Gold Trading Strategy for 02nd September 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan
🔼 Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above the high of a 15-min candle that closes above $3484
Targets:
1st Target: $3495
2nd Target: $3505
3rd Target: $3515
🔽 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below the low of a 1-hour candle that closes below $3467
Targets:
1st Target: $3453
2nd Target: $3440
3rd Target: $3428
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is shared for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in commodities, forex, or stocks involves substantial risk, including the possible loss of your invested capital. Always do your own research, use proper risk management, and consult with your financial advisor before taking any trades.
GOLD.F trade ideas
XAU USD 1 HRS BULLISH CHART Xau USD given a very decent move in last some days from 3383 to 3480 , There is Round number Resistance near 3500 if crossed 3500 with volume or Bullish Candle then Rally can continue. Otherwise there may be some retracement up to 3350-55. Be Cautious & careful. But Still it's bullish . Any Retracement will be Good opportunity.
“The Art of Traps: Understanding Fake Breakouts in XAUUSD”“The Art of Traps: Understanding Fake Breakouts in XAUUSD”
This chart illustrates how gold (XAUUSD) is currently navigating a critical battle between resistance and support.
At the top, the resistance zone (3440–3460) has already shown signs of rejection, hinting at a possible fake breakout scenario. Such traps are common in financial markets—they draw traders into buying late, only for price to reverse and capture liquidity.
On the downside, the chart highlights two important stages:
The first target lies around 3400, where short-term buyers may start taking profits.
The final target sits at the key support zone (3330–3320), which has acted as a structural backbone in past moves. If this level holds, we can expect another bullish leg; if broken, deeper downside pressure could unfold.
The sequence of higher lows in recent weeks demonstrates strength in the broader trend, but it also warns that markets are building energy before a larger move. Liquidity sweeps (marked in the chart) serve as reminders that price does not move randomly—it often seeks zones where orders are concentrated.
🔑 Educational Takeaway:
Trading is not just about spotting breakouts; it’s about understanding whether those moves are genuine or deceptive. By studying price behavior at resistance and support, traders can avoid falling into liquidity traps and position themselves with the “smart money.”
XAU USD KEY LEVELS 01-09Greetings,
Hello traders, this is the XAU-USD 15m pivot resistance zone.
Based on market trend and previous day movement.
Intraday pivot resistance 2 line is represented by the yellow line. (3485)
Key levels;
Entry: 3485
Target: 3480
Stop loss: 3490
Risk Reward Ratio 1:1
Your likes and boosts motivate us to keep learning and sharing ideas!
Xau USD Bullish Structure Xau USD is making Higher High pattern . From 3325 it's moving upward with Higher High pattern . It's moving up . From here I m seeing again 10 -15 point movement . It's bullish Structure at higher level . We can wait for retracement if you are safe player. Consult your financial advisor before making any position in stock market.
XAUUSD Trade Idea – Short SetupPair: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Type: Sell Setup
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.7 : 1
🔹 Technical Overview:
Price is moving inside a descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines.
Recent rejection near the upper channel resistance indicates continuation of bearish pressure.
A short position is taken after price failed to break above the upper boundary.
Volume activity is showing reduced buying momentum, supporting bearish bias.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry: 3,473
Stop Loss: 3,477.1 (above channel resistance)
Take Profit: 3,461.4 (near lower channel support)
🔹 Idea Summary:
As long as price remains inside the descending channel, bearish continuation is expected. This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio of 2.7:1, making it favorable for short-term traders.
⚠️ Note: If price breaks above the channel resistance, bearish bias will be invalidated.
XAUUSD Daily Report | Dollar Weakness Fuels Bullish ContinuationXAUUSD Daily Report | Dollar Weakness Fuels Bullish Continuation
Gold (XAUUSD) Daily Report
🔎 Technical Outlook (Daily)
Daily structure is showing strong bullish momentum, with impulsive legs dominating over corrective phases.
Price action highlights continuation strength, as buyers maintain control with consistent liquidity grabs.
Trend rhythm remains intact, suggesting that intraday pullbacks are only corrective, not structural reversals.
🌍 Fundamental Outlook
US Dollar Weakness continues to fuel daily gold strength.
Monetary Policy Expectations of a dovish Fed keep yields under pressure, driving capital into gold.
Geopolitical Tensions & Inflation Concerns sustain gold’s role as a safe-haven hedge.
Central Bank Buying underpins demand, reinforcing institutional support.
Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report📊 Weekly Gold (XAU/USD) Report
🔹 Fundamental Outlook
Gold remains supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and central bank policies. With global inflation pressures stabilizing but geopolitical tensions persisting, institutional demand for gold as a hedge is intact. The US dollar’s fluctuations and interest rate expectations continue to influence short-term moves, but central banks’ ongoing gold accumulation provides strong long-term demand. Investor sentiment leans toward risk-hedging assets, keeping gold fundamentally supported.
🔹 Technical Structure
This week’s chart shows that gold has recently completed a downward corrective phase and executed a clear breakout from its descending channel. The breakout has been followed by strong bullish momentum, suggesting renewed institutional buying interest.
The market is now showing a healthy impulsive leg upward, with higher highs and higher lows forming. After this strong move, short-term price action indicates a potential cooling-off period—a common consolidation stage before continuation.
Volume flow reflects increasing participation during the breakout, confirming strength in the move. The broader price structure remains trend-reversal aligned, favoring further upside if momentum sustains.
Gold Surges $70+ – Is XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?🔥 Market Update
Gold (XAUUSD) just made a massive rally of more than $70, shaking the entire trading community.
The rise in geopolitical tensions is pushing safe-haven demand to extreme levels, and gold has once again become the most-watched asset worldwide.
For Indian traders, where gold holds not just market value but also cultural importance, this move is a wake-up call – volatility is at its peak, and discipline is key.
🔎 Macro Outlook
🌍 Global geopolitical risks → Strong inflows into gold as a safe haven.
💵 USD and bond yields are not enough to stop buyers rushing to gold.
📊 Upcoming US PCE data & Fed decisions could bring even bigger swings.
📊 Technical View (H4)
After the sharp rally, gold built a base around CP Zone H4 before breaking out again.
Key Support Levels
3,462 – 3,443 → Must hold to keep the bullish structure intact.
Key Resistance Levels
3,487 – 3,518 → Likely area for pullback or reaction.
A clean break could target 3,536+ next.
📌 Possible Market Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1 (Preferred)
Price holds above 3,462 → Tests 3,511 – 3,518 and can push towards 3,536.
⚠️ Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback)
Break below 3,462 → Retest of 3,443 before buyers step back in.
🎯 Trade Plan (Reference Only)
✅ BUY ZONE 1
Entry: 3453 – 3451
SL: 3446
TP: 3460 – 3465 – 3470 – 3475 – 3480 – ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2
Entry: 3444 – 3442
SL: 3438
TP: 3450 – 3460 – 3470 – 3480 – ???
❌ SELL ZONE
Entry: 3512 – 3514
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 – 3500 – 3495 – 3490 – 3480 – 3470
💡 Key Takeaways for Indian Traders
Gold is in a powerful uptrend, driven by global uncertainty.
But after such a sharp move, a technical pullback is very possible.
Best approach now:
✔️ Wait for dip-buying opportunities near strong supports.
✔️ Respect stop loss – capital protection comes first.
✔️ Keep an eye on global news that can spark instant volatility.
This is the kind of market where patience + discipline = survival and profit. 🚀
Gold jumps to $3,490 as US court ruling invalidates Trump tariffRate Cut Expectations Boost Gold to $3490.
Dollar Index Retests 97.50.
US Court Invalidates Trump Tariff.
Global Central Banks Step Up Gold Purchases.
Markets Await Nonfarm Payrolls.
Fundamental drivers
With the beginning of 1st trading day of September, Gold witnessed strong buying rush as rising expectations of rate cut by Fed pushed Dollar index to 97.50 adding tailwinds to Gold rallying all the way to $3490, only $10 short of record $3500.
A US court ruling has invalidated trade tariffs imposed by the US president Donald Trump which increases political uncertainty as Trump's egoistic ambitions to control the Fed's independence creates deadlock.
The world watches SCO where India, Russia, China meet to discuss cooperation signalling a paradigm shift for dollar hegemony.
Macro risks and safe haven buying are boosting Gold rush for safety against global economic uncertainties.
Technical drivers
4 hourly 14 period RSI reading 80 reaches overbought territory and indicates presence of bulls and any pullback towards support zone is attracting buyers for further rally.
Price action shows sideways trades with consolidation below $3490 high and upcoming sessions may witness a retracement to local demand area $3454-$3447 where buying is likely to resume for another leg up.
If the metal breaks below $3454-$3447, look for further retracement towards $3436-$3428 below which next support sits at $3415-$3405 which aligns with horizontal breakout zone and turning point.
On the higher side, consolidated break above $3490 will signal retest of $3500 record high and a break above the psychological zone $3500 opens the way for bullish extension to triangular breakout targets $3545 followed by $3568.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025: Gold reversed its decline and surged to its weekly target, boosted by U.S. PCE data and concerns about Fed independence.
Fundamentals: Gold prices reversed course in the U.S. trading session last week, erasing all losses and rising to a new high. After the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report largely met expectations, the precious metal traded near $3,454, its highest level since June 16. The weakening dollar supported gold prices, while traders continued to bet on the Federal Reserve's monetary easing measures in September.
Technical analysis: Gold prices, after breaking the 3,420 - 3,425 area, rose sharply to the 3,485 area and are heading towards the old ATH area of 3,500. We will now trade in an uptrend, waiting for a trading point at the combined support zones of MA, Fib and FVG.
Important price zones today: 3,420 - 3,425 and 3,445 - 3,450.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3445 - 3447
SL 3442
TP 3450 - 3460 - 3480 - 3500.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422
SL 3417
TP 3425 - 3435 - 3455 - 3500.
Wish you a new week of safe, effective trading and lots of profit.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold consolidates as new alliances emerge | Captain Vincent 1. News Wave 🌍
At the two-day summit in Shanghai, Prime Minister Modi and President Xi Jinping announced that India and China will become development partners rather than competitors.
The meeting also included Russia and four Central Asian nations, aiming to form a Southern Hemisphere bloc to counterbalance the US and the West.
👉 This signals a shift in geopolitical power, heightening concerns of global polarization → Gold continues to hold its safe-haven position.
2. Technical Analysis ⚙️
On the H2 chart, Gold has formed a Higher High after the recent strong breakout.
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3511 – 3518): Strong resistance, potential for supply if price retests.
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3450 – 3448): Confluence with FVG + Fibonacci 0.5/0.618, a key support for pullback entries.
Main Trend: Gold likely to move sideways between 3450 – 3510 before choosing a major direction.
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙
🔻 Storm Breaker 🌊 (SELL Reaction)
Entry: 3511 – 3508
SL: 3518
TP: 3505 → 3500 → 3497 → 349x → 348x
🏝️ Golden Harbor (BUY Zone – Strong Support)
Entry: 3450 – 3448
SL: 3440
TP: 3453 → 3456 → 3459 → 3462 → 346x
4. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Political news continues to stir the golden sea 🌊. Bears are waiting at Storm Breaker 3511, but the safe harbor remains Golden Harbor 3450 – 3448. In such unpredictable waters, prioritise short-term sells to flow with safe-haven demand, rather than recklessly facing the storm."
Spot Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience.Spot #Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience. (Any Panic Buy on Dips).
Gold’s price broke through an important level at $3,450, which experts call a “symmetrical triangle pattern.” This is a sign that gold might keep going up, continuing a trend that started earlier this year. After a strong two-month rise starting in February, gold took a break but now seems ready to climb again. Some experts think gold could reach $3,600 or even $3,800 soon, which would beat its previous high of $3,500 from April 22.
Basics of Derivatives in IndiaIntroduction
The financial market is like a vast ocean where investors, traders, institutions, and governments interact. Within this ocean, different instruments allow participants to manage risk, invest, or speculate. One of the most powerful tools in modern finance is Derivatives.
In India, derivatives have become an essential part of the stock market, commodity market, and even the currency market. They allow investors to hedge risk, speculate on price movements, and improve liquidity. Since the early 2000s, India’s derivative market has grown to become one of the largest in the world.
This write-up will explain derivatives in India in simple, detailed, and structured language, covering their meaning, types, uses, risks, and the overall market structure.
1. Meaning of Derivatives
A Derivative is a financial instrument whose value is “derived” from the price of another underlying asset. The underlying asset can be:
Stocks (Equities)
Indices (Nifty 50, Bank Nifty, Sensex, etc.)
Commodities (Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Wheat, Cotton, etc.)
Currencies (USD/INR, EUR/INR, etc.)
Interest Rates or Bonds
The derivative itself has no independent value — it is only a contract based on the future value of the underlying asset.
Example:
Suppose Reliance Industries stock is trading at ₹2,500. You and another trader enter into a derivative contract (say, a future) where you agree to buy Reliance stock after one month at ₹2,600. The value of your contract will move up or down depending on Reliance’s market price in the future.
2. History of Derivatives in India
The journey of derivatives in India is relatively new compared to developed markets like the US.
Before 2000: Indian markets mainly had spot trading (buying/selling shares). Informal forward trading existed but was unregulated.
2000: SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India) introduced derivatives officially. NSE launched index futures on Nifty 50 as the first derivative product.
2001: Index options were introduced.
2002: Stock options and stock futures were introduced.
2003 onwards: Derivatives expanded to commodities (MCX, NCDEX) and later to currencies.
Present: India has one of the world’s most actively traded derivatives markets, with Nifty and Bank Nifty options among the highest traded globally.
3. Types of Derivatives
There are four primary types of derivatives:
(a) Forward Contracts
A forward contract is a customized agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a future date at a pre-decided price.
These contracts are over-the-counter (OTC), meaning they are private and not traded on exchanges.
Example: A farmer agrees to sell 100 quintals of wheat to a trader at ₹2,000/quintal after three months.
Issues: High risk of default because there’s no exchange guarantee.
(b) Futures Contracts
Futures are standardized forward contracts that are traded on exchanges (NSE, BSE, MCX).
The exchange guarantees settlement, reducing counterparty risk.
Example: Buying a Nifty 50 Futures Contract expiring in September at 24,000 means you’re betting Nifty will be higher than that price.
Key Features:
Standardized contract size
Daily settlement (Mark-to-Market)
High liquidity
(c) Options Contracts
An option gives the buyer the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset at a fixed price before or on a certain date.
Types of options:
Call Option: Right to buy
Put Option: Right to sell
Example: You buy a Reliance Call Option at ₹2,600 strike price. If Reliance rises to ₹2,800, you can exercise your option and profit. If the stock falls, you can let the option expire by only losing the premium paid.
(d) Swaps
A swap is a contract where two parties exchange cash flows or liabilities.
In India, swaps are mainly used by institutions, not retail traders.
Example: An Indian company with a loan at floating interest rate swaps it with another company having a fixed interest rate loan.
4. Derivative Instruments in India
In India, derivatives are available in:
Equity Derivatives: Nifty Futures, Bank Nifty Options, Stock Futures & Options.
Commodity Derivatives: Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, Agricultural commodities (via MCX, NCDEX).
Currency Derivatives: USD/INR, EUR/INR, GBP/INR futures and options.
Interest Rate Derivatives: Limited but available for institutional participants.
5. Participants in the Derivative Market
Different participants enter derivatives for different purposes:
Hedgers
Businesses or investors who want to protect themselves from price volatility.
Example: A farmer hedging against falling crop prices.
Speculators
Traders who try to make profits from price fluctuations.
Example: Buying Nifty options hoping for a rally.
Arbitrageurs
They exploit price differences between markets.
Example: If Reliance stock trades at ₹2,500 in the spot market but the futures is at ₹2,520, arbitrageurs will sell futures and buy in spot to lock in profit.
Margin Traders
Traders who use leverage (borrowed money) to amplify gains and losses.
6. Role of SEBI and Exchanges
SEBI is the regulator of the Indian derivative market. It ensures transparency, fairness, and prevents market manipulation.
NSE & BSE provide trading platforms for equity derivatives.
MCX & NCDEX are major exchanges for commodities.
Clearing Corporations ensure smooth settlement and eliminate counterparty risk.
7. Trading Mechanism in Indian Derivatives
Open a demat and trading account with a broker.
Maintain margin money to enter into derivative trades.
Place orders (buy/sell futures or options).
Daily profit/loss is settled through Mark-to-Market (MTM).
On expiry date, contracts are either cash-settled or physically settled.
8. Margin System in India
Initial Margin: Minimum amount required to enter a derivative position.
Maintenance Margin: Minimum balance to be maintained.
Mark-to-Market Margin: Daily profit/loss adjustment.
This ensures traders don’t default.
9. Risks in Derivatives
While derivatives offer opportunities, they are risky:
Market Risk: Sudden price movements can cause big losses.
Leverage Risk: Small margin allows big positions, amplifying losses.
Liquidity Risk: Some contracts may not have enough buyers/sellers.
Operational Risk: Mismanagement or technical issues.
Systemic Risk: Large defaults affecting the whole market.
10. Advantages of Derivatives in India
Risk Management (Hedging)
Price Discovery
High Liquidity (especially Nifty & Bank Nifty options)
Lower Transaction Costs compared to cash markets
Speculative Opportunities
11. Real-Life Examples in Indian Market
Nifty & Bank Nifty Options: Most traded globally, used by retail traders, institutions, and FIIs.
Reliance Futures: Highly liquid individual stock future.
Gold Futures on MCX: Popular among commodity traders.
USD/INR Futures: Widely used by importers/exporters to hedge currency risk.
12. Growth of Derivatives in India
India is among the largest derivative markets globally by volume.
NSE ranked No.1 worldwide in derivatives trading (by contracts traded) for several years.
Rising retail participation due to online trading platforms and lower costs.
13. Challenges in Indian Derivatives Market
High speculation and retail losses due to lack of knowledge.
Complexity of products for small investors.
Need for better risk management education.
Regulatory challenges in commodities (e.g., banning certain agri contracts due to volatility).
Conclusion
Derivatives in India have grown from a niche financial instrument to a core pillar of financial markets. They provide risk management, speculation, arbitrage, and liquidity benefits. However, they are a double-edged sword — while they can magnify profits, they can also magnify losses.
For Indian traders and businesses, understanding derivatives is crucial. From Nifty and Bank Nifty options dominating retail trade to commodity hedging by farmers and corporates, derivatives touch every corner of the economy.
As SEBI continues to strengthen regulations and technology makes access easier, the future of derivatives in India looks promising, provided participants use them wisely with proper risk management.
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy on Dips, Short near 3515SMC Market View – 01 September
Gold is continuing its bullish order flow, with clear BOS and ChoCH signals already confirmed. Price has formed an FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 3463, and is now showing momentum towards the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Setups
Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
Strong demand area with trendline support and liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss: 3410
Targets: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+
Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
Deeper liquidity grab area, suitable for quick scalps.
Stop Loss: 3344
Targets: 3360 – 3380 – 3400
👉 All buy zones are aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Best approach: wait for retracements to go long.
❌ SELL Setup
Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
H1 supply area overlapping with resistance.
Stop Loss: 3522
Targets: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450
👉 Short trades here are only meant for quick pullbacks. The bigger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH shows up.
📌 Conclusion
Main bias: Buy on dips at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
Secondary play: Short at 3515–3520 targeting demand.
Key level: Watch the FVG at 3463 for market reaction.
Will Gold Return to 3400?Market Context
Price has registered multiple bullish break of structure, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
A supply zone around 3449 – 3451 may trigger liquidity-driven reactions.
The fair value gap between 3360 – 3310 is still open and could pull price down before continuation.
Key Levels
Supply Zone: 3449 – 3451
Buy Zone 1: 3396 – 3400 (Stop Loss: 3390)
Buy Zone 2: 3310 – 3315 (Stop Loss: 3303)
FVG Zone: 3360 – 3310
Trading Scenarios
Primary Buy Setup
Entry: 3396 – 3400
Stop Loss: 3390
Target: 3449 – 3460 liquidity sweep
Secondary Buy Setup
Entry: 3310 – 3315
Stop Loss: 3303
Target: 3396 – 3449
Counter-trend Sell
Entry: 3449 – 3451, provided rejection is visible
Stop Loss: above 3458
Target: 3400 demand
Summary
The overall bias stays bullish with two key demand zones in play: 3400 for a shallow retracement and 3310 for a deeper liquidity sweep. Short positions near supply remain valid only as quick counter-trend trades.
XAUUSD ANALYSIS 01-SEP-2025LTP: 3475.xx
Supports: 3397/3310/3264/3119
Resistance: 3501
As long as the above supports hold, we can see more bullish action towards 3700/900/4000+
Upside targets:
3450-3485 (Min. Target) - DONE.
3534-3555-3591 (Normal Target)
3637
3677-3700-3734 (Ultimate Target )
3819-3834-3910 (Extension 1)
4155 (Extension 2)
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (01/09/2025)
Momentum
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has been stuck in the overbought zone for the past 4 days, showing strong buying pressure. However, this also creates noise since extended overbought conditions can reverse at any time.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn down in the overbought zone. Once an H4 candle closes with confirmation, we can expect a correction lasting around 4–5 H4 candles.
• H1 timeframe: Momentum is heading into the overbought zone. Within 1–2 more H1 candles, a short-term pullback is likely.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price has risen sharply and steeply, with momentum staying overbought for a long time. This suggests that wave 4 has likely completed, and the market is entering a long-term uptrend. The minimum target is 3684 (equal to the length of wave W).
• H4 timeframe:
Price is currently in red wave 3. We expect a correction into red wave 4, which aligns with H4 momentum preparing to turn down.
• H1 timeframe:
o Wave i (green) is labeled as a leading diagonal, even though wave ii (green) did not retrace as deeply as expected.
o Price is now in an extended wave iii (green).
o Within wave iii (green), a 5-wave structure 1-2-3-4-5 (red) is unfolding. Red wave 3 has already completed with its internal 5-wave (black).
o The target for black wave 5 was achieved at the Fibonacci 0.618 projection of black waves 1–3 → confirming that red wave 3 has completed and price is now correcting into red wave 4.
• Red wave 4 outlook:
Likely to take shape as a zigzag, flat, or triangle. Two retracement zones are identified:
1. 3462 – 23.6% retracement of red wave 3.
2. 3447 – 38.2% retracement of red wave 3.
Considering the guideline that wave 4 often returns to the territory of wave 4 of a smaller degree, and that H4 momentum needs more time to move into the oversold zone, we select 3447 as the primary target for a sell setup.
________________________________________
Trade Plan
• Buy Zone: 3448 – 3446
• Stop Loss: 3438
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3485
o TP2: 3521