Williams Vix Fix ultra complete indicator (Tartigradia)Williams VixFix is a realized volatility indicator developed by Larry Williams, and can help in finding market bottoms.
Indeed, as Williams describe in his paper, markets tend to find the lowest prices during times of highest volatility, which usually accompany times of highest fear. The VixFix is calculated as how much the current low price statistically deviates from the maximum within a given look-back period.
Although the VixFix originally only indicates market bottoms, its inverse may indicate market tops. As masa_crypto writes : "The inverse can be formulated by considering "how much the current high value statistically deviates from the minimum within a given look-back period." This transformation equates Vix_Fix_inverse. This indicator can be used for finding market tops, and therefore, is a good signal for a timing for taking a short position." However, in practice, the Inverse VixFix is much less reliable than the classical VixFix, but is nevertheless a good addition to get some additional context.
For more information on the Vix Fix, which is a strategy published under public domain:
* The VIX Fix, Larry Williams, Active Trader magazine, December 2007, web.archive.org
* Fixing the VIX: An Indicator to Beat Fear, Amber Hestla-Barnhart, Journal of Technical Analysis, March 13, 2015, ssrn.com
* Replicating the CBOE VIX using a synthetic volatility index trading algorithm, Dayne Cary and Gary van Vuuren, Cogent Economics & Finance, Volume 7, 2019, Issue 1, doi.org
Created By ChrisMoody on 12-26-2014...
V3 MAJOR Update on 1-05-2014
tista merged LazyBear's Black Dots filter in 2020:
Extended by Tartigradia in 10-2022:
* Can select a symbol different from current to calculate vixfix, allows to select SP:SPX to mimic the original VIX index.
* Inverse VixFix (from masa_crypto and web.archive.org)
* VixFix OHLC Bars plot
* Price / VixFix Candles plot (Pro Tip: draw trend lines to find good entry/exit points)
* Add ADX filtering, Minimaxis signals, Minimaxis filtering (from samgozman )
* Convert to pinescript v5
* Allow timeframe selection (MTF)
* Skip off days (more accurate reproduction of original VIX)
* Reorganized, cleaned up code, commented out parts, commented out or removed unused code (eg, some of the KC calculations)
* Changed default Bollinger Band settings to reduce false positives in crypto markets.
Set Index symbol to SPX, and index_current = false, and timeframe Weekly, to reproduce the original VIX as close as possible by the VIXFIX (use the Add Symbol option, because you want to plot CBOE:VIX on the same timeframe as the current chart, which may include extended session / weekends). With the Weekly timeframe, off days / extended session days should not change much, but with lower timeframes this is important, because nights and weekends can change how the graph appears and seemingly make them different because of timing misalignment when in reality they are not when properly aligned.
Search in scripts for "spx"
Tickers Info ExtensionWith the indicator you can easily evaluate or compare any ticker with the one you choose in the options.
You can choose any of the tickers I provide in the mod options to your liking :
XAU
DXY
BTC
ETH
SPX
NASDAQ
AVG Stable Dominance
AVG Stock Price
Custom
You can also select or create your own ticker if you select the Custom in Mode option.
If the Compare mode is enabled, then the current ticker you are viewing is divided by the ticker selected in the indicator (in the Mode option).
Thus, you create a new pair and can evaluate the strength of this or that asset.
For example, if you have the ticker BTCUSDT open. And the ticker XAU is selected in the Mode option in the indicator. And the Compare mode is also enabled. Then you will get a new BTCUSDT/XAU pair. That means that now you can see the bitcoin/gold ratio. (Same as EUR/USD etc.)
If the Compare option is switched off then you will see the usual ticker you choose in the Mode option. You can also see if there is a correlation between the selected pairs.
Option ' AVG STABLE.D ' = Calculated as: USDT.D + USDC.D + DAI.D
- This is the average domination of the most important Stable Coins
Option ' AVG STOCK Price ' = Calculated as: (DJI + SPX + NDQ) / 3
- This is the average price of the most important Indexes.
Auto Fibonacci Levels + Auto Trend Line generatorAnother indicator for you guys!!!
This indicator consists of the 5 key Fibonacci retracement levels, plotted automatically to user input settings. I also have included an auto support/resistance trend line generator.
What is a Fibonacci retracement?
'Fibonacci retracement is a method of technical analysis for determining support and resistance levels. It is named after the Fibonacci sequence of numbers, whose ratios provide price levels to which markets tend to retrace a portion of a move before a trend continues in the original direction.' - Wikipedia
How to use the Fibonacci retracement?
- The Fibonacci levels are default. These percentiles from price to the average of the high in a sample and low in a sample give you a guideline of where a bottom may be, where a top may be, and where a range is being created.
- Look for the price to reject from 61.8% and 76.4%, and also look for price to bounce from 38.2% and 23.6%. If a lower low/higher high is made, the fib levels will follow and the percentiles within will be recalculated after a 5 candle offset period.
- If you see price trending towards the lower percentiles (38&23) and using the 50% as resistance, look for a break downwards and vice versa.
-This Fibonacci set as all others is subject to fake-out, always use this with another series indicator, or don't use it as a signal for entry at all (unless you have a backdated strategy)
How to use the trend line generator?
-The trend line generator will only plot when a lower low/higher high has taken place within the input amount of candles. It is also offset by a user amount.
-The check box will give the option to have the trend line's plot or not.
- If you see a green/red dot it means that that will be your first coordinate for the trend line, and until the computations are complete it will give you an idea of which direction it will be in (resistance or support)
-When opening this indicator zoom out all the way to connect any trend lines that do not load automatically.
Let me know if you have any questions, suggestions or issues! Thank you everyone!
-Cheatcode1 :)
SP:SPX TVC:DXY BMFBOVESPA:EUR1! CME:BTC1! BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Rate Of Change Trend Strategy (ROC)This is very simple trend following or momentum strategy. If the price change over the past number of bars is positive, we buy. If the price change over the past number of bars is negative, we sell. This is surprisingly robust, simple, and effective especially on trendy markets such as cryptos.
Works for many markets such as:
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
SP:SPX
NASDAQ:NDX
NASDAQ:TSLA
Intraday Super SectorsMotivated by Cody to finish what I'd started ...
This indicator plots the two 'Super Sectors' (Cyclical and Defensive) intraday change, viz-a-viz SPX price
* for convenience, it uses the ETF's, rather than the actual sectors. This might make it 0.0001% inaccurate.
For reference:
Defensive Sectors:
XLE Energy (not always considered a true defensive sector, but I've thrown it in here for balance)
XLP Consumer Staples
XLU Utilities
XLV Health Care
Cyclical Sectors:
XLB Materials
XLC Communication Services
XLF Financials
XLI Industrials
XLK Information Technology
XLRE Real Estate
XLY Consumer Discretionary
Why the (soft) red/green cloud?
Well, the theory says is that if the Cyclical Sector is down, while the Defensive Sector is up, this isn't exactly bullish (so a soft red cloud), or if Defensive Stocks are down, while Cyclical Stocks are up, this is perhaps bullish.
Of course, if SPX is down 10%, with Defensive Stocks down 20%, and Cyclical Stocks down 5%, you might get a green cloud, but it ain't exactly a bullish sign
US Sector CorrelationsA new and interesting way to look at Breadth. As for the usefulness of it, one would have to do some proper backtesting to get a full grasp of the capabilities. This is just a concept currently. But in general, SPX holding near ATHs with very low sector correlations can be a topping indicator. SPX selling off with Correlations all very positive across each sector...can be a sign of an impending bottom. But, needs the "full bake" of proper testing and analysis versus just guessing. I like the concept and want to explore it further, and I will. This is just the start.
Gap RiderThis Indicator allows you to make statistics on the performance of any underlying on the days in which an opening gap occurs.
Specifically, the indicator was designed for "0 dte" options trades. In fact, it is possible to find parameters that give a good statistical advantage by opening a spread in the direction of the gap, creating a trade that has a risk-return ratio of 1: 1.
The indicator shows flags on the graph (green in case of gap up, red in case of gap down) and colored boxes (green in case the stock closed in the direction of the gap, red in case the stock closed in the opposite direction to the gap, yellow in the event that the stock closed at a distance that did not allow the spread in options to close in maximum loss or maximum profit, and therefore in breakeven)
The statistics panel, on the other hand, contains all the information necessary to search for parameters that give the trader a good statistical advantage.
In the settings you can filter the days of the week, only gap up or only gap down, ATR thresholds (volatility), points or minimum percentage for which a gap is taken into account, measure of the breakeven (which for options traders should represent the half the width of the spread to open), large gaps filter that takes into consideration only gaps that open out of range compared to the previous session. The Lookback parameter of course is used to set how many bars to take into account for the statistics.
Parameters and recommended strategy:
TODAY 31/08/2021 - Lookback 500 bars (2 years)
UNDERLYING: SPX
FILTERS: only Monday and Wednesday, only gap up, only gap> 0.01%
STRATEGY: exactly at opening, cover an ATM spread in the direction of the gap (example: gap up, I open a long call spread) that has the opening price as a break even, with a risk-return ratio of 1: 1 and leave it open until closing session, or set take profit at 90-95%. It is advisable to take into consideration the SPX statistics but to operate on the ES future so as to be able to open the spread a couple of minutes before the opening of the cash session and prevent the trade from "running away" due to too sudden movements of the opening. .
RESULTS:
124 Trade
70% profitable trades
30% losing trades
Max drawdown 3 trades
So assuming a spread on ES 10 points wide, each trade would gain or lose $ 250, applying the described strategy we would have in two years, investing only $ 250, a profit of $ 12500, with a max drawdown of $ 750. We would therefore have a profit of 5000%, or rather 2500% per year on the invested capital, with a drawdown of a much lower proportion of the profit ($ 750 compared to $ 6250 of annual profit).
The strategy is infinitely scalable by increasing the options contracts used and the impact of the commissions is almost zero.
MONEY MANAGEMENT: Example on a 50K account, with a spread that earns or loses $ 500, in two years it earns $ 25,000, therefore about 12500 per year, with a max drawdown of $ 1500, therefore 25% per year on the ENTIRE ACCOUNT with a maximum drawdown of 3%.
Note: the test was performed without a break even parameter, so the actual result will be more moderate, but of the same explosive nature.
** BUG STILL LOOKING FOR SOLUTION **
only in case the filters are set to take into account ONLY the gap down, the drawdown count in the statistics panel shows an incorrect result "
Divergence of Stocks Above MA50 v.s. US-Stock MarketEnglish:
This indicator has been developed as an early warning tool to estimate the probability of correction in the US stock market. It works best in the daily chart.
Function:
1.) "Index-line"
The underlying stock index is converted to a scale between 0% and 100% based on its 52-week highs and lows. Where 100% is closing price at 52-week high and 0% is closing price at 52-week low.
2nd) "Stocks Above MA50".
For each major stock index, there is an index that determines the percentage of stocks above its 50 moving average. For example, for the S&P 500, this is the S5FI.
3) "Divergence
In an efficient market, both lines (index and number of stocks above the 50 MA) would run more or less in sync. A new high in the index would also mean a new high in the stocks trading above the 50 moving average. Often, however, a correction in the index is announced when the number of stocks trading above their 50 MA do not make a new, or even a lower, high while the underlying index marks a new high. The divergence signal measures this divergence of the indices. The higher the bar, the more pronounced the divergence.
How to read the indicator?
If a divergence occurs, then the stops should be tightened. As with any indicator, false signals can occur because a divergence does not automatically lead to a correction. The higher the divergence is indicated, the higher the probability. The strength of a correction cannot be predicted with the indicator.
For which symbols does the indicator work?
The indicator works exclusively for the following symbols:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index above MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index above MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index above MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index above MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index above MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index above MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index above MA50: DCFI
Deutsch:
Dieser Indikator ist als Frühwarninstrument zur Einschätzung der Korrekturwahrscheinlichkeit im US-Aktienmarkt entwickelt worden. Er funktioniert am besten im Tages-Chart.
Funktion:
1.) „Index-line“
Der zugrunde liegende Aktienindex wird bezogen auf seine 52Wochen Hochs und Tiefs in eine Skala zwischen 0% und 100% umgerechnet. Dabei sind 100% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Hoch und 0% Schlusskurs auf 52-Wochen Tief.
2.) „Stocks Above MA50“
Zu jedem Hauptaktienindex gibt es einen Index, der den Prozentwert der Aktien über Ihrem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt ermittelt. Beim S&P 500 ist das z.B. der S5FI.
3.) „Divergence“
In einem effizienten Markt würden beide Linien (Index und Anzahl Aktien über dem 50 MA) mehr oder weniger synchron laufen. Ein neues Hoch im Index würde auch ein neues Hoch bei den Aktien, die über dem 50 gleitenden Durchschnitt notieren, bedeuten. Oft jedoch kündigt sich eine Korrektur im Index an, wenn die Anzahl der Aktien, die über ihrem 50 MA notieren kein neues, oder sogar ein niedrigeres Hoch machen, während der zu Grunde liegende Index ein neues Hoch markiert. Das Divergenz-Signal misst diese auseinanderlaufen der Indices. Je höher der Balken, umso stärker ist die Divergenz ausgeprägt.
Wie ist der Indikator zu lesen?
Wenn eine Divergenz auftritt, dann sollten die Stopps enger herangezogen werden. Es kann wie bei jedem Indikator zu Fehlsignalen kommen, da eine Divergenz nicht automatisch zu einer Korrektur führen muss. Die Wahrscheinlichkeit ist um so höher, je höher die Divergenz angezeigt wird. Die Stärke einer Korrektur kann mit dem Indikator nicht prognostiziert werden.
Für welche Symbole funktioniert der Indikator?
Der Indikator funktioniert ausschließlich für folgende Symbole:
S&P500: SPX, SPY, ES1!, US500 Index über MA50: S5FI
Russel2000: IWM, US2000, RTY1!, RUT, IWO Index über MA50: R2FI
NASDAQ100: NDX, NAS100, NQ1!, US100, QQQ Index über MA50: NDFI
NASDAQ: IXIC, ONEQ, QCN1!, NDAQ Index über MA50: NCFI
NYSE: XAX, NYA Index über MA50: MMFI
DowJones100: DJX, DJI, DIA, MYM1!, YM1! Index über MA50: DIFI
DowJonesComp: DOW, IYY Index über MA50: DCFI
CCI45/SMA50 indy for 30 min SP500SPCFD:SPX
The script determines entry points using 45 period CCI and 50 period SMA.
Long condition: When CCI crosses up 150 treshold while price above 50 period SMA
Short condition: When CCI crosses down -150 treshold while price below 50 period SMA
Trades are executed above/below 1 point of high/low for long/short positions. Stops are just 1 point below/above of SMA. After 4 points of profit stops should be tightened. If you do not plan to hold the position for a long time, it can produce quick profit within 5-6 bars namely 2.5-3 hour. Otherwise you can manage the trade using SMA as trailing stop. This can be treated as a strategy of scalping which turns out a trend trading eventually if conditions good.
Have a nice trading
CHOP Zone Entry Strategy + DMI/PSAR ExitThis is a Strategy with associated visual indicators and Long/Short and Reverse/Close Position Alerts for the Choppiness Index (CHOP) . It is used to determine if the market is choppy (trading sideways) or not choppy (trading within a trend in either direction). CHOP is not directional, so a DMI script was ported into this strategy to allow for trend confirmation and direction determination; it consists of an Average Directional Index (ADX) , Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) . In addition, a Parabolic SAR is also included to act as a trailing stop during any strong trends.
Development Notes
---------------------------
This indicator, and most of the descriptions below, were derived largely from the TradingView reference manual. Feedback and suggestions for improvement are more than welcome, as well are recommended Input settings and best practices for use.
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
www.tradingview.com
Recommend using the below DMI and PSAR indicators in conjunction with this script to fully visualize and understand how entry and exit conditions are chosen. Variable inputs should correlate between the scripts for uniformity and visual compatibility.
THANKS to LazyBear and his Momentum Squeeze script for helping me quickly develop a momentum state model for coloring the Chop line by trend.
Strategy Description
---------------------------
CHOP produces values that determine whether the market is choppy or trending . The closer the value is to 100 , the higher the choppiness levels , while the closer it is to 0 , the stronger the market is trending . Territories for both levels, and their associated upper and lower thresholds, are popularly defined using the Fibonacci Retracements, 61.8 and 38.2.
Basic Use
---------------------------
CHOP is often used to confirm the market condition to help you stay out of sideways markets and only enter when there is movement or imminent explosions. When readings are above the upper threshold, continued sideways movement may be expected, while readings below the lower threshold are typically indicative of a continuing trend. It is also used to anticipate upcoming trendiness changes, with the general belief that extended periods of consolidation (sideways movement) are followed by extended periods of strong, trending, directional movement, and vice versa.
One limitation in this index is that you must be cautious in deciding whether the range or trend will likely continue, or if it will reverse.
Confidence in price action and trend is higher when two or more indicators are in agreement -- while this strategy combines CHOP with both DMI and PSAR, we would still recommend pairing with other indicators to determine entry or exit trade opportunities.
Recommend also choosing 'Once Per Bar Close' when creating alerts.
Inputs
---------------------------
Strategy Direction - an option to only trade Short, Long, Both, or only in the direction of the Trend (Follow Trend is the Default).
Sensitivity - an incremental variable to test whether the past n candles are in the same trend state before triggering a delayed long or short alert (1 is the Default). Can help filter out noise and reduces active alerts.
Show Chop Index - two visual styles are provided for user preference, a visible Chop line with a background overlay, or a compact column and label only view.
Chop Lookback Period - the time period to be used in calculating CHOP (14 is the Default).
Chop Offset - changing this number will move the CHOP either forwards or backwards relative to the current market (0 is the Default).
Smooth Chop Line and Length - if enabled, the entered time period will be used in calculating a smooth average of the index (Enabled and 4 are the Defaults).
Color Line to Trend Direction - toggles whether the index line is colored to visually depict the current trend direction (Enabled is the Default).
Color Background - toggles the visibility of a background color based on the index state (Enabled is the Default).
Enable DMI Option - if enabled, then entry will be confirmed by and dependent on the ADX Key Level, with any close or reversal confirmed by both ADX and +/-DI to determine whether there is a strong trend present or not (Enabled is the Default).
ADX Smoothing - the time period to be used in calculating the ADX which has a smoothing component (14 is the Default).
DI Length - the time period to be used in calculating the DI (14 is the Default).
ADX Key Level - any trade with the ADX above the key level is a strong indicator that it is trending (23 to 25 is the suggested setting).
Enable PSAR Option - enables trailing stop loss orders (Enabled is the Default).
PSAR Start - the starting value for the Acceleration Force (0.015 is our chosen Default, 0.02 is more common).
PSAR Increment - the increment in which the Acceleration Force will move (0.001 is our chosen Default, 0.02 is more common).
PSAR Max Value - the maximum value of the Acceleration Factor (0.2 is the Default).
Color Candles Option - an option to transpose the CHOP condition levels to the main candle bars. Note that the outer red and green border will still be distinguished by whether each individual candle is bearish or bullish during the specified timeframe.
Note too that if both DMI and PSAR are deselected, then close determinations will default to a CHOP reversal strategy (e.g., close long when below 38.2 and close short when above 61.8). Though if either DMI or PSAR are enabled, then the CHOP reversal for close determination will automatically be disabled.
Indicator Visuals
---------------------------
For the candle colors, black indicates tight chop (45 to 55), yellow is loose chop (38.2 to 45 and 55 to 61.8), dark purple is trending down (< 38.2), and dark blue is trending up (> 61.8).
The background color has additional shades to differentiate a wider range of more levels…
• < 30 is dark purple
• 30 to 38.2 is purple
• 38.2 to 45 is light purple
• 45 to 55 is black
• 55 to 61.8 is light blue
• 61.8 to 70 is blue
• > 70 is dark blue
Long, Short, Close, and Reverse labels are plotted on the Chop line, which itself can be colored based on the trend. The chop line can also be hidden for a clean and compact, columnar view, which is my preferred option (see example image below).
Visual cues are intended to improve analysis and decrease interpretation time during trading, as well as to aid in understanding the purpose of this strategy and how its inclusion can benefit a comprehensive trading plan.
DMI and Trend Strength
---------------------------
To analyze trend strength, the focus should be on the ADX line and not the +DI or -DI lines. An ADX reading above 25 indicates a strong trend , while a reading below 20 indicates a weak or non-existent trend . A reading between those two values would be considered indeterminable. Though what is truly a strong trend or a weak trend depends on the financial instrument being examined; historical analysis can assist in determining appropriate values.
DMI exits trade when ADX is below the user selected key level (e.g., default is 25) and when the +/- DI lines cross (e.g., -DI > +DI exits long position and +DI > -DI exits short position).
PSAR and Trailing Stop
---------------------------
PSAR is a time and price based indicator that excels at measuring direction and duration, though not the actual strength of a trend, which is why we use this in conjunction with DMI. It is also included in this script as a trailing stop option to maximize gains during strong trends and to mitigate any false ADX strengthening signals.
This creates a parabola that is located below the candle during a Bullish trend and above during a Bearish trend. A buy or reversal is signaled when the price crosses above or below the Parabolic SAR.
Long/Short Entry
---------------------------
1. CHOP must be over 61.8 (long) or under 38.2 (short).
2. If DMI is enabled, then the ADX signal line must be above the user selected Key Level (default is 25).
3. If Sensitivity is selected, then that past candle must meet the criteria in step 1, as well as all the intermediate candles in between.
4. If "Follow Trend" is selected and PSAR is enabled, then a long position can only open when the momentum and PSAR are in an uptrend, or short when both are in a downtrend, to include all intermediate candles if the Sensitivity option is set on a past candle.
Close/Reverse
---------------------------
1. If DMI is enabled, then a close flag will be raised when the ADX signal drops below the Key Level (of 25), and -DI crosses over +DI (if long), or +DI crosses over -DI (if short).
2. If PSAR is enabled, then a close flag will be raised when the current trend state is opposite the last state.
3. If both DMI and PSAR are disabled, then a close flag will be raised if the Chop line drops under 38.2 (if long) or goes over 61.8 (if short).
4. If a Long or Short Entry is triggered on the same candle as any of the above close flags, then the position will be reversed, else the position will be closed.
Strategy Alerts
---------------------------
1. Long Entry
2. Short Entry
3. Reverse
4. Close
The provided backtest result is based on a position sizing of 10% equity with 100k initial capital. When testing SPX, disabling the DMI performed the best, but EURUSD performed poorly without it enabled, and TSLA had a small reduction in net profit. Timeframe likewise differed between commodities with TSLA performing best at 30M, SPX at 15M, and EURUSD at 4H. I do not plan on using this as a standalone strategy, but I also was expecting better results with the inclusion of EMI and PSAR to compliment the CHOP. Key elements of this script will likely be included in future, more holistic strategies.
Disclaimer
---------------------------
Past performance may not be indicative of future results. Due to various factors, including changing market conditions, the strategy may no longer perform as well as in historical backtesting. This post and the script are not intended to provide any financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
No known repainting, though there may be if an offset is introduced in the Inputs. I did my best not to code any other variables that repaint, but cannot fully attest to this fact.
Normalized Volatility IndicatorFrom an article by Rajesh Kayakkal:
"Early bear phase signals can help you get out of the market before it turns down. This indicator tells you how.
There are many ways to identify the trend of a financial market, the most common being the 200-day exponential moving average (Ema). When price is trending down below the 200-day Ema, the market is believed to be in a bear phase. If the market is trending up above the 200-day Ema, it is considered to be in a bull phase.
Since every indicator fails at times, I wanted to find other indicators to confirm a trend. In my quest for another indicator to determine the trend for the financial markets, I found the Cboe Volatility Index (Vix) to be a good indicator of the market direction. The Vix is calculated from the weighted average of the implied volatilities of various options on the Standard & Poor’s 500 index futures.
J. Welles Wilder’s average true range can also give an indication of the financial market trends; that is, when the market is in a bull phase, the average true range narrows, and when it is in a bear phase, the average true range expands. The normalized volatility indicator (Nvi) is based on this behavior.
Normalized volatility indicator (Nvi)
Average true range (Atr) varies depending on time. But how do we determine the phase of the financial market with Atr? Perhaps some type of ratio could give us a clue. A ratio presents a relationship of a quantity with respect to another. I did some research based on a ratio of the 64-day average true range and the end-of-day value of equity indexes such as the Standard & Poor’s 500 (Spx). I selected the 64-day period since it is close to the average number of trading days in a quarter. The ratio of the 64-day average true range and closing price does discount seasonal variations in the average true range and gives a single number that can be used to compare volatility of an instrument across many decades. I call this ratio the normalized volatility indicator.
I found an interesting correlation between Nvi and cycles of major equity market indexes. The formula for the Nvi is:
Nvi = 64 - Day average true range/End-of-day price * 100
The NVI gave advanced signals before the cyclical bear phase of SPX commenced in October 2000 and was almost on the spot with the bull phase that began in 2003 and the current secular bear market cycle, which started in November 2007."
Includes options to show inverse NVI and change the ATR length and smoothing.
Reversal closing priceThe reversal closing price (RCP) is a candlestick pattern which follows two simples rules:
the low price of current candle needs to be lower than the low price of the last 2 candles
the closing price of current candle needes to be higher than the closing price of the last candle
This generates a signal for a long position. For a short position, the conditions are inverted:
the high price of current candle needs to be higher than the high price of the last 2 candles
the closing price of current candle needes to be lower than the closing price of the last candle
Since RCP is a trend follower indicator, the strategy is programmed in such a way that long positions are only placed if the short period EMA is above the long period EMA, and short positions are only placed if the short EMA is bellow the long EMA. Both periods are configurable, and should be ajusted for each asset.
This strategy uses a fixed stop loss and take profit, and the it's ratio is configurable. The stop price is one tick lower than the lowest price of X candles prior to the order execution for long positions, while in short positions it's one tick higher than the higher price. The amount of candles to lookback (X) is configurable. Both stop and take profit prices are displayed, the first as a red line, and the second as a green line.
This is the setting that I've found to work best with TVC:SPX , but you may find a better setting. While the RCP is universal, it's placement depends on the trend and it's strenght, something that is very heterogeneous among assets.
I really wish that I was able to place images, but I don't have PRO, so text will have to do.
This strategy was designed by Alexandre Wolwacz, a.k.a. Stormer.
Hide Extended Hours/non-intraday American BarsOnly works with American bar style.
Not works with Candles.
--------
This script can hide the extended hours/non-intraday bars and leave the intraday bars only, especially for future users, such as ES/NQ/RTY/YM, etc.,.
Now you can find the intraday support/resistance quite easily!
Example, as a ES investor, you can easily find the intraday support/resistance level ,which is almost equal to SPY / SPX , no longer need to check SPY / SPX separately again, saving your time a lot.
--------
IMPORTANT INSTRUCTION
In order to make the script work, you have to bring it to the most top visual layer.
Please do as the following steps:
Add the script to chart
Hover mouse on the script name, and tap the right-most 'more' button (which appears as 3 dots)
Select "Visual Order", then select "Bring to front".
Done!
Also, in order to have a better view effect and make the bars COMPLETELY "Hidden", you can adjust the hidden bar color in the "setting" menu to the exact color of your chart background.
Options Decay Speed for 0DTEUse only for:
SPX, 5 minutes time frame
This indicator is complementing options 0DTE strategy - selling options for SPX index in the same day as they are expiring. Output of the indicator (red or green color of the curve) indicates whether is profitable to sell options at given moment at delta and VIX specified in the parameters. Changing parameter "Candles" is not recommended.
Main thought is that options expire with certain speed (theta decay) when stock doesnt move. When stock moves in unfavorable direction slowly enough, decay speed can compensate for disadvantage coming from option delta. Intuitively there must be certain speed of stock value change (expressed in stock value per 5 minutes) that is exactly compensating theta decay. This indicator calculates those two values (details below) and shows, where theta decay is faster than stock movement in the last hour and thus favorable to sell options.
Indicator gets its result from comparing two values:
1) volatility in the form of highest high and lowest low for past 12 candles (one hour in total) divided by 12 - meaning average movement of stock expressed in
2) speed of options value decay in form of combination of theta decay and option delta. Formulas are approximation of Black-Scholes model as Pine script doesnt allow for advanced functions. Approximations are accurate to 2 decimal points from market open to one hour before market close and will not indicate green when accuracy is not sufficient. Its value is also expressed in so its mutualy comparable.
My focus was not on code elegance but on practical usability.
Written by Ondřej Škop.
Strategy - Bobo PAPATRHi I've revamped this bot mentioned in the linked idea to make it work with v4 of pine. In doing so there are some very significant changes to how it works. The main one is that it no longer uses traditional daily pivot calculations to calculate the bands. It creates a more dynamic intraday set of pivot points based on recent price action rather than yesterday's ohlc. As published, the bot is tuned for a 15 min time frame. But it actually works well on lower time frames you just need to adjust the lookback periods in settings a bit to re tune it. It's also tuned to ES really but will need tweaking for a different instrument at the very least.
The basic concept is recent price action is used to calculate a 'middle' around which red and green bands are located. Their position or width is largely determined by recent volatility. The middle line is again calculated from recent price action. The three lines from that form a tradeable range with green at the top and red at the bottom. The strategy is simple enough, it shorts as it sinks from outside red, and longs when rising above green. The basic principle being that once you enter that range you have a high probability of hitting the middle before you hit your stop loss. So the basic principle is you are trying to capture the inherent ranginess of liquid indices like S&P 500. That back and forth movement that happens. The bot is capturing this by fading extremes of a recent range but the problem with that is you'dd get murdered in a strong trend. To mitigate that there is a trend calculation running in the background the will prevent trading against firm trends mostly. So the bot should trade mostly in rangy conditions because that is what it is trying to do.
Bot will close issue close signals automatically upon crossing the middle, it also will close automatically at predefined stops or limits. These values are denominated in market mintick values. For example the CFD SPX500 has a mintick of 0.1. Therefore a stop value of 100 will equate to 10 points on the index. If trading the same market via ES1! the mintick value is different - 0.25. So in this case a value of 40 is required to set the stop at 10 points.
Anyway shout if you have questions. Hope it's useful.
TVC:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD
Simple EMA Trading SignalUse it on:
1. Heiken Ashi, Bitstamp: BTCUSD , M15
2. Heiken Ashi, Bitstamp: BTCUSD, D1
3. USOIL Candlesticks H1
4. EURUSD Daily Candlesticks
5. GBPUSD Daily Candlesticks
6. SPX W1 Candlesticks
7. SPX H1 Heiken Ashi
8. XAUUSD Daily
Mansfield Relative Strength indicatorUse this indicator to compare how security is performing in compare with preferred index (SPX by default).
> 0 outperforming
< 0 underperforming
Works best for weekly, but can be applied to monthly and daily charts. It will be rather useless to use it in smaller timeframes
Apply it to SPX, industry index, sector index or other security in similar sector
AK TREND ID v1.00Hello,
"Are we at the top yet ? "........ " Is it a good time to invest ? " ......." Should I buy or sell ? " These are the many questions I hear and get on the daily basis. 1000's of investors do not know when to go in and out of the market. Most of them rely on the opinion of "experts" on television to make their investment decisions. Bad idea.Taking a systematic approach when investing, could save you a lot of time and headache. If there was only a way to know when to get in and out of the market !! hmmmm. The good news is that there many ways to do that. The bad news is , are you disciplined enough to follow it ?
I coded the AK_TREND ID specifically to identified trends in the SPX or SPY only . How does it work ? very simply , I simply plot the spread between the 3 month and 8 month moving average on the chart.
If the spread > 0 @ month end = BUY
if the spread < 0 @ month end = SELL
The AK TREND ID is a LAGGING Indicator , so it will not get you in at the very bottom or get you out at the very top. I did a backtest on the SPX from 1984 to 7/2/2014 (yesterday), The rule was to buy only when the AK TREND ID was green. let's look at the result:
14 trades : 11 W 3 L , 78.75 % winning %
Biggest winner (%) = 108 %
Biggest loser (%) = -10.7 %
Average Return = 27 %
Total Return since 1984 = 351.3 %
You can see the result in detail here : docs.google.com
Although the backtesting results are good, the AK TREND ID is not to be used as a trading system. It is simply design to let you know when to invest and when to get out. I'm working a more accurate version of this Indicator , that will use both technical and fundamental data. In the mean time , I hope this will give some of you piece of mind, and eliminate emotions from your trading decision. Feel free to modify the code as you wish, but please share your finding with the rest of Trading View community.
All the best
Algo
Macro Risk Sentiment - Intermarket Timing SignalOverview
This indicator builds a composite macro sentiment score by analyzing intermarket relationships between bonds, credit spreads, the US dollar, and volatility. The core premise is that these markets often signal shifts in risk appetite before equities react, providing a timing edge for managing exposure.
When macro conditions favor risk assets, the indicator signals RISK-ON (green). When conditions deteriorate, it signals RISK-OFF (red). This is not a predictive tool but rather a systematic way to assess the current macro environment.
The Problem It Solves
Markets do not move in isolation. Before major equity drawdowns, stress often appears first in credit markets, bonds, and volatility. By monitoring these leading indicators systematically, we can identify periods when holding equity exposure carries elevated risk.
The goal is not to catch every move but to avoid the worst drawdowns by stepping aside when multiple macro factors align negatively.
How It Works
Step 1: Data Collection
The indicator pulls daily data from four key markets:
Risk-On Inputs (positive for equities when rising):
- TLT (20+ Year Treasury Bonds): Rising bonds can signal improving liquidity or flight-to-safety ending
- JNK (High-Yield Corporate Bonds): Rising junk bonds indicate credit conditions improving and risk appetite increasing
Risk-Off Inputs (negative for equities when rising):
- DXY (US Dollar Index): Strong dollar tightens global financial conditions and signals risk-off flows
- VIX (Volatility Index): Elevated VIX indicates fear and hedging demand
Step 2: Z-Score Normalization
Each input trades at different absolute levels, so direct comparison is impossible. The indicator converts each to a z-score: how many standard deviations the current value is from its 252-day (1 year) average.
A z-score of +1 means "unusually high relative to recent history." A z-score of -1 means "unusually low." This puts all inputs on the same scale.
Step 3: Composite Calculation
The macro score combines the normalized inputs:
Macro Score = (TLT z-score + JNK z-score) - (DXY z-score + VIX z-score)
The result is clamped between -1.5 and +1.5 to prevent outliers from dominating, then smoothed with an EMA to reduce noise.
Step 4: Signal Generation
Seven different methods are available for determining when conditions shift:
1. EMA Cross: Classic crossover between smoothed macro and its signal line
2. Slope: Simple direction of the macro trend
3. Momentum: Rate of change exceeding a threshold
4. Session Delta: Comparing today's reading to yesterday's
5. Pivot: Market structure analysis (higher lows vs lower highs)
6. Acceleration: Second derivative (is momentum increasing?)
7. Multi-Confirm: Requires 4 or more methods to agree
Why These Specific Markets?
Bonds (TLT)
Treasury bonds often lead equities at turning points. When institutions rotate into bonds, it signals caution. When they rotate out, it signals risk appetite returning.
Credit (JNK)
High-yield bonds price credit risk faster than equities. Widening credit spreads (falling JNK) often precede equity weakness by days or weeks.
Dollar (DXY)
A strong dollar creates headwinds for multinational earnings, tightens global USD liquidity, and signals defensive positioning globally.
Volatility (VIX)
The options market prices fear before it manifests in price. Sustained elevated VIX readings indicate hedging demand and uncertainty.
Research Application: Weekly Put Selling
One application of this indicator is timing premium-selling strategies. I tested using the EMA Cross method to filter 7-day-to-expiration (7DTE) put sales on ES futures with 90% Profit Target and 600% Stop Loss, only selling puts when the indicator showed RISK-ON.
Results with Macro Filter (2020-2025):
- Trades: 200
- Win Rate: 96.0%
- Total P/L: +$33,636
- Max Drawdown: 2.91%
- Profit Factor: 3.51
Results without Filter (same period):
- Trades: 357
- Win Rate: 96.1%
- Total P/L: +$63,492
- Max Drawdown: 10.30%
- Profit Factor: 2.90
Key Insight:
The filtered approach made less total profit (fewer trades) but reduced maximum drawdown by 72% (from 10.30% to 2.91%). This significantly improves risk-adjusted returns and allows for potentially higher position sizing with confidence.
Note: These results are from external backtesting on actual options data, not the TradingView backtest engine. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Features
Seven configurable signal methods for different trading styles
Adjustable weights for each data source
Z-score normalization puts all inputs on equal footing
Visual info table showing all metrics at a glance
Background coloring for quick regime identification
Alert conditions for signal changes
Secondary plot showing method-specific metrics
Settings Guide
Macro Settings
Z-Score Lookback (default 252): Period for calculating standard deviations. 252 equals approximately one trading year. Longer periods are more stable but slower to adapt.
Macro EMA (default 7): Smoothing for the raw composite score. Lower values give faster but noisier signals.
Signal EMA (default 8): Secondary smoothing for the signal line. Used primarily in EMA Cross method.
Signal Method
EMA Cross : Recommended starting point. Signals when smoothed macro crosses its signal line.
Slope : Simpler approach based purely on trend direction.
Momentum : Requires rate of change to exceed a threshold.
Session Delta : Compares today to yesterday (daily timeframe focus).
Pivot : Uses market structure (higher lows for bullish, lower highs for bearish).
Acceleration : Measures change in slope (second derivative).
Multi-Confirm : Conservative approach requiring 4+ methods to agree.
Data Sources
Each source can be enabled/disabled and weighted from 0 to 3
Default is equal weighting (1.0) for all four sources
Experiment with emphasizing sources most relevant to your trading (tested on SPX)
How to Use
Basic Interpretation:
Green background / RISK-ON: Macro conditions favor equity exposure
Red background / RISK-OFF: Macro conditions suggest caution
Arrow markers indicate regime changes
For Risk Management:
Use RISK-OFF signals to reduce position size or hedge
Use RISK-ON signals to resume normal exposure
Consider the indicator as one input among many, not a complete system
For Options Strategies:
Avoid selling premium during RISK-OFF periods
Resume premium selling when RISK-ON returns
This approach trades frequency for reduced tail risk
Alert Setup:
Set alerts on "Bullish Turn" and "Bearish Turn" conditions
Receive notifications when the macro regime changes
Research Ideas
This indicator is designed as a research framework. Consider testing:
Different signal methods for your specific strategy
Adding or removing data sources based on what you trade
Varying the z-score lookback for different market regimes
Combining with price-based filters (moving averages, support/resistance)
Using the multi-confirm method for higher-conviction signals only
Limitations
The indicator uses daily data, so intraday signals may lag
Overnight gaps from surprise news cannot be anticipated
False signals will occur, especially in choppy, range-bound markets
The z-score lookback creates a recency bias; what was "normal" a year ago may not be relevant today
Not all drawdowns are preceded by macro deterioration; some come from idiosyncratic events
Past intermarket relationships may not persist in the future
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice.
Past performance does not guarantee future results
The research results shared are from historical backtesting and may not reflect actual trading conditions
Always conduct your own research and due diligence
Consider your personal risk tolerance before making any trading decisions
Never risk more than you can afford to lose
Credits
Intermarket analysis concepts draw from established macro trading principles. The multi-signal approach is original work designed to give users flexibility in how they interpret the macro data.
IV Rank & Percentile Suite V1.0What This Indicator Does
The IV Rank & Percentile Suite provides the volatility context options traders need to time entries. It calculates two complementary metrics—IV Rank and IV Percentile—using historical volatility as a proxy, then displays clear visual zones to identify favorable conditions for premium selling strategies.
Stop guessing if volatility is "high" or "low." This indicator tells you exactly where current volatility sits relative to recent history.
The Two Metrics Explained
IV Rank (0-100) Measures where current volatility sits within its 52-week high-low range.
IV Rank = (Current HV - 52w Low) / (52w High - 52w Low) × 100
70 means current volatility is 70% of the way between the yearly low and high
Sensitive to extreme spikes (a single high reading affects the range)
IV Percentile (0-100) Measures what percentage of days in the lookback period had lower volatility than today.
IV Percentile = (Days with lower HV / Total days) × 100
70 means volatility was lower than today on 70% of days in the past year
More stable, less affected by outlier spikes
Why Both?
IV Rank reacts faster to volatility changes. IV Percentile is more stable and statistically robust. When both agree (e.g., both above 50), you have stronger confirmation. Divergence between them can signal transitional periods.
Zone System
The indicator divides readings into three zones:
Zone ------- Default Range ---- Meaning ------------------ Premium Selling
🟢 High ≥ 50 Elevated volatility Favorable
🟡 Neutral 25-50 Normal volatility Selective
🔴 Low ≤ 25 Compressed volatility Avoid
An additional Extreme threshold (default 75) highlights prime conditions when volatility is significantly elevated.
Zone thresholds are fully customizable in settings.
How to Use It
For Premium Sellers (Iron Condors, Credit Spreads, Strangles)
Wait for IV Rank to enter the green zone (≥50)
Confirm IV Percentile agrees (also elevated)
Enter premium selling positions when both metrics align
Avoid initiating new positions when in the red zone
For Premium Buyers (Long Options, Debit Spreads)
Low IV Rank/Percentile means cheaper options
Red zone can favor directional debit strategies
Avoid buying premium when both metrics are in the green zone
General Principle:
Sell premium when volatility is high (it tends to revert to mean). Buy premium when volatility is low (if you have a directional thesis).
Inputs
Volatility Calculation
HV Period — Lookback for historical volatility calculation (default: 20)
Trading Days/Year — 252 for stocks, 365 for crypto
Lookback Periods
IV Rank Lookback — Period for high/low range (default: 252 = 1 year)
IV Percentile Lookback — Period for percentile calculation (default: 252)
Zone Thresholds
High IV Zone — Readings above this are highlighted green (default: 50)
Low IV Zone — Readings below this are highlighted red (default: 25)
Extreme High — Threshold for "prime" conditions alert (default: 75)
Display Options
Toggle IV Rank, IV Percentile, and raw HV display
Show/hide zone backgrounds
Show/hide info panel
Panel position selection
Info Panel
The panel displays:
Field ------- Description
IV Rank ------- Current reading with color coding
IV Pctl ------- Current percentile with color coding
HV 20d ------- Raw historical volatility percentage
52w Range ------- Lowest to highest HV in lookback period
Zone ------- Current zone status
Premium ------- Signal quality for premium selling
Lookback ------- Days used for calculations
R/P Spread ------- Difference between Rank and Percentile
Alerts
Six alerts are available:
Zone Transitions
IV Entered High Zone — Favorable for premium selling
IV Reached Extreme Levels — Prime conditions
IV Dropped to Low Zone — Caution for premium sellers
Threshold Crosses
IV Rank Crossed Above High Threshold
IV Rank Crossed Below Low Threshold
IV Percentile Above 75
IV Percentile Below 25
Set up alerts to get notified when conditions change without watching charts.
Technical Notes
Volatility Calculation Method
This indicator uses close-to-close historical volatility as an IV proxy:
Calculate log returns: ln(Close / Previous Close)
Take standard deviation over HV Period
Annualize: multiply by √(Trading Days)
This method correlates well with implied volatility for most liquid instruments. On highly liquid options underlyings (SPY, QQQ, major stocks), HV and IV tend to move together, making this a reliable proxy for IV Rank analysis.
Non-Repainting
All calculations use confirmed bar data. Values are fixed once a bar closes.
Lookback Requirement
The indicator needs sufficient history to calculate accurately. For a 252-day lookback, ensure your chart has at least 300+ bars of data.
Best Used On
ETFs: SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA
Indices: SPX, NDX
High-volume stocks: AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, AMD, META
Timeframe: Daily (recommended), Weekly for longer-term view
The indicator works on any instrument but is most meaningful on underlyings with active options markets.
Important Notes
⚠️ This indicator uses historical volatility as a proxy for implied volatility. While HV and IV are correlated, they are not identical. For precise IV data, consult your options broker's platform.
⚠️ High IV Rank does not guarantee profitable premium selling. It indicates favorable conditions, not guaranteed outcomes. Position sizing and risk management remain essential.
⚠️ Past volatility patterns do not guarantee future behavior. Volatility regimes can shift, and historical ranges may not predict future ranges.
Suggested Workflow
Add to daily chart of your preferred underlying
Set up alert for "IV Entered High Zone"
When alerted, check both IV Rank and IV Percentile
If both elevated, evaluate premium selling opportunities
Use your broker's actual IV data for final entry decisions
Questions? Leave a comment below.
MAG7 Market Cap Weighted Index [Reflex]Summary
A synthetic intraday index built from the MAG7, weighted by market cap and plotted as true OHLC candles.
Usage
This indicator was designed for market breadth analyses. Since it uses market cap weighting, it behaves like any other index (eg. SPX).
It shows where mega-cap leadership is actually trading, making it useful for trend confirmation, divergence analysis versus NQ/ES, and contextualizing the breadth of the market.
The index is intentionally gated to the NY RTH session to avoid distorted behavior when component data is unavailable.
The Blessed Trader Ph. | Double EMA + RSI (20) Strategy v1.0📊 The Blessed Trader Ph.
Double EMA + RSI (20) Strategy — v1.0
1️⃣ Strategy Overview
This is a trend-following breakout strategy designed to:
Catch strong directional moves
Filter out weak trades using momentum confirmation
Control risk with ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit
It works best in trending markets such as:
Crypto (BTC, ETH, altcoins)
Forex (major & minor pairs)
Indices (NAS100, US30, SPX)
2️⃣ Indicators Used
🔹 Double EMA Channel
EMA 20 High → Dynamic resistance
EMA 20 Low → Dynamic support
These two EMAs create a price channel:
Break above → bullish strength
Break below → bearish weakness
Unlike a single EMA on close, using High & Low EMAs helps:
Reduce fake breakouts
Confirm real price expansion
🔹 RSI (20)
Measures momentum strength
RSI > 50 → bullish momentum
RSI < 50 → bearish momentum
RSI is used only as a filter, not as an overbought/oversold signal.
🔹 ATR (14)
Measures market volatility
Used to calculate:
Stop Loss (1.5 × ATR)
Take Profit (3.0 × ATR)
This makes the strategy:
Adaptive to any market
Effective across timeframes
3️⃣ Trade Rules (Very Important)
✅ BUY (LONG) Conditions
A buy trade is opened only when all conditions are met:
Price closes above EMA 20 High
RSI (20) is above 50
Candle is confirmed (bar close)
➡️ This means:
“Price has broken resistance with strong momentum.”
❌ SELL / EXIT Conditions
The long trade is closed when:
Price closes below EMA 20 Low
RSI (20) is below 50
➡️ This signals:
“Trend strength is weakening or reversing.”
🛑 Stop Loss & 🎯 Take Profit
Stop Loss = Entry − (ATR × 1.5)
Take Profit = Entry + (ATR × 3.0)
Risk–Reward ≈ 1 : 2
This protects capital and lets winners run.
4️⃣ Why This Strategy Works
✔ Trades with the trend
✔ Avoids ranging markets
✔ Uses confirmation, not prediction
✔ Non-repainting (bar close only)
✔ Works on any timeframe
5️⃣ 🔥 Why Heikin Ashi Candles Improve Results
What are Heikin Ashi candles?
Heikin Ashi candles smooth price action by averaging price data instead of using raw OHLC values.
Benefits for THIS strategy:
✅ 1. Cleaner Trend Detection
Fewer false EMA breakouts
Smoother closes above EMA High
Stronger continuation signals
✅ 2. Reduced Whipsaws
RSI stays more stable
Fewer fake buy signals during consolidation
✅ 3. Better Trade Holding
Keeps you in trends longer
Avoids early exits caused by noise
6️⃣ How to Use Heikin Ashi with This Strategy
On TradingView:
Open your chart
Click Candles
Select Heikin Ashi
Apply the strategy
📌 Important Tip
EMAs & RSI will now be calculated using Heikin Ashi data
This is ideal for trend-following, not scalping ranges
7️⃣ Best Settings & Recommendations
⏱ Timeframes
5m / 15m → Crypto & Forex intraday
1H / 4H → Swing trading
Daily → Position trading
📈 Market Conditions
Best in strong trends
Avoid low-volatility ranges
🎯 Pro Tip
Combine with:
Higher-timeframe trend bias
Session filter (London / New York)
Volume confirmation
8️⃣ Final Advice from
🙏 The Blessed Trader Ph.
“This strategy doesn’t predict — it confirms.
Be patient. Wait for clean Heikin Ashi closes.
Trade less, but trade better.”






















