Gold Rebounds Sharply Amid Fed Bets and Risk-Off ShiftsYesterday, the precious metal faced selling pressure as investor risk appetite improved following record highs in major U.S. stock indices.
However, that bearish trend is quickly reversing due to renewed dip-buying activity. Early this morning, gold is trading around $3,335, marking a sharp rebound of over $40 from the previous session.
Expectations of Fed rate cuts and concerns over U.S. fiscal health continue to weigh on the USD, while geopolitical risks may further support the safe-haven appeal of gold.
📊 Key Economic Events to Watch This Week
Tuesday: Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy meeting
Wednesday: FOMC minutes from June’s Fed meeting
Thursday: U.S. weekly jobless claims data
Stay alert – volatility may rise as these events unfold.
GOLD.F trade ideas
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 8, 2025
🔎 Momentum Analysis
On the daily (D1) timeframe, momentum is currently declining. At the same time, the 4H momentum is showing signs of reversing downward. This suggests a likely short-term corrective decline, which provides a basis for projecting potential Elliott Wave patterns.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the 4H chart, I currently see two main possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Contracting Triangle Correction (abcde – purple)
This scenario assumes a contracting triangle correction labeled abcde in purple.
The market appears to be in wave d (purple), which is unfolding as a wxy corrective structure. Currently, it is likely in wave y.
The projected target for the end of wave y is between 3393 – 3402.
However, due to the declining momentum, I expect a short-term pullback to the 3318 – 3321 region before price resumes upward to complete wave d.
Scenario 2: Larger WXY Correction
In this case:
Wave W has completed as a standard 3-wave abc.
Wave X has also completed as a double zigzag.
Wave Y appears to be forming a small contracting triangle abcde in red.
Currently, the price is being compressed between the upper and lower boundaries of the red triangle, suggesting that it is in the final wave e.
In this scenario, the projected retracement also aligns with the 3318 – 3321 zone. After completing wave e, price is expected to break out strongly above the upper boundary of the red triangle.
✅ Strategic Conclusion
Both scenarios point to a confluence zone at 3318 – 3321, making this a key potential buying area. Two trading approaches can be considered:
Aggressive Entry: Buy within the 3318 – 3321 range.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red triangle before entering a long position.
📈 Suggested Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3318 – 3321
Stop Loss: 3308
Take Profit 1: 3342
Take Profit 2: 3362
Take Profit 3: 3393
Gold Trading Strategy | July 7-8✅ Key Resistance Zone: $3340–$3345
🔴 Daily Resistance: $3345 is the neckline of a typical “M-top” pattern. On July 7, gold prices surged to $3342 before quickly retreating, indicating strong selling pressure at this level. A valid breakout has not yet occurred.
🔴 4H Chart Resistance Band: The $3338–$3340 zone overlaps with both the 20-day and 60-day moving averages, forming a confluence with the daily resistance. This creates a key short-term ceiling, and unless it's broken, further upside will likely be capped.
✅ Key Support Zone: $3300–$3310
🟢 Weekly Pivot Zone: $3311 is a medium-term pivot level. A daily or weekly close below this level could confirm the start of a broader downward trend.
🟢 Psychological Support: $3300 is a major round-number support and also represents the average cost basis for many short-term long positions. On July 7, the price rebounded after touching a low of $3306, showing that buyers are still active around this level.
🟢 Major Support Band: The $3290–$3295 zone includes the 60-day moving average and previous horizontal support. A breakdown here could trigger technical selling, opening the path toward $3280–$3260.
✅ Trading Strategy
🔰 Break above $3345: Go long, target $3365–$3370, stop loss at $3330.
🔰 Break below $3295: Go short, target $3280–$3260, stop loss at $3310.
🔰 If price stays in $3300–$3340 range: Focus on selling at highs and buying at lows. Favor short-side setups unless resistance is broken. Stop loss at $3350.
✅ Gold remains within a $3300–$3340 trading range, with a short-term technical consolidation pattern. A breakout could be triggered by upcoming policy headlines or geopolitical events (e.g., trade negotiations).
✅ Suggested approach: Use a “light position + key-level stop-loss” strategy. Watch for a breakout above $3345 or a breakdown below $3295 to shift from range trading to trend-following.
✅ Bias remains bearish unless the $3345 resistance is convincingly broken. Until then, rebounds are likely to be short-lived technical corrections—prefer to sell into strength.
Gold Bounces Back: Quick Recovery from 3300 SupportGold is now trading above this week's pivot at 3316, which is a positive development. This suggests the bulls are regaining control after yesterday's decline, Rather than breaking down after the failed attempt at 3360, gold is showing it can hold key support and bounce back quickly. This resilience is encouraging for the medium-term outlook.
Key Levels Moving Forward:
Support: 3300 (now proven)
Pivot: 3316 (currently holding above)
Resistance: 3360 (still the key level to break)
XAUUSD – Downtrend broken, bullish momentum returnsXAUUSD has broken above the descending trendline and is currently retesting the breakout zone around $3,330. If this area holds, price may continue to rise toward $3,352 and potentially $3,380.
Current price action suggests a bullish continuation pattern is forming. The bullish outlook would be invalidated if price drops below $3,255.
From a fundamental perspective, gold is supported by HSBC’s upward revision of its 2025 forecast, strong central bank demand, and rising geopolitical tensions – all reinforcing a medium-term bullish outlook.
Gold Trading Strategy for 08th July 2025🔔 GOLD INTRADAY STRATEGY - XAU/USD
📅 Applicable for today only
🟢 BUY SETUP
💰 Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle after a close above $3352
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3361
✅ Target 2: $3372
✅ Target 3: $3385
🛑 Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle low
📈 Bias: Bullish continuation if price sustains above key resistance
🔴 SELL SETUP
💰 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle after a close below $3319
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3307
✅ Target 2: $3298
✅ Target 3: $3285
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the breakdown candle high
📉 Bias: Bearish momentum likely if key support breaks
📊 Key Levels to Watch
🔼 Resistance: $3352
🔽 Support: $3319
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. 📘
Trading in financial markets involves risk. 💹
Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Use proper risk management (1–2% per trade). 📏
Past performance is not indicative of future results. 📉
GOLD Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Rejection Confirmed at Resista🔍 GOLD Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Rejection Confirmed at Resistance 🔴🟢
📅 Date: July 7, 2025
📊 Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
💱 Pair: Gold vs US Dollar (XAU/USD)
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
3,390 – 3,420 USD
Price faced strong rejection (🔴 red arrow) from this zone after forming a lower high.
This zone has previously acted as a reversal barrier.
📉 Bearish Trendline:
A well-respected descending trendline capped multiple rally attempts.
Recently broken to the upside, suggesting a possible trend shift.
🟢 Main Support Level:
3,270 – 3,300 USD
Marked by the blue-green box and multiple bullish bounces (🟢 green arrows).
Buyers stepped in aggressively around this level, preserving bullish structure.
📈 Current Price Action:
Price is consolidating just above support and attempting a retest of broken trendline resistance.
Higher low structure suggests bulls may try to reclaim 3,375–3,400 in the short term.
✅ Summary:
🧠 Bulls are defending the key support zone, forming a potential base for a reversal.
⚠️ A break below 3,280 could expose 3,230–3,200.
🚀 A close above 3,375 could open the door toward 3,420 again.
📉 Bias: Neutral to Bullish (while above main support)
🔔 Watch for breakout confirmation and volume near 3,375
🛡️ Trading Tip: Wait for confirmation candles at key zones – either a breakout above trendline resistance or a retest of main support for optimal entries.
📊 Happy Trading! 🪙💹
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 7✅Gold opened weakly during the Asian session today, with prices dropping nearly $40 in early trading—likely due to technical selling pressure from above. The rebound once again failed to break the key 3345 resistance level, which serves as the neckline of the previous “M-top” pattern formed at the 3365 high. This level has become a clear resistance zone. If gold continues to struggle below this line, the short-term trend remains biased toward consolidation with a bearish tone.
✅ 4-Hour Chart Structure:
Since retreating from the 3365 high, multiple rebound attempts have been capped around the 3345 area. Last Friday, a second rally failed at the mid-Bollinger Band and closed lower, forming a local double-top pattern. This morning’s rebound to 3342 was again rejected, confirming continued downward pressure in this area.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Structure:
After the release of last week's non-farm payrolls data, gold formed a short-term double top. After breaking the neckline, the rebound lacked momentum, reaffirming that sellers dominate near resistance. In the short term, bearish pressure remains in control.
✅ Key Technical Levels:
🔴Short-term Resistance: 3325–3330
🔴Major Resistance Zone: 3345 (M-top neckline)
🔴Strong Resistance: 3365 (M-top peak)
🟢Short-term Support: 3305
🟢Critical Support: 3295
🟢A break below 3295 could open further downside toward 3275 or even 3246
✅Intraday Trading Strategy:
🔻 Short Position Strategy:
Consider layering into short positions around the 3325–3330 area. Stop-loss: 8–10 $
Targets: 3310–3300; if 3300 breaks, watch for a move toward 3295
🔺 Long Position Strategy:
If price pulls back and stabilizes around 3295–3298, consider layering into long positions. Stop-loss: 8–10 $
Targets: 3305–3315; if 3315 breaks, look for a move toward 3325
✅Strategy Summary & Outlook:
Gold remains in a broad high-level consolidation phase, with frequent short-term shifts between bullish and bearish sentiment. We recommend a range-trading approach—selling on rallies and buying on dips—while closely monitoring whether the 3345–3350 resistance zone is breached. This key area will likely determine the directional breakout this week.
✅Maintain disciplined risk management, avoid chasing moves, and stay alert to intraday momentum shifts.
sell signal at the beginning of the week, downward pressurePlan XAU day: 07 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintain an intraday bearish bias during the first half of the European session, although the precious metal has managed to rebound from the $3,300 level—its lowest point in a week, recorded earlier on Monday. A notable uptick in demand for the US Dollar (USD) has emerged as a primary factor diverting flows away from gold. However, increasing market consensus that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to implement further interest rate cuts this year may temper bullish sentiment toward the USD and offer some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Additionally, concerns surrounding former President Donald Trump’s substantial tax-cut and spending proposals—seen as potentially exacerbating the United States’ long-term debt challenges—may also act as a constraint on USD strength. Meanwhile, overall market sentiment remains fragile due to ongoing uncertainty linked to Trump's unpredictable trade policies. Furthermore, renewed Israeli airstrikes on Yemen—the first in nearly a month—have dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further helping to limit downside pressure on gold and warranting a cautious approach from bearish traders.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price adjusts and accumulates around 3300 before tariff policies this week, gold recovery opportunity
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance point: 3324 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold/USD Bullish Reversal from Support Zone Gold/USD Bullish Reversal from Support Zone 🟢📈
Technical Analysis:
Support Zone: Price is consistently respecting the horizontal support range near 3,305 – 3,310, confirming it as a strong demand zone (marked by multiple orange circles and previous bounce reactions).
Bullish Structure: After breaking the descending trendline, the price has retested the trendline and horizontal support zone, forming a higher low — a classic bullish reversal signal.
Target Projection: The measured move projection targets a potential upside near 3,366.979, aligned with previous highs.
Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Green arrows highlight bullish price action at significant reversal points, confirming buyer strength at support.
Harmonic Pattern: The shaded harmonic pattern suggests completion near the previous lows, which aligns with the reversal zone.
Conclusion:
As long as the price holds above the support area and respects the trendline retest, bulls may push toward the projected target. A break below the zone would invalidate this bullish setup.
Today's gold price high short selling ideasToday's gold price high short selling ideas
Today's gold price plummeted and is still in a downward trend in the short term.
As of the publication of this article, the gold price is around $3,300.
Core factors affecting today's gold price
1. Adjustment of US tariff policy
Latest developments:
The Trump administration plans to send tariff adjustment letters to about 12 countries before July 9, and the new tariff rate (10%-70%) is expected to take effect on August 1.
US Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that the negotiations may be extended, and the market's panic over trade frictions has eased, causing safe-haven funds to withdraw from gold.
Technical analysis
Key price levels:
Support:
US$3,300
US$3,280
US$3,250
Resistance:
US$3,320
US$3,350
US$3,400
Short-term (1-2 weeks): Gold's trend will still be dominated by tariff negotiations (July 9), the Federal Reserve meeting minutes (July 10) and the situation in the Middle East.
Operation strategy:
(1): Pay attention to the 3300 support level, the watershed of the long and short trends
(2): Long strategy: As long as the gold price is above 3300, go long at a low price, and the stop loss is 3295 (operate with caution)
(3): The gold price is under pressure at 3320-3340-3350-3365. It is also correct to use these pressure ranges as a high-altitude operation.
(4): After breaking through 3300, pay attention to the support of 3280 US dollars. If it falls below, it may test 3250 US dollars.
Today, the gold price is likely to fall to the 3260-3280 range. Bulls need to pay attention to risk aversion.
XAUUSD | Expected Swing Movement 07/07/2025Hi,
I am sharing my view on XAUUSD swing movement. After series of consolidation at current level. If gold breaks 3315 and retest the 3306 to 3308 with pullback, it can show sharp upside move upto 3336 to 3338 level where major we can see major supply.
Disclaimer: This is only for educational purpose.
Thanks
7.7 Gold Defense7.7 Gold Defense
Bad fundamentals:
The passage of the US "Big and Beautiful Act" and the extension of tariffs to August 1 have increased market uncertainty and put pressure on gold, focusing on testing the key psychological and technical support level of $3,300/ounce.
Technical weaknesses:
Daily: Running below the short-term moving average, overall weak.
4 hours: The decline in the early trading strengthened the weakness, the Bollinger Bands opened downward, the short-term moving average went down, and the MACD dead cross continued. These signals all point to the advantage of the bears, and there is a risk of breaking below 3,300 and accelerating the decline.
The shock pattern is to be broken: last week, it oscillated in the range of 3245-3365, lacking a clear direction. The current technical form and fundamental events may become a catalyst to break the deadlock, especially the risk of a downward breakthrough is relatively high.
Operation strategy: High-altitude is the main, low-long is the auxiliary.
High-altitude opportunities: Below the resistance level of 3320, short at highs, and the target is 3300 and below (3295, 3280).
Potential low-long opportunities (caution):
If the gold price breaks through strongly and stabilizes at 3320, you can wait for a pullback to around 3320 to go long (confirm that the breakthrough is effective).
If the gold price touches the support level near 3295 or 3280 for the first time, you can consider a short-term rebound with a light position (contrarian operation, high risk, fast entry and exit).
Trade with caution and control risks! I wish you a smooth transaction!
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4
Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe.
From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart.
At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red).
Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete.
📉 Momentum
Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.)
H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region.
🎯 Price Targets
Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels:
3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals.
3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3350
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3300
🔺 Buy Zone:
Entry: 3295 – 3293
SL: 3285
TP1: 3312
TP2: 3342
TP3: 3390
📌 Personal Note:
At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
Gold Breaks Below 3300 – Smart Buy Opportunity ... Gold Breaks Below 3300 – Smart Buy Opportunity or Warning of a Larger Downtrend?
🧭 Weekly Kickoff: Is the Sell-off Really That Dangerous?
Gold opened this week with a sharp drop, falling to 3306 USD and even breaching the psychological 3300 level to dip into the 329x region. While this could be alarming at first glance, it's more likely a liquidity sweep than the beginning of a sustained downtrend.
The market seems to be preparing for accumulation before the next big move.
🌐 Macro Highlights Impacting Gold
US inflation continues to cool → creates room for the Fed to ease policy if needed
FOMC minutes due this week → traders eye clues for timing of potential rate cuts
Middle East tension eases → safe-haven demand slightly reduced
Trump’s new tax legislation approved → may increase US debt pressure
US–China trade war sees temporary pause → easing short-term geopolitical risk
Overall, this phase resembles a classic consolidation, where breakout potential is growing rapidly.
📉 Technical Outlook – CP Pattern in Focus
A Continuation Pattern (CP) is forming – typically a sign of trend continuation after correction. This suggests current downside movement could be a technical pullback rather than a true reversal.
Price rejected resistance at 3336, broke below 3323 support, and quickly tested the 3303 region – a highly sensitive short-term support.
If the 3293 level is breached, the next liquidity pool lies around 3278 USD, which could trigger aggressive buy interest.
📌 Key Trading Plan – 04 July
🔵 BUY ZONE
3294 – 3292
Stop Loss: 3288
Take Profit Targets: 3298 → 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP
3324 – 3326
Stop Loss: 3330
Take Profit: 3320 → 3316 → 3312 → 3308 → 3304 → 3300
🔴 SELL ZONE
3350 – 3352
Stop Loss: 3356
Take Profit: 3346 → 3340 → 3335 → 3330 → 3320
💡 Market Insight Today
This is a crucial “decision zone” for gold – the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is heating up. Will gold bounce off the 3290s and resume its upward journey, or are we heading for a deeper correction?
🧠 Keep an eye on the CP formation and price behaviour near key levels.
⚠️ Breakout traders should be patient – the real move may just be loading.
Gold prices are bearish today, with a target of 3260-3280.Gold prices are bearish today, with a target of 3260-3280.
Event: The Trump administration plans to send tariff adjustment letters to about 12 countries by July 9. The new tariff rates are expected to take effect on August 1, ranging from 10% to 70%.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that negotiations may be extended, but if no agreement is reached, the highest tariff of 24% will be restored in August.
Impact: If the negotiations fail, the intensification of global trade frictions may boost safe-haven demand, and gold prices may hit $3,400;
If the agreement is extended or partially reached, gold prices may fall back to the $3,300 support level.
As of press time, gold prices have fallen to around 3,310. The decline in gold prices fully demonstrates the uncompromising attitude of various countries towards Trump's tariff policy, and believes that Trump will eventually compromise.
Data game:
Non-farm employment in June exceeded expectations (147,000 new jobs vs. expected 110,000), and the probability of a rate cut in September dropped from 78% to 65%.
However, the unexpected contraction of the ADP employment data in June (down 33,000 people) indicates that the performance of small and medium-sized enterprises is weak, which has exacerbated economic uncertainty.
Focus: Minutes of the Fed's July 10 meeting
If a hawkish signal is released (such as a delay in interest rate cuts), it may suppress the price of gold to $3,280;
If a dovish signal is released, it may boost the price of gold.
Middle East situation:
The ceasefire negotiations between Israel and Kazakhstan broke down, Israel launched an air strike on the port of Houthi armed forces in Yemen, and the conflict on the Lebanese border escalated.
If a large-scale war breaks out, the price of gold may soar to $3,400 overnight.
Russia-Ukraine conflict: If there is an unexpected solution before July 15, the price of gold may quickly fall back to $3,250.
The passage of the US "Big and Beautiful" tax cut bill will increase the deficit by $3.4 trillion in the next decade, and long-term inflation expectations support gold.
2. Technical aspects:
Key price:
Macro fluctuation range: 3250-3370
Central support: 3310
Important support: $3300 (psychological barrier), $3280 (technical support), $3250 (June low).
Important resistance: $3320, $3350 (recent high), $3400 (historical pressure).
3. Potential emergencies and scenario simulation:
If Trump imposes high tariffs on China (e.g. 70%), it may cause panic in the global market and gold prices may rise to $3450.
(My analysis: Trump will still admit defeat. This is a person with no bottom line, full of nonsense, and untrustworthy.)
Escalation of the conflict in the Middle East: Israel's ground attack on Lebanon or Iran's intervention will trigger a surge in safe-haven buying.
(My analysis: Israel can do whatever it wants now, after all, it depends on the United States. Those who know the business know that the war will continue like this for a long time, and it is unlikely that a large-scale war will break out in the short term.)
Operational suggestions:
Today's gold price is viewed with a high-price short-selling mentality. I think $3,300 is difficult to maintain.
Gold prices are likely to break through 3,300 today and bottom out around 3,260-3,280.
Therefore, please pay attention to the breakthrough direction of the $3,300-3,350 range;
Short-term resistance area: $3,320-3,330-3,340 (high-altitude strategy range can be participated in during the day)
Stop loss range: $3,345-3,350
Target range: $3,380-3,360
Gold Slips Sharply to Start the Week – What’s Next?Hello everyone! What are your thoughts on gold today?
As the new trading week kicks off, gold has taken a sharp dive, shedding over 200 pips and currently hovering around $3,316 at the time of writing.
The short-term bearish momentum remains intact, especially after breaking below the key $3,325 support level. The confluence of the EMA 34, EMA 89, and the former support-now-resistance zone forms a critical ceiling. Unless the bulls manage to reclaim this area, the downward trend is likely to persist, keeping sellers in control.
So, what’s your outlook for gold? Is this just a dip—or the start of a deeper correction?
XAUUSD 15M Analysis (Potential Rejection Zone Plan)Price is currently forming a minor base after a sharp drop, with a clear imbalance retracement area above.
Key points:
✅ Price is expected to retrace toward the $3324–$3328 supply zone (highlighted box).
✅ The plan is to look for weakness or rejection in this zone for a potential short setup.
✅ Clean structure: Higher timeframe remains bearish, so we anticipate the retracement to fill inefficiency before continuation down.
✅ If the zone breaks cleanly, we will wait for a retest flip for continuation toward the next supply.
MY Trade Plan:
🔹 Waiting for price to push into the yellow supply zone.
🔹 Monitor for M5/M15 lower high formation or bearish engulfing for short triggers.
🔹 Targets below: $3312, $3307, and extended $3299 area.
🔹 Invalidation: Clean M15 close above $3328 with retest flip.
Trade Setup – SELL GOLD (XAU/USD)✅ Trade Setup – SELL GOLD (XAU/USD)
📅 Date: July 7–10, 2025
🕒 Timeframe: 1H (Hourly)
🎯 Trade Parameters:
Sell Entry Zone: 3,322 – 3,330 USD/oz (previous support turned resistance + MA20 + Fibonacci 0.236)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,336 USD (above local resistance and moving average)
Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 3,260 USD (near Fibonacci 0.618 and historical support)
• TP2: 3,168 – 3,160 USD (deeper support zone and Fibo 0.786)
📊 Technical Analysis:
Price has broken the short-term ascending trendline and is testing from below — suggesting a potential bearish continuation.
Recent candles closed below the 20 & 50-period moving averages, showing weak upside momentum.
Volume rises during bearish moves, and shrinks on retracements — indicating sellers are in control.
Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, confirming momentum is building to the downside.
🧭 Trading Strategy:
Wait for price to retest the 3,322–3,330 zone with bearish confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar).
Partial take profit at 3,260, and hold remainder for TP2 if breakdown continues.
Place strict SL at 3,336 to minimize risk if resistance breaks.
Gold Weekly Analysis : Monday 07/07/2025Gold made a solid attempt to break higher last week, but that 3360 resistance level (previous week's R1) proved to be a tough line to break. The bulls pushed hard but couldn't secure a clean breakout, and now we're seeing some of that momentum fade.
Price opened with a decline today, showing some weakness after last week's failed breakout attempt. This is typical behavior after hitting resistance, some profit-taking and repositioning is expected.
This week's pivot is at 3316, which is actually ascending from last week's 3308 pivot. This is still a positive sign and suggests the underlying structure remains constructive despite the recent pullback.
In the bigger timeframe, gold is still consolidating within a range. We're not seeing a complete breakdown of the bullish structure yet, but rather a pause after the rejection at key resistance.
Critical Levels to Watch:
Upside Breakout Level: Last week's high around 3360 remains the key level bulls need to reclaim for any meaningful continuation higher.
Defense Zone: The 3300-3308 area is crucial support. This zone encompasses both the psychological 3300 level and the previous week's pivot. Bulls need to defend this area to maintain their recent gains.
If price slides below 3300, we could see a decline back toward that recent swing low area. This would signal that the bulls have lost control of the near-term momentum.
Gold Drops to $3306, Upside Challenged by $3320 &$3338Gold opened the 1st day of the week trading with minor strength but soon witnessed selling as bears cleared through $3320 immediate support turning it into resistance and the metal dropped straight to $3306 which aligns with 50% Fibonacci zone of up wave $3244 - $3366
Current price action shows some bounce back off the lows however and successful rebound will require decisive break above immediate resistance $3320 which is marked by 38.2% Fibonacci zone which will next ease the way to extension of bullish rebound towards $3338
On the flip side, break below $3306 will prompt further decline to 61.8% Fibonacci zone $3291 below which next support sits at $3270-$3268
Gold Holds the Line and Rallies – A Strong Weekly Close in SightAfter holding firm at the support level around $3,250 per ounce, gold is on track to end this shortened trading week with a notable gain. This is an encouraging sign for investors, highlighting that gold’s appeal remains strong despite recent volatility.
The recent sell-off was not entirely unexpected, as the market recalibrates its interest rate expectations. However, the long-term bullish trend for gold remains intact, even as the price consolidates within a narrow range.
Gold Trading Strategy for 07th July 2025📊 GOLD INTRADAY STRATEGY – JULY 6, 2025
(Based on 15-minute candle breakout confirmation)
🟢 BUY SETUP
📈 Buy Above: Close above the High of 15-min Candle & Price > $3345
🎯 Targets:
✅ $3355
✅ $3365
✅ $3375
🔒 Stop Loss: Below $3335 (or below candle low)
🔴 SELL SETUP
📉 Sell Below: Close below the Low of 15-min Candle & Price < $3310
🎯 Targets:
✅ $3298
✅ $3285
✅ $3273
🔒 Stop Loss: Above $3320 (or above candle high)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 This strategy is shared for educational and informational purposes only.
📌 Trading in commodities involves significant risk. Always use strict risk management.
📌 Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
📌 We are not liable for any profits or losses incurred.
🪙 Stay focused. Trade with discipline. Protect your capital. 💹