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LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; await correction to 4090/4041 – break 4145 to confirm further rise Quick context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Price is moving within an upward channel, hitting the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, not forming a lower low yet. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, a break of 4145 is needed; otherwise, prioritise the technical correction scenario towards liquidity zones. Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Holding the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid. Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing direction. Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if deep correction occurs. Main resistance: 4130–4135 (retest of channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears). Main support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive point for buyers. Trading Scenarios (optimised for mobile reading) Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority) Entry: 4084–4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160 Suggestion: Wait for rejection candle at 4090 or M15 reversal signal before entry. Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R) Entry: 4041–4043 SL: 4036 TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120 Suggestion: Prioritise when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick. Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4130–4132 SL: 4138 TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060 Note: Quick scalp only; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145. Bonus – Sell scalp 4200 Condition: Clear rejection on smaller timeframe. SL: above the nearest recent high. Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145. Risk Management & Invalidation Short-term bullish bias remains valid if price holds above 4085–4090. H2 closes above 4145 → prioritise buying on breakout, limit all sell orders. H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020. Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average against the trend. Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025 📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution 🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection 🟡 MARKET CONTEXT: Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place. The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation. 🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997) BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness. Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas: • 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket • 3957–3955 → main intraday demand • 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone 🎯 TRADING PLAN: SELL Setup • Entry: 3995 – 3997 • Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3970 / 3968 • Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation BUY Setup • Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive) • Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3988 / 3995 • Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS 📊 BIAS: Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend. Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Gold Holding Above 4100$ Market Prepares for Next Wave ExpansionGold continues to sustain momentum above 4,100$, maintaining its bullish market structure as traders price in expectations of a Fed rate cut in December. While the US Dollar shows brief recovery, the underlying flow still supports safe-haven demand — especially as global risk sentiment remains fragile and the US government moves closer to reopening. 📊 Technical Overview (H1 – MMFLOW Structure) Price is currently consolidating within the 4,108$–4,113$ liquidity pocket, where prior breakout demand aligns with short-term Fibonacci retracement (0.382–0.5). This zone continues to attract buy-side liquidity, suggesting accumulation rather than exhaustion. As long as 4,085$ remains protected, the bias stays bullish toward 4,172$ – 4,203$ (Fibo 1.272–1.618). However, failure to break above 4,172$ may trigger a short-term reaction sell before the next impulsive leg resumes. 🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Setup 🌸 BUY Scenario (Liquidity Retest) Buy Zone: 4,086 – 4,084 Stop Loss: 4,080 Targets: 4,090 → 4,095 → 4,100 → 4,110 → 4,120 → 4,130 → 4,150+ 🔥 SELL Scenario (Short-Term Reaction Zone) Sell Zone: 4,172 – 4,174 Stop Loss: 4,180 Targets: 4,165 → 4,160 → 4,150 → 4,140 → 4,130 → 4,120 🧠 MMFLOW TRADING Insight: “Price is language — liquidity is intent. The market is not random; it’s engineered to test conviction before expansion.” Bias remains bullish above 4,085$ – any dip into the liquidity base could offer the last accumulation before the next breakout.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WHEN PRICE ADJUSTS 🎯 🌤Overview Good morning traders 💬 Gold is experiencing a slight adjustment after encountering resistance at the VAH zone on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend. The price observation zone for today's adjustment is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH zone 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers. Although there might be a short-term adjustment, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritise waiting to Buy at the support zone, rather than entering a trade against the trend. 💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) 📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term upward structure, with no reversal signals yet. 🟣 The 4075–4078 zone coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short trades. 🔹 VAH around 4020 is strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price adjusts deeply. 💫 The 4200–4203 zone remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches. 🎯 Reference Trading Plan 💖 Buy scalping (short-term) Entry: 4075–4078 ｜ SL: 4070 TP: 4095 – 4105 💖 Buy zone (main priority) Entry: 4018–4021 ｜ SL: 4011 TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095 💢 Sell zone (short reaction) Entry: 4200–4203 ｜ SL: 4210 TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140 💢 Sell scalping (short-term) Entry: 4122–4124 ｜ SL: 4130 TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040 ⚠️ Important Note The 4048 zone is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here. Prioritise Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction. 🌷Be patient and wait for the price to adjust to the support zone to buy according to Smart Money flow. If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD / GOLD Analysis – Buy Opportunity Ahead!Gold has formed a strong double-bottom support zone at 4095 – 4090, signaling potential bullish momentum. As long as Gold remains above 4080, the bias stays bullish for short-term buyers. 🧭 Trading Plan: Buy Zone: 4095 – 4090 Stop Loss: Below 4080 (close basis) Targets: 🎯 4010, 4030, 4040 💡 Technical Reasoning: Double-bottom pattern confirmation on 1H/4H timeframe RSI bouncing from oversold area Price rejecting key support zone multiple times Potential bullish divergence forming ⚠️ Risk Management: Always use proper risk-to-reward management and position sizing. Gold can move fast during high volatility sessions — keep your stops tight and targets realistic. 🔔 Conclusion: If Gold holds above 4080, buyers could dominate the next leg. Watch price action closely near 4095 – 4090 for entry confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InvestPro_India
1
Gold at 25 year top line ! Macro view !Zooming out to the 2 week frame gold’s now touching the same top line that was drawn from the 1995-2005 base to the 2011 cycle high. This upper rail has acted like a generational ceiling and after nearly 15 years, price has stretched back into that very band again, this time near 4150–4350. This zone isn’t just any resistance it’s the outer wall of gold’s entire super-cycle structure. Historically, whenever price came here with RSI above 80 on the 2-week frame, it marked exhaustion or at least a multi-month digestion phase before the next leg higher. And right now, RSI is sitting around 83 a clear signal of overheated momentum. Macro context still favors gold in the long term global rate-cut expectations, slower real yields, and consistent central-bank accumulation keep the long-term green base trendline (drawn from 2005 lows) fully intact. As long as that line holds, the long-term structure stays bullish-biased. But here’s the catch the higher we climb without a structural reset, the more fragile the rise becomes. So 4365 stands as a major decision point. Reject from here: we could see a healthy pullback toward 3750-3800 — still within the bullish channel. Break and close above: that opens the door for a true macro breakout, with next expansion targets sitting around 4800–5200 over the coming years. For now, this run feels more like a macro stretch ice sitting on sand. Looks shiny, but needs solid ground before it can hold.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sparkrlight
3
Gold Trading Strategy for 12th November 2025🪙 GOLD Trading Setup (Intraday Strategy) 📈 Buy Setup (Bullish Scenario) 👉 Condition to Enter Buy: Wait for the 1-hour candle to close above $4152. This confirms bullish momentum (buyers are taking control). 🎯 Targets after Buy Entry: Target 1: $4165 Target 2: $4176 Target 3: $4189 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): You can place your SL just below the breakout candle’s low or around $4140 (for risk control). 💡 Explanation for Beginners: When the 1-hour candle closes above $4152, it means price has broken an important resistance level. This often attracts more buyers, pushing the price higher toward the target levels. 📉 Sell Setup (Bearish Scenario) 👉 Condition to Enter Sell: Wait for the 30-minute candle to close below $4096. This confirms bearish pressure (sellers are taking control). 🎯 Targets after Sell Entry: Target 1: $4083 Target 2: $4072 Target 3: $4056 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Place SL slightly above the breakout candle’s high or near $4110 for protection. 💡 Explanation : When the 30-min candle closes below $4096, it means the market is showing weakness. This setup allows you to follow the selling momentum as price moves toward lower levels. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Never trade without a stop loss. Risk only 1–2% of your capital per trade. Avoid entering trades before candle closes — always wait for confirmation. Stick to your plan; don’t chase trades emotionally. 🧾 Disclaimer ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading in gold or any financial market involves risk. Always do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 11-12✅From the 4H chart, gold experienced a strong bullish rally after breaking above the 4077 pivot level and reached a recent high of 4148.99. However, after consecutive bullish candles, the price faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band (4154.85) and has since pulled back slightly. Currently, the price is hovering near 4110–4115, just above the MA10 (4104.83) and MA20 (4051.26) — this area serves as a short-term support zone. The Bollinger Bands remain in an expanding state, indicating that overall volatility is still active. If the price stabilizes above 4105–4110, the bullish structure remains intact; a break below this zone could trigger further pullback toward 4077–4050. ✅On the 1H timeframe, gold shows a short-term correction after peaking at 4148. MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover, and the price is currently below them, signaling short-term bearish pressure. Bollinger Bands are starting to narrow, reflecting decreasing volatility and a possible sideways consolidation phase. The MACD has formed a dead cross, and the momentum indicator shows continued downside pressure, but near-term support appears around 4107–4090. 🔴 Resistance levels: 4148 / 4155 / 4175 🟢 Support levels: 4105 / 4077 / 4050 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4145–4148 and faces resistance, consider light short positions, targeting 4105–4077, with a stop loss above 4155. 🔰 If gold drops to 4100–4110 and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, targeting 4130–4150, with a stop loss below 4065. 📈The overall structure remains bullish on higher timeframes, but short-term correction pressure is visible. In the near term, focus on the 4100–4145 trading range — sell high, buy low within the band, and wait for a clear breakout to determine the next major direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
XAU/USD – Gold Technical Adjustment Before Continuing Uptrend⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 🔍 Market Context After a strong rally from the start of the Asian session, gold paused around 4,130–4,140 USD, indicating a temporary cooling off after a series of consecutive Break of Structure (BOS). The current price is situated between a short-term resistance zone and a technical support (Order Block) – clearly reflecting a rebalancing behavior after a rapid expansion. 📊 Technical Structure Resistance Zone (4,145 USD): a short-term reaction area, coinciding with a Weak High. If the price surpasses this, the uptrend structure will continue towards the Liquidity Zone around 4,198 USD. Order Block (4,111 USD): a confluence area between 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci, likely to attract buying interest when the price adjusts. OB Deep (4,081 USD): a deep support area, coinciding with the 0.618 Fibonacci level — where buyers might defend the main trend. Liquidity Zone (4,198 USD): a potential expansion target if the uptrend structure is reconfirmed. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario: 1️⃣ Price technically adjusts to OB 4,111 or OB Deep 4,081, creating a reaction at the Discount area. 2️⃣ As buying momentum returns, the price may retest the Resistance Zone 4,145, then expand towards the Liquidity Zone 4,198 USD. 3️⃣ Breaking below 4,081 USD will weaken the short-term structure, shifting to a deeper rebalancing state. 🧠 Analyst’s View This is a natural “cooldown” phase after a strong rally — the market is seeking liquidity before establishing the next upward move. As long as the price holds above the 4,081 USD area, the main trend remains bullish. Observing reactions at the OB will help determine if the upward momentum will continue to dominate in the US session. 🛡️ Risk Note The market is adjusting within a larger trend — avoid emotional actions when the price has not completed the retracement phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
Gold Reaches Supply Zone: Prepare for a Pullback to FVG📊 Market Structure Gold continues to maintain its bullish structure after breaking the structure high (BoS) at the 4,000 USD zone and forming a steep bullish channel over the past 3 sessions. Currently, the price is precisely hitting the Order Block 4,140 – 4,150 USD — a critical supply zone formed from the previous distribution. The H1 candle is showing slight technical reaction signs , implying the potential for a short pullback to re-accumulate liquidity. If a pullback occurs, the Premium Zone 4,080 – 4,085 USD and FVG 4,025 – 4,035 USD will be ideal areas to look for buy signals. The bullish structure is only invalidated if the H1 candle closes below the Support 4,006 USD zone. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block: 4,140 – 4,150 USD → main supply zone, where profit-taking pressure appears • Premium Zone: 4,080 – 4,085 USD → medium-term rebalancing zone • FVG Zone: 4,025 – 4,035 USD → potential discounted price zone for BUY orders • Support Zone: 4,000 – 4,006 USD → critical defense zone 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at OB 4,145 USD If the price continues to react downwards at the 4,140 – 4,150 USD supply zone: • Entry: 4,143 – 4,147 • SL: 4,155 • TP1: 4,085 • TP2: 4,035 → Short-term setup, targeting the rebalancing zone before buying back in line with the trend. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation from FVG Zone When the price pulls back to the FVG / Premium Zone and creates a confirmed bullish signal: • Entry: 4,030 – 4,035 • SL: 4,006 • TP1: 4,090 • TP2: 4,145 • TP3: 4,170 → Trend-following setup, preferred when the price re-accumulates and a clear rejection appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Buyers still control the market, but the current OB touch may trigger a short pullback before the bullish wave continues. The ideal scenario is “tap OB → pullback FVG → continuation,” maintaining a stable bullish structure towards the 4,170 USD target. “Buy the dip where fear replaces greed — that’s where the next impulse begins.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 11, 2025🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Daily momentum has closed, showing that bullish strength is fading. We’ll wait for today’s daily candle to confirm whether a reversal is forming. • H4 timeframe: The two momentum lines are sticking together — this indicates that while upward pressure remains, it is weakening, suggesting a possible formation of wave X top. • H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is turning down from the overbought zone. With all three timeframes (D1, H4, H1) aligned, the current price area is likely marking a wave top. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: The corrective wave (4) is still developing. Once D1 momentum fully reverses and moves into the oversold zone, it may mark the final stage of the correction phase. • H4 timeframe: Price has reached the wave X target area around 4145. With both D1 and H4 momentum in the overbought zone and starting to turn down, this level is likely the completion of wave X. After that, price may begin a decline to complete wave Y. The duration of wave Y is expected to correspond to the time it takes for D1 momentum to move from overbought to oversold. • H1 timeframe: The red 5-wave structure has completed, with price currently in wave (5). The target area for wave (5) lies between 4145 and 4050, overlapping with the wave X target zone. Therefore, the sell entry from yesterday around 4145 remains valid. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 4145 – 4147 • Stop Loss: 4165 • Take Profit 1: 4075 • Take Profit 2: 4046 • Take Profit 3: 3932 ⚠️ Note: If price closes below 4046, it will confirm that purple wave Y is in progress. In that case, the target of wave Y could extend below 3855.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO RISE?I. BASIC CONTEXT On November 10, 2025, gold prices surged after the market reacted positively to news of the U.S. government reopening. The current market sentiment expects the FED to cut interest rates soon as recent economic data indicates a weakening U.S. economy. Lower interest rates mean cheaper money, a weaker USD, thereby driving funds into safe-haven assets like gold. The current rally is seen as a news-based pullback, potentially extending to key resistance areas before the market establishes a medium-term trend. II. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Main timeframe: H2 Market structure: Gold prices have broken out of the accumulation triangle pattern. Formation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern → signaling the correction phase has ended. III. TRADING SCENARIOS ✅ Main scenario: WATCH TO BUY THE TREND (BUY THE DIP) Trend expectation: Prices continue to extend the pullback to resistance areas 4180–4220. Buy zones (BUY ZONES): Zone 4105–4103 (near old H2 resistance → becoming new support). Zone 4115–4116 (confirmation area post-breakout). Deeper zone: 407x – 405x (Fib 0.618, trendline confluence area). If prices retest the H2 structure: 4040 – 4035. Buy stop: When prices break through the 416x area with strong candle force → a buy stop can be placed to follow the breakout momentum. Note to check the timing and candle force on H2/M30 to confirm momentum. ⚠️ Alternative scenario: WATCH TO SELL REACTION If clear signs of weakness appear at resistance, consider a short SELL reaction at: 4180–4185 4205–4220 These are potential profit-taking areas for the current pullback wave. IV. RISK MANAGEMENT Stop Loss (SL): 10 points Take Profit (TP): 10–12–13 points depending on setup RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:1.3 Prioritize capital management according to the principle R ≤ 1% account/order. Additionally, monitor news on Mr. Trump's actions during this period. The U.S. government has reopened this week, so expect a fair amount of news, stay alert. Trade effectively
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Chum_trades
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart Pattern..GOLD (XAU/USD) 1-hour chart with Ichimoku Cloud, and my marked resistance and two target points. Here’s the analysis based on what’s visible: Current price: Around $4,141 (based on my chart labels). Resistance zone: Around $4,140 – $4,150, which is where price is currently testing. Upper target point (minor correction target): Around $4,123 – $4,125. Lower target point (major correction target): Around $4,066 – $4,070. 📊 Interpretation: If price fails to break resistance (4,150) and forms rejection candles, it could retrace toward: Target 1: $4,123 (short-term support) Target 2: $4,066 (cloud base and major support zone) If price breaks and holds above 4,150, then the bullish trend can extend further upward, possibly toward $4,180–$4,200.
TVC:GOLDShort
by HussaiN_JaNi
1
SONA (XAU/USD): BREAKOUT DONE! FED CUT KA FAYDA. KAB KHARIDEIN?📰 Fundamental Analysis: Bada Game Changer (MUST READ) Bhaiyon aur Behnon, fundamental factors are very strong for Gold (Sona)! Rate Cut Ki Umeed (Expectation): Market is expecting more than 60% probability for another Fed Rate Cut in December. Kam rates means Dollar (DXY) will be weak, aur Gold (non-yielding asset) becomes dhamakedaar (explosive/exciting)! Economy Thodi Slow Hai: US Consumer Sentiment slid to 50.3 (lowest since June 2022). Yeh data supports a 'Dovish' Fed, jisse Sona ko aur support milta hai (which gives more support to Gold). 💡 Is Hafta Ka Main Focus: Watch out for FOMC member speeches on Wednesday. Poora market unki taraf dekh raha hai (The entire market is looking towards them) for the next direction! 📊 Technical Analysis: Setup Ekdum Solid Hai! Gold ne ek powerful Breakout diya hai from the consolidation range (4,044 - 4,060). Matlab, trend ab pakka Bullish ho gaya hai! (Meaning, the trend is now definitely Bullish!) Entry Ka Wait Karo (Patience is key): DON'T JUMP IN NOW! Wait patiently for a pullback to the Demand Zone/CP (4,081 - 4,114). This is the best place to initiate a Long position. Targets (TP): If the CP zone holds, the targets are 4,155, 4,185, and the big level at 4,236. Stop-Loss (SL): Keep it safe below 4,044. 🎯 Strategy Summary: Fatafat Dekho! Strategy: Wait and Buy (Long) in the 4,081 - 4,114 area. Risk: Dhyaan rakhna (Be careful) if price closes below 4,044. #XAUUSD #Gold #Sona #FedRateCut #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #IndianTraders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold – Bullish Trendline Retest Points Toward Move to 4,120 USDAnalysis (English): Gold (XAU/USD) is maintaining a clear bullish uptrend, supported by a strong ascending trendline. After a sharp push upward, the price is now pulling back, moving toward a key demand zone aligned with the trendline. The chart projection indicates a likely scenario: ✅ Bullish Scenario (Most Probable) Price corrects down into the demand zone and touches the trendline. Buyers step in and defend the level. A bullish continuation move develops, pushing price toward the upper resistance zones at: 4,100 USD 4,115 – 4,120 USD As long as the price remains above the trendline, the bullish structure stays intact. ⚠️ Bearish Risk If the price breaks below the trendline (around 4,050 USD), momentum could slow and shift into a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DrForexPhd
Gold H1 – End of Wave 5: Is a Corrective ABC Coming?⚡ XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 11/11 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold has completed a clean 5-wave impulsive structure on the H1 timeframe, with Wave 5 pushing into the premium zone above 4130. Price now shows early exhaustion at the highs, suggesting the market is preparing to transition into a corrective ABC phase. A confirmed reversal signal will be: ✅ H1 close below the Wave 2–4 trendline → confirming the start of Wave A. 🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure) • Wave 1: Initial rally from 3964 • Wave 2: Shallow pullback near 3985 • Wave 3: Strong impulsive breakout toward 4070+ • Wave 4: Mid-cycle correction holding structure • Wave 5: Final push topping around 4130–4140 (current swing high) The 5-wave impulse is now completed → market likely moves into A–B–C correction. 📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC) Wave A • First levels: 4105 (Fibo 0.236) • Main target zone: 4078 (Fibo 0.382) Wave B • Corrective rebound toward o 4105, or o 4115–4120 Wave C • Strongest leg of correction • Ideal target zones: o 4035 (Fibo 0.618 retracement of the full 1–5 impulse) o 4004 (Fibo 0.786 retracement) • Wave C often ≈ Wave A → aligns with 4035–4004 📌 Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-Based) ✅ Scenario 1 – SELL the upcoming correction (Preferred) Entry: • After H1 candle closes below the 2–4 trendline, or wait for a Wave B retest into 4105–4120. Stop Loss: • Above the Swing High → 4145 Take Profit: • TP1: 4078 • TP2: 4035 • TP3: 4004 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY only if wave invalidation occurs If gold breaks and holds above 4145, Wave 5 may be extending. Entry: above 4145 SL: 4120 TP: 4170–4200 ✅ Summary Gold has finished a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now likely entering a corrective ABC structure. The highest-probability opportunity today is to sell the Wave B retracement and target deeper corrective zones at 4035–4004.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 11.11.25XAUUSD/GOLD 1H Sell Projection (11.11.25) chart. Here’s a quick technical breakdown of what this chart represents: 🟣 Setup Overview Pair: XAUUSD (Gold) Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1) Bias: Bearish (Sell Setup) 🧩 Key Levels Resistance / High: 4148.82 Stoploss: ~4141.63 Entry Zone: ~4129.45–4128.32 Target 1 (TP1): Around 4110 (S1 + FVG zone) Target 2 (TP2): Around 4081 (S2 zone) 📉 Projection Logic Price rejected from major resistance at 4148. A short-term pullback / retracement is expected into the entry zone. After possible retest, price is expected to drop towards TP1 and TP2. The setup suggests a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of roughly 1:2.5 to 1:3, favoring the sell side. ⚙️ Trading Idea Summary Parameter Value Bias Sell Entry Range 4128–4130 Stop Loss 4141 Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4110 Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4081 R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3 Confirmation Bearish engulfing or rejection from resistance zone
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonasir
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective phase might occur today Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025 Quick glance: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the rising channel. With the USD potentially volatile as the US nears “reopening”, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for. Technical Analysis Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top around 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling. Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction. FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap likely to fill and rebound. VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support during deep corrections. POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic level if the market weakens more than expected. Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension). Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, matching FVG & VAH → priority buy point if price corrects. Trading Scenarios Buy shallow pullback (trend-following) Entry: 4083–4085 SL: 4077 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166 Note: Require rejection/wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R. Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile Entry: 4025–4028 SL: 4020 TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112 Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and rebounds; exercise caution with volume. Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4135–4140 SL: 4148 TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090 Note: Only a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140. H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; breaking further 4020 might drag to POC ~3990. Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only when support/resistance is confirmed broken on entry timeframe). Which level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX