Analysis of subsequent gold price trends!Market News:
In early Asian trading on Wednesday (September 10), London gold prices fluctuated downward, currently trading around $3,621 per ounce. After hitting a record high of $3,674, the spot price plummeted nearly $50, ultimately ending the day in the red. International gold prices have recently seen a sharp rise, with some investors taking profits ahead of the release of key US inflation data, triggering a pullback from their highs. Although the revised employment data released by the US Department of Labor fell short of market expectations, gold buyers took advantage of the opportunity to take profits. The rebound of the US dollar index from a seven-week low and US Treasury yields from a near five-month low also made gold buyers cautious. Furthermore, the continued rise of US stocks to new record highs has slightly weakened gold's safe-haven demand. Investors are currently awaiting US producer price data (PPI) to be released on Wednesday and consumer price data (CPI) to be released on Thursday, hoping for clues on further interest rate cuts before next week's Federal Reserve meeting. These data are expected to provide new guidance for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with an inverted hammer candlestick pattern on the daily chart. After hitting a record high of 3674 following yesterday's US market data, the price, as expected, capitalized on the data to drive selling, resulting in the largest single-day correction since August 20th. The daily chart currently maintains an ascending channel buying trend. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remain open and rising to 3550/3590, while the New York closing price remains above the 5-day moving average of 3605. After the RSI indicator on the four-hour chart reached overbought levels above 80, gold prices followed the expected surge and then retreat to a correction, falling back to 3623 in late trading. However, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. The main strategy for gold trading today is to see wide range fluctuations, with selling high and buying low as a strategy. The initial intraday range is 3610/3660. Overall, gold is expected to experience repeated high-level fluctuations in the short term, and any strong rebound may not be sustainable. If this week's correction breaks below the strong support of $3,600 and further declines, we will need to adjust our strategy!
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3,603-3,606, stop loss at 3,595, target at 3,640-3,660;
Short-term gold sell at 3,650-3,653, stop loss at 3,662, target at 3,620-3,600;
Key Points:
First Support Level: 3,612, Second Support Level: 3,603, Third Support Level: 3,590
First Resistance Level: 3,650, Second Resistance Level: 3,663, Third Resistance Level: 3,676
