Neuracap Gap AnalysisThe Neuracap Gap Analysis indicator is a comprehensive tool designed to identify and track price gaps, special candlestick patterns, and high-volume breakout signals. It combines multiple trading strategies into one powerful indicator for gap trading, pattern recognition, and momentum analysis.
🎯 What This Indicator Does
1. Gap Detection & Tracking
Automatically identifies price gaps (up and down)
Tracks gap fills with visual boxes that extend until closed
Manages gap history with customizable limits
Color-coded visualization (Green = Gap Up, Red = Gap Down)
2. Upside Tasuki Gap Pattern
Identifies the bullish continuation pattern
Colors candles yellow when pattern is detected
Confirms trend continuation signals
3. Episodic Pivot Detection
High-volume breakout identification
EMA filter ensures signals only in uptrends
Strong momentum confirmation
Fuchsia-colored candles with arrow markers
🔍 How to Use for Trading
📈 Gap Trading Strategy
Gap Up Trading:
Wait for gap up (green box appears)
Check volume - Higher volume = stronger signal
Entry options:
Aggressive: Enter at market open
Conservative: Wait for pullback to gap level
Stop loss: Below the gap fill level
Target: Previous resistance or 2:1 risk/reward
Gap Down Trading:
Identify gap down (red box appears)
Look for bounce opportunities
Entry: When price shows reversal signs
Stop: Below recent lows
Target: Gap fill level
💫 Tasuki Gap Strategy
Yellow candle indicates bullish continuation
Confirms uptrend is likely to continue
Entry: On next candle after pattern
Stop: Below the gap low
Target: Next resistance level
🚀 Episodic Pivot Strategy
Fuchsia candle + arrow = High probability breakout
All conditions met:
Price above EMA 20, 50, 200
High volume (2x+ average)
Strong price move (4%+)
Entry: At close or next open
Stop: Below EMA 20 or recent swing low
Target: Measured move or next resistance
📊 Reading the Visual Signals
Gap Boxes
🟢 Green Box: Gap up - potential bullish continuation
🔴 Red Box: Gap down - potential bounce or bearish continuation
Box extends until gap is filled
Box disappears when gap closes
Candle Colors
🟡 Yellow: Tasuki gap pattern (bullish continuation)
🟪 Fuchsia: Episodic pivot (high-volume breakout)
⬜ Normal: No special pattern detected
Arrows & Markers
⬆️ Triangle Arrow: Episodic pivot confirmation
💡 Trading Tips & Best Practices
✅ Do's
Combine with trend analysis - Trade gaps in direction of trend
Check volume - Higher volume = more reliable signals
Use multiple timeframes - Confirm on higher timeframes
Risk management - Always set stop losses
Wait for confirmation - Don't chase, let signals develop
❌ Don'ts
Don't trade all gaps - Focus on high-quality setups
Avoid low volume - Weak volume = unreliable signals
Don't ignore trend - Counter-trend trading is risky
Don't overtrade - Quality over quantity
Don't ignore context - Consider market conditions
⚠️ Risk Management
Position sizing: Risk 1-2% per trade
Stop losses: Always define before entry
Target levels: Set realistic profit targets
Market conditions: Avoid trading in choppy markets
📈 Performance Optimization
For Conservative Traders:
Increase minimum gap size to 1%
Set volume multiplier to 3.0x
Only trade episodic pivots in strong uptrends
Wait for gap fill confirmation
For Aggressive Traders:
Decrease minimum gap size to 0.3%
Set volume multiplier to 1.5x
Trade both gap types
Enter on pattern confirmation
🚨 Alert Setup
The indicator provides alerts for:
Gap Up Detected
Gap Down Detected
Upside Tasuki Gap
Episodic Pivot
Recommended: Enable all alerts and filter manually based on your strategy.
📝 Summary
This indicator excels at identifying high-probability trading opportunities through gap analysis, pattern recognition, and momentum confirmation. Use it as part of a complete trading system with proper risk management for best results.
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Performance Metrics With Bracketed Rebalacing [BackQuant]Performance Metrics With Bracketed Rebalancing
The Performance Metrics With Bracketed Rebalancing script offers a robust method for assessing portfolio performance, integrating advanced portfolio metrics with different rebalancing strategies. With a focus on adaptability, the script allows traders to monitor and adjust portfolio weights, equity, and other key financial metrics dynamically. This script provides a versatile approach for evaluating different trading strategies, considering factors like risk-adjusted returns, volatility, and the impact of portfolio rebalancing.
Please take the time to read the following:
Key Features and Benefits of Portfolio Methods
Bracketed Rebalancing:
Bracketed Rebalancing is an advanced strategy designed to trigger portfolio adjustments when an asset's weight surpasses a predefined threshold. This approach minimizes overexposure to any single asset while maintaining flexibility in response to market changes. The strategy is particularly beneficial for mitigating risks that arise from significant asset weight fluctuations. The following image illustrates how this method reacts when asset weights cross the threshold:
Daily Rebalancing:
Unlike the bracketed method, Daily Rebalancing adjusts portfolio weights every trading day, ensuring consistent asset allocation. This method aims for a more even distribution of portfolio weights, making it a suitable option for traders who prefer less sensitivity to individual asset volatility. Here's an example of Daily Rebalancing in action:
No Rebalancing:
For traders who prefer a passive approach, the "No Rebalancing" option allows the portfolio to remain static, without any adjustments to asset weights. This method may appeal to long-term investors or those who believe in the inherent stability of their selected assets. Here’s how the portfolio looks when no rebalancing is applied:
Portfolio Weights Visualization:
One of the standout features of this script is the visual representation of portfolio weights. With adjustable settings, users can track the current allocation of assets in real-time, making it easier to analyze shifts and trends. The following image shows the real-time weight distribution across three assets:
Rolling Drawdown Plot:
Managing drawdown risk is a critical aspect of portfolio management. The Rolling Drawdown Plot visually tracks the drawdown over time, helping traders monitor the risk exposure and performance relative to the peak equity levels. This feature is essential for assessing the portfolio's resilience during market downturns:
Daily Portfolio Returns:
Tracking daily returns is crucial for evaluating the short-term performance of the portfolio. The script allows users to plot daily portfolio returns to gain insights into daily profit or loss, helping traders stay updated on their portfolio’s progress:
Performance Metrics
Net Profit (%):
This metric represents the total return on investment as a percentage of the initial capital. A positive net profit indicates that the portfolio has gained value over the evaluation period, while a negative value suggests a loss. It's a fundamental indicator of overall portfolio performance.
Maximum Drawdown (Max DD):
Maximum Drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline in portfolio value during a specified period. It quantifies the most significant loss an investor would have experienced if they had invested at the highest point and sold at the lowest point within the timeframe. A smaller Max DD indicates better risk management and less exposure to significant losses.
Annual Mean Returns (% p/y):
This metric calculates the average annual return of the portfolio over the evaluation period. It provides insight into the portfolio's ability to generate returns on an annual basis, aiding in performance comparison with other investment opportunities.
Annual Standard Deviation of Returns (% p/y):
This measure indicates the volatility of the portfolio's returns on an annual basis. A higher standard deviation signifies greater variability in returns, implying higher risk, while a lower value suggests more stable returns.
Variance:
Variance is the square of the standard deviation and provides a measure of the dispersion of returns. It helps in understanding the degree of risk associated with the portfolio's returns.
Sortino Ratio:
The Sortino Ratio is a variation of the Sharpe Ratio that only considers downside risk, focusing on negative volatility. It is calculated as the difference between the portfolio's return and the minimum acceptable return (MAR), divided by the downside deviation. A higher Sortino Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, emphasizing the importance of avoiding negative returns.
Sharpe Ratio:
The Sharpe Ratio measures the portfolio's excess return per unit of total risk, as represented by standard deviation. It is calculated by subtracting the risk-free rate from the portfolio's return and dividing by the standard deviation of the portfolio's excess return. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates more favorable risk-adjusted returns.
Omega Ratio:
The Omega Ratio evaluates the probability of achieving returns above a certain threshold relative to the probability of experiencing returns below that threshold. It is calculated by dividing the cumulative probability of positive returns by the cumulative probability of negative returns. An Omega Ratio greater than 1 indicates a higher likelihood of achieving favorable returns.
Gain-to-Pain Ratio:
The Gain-to-Pain Ratio measures the return per unit of risk, focusing on the magnitude of gains relative to the severity of losses. It is calculated by dividing the total gains by the total losses experienced during the evaluation period. A higher ratio suggests a more favorable balance between reward and risk.
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Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) (% p/y):
CAGR represents the mean annual growth rate of the portfolio over a specified period, assuming the investment has been compounding over that time. It provides a smoothed annual rate of growth, eliminating the effects of volatility and offering a clearer picture of long-term performance.
Portfolio Alpha (% p/y):
Portfolio Alpha measures the portfolio's performance relative to a benchmark index, adjusting for risk. It is calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and represents the excess return of the portfolio over the expected return based on its beta and the benchmark's performance. A positive alpha indicates outperformance, while a negative alpha suggests underperformance.
Portfolio Beta:
Portfolio Beta assesses the portfolio's sensitivity to market movements, indicating its exposure to systematic risk. A beta greater than 1 suggests the portfolio is more volatile than the market, while a beta less than 1 indicates lower volatility. Beta is used to understand the portfolio's potential for gains or losses in relation to market fluctuations.
Skewness of Returns:
Skewness measures the asymmetry of the return distribution. A positive skew indicates a distribution with a long right tail, suggesting more frequent small losses and fewer large gains. A negative skew indicates a long left tail, implying more frequent small gains and fewer large losses. Understanding skewness helps in assessing the likelihood of extreme outcomes.
Value at Risk (VaR) 95th Percentile:
VaR at the 95th percentile estimates the maximum potential loss over a specified period, given a 95% confidence level. It provides a threshold value such that there is a 95% probability that the portfolio will not experience a loss greater than this amount.
Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR):
CVaR, also known as Expected Shortfall, measures the average loss exceeding the VaR threshold. It provides insight into the tail risk of the portfolio, indicating the expected loss in the worst-case scenarios beyond the VaR level.
These metrics collectively offer a comprehensive view of the portfolio's performance, risk exposure, and efficiency. By analyzing these indicators, investors can make informed decisions, balancing potential returns with acceptable levels of risk.
Conclusion
The Performance Metrics With Bracketed Rebalancing script provides a comprehensive framework for evaluating and optimizing portfolio performance. By integrating advanced metrics, adaptive rebalancing strategies, and visual analytics, it empowers traders to make informed decisions in managing their investment portfolios. However, it's crucial to consider the implications of rebalancing strategies, as academic research indicates that predictable rebalancing can lead to market impact costs. Therefore, adopting flexible and less predictable rebalancing approaches may enhance portfolio performance and reduce associated costs.
Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)Ergodic Market Divergence (EMD)
Bridging Statistical Physics and Market Dynamics Through Ensemble Analysis
The Revolutionary Concept: When Physics Meets Trading
After months of research into ergodic theory—a fundamental principle in statistical mechanics—I've developed a trading system that identifies when markets transition between predictable and unpredictable states. This indicator doesn't just follow price; it analyzes whether current market behavior will persist or revert, giving traders a scientific edge in timing entries and exits.
The Core Innovation: Ergodic Theory Applied to Markets
What Makes Markets Ergodic or Non-Ergodic?
In statistical physics, ergodicity determines whether a system's future resembles its past. Applied to trading:
Ergodic Markets (Mean-Reverting)
- Time averages equal ensemble averages
- Historical patterns repeat reliably
- Price oscillates around equilibrium
- Traditional indicators work well
Non-Ergodic Markets (Trending)
- Path dependency dominates
- History doesn't predict future
- Price creates new equilibrium levels
- Momentum strategies excel
The Mathematical Framework
The Ergodic Score combines three critical divergences:
Ergodic Score = (Price Divergence × Market Stress + Return Divergence × 1000 + Volatility Divergence × 50) / 3
Where:
Price Divergence: How far current price deviates from market consensus
Return Divergence: Momentum differential between instrument and market
Volatility Divergence: Volatility regime misalignment
Market Stress: Adaptive multiplier based on current conditions
The Ensemble Analysis Revolution
Beyond Single-Instrument Analysis
Traditional indicators analyze one chart in isolation. EMD monitors multiple correlated markets simultaneously (SPY, QQQ, IWM, DIA) to detect systemic regime changes. This ensemble approach:
Reveals Hidden Divergences: Individual stocks may diverge from market consensus before major moves
Filters False Signals: Requires broader market confirmation
Identifies Regime Shifts: Detects when entire market structure changes
Provides Context: Shows if moves are isolated or systemic
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation
Unlike fixed-threshold systems, EMD's boundaries evolve with market conditions:
Base Threshold = SMA(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 3)
Adaptive Component = StDev(Ergodic Score, Lookback × 2) × Sensitivity
Final Threshold = Smoothed(Base + Adaptive)
This creates context-aware signals that remain effective across different market environments.
The Confidence Engine: Know Your Signal Quality
Multi-Factor Confidence Scoring
Every signal receives a confidence score based on:
Signal Clarity (0-35%): How decisively the ergodic threshold is crossed
Momentum Strength (0-25%): Rate of ergodic change
Volatility Alignment (0-20%): Whether volatility supports the signal
Market Quality (0-20%): Price convergence and path dependency factors
Real-Time Confidence Updates
The Live Confidence metric continuously updates, showing:
- Current opportunity quality
- Market state clarity
- Historical performance influence
- Signal recency boost
- Visual Intelligence System
Adaptive Ergodic Field Bands
Dynamic bands that expand and contract based on market state:
Primary Color: Ergodic state (mean-reverting)
Danger Color: Non-ergodic state (trending)
Band Width: Expected price movement range
Squeeze Indicators: Volatility compression warnings
Quantum Wave Ribbons
Triple EMA system (8, 21, 55) revealing market flow:
Compressed Ribbons: Consolidation imminent
Expanding Ribbons: Directional move developing
Color Coding: Matches current ergodic state
Phase Transition Signals
Clear entry/exit markers at regime changes:
Bull Signals: Ergodic restoration (mean reversion opportunity)
Bear Signals: Ergodic break (trend following opportunity)
Confidence Labels: Percentage showing signal quality
Visual Intensity: Stronger signals = deeper colors
Professional Dashboard Suite
Main Analytics Panel (Top Right)
Market State Monitor
- Current regime (Ergodic/Non-Ergodic)
- Ergodic score with threshold
- Path dependency strength
- Quantum coherence percentage
Divergence Metrics
- Price divergence with severity
- Volatility regime classification
- Strategy mode recommendation
- Signal strength indicator
Live Intelligence
- Real-time confidence score
- Color-coded risk levels
- Dynamic strategy suggestions
Performance Tracking (Left Panel)
Signal Analytics
- Total historical signals
- Win rate with W/L breakdown
- Current streak tracking
- Closed trade counter
Regime Analysis
- Current market behavior
- Bars since last signal
- Recommended actions
- Average confidence trends
Strategy Command Center (Bottom Right)
Adaptive Recommendations
- Active strategy mode
- Primary approach (mean reversion/momentum)
- Suggested indicators ("weapons")
- Entry/exit methodology
- Risk management guidance
- Comprehensive Input Guide
Core Algorithm Parameters
Analysis Period (10-100 bars)
Scalping (10-15): Ultra-responsive, more signals, higher noise
Day Trading (20-30): Balanced sensitivity and stability
Swing Trading (40-100): Smooth signals, major moves only Default: 20 - optimal for most timeframes
Divergence Threshold (0.5-5.0)
Hair Trigger (0.5-1.0): Catches every wiggle, many false signals
Balanced (1.5-2.5): Good signal-to-noise ratio
Conservative (3.0-5.0): Only extreme divergences Default: 1.5 - best risk/reward balance
Path Memory (20-200 bars)
Short Memory (20-50): Recent behavior focus, quick adaptation
Medium Memory (50-100): Balanced historical context
Long Memory (100-200): Emphasizes established patterns Default: 50 - captures sufficient history without lag
Signal Spacing (5-50 bars)
Aggressive (5-10): Allows rapid-fire signals
Normal (15-25): Prevents clustering, maintains flow
Conservative (30-50): Major setups only Default: 15 - optimal trade frequency
Ensemble Configuration
Select markets for consensus analysis:
SPY: Broad market sentiment
QQQ: Technology leadership
IWM: Small-cap risk appetite
DIA: Blue-chip stability
More instruments = stronger consensus but potentially diluted signals
Visual Customization
Color Themes (6 professional options):
Quantum: Cyan/Pink - Modern trading aesthetic
Matrix: Green/Red - Classic terminal look
Heat: Blue/Red - Temperature metaphor
Neon: Cyan/Magenta - High contrast
Ocean: Turquoise/Coral - Calming palette
Sunset: Red-orange/Teal - Warm gradients
Display Controls:
- Toggle each visual component
- Adjust transparency levels
- Scale dashboard text
- Show/hide confidence scores
- Trading Strategies by Market State
- Ergodic State Strategy (Primary Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price oscillates predictably
- Support/resistance hold
- Volume patterns repeat
- Mean reversion dominates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Fade moves at band extremes
Target: Middle band (equilibrium)
Stop: Just beyond outer bands
Size: Full confidence-based position
Recommended Tools
- RSI for oversold/overbought
- Bollinger Bands for extremes
- Volume profile for levels
- Non-Ergodic State Strategy (Danger Color Bands)
Market Characteristics
- Price trends persistently
- Levels break decisively
- Volume confirms direction
- Momentum accelerates
Optimal Approach
Entry: Breakout from bands
Target: Trail with expanding bands
Stop: Inside opposite band
Size: Scale in with trend
Recommended Tools
- Moving average alignment
- ADX for trend strength
- MACD for momentum
- Advanced Features Explained
Quantum Coherence Metric
Measures phase alignment between individual and ensemble behavior:
80-100%: Perfect sync - strong mean reversion setup
50-80%: Moderate alignment - mixed signals
0-50%: Decoherence - trending behavior likely
Path Dependency Analysis
Quantifies how much history influences current price:
Low (<30%): Technical patterns reliable
Medium (30-50%): Mixed influences
High (>50%): Fundamental shift occurring
Volatility Regime Classification
Contextualizes current volatility:
Normal: Standard strategies apply
Elevated: Widen stops, reduce size
Extreme: Defensive mode required
Signal Strength Indicator
Real-time opportunity quality:
- Distance from threshold
- Momentum acceleration
- Cross-validation factors
Risk Management Framework
Position Sizing by Confidence
90%+ confidence = 100% position size
70-90% confidence = 75% position size
50-70% confidence = 50% position size
<50% confidence = 25% or skip
Dynamic Stop Placement
Ergodic State: ATR × 1.0 from entry
Non-Ergodic State: ATR × 2.0 from entry
Volatility Adjustment: Multiply by current regime
Multi-Timeframe Alignment
- Check higher timeframe regime
- Confirm ensemble consensus
- Verify volume participation
- Align with major levels
What Makes EMD Unique
Original Contributions
First Ergodic Theory Trading Application: Transforms abstract physics into practical signals
Ensemble Market Analysis: Revolutionary multi-market divergence system
Adaptive Confidence Engine: Institutional-grade signal quality metrics
Quantum Coherence: Novel market alignment measurement
Smart Signal Management: Prevents clustering while maintaining responsiveness
Technical Innovations
Dynamic Threshold Adaptation: Self-adjusting sensitivity
Path Memory Integration: Historical dependency weighting
Stress-Adjusted Scoring: Market condition normalization
Real-Time Performance Tracking: Built-in strategy analytics
Optimization Guidelines
By Timeframe
Scalping (1-5 min)
Period: 10-15
Threshold: 0.5-1.0
Memory: 20-30
Spacing: 5-10
Day Trading (5-60 min)
Period: 20-30
Threshold: 1.5-2.5
Memory: 40-60
Spacing: 15-20
Swing Trading (1H-1D)
Period: 40-60
Threshold: 2.0-3.0
Memory: 80-120
Spacing: 25-35
Position Trading (1D-1W)
Period: 60-100
Threshold: 3.0-5.0
Memory: 100-200
Spacing: 40-50
By Market Condition
Trending Markets
- Increase threshold
- Extend memory
- Focus on breaks
Ranging Markets
- Decrease threshold
- Shorten memory
- Focus on restores
Volatile Markets
- Increase spacing
- Raise confidence requirement
- Reduce position size
- Integration with Other Analysis
- Complementary Indicators
For Ergodic States
- RSI divergences
- Bollinger Band squeezes
- Volume profile nodes
- Support/resistance levels
For Non-Ergodic States
- Moving average ribbons
- Trend strength indicators
- Momentum oscillators
- Breakout patterns
- Fundamental Alignment
- Check economic calendar
- Monitor sector rotation
- Consider market themes
- Evaluate risk sentiment
Troubleshooting Guide
Too Many Signals:
- Increase threshold
- Extend signal spacing
- Raise confidence minimum
Missing Opportunities
- Decrease threshold
- Reduce signal spacing
- Check ensemble settings
Poor Win Rate
- Verify timeframe alignment
- Confirm volume participation
- Review risk management
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The ergodic framework provides unique market insights but cannot predict future price movements with certainty. Always use proper risk management, conduct your own analysis, and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
This tool should complement, not replace, comprehensive trading strategies and sound judgment. Markets remain inherently unpredictable despite advanced analysis techniques.
Transform market chaos into trading clarity with Ergodic Market Divergence.
Created with passion for the TradingView community
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Aftershock by Session [SAKANE]■ Background & Motivation
In 24/7 markets like crypto, not all participants react simultaneously to major events.
Instead, reactions unfold across different regional trading sessions — Asia (APAC), Europe (EU), and the United States (US) — each with its own tempo and sentiment.
This indicator is designed to visualize which session drives the market after a key event — capturing the "aftershock" effect that ripples through time zones.
■ Key Features
Tracks price return (open → close) for each session: APAC / EU / US
Cumulative session returns are calculated and visualized
Smoothing options: SMA, EMA, or Ehlers SuperSmoother
Optimized for daily charts to highlight structural momentum shifts
Toggle visibility of each session independently
■ Why “Aftershock”?
Take April 2, 2025 — the day of the “Trump Tariff Opening.”
That policy announcement triggered a market-wide response. But:
Which session reacted first?
Which session truly moved the market?
This indicator is named “Aftershock” because it helps you see the ripple effect of such events — when and where momentum followed.
■ How to Use
Search for “Aftershock by Session ” on TradingView
Add it to your chart (use Daily timeframe)
Customize sessions and smoothing options via settings
You can also bookmark it for quick access.
■ Insights & Use Cases
Detect which session initiated or led market moves after news events
Understand geo-temporal dynamics — did the move start in Asia, Europe, or the US?
For example, on April 2, 2025, the day Trump’s tariff pivot was announced:
You can instantly see which session took the lead —
the APAC session hesitated, while the US session drove the trend.
This insight becomes visually obvious with the cumulative lines.
■ Unique Value
Unlike typical indicators based on raw price action,
Aftershock analyzes market movement through a session-based structural lens.
It captures where capital actually moved — and when.
A tool not just for technical analysis, but for event-driven, macro-aware market reading.
■ Final Thoughts
To truly understand market mechanics, we must look beyond candles and trends.
Aftershock by Session breaks down the 24-hour cycle into meaningful regional flows,
allowing you to track the true drivers behind price momentum.
Whether you're trading, researching, or tracking macro catalysts,
this tool helps answer the key question:
“Who moved the market — and when?”
Machine Learning | Adaptive Trend Signals [Bitwardex]⚙️🧠Machine Learning | Adaptive Trend Signals
🔷Overview
Machine Learning | Adaptive Trend Signals is a Pine Script™ v6 indicator designed to visualize market trends and generate signals through a combination of volatility clustering, Gaussian smoothing, and adaptive trend calculations. Built as an overlay indicator, it integrates advanced techniques inspired by machine learning concepts, such as K-Means clustering, to adapt to changing market conditions. The script is highly customizable, includes a backtesting module, and supports alert conditions, making it suitable for traders exploring trend-based strategies and developers studying volatility-driven indicator design.
🔷Functionality
The indicator performs the following core functions:
• Volatility Clustering: Uses K-Means clustering to categorize market volatility into high, medium, and low states, adjusting trend sensitivity accordingly.
• Trend Calculation: Computes adaptive trend lines (SmartTrend) based on volatility-adjusted standard deviation, smoothed RSI, and ADX filters.
• Signal Generation: Identifies potential buy and sell points through trend line crossovers and directional confirmation.
• Backtesting Module: Tracks trade outcomes based on the SmartTrend3 value, displaying win rate and total trades.
• Visualization: Plots trend lines with gradient colors and optional signal markers (bullish 🐮 and bearish 🐻).
• Alerts: Provides configurable alerts for trend shifts and volatility state changes.
🔷Technical Methodology
Volatility Clustering with K-Means
The indicator employs a K-Means clustering algorithm to classify market volatility, measured via the Average True Range (ATR), into three distinct clusters:
• Data Collection: Gathers ATR values over a user-defined training period (default: 100 bars).
• Centroid Initialization: Sets initial centroids at the highest, lowest, and midpoint ATR values within the training period.
• Iterative Clustering: Assigns ATR data points to the nearest centroid, recalculates centroid means, and repeats until convergence.
• Dynamic Adjustment: Assigns a volatility state (high, medium, or low) based on the closest centroid, adjusting the trend factor (e.g., tighter for high volatility, wider for low volatility).
This approach allows the indicator to adapt its sensitivity to varying market conditions, providing a data-driven foundation for trend calculations.
🔷Gaussian Smoothing
To enhance signal clarity and reduce noise, the indicator applies Gaussian kernel smoothing to:
• RSI: Smooths the Relative Strength Index (calculated from OHLC4) to filter short-term fluctuations.
• SmartTrend: Smooths the primary trend line for a more stable output.
The Gaussian kernel uses a sigma value derived from the user-defined smoothing length, ensuring mathematically consistent noise reduction.
🔷SmartTrend Calculation
The pineSmartTrend function is the core of the indicator, producing three trend lines:
• SmartTrend: The primary trend line, calculated using a volatility-adjusted standard deviation, smoothed RSI, and ADX conditions.
• SmartTrend2: A secondary trend line with a wider factor (base factor * 1.382) for signal confirmation.
SmartTrend3: The average of SmartTrend and SmartTrend2, used for plotting and backtesting.
Key components of the calculation include:
• Dynamic Standard Deviation: Scales based on ATR relative to its 50-period smoothed average, with multipliers (1.0 to 1.4) applied according to volatility thresholds.
• RSI and ADX Filters: Requires RSI > 50 for bullish trends or < 50 for bearish trends, alongside ADX > 15 and rising to confirm trend strength.
Volatility-Adjusted Bands: Constructs upper and lower bands around price action, adjusted by the volatility cluster’s dynamic factor.
🔷Signal Generation
The generate_signals function generates signals as follows:
• Buy Signal: Triggered when SmartTrend crosses above SmartTrend2 and the price is above SmartTrend, with directional confirmation.
• Sell Signal: Triggered when SmartTrend crosses below SmartTrend2 and the price is below SmartTrend, with directional confirmation.
Directional Logic: Tracks trend direction to filter out conflicting signals, ensuring alignment with the broader market context.
Signals are visualized as small circles with bullish (🐮) or bearish (🐻) emojis, with an option to toggle visibility.
🔷Backtesting
The get_backtest function evaluates signal outcomes using the SmartTrend3 value (rather than closing prices) to align with the trend-based methodology.
It tracks:
• Total Trades: Counts completed long and short trades.
• Win Rate: Calculates the percentage of trades where SmartTrend3 moves favorably (higher for longs, lower for shorts).
Position Management: Closes opposite positions before opening new ones, simulating a single-position trading system.
Results are displayed in a table at the top-right of the chart, showing win rate and total trades. Note that backtest results reflect the indicator’s internal logic and should not be interpreted as predictive of real-world performance.
🔷Visualization and Alerts
• Trend Lines: SmartTrend3 is plotted with gradient colors reflecting trend direction and volatility cluster, accompanied by a secondary line for visual clarity.
• Signal Markers: Optional buy/sell signals are plotted as small circles with customizable colors.
• Alerts: Supports alerts for:
• Bullish and bearish trend shifts (confirmed on bar close).
Transitions to high, medium, or low volatility states.
🔷Input Parameters
• ATR Length (default: 14): Period for ATR calculation, used in volatility clustering.
• Period (default: 21): Common period for RSI, ADX, and standard deviation calculations.
• Base SmartTrend Factor (default: 2.0): Base multiplier for volatility-adjusted bands.
• SmartTrend Smoothing Length (default: 10): Length for Gaussian smoothing of the trend line.
• Show Buy/Sell Signals? (default: true): Enables/disables signal markers.
• Bullish/Bearish Color: Customizable colors for trend lines and signals.
🔷Usage Instructions
• Apply to Chart: Add the indicator to any TradingView chart.
• Configure Inputs: Adjust parameters to align with your trading style or market conditions (e.g., shorter ATR length for faster markets).
• Interpret Output:
• Trend Lines: Use SmartTrend3’s direction and color to gauge market bias.
• Signals: Monitor bullish (🐮) and bearish (🐻) markers for potential entry/exit points.
• Backtest Table: Review win rate and total trades to understand the indicator’s behavior in historical data.
• Set Alerts: Configure alerts for trend shifts or volatility changes to support manual or automated trading workflows.
• Combine with Analysis: Use the indicator alongside other tools or market context, as it is designed to complement, not replace, comprehensive analysis.
🔷Technical Notes
• Data Requirements: Requires at least 100 bars for accurate volatility clustering. Ensure sufficient historical data is loaded.
• Market Suitability: The indicator is designed for trend detection and may perform differently in ranging or volatile markets due to its reliance on RSI and ADX filters.
• Backtesting Scope: The backtest module uses SmartTrend3 values, which may differ from price-based outcomes. Results are for informational purposes only.
• Computational Intensity: The K-Means clustering and Gaussian smoothing may increase processing time on lower timeframes or with large datasets.
🔷For Developers
The script is modular, well-commented, encouraging reuse and modification with proper attribution.
Key functions include:
• gaussianSmooth: Applies Gaussian kernel smoothing to any data series.
• pineSmartTrend: Computes adaptive trend lines with volatility and momentum filters.
• getDynamicFactor: Adjusts trend sensitivity based on volatility clusters.
• get_backtest: Evaluates signal performance using SmartTrend3.
Developers can extend these functions for custom indicators or strategies, leveraging the volatility clustering and smoothing methodologies. The K-Means implementation is particularly useful for adaptive volatility analysis.
🔷Limitations
• The indicator is not predictive and should be used as part of a broader trading strategy.
• Performance varies by market, timeframe, and parameter settings, requiring user experimentation.
• Backtest results are based on historical data and internal logic, not real-world trading conditions.
• Volatility clustering assumes sufficient historical data; incomplete data may affect accuracy.
🔷Acknowledgments
Developed by Bitwardex, inspired by machine learning concepts and adaptive trading methodologies. Community feedback is welcome via TradingView’s platform.
🔷 Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves significant risks, and most traders may incur losses. Bitwardex AI Algo is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument . The signals, metrics, and features are tools for analysis and do not guarantee profits or specific outcomes. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
M2 Liqudity WaveGlobal Liquidity Wave Indicator (M2-Based)
The Global Liquidity Wave Indicator is designed to track and visualize the impact of global M2 liquidity on risk assets—especially those highly correlated to monetary expansion, like Bitcoin, MSTR, and other macro-sensitive equities.
Key features include:
Leading Signal: Historically leads Bitcoin price action by approximately 70 days, offering traders and analysts a forward-looking edge.
Wave-Based Projection: Visualizes a "probability cloud"—a smoothed band representing the most likely trajectory for Bitcoin based on changes in global liquidity.
Min/Max Offset Controls: Adjustable offsets let you define the range of lookahead windows to shape the wave and better capture liquidity-driven inflection points.
Explicit Offset Visualization: Option to manually specify an exact offset to fine-tune the overlay, ideal for testing hypotheses or aligning with macro narratives.
Macro Alignment: Particularly effective for assets with high sensitivity to global monetary policy and liquidity cycles.
This tool is not just a chart overlay—it's a lens into the liquidity engine behind the market, helping anticipate directional bias in advance of price moves.
How to use?
- Enable the indicator for BTCUSD.
- Set Offset Range Start and End to 70 and 115 days
- Set Specific Offset to 78 days (this can change so you'll need to play around)
FAQ
Why a global liquidity wave?
The global liquidity wave accounts for variability in how much global liquidity affects an underlying asset. Think of the Global Liquidity Wave as an area that tracks the most probable path of Bitcoin, MSTR, etc. based on the total global liquidity.
Why the offset?
Global liquidity takes time to make its way into assets such as #Bitcoin, Strategy, etc. and there can be many reasons for that. It's never a specific number of days of offset, which is why a global liquidity wave is helpful in tracking probable paths for highly correlated risk assets.
Day’s Open ForecastOverview
This Pine Script indicator combines two primary components:
1. Day’s Open Forecast:
o Tracks historical daily moves (up and down) from the day’s open.
o Calculates average up and down moves over a user-defined lookback period.
o Optionally includes standard deviation adjustments to forecast potential intraday levels.
o Plots lines on the chart for the forecasted up and down moves from the current day's open.
2. Session VWAP:
o Allows you to specify a custom trading session (by time range and UTC offset).
o Calculates and plots a Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) during that session.
By combining these two features, you can gauge potential intraday moves relative to historical behavior from the open, while also tracking a session-specific VWAP that can act as a dynamic support/resistance reference.
How the Code Works
1. Collect Daily Moves
o The script detects when a new day starts using time("D").
o Once a new day is detected, it stores the previous day’s up-move (dayHigh - dayOpen) and down-move (dayOpen - dayLow) into arrays.
o These arrays keep track of the last N days (default: 126) of up/down move data.
2. Compute Statistics
o The script computes the average (f_average()) of up-moves and down-moves over the stored period.
o It also computes the standard deviation (f_stddev()) of up/down moves for optional “forecast bands.”
3. Forecast Lines
o Plots the current day’s open.
o Plots the average forecast lines above and below the open (Avg Up Move Level and Avg Down Move Level).
o If standard deviation is enabled, plots additional lines (Avg+StdDev Up and Avg+StdDev Down).
4. Session VWAP
o The script detects the start of a user-defined session (via input.session) and resets accumulation of volume and the numerator for VWAP.
o As each bar in the session updates, it accumulates volume (vwapCumulativeVolume) and a price-volume product (vwapCumulativeNumerator).
o The session VWAP is then calculated as (vwapCumulativeNumerator / vwapCumulativeVolume) and plotted.
5. Visualization Options
o Users can toggle standard deviation usage, historical up/down moves plotting, and whether to show the forecast “bands.”
o The vwapSession and vwapUtc inputs let you adjust which session (and time zone offset) the VWAP is calculated for.
________________________________________
How to Use This Indicator on TradingView
1. Create a New Script
o Open TradingView, then navigate to Pine Editor (usually found at the bottom of the chart).
o Copy and paste the entire code into the editor.
2. Save and Add to Chart
o Click Save (give it a relevant title if you wish), then click Add to chart.
o The indicator will appear on your chart with the forecast lines and VWAP.
o By default, it is overlayed on the price chart (because of overlay=true).
3. Customize Inputs
o In the indicator’s settings, you can:
Change lookback days (default: 126).
Enable or disable standard deviation (Include Standard Deviation in Forecast?).
Adjust the standard deviation multiplier.
Choose whether to plot bands (Plot Bands with Averages/StdDev?).
Plot historical moves if desired (Plot Historical Up/Down Moves for Reference?).
Set your custom session and UTC offset for the VWAP calculation.
4. Interpretation
o “Current Day Open” is simply today’s open price on your chart.
o Up/Down Move Lines: Indicate a potential forecast based on historical averages.
If standard deviation is enabled, the second set of lines acts as an extended range.
o VWAP: Helpful for determining intraday price equilibrium over the specified session.
Important Notes / Best Practices
• The script only updates the historical up/down move data once per day (when a new day starts).
• The VWAP portion resets at the start of the specified session each day.
• Standard deviation multiplies the average up/down range, giving you a sense of “volatility range” around the day’s open.
• Adjust the lookback length (dayCount) to balance how many days of data you want to average. More days = smoother but possibly slower to adapt; fewer days = more reactive but potentially less reliable historically.
Educational & Liability Disclaimers
1. Educational Disclaimer
o The information provided by this indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It is a technical analysis tool intended to demonstrate how to use historical data and basic statistics in Pine Script.
2. No Financial Advice
o This script does not constitute financial or investment advice. All examples and explanations are solely illustrative. You should always do your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
3. No Liability
o The author of this script is not liable for any losses or damages—monetary or otherwise—that may occur from the application of this script.
o Past performance does not guarantee future results, and you should never invest money you cannot afford to lose.
By adding this indicator to your TradingView chart, you acknowledge and accept that you alone are responsible for your own trading decisions.
Enjoy using the “Day’s Open Forecast” and Session VWAP for better market insights!
Liquidity Depth [AlgoAlpha]OVERVIEW
This script visualizes market liquidity by identifying key price levels where significant volume has transacted. It highlights zones of high buying and selling interest, helping traders understand where liquidity is accumulating and how price may respond to these areas. By dynamically tracking volume at highs and lows, the script builds a real-time liquidity profile, making it a powerful tool for identifying potential support and resistance levels.
CONCEPTS
Liquidity depth analysis helps traders determine how price interacts with supply and demand at different levels. The script processes historical volume data to distinguish between high-liquidity and low-liquidity zones. It assigns transparency levels to plotted lines , ensuring that more relevant liquidity areas stand out visually. The script adds a profile to show the depth of liquidity (derived from historical volume data) for levels above and below the current price
FEATURES
Liquidity Levels: Tracks liquidity levels based on volume concentration at price high and lows.
Volume-Based Transparency: More significant liquidity levels are displayed with higher visibility, showing their significance.
Interpolation: interpolates the bullish and bearish liquidity depth at a user defined range away from the price, helping in comparing the liquidity amounts between bullish and bearish.
Depth Profile: Allows traders to visualize depth of liquidity in a more quantitative and clearer way than the liquidity levels/list]
USAGE
This indicator is best used to track liquidity levels and potential price reaction areas. Traders can adjust the Liquidity Lookback setting to analyze past liquidity levels over different historical periods. The Profile Resolution setting controls the granularity of liquidity depth visualization, with higher values providing more detail. The script can be applied across different timeframes, from intraday scalping to swing trading analysis. The plotted liquidity zones provide traders with insights into where price may encounter strong support, resistance, or potential liquidity-driven reversals.
Stock Sector ETF with IndicatorsThe Stock Sector ETF with Indicators is a versatile tool designed to track the performance of sector-specific ETFs relative to the current asset. It automatically identifies the sector of the underlying symbol and displays the corresponding ETF’s price action alongside key technical indicators. This helps traders analyze sector trends and correlations in real time.
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Key Features
Automatic Sector Detection:
Fetches the sector of the current asset (e.g., "Technology" for AAPL).
Maps the sector to a user-defined ETF (default: SPDR sector ETFs) .
Technical Indicators:
Simple Moving Average (SMA): Tracks the ETF’s trend.
Bollinger Bands: Highlights volatility and potential reversals.
Donchian High (52-Week High): Identifies long-term resistance levels.
Customizable Inputs:
Adjust indicator parameters (length, visibility).
Override default ETFs for specific sectors.
Informative Table:
Displays the current sector and ETF symbol in the bottom-right corner.
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Input Settings
SMA Settings
SMA Length: Period for calculating the Simple Moving Average (default: 200).
Show SMA: Toggle visibility of the SMA line.
Bollinger Bands Settings
BB Length: Period for Bollinger Bands calculation (default: 20).
BB Multiplier: Standard deviation multiplier (default: 2.0).
Show Bollinger Bands: Toggle visibility of the bands.
Donchian High (52-Week High)
Daily High Length: Days used to calculate the high (default: 252, approx. 1 year).
Show High: Toggle visibility of the 52-week high line.
Sector Selections
Customize ETFs for each sector (e.g., replace XLU with another utilities ETF).
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Example Use Cases
Trend Analysis: Compare a stock’s price action to its sector ETF’s SMA for trend confirmation.
Volatility Signals: Use Bollinger Bands to spot ETF price squeezes or breakouts.
Sector Strength: Monitor if the ETF is approaching its 52-week high to gauge sector momentum.
Enjoy tracking sector trends with ease! 🚀
PT Least Squares Moving AveragePT LSMA Multi-Period Indicator
The PT Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) Multi-Period Indicator is a powerful tool designed for investors who want to track market trends across multiple time horizons in a single, convenient indicator. This indicator calculates the LSMA for four different periods— 25 bars, 50 bars, 450 bars, and 500 bars providing a comprehensive view of short-term and long-term market movements.
Key Features:
- Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis: Tracks both short-term (25 & 50 bars) and long-term (450 & 500 bars) market trends, helping investors make informed decisions.
- Smoothing Capability: The LSMA reduces noise by fitting a linear regression line to past price data, offering a clearer trend direction compared to traditional moving averages.
- One-Indicator Solution: Combines multiple LSMA periods into a single chart, reducing clutter and enhancing visual clarity.
- Versatile Applications: Suitable for trend identification, market timing, and spotting potential reversals across different timeframes.
- Customizable Styling: Allows users to customize colors and line styles for each period to suit their preferences.
How to Use:
1. Short-Term Trends (25 & 50 bars):Ideal for identifying recent price movements and short-term trade opportunities.
2. Long-Term Trends (450 & 500 bars): Helps investors gauge broader market sentiment and position themselves accordingly for longer holding periods.
3. Trend Confirmation: When shorter LSMA periods cross above longer ones, it may signal bullish momentum, whereas the opposite may indicate bearish sentiment.
4. Support and Resistance: The LSMA lines can act as dynamic support and resistance levels during trending markets.
Best For:
- Long-term investors looking to align their positions with dominant market trends.
- Swing traders seeking confirmation from multiple time horizons.
- Portfolio managers tracking price momentum across various investment durations.
This LSMA Multi-Period Indicator equips investors with a well-rounded perspective on price movements, offering a strategic edge in navigating market cycles with confidence.
Created by Prince Thomas
FTD & DD AnalyzerFTD & DD Analyzer
A comprehensive tool for identifying Follow-Through Days (FTDs) and Distribution Days (DDs) to analyze market conditions and potential trend changes, based on William J. O'Neil's proven methodology.
About the Methodology
This indicator implements the market analysis techniques developed by William J. O'Neil, founder of Investor's Business Daily and author of "How to Make Money in Stocks." O'Neil's research, spanning market data back to the 1880s, has successfully identified major market turns throughout history. His FTD and DD concepts remain crucial tools for institutional investors and serious traders.
Overview
This indicator helps traders identify two critical market conditions:
Distribution Days (DDs) - days of institutional selling pressure
Follow-Through Days (FTDs) - confirmation of potential market bottoms and new uptrends
The combination of these signals provides valuable insight into market health and potential trend changes.
Key Features
Distribution Day detection with customizable criteria
Follow-Through Day identification based on classical methodology
Market bottom detection using EMA analysis
Dynamic warning system for accumulated Distribution Days
Visual alerts with customizable labels
Advanced debug mode for detailed analysis
Flexible display options for different trading styles
Distribution Days Analysis
What is a Distribution Day?
A Distribution Day occurs when:
The price closes lower by a specified percentage (default -0.2%)
Volume is higher than the previous day
DD Settings
Price Threshold: Minimum price decline to qualify (default -0.2%)
Lookback Period: Number of days to analyze for DD accumulation (default 25)
Warning Levels:
First warning at 4 DDs
Severe warning (SOS - Sign of Strength) at 6 DDs
Display Options:
Show/hide DD count
Show/hide DD labels
Choose between showing all DDs or only within lookback period
Follow-Through Day Detection
What is a Follow-Through Day?
Following O'Neil's research, a Follow-Through Day confirms a potential market bottom when:
Occurs between day 4 and 13 after a bottom formation (optimal: days 4-7)
Shows significant price gain (default 1.5%)
Accompanied by higher volume than the previous day
Key Statistics:
FTDs followed by distribution on days 1-2 fail 95% of the time
Distribution on day 3 leads to 70% failure rate
Later distribution (days 4-5) shows only 30% failure rate
FTD Settings
Minimum Price Gain: Required percentage gain (default 1.5%)
Valid Window: Day 4 to Day 13 after bottom
Quality Rating:
🚀 for FTDs occurring within 7 days (historically most reliable)
⭐ for later FTDs
Market Bottom Detection
The indicator uses a sophisticated approach to identify potential market bottoms:
EMA Analysis:
Tracks 8 and 21-period EMAs
Monitors EMA alignment and momentum
Customizable tolerance levels
Price Action:
Looks for lower lows within specified lookback period
Confirms bottom with subsequent price action
Reset mechanism to prevent false signals
Visual Indicators
Label Types
📉 Distribution Days
⬇️ Market Bottoms
🚀/⭐ Follow-Through Days
⚠️ DD Warning Levels
Customization Options
Label size: Tiny, Small, Normal, Large
Label style: Default, Arrows, Triangles
Background colors for different signals
Dynamic positioning using ATR multiplier
Practical Usage
1. Monitor DD Accumulation:
Watch for increasing number of Distribution Days
Pay attention to warning levels (4 and 6 DDs)
Consider reducing exposure when warnings appear
2. Bottom Recognition:
Look for potential bottom formations
Monitor EMA alignment and price action
Wait for confirmation signals
3. FTD Confirmation:
Track days after potential bottom
Watch for strong price/volume action in valid window
Note FTD quality rating for additional context
Alert System
Built-in alerts for:
New Distribution Days
Follow-Through Day signals
High DD accumulation warnings
Tips for Best Results
Use multiple timeframes for confirmation
Combine with other market health indicators
Pay attention to sector rotation and market leadership
Monitor volume patterns for confirmation
Consider market context and external factors
Technical Notes
The indicator uses advanced array handling for DD tracking
Dynamic calculations ensure accurate signal generation
Debug mode available for detailed analysis
Optimized for real-time and historical analysis
Additional Information
Compatible with all markets and timeframes
Best suited for daily charts
Regular updates and maintenance
Based on O'Neil's time-tested market analysis principles
Conclusion
The FTD & DD Analyzer provides a systematic approach to market analysis, combining O'Neil's proven methodologies with modern technical analysis. It helps traders identify potential market turns while monitoring institutional participation through volume analysis.
Remember that no indicator is perfect - always use in conjunction with other analysis tools and proper risk management.
Drawdown from All-Time High (Line)This Pine Script is a **Drawdown Indicator from All-Time High** for TradingView. It calculates and plots the percentage drawdown from the highest price the asset has ever reached (the all-time high). Here's a breakdown of what this script does:
### Description:
- **Drawdown Calculation**:
- The drawdown is calculated as the difference between the current price (`close`) and the all-time high, divided by the all-time high, and multiplied by 100 to express it as a percentage.
- If the current price is higher than the previous all-time high, the all-time high is updated to the current price.
- **All-Time High Tracking**:
- The script tracks the highest price (`allTimeHigh`) that the asset has ever reached. Each time a new high is reached, the `allTimeHigh` value is updated.
- **Line Plot**:
- The drawdown percentage is then plotted as a line on the chart, with a color of **blue** for easy visualization.
- The line shows how much the price has dropped relative to its all-time high.
- **Zero Line**:
- A horizontal line is added at the **0%** level to act as a reference point, which is helpful to identify when the asset has fully recovered to its all-time high.
### Key Features:
- **Track Drawdown**: The indicator helps visualize how far the current price has fallen from its highest point, which is useful for understanding the depth of losses (drawdowns) during a period.
- **Update All-Time High**: The indicator automatically updates the all-time high whenever a new high is detected.
- **Visual Reference**: The 0% horizontal line provides a clear indication of when the asset is at its all-time high, and the drawdown is at 0%.
### How it Works:
- If the current price surpasses the all-time high, the script will reset the all-time high to the new price.
- The drawdown percentage is calculated from the current price relative to this all-time high, and it is displayed as a line on the chart.
### Visuals:
- **Drawdown Line**: Plots the percentage of the drawdown, which is the drop from the all-time high.
- **Zero Line**: A dotted horizontal line at 0% marks the level of the all-time high.
This indicator is valuable for understanding the extent of price corrections and potential recoveries relative to the historical peak of the asset. It is especially useful for traders and investors who want to assess the risk of drawdowns in relation to the highest price achieved by the asset.
B-Xtrender By Neal inspired from @PuppytherapyThanks to @puppytherapy for creating the original B-Xtrender indicator, available at this link: B-Xtrender by @QuantTherapy
I played around the code to have entry and exit condition. The B-Xtrender @QuantTherapy
indicator is a momentum-based tool designed to help traders identify potential trade opportunities by tracking shifts in market momentum. Using a smoothed momentum oscillator, it detects changes in trend direction and provides clear signals for entry and exit points.
Features
Momentum Detection:
Tracks market momentum using the BX-Trender Oscillator.
Green bars indicate bullish momentum, while red bars indicate bearish momentum.
Lighter shades of green/red reflect weakening momentum.
Entry and Exit Signals:
Entry Condition: A long trade is triggered when the oscillator changes from red to green .
Exit Condition: A long trade exit is triggered when the oscillator changes from green to red .
Dynamic PnL Calculation:
Automatically calculates profit or loss in percentage (%) when a trade is exited.
Positive PnL values are prefixed with `+`, and negative values are shown as `-`.
Clear Visualization:
Bar chart-style oscillator in a separate pane for better trend visualization.
Trade labels on the main price chart for clear entry and exit points.
Inputs
Short-Term Momentum Parameters:
Short - L1: Length of the first EMA for short-term momentum calculations.
Short - L2: Length of the second EMA for short-term momentum calculations.
Short - L3: RSI smoothing period applied to the short-term momentum.
Long-Term Momentum Parameters:
Long - L1: Length of the EMA for long-term momentum calculations.
Long - L2: RSI smoothing period applied to the long-term momentum.
Entry and Exit Logic
Entry Condition:
A long trade is triggered when:
The BX-Trender Oscillator changes from red to green .
This shift indicates bullish momentum.
Exit Condition:
A long trade exit is triggered when:
The BX-Trender Oscillator changes from green to red .
This shift indicates a loss of bullish momentum or the start of bearish momentum.
PnL Calculation:
When exiting a trade, the indicator calculates the profit or loss as a percentage of the entry price.
Example:
A profit is displayed as +5.67% .
A loss is displayed as -3.21% .
Visualization
Oscillator Bars:
Green Bars: Represent increasing bullish momentum.
Light Green Bars: Represent weakening bullish momentum.
Red Bars: Represent increasing bearish momentum.
Light Red Bars: Represent weakening bearish momentum.
Just make sure that you checked off the B-Xtrend oscillator off from the style so chart can be active
Trade Labels:
Entry Labels: Displayed below the candle with the text Entry, long .
Exit Labels: Displayed above the candle with the text Exit .
Bar Chart Pane:
The oscillator is displayed in a separate pane for clear trend visualization.
Default Style
Oscillator Colors:
Green for bullish momentum.
Red for bearish momentum.
Light green and light red for weaker momentum.
Trade Labels:
Green labels for entries.
Red labels for exits, with percentage PnL displayed.
Use Cases
Momentum-Based Entries:
Detects shifts in momentum from bearish to bullish for precise trade entry points.
Trend Reversal Detection:
Identifies when bullish momentum weakens, signaling an exit opportunity.
Visual Simplicity:
Offers an intuitive way to track trends with its bar chart-style oscillator and clear trade labels.
This indicator doesn't indicate that it will work perfectly. More updates on the way.
Hull MA with Alerts and LabelsThis script is designed to help traders visually track market trends using various types of moving averages (MAs) and to receive alerts when certain conditions are met. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how the script works:
1. User Inputs and Customization:
MA Length: Traders can define the length of the moving average (default is 100).
Confirmation Candles: The trader can specify how many candles must confirm a trend before the script triggers a signal (default is 1).
MA Variation: The trader can choose between different moving average types: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or Hull Moving Average (HMA).
Source: Traders select the price source for the moving average calculation (e.g., close price).
Ribbon Transparency: Allows control over the transparency level of the ribbon plotted between the moving averages.
Bullish/Bearish Ribbon Colors: The user can choose the colors for bullish and bearish trends.
2. Moving Average Calculations:
The script provides multiple options for calculating moving averages:
SMA (Simple Moving Average)
EMA (Exponential Moving Average)
WMA (Weighted Moving Average)
HMA (Hull Moving Average)
For the Hull Moving Average (HMA), it uses a specific formula that smoothens the movement and reduces lag, which is helpful for more reactive trend detection.
3. Plotting Moving Averages and Trend Ribbon:
The script calculates two key moving averages:
MHULL: The main moving average, selected based on the user’s chosen MA variation and source.
SHULL: A shifted version of the MHULL to help compare trends (shifted by 2 bars).
These two moving averages are plotted on the chart for visualization. MHULL is plotted in green (or another color if changed), while SHULL is plotted in red. A ribbon is drawn between MHULL and SHULL to indicate trends visually. The ribbon changes color depending on whether the trend is bullish (MHULL > SHULL) or bearish (MHULL < SHULL). The ribbon’s transparency can be adjusted for visual clarity.
4. Trend Detection:
Bullish Trend: The script checks if the price has closed above MHULL for the defined number of confirmation candles. If confirmed, a bullish trend is detected.
Bearish Trend: Similarly, the script checks if the price has closed below SHULL for the confirmation period, indicating a bearish trend.
The script tracks whether the market is in a bullish or bearish trend and prevents repeated signals by remembering the current trend state.
5. Alerts and Labels:
Bullish Alerts and Labels: When a confirmed bullish trend is detected (i.e., price closes above MHULL for the entire confirmation period and MHULL > SHULL), the script triggers an alert notifying the trader of the bullish condition. A "BULLISH" label is placed on the chart near the low of the candle where the trend was confirmed.
Bearish Alerts and Labels: If a confirmed bearish trend is detected (i.e., price closes below SHULL for the confirmation period and MHULL < SHULL), the script triggers an alert for the bearish condition. A "BEARISH" label is placed on the chart near the high of the candle where the trend was confirmed.
These alerts and labels help traders act quickly on trend changes and align their trading strategy with market conditions.
6. Practical Use for Traders:
For traders, this script offers:
Customizability : It allows traders to define the length and type of moving averages, choose price sources, and control how signals are confirmed.
Visual Trend Representation : The plotted MA lines and colored ribbons help traders easily see market direction.
Early Warnings : With alerts and labels, the script gives traders early signals when trends are shifting, allowing them to adjust positions accordingly.
Trend Confirmation : The script waits for a user-defined number of confirmation candles before signaling a new trend, reducing false signals.
Overall, the script helps traders automate their strategy by tracking moving averages and alerting them when key trend conditions are met.
Sharpe and Sortino Ratios█ OVERVIEW
This indicator calculates the Sharpe and Sortino ratios using a chart symbol's periodic price returns, offering insights into the symbol's risk-adjusted performance. It features the option to calculate these ratios by comparing the periodic returns to a fixed annual rate of return or the returns from another selected symbol's context.
█ CONCEPTS
Returns, risk, and volatility
The return on an investment is the relative gain or loss over a period, often expressed as a percentage. Investment returns can originate from several sources, including capital gains, dividends, and interest income. Many investors seek the highest returns possible in the quest for profit. However, prudent investing and trading entails evaluating such returns against the associated risks (i.e., the uncertainty of returns and the potential for financial losses) for a clearer perspective on overall performance and sustainability.
The profitability of an investment typically comes at the cost of enduring market swings, noise, and general uncertainty. To navigate these turbulent waters, investors and portfolio managers often utilize volatility , a measure of the statistical dispersion of historical returns, as a foundational element in their risk assessments because it provides a tangible way to gauge the uncertainty in returns. High volatility suggests increased uncertainty and, consequently, higher risk, whereas low volatility suggests more stable returns with minimal fluctuations, implying lower risk. These concepts are integral components in several risk-adjusted performance metrics, including the Sharpe and Sortino ratios calculated by this indicator.
Risk-free rate
The risk-free rate represents the rate of return on a hypothetical investment carrying no risk of financial loss. This theoretical rate provides a benchmark for comparing the returns on a risky investment and evaluating whether its excess returns justify the risks. If an investment's returns are at or below the theoretical risk-free rate or the risk premium is below a desired amount, it may suggest that the returns do not compensate for the extra risk, which might be a call to reassess the investment.
Since the risk-free rate is a theoretical concept, investors often utilize proxies for the rate in practice, such as Treasury bills and other government bonds. Conventionally, analysts consider such instruments "risk-free" for a domestic holder, as they are a form of government obligation with a low perceived likelihood of default.
The average yield on short-term Treasury bills, influenced by economic conditions, monetary policies, and inflation expectations, has historically hovered around 2-3% over the long term. This range also aligns with central banks' inflation targets. As such, one may interpret a value within this range as a minimum proxy for the risk-free rate, as it may correspond to the minimum rate required to maintain purchasing power over time. This indicator uses a default value of 2% as the risk-free rate in its Sharpe and Sortino ratio calculations. Users can adjust this value from the "Risk-free rate of return" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
Sharpe and Sortino ratios
The Sharpe and Sortino ratios are two of the most widely used metrics that offer insight into an investment's risk-adjusted performance . They provide a standardized framework to compare the effectiveness of investments relative to their perceived risks. These metrics can help investors determine whether the returns justify the risks taken to achieve them, promoting more informed investment decisions.
Both metrics measure risk-adjusted performance similarly. However, they have some differences in their formulas and their interpretation:
1. Sharpe ratio
The Sharpe ratio , developed by Nobel laureate William F. Sharpe, measures the performance of an investment compared to a theoretically risk-free asset, adjusted for the investment risk. The ratio uses the following formula:
Sharpe Ratio = (𝑅𝑎 − 𝑅𝑓) / 𝜎𝑎
Where:
• 𝑅𝑎 = Average return of the investment
• 𝑅𝑓 = Theoretical risk-free rate of return
• 𝜎𝑎 = Standard deviation of the investment's returns (volatility)
A higher Sharpe ratio indicates a more favorable risk-adjusted return, as it signifies that the investment produced higher excess returns per unit of increase in total perceived risk.
2. Sortino ratio
The Sortino ratio is a modified form of the Sharpe ratio that only considers downside volatility , i.e., the volatility of returns below the theoretical risk-free benchmark. Although it shares close similarities with the Sharpe ratio, it can produce very different values, especially when the returns do not have a symmetrical distribution, since it does not penalize upside and downside volatility equally. The ratio uses the following formula:
Sortino Ratio = (𝑅𝑎 − 𝑅𝑓) / 𝜎𝑑
Where:
• 𝑅𝑎 = Average return of the investment
• 𝑅𝑓 = Theoretical risk-free rate of return
• 𝜎𝑑 = Downside deviation (standard deviation of negative excess returns, or downside volatility)
The Sortino ratio offers an alternative perspective on an investment's return-generating efficiency since it does not consider upside volatility in its calculation. A higher Sortino ratio signifies that the investment produced higher excess returns per unit of increase in perceived downside risk.
The risk-free rate (𝑅𝑓) in the numerator of both ratio formulas acts as a baseline for comparing an investment's performance to a theoretical risk-free alternative. By subtracting the risk-free rate from the expected return (𝑅𝑎−𝑅𝑓), the numerator essentially represents the risk premium of the investment.
Comparison with another symbol
In addition to the conventional Sharpe and Sortino ratios, which compare an instrument's returns to a risk-free rate, this indicator can also compare returns to a user-specified benchmark symbol , allowing the calculation of Information ratios .
An Information ratio is a generalized form of the Sharpe ratio that compares an investment's returns to a risky benchmark , such as SPY, rather than a risk-free rate. It measures the investment's active return (the difference between its returns and the benchmark returns) relative to its tracking error (i.e., the volatility of the active return) using the following formula:
𝐼𝑅 = (𝑅𝑝 − 𝑅𝑏) / 𝑇𝐸
Where:
• 𝑅𝑝 = Average return on the portfolio or investment
• 𝑅𝑏 = Average return from the benchmark instrument
• 𝑇𝐸 = Tracking error (volatility of 𝑅𝑝 − 𝑅𝑏)
Comparing returns to a benchmark instrument rather than a theoretical risk-free rate offers unique insights into risk-adjusted performance. Higher Information ratios signify that the investment produced higher active returns per unit of increase in risk relative to the benchmark. Conventional choices for non-risk-free benchmarks include major composite indices like the S&P 500 and DJIA, as the resulting ratios can provide insight into the effectiveness of an investment relative to the broader market.
Users can enable this generalized calculation for both the Sharpe and Sortino ratios by selecting the "Benchmark symbol returns" option from the "Benchmark type" dropdown in the "Settings/Inputs" tab.
It's crucial to note that this indicator compares the charts symbol's rate of change (return) to the rate of change in the benchmark symbol. Consequently, not all symbols available on TradingView are suitable for use with these ratios due to the nature of what their values represent. For instance, using a bond as a benchmark will produce distorted results since each bar's values represent yields rather than prices, meaning it compares the rate of change in the yield. To maintain consistency and relevance in the calculated ratios, ensure the values from the compared symbols strictly represent price information.
█ FEATURES
This indicator provides traders with two widely used metrics for assessing risk-adjusted performance, generalized to allow users to compare the chart symbol's price returns to a fixed risk-free rate or the returns from another risky symbol. Below are the key features of this indicator:
Timeframe selection
The "Returns timeframe" input determines the timeframe of the calculated price returns. Users can select any value greater than or equal to the chart's timeframe. The default timeframe is "1M".
Periodic returns tracking
This indicator compounds and collects requested price returns from the selected timeframe over monthly or daily periods, similar to how the Broker Emulator works when calculating strategy performance metrics on trade data. It employs the following logic:
• Track returns over monthly periods if the chart's data spans at least two months.
• Track returns over daily periods if the chart's data spans at least two days but not two months.
• Do not track or collect returns if the data spans less than two days, as the amount of data is insufficient for meaningful ratio calculations.
The indicator uses the returns collected from up to a specified number of periods to calculate the Sharpe and Sortino ratios, depending on the available historical data. It also uses these periodic returns to calculate the average returns it displays in the Data Window.
Users can control the maximum number of periods the indicator analyzes with the "Max no. of periods used" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab. The default value is 60 periods.
Benchmark specification
The "Benchmark return type" input specifies the benchmark type the indicator compares to the chart symbol's returns in the ratio calculations. It features the following two options:
• "Risk-free rate of return (%)": Compares the price returns to a user-specified annual rate of return representing a theoretical risk-free rate (e.g., 2%).
• "Benchmark symbol return": Compares the price returns to a selected benchmark symbol (e.g., "AMEX:SPY) to calculate Information ratios.
When comparing a chart symbol's returns to a specified benchmark symbol, this indicator aligns the times of data points from the benchmark with the times of data points from the chart's symbol to facilitate a fair comparison between symbols with different active sessions.
Visualization and display
• The indicator displays the periodic returns requested from the specified "Returns timeframe" in a separate pane. The plot includes dynamic colors to signify positive and negative returns.
• When the "Returns timeframe" value represents a higher timeframe, the indicator displays background highlights on the main chart pane to signify when a new value is available and whether the return is positive or negative.
• When the specified benchmark return type is a benchmark symbol, the indicator displays the requested symbol's returns in the separate pane as a gray line for visual comparison.
• Within the separate pane, the indicator displays a single-cell table that shows the base period it uses for periodic returns, the number of periods it uses in the calculation, the timeframe of the requested data, and the calculated Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
• The Data Window displays the chart symbol and benchmark returns, their periodic averages, and the Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
█ FOR Pine Script™ CODERS
• This script utilizes the functions from our RiskMetrics library to determine the size of the periods, calculate and collect periodic returns, and compute the Sharpe and Sortino ratios.
• The `getAlignedPrices()` function in this script requests price data for the chart's symbol and a benchmark symbol with consistent time alignment by utilizing spread symbols , which helps facilitate a fair comparison between different symbol types. Retrieving prices from spreads avoids potential information loss and data misalignment that can otherwise occur when using separate requests from each symbol's context when those symbols have different sessions or data times.
• For consistency, the `getAlignedPrices()` function includes extended hours and dividend adjustment modifiers in its data requests. Additionally, it includes other settings inherited from the chart's context, such as "settlement-as-close" preferences for fair comparison between futures instruments.
• This script uses the `changePercent()` function from our ta library to calculate the percentage changes of the requested data.
• The newly released `force_overlay` parameter in display-related functions allows indicators to display visuals on the main chart and a separate pane simultaneously. We use the parameter in this script's bgcolor() call to display background highlights on the main chart.
Look first. Then leap.
Globex, Extended, Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Yearly Range* Adds Right Side Only Price Line & Labels for Tracking without Extending Both Sides
* Tracks Current, Previous, and Two Previous Globex Sessions/ Futures:
* Tracks Current, Previous, and Two Previous Extended Session/ Stocks:
* Tracks Current, Previous, Two, & Three Previous Day Session/ Equities:
* Tracks Current, Last, Two, Three, Four, & Five Week Session/ Equities:
* Tracks Current, Last, Two, Three, Four, & Five Month Session/ Equities:
* Tracks Current, Last, Two, Three, Four, & Five Year Session/ Equities:
* Allows Custom Range on Globex, Extended, & Daily Sessions
* Allows Custom Range on Weekly, Monthly, & Yearly Sessions
* Lines & Labels Are Not Visible on Chart Scales
* Reversible Text & Background Color
* Lines Extend Accordingly with Range
* Labels show Price & Percent Change
* Background Colors should match Chart Color to avoid Overlapping Text & Labels
* Lines have Offset Extension
* Labels have Offset Extension
* Globex Session is only visible on Futures & if Current Timeframe is Intraday
* Extended Session is only visible on Stocks & if Current Timeframe is Intraday
* Daily, Weekly, Monthly, & Yearly Sessions are visible on All Symbols & All Timeframes
* Globex, Extended, & Regular use their Default Time Sessions but allow Customization
* For Back Testing Default Sessions, switch over on the Menu to Style and Turn On/Off their Background Color; Any Area on the Chart Without Background Color is Regular Session
Binque's Multi-Moving Average Binque's Multi-Moving Average - One indicator with four simple moving average and four exponential moving averages, plus as a bonus a Day High moving average and a Day Low Moving Average.
Simple Moving Average or MA(14), MA(50), MA(100) and MA(200) all in one indicator
Exponential Moving Average or EMA(8), EMA(14), EMA(20) and EMA(33) all in one indicator
Day High Moving Average - Tracks the Daily High versus most moving averages track the daily close.
Day Low Moving Average - Tracks the Daily Low versus most moving average track the daily close.
To Disable moving averages, Set the color to the chart background and then set the length to 1 and uncheck.
I Use the Daily High Moving Average to track upward resistance in a stock movement for Swing Trading.
I Use the Daily Low Moving Average to track my trailing stop in a stock movement for Swing Trading.
Trend lines & Pressure Zone Overview
This indicator intelligently identifies and plots dynamic support and resistance zones based on swing pivots and price action validation. It combines trend analysis with pressure zone detection to highlight key areas where price is likely to react.
Key Features
1.Smart Zone Detection
Automatically identifies the strongest resistance and support levels
Requires multiple price touches for validation (configurable)
Plots only the 2 most relevant trendlines to keep charts clean
Dynamic channel zones show the area of influence around each trendline
2.Dual Analysis Method
Uses swing pivot detection to find turning points
Validates zones through touch counting with price margin tolerance
Combines aspects of trendline analysis and pressure zone theory
Adapts to different timeframes and instruments
3.Contact Detection & Alerts
Visual circle markers when price contacts zones
Arrow indicators for zone interactions
Alert conditions for zone creation, breaks, and contacts
Customizable visual feedback
4.Flexible Configuration
Adjustable swing length for pivot detection
Configurable price margin tolerance
Minimum touch requirements prevent false signals
Optional line extension with custom length
Peak reset interval to refresh zones periodically
How It Works
Resistance Zones:
Identifies swing high pivots
Tracks the highest peak within the reset interval
When price drops below the peak, draws a downward trendline
Validates the zone by counting touches within the price margin
Only displays the zone after minimum touches are confirmed
Support Zones:
Identifies swing low pivots
Tracks the lowest trough within the reset interval
When price rises above the trough, draws an upward trendline
Validates the zone by counting touches within the price margin
Only displays the zone after minimum touches are confirmed
Zone Channels:
Each trendline includes a parallel channel showing the pressure zone width, making it easier to identify when price is interacting with the zone.
Pivot Detection:
Swing Length (default: 5) - Bars on each side to confirm pivot points
Peak Reset Interval (default: 100) - Bars before resetting tracked peak/trough
Zone Settings:
Price Margin % (default: 0.1%) - Tolerance for touch validation
Minimum Touches (default: 3) - Required touches before drawing zone
Channel Width % (default: 0.5%) - Visual width of pressure zone
Extension:
Extend Lines (default: off) - Project lines into the future
Extension Length (default: 50) - Bars to extend when enabled
Visual Styling:
Separate color/width controls for resistance and support
Customizable fill transparency for channels, Toggle contact arrows and circles
Trading Applications
Entry Signals:
Buy when price contacts support zone with confirmation
Sell when price contacts resistance zone with confirmation, Look for zone breaks as momentum signals
Stop Loss Placement:
Place stops beyond the opposite zone, Use channel width to gauge volatility
Target Setting:
Opposite zone acts as first profit target, Zone breaks signal potential trend continuation
Confluence:
Works well with volume analysis,Combine with RSI/MACD for confirmation,
Use multiple timeframes for stronger signals
Best Practices
✅ DO:
Adjust swing length based on timeframe (lower for intraday, higher for daily+)
Reduce minimum touches (2-3) for volatile markets
Increase price margin for choppy conditions
Wait for candle close confirmation on zone breaks
❌ DON'T:
Trade zones in isolation without other confirmation
Use overly tight parameters that generate false signals
Ignore the broader trend context
Chase price after zone breaks without pullback
Tips for Optimization
Scalping (1-5 min): Swing Length: 3-5, Min Touches: 2
Day Trading (15-60 min): Swing Length: 5-10, Min Touches: 3
Swing Trading (4H-Daily): Swing Length: 10-20, Min Touches: 3-4
Position Trading (Daily-Weekly): Swing Length: 15-25, Min Touches: 4-5
Alert Conditions
Zone Contact: Price touches resistance or support zone
Set up notifications for real-time trading opportunities
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk management before trading.
Hurst-Optimized Adaptive Channel [Kodexius]Hurst-Optimized Adaptive Channel (HOAC) is a regime-aware channel indicator that continuously adapts its centerline and volatility bands based on the market’s current behavior. Instead of using a single fixed channel model, HOAC evaluates whether price action is behaving more like a trend-following environment or a mean-reverting environment, then automatically selects the most suitable channel structure.
At the core of the engine is a robust Hurst Exponent estimation using R/S (Rescaled Range) analysis. The Hurst value is smoothed and compared against user-defined thresholds to classify the market regime. In trending regimes, the script emphasizes stability by favoring a slower, smoother channel when it proves more accurate over time. In mean-reversion regimes, it deliberately prioritizes a faster model to react sooner to reversion opportunities, similar in spirit to how traders use Bollinger-style behavior.
The result is a clean, professional adaptive channel with inner and outer bands, dynamic gradient fills, and an optional mean-reversion signal layer. A minimalist dashboard summarizes the detected regime, the current Hurst reading, and which internal model is currently preferred.
🔹 Features
🔸 Robust Regime Detection via Hurst Exponent (R/S Analysis)
HOAC uses a robust Hurst Exponent estimate derived from log returns and Rescaled Range analysis. The Hurst value acts as a behavioral filter:
- H > Trend Start threshold suggests trend persistence and directional continuation.
- H < Mean Reversion threshold suggests anti-persistence and a higher likelihood of reverting toward a central value.
Values between thresholds are treated as Neutral, allowing the channel to remain adaptive without forcing a hard bias.
This regime framework is designed to make the channel selection context-aware rather than purely reactive to recent volatility.
🔸 Dual Channel Engine (Fast vs Slow Models)
Instead of relying on one fixed channel, HOAC computes two independent channel candidates:
Fast model: shorter WMA basis and standard deviation window, intended to respond quickly and fit more reactive environments.
Slow model: longer WMA basis and standard deviation window, intended to reduce noise and better represent sustained directional flow.
Each model produces:
- A midline (basis)
- Outer bands (wider deviation)
- Inner bands (tighter deviation)
This structure gives you a clear core zone and an outer envelope that better represents volatility expansion.
🔸 Rolling Optimization Memory (Model Selection by Error)
HOAC includes an internal optimization layer that continuously measures how well each model fits current price action. On every bar, each model’s absolute deviation from the basis is recorded into a rolling memory window. The script then compares total accumulated error between fast and slow models and prefers the one with lower recent error.
This approach does not attempt curve fitting on multiple parameters. It focuses on a simple, interpretable metric: “Which model has tracked price more accurately over the last X bars?”
Additionally:
If the regime is Mean Reversion, the script explicitly prioritizes the fast model, ensuring responsiveness when reversals matter most.
🔸 Optional Output Smoothing (User-Selectable)
The final selected channel can be smoothed using your choice of:
- SMA
- EMA
- HMA
- RMA
This affects the plotted midline and all band outputs, allowing you to tune visual stability and responsiveness without changing the underlying decision engine.
🔸 Premium Visualization Layer (Inner Core + Outer Fade)
HOAC uses a layered band design:
- Inner bands define the core equilibrium zone around the midline.
- Outer bands define an extended volatility envelope for extremes.
Gradient fills and line styling help separate the core from the extremes while staying visually clean. The midline includes a subtle glow effect for clarity.
🔸 Adaptive Bar Tinting Strength (Regime Intensity)
Bar coloring dynamically adjusts transparency based on how far the Hurst value is from 0.5. When market behavior is more decisively trending or mean-reverting, the tint becomes more pronounced. When behavior is closer to random, the tint becomes more subtle.
🔸 Mean-Reversion Signal Layer
Mean-reversion signals are enabled when the environment is not classified as Trending:
- Buy when price crosses back above the lower outer band
- Sell when price crosses back below the upper outer band
This is intentionally a “return to channel” logic rather than a breakout logic, aligning signals with mean-reversion behavior and avoiding signals in strongly trending regimes by default.
🔸 Minimalist Dashboard (HUD)
A compact table displays:
- Current regime classification
- Smoothed Hurst value
- Which model is currently preferred (Fast or Slow)
- Trend flow direction (based on midline slope)
🔹 Calculations
1) Robust Hurst Exponent (R/S Analysis)
The script estimates Hurst using a Rescaled Range approach on log returns. It builds a returns array, computes mean, cumulative deviation range (R), standard deviation (S), then converts RS into a Hurst exponent.
calc_robust_hurst(int length) =>
float r = math.log(close / close )
float returns = array.new_float(length)
for i = 0 to length - 1
array.set(returns, i, r )
float mean = array.avg(returns)
float cumDev = 0.0
float maxCD = -1.0e10
float minCD = 1.0e10
float sumSqDiff = 0.0
for i = 0 to length - 1
float val = array.get(returns, i)
sumSqDiff += math.pow(val - mean, 2)
cumDev += (val - mean)
if cumDev > maxCD
maxCD := cumDev
if cumDev < minCD
minCD := cumDev
float R = maxCD - minCD
float S = math.sqrt(sumSqDiff / length)
float RS = (S == 0) ? 0.0 : (R / S)
float hurst = (RS > 0) ? (math.log10(RS) / math.log10(length)) : 0.5
hurst
This design avoids simplistic proxies and attempts to reflect persistence (trend tendency) vs anti-persistence (mean reversion tendency) from the underlying return structure.
2) Hurst Smoothing
Raw Hurst values can be noisy, so the script applies EMA smoothing before regime decisions.
float rawHurst = calc_robust_hurst(i_hurstLen)
float hVal = ta.ema(rawHurst, i_smoothHurst)
This stabilized hVal is the value used across regime classification, dynamic visuals, and the HUD display.
3) Regime Classification
The smoothed Hurst reading is compared to user thresholds to label the environment.
string regime = "NEUTRAL"
if hVal > i_trendZone
regime := "TRENDING"
else if hVal < i_chopZone
regime := "MEAN REV"
Higher Hurst implies more persistence, so the indicator treats it as a trend environment.
Lower Hurst implies more mean-reverting behavior, so the indicator enables MR logic and emphasizes faster adaptation.
4) Dual Channel Models (Fast and Slow)
HOAC computes two candidate channel structures in parallel. Each model is a WMA basis with volatility envelopes derived from standard deviation. Inner and outer bands are created using different multipliers.
Fast model (more reactive):
float fastBasis = ta.wma(close, 20)
float fastDev = ta.stdev(close, 20)
ChannelObj fastM = ChannelObj.new(fastBasis, fastBasis + fastDev * 2.0, fastBasis - fastDev * 2.0, fastBasis + fastDev * 1.0, fastBasis - fastDev * 1.0, math.abs(close - fastBasis))
Slow model (more stable):
float slowBasis = ta.wma(close, 50)
float slowDev = ta.stdev(close, 50)
ChannelObj slowM = ChannelObj.new(slowBasis, slowBasis + slowDev * 2.5, slowBasis - slowDev * 2.5, slowBasis + slowDev * 1.25, slowBasis - slowDev * 1.25, math.abs(close - slowBasis))
Both models store their structure in a ChannelObj type, including the instantaneous tracking error (abs(close - basis)).
5) Rolling Error Memory and Model Preference
To decide which model fits current conditions better, the script stores recent errors into rolling arrays and compares cumulative error totals.
var float errFast = array.new_float()
var float errSlow = array.new_float()
update_error(float errArr, float error, int maxLen) =>
errArr.unshift(error)
if errArr.size() > maxLen
errArr.pop()
Each bar updates both error histories and computes which model has lower recent accumulated error.
update_error(errFast, fastM.error, i_optLookback)
update_error(errSlow, slowM.error, i_optLookback)
bool preferFast = errFast.sum() < errSlow.sum()
This is an interpretable optimization approach: it does not attempt to brute-force parameters, it simply prefers the model that has tracked price more closely over the last i_optLookback bars.
6) Winner Selection Logic (Regime-Aware Hybrid)
The final model selection uses both regime and rolling error performance.
ChannelObj winner = regime == "MEAN REV" ? fastM : (preferFast ? fastM : slowM)
rawMid := winner.mid
rawUp := winner.upper
rawDn := winner.lower
rawUpInner := winner.upper_inner
rawDnInner := winner.lower_inner
In Mean Reversion, the script forces the fast model to ensure responsiveness.
Otherwise, it selects the lowest-error model between fast and slow.
7) Optional Output Smoothing
After the winner is selected, the script optionally smooths the final channel outputs using the chosen moving average type.
smooth(float src, string type, int len) =>
switch type
"SMA" => ta.sma(src, len)
"EMA" => ta.ema(src, len)
"HMA" => ta.hma(src, len)
"RMA" => ta.rma(src, len)
=> src
float finalMid = i_enableSmooth ? smooth(rawMid, i_smoothType, i_smoothLen) : rawMid
float finalUp = i_enableSmooth ? smooth(rawUp, i_smoothType, i_smoothLen) : rawUp
float finalDn = i_enableSmooth ? smooth(rawDn, i_smoothType, i_smoothLen) : rawDn
float finalUpInner = i_enableSmooth ? smooth(rawUpInner, i_smoothType, i_smoothLen) : rawUpInner
float finalDnInner = i_enableSmooth ? smooth(rawDnInner, i_smoothType, i_smoothLen) : rawDnInner
This preserves decision integrity since smoothing happens after model selection, not before.
8) Dynamic Visual Intensity From Hurst
Transparency is derived from the distance of hVal to 0.5, so stronger behavioral regimes appear with clearer tints.
int dynTrans = int(math.max(20, math.min(80, 100 - (math.abs(hVal - 0.5) * 200))))
ORB FX REPLAY - FINAL SAFEHere is the description in English, written to sound professional and meet all the requirements for publishing on TradingView:
Script Description:
Title: ORB Strategy Backtest Pro - Ultra Compatibility
Description: This is an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy specifically designed for professional backtesting. It is optimized to run smoothly on external platforms like FX Replay and TradingView's replay mode.
Key Features:
Custom Session: Automatically calculates the High and Low of a specific time window (default: 10:00 - 10:15 Bucharest/GMT+2).
Impulse Confirmation: Features a "Min Impulse" filter to ensure entries happen on strong momentum, avoiding "fake-outs" near the range boundaries.
Hard Target Management: Designed for "Set & Forget" backtesting. Once a trade is triggered, the script tracks it until it hits either the Stop Loss (SL) or the final Take Profit 3 (TP3).
Visual Projections: Draws clear, real-time lines for Entry, SL, and TP3 on the chart for easy visual tracking.
Automated Statistics: Includes a dynamic label system that tracks Total Trades, Win Count, and Loss Count based on the TP3/SL logic.
Optimized Code: Built using Pine Script v5 with a focus on stability and compatibility, avoiding complex tables that often cause errors on external engines.
Moon Phases & Declinations - Chronos Capital [BETA]High-Precision Lunar Cycles: Moon Phases & Declinations (Swiss Ephemeris)
Overview
This indicator provides institutional-grade astronomical data directly on your chart. Unlike standard scripts that use basic sine-wave approximations, this tool implements the **Swiss Ephemeris algorithm**, the gold standard for high-precision celestial calculations.
By tracking the Moon’s phases and its **Maximum/Minimum Declinations**, traders can identify potential "turning points" or "energy shifts" in market volatility often associated with lunar cycles.
---
Key Features
Ultra-High Precision: Calculations are accurate to within *seconds* of time, ensuring that the visual plot aligns perfectly with astronomical reality.
Moon Phase Tracking: Distinct markers for New Moon, Full Moon, and Quarters.
Lunar Declination Peaks: Automatically identifies when the moon reaches its *Maximum North* and *Maximum South* points (Lunar Extremes).
Customizable Visuals: Toggle between background highlights, vertical lines, or plot signals to suit your trading style.
---
Technical Accuracy
This script is built using a ported version of the Swiss Ephemeris
Positional Accuracy: Within 0.1 arcseconds.
Time Accuracy: Within **~1-2 seconds** of official JPL data.
Algorithm: Integration of the *ELP2000-85* lunar theory for maximum reliability over decades of historical data.
---
### **How to Use**
1. **Reversal Zones:** Watch for the Moon’s *Max/Min Declination* points, which often coincide with local tops or bottoms in trending markets.
2. **Volatility Shifts:** Use the *New Moon* and *Full Moon* markers to anticipate periods of increased or decreased market liquidity and volume.
3. **Confluence:** Best used in combination with your existing price action or momentum indicators to add a "time-based" filter to your entries.
*Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Lunar cycles are a study of time-based correlation, not a guaranteed financial signal.*
Consolidation Zones Volume Delta | Flux ChartsGENERAL OVERVIEW:
The Consolidation Zones Volume Delta | Flux Charts indicator is designed to identify and visualize consolidation zones on the chart. Rather than only outlining areas of sideways price movement, the indicator analyzes volume activity occurring inside each consolidation zone. This is done by aggregating lower-timeframe volume data into the higher-timeframe consolidation range, allowing users to see how buying and selling activity evolves while price remains in a range.
What is the theory behind the indicator?:
The indicator is built around three core analytical concepts that guide how consolidation zones are detected and evaluated.
1. Consolidation as a structural phase
Periods of consolidation are characterized by reduced directional movement and compressed price ranges. During these phases, price action often alternates within a defined high–low boundary, creating a structure that can be objectively measured and tracked over time.
2. Volume behavior inside consolidation
While price may appear balanced within a consolidation range, volume activity inside that range can vary. The indicator evaluates volume contributions occurring within the vertical boundaries of the consolidation zone by using lower-timeframe data and weighting each candle’s volume based on its overlap with the zone. This produces an internal volume delta profile that reflects how buying and selling volume accumulates throughout the consolidation.
Delta behavior inside a zone may show:
Persistent dominance of buying or selling volume
Alternating shifts between buyers and sellers
Periods of relatively balanced participation
3. Markets consolidate in multiple ways, one detection method is not enough
Markets do not consolidate in a single, uniform way. To account for this, the indicator includes three distinct consolidation detection methods. Each method is calculated objectively, does not repaint, and targets a different type of sideways or low-expansion price behavior:
Candle Compression
ADX Low Trend Strength
Visual Range Boundaries
CONSOLIDATION ZONES VOLUME DELTA FEATURES:
The Consolidation Zones Volume Delta indicator includes 4 main features:
Consolidation Zones
Volume Delta
Standard Deviation Bands
Alerts
CONSOLIDATION ZONES:
🔹What is a Consolidation Zone?
A consolidation zone is a defined price range where market movement becomes compressed and price remains contained within clear upper and lower boundaries for a sustained period of time. During this phase, price does not establish a strong directional trend and instead oscillates within a relatively narrow range.
🔹Consolidation Zone Detection
The indicator automatically detects consolidation zones using three independent, rule-based methods. Each method evaluates a different market condition and can be selected individually depending on how you want consolidation to be defined. Regardless of the method used, all zones are calculated objectively and finalized once confirmed.
◇ Candles (Candle Compression)
The Candles method identifies consolidation by detecting periods of candle compression and reduced range expansion. A candle is considered part of a consolidation sequence when:
The candle body is small relative to its total range
The candle’s high–low range is smaller than the short-term Average True Range (ATR)
ATR is calculated using a 4-period average true range and is used as a volatility reference. If consecutive candles continue to meet these compression conditions, the indicator increments an internal count.
Under the Consolidation Candles section in the settings, you’ll find two controls.
Min. Consolidation Candles setting
This defines how many consecutive compressed candles are required before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Candle compression is determined using candle structure and short-term ATR, ensuring that only periods of reduced range expansion are counted. Once the minimum threshold is reached, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the highest high and lowest low formed during the compressed sequence.
Mark Consolidation Candles
When enabled, the indicator highlights candles that meet the compression criteria, making it easy to visually identify which candles contributed to the formation of the consolidation zone.
◇ ADX (Low Trend Strength)
The ADX method identifies consolidation based on weak or declining trend strength rather than candle structure. This method uses the Average Directional Index (ADX) to determine when directional movement is reduced.
ADX is calculated using directional movement values that are smoothed over time. When ADX remains below a user-defined threshold, price is treated as being in a low-trend market. While this condition persists, the indicator tracks the highest high and lowest low formed during the low-trend period.
Under the ADX Settings section in the settings, you’ll find the following controls.
ADX Length
Defines the lookback period used to calculate directional movement for ADX.
ADX Smoothing
Controls the smoothing applied to the ADX calculation.
ADX Threshold
Sets the level below which ADX must remain for the market to be considered consolidating.
Consolidation Strength
Defines how many consecutive candles’ ADX must stay below the threshold before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Once this requirement is met, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the accumulated high and low from the low-trend window.
Mark Candles Below Threshold
When enabled, the indicator highlights candles where ADX remains below the threshold.
◇ Visual Range
The Visual Range method identifies consolidation by detecting clearly defined horizontal price ranges where price remains contained for a sustained period of time. The indicator continuously tracks the rolling highest high and lowest low across recent candles. When price remains inside the same high–low boundaries without breaking above or below the range, an internal counter advances.
Under the Visual Range section in the settings, you’ll find the following control.
Min. Candles in Range
Defines how many consecutive candles must remain fully contained within the same high–low range before a consolidation zone is confirmed. Once this requirement is met, the indicator creates a consolidation zone using the established range boundaries.
🔹Consolidation Zone Settings
◇ Invalidation Method
Users can choose how Consolidation Zones are invalidated, selecting between Close Break or Wick Break.
Close Break: A Consolidation Zone is invalidated when a candle closes above/below the zone.
Wick Break: A Consolidation Zone is invalidated when a candle’s wick goes above/below the zone.
◇ Merge Overlapping Zones
When enabled, overlapping Consolidation Zones are automatically combined into one unified zone.
◇ Show Last
This setting determines how many Consolidation Zones are displayed on your chart. For example, setting this to 5 will display the 5 most recent zones.
VOLUME DELTA:
Delta Volume visualizes how buying and selling volume accumulates inside each consolidation zone. Instead of using the full candle volume, the indicator isolates only the volume that occurs within the vertical boundaries of the zone. This allows you to see whether bullish or bearish volume is dominating while price remains range-bound. The visualization updates in real time while the zone is active and reflects cumulative participation rather than individual candles.
🔹How Volume Delta is Calculated
Delta Volume is calculated using lower-timeframe data and applied to the higher-timeframe consolidation zone.
Each candle’s volume is split into bullish or bearish volume based on candle direction.
Lower-timeframe candles are pulled using the selected delta timeframe.
For each lower-timeframe candle, only the portion of volume that vertically overlaps the consolidation zone is counted.
Volume is weighted by the amount of overlap between the candle’s range and the zone’s range.
Bullish and bearish volume are accumulated over time to form a running, cumulative delta profile for the zone.
🔹Volume Delta Settings
◇ Enable
Turns the Delta Volume visualization on or off. Consolidation zones continue to plot when disabled.
◇ Show Delta %
Displays the percentage breakdown of bullish versus bearish volume inside the consolidation zone. Percentages are derived from cumulative volume totals.
◇ 3D Visual
When enabled, the delta blocks are extended diagonally using a depth offset derived from the instrument’s daily ATR. This creates visible side faces and top faces for the delta blocks, simulating depth without altering any calculations. The 3D effect is purely visual. It does not change how volume is calculated, weighted, or accumulated.
Users can control the intensity of the 3D effect choosing a value between 1 and 5. Increasing this value increases:
The horizontal offset of the delta blocks
The vertical depth projection applied to the volume faces
Higher values produce a more pronounced 3D appearance by pushing the delta visualization further away from the consolidation box. Lower values keep the visualization flatter and closer to the box boundaries. The depth scaling is normalized using ATR, so the effect adapts proportionally to the instrument’s volatility.
◇ Volume Delta Display Style
Controls how bullish and bearish volume are displayed inside the Consolidation Zone:
Horizontal: Volume is split top-to-bottom within the zone
Vertical: Volume is split left-to-right across the zone
◇ Timeframe
Defines the lower timeframe used for Volume Delta calculations. When a timeframe is selected, the indicator pulls lower-timeframe price and volume data and maps it into the higher-timeframe consolidation zone. Each lower-timeframe candle is evaluated individually. Only the portion of its volume that vertically overlaps the consolidation zone is included, and that volume is weighted based on the candle’s overlap with the zone’s price range. If the Timeframe field is left empty, the indicator defaults to using the chart’s current timeframe for delta calculations.
Using a lower timeframe increases the granularity of the delta calculation, allowing volume changes inside the zone to be measured more precisely. Using a higher timeframe produces a smoother, less granular delta profile.
Please Note: Delta rendering is automatically limited to available lower-timeframe data to prevent incomplete or distorted visuals when historical lower-timeframe volume is unavailable due to TradingView data limits.
STANDARD DEVIATION BANDS:
Standard Deviation Bands project measured price distance away from a confirmed consolidation zone using the size of that zone as the reference unit. Rather than calculating volatility from historical price dispersion, the bands are derived directly from the height of the consolidation range itself. Each band represents a fixed multiple of the consolidation zone’s height and is plotted symmetrically above and below the zone.
🔹How the bands are calculated
Once a consolidation zone is finalized, the indicator calculates the zone height as:
Zone Height = Zone High − Zone Low
This value becomes the base measurement for all deviation calculations. For each enabled band:
Upper bands are placed above the consolidation zone’s high
Lower bands are placed below the consolidation zone’s low
The distance of each band from the zone is calculated by multiplying the zone height by the selected band multiplier. These band levels are fixed relative to the consolidation zone and do not recalculate based on future price movement.
🔹Standard Deviation Band Settings
◇ Band 1
Enables the first deviation band above and below the consolidation zone. The Band 1 multiplier defines how far the band is placed from the zone in terms of zone height. For example, a multiplier of 1 plots the band one full zone height above and below the consolidation range.
◇ Band 2
Enables a second deviation band at a greater distance from the consolidation zone. Band 2 uses its own multiplier and is calculated independently of Band 1, allowing multiple expansion levels to be displayed simultaneously.
◇ Fill Bands
When enabled, the area between the consolidation zone and each deviation band is filled with a semi-transparent color. Upper fills apply to bands above the zone, and lower fills apply to bands below the zone. Fills are static and tied directly to the consolidation zone boundaries.
◇ Color Customization
Each deviation band has independent color controls for:
Upper band lines and fills
Lower band lines and fills
This allows users to visually distinguish between bullish and bearish extensions as well as between multiple deviation levels.
ALERTS:
Users can create alerts for the following:
New Consolidation Zone Formed
Consolidation Zone Break
UNIQUENESS:
This indicator combines multiple consolidation detection methods with lower-timeframe volume delta analysis inside each consolidation zone. It visualizes bullish and bearish volume using weighted overlap logic and optional 3D rendering for improved clarity. Users can choose how volume is displayed, apply structure-based deviation bands, and enable alerts for new zones and zone breaks. All features are rule-based, configurable, and designed to work together within a single framework.
USDT Market Cap Change [Alpha Extract]A sophisticated stablecoin market analysis tool that tracks USDT market capitalization changes across daily and 60-day periods with statistical normalization and gradient intensity visualization. Utilizing z-score methodology for overbought/oversold detection and dynamic color gradients reflecting change magnitude, this indicator delivers institutional-grade market liquidity assessment through stablecoin flow analysis. The system's dual-timeframe approach combined with statistical normalization provides comprehensive market sentiment measurement based on capital inflows and outflows from the dominant stablecoin.
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Implements daily USDT market capitalization monitoring with dual-period change calculations measuring both 1-day and 60-day net capital flows. The system retrieves real-time CRYPTOCAP:USDT data on daily timeframe resolution, calculating absolute dollar changes to quantify stablecoin supply expansion or contraction as primary market liquidity indicator.
// Core Market Cap Analysis
USDT = request.security("CRYPTOCAP:USDT", "D", close)
USDT_60D_Change = USDT - USDT
USDT_1D_Change = USDT - USDT
🔶 Dynamic Gradient Intensity System
Features sophisticated color gradient engine that intensifies visual representation based on change magnitude relative to recent extremes. The system normalizes current 60-day change against configurable lookback period maximum, applying gradient strength calculation to transition colors from neutral tones through progressively intense blues (negative) or reds (positive) based on flow direction and magnitude.
🔶 Statistical Z-Score Normalization Engine
Implements comprehensive z-score calculation framework that normalizes 60-day market cap changes using rolling mean and standard deviation for objective overbought/oversold determination. The system applies statistical normalization over configurable periods, enabling cross-temporal comparison and threshold-based regime identification independent of absolute market cap levels.
// Z-Score Normalization
Change_Mean = ta.sma(USDT_60D_Change, Normalization_Length)
Change_StdDev = ta.stdev(USDT_60D_Change, Normalization_Length)
Z_Score = Change_StdDev > 0 ? (USDT_60D_Change - Change_Mean) / Change_StdDev : 0.0
🔶 Multi-Tier Threshold Detection System
Provides four-level regime classification including standard overbought (+1.5σ), standard oversold (-1.5σ), extreme overbought (+2.5σ), and extreme oversold (-2.5σ) thresholds with configurable adjustment. The system identifies market liquidity extremes when stablecoin inflows or outflows reach statistically significant levels, indicating potential market turning points or trend exhaustion.
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Features layered area plots displaying both 60-day strategic flows and 1-day tactical movements with distinct color coding for instant flow direction assessment. The system overlays short-term daily changes on longer-term 60-day trends, enabling traders to identify divergences between tactical and strategic capital flows into or out of stablecoin reserves.
🔶 Gradient Color Psychology Framework
Implements intuitive color scheme where red gradients indicate capital inflow (bullish for crypto as USDT supply expands for buying) and blue gradients show capital outflow (bearish as USDT is redeemed). The intensity progression from pale to vivid colors communicates flow magnitude, with extreme colors signaling statistically significant liquidity events requiring attention.
🔶 Background Zone Highlighting System
Provides subtle background coloring when z-score breaches overbought or oversold thresholds, creating visual alerts without obscuring primary data. The system applies translucent red backgrounds during overbought conditions and blue during oversold states, enabling instant regime recognition across chart timeframes.
🔶 Configurable Normalization Architecture
Features adjustable gradient lookback and statistical normalization periods enabling optimization across different market cycles and trading timeframes. The system allows traders to calibrate sensitivity by modifying the window used for maximum change detection (gradient) and mean/standard deviation calculation (z-score), adapting to volatile or stable market regimes.
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Tracks USDT supply changes as proxy for overall cryptocurrency market liquidity conditions, where expanding market cap indicates fresh capital entering crypto markets and contracting cap suggests capital flight. The system provides leading indicator properties as large stablecoin inflows often precede major market rallies while outflows may signal distribution phases.
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