Gold – Rejection from Trendline ResistanceHello everyone, Gold faced rejection from the ascending trendline resistance and formed a bearish setup. A short position has been taken with stop above the recent swing high and target near 3339 support zone.
Key Points:
Trendline Resistance: Price failed to sustain above the trendline.
Risk Management: Stop placed above 3391 to protect against false breakouts.
Target Zone: First support lies near 3339 where price may react.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only, not financial advice.
GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold Daily Chart – Final Week of AugustGold Daily Chart – Final Week of August
Hello traders, let’s discuss the gold outlook for the coming week.
Gold has continued its strong bounce after touching the ascending trendline on the D1 chart, in line with the outlook shared earlier. This move also makes the triangle pattern more valid. For the week ahead, price is likely to trade within the 3330–3410 range, about 80 dollars of movement.
While the long-term expectation is for gold to push towards new ATH levels, a confirmed breakout from this triangle is required first. After such a breakout, a short pullback is possible before the next leg higher (as shown on my chart).
On the H4 chart, Friday’s rally allows us to draw a Fibonacci Extension, pointing towards 3390 and 3430 as higher levels to watch. These zones could act as short-term selling opportunities, based on profit-taking sentiment from buyers.
On the daily timeframe, if the breakout from the triangle plays out, gold could extend as high as 3540, creating a new ATH – this is the long-term scenario. On the downside, if price pulls back, the ascending trendline around 3341 remains a key area to look for new buying opportunities.
Also note, this is the last week of August. On Friday, there could be a liquidity grab to rebalance gold’s value and settle large institutional flows, so caution is advised.
This is my personal outlook for XAUUSD for the week ahead. I hope it helps in building your own trading plan.
Share your thoughts in the comments so we can learn from each other.
Gold Plan 26/08 – Captain VincentXAU/USD – Trump’s surprise move sparks a Gold rally. What’s the next scenario?
1. News Wave 🌍
Trump unexpectedly dismissed FED Governor L. Cook , citing “irresponsible recent financial decisions.”
👉 A political–monetary shock that pushed Gold up by more than 30 points from the 3,350 – 3,352 zone, as investors feared internal instability at the FED could weaken the USD.
Safe-haven demand has been activated, but Gold is unlikely to “fly in a straight line.” The market often requires a pullback to fill liquidity gaps before a clear trend develops.
2. Technical Outlook ⚙️
Price bounced sharply from Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3350 – 3342) – a key support area.
Currently, Gold is testing Storm Breaker 🌊 (Resistance 3384 – 3400) , a liquidity cluster → potential for profit-taking sell orders.
On H1, multiple FVGs formed around 3363 and 3355 → price may retrace to “fill the gap” before continuing.
👉 Intraday bias: Prioritise Sell at resistance, but watch for short Buy Scalp setups at Quick Boarding 🚤 (3342 – 3340) .
3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙
Storm Breaker 🌊 (Main Resistance): 3384 – 3400
Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp): 3342 – 3340 | SL 3333 | TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone): 3350 – 3342
FVG Zones: Around 3363 & 3355 (short-term price magnets)
4. Trade Scenarios 📌
🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority)
Entry: 3400 – 3402
SL: 3408
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 33xx
🔺 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding 🚤
Entry: 3342 – 3340
SL: 3333
TP: 3345 → 3347 → 3350 → 33xx
5. Captain’s Note ⚓
"Trump’s news wave pushed Gold like an unexpected headwind. But Storm Breaker 🌊 ahead may unleash rough seas. The wise will anchor at Golden Harbor 🏝️ , while the bold may ride Quick Boarding 🚤 for fast scalps. And remember: today’s golden sea depends on the sharks at the helm."
Gold Trading Strategy for 28th August 2025🌟 Gold Intraday Trading Levels 🌟
📈 Buy Setup
🔹 Buy above the High → $3387 (only if 1-hour candle closes above this level)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3400
2nd Target → $3413
3rd Target → $3425
📉 Sell Setup
🔹 Sell below the Low → $3350 (only if 1-hour candle closes below this level)
🎯 Targets:
1st Target → $3338
2nd Target → $3325
3rd Target → $3313
⚠️ Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is for educational purposes only. 📚
Trading in Gold, Forex, or Stocks involves high risk of capital loss. 💰❌
Past results are not indicative of future performance. 📊
Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 👨💼
August 29 Gold AnalysisAugust 29 Gold Analysis
Market Dynamics and Core Drivers
Recent volatility in the gold market has primarily revolved around three core factors: the debate over policy independence, uncertainty about tariff policies, and shifting interest rate expectations.
The continued development of US President Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook, seen as a direct challenge to the Fed's independence, has heightened market concerns about political interference in monetary policy. This unprecedented action marks a further escalation in Trump's attacks on the Fed's independence over its refusal to cut interest rates.
Regarding tariff policy, trade frictions between the US and some economies persist. A US-Indonesia agreement is unlikely to be reached in the near term, and tariffs on some goods risk increasing from 25% to 50%. This combination of "selective exemptions and potential doubling" creates greater uncertainty about the tariff path, increasing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Regarding interest rate expectations, futures market pricing indicates an over 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. A low interest rate environment reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold while also putting pressure on the US dollar, creating a double positive for gold.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold is currently in a volatile, but relatively strong, pattern.
On the daily chart, gold has been fluctuating between $3,120 and $3,450 for approximately five months since reaching a record high in April 2025. It may be at the end of a converging triangle, awaiting a breakout. The short-term moving averages are bullish, with key support at $3,395 (near the 5-day moving average) and $3,365 (near the 10-day moving average).
Key resistance lies in the $3,423-3,425 area (recent highs and rising trendline resistance). A breakout could open the door to $3,439 and $3,452. More significant resistance lies between $3,440 and $3,450, as well as the psychological level of $3,500.
On the 4-hour chart, connecting recent lows and highs reveals a rising wedge pattern. This pattern often serves as a consolidation structure, and the direction of its breakout should be monitored. Short-term top-to-bottom support lies between $3410 and $3405, followed by $3400 and $3395.
Technical indicators show that price is holding above the key 100-day exponential moving average ($3279.45). The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) remains firmly above its midline, near 60.50, confirming continued bullish momentum.
Trading Strategy
Regarding long positions, aggressive investors may consider a light long position if gold prices find support in the $3405-3415 area, targeting $3430-3440 with a stop-loss below $3390. Conservative investors may consider entering a long position after gold prices retrace and stabilize at $3390-3395, targeting $3410-3420 with a stop-loss below $3380.
Regarding short-term strategies, a light position can be used to short gold when it first hits the strong resistance zone of $3435-3445 and shows clear signs of pressure, with a target of $3410-3420 and a stop-loss above $3455. A follow-up strategy for a breakout can be used to short gold with a light position after it effectively breaks below the $3390 support level, with a target of $3370-3380 and a stop-loss above $3410.
Market volatility increased today, so it is recommended to keep positions below 50% of the typical level and reserve sufficient funds to mitigate potential adverse fluctuations or to identify better opportunities.
The US PCE data met expectations, indirectly proving bullish for gold. Wait for the release of the Consumer Confidence Index data before looking for an entry point.
Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
Gold Trading Strategy | August 29-30✅ On the daily chart, gold closed with a strong bullish candle, breaking out to the 3448 level and testing the previous high resistance zone at 3450–3470. The price is firmly above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong bullish momentum, but there are short-term overbought signals. The MACD lines have formed a golden cross with expanding histogram bars, confirming the bullish trend. However, the KDJ is overextended (K > 90), suggesting the risk of a short-term pullback.
Overall, the daily chart remains bullish, but with price approaching key resistance, a correction could occur at any time.
✅ On the 4-hour chart, the price has surged from 3311 and climbed all the way up to 3448. It is now trading outside the upper Bollinger Band, showing clear signs of overheating in the short term. While MACD momentum remains strong, there are early signs of topping out. A technical pullback is likely, with key support to watch at 3430–3415.
🔴 Resistance: 3450–3470
🟢 Support: 3430–3415
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 Aggressive Strategy: If the price breaks above 3470 and holds, further upside could extend toward 3500 and beyond.
🔰 Conservative Strategy: If the price pulls back to 3430–3415 and holds, consider entering long positions with targets at 3460–3470. If 3415 fails, shift to a high-level short strategy.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions🤝
USD Gold Day chart Wave analysis After almost three months, a good buying opportunity is visible in gold. If you understand the technical chart formation, then a triangle is formed after the motive wave. This is a perfect example of contracting triangle in front of you, which qualifies for a new high. This is my view. There is no advice for buying or selling, only technical education. Before doing any trade or investment, take advice from your financial advisor
Thanks
MKT Learner
BUY SETUPMarket Context:
Price is approaching a key support / demand zone where buyers are likely to step in. Momentum indicates potential strength for an upward move.
🔹 Why Buy Here:
Price holding above strong support.
Market structure showing higher lows.
Candlestick / momentum confirmation aligns with bullish pressure.
Risk–reward favorable if price continues upside.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bias: Bullish
Setup: Look for buy opportunities near support or after confirmation candle closes.
Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss below invalidation level. Trail stops as price moves in favor.
🔹 Important Notes:
Avoid chasing trades.
Wait for confirmation before entering.
Manage position size according to account risk.
XAUUSD Trade Idea – Short SetupPair: XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Type: Sell Setup
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.7 : 1
🔹 Technical Overview:
Price is moving inside a descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines.
Recent rejection near the upper channel resistance indicates continuation of bearish pressure.
A short position is taken after price failed to break above the upper boundary.
Volume activity is showing reduced buying momentum, supporting bearish bias.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Entry: 3,473
Stop Loss: 3,477.1 (above channel resistance)
Take Profit: 3,461.4 (near lower channel support)
🔹 Idea Summary:
As long as price remains inside the descending channel, bearish continuation is expected. This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio of 2.7:1, making it favorable for short-term traders.
⚠️ Note: If price breaks above the channel resistance, bearish bias will be invalidated.
Gold (XAUUSD) Sell IdeaKey Points
Price rejected from the descending trendline resistance.
Market is moving inside a bearish channel, signaling continuation to the downside.
This setup gives a Risk/Reward ~1:4.4.
📌 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 3367 – 3372
Stop Loss: 3379 (above resistance & swing high)
Target: 3344 (channel support)
Risk Management: Use strict SL. Trail stops as price moves in favor.
⚠️ Why Stop Loss & Trailing SL Matter
Stop Loss = protection from unexpected spikes.
Trailing Stop = locks profits while leaving room for bigger moves.
Together, they transform trading into a probability game instead of emotional guessing.
Gold Holds Trendline All Eyes on 3400 & GDP DataGold continues to move higher , on H4 we can see that price respecting the rising trendline support that has been guiding the move since last week’s breakout. Yesterday, bulls made an attempt to push through the 3400 level, but failed to sustain above it, confirming this zone as the immediate resistance for now. On the downside, supports remain unchanged first at the previous week high (3378), followed by the weekly pivot (3353).
For today, the key focus will be on the GDP data release, which could trigger volatility and provide the needed catalyst for gold to either break above 3400–3410 resistance or slide back towards its support zones. Until then, price action suggests a slow but steady bullish bias, with sellers only likely to gain momentum if the trendline breaks decisively.
XAU/USD – End-of-Month Trading Strategy | MMFlow TradingGold is entering a short-term correction phase as we close the month. Looking at historical data, in the last 4 months, Gold has shown deep liquidity sweeps at month-end before continuing its upward rally. Today, we could see a similar setup.
📊 Market Context:
Month-end candles often create long wicks (343x → 335x).
If price breaks below 3395, we could see deeper liquidity grabs.
US Session has PCE Data release – expected to match the previous reading. This may trigger short-term volatility, providing opportunities for intraday traders.
📌 Key Levels
🔺 Resistance (Sell Zone)
3434 – 3436 → Short-term selling opportunity.
3424 – 3435 → A breakout here opens the path to new highs.
🔻 Support (Buy Zone)
3395 – 3390 → Important intraday liquidity zone.
3376 – 3374 (VPOC Area) → Strong demand zone, likely to attract buyers.
3363 – 3355 (Deep Liquidity Zone) → Extreme scenario, less likely without major news.
📌 Trade Plan
✅ Long Setup (Buy Zone)
Entry: 3376 – 3374
Stop Loss: 3369
Targets: 3380 – 3385 – 3390 – 3400 – 3410 – 3420 – ???
🎯 This aligns with the VPOC zone, highly probable for bullish reaction.
✅ Short Setup (Sell Zone)
Entry: 3434 – 3436
Stop Loss: 3440
Targets: 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400
⚠️ Short trades are better executed in Asian & European sessions to catch the correction move before US volatility.
📍 Summary:
Watch 3395 – 3375 closely → if this holds, September could bring strong bullish momentum.
Month-end dips are often the best opportunities to position for the next ATH rally.
Patience + precise levels = high probability setups.
🔥 Stay tuned with MMFlow Trading for precise institutional-style analysis & real-time market insights.
My take on Gold Current PAGold (XAU/USD) – Daily View
Gold is bouncing between two important levels – the daily bullish FVG (support) and daily buyside liquidity (resistance). Since price is rejecting from both sides, the market is uncertain right now.
It’s better to wait for a clear close on the higher timeframe before taking any trades, otherwise there’s a high chance of getting stopped out in this choppy range.
Gold 29/08: Smart Money Looks at 3444 or 3395 LevelsMarket Context (SMC View):
Gold faced rejection from the 3423 liquidity zone and is now pulling back.
Demand is seen near 3397–3395, which can give a bounce if price tests it.
Premium supply zones above 3422 and 3442 are good areas to look for selling opportunities.
🔼 BUY SCENARIO
Buy Zone: 3397 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3389
Targets: 3405 → 3415 → 3425
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 1 (Price Action)
Sell Zone: 3422 – 3424
Stop Loss: 3430
Targets: 3412 → 3400
🔽 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Swing)
Sell Zone: 3442 – 3444
Stop Loss: 3452
Targets: 3425 → 3412 → 3400
📌 Conclusion & Notes
Bias: Buy near 3397–3395, then watch for possible liquidity grabs at 3422–3424 or a bigger sweep near 3442–3444 to go short.
Key Levels: 3422–3424 is the first intraday supply zone, while 3442–3444 is the major swing sell zone.
Tip: Wait for rejection candles or confirmation before selling.
Risk: Gold is very volatile; use strict stop losses and manage capital carefully.
Steady Climb: Gold Confirms Breakout, Support Shifts to 3400We have seen impressive strength on gold with a slow but steady breakout above 3400, confirming a bullish tone in the market. Price has also cleared the previous swing high near 3410, turning this zone into fresh support (3400–3410). Alongside this, the rising trendline support (black line) continues to guide the uptrend, adding confidence to the move.
From a price action perspective, this breakout looks healthy and signals that buyers are gaining control. The next big level to watch is the 3450 zone, which stands as the key breakout area for a larger move higher. On the flip side, as long as 3400–3410 holds, the bullish outlook remains intact.
With both the monthly and weekly closing happening today, the candle close will be crucial in setting the tone for the next leg. A strong close above 3410 would further validate the bullish breakout, while any failure to hold above support could bring some profit-taking. For now, the overall structure favors the bulls.
Gold Trading Scenario – Start of the WeekGold Trading Scenario – Start of the Week
Hello traders,
A new week begins with gold holding above the 34xx zone, establishing a fresh value area. The current structure has already broken through major resistance levels on the higher timeframe – including trendline and H4 barriers – confirming strong bullish momentum.
The uptrend played out exactly as expected, reaching the target around 3450 (specifically 3454). Now price is seeing a mild pullback. This will only be considered a trend reversal if price breaks below 3404. Otherwise, it is just a secondary correction as per Dow theory.
Wave 5 may be complete, but the ABC structure is still unclear. For that reason, the plan is to continue with long positions in line with the trend, which increases the probability of success.
Buy zone for today: 3408–3412, an area where sellers previously failed at resistance and which was broken through the trendline on Friday.
This is my outlook for Monday, viewed from a medium-term perspective. Take it as reference, and feel free to share your thoughts in the comments.
GOLD 29/08: Monthly Candle Closing. DON’T BUY FOMOGold is sitting at a crucial level. As the monthly candle closes, traders must avoid emotional entries. With Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Elliott Wave Theory, here are the clear trading zones to watch.
🔎 Market Structure (SMC + Elliott)
Elliott Wave: Waves III – IV – V completed. Wave V hit the D1 trendline, showing signs of exhaustion.
SMC Insights:
Multiple BMS (Break of Market Structure) → institutional liquidity play.
EQH (Equal Highs) & EQL (Equal Lows) → liquidity pools ready to be taken.
Demand Zones:
3398 – 3396 (EQH + BMS support)
3372 – 3370 (EQL / deep liquidity sweep)
Resistance: D1 trendline remains the key dynamic cap.
📌 Trading Plan
Scenario 1 – Short-term Sell (Counter-trend):
Entry: 3319 – 3321
SL: 3327
Target: 3398 – 3396
Scenario 2 – Buy at Demand Zone 1 (Main Setup):
Entry: 3398 – 3396
SL: 3390
Target: 3410 – 3415
Scenario 3 – Buy at Demand Zone 2 (Deeper Sweep):
Entry: 3372 – 3370
SL: 3365
Target: 3400 – 3410
✅ Best Risk–Reward setup with liquidity sweep + Elliott retracement.
✅ Conclusion
Bias: Still bullish in the bigger picture.
Risk: Expect liquidity sweeps before continuation.
Advice: Don’t chase price. Wait for demand zone confirmations.
Focus: Safer buys from 3398–3396 or 3372–3370 instead of impulsive FOMO buys near highs.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 27, 2025: Gold prices remain in the rising price channel, trading opportunities for investors.
Basic news: CB Consumer Confidence Report (August) is 97.4, higher than the forecast of 96.4 but lower than last month's 98.7. News that President Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook still has a strong impact on the US Dollar, creating upward momentum for gold.
Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to fluctuate in the rising price channel, however, after approaching the 3395 area, gold prices are currently adjusting. MA lines, liquidity zones combined with Fib frames and price channels are still supporting the upward momentum for gold prices. We continue to wait for transactions in these support areas. There is a high possibility that spot gold prices will approach the 3410 - 3420 area and continue to be held.
Important price zones today: 3358 - 3363 and 3347 - 3352.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3358 - 3360
SL 3355
TP 3363 - 3373 - 3393 - 3410.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3347 - 3349
SL 3344
TP 3352 - 3362 - 3382 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3418 - 3420
SL 3423
TP 3415 - 3405 - 3395 - 3380 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Buy IdeaThe market structure is showing bullish momentum with price holding above key support levels. Current trend favors buyers as demand remains strong, supported by technical signals indicating higher lows and potential continuation toward the next resistance zone.
Bias: Buy
Focus: Strength from support → Targeting higher levels
Risk: A break below support may invalidate the setup
⚖️ Note: Always use proper Stop Loss & Risk Management to protect capital.
Gold (XAUUSD) – Strength Weakening & Repeat of Structure
🔎 Market Context
Price made a sharp bullish rally, but momentum slowed down quickly.
After the rally, we see sideways consolidations (boxed zones), showing lack of follow-through from buyers.
This is a repeat structure – first big box (distribution) → breakdown → second smaller box (again distribution).
📌 Strength Weakening Signs
Impulsive move up but no higher continuation.
Sideways zones repeating → indicates repeated failure of bulls.
Volume fading → buyers not aggressive, sellers absorbing.
📊 Repeat of Structure
First consolidation broke to the downside → shift of control to sellers.
Current consolidation is a mirror repeat of the previous structure.
If breakdown repeats again, it confirms weak bullish strength and further downside is likely.
✅ Trading View
Bias: Bearish – Expectation of repeated structure breakdown.
Confirmation: Support break with volume push.
Invalidation: Breakout above resistance with strong momentum.
🔑 Key Levels
Resistance: 3386 – 3391
Support: 3365 – 3357
Breakdown target: Towards 3340 & below if repeat structure plays out.
Gold 01/09: FVG Retracement – Buy on Dips, Short near 3515SMC Market View – 01 September
Gold is continuing its bullish order flow, with clear BOS and ChoCH signals already confirmed. Price has formed an FVG (Fair Value Gap) near 3463, and is now showing momentum towards the 3515 supply zone.
✅ BUY Setups
Buy Zone 1: 3418 – 3422
Strong demand area with trendline support and liquidity sweep.
Stop Loss: 3410
Targets: 3430 – 3445 – 3455 – 3460+
Buy Scalp Zone: 3352 – 3350
Deeper liquidity grab area, suitable for quick scalps.
Stop Loss: 3344
Targets: 3360 – 3380 – 3400
👉 All buy zones are aligned with the dominant bullish structure. Best approach: wait for retracements to go long.
❌ SELL Setup
Sell Zone: 3515 – 3517
H1 supply area overlapping with resistance.
Stop Loss: 3522
Targets: 3500 – 3485 – 3475 – 3465 – 3450
👉 Short trades here are only meant for quick pullbacks. The bigger bias remains bullish unless a strong bearish ChoCH shows up.
📌 Conclusion
Main bias: Buy on dips at 3415–3422, 3442–3447, and scalp at 3352–3350.
Secondary play: Short at 3515–3520 targeting demand.
Key level: Watch the FVG at 3463 for market reaction.
XAU/USD – Gold Targets 3,440 USDHello traders, gold has successfully broken through the key resistance at 3,400 USD and is now approaching the 3,420 USD zone. A decisive move above this level could open the way toward 3,440 USD. On the downside, the 3,375–3,380 USD support range remains effective, helping the bullish structure to hold.
From the macro side, US Q2 GDP grew by 3.3%, beating forecasts and confirming a solid economic recovery. Yet, this also fuels inflation concerns, reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal. Additionally, the upcoming PCE data for August is expected to rise, limiting the chances of early Fed rate cuts, which continues to support gold prices.
What’s your view on this setup? Share your thoughts below.
XAU USD KEY LEVELS 01-09Greetings,
Hello traders, this is the XAU-USD 15m pivot resistance zone.
Based on market trend and previous day movement.
Intraday pivot resistance 2 line is represented by the yellow line. (3485)
Key levels;
Entry: 3485
Target: 3480
Stop loss: 3490
Risk Reward Ratio 1:1
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