LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Continue to watch for SELL at the start of the week – wait for price to retrace to the trendline & resistance for a perfect entry
Gold is experiencing a sharp decline amidst global market liquidity pressures. The simultaneous drop in gold, stocks, and Bitcoin indicates that capital is being withdrawn from risky assets and even safe havens, similar to tense periods like the 2008 crisis or the early 2020 pandemic. Investors are selling profitable assets to cover losses elsewhere.
In the long run, gold usually recovers sooner, but in the short term, the downtrend still prevails.
On H1, the price is below the descending trendline, under the 4100 resistance, and is moving in a clear Lower High – Lower Low structure. This is a good signal to continue prioritising SELL orders retracing to resistance.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci • Liquidity)
The descending trendline is the biggest barrier; each time the price hits the trendline, it is strongly rejected.
Main Resistance:
4098–4100: resistance area + confluence with the trendline.
4120–4130: stronger area if the price retraces deeply (close to Fibo 0.382).
Target Support:
4065: intermediate support – where the price has bounced slightly several times before.
4040 – 4025: large liquidity area – confluence with the H1 FVG bottom.
3985–3995: the end zone of the down wave if the selling force expands.
Liquidity Zone:
Many liquidity sweep bottoms continuously → indicates that the selling force still prevails.
The lower FVG area (around 4025–4040) is highly likely to be filled within the week.
📉 Trading Scenario (prioritise SELL retracement)
Scenario – SELL retracement to trendline + resistance (priority)
Entry: 4098–4100
SL: 4106
TP: 4088 → 4065 → 4040 → 4025
💡 Suggestion: Wait for M5–M15 to form a rejection candle (pin bar / bearish engulfing) before executing the order.
When to BUY?
Only BUY if:
H1 closes above 4120, breaking the descending trendline → short-term trend phase change.
If this signal is not present → do not rush to buy against the trend.
⚠️ Important Note
The phenomenon of “selling everything to hold cash” may continue → gold may remain under pressure in the short term.
Which price range are you watching for today's session?
Comment below & Follow LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates!
Trade ideas
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Types of Options
There are two primary types:
1. Call Option (CE)
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the asset at a predetermined price (strike price).
Buyers profit when the underlying price goes up.
Sellers profit when the price stays below the strike.
2. Put Option (PE)
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the asset at the strike price.
Buyers profit when the underlying price goes down.
Sellers profit when price stays above the strike.
GOLD (XAU/USD): 2 Crucial Orders Before the NFP Storm!📉 Technical Analysis (SMC - 2H)
Trend: Decline after a clear MSS/BOS.
Focus: Price is retracing to the Selling Zone (Premium) to fill the FVG.
⚔️ Detailed Trading Plan (R:R > 1:2)
1. Priority Strategy: SELL Limit (Trend Following)
Entry: 4,157.782 (FVG Peak - Supply Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,206.895 (Safe SL above the nearest structural peak)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,051.733 (Main structural target - Nearest bottom)
Objective: Participate in the ongoing price decline.
2. Counter-trend Strategy: BUY Limit (Technical Rebound)
Entry: 4,051.733 (Nearest structural bottom - Support)
Stop Loss (SL): 4,018.699 (SL below lower FVG)
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 4,126.333 (Rebound to the upper FVG bottom)
Objective: Capitalise on the technical rebound from strong support.
🚨 Basic Risk: This Week's Focus
Hawkish Fed: Officials like Schmid assert high inflation, unwilling to ease policy, maintaining high interest rates (Negative for Gold).
Major News: FOMC Minutes (Wednesday) and especially NFP (Thursday) will determine the short-term momentum of USD/Gold.
Risk Management: Gold will be highly volatile from Wednesday. Adhere to SL and manage capital under 2% per order.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #FVG #SmartMoney #Fed #NFP #TradingView
XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN💛 XAUUSD – UPDATE ON SCENARIO AFTER WEEKLY OPEN 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold prices at the start of the week are mostly unchanged, the price structure on H4 remains the same, so Lana continues to maintain the old trading strategy.
Currently, gold is weakly reacting around the medium-term resistance area, not strong enough to break through – but also no clear reversal signals.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 Prices are moving within a narrow range between key liquidity zones:
Zone 4138–4140 is the near resistance, where the market has repeatedly reacted with declines.
Zone 4200 coincides with confluence fibo + descending trendline – strong resistance.
Zone 3990–3988 is important support, also a lower liquidity area, suitable for technical rebound Buy.
Market liquidity is weak, as shown by the pin bars and narrowing range.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL (priority on correction rhythm)
4138–4140 | SL: 4146 | TP: 4120 → 4105 → 4089
4200 | SL: 4212 | TP: 4185 → 4160 → 4133
💖 BUY (strong support)
3990–3988 | SL: 3984 | TP: 4002 → 4032 → 4060
⚠️ Market Insight (Macro Insight)
Gold declines simultaneously with US stocks and Bitcoin, indicating a lack of liquidity across the market.
This behaviour is common during phases like:
Financial Crisis 2008
Early pandemic panic 2020
Investors are forced to sell even profitable assets to cover losses, causing gold – despite being a safe haven asset – to also decline. This reflects a strong increase in cash demand and widespread fear.
🌷 Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is moving within a tight range and is heavily dependent on liquidity 💛
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 for daily gold analysis ✨
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Week 3, November)
1. Momentum
W1 Timeframe
W1 momentum is preparing to turn upward. This suggests that within 1–2 weeks, weekly momentum may reverse, potentially starting a medium-term bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. It also signals that the current bearish trend may weaken next week.
D1 Timeframe
D1 momentum has already turned downward, so the primary expectation for next week remains bearish.
H4 Timeframe
H4 momentum is turning upward, meaning that on Monday we may see a corrective bounce or sideways movement before the downtrend resumes.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure – W1
Price is still in a corrective phase, likely forming wave 4 of the larger cycle.
This wave count remains valid as long as price closes above 3746.
If price closes below 3746, the entire structure must be reassessed.
________________________________________
3. Wave Structure – D1
Wave 4 is unfolding as a W–X–Y (purple) combination.
Friday’s strong decline confirms that D1 momentum has reversed downward, suggesting that purple wave X is complete and price is now developing purple wave Y.
Targets for Wave Y (purple):
• Target 1: Equal to wave W → 3746
• Target 2: 1.618 × W, a very deep zone
o If price reaches this deeper zone, the structure may no longer represent yellow wave 4, and the count must be re-evaluated.
________________________________________
4. Wave Structure – H4
With Friday’s sharp decline, waves (1) and (2) in blue are temporarily labeled.
The decline is steep, clean, and non-overlapping — all characteristics of a 5-wave impulsive structure, supporting the expectation that purple wave Y will also unfold as a 5-wave decline rather than a triangle. Further confirmation is needed next week.
Given the target at 3746, wave (3) is expected to extend. The current pullback remains valid as long as price does not exceed 4211, which still fits as wave 2 within wave (3).
________________________________________
5. Monday Pullback Zones
H4 momentum indicates a likely bullish correction early next week. Two key resistance zones:
Zone 1 – 4096
“This zone aligns with the 0.382 retracement from blue wave (2) to the current low at 4046. It is also an ideal wave (4) zone if price peaks here before continuing downward.”
Zone 2 – 4145
“This level corresponds to the previous wave (1) in blue. If price reaches this zone, the pullback may represent wave 2 within wave (3). I will update this scenario in more detail on Monday.”
________________________________________
6. Conclusion
The main trend remains bearish.
I expect price to reach the 3746 target for purple wave Y next week, aligning with the projected timing shown by the two vertical blue lines on the H4 chart, while D1 momentum moves into oversold territory.
When price reaches this zone and W1 momentum fully turns upward, it may signal the beginning of a new medium-term bullish trend.
Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week✅ From the daily chart, gold closed with a large bearish candle, showing a clear decline. Short-term rebound pressure is heavy and market sentiment has turned bearish. The 4000 psychological level is the key support: if it holds, gold may continue to fluctuate within the upper range; if it breaks, the price may further fall toward 3930 or even the 3886 area for support. OANDA:XAUUSD
✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a corrective phase, and the overall structure remains weak. If the price can climb back above the key moving averages, bulls still have a chance to repair the structure; if not, bears will continue to dominate, and the probability of further downside increases.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, the short-term structure has already formed a Head and Shoulders top, and the rebound strength is limited. If gold cannot break above 4150 next week, the current rebound will form the right shoulder, creating continued downward pressure. After Friday’s sharp drop, gold is expected to see a technical rebound early next week, and the next move will depend on the strength of that rebound.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150
🟢 Support Levels: 4030–4050 / 4000–3970
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887.
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080.
✅ Overall, next week’s short-term gold trading should focus on selling the rebounds, with buying on dips as a secondary approach. If gold fails to break above 4150, the Head and Shoulders top pattern will be confirmed, and the bearish trend is expected to continue.
XAUUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Part 7 Trading Master Class With Experts Option Pricing: Why Premium Changes
Premium is the price paid by the option buyer. It depends on:
1. Intrinsic Value
Value if exercised today.
2. Time Value
More time → more chances of profit → higher premium.
3. Volatility (IV – Implied Volatility)
When volatility increases, option premiums rise.
4. Supply & Demand
High demand increases option prices.
5. Interest Rates & Dividends
These have minor impact but still matter for pricing models.
Gold/XAUSSD weekly analysis and possible sell/buy scenarios....Currently gold is showing pressure and generating sell signals. There are multiple sell opportunities developed in Gold in different time frames. And we can anticipate couple of opportunities out of these will trigger. Gold has already created CISD on HTF and tested daily FVG and changed delivery and showing down fall in price. There is already one sell scenario executed. And we can see few more in coming week.
1. Price has already changed delivery in daily time frame and tasted daily FVG and price is falling now.
2. Currently price is holding at daily FVG and we may see slight pull back around the levels of 424152 & 4205 and then further fall till ~3888 level.
3. We can see another higher probability sell scenario at 4300 level if aforementioned levels are breached.
4. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
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Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Automated AI Trading1. What is Automated AI Trading?
Automated AI trading is a system that uses machine-learning models to identify market patterns, predict price movements, and execute trades without human intervention. It operates on:
Data (price, volume, order flow, macro news, sentiment)
Logic (rules, model predictions, risk parameters)
Execution engines (API connectivity with brokers/exchanges)
Feedback loops (continuous learning and improvement)
Unlike traditional algo trading, which follows fixed mathematical rules (e.g., moving average crossover), AI-driven trading systems learn from data, recognize non-linear relationships, adapt to different market regimes, and evolve over time.
How AI differs from simple algos:
Traditional Algo Trading AI-Driven Trading
Follows fixed rules Learns from millions of data points
Struggles in changing markets Adapts to new volatility and structure
Limited to indicators Understands patterns, order flow, sentiment
No self-improvement Continuously improves via ML models
This shift is why the world’s biggest hedge funds—Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma—rely heavily on AI-powered trading.
2. Core Components of Automated AI Trading
**1. Data Collection Systems
AI learns from large amounts of data such as:
Historical price data (candles, ticks)
Volume profile and order-book data
News articles, macro releases
Social media sentiment
Company fundamentals
Global market correlations (Forex, commodities, indices)
The more accurate the data, the more powerful the AI.
2. Machine-Learning Models
AI trading uses models like:
Supervised learning → Predicting future prices from historical patterns
Unsupervised learning → Detecting hidden clusters and regimes
Reinforcement learning → Teaching models how to “reward” profitable actions
Deep learning → Working on complex and high-dimensional inputs (order flow, charts)
For example, a reinforcement learning model may learn to buy dips in a rising market and fade breakouts in a choppy market because it has “experienced” millions of simulated trades.
3. Strategy Engine
This links model predictions to market actions. It includes:
Entry signals
Exit signals
Stop-loss and target placement
Position sizing
Hedging decisions
Time-based rules
Even if the AI predicts a bullish move, the strategy engine decides:
how much capital to deploy,
how many trades to execute,
whether to trail SL or take partials,
whether to hedge via options.
4. Order Execution Engine
This is the part that actually executes trades through APIs. It handles:
Slippage control
Spread detection
Smart order routing
Latency optimization
High-frequency micro-decisions
Professional systems place orders in milliseconds to take advantage of liquidity pockets.
5. Feedback & Reinforcement System
AI trading bots track every action:
Did the model react correctly?
Was there unnecessary drawdown?
Did volatility shift?
Did correlations break?
These results feed back into the learning cycle, making the system smarter.
3. How Automated AI Trading Works Step-by-Step
Here’s a simplified version of how an AI system might trade Nifty or Bank Nifty:
Data Input:
The AI collects candlesticks, volume profile, India VIX, global cues (SGX/GIFT Nifty), news sentiment, and order-flow metrics.
Prediction:
The model predicts probabilities such as:
Market trending or ranging
Expected volatility
Direction bias (up/down/neutral)
Strength of buyers vs sellers
Signal Generation:
If the AI believes there is a 70% chance of an upside breakout based on VWAP deviation, delta imbalance, and global sentiment, it triggers a buy signal.
Risk Management:
The AI sets SL based on ATR or structure, adjusts position sizing based on volatility, and may hedge using options if needed.
Execution:
Orders are placed instantly at the best liquidity point, often slicing orders to reduce slippage.
Monitoring & Adaptation:
If volatility spikes due to news, the AI tightens stops or exits early.
Feedback Learning:
After the trade, the outcome is fed back into the model to refine future decisions.
This continuous loop is what makes AI trading so powerful.
4. Types of AI Trading Strategies
AI systems can run multiple strategy categories simultaneously:
1. Trend-Following AI Strategies
They identify trending markets using ML-based pattern recognition.
Useful for:
Indices
FX
Commodities
2. Mean Reversion AI Strategies
The AI detects overextensions or liquidity vacuum areas.
Excellent for:
Low-volatility equities
Options premium selling
3. High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
AI reads order-book microstructure and executes trades in milliseconds.
4. Arbitrage & Statistical Arbitrage
The system scans correlated assets (e.g., Nifty–BankNifty, Gold–USDINR) and identifies mispricing.
5. Option Trading AI Models
They use Greeks, IV crush patterns, gamma exposure, and flow data to:
Sell premium during low volatility
Buy options during breakout volatility expansions
Hedge positions dynamically
5. Advantages of Automated AI Trading
1. Eliminates Emotional Trading
Fear, greed, revenge trading, and FOMO are removed completely.
2. Faster Decision Making
AI can scan hundreds of markets in milliseconds.
3. High Accuracy in Pattern Recognition
It sees relationships invisible to human eyes.
4. Consistency
AI follows rules perfectly 24/7 with no fatigue.
5. Ability to Adapt
Markets shift from trending to ranging, from low to high volatility—AI systems detect these shifts early.
6. Better Risk Management
AI adjusts SL, TS, exposure, and hedging dynamically.
6. Limitations of Automated AI Trading
Despite its power, AI trading has practical challenges:
1. Overfitting Risk
Models may memorize old data and fail in live markets.
2. Regime Changes
AI trained on low-volatility years might struggle during black-swan events.
3. Technology Costs
High-quality data, GPUs, and low-latency infra are expensive.
4. Black-Box Nature
Many AI decisions lack transparency—difficult to interpret.
5. Dependency
Traders relying too much on bots may lose market intuition.
7. The Future of Automated AI Trading
The next era will combine:
AI + Market Structure
Using volume profile, liquidity zones, order-flow imbalance.
AI + Global Macro Intelligence
Models that read FOMC statements, inflation prints, and currency flows.
AI + Voice/Chat Interfaces
Traders will speak: “AI, manage my Nifty long, hedge with a put spread,” and the system will execute.
AI-Driven Portfolio Automation
Fully autonomous wealth-management engines.
We are entering a world where AI will not assist traders—it will act as a complete trading partner.
Conclusion
Automated AI trading is transforming financial markets by combining vast data processing, machine learning, and rule-based automation. It removes human emotion, enhances precision, adapts to market shifts, and executes strategies with high speed. While it comes with limitations like overfitting and model opacity, the benefits far outweigh the challenges. Whether you trade indices, equities, commodities, or options, AI will play a central role in future trading success.
Part 2 Master Candlestick PatternBull Call Spread – Low Cost Bullish Trade
Market View: Moderately bullish
How it Works:
Buy ATM/ITM call
Sell higher strike call
Reduces cost + reduces risk
Best For:
Controlled bullish trades
Trending markets
Bear Put Spread – Low Cost Bearish Trade
Market View: Moderately bearish
How it Works:
Buy ATM/ITM put
Sell lower strike put
Cheap alternative to buying a naked put
GOLD: The Bigger Picture is Finally Getting Clearer !Gold finally showed some clarity after weeks of structure, and now the bigger picture is lining up perfectly across the daily and multi-year weekly charts. The rejection from the 4250–4350 zone triggered the first meaningful retracement after a parabolic rally, and price is now hovering right above the 4030–4060 daily support the only level holding back a much deeper corrective cycle. This entire region is critical because it marks the last breakout base, the liquidity origin, and the midpoint of the 3600-4300 vertical leg. As long as this shelf holds, gold will continue to move in a compressed range, but once a clean daily close breaks below it, the market naturally opens up a fast move toward the 3500–3550 target zone. All confluences measured move, channel midline, point to this same cluster, making it a high-confidence retracement level inside a long-term bullish trend.
On the upside, the structure is very clean. Only a sustained breakout above 4300–4350 invalidates the entire correction and flips the bias back to full-bull mode, where gold can easily run toward 4600–4800 as the next discovery leg. Anything below that zone still falls under the extended correction category, not a bullish continuation. This is why the invalidation level is drawn exactly where it is to protect from guessing the reversal too early.
On the weekly chart, gold has slipped back inside the multi-year ascending channel after briefly wicking above it. That wick was nothing but a classic blow-off extension followed by a reversion to mean. Now price is sitting comfortably inside the same long-term structure . The upper red band remains the multi-year resistance, the green midline is the structural backbone of the trend, and the purple lower band is the deep cycle accumulation zone. As long as gold stays inside this channel, the macro remains strongly bullish and corrections within this structure are normal and healthy. The mid-channel region around 3500 also aligns perfectly with the expected daily correction, which adds even more confirmation that this retracement is simply part of the long-term trend and not a trend reversal.
Commodity index on both daily and weekly frames is cooling off from extreme levels, which supports a deeper pullback rather than an immediate rally. No new bullish divergence has appeared yet, meaning momentum still favors a downside sweep before any major upside continuation. Combine that with the lack of fresh macro drivers and a stabilization in rate-cut expectations, this cooling phase was overdue.
In simple below daily support, gold continues the correction toward 3500-3650 above 4350, the correction thesis dies and the bull trend resumes aggressively. Until then, this is a textbook retracement inside a long-term uptrend nothing broken, nothing unexpected, just a parabolic market taking a breath. Trade safe !
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new weekLiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Two scenarios for the new week: wait for reactions at 4100 & Fibonacci zone – prioritise bullish trades when the market recovers
Gold is completing a technical rebound after a sharp drop, and H1 is showing two clear scenarios for the new week. The medium-term trend remains a corrective decline, but on H1, the price is in a rebound phase, so bullish trades will be prioritised – as long as the lower liquidity zones are maintained.
The key this week lies at 4100, where FVG, Fibonacci, and liquidity converge – this is the decisive point to see if gold will bounce back or continue to decline deeply.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Fibonacci • Trendline • Liquidity • Volume Zone)
Fibonacci H1: The price may rebound to Fib 0.5 (~4140–4150) – a zone with high liquidity & likely to show a bearish reaction.
Fib 0.382 (~4120–4130) is currently the first short-term resistance.
Price Structure: The medium-term downtrend is still present, but H1 is forming a rebound wave → prioritise buying when the price pulls back at the support zone.
The descending trendline is still controlling the market. If it breaks the trendline + holds above 4130–4150 → the uptrend is confirmed stronger.
Important liquidity zones:
4100: liquidity confluence + previous bullish resistance → strong reaction zone.
4085 and 4060: liquidity bottoms – if breached, it will trigger a deep decline scenario.
4032: FVG + Fibonacci bottom – the "break or hold" zone for buyers.
Key resistance this week: 4161 – 4187 – 4138 – 4111
📈 TRADING SCENARIOS FOR THE NEW WEEK
Scenario 1 – Bullish trade (priority)
Logic: Gold is rebounding; if it holds 4100 and pulls back strongly → target is the upper Fibonacci zone.
Entry: 4100–4111
SL: 4090
TP: 4138 → 4161 → 4187
Suggestion: Wait for strong signals like pin bar or engulfing H1 to confirm the rebound bottom.
Scenario 2 – Bearish trade (when the market fails to hold the bottom)
Logic: If gold breaks the H1 bottom and retests 4100 without holding → the medium-term downtrend continues to activate.
Entry: 4100–4108 (retest after break)
SL: 4120
TP: 4085 → 4060 → 4032
Suggestion: Only enter when H1 closes below 4100.
🌍 Macro Analysis – Fed causes market noise
According to the latest data from CME Watch:
54.1% chance the Fed maintains rates at 375–400 bps
45.9% chance the Fed cuts rates
The ratio is almost balanced → the market is very indecisive, creating unpredictable volatility ahead of the 10/12 meeting.
In this environment, gold often reacts strongly to unexpected news, so prioritise trading at liquidity zones – wait for clear confirmation.
⚠️ Invalidation Conditions
Price closes below 4060 → fully prioritise bearish trades.
Price closes above 4161 → strong bullish trade activated, discard all sell setups.
What scenario are you preparing for the new week?
Please comment & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 💛 XAUUSD – H4 SCENARIO FOR THE WEEK 17–21/11 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone, it's Lana here again 💬
The new week begins with a narrowing trading range on the H4 chart, signalling that gold is preparing for a more significant move. The current medium-term trend needs to break the descending trendline above to confirm the return of the buyers.
💹 Technical Analysis
📉 The end-of-week downtrend is entering a technical rebound phase and is likely to continue declining towards the 4000 trendline – a confluence with a strong liquidity zone.
🟣 Key price levels to watch include: 4138 – 4200 – 4212 – 4037. These are liquidity concentration points, expected to have a clear reaction according to market sentiment.
🔹 Traders can use Fibonacci retracement to spot selling entry points, combined with confirmation signals on smaller time frames (M15–M30).
🌐 Macro Context
The financial market is facing difficulties as US tax policies change continuously, putting pressure on both Gold and Bitcoin.
The end of the year is also a characteristic phase of the economic slowdown cycle, where the market tends to adjust more strongly.
🎯 Reference Trading Scenario (Reference Trading View)
Priority is given to selling according to the technical rebound, especially when the price enters the confluence Fibo + liquidity zones.
Buying is only considered when the price reacts strongly at the 4000 trendline or the 4037 zone.
🌷 6. Conclusion with LanaM2
Gold is in a zone preparing for a big move 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at important liquidity zones to have a better and safer entry point.
If you find it useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to receive daily gold analysis! ✨
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280.
The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement.
If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not.
If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely.
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
$Gold: Breakdown or Bounce?🔻 #Gold Breakdown or Bounce? 🔺
Price tested a critical level (upward sloping trendline - Breakdown Retest ) after a bearish engulfing and is now pulling back. Will the breakdown continue, or can bulls reclaim control? 👀
Trendline break 🚨
Breakdown retest ⚠️
Key levels to watch:
🚧 Resistance: $4099.40 - $4126.08 / $4185.91 - $4195.21 / $4355.80 - $4381.44
🛡 Support: $4024.53 / $3932.10 - $3930.62 / $3953.00
Below $3953 → opens downside toward $3500.20–$3432.84 📉
Between ATH & $3953 → market likely stays trendless/choppy ⚖️
TVC:GOLD #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #BearishEngulfing #CandleStickPatterns #BreakdownRetest #BearishReversal #PriceAction #ForexTrading
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Gold upmove will continue for next week hold buy trade monday 🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6
🔑 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at ₹124,090, holding firm above ₹124,000.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: ₹124,000 / ₹123,600 / ₹123,200.
- Resistances: ₹124,300 / ₹124,700 / ₹125,200.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above ₹124,000; corrective pullback risk below ₹123,6 Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
Gold XAUUSD retracement done AI tool showing upmove continued Key Highlights
- Price Action: Gold trading at $4,098, holding firm above $4,080 support.
- Trend: Active Long Build‑Up confirmed.
- Supports: $4,080 / $4,050 / $4,020.
- Resistances: $4,120 / $4,150 / $4,180.
- Bias: Bullish continuation if above $4,080; corrective pullback risk below $4,050.
Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price🔥 Order Blocks Simplified — How Institutions Control Price
Order Blocks are one of the most important concepts in modern trading — because they show where institutions place REAL positions, not where retail traders guess. 🏦📊
When you understand Order Blocks, you stop chasing random candles and start reading the footprints of smart money. Let’s simplify it. 👇✨
📌 What Is an Order Block? 🧱💰
An Order Block (OB) is a price zone where big institutions (banks, hedge funds, market makers) place massive orders.
These zones often appear before strong market moves — because that’s where smart money builds positions.
Think of an Order Block as:
🔹 The origin of a powerful move
🔹 A zone where price reacts repeatedly
🔹 A region that creates imbalance and momentum
🔹 A point where institutional orders remain unfilled
Once price returns to that zone, institutions fill the rest of their orders, causing another strong reaction. ⚡📈📉
📌 Why Do Order Blocks Matter? 🧠🔥
Because institutions control 80%+ of market volume — not retail.
So when they accumulate or distribute positions:
📈 Trends are born
📉 Reversals appear
🌊 Momentum shifts
💥 Big candles print
Order Blocks give you insight into:
✔️ Where big players enter
✔️ Where real support/resistance exists
✔️ Why price reverses at specific zones
✔️ Where high-probability trades form
It’s the closest thing to tracking the “big money blueprint.”
📌 How Order Blocks Form 🛠️📊
Order Blocks are created during periods of:
🔸 Accumulation (smart money buys quietly)
🔸 Distribution (smart money sells quietly)
Then price explodes away from that zone, showing that a major order cluster was executed.
This explosive move creates:
🔥 Imbalance (FVG)
🔥 Break of structure (BOS)
🔥 A directional trend
These are all signs of institutional activity.
📌 Types of Order Blocks 🟥🟩
🟥 Bearish Order Block (B-OB)
The last bullish candle before a strong bearish move.
It marks institutional selling.
🟩 Bullish Order Block (B-OB)
The last bearish candle before a strong bullish move.
It marks institutional buying.
Both act as high-probability reaction zones.
📌 How Institutions Use Order Blocks 🎯🏦
Institutions don’t enter all at once — their orders are too large.
So they:
1️⃣ Place part of their order
2️⃣ Push price away
3️⃣ Wait for retracement
4️⃣ Fill the rest at the same zone
That zone = the Order Block.
Price returning to an OB is not random — it’s smart money completing their business. 💼✨
📌 How You Trade Order Blocks 🧘♂️📈
✔️ Identify the strong move
Big displacement = institutional interest. 🚀
✔️ Mark the Order Block candle
The last opposite candle before the move. 🔍
✔️ Wait for price to return
Smart money loves to rebalance orders. 🔁
✔️ Enter with confirmation
Candles + structure + reaction = high probability. 🎯
Order Blocks are not predictions — they are reaction zones with a smart-money edge.
📌 Why Order Blocks Work So Well 🌟
Because they are built on:
💧 Liquidity
🧠 Smart Money Behavior
📊 Market Structure
⚡ Supply & Demand
🔥 Institutional Order Flow
This is why OBs outperform classic support/resistance.
They show institutional reality, not retail imagination.
✨ Final Thoughts: The Power of Order Blocks 🚀
Once you learn Order Blocks, everything becomes clearer:
✔️ You know where big money enters
✔️ You know where to wait for price
✔️ You stop chasing bad trades
✔️ You trade WITH smart money
✔️ You catch cleaner, stronger moves
Order Blocks are the foundation of modern price action — simple, powerful, and deeply effective. 🔥📈
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 14/11/2025
1. Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
Daily momentum is showing clearer signs of reversal. We need to wait for today’s close for confirmation. If D1 momentum truly reverses, I expect a strong bearish move next week.
H4 Timeframe:
H4 momentum is preparing to turn upward, so a short-term bullish move may appear on this timeframe.
H1 Timeframe:
H1 momentum is getting ready to reverse downward, so I expect a decline from the current H1 structure.
________________________________________
2. Wave Structure
D1 Wave Structure
Price is still forming wave X. Yesterday’s D1 candle was bearish but not very strong. Today, we want to see another strong bearish candle to further confirm the possibility of a new decline on the daily timeframe. For now, we continue to observe today’s market reaction.
________________________________________
H4 Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we’re seeing two strong bullish candles, which is not what we want to see if the market is forming a top. A proper top should show strong downward momentum, while the pullback should appear as short-bodied candles.
We now wait for the upward reversal of H4 momentum:
• If price breaks above the high, it suggests the current high is not the real top but only a temporary corrective move, and the market may form a new higher high.
• If price does not break the high, then once H4 momentum reverses downward, we can expect a stronger and deeper decline.
(This section keeps your original meaning exactly, with smoother wording.)
________________________________________
H1 Wave Structure
The recent decline resembles a clear 3-wave structure, creating three possible scenarios:
3 Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
If the recent decline is a completed 3-wave structure, the correction may already be over. Combined with H4 momentum preparing to rise, price may form a new high once H4 enters overbought territory.
________________________________________
Scenario 2 – Wave A of a Flat or Triangle
If the decline is only wave A, then a larger Flat or Triangle correction may be forming.
• Price may revisit 4248 when H4 momentum reaches overbought.
• After that, price may decline again but not deeply:
o Flat: drop toward 4145 (wave A low).
o Triangle: a shallower drop.
• After completing this correction, price will begin a new upward swing.
________________________________________
Scenario 3 – Beginning of a 5-Wave Decline
If the previous drop was wave 1 of a 5-wave bearish sequence:
• The current rise is wave 2, meaning price must not break 4248.
• When H4 reaches overbought and consolidates below the peak, price may drop sharply into wave 3.
• Another possibility: H4 and H1 momentum “stick together”; once H1 reverses downward, price may fall aggressively — a typical wave 3 characteristic.
________________________________________
4. Overall Bias
While multiple scenarios are listed for monitoring,
our primary expectation remains bearish, based on signals observed over the past several days.
________________________________________
🎯 5. Trading Plan
Sell Zone: 4211 – 4213
SL: 4231
TP1: 4145
TP2: 4096
TP3: 4046
XAUUSD Potential Reversal Zone & Bullish Channel Projection (45-1. Price Action Context
Gold (XAUUSD) has been in a short-term downtrend, shown by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently trading around 4113 after a sharp drop.
2. Key Zone: RESISTANCE Turned SUPPORT
The highlighted red zone around 4081 – 4103 is marked as a major support / demand zone.
This appears to be a level where buyers are expected to step in.
The squiggly black arrows indicate a possible liquidity grab or fake breakout before the true move begins.
3. Projected Bullish Recovery
The gray vertical projection box and upward channel lines suggest the author expects:
A bounce from the 4081–4103 support
A move up through the channel
A potential target around 4220, which aligns with the upper boundary of the projected ascending channel.
4. Trend Channel
A rising channel has been plotted, projecting the potential direction over the next sessions.
Price bouncing inside the lower area of the channel suggests:
The down move might be ending
Momentum could shift toward a bullish correction or even a trend reversal
5. Key Levels Highlighted
Support zone:
4,081.888
4,103.142
Bullish target:
4,220.041
These levels are visually marked and consistent with a reversal strategy.
🧭 Overall Interpretation
This chart proposes a bullish reversal setup, with traders watching for:
A potential liquidity sweep at the support zone
A bounce and consolidation
A climb toward the upper channel area, with 4220 as a projected target
This is a counter-trend reversal idea, so confirmation would be crucial (rejection wicks, bullish candle structures, RSI turning up, etc.).






















