XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan Ahead of NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has slowed down after a strong bullish rally and is now consolidating in a sideways range 355x – 354x, waiting for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data to set the next major move.
📊 Macro View:
If NFP comes out better than expected, USD strength could push Gold lower into 352x – 350x zones, filling liquidity gaps before buyers step in.
If NFP is worse than forecast, Gold may break above ATH 357x and test higher liquidity zones near 3594+.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3560 – 3576
3594
🔑 Key Support Levels
3540
3528 – 3514
3502 – 3488 – 3478
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486
🔴 SL: 3480
✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ????
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526
🔴 SL: 3520
✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ????
🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ????
🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595
🔴 SL: 3600
✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ????
📊 MMFLOW Trading View:
Gold is building momentum inside the 3540 – 3565 range.
Break below 3540 → correction towards 352x – 350x.
Break above 3565 → retest of 357x – 3595 supply zone.
Best setups are waiting for price reaction near 3515 – 3528 (Buy Zone) or 3576 – 3595 (Sell Zone).
GOLD.F trade ideas
XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven
1. Market News 🌍
US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government.
Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast.
👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD.
📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health.
If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control.
Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries.
Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear.
Key Support – Resistance zones:
Support: 3,528 – 3,507
Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585
3. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔺 BUY Zone (Priority)
Entry: 3,478 – 3,480
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx
🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance)
Entry: 3,577 – 3,579
SL: 3,586
TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx
4. Conclusion ⚓
Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals.
In the short term, traders may:
Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend.
Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance.
👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025: Gold rebounds after correction, market eyes on NFP data and Donald Trump's surprise statement for the week.
Fundamentals: Spot gold prices experienced extreme volatility on Thursday, with intraday swings reaching $53 before closing lower, currently trading at $3,557/oz, representing a gain of about $11 on the day. Gold's slight decline also reflects traders taking profits from the recent incredible rally. Investor focus now shifts to today's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's strong decline showed investors' short-term profit-taking, but the current gold price is still trading above 3500. We continue to trade according to the main trend, waiting for support areas for long-term trading.
Important price zones today: 3525 - 3520 and 3495- 3500.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3515 - 3517
SL 3512
TP 3520 - 3530 - 3550 - 3580.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3498 - 3500
SL 3495
TP 3503 - 3513 - 3530 - 3550.
Wishing you a safe, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis:
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term.
A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟
Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉
US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market.
Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦
Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand.
Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉
Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts!
Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586
Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560
SL: 3564
TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535
Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578
SL: 3587
TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538
Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524
SL: 3520
TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549
Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498
SL: 3490
TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538
Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned.
1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone.
2. Buying is slow and weak.
3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line.
4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG.
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario.
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Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
Gold: Profit-Taking Before NFP, Main Trend Still BullishHello everyone, after a strong rally, gold has seen a short-term pullback. On the daily chart, this looks more like profit-taking at historical highs rather than a reversal. The broader structure remains intact: price holds above the Ichimoku cloud, the Kijun is sloping upwards, and layered demand FVG zones sit right below—typical of a healthy uptrend.
In terms of levels, immediate resistance is 3,555–3,565; a clear daily close above would naturally open the path towards 3,600–3,620. On the downside, the key buffer lies at 3,525–3,510 (clustered FVG + upper edge of the cloud). Only a decisive daily close below 3,510 would raise risks of a deeper correction towards 3,480–3,450.
News flow also explains the pause: ETF outflows and caution ahead of NFP have capped momentum. Yet, with safe-haven demand still present (as labour data and PMI suggest economic risks), I see this more as profit-locking than a trend reversal.
NFP scenarios: if the numbers are strong (USD/yields ↑), gold could retreat to 3,525–3,510; losing this zone would expose 3,480–3,450. If data is weak (USD/yields ↓), odds of breaking 3,565 are high, opening the way to 3,600+.
Overall, the main trend stays bullish as long as 3,525–3,510 holds. After NFP, a daily close above 3,565 would clearly confirm continuation.
Do you think gold will break 3,565 right after NFP and aim for 3,600+, or pull back once more to test support first? Share your view below.
Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟
Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈
Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦
Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory.
Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸
Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market!
Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉
After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility!
Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596
Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475
Trading Opportunities:
Sell Scalp: 3560-3562
SL: 3566
TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547
Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596
SL: 3604
TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546
Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506
SL: 3502
TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521
Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491
SL: 3483
TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open
Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context
Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg.
📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan
🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity)
• Entry: 3,531 – 3,533
• Stop Loss: 3,535
• Target: 3,485
🟢 Swing Buy Zones
Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477
o Stop Loss: 3,470
o Target: 3,508 – 3,526
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443
o Stop Loss: 3,435
o Target: 3,500+
⚖️ SMC Bias
• Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone.
• Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones.
• Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD
1. Market Wave 🌍
The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects.
Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut.
👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight.
📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time):
ADP Nonfarm (7:15)
Jobless Claims (7:30)
ISM Services PMI (9:00)
➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back.
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure.
Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority)
Entry: 3,477 – 3,479
SL: 3,470
TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx
🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride)
Entry: 3,561 – 3,563
SL: 3,569
TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x
🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance)
Entry: 3,573 – 3,575
SL: 3,581
TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
Crazy gold! Buy or wait for a pullback?Market News:
Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Friday (September 5th), currently trading around $3,550 per ounce. International gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, hit a record high of $3,578 per ounce on Wednesday amid growing global economic uncertainty. The London gold price declined after reaching a record high, primarily due to profit-taking by traders. After a strong rally, the market accumulated a large amount of long positions, and many investors chose to cash in their profits at the peak, leading to a short-term price decline. Traders are focused on the upcoming US non-farm payroll report, which could directly influence the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and, in turn, the price of gold. In the current environment, weak employment indicators reinforce expectations of rate cuts and support gold's safe-haven demand. However, if the data exceeds expectations, gold may face further pressure.
Technical Analysis:
After seven consecutive days of gains, gold experienced a sharp drop yesterday, closing with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. Technically, this closing pattern is often a continuation of an upward trend, as prices remain within the ascending channel. Furthermore, a double top or head-and-shoulders top pattern has yet to emerge and establish. The daily chart retreated to yesterday's 5-day moving average at 3511, then bottomed out and rebounded. The European and American markets strengthened again, pulling back towards the 3559/60 levels. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remained open and moved upward to 3504/3467, and the RSI indicator remained above 70. On the short-term four-hour chart, gold prices are trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages converging and the hourly Bollinger Bands closing. Regarding news data, focus on the non-farm payroll report today. The market's estimate is slightly bearish, but the 4.3% increase in the unemployment rate is favorable for buying. The main strategy for intraday trading is to focus on wide range fluctuations, primarily buying on dips and selling on highs.
Trading Strategy:
Short-term gold buy at 3535-3538, stop loss at 3527, target at 3570-3590;
Short-term gold sell at 3577-3580, stop loss at 3588, target at 3540-3520;
Key Points:
First support level: 3536, second support level: 3523, third support level: 3510
First resistance level: 3562, second resistance level: 3576, third resistance level: 3590
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025
————————————
Momentum
• D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close.
• H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal.
• H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength.
————————————
Wave Structure
• D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form.
• H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple).
• H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern.
o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner.
o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple).
o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level.
————————————
Targets
• Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469.
• Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan.
————————————
Trading Plan
Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498
• SL: 3490
• TP1: 3524
Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469
• SL: 3459
• TP1: 3500
Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578Gold Market Analysis:
The market's greatest allure lies in its ever-changing nature. Yesterday, gold plummeted in the Asian session, plummeting to around 3510. It then hit the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and rebounded rapidly. It then went on to not only rebound, but also rise in a V-shaped pattern. Your supposed sell-off was a lie. The daily chart ultimately closed with a bearish hammer candlestick pattern. The long lower shadow suggests yesterday's sharp drop was fleeting. Gold has not yet shifted its buying trend. Today is the time for the non-farm payroll report, and I predict a period of volatile correction with a buying bias. If gold can rally to a new high in the Asian session today, consider buying directly. Our approach in the Asian session is to buy low and then wait for the non-farm payroll data. It's difficult to determine whether 3578 on the daily chart is the high point, and the pattern doesn't signal a peak. The 1-hour chart shows a new support level near 3540. Buying in the Asian session is possible based on this support level. Furthermore, support from moving averages and indicators is near 3531. This level, which represents daily support, presents a buying opportunity. If gold reaches 3578 during the Asian session, do not consider selling. The strategy of buying at low prices can be maintained until the release of the non-farm payroll data.
Support levels are 3531 and 3540, while resistance levels are 3578 and 3560. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3540.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent fundamentals have not significantly stimulated the market. Today, we will focus on the US non-farm payroll data.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578
Gold Trading Strategy for 05th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Setup
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle once price closes above $3561
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3573
🎯 Target 2: $3585
🎯 Target 3: $3597
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle once price closes below $3531
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3520
🎯 Target 2: $3508
🎯 Target 3: $3495
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is purely for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities, forex, or any financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Bearish Pressure Builds: Gold Poised for More RetreatGold retreated sharply today as expected, and directly hit my expected retracement target of 3520-3510 area; the lowest point happened to be around 3511. We added a lot of short positions around 3575 and 3578 overnight, which helped us to make considerable profits during the gold retreat. All short positions made a total profit of 1830pips after being closed.
Since gold has begun to retreat from 3578, and the retracement has reached 670 pips in the short term, a retracement that is rare in recent times, as gold has shown obvious signs of retreat, once large funds begin to withdraw, it may trigger serious selling sentiment in the market. Taking this opportunity, the gold market may usher in a round of sharp correction. Moreover, after gold retreats, 3578 is expected to become the interim peak, which will limit the room for gold to rebound while being conducive to the downward pressure on gold.
In addition, gold rose sharply before the NFP market, probably to reserve room for the NFP market to fall, so I think gold still has the demand and space to continue to retreat, so the current decline has not ended yet, and I think the current short-term rebound provides us with good conditions for entering the short market.
According to the current structure, gold still needs to retreat after fluctuating at high levels. Therefore, in trading, we can still look for suitable opportunities to short gold during the gold rebound. First of all, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance area of 3545-3555. Once gold cannot effectively stand in this area during the rebound, gold will also test the 3510-3500 area. After falling below this area, it is expected to continue to the 3490-3480 area.
"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure ShiftXAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift
Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs.
Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward.
Key Observation:
The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation.
A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed.
Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS ON(04/09/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 3542
If price stay below 3570, then next target 3520,3508 and above that 3600
Plan;If price break 3540-3550 area, and stay below 3545, we will place sell order in gold with target of 3525 and 3508 & stop loss should be placed at 3600
Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?
📊 Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD)
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Macroeconomic Sentiment
Recent economic data from the U.S. continues to shape gold’s trajectory. Slower job growth and rising recessionary signals are fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance. This increases investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S. Dollar & Yields
The U.S. Dollar Index has shown weakness, which typically boosts gold prices since gold is dollar-denominated. Meanwhile, Treasury yields remain under pressure as investors anticipate lower interest rates in the medium term, further supporting bullish momentum.
Geopolitical Factors
Ongoing political tensions in Eastern Europe and uncertainty in energy markets are driving hedging demand. Institutional flows have recently shifted back into gold ETFs, signaling increased demand from large investors.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Trend Strength
The chart reflects a strong impulsive bullish move over the past sessions, characterized by clean breakouts and higher highs. Momentum is still intact but shows the first signs of exhaustion near the recent peak.
Market Structure
Price action has been characterized by consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) events, showing dominance of buyers. However, the latest candles indicate slowing momentum, with smaller bodies and longer wicks hinting at potential short-term weakness.
Volume Profile
The visible volume profile suggests that earlier accumulation phases fueled this strong rally. Current levels are showing higher participation, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders.
Possible Scenarios
Short-term pullback: Likely retracement as buyers take profit after a strong rally.
Medium-term continuation: If macro drivers (Fed dovish stance, weaker dollar) persist, gold may regain momentum after consolidation.
Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?
📊 Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD)
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Macroeconomic Sentiment
Recent economic data from the U.S. continues to shape gold’s trajectory. Slower job growth and rising recessionary signals are fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance. This increases investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S. Dollar & Yields
The U.S. Dollar Index has shown weakness, which typically boosts gold prices since gold is dollar-denominated. Meanwhile, Treasury yields remain under pressure as investors anticipate lower interest rates in the medium term, further supporting bullish momentum.
Geopolitical Factors
Ongoing political tensions in Eastern Europe and uncertainty in energy markets are driving hedging demand. Institutional flows have recently shifted back into gold ETFs, signaling increased demand from large investors.
🔹 Technical Outlook
Trend Strength
The chart reflects a strong impulsive bullish move over the past sessions, characterized by clean breakouts and higher highs. Momentum is still intact but shows the first signs of exhaustion near the recent peak.
Market Structure
Price action has been characterized by consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) events, showing dominance of buyers. However, the latest candles indicate slowing momentum, with smaller bodies and longer wicks hinting at potential short-term weakness.
Volume Profile
The visible volume profile suggests that earlier accumulation phases fueled this strong rally. Current levels are showing higher participation, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders.
Possible Scenarios
Short-term pullback: Likely retracement as buyers take profit after a strong rally.
Medium-term continuation: If macro drivers (Fed dovish stance, weaker dollar) persist, gold may regain momentum after consolidation.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025: New all-time high of $3,578, gold eases to $3,536/oz as US ADP data takes center stage.
Fundamentals: Spot gold hit a record high on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected US jobs data weighed on the US dollar. Gold bulls are betting on further gains. The US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Wednesday, showing that job vacancies, an indicator of labor demand, fell by 176,000 to 7.181 million on the last day of July. Economists surveyed by Reuters had previously forecast the number of vacant jobs in the United States at 7.378 million in July.
Technical analysis: After creating the latest ATH of 3578, the gold price corrected strongly to the 3511 area and then continued to increase; this can be considered a short-term profit-taking wave of the gold price. However, the selling pressure is still not strong. The multi-frame RSI is in the overbought area and shows signs of entering the buying zone. We continue to wait at the support areas combined with MA, Fib and FVG zones.
Important price zones today: 3495 - 3500 and 3475 - 3480.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended order:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3495 - 3497
SL 3492
TP 3500 - 3510 - 3530 - 3550 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3475 - 3477
SL 3472
TP 3480 - 3490 - 3520 - 3550 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3549 - 3551
SL 3554
TP 3546 - 3536 - 3516 - 3500. (small volume, effective before US session).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
GOLD 03/09: TIME TO SELL, WHERE TO BUY TODAY?1. Overall Analysis
Elliott Wave:
Wave (5) seems to have completed, signalling a possible distribution phase.
The market is likely moving into an ABC corrective structure, with Wave A expected to retrace to key Fibonacci levels before a Wave B rebound.
Smart Money Concept (SMC):
The Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed.
There’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3,500 level, which price may revisit to fill.
The CP Order Buy Zone near 3,485 indicates a strong liquidity area for potential medium- to long-term buying opportunities.
2. SELL Plan
SELL Zone: 3,550 – 3,552
Stop Loss (SL): 3,558
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 – short-term target)
TP2: 3,517 (Fib 0.382 – first support level)
TP3: 3,508 – 3,506 (BUY SCALP/FVG zone)
Logic:
Price has completed Wave 5, forming a distribution zone.
Smart Money may sweep liquidity around 3,550 before pushing the price down to test the FVG levels.
3. BUY SCALP Plan
BUY Zone: 3,508 – 3,506 (aligning with the FVG)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,499
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 retracement)
TP2: 3,540 (previous reaction level)
Logic:
This zone lines up with an unfilled FVG and the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels of the last leg.
If price holds its bullish structure here, Wave B could stage a strong rebound.
4. Medium-Term BUY Zone
CP Order Buy Zone: Around 3,485
Logic:
This area acts as a major liquidity pool, often targeted by Smart Money.
If price breaks below 3,506, this level could be the next key spot for medium-term accumulation, with an eye on a Wave C move back toward 3,550+.
5. Main Scenarios
Primary Setup:
Look for a SELL entry at 3,550 – 3,552 with SL at 3,558, and scale out profits at support levels.
Watch for a BUY SCALP setup in the 3,508 – 3,506 range if bullish confirmation appears.
Alternate Setup:
If price dips below 3,506 and keeps falling, wait for confirmation at 3,485 to build a medium-term long position.
6. Risk Management
Always place tight stop-losses for each setup.
For SELL trades: lower your position size during high-impact news events.
For BUY SCALP trades: only enter after confirmation signals, such as a pin bar, engulfing candle, or a minor structure break on the M5/M15 charts.
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits.
Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold.
The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction.
🔑 Key Resistance Levels
3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576
🔑 Key Support Levels
3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476
📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View)
🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500
🔴 SL: 3494
✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???
🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475
🔴 SL: 3470
✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ???
🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561
🔴 SL: 3566
✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ???
🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576
🔴 SL: 3580
✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???
📊 MMFLOW TRADING View:
Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.