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The Secret of Liquidity Grab – Why Price Hunts Highs Before FallHello Traders! Have you ever noticed how the market first breaks a recent high, traps breakout traders, and then suddenly reverses? This is not random, it’s called a liquidity grab . Understanding this concept can completely change how you see price action. 1. What is a Liquidity Grab? Liquidity means orders in the market, stop losses, buy orders, sell orders. When price hunts a previous high or low, it triggers stop losses and pending orders. This creates a sudden burst of liquidity. Institutions use this liquidity to enter or exit large positions without causing slippage. 2. Why Price Hunts Highs Before Falling At previous swing highs, many breakout traders place buy orders and short sellers place stop losses. When the price spikes above that level: Breakout traders enter long positions. Short sellers’ stop losses get triggered (buy orders). This creates a pool of buying liquidity. Once institutions have sold into this buying pressure, price often reverses sharply. 3. Why This Matters for Retail Traders Most retail traders get trapped during these liquidity grabs. They either chase breakouts too late or panic exit at the wrong time. By recognizing this pattern, you can avoid being the liquidity and instead trade with the smart money. 4. How to Use This in Trading Wait for the Grab: Don’t rush into a breakout. Wait to see if price quickly reverses after taking out a high/low. Confirm With Volume: A liquidity grab often shows a sudden spike in volume followed by an opposite move. Look for Rejection Candles: Pin bars, engulfing candles, or sharp wicks at highs/lows confirm the trap. Rahul’s Tip: Next time you see price breaking a high, don’t get excited. Ask yourself, is this a real breakout or just a liquidity grab? Waiting a little longer often saves you from being trapped. Conclusion: Liquidity grabs are the hidden traps of the market. Price doesn’t move randomly, it seeks liquidity first. By understanding this, you can avoid becoming the victim and instead align yourself with the institutions. If this post gave you clarity on liquidity grabs, like it, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more smart price action insights!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
1
FOMC XAUUSD: Time to Hold Super SELL before FOMC🟡 XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan – Ahead of FOMC 📊 Market Context Gold (XAUUSD) has recently moved out of its accumulation/manipulation zone and is now trading in the 3,684–3,690 range. The market structure is bullish after a Change of Character (CHoCH) followed by a Break of Structure (BOS). Still, imbalances remain below the present price level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement before further upside continuation. Liquidity pools are forming around 3,721–3,725, which increases the risk of false breakouts (liquidity traps) near the FOMC. 🔎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Bullish bias on H1/H4, confirmed by higher highs and BOS. Imbalance Zone: 3,674 → 3,664 (likely to be revisited). Liquidity Pools: Buy-side liquidity: 3,721–3,725 (Sell Zone). Sell-side liquidity: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Zone). 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones 3,686.88 (Immediate resistance) 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Sell Zone) Support / Buy Zones 3,668 (Front End Buy – imbalance retest) 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity Zone) ✅ Priority Scenario – BUY Entry 1 Buy Limit: 3,668 (Front End Zone – imbalance retest) SL: 3,661 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 2 Buy Limit: 3,656–3,654 (Back End CP Buy Zone) SL: 3,648 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 Entry 3 Buy Limit: 3,626–3,624 (Equal Low Liquidity) SL: 3,618 TP: 3,690 → 3,700 → 3,721 🔻 Alternative Scenario – SELL (Counter-trade) If the price touches 3,721–3,725 (Liquidity Zone) before revisiting the lower buy zones → look for rejection patterns. Enter SELL if bearish confirmation appears. SL: 3,730 TP: 3,698 → 3,690 → 3,676 ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Expect high volatility during FOMC – liquidity traps are very likely. Reduce lot size before the news release to minimise risk. Take trades only with confirmation (avoid blind buys/sells). Main directional bias: Bullish as long as 3,648 holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
4
GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area. Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703). Liquidity Zones Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area) Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone) 📌 Key Levels Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703 Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617 🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup) Entry: 3595–3592 Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3615 TP2: 3625 TP3: 3635 TP4: 3645 Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target) 🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade) Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone) Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap) Take Profit (TP) targets: TP1: 3690 TP2: 3680 TP3: 3670 TP4: 3660 Open TP: 3650 ⚡ Scalping Strategy Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones. Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance. Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade. ✅ Conclusion Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region. At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
5
GOLD – Breakout / Swept High – Where to BUY?1. Market Overview Gold prices are consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after showing a short-term bearish structure. On the H1 chart, we can see clear supply and demand zones: • Liquidity Buy Zone near 3640 (potential demand area). • Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680. The broader higher-timeframe trend is still bullish, but in the near term the market is retesting liquidity levels. ________________________________________ 2. Key Levels & Zones • Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → important support. • Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance. • Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance. • Long-term Support: 3620 – 3630. ________________________________________ 3. Main Trading Scenarios 🟢 Long Setup (with trend) • Wait for price to revisit the Liquidity Buy Zone (3640 – 3645). • If bullish reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing candle, etc.), consider entering a Long position. 🎯 Targets: • Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest). • Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (higher high). 🔴 Short Setup (scalp only) • If price pushes into the Sell Scalp Zone (3670 – 3680) and faces strong rejection → take a Short scalp. • 🎯 Target: 3640 – 3645. ⚠ Note: Shorts go against the main bullish trend, so they should be managed quickly and not held for long. ________________________________________ 4. Trade Management Notes • Focus on Long trades near support, as higher timeframe bias is still bullish. • Short positions should only be taken as scalp setups near resistance. • Risk control: limit risk to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding trades against the main trend. ________________________________________ 📌 Conclusion Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance zone. • A successful breakout may lead price towards 3700+. • Otherwise, the market is likely to dip back into 3640 before starting the next bullish leg.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
4
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 16, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is currently in an uptrend, suggesting that price may continue to rise for the next 5–6 days. • H4: Momentum is turning downward, indicating the possibility of a correction today. • H1: Recently showed a bullish reversal signal, but now there are signs of weakening again. This suggests that the downward move on H1 may not yet be complete. Wave Structure • D1: Yesterday’s daily candle created a new high, which indicates that wave iv (black) has likely been completed. The market is now developing in wave v (black). • H4: Wave iv (black) is likely finished. With H4 momentum turning lower, wave 1 of wave v (black) may already be completed, and the market is now entering a corrective phase. • H1: Wave v (black) is unfolding into a 5-wave structure (green). Combined with weakening H4 momentum, there are two possible scenarios: 1. This is wave 4 (green), with a maximum correction level around 3662. 2. This is wave 2 of wave v (black – D1), with a potential correction target around 3657. Since both scenarios point to a similar price zone, we select 3662–3660 as the buy entry zone. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3662 – 3660 • SL: 3650 • TP: 3698
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
2
Gold Today Intraday TradeDear Trader I,m Analysis Gold has recently hit fresh highs around $3,700/oz, but now there’s profit-booking and resistance in that zone. Support is seen near $3,640–$3,630/oz, which has acted as a demand zone in recent dips. Some indicators are overbought (like RSI / Williams %R) or showing signs that upside momentum could be weakening unless price breaks certain resistance levels. There is a possible bearish bias now if gold fails to clear resistance—to the upside, a breakout above ~$3,700+ could trigger further gains --- 📈 Key Levels to Watch Level Type Approximate Price ($/oz) Strong Resistance ~ $3,700–$3,707 Near Resistance ~$3,678–$3,680 Strong Support ~$3,640–$3,630 Deeper Support ~$3,600
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldUsdt
2
GOLD WEEKPLAN: UP FIRST DOWN AFTEROANDA:XAUUSD Footprint Analysis The Footprint chart provides a more detailed view of the order flow. Here are some key points: Price Pullback: The recent candles show a decrease in buying pressure (green) and an increase in selling pressure (red). Volume Footprint: The trading volume (Total) and Delta (the difference between buying and selling pressure) on each candle show the order distribution. The candle on the 19th has a negative Delta (~ -5.96 K), indicating that selling pressure is dominant, which aligns with the corrective pullback. However, there's no major volume divergence, suggesting that this may only be a typical correction. Detailed Footprint Analysis: The numbers within each candle show the number of buy orders (on the left) and sell orders (on the right) at each price level. When the price pulls back to the Imbalance or Strong OB zone, it's crucial to monitor the Footprint for signs of buying pressure returning (Delta turning positive or significant buying volume at key price levels), which would serve as a confirmation signal for a long entry. OANDA:XAUUSD General Analysis The XAUUSD market is in a strong uptrend, confirmed by the market structure: Higher Highs (HH): Each new peak is higher than the previous one. Higher Lows (HL): Each new trough is higher than the previous one. Recently, the price created a Break of Structure (BOS), breaking the previous high, which indicates a continuation of the uptrend. After the BOS, the price established a new high (HH) and is now making a corrective pullback to find a strong support zone before continuing its upward momentum. Imbalance (Fair Value Gap - FVG): This is a liquidity void created when the price moves too quickly. According to SMC theory, the market tends to return to fill this gap. Location: The price range is from ~$3660 to ~$3670 USD. Significance: This zone could act as a temporary support level. If the price returns to this area, it might fill the Imbalance and then continue to rise. Strong OB (Order Block): This is a large block of orders left behind by "Smart Money" and often serves as a strong support or resistance zone. Location: The price range is from ~$3645 to ~$3655 USD. Significance: This is the strongest support zone to consider for a long entry. The price is likely to pull back to this area, tap into the order block, and then bounce back up to continue the trend. Additionally, there are two important liquidity zones to note: Buy Side Liquidity ($$$): Located above the most recent high (~$3700 USD). The price has the potential to move up to sweep this liquidity. Sell Side Liquidity ($$$): Located below the most recent low (~$3620 USD). This zone could be swept if there is a sharp market drop, but it's highly likely that the price will respect the bullish structure and not break this low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
3
Gold Trading Strategy for 19th September 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan 🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes above the high of the 15-minute candle at $3686. 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3696 2nd Target → $3709 3rd Target → $3720 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL below $3678 (just under the breakout candle’s low). 🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if price closes below the low of the 1-hour candle at $3663. 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3653 2nd Target → $3643 3rd Target → $3633 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Place a safe SL above $3670 (just above the breakdown candle’s high). 📘 Notes ⚖️ Wait for candle close confirmation (don’t enter early). 🕒 Use 15-minute chart for Buy setup & 1-hour chart for Sell setup. 💵 Risk small (1–2% of capital). Never risk full money on one trade. 📉 Always place Stop-Loss before entering a trade. 📊 Trail your SL to lock profits once the first target is hit. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is only for educational purposes. 📚 Trading involves high risk. 💸 Do your own research before investing. I am not a financial advisor.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th September 2025📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy 🔔 This is a structured intraday setup for Gold. Follow carefully with strict risk management. ✨ Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario) 🔼 Condition to Enter Long: Wait for a 1-Hour Candle Close above $3692. Entry is valid only if the candle closes above this level, not just a spike. 💰 Entry Price: Above $3692 🎯 Profit Targets: 1️⃣ First Target: $3707 (Quick scalp level) 2️⃣ Second Target: $3715 (Moderate resistance zone) 3️⃣ Third Target: $3728 (Extended bullish move) 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Place a protective stop below $3682 (approx. 10 points below breakout level). ✨ Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario) 🔽 Condition to Enter Short: Wait for a 15-Minute Candle Close below $3642. Entry is valid only if the candle closes below, not just a wick test. 💰 Entry Price: Below $3642 🎯 Profit Targets: 1️⃣ First Target: $3630 (Initial support break) 2️⃣ Second Target: $3618 (Deeper push) 3️⃣ Third Target: $3605 (Major support zone) 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Place a protective stop above $3652 (approx. 10 points above breakdown level). ⚠️ Risk Management & Notes Always use strict stop-loss to protect capital. Do not over-leverage; risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade. Wait for candle close confirmation before entering. Avoid emotional entries. If first target is achieved, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits. Trade only when market conditions align with your plan. ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This content is shared for educational & informational purposes only. 📌 This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis before taking trades. 📌 Trading in gold, forex, and commodities carries significant risk of capital loss. 📌 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
1
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for TodayI would like to share my personal view on gold for the day. The overall trend in XAUUSD continues to be very strong, with the price consistently making fresh highs over the past two weeks. Buying interest has remained steady across sessions, while any corrections have been short-lived, mostly visible on the M15–M30 timeframes. Yesterday, gold broke out of the Pennant pattern on the upside and is now consolidating near 3,680. On the H4 chart, this level aligns with an important Fibonacci zone, providing further technical confirmation. From an Elliott Wave perspective, I expect Wave 3 to conclude near 3,700, followed by a corrective Wave 4 towards 3,660 – a level which has acted as reliable support in the past. After that, gold may enter its final Wave 5, with the potential to move towards the 3,740+ region. Trading setups for consideration: Buy 3658 – 3656, SL 3651, TP 3674 – 3688 – 3700 – 3715 – 3730 – 3744 Sell 3697 – 3700, SL 3705, TP 3688 – 3672 – 3660 – 3650 Sell 3740 – 3744, SL 3748, TP will be decided based on the price structure at that time Important levels to keep in focus: 3673 – 3663 – 3635 and 3721, as these zones may trigger price reactions and could be useful for intraday scalping opportunities. This is my personal outlook on gold for today. I hope it will be helpful to fellow traders in making better trading decisions. Kindly share your feedback in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 17th September 2025✨ GOLD TRADING STRATEGY ✨ 📈 BUY Setup ➡️ Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour closing candle 🎯 Targets: 1st Target – 3715 2nd Target – 3725 3rd Target – 3735 📉 SELL Setup ➡️ Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour closing candle 🎯 Targets: 1st Target – 3660 2nd Target – 3650 3rd Target – 3640 ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This is for educational and informational purposes only. 📌 Not a buy/sell recommendation. 📌 Trading in commodities, forex, or stock markets involves risk; please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before taking positions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
2
XAUUSD – Wave (4) Pullback Could Launch Wave (5)Namaste Traders Gold on the M30 chart remains bullish, but the push into the upper channel line signals short-term profit booking. For those trading Gold/USD or tracking Gold in INR terms on MCX, here’s my plan for the upcoming sessions: 🔍 Technical Overview Price completed Wave (3) around 3697.40, tagging the upper trend channel – a natural zone for sellers to take profits. The 3666–3670 region has acted as a pivot/support multiple times. I expect a Wave (4) correction into this zone before a fresh rally. 3657 is deeper support and also serves as the invalidation level for the bullish scenario. If Wave (4) holds, Wave (5) could push towards 3720–3725. 📈 Key Levels Type Price Level Notes Resistance 3695–3700 Wave (3) top + upper channel edge – watch for rejection Support (1) 3666–3670 Primary buy zone for Wave (4) Support (2) 3657 Strong support & invalidation Target (5) 3720–3725 Expected Wave (5) extension target ⚙️ Trading Plan ✅ Primary Setup – Buy the Dip (Trend Continuation) Entry Zone: 3666–3670 (or a small sweep to ~3657). Confirmation: Look for a bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or MACD crossover on the M30 chart. Take Profit: TP1: 3695–3700 (previous high/resistance) TP2: 3720–3725 (Wave (5) projection) Stop Loss: Below ~3652. Risk/Reward: Aim for 1:2 to 1:3. ⚠️ Secondary Setup – Countertrend Short If price retests 3695–3700 and forms a strong rejection, a quick countertrend short is possible. Targets: 3670 → 3657. Stop Loss: Above ~3703–3707. Use small position sizing, as this is against the primary trend. 🛡 Risk & Invalidation A close below 3656 plus a break of the lower trend channel invalidates the bullish Wave (5) scenario. For Indian traders watching MCX Gold (in INR), keep in mind USD/INR fluctuations – a weaker rupee can amplify gold gains even if spot prices pause. Always keep risk ≤1–1.5% per trade and avoid chasing late entries. 🧭 Final Thoughts Gold’s trend is still bullish on the short-term chart. A healthy correction into 3666–3670 could offer a prime entry for Wave (5). Be patient, wait for confirmation, and let the price come to your zone. Countertrend shorts are valid only on a clear rejection at 3695–3700 – otherwise, stick with the trend. Good luck and happy trading,
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Geopolitical Risks and Their Impact on Global MarketsIntroduction Geopolitical risks encompass a broad spectrum of political, economic, and military events that can disrupt the global economic landscape. These risks, ranging from armed conflicts and trade wars to policy shifts and regime changes, have profound implications for financial markets, investment strategies, and economic stability. Understanding the nature of these risks and their potential impacts is crucial for investors, policymakers, and businesses operating in an increasingly interconnected world. 1. Nature and Sources of Geopolitical Risks Geopolitical risks arise from various sources, each with unique characteristics and potential consequences: Armed Conflicts and Wars: Military engagements, such as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, can lead to significant disruptions in global supply chains, especially in energy and commodities markets. For instance, attacks on critical infrastructure can cause immediate price spikes and long-term supply shortages. Trade Wars and Sanctions: Economic measures like tariffs, export controls, and sanctions can alter trade flows and affect the profitability of multinational corporations. The U.S.-China trade tensions are a prime example, influencing global supply chains and market sentiments. Political Instability and Regime Changes: Shifts in political power, especially in key economies, can lead to policy uncertainties that affect investor confidence and market stability. Changes in leadership can result in abrupt policy shifts, impacting sectors such as energy, finance, and technology. Cybersecurity Threats: Increasing reliance on digital infrastructure makes economies vulnerable to cyberattacks, which can disrupt financial systems, trade, and national security. Environmental and Resource Conflicts: Competition for scarce resources, exacerbated by climate change, can lead to geopolitical tensions, particularly in regions dependent on natural resources. 2. Mechanisms of Market Impact Geopolitical events influence markets through several channels: Market Volatility: Uncertainty surrounding geopolitical events can lead to increased volatility in stock and bond markets. Investors often react swiftly to news, leading to sharp price movements. Commodity Price Fluctuations: Conflicts in resource-rich regions can disrupt supply chains, leading to price increases in commodities like oil, gas, and metals. For example, tensions in the Middle East often result in spikes in oil prices due to concerns over supply disruptions. Currency Instability: Geopolitical risks can affect investor confidence in a country's currency, leading to depreciation or volatility. Countries directly involved in conflicts may see their currencies weaken due to capital outflows. Capital Flows and Investment Patterns: Heightened risks can lead to shifts in investment strategies, with investors seeking safe-haven assets like gold, government bonds, or stable currencies. Emerging markets may experience capital outflows as investors seek safer investments. Supply Chain Disruptions: Conflicts and trade restrictions can interrupt the flow of goods and services, leading to shortages and increased costs for businesses and consumers. 3. Case Studies of Geopolitical Events and Market Reactions Russia-Ukraine Conflict: The invasion of Ukraine by Russia in 2022 led to significant disruptions in global energy markets. Sanctions imposed on Russia resulted in soaring oil and gas prices, affecting global inflation rates and energy security. U.S.-China Trade War: The imposition of tariffs between the U.S. and China in 2018-2019 disrupted global supply chains, affecting industries from electronics to agriculture. Markets experienced heightened volatility as investors adjusted to the changing trade landscape. Brexit: The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union introduced uncertainties regarding trade agreements, regulatory standards, and economic relations, leading to fluctuations in the British pound and stock market volatility. Middle East Tensions: Periodic conflicts and tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran, have led to spikes in oil prices due to concerns over supply disruptions, impacting global markets. 4. Quantifying Geopolitical Risk Measuring geopolitical risk is challenging due to its multifaceted nature. However, several indices and models have been developed to assess and quantify these risks: Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR): Developed by Caldara and Iacoviello (2022), this index quantifies geopolitical tensions based on news coverage and policy uncertainty. It provides a historical perspective on the frequency and intensity of geopolitical events. BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicator (BGRI): This indicator tracks market attention to geopolitical risks by analyzing brokerage reports and financial news stories. It helps investors gauge the level of concern in the market regarding specific geopolitical events. Market-Driven Scenarios (MDS): Employed by institutions like BlackRock, MDS frameworks estimate the potential impact of geopolitical events on global assets by analyzing historical parallels and expert insights. 5. Investor Strategies in the Face of Geopolitical Risks Investors can adopt several strategies to mitigate the impact of geopolitical risks: Diversification: Spreading investments across various asset classes, sectors, and geographies can reduce exposure to specific geopolitical events. Hedging: Utilizing financial instruments like options, futures, and currency swaps can help protect portfolios from adverse market movements. Focus on Fundamentals: Investing in companies with strong fundamentals, such as robust balance sheets and resilient business models, can provide stability during turbulent times. Monitoring Geopolitical Developments: Staying informed about global events and understanding their potential implications can help investors make timely and informed decisions. Scenario Planning: Developing and regularly updating risk scenarios can prepare investors for potential geopolitical shocks and guide strategic responses. 6. Implications for Policymakers and Businesses Policymakers and businesses must recognize the significance of geopolitical risks and take proactive measures: Policy Formulation: Governments should develop policies that enhance economic resilience, promote diversification, and reduce dependence on volatile regions. Crisis Management Plans: Establishing frameworks to respond to geopolitical crises can help mitigate their impact on national security and economic stability. Public-Private Collaboration: Cooperation between governments and businesses can lead to more effective risk management strategies and resource allocation during crises. Investment in Technology and Infrastructure: Strengthening digital infrastructure and cybersecurity can reduce vulnerabilities to cyber threats and enhance economic resilience. Conclusion Geopolitical risks are an inherent aspect of the global economic landscape, with the potential to influence markets, investment strategies, and economic policies. While these risks cannot be entirely eliminated, understanding their sources, mechanisms, and potential impacts allows investors, businesses, and policymakers to develop strategies to mitigate their effects. By adopting proactive risk management approaches and staying informed about global developments, stakeholders can navigate the complexities of geopolitical risks and maintain stability in an interconnected world.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders! Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities. Key Observations Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720. The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions. A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum. Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel. Trading Plan Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support. A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again. If support breaks, deeper correction may follow. Rahul’s Tip Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile 👉 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal
Gold holds firm at 3,63x | Caution for Friday session🟡 XAU/USD – 19/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.9%, while holding rates is only 8.9% → almost certain FED will continue easing. US News : No major data today, market remains quiet. Gold : Sharp moves in Asia session, but support 3,632 – 3,630 held strong. Yesterday’s Buy at 3,62x delivered 200 pips , confirming this zone as a “fortress” support. Note : Today is Friday – end of the week session, unexpected volatility may occur before the weekly close → strict risk management required. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold remains bullish, but caution is needed with end-of-week swings. Golden Harbor around 3,63x continues to be a solid anchor. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,661 – 3,663 (intraday resistance) 3,683 – 3,685 (strong OB, likely profit-taking zone) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) 3,602 – 3,605 (FVG zone – deeper support if 3,63x breaks, waiting for strong demand) Market Structure After rebounding from 3,62x, Gold consolidated around 3,65x – 3,66x. Main trend stays bullish, but needs support retest to confirm buyers’ strength. 3,66x is the pivot barrier: • Breakout → targets 3,68x • Rejection → retest 3,64x – 3,62x 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Entry: 3,602 – 3,605 SL: 3,588 TP: 3,629 – 3,661 – 3,683 ⚡ Sell (short scalp) Entry: 3,683 – 3,685 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,665 – 3,645 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The 3,63x fortress continues to hold, keeping the Golden ship safe on its northward journey. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,602 – 3,605) remains the main dock for sailors to gather strength. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,683 – 3,685) may raise waves, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . Today is Friday – the sea can shift unexpectedly, so keep the sails full but hands steady on the helm.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
1
XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong?XAUUSD – Week 3: Will Fibo 2.618 Hold Strong? Good day, fellow traders, Gold has been on a continuous rise for the past three weeks, even making fresh all-time highs (ATH). This has made trading conditions quite challenging, especially for short-term traders. The reason is simple: Buying: Not easy to find a good entry point. Selling: Very risky as it means going against the strong uptrend, which can be extremely dangerous. Market Structure and Key Levels Gold has touched the psychological Fibonacci 2.618 extension and showed a reaction, after which it started consolidating sideways around 3643 – the closing price of this week. The sideways structure indicates that the market may need more time before making a clear breakout. The current trading range is between 3675 – 3616. Most likely, the price will continue to consolidate within this 60-dollar band and form a compression pattern. Upside Scenario If the price breaks above the range, the next target would be 3800, and in the longer term, the market could even aim for the 4000 level in the coming year. Downside Scenario Traders should keep an eye on liquidity reaction zones (FVG): 3595 – 3568 – 3540. The key long-term buying zone lies around 3500, which would almost complete the liquidity test. Trading Strategy The wise approach is to remain patient and wait for a clear confirmation when price breaks out of the current sideways range. That will provide a higher-confidence setup for entering trades. This is the scenario I am projecting for Gold this week. Traders may use it as a reference and combine it with their own analysis to optimise their trading strategy. If you are actively trading Gold, feel free to follow me and join the community to get the quickest updates whenever price action changes. Wishing all of you a disciplined, successful, and profitable trading week ahead!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
FED countdown | Buy at support, Sell at resistanceXAU/USD – 17/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context 18/09, 01:00 (US time): FED rate decision + Dot Plot → policy outlook for upcoming meetings 01:30: Powell’s speech – the key market focus Market consensus: FED almost certain to cut -25bps. However, the -50bps scenario still exists → if it happens, it will be a “big boost” for Gold During Asia–Europe session, Gold faced early profit-taking, dropping quickly to 3,677 – 3,675, reflecting caution ahead of the FED ⏩ Captain’s Summary Gold is making a technical pullback before the FED. Medium-term trend remains bullish, but patience is needed to wait for better Buy entries. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Nearby OB: 3,693 – 3,695 (short scalp) ATH Zone: 3,717 – 3,720 (strong resistance, potential heavy selling) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Shallow Dock: 3,656 – 3,657 (short-term) Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (trendline confluence + old BoS) Market Structure Multiple BoS confirm bullish trend Price retracing to support, likely to bounce back and test 3,693 – 3,717 Break above 3,720 → confirms new ATH 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Zone 1 Entry: 3,656 – 3,657 SL: 3,648 TP: 3,675 – 3,693 – 3,717 Buy Zone 2 Entry: 3,629 – 3,630 SL: 3,618 TP: 3,656 – 3,690 – 3,717 ⚡ Sell (only at resistance) Sell Zone OB Entry: 3,693 – 3,695 SL: 3,705 TP: 3,690 – 3,685 - 3680 - 368x - 36xx Sell Zone ATH Entry: 3,717 – 3,720 SL: 3,727 TP: 3,715 – 3,710 – 3,705 - 37xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “Before the FED countdown, profit-taking waves pulled the Golden ship toward Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,656 – 3,629) . Yet the main current still flows north, the bullish trend remains intact. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,693 – 3,720) is the big wave, suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Sailors must stay patient – the FED wind could be the force to propel Gold to new peaks.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD CPI UPDATEXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
1
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TraderRahulPal