Big picture of India Inflation Rate
India inflation could be making a triangle ( leg 4 ) and leg 5 pending. Possibly it will go down to a low point and then some changes will make it to move up to create 9ish value.
The low point B can be in near future or may be 1.5 years ahead.
Note : There are assumptions in making the structur
Key data points
Last release
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Observation period
Aug 2025
Next release
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Forecast
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Highest
12.17 % on Nov 30, 2013
Lowest
1.54 % on Jun 30, 2017
About India inflation rate YoY
In India, the most important category in the consumer price index is Food and beverages (45.86 percent of total weight), of which Cereals and products (9.67 percent), Milk and products (6.61 percent), Vegetables (6.04 percent), Prepared meals, snacks, sweets, etc. (5.55 percent), Meat and fish (3.61 percent), and Oils and fats (3.56 percent). Miscellaneous accounts for 28.32 percent, of which Transport and communication (8.59 percent), health (5.89 percent), and education (4.46 percent). Housing accounts for 10.07 percent; Fuel and light for 6.84 percent; Clothing and footwear for 6.53 percent; and Pan, tobacco and intoxicants for 2.38 percent. Consumer price changes in India can be very volatile due to dependence on energy imports, the uncertain impact of monsoon rains on its large farm sector, difficulties transporting food items to market because of its poor roads and infrastructure and high fiscal deficit. In 2013, the consumer price index replaced the wholesale price index (WPI) as a main measure of inflation.
Related indicators
When Inflation levels drop FMCG markets Peak OutWhen Inflation levels drop FMCG markets Peak Out.
Inflation significantly impacts the Indian Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) market in several ways:
Increased Input Costs: Inflation drives up the prices of raw materials like oils, grains, and packaging materials. For instance, the wholesale price
OUT of the BOX chart !!!India Inflation has formed triple top @7.88 , as visible on charts
which signifies that inflation could come down.
Also, RSI divergence is visible which indicates loss in strength
from resistance level and suggest retracement in inflation.
Below 5.81 inflation would be optimum and will favor st
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Frequently Asked Questions
The highest figure India inflation rate YoY has ever reached is 12.17%.
The lowest ever India inflation rate YoY is 1.54%.
Last month India inflation rate YoY was 2.07%, and the month before it reached 1.61%. To better understand the dynamics, compare these two values.