gold spot today will down close as per chart petterngold today will close down from friday closing . as per chart pettern
GOLD.F trade ideas
Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines.Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines.
Spot gold prices have hit consecutive record highs in the past hour. This strong rally is primarily driven by the following factors:
1: The market currently prices a 91.9% probability of another Fed rate cut in October. This expectation will depress the US dollar and real yields, thereby increasing gold's appeal.
2: Friday's release of US core PCE inflation data will be a key factor. If the data shows slowing inflation, it will further reinforce expectations of rate cuts, which will benefit gold.
Key Support: Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty are driving investors to allocate gold as a safe-haven asset.
Currency Market Signals: Gold's rise is primarily driven by demand from central banks and Asia, while Western investors are also increasing their gold holdings through channels such as gold ETFs.
Simply put, the current gold market presents a situation where "long-term logic is sound" and "short-term technical overbought" coexist.
Key Strategy: Follow the trend, but be wary of pullbacks.
The current market trend is bullish, so the strategy should primarily focus on buying dips, avoiding blindly speculating on tops and shorting. However, we must also be prepared for possible technical pullbacks.
Buy on Dips (Primary Strategy)
This strategy is suitable for entering the market when gold prices moderately retreat from their highs and find support before rising again.
Timing of Entry:
Best entry: When prices retreat to the $3705-3710 area (strong support during the Asian and European trading sessions) and a bullish candlestick pattern (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern) appears on the 5-minute or 15-minute chart.
Second option: Enter after a strong breakout above the previous intraday high (such as $3726), and a minor pullback confirms this move.
A more conservative option: Enter if prices experience a deep pullback to the more critical support level of $3685-3695 (the resistance-turned-support level broken yesterday), then stabilize and rebound.
Stop-loss Setting:
Set your stop-loss $5-8 below your entry price. For example, if you go long at $3710, set your stop-loss at $3702.
The absolute bottom line: Stop-loss should not be set below $3673 (the bull-bear watershed). If it falls below, the short-term trend may weaken.
Target Price Levels:
First target: $3730-3735 (a new all-time high to attract buying).
Second target: $3740-3750 (a psychological round number).
Use a trailing stop: As the price moves in your favor, gradually raise your stop-loss to protect your profits.
Data Risk: Friday's US core PCE price index is the biggest variable.
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan: Fresh Record Highs & Fibo Zone React📊 Market Context
Gold regained strong bullish momentum on Monday, surging to a new record high above 3,720 USD/oz. The Fed’s dovish outlook, signaling the possibility of two additional rate cuts this year, continues to support non-yielding assets like gold. At the same time, geopolitical risks remain a tailwind for safe-haven demand.
🔢 Technical Analysis (H2)
Immediate Resistance / SELL Zones:
3,818.769 – Key reaction zone where sellers may defend aggressively.
3,754.890 – Secondary SELL zone reaction area for short-term pullbacks.
Mid-Level Support / BUY Zone:
3,694.521 – First key area to watch for dips and potential buy reactions.
3,660.130 – Stronger support level if price pulls back deeper.
Major BUY Zone Reaction:
3,583.663 – Critical confluence of structure and Fibonacci support, a potential bounce zone if a major correction unfolds.
📈 Suggested Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
BUY: Look for pullbacks to 3,694–3,660 with bullish candlestick confirmation.
Targets: 3,754 → 3,818, leave partial position open if momentum breaks higher.
Stop Loss: Below 3,645 for safer positioning.
2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
SELL: Enter short at 3,754–3,818 zones only with strong rejection signals.
Targets: 3,694 → 3,660, trail stops aggressively to lock profits.
3️⃣ Deep Correction Opportunity
BUY: If price flushes to 3,583–3,585, consider scaling into longs.
Targets: 3,660 → 3,754, aligning with the broader uptrend.
⚠ Key Trading Notes
Expect increased volatility with Fed guidance and ongoing geopolitical risks.
Use smaller position sizes near resistance zones and employ stop-loss discipline.
Avoid mid-range entries; focus on well-defined zones for optimal risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Discussion
📊 Will gold sustain its rally toward 3,818 or see a deep pullback before another leg higher? Share your charts and insights below so we can compare strategies!
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders!
Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go?
Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring?
Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold.
Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset.
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks.
Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues
Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact.
Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level.
Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management):
BUY SCALP
Zone: $3413 - $3711
SL: $3407
TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741
BUY ZONE
Zone: $3700 - $3798
SL: $3790
TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758
SELL ZONE
Zone: $3734 - $3736
SL: $3744
TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779
The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – September 22, 2025Gold (XAUUSD) technical analysis: Strong buy signal at $3,706. Support levels, resistance targets, stop loss strategy. September 2025 trading guide.
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading1. Introduction to Option Trading
Option trading is one of the most fascinating areas of financial markets. Unlike buying shares of a company, where you directly own a piece of the business, option trading gives you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, indices, currencies, or commodities) at a specific price within a specific period.
This flexibility makes options powerful tools for hedging, speculation, and income generation. However, the same flexibility also makes them risky if not handled with proper knowledge. Many beginners are drawn to the huge profit potential in options, but without understanding the risks, they often lose money quickly.
2. What Are Options? Basic Concepts
An option is a financial derivative contract.
It derives its value from an underlying asset (like Reliance shares, Nifty index, gold, crude oil, or even USD/INR).
When you buy an option, you’re not buying the asset itself; you’re buying the right to transact in that asset at a pre-decided price, called the strike price.
Example:
Suppose you buy a Call Option for Reliance at ₹2500 strike price, valid for 1 month.
If Reliance’s stock rises to ₹2600, you can exercise your right to buy at ₹2500 (cheaper than market).
If Reliance falls to ₹2400, you can simply let the option expire worthless (you don’t have to buy).
This right-without-obligation feature is what makes options unique.
3. Key Terms in Option Trading
Before diving deeper, let’s decode the important terminology:
Strike Price – The fixed price at which you may buy/sell the underlying.
Expiry Date – The date when the option contract ends.
Premium – The cost you pay to buy the option.
Lot Size – Options are traded in fixed quantities (e.g., Nifty option = 50 units per lot).
Underlying Asset – The stock, index, or commodity on which the option is based.
Exercise – The act of using your right to buy or sell at strike price.
Settlement – How the trade is closed (cash settlement or physical delivery).
4. Types of Options (Call & Put)
Call Option
A Call Option gives you the right (not obligation) to buy the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry.
Buyers of Calls = Bullish (expect price to rise).
Sellers of Calls = Bearish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or fall).
Put Option
A Put Option gives you the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry.
Buyers of Puts = Bearish (expect price to fall).
Sellers of Puts = Bullish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or rise).
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations:
The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level.
A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723.
A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum.
The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement.
The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
XAUUSD-UPCOMING PROBALBE DIRECTIONAL ANALYSIS1. We can see a retracement in XAUUSD upto retesting area.
2. Also the move take more time as compaired to previous uptrend, means we can't see clear downtrend here.
3. The lines marked at chart are the characters of the trend, means we can see a bit candle which cross the line.
4. The characters are:
1.Minor character-3692.290
2. Major Characters-3547.005, 3581.210,3546.050 & 3478.350.
Gold Demand Zone Holding – Upside Potential Toward 3710!Gold is currently testing a demand zone around 3640–3650 , which aligns well with moving average support. As long as this zone holds, price action favors a potential bounce toward the falling trendline and eventually the key resistance area near 3710 . Short-term buyers may look for confirmation inside the demand zone before positioning, while a breakdown below 3614 would invalidate this setup.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenario
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context
Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned.
Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure.
Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart.
Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720
Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658
📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684
SL: 3680
TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ …
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668
SL: 3664
TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ …
✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722
SL: 3726
TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ …
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower.
Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range.
Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news.
✅ Summary
Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears.
📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
GOLD WEEKPLAN: UP FIRST DOWN AFTEROANDA:XAUUSD Footprint Analysis
The Footprint chart provides a more detailed view of the order flow. Here are some key points:
Price Pullback: The recent candles show a decrease in buying pressure (green) and an increase in selling pressure (red).
Volume Footprint: The trading volume (Total) and Delta (the difference between buying and selling pressure) on each candle show the order distribution.
The candle on the 19th has a negative Delta (~ -5.96 K), indicating that selling pressure is dominant, which aligns with the corrective pullback.
However, there's no major volume divergence, suggesting that this may only be a typical correction.
Detailed Footprint Analysis: The numbers within each candle show the number of buy orders (on the left) and sell orders (on the right) at each price level. When the price pulls back to the Imbalance or Strong OB zone, it's crucial to monitor the Footprint for signs of buying pressure returning (Delta turning positive or significant buying volume at key price levels), which would serve as a confirmation signal for a long entry.
OANDA:XAUUSD General Analysis
The XAUUSD market is in a strong uptrend, confirmed by the market structure:
Higher Highs (HH): Each new peak is higher than the previous one.
Higher Lows (HL): Each new trough is higher than the previous one.
Recently, the price created a Break of Structure (BOS), breaking the previous high, which indicates a continuation of the uptrend. After the BOS, the price established a new high (HH) and is now making a corrective pullback to find a strong support zone before continuing its upward momentum.
Imbalance (Fair Value Gap - FVG): This is a liquidity void created when the price moves too quickly. According to SMC theory, the market tends to return to fill this gap.
Location: The price range is from ~$3660 to ~$3670 USD.
Significance: This zone could act as a temporary support level. If the price returns to this area, it might fill the Imbalance and then continue to rise.
Strong OB (Order Block): This is a large block of orders left behind by "Smart Money" and often serves as a strong support or resistance zone.
Location: The price range is from ~$3645 to ~$3655 USD.
Significance: This is the strongest support zone to consider for a long entry. The price is likely to pull back to this area, tap into the order block, and then bounce back up to continue the trend.
Additionally, there are two important liquidity zones to note:
Buy Side Liquidity ($$$): Located above the most recent high (~$3700 USD). The price has the potential to move up to sweep this liquidity.
Sell Side Liquidity ($$$): Located below the most recent low (~$3620 USD). This zone could be swept if there is a sharp market drop, but it's highly likely that the price will respect the bullish structure and not break this low.
Stock Market Gains and Related Terms1. Types of Stock Market Gains
Stock market gains can be broadly classified into two types:
1.1 Capital Gains
Capital gains are the profits realized when an investor sells a stock at a higher price than the purchase price. They can be:
Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Gains from selling assets held for less than a year. Often taxed at a higher rate.
Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Gains from selling assets held for more than a year. Usually taxed at a lower rate.
Example:
You buy 100 shares of a company at ₹500 each. After a year, the price rises to ₹700.
Capital gain = (700 – 500) × 100 = ₹20,000
1.2 Dividend Gains
Dividends are periodic payments made by companies to shareholders from their profits. Investors earn gains without selling shares. Dividends can be:
Cash Dividends: Direct cash paid to shareholders.
Stock Dividends: Additional shares given instead of cash.
Example:
You own 100 shares, and the company pays a ₹10 per share dividend: ₹10 × 100 = ₹1,000 gain.
1.3 Total Return
Total return combines capital gains and dividend gains, giving a holistic picture of the investor’s profit.
Formula:
Total Return = (Ending Value – Initial Investment + Dividends) / Initial Investment × 100%
2. Related Terms in Stock Market Gains
Understanding stock market gains involves several interrelated concepts:
2.1 Market Capitalization
Market capitalization (market cap) is the total market value of a company’s outstanding shares. It helps investors gauge the company’s size and potential for gains.
Formula:
Market Cap = Share Price × Number of Outstanding Shares
2.2 Earnings Per Share (EPS)
EPS is a measure of a company’s profitability, calculated as:
EPS = Net Income / Outstanding Shares
Higher EPS often leads to stock price appreciation, contributing to capital gains.
2.3 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)
The P/E ratio measures stock valuation relative to earnings:
P/E = Share Price / EPS
High P/E may indicate growth potential, influencing expected gains.
Low P/E may suggest undervaluation, signaling possible future gains.
2.4 Dividend Yield
The dividend yield measures the dividend relative to the share price:
Dividend Yield = Annual Dividend / Share Price × 100%
Indicates income component of stock market gains.
2.5 Volatility
Volatility represents the degree of price fluctuation in a stock. High volatility can mean higher potential gains but increased risk.
2.6 Liquidity
Liquidity is the ease with which a stock can be bought or sold without affecting its price. Higher liquidity ensures investors can realize gains quickly.
2.7 Risk and Return
There is a direct relationship between risk and expected return:
High-risk stocks → Potential for higher gains.
Low-risk stocks → Steady, smaller gains.
3. Market Factors Affecting Gains
Stock market gains are influenced by macroeconomic, microeconomic, and behavioral factors.
3.1 Economic Indicators
GDP growth
Inflation rate
Interest rates
3.2 Corporate Performance
Revenue and profit growth
Product launches and innovations
Management efficiency
3.3 Market Sentiment
Investor behavior, market trends, and news can drive short-term gains.
3.4 Global Factors
Geopolitical stability
Foreign investment flows
Currency fluctuations
4. Investment Strategies to Maximize Gains
Investors use various strategies to maximize gains:
4.1 Buy and Hold
Long-term investment to capture capital appreciation and dividends.
4.2 Swing Trading
Exploiting short- to medium-term price movements for gains.
4.3 Dividend Investing
Focusing on high dividend-paying stocks for consistent income.
4.4 Growth Investing
Investing in companies with high growth potential, expecting large capital gains.
4.5 Value Investing
Buying undervalued stocks to profit as their prices reflect intrinsic value over time.
5. Measuring Stock Market Gains
Investors track gains using several tools and metrics:
Portfolio Value Growth
Return on Investment (ROI)
Alpha and Beta (Risk-adjusted return)
Sharpe Ratio (Risk vs. Reward)
6. Tax Implications on Gains
Gains from stock market investments are subject to taxation:
Capital Gains Tax: Varies based on short-term vs. long-term holdings.
Dividend Tax: Taxed as per investor’s income bracket.
Wealth/Transaction Tax: Some countries impose additional charges.
Understanding taxes is critical for calculating net gains.
7. Psychological and Behavioral Factors
Investor behavior impacts the ability to realize gains:
Greed vs. Fear: Can lead to impulsive decisions, affecting gains.
Overtrading: Frequent buying and selling may reduce overall gains.
Herd Mentality: Following market trends without analysis can impact profits.
8. Advanced Concepts Related to Gains
8.1 Compound Gains
Reinvesting gains to generate exponential growth over time.
8.2 Leverage
Using borrowed capital to increase potential gains (but also risk).
8.3 Hedging
Strategies to protect gains against market downturns using derivatives like options and futures.
8.4 Diversification
Spreading investments across sectors and asset classes to stabilize gains.
9. Case Study Example
Investor A:
Buys 200 shares of XYZ Ltd. at ₹100.
Receives ₹5 per share dividend annually.
Stock price rises to ₹150 in 2 years.
Calculation:
Capital Gain = (150 – 100) × 200 = ₹10,000
Dividend Gain = 5 × 200 × 2 = ₹2,000
Total Gain = ₹12,000
This illustrates how both capital appreciation and dividends contribute to overall stock market gains.
10. Conclusion
Stock market gains are not merely about stock price increases. They encompass dividends, reinvestment, risk-adjusted returns, and strategic decision-making. Related terms like capital gains, dividends, EPS, P/E ratio, volatility, and portfolio management are all critical to understanding the nuances of gains. Effective investing requires a combination of financial literacy, market knowledge, and psychological discipline.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging.
The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673.
The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely.
Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity.
Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+.
Trading Plan Reference
Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673.
Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690.
Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720.
These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan
Hello Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today:
If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780.
If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook.
Trading Strategy for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
SL: 3645
TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
SL: 3708
TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
SL: 3746
TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Summary
The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend.
Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
Gold Consolidating Near All-Time HighLast week Gold made a new all-time high around the 3707 level, and we have seen minor pullback after this high, leading to a pullback towards the 3620 -30 area. From there, the price bounced back strongly and is now trading close to the 3700 mark again. Currently, the market seems to be consolidating in a range between 3620 and 3700-07. The overall trend still looks bullish, but for the next clear direction, we need a strong higher time frame close either above 3700 for further upside or below 3600 for possible deeper correction.
Immediate resistance 3700-07
Weekly R1 3719
Weekly R2 3754
Pivot 3672 (As immediate support)
Weekly S1 3628
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 21, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Momentum is still declining → suggesting that early next week price may either experience a downward move or continue to range sideways.
• H4: Momentum is in the overbought zone → likely to see a corrective move on Monday.
• H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term corrective decline is highly probable.
Wave Structure
• D1:
o Scenario 1: Wave v (black) has already completed (refer to H4). This means the market is now in a larger corrective phase, and price is unlikely to break above 3709, the high set last week.
o Scenario 2: Wave 4 (black) of wave v has completed, and Friday’s rally was wave 5 (black) of wave v. In this case, early next week we could see a breakout above 3709 with a daily close higher.
• H4: Since D1 and H4 momentum still support a corrective move on Monday, I will keep the current wave labeling unchanged. Only if price breaks strongly above 3709 will I update the labeling to Scenario 2.
• H1: On D1, the two scenarios are contradictory:
o One scenario suggests a decline.
o The other suggests a new high.
Therefore, the best approach for now is to wait for more confirmation. On H1, the labeling from last Friday (the bearish scenario) has not yet been invalidated and is still supported by both D1 and H4 momentum, so I will continue to monitor this count.
Trading Plan
During complex corrective phases, when wave structures are not yet clear, I do not recommend trading solely based on Elliott Wave. For now, the prudent approach is to continue observing until more data becomes available.
If trading is necessary, it’s better to focus on short-term scalps rather than larger swing positions.
Gold Trading Strategy for 22nd September 2025GOLD TRADING STRATEGY (1-HOUR CHART)
🟢 BUY SETUP – Step by Step
🔍 Condition to Enter a Buy Trade:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above 3700.
Don’t rush — confirmation happens only after the candle closes, not during.
🚀 Buy Entry Point:
Place your Buy order slightly above the high of that confirmed candle.
This ensures momentum is in your favor.
🎯 Profit Targets for Buy Trade:
🎯 Target 1: 3711 → Quick intraday target.
🎯 Target 2: 3722 → Medium profit booking.
🎯 Target 3: 3733 → Extended move target.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
Place SL just below the breakout candle’s low.
This protects you if price reverses suddenly.
🔴 SELL SETUP – Step by Step
🔍 Condition to Enter a Sell Trade:
Wait for a 1-hour candle to close below 3675.
Confirmation is only valid after the candle closes below.
📉 Sell Entry Point:
Place your Sell order slightly below the low of that confirmed candle.
This ensures the bearish momentum is active.
🎯 Profit Targets for Sell Trade:
🎯 Target 1: 3664 → First level target.
🎯 Target 2: 3654 → Deeper decline.
🎯 Target 3: 3644 → Extended move target.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL):
Place SL just above the breakdown candle’s high.
This avoids large losses if trend reverses.
📌 Risk Management & Trading Tips
✅ Risk per trade: Never risk more than 1–2% of your capital.
✅ Position sizing: Adjust lot size according to your risk.
✅ Patience: Enter only after the 1-hour candle closes.
✅ Trail SL: Move stop loss in profit direction as price moves toward targets.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📢 This content is for educational purposes only.
📢 It is not financial advice or a guaranteed strategy.
📢 Trading in Gold and financial markets involves high risk.
📢 Always do your own analysis before taking any position.
📢 Past performance does not guarantee future results.
✨ Pro Tip: Mark levels 3700 (Buy Zone) and 3675 (Sell Zone) on your chart.
Wait for clear 1-hour candle closures before acting — this filters out false signals.
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ On Friday's US trading session, gold saw a strong upward movement and successfully broke the downward trendline on the 1-hour chart, indicating that bulls are in control of the market. The current short-term pullback is merely a correction and has not changed the overall uptrend. Due to the strong bullish momentum, the short-term pullback does not indicate a trend reversal and, in fact, provides an opportunity for buying on dips.
✅ On the 4-hour chart, gold has experienced short-term consolidation, but the overall trend remains bullish. The MACD is in a strong zone, and the KDJ indicator is still in a bullish zone, suggesting that the price may continue to rise in the short term.
In the short term, there is support around the 3660-3670 region. If the price pulls back to this level, consider buying. If the price breaks above 3685, further bullish movement can be expected.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3702-3707 / 3720-3730
🟢 Support levels: 3660-3670 / 3636-3640
✅ Trading strategy reference:
🔰 If gold price rebounds to the 3702-3705 area, consider selling in batches with a target of 3690-3680, and if broken, look for a further move to 3670.
🔰 If gold price pulls back to the 3665-3670 area, consider buying in batches with a target of 3685-3695, and if broken, look for a further move to 3705.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Gold Price Today: XAUUSD Sets Stage for Continued Bullish ExpansGold (XAUUSD) Market Report – September 21, 2025
Gold remains positioned near 3,685, with recent price behavior showing a structured climb despite short bursts of volatility. The market is cycling through phases of expansion and retracement, where each corrective leg has been followed by renewed upward momentum. This rhythm signals that buyers are steadily maintaining control of the broader trend.
The current setup reflects a market that is rebalancing efficiently. Short-term pullbacks are being absorbed quickly, keeping pressure aligned toward the upside. The sequence of structural shifts on the chart points to a continuation of this momentum, suggesting that higher valuations are within reach if the present flow persists.
Overall, gold’s tone is constructive, characterized by resilience and sustained demand. The pattern unfolding indicates a market preparing for further expansion, with the potential for continuation into higher ranges in the sessions ahead.
A bullish outlookWaves 1, 2, and 3: The chart shows a completed impulse sequence with a long and strong Wave 3, which followed a Bull Flag continuation pattern.
Wave 4 Correction: Gold is currently believed to be in a corrective Wave 4. This correction is taking the shape of an Ascending Broadening Wedge, a pattern characterized by two upward-slanting, diverging trendlines.
Support: A key support level is marked at approximately $3,324.790, which served as the base for the recent major rally.
Price Target: The red arrow indicates an expected rally towards the region between the 2.414 ($3,818.931) and 3.0 ($3,865.262) Fibonacci levels.
Gold is poised for another significant rally to new highs, potentially reaching the $3,820 - $3,865 price range.
PLAN FOR SUNDAY EVENING SUNDAY TRADING CHEAT-SHEET (XAUUSD & USDJPY)
✅ General Rules
• Avoid thefirst 15–30 min of Sunday open (low liquidity, wide spreads).
• Always mark: PDH, PDL, Weekly Open, Friday Close.
• Trade only after confirmation:
Liquidity Grab → BOS/CHOCH → Retest → Conviction Candle.
• No confirmation = No trade.
• Risk ≤ 1% per trade.
⸻
🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD)
Bias: Bearish from supply unless broken.
🔻 Short Setup (preferred)
• Supply Zone: 3,693 – 3,701
• Entry: 3,695 – 3,700 (after BOS down on 3m–5m)
• SL: Above 3,710
• TP1: 3,660
• TP2: 3,640
• TP3: 3,615
🟢 Long Setup (counterplay)
• Demand Zone: 3,640 – 3,650 (deep: 3,615 – 3,630)
• Entry: After BOS up on 3m–5m
• SL: Below 3,600
• TP1: 3,670
• TP2: 3,700
• TP3: 3,720
⸻
💴 USDJPY
Bias: Range between 147.40–148.40. Short from premium, long from discount.
🔻 Short Setup (preferred)
• Supply Zone: 148.20 – 148.40
• Entry: 148.25 – 148.35 (after BOS down on 3m–5m)
• SL: Above 148.50
• TP1: 147.90
• TP2: 147.60
• TP3: 147.00
🟢 Long Setup (counterplay)
• Demand Zone: 147.40 – 147.60
• Entry: 147.45 – 147.55 (after BOS up on 3m–5m)
• SL: Below 147.20
• TP1: 147.90
• TP2: 148.20
• TP3: 148.40
⸻
⚡ Confirmation Checklist
✅ Liquidity sweep inside zone
✅ BOS / CHOCH in your favor (on 3m–5m chart)
✅ Retest OB/FVG from that BOS
✅ Conviction candle close (red near low for shorts, green near high for longs)
⸻
📌 Plan Summary:
• Gold: Watch 3,693–3,701 for shorts, 3,640–3,650 for longs.
• USDJPY: Watch 148.20–148.40 for shorts, 147.40–147.60 for longs.
• Always confirm with BOS/CHOCH before entry.
