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Gold Prices Continue to Rise Amid Rate Cuts and Geopolitical RisGold prices today are being strongly supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve (FED) will continue to cut interest rates and the increasing demand for safe-haven assets amid rising geopolitical instability. Last week, the FED made its first rate cut of 0.25% since December, causing gold prices to surge. While some investors took profits, most experts believe the uptrend is not over yet. This week, investor focus will be on the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data for August, the FED's preferred inflation measure, which may provide further clues about future rate cuts. Many forecasts predict a slowdown in core PCE, reinforcing the case for continued rate cuts by the FED. Additionally, safe-haven flows are further supported by prolonged geopolitical risks, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict and concerns over economic impacts from U.S. tariffs. Furthermore, strong gold buying activity from global central banks plays a crucial role in strengthening the bullish outlook for the precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Alliance_Signal
How to Control Trading Risk Factors1. Understanding Trading Risk Before controlling trading risk, you must understand what “risk” means in trading. 1.1 Definition of Trading Risk Trading risk refers to the potential for financial loss resulting from trading activities. It arises due to various internal and external factors, including market volatility, economic changes, human errors, and systemic uncertainties. 1.2 Types of Trading Risks Trading risks can be broadly categorized as follows: Market Risk: Losses due to price movements in stocks, commodities, forex, or derivatives. Liquidity Risk: The inability to buy or sell assets at desired prices due to insufficient market liquidity. Credit Risk: The risk that counterparties in trades fail to meet obligations. Operational Risk: Risks arising from human errors, technology failures, or process inefficiencies. Systemic Risk: Risks related to the overall financial system, such as economic crises or political instability. Understanding these risks allows traders to create a comprehensive strategy for mitigation. 2. The Psychology of Risk 2.1 Emotional Discipline Trading is as much psychological as it is technical. Emotional decisions often lead to risk exposure: Fear: Selling too early and missing profit opportunities. Greed: Over-leveraging positions and ignoring risk limits. Overconfidence: Ignoring stop-loss rules or trading based on intuition alone. 2.2 Behavioral Biases Behavioral biases amplify trading risk: Confirmation Bias: Seeking information that confirms existing beliefs. Loss Aversion: Avoiding small losses but risking larger ones. Recency Bias: Overweighting recent market trends over long-term data. Controlling these psychological factors is critical to managing risk effectively. 3. Risk Assessment and Measurement 3.1 Position Sizing Determining how much capital to allocate to a trade is crucial: Use the 1–2% rule, limiting potential loss per trade to a small fraction of total capital. Adjust position size based on volatility—larger positions in stable markets, smaller positions in volatile markets. 3.2 Risk-Reward Ratio Every trade should have a clear risk-reward profile: A risk-reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3 ensures potential profit outweighs potential loss. For example, risking $100 to gain $300 aligns with disciplined risk control. 3.3 Value at Risk (VaR) VaR calculates potential loss in a portfolio under normal market conditions: Traders use historical data and statistical models to estimate daily, weekly, or monthly potential losses. VaR helps in understanding extreme loss scenarios. 4. Risk Mitigation Strategies 4.1 Stop-Loss Orders Stop-loss orders are essential tools: Fixed Stop-Loss: Predefined price point to exit the trade. Trailing Stop-Loss: Moves with favorable price movement, protecting profits while limiting downside. 4.2 Hedging Techniques Hedging reduces exposure to adverse market moves: Use options or futures contracts to protect underlying positions. Example: Buying put options on a stock to limit downside while holding the stock long. 4.3 Diversification Diversification spreads risk across multiple assets: Avoid concentrating all capital in one asset or sector. Combine stocks, commodities, forex, and derivatives to balance risk and reward. 4.4 Leverage Management Leverage magnifies both gains and losses: Use leverage cautiously, especially in volatile markets. Understand margin requirements and potential for margin calls. 5. Market Analysis for Risk Control 5.1 Technical Analysis Identify trends, support/resistance levels, and patterns to anticipate market moves. Use indicators like RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands to time entries and exits. 5.2 Fundamental Analysis Evaluate economic indicators, corporate earnings, and geopolitical factors. Understanding macroeconomic factors reduces exposure to unforeseen market shocks. 5.3 Volatility Monitoring Higher volatility increases risk; adjust trade size accordingly. Use VIX (Volatility Index) or ATR (Average True Range) to measure market risk. 6. Trade Management 6.1 Pre-Trade Planning Define entry and exit points before executing trades. Calculate maximum acceptable loss for each trade. 6.2 Monitoring and Adjusting Continuously monitor positions and market conditions. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels dynamically based on market behavior. 6.3 Post-Trade Analysis Review each trade to identify mistakes and improve strategy. Track metrics like win rate, average profit/loss, and drawdowns. 7. Risk Control in Different Markets 7.1 Stock Market Diversify across sectors and market capitalizations. Monitor earnings releases and economic indicators. 7.2 Forex Market Account for geopolitical risks, interest rate changes, and currency correlations. Avoid excessive leverage; use proper position sizing. 7.3 Commodity Market Hedge with futures and options to mitigate price swings. Consider global supply-demand factors and seasonal trends. 7.4 Derivatives Market Derivatives can be highly leveraged, increasing potential risk. Use proper hedging strategies, clear stop-loss rules, and strict position limits. 8. Risk Management Tools and Technology 8.1 Automated Trading Systems Algorithmic trading can reduce human emotional error. Programs can enforce stop-loss, trailing stops, and position sizing automatically. 8.2 Risk Analytics Software Platforms provide real-time risk metrics, VaR analysis, and scenario simulations. Enables proactive decision-making. 8.3 Alerts and Notifications Real-time alerts for price levels, volatility spikes, or margin requirements help mitigate sudden risk exposure. 9. Capital Preservation as the Core Principle The fundamental rule of trading risk control is capital preservation: Avoid catastrophic losses that wipe out a trading account. Profitable trading strategies fail if risk is not controlled. Focus on long-term survival in the market rather than short-term profits. 10. Professional Risk Management Practices 10.1 Risk Policies Institutional traders operate under strict risk guidelines. Examples: Daily loss limits, maximum leverage caps, and mandatory diversification. 10.2 Stress Testing Simulate extreme market conditions to assess portfolio resilience. Helps prepare for black swan events. 10.3 Continuous Education Markets evolve constantly; traders must learn new techniques, understand new instruments, and adapt to regulatory changes. 11. Common Mistakes in Risk Management Overleveraging positions. Ignoring stop-loss rules due to emotional bias. Failing to diversify. Trading without a risk-reward analysis. Reacting impulsively to market noise. Avoiding these mistakes is essential for long-term trading success. 12. Conclusion Controlling trading risk factors requires a blend of discipline, knowledge, planning, and continuous monitoring. Traders must combine: Psychological control to avoid emotional decision-making. Analytical tools for precise risk measurement. Strategic techniques like diversification, hedging, and stop-loss orders. Capital preservation mindset as the foundation of sustainable trading. Successful risk management does not eliminate losses entirely but ensures losses are controlled, manageable, and do not threaten overall trading objectives. By adopting a systematic and disciplined approach to risk, traders can navigate volatile markets confidently, optimize returns, and achieve long-term financial success.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Daily Trading Plan: Liquidity Zones & Bullish Outlook📊 Market Context Gold is holding strong after its breakout, trading near 3760 USD/oz as safe-haven demand stays elevated. The combination of geopolitical tensions, global fund flows into ETFs, and a weaker USD continues to support the bullish bias. For Indian traders, gold’s rally is closely watched as both an investment hedge and a short-term trading opportunity. While the broader structure remains bullish, price may first sweep liquidity in key zones before pushing towards higher levels. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4/2H) Price recently tested 3760, confirming bullish momentum. Immediate support: 3725, marked as a CP retest zone. Stronger support: 3689–3690, overlapping with OBS + FVG demand zone. Resistance targets: 3788 (short-term liquidity pool) and 3805–3830 (major liquidity area). Overall structure: Still bullish, but likely to retest demand zones before the next leg higher. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3725 ➡️ 3689–3690 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1 (Shallow Pullback): 3725 SL: 3716 TP: 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3805 … ✅ BUY ZONE 2 (Deeper Liquidity Retest): 3689–3690 SL: 3680 TP: 3725 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3788 ➡️ 3830 … ✅ SELL SCALP (Liquidity Trap Setup): Around 3788–3805, if rejection patterns confirm SL: 3810 TP: 3775 ➡️ 3760 ➡️ 3740 … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch out for false breakouts above 3788 or below 3725 – liquidity sweeps are common. Enter trades only after confirmation; avoid chasing price in the middle of the range. Keep risk per trade controlled, as Fed speeches and geopolitical headlines could spark volatility. ✅ Summary Gold remains in a strong uptrend, with 3788–3805 as the next upside magnet. The plan is to buy dips at 3725 or 3689–3690, while keeping an eye on potential short-term sell setups near 3788–3805. The bias stays bullish, but risk management is key. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for intraday updates, liquidity-based setups, and strategies tailored for global gold traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
all commodities closing predictions As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that gold will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that silver will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that natural gas will close lower today compared to the previous closing. As per chart patterns and technical indicators, there is a possibility that crude oil will close higher today compared to the previous closing
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Foreseenbtc
1
STEVEN XAUUSD – Buy Scenario Aligned with the TrendTechnical Analysis Gold continues its strong upward trend after breaking out from the previous accumulation zone. Currently, the price has tested the 3,742–3,744 range and is showing signs of pausing for a short-term correction. The EMA200 H1 (3,662) remains upward sloping, confirming that the main uptrend is intact. Fibonacci Retracement for the latest upward move: The 0.786 level (3,738) coincides with the Volume Profile area – this is the first support for the short-term buy scenario. The 0.618 level (3,707) coincides with the old resistance now turned support – a strong confluence, suitable for finding the main Buy point. The RSI (14) is around 63–65, not yet in the overbought zone, indicating there is still room for an increase. Trading Scenario Buy aligned with the trend Entry 1: 3,738–3,740 SL: 3,730 TP: 3,750 – 3,760 Entry 2: 3,707–3,710 SL: 3,695 TP: 3,738 – 3,760 – 3,780 Price Levels to Watch 3,742–3,744: short-term resistance, may cause adjustments. 3,738–3,740: nearby support, suitable for quick Buy. 3,707–3,710: strong support, important Buy zone. 3,780–3,785: extended resistance, target of the upward trend. This is a reference scenario, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and scenarios in upcoming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 23, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is in an uptrend, currently on the 3rd bullish candle of the cycle. This suggests we may see at least 2 more bullish daily candles from now. • H4: Momentum has turned bearish, indicating the possibility of a corrective decline within today’s H4 structure. • H1: Momentum has already turned bearish and is approaching oversold territory. This shows the current decline is weakening, and a short-term rebound is likely. However, if momentum turns back up and enters the overbought zone but fails to break the previous high, another bearish leg may follow. ________________________________________ Wave Structure • D1: After completing wave 4 (yellow), price broke the previous high, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Wave 5 (yellow) targets are projected at 3789.019 and 3887.117. • H4: Wave 3 (yellow) has completed, followed by a corrective structure in a flat WXY pattern. Currently, price is rising steeply, suggesting wave 5 (yellow) is underway. With H4 momentum turning bearish, this pullback could correspond to wave 4 within the ongoing wave 5 (yellow). • H1: Wave 3 (black) has formed with a complete 5-wave sequence (blue). Price is now in wave 4 (black), which could develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle correction. Wave 4 (black) target zones: 1. 3729.447 2. 3709.732 3. 3696.422 Once H4 momentum turns bullish from the oversold region, the nearest level among these zones is the most likely end of wave 4. ________________________________________ Trading Plan Buy limit strategy at support zones: • Buy Zone 1: 3730 – 3727 o SL: 3719 o TP: 3760 • Buy Zone 2: 3710 – 3707 o SL: 3696 o TP: 3729 If price extends lower, additional buy opportunities can be considered around 3696 or deeper levels marked on the chart. ________________________________________ 👉 The primary trend remains bullish, with wave 5 (yellow) in progress. The plan is to wait for wave 4 (black) to complete and then enter Buy positions in alignment with the larger uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves forming on H4 chart, clear correction signaHello Trader, On the H4 chart, gold is forming a quite standard Wolfe Waves pattern. The 5th wave has completed, and the price is moving into the crucial resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. Given the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes. Technical Analysis The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted with a decline, indicating profit-taking pressure. The MACD still shows the previous buying force was quite strong, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the possibility of a correction wave emerging. Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, also coinciding with the 5th wave line of Wolfe Waves. Trading Scenario Sell order according to Wolfe Waves Entry: 3760 – 3770 SL: 3782 (above resistance zone) TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target) Sell when price confirms below trendline Entry 3727-3730 sl 3735 tp 3715-3700-3686-3665 Short-term Buy Scalping Entry: 3705 – 3708 SL: 3700 TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766 Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, going against the correction, so risk management is crucial. Conclusion Short-term: Prioritise observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 to Sell. Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend. The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key zones will be key to optimising entry. This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. You can refer to and adjust according to your own strategy. Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold 1H – Fed Signals & Geopolitics Keep Bulls on the MoveGold on the 1H timeframe is trading around 3,705–3,710 after a strong breakout, staying within a rising channel. Liquidity is concentrated above at the premium resistance zone near 3,716–3,718, while demand is positioned lower at 3,687–3,689 and deeper at the FVG zone 3,654–3,656. Recent dovish signals from the Fed following last week’s rate cut, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions, continue to bolster safe-haven demand. However, upcoming U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers could trigger engineered moves into premium supply before retracements into discount demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,718–3,716 (SL 3,725): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause short-term rejections targeting 3,710 → 3,700 → 3,690. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,687–3,689 (SL 3,680): Near-term demand zone aligned with channel structure, offering a pullback entry targeting 3,695 → 3,700 → 3,715+. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,654–3,656 (SL 3,647): Deeper discount support, attractive for longer setups targeting 3,670 → 3,685 → 3,700+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback to Demand (3,687–3,689) • Entry: 3,687–3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,695 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,715+. 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Sweep (3,654–3,656) • Entry: 3,654–3,656 • Stop Loss: 3,647 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,685 TP3: 3,700+ 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,716–3,718) • Entry: 3,718–3,716 • Stop Loss: 3,725 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,710 TP2: 3,700 TP3: 3,690. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note The Fed’s dovish stance and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are sustaining bullish momentum, but intraday structure suggests smart money may first engineer stop-runs into premium resistance before retracing toward demand. Maintain buy-the-dip bias at defined support zones, while cautiously fading liquidity sweeps near 3,716–3,718. Volatility could increase as markets await fresh U.S. inflation data and Fed policy remarks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Gold Trading Plan: Fresh Record Highs & Fibo Zone React📊 Market Context Gold regained strong bullish momentum on Monday, surging to a new record high above 3,720 USD/oz. The Fed’s dovish outlook, signaling the possibility of two additional rate cuts this year, continues to support non-yielding assets like gold. At the same time, geopolitical risks remain a tailwind for safe-haven demand. 🔢 Technical Analysis (H2) Immediate Resistance / SELL Zones: 3,818.769 – Key reaction zone where sellers may defend aggressively. 3,754.890 – Secondary SELL zone reaction area for short-term pullbacks. Mid-Level Support / BUY Zone: 3,694.521 – First key area to watch for dips and potential buy reactions. 3,660.130 – Stronger support level if price pulls back deeper. Major BUY Zone Reaction: 3,583.663 – Critical confluence of structure and Fibonacci support, a potential bounce zone if a major correction unfolds. 📈 Suggested Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup BUY: Look for pullbacks to 3,694–3,660 with bullish candlestick confirmation. Targets: 3,754 → 3,818, leave partial position open if momentum breaks higher. Stop Loss: Below 3,645 for safer positioning. 2️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup SELL: Enter short at 3,754–3,818 zones only with strong rejection signals. Targets: 3,694 → 3,660, trail stops aggressively to lock profits. 3️⃣ Deep Correction Opportunity BUY: If price flushes to 3,583–3,585, consider scaling into longs. Targets: 3,660 → 3,754, aligning with the broader uptrend. ⚠ Key Trading Notes Expect increased volatility with Fed guidance and ongoing geopolitical risks. Use smaller position sizes near resistance zones and employ stop-loss discipline. Avoid mid-range entries; focus on well-defined zones for optimal risk-to-reward setups. 💬 Community Discussion 📊 Will gold sustain its rally toward 3,818 or see a deep pullback before another leg higher? Share your charts and insights below so we can compare strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold's Rally Continues: Why a Fed Cut Isn't Slowing It DownHello, traders! Gold started the new week on an impressive note, trading at $3,685 in early Monday's session. The main drivers are the market's continued reaction to the Fed's recent rate cut and escalating geopolitical events. So, the big question is, how far will this rally go? Fundamental Analysis: Why Is Gold Still Soaring? Although the Fed cut interest rates by 0.25%—the first time in 2025—Chair Jerome Powell maintained a cautious stance, calling it a "risk management cut." While this initially caused some market jitters, in the long run, lower interest rates are a strong supporting factor for gold. Lower Rates: They reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is a non-yielding asset. Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are escalating, boosting safe-haven demand. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy reported that Russia carried out a major drone and missile attack, reaffirming gold's role as a protective asset against global risks. Technical Analysis: Breaking Resistance, The Uptrend Continues Gold had a powerful rally at the start of the week, successfully breaking the key resistance zone at $370x. The price is currently hovering around $3720 with a slight correction, but the uptrend remains firmly intact. Outlook: Given the strong upward momentum, short-selling (going short) with a tight stop-loss is extremely risky. We will continue to prioritize long positions (going long) as long as gold holds above the $370x level. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): BUY SCALP Zone: $3413 - $3711 SL: $3407 TP: $3716 - $3721 - $3726 - $3731 - $3741 BUY ZONE Zone: $3700 - $3798 SL: $3790 TP: $3708 - $3718 - $3728 - $3738 - $3758 SELL ZONE Zone: $3734 - $3736 SL: $3744 TP: $3726 - $3716 - $3706 - $3796 - $3779 The market is showing unpredictable volatility. Can gold overcome all barriers and set new records? Share your opinion in the comments below! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #USD #Geopolitics
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Part 3 Learn Institutional Trading1. Introduction to Option Trading Option trading is one of the most fascinating areas of financial markets. Unlike buying shares of a company, where you directly own a piece of the business, option trading gives you the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset (like stocks, indices, currencies, or commodities) at a specific price within a specific period. This flexibility makes options powerful tools for hedging, speculation, and income generation. However, the same flexibility also makes them risky if not handled with proper knowledge. Many beginners are drawn to the huge profit potential in options, but without understanding the risks, they often lose money quickly. 2. What Are Options? Basic Concepts An option is a financial derivative contract. It derives its value from an underlying asset (like Reliance shares, Nifty index, gold, crude oil, or even USD/INR). When you buy an option, you’re not buying the asset itself; you’re buying the right to transact in that asset at a pre-decided price, called the strike price. Example: Suppose you buy a Call Option for Reliance at ₹2500 strike price, valid for 1 month. If Reliance’s stock rises to ₹2600, you can exercise your right to buy at ₹2500 (cheaper than market). If Reliance falls to ₹2400, you can simply let the option expire worthless (you don’t have to buy). This right-without-obligation feature is what makes options unique. 3. Key Terms in Option Trading Before diving deeper, let’s decode the important terminology: Strike Price – The fixed price at which you may buy/sell the underlying. Expiry Date – The date when the option contract ends. Premium – The cost you pay to buy the option. Lot Size – Options are traded in fixed quantities (e.g., Nifty option = 50 units per lot). Underlying Asset – The stock, index, or commodity on which the option is based. Exercise – The act of using your right to buy or sell at strike price. Settlement – How the trade is closed (cash settlement or physical delivery). 4. Types of Options (Call & Put) Call Option A Call Option gives you the right (not obligation) to buy the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry. Buyers of Calls = Bullish (expect price to rise). Sellers of Calls = Bearish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or fall). Put Option A Put Option gives you the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying at a fixed strike price before expiry. Buyers of Puts = Bearish (expect price to fall). Sellers of Puts = Bullish/Neutral (expect price to stay same or rise).
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
"Bullish Breakout Potential for Gold (XAU/USD) Above Key ?Key Observations: The price is currently rising and is reaching a key resistance level. A potential breakout is shown above the resistance at approximately 3,723. A blue support zone between 3,686 and 3,690 suggests that the price has recently bounced off this level, implying bullish momentum. The target price shown in the chart (with the green box) is positioned around 3,730, indicating that the trader is expecting further upward movement. The stop-loss is placed just below the support zone, around 3,672, which suggests that the trader is managing risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by fx_martin9
Fed Dovish Signals & Geopolitical Tensions Boost Gold📊 Market Context Gold continues to receive solid support from the Fed’s dovish tone and rising geopolitical tensions. However, the USD has extended its rebound from multi-year lows, which may temporarily limit gold’s upside. Broader risk-on sentiment in financial markets could act as a short-term headwind for XAU/USD before the next round of Fed speeches. Still, the long-term bullish trend has re-emerged, and gold is positioned to challenge new all-time highs in the near term—an important signal for Indian traders watching for fresh momentum in precious metals. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price has broken above the descending trendline, confirming that bullish momentum has returned. Short-term support: 3686–3684, maintaining this level preserves the bullish structure. Additional support: 3670–3668, overlapping with CP and liquidity zones on the chart. Key resistance: 3720–3722, a crucial reaction level for profit-taking or liquidity sweeps. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3707 ➡️ 3720 Support: 3685 ➡️ 3669 ➡️ 3658 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3686–3684 SL: 3680 TP: 3690 ➡️ 3695 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3720 ➡️ … ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3670–3668 SL: 3664 TP: 3675 ➡️ 3680 ➡️ 3690 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap Watch): 3720–3722 SL: 3726 TP: 3715 ➡️ 3710 ➡️ 3705 ➡️ 3700 ➡️ … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch for false breakouts at 3720–3722 — price could sweep stops before reversing lower. Only enter longs with price action confirmation at the buy zones; avoid chasing price mid-range. Manage trade size carefully given potential volatility from Fed comments and geopolitical news. ✅ Summary Gold’s long-term bullish trend is firmly back, supported by Fed dovishness and geopolitical factors—key drivers for India’s gold market sentiment. The plan focuses on buying dips at 3686–3684 and 3670–3668 targeting 3705–3720, while short-term selling at 3720–3722 is valid if rejection appears. 📢 Stay updated with MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for fresh market insights and actionable setups tailored for gold traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Stock Market Gains and Related Terms1. Types of Stock Market Gains Stock market gains can be broadly classified into two types: 1.1 Capital Gains Capital gains are the profits realized when an investor sells a stock at a higher price than the purchase price. They can be: Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG): Gains from selling assets held for less than a year. Often taxed at a higher rate. Long-Term Capital Gains (LTCG): Gains from selling assets held for more than a year. Usually taxed at a lower rate. Example: You buy 100 shares of a company at ₹500 each. After a year, the price rises to ₹700. Capital gain = (700 – 500) × 100 = ₹20,000 1.2 Dividend Gains Dividends are periodic payments made by companies to shareholders from their profits. Investors earn gains without selling shares. Dividends can be: Cash Dividends: Direct cash paid to shareholders. Stock Dividends: Additional shares given instead of cash. Example: You own 100 shares, and the company pays a ₹10 per share dividend: ₹10 × 100 = ₹1,000 gain. 1.3 Total Return Total return combines capital gains and dividend gains, giving a holistic picture of the investor’s profit. Formula: Total Return = (Ending Value – Initial Investment + Dividends) / Initial Investment × 100% 2. Related Terms in Stock Market Gains Understanding stock market gains involves several interrelated concepts: 2.1 Market Capitalization Market capitalization (market cap) is the total market value of a company’s outstanding shares. It helps investors gauge the company’s size and potential for gains. Formula: Market Cap = Share Price × Number of Outstanding Shares 2.2 Earnings Per Share (EPS) EPS is a measure of a company’s profitability, calculated as: EPS = Net Income / Outstanding Shares Higher EPS often leads to stock price appreciation, contributing to capital gains. 2.3 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) The P/E ratio measures stock valuation relative to earnings: P/E = Share Price / EPS High P/E may indicate growth potential, influencing expected gains. Low P/E may suggest undervaluation, signaling possible future gains. 2.4 Dividend Yield The dividend yield measures the dividend relative to the share price: Dividend Yield = Annual Dividend / Share Price × 100% Indicates income component of stock market gains. 2.5 Volatility Volatility represents the degree of price fluctuation in a stock. High volatility can mean higher potential gains but increased risk. 2.6 Liquidity Liquidity is the ease with which a stock can be bought or sold without affecting its price. Higher liquidity ensures investors can realize gains quickly. 2.7 Risk and Return There is a direct relationship between risk and expected return: High-risk stocks → Potential for higher gains. Low-risk stocks → Steady, smaller gains. 3. Market Factors Affecting Gains Stock market gains are influenced by macroeconomic, microeconomic, and behavioral factors. 3.1 Economic Indicators GDP growth Inflation rate Interest rates 3.2 Corporate Performance Revenue and profit growth Product launches and innovations Management efficiency 3.3 Market Sentiment Investor behavior, market trends, and news can drive short-term gains. 3.4 Global Factors Geopolitical stability Foreign investment flows Currency fluctuations 4. Investment Strategies to Maximize Gains Investors use various strategies to maximize gains: 4.1 Buy and Hold Long-term investment to capture capital appreciation and dividends. 4.2 Swing Trading Exploiting short- to medium-term price movements for gains. 4.3 Dividend Investing Focusing on high dividend-paying stocks for consistent income. 4.4 Growth Investing Investing in companies with high growth potential, expecting large capital gains. 4.5 Value Investing Buying undervalued stocks to profit as their prices reflect intrinsic value over time. 5. Measuring Stock Market Gains Investors track gains using several tools and metrics: Portfolio Value Growth Return on Investment (ROI) Alpha and Beta (Risk-adjusted return) Sharpe Ratio (Risk vs. Reward) 6. Tax Implications on Gains Gains from stock market investments are subject to taxation: Capital Gains Tax: Varies based on short-term vs. long-term holdings. Dividend Tax: Taxed as per investor’s income bracket. Wealth/Transaction Tax: Some countries impose additional charges. Understanding taxes is critical for calculating net gains. 7. Psychological and Behavioral Factors Investor behavior impacts the ability to realize gains: Greed vs. Fear: Can lead to impulsive decisions, affecting gains. Overtrading: Frequent buying and selling may reduce overall gains. Herd Mentality: Following market trends without analysis can impact profits. 8. Advanced Concepts Related to Gains 8.1 Compound Gains Reinvesting gains to generate exponential growth over time. 8.2 Leverage Using borrowed capital to increase potential gains (but also risk). 8.3 Hedging Strategies to protect gains against market downturns using derivatives like options and futures. 8.4 Diversification Spreading investments across sectors and asset classes to stabilize gains. 9. Case Study Example Investor A: Buys 200 shares of XYZ Ltd. at ₹100. Receives ₹5 per share dividend annually. Stock price rises to ₹150 in 2 years. Calculation: Capital Gain = (150 – 100) × 200 = ₹10,000 Dividend Gain = 5 × 200 × 2 = ₹2,000 Total Gain = ₹12,000 This illustrates how both capital appreciation and dividends contribute to overall stock market gains. 10. Conclusion Stock market gains are not merely about stock price increases. They encompass dividends, reinvestment, risk-adjusted returns, and strategic decision-making. Related terms like capital gains, dividends, EPS, P/E ratio, volatility, and portfolio management are all critical to understanding the nuances of gains. Effective investing requires a combination of financial literacy, market knowledge, and psychological discipline.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Trading Scenario for TodayGold continues its robust upward momentum and is now approaching the critical resistance zone around 3,697 – 3,700. This is a confluence point with the Fibonacci extension level and also a zone where sellers might re-enter strongly. Technical Analysis On the H1 chart, the price has tested the resistance zone multiple times but hasn't broken through decisively. This indicates that profit-taking pressure is emerging. The sell confirmation zone will form if the price breaks below 3,685 – 3,686, at which point the correction target could be around 3,673. The main Buy Zone is located at 3,650 – 3,645, coinciding with previous support and a strong liquidity area. This is a region where a price increase reaction is likely. Further down, the 3,628 – 3,630 zone is considered solid support on the larger frame, and if retested, it will be a long-term buying opportunity. Conversely, if the price decisively surpasses the strong resistance zone of 3,720 – 3,730, the upward trend will be confirmed to continue, opening up higher targets around 3,750+. Trading Plan Reference Short-term sell around 3,697 – 3,700, SL 3,707, TP 3,686 – 3,673. Short-term buy around 3,650 – 3,645, SL 3,640, TP 3,673 – 3,690. Long-term buy around 3,628 – 3,630, SL 3,620, TP 3,660 – 3,690 – 3,720. These are my personal views on XAUUSD, and you can use them as a reference to build your own plan. If you find this useful, follow me for the latest updates on new gold trading scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Plan Hello Traders, Gold opened the Asian session holding its price structure firmly. The 3708 level will be the key pivot today: If price sustains above this level, the next upside targets are 3750 and possibly 3780. If price reacts lower at 3708 resistance, then 3650 or even 355x could be the zones to watch for buying opportunities. Fundamental Context Last week’s correction was triggered by comments from the Fed Chair on interest rate policy. The Fed does not intend to cut rates too frequently, and this week’s PCE data will play a decisive role in shaping the outlook. Trading Strategy for Today Buy Setup Entry: 3650 – 3653 SL: 3645 TP: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725 Sell Setup 1 Entry: 3700 – 3703 SL: 3708 TP: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633 Sell Setup 2 Entry: 3738 – 3740 SL: 3746 TP: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650 Summary The preferred bias for today is to look for buy opportunities on dips, in line with the broader uptrend. Follow me to receive the latest updates as soon as market structure changes
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 21, 2025 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still declining → suggesting that early next week price may either experience a downward move or continue to range sideways. • H4: Momentum is in the overbought zone → likely to see a corrective move on Monday. • H1: Momentum is also in the overbought zone → during the Asian session on Monday, a short-term corrective decline is highly probable. Wave Structure • D1: o Scenario 1: Wave v (black) has already completed (refer to H4). This means the market is now in a larger corrective phase, and price is unlikely to break above 3709, the high set last week. o Scenario 2: Wave 4 (black) of wave v has completed, and Friday’s rally was wave 5 (black) of wave v. In this case, early next week we could see a breakout above 3709 with a daily close higher. • H4: Since D1 and H4 momentum still support a corrective move on Monday, I will keep the current wave labeling unchanged. Only if price breaks strongly above 3709 will I update the labeling to Scenario 2. • H1: On D1, the two scenarios are contradictory: o One scenario suggests a decline. o The other suggests a new high. Therefore, the best approach for now is to wait for more confirmation. On H1, the labeling from last Friday (the bearish scenario) has not yet been invalidated and is still supported by both D1 and H4 momentum, so I will continue to monitor this count. Trading Plan During complex corrective phases, when wave structures are not yet clear, I do not recommend trading solely based on Elliott Wave. For now, the prudent approach is to continue observing until more data becomes available. If trading is necessary, it’s better to focus on short-term scalps rather than larger swing positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trading Strategy for Monday✅ On Friday's US trading session, gold saw a strong upward movement and successfully broke the downward trendline on the 1-hour chart, indicating that bulls are in control of the market. The current short-term pullback is merely a correction and has not changed the overall uptrend. Due to the strong bullish momentum, the short-term pullback does not indicate a trend reversal and, in fact, provides an opportunity for buying on dips. ✅ On the 4-hour chart, gold has experienced short-term consolidation, but the overall trend remains bullish. The MACD is in a strong zone, and the KDJ indicator is still in a bullish zone, suggesting that the price may continue to rise in the short term. In the short term, there is support around the 3660-3670 region. If the price pulls back to this level, consider buying. If the price breaks above 3685, further bullish movement can be expected. 🔴 Resistance levels: 3702-3707 / 3720-3730 🟢 Support levels: 3660-3670 / 3636-3640 ✅ Trading strategy reference: 🔰 If gold price rebounds to the 3702-3705 area, consider selling in batches with a target of 3690-3680, and if broken, look for a further move to 3670. 🔰 If gold price pulls back to the 3665-3670 area, consider buying in batches with a target of 3685-3695, and if broken, look for a further move to 3705. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
Gold Price Today: XAUUSD Sets Stage for Continued Bullish ExpansGold (XAUUSD) Market Report – September 21, 2025 Gold remains positioned near 3,685, with recent price behavior showing a structured climb despite short bursts of volatility. The market is cycling through phases of expansion and retracement, where each corrective leg has been followed by renewed upward momentum. This rhythm signals that buyers are steadily maintaining control of the broader trend. The current setup reflects a market that is rebalancing efficiently. Short-term pullbacks are being absorbed quickly, keeping pressure aligned toward the upside. The sequence of structural shifts on the chart points to a continuation of this momentum, suggesting that higher valuations are within reach if the present flow persists. Overall, gold’s tone is constructive, characterized by resilience and sustained demand. The pattern unfolding indicates a market preparing for further expansion, with the potential for continuation into higher ranges in the sessions ahead.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
PLAN FOR SUNDAY EVENING SUNDAY TRADING CHEAT-SHEET (XAUUSD & USDJPY) ✅ General Rules • Avoid thefirst 15–30 min of Sunday open (low liquidity, wide spreads). • Always mark: PDH, PDL, Weekly Open, Friday Close. • Trade only after confirmation: Liquidity Grab → BOS/CHOCH → Retest → Conviction Candle. • No confirmation = No trade. • Risk ≤ 1% per trade. ⸻ 🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) Bias: Bearish from supply unless broken. 🔻 Short Setup (preferred) • Supply Zone: 3,693 – 3,701 • Entry: 3,695 – 3,700 (after BOS down on 3m–5m) • SL: Above 3,710 • TP1: 3,660 • TP2: 3,640 • TP3: 3,615 🟢 Long Setup (counterplay) • Demand Zone: 3,640 – 3,650 (deep: 3,615 – 3,630) • Entry: After BOS up on 3m–5m • SL: Below 3,600 • TP1: 3,670 • TP2: 3,700 • TP3: 3,720 ⸻ 💴 USDJPY Bias: Range between 147.40–148.40. Short from premium, long from discount. 🔻 Short Setup (preferred) • Supply Zone: 148.20 – 148.40 • Entry: 148.25 – 148.35 (after BOS down on 3m–5m) • SL: Above 148.50 • TP1: 147.90 • TP2: 147.60 • TP3: 147.00 🟢 Long Setup (counterplay) • Demand Zone: 147.40 – 147.60 • Entry: 147.45 – 147.55 (after BOS up on 3m–5m) • SL: Below 147.20 • TP1: 147.90 • TP2: 148.20 • TP3: 148.40 ⸻ ⚡ Confirmation Checklist ✅ Liquidity sweep inside zone ✅ BOS / CHOCH in your favor (on 3m–5m chart) ✅ Retest OB/FVG from that BOS ✅ Conviction candle close (red near low for shorts, green near high for longs) ⸻ 📌 Plan Summary: • Gold: Watch 3,693–3,701 for shorts, 3,640–3,650 for longs. • USDJPY: Watch 148.20–148.40 for shorts, 147.40–147.60 for longs. • Always confirm with BOS/CHOCH before entry.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by rotezsolutions
XAU/USD: Sideway or Waiting for a Breakout?Hello traders, gold is currently in a clear sideways phase , moving within a narrow trading range between support at 3,652 USD and resistance at 3,700 USD. The chart shows that gold continues to fluctuate in this area without any signs of a strong breakout. Although there is no major immediate news impact, the recent Fed rate cut has created a slight bullish bias for gold, as it continues to be viewed as a safe-haven asset in a low-interest-rate environment. This may support gold in holding within the current range, with a slight upside potential if price stays above the 3,652 USD support level. If gold breaks above the 3,700 USD resistance , the uptrend could continue. However, if it breaks below current support levels , the market may see a correction. We need to monitor market signals closely to determine any trend shift.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_