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Doji strategyThis is a simple strategy based on Doji star candlestick. It places two orders: buy stop at doji star high or previous candle high and sell stop at doji star low or previous candle low. Exit rules are with take profit and fixed stop loss or take profit and stop loss at doji min or max. This strategy works very well with high time frames like Daily and Weekly because those are without noise in doji formation. Each currency pair has its own optimal setting for TP and SL: it's up to user find the best ones. I could implement SL based on ATR, maybe in next revision. Please use comment section for any feedback. Next improvement (only to whom is interested to this script and follows me): study with alerts on multiple tickers all at one. Leave a comment if you want to have access to study.
Pine Script® strategy
by 03.freeman
8
RSI Multi Time Frame - Spot Panic Sell Moments and profit!Union of three RSI indicators: 1h, 4h and daily. In order to show 1h RSI, you have to set it as active time frame on the chart. Purpose: spot "triple oversold" moments, where all the three RSI are under the threshold, which is 30 by default but editable. Target Market: Cryptocurrencies. Didn't try it on other ones, may work as well. Fits Crypto well as, by experience, I can tell it usually doesn't stay oversold for long. When the market panics and triple oversold occurs, the spot is highlighted by a green vertical bar on the indicator. The indicator highlights triple overbought conditions as well (usually indicating strong FOMO), but I usually don't use it as a signal. I suggest to edit the oversold threshold in order to make it fit the coin you're studying, minimizing false positives. Special thanks to Heavy91, a Discord user, for inspiring me in this indicator. Any editing proposal is welcome! I reposted this script, as the first time I wrote it in Italian. Sorry for that.
Pine Script® indicator
by lukescream
4
Madrid Profit AreaThis study displays a ribbon made of two moving averages identified by a filled Area. This provides visual aids to determine the trend direction and pivot points. The moving average will be Red if its value is decreasing, and green if it is increasing. When both MA's are the same color we have a trend direction. If those are different then we have a trend reversal and a pivot point. If combined with another ribbon then it can be configured so we have a pair of slow MA's and another pair of fast MA's , this can visually determine if the price is in bull or bear territory following the basic rules: 1. Fast MA pair above the slow MA Pair = Bullish 2. Fast MA pair below the slow MA Pair = Bearish 3. If the fast MA crosses over the slow MA it is a Bullish reversal 4. If the fast MA crosses below the the slow MA, it is a Bearish reversal. The use of the ribbons without the price bars or line reduces the noise inherent to the price
Pine Script® indicator
by Madrid
4
Opening Range Breakout with 2 Profit Targets.Opening Range Breakout with 2 Profit Targets. Updated Indicator now works on all Symbols with Many Different Session Options. ***Known PineScript Issue…While the Opening Range is being Formed the lines only adjust for that individual bar. Just reset Indicator after Opening Range Completes. ***All Times are Based on New York Time Session Options Forex U.S. Banks Open (8:00), Gold U.S. Open (8:20), Oil U.S. Open (9:00), U.S. Cash Session - Stocks (9:30), NY Forex Open (17:00) , Europe Open (02:00), or if you choose Setting 0 the Session Runs from 00:00 to 00:00 (Midnight to Midnight). ***Ability to use 60 minute Opening Range, 30 minute, 15 minute, and many other options. ***However you can manually change the times in the Inputs Tab to adjust for any session you prefer. This is useful for Day Light Savings Adjustments. Also the default times work if your charts are set to EST Time. If you use A different time zone in your settings you need to Adjust the times in the inputs tab. Initially Opening Range High and Low plot as Yellow Lines. If Price Goes Above Opening Range then Line Turns Green. If Price Goes Below Opening Range Line Turns Red. By default the First Profit Target is 1/2 the Width of the Opening Range and the 2nd Profit Target is 1 Times the Opening Range. However these are Adjustable in the Inputs Tab. By Default the Opening Range Length is 1 Hour. However, you can Change the Opening Range Length to 15 min, 30 min, 2 hours etc. in the Inputs Tab. Plots a 1 Above or Below Candle when 1st Profit Target is Achieved, and a 2 when 2nd Profit Target is Achieved.
Pine Script® indicator
by ChrisMoody
92
ES/NQ Price Action Sync See when ES & NQ move in syncSee when ES & NQ move in sync — revealing real market momentum at a glance.” ⚖️ ES/NQ Price Action Sync Discover when the market moves as one. This indicator tracks when S&P 500 Futures (ES1!) and Nasdaq Futures (NQ1!) align in momentum — helping you spot broad-market confirmation or early divergence in real time. 🧠 Concept The ES/NQ relationship often reveals the market’s underlying strength or hesitation. When both indices turn bullish or bearish together with meaningful movement, that’s a sign of true market alignment. When they disagree — expect mixed momentum and possible reversals. ⚙️ Features ✅ Highlights new bullish and bearish syncs on chart ✅ Dynamic info table showing % change and direction for each index ✅ Optional triangle markers for clean visual cues ✅ Alert conditions for new sync events ✅ Adjustable lookback and minimum-move filters 💡 How to Use Use this as a market-context tool, not a direct buy/sell signal. When both indices sync, intraday trends often hold better; when they diverge, momentum may fade. Combine it with your own system or higher-time-frame analysis for confirmation. 📊 Why Traders Love It Simple idea — powerful insight. This tool helps traders instantly see when “the market machine” is running in harmony… or pulling in opposite directions. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This script is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not provide financial advice or trading signals. Always perform your own research before making trading decisions.
Pine Script® indicator
by profitgang
DIP BUYING by HAZEREAL BUY THE DIP - Educational Price Movement Indicator This technical indicator is designed for educational purposes to help traders identify potential price reversal opportunities in equity markets, particularly focusing on NASDAQ-100 index tracking instruments and technology sector ETFs. Key Features: Monitors price movements relative to recent highs over customizable lookback periods Identifies two distinct price decline thresholds: standard (5%+) and extreme (12.3%+) Visual signals with triangular markers and background color zones Real-time data table showing current metrics and status Customizable alert system with webhook-ready JSON formatting Clean overlay design that doesn't obstruct price action How It Works: The indicator tracks the highest price within a specified lookback period and calculates the percentage decline from that high. When price drops below the minimum threshold, it generates visual buy signals. The extreme threshold triggers enhanced alerts for more significant market movements. Best Use Cases: Educational analysis of market volatility patterns Identifying potential support levels during market corrections Studying historical price behavior around significant declines Risk management and position sizing education Important Note: This is a technical analysis tool for educational purposes only. All trading decisions should be based on comprehensive analysis and appropriate risk management. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Pine Script® indicator
by profitgang
[ProfitTrailer:Feeder] Market Trends Top X / BTCThis script will help you determine your MarketConditions Grouping for PtFeeder. You're able to input the specific top 10/20/xx pairs you want to use to fine-tune your groupings as well as specific BasePairs, there values will be automatically printed on the chart! When measuring top coins trend, this is how many top coins to check by volume from the exchanges that you have configured PT Feeder for. For, the top 50 coins will be checked and their price change over the MeasureTimes property and the average change calculated. This average is used for the MaxTopCoinAverageChange property If you like this kind of content, please 'like' and 'follow' and I'll continue publishing these kind of scripts! Enjoy!
Pine Script® indicator
by MEX-traders
Profitable L 1800 Candle Highlight [Beta] Certainly! Here's a user guide for the provided Pine Script code: User Guide: 1800 Candle Highlight Indicator Overview: The "1800 Candle Highlight" indicator is designed to visually emphasize the 18:00 (6:00 PM) candle on the chart, providing clarity on its open and close prices, and highlighting its timeframe with a distinctive color. Key Features: Candle Highlighting: The indicator identifies the candle that opens at 18:00 and visually distinguishes it from other candles on the chart. Open and Close Prices: The indicator plots the open and close prices of the 18:00 candle as step lines, making it easy to identify price movements during that timeframe. Background Color: It colors the background within the 18:00 candle's timeframe with a transparent blue shade, providing further emphasis on that period. Start Marker: A downward triangle shape marks the start of the 18:00 candle, aiding in identifying the beginning of the highlighted timeframe. Usage: Overlay: The indicator is designed to be overlaid on the price chart, allowing users to visualize the highlighted candle alongside price movements. Interpretation: Traders can observe the open and close prices of the 18:00 candle relative to previous and subsequent candles, aiding in analysis and decision-making. Timeframe Focus: The highlighted candle's timeframe can serve as a reference point for analyzing price action during specific hours, such as the end of a trading day. Installation: Access: Users can access the Pine Script editor within the TradingView platform to create a new indicator. Copy and Paste: Copy the provided Pine Script code and paste it into the editor. Save and Apply: Save the indicator and apply it to the desired chart, adjusting settings as needed. Customization: Color Scheme: Users can customize the colors used for highlighting, open/close prices, and background to suit their preferences and chart aesthetics. Styling: Adjustments can be made to line styles, widths, and marker sizes to enhance visibility and clarity. Compatibility: The indicator is compatible with TradingView's Pine Script version 5 and can be applied to various financial instruments and timeframes supported by the platform. Disclaimer: The "1800 Candle Highlight" indicator is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Users are encouraged to conduct thorough analysis and consider multiple factors before making trading decisions.
Pine Script® indicator
by Samson_Zimuto_Jnr
2
Profitable Supertrend v0.1 - AlphaThis a script to try detect the best combination of supertrend parameters in a space of time. Sadly the script is slow. Evaluate all possibilities params is hard for a pinescript and my knowledge too. In some cases, when you want evaluate many time could be the script fails for timeout. Perhaps with time I could enhance. For this problem of speed the calculate of combinatios it's not complete: In factor use a increment of 0.2 in each param (0.1, 0.3, 0.5 ...) in period the increment for each value is 3. The range for factor it's from 3.0 to 12.0. The range of period it's from 10 to 43 My knowledge don't let me go more far. Perhaps with time I can enhance the script.
Pine Script® indicator
by gnalis
6
PMax on RSI with Tillson T3Profit Maximizer Indicator on RSI with Tillson T3 Moving Average: PMax uses ATR calculation inside, for this reason users couldn't manage to use PMax on RSI because RSI indicator doesn't have High and Low values in bars, but ATR needs that values. So I personally calculate RSI in a different way to have High and Low values of RSI wrt price bars. IMPORTANT: Because of the sudden movements and divergences on RSI, this indicator must firstly optimized for the charts before using. Optimization can be held by users for the meaningful parameters for each chart. 3 parameters are critical when optimizing: First: Multiplier Second: Tillson T3 Length Third: T3 Volume Factor Here are some information about Profit Maximizer: PMax Indicator: PMax Screener and Strategy:
Pine Script® indicator
by KivancOzbilgic
57
PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENERProfit Maximizer - PMax Explorer STRATEGY & SCREENER screens the BUY and SELL signals (trend reversals) for 20 user defined different tickers in Tradingview charts. Simply input the name of the ticker in Tradingview that you want to screen. Terminology explanation: Confirmed Reversal: PMax reversal that happened in the last bar and cannot be repainted. Potential Reversal: PMax reversal that might happen in the current bar but can also not happen depending upon the timeframe closing price. Downtrend: Tickers that are currently in the sell zone Uptrend: Tickers that are currently in the buy zone Screener has also got a built in PMax indicator which users can confirm the reversals on graphs. Screener explores the 20 tickers in current graph's time frame and also in desired parameters of the SuperTrend indicator. Also you can optimize the parameters manually with the built in STRATEGY version. PMax indicator : Profit Maximizer - PMax is a brand new indicator developed by me. It's a combination of two trailing stop loss indicators; One is Anıl Özekşi's MOST (Moving Stop Loss) Indicator and the other one is well known ATR based SuperTrend Profit Maximizer - PMax tries to solve this problem. PMax combines the powerful sides of MOST (Moving Average Trend Changer) and SuperTrend (ATR price detection) in one indicator. Backtest and optimization results of PMax are far better when compared to its ancestors MOST and SuperTrend. It reduces the number of false signals in sideways and give more reliable trade signals. PMax is easy to determine the trend and can be used in any type of markets and instruments. It does not repaint. The first parameter in the PMax indicator set by the three parameters is the period/length of ATR. The second Parameter is the Multiplier of ATR which would be useful to set the value of distance from the built in Moving Average. I personally think the most important parameter is the Moving Average Length and type. PMax will be much sensitive to trend movements if Moving Average Length is smaller. And vice versa, will be less sensitive when it is longer. As the period increases it will become less sensitive to little trends and price actions. In this way, your choice of period, will be closely related to which of the sort of trends you are interested in. We are under the effect of the uptrend in cases where the Moving Average is above PMax; conversely under the influence of a downward trend, when the Moving Average is below PMax. Built in Moving Average type defaultly set as EMA but users can choose from 8 different Moving Average types like: SMA : Simple Moving Average EMA : Exponential Movin Average WMA : Weighted Moving Average TMA : Triangular Moving Average VAR : Variable Index Dynamic Moving Average aka VIDYA WWMA : Welles Wilder's Moving Average ZLEMA : Zero Lag Exponential Moving Average TSF : True Strength Force Tip: In sideways VAR would be a good choice You can use PMax default alarms and Buy Sell signals like: 1- BUY when Moving Average crosses above PMax SELL when Moving Average crosses under PMax 2- BUY when prices jumps over PMax line. SELL when prices go under PMax line.
Pine Script® strategy
by KivancOzbilgic
119
McGinley Dynamic debugged🔍 McGinley Dynamic Debugged (Adaptive Moving Average) This indicator plots the McGinley Dynamic, a mathematically adaptive moving average designed to reduce lag and better track price action during both trends and consolidations. ✅ Key Features: Adaptive smoothing: The McGinley Dynamic adjusts itself based on the speed of price changes. Lag reduction: Compared to traditional moving averages like EMA or SMA, McGinley provides smoother yet responsive tracking. Stability fix: This version includes a robust fix for rare recursive calculation issues, particularly on low-priced historical assets (e.g., Wipro pre-2000). ⚙️ What’s Different in This Debugged Version? Implements manual clamping on the source / previous value ratio to prevent mathematical spikes that could cause flattening or distortion in the plotted line. Ensures more stable behavior across all instruments and timeframes, especially those with historically low price points or volatile early data. 💡 Use Case: Ideal for: Trend confirmation Entry filtering Adaptive support/resistance visualization Improving signal precision in low-volatility or high-noise environments ⚠️ Notes: Works best when combined with volume filters or other trend indicators for validation. This version is optimized for visual use—for signal generation, consider pairing it with additional logic or thresholds.
Pine Script® indicator
by PROFIT-FARMING
PROFIT INDICATORFirst let me tell you which indicators have been used in this script so that you have the confidence while taking the trade: (a) Bollinger Band with 20 SMA Inside it - Currently it is off, you can turn it on from settings. (b) HMA 33, I have added the option of using two HMA's simultaneously. You can use HMA, EMA, SMA as per your settings and it would be color trending. (c) VWAP- you can turn it on from settings (d) CPR- you can turn it on from settings (e) EMA's 20, 50, 200. Currently off, you can turn it on from settings. (d) SMA's 50 and 200. Currently off, yu can turn it on from settings, if you want to use 20 SMA you can use bollinger band basis that is 20 period SMA. (f) Trend bar at bottom on the basis of 50 EMA. (g) Half Trend (h) Trend strength Detector (d) EMA 50 high and low to show the pac channel. I am not using this however as per request I have added this. Currently, it is trun on and you can turn it off from settings. (f) Auto Fib levels Please use a stick note for few days and mention imp notes before taking trade to check if all the conditions are matching to take the trade. Buy Condition:- 1. Bolling band should be widely open. 2. Check the support and resistance from CPR. Candle should close above support in green. 3. Check the trend bar at bottom, it should be green, if it is grey in colour dont enter in trade. 4. Candle should be closing above EMA 50 and its upto you if you need additional confirmation, you can use EMA 20, 50, 200 and SMA 50 and 200, this is optional. 5. You can use VWAP as support or resistance and you can turn it on from settings. 6. Trending HMA of 33 should be in green for buy. 7. Half trend Indicator should give buy signal. 8. Trend Strength Indicator for checking the strength of the trend, if the arrow is big upside, you can go for buy. 9. Exit from buy trade when it start showing very small arrow which means trend is about to change. 10.Exit buy trade at 61.8 Fib level Sell Condition:- 1. Bolling band should be widely open. 2. Check the support and resistance from CPR. Candle should close below resistance in red. 3. Check the trend bar at bottom, it should be red, if it is grey in colour dont enter in trade. 4. Candle should be closing below EMA 50 and its upto you if you need additional confirmation, you can use EMA 20, 50, 200 and SMA 50 and 200, this is optional. 5. You can use VWAP as support or resistance and you can turn it on from settings. 6. Trending HMA of 33 should be in red for sell. 7. Half trend Indicator should give sell signal. 8. Trend Strength Indicator for checking the strength of the trend, if the arrow is big downside, you can go for sell. 9. Exit from sell trade when down arrows start showing very small in size which means trend is about to change. 10.Exit sell trade at 61.8 Fib level
Pine Script® indicator
by dhawal123
10
PMax on Rsi w/T3 *Strategy*Profit Maximizer Indicator on RSI with Tillson T3 Moving Average: PMax uses ATR calculation inside, for this reason users couldn't manage to use PMax on RSI because RSI indicator doesn't have High and Low values in bars, but ATR needs that values. So I personally calculate RSI in a different way to have High and Low values of RSI wrt price bars. IMPORTANT: Because of the sudden movements and divergences on RSI , this indicator must firstly optimized for the charts before using. Optimization can be held by users for the meaningful parameters for each chart. 3 parameters are critical when optimizing: First: Multiplier Second: Tillson T3 Length Third: T3 Volume Factor Says, Kıvanç Özbilgiç. Here's the strategy version for you to backtest & optimize properly. Enjoy.
Pine Script® strategy
by lucidreamer15
13
Profit target areaUpdate. - you can specify count of bars used to detect reversal pattern - you can specify count of bars used to determine lowest or highest price to place support or resistance - area between lines is filled by green - ascending, red - descending trend To trade: - open position using stop command on S/R - close position using limit command on retracement line - close position when background colour indicates trend change (erratum: last balloon on right should say "buy limit")
Pine Script® indicator
by ondra.novacisko.cz
9
MoonBoys BTC Production Cost Daily═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ MoonBoys BTC PRODUCTION COST DAILY ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Track Bitcoin's real-time production cost using comprehensive electricity consumption data and mining economics to identify macro support/resistance zones. ═══ OVERVIEW ═══ This indicator calculates Bitcoin's actual cost of production by combining Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) data with electricity pricing models across different mining eras. It reveals where miners are profitable or underwater, providing crucial macro-level support zones that have historically acted as psychological and economic floors. Perfect for: • Identifying long-term accumulation zones • Understanding miner profitability and capitulation risk • Spotting macro support levels during bear markets • Gauging healthy vs. overheated price levels • Planning dollar-cost averaging strategies ═══ KEY FEATURES ═══ 📊 COMPREHENSIVE HISTORICAL DATA └─ 378 data points spanning 2011-2026 └─ Complete CBECI electricity consumption dataset └─ Verified accuracy: all dates and values cross-checked └─ Updates every ~14 days with new CBECI releases ⚡ ELECTRICITY COST MODELING └─ Pre-June 2019: $0.05/kWh (Early mining era) └─ Pre-April 2021: $0.04/kWh (China dominance period) └─ Post-May 2021: $0.05/kWh (China exodus, Western migration) └─ Post-April 2024: $0.05/kWh (Post-4th halving era) └─ Fully customizable for scenario analysis 🎯 DUAL COST CURVES └─ Red line: Pure electricity cost per BTC └─ Purple line: Total production cost (electricity + operations) └─ Green line: Miner price (spot + transaction fee revenue) └─ Pink fill: Zones where miners are losing money 📈 AUTOMATIC HALVING ADJUSTMENTS └─ Integrates all Bitcoin halvings (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) └─ Block reward automatically adjusts: 50 → 25 → 12.5 → 6.25 → 3.125 └─ Accurate per-day BTC production calculations 💰 PROFIT MARGIN TRACKING └─ Annual profit margin labels (optional) └─ Shows miner profitability percentage └─ Appears on chart at electricity cost level └─ Calculated using 365-day moving average ═══ HOW TO READ IT ═══ ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐ │ INDICATOR │ MEANING │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ 🟢 Green Line │ Miner Price (BTC price + fee revenue)│ │ (above purple) │ → Miners profitable, healthy market │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ 🟢 Green Line │ Price below production cost │ │ (below purple) │ → Miner capitulation zone │ │ │ → Strong historical buy signal │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ 🔴 Red Line │ Pure electricity cost per BTC │ │ │ → Absolute minimum mining cost │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ 🟣 Purple Line │ Total production cost │ │ │ → Break-even for miners (60% elec) │ ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤ │ 🌸 Pink Fill │ Below-cost territory │ │ │ → Miners selling at a loss │ │ │ → Historical accumulation zone │ └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘ ═══ TRADING APPLICATIONS ═══ 🐻 BEAR MARKET BOTTOMS → Price touching or breaking below production cost = high probability bottom → Extended periods below cost = miner capitulation → Historical bottoms: Nov 2011, Jan 2015, Dec 2018, Nov 2022 → Strongest buy signal in macro Bitcoin investing 📈 BULL MARKET HEALTH CHECKS → Distance above production cost = market heat level → 100-200% above cost = healthy bull market → 500%+ above cost = euphoric/bubble territory → Use as take-profit reference points 💎 ACCUMULATION STRATEGY → DCA when price approaches production cost → Increase buy size when price drops below cost → Maximum allocation when 10-20% below cost → Layer entry as margin shows negative percentages ⚖️ SUPPORT/RESISTANCE ZONES → Production cost acts as macro support in downtrends → Often becomes resistance after prolonged bear markets → Price reclaiming cost = bullish structural shift → Failed reclaims = continued weakness 🔄 HALVING CYCLE ANALYSIS → Cost doubles after each halving (supply cut) → Price typically consolidates near new cost basis → Historic pattern: break above cost = new bull cycle → Track 6-12 months post-halving for trend confirmation ═══ SETTINGS GUIDE ═══ ⚡ ELECTRICITY COST ASSUMPTIONS (USD/kWh) ├─ Pre-June 2019 (0.05): Early mining era, hobby miners ├─ Pre-China Exodus 2021 (0.04): Cheap Chinese hydropower ├─ Post-May 2021 (0.05): Western migration, higher costs └─ Post-April 2024 (0.05): Current era post-4th halving 💡 Adjust these for "what if" scenarios or local costs 💰 ELECTRICITY PERCENTAGE (Default: 60%) └─ Electricity as % of total mining costs └─ Remaining 40% = hardware, labor, rent, maintenance └─ Lower % = higher total cost (more conservative) └─ Typical range: 50-70% 🎨 VISUAL TOGGLES ├─ Plot BTC Miner Price: Show/hide green line │ └─ Includes transaction fee revenue per BTC ├─ Plot Production Cost Curves: Show/hide red & purple lines └─ Plot Annual Profit Margin Labels: Show/hide margin % └─ Appears annually (Jan 1st) and on last bar ═══ HOW IT WORKS ═══ 1. ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION DATA • Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) • Actual network-wide energy usage in TWh (terawatt-hours) • Updated bi-weekly with real hash rate data • 378 historical data points (Aug 2011 - Jan 2026) 2. COST CALCULATION FORMULA Electricity Cost per BTC = (TWh per year / 365.25 days) × (10^9 to convert to kWh) / (BTC mined per day) × (Electricity price per kWh) Total Cost per BTC = Electricity Cost / (Electricity % of total costs) 3. BTC MINED PER DAY Blocks per day (144) × Block reward • 2009-2012: 50 BTC/block = 7,200 BTC/day • 2012-2016: 25 BTC/block = 3,600 BTC/day • 2016-2020: 12.5 BTC/block = 1,800 BTC/day • 2020-2024: 6.25 BTC/block = 900 BTC/day • 2024+: 3.125 BTC/block = 450 BTC/day 4. MINER PRICE METRIC Spot close price + (Transaction fees per day / BTC mined per day) • Currently simplified with fees = 0 • Shows true revenue per BTC for miners 5. PROFIT MARGIN CALCULATION ((Miner Price / Total Cost) - 1) × 100 • Smoothed with 365-day SMA • Shows sustainable annual profitability ═══ BEST PRACTICES ═══ ✅ DO: • Use on DAILY timeframe for accuracy (designed for daily data) • Combine with on-chain metrics (SOPR, MVRV, Puell Multiple) • Layer with traditional TA for entry/exit timing • Understand this is AVERAGE global cost (varies by miner) • Use as macro filter, not short-term trading signal • Check profit margins during capitulation events ❌ DON'T: • Use as sole indicator for short-term trades • Ignore that efficient miners have much lower costs • Forget that cost is constantly rising (hash rate + difficulty) • Assume price can't go below cost (it can temporarily) • Trade based only on cost - liquidity events can wick lower • Expect instant reversals at cost levels ═══ HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE ═══ Major Bitcoin bottoms near/below production cost: 📅 November 2011 Price: ~$2 | Cost: ~$5 → 60% below cost, -95% drawdown → Bottom signal ✓ 📅 January 2015 Price: ~$150 | Cost: ~$180 → 17% below cost, -85% drawdown → Bottom signal ✓ 📅 December 2018 Price: ~$3,200 | Cost: ~$3,500 → 9% below cost, -84% drawdown → Bottom signal ✓ 📅 November 2022 Price: ~$15,500 | Cost: ~$17,000 → 9% below cost, -77% drawdown → Bottom signal ✓ Pattern: When price trades below production cost, accumulation zone. ═══ TECHNICAL NOTES ═══ • Built with Pine Script v5 • Data source: Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CBECI) Updated Quaterly by Request • All dates/values verified against official CSV dataset • Electricity price adjusts based on major mining regime shifts • Uses series variables for proper historical calculation • Forward-fills data between CBECI update periods • Accounts for all 4 halvings in BTC history ═══ DATA PERIODS EXPLAINED ═══ 🏭 PRE-JUNE 2019 ($0.05/kWh) Early mining era, distributed hobby miners, average global cost 🇨🇳 JUNE 2019 - APRIL 2021 ($0.04/kWh) China dominance period, cheap hydropower in Sichuan/Yunnan 🌍 MAY 2021 - APRIL 2024 ($0.05/kWh) China ban, Western migration, renewable energy transition 🔮 POST-APRIL 2024 ($0.05/kWh) 4th halving, institutional mining, current era ═══ UNDERSTANDING MINING ECONOMICS ═══ ⚡ ELECTRICITY = 60% OF COST (Default) └─ Largest variable expense for miners └─ Directly tied to hash rate and difficulty 🔧 OTHER COSTS = 40% ├─ ASIC hardware (depreciation) ├─ Facility rent and cooling ├─ Labor and maintenance ├─ Internet and infrastructure └─ Insurance and legal 💰 REVENUE SOURCES ├─ Block subsidy (newly minted BTC) └─ Transaction fees (variable, usually 2-10% of revenue) 📉 MINER BEHAVIOR • Profitable: Accumulate BTC, expand operations • Break-even: Hold BTC, maintain operations • Unprofitable: Forced selling, potential capitulation ═══ ADVANCED USE CASES ═══ 🔬 SCENARIO ANALYSIS → Adjust electricity costs to model different regions → US miners: $0.05-0.07/kWh → Nordic miners: $0.02-0.04/kWh → Middle East: $0.01-0.03/kWh 📊 COMBINE WITH ON-CHAIN DATA → Miner Net Position Change (selling pressure) → Hash Ribbons (miner capitulation indicator) → Difficulty Ribbon (hash rate compression) → Puell Multiple (miner revenue extremes) 🎯 MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE → Weekly chart: macro trend and cost support → Daily chart: precise entry/exit near cost → 4H chart: short-term reactions at cost levels 🌐 CORRELATION TRADING → Miner stocks (MARA, RIOT, CLSK) vs BTC cost → When BTC < cost, miner stocks typically -30-50% → Energy prices (oil, nat gas) affect mining costs ═══ LIMITATIONS & CONSIDERATIONS ═══ ⚠️ AVERAGE COST, NOT ACTUAL • Large miners with PPAs have costs as low as $0.02-0.03/kWh • Inefficient miners may have costs 2-3x the average • This shows network-wide average for reference ⚠️ ELECTRICITY PRICE ASSUMPTIONS • Static periods vs. dynamic energy markets • Renewable energy % growing = lower average cost over time • Geographic distribution matters (Texas vs. Kazakhstan) ⚠️ DOESN'T INCLUDE • ASIC efficiency improvements (more hash/watt) • Stranded energy and flare gas mining • Government subsidies or penalties • Seasonal variations (wet/dry seasons) ⚠️ LAGGING INDICATOR • CBECI data updates every ~14 days • Historical data, not forward-looking • Cost always rises, but at variable rate ═══ DISCLAIMER ═══ This indicator visualizes Bitcoin's estimated global average production cost based on publicly available electricity consumption data and modeled pricing assumptions. It does NOT: • Guarantee future price movements or bottoms • Account for individual miner profitability variations • Include all operational costs (simplified to electricity %) • Predict miner capitulation or selling pressure • Constitute financial advice or buy/sell signals Production cost is A REFERENCE POINT, not a hard floor. Price can and has traded below cost during extreme capitulation events. Market liquidity, macro conditions, and sentiment often override cost-basis logic in the short term. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management. 📚 EDUCATIONAL USE ONLY | NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE ═══ RESOURCES ═══ Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index (CBECI) → ccaf.io Bitcoin Mining Economics → insights.braiins.com Block Reward Halving Schedule → www.bitcoinblockhalf.com Difficulty & Hash Rate Charts → www.blockchain.com Understanding ASIC Mining → academy.binance.com Mining Profitability Calculator → www.coinwarz.com On-Chain Miner Metrics → cryptoquant.com Energy & Mining Data → hashrateindex.com ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Built for the Bitcoin community 🚀 Because understanding the cost of production is fundamental analysis 💎 ═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Pine Script® indicator
by VickzinBK