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GOLD PULLBACK BEFORE FINAL LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD) 📅 Date: Nov 04, 2025 📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution 🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection MARKET CONTEXT Gold is currently trading around the 3970 zone after a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the M30 timeframe, confirming short-term bearish pressure. On the H2 chart, price remains in a descending channel, forming lower highs since 4128 → 4006, aligning with overall bearish sentiment. Recent CHoCH signals on M30 indicate that buyers tried to defend the 3980–3970 area twice but failed to sustain momentum. Liquidity was swept below minor lows, suggesting a potential continuation toward deeper liquidity pools near 3960–3955. KEY LEVELS SELL ZONE 1: 4025–4027 SELL ZONE 2: 4011–4013 BUY ZONE 1: 3980–3978 BUY ZONE 2: 3970–3968 TRADING IDEA Current bias: Bearish, expecting a pullback before continuation. If price retraces to 4011–4027, watch for rejection and BOS on M5/M15 to enter short. TP1: 3978, TP2: 3960 SL: above 4027 (≈6 points) Alternatively, if price sweeps liquidity below 3968 and shows strong CHoCH upward, consider scalp long back to 3980–3990, with SL below 3962 (≈6 points). CONFIRMATION M30: BOS down confirmed after CHoCH H2: Resistance zone rejection aligning with trendline + EMA confluence RSI showing mild bearish momentum, not yet oversold → room for downside continuation OUTLOOK As long as price remains below 4027, the bearish structure holds. Watch for liquidity grabs at support zone 3960–3970 before a potential short-term retracement. A clean break above 4030 would invalidate this plan and flip bias to neutral. 📌 Plan Summary 🎯 Sell the pullback at 4011–4027 🎯 TP: 3978 / 3960 🛑 SL: 4027 (6 points)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Gold Pauses Below $4,000 as Markets Digest Hawkish Fed Tone🔍 Market Context Gold struggles to find direction in early Asia, hovering just below the $4,000 psychological level after the Fed’s hawkish remarks dampened bullish momentum. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed that another rate cut this year is “not a given”, keeping yields supported and safe-haven demand balanced. Meanwhile, ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7, signalling cooling momentum but not enough to alter the Fed’s cautious stance. With odds of a December rate cut near 70%, gold remains trapped between policy uncertainty and soft macro sentiment. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Price is consolidating within a tight structure between 3,963$ and 4,024$, showing compression before a potential expansion move. The 3,984$–3,963$ zone acts as short-term liquidity support, aligning with the rising intraday trendline. Key Levels • 💎 Liquidity Support: 3,963$ – 3,984$ • 🎯 Immediate Resistance: 4,024$ • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ (liquidity sweep + expansion zone) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,923$, bias shifts to neutral A clean breakout above 4,024$ could trigger a move toward 4,046$, while failure to hold above 3,963$ may invite another liquidity grab before buyers re-enter. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money remains patient. As long as 3,963$ holds, dips are seen as accumulation rather than weakness. But conviction only returns when liquidity confirms above 4,024$ — that’s where momentum aligns with intent. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity doesn’t chase price — it creates the path for it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 04, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: D1 momentum has entered the overbought zone — this signals that the bullish momentum is weakening and a potential reversal could occur today or tomorrow. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is currently in the oversold zone and preparing for a bullish reversal. This suggests that the market may produce 4–5 consecutive bullish H4 candles to lift momentum back toward the overbought region. H1 timeframe: H1 momentum is also turning upward, indicating that a short-term bullish phase may be forming. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: A WXY corrective structure is forming. Wave W appears to be completed, and the current move is part of wave X. However, this X wave seems relatively shallow, and with D1 momentum already in the overbought zone, there’s likely only one final upward push left to complete wave X before a possible reversal. H4 timeframe: Given that D1 is already overbought, the yellow wave (4) scenario remains the primary outlook. Still, since H4 momentum is about to turn upward, there’s a high probability of one last upward movement to finish wave X before resuming a downward move. H1 timeframe: On H1, price action is forming a red WXY structure for wave X. Wave W has already completed, and price is currently developing within wave X (red). Inside this X wave, a black abcde triangle is taking shape, with price currently hovering near the lower boundary (ac line) of the triangle. • If wave e (black) ends near the ac line, the triangle pattern will be complete → price is expected to break above the upper boundary, triggering an upward continuation as wave Y. → This aligns with the bullish reversal signals seen in H4 and H1 momentum. • Conversely, if price breaks below the ac line and drops under 3927, it would suggest that the purple X wave on D1 has already completed, and the market may resume a downtrend following D1 momentum. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trading Plan • Buy Stop: 4000 • Stop Loss: 3973 • Take Profit 1: 4050 ⚠️ Note: The current candle range is quite wide → stop loss is relatively large, so it’s advisable to reduce position size and manage trades carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCYGOLD TRADING INSIGHTS TODAY WITH LUCY 💛 Hello everyone 🌸 The gold market (XAUUSD) today is showing many interesting signals as the price continues to test the crucial trendline area. Traders' sentiment is quite cautious at the moment – both buyers and sellers are “squaring off” around the liquidity balance zone. 🔍 Technical Analysis On the chart, gold is moving within a narrowing triangle price channel – this indicates momentum is accumulating, and when the price breaks in either direction, the subsequent volatility will be very strong ⚡ Currently, the price is reacting around the main trendline, but there is no clear breakout signal yet. In my personal view, the probability of a decline remains higher, however, further confirmation is needed before entering a trade. The important point to note is the support area at 3965, which is the key boundary to confirm a clear downtrend. If the price breaks through this area, the possibility of extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 is entirely possible. ⚙️ Price Levels to Watch Currently, the 3990 – 4012 area is short-term resistance, where sellers may reappear. Meanwhile, the 3965 – 3945 – 3920 areas are the main supports that need close observation. If the price continues to hold above 3945, the likelihood of a short-term rebound is quite high. 🎯 Today's Trading Scenario 💼 Buy: 3945 ⛔ SL: 3938 🎯 TP: 3958 – 3977 – 3992 – 4012 💼 Sell: When the price clearly breaks below support 3965 ⛔ SL: Above the breakout area 🎯 Expected TP: extending towards the Fibonacci 2.618 area around 3890 I still prefer to observe the price reaction at the trendline area, and only act when there is clear confirmation — because in a triangle pattern, the patient one will always be the winner 🌙 ⚠️ Note & Conclusion The above analysis reflects only Lucy's personal perspective, based on Trendline – Fibonacci – ICT factors 📊 This is not investment advice. Please share your views on gold in the comments section 💬 And don't forget to follow Lucy for daily updates on insightful analyses — where technical analysis merges with market emotions 💫🌸
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LucyWinning
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE 🪞 1. Overview 🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong. However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers. 💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline. If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term. 💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective) 🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish. 🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier. 🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down. 🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios 💔 MAIN SELL Entry: 3996 ｜ SL: 4004 TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948 💢 SELL scalping Entry: 4007 ｜ SL: 4014 TP: 3998 – 3978 💖 REACTIVE BUY Entry: 3965 ｜ SL: 3957 TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999 🌸 DEEP BUY Entry: 3941 ｜ SL: 3931 TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066 🔍 4. Price Levels to Note ✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area ✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline ✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions 💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction ⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method. Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭 If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Lana_M2
Gold Trading Strategy for 04th November 2025💰 GOLD TRADING PLAN (INTRADAY STRATEGY) 🟢 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario) 📈 Condition to Enter (Buy Entry): ➡️ Wait for a 30-minute candle to close ABOVE $4035. ➡️ Once a candle closes above this level, look to buy above the high of that same candle. 💵 Example: Suppose a 30-min candle closes at $4036, and its high is $4038. Then your Buy Entry would be above $4038. 🎯 Target Levels: 🎯 1st Target: $4050 🎯 2nd Target: $4065 🎯 3rd Target: $4080 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Place SL below the low of that 30-minute candle (for example, if the candle’s low is $4025, set SL around $4024–$4025). 🔴 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario) 📉 Condition to Enter (Sell Entry): ➡️ Wait for a 1-hour candle to close BELOW $3983. ➡️ Once a candle closes below this level, look to sell below the low of that same candle. 💵 Example: Suppose a 1-hour candle closes at $3982, and its low is $3980. Then your Sell Entry would be below $3980. 🎯 Target Levels: 🎯 1st Target: $3973 🎯 2nd Target: $3962 🎯 3rd Target: $3950 🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): Place SL above the high of that 1-hour candle (for example, if the candle’s high is $3992, SL can be set around $3993–$3995). ⚖️ RISK MANAGEMENT (Must-Read for Beginners) ✅ Risk only 1–2% of your total capital per trade. ✅ Always use a stop-loss — never trade without it. ✅ Avoid entering both buy and sell trades at the same time. ✅ Track your trades in a journal to improve over time. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER ⚠️ This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. 📊 It is not financial advice or a guarantee of profit. 💡 Always do your own research or consult a certified financial advisor before trading. 🚫 Trading in gold and financial markets involves risk of capital loss.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Trading Strategy | November 3-4✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, after a period of continuous consolidation, gold is still moving near the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, showing a weak sideways pattern in the short term. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) are slightly turning downward, while MA20 above continues to suppress price. This indicates insufficient bullish momentum and weak continuation on the upside. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the middle band (around 3998) remains a key support level. Price has tested this area multiple times without breaking below, but lacks effective upward breakthroughs, reflecting a low-volume consolidation structure. Both upside and downside space are limited, keeping the market in a narrow-range fluctuation. ✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold is facing repeated pressure below 4050, weakening once again. Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) have turned downward, and the price is now trading below the short-term moving average cluster, indicating rising bearish sentiment in the short term. The Bollinger middle band (around 4007) has become a short-term pivot. Currently, price is operating below it, with a slightly bearish structure. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and price is moving near the lower band, suggesting concentrated selling pressure. If price fails to quickly reclaim the middle band, further downward retests of support are likely. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4030 / 4050 / 4080 🟢 Support Levels: 3998 / 3968 / 3933 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 📌 If gold rebounds into the 4025–4030 zone and shows obvious rejection, consider light short positions, targeting 4005–3998. 📌 If gold pulls back to 3965–3970 and holds, consider light long positions from lower levels, targeting 4020-4030. 🔥 Gold is currently in a short-term bearish, medium-term consolidation structure. Downside support remains strong, limiting bearish continuation, while dense resistance above makes bullish breakouts difficult. Volatility is shrinking, and capital is showing hesitation. This is a typical event-driven waiting phase, where neither side can form a strong trend until momentum is clearly released. It is recommended to trade within the range, buying low and selling high. Conservative traders should wait patiently for a directional breakout and then follow the trend for safer and more stable results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
XAU/USD – Gold Accumulating Before Breakout, Target 4,096 USD🔍 Market Context Gold is trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern , indicating short-term accumulation before forming a new breakout wave. Following a sharp decline from the peak region of 4,096 USD, the market has shown two instances of Change of Character (ChoCH) – early signs of buying pressure returning. As long as the price holds above the 3,959 – 3,917 USD zone, the short-term bullish structure remains intact. This support zone acts as a crucial “discount zone” in the current accumulation cycle. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Support Zone 1: 3,959 USD → main structure holding zone, coinciding with the lower trendline. • Support Zone 2: 3,917 USD → final liquidity reaction zone. • Resistance Zone: 4,040 USD → potential break & retest zone. • Liquidity Zone: 4,096 USD → expansion target if the peak is breached. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Setup – Prioritise bullish structure • Entry: 3,959 – 3,917 USD • Stop Loss: 3,905 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 3,985  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 4,072  – TP4: 4,096 ✳️ “Buy the discount” – prioritise buy orders at the confluence support zone of trendline + FVG to follow the SMC flow. 2️⃣ SELL Scalp – Secondary strategy when price reacts at the peak • Entry: 4,096 USD • Stop Loss: 4,108 USD • Take Profit:  – TP1: 4,072  – TP2: 4,040  – TP3: 3,985 ✳️ “Sell the premium” – only activate if there is a strong price rejection signal at the liquidity peak. 💬 Summary The short-term trend of gold remains bullish as the price stays above the trendline and continuously forms higher lows. The main strategy is buy the dip – sell reaction around the 3,959 → 4,096 USD zone. The confirmation of a strong uptrend will be when the price closes steadily above 4,040 USD . “Smart money accumulates in silence before the market makes noise.” ⏰ Time Frame: 1H 📅 Update: 03/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Squeeze: Range Breakout Can Trigger $4,100+ MoveLooking at the current gold price action on the H1 chart, we're seeing a technical setup that's been developing over the past several sessions. The market has clearly established a well-defined range between approximately $3,900 and $4,040, with price respecting both the upper and lower boundaries quite consistently. price is holding above this ascending support while simultaneously testing the middle-to-upper zone of the range suggests building bullish momentum. We've seen multiple attempts to push lower get absorbed by buyers, creating a series of higher lows that demonstrate underlying strength. The grey horizontal zone around $4,020-$4,040 represents the key resistance level where sellers have previously shown up, but notice how price action is becoming increasingly compressed near this level a classic sign that a breakout may be imminent. From a probability standpoint, the combination of higher lows, sustained buying interest, and the current positioning near range highs favors an upside breakout. If gold manages to close convincingly above $4,040, we could see an accelerated move toward the $4,100+ zone fairly quickly, as there's limited technical resistance overhead once this range ceiling is breached. However, it's worth noting that range-bound markets can be deceptive, and false breakouts are always a possibility. The key will be watching for a decisive move with strong volume and follow-through. Until we get that confirmation, remaining patient with existing positions while maintaining appropriate risk management makes sense. The market appears coiled and ready to make its next significant move all signs point to higher prices, but as always, let the price action confirm the breakout before adding to positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. U.S. Dollar) 1-hour chart on TradingView. Here’s what I can observe: There is a symmetrical triangle pattern (a type of consolidation pattern) drawn on the chart. The price appears to be breaking out upwards from the triangle. There’s an arrow drawn upward with a “target point” marked above current price levels. To calculate the target from this breakout: 📈 Symmetrical Triangle Target Formula: Target = Breakout Point ± (Height of the Triangle) 1. Measure the height of the triangle: From the highest point of the pattern to the lowest point within the triangle. Approximate values (from the chart): High ≈ 4,080 Low ≈ 3,940 → Height ≈ 140 points 2. Add the height to the breakout level: Breakout ≈ 4,000 → Target ≈ 4,000 + 140 = 4,140 🎯 Estimated Target: 4,140 USD That matches closely with the dashed horizontal line labeled “target point” on my chart — right around 4,120–4,140. So, my bullish target zone after breakout is approximately 4,120–4,140 USD per ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HussaiN_JaNi
3
GOLD (XAU/USD): ISM DHAMAKA Awaited! Ready for the Big Move, BosI. MACRO KA SCENE (Current Situation): Mind you, Gold is in a TIGHT SPOT, caught between two heavy-duty forces: ⬆️ BULL CASE (Buy Power): Safe-Haven demand is on because of US Political TENSION (shutdown issues) and global uncertainty (like that Nvidia chip drama). Good for paisa up. ⬇️ BEAR CASE (Sell Power): USD is showing STRENGTH! Hawkish Fed guys are pushing rate cut hopes away, which is putting pressure on our Gold. 🔥 MAIN GAME-CHANGER: The US ISM Manufacturing PMI tonight. This data is the main trigger for the next BIG move. Wait and watch, folks! II. APNA TRADING PLAN (Actionable Zones): We are sticking to two high-probability zones. Remember: Only trade after proper Price Action Confirmation! No JUMPING. 🔴 SELL SCENARIO SELL ZONE (Supply/FVG): $4,050 - $4,055 Reason: We're hunting a SOLID rejection where the Smart Money (Bade Khiladi) is waiting to sell off. SL (Stop Loss): $4,065 TP Targets (Book Profit): $4,045 - $4,035 - $4,025 - $4,015 🟢 BUY SCENARIO BUY ZONE (POI/Demand): $3,952 - $3,948 Reason: Looking for the market to find STRONG support here and give a sharp bounce. SL (Stop Loss): $3,940 TP Targets (Book Profit): $3,958 - $3,968 - $3,978 - $3,988 🚨 FINAL WORD (Very Important, Yaar!): Risk Management is the ultimate key. Boss, wait for a CLEAR Price Action Confirmation in these zones. NO gambling on the news release. #XAUUSD #Gold #ISM #PriceAction #TradingIndia #ForexIndia #IndianTrader #SmartMoneyConcept #USD #SafeHaven #Paisa
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jeremy_NPC
1
Part 2 Intraday Tradiing Master ClassHow Option Pricing Works Option prices (premiums) are influenced by several factors. The most important are: Underlying Price: The current price of the stock/index. Strike Price: The difference between the current price and strike determines moneyness. Time to Expiry: The more time left, the higher the premium (time value). Volatility: Higher volatility increases the premium since there’s a greater chance of price movement. Interest Rates & Dividends: These also affect option pricing slightly. A famous model called the Black-Scholes Model is commonly used to calculate theoretical option prices based on these factors.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold (XAUUSD) – Bears Eye the 4045 Wall! Short Setup AheadGold is currently trading within a tight range of 3980 – 4045, and price action is now approaching the crucial resistance zone at 4035 – 4045. 📈 This area has acted as a strong supply zone in recent sessions — and could once again attract sellers. 💡 Trading Plan: 🔸 Sell Zone: 4035 – 4045 🎯 Targets: 4021 and 4012 🛑 Invalidation: View remains valid below 4051.5 — a sustained break above this level would negate the short setup and could open the door for further upside momentum. 📊 Bias: Bearish near resistance until confirmed breakout above 4051.5 💬 Watch for rejection signals or bearish candles in this zone before entering. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority ...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: Second Scenario – BUY UP Priority After BREAKING RESISTANCE $4002$ With the Support of the US Treasury Secretary Hello traders community, LiamTrading is back with detailed OANDA:XAUUSD $ analysis for the start of the week! The Gold market is receiving strong support from policy: US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent calls on the Fed to continue cutting interest rates as the PCE inflation is currently at $2.7\%$. This call, aimed at reducing mortgage rates and supporting the housing market, strengthens the long-term outlook for Gold. Technical Analysis: We prioritize continuing to buy up following the main trend. The best strategy is to enter orders at strong resistance/support zones to ensure the lowest risk. 📰 MACRO FUNDAMENTALS: CALL FOR RATE CUT Impact: The Treasury Secretary's statement on cutting interest rates to support the "transitioning" economy increases expectations of policy easing, which is a strong support factor for Gold (although not yet an official decision). Suitable Strategy: Market sentiment is being driven by expectations of easing policy, reinforcing the priority for a BUY (Long) position. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: IMPORTANT PIVOT POINT Resistance Zone $4002$: This area acts as an important pivot point. Buy Entry will be triggered after the price breaks resistance $4002$ and retests. Sell Entry: Look for short-term scalping at the resistance zone $4030$ to secure profits. Highlighted Zone: Prioritize entering orders at confirmed Trendline zones. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) We will wait for Gold to break structure and create a BUY setup. 🟢 Main BUY Scenario (BUY Break & Retest) Logic: Buy at $4002$ after breaking resistance and retesting, leveraging new upward momentum. Entry (BUY): $4002$ SL: $3995$ (tight SL) TP1/TP2: $4020$ | $4035$ TP3: $4070$ 🔴 SELL Scalping Scenario Logic: Short-term scalping at the strong resistance zone $4030$ (near Sell Liquidity zone). Entry (SELL): $4030$ SL: $4038$ TP1/TP2: $4015$ | $4004$ TP3: $3990$ 📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Our BUY strategy is reinforced by policy outlook and technical break at $4002$. Strictly adhere to SL $3995$ to manage risk before the upward structure is confirmed. Are you ready for Gold's movement at $4002$? Please LIKE and COMMENT!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | November 3, 2025 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: Daily momentum is currently rising and approaching the overbought zone. At the current pace, it is expected that within 2–3 more D1 candles, momentum will reach the overbought area — increasing the risk of a potential reversal. However, in the short term, the bullish trend still dominates. H4 Timeframe: H4 momentum is reversing upward, and if a strong bullish candle breaks above the 4028 resistance level, it will confirm a bullish reversal, potentially leading to a 5-candle H4 uptrend within today’s session. H1 Timeframe: H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward, suggesting a short-term pullback may occur before the next upside continuation aligned with the broader H4 trend. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Current data still supports the scenario that the market is forming Wave (4) in yellow. However, more time is needed for a clear confirmation. If D1 momentum enters the overbought zone without price creating a new high, that would give us additional confirmation of this wave count. In the short term, price may continue rising for another 2 days. H4 Timeframe: The scenario of Wave (4) in purple within Wave (3) in yellow remains valid and has not been invalidated. If price breaks above the 4379 high, it would confirm the formation of Wave (5) in purple, signaling the start of a strong bullish move. At present, price movement remains choppy and overlapping, showing no clear trend direction — hence, we need to monitor price action closely. With H4 momentum turning upward and resistance around 4028 forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, I expect a bullish move of 4–5 H4 candles today. A decisive breakout above 4028 would further reinforce this bullish scenario. H1 Timeframe: The current H1 structure may be forming either: • Wave X within the larger D1 structure, or • Wave (5) in purple within the H4 structure. In either case, we can expect a short-term upward move in line with H4 momentum. Currently, price is hovering around the 4017 resistance zone, while H1 momentum is preparing to turn downward — therefore, a short-term correction toward the 3953 liquidity zone is expected. This area will serve as a potential buy zone. ________________________________________ 🎯 Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3954 – 3952 • Stop Loss: 3944 • Take Profit 1: 4050
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
LiamTrading - $XAUUSD$: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO...LiamTrading - OANDA:XAUUSD $: NEW WEEK TRADING SCENARIO – PRIORITISE SELLING After BREAKING THE TRENDLINE Hello traders community, The new week opens with a clear strategy: Prioritise SELLING after Gold has broken the previous upward trendline. Although fundamental economic news (like interest rate policies and politics) supports Gold potentially reaching the $5,000$ USD mark, we must trade according to the current Price Action. The technical selling pressure is strong. We will SELL at key resistance zones and continue SELLING as the price breaks the downward structure. 📰 FUNDAMENTALS & LONG-TERM OUTLOOK $5,000$ Prospect: Fundamental and political factors continue to support the scenario of Gold reaching $5,000$ USD in the long term (due to geopolitical risks and potential loss of Fed independence). Short Term 🔴: Gold is under technical selling pressure after breaking through the $4,000$ USD mark. 📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: TRENDLINE BREAK Structure: Gold has exited the upward price channel and is retesting the broken trendline. Priority: SELL at the retest resistance zone $4024$. 🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN) 🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Primary) - Preemptive Resistance Entry 1: $4024$ (Sell retest trendline zone) SL: $4032$ TP1/TP2: $4012$ | $4000$ TP3: $3989$ Entry 2 (Continuation SELL): When price breaks the next trendline at $3992$ SL: $4000$ TP: $3940$ 🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Reversal) - Buy at Strong Support Logic: Only buy when price hits strong liquidity support, potential for a short-term rebound. Entry (BUY): Around $3960$ (Buy Scalping Zone) SL: $3954$ TP1/TP2: $3972$ | $3988 FWB:TP3 : $4000$ 📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note) Don't let the $5,000$ USD prospect affect short-term risk management. Trade according to Price Action. Adhere to SL and prioritise SELL positions at resistance zones. Are you ready for the SELL strategy at the start of this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX