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GOLD.F trade ideas

Bulls Back in Action Next Stop 3700?Gold finally waking up after a quick nap and it’s breaking out of triangle it was stuck in. Eyes on 3650, the key level to watch. A strong higher-timeframe (H4 or daily) close above this level can open doors for the next leg up, with this week’s high around 3675 as the first target or higher 3700 for main target. Support at 3620–3625 looks solid, giving bulls a strong base to defend. No rejection signals yet, trend still looks healthy and bulls clearly aren’t ready to let go of control just yet.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection. • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday) • Entry: 3,643 – 3,645 • Stop Loss: 3,650 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,620  TP3: 3,600 👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone. 🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,688 – 3,691 • Stop Loss: 3,696 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,680  TP2: 3,670  TP3: 3,660  TP4: 3,650  Open: 3,625 👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep • Entry: 3,595 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,615  TP2: 3,625  TP3: 3,635  TP4: 3,645  Open: 3,685 👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645 • Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691 • High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592 Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold is currently in a period of profit-taking.Gold is currently in a period of profit-taking. As shown in Figure 2h: 1: Clearly, gold prices have fallen after two consecutive days of positive news. The motivation is clear: gold has reached a record high, and everyone is taking advantage of the good news to sell. 2: Important CPI data will be released today, and everyone is waiting to see whether gold prices will show any new momentum after the release. This is already very clear. Even if the data is positive, the likelihood of gold prices reaching new highs is low. I still maintain my view that gold prices will struggle to reach new highs this week. 3: Gold prices need some time to breathe and adjust, and the specific technical pattern is: wide range fluctuations. Strategy Analysis: 1: Buying low remains the mainstream strategy. 2: Focus on the next important price support levels: 3620: (Current support level, range: 3620-3660) 3600: (Current support level, important round number support level) Many people ask whether round number support levels are useful. It's like if you go to the supermarket and see the same item priced at $1,000 and $999.9, you'll definitely choose the $999.9, right? This is the core logic behind round-number support and resistance levels. People always set a standard for judgment. 3580-3570 (Current Trend Support, Currently the Strongest Support Level) 3: You can certainly participate in short selling, but don't be overly bullish on your short position. Once a trend is established, it won't change easily. Intraday short selling is fine. 4: Strategy: Sell 1: 3630-3635 Stop Loss: 3645 Sell 2: 3650-3655 Stop Loss: 3665 Target Price: 3620-3600 Note: Short selling is suitable for intraday trading. Buy 1: 3620 Buy 2: 3600 Buy 3: 3580 Stop Loss: 3568-3570 Note: Long positions require a swing trading strategy and be prepared for long-term trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move. Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe. If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Trading Strategy for 11th September 2025Detailed trading plan — GOLD (15-min breakout rules) Raw rules : Buy: if a 15-minute candle closes above the high at $3658 → targets $3669, $3680, $3691. Sell: if a 15-minute candle closes below the low at $3619 → targets $3610, $3600, $3585. Execution & order types (step-by-step) A. Buy setup (how to enter) Wait for a 15-minute candle to close above the candle high at $3658. Entry options (choose one): Buy-stop: place a buy-stop at $3659 (one tick/point above the trigger) so the market enters if price continues up. Initial stop-loss: place stop below the low of the breakout 15-min candle (or a small buffer below that low to avoid noise). If you prefer a fixed buffer, use e.g. $0.50–$2.00 below that low depending on volatility. B. Sell setup (how to enter) Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below the low at $3619. Entry options: Sell-stop at $3618 (one tick below trigger), or market sell after the 15-min close. Initial stop-loss: place stop above the high of the breakout 15-min candle (or a small buffer above). DISCLAIMER (required) This is educational / informational only — not financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. You alone are responsible for any trades you place. Always test strategies in a demo environment, use appropriate position sizing, and consult a licensed financial advisor if you need personalized advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Plan - Waiting for a pullback to Buy safely | New ATH ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 09/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED : The probability of a September rate cut is now almost certain, reinforcing confidence that flows will continue moving into Gold. Dollar : Dropped to a 7-week low due to FED rate cut expectations, adding further support for Gold. US Economic Data : No major news today, the market focus remains on interest rates. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend. However, Vincent advises waiting for a pullback into support to Buy safely , avoiding chasing price at higher levels. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : Quick Boarding: 3654 – 3656 (Short-term Sell scalp) Storm Breaker Peak: 3673 – 3675 (Sell zone – potential new ATH) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : Buy Scalp Dock: 3615 – 3617 Main Golden Harbor: 3597 – 3599 (Strong support) Price structure remains bullish after multiple BOS – Break of Structure. Current highs may trigger short-term profit-taking waves before Gold pulls back to Golden Harbor and then rallies toward ATH 367x . 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority with trend) Buy Scalp: 3615 – 3617 | SL: 3598 | TP: 3620 → 3623 → 3626 → 3630 → 36xx Main Buy Zone: 3597 – 3599 | SL: 3589 | TP: 3660 → 3663 → 3666 → 3670 → 36xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Only at resistance) Sell Zone 1: 3654 – 3656 | SL: 3662 | TP: 3650 → 3647 → 3644 → 3640 → 36xx Sell Zone 2 – Storm Breaker Peak (ATH test): 3673 – 3675 | SL: 3682 | TP: 3670 → 3667 → 3664 → 3660 → 36xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The interest rate winds from the FED continue to power the Golden sails. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3597 – 3599) is the safe haven for sailors trusting the bullish tide. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3615 – 3617) is just a short ride before the voyage resumes. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3675) may bring big waves, but it’s only suitable for technical scalps – as the main current still carries Gold toward new highs.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
1
Gold's historic rally continues!Market News: In early Asian trading on Monday (September 8), spot gold prices fluctuated within a narrow range, currently trading around $3,597/oz. Influenced by exceptionally weak US non-farm payroll data, spot gold prices surged, reaching $3,600/oz in London, a record high. The market now believes there is approximately a 10% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Investors should be wary of the risk of a significant rate cut at this meeting. From a broader perspective, the fundamentals of international gold are exceptionally strong. Non-yielding gold has stood out in an environment of low interest rates and high uncertainty. This rally is not a flash in the pan; it is built on a solid foundation of multiple factors, including a weak US dollar and expectations of a global economic slowdown. Another major pillar of gold's gains is continued central bank buying. In addition to domestic US economic factors, international geopolitical turmoil has also provided strong support for gold. Gold traders are focused on this week's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. If progress is made in combating inflation, this will strengthen the case for a rate cut at the September 16-17 meeting. Market sentiment for rate cuts has reached its limit. A slight rise in the CPI may lead to temporary caution in international gold prices, but the overall bull market remains intact. Technical Analysis: Non-farm payroll data fueled gold buying, extending the trend structure and reaching a new all-time high. Spot gold prices hit another all-time high, posting their strongest single-week gain. Weak US non-farm payroll data further heightened expectations of a Fed rate cut, and amidst growing global economic uncertainty, gold's strong rally has gained new momentum. The weekly chart showed a strong bullish trend. After seven consecutive daily gains, the eighth candlestick formed a small bearish retracing line, retracing to the 3516 level. After a correction, the 5-day moving average regained support. Following Friday's positive non-farm payroll data, gold once again broke through its all-time high, reaching the 3600 mark, driven by the convergence of technical and fundamental factors. The daily candlestick structure remains a buy signal! Price is trading within the upper Bollinger Band, with the RSI nearing the 80-day mark. The latest 10/7-day moving averages are moving upward to 3498/35. The daily and weekly trends remain bullish, but the RSI is approaching overbought territory, prompting caution for potential corrections. On the four-hour chart, price is trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages remaining upward, maintaining its upward trend. The trading strategy for gold at the start of the week continues to be primarily buy-on-low. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3572-3575, stop loss at 3564, target at 3600-3620; Short-term gold sell at 3636-3639, stop loss at 3648, target at 3590-3570; Key Points: First Support Level: 3572, Second Support Level: 3555, Third Support Level: 3538 First Resistance Level: 3600, Second Resistance Level: 3616, Third Resistance Level: 3636
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
2
Gold (XAUUSD) 1:4 intraday buy scenario.Gold is in up move and forming a good buy scenario on 30/15-minute chart. It can be a very good intraday trade if everything goes as per plan. 1. 30/15m bullish FVG is pending and price is showing pull back towards it. 2. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG and OTE zone and create MSS in LTF. 3. Order flow confirming bullish bias. 4. Price should show rejection/reversal in LTF at FVG zone. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:4) trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by hari_log
Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360.Gold prices have entered a wide range of 3330-3360. As shown in Figure 4h: Gold prices remain strong today. Although gold prices fell sharply yesterday due to profit-taking, they have risen again today. The impact of news and sentiment has largely reversed. The market has returned to volatility, and gold prices are currently holding generally high around 3650 points. I believe gold is unlikely to break new highs today. The market needs a buffer zone for adjustment. Sideways trading at high levels is the most likely pattern for gold prices going forward. Based on this: For Wednesday's strategy, I believe we can try a short position. Sell: 3360-3370 Stop loss: 3380 Target: 3350- This strategy is for intraday reference only. With the revision of non-farm payroll data, tomorrow's CPI data will be a key focus. Gold prices are forming a converging ascending triangle pattern, and the possibility of an upside breakout remains high. This week, there's a strong chance that gold prices will break through the 3700-3750 range. Therefore, buying low remains the prevailing strategy. For this reason, it's crucial to clearly identify all key support levels. Currently, key support levels for gold are: $3640, $3625, $3600, $3580, and $3560. We can identify a high-probability range for gold price fluctuations: $3330-3360. Key support levels to watch: $3625-3630. I would most likely enter a position in this range. However, if a pullback breaks through this range, gold prices could fall to $3580-3560. Therefore, we should closely monitor this range when entering a position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPIXAUUSD – Trend Outlook Ahead of PPI Hello Traders, Gold has moved close to the Fibonacci 2.618 extension and immediately reacted at this level. Price has already broken through the most recent minor low of the previous uptrend, which in my view indicates a violation of the bullish structure. For a confirmed shift in trend, another leg would be needed to form a more sustainable structure. Still, the basis for a sell bias is already present. Fundamental Factor The US PPI data is due today, with forecasts at 0.3% compared to 0.9% previously. If this projection turns out correct, gold could see another strong upward push. However, my view is that the data may not be as weak as expected, so traders should carefully observe the market reaction to the release before making entries. Key Levels to Watch 3660: This level could be tested again and provide another reaction before a potential downward move begins. It remains the most attractive zone for initiating sell positions. 3318: Should gold confirm a Dow-style lower structure and break past old support, the deeper downside target may lie around this region. Trading Strategy The main strategy for today is to look for sell opportunities: Best entry area: around 3660, if price retests and reacts. Strong confirmation: once a candle closes below previous support, short positions can be taken with targets further down. For intraday traders, scalping opportunities may be considered within the corrective range left from the US session yesterday, as the market redistributes price action. This is my outlook on gold for today – use it as a reference and align it with your own strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs. For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Breaks New Highs, Momentum Still Favouring BullsHello everyones, The past week has been quite rewarding for gold as it surged through major resistance levels and printed fresh highs. On the H4 chart, the trend looks very clear: price action is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan sitting comfortably above Kijun, and the cloud slope widening further. Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled below, showing that buying momentum is powerful and liquidity is being left behind — a signature of a strong rally, not just a short-term move. In terms of price action, the immediate resistance lies between $3,535–3,560. A clean H4 close above this area may unlock the next natural expansion towards $3,580–3,600. On the downside, layered supports are found at $3,520–3,505, then $3,485–3,470, and deeper at $3,440–3,420, coinciding with the upper edge of the cloud, often tested during medium-term uptrends. Fundamentally, the environment still favours buyers: safe-haven demand is rising, the Fed is expected to ease policy sooner, and the USD is weakening, all adding fuel to the bullish case. Unless gold closes back into the cloud and loses the $3,440–3,420 zone, the probability of trend continuation remains high. Do you think gold can stretch further from here? Share your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Setup 🟢 Buy Setup Condition: Enter long above the high of the 1-hour candle that closes above $3655. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3667 🎯 Target 2: $3678 🎯 Target 3: $3689 🔴 Sell Setup Condition: Enter short below the low of the 1-hour candle that closes below $3616. Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3605 🎯 Target 2: $3595 🎯 Target 3: $3585 ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold or any financial instrument involves risk, including potential loss of capital. Please do your own research (DYOR) and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
2
“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650“XAUUSD – Strong Retracement From New All-Time High (ATH) 3650 Gold (XAUUSD) reached the all-time high resistance / PRZ zone (3645–3680) and immediately showed rejection signs, confirming this level as a high-probability reversal point. 📊 Technical Breakdown PRZ Rejection: The move above 3650 failed to sustain, indicating a liquidity grab and false breakout structure. Momentum Exhaustion: A parabolic advance from 3330 support into ATH left behind multiple imbalances (FVGs) that now attract price back down. Liquidity Dynamics: The rejection suggests buy-side liquidity has been taken, and the market may now seek sell-side liquidity below recent swing lows. Market Structure: Intraday structure shows early signs of a bearish shift, with lower highs forming under 3635–3625. 🎯 Downside Targets 3585–3578 → First corrective level (38.2% retracement). 3565 → Key midpoint of the rally. 3545–3516 → Liquidity + 61.8–78.6% retracement cluster. 3480–3460 → Previous consolidation base. 3330–3320 → Major high-timeframe support demand zone. ⚠️ Invalidation If buyers reclaim 3660–3680 with strong daily closes, the bearish retracement scenario will be invalidated, opening the path toward new ATH extensions. 📌 Conclusion: Gold’s rejection at 3650 ATH PRZ is a significant technical signal. Current order flow suggests a retracement phase toward 3580–3515, with potential extension to 3330–3320 key support if selling pressure persists.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mentor_Michael03
1
XAUUSD – Weekly Trading Plan: Bulls Still in Control MMFLOW TRADING PLAN XAUUSD Market View: Gold (XAUUSD) is trading exactly as expected from our weekly outlook. After the big Nonfarm push near $3600/oz ATH, price is consolidating around 357x–358x while holding the rising trendline. Both Daily and Weekly charts remain bullish, showing that buyers are still strong. The bias for this week stays upside, but volatility can come from key US data (PPI, CPI, Jobless Claims, UoM Sentiment). Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): Structure is bullish as long as price holds above 3550. If 3592 breaks cleanly → more upside towards 3620–3640+. If 3575 or 3530 breaks → expect a pullback before buyers return. Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3552 – 3550 | SL: 3544 | TP: 3556 → 3560 → 3565 → 3570 → 3575 → 3580 → ???? 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3573 – 3571 | SL: 3567 | TP: 3578 → 3582 → 3586 → 3590 → ???? 🔴 SELL SCALP: 3598 – 3600 | SL: 3604 | TP: 3595 → 3590 → 3585 → 3580 → 3570 → 3560 → ???? 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3631 – 3633 | SL: 3638 | TP: 3626 → 3622 → 3618 → 3614 → 3610 → 3600 → ???? Summary: ✅ Gold remains in a strong uptrend. 👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) – these levels will decide the next big move. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily setups and updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – GOLD 08/09 | Captain VincentObserving JPY & USD | Buy still holds dominance 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context This morning there were no major new updates. The US session tonight (08/09) will also not release big data. The latest impact on the market is Japanese PM S. Ishiba’s resignation , which pressured JPY downward and slightly lifted the Dollar. However, Gold only made a small correction and maintained strong stability. ➡️ Captain’s Summary: Dollar and JPY currently only have indirect influence, not enough to push Gold deeply lower. The main trend is still supported for a bullish rebound. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Captain’s Shield (Main Support): Golden Harbor OB: 3542 – 3549 Main Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 Storm Breaker (Resistance): Quick Boarding: 3602 – 3604 (Short-term Sell scalp) Storm Breaker Peak: 3632 – 3634 (Sell zone – may form a new ATH) ⏩ Price structure remains bullish (continuous BOS). Corrections are mainly liquidity grabs before pushing up to higher resistance zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Buy Zone: 3549 – 3551 | SL: 3542 | TP: 3553 → 3557 → 3560 → 3563 → 35xx Liquidity Dock: 3573 – 3575 | SL: 3565 | TP: 3578 → 3581 → 3583 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3602 – 3604 SL: 3610 TP: 3600 → 3597 → 3594 → 3591 → 3588 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – New ATH) Entry: 3632 – 3634 SL: 3640 TP: 3629 → 3625 → 3623 → 3619 → 361x ⚓ Captain’s Note “The golden ship sails steadily as the seas remain calm this morning, with no big news waves. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3549 – 3551) together with OB near 3542 is the safe anchorage for sailors riding the bullish trend. Liquidity Dock ⚓ (3573 – 3575) is just a temporary anchor before the bullish winds carry the ship further. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3602 – 3604) is for those who want to ride short-term waves. And if the ship touches Storm Breaker 🌊 (3632 – 3634) , it may be a new wave peak – but the grand journey is still headed North with the bullish sails full of wind.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689) • Entry: 3,687–3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,695 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,715+. 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656) • Entry: 3,654–3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,647 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,685 TP3: 3,700+ 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718) • Entry: 3,718–3,716 • Stop Loss: 3,725 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,710 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,690. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines.Go long on gold, but be wary of potential declines. Spot gold prices have hit consecutive record highs in the past hour. This strong rally is primarily driven by the following factors: 1: The market currently prices a 91.9% probability of another Fed rate cut in October. This expectation will depress the US dollar and real yields, thereby increasing gold's appeal. 2: Friday's release of US core PCE inflation data will be a key factor. If the data shows slowing inflation, it will further reinforce expectations of rate cuts, which will benefit gold. Key Support: Safe-Haven Demand: Ongoing geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainty are driving investors to allocate gold as a safe-haven asset. Currency Market Signals: Gold's rise is primarily driven by demand from central banks and Asia, while Western investors are also increasing their gold holdings through channels such as gold ETFs. Simply put, the current gold market presents a situation where "long-term logic is sound" and "short-term technical overbought" coexist. Key Strategy: Follow the trend, but be wary of pullbacks. The current market trend is bullish, so the strategy should primarily focus on buying dips, avoiding blindly speculating on tops and shorting. However, we must also be prepared for possible technical pullbacks. Buy on Dips (Primary Strategy) This strategy is suitable for entering the market when gold prices moderately retreat from their highs and find support before rising again. Timing of Entry: Best entry: When prices retreat to the $3705-3710 area (strong support during the Asian and European trading sessions) and a bullish candlestick pattern (such as a hammer or bullish engulfing candlestick pattern) appears on the 5-minute or 15-minute chart. Second option: Enter after a strong breakout above the previous intraday high (such as $3726), and a minor pullback confirms this move. A more conservative option: Enter if prices experience a deep pullback to the more critical support level of $3685-3695 (the resistance-turned-support level broken yesterday), then stabilize and rebound. Stop-loss Setting: Set your stop-loss $5-8 below your entry price. For example, if you go long at $3710, set your stop-loss at $3702. The absolute bottom line: Stop-loss should not be set below $3673 (the bull-bear watershed). If it falls below, the short-term trend may weaken. Target Price Levels: First target: $3730-3735 (a new all-time high to attract buying). Second target: $3740-3750 (a psychological round number). Use a trailing stop: As the price moves in your favor, gradually raise your stop-loss to protect your profits. Data Risk: Friday's US core PCE price index is the biggest variable.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan: Fresh Record Highs & Fibo Zone React📊 Market Context Gold regained strong bullish momentum on Monday, surging to a new record high above 3,720 USD/oz. The Fed’s dovish outlook, signaling the possibility of two additional rate cuts this year, continues to support non-yielding assets like gold. At the same time, geopolitical risks remain a tailwind for safe-haven demand. 🔢 Technical Analysis (H2) Immediate Resistance / SELL Zones: 3,818.769 – Key reaction zone where sellers may defend aggressively. 3,754.890 – Secondary SELL zone reaction area for short-term pullbacks. Mid-Level Support / BUY Zone: 3,694.521 – First key area to watch for dips and potential buy reactions. 3,660.130 – Stronger support level if price pulls back deeper. Major BUY Zone Reaction: 3,583.663 – Critical confluence of structure and Fibonacci support, a potential bounce zone if a major correction unfolds. 📈 Suggested Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup BUY: Look for pullbacks to 3,694–3,660 with bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,754 → 3,818, leave partial position open if momentum breaks higher. Stop Loss: Below 3,645 for safer positioning. 2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup SELL: Enter short at 3,754–3,818 zones only with strong rejection signals. Targets: 3,694 → 3,660, trail stops aggressively to lock profits. 3️⃣ Deep Correction Opportunity BUY: If price flushes to 3,583–3,585, consider scaling into longs. Targets: 3,660 → 3,754, aligning with the broader uptrend. ⚠ Key Trading Notes Expect increased volatility with Fed guidance and ongoing geopolitical risks. Use smaller position sizes near resistance zones and employ stop-loss discipline. Avoid mid-range entries; focus on well-defined zones for optimal risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion 📊 Will gold sustain its rally toward 3,818 or see a deep pullback before another leg higher? Share your charts and insights below so we can compare strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo