Elliot wave Gold price predictionIn my opinion that gold can hit 4700+ in next few months, as you can see my chart that circle wave 3 is going on and we are in 3 of 3rd wave right now so may be possible price will take pull back after hit 4230 or nearest it and wave 4of 3 will unfold after correction price will take bounce back near 3750 to 3700 then price will complete 5 of 3 and circle wave 3 should complete. its my idea not trading advise.
GOLD.F trade ideas
gold📊 Gold Daily — Bullish Momentum in Focus
Gold has been climbing steadily since mid-2024, forming a clean ascending channel.
The recent surge since September came with rising volume — a strong signal of increased buying interest and momentum.
Between June and August, we saw healthy consolidation with lower volume, suggesting accumulation before the breakout.
Now, all eyes are on the upper channel resistance.
If price breaks above it with strong volume, the rally could extend toward $4,200 and beyond — targeting measured moves or extrapolated resistance zones.
But if price gets rejected at the top, a correction may follow.
Key support levels to watch:
🔸 $3,800 (mid-channel)
🔸 $3,400 (lower boundary)
This setup offers a clear roadmap for both breakout traders and risk-aware swing strategies.
#Gold #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradingSetup #VolumeAnalysis #MarketStructure #Commodities #LearningInPublic
Gold 1H – Potential Liquidity Sweep Before Fed SpeechesXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold remains steady near ₹4,065, as traders eye upcoming U.S. PPI data and Fed officials’ speeches later today for new guidance on the inflation outlook.
The recent rise in Treasury yields has slightly capped gold’s upside momentum, but underlying safe-haven demand persists amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
If the PPI print shows softer inflation, gold could attract renewed buying; however, a hotter reading may spark another liquidity sweep lower before any sustained rally.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• ChoCH confirmed at 4060+, showing potential exhaustion in the current short-term uptrend.
• Price tapped the premium zone (4080–4078), aligning with previous liquidity and imbalance — ideal for a short-term sell setup.
• A BOS formed at 4017, opening the way for retracement toward the discount zone (3999–3997).
• The 3997–3999 area is a strong demand zone, overlapping with a prior ChoCH and liquidity void — a potential reversal area for bulls.
• Expect a liquidity grab at 3990 before a bullish reaction if structure holds.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4080–4078
SL: 4087
TP targets: 4040 → 4015 → 4000
🟢 Buy Setup: 3999–3997
SL: 3990
TP targets: 4035 → 4060 → 4100+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before triggering entries.
• Avoid over-leverage during Fed speech hours — price may fake out around liquidity levels.
• If price sweeps 4080 liquidity and rejects impulsively, partial short entries are favored.
• Conversely, if 3997 holds firm with strong bullish structure, watch for re-entry confirmation to ride the next expansion.
✅ Summary
Gold is currently playing within a premium-to-discount framework, as smart money may engineer a sweep of 4080 liquidity before driving price down toward 3997–3999 to collect buy-side orders.
After that, a strong bullish reaction is expected from the demand zone if macro conditions (like soft PPI or dovish Fed tone) support it.
Stay patient — structure confirmation is key before entering either direction.
Gold breaking new highs has become the norm, 4100 is within reacGold continues its bullish trend, breaking new highs as expected. Breaking new highs has become the norm for gold recently. So far, gold has reached a high of 4080 and is fluctuating around it. It is likely to reach 4100 tonight, and the current level of 4100 is within reach. Breaking new highs from above has become commonplace. Don't expect bears to hold out. After all, bulls are the main force. Looking at the hourly chart, various indicators are driving the bulls, and international news is also positive for gold prices. Therefore, we must maintain a bullish outlook for gold. Mr. Tian will also prioritize long positions. Keep an eye on the support at 4000. Trading strategies should focus on buying on dips.
Based on the 4-hour market trend, short-term support is currently at 4095-4100, with a focus on key support at 4075-4085. The bulls are rallying strongly and there is no end in sight. Trading strategies should prioritize buying on dips. In the intermediate range, be cautious and follow orders carefully, patiently waiting for key entry points. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
1. Buy gold at 4070-4080. Add to long positions if it dips back to 4060-65. Stop loss at 4060. Target at 4130-4150. Hold if it breaks through.
Gabling in Gold?
Technical View:
Gold has been moving within a rising channel, but the recent rejection from the upper boundary near $4,078 indicates potential exhaustion. The price has now broken below the immediate channel support, signaling the start of a corrective phase.
The CCI indicator has rolled over from the overbought zone, confirming loss of upward momentum. Volume analysis suggests weakening buying interest on each successive rally.
This structure favors a short-term pullback if $4,072 breaks decisively.
Macro View:
Broader macro sentiment remains mildly negative for gold in the near term:
• US Dollar Index (DXY) has regained strength, supported by higher US Treasury yields ahead of key inflation and retail sales data this week.
• Market expectations of an extended Fed pause are giving way to speculation of a “higher-for-longer” stance, keeping real yields positive — a headwind for non-yielding assets like gold.
• ETF inflows remain tepid, suggesting institutional money is cautious at current high levels.
• Additionally, oil price stability and easing geopolitical risk premium have reduced safe-haven demand for gold.
Together, these factors point to limited near-term upside for bullion.
Trade Setup:
• Action: Initiate short positions below $4,072 only on breakdown confirmation.
• Stop Loss: $4,091 (closing basis)
• Target 1: $4,055
• Target 2: $4,030
• Extended Target: $4,000
Execution Note:
The trade will be executed strictly as per the chart levels. It is possible that the entry level may not trigger today, in which case the setup becomes invalid and should be re-evaluated. No trade should be taken without price confirmation below $4,072.
Note:
Gold remains technically stretched, and the pattern breakdown aligns with a consolidative phase in global commodities. Short-term sentiment is tilting bearish unless the metal sustains above $4,091 on volume-backed strength.
XAU/USD: GOLD HITS NEW ATH! Buy or Sell Now?Gold (XAU/USD) is absolutely on fire, hitting a Fresh All-Time High (ATH) this morning! This massive breakout isn't random; it's a direct outcome of global risk factors lining up, making gold the ultimate safe haven:
🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trade War Reloaded: Trump's shocking 100% tariff threat on China exports has brought back major global uncertainty. Though he's softened his tone, the damage to sentiment is done, pushing money into gold.
⚠️ Geopolitical Heat: Warnings about sending Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine keep geopolitical tensions brewing, acting as a continuous tailwind for the metal.
🏛️ US Shutdown Drama: The ongoing US government funding deadlock is a big worry, further driving flight-to-safety flows.
✂️ Fed Rate Cut Confidence: High probability of Fed rate cuts in Oct/Dec (96%/87%) provides strong support, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Structure is Full-On BULLISH!
The price action today is textbook, showing exactly how Smart Money operates:
Liquidity Sweep & FVG: Price first wicked sharply below 4000 for a classic Liquidity Sweep—hunting weak hands' Stop-Losses—and created a temporary Fair Value Gap (FVG), before reversing with massive momentum.
Structural Break (BOS & MSS): This aggressive move resulted in a clean Break of Structure (BOS) above the old ATH at 405x, confirming a major Market Structure Shift (MSS). The trend is now unequivocally BULLISH.
Trading Plan - The Right Way:
Priority: Stick with BUY positions! The bias remains bullish as long as price holds above the Order Block (OB) support at 405x. This is the key level.
Big Warning: Don't try to short the top (sell dò đỉnh)! The risk of getting caught in a liquidity grab or price trap at these highs is extremely high. Stay away from counter-trend moves.
Sell Scenario (Only if): We only consider a short-term SELL if there's a strong, confirmed candle close below 405x. In that case, we might target a minor pullback to 4000 for profit booking, but the main goal remains to BUY on dips.
👉 Bottom Line: Fundamentals and technicals are singing the same tune. 405x is the line in the sand. Trade carefully, manage your stop-loss, and always do your own research (DYOR).
#GOLD #XAUUSD #ATH #MarketUpdate #TradeWar #FED #SmartMoney #ICT #TechnicalAnalysis #SafeHaven #DYOR
Part 1 Intraday Master ClassIntroduction to Option Trading
Option trading is one of the most dynamic, flexible, and powerful financial instruments in the modern market. It allows investors not only to profit from price movements but also to protect their portfolios, speculate, or earn regular income. Unlike buying stocks directly, options give traders the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (like a stock, index, or commodity) at a predetermined price within a certain time frame.
XAUUSD HIT MY STOP LOSSGold just broke above our previous OB/Liquidity resistance around 4040–4055, taking out the short-side liquidity and confirming a bullish market structure shift (MSB) on 15M and 1H timeframes.
🔹 Previous plan: Sell-limit at resistance — invalidated as price made a new high.
🔹 Current bias: Bullish continuation towards 4078 → 4095 → 4120.
🔹 Pullback zones to watch:
• 4035–4045 (OB retest / liquidity grab area)
• 4005–4020 (golden pocket confluence)
🧠 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to retrace into key support zones.
Look for bullish rejection / confirmation before entering long.
First TP near 4078, extended targets 4095+
SL below 4020 zone (structure invalidation).
💬 Price action respected structure beautifully. Remember — the market doesn’t care about our limits, only about liquidity.
Trade what’s visible, not what’s emotional.
#XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrader #SmartMoneyConcepts #LuxAlgo #OrderBlockTrading #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction #GoldAnalysis #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #DayTrading #ChartAnalysis #TradingView #alphatechfinances
Sniping the Next BUY Zone for Maximum Gains.The sentiment is clear: Bulls are running the show, preparing for potentially an eighth consecutive weekly gain. Our strategy is simple—wait for the intelligent retest to join the momentum.
🎯 THE TARGET ZONES (M30/H1)
We're focusing on the two most crucial zones derived from Fibo React Logic:
1. PRIME BUY ENTRY (The Sweet Spot):
Zone: 4018 - 4014 (Our key Fibo Retest Zone).
Action: Wait for Gold to pull back to this area. Execute a BUY (Long) only upon confirmed M30/H1 candle rejection (e.g., Bullish Engulfing/Pin Bar).
2. TAKE PROFIT TARGET (The Next Peak):
Zone: 4094 - 4098 (Fibo Extension/SELL React Zone).
Action: This is the primary TP for our Long entries, representing the next major target for the buyers.
📈 TRADING SCENARIO
Strategy: Patience is key. Let the market retrace to 4018 - 4014. Once confirmation hits, ride the wave up to 4094 - 4098.
🚨 Risk Alert:
Be disciplined with your Stop Loss. Maintain strict risk management, especially if the price fails to hold the 4018 - 4014 zone.
Let's trade with precision today!
XAUUSD – Safe-Haven Demand Keeps Gold StrongMarket Overview:
Gold stays firm as fresh US–China trade tensions and ongoing geopolitical concerns push investors toward safe assets.
Expectations of another Fed rate cut are putting pressure on the USD, giving extra strength to gold.
Even though short-term indicators show some overbought signs, overall sentiment still favours the bulls.
Near-Term Outlook:
As long as price remains inside the rising channel, we expect a possible move toward the 4,090–4,100 liquidity zone.
A rejection from 4,092–4,095 could lead to a short-term pullback before continuation.
Important Levels:
Liquidity Buy Zone 1: 4,039 – 4,037
Liquidity Buy Zone 2: 4,017 – 4,015
Liquidity Sell Zone: 4,092 – 4,095
Support: 4,010 – 4,000
Resistance: 4,110 – 4,126
Trading Plan:
🔹 Buy Setup #1
Entry: 4,039 – 4,037
Stop Loss: 4,032
Targets: 4,044 → 4,048 → 4,052 → 4,056 → 4,060 → 4,070
🔹 Buy Setup #2
Entry: 4,017 – 4,015
Stop Loss: 4,010
Targets: 4,022 → 4,026 → 4,030 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060
🔹 Sell Setup (Scalp Opportunity)
Entry: 4,092 – 4,095
Stop Loss: 4,100
Targets: 4,090 → 4,085 → 4,080 → 4,070 → 4,060
Summary:
Bias stays bullish while gold holds above 4,015 – 4,020.
Safe-haven demand and softer USD outlook continue to support the upside move.
Look out for a liquidity sweep around 4,092 before further continuation upward.
📊 What do you think — will gold break higher or reject from 4,090?
👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily market structure updates and precise trade plans.
🟣 Chart: XAUUSD H1 – Smart Money Flow structure highlighting liquidity areas and OB zones.
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders!
Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets.
Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot
Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven.
Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed).
Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that.
Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124
Support: $3984, $3951, $3934
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot)
BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982
SL: $3974
TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032
SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026
SL: $4034
TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976
Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain!
But where are the high-probability zones?
🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4)
We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry:
1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus):
Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade.
Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone.
2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation):
The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range.
🚨 Critical Risk Alert:
A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
XAUUSDLadies & Gentlemen, you all are seeing this is the chart of gold (XAUUSD). This is one of the most popular charts in the world. Everyone wants to predict.
We have started counting this cycle from the low created by Gold on 6 October 2023. We have done two cycles in it, the first cycle is of 63 trading days, and the second is its double i.e. 126 trading days.
In the shorter cycle (63 BAR), you will see that it has maximum given 10 to 18% returns till date within EVERY 90 days
It has more than doubled in the last two years.And no down train cycle has started yet. And this is nine Cycles from Small Cycle.
Do you think this cycle will continue to grow like this in the future?
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal.
Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks.
Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists.
In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum.
How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack
The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant:
Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support.
Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery.
📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active!
Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones.
1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup)
We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels.
Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level):
This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down.
PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000.
TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910.
The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone):
This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper.
2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup)
We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure.
Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910:
This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom.
PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation.
TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000.
🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy
Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS.
Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels.
Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND?
Hello trader,
The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control.
Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD)
The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled:
Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch.
Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter.
Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272).
Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618).
🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH)
Sell entry 4000 – 4002
SL 4008
TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923
Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG)
SL 4036
TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960
Buy Scalping
3926 – 3928
SL 3921
TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990
Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908
SL 3895
TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988
Export to Spreadsheet
🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment
The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors:
Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal.
CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility.
Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level.
📌 Conclusion & Recommendations
Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030).
Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing.
👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
Master Technical Indicators1. Understanding Technical Indicators
A technical indicator is a mathematical calculation based on price, volume, or open interest of a security or asset. Indicators are plotted on charts to help traders visualize trends, reversals, and potential entry or exit points.
Traders use these indicators to simplify the complexity of raw price data. Rather than analyzing each candle or tick, indicators smooth out noise and highlight the underlying strength or weakness of a trend. They are particularly effective when used alongside chart patterns, price action, and market sentiment analysis.
Why Are Technical Indicators Important?
They help identify the direction of a trend (up, down, or sideways).
They signal potential entry and exit points.
They assist in determining market strength and volatility.
They provide confirmation for trade setups.
They help in risk management by defining stop-loss and target zones.
2. Types of Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are generally classified into four main categories:
a. Trend Indicators
These show the direction and strength of a market trend.
Examples: Moving Averages, MACD, Average Directional Index (ADX), Parabolic SAR.
b. Momentum Indicators
These measure the speed of price movements, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions.
Examples: RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, CCI, Momentum Indicator.
c. Volatility Indicators
They measure the rate of price change or fluctuations, showing how much an asset moves over a specific time period.
Examples: Bollinger Bands, ATR (Average True Range), Donchian Channels.
d. Volume Indicators
Volume-based indicators analyze the strength behind price movements, helping traders confirm trends or reversals.
Examples: On-Balance Volume (OBV), Volume Oscillator, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF).
3. Top Technical Indicators Every Trader Should Master
Let’s dive deep into the most powerful and widely used technical indicators.
a. Moving Averages (MA)
The Moving Average is one of the simplest yet most powerful tools in technical analysis. It smooths price data to identify the direction of the trend.
Types:
Simple Moving Average (SMA) – Calculates the average price over a specific period.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive.
How Traders Use It:
Trend Identification:
When price is above the moving average, it indicates an uptrend; below it indicates a downtrend.
Crossovers:
Golden Cross: When the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA (bullish signal).
Death Cross: When the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA (bearish signal).
Dynamic Support & Resistance:
MAs often act as support or resistance zones.
Popular Settings:
50-day and 200-day MAs for long-term trends, 9-day and 21-day EMAs for short-term trading.
b. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to determine overbought or oversold conditions.
Formula:
RSI = 100 – ,
where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss.
Interpretation:
RSI above 70: Overbought zone (potential sell signal).
RSI below 30: Oversold zone (potential buy signal).
RSI between 40–60: Neutral or consolidation phase.
Pro Tips:
Watch for divergences (price makes a new high, but RSI does not). This often signals a reversal.
RSI can also act as trend confirmation when it stays above 50 (bullish) or below 50 (bearish).
c. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator. It shows the relationship between two EMAs (typically 12-day and 26-day).
Components:
MACD Line: 12-day EMA – 26-day EMA.
Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD line.
Histogram: Difference between MACD and Signal line.
How to Use:
Crossover Signals:
Bullish when MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
Bearish when it crosses below.
Zero Line Cross:
When MACD crosses above zero → bullish momentum.
When MACD crosses below zero → bearish momentum.
Divergences:
If price makes new highs while MACD fails to, it signals a weakening trend.
d. Bollinger Bands
Developed by John Bollinger, these bands measure volatility using standard deviations around a moving average.
Structure:
Middle Band: 20-day SMA.
Upper Band: SMA + 2 standard deviations.
Lower Band: SMA – 2 standard deviations.
How to Interpret:
Squeeze: When bands contract, it indicates low volatility and possible breakout soon.
Expansion: When bands widen, it shows high volatility.
Touch of Upper/Lower Band:
Price touching the upper band signals overbought.
Touching the lower band signals oversold.
Pro Tip: Combine Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD for confirmation.
e. Average Directional Index (ADX)
The ADX, created by Wilder, measures the strength of a trend — not its direction.
Scale:
0–25: Weak or no trend.
25–50: Strong trend.
50–75: Very strong trend.
75–100: Extremely strong trend.
Usage:
A rising ADX indicates strengthening trend momentum.
A falling ADX indicates weakening momentum.
Traders often combine ADX with +DI and -DI lines to detect whether bulls or bears are in control.
f. Stochastic Oscillator
This momentum indicator compares the closing price of an asset to its price range over a set period (usually 14 days).
Formula:
%K = × 100
%D = 3-day SMA of %K.
Interpretation:
Above 80: Overbought.
Below 20: Oversold.
Crossovers between %K and %D lines indicate potential reversals.
Pro Tip: Use with trend direction to avoid false signals — only buy oversold signals in an uptrend and sell overbought signals in a downtrend.
g. Average True Range (ATR)
The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a given period.
Usage:
Higher ATR: Indicates more volatility (use wider stop-losses).
Lower ATR: Indicates less volatility (use tighter stop-losses).
It helps traders adjust position sizing and risk management strategies.
h. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
The OBV indicator links price movement with volume to measure buying and selling pressure.
Formula:
If today’s close > yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV + Volume.
If today’s close < yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV – Volume.
Interpretation:
Rising OBV confirms upward momentum (buying pressure).
Falling OBV confirms downward momentum (selling pressure).
Divergences between OBV and price can signal reversals.
4. Combining Indicators for Better Accuracy
No single indicator is perfect. The best traders combine multiple indicators to create a confluence of signals that increase trade accuracy.
Popular Combinations:
Trend + Momentum: Moving Average + RSI or MACD.
Volatility + Momentum: Bollinger Bands + Stochastic.
Volume + Trend: OBV + Moving Average.
For example, a trader might go long when:
The price is above the 50-day EMA (uptrend).
RSI crosses above 40 from oversold levels.
OBV is rising — confirming strong buying interest.
5. Common Mistakes Traders Make
Even the best indicators can mislead when misused. Here are some common pitfalls:
Overloading charts with too many indicators:
This creates confusion and conflicting signals.
Ignoring price action:
Indicators should confirm, not replace, price structure analysis.
Using the same type of indicators together:
Combining multiple momentum indicators (like RSI and Stochastic) adds redundancy.
Not adjusting settings:
Default settings may not suit every market; fine-tune them to your asset and time frame.
Trading without confirmation:
Always wait for indicator alignment before entering a trade.
6. Building a Strategy Using Technical Indicators
A robust trading strategy built around indicators should include:
Market Trend Filter:
(e.g., 50 EMA or ADX to determine direction)
Entry Signal:
(e.g., RSI crossing above 30 or MACD bullish crossover)
Exit Signal:
(e.g., RSI reaching overbought or MACD turning bearish)
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Rules:
(e.g., ATR-based stop-loss for volatility adjustment)
Risk Management:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
By backtesting your strategy on historical data, you can evaluate its accuracy and profitability.
7. Adapting Indicators for Different Markets
Each market behaves differently. For instance:
Stocks: Indicators like RSI, MACD, and OBV work best due to volume data.
Forex: Moving Averages, ADX, and Bollinger Bands help identify trends in volatile environments.
Crypto: Volatility-based indicators (ATR, Bollinger Bands) are more effective because of rapid price swings.
Adjust your settings and time frames accordingly:
Short-term traders (scalpers/day traders) → 1-min to 15-min charts.
Swing traders → 1-hour to daily charts.
Long-term investors → weekly/monthly charts.
8. The Psychology Behind Indicators
Technical indicators ultimately reflect trader psychology.
When RSI is overbought, it shows euphoria and overconfidence.
When moving averages flatten, it reflects indecision.
High ATR reflects fear and panic; low ATR reflects calmness.
Understanding this emotional rhythm helps traders align technical signals with real-world behavior — the essence of market sentiment analysis.
9. Future of Technical Indicators
With advancements in AI and algorithmic trading, indicators are becoming more adaptive. Machine learning models can now optimize indicator parameters dynamically, improving accuracy. However, human intuition still plays a key role — especially in interpreting false signals and reading macroeconomic trends.
Conclusion
Mastering technical indicators is not about memorizing dozens of formulas; it’s about understanding the story they tell about price, volume, and emotion. The best traders use a balanced approach — combining trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators — to develop high-probability trading setups.
To truly master them:
Keep your chart simple.
Focus on 2–3 core indicators.
Always confirm signals with price action.
Backtest your strategy before applying it live.
When used with discipline, patience, and proper risk management, technical indicators can become your guiding compass in the ever-changing ocean of financial markets.
Good will make new ATH next week buy on dip Gold buy on dip recommended bounce from support area , levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold 1H – Price Reaction Ahead of U.S. CPI DataXAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
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📈 Market Context
Gold prices remain steady around $3,975, as traders await the U.S. CPI data release later today — a key event that could shape expectations for the Fed’s next rate move.
If inflation cools, the dovish sentiment may boost gold’s safe-haven appeal; however, a hotter CPI print could trigger renewed dollar strength and short-term pressure on XAUUSD.
Market volatility is expected to spike near the release, so liquidity grabs and false breaks are likely before the true direction forms.
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🔎 Technical Analysis (H1 / SMC Style)
• The recent Change of Character (ChoCH) confirms short-term bearish control after breaking the bullish structure near 4017.
• FVG Sell Zone (4015–4017) aligns with premium imbalance and prior liquidity — ideal for short setups if price retests that zone.
• BOS to the downside was confirmed at 3960, showing sellers in control.
• The discount zone 3908–3910 is a strong demand area where buyers may step in after liquidity sweep below 3910.
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🟢 Buy Zone: 3908–3910
SL: 3900
TP targets: 3920 → 3940 → 3960+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4015–4017
SL: 4022
TP targets: 4000 → 3985 → 3970
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⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entering either side.
• Use partial position sizing around CPI release — volatility may cause large wicks.
• Watch for liquidity hunts near 3980–3990 before CPI, then confirm structure direction.
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✅ Summary
Gold is consolidating below key resistance while awaiting U.S. inflation data.
Smart money may engineer a liquidity sweep toward 4015–4017 (FVG) before resuming the bearish leg into 3910.
However, if CPI comes in softer than expected, buyers may defend 3908–3910, sparking a recovery back toward 3980+.
🔔 Stay alert around CPI release hours — expect manipulative price action and confirm structure breaks before committing to directional trades.
XAUUSD – Breakdown After Ceasefire & Fed Comments📉 Market Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) dropped over 2%, sliding from $4,012/oz to $3,945/oz, marking a sharp $67 decline overnight.
The selloff came as two key catalysts hit the market:
🕊 Israel–Hamas ceasefire agreement cooled down geopolitical tensions.
💬 Fed’s Barr pushed back against October rate cuts, sending USD higher and pressuring gold.
Despite the drop, price action suggests a temporary corrective phase, with gold now stabilising near a short-term support zone.
📊 Technical Structure (MMFLOW View)
Gold has confirmed a Head & Shoulders (H&S) breakdown pattern, with a neckline retest around $4,014 – $4,033 acting as resistance.
After the breakdown, price rebounded slightly but continues to trade below the structure, showing that bears remain in control short-term.
The short-term support zone sits around $3,945, and if broken, could accelerate the decline towards $3,912 – $3,885, aligning with deeper liquidity areas.
🔑 Key Zones to Watch
Resistance (Breakdown Zone): 4,014 – 4,033
Support (Short-term): 3,945 – 3,912
Liquidity/Buy Zone: 3,885 – 3,878
💡 MMFLOW Trading Scenarios
🔵 BUY SCALP Zone: 3,912 – 3,910
🔴 Stop Loss: 3,905
✅ Take Profit: 3,916 – 3,920 – 3,925 – 3,930 – 3,940 – 3,950 – ???
Trading View:
The market is still digesting recent fundamentals; volatility remains high.
A short-term rebound from 3,910 is possible as liquidity builds up near this demand zone.
However, unless price reclaims 4,014, any bounce may only be corrective before further downside continuation.
🧭 MMFLOW Insight
Even though gold faces bearish momentum, macro risks still support a long-term bullish narrative:
U.S. government shutdown risks remain unresolved.
Fed may turn dovish later in Q4 if labour data weakens.
Liquidity gaps below $3,900 could attract smart money accumulation zones.
⚠️ Trading Notes
✅ Always set Stop Loss – NFP-style volatility can occur post-Fed comments.
✅ Avoid chasing after breakdown candles. Wait for pullback entries at key levels.
✅ Be patient — the best setups form when liquidity is fully absorbed.
📍 Summary
Gold continues to trade under pressure after geopolitical easing and hawkish Fed tones.
Watch for price action around $3,910 – $3,945; this range will likely define the next major impulse.
Stay alert — once liquidity clears, MMFlow will be watching for smart-money reentry signals from key OB/CP zones.