Reliance Industries - How to trade on Monday
Buy Reliance Industries above 2800 only with when it reverses from 2792, strict SL should be maintained. Do not enter into any trade before 3-18-24 11:40 AM.
Disclaimer:
I am not a Registered Analyst with SEBI and it is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. I will not be responsible for any of your profits or losses.
Trade ideas
RELIANCE: Running TriangleStock has already concluded a running triangle structure at OCt'23 low of 2220 and is rising in an impulsive manner. The measured target for the same is coming in the region of 3400.
Hence, stock is likely to continue it's uptrend towards 3400 with any weakness holding above the support zone of 2500-2450 in the coming months.
Reliance as said earlier will go to 3000 then fall to 2800 ,On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Getting Started with Technical AnalysisInvesting in the stock market can be both exciting and overwhelming. There are so many stocks and strategies are there that make it hard to decide where to invest. That’s where technical analysis comes in. It’s the study of market data to find patterns, trends, and potential opportunities.
To get started with technical analysis, you need to first understand what exactly technical analysis is.
Technical Analysis:
Technical analysis may sound complex, but it’s actually quite easy. In simple terms, it’s a method of assessing stock or any tradeable asset by studying statistics based on market activity, like past prices and volume.
Technical analysts believe that by analysing charts and other indicators, they can identify and predict market trends for any security. Essentially, they study a stock’s trading history to measure its potential for future price changes.
Let’s understand this with an example:
Let’s make a comparison to weather forecasting.
Can we predict the weather for the future? Yes.
Is the weather forecast always 100% accurate? No.
Weather forecasts are applicable over a period of time rather than being precise second by second.
Similarly, just like meteorologists use past weather data and atmospheric patterns to forecast future weather conditions, technical analysts utilize past price and volume data to predict future stock prices.
How You Can Start Technical Analysis of Stocks?
To begin with technical analysis, the first step is selecting a security for analysis. This can include stocks, commodities, currency pairs, or any other tradable financial instrument available on an exchange. Once you have decided on the security, the next step involves studying its price and volume data.
A widely used tool in technical analysis is the price chart. It provides a visual display of a security’s price changes over time. Price charts come in various types, with the candlestick chart being the most popular and commonly used option.
Candlestick charts offer wide information in a single platform. Each candlestick represents a specific time period, like a day or an hour. The body of the candlestick indicates the security’s opening and closing prices within that timeframe, while the wicks or shadows represent the highest and lowest prices recorded during that period.
By studying these candlesticks, traders can identify patterns and trends in the price movements of the stock.
Along with price charts, traders use various technical indicators to analyse securities. These indicators are mathematical calculations derived from the price and volume data of a security. They give signals that confirm trends, identify potential buy or sell signals , and provide additional information to traders.
Some popular and commonly used technical indicators are moving averages , relative strength index (RSI) , and Bollinger Bands , among others. These indicators help traders to judge market conditions, identify potential price reversals or trends, and help to take trading decisions.
Dos and Don’ts to follow when starting Technical Analysis:
Do’s:
A Volume is an important tool for technical analysis. High trading volume suggests a strong trend, while low volume can indicate a lack of buyers and sellers in security.
Traders mostly confirm trends and signals by using multiple indicators. With one or more than one indicators, a trader can become more confident in a potential trade. This approach allows for a thorough analysis of different aspects of the market, increasing the chances of making informed trading decisions.
One of the most important tips to remember is that while technical analysis can assist in identifying potential trades, practising effective risk management is essential.
Risk Management involves implementing stop-loss orders and ensuring that you don’t risk more than a certain percentage of your portfolio on any single trade. With the help of these risk management techniques, you can protect your investments and maintain a disciplined approach to trading.
As the price of stocks is changing every time, you need to stay updated with news and investments that can impact your investment.
Don’ts:
While technical analysis can look complex, it’s important to avoid difficult things. Stick to the fundamental principles and strategies, and you should be on the right track. Sometimes, simplicity is the key to effective analysis and decision-making in the stock market.
While technical analysis is important, it shouldn’t be the only way to evaluate securities. It’s also important to consider fundamental analysis , which involves looking at a company’s financial statements and economic factors. By using both technical and fundamental analysis, investors can get a better overall understanding of the securities they are analysing.
Trading can involve emotional decisions, but it’s important to let no emotions cloud your judgment. Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive trades driven by fear or greed. By maintaining discipline and adhering to your predetermined plan, you can make more rational and informed trading decisions.
When you’re taking potential trades, it’s important to think about the risk-reward ratio . This means comparing the potential profit with the potential loss.
With a good risk-to-reward ratio, you can make smarter decisions and aim for a good balance between R:R in your trading strategy.
Conclusion:
Technical analysis is a great tool for traders and aspiring investors in the Indian stock market. It helps identify potential opportunities by analysing price and volume data, allowing traders to recognize patterns and trends. However, it’s important to follow certain guidelines when using this approach. With the help of candlestick patterns , indicators, risk management tools, and fundamental analysis traders can achieve their financial goals.
The Reliance have fallen now but is there is a level to hold?well yes there is and here are the levels of reliance and then we got the fib golden ratio to back it up and if it didn't reverse from that area then there is a major demand level which is a strongest one and then we can expect it to reverse from there unless if there is no negative news of that and we can expect the reliance to take its upward ride in like 4 or 5 days because of Volatility and there are news alleged to reliance that goes like this:
Reliance Ethane Holding, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries, has invested a total of $102.9 million in three of its wholly-owned subsidiaries Ethane Coral, Ethane Diamond, and Ethane Jade.
Reliance Ethane invested in 34.3 million ordinary shares of face value of $1 each in the subsidiaries, according to a Tuesday filing with the BSE.
The three companies have entered into ship-building contracts for the purchase of Very Large Ethane Carriers (VLECs) each for the transportation of Ethane.
The investment will help the subsidiaries to make part payments for the cost of construction of the three carriers
RELIANCE Reliance Industries is falling or rising technical reasons
Technical analysis forecast for Reliance Industries Stock is that its in a downtrend for shortterm, and I will avoid taking a BUY or a LONG trade in this stock. Look for opportunities to sell or SHORT Reliance Industries RELIANCE at this time. Stock is falling and might fall more.
It appears as if Reliance Industries RELIANCE gave a large move recently.
Stock of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) is trading below an important moving average line, but it crossed this line recently, which means that it could show a small or a large recovery soon enough depending on its trend.
Although my analysis for Reliance Industries is bearish for shortterm, but stock is in heavy over sold zones and there are high chances of some recovery tomorrow. You might want to buy the stock tomorrow in intra day with a stoploss of 2859.6, for a target of 2902.3 or 2937.81
RELIANCE Reliance Industries is falling or rising NEWS fundamental reasons
Company Announcement - NEWS as on 2024-03-11
Reliance Industries, NMDC among 5 stocks with short buildup Short buildup means more people are expecting the prices to go down and creating short positions. - NEWS as on 2024-03-10 indiatimes.com
Reliance Capital lenders' counsel asks Hindujas to roll out IBC plan The National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) approved the ₹9,650 crore resolution plan of IIHL in its order dated February 27. Torrent Investments, which was the other bidder in the fray, has contested the resolution process, and the matter is pending before - NEWS as on 2024-03-06 indiatimes.com
Reliance Industries Arm Injects $103 Million in Three SubsidiariReliance Ethane Holding, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indian conglomerate Reliance Industries
, has invested a total of $102.9 million in three of its wholly-owned subsidiaries Ethane Coral, Ethane Diamond, and Ethane Jade.
Reliance Ethane invested in 34.3 million ordinary shares of face value of $1 each in the subsidiaries, according to a Tuesday filing with the BSE.
The three companies have entered into ship-building contracts for the purchase of Very Large Ethane Carriers (VLECs) each for the transportation of Ethane.
The investment will help the subsidiaries to make part payments for the cost of construction of the three carriers.
Reliance Long opportunity We can observe Stoploss hunt behavior and pattern fake breakout, potential long opportunity above 2650 lvels.
We can look for longs in Reliance if 1hr candle closes above 2650 with good volume,
short term targets should be 2750/2800 levels with recent swing low as stoploss.
--Educational purpose only.
Reliance Industries - how to trade today
Please read the notes as mentioned on the chart and act accordingly.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst and it is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. I will not be responsible for any of your profits or losses.
Let you grow. May! I follow you.
Reliance Industries - how to trade today
Sell Reliance, if breaks 2970, after 11:15 a.m.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst and it is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision. I will not be responsible for any of your profits or losses.
Let you grow. May! I follow you
Bullish scenarioweekly chart of reliance starting from march 2020.
Fits in to a leading diogonal.wave 3 is not the shortest.overlapping of wave 4 and wave 2.major 1 st wave ended in may 22.there after reliance had a pull back in 2 nd wave.Now 3 rd wave is in progress,inverted
head and shoulder pattern can be visualised here.
At least target of 3089.7 can be reached.this is weekly chart hence not a f&o recommendation.
As said many times reliance go to 3000 then 2800 possible On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
Reliance - How to trade today
Reliance is below resistance of 2945 if 2908 is broken, it is likely to go further down. Do not go long unless it is regained by Tuesday next.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst and it is only for educational purposes. Please consult your financial advisor before making any decision,
Reliance we can see 2800 in few days profit booking started On Our Harmonic pattern indicator based trade setup take trade as explained below :-
Early trades Buy or sell below/ above 23.6 %, safe trades buy or sell above / below 41% , after taking trade next upside or downside levels will be target ,
When reverse buy or sell signal appear then book profit on Target or trail SL to 23.6 % If trailing SL hit then early trade can be taken above or below 23.6 and safe trade can b taken above/ below 41% ..
Please note:-
It's working on news based and volitile market very well so exit if SL hit
The most subjective facet of my decision-making systemIn the previous publication I started talking about my decision-making system. I use it when investing in stocks. This system allows me to answer three questions:
- which stocks to choose?
- at what price to make a trade?
- and in what quantity?
In this post, I will continue to answer the question Which stocks to pick? and tell you about another facet of my crystal.
As you can see, my decision-making system is quite formalized. What do I mean? It has clear criteria for which a company must be checked before investing in its stocks. If we go deeper into this idea, we can say that the state of affairs in any public company can be assessed using numbers from its statements and stock exchange prices for its stocks. All this can be visualized, put into a form that is readable for the investor, and accelerate the decision-making process many times over.
However, there is an area with information that hovers around the companies, directly or indirectly influences it, but is poorly formalized: this is News . News can be called a message related to a company and distributed through its website, media, and social networks. This message triggers an almost knee-jerk reaction among stock investors (and traders). They will try to interpret the information received, make a forecast, and in some cases even make a trade. It is for this reason that the moment the news is published is often accompanied by a sharp movement in the stock price and an increase in trading volume. The order book now has a lot more players than before. These are traders excited by the news, confident of what will happen next.
Here I can’t help but recall the allegory about Crazy Mister Market from Benjamin Graham. It presents the market as a partner who is constantly knocking on your door and offering you crazy ideas (stock prices). Where does this mister get his madness from? My answer is simple — from the news. Despite this, I cannot help but pay attention to the news, I cannot help but interpret it, to build predictions in my head. This happens reflexively, as a reaction to boiling water hitting my skin. However, will I make a trade under the influence of this information? We'll talk about this at the end of the post.
Let's find out what news is available and where to find it. In this publication, I will only consider matters relevant to the stock market. That is information that can directly or indirectly affect the state of affairs in the companies. As I work, I divide the news flow into two categories: macro-event and corp-event .
A macro-event is something that can indirectly impact the state of affairs in a company since it impacts the external environment in which it lives.
For example:
1. In the third quarter, US GDP grew by 4.9% year-on-year, which was better than expected (*).
GDP Dynamics are a general economic indicator of economic growth in a particular country. This event only indirectly affects the business of the US companies. In other words, a company can be unprofitable even if the GDP in the country of its business is growing.
(*) In the news, you will often see the following wording:
- better than expected
- worse than expected
- as expected
These are significant clarifications since it is believed that the exchange price already considers expectations for future events. Therefore, the coincidence with expectations will most likely be perceived calmly by market participants. Conversely, price fluctuations can be significant if the news can be qualified as a “surprise”.
2. The EPA is setting rules for a proposed “methane fee” on waste generated by oil and gas companies.
This news also refers to macro events, as it impacts an entire industry: the oil and gas business. Moreover, please note that methane fee is only suggested. That is, it is not at all a fact that it will ultimately be implemented.
Unlike macro events, a corp-event directly affects the state of affairs in the companies. Let's look at some of them.
For example:
3. Hilton's (HLT) 3rd quarter Profit was in line with revenue forecasts.
The news contains information about Hilton's financial results for the 3rd quarter. Of course, this directly impacts investors’ assessment of the company's prospects, and therefore the volume of investment in it.
4. Devastating wildfires have forced California's largest utility, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, to plan the sale of gas assets.
Based on the news headline, we can conclude that the company is considering selling a significant part of its business (since the word “gas” even appears in the company name) to compensate for the damage from the devastating fires. Of course, this directly points to the difficult situation in the companies.
Well, we figured out which news is considered a macro-event and which is a corporate event. Now let's find them where we need to. First, let's look at the event calendars that are available on TradingView. They are convenient because they inform us in advance what event to expect on the date in question.
Let's start with the Economic calendar . You can find it in the main TradingView Products menu (Products -> Economic calendar ). This calendar shows upcoming publications of key macroeconomic indicators such as GDP, interest rate, unemployment, and inflation. It will also reflect national events — for example, presidential elections. Thus, you will only see macro events in it.
Click on globe and select the country you are interested in, a group of countries, or the whole world: this way you will filter events by geography. If you are interested in tracking only important events, there is a special button for this High importance . There is also a three-column importance indicator next to each event. If all are shaded, the event is of maximum importance. You can expand any event, read information about it, view statistics, and even add it to your personal calendar.
In terms of importance, the higher the importance of the event, the stronger the market reaction may be after the information is released. Furthermore, the strength of the reaction will depend on how much reality diverges from expectations for this event (with the forecast). Please note that the current value published is published to the left of the forecast, and the value for the previous period is published to the right. This allows you to evaluate the released metric over time.
So, my standard set of filters for the economic calendar is:
- Geography: all over the world;
- High importance;
- This week;
- All categories.
The economic calendar has been set up. There is another calendar on TradingView: this is Earnings calendar . It is located in the interface for working with Supercharts and, of course, is intended for analyzing corporate events. Once you go to the chart, click on the calendar icon in the menu on the right, and the events panel will open in front of you.
The Earnings calendar will contain the names of the companies, their next reporting date, and analysts' estimates of earnings per share: EPS. In its meaning, this estimate is an average expectation or forecast. Therefore, any strong discrepancy between current data and the forecast value can greatly change the value of the company's stocks. By the way, you can check this simply by clicking on the company's name in the calendar: the window with the stock price chart will update instantly. The released earnings per share value can be viewed both on the chart itself and in the company's information (the top menu button on the right). The current value will be marked with either a red circle (below the forecast) or a green circle (above the forecast). The gray circle indicates the forecast itself.
Calendars are convenient because they present us with the main essence of the news in a compressed, digitized form. The description of such news is not as important as the value of the key indicator. However, if you want to read classic text news about a related company, simply click on the lightning bolt icon on your chart.
You can also find news grouped by asset class, region, news agency, etc. in the main menu of the TradingView site's root page. Of the groups presented, I most often use News Flow to get a general context of what is happening.
Returning to my decision-making system, there is news (let's call it critical ) that can trigger the closure of a position or non-opening of a position in the shares of a particular company, even though the main indicators do not suggest this.
To determine such news, I ask myself three questions:
1. Do I trust this news source?
We are surrounded by many sources of news: social networks, news sites, television, etc. It’s easy to check everyone’s reputation on the Internet. Therefore, to take the news into account, you must trust its source. If you see significant news about a company, but it is not in reputable media resources and/or on the company's website, this is a reason to think whether the source is trying to increase its popularity through a loud headline and unverified content.
2. Does this news describe an accomplished fact?
Even in reputable publications, you can find publications with versions of events, forecasts, and opinions. This is good food for thought. However, when deciding, I constantly try to separate the standpoint from the fact confirmed by a reliable source. Only facts can be considered when deciding.
3. Is an accomplished fact capable of leading the company to bankruptcy?
This is a difficult question that requires an assessment of the company's economic damage, and its comparison with the level of total debt to creditors and current assets. Even if a company is facing bankruptcy, it can be saved by providing assistance from the government or other businesses. Answering this question, I can listen to the opinions of analysts and my intuition. Therefore, this is the most subjective facet of my decision-making system. I just have to tell myself: “Yes, this fact can lead the company to bankruptcy” or vice versa: “No, this news is bad, but it does not pose a critical threat to the business.”
So, if I answer “yes” to all three questions, then I can close a position in the shares of a particular company or not open it, guided simply by my “yes, this should be done.” The fact is that critical news comes out now, and reporting on a specific date in the future: there is a time gap between these events. Therefore, I find myself in a situation where I just need to decide and evaluate it later, in the future, based on published reports. It is similar to flying an airplane that fails during transit. The pilot may not fully understand what happened, but the choice must be made right now. If I answer “no” to any of the three questions, then I continue to use other facets of my “crystal” in standard mode, and leave the news “just for my information.”
In future publications, I will continue to elaborate on my decision-making system and share my approach to choosing the price and quantity of a stock trade.






















