Risk Management: Position Size & Risk RewardHere is a Risk Management Indicator that calculates stop loss and position sizing based on the volatility of the stock. Most traders use a basic 1 or 2% Risk Rule, where they will not risk more than 1 or 2% of their capital on any one trade. I went further and applied four levels of risk: 0.25%, 0.50%, 1% and 2%. How you apply these different levels of risk is what makes this indicator extremely useful. Here are some common ways to apply this script:
• If the stock is extremely volatile and has a better than 50% chance of hitting the stop loss, then risk only 0.25% of your capital on that trade.
• If a stock has low volatility and has less than 20% change of hitting the stop loss, then risk 2% of your capital on that trade.
• Risking anywhere between 0.25% and 2% is purely based on your intuition and assessment of the market.
• If you are on a losing streak and you want to cut back on your position sizing, then lowering the Risk % can help you weather the storm.
• If you are on a winning streak and your entries are experiencing a higher level of success, then gradually increase the Risk % to reap bigger profits.
• If you want to trade outside the noise of the market or take on more noise/risk, you can adjust the ATR Factor.
• … and whatever else you can imagine using it to benefit your trading.
The position size is calculated using the Capital and Risk % fields, which is the percentage of your total trading capital (a.k.a net liquidity or Capital at Risk). If you instead want to calculate the position size based on a specific amount of money, then enter the amount in the Custom Risk Amt input box. Any amount greater than 0 in the Custom Risk Amt field will override the values in the Capital and Risk % fields.
The stop loss is calculated by using the ATR. The default setting is the 14 RMA, but you can change the length and smoothing of the true range moving average to your liking. Selecting a different length and smoothing affects the stop loss and position size, so choose these values very carefully.
The ATR Factor is a multiplier of the ATR. The ATR Factor can be used to adjust the stop loss and move it outside of the market noise. For the more volatile stock, increase the factor to lower the stop loss and reduce the chance of getting stopped out. For stocks with less volatility , you can lower the factor to raise the stop loss and increase position size. Adjusting the ATR Factor can also be useful when you want the stop loss to be at or below key levels of support.
The Market Session is the hours the market is open. The Market Session only affects the Opening Range Breakout (ORB) option, so it’s important to change these values if you’re trading the ORB and you’re outside of Eastern Standard Time or you’re trading in a foreign exchange.
The ORB is a bonus to the script. When enabled, the indicator will only appear in the first green candle of the day (09:30:00 or 09:30 AM EST or the start time specified in Market Session). When using the ORB, the stop loss is based on the spread of the first candle at the Open. The spread is the difference between the High and Low of the green candle. On 1-day or higher timeframes, the indicator will be the spread of the last (or current) candle.
The output of the indicator is a label overlaying the chart:
1. ATR (14 RMA x2) – This indicated that the stop loss is determined by the ATR. The x2 is the ATR Factor. If ORB is selected, then the first line will show SPREAD, instead of ATR.
2. Capital – This is your total capital or capital at risk.
3. Risk X% of Capital – The amount you’re risking on a % of the Capital. If a Custom Risk Amt is entered, then Risk Amount will be shown in place of Capital and Risk % of Capital.
4. Entry – The current price.
5. Stop Loss – The stop loss price.
6. -1R – The stop loss price and the amount that will be lost of the stop loss is hit.
7. – These are the target prices, or levels where you will want to take profit.
This script is primarily meant for people who are new to active trading and who are looking for a sound risk management strategy based on market volatility . This script can also be used by the more experienced trader who is using a similar system, but also wants to see it applied as an indicator on TradingView. I’m looking forward to maintaining this script and making it better in future revisions. If you want to include or change anything you believe will be a good change or feature, then please contact me in TradingView.
Search in scripts for "take profit"
Ultimate Strategy TemplateHello Traders
As most of you know, I'm a member of the PineCoders community and I sometimes take freelance pine coding jobs for TradingView users.
Off the top of my head, users often want to:
- convert an indicator into a strategy, so as to get the backtesting statistics from TradingView
- add alerts to their indicator/strategy
- develop a generic strategy template which can be plugged into (almost) any indicator
My gift for the community today is my Ultimate Strategy Template
Step 1: Create your connector
Adapt your indicator with only 2 lines of code and then connect it to this strategy template.
For doing so:
1) Find in your indicator where are the conditions printing the long/buy and short/sell signals.
2) Create an additional plot as below
I'm giving an example with a Two moving averages cross.
Please replicate the same methodology for your indicator wether it's a MACD, ZigZag, Pivots, higher-highs, lower-lows or whatever indicator with clear buy and sell conditions
//@version=4
study(title='Moving Average Cross', shorttitle='Moving Average Cross', overlay=true, precision=6, max_labels_count=500, max_lines_count=500)
type_ma1 = input(title="MA1 type", defval="SMA", options= )
length_ma1 = input(10, title = " MA1 length", type=input.integer)
type_ma2 = input(title="MA2 type", defval="SMA", options= )
length_ma2 = input(100, title = " MA2 length", type=input.integer)
// MA
f_ma(smoothing, src, length) =>
iff(smoothing == "RMA", rma(src, length),
iff(smoothing == "SMA", sma(src, length),
iff(smoothing == "EMA", ema(src, length), src)))
MA1 = f_ma(type_ma1, close, length_ma1)
MA2 = f_ma(type_ma2, close, length_ma2)
// buy and sell conditions
buy = crossover(MA1, MA2)
sell = crossunder(MA1, MA2)
plot(MA1, color=color_ma1, title="Plot MA1", linewidth=3)
plot(MA2, color=color_ma2, title="Plot MA2", linewidth=3)
plotshape(buy, title='LONG SIGNAL', style=shape.circle, location=location.belowbar, color=color_ma1, size=size.normal)
plotshape(sell, title='SHORT SIGNAL', style=shape.circle, location=location.abovebar, color=color_ma2, size=size.normal)
/////////////////////////// SIGNAL FOR STRATEGY /////////////////////////
Signal = buy ? 1 : sell ? -1 : 0
plot(Signal, title="🔌Connector🔌", transp=100)
Basically, I identified my buy, sell conditions in the code and added this at the bottom of my indicator code
Signal = buy ? 1 : sell ? -1 : 0
plot(Signal, title="🔌Connector🔌", transp=100)
Important Notes
🔥 The Strategy Template expects the value to be exactly 1 for the bullish signal , and -1 for the bearish signal
Now you can connect your indicator to the Strategy Template using the method below or that one
Step 2: Connect the connector
1) Add your updated indicator to a TradingView chart
2) Add the Strategy Template as well to the SAME chart
3) Open the Strategy Template settings and in the Data Source field select your 🔌Connector🔌 (which comes from your indicator)
From then, you should start seeing the signals and plenty of other stuff on your chart
🔥 Note that whenever you'll update your indicator values, the strategy statistics and visual on your chart will update in real-time
Settings
- Color Candles : Color the candles based on the trade state (bullish, bearish, neutral)
- Close positions at market at the end of each session : useful for everything but cryptocurrencies
- Session time ranges : Take the signals from a starting time to an ending time
- Close Direction : Choose to close only the longs, shorts, or both
- Date Filter : Take the signals from a starting date to an ending date
- Set the maximum losing streak length with an input
- Set the maximum winning streak length with an input
- Set the maximum consecutive days with a loss
- Set the maximum drawdown (in % of strategy equity)
- Set the maximum intraday loss in percentage
- Limit the number of trades per day
- Limit the number of trades per week
- Stop-loss: None or Percentage or Trailing Stop Percentage or ATR
- Take-Profit: None or Percentage or ATR
- Risk-Reward based on ATR multiple for the Stop-Loss and Take-Profit
This script is open-source so feel free to use it, and optimize it as you want
Alerts
Maybe you didn't know it but alerts are available on strategy scripts.
I added them in this template - that's cool because:
- if you don't know how to code, now you can connect your indicator and get alerts
- you have now a cool template showing you how to create alerts for strategy scripts
Source: www.tradingview.com
I hope you'll like it, use it, optimize it and most importantly....make some optimizations to your indicators thanks to this Strategy template
Special Thanks
Special thanks to @JosKodify as I borrowed a few risk management snippets from his website: kodify.net
Additional features
I thought of plenty of extra filters that I'll add later on this week on this strategy template
Best
Dave
[fareid] Quick Backtest Framework█ OVERVIEW
This Framework allows Pine Coders to quickly code Study() based signal/strategy and validate its viability before proceed to code with more advance/complex customized rules for entry, exit, trailstop, risk management etc..
This is somewhat an upgraded version of my earlier personal template with different strategy used, cleaner code
and additional features.
█ USE CASES
- You have an idea for trade signal and need a quick way to verify its potential before writing lengthy/complicated code
- You found a study script for trading signal in public library and want to validate it profitability with minimum effort before including it in your trading playbook
█ FEATURES
- Alert: Ready to use alert function based on signals from your custom indicator.
- Visual Backtest: Auto-plot entry, stop-loss and take profit for simple strategy performance analysis
- Backtest Statistic: Provide basic key metrics based on backtest strategy
- BTE External Signal Protocol: Ready to use code that will supply required state to PineCoders Backtesting & Trading Engine if you wish to have more advance and sophisticated backtesting engine
Notes: All of the above features have On/Off toggle
█ Description & How To Use
This Framework consist of 5 Modules but you only need to edit the first 2 Modules:
Module1: Indicator
Module2: Framework Input Protocol
Module3: Alert
Module4: Backtest
Module5: Backtest & Trading Engine
Tips: The source-code includes collapsible block by module for easy navigating
Module1: Indicator:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Main Module. Place custom indicator input parameter/calculation/indicator plotting here
Sample Strategy: Double MACD Crossover
MACD Signal: 1st MACD Cross above signal line indicate Buy Signal
1st MACD Cross below signal line indicate Sell Signal
MACD Filter: 2nd MACD is above 0 line indicate Uptrend
2nd MACD is below 0 line indicate Downtrend
Module2: Framework Input Protocol:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Use this module to connect main indicator/signal calculated in Module1 to the rest of the framework's module
4 variables needed to be defined here:
1. Uptrend
2. Dntrend
3. BuySignal
4. SellSignal
i'm not sure how to place a code snippet here to show you example so in the source code i already put a comment in Module2 on which part u need to edit. I hope its pretty simple to use.
Module3: Alert Module Description:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As long as the variables in Module2 properly defined, the alert module is ready to use without any further modification.
Input:
Enable Alert --> Enable TV's alert and plot signal to chart
Alert Type --> Set to take Buy only, Sell only or Both alert
Module4: Backtest Module Description:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As long as the variables in Module2 properly defined, the backtest module is ready to use without any further modification.
Input:
Backtest Stat --> Enable Backtest Statistic Label
Backtest Visual --> Enable Backtest visual simulation
Backtest Type --> Set to take Buy only or Sell only or both
SL Type -->
ATR : Set SL in ATR times Multiplier below entry price
Fixed : Set SL in fixed point below entry point (in 'Dollar'). e.g. for Stocks -> 0.5 equals to 50cent while for EURUSD currency -> 0.005 equal to 50 pips
HiLo Bar: Set SL at highest/lowest wick of previous bar plus/minus Fixed point. e.g. EURUSD HiLo=3 and Fixed Point = 0.0005, buy trade will place SL 5 Pips below lowest of previous 3 bar
SL ATR Multi --> Set Lookback Period used for SL's ATR calculation
SL ATR Multi --> Set ATR Multiplier for SL
SL Fixed --> Set Fixed Level for SL
SL Bar --> Set Number of previous bar to check for SL placement
TP RR Ratio --> Set TP based on RR multiplier. e.g. 2 means TP level will be twice further from entry point compared to Entry-SL distance.
Notes: The point is for preliminary testing, so it only supports 1 trade at a time and no Trailing Stop
Module5: Backtest & Trading Engine Description:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As long as the variables in Module2 properly defined, the Pinecoders BTE module is ready to use without any further modification.
Input:
External Signal Protocol --> Set ESP State to send to "Backtesting & Trading Engine "
Signal With Filter --> Use this to send entry signal that already filtered by this study indicator (without stoploss level)
Signal Without Filter --> Use this to send raw entry signal that are NOT YET FILTERED by this study indicator (without stoploss level)
Signal and Stop With Filter --> Use this to send entry signal WITH StopLoss that already filtered by this study indicator (with stoploss level)
Signal and Stop Without Filter --> Use this to send raw entry signal WITH StopLoss that are NOT YET FILTERED by this study indicator (with stoploss level)
Notes: Backtesting & Trading Engine already have built-in Filter, Entries and Stop Level. e.g. Unselect all their filter state if only want to use custom filter and make sure send Signal with Filter (with or without SL level)
█ DISCLAIMER:
This framework main objective is to create my personal indicator template so that i just have to modify the indicator module for preliminary testing in future.
The sample strategy included are for educational purpose only. Use at your own risk
credit: LucF/PineCoders for a lot of his scripts that i use as a guide to complete this
Pyramiding Entries On Early Trends (by Coinrule)Pyramiding the entries in a trading strategy may be risky but at the same time very profitable with a proper risk management approach. This strategy seeks to spot early signs of uptrends and increase the position's size while the right conditions persist.
Each trade comes with its stop-loss and take-profit to enforce a proportional risk/reward profile.
The strategy uses a mix of Moving Average based setups to define the buy-signal.
The Moving Average (200) is above the Moving Average (100), which prevents from buying when the uptrend is already in its late stages
The Moving Average (9) is above the Moving Average (100), indicating that the coin is not in a downtrend.
The price crossing above the Moving Average (9) confirms the potential upside used to fire the buy order.
Each entry comes with a stop-loss and a take-profit in a ratio of 1-to-1. After over 400 backtests, we opted for a 3% TP and 3% SL, which provides the best results.
The strategy is optimized on a 1-hour time frame.
The Advantages of this strategy are:
It offers the possibility of adjusting the size of the position proportionally to the confidence in the possibilities that an uptrend will eventually form.
Low drawdowns. On average, the percentage of trades in profit is above 60%, and the stop-loss equal to the take-profit reduces the overall risk.
This strategy returned good returns both with trading pairs with Fiat/stable coins and with BTC. Considering the mixed trends that cryptocurrencies experienced during 2020 vs BTC, this strengthens the strategy's reliability.
The strategy assumes each order to trade 20% of the available capital and pyramids the entries up to 7 times.
A trading fee of 0.1% is taken into account. The fee is aligned to the base fee applied on Binance, which is the largest cryptocurrency exchange.
888 BOT #alerts█ 888 BOT #alerts (open source)
This is an Expert Advisor 'EA' or Automated trading script for ‘longs’ and ‘shorts’, which uses only a Take Profit or, in the worst case, a Stop Loss to close the trade.
It's a much improved version of the previous ‘Repanocha’. It doesn`t use 'Trailing Stop' or 'security ()' functions (although using a security function doesn`t mean that the script repaints) and all signals are confirmed, therefore the script doesn`t repaint in alert mode and is accurate in backtest mode.
Apart from the previous indicators, some more and other functions have been added for Stop-Loss, re-entry and leverage.
It uses 8 indicators, (many of you already know what they are, but in case there is someone new), these are the following:
1. Jurik Moving Average
It's a moving average created by Mark Jurik for professionals which eliminates the 'lag' or delay of the signal. It's better than other moving averages like EMA , DEMA , AMA or T3.
There are two ways to decrease noise using JMA . Increasing the 'LENGTH' parameter will cause JMA to move more slowly and therefore reduce noise at the expense of adding 'lag'
The 'JMA LENGTH', 'PHASE' and 'POWER' parameters offer a way to select the optimal balance between 'lag' and over boost.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
2. Range filter
Created by Donovan Wall, its function is to filter or eliminate noise and to better determine the price trend in the short term.
First, a uniform average price range 'SAMPLING PERIOD' is calculated for the filter base and multiplied by a specific quantity 'RANGE MULTIPLIER'.
The filter is then calculated by adjusting price movements that do not exceed the specified range.
Finally, the target ranges are plotted to show the prices that will trigger the filter movement.
Green: Bullish , Red: Bearish .
3. Average Directional Index ( ADX Classic) and ( ADX Masanakamura)
It's an indicator designed by Welles Wilder to measure the strength and direction of the market trend. The price movement is strong when the ADX has a positive slope and is above a certain minimum level 'ADX THRESHOLD' and for a given period 'ADX LENGTH'.
The green color of the bars indicates that the trend is bullish and that the ADX is above the level established by the threshold.
The red color of the bars indicates that the trend is down and that the ADX is above the threshold level.
The orange color of the bars indicates that the price is not strong and will surely lateralize.
You can choose between the classic option and the one created by a certain 'Masanakamura'. The main difference between the two is that in the first it uses RMA () and in the second SMA () in its calculation.
4. Parabolic SAR
This indicator, also created by Welles Wilder, places points that help define a trend. The Parabolic SAR can follow the price above or below, the peculiarity that it offers is that when the price touches the indicator, it jumps to the other side of the price (if the Parabolic SAR was below the price it jumps up and vice versa) to a distance predetermined by the indicator. At this time the indicator continues to follow the price, reducing the distance with each candle until it is finally touched again by the price and the process starts again. This procedure explains the name of the indicator: the Parabolic SAR follows the price generating a characteristic parabolic shape, when the price touches it, stops and turns ( SAR is the acronym for 'stop and reverse'), giving rise to a new cycle. When the points are below the price, the trend is up, while the points above the price indicate a downward trend.
5. RSI with Volume
This indicator was created by LazyBear from the popular RSI .
The RSI is an oscillator-type indicator used in technical analysis and also created by Welles Wilder that shows the strength of the price by comparing individual movements up or down in successive closing prices.
LazyBear added a volume parameter that makes it more accurate to the market movement.
A good way to use RSI is by considering the 50 'RSI CENTER LINE' centerline. When the oscillator is above, the trend is bullish and when it is below, the trend is bearish .
6. Moving Average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) and ( MAC-Z )
It was created by Gerald Appel. Subsequently, the histogram was added to anticipate the crossing of MA. Broadly speaking, we can say that the MACD is an oscillator consisting of two moving averages that rotate around the zero line. The MACD line is the difference between a short moving average 'MACD FAST MA LENGTH' and a long moving average 'MACD SLOW MA LENGTH'. It's an indicator that allows us to have a reference on the trend of the asset on which it is operating, thus generating market entry and exit signals.
We can talk about a bull market when the MACD histogram is above the zero line, along with the signal line, while we are talking about a bear market when the MACD histogram is below the zero line.
There is the option of using the MAC-Z indicator created by LazyBear, which according to its author is more effective, by using the parameter VWAP ( volume weighted average price ) 'Z-VWAP LENGTH' together with a standard deviation 'STDEV LENGTH' in its calculation.
7. Volume Condition
Volume indicates the number of participants in this war between bulls and bears, the more volume the more likely the price will move in favor of the trend. A low trading volume indicates a lower number of participants and interest in the instrument in question. Low volumes may reveal weakness behind a price movement.
With this condition, those signals whose volume is less than the volume SMA for a period 'SMA VOLUME LENGTH' multiplied by a factor 'VOLUME FACTOR' are filtered. In addition, it determines the leverage used, the more volume , the more participants, the more probability that the price will move in our favor, that is, we can use more leverage. The leverage in this script is determined by how many times the volume is above the SMA line.
The maximum leverage is 8.
8. Bollinger Bands
This indicator was created by John Bollinger and consists of three bands that are drawn superimposed on the price evolution graph.
The central band is a moving average, normally a simple moving average calculated with 20 periods is used. ('BB LENGTH' Number of periods of the moving average)
The upper band is calculated by adding the value of the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average. ('BB MULTIPLIER' Number of times the standard deviation of the moving average)
The lower band is calculated by subtracting the simple moving average X times the standard deviation of the moving average.
the band between the upper and lower bands contains, statistically, almost 90% of the possible price variations, which means that any movement of the price outside the bands has special relevance.
In practical terms, Bollinger bands behave as if they were an elastic band so that, if the price touches them, it has a high probability of bouncing.
Sometimes, after the entry order is filled, the price is returned to the opposite side. If price touch the Bollinger band in the same previous conditions, another order is filled in the same direction of the position to improve the average entry price, (% MINIMUM BETTER PRICE ': Minimum price for the re-entry to be executed and that is better than the price of the previous position in a given %) in this way we give the trade a chance that the Take Profit is executed before. The downside is that the position is doubled in size. 'ACTIVATE DIVIDE TP': Divide the size of the TP in half. More probability of the trade closing but less profit.
█ STOP LOSS and RISK MANAGEMENT.
A good risk management is what can make your equity go up or be liquidated.
The % risk is the percentage of our capital that we are willing to lose by operation. This is recommended to be between 1-5%.
% Risk: (% Stop Loss x % Equity per trade x Leverage) / 100
First the strategy is calculated with Stop Loss, then the risk per operation is determined and from there, the amount per operation is calculated and not vice versa.
In this script you can use a normal Stop Loss or one according to the ATR. Also activate the option to trigger it earlier if the risk percentage is reached. '% RISK ALLOWED' wich is calculated according with: '%EQUITY ON EACH ENTRY'. Only works with Stop Loss on 'NORMAL' or 'BOTH' mode.
'STOP LOSS CONFIRMED': The Stop Loss is only activated if the closing of the previous bar is in the loss limit condition. It's useful to prevent the SL from triggering when they do a ‘pump’ to sweep Stops and then return the price to the previous state.
█ ALERTS
There is an alert for each leverage, therefore a maximum of 8 alerts can be set for 'long' and 8 for 'short', plus an alert to close the trade with Take Profit or Stop Loss in market mode. You can also place Take Profit limit and Stop Loss limit orders a few seconds after filling the position entry order.
- 'MAXIMUM LEVERAGE': It is the maximum allowed multiplier of the % quantity entered on each entry for 1X according to the volume condition.
- 'ADVANCE ALERTS': There is always a time delay from when the alert is triggered until it reaches the exchange and can be between 1-15 seconds. With this parameter, you can advance the alert by the necessary seconds to activate it earlier. In this way it can be synchronized with the exchange so that the execution time of the entry order to the position coincides with the opening of the bar.
The settings are for Bitcoin at Binance Futures (BTC: USDTPERP) in 15 minutes.
For other pairs and other timeframes, the settings have to be adjusted again. And within a month, the settings will be different because we all know the market and the trend are changing.
Ampleforth Rebase MACDThis script reveals Ampleforth rebase levels which are going to always work. In addition to that is MACD crossovers serving as potential buy/sell entries. You can set alerts for MACD crossovers and price entering balanced value area (0.96 - 1.06).
MACD signals can be used to automatically open a position and entering a balanced value area can be used as take-profit. Since the price will always move to this level, using this strategy without leverage should be profitable.
Ampleforth seems like a nice asset to trade since it is unlikely to correlate with anything else. At least not when it gets to the extreme levels.
MACD+ Strategy [SystemAlpha]This is a strategy based on MACD Oscillator . Instead of using just the normal crossovers, we use trend filters, trailing stop loss and take profit targets. This strategy was developed for crypto, forex and stocks on daily timeframe but feel free to experiment on 15 minutes or higher using heikin ashi or normal candles
In this strategy you have a choice of:
Trend Filters:
- Average Directional Index ( ADX ) – buy when price is trend is up and sell when trend is down.
- Moving Average (MA) – buy when price close above the defined moving average and sell when price close below moving average
- Parabolic SAR – buy when SAR is above price is above price and sell when SAR is below price.
- All - Use ADX , MA and SAR as filters
For MA Filter , you can use the “TF MA Type” and "TF MA Period" parameter to select Simple or Exponential Moving Average and length.
Stop Loss:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Parabolic SAR ( SAR ) – Parabolic SAR adapted as trailing stop loss.
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Trailing Stop Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Take Profit Target:
- Average True Range (ATR) – ATR % stop as trailing stop loss.
- Standard % – Percent as target profit
For ATR , you can use the “ATR Take Profit Multiplier” parameter to set an initial offset for trailing stop loss.
Additional feature include:
- Regular and Hidden Divergence display and alerts
STRATEGY ONLY:
- Set back test date range
- Set trade direction - Long, Short or Both
- Use timed exit - Select method and bars
- Method 1: Exit after specified number of bars.
- Method 2: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently profitable.
- Method 3: Exit after specified number of bars, ONLY if position is currently losing.
TradingView Links:
Alerts:
MACD:
How to use:
1. Apply the script by browsing through Indicators --> Invite-Only scripts and select the indicator
2. Once loaded, click the gear (settings) button to select/adjust the parameters based on your preference.
3. Wait for the next BUY or SELL signal to enter the trade!
Disclaimer:
The indicator and signals generated do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and are subject to change without notice.
Grid Like StrategyIt is possible to use progressive position sizing in order to recover from past losses, a well-known position sizing system being the "martingale", which consists of doubling your position size after a loss, this allows you to recover any previous losses in a losing streak + winning an extra. This system has seen a lot of attention from the trading community (mostly from beginners), and many strategies have been designed around the martingale, one of them being "grid trading strategies".
While such strategies often shows promising results on paper, they are often subjects to many frictions during live trading that makes them totally unusable and dangerous to the trader. The motivations behind posting such a strategy isn't to glorify such systems, but rather to present the problems behind them, many users come to me with their ideas and glorious ways to make money, sometimes they present strategies using the martingale, and it is important to present the flaws of this methodology rather than blindly saying "you shouldn't use it".
Strategy Settings
Point determines the "grid" size and should be adjusted accordingly to the scale of the symbol you are applying the strategy to. Higher value would require larger price movements in order to trigger a trade, as such higher values will generate fewer trades.
The order size determines the number of contracts/shares to purchase.
The martingale multiplier determines the factor by which the position size is multiplied after a loss, using values higher to 2 will "squarify" your balance, while a value of 1 would use a constant position sizing.
Finally, the anti-martingale parameter determines whether the strategy uses a reverse martingale or not, if set to true then the position size is multiplied after any wins.
The Grid
Grid strategies are commons and do not present huge problems until we use certain position sizing methods such as the martingale. A martingale is extremely sensitive to any kind of friction (frictional costs, slippage...etc), the grid strategy aims to provide a stable and simple environment where a martingale might possibly behave well.
The goal of a simple grid strategy is to go long once the price crossover a certain level, a take profit is set at the level above the current one and stop loss is placed at the level below the current one, in a winning scenario the price reach the take profit, the position is closed and a new one is opened with the same setup. In a losing scenario, the price reaches the stop loss level, the position is closed and a short one is opened, the take profit is set at the level below the current one, and a stop loss is set at the level above the current one. Note that all levels are equally spaced.
It follows from this strategy that wins and losses should be constant over time, as such our balance would evolve in a linear fashion. This is a great setup for a martingale, as we are theoretically assured to recover all the looses in a losing streak.
Martingale - Exponential Decays - Risk/Reward
By using a martingale we double our position size (exposure) each time we lose a trade, if we look at our balance when using a martingale we see significant drawdowns, with our balance peaking down significantly. The martingale sequence is subject to exponential growth, as such using a martingale makes our balance exposed to exponential decays, that's really bad, we could basically lose all the initially invested capital in a short amount of time, it follows from this that the theoretical success of a martingale is determined by what is the maximum losing streak you can endure
Now consider how a martingale affects our risk-reward ratio, assuming unity position sizing our martingale sequence can be described by 2^(x-1) , using this formula we would get the amount of shares/contracts we need to purchase at the x trade of a losing streak, we would need to purchase 256 contracts in order to recover from a losing streak of size 9, this is enormous when you take into account that your wins are way smaller, the risk-reward ratio is totally unfair.
Of course, some users might think that a losing streak of size 9 is pretty unlikely, if the probability of winning and losing are both equal to 0.5, then the probability of 9 consecutive losses is equal to 0.5^9 , there are approximately 0.2% of chance of having such large losing streak, note however that under a ranging market such case scenario could happen, but we will see later that the length of a losing streak is not the only problem.
Other Problems
Having a capital large enough to tank 9any number of consecutive losses is not the only thing one should focus on, as we have to take into account market prices and trading dynamics, that's where the ugly part start.
Our first problem is frictional costs, one example being the spread, but this is a common problem for any strategy, however here a martingale is extra sensitive to it, if the strategy does not account for it then we will still double our positions costs but we might not recover all the losses of a losing streak, instead we would be recovering only a proportion of it, under such scenario you would be certain to lose over time.
Another problem are gaps, market price might open under a stop-loss without triggering it, and this is a big no-no.
Equity of the strategy on AMD, in a desired scenario the equity at the second arrow should have been at a higher position than the equity at the first arrow.
In order for the strategy to be more effective, we would need to trade a market that does not close, such as the cryptocurrency market. Finally, we might be affected by slippage, altho only extreme values might drastically affect our balance.
The Anti Martingale
The strategy lets you use an anti-martingale, which double the position size after a win instead of a loss, the goal here is not to recover from a losing strike but instead to profit from a potential winning streak.
Here we are exposing your balance to exponential gross but you might also lose a trade at the end a winning streak, you will generally want to reinitialize your position size after a few wins instead of waiting for the end of a streak.
Alternative
You can use other-kind of progressions for position sizing, such as a linear one, increasing your position size by a constant number each time you lose. More gentle progressions will recover a proportion of your losses in a losing streak.
You can also simulate the effect of a martingale without doubling your position size by doubling your target profit, if for example you have a 10$ profit-target/stop-loss and lose a trade, you can use a 20$ profit target to recover from the lost trade + gain a profit of 10$. While this approach does not introduce exponential decay in your balance, you are betting on the market reaching your take profits, considering the fact that you are doubling their size you are expecting market volatility to increase drastically over time, as such this approach would not be extremely effective for high losing streak.
Conclusion
You will see a lot of auto-trading strategies that are based on a grid approach, they might even use a martingale. While the backtests will look appealing, you should think twice before using such kind of strategy, remember that frictional costs will be a huge challenge for the strategy, and that it assumes that the trader has an important initial capital. We have also seen that the risk/reward ratio is theoretically the worst you can have on a strategy, having a low reward and a high risk. This does not mean that progressive position sizing is bad, but it should not be pushed to the extreme.
It is nice to note that the martingale is originally a betting system designed for casino games, which unlike trading are not subject to frictional costs, but even casino players don't use it, so why would you?
Thx for reading
inwCoin Martingale Strategy ( for Bitcoin )** Same as my previous martingale script but this version = opensource **
inwCoin Martingale Strategy is the proof of concept strategy that in the end, anyone who using martingale strategy will kaboom their portfolio.
For those who don't know what is "martingale".. it's a simple double down strategy in the hope to cover the loss in previous entry.
Example
In the game that if you win, you'll get 100% of your bet money back.
1st loss = 1$
2nd loss = bet 2$ : if win, get 2$ / real profit = 1$ ( 2-1 )
3rd loss = bet 4$ : if win, get 4$ / real profit = 1$ ( 4 - ( 2+1) )
4th loss = bet 8$ : if win, get 8$ / real profit = 1$ ( 8 - ( 4+2+1 ) )
...
...
10th loss = bet 512$ : if win, get 512$ / real profit = 1$ ( 512 - ( 256+128+64+32+16+8+4+2+1) )
as you can see, the next bet will be first bet x 2^(n-1)
and the profit will equal to your first bet.
==================
In trading and forex EA ( Expert Advisor or bot ) people use this strategy to fool newbies that their martingale system will generate steady income for eternity.
But in reality, this strategy will destroy your whole portfolio eventually some time in the future. Because there will be some "Blackswan event" in market at some point in time. And one who ignore this fact, will lose everything.
But, if you using low risk strategy and generate some profit from your low-risk portfolio. You can take small chunk of that profit and put it in riskier strategy like this martingale, to accerelate your profit snowball.
===================
Parameter Explaination
====================
Price = datasource for indicator calculation
Fixed position size option = if uncheck, the "Start position size" parameter will be % of your initial capital. If checked, it will fixed position size ( like 1 BTC )
Start Position Logic = condition to enter first trade
- MACD singal > 0 : Self explanatory, default macd value
- Stochastic RSI cross up : enter when sto line cross up from bottom ( 20 )
- ATR channel : enter trade if price cross above 2.3 ATR
Take Profit Percent = take profit target % from average entry
Start martingale ..= if price compare to average position entry less than this %, it will start to double down ( martingale )
Martingale Multiplier = you can specific how big you'll double down, default is 2
Trade Direction = long only for now
Use date rang = self explanatory
** make sure to setup your initial capital in properties tab **
On chart
=======
White Line = Average position price
Orange Line = your current equity
If equity less than 0, it will close any remaining positions ( It's mean your position got liquidated )
If price > equity line for "take profit percent" it will close any remaining positions.
=======
As you can see, this strategy survive 2018 drop and pump profit to 1000+% ( Check in the strategy tester tab > list of trades )
But in May 2020 -50% drop in just 3 days, your whole portfolio got liquidated.
Actually, after some digging in profit and backtest result.
This strategy, when it can survive a shape drop, can generate a lot of profit.
So, if you want to use martingale. Make sure to use only small chunk of your profit from "low-risk" strategy to accelerate your profit generation ( aka degen port )
DO NOT greedy and use all of your initial capital or borrowed money to use with this strategy!
BEST Trailing Stop StrategyHello traders
Here we go again.... with the second strategy snippet.
Reminder: the first snipper was a Trailing Profit strategy script
What's on the menu?
A trailing stop is designed to protect gains by enabling a trade to remain open and continue to profit as long as the price is moving in the investor's favor.
The order closes the trade if the price changes direction by a specified percentage or dollar amount.
Trigger me I'm famous
I developed many trading strategies in my career and often I've been asked to trigger a trailing-stop once a certain % move has been made.
On the screenshot below, the SL trigger is plotted in maroon.
Once the price goes past that level for the first time, I'll start trailing the trailing stop level.
In other words, when we see a price makes an interesting move in percentage value - we decide to trail the stop for at least not losing any more
All the BEST
Dave
TradingView Alerts to MT4 MT5 + dynamic variables NON-REPAINTINGAccidentally, I’m sharing open-source profitable Forex strategy. Accidentally, because this was aimed to be purely educational material. A few days ago TradingView released a very powerful feature of dynamic values from PineScript now being allowed to be passed in Alerts. And thanks to TradingConnector, they could be instantly executed in MT4 or MT5 platform of any broker in the world. So yeah - TradingConnector works with indices and commodities, too.
The logic of this EURUSD 6h strategy is very simple - it is based on Stochastic crossovers with stop-loss set under most recent pivot point. Setting stop-loss with surgical precision is possible exactly thanks to allowance of dynamic values in alerts. TradingConnector has been also upgraded to take advantage of these dynamic values and it now enables executing trades with pre-calculated stop-loss, take-profit, as well as stop and limit orders.
Another fresh feature of TradingConnector, is closing positions only partly - provided that the broker allows it, of course. A position needs to have trade_id specified at entry, referred to in further alerts with partial closing. Detailed spec of alerts syntax and functionalities can be found at TradingConnector website. How to include dynamic variables in alert messages can be seen at the very end of the script in alertcondition() calls.
The strategy also takes commission into consideration.
Slippage is intentionally left at 0. Due to shorter than 1 second delivery time of TradingConnector, slippage is practically non-existing. This can be achieved especially if you’re using VPS server, hosted in the same datacenter as your brokers’ servers. I am using such setup, it is doable. Small slippage and spread is already included in commission value.
This strategy is NON-REPAINTING and uses NO TRAILING-STOP or any other feature known to be faulty in TradingView backtester. Does it make this strategy bulletproof and 100% success-guaranteed? Hell no! Remember the no.1 rule of backtesting - no matter how profitable and good looking a script is, it only tells about the past. There is zero guarantee the same strategy will get similar results in the future.
To turn this script into study so that alerts can be produced, do 2 things:
1. comment “strategy” line at the beginning and uncomment “study” line
2. comment lines 54-59 and uncomment lines 62-65.
Then add script to the chart and configure alerts.
This script was build for educational purposes only.
Certainly this is not financial advice. Anybody using this script or any of its parts in any way, must be aware of high risks connected with trading.
Thanks @LucF and @a.tesla2018 for helping me with code fixes :)
Directional Movement Index with double exponential moving averagThe Directional system is a trend-following method developed by J. Welles Wilder,
in the mid-1970s. It identifies trends and shows
when a trend is moving fast enough to make it worth following. It helps traders to
profit by taking chunks out of the middle of important trends.
Trading Rules
1. Trade only from the long side when the positive Directional line is above the
negative one. Trade only from the short side when the negative Directional line
is above the positive one. The best time to trade is when the ADX is rising, show-
ing that the dominant group is getting stronger.
2. When ADX declines, it shows that the market is becoming less directional. There
are likely to be many whipsaws. When ADX points down, it is better not to use
a trend-following method.
3. When ADX falls below both Directional lines, it identifies a flat, sleepy mar-
ket. Do not use a trend-following system but get ready to trade, because major
trends emerge from such lulls.
4. The single best signal of the Directional system comes after ADX falls below
both Directional lines. The longer it stays there, the stronger the base for the
next move. When ADX rallies from below both Directional lines, it shows that
the market is waking up from a lull. When ADX rises by four steps
from its lowest point below both Directional lines, it “rings a bell” on a
new trend . It shows that a new bull market or bear market is being
born, depending on what Directional line is on top.
5. When ADX rallies above both Directional lines, it identifies an overheated mar-
ket. When ADX turns down from above both Directional lines, it shows that the
major trend has stumbled. It is a good time to take profits on a directional trade.
If you trade large positions, you definitely want to take partial profits.
This particular version uses DEMA (double exponential moving averages) in attempt to catch moves sooner.
Trade Manager (Open Source Version)Hello my young padawans looking for the FORCE to get richer on your next trade
I got pinged at least three times today asking where the hell is the indicator of the day. You asked, I delivered :)
Here's your free open-source Trade Manager Version. My associates might kill me for sharing that one... anyway this is a real GIFT.
I won't share such quality indicators too often for FREE so hope you'll appreciate its value. It can really help with your day to day trading (on top of making your charts looking more awesome)
This is an even better version compared to my previous Trade Manager Trade-Manager . It's basically a standalone version, meaning you'll have to update with 2 lines your own indicator and follow my educational post from yesterday (pasted it below also) to learn how to do it
Please read this educational post I published for you before proceeding further : How-to-connect-your-indicator-with-the-Trade-Manager
From here you normally connected the data source of your own indicator to the Trade Manager. If not, here's a reminder of the article mentionned above
Step 1 - Update your indicator
For the screenshot you see above, I used this indicator : Two-MM-Cross-MACD/ . "But sir are you really advertising your other indicators here ??" ... hmmm.... YES but I gave them for free so ... stop complaining my friend :)
Somewhere in the code you'll have a LONG and a SHORT condition. If not, please go back to study trading for noobs (I'm kidding !!!)
So it should look to something similar
nUP = ma_crossover and macd_crossover
nDN = ma_crossunder and macd_crossunder
What you will need to add at the very end of your script is a Signal plot that will be captured by the Trade Manager. This will give us :
// Signal plot to be used as external
// if crossover, sends 1, otherwise sends -1
Signal = (nUP) ? 1 : (nDN) ? -1 : na
plot(Signal, title="Signal")
The Trade Manager engines expects to receive 1 for a bullishg signal and -1 for bearish .
Step 2 - Add the Trade Manager to your chart and select the right Data Source
I feel the questions coming so I prefer to anticipate :) When you add the Trade Manager to your chart, nothing will be displayed. THIS IS NORMAL because you'll have to select the Data Source to be "Signal"
Remember our Signal variable from the Two MM Cross from before, now we'll capture it and.....drumb rolll...... that's from that moment that your life became even more AWESOME
The Engine will capture the last signal from the MM cross or any indicator actually and will update the Stop Loss, Take Profit levels based on the parameters you set on the Trade Manager
It should work with any indicator as long as you're providing a plot Signal with values 1 and -1 . In any case, you can change the Trade Manager you'll find a better logic for your trading
Now let's cover the different parameters of the tool
It should be straightforward but better to explain everything here
+Label lines : if unchecked, no SL/TPs/... will be displayed
+Show Stop Loss Signal : Will display the stop loss label. You have the choice between three options :
By default, the Stop Loss is set to NONE. You'll have to select a different option to enable the Stop Loss for real
++Percentage : Will set the SL at a percent distance from the price
++Fixed : SL fixed at a static price
++Trailing % : Trailing stop loss based on percentage level
The following is a KEY feature and I got asked for it many times those past two days. I got annoyed of getting the same request so I just did it
++Trailing TP: Will move the Stop Loss if the take profit levels are hit
Example: if TP1 is hit, SL will be moved to breakeven. If TP2 is hit, SL will be moved from TP1 to TP2
+Take Profit 1,2,3 : Visually define the three Take Profit levels. Those are percentage levels .
Meaning if you set TP1 = 2, it will set the TP1 level 2% away from the entry signal
Please note that once a Take profit level is reached, it will magically disappear. This is to be expected
I'll share in the future a way more complete version with invalidation, stop loss/take profits based on indicator, take profit based on supports/resistances, ...
I believe is such a great tool because can be connected to any indicator. I confess that I tried it only with a few... if you find any that's not working with the Trade manager, please let me know and I'll have a look
PS
I want to give a HUUUUUUUGE shoutout to the PineCoders community who helped me finishing it
Wishing you all the best and a pleasant experience with my work
David
Peak Valley Estimation StrategyIntroduction
Its the first strategy that i post here, so don't expect ground breaking stuff, when testing my indicators i always used prorealtime and not tradingview. This strategy use signals generated by the peak/valley estimator indicator i posted long ago, i think the signals generated where sometimes quite accurate in some markets thus providing potential material for a profitable strategy.
The indicator use 3 parameters, therefore the optimisation process is not easy, but i selected what i judged good parameters values at first glance. The strategy is in its more simple form without stop or anything, the detection of peaks and valley can allow for tighter stops since we expect the price to reverse, but take into account that sops and take profits are parameters subject to optimization process except if selected with strict money management rules and not profit optimization.
Of course trading the strategy in this form is far from being great, if we take into account the market non stationarity then we might expect loss during trending markets. Trend strength indicators could help switch from a reversal to breakout strategy thus maybe providing more control.
I really hope you find an use for the strategy.
Notes
Its been three long years since i started tradingview, and i put more efforts in my indicators than in my studies and life overall, this have created complicated situations and i can't afford to follow up with this, therefore i announce that in the end of june i will leave tradingview for quite a long time, at least until i have my degree. I announce it in advance in case some of you want helps of any kind. I will post all the indicators, both in progress and finished i have made during those three years. I hope you can all understand.
Thanks for reading !
makeTPSo this model try to use the the take profit issue as important
the model is based on the early model that I put in last publication , the problem is that the fire point of the buy and sell has a delay and shoot some bars after (its not repaint but a bug due to TV code) . but once it stay it will calculate correctly the take profits . so I add take profit 1 and take profit 2 to the script . and since take profit 1 is correct without delay I add option to use it as buy again or short again . you can the older entry point which is H= high or L =low as your initial buy point but be aware that it sometime shoot too late since the problem in TV script to transfer the price correctly .or to enter to buy again option which is based on take profit 1 . the H and L are correctly detecting most of the time the Highs and the lows so by going on the trend them you can use the TP which are by % to max out your gains .. this is the theory behind this model
see here on amazon the concept
Progressive Profit Taking with Trailing StopThis is version 2 of
Special features:
Added partial profit taking as price rises. Profit taking is triggered by price crossing an EMA.
After profit taking, price has to rise by a user-specified percent before taking profits again.
Also includes condition for fully closing position after meeting specified profit target.
To incorporate into your algo, turn the plotshape functions into alertcondition.
Golden Cross, SMA 200 Moving Average Strategy (by ChartArt)This famous moving average strategy is very easy to follow to decide when to buy (go long) and when to take profit.
The strategy goes long when the faster SMA 50 (the simple moving average of the last 50 bars) crosses above the slower SMA 200. Orders are closed when the SMA 50 crosses below the SMA 200. This simple strategy does not have any other stop loss or take profit money management logic. The strategy does not short and goes long only!
Here is an article explaining the "golden cross" strategy in more detail:
www.stockopedia.com
On the S&P 500 index (symbol "SPX") this strategy worked on the daily chart 81% since price data is available since 1982. And on the DOW Jones Industrial Average (symbol "DOWI") this strategy worked on the daily chart 55% since price data is available since 1916. The low number of trades is in both cases not statistically significant though.
All trading involves high risk; past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.
Elder's Market Thermometer [LazyBear]Market temperature, introduced by Dr.Alexander Elder, helps differentiate between sleepy, quiet and hot market periods.
Following is Mr.Elder's explanation on how to use this indicator (from his book "Come in to my Trading Room"):
"When markets are quiet, the adjacent bars tend to overlap. The consensus of value is well established, and the crowd does little buying or selling outside of yesterday’s range. When highs and lows exceed their previous day’s values, they do so only by small margins. Market Thermometer falls and its EMA slants down, indicating a sleepy market. When a market begins to run, either up or down, its daily bars start pushing outside of the previous ranges. The histogram of Market Thermometer grows taller and crosses above its EMA, which soon turns up, confirming the new trend."
"Market Thermometer gives four trading signals, based on the relationship between its histogram and its moving average:
1) The best time to enter new positions is when Market Thermometer falls below its moving average. When Market Thermometer falls below its EMA, it indicates that the market is quiet. If your system flashes an entry signal, try to enter when the market is cooler than usual. When Market Thermometer rises above its moving average, it warns that the market is hot and slippage more likely.
2) Exit positions when Market Thermometer rises to triple the height of its moving average. A spike of Market Thermometer indicates a runaway move. When the crowd feels jarred by a sudden piece of news and surges, it is a good time to take profits. Panics tend to be short-lived, offering a brief opportunity to cash in. If the EMA of Market Thermometer stands at 5 cents, but the Thermometer itself shoots up to 15 cents, take profits. Test these values for the market you are trading.
3) Get ready for an explosive move if the Thermometer stays below its moving average for five to seven trading days. Quiet markets put amateurs to sleep. They become careless and stop watching prices. Volatility and volume fall, and professionals get a chance to run away with the market. Explosive moves often erupt from periods of inactivity.
4) Market Thermometer can help you set a profit target for the next trading day. If you are a short-term trader and are long, add the value of today’s Thermometer EMA to yesterday’s high and place a sell order there. If you are short, subtract the value of the Thermometer’s EMA from yesterday’s low and place an order to cover at that level."
You can configure the "Explosive Move threshold" (default: 3), "Idle Market Threshold" (default: 7) and "Thermometer EMA length" (default: 22) via Options page.
More info:
"Come in to my Trading Room - A complete Guide to Trading" by Dr.Alexander Elder. (Page 162)
List of my other indicators:
- Chart:
- GDoc: docs.google.com
Third eye • StrategyThird eye • Strategy – User Guide
1. Idea & Concept
Third eye • Strategy combines three things into one system:
Ichimoku Cloud – to define market regime and support/resistance.
Moving Average (trend filter) – to trade only in the dominant direction.
CCI (Commodity Channel Index) – to generate precise entry signals on momentum breakouts.
The script is a strategy, not an indicator: it can backtest entries, exits, SL, TP and BreakEven logic automatically.
2. Indicators Used
2.1 Ichimoku
Standard Ichimoku settings (by default 9/26/52/26) are used:
Conversion Line (Tenkan-sen)
Base Line (Kijun-sen)
Leading Span A & B (Kumo Cloud)
Lagging Span is calculated but hidden from the chart (for visual simplicity).
From the cloud we derive:
kumoTop – top of the cloud under current price.
kumoBottom – bottom of the cloud under current price.
Flags:
is_above_kumo – price above the cloud.
is_below_kumo – price below the cloud.
is_in_kumo – price inside the cloud.
These conditions are used as trend / regime filters and for stop-loss & trailing stops.
2.2 Moving Average
You can optionally display and use a trend MA:
Types: SMA, EMA, DEMA, WMA
Length: configurable (default 200)
Source: default close
Filter idea:
If MA Direction Filter is ON:
When Close > MA → strategy allows only Long signals.
When Close < MA → strategy allows only Short signals.
The MA is plotted on the chart (if enabled).
2.3 CCI & Panel
The CCI (Commodity Channel Index) is used for entry timing:
CCI length and source are configurable (default length 20, source hlc3).
Two thresholds:
CCI Upper Threshold (Long) – default +100
CCI Lower Threshold (Short) – default –100
Signals:
Long signal:
CCI crosses up through the upper threshold
cci_val < upper_threshold and cci_val > upper_threshold
Short signal:
CCI crosses down through the lower threshold
cci_val > lower_threshold and cci_val < lower_threshold
There is a panel (table) in the bottom-right corner:
Shows current CCI value.
Shows filter status as colored dots:
Green = filter enabled and passed.
Red = filter enabled and blocking trades.
Gray = filter is disabled.
Filters shown in the panel:
Ichimoku Cloud filter (Long/Short)
Ichimoku Lines filter (Conversion/Base vs Cloud)
MA Direction filter
3. Filters & Trade Direction
All filters can be turned ON/OFF independently.
3.1 Ichimoku Cloud Filter
Purpose: trade only when price is clearly above or below the Kumo.
Long Cloud Filter (Use Ichimoku Cloud Filter) – when enabled:
Long trades only if close > cloud top.
Short Cloud Filter – when enabled:
Short trades only if close < cloud bottom.
If the cloud filter is disabled, this condition is ignored.
3.2 Ichimoku Lines Above/Below Cloud
Purpose: stronger trend confirmation: Ichimoku lines should also be on the “correct” side of the cloud.
Long Lines Filter:
Long allowed only if Conversion Line and Base Line are both above the cloud.
Short Lines Filter:
Short allowed only if both lines are below the cloud.
If this filter is OFF, the conditions are not checked.
3.3 MA Direction Filter
As described above:
When ON:
Close > MA → only Longs.
Close < MA → only Shorts.
4. Anti-Re-Entry Logic (Cloud Touch Reset)
The strategy uses internal flags to avoid continuous re-entries in the same direction without a reset.
Two flags:
allowLong
allowShort
After a Long entry, allowLong is set to false, allowShort to true.
After a Short entry, allowShort is set to false, allowLong to true.
Flags are reset when price touches the Kumo:
If Low goes into the cloud → allowLong = true
If High goes into the cloud → allowShort = true
If Close is inside the cloud → both allowLong and allowShort are set to true
There is a key option:
Wait Position Close Before Flag Reset
If ON: cloud touch will reset flags only when there is no open position.
If OFF: flags can be reset even while a trade is open.
This gives a kind of regime-based re-entry control: after a trend leg, you wait for a “cloud interaction” to allow new signals.
5. Risk Management
All risk management is handled inside the strategy.
5.1 Position Sizing
Order Size % of Equity – default 10%
The strategy calculates:
position_value = equity * (Order Size % / 100)
position_qty = position_value / close
So position size automatically adapts to your current equity.
5.2 Take Profit Modes
You can choose one of two TP modes:
Percent
Fibonacci
5.2.1 Percent Mode
Single Take Profit at X% from entry (default 2%).
For Long:
TP = entry_price * (1 + tp_pct / 100)
For Short:
TP = entry_price * (1 - tp_pct / 100)
One strategy.exit per side is used: "Long TP/SL" and "Short TP/SL".
5.2.2 Fibonacci Mode (2 partial TPs)
In this mode, TP levels are based on a virtual Fib-style extension between entry and stop-loss.
Inputs:
Fib TP1 Level (default 1.618)
Fib TP2 Level (default 2.5)
TP1 Share % (Fib) (default 50%)
TP2 share is automatically 100% - TP1 share.
Process for Long:
Compute a reference Stop (see SL section below) → sl_for_fib.
Compute distance: dist = entry_price - sl_for_fib.
TP levels:
TP1 = entry_price + dist * (Fib TP1 Level - 1)
TP2 = entry_price + dist * (Fib TP2 Level - 1)
For Short, the logic is mirrored.
Two exits are used:
TP1 – closes TP1 share % of position.
TP2 – closes remaining TP2 share %.
Same stop is used for both partial exits.
5.3 Stop-Loss Modes
You can choose one of three Stop Loss modes:
Stable – fixed % from entry.
Ichimoku – fixed level derived from the Kumo.
Ichimoku Trailing – dynamic SL following the cloud.
5.3.1 Stable SL
For Long:
SL = entry_price * (1 - Stable SL % / 100)
For Short:
SL = entry_price * (1 + Stable SL % / 100)
Used both for Percent TP mode and as reference for Fib TP if Kumo is not available.
5.3.2 Ichimoku SL (fixed, non-trailing)
At the time of a new trade:
For Long:
Base SL = cloud bottom minus small offset (%)
For Short:
Base SL = cloud top plus small offset (%)
The offset is configurable: Ichimoku SL Offset %.
Once computed, that SL level is fixed for this trade.
5.3.3 Ichimoku Trailing SL
Similar to Ichimoku SL, but recomputed each bar:
For Long:
SL = cloud bottom – offset
For Short:
SL = cloud top + offset
A red trailing SL line is drawn on the chart to visualize current stop level.
This trailing SL is also used as reference for BreakEven and for Fib TP distance.
6. BreakEven Logic (with BE Lines)
BreakEven is optional and supports two modes:
Percent
Fibonacci
Inputs:
Percent mode:
BE Trigger % (from entry) – move SL to BE when price goes this % in profit.
BE Offset % from entry – SL will be set to entry ± this offset.
Fibonacci mode:
BE Fib Level – Fib level at which BE will be activated (default 1.618, same style as TP).
BE Offset % from entry – how far from entry to place BE stop.
The logic:
Before BE is triggered, SL follows its normal mode (Stable/Ichimoku/Ichimoku Trailing).
When BE triggers:
For Long:
New SL = max(current SL, BE SL).
For Short:
New SL = min(current SL, BE SL).
This means BE will never loosen the stop – only tighten it.
When BE is activated, the strategy draws a violet horizontal line at the BreakEven level (once per trade).
BE state is cleared when the position is closed or when a new position is opened.
7. Entry & Exit Logic (Summary)
7.1 Long Entry
Conditions for a Long:
CCI signal:
CCI crosses up through the upper threshold.
Ichimoku Cloud Filter (optional):
If enabled → price must be above the Kumo.
Ichimoku Lines Filter (optional):
If enabled → Conversion Line and Base Line must be above the Kumo.
MA Direction Filter (optional):
If enabled → Close must be above the chosen MA.
Anti-re-entry flag:
allowLong must be true (cloud-based reset).
Position check:
Long entries are allowed when current position size ≤ 0 (so it can also reverse from short to long).
If all these conditions are true, the strategy sends:
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long, qty = calculated_qty)
After entry:
allowLong = false
allowShort = true
7.2 Short Entry
Same structure, mirrored:
CCI signal:
CCI crosses down through the lower threshold.
Cloud filter: price must be below cloud (if enabled).
Lines filter: conversion & base must be below cloud (if enabled).
MA filter: Close must be below MA (if enabled).
allowShort must be true.
Position check: position size ≥ 0 (allows reversal from long to short).
Then:
strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short, qty = calculated_qty)
Flags update:
allowShort = false
allowLong = true
7.3 Exits
While in a position:
The strategy continuously recalculates SL (depending on chosen mode) and, in Percent mode, TP.
In Fib mode, fixed TP levels are computed at entry.
BreakEven may raise/tighten the SL if its conditions are met.
Exits are executed via strategy.exit:
Percent mode: one TP+SL exit per side.
Fib mode: two partial exits (TP1 and TP2) sharing the same SL.
At position open, the script also draws visual lines:
White line — entry price.
Green line(s) — TP level(s).
Red line — SL (if not using Ichimoku Trailing; with trailing, the red line is updated dynamically).
Maximum of 30 lines are kept to avoid clutter.
8. How to Use the Strategy
Choose market & timeframe
Works well on trending instruments. Try crypto, FX or indices on H1–H4, or intraday if you prefer more trades.
Adjust Ichimoku settings
Keep defaults (9/26/52/26) or adapt to your timeframe.
Configure Moving Average
Typical: EMA 200 as a trend filter.
Turn MA Direction Filter ON if you want to trade only with the main trend.
Set CCI thresholds
Default ±100 is classic.
Lower thresholds → more signals, higher noise.
Higher thresholds → fewer but stronger signals.
Enable/disable filters
Turn on Ichimoku Cloud and Ichimoku Lines if you want only “clean” trend trades.
Use Wait Position Close Before Flag Reset to control how often re-entries are allowed.
Choose TP & SL mode
Percent mode is simpler and easier to understand.
Fibonacci mode is more advanced: it aligns TP levels with the distance to stop, giving asymmetric RR setups (two partial TPs).
Choose Stable SL for fixed-risk trades, or Ichimoku / Ichimoku Trailing to tie stops to the cloud structure.
Set BreakEven
Enable BE if you want to lock in risk-free trades after a certain move.
Percent mode is straightforward; Fib mode keeps BreakEven in harmony with your Fib TP setup.
Run Backtest & Optimize
Press “Add to chart” → go to Strategy Tester.
Adjust parameters to your market and timeframe.
Look at equity curve, PF, drawdown, average trade, etc.
Live / Paper Trading
After you’re satisfied with backtest results, use the strategy to generate signals.
You can mirror entries/exits manually or connect them to alerts (if you build an alert-based execution layer).
Student Wyckoff Target Shooter
**Target Shooter — Equal Move Target Tool (Larry Williams idea)**
**1. What this indicator does**
Target Shooter is a tool that measures the last meaningful price swing and projects an **equal move target** in the direction of the breakout.
The logic is simple:
* The market makes a move from point A to point B (a swing high to a swing low, or vice versa).
* Then price breaks out above or below this swing range.
* Target Shooter takes the size of that swing and **adds it in the direction of the breakout**, showing a logical **price target zone** where the move may:
* slow down,
* react,
* or potentially reverse.
This is a practical implementation of the “Equal Moves” idea often referenced by Larry Williams.
---
**2. Core idea (example)**
Example from the classic explanation:
* Price drops from **80 down to 20** → the move is **60 points**.
* The swing range is now: **High = 80, Low = 20**.
* Later, price **breaks above 80**.
Target Shooter assumes:
> “If the market could move 60 points in one direction, after a breakout it may travel another 60 points in the opposite direction.”
So the upside target becomes:
* Move size: 80 − 20 = 60
* Breakout above 80
* **Target = 80 + 60 = 140**
The indicator finds such swings automatically and draws:
* **UT (Upper Target)** on upside breakouts
* **DT (Down Target)** on downside breakouts
---
**3. What you see on the chart**
1. **Target lines**
* When price breaks **above** a previous swing range, the indicator plots a horizontal **UT (Upper Target)** line — the projected equal move target.
* When price breaks **below** the previous swing range, it plots a **DT (Down Target)** line — the downside target.
* Each line is drawn from the breakout bar and extended to the right for a user-defined number of bars.
2. **Price labels**
* A small label “UT” or “DT” is shown at the end of the line with the exact target price.
* This makes it easy to see where the projected target is without checking the scale.
3. **Optional swing range (debug view)**
* There is an option to display the **swing range** that the target is based on (similar to a Donchian channel on previous bars).
* This shows the upper (swing high) and lower (swing low) boundaries the indicator used to define the last move.
---
**4. Key inputs (plain language)**
* **Swing window length (bars)**
How many bars back the indicator looks to find the last meaningful swing (highest high and lowest low).
This is like the length of a Donchian channel used to define the previous range.
Smaller values → more frequent, shorter targets.
Larger values → bigger swings and more distant targets.
* **Minimum move size (in ticks)**
This is a noise filter.
If the distance between the swing high and swing low is smaller than this threshold, no targets are drawn.
The indicator will only react to moves that are big enough to matter for your trading.
* **Breakout type: Close vs High/Low**
* **Breakout by Close**:
The target appears only when the **bar closes** above/below the swing range.
More conservative and fewer false signals.
* **Breakout by High/Low**:
The target appears as soon as the **high** or **low** of the bar breaks the swing range.
Faster and more aggressive, but more sensitive to noise.
* **Target line length (bars)**
How far to the right the UT/DT lines should be extended.
Shorter length → local target zones.
Longer length → important levels visible far into the future.
* **Appearance settings**
* Separate color, width and style for **UT** and **DT** lines.
* Option to show or hide labels with price and “UT/DT” text.
---
**5. How to use Target Shooter in trading**
> Important: this is **not** an entry signal indicator.
> Target Shooter is a **targeting and context tool**, not a standalone system.
Typical uses:
1. **Planning take-profit zones**
* You already have an entry signal from your own strategy (Wyckoff, Larry Williams patterns, levels, volume, whatever you use).
* Target Shooter shows a **logical equal move target** where the current wave can reasonably “shoot”.
* You can:
* place your main take-profit around the target,
* scale out part of the position,
* tighten stops when price approaches the target.
2. **Finding potential reaction / reversal areas**
* Equal move targets often act as **zones of interest**.
* If price reaches a UT/DT level and then shows weakness/absorption/volume spikes or reversal candles, this might be a good place to take profits or look for counter-trend opportunities (for experienced traders).
3. **Assessing trend strength**
* If price **easily exceeds** the equal move target and keeps going without any reaction, it suggests a very strong trend.
* If price **fails to reach** the target and reverses early, the move is weaker than expected.
---
**6. Timeframes**
Target Shooter can be used on:
* **Intraday** (M5, M15, M30, H1) — for shorter-term targets within the day,
* **Higher timeframes** (H4, D1 and above) — for swing and position trades.
General rule:
The **higher the timeframe and the larger the swing**, the **more important** the target level tends to be.
---
**7. Notes and limitations**
* The indicator does **not** predict the future.
It simply projects a geometric equal move from the last swing.
* It should be combined with your own trading framework:
* support/resistance,
* Wyckoff / VSA,
* trend tools,
* volume/flow, etc.
* Always keep proper risk management.
A target is a **scenario**, not a guarantee.
.
Price Channel ScalpingMy X account：@CTF_bule_lotus
1. Core Logic (Price Channel Breakout)
The strategy relies on a single, simple indicator: the highest high of the past 20 bars.
When the current price breaks above this 20-period high, a stop entry is used to initiate a long position.
This design avoids prediction.
The model waits for the market to demonstrate momentum before participating.
2. Trade Direction (Long Only)
The strategy exclusively trades long positions and does not take shorts.
This choice is based on:
ETH’s historically upward-biased structure
Avoiding noise from two-sided signals during high-volatility periods
Keeping the direction consistent, which is beneficial for scalping-style systems
3. Risk Management (Fixed TP / SL)
Immediately after entry, the strategy sets two fixed exit conditions:
Take Profit: +10 price units
Stop Loss: –10 price units
Both are automatically converted using the market’s minimum tick size to ensure cross-instrument applicability.
This fixed TP/SL structure is typical in scalping systems:
small wins, fast exits, controlled losses, high turnover.
4. Transaction Costs
A 0.03% fee is applied to every trade throughout the entire backtest.
This fee level reflects the cost structure of major centralized exchanges, making results closer to real-world conditions.
5. Data & Time Range (2016–2025 Full Sample)
The backtest uses ETH’s complete historical dataset from 2016 to 2025.
No subjective filtering is applied—large moves, flash crashes, and black-swan events are all included.
The strategy does not rely on heavy parameter tuning, reducing the risk of overfitting.
6. Backtest Results (Including Fees)
Under this fixed, rule-based structure, the cumulative return is:
1,202,002.77% (2016 → 2025)
Even after including transaction fees, performance is driven by:
High trade frequency and small profit targets
Strict loss containment
Capturing momentum during breakout regimes
7. Transparency & Reproducibility
I will publish the full Pine Script implementation, including:
Entry logic
Exit logic
Fee configuration
All parameters
Backtesting framework
Transparency and reproducibility remain the core principles of this research.
Session Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework - TrendPredator OBSession Open Range, Breakout & Trap Framework — TrendPredator Open Box
Stacey Burke’s trading approach combines concepts from George Douglas Taylor, Tony Crabel, Steve Mauro, and Robert Schabacker. His framework focuses on reading price behaviour across daily templates and identifying how markets move through recurring cycles of expansion, contraction, and reversal. While effective, much of this analysis requires real-time interpretation of session-based behaviour, which can be demanding for traders working on lower intraday timeframes.
The TrendPredator indicators formalize parts of this methodology by introducing mechanical rules for multi-timeframe bias tracking and session structure analysis. They aim to present the key elements of the system—bias, breakouts, fakeouts, and range behaviour—in a consistent and objective way that reduces discretionary interpretation.
The Open Box indicator focuses specifically on the opening behaviour of major trading sessions. It builds on principles found in classical Open Range Breakout (ORB) techniques described by Tony Crabel, where a defined time window around the session open forms a structural reference range. Price behaviour relative to this range—breaking out, failing back inside, or expanding—can highlight developing session bias, potential trap formation, and directional conviction.
This indicator applies these concepts throughout the major equity sessions. It automatically maps the session’s initial range (“Open Box”) and tracks how price interacts with it as liquidity and volatility increase. It also incorporates related structural references such as:
* the first-hour high and low of the futures session
* the exact session open level
* an anchored VWAP starting at the session open
* automated expansion levels projected from the Open Box
In combination, these components provide a unified view of early session activity, including breakout attempts, fakeouts, VWAP reactions, and liquidity targeting. The Open Box offers a structured lens for observing how price transitions through the major sessions (Asia → London → New York) and how these behaviours relate to higher-timeframe bias defined in the broader TrendPredator framework.
Core Features
Open Box (Session Structure)
The indicator defines an initial session range beginning at the selected session open. This “Open Box” represents a fixed time window—commonly the first 30 minutes, or any user-defined duration—that serves as a structural reference for analysing early session behaviour.
The range highlights whether price remains inside the box, breaks out, or rejects the boundaries, providing a consistent foundation for interpreting early directional tendencies and recognising breakout, continuation, or fakeout characteristics.
How it works:
* At the session open, the indicator calculates the high and low over the specified time window.
* This range is plotted as the initial structure of the session.
* Price behaviour at the boundaries can illustrate emerging bias or potential trap formation.
* An optional secondary range (e.g., 15-minute high/low) can be enabled to capture early volatility with additional precision.
Inputs / Options:
* Session specifications (Tokyo, London, New York)
* Open Box start and end times (e.g., equity open + first 30 minutes, or any custom length)
* Open Box colour and label settings
* Formatting options for Open Box high and low lines
* Optional secondary range per session (e.g., 15-minute high/low)
* Forward extension of Open Box high/low lines
* Number of historic Open Boxes to display
Session VWAPs
The indicator plots VWAPs for each major trading session—Asia, London, and New York—anchored to their respective session opens. These session-specific VWAPs assist in tracking how value develops through the day and how price interacts with session-based volume distributions.
How it works:
* At each session open, a VWAP is anchored to the open price.
* The VWAP updates throughout the session as new volume and price data arrive.
* Deviations above or below the VWAP may indicate balance, imbalance, or directional control.
* Viewed together, session VWAPs help identify transitions in value across sessions.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable VWAP per session
* Adjustable anchor and end times (optionally to end of day)
* Line styling and label settings
* Number of historic VWAPs to draw
First Hour High/Low Extensions
The indicator marks the high and low formed during the first hour of each session. These reference points often function as early control levels and provide context for assessing whether the session is establishing bias, consolidating, or exhibiting reversal behaviour.
How it works:
* After the session starts, the indicator records the highest and lowest prices during the first hour.
* These levels are plotted and extended across the session.
* They provide a visual reference for observing reactions, targets, or rejection zones.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable for each session
* Line style, colour, and label visibility
* Number of historic sessions displayed
EQO Levels (Equity Open)
The indicator plots the opening price of each configured session. These “Equity Open” levels represent short-term reference points that can attract price early in the session.
Once the level is revisited after the Open Box has formed, it is automatically cut to avoid clutter. If not revisited, the line remains as an untested reference, similar to a naked point of control.
How it works:
* At session open, the open price is recorded.
* The level is plotted as a local reference.
* If price interacts with the level after the Open Box completes, the line is cut.
* Untested EQOs extend forward until interacted with.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Line style and label settings
* Optional extension into the next day
* Option for cutting vs. hiding on revisit
* Number of historic sessions displayed
OB Range Expansions (Automatic)
Range expansions are calculated from the height of the Open Box. These levels provide structured reference zones for identifying potential continuation or exhaustion areas within a session.
How it works:
* After the Open Box is formed, multiples of the range (e.g., 1×, 2×, 3×) are projected.
* These expansion levels are plotted above and below the range.
* Price reactions near these areas can illustrate continuation, hesitation, or potential reversal.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable or disable per session
* Select number of multiples
* Line style, colour, and label settings
* Extension length into the session
Stacey Burke 12-Candle Window Marker
The indicator can highlight the 12-candle window often referenced in Stacey Burke’s session methodology. This window represents the key active period of each session where breakout attempts, volatility shifts, and reversal signatures often occur.
How it works:
* A configurable window (default 12 candles) is highlighted from each session open.
* This window acts as a guide for observing active session behaviour.
* It remains visible throughout the session for structural context.
Inputs / Options:
* Enable/disable per session
* Configurable window duration (default: 3 hours)
* Colour and transparency controls
Concept and Integration
The Open Box is built around the same multi-timeframe logic that underpins the broader TrendPredator framework.
While higher-timeframe tools track bias and setups across the H8–D–W–M levels, the Open Box focuses on the H1–M30 domain to define session structure and observe how early intraday behaviour aligns with higher-timeframe conditions.
The indicator integrates with the TrendPredator FO (Breakout, Fakeout & Trend Switch Detector), which highlights microstructure signals on lower timeframes (M15/M5). Together they form a layered workflow:
* Higher timeframes: context, bias, and developing setups
* TrendPredator OB: intraday and intra-session structure
* TrendPredator FO: microstructure confirmation (e.g., FOL/FOH, switches)
This alignment provides a structured way to observe how daily directional context interacts with intraday behaviour.
See the public open source indicator TP FO here (click on it for access):
Practical Application
Before Session Open
* Review previous session Open Box, Open level, and VWAPs
* Assess how higher-timeframe bias aligns with potential intraday continuation or reversal
* Note untested EQO levels or VWAPs that may function as liquidity attractors
During Session Open
* Observe behaviour around the first-hour high/low and higher-timeframe reference levels
* Monitor how the M15 and 30-minute ranges close
* Track reactions relative to the session open level and the session VWAP
After the Open Box completes
* Assess price interaction with Open Box boundaries and first-hour levels
* Use microstructure signals (e.g., FOH/FOL, switches) for potential confirmation
* Refer to expansion levels as reference zones for management or target setting
After Session
* Review how price behaved relative to the Open Box, EQO levels, VWAPs, and expansion zones
* Analyse breakout attempts, fakeouts, and whether intraday structure aligned with the broader daily move
Example Workflow and Trade
1. Higher-timeframe analysis signals a Daily Fakeout Low Continuation (bullish context).
2. The New York session forms an Open Box; price breaks above and holds above the first-hour high.
3. A Fakeout Low + Switch Bar appears on M5 (via FO), after retesting the session VWAP triggering the entry.
4. 1x expansion level serves as reference targets for take profit.
Relation to the TrendPredator Ecosystem
The Open Box is part of the TrendPredator Indicator Family, designed to apply multi-timeframe logic consistently across:
* higher-timeframe context and setups
* intraday and session structure (OB)
* microstructure confirmation (FO)
Together, these modules offer a unified structure for analysing how daily and intraday cycles interact.
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational purposes only and does not guarantee profits.
It does not provide buy or sell signals but highlights structural and behavioural areas for analysis.
Users are solely responsible for their trading decisions and outcomes.
Consolidation Breakout PRO — Clean Boxes + 200 EMA Trend Filter High-probability range breakout detector that draws perfect, always-visible consolidation boxes and only alerts when price breaks out with strong volume and (optionally) in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Features
Automatically draws and extends clean consolidation boxes in real time
Boxes stop extending the moment the breakout occurs — no more “ghost” lines
Optional but powerful 200 EMA trend filter (dramatically reduces false breakouts)
Stronger volume confirmation (default 1.8× the 20-period average, fully adjustable)
Auto-deletes old boxes so your chart stays perfectly clean even after hundreds of signals
Clear “BREAKOUT ↑” and “BREAKDOWN ↓” labels + ready-to-use alerts
Works on any market and any timeframe (best on 1H, 4H, Daily)
How to trade it (edge > 65 % when used correctly)
Wait for the labeled breakout candle to close
Enter on pullback/retest of the box edge (or on strong close + retest)
Stop-loss just outside the opposite side of the box
Take-profit: minimum 1:2, ideally measured move (box height added/subtracted) or trailing with the 20 EMA
This is the cleanest and most professional public consolidation breakout tool available in 2025 — no repainting, no lag, no chart clutter.
Created and continuously improved with love for the TradingView community.
