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GOLD.F trade ideas

GOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish LegGOLD → Structural Rebalance Before Next Bullish Leg Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, showing consistent higher highs and steady momentum after each correction. The market has been consolidating above the $3,800 zone, where buyers continue to absorb liquidity and prevent deeper declines. This zone acts as a solid base for potential upward expansion. Current market behavior indicates controlled accumulation, suggesting that institutional buyers are maintaining dominance. If gold holds above $3,840–$3,820, the next bullish leg may target the $3,960–$4,000 region. A short-term retracement could occur, but overall momentum favors continuation. The price structure and volume behavior both support further upside, reflecting strong buyer control and stable sentiment in the market.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
4
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips. Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned. Gold Trading Strategy: 1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by son571
XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Ideathis is for educational purpose only it clearly explains how to handle 2-point stop-loss and retry logic (max 3–4 times) for automation or manual trading Wait for a green candle close above the 4088 level before entering. Confirm the breakout with strong volume support. The green line acts as your entry trigger zone. Entry Level: 4088 (Green Line) Exit Level: 4151 (Red Line) Stop-Loss: 2 points Max Attempts: 3–4 times per setup The red line (4151) is the final exit target. Keep a tight 2-point stop loss for controlled risk. Rejection may happen 2–3 times near the entry zone — stay patient. Avoid early entries before confirmation. Watch for volume expansion during breakout candles. Use 30-minute time frame for accuracy and clarity. Once confirmed, ride the move toward the 100% level at 4117. Partial profit booking is advised near 4117 zone. Move SL to cost after price closes above 4100. Avoid trading if candle closes below 4088 again. The momentum remains bullish as long as price stays above 4088. Red candle rejection below entry zone means wait again for setup. Don’t chase enter only after a confirmed breakout. Keep your chart clean and focus on price + volume behavior. Plan your trade before execution , no impulsive entries. Respect SL — discipline ensures long-term success. Always analyze candle behavior near major levels before deciding. Enter on candle close above 4088 with volume confirmation. SL: 2 points below entry. Targets: 4117 (first), 4151 (final). Expect 2–3 rejections — wait for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Powerniftypro
XAU/USD – Liquidity Cleared, Gold Reloads for the Next Breakout🔍 Market Context This morning, gold price (XAU/USD) experienced a classic liquidity sweep : The price surpassed the previous high of 4058 , touched 4060 , wicked strongly , and short-term corrected – a textbook “liquidity hunt” by major funds. After this drop, the price recovered back to the old ATH zone (4055 – 4060) . This indicates that short-term sellers have weakened , and buyers are reclaiming the crucial structure zone . Therefore, selling strategy is no longer optimal , instead, the market is preparing for a re-accumulation – next breakout. 💎 Technical Analysis Current ATH: 4060 USD Previous High: 4058 USD This morning's liquidity sweep “cleared out” liquidity above, paving the way for a re-accumulation phase before the next rise. The zone 4048 – 4052 is acting as a retest zone – if it holds, this could be the “launchpad” for a breakout to higher price zones. Overall Structure: still bullish , no signs of medium-term reversal. ⚙️ Key Price Zones Retest Zone: 4048 – 4052 → support zone after the sweep, where the price might bounce back. Breakout Zone: 4065 – 4070 → zone confirming buyers regain dominance. Extended Target: 4090 – 4100 USD. Invalidation Zone: below 4040 USD → if breached, the short-term bullish structure will weaken. 📈 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Buy Continuation Scenario – Buy with the main trend Wait for the price to retest the 4048 – 4052 zone , observe bullish candle reactions or confirmation signals (Engulfing, Rejection). Open a buy order upon confirmation of holding the support zone. Target: 4065 → 4090 USD. Stop Loss: below 4040 USD. ➡️ This is a trend-following scenario, with the highest probability when the market has completed the liquidity sweep and is re-accumulating. 2️⃣ Buy Breakout Scenario – Buy on confirmed breakout If the price breaks and closes above 4065 , it signals that major funds have returned. Open buy stop or limit retest breakout around 4065 – 4070. Extended Target: 4090 → 4100 USD. Stop Loss: below 4050 USD. ➡️ This scenario suits momentum traders, avoiding the risk of “fake breakout” by waiting for clear confirmation. ⚠️ Risk Management Do not sell against the trend at the ATH zone, as liquidity above has been taken. Maintain reasonable volume when trading around the peak zone. Prioritize buying when there is confirmation of the bullish structure holding the 4050 zone . 💬 Conclusion This morning's liquidity sweep has shaken out weak hands , while helping gold pave the way for the next rise . Currently, the price is re-accumulating around the old peak zone 4055 – 4060 , and if the zone 4048 – 4052 continues to hold, there is a high possibility that gold will break out to the 4090 – 4100 USD zone in the upcoming sessions. 👉 Reasonable Strategy: Wait to buy at the support zone or buy when the price breaks above 4065. Avoid selling against the trend now – the risk is very high as major funds have shifted to the accumulation phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 10✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Gold is currently hovering around the MA5 and MA10 (near 3990), with short-term direction still undecided. The MA20 (around 4004) has shifted from support to resistance, indicating that short-term bullish strength is limited. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, showing reduced volatility and suggesting the market has entered a consolidation phase. The middle band (4004) is acting as a key upper resistance. After the recent decline, gold is showing a weak rebound but remains within a corrective structure. If it fails to break above 4000–4005, the rebound is likely to be limited, with the risk of another pullback. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis Short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are turning upward, and the price is consolidating around 3995–4000, showing some rebound momentum. However, the MA20 and MA60 above are acting as resistance, limiting further upside potential. The Bollinger mid-band (around 3978) has been reclaimed, and the price is now near the upper band, but without a clear breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The 1-hour chart shows a short-term rebound, but with heavy resistance above, if gold cannot hold above 4000–4005, it may quickly retreat again. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3995–4005 🟢 Support Levels: 3945–3925 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Watch the 3995–4005 zone; if the price is rejected, consider short positions targeting 3970–3950. 🔺 If the price pulls back to 3945–3925 and stabilizes, consider light long positions targeting 3980–4000. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
XAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakoutXAUUSD — Accumulation phase awaiting breakout | European–American session scenario & detailed trading plan 🟡 Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within the rising price channel. The European–American session prioritises buying in line with the trend at confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak zone. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30) Market Structure Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks. Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135. Key Price Zones & Confluence Support: 4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest. 4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and thick volume cluster (VPVR). Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, note reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618). Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see short rejection before deciding the next direction. Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are levels to monitor price action. Structure Reading Suggestion: If a “buy test trend” occurs near the channel bottom, prioritise finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement. 📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights) Imperial Bank of Commerce: concerns over long-term inflation support gold’s rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination. State Street: delayed rate cuts expectations keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase. Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to lower rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold. Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs is cautious with copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises. Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; as yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130. 🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then) Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority) Entry: 4057–4059 SL: 4052 TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125 Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim channel boundary, continue buying with the trend. Scenario 2 — DEEP BUY at buy zone Entry: 4022–4024 SL: 4016 TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090 Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 thereafter. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary) Only consider short selling when clear rejection appears at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target to pull back to 4100/4088. Do not chase price. Invalidation & Risk Management If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stand aside and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC). Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL principles first, position later. 🛡️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Insight Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand. Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity. ⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong bullish continuation Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956 Hello trader 👋 Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction. In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support. 🔎 Technical Perspective Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone. The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment. Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917. ⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios 🔴 Main SELL Scenario: Entry: 3997 – 4000 Stop Loss: 4005 Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone). 🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956: Entry: 3959 – 3961 SL: 3965 TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend. 🟢 BUY when price retraces to support: Entry: 3942 – 3944 SL: 3938 TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990 👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction. 🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline): Entry: 3900 – 3898 SL: 3892 TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970 💡 Macro Perspective Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold. This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust. 📌 Summary: Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area. Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return. share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me for the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD@ 3890 : Bubble Peak or Just a Pit-Stop?Pullback vs. Correction The 100th-Idea Deep Dive !! Gold has moved almost 88% in the last two years to new records. The main drivers are falling real yield expectations with an easing bias, persistent geopolitical risk, record central bank buying and the 2025 rebound in ETF demand. Geopolitics is shifting as Washington pushes for a Gaza ceasefire. Headlines talk about partial acceptance and ultimatums but nothing is done yet. The war premium can fade step by step though headline shocks will still remain. Key levels:- Resistance 3890–4000 Pullback zone 3640–3650 (5%) Correction zone 3475–3480 (11%) Weekly RSI stretched into high 70s and 80s → risk of mean reversion before any bigger change. Macro gears:- Real yields and the dollar:- Lower real yields = higher gold. That is the key lever. As rate cuts and softer real rates were priced into 2025, gold repriced hard. Central bank sponsorship:- Official demand has been consistent three years in a row. 2022 at 1082t, 2023 at 1037t, 2024 at 1045t. This is rare in modern data and explains why dips are shallow. ETF flows:- After outflows in 2024, 2025 turned. Three straight months of inflows into August, strongest since 2020, YTD around 588t. Pure fuel ✨ Geopolitics & the premium:- From 2023 to 2025 Middle East risk kept term premia elevated. Now Gaza peace talks open a path for that premium to fade. But timelines and enforcement are unclear. Strikes still came even with peace headlines. Means the bleed can be gradual but headline spikes remain.. Pullback or true correction:- 3890–4000 is the confluence zone. Psychological milestone + vertical extension after 88% impulse. Bubble behavior meets supply. Level 1 at 3640 → about -5% pullback. If bids hold, trend resumes. Level 2 at 3470→ -10 to -12% wash into prior shelf. Would be first real reset in two years. Weekly momentum overbought. Phases like this don’t end instantly but forward returns improve after reset. Flows @ CBs rarely chase tops, they buy weakness across months. That softens drawdowns. ETFs are flighty. Peace plus firmer yields can stall inflows. Any Fed pivot or growth wobble can flip them back fast. Possible future paths :- Continuation bubble :- Break 3900 → 4050–4200 Triggers dovish Fed, softer yields, failed peace, ETF flows Tactic = only add above 3900 on daily/weekly close. No chasing wicks. Shallow pullback :-Tag 3630–3660 then rotate Triggers peace holds, modestly firm yields, demand returns Tactic = scale in near 3640–3650 if H4 shows higher low + reclaim POC. First TP 3780–3820. True correction :- flush 3520–3460 Triggers Gaza settlement + real yields higher + ETF stall Tactic = let it wash. Look for capitulation + basing 3480–3460. Best R:R after failed bounce and reclaim. Levels & invalidation:- Bull continuation pivot 3890–3900. Opens 4050–4200. Pullback buy zone 3630(Hvz)–3650 with confirmation. Invalidation H4 <3600. Correction buy zone 3480 ±20 after basing. Invalidation weekly <3420 → opens 3300–3350. If flat → stagger entries and size carefully. If long from lower → trail under last daily HL, book partial 3880–3950. Surprise risk (Imp) ETF squeeze higher – inflows still not at 2020 peak → late cycle melt-up possible. Policy shock – faster cuts or fiscal noise sink yields = blow-off. Strong data → pop in yields = sharp air pocket. Geopolitical whipsaw – peace unravels → $50–100 spike in thin tape!! Bottom line:- This is a two year vertical impulse meeting macro reality at 3890. Level 1 = 3640–3650 pullback line. Level 2 = 3480 correction line. Until weekly breaks, dips are still opportunities not obituaries. But only with structure. No blind catching this high up. Bubbles don’t end quietly – great trends reset then go again ✨ Fade euphoria into 39xx if momentum stalls. Buy fear into 348x if the market finally delivers the reset it owes. Trade safe ⚡ Sparkrlight ♾️✨⚡
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sparkrlight
1
XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal XAUUSD — Decline reaction not yet confirming reversal | Prioritise buying on Fibonacci retracement 🟡 Summary: The rapid decline at the start of the session did not break the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritise buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Structure & Price Behaviour Price is increasing in steps, the recent correction hasn't violated key lows, leaning towards a trend pullback. The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, above it are clusters 4160–4188–4179 and further 4200–4220. Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → likely to see pullbacks at support before continuing. Price Zones to Watch Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200. Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024. Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping. If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases. If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024. 📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights) Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting fundamental demand. On 14/10, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold. Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tonnes) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tonnes (second only to the 2020 record). ⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels. 🎯 Trading Plan (European–American session) — if–then Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority) Entry: 4116–4118 SL: 4110 TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222 Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/rebound momentum appears on H1. Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup) Entry: 4062–4065 SL: 4057 TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135 Condition: only activate when there's a pullback at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 afterwards. Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping) Entry: 4160–4162 SL: 4168 TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078 Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price. Invalidation & Risk Management Loss of 4057 → reduce buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024. Risk ≤1–2%/order; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️ Summary Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not confirming reversal. Strategy: Prioritise buy at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only for scalping at 4160–4162 when signalled. Levels to watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200. Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold 95 points profit booked , bought at 3995 booked at 4090Gold booked 95 points profit. Buy on dip will be continued How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
XAUUSD GOLD 15 MINTUS ANANLYSIS BULLISH OUTLOOK 📊 Technical Analysis: 1. Pattern Identification Double Bottom Formation: Found near the support area — indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish. Price bounced twice from the same zone, showing strong buyer activity. Breakout Confirmation: After forming the double bottom, the price broke above the neckline/trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. Upward Channel: The price movement after breakout is confined between parallel ascending lines, showing a controlled bullish trend. Each dip to the lower boundary offers a buy opportunity within the channel. Double Top Formation (Near Resistance): This pattern forms at the top of the bullish channel, indicating a potential short-term correction or pullback before continuation. --- 💹 Key Levels: Support Area: Around $3,960 – $3,980 Resistance Area: Around $4,040 – $4,060 Entry Point: Near $3,980 (bottom of the channel / breakout retest zone) Target Point: Around $4,140+ (upper resistance & measured move target) Stop Loss (Suggested): Below $3,950 (to protect from false breakouts) --- 📈 Market Sentiment: Overall Trend: Bullish (due to breakout + double bottom confirmation) Short-term Risk: Possible minor pullback from double top area before resuming upward. Bias: Wait for small correction → look for bullish confirmation candle near support → enter long targeting resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by lucus_william
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks. Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style) • The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement. • The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse. • The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup. • The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875 SL: 3866 TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132 SL: 4141 TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions. • Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events. • Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation. • Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries. Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely. With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops. 🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering. Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact. Analysis of Core Drivers 1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices. 2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market. 3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid. Trading Strategy Downward Support: Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive. Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged. Upward Resistance: Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum. Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100. Trading Recommendations: We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area. I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100. Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily35753702
Gold trading strategy | October 13-14✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has pulled back from the 4117 high and is currently trading between MA5 and MA10, showing a slowdown in short-term momentum. The moving average system shows MA5 starting to turn downward, while MA10 and MA20 remain upward, indicating short-term correction pressure but strong medium-term support. The Bollinger upper band near 4117 is acting as resistance, while the middle band around 4077 serves as the key short-term support. If the price stabilizes above this level, a short-term rebound is likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4115–4120 🟢 Support Levels: 4070–4060 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold pulls back to the 4060–4070 zone and holds steady, consider building long positions in batches, targeting 4105–4120. 🔰 If gold faces repeated resistance around 4120–4130 and momentum weakens, consider light short positions, targeting 4085–4070, with a stop loss above 4135. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
XAUUSD / GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean V-shaped reversal from the support zone around $3,960–$3,980. ✅ Key Technical Highlights: Support S2 Zone held well, forming a reversal V pattern, confirming buyers stepping in. Price has broken and retested the breakout zone around $4,000, indicating buying strength. A bullish momentum candle confirms continuation towards higher levels. Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone aligned perfectly with the support, giving more confluence for long entries. If momentum sustains, price is projected to push towards: 📍 Resistance R1: $4,060 zone (first TP) 📍 Resistance R2 / New ATH Zone: $4,120 zone (final TP) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below the $3,960 support and the fair value gap would signal weakening momentum and cancel the bullish outlook. 📈 Summary: Entry: After retest of breakout zone ($4,000–$4,010) TP1: $4,060 TP2: $4,120 SL: Below $3,960 (Fair value gap) 🚀 Bias: Bullish 📅 Timeframe: 4H / Weekly ⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with proper position sizing and SL discipline
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Gold Xauusd uptrend will continue on tarrif uncertainty rate cutGold XAUUSD uptrend will continue on tarrif uncertainty and rate cut bets . Updated levels given on chart for next week How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas