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Analysis of subsequent gold price trendsMarket News: Spot gold saw slight gains in early Asian trading on Thursday (September 11th), currently trading around $3,545 per ounce. International gold prices continued their strong performance. Amidst softening US inflation data and widespread market bets that the Federal Reserve will initiate an interest rate cut next week, spot gold prices are approaching all-time highs, with related gold stocks and mining company indices simultaneously reaching record closing highs. The current strength in the gold market stems from a combination of weak US economic data, geopolitical risks, and the Federal Reserve's policy shift. While gold prices may fluctuate in the short term due to CPI data, the overall bull market is firmly in place, with a year-to-date gain of over 39% suggesting further upside potential. Gold prices continue to approach record highs, driven by unexpectedly weak inflation data, market confidence in an imminent Fed rate cut, and increased safe-haven demand. Industry analysts predict that if the Federal Reserve embarks on an easing cycle, gold will likely continue to attract investors, potentially reaching $3,900 per ounce by the end of the year. Technical Analysis: Gold has entered a period of volatile adjustment. Yesterday, it fell before rising, consolidating in a wide range around 3620/3660. Technically, the weekly and daily charts remain within a buying trend channel. The daily chart retraced its course below 3620 before stabilizing and rising strongly above 3658, closing above 3640. The daily chart closed with another positive candlestick pattern. The moving averages remain upward, with the 5-day MA moving average moving up to 3626. The hourly Bollinger Bands are converging, with the moving averages converging. The RSI indicator is retracing to its mid-50 level. On the four-hour chart, gold prices remain within the upper Bollinger Bands, with the moving averages converging. Technically, gold trading continues to see wide range-bound adjustments, with buyers buying at low prices and selling high. Fundamentals: Today's US PPI inflation data will be a key focus! Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3627-3630, stop loss at 3618, target at 3660-3680; Short-term gold: Sell at 3660-3663, stop loss at 3672, target at 3630-3610; Key points: First support level: 3626, Second support level: 3612, Third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3666, Second resistance level: 3680, Third resistance level: 3696
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 10, 2025🌀 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bearish reversal → the market may enter a corrective decline, possibly lasting through the end of this week. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning upward → a short-term recovery could appear today, pushing the indicator into the overbought zone. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the overbought area and turning down → a short-term decline is likely. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: Price has reached the projected target of wave iii (black). With D1 momentum reversing downward, wave iv (black) may be forming. Since wave ii (black) was relatively long, there is a possibility that wave iv (black) could unfold more quickly. • H4: Yesterday’s decline may suggest that wave v (purple) has temporarily completed. If this scenario plays out, price could move into a corrective phase toward the wave iv target area. The correction may develop as a Zigzag, Flat, or Triangle. • H1: Price is consolidating within the liquidity zone 3657 – 3631. With H4 momentum hinting at correction, one possible scenario is sideways movement here to complete wave B, followed by a decline into wave C. o If price breaks and closes below 3631 → the liquidity zone at 3595 may act as the next support. o Potential targets for wave C:  3595 (aligned with 23.8% Fibonacci retracement).  Or 3556 – 3528 (aligned with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Scenarios (for reference only) • Sell Zone: 3657 – 3659 o SL: 3667 o TP1: 3631 o TP2: 3563 • Buy Zone 1: 3596 – 3594 o SL: 3585 o TP1: 3669 o TP2: 3749 • Buy Zone 2: 3557 – 3555 o SL: 3547 o TP1: 3597 o TP2: 3705 📌 Note: The Sell setup at 3657 should be considered with small position size as it goes against the main trend. If price reaches 3595, this Sell scenario could lose validity.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we placed buy orders at 3643, 3635, 3642, and 3651. Yesterday's strategy was to maintain a bullish outlook. Gold surged and then retreated, with the daily chart closing at a tombstone, signaling new short-term resistance. Many investors believe this is a top, but the current top still needs to be confirmed. The broader trend indicators and pattern are still bullish. On the daily chart, a break below 3600 today will not change the strength of the daily chart and the candlestick pattern. Therefore, it's too early to call a top. This weekly rally is a weekly one, and a top requires time and space to be established. Today, we'll focus on a correction and volatility. Don't insist on buying today, but consider selling opportunities. After all, a correction isn't a one-sided rally, and there's plenty of room for subsequent fluctuations. The above analysis chart represents our estimated correction. Focus on 3649 in the Asian session. If it fails to break above, we'll look for strong support below and then rally again. If the market defies our guidance and rises directly, we can consider buying at this point. However, yesterday's high of 3674 was also a selling zone. Today, we need to observe the market and adjust our strategy accordingly. Regardless of fluctuations, the overall trend remains bullish. Currently, there's no sign of a break below major support. The first major support is at 3600. We'll focus on its gains and losses today. Minor support lies at 3620 and 3630, while resistance lies at 3649 and 3658. The dividing line between strength and weakness lies at 3649. Fundamental Analysis： Today, focus on the EIA crude oil inventory data. The CPI will be released tomorrow, and this week's major move will also be tomorrow. Trading Recommendations： Gold: Sell near 3649, target 3620-3600 Gold: Buy near 3604, target 3640-3668
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Global central banks are buying gold! Gold prices are soaring!Market News: In early Asian trading on Tuesday (September 9), spot gold prices fluctuated at high levels, currently trading around $3,636 per ounce. London gold prices, like a runaway force, broke through the $3,600 per ounce mark and ultimately reached a new all-time high of $3,647. This was primarily due to the US non-farm payroll data released last week, which fell far short of expectations, reinforcing the possibility of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next week, with a 10% chance of a 50 basis point reduction. In addition to monetary policy expectations, continued gold purchases by global central banks have provided solid support for the international gold market. Meanwhile, global political dynamics are also fueling gold's upward trend. Any rapid rise in asset prices is accompanied by increased volatility. When positive news is fully digested by the market, be wary of the possibility of a volatile pullback triggered by profit-taking by long positions. Investors await Wednesday's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Thursday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to gauge the Federal Reserve's policy path. The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release revised non-farm payroll figures this trading day, which investors should pay close attention to. Furthermore, investors should monitor news related to the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical situation. Technical Analysis: Gold's trend-buying structure remains intact, reaching a new all-time high of 3646. The daily chart is currently moving upwards along the 5-day moving average, with the 10-day and 7-day moving averages opening at 3524 and 3570, respectively. The RSI indicator has reached the overbought zone at the high 80s, prompting caution for a pullback and correction. The recent consecutive gains require some technical adjustments, so we should remain cautious about overly bullish gold prices and remain wary of potential pullbacks. Looking at the 4-hour gold chart, short-term support is currently focused on the 3610 level, with particular attention focused on the 3575-83 support level. This level also serves as a strong short-term buying zone. Continued buying at this level within the day maintains a bullish outlook. As long as the daily chart does not break below this level, buying at lower prices on a pullback is the primary strategy. The 4-hour moving average remains upward, with prices within an ascending channel and within the upper Bollinger Band. The RSI is at a high of 80. Gold's technical outlook remains bullish, and the key trading strategy remains to buy on dips (short-term buying) and sell on highs (swing trading). Be wary of potential pullbacks after overbought conditions. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3610-3613, stop loss at 3600, target at 3640-3660; Short-term gold: Sell at 3667-3670, stop loss at 3679, target at 3620-3600; Key points: First support level: 3620, second support level: 3613, third support level: 3600 First resistance level: 3640, second resistance level: 3655, third resistance level: 3678
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620Gold Market Analysis: Friday's gold buying was strong again, driven by two factors: a pre-existing buying trend, and the disappointing non-farm payroll data, which bolstered gold's safe-haven appeal. We also placed buy orders at 3544. Before the non-farm payroll report, the price broke through 3561 again, and all of our buy orders were profitable. The weekly chart ultimately closed with a large, clear bullish candlestick. The buying trend is undeniable. I've always adhered to the principle of not speculating on tops or trends; we aim to follow them, not fight them. Currently, both indicators and patterns clearly indicate a buying trend. This week, we'll focus on the gains and losses of 3523 on the weekly chart. Unless it breaks, it's difficult to call a top, nor will it disrupt the buying pattern. Let's look for buying opportunities in the Asian session. First, focus on support at 3578-3572. 3578 represents the previous top of the pattern and also serves as a minor short-term support level. The low point of Friday's correction from the high was 3572, indicating this level has become a new minor support level. Consider buying at this level in the Asian session. Slightly stronger support is the 1H support at 3562, also the daily moving average. Buying here is certain to trigger another rebound. Friday's gains were quite significant, and with the 3600 mark approaching, we predict either a pullback and subsequent rally, or a direct break below 3600. A direct decline is unlikely. For the first option, wait for a buying opportunity; for the second option, consider buying directly. Support is 3578-3572, strong support is 3562, resistance is 3500, and the strength-weakness dividing line is 3562. Fundamental Analysis: Last week's non-farm payroll data showed a figure of 22,000, compared to expectations of 75,000 and a previous estimate of 79,000. This result is quite disappointing. In short, fewer US jobs mean a weakening economy, which in turn leads to a rise in gold prices. This week, we'll keep an eye on the CPI. Trading Recommendations: Gold: Buy around 3578, target 3599-3620
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Will gold prices hit new highs today?Will gold prices hit new highs today? Many people took advantage of yesterday's positive news to sell at high prices, causing gold prices to fall sharply. However, gold prices have risen again today. Today's rise in gold prices is due to escalating geopolitical tensions. After the Ukrainian Air Force warned that a Russian drone had entered the airspace of NATO member Poland, Polish and allied fighter jets were scrambled to secure the airspace. This geopolitical tension has intensified market demand for safe-haven assets, pushing up gold prices. Technical Analysis: 1: Short-term support: $3,600-3,620. If broken, this week's low near $3,580 could be tested. 2: Short-term resistance: All-time highs of $3,660-3,675. If broken, the next target is $3,700 or even $3,750. As shown in Figure 2h: 1: A large ascending triangle pattern has formed. If gold breaks through the upper boundary, the target price is expected to be $3,750. 2: After hitting a record high, gold prices face a significant short-term technical correction risk. The market may need a breather. 3: The upcoming US PPI data will be a key driver. If the data exceeds expectations, it could weaken expectations of a rate cut, provide support for the US dollar, and trigger a gold price correction. Conversely, weak data could reinforce rate cut expectations, pushing gold prices to test or even break through the all-time high of $3,675. 4: Any further geopolitical developments will continue to influence market risk aversion, triggering gold price volatility. My trading strategy: Gold prices are unlikely to break new highs today. I believe the market needs some time to breathe and adjust, but we must acknowledge that gold bulls are currently in a frenzy. SELL: 3360-3370 SL: 3380 TP: 3350-3340 BUY: 3630-3640-3645 SL: 3625 TP: 3660-3670 I believe the market will fluctuate between 3625 and 3670 today. For intraday trading within this range, you can employ a range-bound strategy: buy high, sell low, buy low, sell high.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
XAUUSD – PPI Ahead: Key Liquidity Levels & Trading PlanMarket View: After yesterday’s sharp drop where sellers dominated the liquidity zone, gold (XAUUSD) is now recovering from 362x → 364x during the Asian session. In the short term, price may range between 362x–365x in Asia/Europe before going sideways to await the PPI release in the US session. Today’s PPI is expected at 0.3% vs 0.9% previous, signalling cooling inflation. However, actual data could come in higher – often creating a “news trap”. From a technical view, gold may need to retest 360x liquidity before resuming its uptrend ahead of CPI & the upcoming FED meeting. 👉 In short: Structure stays bullish, but short-term liquidity sweeps are likely before continuation. Key Levels: Resistance: 3647 – 3654 – 3665 – 3674 – 3704 Support: 3635 – 3613 – 3600 – 3586 Trading Plan: 🔵 BUY Zone: 3600 – 3598 SL: 3592 (or tighter at 3580) TP: 3605 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+ 🔴 SELL Zone: 3703 – 3705 SL: 3710 TP: 3698 → 3694 → 3690 → 3680 → 3670 → 3660+ Summary: ✅ Gold remains in an uptrend, but may retest 360x liquidity before heading higher. ✅ PPI today & CPI tomorrow could trigger traps – caution is advised. 👉 Watch the key levels and follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily updates & BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data. At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations. Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook. The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Key Resistance): Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap) ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test) Golden Harbor (Strong Support): Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602 OB Dock: 3582 – 3585 Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority) Entry 1: 3654 – 3660 SL: 3668 TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610 Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703 SL: 3711 TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support) Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603 SL: 3592 TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Captain Vincent Update | 15m Outlook🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Structure On the 15-minute timeframe (M15) , price just formed a Break of Structure (BoS) above the previous accumulation zone → confirming temporary control by the Buy side. However, the Bearish Order Block (H1 Zone) around 3655 is being tested, marking a key resistance area. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Bullish Scenario If price holds above the OB zone 3644 – 3655 , buying pressure may continue to push the ship toward the Weak High 3674 . Further ahead, the next destination is Storm Breaker Peak (3701 – 3708) – where strong selling reactions are expected. 📉 Captain’s Chart – Bearish Scenario After sweeping liquidity and touching the Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) , Gold may reverse lower. Key level to monitor: OB 3644 . If this area breaks, the market could open a deeper bearish leg. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Key Levels Golden Harbor (Support) : 3644 – 3655 (OB retest zone) Target (Bullish) : 3674 → 3701 – 3708 Storm Breaker (Sell Zone) : 3701 – 3708 Invalidation : Break below 3644 opens a new bearish journey ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails have just caught new wind after a BoS , showing that the captain and crew still hold a short-term advantage. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3644 – 3655) is the key dock to sustain the bullish trend. If Gold clears the Weak High 3674 , the ship may head straight to Storm Breaker 🌊 (3701 – 3708) , where reversal waves are likely to rise. While the short-term tide remains bullish, Storm Breaker still hides major risks – sailors must sail with strict risk management discipline.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today. Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week. Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle. Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617 SL 3612 TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597 SL 3592 TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688. 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow. • 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers. • 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep. 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction • Entry: 3,636 – 3,634 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,650 TP2: 3,665 TP3: 3,680+ 👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test • Entry: 3,594 – 3,592 • Stop Loss: 3,587 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,610 TP2: 3,625 TP3: 3,640+ 👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection • Entry: 3,687 – 3,689 • Stop Loss: 3,694 • Take Profits: TP1: 3,670 TP2: 3,655 TP3: 3,640 👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk. 🔑 Strategy Note Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today. Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week. Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle. Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617 SL 3612 TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597 SL 3592 TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365 SL 3668 TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
OANDA:XAUUSD
by rubpitbeg
XAUUSD: Breaking Through ResistanceXAUUSD is currently trading within a clear uptrend channel, with strong support at 3,620. The 1-hour chart shows that gold has bounced strongly from this support level, confirming that the uptrend remains intact. With support from EMA 34 and EMA 89, XAUUSD is likely to continue its upward momentum and target higher levels. The current uptrend channel shows the price is moving within a clearly defined range, with higher lows consecutively forming. The next resistance is at 3,680, and if gold breaks through this level, it could extend its rise toward higher targets. The 3,620 level remains a crucial support, and as long as the price stays above this level, the chances of further increases are high. Impact of News With the forecasted PPI dropping from 0.9% to 0.3%, this could reduce inflation expectations and weaken the USD, providing favorable conditions for gold to continue rising.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
2
XAUUSD 1H📍 XAUUSD – 1H Key Levels 🔹 Support Zones $1925 – $1927 → Immediate intraday support $1918 – $1920 → Stronger short-term support $1910 – $1912 → Major support zone, breakdown could trigger deeper fall 🔹 Resistance Zones $1935 – $1937 → First intraday resistance $1945 – $1947 → Strong resistance area where sellers may re-enter $1955 – $1960 → Major resistance; breakout above this can fuel a larger rally ⚖️ Quick Summary Above $1935, bulls may push toward $1945 – $1960. Below $1920, bears could drag price back to $1910 – $1900. Range to monitor: $1920 – $1935 (decisive breakout will set next trend). XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview On the 1-hour chart, XAUUSD is currently showing short-term bullish bias but with nearby resistance. Price action is making higher lows, but upside moves are facing supply zones. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch Immediate Support Zone: $1918 – $1922 Major Support: $1910 – $1912 Immediate Resistance Zone: $1935 – $1940 Stronger Resistance: $1950 🔹 Indicators (1H Chart) Moving Averages → Price trading above 20 EMA and near 50 EMA, showing short-term strength. RSI (Relative Strength Index) → Around 60–65, leaning bullish but not overbought. MACD → Positive crossover, momentum favoring buyers. Volume → Buying volume spikes at dips, showing accumulation. 🔹 Intraday Trading Scenarios Bullish Case If price sustains above $1935, upside can extend to $1945 – $1950. Breakout above $1950 opens path toward $1960+. Bearish Case If price drops below $1922, retracement towards $1912 – $1910 is possible. Strong breakdown below $1910 may test $1900. 🔹 Summary Bias: Mildly Bullish (as long as above $1920 support) Support Levels: $1922 / $1910 Resistance Levels: $1935 / $1950 Traders should watch the $1920 – $1935 zone for the next decisive move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GlobalTradeHub
3
Gold Breaks $3,600/oz: Fed Rate Cut Hype & Trading Setups!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has blasted through $3,600/oz for the first time on Monday (08/09/2025), smashing a new all-time high as weak US jobs data ramps up bets for a Fed rate cut next week. With a massive 38% YTD gain after 27% in 2024, gold's on fire—driven by a weakening USD, central bank hoarding, easing policies, and global uncertainty. For Indian investors, this is prime time amid rising demand and INR volatility. Let’s analyze today’s (09/09/2025) market and spot trading opportunities! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Break: Weak US jobs (August growth slowed, unemployment at 4.3%) has markets pricing in an 88% chance of 0.25% rate cut and 12% for 0.5% in September, per CME FedWatch. Low rates slash the opportunity cost for non-yielding gold—perfect for India’s festive season buys! 📈 Expert View: Peter Grant from Zaner Metals sees gold hitting $3,700–$3,730/oz short-term, with dips as buy chances. Ongoing labor weakness and Fed easing into 2026 will keep supporting it. Global Boosters: China’s PBOC extended gold buys to 10 months in August. Falling USD and 10-year Treasury yields near 5-month lows make gold even more attractive for Indian rupee holders. Data Watch: Eye US PPI (10/09) and CPI (11/09) for Fed clues. Tariff wars and geopolitics add safe-haven fuel—great for India’s gold ETFs and physical demand. Gold’s your ultimate hedge in this setup—will the Fed’s cut keep the party going for Indian portfolios? Technical Analysis: Breakout Frenzy with Traps—Buy the Dips! 📉 Gold’s power surge blew past 3600 with no brakes, but eye the Fibo 2.618 at 3685 for a possible breather. Bullish momentum screams BUY, but watch FVG traps from the fast climb. Key focus: 3641—break below pulls back to 3600; hold above and bulls target 3685. Ideal for Indian traders riding the rupee-gold link! Key Resistance: 3663 - 3673 - 3685 - 3690 Key Support: 3641 - 3629 - 3596 - 3581 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3673 - 3675 SL: 3679 TP: 3670 - 3665 - 3660 - 3655 Sell Zone: 3684 - 3686 SL: 3694 TP: 3676 - 3666 - 3656 - 3646 - Open Buy Scalp: 3641 - 3639 SL: 3635 TP: 3644 - 3649 - 3654 - 3659 Buy Zone: 3605 - 3603 SL: 3595 TP: 3613 - 3623 - 3633 - 3643 - Open Gold’s breaking out big, but traps await—confirm at key levels! Holds support? Bulls aim for 3685. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto #IndiaTrading #INR #MCX
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – Intraday Plan: Bullish Trend + Key Liquidity ZonesMarket Pulse: The US jobs data (05/09) showed a slowdown in hiring. According to CME FedWatch, there is an 88% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut in September, and 12% for a 0.5% cut. Lower rates support gold as a non-yielding asset. Gold has already gained 38% YTD, after rising 27% in 2024. A weaker USD, central bank buying (China added gold for the 10th month in a row in August), loose monetary policy, and global risks keep gold in a strong bullish trend. 👉 Market bias: Macro + liquidity flows favour BUY. Technical View (M30): Price stays in an up channel, making higher lows. 3616–3596 is the key support zone. Liquidity SELL zones at 3653–3655 and 3675–3677 may give short intraday pullbacks before trend continues. Execution Plan (Today): 🔵 BUY ZONE #1: 3618 – 3616 SL: 3610 TP: 3624 → 3630 → 3635 → 3640 → 3650 → 3660 → 3670+ 🔵 BUY ZONE #2: 3598 – 3596 SL: 3590 TP: 3602 → 3606 → 3610 → 3615 → 3620 → 3630 → 3640 → 3650+ 🔴 SELL ZONE #1: 3653 – 3655 SL: 3660 TP: 3648 → 3644 → 3640 → 3635 → 3630 → 3620 🔴 SELL ZONE #2: 3675 – 3677 SL: 3681 TP: 3670 → 3665 → 3660 → 3650 → 3640 Summary: ✅ Gold trend stays bullish – best setups are buying dips into liquidity zones. ⚡ Intraday scalps possible at SELL liquidity zones. 👉 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily precision setups.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
2
Gold: Positive Momentum with Room Towards 3,700Gold continues to draw strength from supportive fundamentals. Rate cut expectations in the US remain strong, while steady inflows into low-cost ETFs are reinforcing the longer-term bullish case. In Asia, weaker GDP data from Japan and disappointing trade numbers from China have added to safe-haven demand. On the 2H chart, the uptrend is visible: price trades above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with successive FVG blocks offering a “ladder” of support. The nearest resistance stands around 3,645–3,650. Below, support is layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and further down at 3,580–3,565. The likely path is sideways accumulation below 3,650 before another push higher towards 3,670–3,685. If momentum persists, 3,700–3,715 becomes achievable. Weakness would only show if the 2H candle closes under 3,595, and a decisive break of 3,565 would expose 3,540–3,525. CPI and PPI prints from the US, alongside 10Y yield movements, remain the key variables to watch.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 09/09/2025🌀 ————————————- 🔹 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is still rising but occurs in the overbought zone → the upside potential is limited. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is also in the overbought zone and starting to reverse. Although H4 candles are still pushing up, a divergence is forming → signaling weakening bullish strength. • H1 timeframe: Momentum remains in the overbought zone → no expectation for an extended bullish leg. ————————————- 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: o Price is in the final stage of wave iii (black) and preparing for wave iv (black). o By principle, it is better to stay patient and wait for wave iv to complete before looking for Buy entries into wave v (black), rather than trying to catch the top of wave iii. o Current price is approaching the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave i (black). • H4 timeframe: o Price is currently within wave v (purple). o Since it has already broken above wave iii (purple), a reversal could happen anytime. o Completion of wave v (purple) will also complete wave iii (black). • H1 timeframe: o Inside wave v (purple), a full 5-wave structure (green) can be counted. o The potential confluence zone for the end of wave 5 (green), wave v (purple), and wave iii (black) is 3669 – 3678. o After this zone, price is expected to correct into wave iv (black), which often develops sideways and shallow. ➡️ Once wave iv (black) is complete, the market is expected to continue higher into wave v (black). ➡️ High liquidity zones highlighted by the Volume Profile will act as support, preventing a deep decline and providing momentum for wave v (black). • Wave iv usually retraces back to the wave 4 of a smaller degree. Currently, we have two key areas: o Wave 4 (green) around 3597 o Wave iv (purple) around 3552 – 3530 ————————————- 🔹 Trading Plan 1. Buy Zone 1: 3598 – 3596 o SL: 3588 (or 3579 for wider risk tolerance) o TP1: 3669 2. Buy Zone 2: 3553 – 3550 o SL: 3540 o TP1: 3597
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX