent toward the same distribution, so the differences between differently seeded forecasts will become more marginal.
When using a dynamic parent, pay attention to the dispersion of ranges.
When you find a set of ranges that is dispersed how you like with your configuration, set your fixed parent value to the parent seed that shows in the info panel.
This will allow you to replicate that dispersion behavior again in the future.
An important thing to note when settings alerts on the plotted levels, or using them as components for signals in other scripts, is to decide on a fixed value for your parent seed to avoid minor repainting due to seed changes.
When the parent seed is fixed, no repainting occurs.
The "Amplitude Settings" section controls the amplitude coefficients for the three differently tailed generators.
These amplitude factors will change the difference series output for each simulation by controlling how aggressively each series moves.
When "Adjust Amplitude Coefficients" is disabled, all three coefficients are set to 1.
Note that if you expect volatility to significantly diverge from its historical values over the forecast interval, try experimenting with these factors to match your anticipation.
The "Weighting Settings" section controls the weighting boundaries for the three generators.
These weighting limits affect how tailed the distributions in each generator are, which in turn affects the final series outputs.
The maximum absolute value range for the weights is . When "Limit Generator Weights" is disabled, this is the range that is automatically used.
The last set of inputs is the "Display Settings", where you can control the visual outputs.
From here, you can select to display either "Forecast" or "Difference Comparison" via the "Output Display Type" dropdown tab.
"Forecast" is the type displayed by default. This plots the end result or developing forecast ranges.
There is an option with this display type to show the developing extremes of the simulations. This option is enabled by default.
There's also an option with this display type to show one of the simulated price series from the set alongside actual prices.
This allows you to visually compare simulated prices alongside the real prices.
"Difference Comparison" allows you to visually compare a synthetic difference series from the set alongside the actual difference series.
This display method is primarily useful for visually tuning the amplitude and weighting settings of the generators.
There are also info panel settings on the bottom, which allow you to control size, colors, and date format for the panel.
It's all pretty simple to use once you get the hang of it. So play around with the settings and see what kinds of forecasts you can generate!
----------
ADDITIONAL NOTES & DISCLAIMERS
Although I've done a number of things within this script to keep runtime demands as low as possible, the fact remains that this script is fairly computationally heavy.
Because of this, you may get random timeouts when using this script.
This could be due to either random drops in available runtime on the server, using too many simulations, or running the simulations over too many bars.
If it's just a random drop in runtime on the server, hide and unhide the script, re-add it to the chart, or simply refresh the page.
If the timeout persists after trying this, then you'll need to adjust your settings to a less demanding configuration.
Please note that no specific claims are being made in regards to this script's predictive accuracy.
It must be understood that this model is based on randomized price generation with assumed constant drift and dispersion from historical data before the starting point.
Models like these not consider the real world factors that may influence price movement (economic changes, seasonality, macro-trends, instrument hype, etc.), nor the changes in sample distribution that may occur.
In light of this, it's perfectly possible for price data to exceed even the most extreme simulated outcomes.
The future is uncertain, and becomes increasingly uncertain with each passing point in time.
Predictive models of any type can vary significantly in performance at any point in time, and nobody can guarantee any specific type of future performance.
When using forecasts in making decisions, DO NOT treat them as any form of guarantee that values will fall within the predicted range.
When basing your trading decisions on any trading methodology or utility, predictive or not, you do so at your own risk.
No guarantee is being issued regarding the accuracy of this forecast model.
Forecasting is very far from an exact science, and the results from any forecast are designed to be interpreted as potential outcomes rather than anything concrete.
With that being said, when applied prudently and treated as "general case scenarios", forecast models like these may very well be potentially beneficial tools to have in the arsenal.
RISK-OFF.RISK.ON-ppxdf.v3======================================= RISK-OFF & RISK ON INDEX ================================================
1. Stock Price Momentum: Measuring the Standard & Poor's 500 Index ( S&P 500 ) versus its 125-day moving average (MA)
2. Stock Price Strength: Calculating the number of stocks hitting 52-week highs versus those hitting 52-week lows on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)
3. Stock Price Breadth: Analyzing trading volumes in rising stocks against declining stocks
4. Put and Call Options: How much do put options lag behind call options, signifying greed, or surpass them, indicating fear
5. Junk Bond Demand: Gauging appetite for higher risk strategies by measuring the spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds
6. Market Volatility: CNN measures the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index ( VIX ), concentrating on a 50-day MA
7. Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns for stocks versus treasuries
Each of these seven indicators is measured on a scale from 0 to 100, with the index being computed by taking an equal-weighted average of each of them.
A reading of 50 is deemed NEUTRAL.
Above 50 signals the market with RISK-ON. (GREED)
Below 50, Signals the market with RISK-OFF (FEAR)
8
CVD Zones & Divergence [Pro]# CVD Zones & Divergence
**Complete CVD order flow toolkit** - Divergences, POC, Profile, and Supply/Demand zones all in one professional indicator.
## 🎯 What It Does
Combines **four powerful order flow tools** into a single, cohesive indicator:
1. **CVD Divergences** - Early warnings + confirmed signals
2. **Point of Control (POC)** - Fair value equilibrium line
3. **CVD Profile** - Visual distribution histogram
4. **Supply/Demand Zones** - Real absorption-based S/R levels
All based on **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)** - actual buying/selling pressure, not approximations.
## ✨ Key Features
### 🔄 CVD Divergences (Dual Mode)
**Confirmed Divergences** (High Accuracy)
- Solid lines (customizable colors)
- 🔻 Bear / 🔺 Bull labels
- Win rate: ~70-80%
- Best for swing traders
**Early Warning Mode** ⚡ (Fast Signals)
- Dashed lines (default purple)
- ⚠️ Early Bear / ⚠️ Early Bull labels
- Fires 6+ bars earlier
- Win rate: ~55-65%
- Best for scalpers/day traders
### 🎯 Point of Control (POC)
- **Independent lookback** (300 bars default)
- Yellow line showing fair value
- Where most CVD activity occurred
- Acts as dynamic support/resistance
- Resets and recalculates continuously
### 📊 CVD Profile Histogram
- **Visual CVD distribution** over lookback period
- **Split buy/sell** (blue/orange bars)
- **Value Area** (70% CVD zone highlighted)
- Position: Right/Left/Current (your choice)
- Shows where actual order flow happened
### 📦 Supply/Demand Zones
- **Absorption-based** detection (not guesses!)
- Green = Demand (buyers absorbed 2:1+)
- Red = Supply (sellers absorbed 2:1+)
- Shows **real** institutional levels
- Auto-sorted by strength
- Displays top 8 zones
## 📊 What You See on Chart
```
Your Chart:
├─ 🔴 Red lines (bearish divergences)
├─ 🟢 Green lines (bullish divergences)
├─ 🟣 Purple dashed (early warnings)
├─ 🟡 Yellow POC line (fair value)
├─ 📊 Blue/Orange profile (right side)
├─ 🟢 Green boxes (demand zones)
└─ 🔴 Red boxes (supply zones)
```
## ⚙️ Recommended Settings
### 15m Day Trading (Most Popular)
```
📊 Profile:
- Lookback: 150 bars
- Profile Rows: 24
- Position: Right
🎯 POC:
- POC Lookback: 300 bars
- Show POC: ON
📦 Zones:
- Min Absorption Ratio: 2.0
- HVN Threshold: 1.5
- Max Zones: 8
🔄 Divergences:
- Pivot L/R: 9
- Early Warning: ON
- Early Right Bars: 3
- Min Bars Between: 40
- Min CVD Diff: 5%
```
### 5m Scalping
```
Profile Lookback: 100
POC Lookback: 200
Pivot L/R: 7
Early Warning Right: 2
Min Bars Between: 60
```
### 1H Swing Trading
```
Profile Lookback: 200
POC Lookback: 400-500
Pivot L/R: 12-14
Early Warning Right: 4-5
Min Bars Between: 30
Min CVD Diff: 8%
```
## 💡 How to Trade
### Setup 1: Divergence at Zone ⭐ (BEST - 75%+ win rate)
**Entry:**
- Price hits demand/supply zone
- Divergence appears (early or confirmed)
- Double confluence = high probability
**Example (Long):**
```
1. Price drops into green demand zone
2. ⚠️ Early bullish divergence fires
3. Enter long with tight stop below zone
4. Target: POC or next supply zone
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3 to 1:5
---
### Setup 2: POC Bounce/Rejection
**Entry:**
- Price approaches POC line
- Wait for reaction (bounce or rejection)
- Enter in direction of reaction
**Long Setup:**
```
1. Price pulls back to POC from above
2. POC acts as support
3. Bullish divergence appears (confirmation)
4. Enter long, stop below POC
```
**Short Setup:**
```
1. Price rallies to POC from below
2. POC acts as resistance
3. Bearish divergence appears
4. Enter short, stop above POC
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:2 to 1:4
---
### Setup 3: Zone + Profile Confluence
**Entry:**
- Supply/demand zone aligns with thick profile bar
- Shows high CVD activity at that level
- Triple confluence = very high probability
**Example:**
```
1. Supply zone at 26,100
2. Profile shows heavy selling at 26,100
3. Price rallies to 26,100
4. Bearish divergence appears
5. Enter short
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:4 to 1:6
---
### Setup 4: Early Warning Scalp ⚡
**Entry (Aggressive):**
- ⚠️ Early warning fires
- Price at zone or POC
- Enter immediately
- Tight stop (1-2 ATR)
**Management:**
```
- Take 50% profit at 1:1
- Move stop to breakeven
- 🔻 Confirmed signal → Trail stop
- Exit rest at target
```
**Risk/Reward:** 1:1.5 to 1:2
**Trades/day:** 3-8
---
### Setup 5: Multi-Timeframe (Advanced)
**Confirmation Required:**
```
Higher TF (1H):
- Confirmed divergence
- At major POC or zone
Lower TF (15m):
- Early warning triggers
- Entry with better timing
```
**Benefits:**
- HTF gives direction
- LTF gives entry
- Best of both worlds
**Risk/Reward:** 1:3 to 1:5
---
## 📊 Component Details
### CVD Profile
**What the colors mean:**
- **Blue bars** = Buying CVD (demand)
- **Orange bars** = Selling CVD (supply)
- **Lighter shade** = Value Area (70% CVD)
- **Thicker bar** = More volume at that price
**How to use:**
- Thick bars = Support/Resistance
- Profile shape shows market structure
- Balanced profile = range
- Skewed profile = trend
---
### Supply/Demand Zones
**How they're detected:**
1. High Volume Node (1.5x average)
2. CVD buy/sell ratio calculated
3. Ratio ≥ 2.0 → Zone created
4. Sorted by strength (top 8 shown)
**Zone labels show:**
- Type: "Demand" or "Supply"
- Ratio: "2.8:1" = strength
**Not like other indicators:**
- ❌ Other tools use price action alone
- ✅ This uses actual CVD absorption
- Shows WHERE limit orders defended levels
---
### Point of Control (POC)
**What it shows:**
- Price with highest CVD activity
- Market's "fair value"
- Dynamic S/R level
**How to use:**
- Price above POC = bullish bias
- Price below POC = bearish bias
- POC retest = trading opportunity
- POC cross = trend change signal
**Independent lookback:**
- Profile: 150 bars (short-term)
- POC: 300 bars (longer-term context)
- Gives stable, relevant POC
---
## 🔧 Settings Explained
### 📊 Profile Settings
**Lookback Bars** (150 default)
- How many bars for profile calculation
- Lower = more recent, reactive
- Higher = more historical, stable
**Profile Rows** (24 default)
- Granularity of distribution
- Lower = coarser (faster)
- Higher = finer detail (slower)
**Profile Position**
- Right: After current price
- Left: Before lookback period
- Current: At lookback start
**Value Area** (70% default)
- Highlights main CVD concentration
- 70% is standard
- Higher % = wider zone
---
### 🎯 POC Settings
**POC Lookback** (300 default)
- Independent from profile
- Longer = more stable POC
- Shorter = more reactive POC
**Show POC Line/Label**
- Toggle visibility
- Customize color/width
---
### 📦 Zone Settings
**Min Absorption Ratio** (2.0 default)
- Buy/Sell threshold for zones
- 2.0 = 2:1 ratio minimum
- Higher = fewer, stronger zones
**HVN Threshold** (1.5 default)
- Volume must be 1.5x average
- Higher = stricter filtering
- Lower = more zones
**Max Zones** (8 default)
- Limits display clutter
- Shows strongest N zones only
---
### 🔄 Divergence Settings
**Pivot Left/Right** (9/9 default)
- Bars to confirm pivot
- Higher = slower, more confirmed
- Lower = faster, less confirmed
**Early Warning**
- ON = Show early signals
- Early Right Bars (3 default)
- 3 = 6 bars faster than confirmed
**Filters:**
- Min Bars Between (40): Prevents spam
- Min CVD Diff % (5): Filters weak signals
**Visual:**
- Line styles: Solid/Dashed/Dotted
- Colors: Customize all 4 types
- Labels: Toggle ON/OFF
---
## 🎨 Color Customization
**Divergences:**
- Bullish Confirmed: Green (default)
- Bearish Confirmed: Red (default)
- Early Bullish: Purple (default)
- Early Bearish: Purple (default)
**Zones & Profile:**
- Bull/Demand: Green
- Bear/Supply: Red
- Buy CVD Profile: Blue
- Sell CVD Profile: Orange
- Value Area Up/Down: Lighter blue/orange
**POC:**
- POC Color: Yellow (default)
All customizable to your preference!
---
## 🔔 Alerts Available
**6 Alert Types:**
1. 🔻 Bearish Divergence (confirmed)
2. 🔺 Bullish Divergence (confirmed)
3. ⚠️ Early Bearish Warning
4. ⚠️ Early Bullish Warning
5. (Manual: POC cross)
6. (Manual: Zone touch)
**Setup:**
1. Click Alert (⏰)
2. Choose "CVD Zones & Divergence"
3. Select alert type
4. Configure notification
5. Create!
---
## 💎 Pro Tips
### From Experienced Traders:
**"Use zones with divergences for best setups"**
- Zone alone: 60% win rate
- Divergence alone: 65% win rate
- Both together: 75%+ win rate
**"POC is your friend"**
- Price tends to revert to POC
- Great target for counter-trend trades
- POC cross = potential trend change
**"Profile tells the story"**
- Thick bars = institutional levels
- Balanced profile = range-bound
- Skewed high = distribution (top)
- Skewed low = accumulation (bottom)
**"Early warnings for entries, confirmed for confidence"**
- Early = better entry price
- Confirmed = validation
- Use both in scale-in strategy
**"Filter by timeframe"**
- 1m-5m: Very fast, many signals
- 15m: Sweet spot for most traders
- 1H-4H: High quality, fewer signals
---
## 🔧 Tuning Guide
### Too Cluttered?
**Simplify:**
```
✅ Show Divergences: ON
✅ Show POC: ON
❌ Show Zones: OFF (or reduce to 4-5)
❌ Show Value Area: OFF
❌ Divergence Labels: OFF
→ Clean chart with just lines + POC
```
### Missing Opportunities?
**More Signals:**
```
↓ Pivot Right: 6-7
↓ Early Warning Right: 2
↓ Min Bars Between: 25-30
↓ Min CVD Diff: 2-3%
↓ Min Absorption Ratio: 1.8
```
### Too Many False Signals?
**Stricter Filters:**
```
↑ Pivot Right: 12-15
↑ Min Bars Between: 60
↑ Min CVD Diff: 8-10%
↑ Min Absorption Ratio: 2.5
↓ Max Zones: 4-5
```
### POC Not Making Sense?
**Adjust POC Lookback:**
```
If too high: Increase to 400-500
If too low: Increase to 400-500
If jumping around: Increase to 500+
→ Longer lookback = more stable POC
```
---
## ❓ FAQ
**Q: Difference from CVD Divergence (standalone)?**
A: This is the **complete package**:
- Divergence tool = divergences only
- This = divergences + POC + profile + zones
- Use divergence tool for clean charts
- Use this for full analysis
**Q: Too slow/laggy?**
A: Reduce computational load:
```
Profile Rows: 18 (from 24)
Lookback: 100 (from 150)
Max Zones: 5 (from 8)
```
**Q: No volume data error?**
A: Symbol has no volume
- Works: Futures, stocks, crypto
- Maybe: Forex (broker-dependent)
- Doesn't work: Some forex pairs
**Q: Can I use just some features?**
A: Absolutely! Toggle what you want:
```
Zones only: Turn off divergences + POC
POC only: Turn off zones + divergences
Divergences only: Turn off zones + POC + profile
Mix and match as needed!
```
**Q: Best timeframe?**
A:
- **1m-5m**: Scalping (busy, many signals)
- **15m**: Day trading ⭐ (recommended)
- **1H-4H**: Swing trading (quality signals)
- **Daily**: Position trading (very selective)
**Q: Works on crypto/forex/stocks?**
A:
- ✅ Futures: Excellent
- ✅ Stocks: Excellent
- ✅ Crypto: Very good (major pairs)
- ⚠️ Forex: Depends on broker volume
---
## 📈 Performance Expectations
### Realistic Win Rates
| Strategy | Win Rate | Avg R/R | Trades/Week |
|----------|----------|---------|-------------|
| Early warnings only | 55-65% | 1:1.5 | 15-30 |
| Confirmed only | 70-80% | 1:2 | 8-15 |
| Divergence + Zone | 75-85% | 1:3 | 5-12 |
| Full confluence (all 4) | 80-90% | 1:4+ | 3-8 |
**Keys to success:**
- Don't trade every signal
- Wait for confluence
- Proper risk management
- Trade what you see, not what you think
---
## 🚀 Quick Start
**New User (5 minutes):**
1. ✅ Add to 15m chart
2. ✅ Default settings work well
3. ✅ Watch for 1 week (don't trade yet!)
4. ✅ Note which setups work best
5. ✅ Backtest on 50+ signals
6. ✅ Start with small size
7. ✅ Scale up slowly
**First Trade Checklist:**
- Divergence + Zone/POC = confluence
- Clear S/R level nearby
- Risk/reward minimum 1:2
- Position size = 1% risk max
- Stop loss placed
- Target identified
- Journal entry ready
---
## 📊 What Makes This Special?
**Most indicators:**
- Use RSI/MACD divergences (lagging)
- Guess at S/R zones (subjective)
- Don't show actual order flow
**This indicator:**
- Uses real CVD (actual volume delta)
- Absorption-based zones (real orders)
- Profile shows distribution (real activity)
- POC shows equilibrium (real fair value)
- All from one data source (coherent)
**Result:**
- Everything aligns
- No conflicting signals
- True order flow analysis
- Professional-grade toolkit
---
## 🎯 Trading Philosophy
**Remember:**
- Indicator shows you WHERE to look
- YOU decide whether to trade
- Quality over quantity always
- Risk management is #1
- Patience beats aggression
**Best trades have:**
- ✅ Multiple confluences
- ✅ Clear risk/reward
- ✅ Obvious invalidation point
- ✅ Aligned with trend/context
**Worst trades have:**
- ❌ Single signal only
- ❌ Poor location (middle of nowhere)
- ❌ Unclear stop placement
- ❌ Counter to all context
---
## ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
**Important:**
- Past performance ≠ future results
- All trading involves risk
- Only risk what you can afford to lose
- This is a tool, not financial advice
- Use proper position sizing
- Keep a trading journal
- Consider professional advice
**Your responsibility:**
- Which setups to trade
- Position size
- Entry/exit timing
- Risk management
- Emotional control
**Success = Tool + Strategy + Discipline + Risk Management**
---
## 📝 Version History
**v1.0** - Current Release
- CVD divergences (confirmed + early warning)
- Point of Control (independent lookback)
- CVD profile histogram
- Supply/demand absorption zones
- Value area visualization
- 6 alert types
- Full customization
---
## 💬 Community
**Questions?** Drop a comment below
**Success story?** Share with the community
**Feature request?** Let me know
**Bug report?** Provide details in comments
---
**Happy Trading! 🚀📊**
*Professional order flow analysis in one indicator.*
**Like this?** ⭐ Follow for more quality tools!
Mars Signals - Ultimate Institutional Suite v3.0(Joker)Comprehensive Trading Manual
Mars Signals – Ultimate Institutional Suite v3.0 (Joker)
## Chapter 1 – Philosophy & System Architecture
This script is not a simple “buy/sell” indicator.
Mars Signals – UIS v3.0 (Joker) is designed as an institutional-style analytical assistant that layers several methodologies into a single, coherent framework.
The system is built on four core pillars:
1. Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
- Detection of Order Blocks (professional demand/supply zones).
- Detection of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) (price imbalances).
2. Smart DCA Strategy
- Combination of RSI and Bollinger Bands
- Identifies statistically discounted zones for scaling into spot positions or exiting shorts.
3. Volume Profile (Visible Range Simulation)
- Distribution of volume by price, not by time.
- Identification of POC (Point of Control) and high-/low-volume areas.
4. Wyckoff Helper – Spring
- Detection of bear traps, liquidity grabs, and sharp bullish reversals.
All four pillars feed into a Confluence Engine (Scoring System).
The final output is presented in the Dashboard, with a clear, human-readable signal:
- STRONG LONG 🚀
- WEAK LONG ↗
- NEUTRAL / WAIT
- WEAK SHORT ↘
- STRONG SHORT 🩸
This allows the trader to see *how many* and *which* layers of the system support a bullish or bearish bias at any given time.
## Chapter 2 – Settings Overview
### 2.1 General & Dashboard Group
- Show Dashboard Panel (`show_dash`)
Turns the dashboard table in the corner of the chart ON/OFF.
- Show Signal Recommendation (`show_rec`)
- If enabled, the textual signal (STRONG LONG, WEAK SHORT, etc.) is displayed.
- If disabled, you only see feature status (ON/OFF) and the current price.
- Dashboard Position (`dash_pos`)
Determines where the dashboard appears on the chart:
- `Top Right`
- `Bottom Right`
- `Top Left`
### 2.2 Smart Money (SMC) Group
- Enable SMC Strategy (`show_smc`)
Globally enables or disables the Order Block and FVG logic.
- Order Block Pivot Lookback (`ob_period`)
Main parameter for detecting key pivot highs/lows (swing points).
- Default value: 5
- Concept:
A bar is considered a pivot low if its low is lower than the lows of the previous 5 and the next 5 bars.
Similarly, a pivot high has a high higher than the previous 5 and the next 5 bars.
These pivots are used as anchors for Order Blocks.
- Increasing `ob_period`:
- Fewer levels.
- But levels tend to be more significant and reliable.
- In highly volatile markets (major news, war events, FOMC, etc.),
using values 7–10 is recommended to filter out weak levels.
- Show Fair Value Gaps (`show_fvg`)
Enables/disables the drawing of FVG zones (imbalances).
- Bullish OB Color (`c_ob_bull`)
- Color of Bullish Order Blocks (Demand Zones).
- Default: semi-transparent green (transparency ≈ 80).
- Bearish OB Color (`c_ob_bear`)
- Color of Bearish Order Blocks (Supply Zones).
- Default: semi-transparent red.
- Bullish FVG Color (`c_fvg_bull`)
- Color of Bullish FVG (upward imbalance), typically yellow.
- Bearish FVG Color (`c_fvg_bear`)
- Color of Bearish FVG (downward imbalance), typically purple.
### 2.3 Smart DCA Strategy Group
- Enable DCA Zones (`show_dca`)
Enables the Smart DCA logic and visual labels.
- RSI Length (`rsi_len`)
Lookback period for RSI (default: 14).
- Shorter → more sensitive, more noise.
- Longer → fewer signals, higher reliability.
- Bollinger Bands Length (`bb_len`)
Moving average period for Bollinger Bands (default: 20).
- BB Multiplier (`bb_mult`)
Standard deviation multiplier for Bollinger Bands (default: 2.0).
- For extremely volatile markets, values like 2.5–3.0 can be used so that only extreme deviations trigger a DCA signal.
### 2.4 Volume Profile (Visible Range Sim) Group
- Show Volume Profile (`show_vp`)
Enables the simulated Volume Profile bars on the right side of the chart.
- Volume Lookback Bars (`vp_lookback`)
Number of bars used to compute the Volume Profile (default: 150).
- Higher values → broader historical context, heavier computation.
- Row Count (`vp_rows`)
Number of vertical price segments (rows) to divide the total price range into (default: 30).
- Width (%) (`vp_width`)
Relative width of each volume bar as a percentage.
In the code, bar widths are scaled relative to the row with the maximum volume.
> Technical note: Volume Profile calculations are executed only on the last bar (`barstate.islast`) to keep the script performant even on higher timeframes.
### 2.5 Wyckoff Helper Group
- Show Wyckoff Events (`show_wyc`)
Enables detection and plotting of Wyckoff Spring events.
- Volume MA Length (`vol_ma_len`)
Length of the moving average on volume.
A bar is considered to have Ultra Volume if its volume is more than 2× the volume MA.
## Chapter 3 – Smart Money Strategy (Order Blocks & FVG)
### 3.1 What Is an Order Block?
An Order Block (OB) represents the footprint of large institutional orders:
- Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone)
The last selling region (bearish candle/cluster) before a strong upward move.
- Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone)
The last buying region (bullish candle/cluster) before a strong downward move.
Institutions and large players place heavy orders in these regions. Typical price behavior:
- Price moves away from the zone.
- Later returns to the same zone to fill unfilled orders.
- Then continues the larger trend.
In the script:
- If `pl` (pivot low) forms → a Bullish OB is created.
- If `ph` (pivot high) forms → a Bearish OB is created.
The box is drawn:
- From `bar_index ` to `bar_index`.
- Between `low ` and `high `.
- `extend=extend.right` extends the OB into the future, so it acts as a dynamic support/resistance zone.
- Only the last 4 OB boxes are kept to avoid clutter.
### 3.2 Order Block Color Guide
- Semi-transparent Green (`c_ob_bull`)
- Represents a Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone).
- Interpretation: a price region with a high probability of bullish reaction.
- Semi-transparent Red (`c_ob_bear`)
- Represents a Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone).
- Interpretation: a price region with a high probability of bearish reaction.
Overlap (Multiple OBs in the Same Area)
When two or more Order Blocks overlap:
- The shared area appears visually denser/stronger.
- This suggests higher order density.
- Such zones can be treated as high-priority levels for entries, exits, and stop-loss placement.
### 3.3 Demand/Supply Logic in the Scoring Engine
is_in_demand = low <= ta.lowest(low, 20)
is_in_supply = high >= ta.highest(high, 20)
- If current price is near the lowest lows of the last 20 bars, it is considered in a Demand Zone → positive impact on score.
- If current price is near the highest highs of the last 20 bars, it is considered in a Supply Zone → negative impact on score.
This logic complements Order Blocks and helps the Dashboard distinguish whether:
- Market is currently in a statistically cheap (long-friendly) area, or
- In a statistically expensive (short-friendly) area.
### 3.4 Fair Value Gaps (FVG)
#### Concept
When the market moves aggressively:
- Some price levels are skipped and never traded.
- A gap between wicks/shadows of consecutive candles appears.
- These regions are called Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Imbalances.
The market generally “dislikes” imbalance and often:
- Returns to these zones in the future.
- Fills the gap (rebalance).
- Then resumes its dominant direction.
#### Implementation in the Code
Bullish FVG (Yellow)
fvg_bull_cond = show_smc and show_fvg and low > high and close > high
if fvg_bull_cond
box.new(bar_index , high , bar_index, low, ...)
Core condition:
`low > high ` → the current low is above the high of two bars ago; the space between them is an untraded gap.
Bearish FVG (Purple)
fvg_bear_cond = show_smc and show_fvg and high < low and close < low
if fvg_bear_cond
box.new(bar_index , low , bar_index, high, ...)
Core condition:
`high < low ` → the current high is below the low of two bars ago; again a price gap exists.
#### FVG Color Guide
- Transparent Yellow (`c_fvg_bull`) – Bullish FVG
Often acts like a magnet for price:
- Price tends to retrace into this zone,
- Fill the imbalance,
- And then continue higher.
- Transparent Purple (`c_fvg_bear`) – Bearish FVG
Price tends to:
- Retrace upward into the purple area,
- Fill the imbalance,
- And then resume downward movement.
#### Trading with FVGs
- FVGs are *not* standalone entry signals.
They are best used as:
- Targets (take-profit zones), or
- Reaction areas where you expect a pause or reversal.
Examples:
- If you are long, a bearish FVG above is often an excellent take-profit zone.
- If you are short, a bullish FVG below is often a good cover/exit zone.
### 3.5 Core SMC Trading Templates
#### Reversal Long
1. Price trades down into a green Order Block (Demand Zone).
2. A bullish confirmation candle (Close > Open) forms inside or just above the OB.
3. If this zone is close to or aligned with a bullish FVG (yellow), the signal is reinforced.
4. Entry:
- At the close of the confirmation candle, or
- Using a limit order near the upper boundary of the OB.
5. Stop-loss:
- Slightly below the OB.
- If the OB is broken decisively and price consolidates below it, the zone loses validity.
6. Targets:
- The next FVG,
- Or the next red Order Block (Supply Zone) above.
#### Reversal Short
The mirror scenario:
- Price rallies into a red Order Block (Supply).
- A bearish confirmation candle forms (Close < Open).
- FVG/premium structure above can act as a confluence.
- Stop-loss goes above the OB.
- Targets: lower FVGs or subsequent green OBs below.
## Chapter 4 – Smart DCA Strategy (RSI + Bollinger Bands)
### 4.1 Smart DCA Concept
- Classic DCA = buying at fixed time intervals regardless of price.
- Smart DCA = scaling in only when:
- Price is statistically cheaper than usual, and
- The market is in a clear oversold condition.
Code logic:
rsi_val = ta.rsi(close, rsi_len)
= ta.bb(close, bb_len, bb_mult)
dca_buy = show_dca and rsi_val < 30 and close < bb_lower
dca_sell = show_dca and rsi_val > 70 and close > bb_upper
Conditions:
- DCA Buy – Smart Scale-In Zone
- RSI < 30 → oversold.
- Close < lower Bollinger Band → price has broken below its typical volatility envelope.
- DCA Sell – Overbought/Distribution Zone
- RSI > 70 → overbought.
- Close > upper Bollinger Band → price is extended far above the mean.
### 4.2 Visual Representation on the Chart
- Green “DCA” Label Below Candle
- Shape: `labelup`.
- Color: lime background, white text.
- Meaning: statistically attractive level for laddered spot entries or short exits.
- Red “SELL” Label Above Candle
- Warning that the market is in an extended, overbought condition.
- Suitable for profit-taking on longs or considering short entries (with proper confluence and risk management).
- Light Green Background (`bgcolor`)
- When `dca_buy` is true, the candle background turns very light green (high transparency).
- This helps visually identify DCA Zones across the chart at a glance.
### 4.3 Practical Use in Trading
#### Spot Trading
Used to build a better average entry price:
- Every time a DCA label appears, allocate a fixed portion of capital (e.g., 2–5%).
- Combining DCA signals with:
- Green OBs (Demand Zones), and/or
- The Volume Profile POC
makes the zone structurally more important.
#### Futures Trading
- Longs
- Use DCA Buy signals as low-risk zones for opening or adding to longs when:
- Price is inside a green OB, or
- The Dashboard already leans LONG.
- Shorts
- Use DCA Sell signals as:
- Exit zones for longs, or
- Areas to initiate shorts with stops above structural highs.
## Chapter 5 – Volume Profile (Visible Range Simulation)
### 5.1 Concept
Traditional volume (histogram under the chart) shows volume over time.
Volume Profile shows volume by price level:
- At which prices has the highest trading activity occurred?
- Where did buyers and sellers agree the most (High Volume Nodes – HVNs)?
- Where did price move quickly due to low participation (Low Volume Nodes – LVNs)?
### 5.2 Implementation in the Script
Executed only when `show_vp` is enabled and on the last bar:
1. The last `vp_lookback` bars (default 150) are processed.
2. The minimum low and maximum high over this window define the price range.
3. This price range is divided into `vp_rows` segments (e.g., 30 rows).
4. For each row:
- All bars are scanned.
- If the mid-price `(high + low ) / 2` falls inside a row, that bar’s volume is added to the row total.
5. The row with the greatest volume is stored as `max_vol_idx` (the POC row).
6. For each row, a volume box is drawn on the right side of the chart.
### 5.3 Color Scheme
- Semi-transparent Orange
- The row with the maximum volume – the Point of Control (POC).
- Represents the strongest support/resistance level from a volume perspective.
- Semi-transparent Blue
- Other volume rows.
- The taller the bar → the higher the volume → the stronger the interest at that price band.
### 5.4 Trading Applications
- If price is above POC and retraces back into it:
→ POC often acts as support, suitable for long setups.
- If price is below POC and rallies into it:
→ POC often acts as resistance, suitable for short setups or profit-taking.
HVNs (Tall Blue Bars)
- Represent areas of equilibrium where the market has spent time and traded heavily.
- Price tends to consolidate here before choosing a direction.
LVNs (Short or Nearly Empty Bars)
- Represent low participation zones.
- Price often moves quickly through these areas – useful for targeting fast moves.
## Chapter 6 – Wyckoff Helper – Spring
### 6.1 Spring Concept
In the Wyckoff framework:
- A Spring is a false break of support.
- The market briefly trades below a well-defined support level, triggers stop losses,
then sharply reverses upward as institutional buyers absorb liquidity.
This movement:
- Clears out weak hands (retail sellers).
- Provides large players with liquidity to enter long positions.
- Often initiates a new uptrend.
### 6.2 Code Logic
Conditions for a Spring:
1. The current low is lower than the lowest low of the previous 50 bars
→ apparent break of a long-standing support.
2. The bar closes bullish (Close > Open)
→ the breakdown was rejected.
3. Volume is significantly elevated:
→ `volume > 2 × volume_MA` (Ultra Volume).
When all conditions are met and `show_wyc` is enabled:
- A pink diamond is plotted below the bar,
- With the label “Spring” – one of the strongest long signals in this system.
### 6.3 Trading Use
- After a valid Spring, markets frequently enter a meaningful bullish phase.
- The highest quality setups occur when:
- The Spring forms inside a green Order Block, and
- Near or on the Volume Profile POC.
Entries:
- At the close of the Spring bar, or
- On the first pullback into the mid-range of the Spring candle.
Stop-loss:
- Slightly below the Spring’s lowest point (wick low plus a small buffer).
## Chapter 7 – Confluence Engine & Dashboard
### 7.1 Scoring Logic
For each bar, the script:
1. Resets `score` to 0.
2. Adjusts the score based on different signals.
SMC Contribution
if show_smc
if is_in_demand
score += 1
if is_in_supply
score -= 1
- Being in Demand → `+1`
- Being in Supply → `-1`
DCA Contribution
if show_dca
if dca_buy
score += 2
if dca_sell
score -= 2
- DCA Buy → `+2` (strong, statistically driven long signal)
- DCA Sell → `-2`
Wyckoff Spring Contribution
if show_wyc
if wyc_spring
score += 2
- Spring → `+2` (entry of strong money)
### 7.2 Mapping Score to Dashboard Signal
- score ≥ 2 → STRONG LONG 🚀
Multiple bullish conditions aligned.
- score = 1 → WEAK LONG ↗
Some bullish bias, but only one layer clearly positive.
- score = 0 → NEUTRAL / WAIT
Rough balance between buying and selling forces; staying flat is usually preferable.
- score = -1 → WEAK SHORT ↘
Mild bearish bias, suited for cautious or short-term plays.
- score ≤ -2 → STRONG SHORT 🩸
Convergence of several bearish signals.
### 7.3 Dashboard Structure
The dashboard is a two-column table:
- Row 0
- Column 0: `"Mars Signals"` – black background, white text.
- Column 1: `"UIS v3.0"` – black background, yellow text.
- Row 1
- Column 0: `"Price:"` (light grey background).
- Column 1: current closing price (`close`) with a semi-transparent blue background.
- Row 2
- Column 0: `"SMC:"`
- Column 1:
- `"ON"` (green) if `show_smc = true`
- `"OFF"` (grey) otherwise.
- Row 3
- Column 0: `"DCA:"`
- Column 1:
- `"ON"` (green) if `show_dca = true`
- `"OFF"` (grey) otherwise.
- Row 4
- Column 0: `"Signal:"`
- Column 1: signal text (`status_txt`) with background color `status_col`
(green, red, teal, maroon, etc.)
- If `show_rec = false`, these cells are cleared.
## Chapter 8 – Visual Legend (Colors, Shapes & Actions)
For quick reading inside TradingView, the visual elements are described line by line instead of a table.
Chart Element: Green Box
Color / Shape: Transparent green rectangle
Core Meaning: Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone)
Suggested Trader Response: Look for longs, Smart DCA adds, closing or reducing shorts.
Chart Element: Red Box
Color / Shape: Transparent red rectangle
Core Meaning: Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone)
Suggested Trader Response: Look for shorts, or take profit on existing longs.
Chart Element: Yellow Area
Color / Shape: Transparent yellow zone
Core Meaning: Bullish FVG / upside imbalance
Suggested Trader Response: Short take-profit zone or expected rebalance area.
Chart Element: Purple Area
Color / Shape: Transparent purple zone
Core Meaning: Bearish FVG / downside imbalance
Suggested Trader Response: Long take-profit zone or temporary supply region.
Chart Element: Green "DCA" Label
Color / Shape: Green label with white text, plotted below the candle
Core Meaning: Smart ladder-in buy zone, DCA buy opportunity
Suggested Trader Response: Spot DCA entry, partial short exit.
Chart Element: Red "SELL" Label
Color / Shape: Red label with white text, plotted above the candle
Core Meaning: Overbought / distribution zone
Suggested Trader Response: Take profit on longs, consider initiating shorts.
Chart Element: Light Green Background (bgcolor)
Color / Shape: Very transparent light-green background behind bars
Core Meaning: Active DCA Buy zone
Suggested Trader Response: Treat as a discount zone on the chart.
Chart Element: Orange Bar on Right
Color / Shape: Transparent orange horizontal bar in the volume profile
Core Meaning: POC – price with highest traded volume
Suggested Trader Response: Strong support or resistance; key reference level.
Chart Element: Blue Bars on Right
Color / Shape: Transparent blue horizontal bars in the volume profile
Core Meaning: Other volume levels, showing high-volume and low-volume nodes
Suggested Trader Response: Use to identify balance zones (HVN) and fast-move corridors (LVN).
Chart Element: Pink "Spring" Diamond
Color / Shape: Pink diamond with white text below the candle
Core Meaning: Wyckoff Spring – liquidity grab and potential major bullish reversal
Suggested Trader Response: One of the strongest long signals in the suite; look for high-quality long setups with tight risk.
Chart Element: STRONG LONG in Dashboard
Color / Shape: Green background, white text in the Signal row
Core Meaning: Multiple bullish layers in confluence
Suggested Trader Response: Consider initiating or increasing longs with strict risk management.
Chart Element: STRONG SHORT in Dashboard
Color / Shape: Red background, white text in the Signal row
Core Meaning: Multiple bearish layers in confluence
Suggested Trader Response: Consider initiating or increasing shorts with a logical, well-placed stop.
## Chapter 9 – Timeframe-Based Trading Playbook
### 9.1 Timeframe Selection
- Scalping
- Timeframes: 1M, 5M, 15M
- Objective: fast intraday moves (minutes to a few hours).
- Recommendation: focus on SMC + Wyckoff.
Smart DCA on very low timeframes may introduce excessive noise.
- Day Trading
- Timeframes: 15M, 1H, 4H
- Provides a good balance between signal quality and frequency.
- Recommendation: use the full stack – SMC + DCA + Volume Profile + Wyckoff + Dashboard.
- Swing Trading & Position Investing
- Timeframes: Daily, Weekly
- Emphasis on Smart DCA + Volume Profile.
- SMC and Wyckoff are used mainly to fine-tune swing entries within larger trends.
### 9.2 Scenario A – Scalping Long
Example: 5-Minute Chart
1. Price is declining into a green OB (Bullish Demand).
2. A candle with a long lower wick and bullish close (Pin Bar / Rejection) forms inside the OB.
3. A Spring diamond appears below the same candle → very strong confluence.
4. The Dashboard shows at least WEAK LONG ↗, ideally STRONG LONG 🚀.
5. Entry:
- On the close of the confirmation candle, or
- On the first pullback into the mid-range of that candle.
6. Stop-loss:
- Slightly below the OB.
7. Targets:
- Nearby bearish FVG above, and/or
- The next red OB.
### 9.3 Scenario B – Day-Trading Short
Recommended Timeframes: 1H or 4H
1. The market completes a strong impulsive move upward.
2. Price enters a red Order Block (Supply).
3. In the same zone, a purple FVG appears or remains unfilled.
4. On a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M), RSI enters overbought territory and a DCA Sell signal appears.
5. The main timeframe Dashboard (1H) shows WEAK SHORT ↘ or STRONG SHORT 🩸.
Trade Plan
- Open a short near the upper boundary of the red OB.
- Place the stop above the OB or above the last swing high.
- Targets:
- A yellow FVG lower on the chart, and/or
- The next green OB (Demand) below.
### 9.4 Scenario C – Swing / Investment with Smart DCA
Timeframes: Daily / Weekly
1. On the daily or weekly chart, each time a green “DCA” label appears:
- Allocate a fixed fraction of your capital (e.g., 3–5%) to that asset.
2. Check whether this DCA zone aligns with the orange POC of the Volume Profile:
- If yes → the quality of the entry zone is significantly higher.
3. If the DCA signal sits inside a daily green OB, the probability of a medium-term bottom increases.
4. Always build the position laddered, never all-in at a single price.
Exits for investors:
- Near weekly red OBs or large purple FVG zones.
- Ideally via partial profit-taking rather than closing 100% at once.
### 9.5 Case Study 1 – BTCUSDT (15-Minute)
- Context: Price has sold off down towards 65,000 USD.
- A green OB had previously formed at that level.
- Near the lower boundary of this OB, a partially filled yellow FVG is present.
- As price returns to this region, a Spring appears.
- The Dashboard shifts from NEUTRAL / WAIT to WEAK LONG ↗.
Plan
- Enter a long near the OB low.
- Place stop below the Spring low.
- First target: a purple FVG around 66,200.
- Second (optional) target: the first red OB above that level.
### 9.6 Case Study 2 – Meme Coin (PEPE – 4H)
- After a strong pump, price enters a corrective phase.
- On the 4H chart, RSI drops below 30; price breaks below the lower Bollinger Band → a DCA label prints.
- The Volume Profile shows the POC at approximately the same level.
- The Dashboard displays STRONG LONG 🚀.
Plan
- Execute laddered buys in the combined DCA + POC zone.
- Place a protective stop below the last significant swing low.
- Target: an expected 20–30% upside move towards the next red OB or purple FVG.
## Chapter 10 – Risk Management, Psychology & Advanced Tuning
### 10.1 Risk Management
No signal, regardless of its strength, replaces risk control.
Recommendations:
- In futures, do not expose more than 1–3% of account equity to risk per trade.
- Adjust leverage to the volatility of the instrument (lower leverage for highly volatile altcoins).
- Place stop-losses in zones where the idea is clearly invalidated:
- Below/above the relevant Order Block or Spring, not randomly in the middle of the structure.
### 10.2 Market-Specific Parameter Tuning
- Calmer Markets (e.g., major FX pairs)
- `ob_period`: 3–5.
- `bb_mult`: 2.0 is usually sufficient.
- Highly Volatile Markets (Crypto, news-driven assets)
- `ob_period`: 7–10 to highlight only the most robust OBs.
- `bb_mult`: 2.5–3.0 so that only extreme deviations trigger DCA.
- `vol_ma_len`: increase (e.g., to ~30) so that Spring triggers only on truly exceptional
volume spikes.
### 10.3 Trading Psychology
- STRONG LONG 🚀 does not mean “risk-free”.
It means the probability of a successful long, given the model’s logic, is higher than average.
- Treat Mars Signals as a confirmation and context system, not a full replacement for your own decision-making.
- Example of disciplined thinking:
- The Dashboard prints STRONG LONG,
- But price is simultaneously testing a multi-month macro resistance or a major negative news event is imminent,
- In such cases, trade smaller, widen stops appropriately, or skip the trade.
## Chapter 11 – Technical Notes & FAQ
### 11.1 Does the Script Repaint?
- Order Blocks and Springs are based on completed pivot structures and confirmed candles.
- Until a pivot is confirmed, an OB does not exist; after confirmation, behavior is stable under classic SMC assumptions.
- The script is designed to be structurally consistent rather than repainting signals arbitrarily.
### 11.2 Computational Load of Volume Profile
- On the last bar, the script processes up to `vp_lookback` bars × `vp_rows` rows.
- On very low timeframes with heavy zooming, this can become demanding.
- If you experience performance issues:
- Reduce `vp_lookback` or `vp_rows`, or
- Temporarily disable Volume Profile (`show_vp = false`).
### 11.3 Multi-Timeframe Behavior
- This version of the script is not internally multi-timeframe.
All logic (OB, DCA, Spring, Volume Profile) is computed on the active timeframe only.
- Practical workflow:
- Analyze overall structure and key zones on higher timeframes (4H / Daily).
- Use lower timeframes (15M / 1H) with the same tool for timing entries and exits.
## Conclusion
Mars Signals – Ultimate Institutional Suite v3.0 (Joker) is a multi-layer trading framework that unifies:
- Price structure (Order Blocks & FVG),
- Statistical behavior (Smart DCA via RSI + Bollinger),
- Volume distribution by price (Volume Profile with POC, HVN, LVN),
- Liquidity events (Wyckoff Spring),
into a single, coherent system driven by a transparent Confluence Scoring Engine.
The final output is presented in clear, actionable language:
> STRONG LONG / WEAK LONG / NEUTRAL / WEAK SHORT / STRONG SHORT
The system is designed to support professional decision-making, not to replace it.
Used together with strict risk management and disciplined execution,
Mars Signals – UIS v3.0 (Joker) can serve as a central reference manual and operational guide
for your trading workflow, from scalping to swing and investment positioning.
DZ/SZ - HFM by MamaRight-Empty Wick Zones (MTF) draws Supply/Demand zones from the remaining wick of adjacent opposite-color candles (Classic & Non-classic rules). Zones extend right only through empty space and stop at the first touching candle. Multi-TF scan (H1/H4/1D/1W/1M) with TF-colored boxes and labels showing Demand/Supply + H/L.
Demand (red → green, adjacent):
Classic: if the red candle’s lower wick is longer than the green’s → zone = (the “excess” red wick).
Non-classic: if the red’s lower wick is shorter or equal → zone = (use the longer green wick).
Supply (green → red, adjacent):
Classic: if the green candle’s upper wick is longer than the red’s → zone = (the “excess” green wick).
Non-classic: if the green’s upper wick is shorter or equal → zone = (use the longer red wick).
After a zone is created, the box extends right and terminates at the very first bar whose price range (body or wick) overlaps the zone → ensures the plotted area is genuinely right-empty.
What you see
Zone boxes with distinct colors per timeframe (e.g., H1/H4/1D/1W/1M).
Optional labels on each box: H4 Demand / H1 Supply, plus H/L prices of the zone.
Labels can sit at the left edge or follow the right edge of the box.
Inputs
Toggles: Demand Classic / Demand Non-classic / Supply Classic / Supply Non-classic.
Timeframes to scan: H1, H4, 1D, 1W, 1M.
Min zone thickness (price): minimum height of a zone (in price units).
Initial right extension (bars): initial box length; the script auto-cuts at the first touch.
Show labels / place labels at the right edge.
How to use (suggestion)
Use higher TF (e.g., 1D) for bias and lower TFs (H1/H4) for execution zones.
Keep only the rule set (Classic/Non-classic) that matches your playbook.
Treat zones as areas of interest—wait for your own confirmations (e.g., swing rejection, wick re-entry, structure shift, volume cues) and manage risk accordingly.
Notes
Because zones are sourced from higher TFs via request.security, the drawing can update intrabar; a zone is final once the source TF bar closes.
Min zone thickness uses price units (e.g., on XAUUSD, 1.00 ≈ $1).
This tool is an analytical aid, not financial advice or an entry/exit signal.
อินดิเคเตอร์ DZ/SZ - HFM by Mama ใช้หา Demand/Supply zone จาก “ไส้ที่เหลือ” ของ คู่แท่งสีตรงข้ามที่ติดกัน แล้ววาดเป็นกล่อง ยืดไปทางขวาเฉพาะช่วงที่ว่าง และ หยุดตรงแท่งแรกที่เข้ามาแตะโซน รองรับหลาย Timeframe (H1/H4/1D/1W/1M) พร้อมสีแยก TF และป้ายกำกับ Demand/Supply + H/L ของโซน
รายละเอียดการทำงาน (ไทย)
แนวคิดหลัก
Demand: เลือกคู่ แดง→เขียว ที่ “ติดกัน”
Classic: ถ้า ไส้ล่าง ของแท่งแดงยาวกว่าแท่งเขียว → โซน =
Non-classic: ถ้า ไส้ล่าง ของแท่งแดงสั้นกว่าหรือเท่าเขียว → โซน =
Supply: เลือกคู่ เขียว→แดง ที่ “ติดกัน”
Classic: ถ้า ไส้บน ของแท่งเขียวยาวกว่าแท่งแดง → โซน =
Non-classic: ถ้า ไส้บน ของแท่งเขียวสั้นกว่าหรือเท่าแดง → โซน =
เมื่อสร้างโซนแล้ว กล่องจะ ยืดทางขวา ไปเรื่อย ๆ และ หยุดทันทีเมื่อมีแท่งแรกที่ช่วงราคา (ไส้หรือตัวแท่ง) ทับซ้อนกับโซน ⇒ ได้ “พื้นที่ขวาว่าง” ตามโจทย์
สิ่งที่แสดงบนกราฟ
กล่องโซนสีตาม Timeframe (เช่น H1=ฟ้า, H4=เขียว, 1D=ส้ม, 1W=ม่วง, 1M=เทา)
Label ที่มุมกล่อง: H4 Demand / H1 Supply + ราคาของ High/Low ของโซน
(เลือกวาง ซ้าย หรือ ขอบขวา ของกล่องได้ในตั้งค่า)
ตัวเลือกสำคัญใน Settings
เปิด/ปิด: Demand Classic / Demand Non-classic / Supply Classic / Supply Non-classic
เลือก TF ที่จะสแกน: H1, H4, 1D, 1W, 1M
Min zone thickness (price): กำหนด “ความหนา” ขั้นต่ำของโซน (หน่วยเป็นราคา เช่น XAUUSD = ดอลลาร์)
Initial right extension (bars): ความยาวยืดเริ่มต้น (อินดี้จะตัดให้สั้นลงเองเมื่อมีแท่งมาแตะ)
แสดง Label บนโซน และ วาง Label ที่ขอบขวากล่อง
วิธีใช้แนะนำ
เลือก TF ที่ต้องการ (เช่น ให้ H1/H4 เป็นโซนเทรดละเอียด และ 1D ใช้กรองทิศ)
เปิดเฉพาะโหมด (Classic/Non-classic) ที่ตรงกับแนวคิดการเทรดของคุณ
ใช้โซนเป็นบริเวณ “สนใจ” แล้วรอพฤติกรรมราคา/สัญญาณยืนยันเสริม (เช่น สวิงกลับ, rejection wick, โวลลุ่ม, หรือโครงสร้างจบคลื่น)
หมายเหตุสำคัญ
อินดี้ใช้ข้อมูลข้าม TF; สัญญาณจาก TF สูง อาจเปลี่ยนระหว่างแท่งยังไม่ปิด (ลักษณะ intrabar update) โซนจะ “นิ่ง” เมื่อแท่งของ TF ต้นทาง ปิดแล้ว
หน่วยของ Min zone thickness เป็น หน่วยราคา ไม่ใช่ pips (XAUUSD: 1.00 = $1)
อินดี้ไม่ได้ให้สัญญาณเข้า–ออกอัตโนมัติ ควรใช้ร่วมกับแผนเทรดและการจัดการความเสี่ยง
PRO SMC DASHBOARDPRO SMC DASHBOARD - PRO LEVEL
Advanced Supply & Demand / SMC dashboard for scalping and intraday:
Multi-Timeframe Trend: Visualizes trend direction for M1, M5, M15, H1, H4.
HTF Supply/Demand: Shows closest high time frame (HTF) supply/demand zone and distance (in pips).
Smart “Flip” & Liquidity Signals: Flip and Liquidity Sweep arrows/signals are shown only when truly significant:
Near HTF Supply/Demand zone
And confirmed by volume spike or high confluence score
Momentum & Bias: Real-time momentum (RSI M1), H1 bias and fakeout detection.
Confluence Score: Objective score (out of 7) for trade confidence.
Volume Spike, Divergence, BOS: Includes volume spikes, RSI divergence (M1), and Break of Structure (BOS) for both M15 & H1.
Ultra-clean chart: Only valid signals/alerts shown; no spam or visual clutter.
Full dashboard with all signals and context, always visible bottom-right.
Best used for:
Forex, Gold/Silver, US indices, and crypto
Scalping/intraday with fast, clear decisions based on multi-factor SMC logic
Usage:
Add to your chart, monitor the dashboard for valid setups, and trade only when multiple factors align for high-probability entries.
How to Use the PRO SMC DASHBOARD
1. Add the Script to Your Chart:
Apply the indicator to your favorite Forex, Gold, crypto, or indices chart (best on M1, M5, or M15 for entries).
2. Read the Dashboard (Bottom Right):
The dashboard shows real-time information from multiple timeframes and key SMC filters, including:
Trend (M1, M5, M15, H1, H4):
Arrows show up (↑) or down (↓) trend for each timeframe, based on EMA.
Momentum (RSI M1):
Shows “Strong Up,” “Strong Down,” or “Neutral” plus the current RSI value.
RSI (H1):
Higher timeframe momentum confirmation.
ATR State:
Indicates current volatility (High, Normal, Low).
Session:
Detects if the market is in London, NY, or Asia session (based on UTC).
HTF S/D Zone:
Shows the nearest high timeframe Supply or Demand zone, its timeframe (M15, H1, H4), and exact pip distance.
Fakeout (last 3):
Detects recent false breakouts—if there are multiple fakeouts, potential for reversal is higher.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Indicates direction and distance to the nearest FVG (Above/Below).
Bias:
“Strong Buy,” “Strong Sell,” or “Neutral”—multi-timeframe, momentum, and volatility filtered.
Inducement:
Alerts for possible “stop hunt” or liquidity grab before reversal.
BOS (Break of Structure):
Recent or live breaks of market structure (for both M15 & H1).
Liquidity Sweep:
Shows if price just swept a key high/low and then reversed (often key reversal point).
Confluence Score (0-7):
Higher score means more factors align—look for 5+ for strong setups.
Volume Spike:
“YES” appears if the current volume is significantly above average—big players are active!
RSI Divergence:
Bullish or bearish divergence on M1—signals early reversal risk.
Momentum Flip:
“UP” or “DN” appears if RSI M1 crosses the 50 line, confirmed by location and other filters.
Chart Signals (Arrows & Markers):
Flip arrows (up/down) and Liquidity markers only appear when price is at/near a key Supply/Demand zone and confirmed by either a volume spike or strong confluence.
No signal spam:
If you see an arrow or LIQ tag, it’s a truly significant moment!
Suggested Trading Workflow:
Scan the Dashboard:
Is the multi-timeframe trend aligned?
Are you near a major Supply or Demand zone?
Is the Confluence Score high (5 or more)?
Check for Signals:
Is there a Flip or LIQ marker near a Supply/Demand zone?
Is volume spiking or a fakeout just occurred?
Look for Reversal or Continuation:
If there’s a Flip at Demand (with high confluence), consider a long setup.
If there’s a LIQ sweep + flip + volume at Supply, consider a short.
Manage Risk:
Don’t chase every signal.
Confirm with your entry criteria and preferred session timing.
Pro Tips:
Highest confidence trades:
When dashboard signals and chart arrows/markers agree, especially with high confluence and volume spike.
Adapt pip distance filter:
Dashboard is tuned for FX and gold; for other assets, adjust pip-size filter if needed.
Use alerts (if enabled):
Set up custom TradingView alerts for “Flip” or “Liquidity” signals for auto-notifications.
Designed to help you make professional, objective decisions—without chart clutter or second-guessing!
