Gold Trading Strategy for 03rd July 2025-(UTC +5.30 HRS)📊 GOLD INTRADAY TRADE PLAN – JULY 2, 2025
(Instrument: Spot Gold in USD – Technical Strategy Based on 1-Hour Candle Close)
📈 BULLISH TRADE IDEA – BUY SETUP
🔹 Entry Condition:
Initiate a Buy position ONLY IF a 1-Hour candle closes ABOVE $3366.
This confirms bullish strength and a potential upward breakout.
🔸 Entry Point:
➤ After a valid 1-hour candle close above $3366
🎯 Upside Target Levels:
Target 1: $3376 – Short-term resistance / psychological level
Target 2: $3388 – Previous swing high zone
Target 3: $3399 – Round number target and potential breakout extension
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set SL at or below $3355 (previous resistance-turned-support or recent swing low)
📌 Risk Management Tips:
Risk-to-reward should be minimum 1:2.
Trail stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is hit.
Exit partial quantity at each level for safer profit booking.
📉 BEARISH TRADE IDEA – SELL SETUP
🔹 Entry Condition:
Initiate a Sell position ONLY IF a 1-Hour candle closes BELOW $3343.
This indicates bearish momentum and possible downside continuation.
🔸 Entry Point:
➤ After a valid 1-hour candle close below $3343
🎯 Downside Target Levels:
Target 1: $3331 – Immediate support
Target 2: $3321 – Demand zone support area
Target 3: $3210 – Major support zone, long-range move
🛑 Stop Loss:
Set SL above $3354 (above recent structure or failed breakdown level)
📌 Risk Management Tips:
Maintain position sizing discipline.
Avoid over-leveraging.
Reassess if price shows reversal signs before hitting stop loss.
📌 GENERAL GUIDELINES:
✅ Use this plan only after the 1-hour candle closes — no early entries.
🕒 Avoid trading during high-volatility news (like FOMC, NFP, CPI) unless you're an experienced trader.
📉 Always manage trades actively – don’t set and forget.
💡 Keep a trading journal to track these setups and outcomes.
📜 DISCLAIMER:
This trading idea is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading commodities, including gold, involves a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions. The author and publisher assume no liability for any financial losses incurred.
CFDGOLD trade ideas
1 hour gold technical analysis This is a clean breakout setup I’m watching on XAUUSD. After forming a bullish flag and respecting key levels, price has returned to a major resistance zone. I’m looking to enter long on a confirmed breakout, with a clearly defined target above and a tight stop loss below to manage risk effectively.
TVC:GOLD
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe)
Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure.
Specifically:
- Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed.
- Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black).
- Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green).
🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4
Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas:
+ Target 1: 3324
+ Target 2: 3311
When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning.
📈 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion.
H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322
STOP LOSS: 3215
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368
TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395
📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
Buy Opportunity in GoldI am watching it since 1 month. The Gold had taken its retracement.
On lower (1h and 4H) timeframe, It traded in strong trends' zones which were broken yesterday. Now the crocodile traders should wait for its resistance zone and get a signal on 1 h or 4h timeframe to buy above resistance zone, above 3360.
An H4 healthy candle closing above this resitance zone will pave the way into another test of 3422 area, not putting any TP though as my target is 5000 (fundamentaly).
GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target 🎯 ✨📈
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal pattern following a strong downtrend, with price reacting from a key support zone (highlighted in blue).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks and confirmation candles (green arrows) indicate buying interest at this support.
The recent higher low formation confirms shift in market structure towards bullish bias.
📌 Key Zones:
🟦 Support Zone: Around 3,280 – 3,320 USD
Price respected this zone multiple times (marked with orange circles), confirming its strength.
🟥 Resistance Zone / Target: 3,430 – 3,460 USD
This area aligns with previous swing highs and is the projected target for this bullish move.
📈 Chart Structure:
Break of descending trendline and bullish momentum above support suggests potential continuation towards the marked target.
Falling wedge breakout also aligns with reversal logic.
🎯 Price Target:
3,438.515 USD (resistance area), as labeled on chart with arrow and breakout projection.
🛑 Invalidation Level:
A sustained break below the support zone (3,280 USD) would invalidate this bullish outlook.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is exhibiting strong bullish behavior with confirmation from price action and structure break. As long as price sustains above support, the path toward 3,438 remains
Gold price recovered break 3340, price increasedPlan XAU day: 02 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold Demand in China Expected to Rise Further
"Gold prices (XAU/USD) fluctuated between modest gains and slight losses during the first half of the European session on Wednesday, remaining below the one-week high reached the previous day. The US Dollar has regained some positive momentum, appearing to break a seven-day losing streak that had brought it to its lowest level since February 2022. This renewed strength in the greenback is acting as a headwind for the precious metal. Additionally, a broadly positive risk sentiment in the market is seen as another factor limiting the upside potential for the safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price continues to recover after breaking the 3340 price zone, buying power maintained before ADP-NF news today
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3366 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold Still Above Support Zone 3300Bears have Some reason to worry.
Rightly so, since we are Hovering around Right Shoulder
If Bears Fail to capitalise on this opportunity to Enter Shorts again..
We could well be Looking at ATH Aiming 3600 3700
Rationale
Taking Support at 20 50 DEMA
Weekly support at 3300
Prolonged Consolidation has allowed RSI and MACD to cool down and Yet Trade in Bullish Territory
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 2✅Macro Factors Supporting Gold Bulls:
🔶Escalating Trade Tensions: Former U.S. President Donald Trump has explicitly stated that he will not extend the reciprocal tariff suspension set to expire on July 9. He also threatened to impose 30%–35% tariffs on countries including Japan, significantly increasing global trade uncertainty.
🔶Rising Geopolitical Risks: The Russia-Ukraine conflict has intensified again in the Zaporizhzhia region. Additionally, Iran’s nuclear facility activities are triggering concerns over potential U.S. military strikes. These factors continue to drive up geopolitical risk premiums, supporting gold as a safe haven.
🔶Fiscal and Monetary Policies Favor Gold: The U.S. Senate recently passed a significantly larger tax cut bill, projected to increase the federal deficit by approximately $3 trillion over the next decade. This may further erode confidence in the U.S. dollar’s long-term creditworthiness, making gold more attractive as a store of value. Meanwhile, the market still expects the Fed to cut rates in September, possibly twice this year, reinforcing the outlook for lower real interest rates and boosting gold’s appeal.
✅Key Technical Levels:
🔴Resistance Levels: $3344–$3347 is the immediate resistance area. A firm breakout above this zone could lead to further gains toward $3358, and potentially open up room for an extension to $3374.
🟢Support Levels: Initial support lies at $3315–$3310, while strong support is found at $3302–$3300. A break below this zone may trigger a further decline toward $3289.
🟠Consolidation Range Reference: During the European session, gold is expected to maintain a mildly bullish consolidation pattern, with a key trading range of $3310–$3358. Overall bias remains to the upside, but caution is advised near major resistance.
✅Trading Strategy Recommendations:
🔰If gold holds above $3335 and breaks out with volume above the $3344 resistance, consider entering light long positions, targeting $3358, with a potential extension to $3374. A suggested stop-loss is below $3325.
🔰If the price pulls back from the $3344 resistance, watch the $3315–$3310 support area for potential buying opportunities on a rebound. Place stops below $3300.
🔰If $3300 support is broken, short-term long positions should be exited, and traders are advised to stay on the sidelines and observe.
✅Key Short-Term Drivers:
🔷Whether gold can break above the $3344 technical resistance level.
🔷Upcoming U.S. economic data and whether it strengthens expectations for Fed rate cuts.
🔷Any surprise geopolitical escalations or trade-related developments that may act as catalysts.
✅Summary of Trading Outlook:
Gold remains in a short-term upward consolidation phase. The $3350 level serves as a key pivot point between bulls and bears. Until a clear breakout occurs, it is prudent to avoid chasing highs and instead adopt a range-trading strategy, waiting for confirmed breakouts before positioning in the direction of the trend.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) and the specified data, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is not explicitly provided, but the entry price is set at 3,336.00. The chart suggests a potential resistance zone near this level, with a recent uptrend showing signs of exhaustion.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,336.00, aligning with the specified entry price where the price may face rejection due to resistance.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,346.00, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is 10.00 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,331.00, a conservative target 5.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,326.00, a mid-range target 10.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,321.00, a deeper target 15.00 points below the entry, aligning with a potential support zone.
Price Action: The chart indicates a peak near the entry level, with a bearish reversal signal suggested by the candlestick pattern and resistance line.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.00 points) compared to the take profit levels (5.00 to 15.00 points) offers a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 2 and 3 provide a 1:1 and 1:1.5 ratio, respectively, making this a balanced short-term trade.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,336.00, with a stop loss at 3,346.00 and take profit levels at 3,331.00, 3,326.00, and 3,321.00. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a downtrend, and be cautious of a potential upward move if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) and the specified data, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is not explicitly provided, but the entry price is set at 3,336.00. The chart suggests a potential resistance zone near this level, with a recent uptrend showing signs of exhaustion.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,336.00, aligning with the specified entry price where the price may face rejection due to resistance.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,346.00, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is 10.00 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,331.00, a conservative target 5.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 2: 3,326.00, a mid-range target 10.00 points below the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,321.00, a deeper target 15.00 points below the entry, aligning with a potential support zone.
Price Action: The chart indicates a peak near the entry level, with a bearish reversal signal suggested by the candlestick pattern and resistance line.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.00 points) compared to the take profit levels (5.00 to 15.00 points) offers a mixed risk-reward profile. Take Profit 2 and 3 provide a 1:1 and 1:1.5 ratio, respectively, making this a balanced short-term trade.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,336.00, with a stop loss at 3,346.00 and take profit levels at 3,331.00, 3,326.00, and 3,321.00. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a downtrend, and be cautious of a potential upward move if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
Strong Bullish Momentum or a Short-Term Setback?XAUUSD Analysis – 02/07: Strong Bullish Momentum or a Short-Term Setback?
Gold has made a strong recovery after a brief period of consolidation last month, and it continues to show signs of strong bullish momentum. The price has been fluctuating, yet the overall trend remains positive. Let’s dive into the technical setup for today’s trading session.
📊 Market Overview:
Recent Price Action: After confirming a bullish reversal on the H1 timeframe earlier this week, Gold has surged significantly. Yesterday, it reached 3358, completing wave 3 of an Elliott structure on the M30 chart, followed by a slight correction during the US and Asian sessions.
Short-Term Correction: Wave 4 is currently underway, and there are two potential outcomes for this correction:
It could find support at 3328-3330, leading to a continuation of the bullish trend.
Alternatively, it may dip further to the 330x range before resuming the uptrend.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3328 – 3313 – 3304 – 3294
Resistance: 3344 – 3360 – 3368 – 3388
🧠 Trading Strategy for Today:
Buy Scenario:
Watch for a potential bounce around the 3328-3330 range. If this area holds, we can look for buying opportunities with a target towards 3358 and 3360.
If the price breaks through the 3340 level, consider entering long positions and setting targets around 3350-3360.
Sell Scenario:
Sell Near Resistance: A quick scalping opportunity could arise near the 3388-3390 resistance zone. Tight SL and reasonable TP at 3384-3380 are the targets to aim for.
For a longer-term Sell position, wait for a clearer breakdown below 3370 to target deeper levels like 3360.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today:
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3306 – 3304
SL: 3300
TP: 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 3340
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3388 – 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3365 → 3360 → 3350
⚡️ Key Considerations:
The US macroeconomic data release and potential volatility from ADP NonFarm Payrolls today could provide significant movement, so stay alert and monitor the data closely.
In Summary:
Bullish bias remains intact with strong buy opportunities around key support levels like 3328-3330.
For short-term traders, focus on quick scalping within the resistance zones, but don’t forget to follow the trend for the longer-term buy strategy.
💡 Stay cautious with your Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) to manage risk effectively. Happy trading! 🌟
Gold Holds Strong Above $3,335 – Is $3,390 the Next Target?Hey traders!
Let’s take a quick look at what’s happening with gold today
Gold continues to hold its impressive bullish momentum, trading firmly above the $3,335 mark. The rally is fueled by a sliding US dollar and declining US Treasury yields, which are driving investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped to its lowest level since early 2022, while the 10-year Treasury yield sits around 4.19%. These conditions give the Federal Reserve more room to consider rate cuts—supporting gold’s upside.
Adding to the bullish case, fresh data shows a recovery in US manufacturing, further boosting demand for gold.
📈 On the technical side, gold is moving just as we anticipated: it’s broken out of the descending channel and is currently forming a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern. If the pattern completes, we could see the next leg higher pushing toward $3,390.
What do you think — is gold ready for another breakout?
Drop your view below! 💬
XAUUSD ORB Breakout PlanXAUUSD ORB Breakout Plan 🚀
Gold is consolidating within a falling channel inside the 3344–3349 supply zone post Asian open. We are watching for a clean 15-min candle close above ORH + channel breakout for a bullish continuation toward 3349 → 3353–3356.
✅ Entry: Above ORH and channel.
✅ Stop: Breakout Candle low.
✅ Target: 3353–3356.
If price fails above ORH and breaks ORL, wait for a retest at 3338–3332 for the next decision.
Trade on levels, in trend direction, and avoid unplanned areas.
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #ORBStrategy #TradingView #AsianSession #SupplyDemand #Breakout #SmartMoney #TradePlan
Gold Short-Term Analysis – Bearish Structure Firmly Intact.Gold remains locked in a well-defined bearish structure, with a clear downward channel established by multiple touchpoints. Price has retraced sharply, but the rally has stalled precisely at the HVZ resistance zone between 3,355–3,390, which coincides with the upper boundary of the channel. This HVZ acts as a supply zone, where aggressive selling pressure has consistently emerged. There is no sustainable bullish reversal as long as price remains below 3,390, and any intraday spikes into the HVZ are opportunities for bears to reload positions.
The recent steep rally is a corrective move within the broader bearish trend formation, not a structural shift. This corrective phase has already lost momentum, evident in the failure to close convincingly above the HVZ. The bearish thesis remains valid as long as price trades below 3,390 no exceptions.
The downside roadmap is clear:
A decisive rejection from the HVZ zone sends price back to the break line at 3,250, which is a critical price area.
Breaching 3,250 opens a clean path for continuation down to the primary bearish target at 3,205–3,203, aligning with the measured move from the channel width and historical support levels.
Key Points:
The channel structure is intact; the recent upward leg is corrective, not impulsive.
Resistance aligns with previous failed rallies, reinforcing the HVZ’s strength as a sell zone.
No macro catalyst supports a sustainable breakout above HVZ; upside liquidity grabs will get sold into.
Only a confirmed close above 3,390 with follow-through invalidates the bearish structure nothing else.
Conclusion:
The trend is bearish. Price below 3,390 is an active short bias with targets at 3,250 and 3,205. Upside is capped by strong supply; intraday rallies into HVZ provide the best risk-reward short setups. Bullish scenarios are irrelevant unless the HVZ is convincingly broken with high volume.
Gold Bulls are back in control?Gold has delivered exactly what we were hoping to see! The new month opening brought impressive strength, and the technical picture has shifted again in favor of the bulls.
Gold successfully broke above critical 3308 weekly pivot level we've been watching.
The bearish HH/LL pattern has been broken this is very good sign for changing the overall trend direction and That descending trendline resistance that was capping rallies has finally been taken out.
Gold is now sitting in a much stronger technical position. All the pieces we needed for a genuine reversal are falling into place. The bulls have reclaimed control as of now.
Support to Hold: 3300-3308 zone
This is now our critical support area. As long as gold holds above this zone, the bullish momentum seems to be in favor of bulls.
Upside Targets:
Weekly R1: 3360 - First major resistance to watch
Weekly R2: 3447 - Next significant target if momentum continues
The technical transformation is clear we've gone from a corrective phase to what looks like a resumption of the bullish trend. The bulls are back , and as long as we maintain support above 3300-3308, those higher targets become very realistic.
XAUUSD jumps 4,873 pips – Is the bullish momentum back?Yesterday, gold surged by 4,873 pips, equivalent to a $48.73 gain, signaling strong buying pressure after a technical correction. Price rebounded from Support 1 near $3,264 — a key support zone in previous sessions. The current price structure suggests a high probability of breaking above the $3,347 resistance and continuing toward the $3,389 target. Notably, the filled green FVG zone confirms the recovery and reinforces confidence in the bullish outlook.
On the news front, the de-escalation of the Iran–Israel conflict caused a brief drop in gold earlier. However, the US dollar remains at its weakest level in three years, and rising concerns over a potential budget deficit from the $3.3–3.9 trillion US tax reform package continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
Trade strategy: Look for long opportunities if price holds above $3,264 and clearly breaks through $3,347. The next upside target lies around the $3,389 resistance zone.
Gold Rises as Quarter Ends – Can Bulls Push Toward 3,345?June 30 marks the final trading day of both the month and the quarter, making it a key session for technical traders. On Monday, gold edged higher, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar. The greenback slid against the yen and dropped to its lowest level in nearly four years versus the euro, fueled by market optimism around U.S. trade deals. This helped reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates earlier than previously anticipated—giving gold the boost it needed to break above the 3,300 USD barrier.
From a technical perspective, short-term momentum now favors the bulls after a clear breakout above the descending parallel channel. If this move holds, the next upside target is projected near the 3,345 USD zone, as highlighted on the chart.
However, be careful because this can also be a fake breakout.
Gold Trading Strategy for 02nd July 2025📊 GOLD INTRADAY TRADE SETUP – 15-MIN STRATEGY
(Based on breakout confirmation – wait for candle close)
🟢 BUY SETUP
📍 Trigger: Buy above the high of a 15-minute candle with closing above ₹3358
🎯 Targets:
🥇 ₹3367
🥈 ₹3376
🥉 ₹3388
🔐 Stop Loss: Below ₹3350 (as per risk tolerance)
⏰ Confirmation Needed: Wait for a strong bullish candle to close above ₹3358
🔴 SELL SETUP
📍 Trigger: Sell below the low of a 15-minute candle with closing below ₹3323
🎯 Targets:
🥇 ₹3311
🥈 ₹3301
🥉 ₹3290
🔐 Stop Loss: Above ₹3330 (as per risk tolerance)
⏰ Confirmation Needed: Wait for a strong bearish candle to close below ₹3323
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
📌 Trading in commodities involves high risk. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before making any trade.
📌 Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based Analysis🗓️ Date Range: IPDA Range (June 9 – July 4, 2025)
This chart is built using ICT methodology focusing on market structure, liquidity, PD arrays, and smart money price delivery.
🧠 Narrative Breakdown:
✅ IPDA Range is defined from June 9 to July 4 (20 trading days), providing the valid high and low to map premium/discount.
✅ A Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms the intent to shift bearish after internal liquidity was swept.
✅ Price ran the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and rejected from the Daily Rejection Block (RB.D) and CISD + IPDA S.D., indicating institutional selling interest.
✅ The recent rally into the premium zone failed to close above BSL, showing weakness and potential continuation to the downside.
🎯 Key Points:
BSL Swept above internal range.
RB.D + CISD + IPDA S.D.: Price rejected from these confluences.
Current Bias: Bearish until 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 are met (internal sell-side liquidity).
Extended Target: 2,993.69 — external liquidity resting below the May low.
DOL marked inside the range suggests smart money is engineering price toward sell-side targets.
⚒️ Tools Used:
IPDA Range (20D)
MSS / BoS
Rejection Block (RB.D)
CISD + IFVG
PD Arrays (BSL, IDM, DOL)
📌 Summary:
This is a classic Sell Model within a defined IPDA range. Liquidity was swept, price rejected from premium, and now seeks inefficiencies + sell-side liquidity.
🧠 Wait for price action confirmations on lower timeframes (1H/15M) near PD arrays to engage.
"XAUUSD: Mastering Wave 3 | Premium Risk:Reward Setup"SniperWave #3 – GOLD Precision Hit 🎯
📆 Date: 30 June 2025
💰 Entry: 3283 | 🎯 Target: 3373
🔐 Risk: Just $9 | 💸 Reward: $90+
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