Gold Trading Stategy for 24th June 2025📈 GOLD INTRADAY TRADE STRATEGY
🟢 BUY SETUP
Entry Trigger: Buy only if price closes above the high of a 15-minute candle and sustains above ₹3396.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: ₹3408
🎯 Target 2: ₹3420
🎯 Target 3: ₹3432
Stop Loss: Below ₹3385 (or below candle low – manage as per your risk)
🔴 SELL SETUP
Entry Trigger: Sell only if price closes below the low of a 15-minute candle and breaks below ₹3347.
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: ₹3338
🎯 Target 2: ₹3326
🎯 Target 3: ₹3317
Stop Loss: Above ₹3360 (or above candle high – manage as per your risk)
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
📊 Trading in commodities involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
💼 Always do your own research and consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
💰 Use strict risk management and avoid over-leveraging.
GOLD.F trade ideas
XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout Bullish Momentum Incoming!🔄 XAU/USD Double Bottom Breakout 💥 | 🚀 Bullish Momentum Incoming!
Analysis:
🟡 Double Bottom Pattern: Two clear lows have formed around the $3,340 support, signaling a potential reversal.
🟦 Accumulation Zone: The price consolidated in a range, indicating strong buying interest before the breakout.
🟣 Bullish Momentum: Recent aggressive bullish candles show strong buying pressure.
📈 Breakout & Retest Zone: If the price holds above $3,370, a bullish continuation toward $3,409 and possibly $3,445 is expected.
🧭 Target Area: Marked with a blue box, the upside potential is clearly projected.
Conclusion:
A successful retest of the breakout level may lead to a strong bullish run. Keep an eye on $3,370 as the pivot zone. 🎯
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (4-Hour Chart)
The provided chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 23, 2025, at 21:50 UTC, offers a technical trading setup with the following key observations:
Current Price and Trend: The price is currently at 3,390.980, showing a slight decline of -0.495 (-0.91%) as per the latest data. The chart indicates a recent downward movement following a peak, suggesting a potential reversal or correction phase.
Entry Level: The suggested entry point is set at 3,391.103, slightly above the current price, indicating a buy opportunity if the price breaks or retests this level. This aligns with the recent price action near the resistance zone.
Stop Loss: A stop loss is placed at 3,440.000, providing a buffer above the recent high to protect against an upward breakout or false signal. This level is approximately 48.897 points above the entry, representing the maximum risk.
Target Levels:
Target 1: 3,360.000, a conservative first target approximately 31.103 points below the entry, aligning with a support zone.
Target 2: 3,298.316, a deeper target indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend.
Target 3: 3,250.000, the furthest target, suggesting a significant move if the momentum sustains.
Price Action and Pattern: The chart highlights a potential descending pattern (labeled 1 to 5), with a notable drop from a peak (2) to a lower level (3), followed by a retest (4) and a projected decline to (5). This could indicate a bearish continuation or a corrective wave.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (48.897 points) compared to the targets (e.g., 31.103 to 141.103 points) suggests a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for Target 3, making this a potentially attractive trade setup.
Conclusion
This setup anticipates a bearish move from the entry level of 3,391.103, with defined targets and a stop loss to manage risk. Traders should monitor the price action around the entry level for confirmation and be cautious of any unexpected bullish reversal given the recent volatility.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis – Bulls Defending Key🔥Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis – Bulls Defending Key Support!🛡️📊
📅 Date: June 23, 2025
⏱️ Timeframe: 4H
💱 Pair: XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar)
📉 Current Market Structure:
Gold is currently hovering around a critical support zone near $3,365 – $3,388, marked in blue. The price has shown repeated bullish rejections (green arrows) from this zone, indicating strong buyer interest.
🔍 Key Levels:
🔵 Support Zone (Demand Area):
$3,365 – $3,388 → Holding firm, tested multiple times
Buyers are actively defending this level
A break below may lead to bearish continuation
🔴 Immediate Support Levels:
$3,341
$3,294
$3,242 (major fallback support)
🟡 Resistance Zones (Supply Area):
$3,402 (recent rejection point)
$3,427
$3,449
$3,495 (major swing high)
📈 Market Outlook:
✅ Bullish Bias as long as price holds above the $3,365–$3,388 support range
❗However, price is consolidating within a tight range, awaiting breakout confirmation
🔄 Scenarios to Watch:
Bullish Breakout: Above $3,402 may trigger a move toward $3,427–$3,495 🚀
Bearish Breakdown: Below $3,365 could lead to a drop toward $3,294–$3,242 🔻
📊 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range-bound structure with bulls currently defending a critical zone. A breakout in either direction will determine the next leg of momentum. Stay alert for volume spikes and candlestick confirmations! 🧐📌
💬 "Support is tested, pressure is building – the breakout could be explosive!"
🔔 Watchlist Active ✅
📍Trade Safe & Stay Informed!
Gold 28 points profit booked today buy on dip newr supportHow My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Insightful Dive into Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-MinuteHistorical Flow: The chart tracks the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) price action on a 15-minute timeframe from June 22 to June 24, 2025. The price climbed steadily until around 21:00 on June 23, followed by a noticeable drop, suggesting a potential shift from an upward trend to a corrective phase along a descending trendline.
Key Levels:
Stop Loss: Positioned at $3,382.374 (red line), serving as the upper threshold to exit a short position if the price reverses.
Entry: Marked at $3,370.510 (gray line), indicating the optimal entry point for a short trade near the trendline break.
Target 1: Set at $3,365.880 (green line), the initial profit-taking level below the entry.
Target 2: Aimed at $3,346.664 (green line), offering a deeper profit zone.
Target 3: Projected at $3,335.066 (green line), the furthest target for the short trade.
Support: The $3,321.57 level (green line) acts as a potential support if the downward move continues.
Recent Price Action: The price reached a high near $3,382.374 and then breached the downtrend line (highlighted with a yellow circle), signaling a shorting opportunity. As of 18:27 UTC on June 23 (11:57 PM IST, June 23, 2025), it has declined to $3,360.330, reflecting sustained bearish momentum.
Projected Movement: The downward trajectory suggests a potential drop to Target 1 at $3,365.880, with possibilities of reaching Target 2 at $3,346.664 and Target 3 at $3,335.066 if the bearish trend holds. A move above $3,382.374 could indicate a bullish reversal.
Volume and Indicators: The chart features Bollinger Bands (O3,360.030 H3,363.990 L3,359.245 C3,360.330) with a -0.240 (-0.01%) change, pointing to low volatility. The trendline break hints at increased selling pressure, though specific volume data is unavailable.
Outlook: This chart supports a shorting strategy with a defined entry and stop loss. The price is currently in a bearish phase following the trendline break, with targets at $3,365.880, $3,346.664, and $3,335.066. Watch for a break above $3,382.374, which could signal a shift to a bullish trend.
Gold XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting $3,454.65Price: $3,384.41
Strategy: Buy/Long
🟦 Key Levels:
Entry Zone: Around $3,345.76
This level aligns with a previously tested support zone marked in purple.
Stop Loss: $3,331.56
Below the support zone, providing downside protection if the setup fails.
Target (TP): $3,454.65
Marked as EA TARGET POINT, suggesting a potential upside of 3.16% (~$105.83 gain).
📊 Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages:
200 EMA (blue): Near the entry level, adds strength to the support zone.
50 EMA (red): Recently crossed below price, indicating early bullish momentum.
Price Action:
Sharp bounce from support suggests buying interest.
Potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming, which is a bullish reversal pattern.
🧠 Trade Idea:
Buy near $3,345.76,
Stop Loss at $3,331.56,
Take Profit at $3,454.65
Risk/Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3.3 — favorable setup for long positions.
Fibonacci extension, sell gold 3375Plan XAU day: 23 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains its bearish tone during the first half of the European session, although it lacks strong momentum due to mixed fundamental signals. The US attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities on Sunday increases the risk of a wider conflict in the Middle East and reinforces the US Dollar's (USD) position as the global reserve currency. In addition, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish stance is seen as another factor supporting the greenback and putting downward pressure on the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, using extended fibonacci to find selling points to adjust wave 4 on H1 frame
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3375 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAUUSD –Bounces from support, watching PMI & Powell for breakoutGold is recovering from the 3,357 zone – the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the H4 chart, with the FVG area around 3,365–3,375 acting as near-term support. The higher-lows structure remains intact, indicating the medium-term uptrend is still in play.
On the news front, the US Flash Manufacturing PMI is expected to decline, and Fed Chair Powell is set to testify before Congress. If dovish signals emerge, gold could see a strong push higher.
Strategy: Consider buying around 3,357–3,365 if confirmation appears, targeting 3,443.
Do you think gold has the momentum to break through this resistance zone?
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart
Historical Trend: The chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe from June 21 to June 24, 2025. The price followed a downtrend, defined by a descending trendline, after peaking around $3,367.574, with a recent decline toward $3,367.255 as of 16:04 UTC on June 23.
Key Levels:
Stock Loss: Set at $3,360.820 (red line), indicating the upper limit to exit a short position if the price reverses upward.
Entry: Positioned at $3,367.574 (gray line), marking the entry point for a potential short trade near the trendline.
Target 1: $3,375.557 (green line), the first profit-taking level above the entry.
Target 2: $3,388.090 (green line), the second profit-taking level for a larger gain.
Support: The $3,390.915 level (green line) acts as a potential support zone if the downtrend continues.
Recent Price Action: The price approached the downtrend line and showed a rejection, forming a potential shorting opportunity (highlighted with a yellow circle). The price is currently testing the $3,367.255 level, suggesting continued bearish momentum after breaking below the entry zone.
Projected Movement: The downward projection suggests the price could decline toward the $3,360.820 stop loss level if the bearish trend persists. A break below this could lead to further drops, while a bounce might target the $3,375.557 or $3,388.090 resistance levels.
Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O3,367.260 H3,367.810 L3,366.747 C3,367.255) with a -0.040 (-0.00%) change, indicating low volatility. The trendline break suggests selling pressure, though specific volume data is not detailed.
Outlook: The chart outlines a shorting strategy with a clear entry and stop loss. The price is in a bearish phase, with potential targets at $3,375.557 and $3,388.090 if the downtrend continues. Monitor for a break above $3,360.820 to reassess the trade, as it would signal a bullish reversal.
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-Minute ChartHistorical Trend: The chart displays the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) price movement on a 15-minute timeframe from June 22 to June 23, 2025. The price experienced a sharp decline from a peak around $3,369.447, followed by a potential reversal pattern.
Key Levels:
Stop Loss: Set at $3,369.447 (red line), indicating the upper limit to exit a short position if the price reverses upward.
Entry: Positioned at $3,362.463 (gray line), marking the entry point for a potential short trade after the peak.
Target 1: $3,353.009 (green line), the first profit-taking level.
Target 2: $3,340.915 (green line), the second profit-taking level.
Target 3: $3,323.157 (green line), the final target for the short trade.
Recent Price Action: The price peaked near $3,369.447 and began a downward move, forming a potential shorting opportunity (labeled 1-5). The chart suggests a bearish pattern with the price breaking below a support level, followed by a retest (2) and continuation downward (3, 4). The current position (5) indicates the price is approaching Target 1.
Projected Movement: The downward projection suggests the price could reach Target 1 at $3,353.009, with potential to hit Target 2 at $3,340.915 and Target 3 at $3,323.157 if the bearish momentum persists. A break above $3,369.447 would invalidate the short setup.
Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O3,362.860 H3,363.070 L3,361.747 C3,362.295) with a -0.615 (-0.02%) change, indicating low volatility. The pattern suggests a momentum shift, though specific volume data is not detailed.
Outlook: The chart outlines a shorting strategy with clear entry and exit levels. The price is currently in a bearish phase, with potential targets at $3,353.009, $3,340.915, and $3,323.157. Monitor for a break above $3,369.447 to reassess the trade, as it would signal a bullish reversal.
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside.
📌 Key Observations:
📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles).
🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal.
🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone.
🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones.
📈 Conclusion:
If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation.
✅ Trading Plan Suggestion:
Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance
SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330)
TP: 3,453 zone 🎯
🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
XAUUSD 23/06 – Bears Losing Steam as FVG Zone Returns to PlayXAUUSD – Gold Sets Up for a Strategic Bounce Amid Fed Dovish Shift and Yield Retreat
📊 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL INSIGHTS – WEEK AHEAD
Gold enters the final week of June with renewed investor focus amid softening Fed rhetoric and weakening US Treasury yields. Here's what Indian traders need to watch:
🔻 Fed Signals & Rate Cut Bets Rising
Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech and comments from FOMC members will shape the tone. Market now prices in a 65% probability of a rate cut in September, according to CME FedWatch.
If Powell leans dovish, expect renewed demand for non-yielding assets like gold. Conversely, hawkish surprises may pressure prices downward.
📉 US Dollar and Bond Yields Losing Momentum
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is retreating after peaking, while 10-year yields hover near 4.23% but fail to break higher.
Weakening yields and profit-taking on the dollar strengthen the safe-haven narrative for gold, particularly attractive to Indian investors during times of global volatility.
🌍 Geopolitical Tensions & Capital Flow Rotation
Ongoing concerns in the Middle East, Ukraine, and Indo-Pacific increase gold’s appeal as a hedge.
Institutions have started rotating capital from equities to safe-haven assets. ETF inflows and central bank reserves—particularly from China and India—underline long-term accumulation.
🧠 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – STRUCTURE & SENTIMENT
On the H1 chart, XAUUSD remains within a broader descending channel but has printed a potential reversal setup from the BUY ZONE (3327–3325).
The recent drop filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG), offering strong confluence support.
Price action shows early signs of accumulation with bullish divergence on RSI and price holding above the trendline support.
Immediate resistance is seen at 3355–3360, with stronger supply anticipated near the SELL ZONE (3398–3400), aligning with a high-timeframe trendline.
🎯 TRADING PLAN – UPDATED FOR SHORT/MEDIUM TERM
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3327 – 3325
SL: 3320
TP: 3330 → 3335 → 3340 → 3345 → 3350 → 3355 → 3360 → ???
This zone aligns with key structural support and the base of FVG. A break above 3360 may trigger acceleration toward 3375–3390.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3398 – 3400
SL: 3405
TP: 3395 → 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370 → 3360
Ideal area to fade potential spikes driven by news or sentiment. Look for rejection wicks or RSI divergence before entering.
⚖️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
With central banks tilting toward easing, gold may reclaim dominance as a macro hedge. India’s gold imports are expected to increase if prices consolidate below 3350. Patience and discipline around key zones are critical—let price validate direction.
Gold responds to Mid east crisis, clocks $3389 and retests $3352As war between Iran and Israel witnesses sudden entry of the US, escalation fears cause spike in Gold prices opening with a gap up reaching $3389 only to return to local demand zone $3352
Bulls will have to defend $3352-3348 in order to maintain uptrend while strong break is needed to clear through immediate hurdle $3368-$3372
If Gold finds enough buying support above $3368-$3372, next immediate resistance comes at $3378-$3384-$3388 followed by $3395
It is important to note that failing to hold above $3352-$3348 will expose lower areas $3328 below which next support is seen located at $3308
Gold Gap Up But Range Remains IntactThe price is still facing resistance at that key 3385 level we talked about in our weekly analysis video. This 3385 level is our monthly pivot (marked with the red arrow), and it's crucial for the gold bulls to not just break above this level but also sustain above it. Only then can we expect to see some fresh buying momentum kick in.
On the downside, we've a solid support zone around 3350-3360 that's worth keeping an eye on.
We did see a gap-up opening this morning, which is due to the ongoing war situation creating some safe-haven demand for gold. However, from price action perspective, gold is still trading within its range, and we need to wait for breakout from this range .
Until this range breaks definitively one way or the other, . No point in forcing trades when the market is clearly telling us it's still deciding which direction to go.but above 3360 level bulls are still in control (on Daily close).
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd June 2025📈 GOLD TRADING STRATEGY 💰
Based on 15-Minute Candle Breakout
🟢 Buy Setup:
✅ Buy Above: 15-min candle high close above $3383
🎯 Targets:
🔹 1st Target: $3394
🔹 2nd Target: $3407
🔹 3rd Target: $3419
📍 Confirmation: Wait for candle to close above $3383
🔴 Sell Setup:
❌ Sell Below: 15-min candle low close below $3354
🎯 Targets:
🔹 1st Target: $3342
🔹 2nd Target: $3330
🔹 3rd Target: $3318
📍 Confirmation: Wait for candle to close below $3354
👤 V. Ramakrishnan
🪐 Astro-Trading Analyst
🔍 Specialist in decoding individual horoscopes to identify trading potential and financial opportunities.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Always conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management. Past performance or astrological assessments do not guarantee future results.
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis For June - 23 - June 27 ~~ Fundamental Analysis ~~
Key Drivers
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. However, recent U.S. delays in decisions regarding Iran conflict involvement have led to investor hesitation, contributing to the current narrow trading range.
Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%–4.5% on June 12, 2025, with no immediate rate cuts signaled. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that tariffs could increase inflation, potentially capping gold’s upside in the short term. A hawkish Fed stance could pressure gold prices, while global policy easing could support bullish momentum.
U.S. Dollar Strength: A recovering U.S. dollar has exerted downward pressure on gold, as seen in recent pullbacks from highs above $3,450.
Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. labor market data (e.g., May data) and inflation reports (e.g., core PCE price index) could influence gold prices. Rising inflation expectations may drive XAU/USD toward higher prices.
China’s Economy: A weakening Chinese economy due to U.S.-China trade tensions could reduce gold demand, while a recovery could bolster prices.
Long-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: Continued global policy easing, escalating geopolitical conflicts, or a recovering Chinese economy could push gold toward $3,500 or higher in 2025, supported by safe-haven flows.
Bearish Case: Easing geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, or a hawkish Fed could lead to declines toward $3,000
Refer Chart for your reference
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
xauusd chart analysis for trade 23/06/2025The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
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Gold Trading Strategy on Monday✅Gold trend on Friday showed a "roller coaster" fluctuation, fluctuating downward in the Asia-Europe session, and rebounded rapidly after a second dip to around 3340 in the US session. The daily line finally closed with a cross K-line with upper and lower shadows, indicating that the divergence between long and short positions has intensified.
✅In terms of news, the US military dropped six bunker-buster bombs on Iran's Fordow nuclear facility on Saturday. If the news is true, it means that the United States may formally intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict, and the situation in the Middle East may further escalate. Gold is expected to open higher on Monday next week due to risk aversion.
✅Technical analysis:
The oscillating trend for several consecutive days shows that the market is digesting the resonance of news and technical structure. The cross star pattern closed on Friday, reflecting the balance of power between long and short positions, but considering that the support below is still strong, if there is a fundamental catalyst in the future, it may usher in a directional breakthrough. The support below focuses on the 3350-3355 area, and the resistance above focuses on the 3385-3395 area.
✅From the hourly chart, gold formed a small double bottom structure near 3340, and the European session fell back to form a low point. The US session fell again but failed to break, and then rebounded and strengthened, forming a typical double bottom pattern. If the neckline of 3360 is effectively broken in the future market, the double bottom will be established, and the target can be seen in the 3380-3390 area.
✅The current 3360 line is the short-term long-short watershed. If the price holds the 3340-3342 support area during the retracement, it can be regarded as a short-term stabilization signal. If the Asian session rises strongly next Monday, you can choose to go long after the US and European sessions fall back.
🔴Upper resistance: 3385-3395
🟢Lower support: 3350-3355
✅Long order strategy:
🔰If the Asian session opens directly high and rises, you can wait for the US and European sessions to fall back to the 3355-3345 range to arrange long orders, with the stop loss below 3340 and the target at 3365-3385;
🔰If the price directly breaks through 3360 and stabilizes, you can aggressively chase longs, with the target above 3390.
✅Short order strategy:
🔰If gold approaches the 3385-3395 area and there is an obvious stagflation signal, you can short with a light position, with the target back to 3360-3355 and the stop loss above 3398.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart
Historical Trend: The chart displays the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) price movement on a 15-minute timeframe from June 19 to June 22, 2025. The price was in a clear downtrend, defined by a descending trendline, until a recent shift.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $3,395.724 level (green line) has emerged as a significant resistance following the breakout. A break above this could confirm further upside.
Support: The $3,350.743 level (red line) acted as a major support during the downtrend and was recently breached upward.
Recent Price Action: The price broke above the downtrend line (highlighted with a yellow circle and labeled "TREND LINE BREAKOUT" in red), indicating a potential reversal. This breakout occurred around 12:00 on June 21, followed by a sharp upward move into a consolidation zone (light green).
Projected Movement: The upward projection (blue arrow) suggests the price could target levels around $3,380.00-$3,400.00 if the breakout momentum continues. The consolidation above $3,350.743 supports the bullish outlook.
Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O3,368.320 H3,369.500 L3,367.660 C3,368.750) with a -0.360 (-0.01%) change, indicating low volatility. The breakout suggests increasing buying interest, though specific volume data is not detailed.
Outlook: The trend line breakout signals a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Maintaining above $3,350.743 is crucial for the uptrend to continue. A failure to hold this level could see the price retest the downtrend line or lower supports. Monitor for confirmation of sustained momentum above resistance.
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
Gold updated levels this week we again get good profit How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone