Gold Range Compression — Breakout Imminent🟥 Resistance Zone (Key Supply Zone): 4028 – 4045
Price has tested this zone multiple times but failed to break through.
A clean break above this red zone will signal strong bullish continuation.
🟦 Support Zone (Key Demand Zone): 3995 – 4005
This is the immediate support keeping price from falling lower.
A break below this blue zone will confirm bearish momentum.
✅ Bullish Scenario
If price breaks and retests the red zone (4028–4045):
Expect upward continuation
Target 1: 4060
Target 2: 4095 – 4105
This matches the upward blue arrows on your chart.
✅ Bearish Scenario
If price breaks below 3995 and retests the blue zone as resistance:
Expect strong downward momentum
Target 1: 3960
Target 2: 3925
This matches the downward blue arrows shown.
✅ Current Bias
Market is neutral right now — sitting between support and resistance.
A breakout from either zone will decide the next direction.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
XAUUSD Looking good for Downside..
When it break level 3929 and sustain.. it will go Downside...
SELL @ 3929
Target
1st 3887
2nd 3854
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome..
Like this Post??? Hit like button..!!!
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XAU/USD: Powell vs. The Discount ZoneHello, Traders! Let's dive deep into Gold (XAU/USD). The price is currently caught in a crucial tug-of-war: a hawkish US Federal Reserve (Fed) is strengthening the Dollar, while the political risk of a potential US government shutdown offers strong support to Gold. This is where the opportunity lies!
📰 Key Fundamental Drivers (Watch Closely):
The Fed & Powell's Stance: The likelihood of a US rate cut in December has decreased significantly. This signals a Hawkish view, which generally makes the USD stronger and places DOWNWARD pressure on Gold prices.
US Government Shutdown Risk: Concerns are rising that a prolonged government closure could harm the US economy. This economic uncertainty acts as a strong tailwind for Gold, as it is a premier safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis (The Chart View):
We observe XAU/USD moving within a Rising Wedge pattern (often a signal for a bearish reversal) and is now heading towards a critical price level we call the Strategic Support Zone.
🔥 Strategic Support Zone (The Discount Zone): $3,941 - $3,953. This is the key zone where patient buyers typically look to enter Buy (Long) trades, ensuring a favourable risk/reward profile.
Major Resistance Zone: $4,004 - $4,025.
🎯 Our Two-Sided Trading Strategy:
1. The Bullish Scenario (Long):
Action: Wait for the price to test and show a strong reversal signal (like a rejection candlestick) from the $3,941 - $3,953 support area.
Target: $4,004 - $4,025.
2. The Bearish Scenario (Short):
Action: SELL (SHORT) if the price is strongly rejected at the $4,004 - $4,025 resistance zone, OR if it decisively breaks and closes below $3,941.
Target: Below $3,900.
🚨 Important Note: We must closely monitor any further statements from FOMC members this week. They will dictate the short-term direction. Trade wisely and always use a Stop Loss!
#xauusd #forexindia #powell #fomc #technicalanalysis #gold #usd #indiaforex #tradingview #marketanalysis
GOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCYGOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCY 💛
Hello everyone 🌸
The gold market (XAUUSD) today is showing many interesting signals as the price continues to test the crucial trendline area. Traders' sentiment is quite cautious at the moment – both buyers and sellers are “squaring off” around the liquidity balance zone.
🔍 Technical Analysis
On the chart, gold is moving within a narrowing triangle price channel – this indicates momentum is accumulating, and when the price breaks in either direction, the subsequent volatility will be very strong ⚡
Currently, the price is reacting around the main trendline, but there is no clear breakout signal yet.
In my personal view, the probability of a decline remains higher, however, further confirmation is needed before entering a trade.
The important point to note is the support area at 3965, which is the key boundary to confirm a clear downtrend.
If the price breaks through this area, the possibility of extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 is entirely possible.
⚙️ Price Levels to Watch
Currently, the 3990 – 4012 area is short-term resistance, where sellers may reappear.
Meanwhile, the 3965 – 3945 – 3920 areas are the main supports that need close observation.
If the price continues to hold above 3945, the likelihood of a short-term rebound is quite high.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenario
💼 Buy: 3945
⛔ SL: 3938
🎯 TP: 3958 – 3977 – 3992 – 4012
💼 Sell: When the price clearly breaks below support 3965
⛔ SL: Above the breakout area
🎯 Expected TP: extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890
I still prefer to observe the price reaction at the trendline area, and only act when there is clear confirmation — because in a triangle pattern, the patient one will always be the winner 🌙
⚠️ Note & Conclusion
The above analysis reflects only Lucy's personal perspective, based on Trendline – Fibonacci – ICT factors 📊
This is not investment advice.
Please share your views on gold in the comments section 💬
And don't forget to follow Lucy for daily updates on insightful analyses —
where technical analysis merges with market emotions 💫🌸
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority ...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority After BREAKING RESISTANCE $4002$
With the Support of the US Treasury Secretary
Hello traders community, LiamTrading is back with detailed OANDA:XAUUSD $ analysis for the start of the week!
The Gold market is receiving strong support from policy: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent calls on the Fed to continue cutting interest rates as the PCE inflation is currently at $2.7\%$.
This call, aimed at reducing mortgage rates and supporting the housing market, strengthens the long-term outlook for Gold.
Technical Analysis: We prioritize continuing to buy up following the main trend. The best strategy is to enter orders at strong resistance/support zones to ensure the lowest risk.
📰 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS: CALL FOR RATE CUT
Impact: The Treasury Secretary's statement on cutting interest rates to support the "transitioning" economy increases expectations of policy easing, which is a strong support factor for Gold (although not yet an official decision).
Suitable Strategy: Market sentiment is being driven by expectations of easing policy, reinforcing the priority for a BUY (Long) position.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: IMPORTANT PIVOT POINT
Resistance Zone $4002$: This area acts as an important pivot point.
Buy Entry will be triggered after the price breaks resistance $4002$ and retests.
Sell Entry: Look for short-term scalping at the resistance zone $4030$ to secure profits. Highlighted Zone: Prioritize entering orders at confirmed Trendline zones.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
We will wait for Gold to break structure and create a BUY setup.
🟢 Main BUY Scenario (BUY Break & Retest)
Logic: Buy at $4002$ after breaking resistance and retesting, leveraging new upward momentum.
Entry (BUY): $4002$
SL: $3995$ (tight SL)
TP1/TP2: $4020$ | $4035$
TP3: $4070$
🔴 SELL Scalping Scenario
Logic: Short-term scalping at the strong resistance zone $4030$ (near Sell Liquidity zone).
Entry (SELL): $4030$
SL: $4038$
TP1/TP2: $4015$ | $4004$
TP3: $3990$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)
Our BUY strategy is reinforced by policy outlook and technical break at $4002$. Strictly adhere to SL $3995$ to manage risk before the upward structure is confirmed.
Are you ready for Gold's movement at $4002$? Please LIKE and COMMENT!
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure
After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD.
Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD.
The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline.
If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones.
Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area.
• Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB:
If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 3,972 – 3,975
• SL: 3,960
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,070
→ Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed.
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance:
If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal:
• Entry: 4,045
• SL: 4,065
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 3,985
→ Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion .
Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact.
Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above.
“Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 07/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAUUSD SUPPORT, RESISTANCE & TRENDLINE ANALYSIS I am back!!
Go "LONG" if it breaks the trendline with 4023.97 as the first target and if it breaks that as well then aim for 4035 adn further breaking that might lead to 4045.
Go " SHORT" if it breaks 4005.20 with 3986.56 as the first target and breaking that trendline might lead to 3967.92 and if it breaks and sustains that as well then we might expect a move till 3949.10
Note: As long as it stays above 3977 you can expect the momentum to be Bullish. If only it breaks the 3977 mark then it might lead till the apbe mentioned Bearish targets.
Also kindly follow candle patterns as well and then go for confirmation.
Happy Trading.
Gold Outlook: Bears Stay in ControlGold continues to operate within a bearish market environment characterized by persistent liquidation and declining momentum. The recent structural shift reflects an ongoing reallocation of capital away from defensive metals toward higher-yield instruments, signaling a broader change in market positioning.
Trading activity indicates that each upward movement is being met with renewed selling interest, suggesting limited participation from institutional buyers. This behavior aligns with the prevailing sentiment of caution, as investors prioritize stability over speculative exposure.
The broader outlook remains subdued, with market conditions favoring continued downside until clearer evidence of renewed demand emerges. Gold’s performance reflects a phase of market adjustment, where declining liquidity and moderate volatility reinforce the persistence of bearish sentiment across the short-term horizon.
Gold updated levels sell on rise until 4050 not break How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO – PRIORITISE SELLING After BREAKING THE TRENDLINE
Hello traders community,
The new week opens with a clear strategy: Prioritise SELLING after Gold has broken the previous upward trendline.
Although fundamental economic news (like interest rate policies and politics) supports Gold potentially reaching the $5,000$ USD mark, we must trade according to the current Price Action. The technical selling pressure is strong. We will SELL at key resistance zones and continue SELLING as the price breaks the downward structure.
📰 FUNDAMENTALS & LONG-TERM OUTLOOK
$5,000$ Prospect: Fundamental and political factors continue to support the scenario of Gold reaching $5,000$ USD in the long term (due to geopolitical risks and potential loss of Fed independence).
Short Term 🔴: Gold is under technical selling pressure after breaking through the $4,000$ USD mark.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TRENDLINE BREAK
Structure: Gold has exited the upward price channel and is retesting the broken trendline.
Priority: SELL at the retest resistance zone $4024$.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Primary) - Preemptive Resistance
Entry 1: $4024$ (Sell retest trendline zone)
SL: $4032$
TP1/TP2: $4012$ | $4000$
TP3: $3989$
Entry 2 (Continuation SELL): When price breaks the next trendline at $3992$
SL: $4000$
TP: $3940$
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Reversal) - Buy at Strong Support
Logic: Only buy when price hits strong liquidity support, potential for a short-term rebound.
Entry (BUY): Around $3960$ (Buy Scalping Zone)
SL: $3954$
TP1/TP2: $3972$ | $3988 FWB:TP3 : $4000$
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Don't let the $5,000$ USD prospect affect short-term risk management. Trade according to Price Action. Adhere to SL and prioritise SELL positions at resistance zones.
Are you ready for the SELL strategy at the start of this week?
GOLD SHORT SWING IDEA📊 Weekly Gold Trade Plan (XAUUSD)
Gold is currently in a liquidity-seeking phase after last week’s correction.
Here’s the plan for the coming week 👇
🧠 Institutional Outlook:
If gold opens with a gap-up and shows rejection from our marked supply zone (4050–4070) — that will confirm the presence of institutional selling pressure.
🎯 Swing Trade Setup:
Entry:4040
Stop Loss: 4060
Targets: 4000 / 3980 / 3950 / 3920
Bias:Short (Distribution phase / Liquidity grab scenario)
Trade Type:Swing
⚡ Scalping Plan:
We’ll observe live price behavior at market open.
If gold reacts with volatility or sweeps key liquidity near our zone, we’ll plan short-term scalp setups accordingly.
🧩 Key Note:
No early entries — we’ll wait for confirmation of rejection or displacement before executing.
Our focus this week is discipline + precision not prediction.
Stay sharp. Institutions are hunting liquidity — let’s trade with them, not against them. 💼
Gold Testing Resistance, Compression Structure Set to Break📊 Market Structure
On the H1 chart, gold is forming a compression structure between the Support 3,944 USD and Resistance 3,989 USD zones.
The recent lows create a series of Higher Lows along the rising trendline – indicating buyers are quietly absorbing supply around the lower region.
However, the 3,989 USD zone remains the central resistance axis , converging with the descending trendline formed from the previous peak (4,028 USD). Each time the price hits this zone, a short-term profit-taking reaction occurs, showing strong defense from sellers.
Below the support zone, the Premium Zone 3,944 USD continues to be the main pivot point – where the price has previously surged strongly in the last two sessions.
If this zone is breached, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated, opening up the possibility of returning to the Liquidity Zone around 3,921 – 3,892 USD .
Conversely, if the price closes above 3,989 USD , the market will confirm a Bullish Break of Structure (BoS), triggering an extended target towards 4,028 – 4,052 USD .
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Resistance Zone 1: 3,989 USD → main resistance, strong reaction zone.
• Resistance Zone 2: 4,028 – 4,052 USD → upper liquidity target zone.
• Support Zone: 3,944 USD → dynamic support, converging with the rising trendline.
• Liquidity Zone: 3,921 – 3,892 USD → the last zone protecting the bullish structure.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Await Confirmed Breakout:
If the price closes above 3,989 USD and successfully retests:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,995
• SL: 3,965
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,052
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – React at Resistance:
If a reversal candlestick pattern appears at 3,989 USD:
• Entry: 3,985 – 3,990
• SL: 4,000
• TP1: 3,965
• TP2: 3,950
• TP3: 3,944
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is in a “compression before breakout” phase, with liquidity concentrated around the 3,989 USD zone.
If this zone is broken, the price could quickly surge to the supply area above 4,028 – 4,052 USD.
If it fails, a price rejection here could pull gold back to the rising trendline at 3,950 USD.
“Compression breeds expansion — let price show which side holds conviction.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 06/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Price Action: Healthy Pullback Within Broader UptrendGold is currently trading within a well-defined range on the daily timeframe, consolidating between 3,910 and 4,025 on a closing basis. Over the past several sessions, we've witnessed multiple attempts by buyers to reclaim the psychological 4,000 level, but sellers have consistently stepped in during intraday rallies, keeping the price action contained within this range.
From my perspective, this consolidation is likely to persist for a while longer. Looking ahead, I anticipate the range could potentially extend between 3,850 and 4,200 over the coming weeks as market participants digest recent moves. It's worth noting that we should prepare for a worst-case scenario where price breaks below 3,850 on a closing basis, especially given that volatility tends to pick up during year end trading.
That said, My view in this current phase as a healthy correction within the broader bull market. My bias remains tilted toward the buy side, and I'm expecting a potential resumption of the uptrend somewhere in the next 1-2 months, possibly around mid-January. The key here is patience with money management allowing this consolidation to play out while staying ready to capitalize on the next directional move. As always, proper risk management is crucial, particularly with year-end volatility on the horizon.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritise buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the correction from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price box 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coincides with a broad FVG + Fib 0.382, a “liquidity pool” prone to strong reactions.
Macro Summary
Hedging flows against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian bloc support the long-term trend.
Expectations of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 help ease pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper decline to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the most recent up wave:
The price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal zone.
Important support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading cushion), 3928 (lower range – breakout mark).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend line remains intact if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy with the trend on upper range breakout
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the box bottom (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a rejection candle/clear buying tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to a bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the 4200 liquidity zone
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 opens the path to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) can disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to aim for 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reaction at 4200. If 3928 breaks, switch scenario to decline towards 3850 → 3710.
Emotional Discipline and Risk Control in Trading🧠 1. Why Emotional Discipline Matters
Emotional discipline means sticking to your plan regardless of fear or greed.
Markets are designed to test your patience, confidence, and decision-making. Every losing trade tempts you to change your system — but consistency wins.
✅ Key habits of emotionally disciplined traders:
They accept losses without revenge trading.
They follow rules, not impulses.
They manage expectations — no trade will make them rich overnight.
💰 2. Risk Control — Protect Before You Profit
Your risk management defines your survival. Successful traders think in probabilities, not certainties. They never risk too much on one idea.
📏 Golden Rules of Risk Control:
Risk 1–2% of your capital per trade.
Always use a stop-loss, never a “mental” one.
Define your R:R ratio (minimum 1:2 or better).
Never add to a losing position — only to confirmed winners.
Risk control is not about avoiding losses — it’s about limiting damage and staying consistent over time.
🧩 3. How to Strengthen Emotional Discipline
Like a muscle, discipline grows with routine. Try this daily:
Pre-trade routine – review your plan before every session.
Post-trade journal – log your emotions, not just results.
Take breaks – emotional fatigue leads to poor judgment.
Detach from outcomes – focus on process, not profit.
💡 Tip: When you reduce emotional pressure, your clarity and accuracy both improve.
⚙️ 4. Professional Mindset Shift
Amateurs chase profit; professionals protect capital.
Each trade is just one data point — not a reflection of your worth. Once you start thinking like a risk manager first, your results change naturally.
🗣️ “Discipline is choosing what you want most over what you want now.”
📊 Conclusion
To grow as a trader, focus on controlling yourself before controlling the market.
Emotional stability + strict risk control = long-term success.
Be the trader who executes with logic, not emotion. 🧘♂️
XAUUSDTrading is easy, but trading with convection is only possible after you have 5-6 years of experience trading in every market.
It is this experience that can tell you how high the market can go, if you are tracking the stock correctly, and only then can you estimate how much profit booking can happen.
This is possible only with experience.
Gold Continues to Struggle at 4000We're seeing a familiar story play out in gold as it makes multiple attempts to reclaim and hold above the 4000 level, but none of these efforts are showing the conviction we need to see from buyers. The price action on the hourly chart is particularly telling ,we're witnessing similar structural patterns repeating themselves, which often indicates indecision or a lack of strong directional commitment from either side. Once again, we've seen the rising support trendline get broken, which is not ideal for the bullish case in the short term.
However, there's a small silver lining worth noting. Today's CPR is showing an ascending structure, which typically carries some positive implications for intraday sentiment. It's not a game-changer by itself, but it does suggest that the technical setup isn't completely bearish. The key level to focus on for today's session is the CPR BC at 3971. This becomes our pivotal point ,if bulls can sustain trading above this level throughout the day, we could see another recovery attempt materialize toward the higher side. The ability to hold above 3971 would at least keep the door open for further upside exploration.
On the flip side, if we fail to maintain support at 3971 during the intraday session, it could trigger another leg down toward lower levels. Given the repetitive failed attempts at 4000 and the breakdown of support trendlines, the market is clearly at a crossroads here. We need to see some decisive action one way or the other to break out of this choppy, repetitive pattern.
As for my positioning, there's no change to my approach. I'm still holding my buy positions and actively managing the trades as this price action develops. The patience game continues, and while these repeated failures at 4000 are testing that patience, the broader picture still supports the long-term bullish thesis.
Gold Trading Strategy | October 29-30✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold remains within a medium-term bearish trend channel. The price has repeatedly been rejected around the MA10/MA20 levels, indicating that short-term rebounds are limited and sellers still dominate the market.
The Bollinger Bands have opened downward, and the middle band (around 4003) is pressing lower, showing that recent rebounds are merely weak corrective moves rather than a trend reversal. Candlesticks have failed multiple times to stand above the middle band, facing pressure on every rebound — a typical weak, oscillating, downward structure. The support near 3886 is an important short-term defense level; if broken, price may further test the 3860–3840 region.
✅ On the 1-hour timeframe, gold briefly rebounded to the 4030 area before retreating sharply and breaking below the cluster of moving averages, showing heavy selling pressure above. Candles are currently running below the MA5 and MA10, with both sloping downward, suggesting ongoing bearish momentum. The Bollinger middle band is also turning lower, strengthening the current downward pressure. Rebounds are repeatedly capped around the middle band, and there is a high chance of testing the lower band near 3888.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3853 / 3980–3990 / 4000
🟢 Support Levels: 3920–3915 / 3886 / 3855
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3980–3990 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3920–3886
🔰 If gold drops to 3885–3890 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3950-3960.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 28, 2025)
🔹 Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
The momentum lines on D1 remain intertwined. When this happens, the trend often continues with candle counts that follow Fibonacci numbers (3, 5, 8…).
Currently, there are around 3 candles, indicating a high probability of a reversal forming soon, possibly today.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is rising, suggesting a potential short-term upward or sideways move to push momentum into the overbought zone.
If the market consolidates at this level, once momentum reaches the overbought region, another bearish leg on H4 could still occur.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently decreasing. Price is closing lower around the liquidity zone at 3994, showing signs of a liquidity sweep.
We expect price to continue moving lower toward the next liquidity zone, in alignment with the short-term bearish structure on H1.
________________________________________
🔹 Wave Structure
D1 Timeframe:
The overall wave structure remains largely unchanged. Yesterday’s strong bearish candle fits within our prior analysis, confirming that the corrective wave is still in progress.
However, since the D1 momentum lines have already stuck together for about three candles, a potential bullish reversal candle today could mark the completion of this correction.
H4 Timeframe:
The structure has broken the previous low, suggesting that this could be the final leg of wave Y (blue).
Observing the completed 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5 in blue), this corrective leg has now returned to the base of the previous wave 4, achieving both price and time symmetry.
→ A short-term bullish reversal is expected from the current area.
H1 Timeframe:
The prior correction formed a triangle pattern (abcde in red), which has now broken to the downside, developing into a 5-wave sequence (black).
Wave 4 (black) appears completed, and price is likely within the final wave 5 down.
🎯 Target zones for completion of wave 5 (black):
• Target 1️⃣: 3953
• Target 2️⃣: 3927
________________________________________
🔹 Trading Plan
Scenario 1:
• Buy Zone: 3955 – 3952
• Stop Loss: 3932
• TP1: 4050
Scenario 2:
• Buy Zone: 3939 – 3927
• Stop Loss: 3907
• TP1: 3994
XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe...XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe, I can see my using the Ichimoku Cloud and have marked a range with a potential breakdown area and a target point already indicated on the chart.
Here’s what the chart suggests:
Current price: around 4031 USD
Range low (support): around 4030 USD (which is currently being tested)
Range high (resistance): around 4190–4200 USD
Breakdown target (measured move): around 3940–3950 USD
📉 Analysis:
Price has broken below the range box, indicating a bearish breakout.
The Ichimoku Cloud ahead is bearish and thick, showing potential resistance.
A measured move from the height of the range (≈ 150–170 points) projects downward to around 3940–3950 USD.
My chart already marks 3944.299 as the target point, which aligns well with this projection.
✅ Target Summary
Type Level (USD) Comment
Short-term target 3,944 Measured move target after range breakdown
Extended target 3,900–3,880 Possible continuation if bearish momentum sustains
Invalidated above 4,090–4,100 If price re-enters the range and closes above the cloud






















