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XAU/USD 4H – Strong Breakout from ConsolidationGold has broken out above its descending resistance line and is now trading at $3,447, reaching fresh highs. The breakout also cleared the key resistance at $3,409, turning it into immediate support. 📈 Price is well above the 200 EMA ($3,357), confirming strong bullish momentum. 📊 Indicators: RSI (14): At 81, showing overbought conditions — momentum is strong, but a short-term pullback cannot be ruled out. ADX (14): At 34, indicating a strengthening trend. 🔺 Bullish Scenario: As long as Gold holds above $3,409, continuation towards $3,460 and beyond remains likely. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A rejection at current highs could trigger a retest of $3,409 or even the EMA zone near $3,357. ⚡ Momentum favors the bulls, but caution is warranted with RSI in overbought territory.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by sooryakanthsuresh
August 28 Gold AnalysisAugust 28 Gold Analysis > Market expectations of rate cuts and political risks intertwined, sending gold prices volatile and rising, breaking through the $3,400 mark. Fundamental Analysis 1. Fed policy expectations dominate market sentiment Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish stance at the Jackson Hole symposium continues to influence the market. He stated that "downside risks to employment are increasing" and that "a shift in the balance of risks may require adjustments to our policy stance," which the market interpreted as a strong signal that the Fed could cut interest rates as early as September. The market is pricing in over an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. This expectation of a rate cut provides short-term support for gold prices. However, New York Fed President Williams emphasized that "rate cuts are data-dependent," suggesting that the Fed may remain cautious if economic data does not support this. 2. Political risks exacerbate market uncertainty US President Trump's intervention in the Federal Reserve has reached historic levels. On August 25, Trump fired Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing allegations of mortgage fraud. This marks the first time in the Federal Reserve's 111-year history that a president has removed a board member, raising serious concerns about its independence. Cook, through his lawyer, responded that Trump "has neither the legal basis nor the authority" to remove him from office and stated that he "will continue to fulfill his responsibilities to stabilize the U.S. economy." This incident not only reinforced market expectations for a rate cut but also attracted safe-haven buying, supporting gold prices. 3. Economic Data and US Dollar Trends The US dollar index is currently under pressure, retreating to a one-week low near 98.19. A weaker dollar makes dollar-denominated gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, indirectly supporting gold prices. III. Technical Analysis From a daily perspective, gold's rebound continues to rise, with strong short-term fluctuations. The moving average system shows a bullish alignment, and the overall trend remains volatile and strong. Gold prices remain at the upper limit of the recent oscillating triangle pattern. Whether it can effectively break through the downward trend line of 3414-3425 will be crucial. Gold's downward support could be at the 5-day moving average at $3385, marking the current intraday low and the recent breakout point for gold's rebound. Furthermore, focus on the middle Bollinger Band at $3362 and the 3360-3362 area, where the 10-day and 20-day moving averages converge. Upward resistance could be at $3410. Further gains could target the July high of $3440. Technical indicators show a golden cross between the 5-day moving average and the MACD, and between the KDJ and RSI. Short-term technical indicators suggest continued bullishness. IV. Trading Strategy Recommendations Based on the current market environment, we recommend a volatile trading strategy. Downward support could be at $3385 and $3362, while upward resistance could be at $3400. If gold prices stabilize in the 3380-3385 ​​area, consider a long position with a stop-loss below 3370 and a target of 3400-3405. If it breaks through, you can partially reduce your position, and focus your remaining positions on the 3414-3425 area. If gold prices break through 3414 and hold, consider buying with the trend, targeting 3425 or even higher. If gold prices unexpectedly break below the 3373 support level, it would signal a weakening of short-term bullish momentum and the market could enter a period of correction. For cautious investors, we recommend waiting and waiting for gold prices to effectively break through key resistance (3414-3425) or support (3360-3362) and then enter the market when the direction is clear. You can also monitor the market reaction to the release of US economic data tonight before making any decisions. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Hits $3408, Bulls Targeting $3450Gold Reclaims $3400 psychological mark. Dollar Index drops to 98.10 Markets cautious ahead of Initial Jobless Claims data release. Immediate hurdle is $3415 followed by $3420-$3450 Immediate support $3392-$3386 crucial for Bullish momentum. Fundamental drivers Gold bullish momentum is getting strong boost by Fed rate cut expectations in September meeting and PCE data ahead which works as important inflation gauge. Also, upcoming Initial Jobless Claims release is awaited which may significantly influence Dollar and Gold prices. Rising political tensions from concerns on Fed's autonomy and independence threatened by Trump's strong actions and face off keeps Dollar under pressure and boosting Gold demand for safe haven. Technical drivers Gold remains undisputed favourite bet for buying the dips and retracement towards $3384 attracted buyers again, reclaiming the psychological mark of $3400. Bulls need to clear through immediate hurdle $3415 to extend advance towards $3420-$3430 above which next upside targets are positioned at $3438 followed by $3450-$3465. Major upmove will target a new All Time High around $3545-$3568. On the flip side, a strong break below $3350 will invalidate the immediate bullish momentum calling for drop to ascending trendline support $3330 before any new attempt to rise.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
1
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 1, 2025: Gold reversed its decline and surged to its weekly target, boosted by U.S. PCE data and concerns about Fed independence. Fundamentals: Gold prices reversed course in the U.S. trading session last week, erasing all losses and rising to a new high. After the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report largely met expectations, the precious metal traded near $3,454, its highest level since June 16. The weakening dollar supported gold prices, while traders continued to bet on the Federal Reserve's monetary easing measures in September. Technical analysis: Gold prices, after breaking the 3,420 - 3,425 area, rose sharply to the 3,485 area and are heading towards the old ATH area of ​​3,500. We will now trade in an uptrend, waiting for a trading point at the combined support zones of MA, Fib and FVG. Important price zones today: 3,420 - 3,425 and 3,445 - 3,450. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3445 - 3447 SL 3442 TP 3450 - 3460 - 3480 - 3500. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422 SL 3417 TP 3425 - 3435 - 3455 - 3500. Wish you a new week of safe, effective trading and lots of profit.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by pigout
Spot Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience.Spot #Gold, Door Open for $3800, Need Patience. (Any Panic Buy on Dips). Gold’s price broke through an important level at $3,450, which experts call a “symmetrical triangle pattern.” This is a sign that gold might keep going up, continuing a trend that started earlier this year. After a strong two-month rise starting in February, gold took a break but now seems ready to climb again. Some experts think gold could reach $3,600 or even $3,800 soon, which would beat its previous high of $3,500 from April 22.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Neal_Bhai
7
August 27 Gold AnalysisAugust 27 Gold Analysis US President Trump announced he would fire Federal Reserve Governor Tim Cook, accusing him of misconduct in obtaining mortgages. This unprecedented action, if challenged in court, will test the limits of the president's power over an independent monetary policy institution. 01 Political Uncertainty Supports Gold Prices Trump's direct intervention in the Federal Reserve has created market uncertainty and stimulated safe-haven demand. Historically, such presidential action against Fed officials is rare, and this incident could trigger legal challenges and concerns about institutional stability. The Federal Reserve's status as an independent institution has been questioned, and investors have sought safe-haven assets. Gold, a traditional safe haven, has found support amid this political uncertainty. 02 Rate Cut Expectations Provide Upward Support Federal Reserve Chairman Powell hinted last week that a rate cut is possible at the September meeting, noting rising risks in the job market. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, the market currently prices an over 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September. 03 Economic Data and Market Focus Data on Tuesday showed that US durable goods orders fell 2.8% in July, compared to expectations for a 4% drop and following a 9.4% drop in June. While the data beat expectations, it still showed a continued slowdown in manufacturing activity. Investors are currently awaiting the revised US second-quarter GDP figures to be released on Thursday and the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) data on Friday. These data will provide further clues about the health of the US economy and may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. In particular, the PCE data, as the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, will have a significant impact on market expectations. Any signs of weakening inflation could reinforce expectations of rate cuts, thereby supporting gold prices. 04 Technical Bullish Pattern Maintained From a technical analysis perspective, gold quickly fell to a low of $3,351 before a strong rally. The daily candlestick chart closed strongly above the high, maintaining a strong bullish upward trend. Gold broke through another new high today. Although it has retreated slightly from its two-week high, the gold bulls remain the primary trend. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands and moving averages are both bullish, indicating that the technical bulls have the upper hand. Key support below is the 3370-3373 area. Intraday pullbacks to this level remain bullish. The short-term bullish stronghold is located near 3360. If the daily chart stabilizes above this level, a buying trend will continue. 05 Trading Strategy Gold's medium- to long-term outlook remains positive, supported by political uncertainty and expectations of rate cuts. Any pullback to support levels is likely to attract more buyers. Key resistance remains at the psychologically important $3400 level. A break above this level could open up opportunities for an upward move towards $3440. Trading strategy: Buy on dips with strict stop-loss orders. Market volatility may intensify, so closely monitor the development of the dispute between Trump and the Federal Reserve, as well as upcoming important economic data releases. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you a smooth trade!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Gold Plan 27/08 – Captain Vincent (IN)XAU/USD – Trump strengthens control over the FED, Gold consolidates near Storm Breaker 1. News Wave 🌍 Trump: “We will soon have majority control at the FED. Miran may be moved to another position with a longer term.” Trump: “I already have a candidate in mind to replace FED Governor L. Cook.” US Senate: Preparing hearings next week for Trump’s nominee – S. Miran . 👉 Message: Trump is consolidating power within the FED. Market fears FED losing independence → USD volatility rises, Gold benefits from safe-haven flows . 2. Technical Outlook ⚙️ Gold is approaching Storm Breaker 🌊 (3400 – 3402) , overlapping with resistance 3392 – 3406 → profit-taking likely . On H1, multiple FVGs remain unfilled around 3355 & 3330 → Price may correct to retest these supports before choosing direction. Intraday bias: Range-bound → Sell at resistance, short Buy at supports. 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Key Levels 🪙 Resistance (Kháng cự): 3406 – 3400 – 3392 (Storm Breaker 🌊) Support (Hỗ trợ): 3372 (Minor Shield 🛡️) 3355 (Quick Boarding 🚤 – Buy Scalp Zone) 3344 (Intermediate Shield 🛡️) 3330 (Golden Harbor 🏝️ – Main Buy Zone) 4. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔻 SELL at Storm Breaker 🌊 (Priority) Entry: 3400 – 3402 SL: 3408 TP: 3395 → 3393 → 3389 → 3386 → 33xx 🚤 BUY Scalp – Quick Boarding Entry: 3353 – 3355 SL: 3345 TP: 3358 → 3361 → 3363 → 33xx 🏝️ BUY at Golden Harbor (Strong Support) Entry: 3330 – 3332 SL: 3325 TP: 3335 → 3338 → 3341 → 33xx 5. Captain’s Note ⚓ "Gold today faces Storm Breaker 🌊 above, but multiple shields of support remain below. Smart traders will scalp quickly at Quick Boarding 🚤, or patiently wait for Golden Harbor 🏝️ to anchor safely."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
August 26 Gold AnalysisAugust 26 Gold Analysis The gold market is volatile but firm. Following yesterday's sharp rise, gold prices retreated slightly today, but are still holding key support levels. Spot gold is currently trading around $3,370 per ounce, down slightly from yesterday's two-week high of $3,378. Market forces are intertwined, and gold prices are expected to fluctuate around key technical levels in the short term, but the medium- to long-term bullish outlook remains unchanged. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Fed Policy Expectations Dominate Market Sentiment Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a clear dovish signal at the Jackson Hole symposium, opening the door to a September rate cut. Powell focused on the "strange equilibrium" in the job market, noting that the simultaneous slowdown in labor supply and demand suggests accumulating downside risks. While he continued to warn of inflationary uncertainties, he explicitly stated that "a shift in the balance of risks may require a policy response." This statement caused the market's probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September to surge from 75% to 90%. Expectations for the cumulative rate cuts by year-end were also revised upward. Powell's speech placed the labor market at the center of policy decisions, downplaying the impact of recent higher-than-expected inflation data. 2. Political Pressure and Concerns About the Fed's Independence It is worth noting that Powell's dovish stance may, in part, reflect political pressure. Given that US President Trump and the Treasury Secretary, among others, have strongly urged the Fed to cut interest rates significantly, Powell faces unprecedented pressure. Trump also reiterated his threat to fire Fed Governor Timothy Cook if she does not resign, raising concerns about the Fed's independence. This political interference in the central bank has weakened market confidence in the US dollar as a reserve currency, becoming a key driver of the decline in the US dollar index and indirectly supporting gold prices. 3. Economic Data and Market Focus Market focus has shifted to upcoming US economic data, which will have a significant impact on gold's short-term performance: - Today: July durable goods orders data will be released. Following a sharp 9.3% drop in June, the market expects a further 4% drop. Positive data could boost the US dollar and weigh on gold prices. - Thursday: Revised second-quarter GDP figures will be released, with the initial estimate of annual growth at 3%. Downward revisions are bearish for the dollar and supportive for gold, while upward revisions are the opposite. - Friday: July's core PCE price index (the Fed's most closely watched inflation indicator) will be released. This data will directly impact the strength of expectations for a rate cut. A higher-than-expected reading will cast doubt on the urgency of rate cuts and weigh on gold prices; a lower-than-expected reading will reinforce expectations of easing and drive a rebound in gold prices. 4. The US Dollar and US Treasury Yields Decline Following Powell's speech, the US dollar index fell sharply, 0.96%, to 97.66. US Treasury yields also fell across the board, with the two-year yield plummeting 10.2 basis points to 3.69% and the 10-year yield falling to around 4.259%. A steepening yield curve reduces the cost of holding gold, enhancing its appeal. 5. Geopolitical Risks Provide Support Geopolitical tensions continue to provide safe-haven support for gold prices: - Trade Tensions: Trump's tariff policy continues to escalate global trade tensions. The United States has imposed an additional 25% tariff on India, bringing the total tariff rate to 50%. - Russia-Ukraine conflict: The escalating tensions have also provided some safe-haven support. Trading Recommendations - Aggressive investors: Initiate long positions in batches when gold prices fall back to the $3,360-3,368 support area, with a stop-loss below $3,350 and a target of $3,385-3,400. - Conservative investors: Wait for gold prices to effectively break through $3,400 before entering long positions, or enter medium- to long-term long positions if they fall back to $3,340-3,350. - Risk Management: Ensure stop-loss orders are set appropriately to avoid the risks associated with volatile market fluctuations around the release of data. Maintain position management during trading and avoid trading without risk management. Trade with caution and manage risk effectively! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
Part 2 Trading Master Class With ExpertsOptions in Indian Markets In India, options are traded on NSE and BSE, primarily on: Index Options: Nifty, Bank Nifty (most liquid). Stock Options: Reliance, TCS, Infosys, etc. Weekly Expiry: Every Thursday (Nifty/Bank Nifty). Lot Sizes: Fixed by exchanges (e.g., Nifty = 50 units). Practical Example – Nifty Options Trade Scenario: Nifty at 20,000. You expect big movement after RBI policy. Strategy: Buy straddle (20,000 call + 20,000 put). Cost = ₹200 (call) + ₹180 (put) = ₹380 × 50 = ₹19,000. If Nifty moves to 20,800 → Call worth ₹800, Put worthless. Profit = ₹21,000. If Nifty stays at 20,000 → Both expire worthless. Loss = ₹19,000.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
August 25 Gold AnalysisAugust 25 Gold Analysis Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's dovish signals, coupled with geopolitical risks, pushed gold prices to a two-week high, but technical indicators suggest that gold prices will face a test of key resistance levels in the near term. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Fed Policy Expectations Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium was a key factor influencing the gold market. Powell clearly signaled a rate cut, hinting at a possible September cut, which provided strong support for the gold market. His speech not only allayed market concerns about inflation but also ignited investors' eager anticipation for a September rate cut, driving a strong rebound in gold prices. Powell emphasized the growing downside risks in the job market and stated that the impact of tariffs on inflation would be relatively short-lived. He also announced a new monetary policy framework, returning to a flexible inflation targeting framework. Market expectations for a September Fed rate cut continue to build, providing structural support for gold. 2. Geopolitical Risks Geopolitical uncertainty also provides safe-haven support for gold. Trump has set a two-week deadline to decide whether to impose sanctions on Russia, coupled with the recent escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Geopolitical risk events such as the Russian military attack on a US-owned factory in western Ukraine have significantly increased the geopolitical risk premium. As a geopolitical risk hedge, gold often performs strongly during periods of tension in conflict-ridden regions such as the Middle East and Eastern Europe. 3. Technical Indicator Performance From a technical perspective, gold bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle at key price levels: - Upward Resistance: Strong resistance lies in the $3,380-3,400 range, with $3,385 being the core resistance level on the daily chart and $3,400 being the psychologically significant round number. - Downward Support: Initial support lies at $3,358 per ounce, with more critical support lying in the $3,345-3,334 range. The red momentum bar in the MACD indicator is shrinking, and the fast and slow lines are converging, suggesting the possibility of a death crossover, but the price remains in strong bullish territory. The RSI is also above its mid-axis, indicating strong bullish momentum. Despite a short-term correction, fundamentals suggest a bullish bias for the day. Market Outlook and Investment Strategy 1. Short-Term Outlook The gold market is likely to remain volatile in the short term, with the $3,380-3,400 resistance range becoming a key battleground for both bulls and bears. Positive factors include expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks supporting gold prices. Negative factors include gold approaching key technical resistance levels and weak physical gold demand in Asia. 2. Investment Strategy We recommend a cautiously optimistic approach, focusing on key positions: - **Long Opportunity**: If gold prices retrace to the $3,358-3,360 range and show signs of stabilization, consider a small long position with a stop-loss below $3,355, targeting $3,370-3,375. **Short Opportunity**: If gold prices rebound to the $3374-3375 range but fail to break through, consider a small short position with a stop-loss above $3381 and a target of $3366-3364. Trade with caution and manage risk. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout: Buy Dips Toward $3,409 Target📊 XAU/USD (Gold) – 2H Analysis Gold has just broken out of its descending channel, showing a clear change of character (CHOH) around the $3,348–$3,358 support zone. This breakout suggests bullish momentum is taking control after weeks of compression. Key Observations: ✅ Support Zone: $3,348–$3,358 is now a strong demand zone (previous rejection area flipped to support). ✅ Moving Averages: Price is above both the EMA 70 ($3,342) and EMA 200 ($3,346), strengthening the bullish bias. ✅ Projection: A potential continuation rally toward $3,409 (major liquidity target). ⚠️ Risk: If the support zone fails, price could re-test $3,334 or even $3,326. Trading Plan (Short-Term): Entry (Buy): Around $3,358–$3,348 (support retest). Stop Loss: Below $3,342 (under EMAs). Target 1: $3,390 Target 2: $3,409 👉 In summary: Gold is in a bullish reversal phase, and buying dips into the support zone offers the best risk-reward setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
Money and Mind in Trading1. Introduction Trading is often viewed as a battle between the trader and the market. But in reality, the market is neutral—it doesn’t care about you, your opinions, or your predictions. The true battle is internal, between your money (how you manage your capital) and your mind (how you handle emotions and psychology). Think about this: A trader with a brilliant strategy but poor money management will eventually lose all capital. A trader with enough money but a weak mindset will panic and make irrational moves. Only when money management and psychological discipline align, can trading become consistently profitable. Thus, the formula for success in trading can be summarized as: Trading Success = Money Management × Mind Management × Strategy 2. The Role of Money in Trading a) Importance of Capital Money is the fuel of trading. Without adequate capital, even the best strategies can fail. Undercapitalized traders often take excessive risks to make meaningful returns. Well-capitalized traders can afford patience, better position sizing, and discipline. For example, if you only have ₹10,000, risking ₹5,000 on a single trade feels tempting but dangerous. With ₹10 lakh, you can risk just 1% per trade and still earn consistently without emotional stress. b) Risk Management Risk management is about protecting capital first and focusing on profits second. Golden rules: Never risk more than 1-2% of capital per trade. Always set a stop-loss before entering. Diversify trades instead of going “all in.” This ensures survival. Because in trading, survival = opportunity to win tomorrow. c) Position Sizing Position sizing determines how much to trade given your account size and risk tolerance. Formula example: If you have ₹1,00,000 capital and risk 1% per trade (₹1,000), and your stop-loss is ₹10 per share, you can buy 100 shares (₹1,000 ÷ ₹10). This systematic approach removes emotional guessing. d) Compounding and Capital Growth The real wealth in trading comes from compounding small gains consistently. A trader making 1% per week can grow capital by over 67% annually (with compounding). Patience + consistency beats “get rich quick.” e) Common Money Mistakes in Trading Over-leverage (borrowing excessively to trade). No risk/reward planning. Chasing losses (“revenge trading”). Putting all money in one stock/option. Trading without capital backup (no emergency funds). Money mistakes often lead to psychological pressure, which worsens decision-making. 3. The Role of Mind in Trading If money is the fuel, then the mind is the driver. Even with perfect capital management, a weak mindset can wreck results. a) Psychology of Decision-Making Trading decisions are influenced by: Fear – “What if I lose?” Greed – “Let me hold longer for bigger profit.” Hope – “Maybe it will recover.” Regret – “I should’ve sold earlier.” These emotions distort rational thinking. b) Common Psychological Biases Overconfidence Bias – After a few wins, traders feel invincible. Loss Aversion – People hate losing ₹1 more than they enjoy gaining ₹1. Confirmation Bias – Seeking news that supports your view while ignoring opposite evidence. Gambler’s Fallacy – Believing a losing streak must end soon. Recognizing these biases helps neutralize them. c) Discipline Factor Discipline = Following your trading plan no matter what. Without discipline, traders exit winners too early and hold losers too long. With discipline, traders follow stop-loss, stick to risk per trade, and wait for setups. d) Patience vs Impulsiveness Great trades don’t appear daily. Impulsive traders overtrade, while patient traders wait for high-probability setups. As Jesse Livermore said: “It was never my thinking that made me money. It was always my sitting.” e) Building Mental Resilience Trading is stressful because of uncertainty. To build resilience: Accept that losses are part of the game. Detach ego from trades. Focus on the process, not outcome. Develop habits outside trading (exercise, meditation, journaling). 4. The Money-Mind Connection Money and mind are deeply linked in trading: Lack of money → stress, fear, over-leverage. Too much greed for money → reckless decisions. Emotional mind → bad money management. Example: A trader with ₹20,000 risks ₹10,000 in a single option trade. Why? The mind says: “I need quick profits.” But when the trade goes against him, fear takes over and he exits at maximum loss. This is the money-mind trap. Thus, the solution is balance: Adequate capital. Strict money management. Calm psychology. 5. Practical Framework: Money + Mind Balance Here’s a practical blueprint: Step 1: Define Capital Rules (Money) Risk per trade: 1% of account. Risk per day: 3% max. Keep emergency funds separate. Step 2: Define Psychological Rules (Mind) Accept losses without revenge trading. No overtrading after big wins. Stick to trading hours and avoid burnout. Step 3: Journaling Keep a trading journal tracking not just trades, but also your emotions. Example: “Exited early due to fear.” “Didn’t follow plan because of greed.” This self-awareness improves both money and mind management. 6. Case Studies & Examples Case 1: The Undisciplined Trader Rahul starts with ₹50,000. He risks ₹20,000 on a single option trade. It fails. Capital halves. In desperation, he doubles down and loses everything. Lesson: Poor money management + emotional revenge trading = wipeout. Case 2: The Disciplined Trader Meera starts with ₹1,00,000. She risks only 1% per trade. She loses 5 trades in a row, but her account is still ₹95,000. On the 6th trade, she wins 5R (₹5,000). Net balance: profit. Lesson: Risk control and patience protect the trader until a winning streak comes. 7. Conclusion: The Balanced Trader’s Blueprint Trading is not just charts, patterns, or strategies. It is a test of two inner resources: Money – How you allocate, risk, and grow your capital. Mind – How you manage emotions, discipline, and psychology. Without money, you can’t trade. Without the right mind, you can’t trade successfully. Together, they form the foundation of long-term trading success. The secret is not to chase quick riches, but to survive, grow steadily, and let compounding work. And survival comes only when your money rules protect your capital and your mind rules protect you from yourself. In short: Master the money, master the mind, and the market will reward you.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
9
Gold Plan 22/08 – Captain Vincent ( IN )Background On the H1 timeframe , Gold continues to move sideways within the 3328 – 3350 range, sweeping liquidity again and again, making it difficult for retail traders to spot a clear trend. Currently, Gold has absorbed almost all liquidity from the Nonfarm FVG . Therefore, the next price action will largely depend on smart money moves and upcoming news catalysts . Even though the overall trend is still unclear, we can still build trading setups around these key levels . 🪙 Key Levels 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3368 – 3370) SL: 3376 TP: 3365 → 3360 → 3355 → 3350 → 33xx 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3313 – 3315) SL: 3305 TP: 3320 → 3325 → 3330 → 33xx 📌 Trading Outlook On higher timeframes, sellers still hold the advantage . However, Gold may need to test resistance zones again to confirm. If price reaches Storm Breaker 🌊 → Watch for reaction and prepare to Sell. If price drops to Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Strong support remains for short-term Buy opportunities. ⚓ Captain Vincent’s Note "When the sharks sweep the waves, retail traders panic. But those holding the key level map will always know where the safe harbor lies."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
Gold after FOMC: Just a pullback or the start of a new wave?[Background After the early morning FOMC session , Gold is showing signs of a sell-side pullback to gain momentum. On higher timeframes (H4–D1), the structure remains bearish with lower highs . However, consistent buying pressure around 3320 – 3330 keeps this zone as the key battlefield . 🪙 Key Levels Today 🔹 Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3357 – 3355) SL: 3362 TP: 3350 → 3345 → 3340 → 33xx 🔹 Tidal Rebound 🌊⚡ (Sell Scalp 3349 – 3347) SL: 3353 TP: 3345 → 3340 → 3335 → 33xx 🔹 Quick Boarding 🚤 (Buy Scalp 3330 – 3328) SL: 3322 TP: 3335 → 3337 → 3339 → 3341 🔹 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3320) SL: 3313 TP: 3325 → 3330 → extend further 📌 Trading Scenarios After FOMC, the market may show rebound waves . During Asia–Europe, price may consolidate between 3345 – 3357 . If price tests Storm Breaker 🌊 → Prioritise Sell setups in line with the main bearish trend. If price drops to Quick Boarding 🚤 or Golden Harbor 🏝️ → Short-term Buy scalps on pullback moves. 📰 Market Context FED remains dovish leaning , with high probability of a rate cut in September (~82%, CME FedWatch) . Geopolitical variables (Trump–Putin, Ukraine) remain unpredictable and may spark sudden volatility. ⚓ Captain’s Note "Let Storm Breaker 🌊 test the buyers’ strength. Those who board at Golden Harbor 🏝️ will be lifted by the waves, but those who drift into the storm will soon feel the sea’s fury."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Under Pressure: Can XAU/USD Hold 3,335?Hi everyone, looking at the 2H chart, gold is still stuck between 3,330 – 3,350 USD. The Ichimoku cloud remains heavy, and price keeps hovering in the FVG zone, reflecting hesitation. The key support is around 3,335 USD, but buyers are showing little strength. On the upside, the 3,360 – 3,380 USD area is a strong resistance block that gold hasn’t been able to break. On the news side, optimism around Russia–US talks has reduced geopolitical risk, cutting safe-haven demand. This, combined with the Fed minutes this week that may strengthen the USD, puts additional pressure on gold. Main view: Gold is likely to face more downside pressure. If 3,335 USD breaks, the next target could be 3,310 USD. For now, I don’t see gold in a position to rally strongly until new drivers emerge. Personally, I don’t think this is the moment for gold to break out strongly. It seems more likely that we’ll see a pullback first, before a new catalyst from the Fed or geopolitical developments comes into play. What do you think—could gold slip below 3,335 USD this week?
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaChartist
3
Gold Consolidates Ahead of FOMC Liquidity SweepGold is currently moving within a narrow range, with downside pressure becoming increasingly evident. With just over a day left before the FOMC meeting – an event that could shape the next major trend – the market seems to be preparing for a sharp liquidity sweep. 👉 At first glance, price action looks frustrating and unclear. But for traders following MMFLOW KeyLevels, this is actually the “golden range”, as key zones continue to hold with remarkable precision. 📉 Today’s Outlook Main Trend: Ongoing corrective downside move. Potential Scenario: A deep liquidity sweep towards the 331x zone before a strong bullish rebound. 🔑 Key Trading Levels SELL Zone: 3340 – 3345 | Short SL: 4 – 5$ 🎯 Targets: 3325 → 3317 → extended 3310 📌 Note: Manage risk tightly and watch reactions around KeyLevels – a single BreakOut move post-FOMC could unlock the next major opportunity. ✨ Once again: KeyLevels = Profits ✅ 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily KeyLevel strategies, liquidity maps & smart money insights
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
August 19 Gold AnalysisAugust 19 Gold Analysis The market awaits the Fed's policy signals, with gold fluctuating and consolidating in the $3,320-3,350 range, awaiting a directional breakthrough. Market focus is on the upcoming Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting (August 21-23). Fed Chairman Powell's speech may provide clear directional guidance for the gold market. Analysis of Influencing Factors 1. Macroeconomic and Policy Expectations The US Producer Price Index rose 0.9% month-over-month in July, far exceeding the expected 0.2%, indicating that underlying inflationary pressures in the US remain strong. This data has led the market to lower its expectations for the extent of the Fed's September rate cut—the probability of a 50 basis point cut has decreased, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut has risen to 93%. The market still expects an 85% probability of a September Fed rate cut, with two 25 basis point cuts expected in 2025. This adjustment in expectations provides medium- to long-term support for gold, but limits short-term upside potential. 2. Geopolitical Risks Easing Signs of easing tensions between Russia and Ukraine are emerging: Trump is pushing for preparations for the "Puzer meeting," and Ukraine has stated it no longer insists on a ceasefire as a prerequisite for negotiations. This development has significantly weakened safe-haven demand, and if the peace process continues, gold prices may face further pressure. However, geopolitical uncertainties remain in areas such as the Middle East and the Korean Peninsula, and a escalation in tensions could trigger safe-haven buying. 3. US Dollar and US Treasury Yields The US dollar index rose 0.3%, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 4.337%. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold, limiting any rebound in gold prices. Technical Analysis Daily Chart Gold prices have recently been volatile, trapped within a complex moving average system. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is near $3,352/oz, providing dynamic upward resistance for gold prices. The 100-day moving average provides key support near $3,307.10/oz. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the neutral 50 zone, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears. The daily chart suggests a rebound has stalled, with bears temporarily in the driver's seat. The 4-hour chart The Bollinger Bands are converging, with candlestick patterns frequently trading near the middle band. Gold prices are poised to test the previous low of $3,323.60/oz. The MACD indicator is crossing near the zero axis, with alternating green and red momentum bars, indicating a fierce market tussle between bulls and bears. Technical indicators are below their midlines, indicating a neutral to bearish trend. Key Levels Support: $3,323.60/oz (recent low); $3,307.10/oz (100-day moving average); $3,295.80/oz (minor support). Resistance: $3,352.00/oz (20-day moving average); $3,372.30/oz; $3,389.85/oz. Trading Strategy Short Opportunities: Entry range: $3342-3350 (aggressive) or $3355-3360 (conservative buying). Stop-loss placed above $3365. Target range: $3325 → $3320; breakout targets $3307-3300. Long Opportunities: Entry range: $3316-3320 (small position for a trial long position) or $3307-3298 (strong support zone). Stop-loss placed below $3308. Target range: $3335 → $3345. Trade with caution and manage risk! Wish you good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily357538