Gold Trading Strategy for 17th June 2025🟡 GOLD XAUUSD - INTRADAY STRATEGY 🔁
📅 Date: June 17, 2025
📈 Type: Price Action-based Buy/Sell Setup
🕘 Session: Suitable for London / US Market Hours
🟢 BUY SETUP - Long Trade Opportunity
📌 Condition:
🔼 Enter Buy only above the high of the 1-Hour Candle,
✅ After a 1-Hour candle closes above 3405.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 🎯 3413
Target 2: 🎯 3426
Target 3: 🎯 3438
🔒 Stop Loss: Just below the 1-hour candle low (Dynamic – Based on setup)
💡 Ideal for momentum breakouts and bullish sentiment continuation.
🔴 SELL SETUP - Short Trade Opportunity
📌 Condition:
🔽 Enter Sell only below the low of the 15-Min Candle,
✅ After a 15-Min candle closes below 3365.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 🎯 3350
Target 2: 🎯 3338
Target 3: 🎯 3322
🔒 Stop Loss: Just above the 15-min candle high (Dynamic – Based on setup)
💡 Suitable for breakdown traders catching the bearish wave.
🧠 Tips for Execution:
Confirm breakout with volume and trend alignment.
Avoid false breakouts—wait for candle close confirmation.
Use appropriate risk-reward (at least 1:2).
Stay updated with macroeconomic events 🗓️ (e.g., Fed speeches, CPI data).
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
💼 Trading in commodities and forex involves high risk.
💸 Always consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
🚫 We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis.
GOLD.F trade ideas
Gold 18 points profit booked on buy trade now holding buy again How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations:
Support Zone:
Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move.
Targets:
Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669.
If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351.
Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone.
Indicators:
The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact.
Gold faces Resistance at $3450, Drops to $3382, What Next..?Gold extended bullish rally to reach $3451 during early Asian session trading and soon retail traders preferred booking profits while sporadic news about possible truce in middle east caused a healthy retracement towards key support zone reaching $3382 which sits close to 4 hourly 50 EMA $3372
Markets are also counting on the uncertainty about Fed's rate decision in the view of inflation numbers.
Price continues to remain bullish as long as bullls defend $3372 while challenge sits at immediate resistance $3400-$3410 supply cluster followed by essential break above $3420 to continue moving higher and $3450 remains key conflict area between Bulls and Bears.
If sellers take control, break below $3382 will prompt drop to 4 hourly 50 EMA $3372 below which more decline may be witnessed towards $3362-$3342 followed by $3320
Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab?🟡 XAUUSD 16/06 – Gold Drops After Asian FOMO: Bull Trap or Liquidity Grab?
After a strong bullish rally in the Asian session driven by fear-based headlines and war news, gold (XAUUSD) suddenly reversed sharply — confusing many retail traders who jumped in late. But when we look deeper into price behavior and volume, the story becomes clearer...
📌 Key Fundamental Insights
🔸 Geopolitical headlines (war tensions, assassination attempts) triggered a FOMO rally in gold early in Asia.
🔸 However, the lack of follow-through volume suggests this may have been a bull trap—a smart money strategy to unload positions into emotional buying.
🔸 Big funds could be reallocating capital temporarily from gold into:
🔹 Stocks (tech & value sectors are correcting attractively)
🔹 Oil (Middle East tension = higher oil price = strong institutional interest)
🔍 Technical Outlook (M30 Chart)
The technical structure shows a textbook liquidity play:
🔻 Price spiked into resistance at 3456, then reversed
🧊 EMAs (13/34/89/200) are flattening → signs of potential bearish crossover on M15–M30
📉 Volume has been declining → confirms exhaustion of the FOMO move
📦 A large Fair Value Gap (FVG) sits below current price, acting as a magnet for liquidity
🎯 Strategy Setup
Scenario 1: BUY from FVG (Liquidity Reclaim)
Entry: 3383 – 3385
SL: 3377
TPs: 3386 → 3390 → 3394 → 3398 → 3402 → 3406 → 3410+
Structure favors a bounce from this zone if confirmed by price action during London or NY sessions.
Scenario 2: SELL if price re-tests 3456–3458
Entry: Only on clear rejection
SL: 3462
TPs: 3452 → 3448 → 3444 → 3440 → 3435 → 3430
⚠️ Avoid shorting blindly — only trade confirmed rejections with strong candle setups.
Market Psychology Right Now
Big players may be unloading gold to rotate into oil and equities
Asian FOMO = retail got trapped
Volume profile shows imbalance: market likely seeking liquidity lower before moving higher again
📝 Final Thoughts
Gold is in a volatile reaccumulation zone. Rather than chasing price, it’s better to let the market come to your planned zones. The 3383–3385 zone will be critical. If it holds, we may see a solid bounce into next week.
Discipline beats emotion. Respect your SL and stick to the zone logic.
📌 Follow for intraday updates. Will post re-entry plan during London session if price reacts early.
Accumulate and then hit 3500 soonPlan XAU next week: 16 June - 20 June 2025
Related Information:
Recently, US President Trump told Axios that Israel’s attack could help him reach an agreement with Iran. He urged Iran to make a deal, adding, 'There has already been great death and destruction, but there is still time to bring this slaughter to an end, with the next planned attacks expected to be even more brutal.'
The University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment report for June showed that households are becoming more optimistic about the economy. The Sentiment Index increased from 52.2 to 60.5, while inflation expectations declined for both the one-year and five-year outlooks—from 6.6% to 5.1%, and from 4.2% to 4.1%, respectively.
personal opinion:
Gold prices will tend to accumulate at the beginning of the week around 3400, news of Middle East tensions will push gold prices back to 3500 by the middle of next week.
Important price zone to consider :
sell point: 3500, 3536
buy point: 3410, 3376
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAUUSDPrice action trading is a methodology in financial markets where traders make decisions based on the actual price movements of an asset over time, rather than relying heavily on technical indicators or fundamental analysis. It involves observing and interpreting patterns and trends in price charts to predict future price movements.
GOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern ForminGOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern Forming 🟢📈
📊 Chart Analysis:
The chart shows a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal signal:
🔹 Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder – Marked with orange circles, both found support near the 3,263 level (purple line), suggesting strong buying interest at this zone.
🔹 Head – The lowest point in between the shoulders, also bouncing from support.
🔹 Resistance Zone – Marked with red arrows around 3,500–3,520. This zone has rejected price action multiple times in the past.
🔹 Support Zone – Marked below 3,200, where previous consolidation and buying took place.
📈 Projected Move:
The neckline breakout suggests a potential move toward the 3,520+ level. A minor pullback is expected before continuation. If price breaks above resistance, we could see a strong bullish rally.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3,263 🟩
Resistance: 3,500–3,520 🟥
Potential Target After Breakout: 3,550+ 🎯
✅ Bias: Bullish above 3,263 support
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below the neckline would cancel the bullish setup
GOLD (XAU/USD) – Day Trade Analysis – June 16, 2025Gold currently trades around $3,429 after rejecting from the $3,441 zone, which has now turned into a clear new resistance. The recent rally into this zone was driven by panic buying, not rooted in organic demand, as highlighted in the chart. This weak rally structure suggests limited sustainability unless new panic triggers emerge. The HVZ BASE (High-Volume Zone Base) near $3,380 will act as the critical support zone. If price revisits this zone and panic fades, we may see a bearish breakdown below it.
Three key intraday scenarios emerge:
A return to the HVZ base, followed by deeper downside continuation if the panic sentiment disappears.
A choppy range between $3,380–$3,441, with multiple whipsaws, trapping both longs and shorts.
A sharp spike above $3,441 only if panic resurges, pushing price toward the $3,460–$3,480 region quickly.
The dominant bias remains neutral to bearish unless a fresh wave of geopolitical panic reignites another vertical rally.
Gold Trading Strategy for 16th June 2025🟡 GOLD ($) – INTRADAY TRADING PLAN
📅 Date: 15 June 2025
📊 Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
🟢 BUY SETUP – Bullish Breakout
📌 Condition to Enter:
👉 Buy above the high of a 15-minute candle, if price closes above $3451
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3462
✅ Target 2: $3478
✅ Target 3: $3491
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Place SL below recent swing low or around $3442
🕒 Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart Confirmation
📈 Expect quick momentum if price sustains above $3451 with volume.
🔴 SELL SETUP – Bearish Breakdown
📌 Condition to Enter:
👉 Sell below the low of a 1-hour candle, if price closes below $3414
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3402
✅ Target 2: $3390
✅ Target 3: $3378
🛑 Stop-Loss:
Place SL above recent swing high or around $3422
🕒 Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart Confirmation
📉 Ideal for a trending downside move once $3414 is breached and sustained.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
💡 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading in commodities like gold is risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Always use strict stop-loss, manage your capital, and consult with a registered financial advisor before trading.
GOLD: Further levels using Elliott Wave TheoryWe successfully forecasted the path of gold in our post on May 12th.
Now, GOLD is looking like it's entering an impulse wave.
Wave (1) of this impulse was completed on 23rd May. The price then falls between the zone 38.2% and 50% to form wave (2). This was also predicted by us.
Currently, GOLD is in wave (3).
Now, to get the targets of wave (3), we have two possibilities.
1. Wave (3) goes to 100% and then reverses. This case is of the Terminal impulse. And the further path of GOLD can be predicted later.
2. Wave (3) goes to 161.8% (minimum). This is the case of Trending or normal impulse. And further path of GOLD can be predicted accordingly.
For now, GOLD is looking like going to touch at least the 100% (3490.81) level.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is not any buying recommendations.
I Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD June 16, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 timeframe, price is forming a 5-wave structure (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) in green, with the market currently in wave 4.
Last Friday, after breaking above the 3444 high, price failed to continue toward 3482 and instead reversed lower. This behavior suggests that wave 4 is developing as a Flat correction in black abc structure.
👉 Based on this outlook, wave c is expected to complete around 3314, marking the end of wave 4 in green. From there, a bullish impulse is anticipated to complete wave 5.
🔎 Momentum Overview
D1 timeframe: Momentum is rising → indicating the dominant trend for early this week is likely bullish.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is declining → supporting the scenario that wave c of wave 4 may still have one more leg down.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is about to turn downward → suggesting a potential drop during the Asian session on Monday.
🚨 However, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could trigger unexpected price spikes, especially during the Asian session.
📈 Trade Plan
Buy Zone: 3415 – 3412
Stop Loss: 3405
Take Profit 1: 3444
Take Profit 2: 3482
GOLD PRICES STEADY AHEAD OF US CPI & TRADE TALKSSymbol - XAUUSD
CMP - 3324
Gold is currently testing the liquidity zone during the Asian trading session, exhibiting signs of a potential false breakout. While the metal is showing signs of recovery, the broader fundamental backdrop remains uncertain.
As of Monday, gold is trading steadily around the 3300 level, supported by a weaker US dollar and cautious sentiment among market participants ahead of upcoming US-China discussions and the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data scheduled for Wednesday. Robust Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) figures for May have strengthened the dollar and diminished expectations for a near term FED rate cut. Nonetheless, ongoing domestic challenges in the US are exerting downward pressure on the currency. Investors are repositioning ahead of the CPI release.
From a technical standpoint, the trend remains bullish. Although the price previously breached structural support, it has rebounded during the Asian session following a false breakdown of both the order block and the 3300 liquidity zone. Price action in the near term will be influenced by the 3300–3335 range.
Resistance levels: 3325, 3343, 3375
Support levels: 3303, 3275
Gold appears to be approaching the 3325–3335 zone for a potential retest. Should the dollar continue to weaken and gold sustain a move above the 3340 level, the bullish momentum may persist. However, caution is warranted-a false breakout within the 3325–3335 area could signal a breakdown of the bullish structure and result in a renewed downward move.
XAUUSD – Uptrend, waiting for pullback to enterGold is moving within an ascending channel on the 3-hour timeframe. After touching the resistance zone at 3,445–3,460, XAUUSD shows signs of consolidation and is likely to correct down to the support zone at 3,390–3,400 — aligning with the trendline and EMA34.
Strategy:
Watch for buying opportunities around the 3,390–3,400 zone when there are confirmation signals.
Target: 3,445–3,460, and potentially up to the 3,480–3,500 zone.
Stop loss if price falls below EMA89 (3,352).
Supporting news:
U.S. CPI data for May came in lower than expected (0.0% vs 0.1%) → Raises expectations of an earlier Fed rate cut → Supports the gold uptrend.
Gold booked 80 points profit alao holding buy 3422,new ATH comeHow to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
Gold 4 hour Elliot Wave AnalysisThe current state of the market shows that we are in Wave 3. This is currently at 1.618 of Wave 1 possibly making one alert to near the end of this. This is being confirmed by liquidity sweep on the 1 hour time frame at the top. We can enter Wave 4 which shows a 500 pip decline to near 3380 levels. Post this we will start Wave 5 which can take us to 3515 levels which will be Fibonacci extension of 1 of Wave 3. After this it is possible to see a big fall. Will update when we get there.
BulishBased on the weekly Gold Spot / USD (XAUUSD) chart you provided, here’s a breakdown and trading plan for next week:
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Chart Analysis (Weekly Timeframe)
1. Current Price: $3,432.835
2. VWAP: $3,391.072 – The price is above the VWAP, indicating bullish strength.
3. Support Level: $3,357.775
4. Resistance Zone: Around $3,446.89 (orange box zone)
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI: 70.30 (purple), 72.60 (yellow) – This suggests overbought conditions.
6. Trend:
Price is in a strong ascending channel.
Bullish candles dominating recent weeks.
7. Volume: 2.41M – Healthy, no sharp drop indicating exhaustion yet.
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📈 Trading Plan for Next Week (June 17–21, 2025)
✅ Bullish Scenario (Preferred Trend-Continuation Play)
If the price holds above $3,390–$3,400 and consolidates:
Entry: On a minor pullback near $3,400–$3,410
Target 1: $3,446 (recent high/resistance)
Target 2: $3,500 (upper trendline)
Stop-Loss: Below $3,357 (confirmed breakdown of support)
❌ Bearish Reversal (Cautious Scenario)
If the price breaks below $3,357.775:
Entry: On retest and rejection from $3,357
Target: $3,300 then $3,250 (towards lower channel boundary)
Stop-Loss: Above $3,390 (VWAP and structure invalidation)
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⚠️ Important Notes
RSI Overbought: Might cause short-term pullback.
FOMC/US Data Events: Be aware of upcoming economic events that can drive volatility.
Watch how price behaves around $3,432–$3,446. Failure to break out could trigger short-term profit booking.
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🔁 Summary
Bias Action Entry Zone Target(s) SL
Bullish Buy on dip or breakout $3,400–$3,410 $3,446 / $3,500 < $3,357
Bearish Sell if break below support < $3,357 $3,300 / $3,250
Gold 80 points booed again holding buy at 3422, Monday New ATH How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
XAUUSDThis is also a type of consolidation.Symmetrical Triangle in the chart, we can see that neither the buyers nor the sellers could push the price in their direction. When this happens we get lower highs and higher lows.
As these two slopes get closer to each other, it means that a breakout is getting near.
We don’t know what direction the breakout will be, but we do know that the market will most likely break out. Eventually, one side of the market will give in.
We can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows of the symmetrical triangle.
Since we already know that the price is going to break out, we can just hitch a ride in whatever direction the market moves.
So, I enter with target 3750