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GOLD trade ideas

Gold Trading Strategy for 06th October 2025🌟 GOLD Intraday Trading Plan 🌟 💰 Buy Setup 📈 Buy Above: the high of 15-min candle — only if price closes above $3906 🎯 Targets: 🎯 1st Target: $3915 🎯 2nd Target: $3925 🎯 3rd Target: $3935 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $3900 (or as per your risk level) 💰 Sell Setup 📉 Sell Below: the low of 1-hour candle — only if price closes below $3870 🎯 Targets: 🎯 1st Target: $3860 🎯 2nd Target: $3848 🎯 3rd Target: $3836 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $3878 (or as per your risk level) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. 📜 Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. 📊 Always do your own analysis before taking any trade. 💡 Use proper risk management and trade at your own discretion. 💼
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Trading Strategy for 08th October 2025🟡 GOLD (XAUUSD) – INTRADAY TRADE SETUP 💰 📊 Strategy: Trade based on 5-Min Candle Breakout 🟢 BUY Setup 💵 Buy Above: High of 5-min candle closing above $4004 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4013 2️⃣ $4022 3️⃣ $4035 4️⃣ $4050 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place below the low of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. 🔴 SELL Setup 💵 Sell Below: Low of 5-min candle closing below $3966 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $3953 2️⃣ $3941 3️⃣ $3922 4️⃣ $3903 🛡️ Stop Loss: Place above the high of the previous 3 candles from the entry point. ⚖️ Disclaimer: 📢 This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in Gold, Forex, or any commodity involves high risk. Please use proper risk management and consult your financial advisor before trading.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TRENDXAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STICK TO THE MAIN TREND Hello trader 👋 Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising price channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, which is a crucial confirmation range to assess whether the uptrend will continue or start adjusting. In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD slightly increases and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing significant investor sentiment fluctuations. 🔎 Technical Analysis On the H1 frame, prices are still moving within a clearly ascending channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken. Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear. Important Resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel) Important Support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node) RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical correction. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🔴 Main SELL: Entry: 4078 – 4080 Stop Loss: 4085 Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008 👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with high liquidity area. 🔴 SELL on breaking 4005 confirmation: Entry: 4015 – 4017 Stop Loss: 4023 Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945 👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below the 4005 zone. 🟢 Short-term BUY: Entry: 4056 – 4058 Stop Loss: 4050 Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095 👉 Swing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel. 🟢 BUY SCALPING: Entry: 3982 – 3985 Stop Loss: 3978 Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation 👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears. 💡 Fundamental Perspective Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains a focal point. The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, rising 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold. Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter. ⚖️ Conclusion Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening At this stage, closely monitor price action at the 4043 – 4005 range to determine the next direction. Prioritise selling at resistance – buying at support, leveraging fluctuations within the price channel. Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news. 📈 Quick Summary: Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017 Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985 Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (new trend confirmation)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Ready for Next Leg Up?Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a key breakout level at 3897.77. I’m watching for a bullish breakout followed by a pullback entry on a retest of that level. If support holds, I’ll look to go long toward the next resistance/target at 3950. A clean breakout-retest setup with solid R:R potential. Entry: After breakout & retest of 3897.77 Target: 3950 Stop Loss: Below retest low / structure #GOLD #XAUUSD #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #LongSetup #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Bullish
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Hare_Krishna_1000000000
XAU/USD | 15M | Smart Money Short SetupAfter a strong impulsive rally, price swept liquidity above the recent swing high and instantly rejected from a premium zone. A clear shift of structure confirms bearish intent, with supply perfectly aligning with imbalance fill. 🔹 Key Notes: – Liquidity grab above previous high ✅ – Premium zone rejection ✅ – Market structure shift to bearish ✅ – Clean imbalance + Supply confluence ✅ Now expecting continuation to downside targeting the next demand and inefficiency below 4020 region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
Part 3 Trading Master Class With ExpertsTypes of Option Traders Different traders use options for different purposes. Here’s how: Speculators – Trade options to profit from short-term market moves. Hedgers – Use options to protect their existing investments (like insurance). Income Traders – Sell options regularly to collect premium income. Arbitrageurs – Exploit price differences between spot and derivatives markets. For example, a portfolio manager holding stocks may buy put options to safeguard against sudden market falls. Meanwhile, a retail trader may sell call options to earn regular premium income.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Part 1 Trading Master Class With ExpertsBasic Terminology in Option Trading Before diving deep, let’s get familiar with key terms used in options: Call Option – Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy the underlying asset at a certain price before expiry. Put Option – Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying asset at a certain price before expiry. Strike Price – The fixed price at which the option holder can buy (for calls) or sell (for puts) the underlying asset. Premium – The price paid to buy the option contract. This is the cost of obtaining the right. Expiry Date – The date when the option contract expires. After this, the contract becomes invalid.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chartXAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (05.10.25) chart. Here’s a clear technical summary of what your chart shows: 🔹 Overall Structure The chart projects a bullish move for XAUUSD (Gold). Title: Weekly Buy Projection – 05 Oct 2025 Main trend: Ascending continuation pattern (marked by blue upward trendlines). Current price zone: around $3,886.45. 🔹 Key Levels Support S2: around $3,838 – $3,846 Support S1: around $3,870 – $3,878 Resistance 1: around $3,900 – $3,910 Resistance 2 (New ATH): around $3,939 – $3,970 🔹 Pattern & Projections Golden Ratio (0.618 Fibonacci) formed near $3,874, signaling a retracement support. Bullish engulfing candle noted at Support S1, confirming buying interest. Possible Double Top highlighted near Resistance 1, indicating a short-term pullback risk before continuation. Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $3,875–$3,890, suggesting potential liquidity refill before next le
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD 09/10/2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1: The current momentum is turning downward. We need to wait for today’s D1 candle to close for confirmation. ➡️ If the daily candle closes bearish, it may mark the beginning of a deep and strong corrective wave. H4: H4 momentum is about to enter the oversold zone, suggesting the possibility of: • A short-term bullish retracement, or • A sideways consolidation phase before the next major move. H1: H1 momentum is approaching the overbought zone, indicating a potential short-term bearish correction ahead. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure Overview: In the previous analysis, the COT report indicated that the market is in an overly optimistic phase — a warning sign to stay cautious with long positions or late entries. D1: • The yellow wave 5 has already broken above the channel (throw-over), which is a typical sign of a final impulsive phase. • When wave 5 extends strongly, the following correction (wave 4) often drops sharply, erasing most of the previous gains. ➡️ Therefore, it’s time to prioritize a defensive strategy and avoid chasing tops. H4: • Price has moved beyond the upper boundary of the channel, making the exact top of wave 5 hard to pinpoint. • We should monitor price reaction when it returns inside the channel — if price fails to make a new high when H4 momentum reaches the overbought zone, it will likely confirm the completion of wave 5. H1: • The wave count has been slightly adjusted compared to the previous plan. • Within the black wave 5, there is now a clear 5-wave yellow substructure. • The recent decline has broken below the lower trend channel and the previous wave 4 low — an early sign of a potential wave 5 top. ⚠️ The upcoming correction could be steep and fast, making this an important time to prepare for risk management and trade planning. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Outlook & Trading Plan All timeframes (D1 – H4 – H1) are showing an extended wave 5, but there’s still no clear confirmation of a top. Hence, we should trade cautiously and manage positions tightly. Currently, price has broken below the lower channel and wave 4 yellow, with a liquidity area near 4038 — this offers a good opportunity to open a small sell position to anticipate a potential reversal. Trading Plan: Sell zone (small lot): 4037 – 4039 Stop loss: 4048 Take profit: 3985
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
1
Gold Makes History, Climbs to $4050 Despite Dollar Resilience.Strong Bullish Rally Takes Gold to Historic High $4050 .Dollar Index shows resilience, rises to 98.98 .Gold shows mild retracement consolidating above $4032 .Markets await FOMC meeting minutes. Fundamental Drivers: With no news of agreement in Congress for solution in US Government shutdown, political and fiscal uncertainties take centre stage. Political turbulence in France adds to global concerns already affecting investor sentiments. Continuous Gold buying by global central banks as well as ETF inflows creating strong structural demand and triggering FOMO driven rally. Markets abuzz with talks of massive bubble building up in leading stocks and Indices. Growing expectations of another rate cut by Federal Reserve in this month and also in December. Safe haven demand causing Gold rush in run to safety boosting prices to record rally. Technical Drivers: $4050 acts as minor hurdle which bulls need to clear turning in to support for advance towards next leg higher $4068 followed by $4083 while major upside target sits at 2.618% Fibonacci extension aligned with $4114 Break below immediate support $4032 exposes next support $4015 followed by retracement to $4005-$3995 where buyers are very likely to re engage for renewed bullish rally. If $3995 fails as support, decline is likely to extend to $3983 below which next downside retracement may reach $3935 What's Most Likely Scenario? Prevailing momentum is precisely bullish and immediate price action indicates strong bullish bias while oscillators are highly stretched and any positive news of agreement on US Government shutdown will witness quick price correction as these heights are prone to profit booking at the drop of a hat. High probability that Gold retracement approaches or mitigates $4015-$4005 or even $3995-$3983 support and breakout zone and attracts buyers again to resume main bullish rally retesting $4050 and extending advance towards $4068-$4083 followed by critical resistance $4114 On the flip side, sharp and strong break below $3983 may also indicate sellers intervention pushing prices to lower boundary $3935
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
Bulls Reloading After a Healthy Pullback | Next Target: 4090+📊 Market Context After a powerful bullish rally that pushed gold to record highs, XAUUSD retraced about 1% on Thursday as traders took profit from the recent surge. However, this move appears to be a technical correction, not a trend reversal — as indicators have shown overbought conditions for several sessions. Despite this short-term pullback, the long-term uptrend remains intact. Gold is up more than 50% year-to-date, driven by: 🌍 Ongoing geopolitical and trade tensions, 💰 The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing cycle, 🏦 Record central bank gold accumulation, ⚔️ Rising global uncertainty, fueling strong safe-haven demand. Overall, this retracement could be an ideal setup for BUY re-entries, as bulls look to reload positions toward the 4090–4100 liquidity zone. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price remains inside the medium-term bullish channel, showing strong reactions around 4000–3980 support. 4010–4008 acts as a quick scalp zone for short-term entries. 3984–3982 serves as a key structural support and liquidity reaction area. 4090–4092 (Liquidity Sell Zone) stands as the major resistance — potential liquidity trap area. 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4010–4008 SL: 4002 TP: 4015 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - 4050 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3984–3982 SL: 3978 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4005 - 4010 - 4020 - ???? ✅ SELL ZONE: 4090–4092 SL: 4098 TP: 4085 - 4080 - 4070 - 4060 - 4050 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes The 4000 level remains a strong psychological and structural support — only enter long positions with confirmed price action signals. Be cautious around 4090–4100, where liquidity sweeps and false breakouts are likely. Adjust position size properly to manage volatility during high-impact news or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold is undergoing a healthy correction phase within its broader uptrend. The strategy remains BUY-focused at 4010–4008 and 3984–3982, with upside targets toward 4060–4090, and a potential short-term SELL opportunity near 4090–4092 if rejection signals appear. 💡 MMFLOW TRADING – Trade with market structure, follow liquidity, and ride the BIGWIN setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold Breaks $3900: Safe-Haven Demand Soars & Fed Fuels the Rally📊 Market Context Gold continues to assert its strength by breaking the psychological barrier of $3,900, becoming the central asset amidst financial and political turmoil. US government shutdown → defensive capital flows strongly into gold. Fed expected to cut interest rates by another 0.25 points → further strengthens the advantage for the non-yielding precious metal. Lack of economic data → investors closely follow private reports, adding uncertainty and supporting gold's role as the “number 1 safe haven”. 👉 Market sentiment is perfectly aligned: USD under pressure, capital moving away from risky assets, BUY side FOMO continues to amplify → gold stands before the opportunity to climb and conquer the 3950–3990 range. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Main trend: Strong uptrend, price holding above the rising trendline. BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 → Volume CP Zone, supports momentum. BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 → Retest old ATH, accumulation zone for the next rally. SELL Zone: 3949–3950 → Liquidity Zone, prone to liquidity traps. Extended target: 3994 (Fib 3.618). 🔑 Key Levels BUY Zones: 3904–3902, 3885–3883 SELL Zone: 3949–3950 Resistance: 3950, 3994 Support: 3900, 3880 📈 Scenario & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3904–3902 SL: 3898 TP: 3910 - 3915 - 3925 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3885–3883 SL: 3878 TP: 3895 - 3905 - 3920 - 3935 - 3945 - ??? ⚠️ SELL ZONE (scalp/trap): 3949–3950 SL: 3955 TP: 3940 - 3935 - 3925 - ??? ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Liquidity may sweep above 3950 before adjusting → need to wait for price action confirmation. Avoid FOMO at the peak, prioritize BUY only when price adjusts to support zones. Order volume should be slightly reduced before unexpected Fed policy announcements. ✅ Summary Gold is in the “golden phase” of an uptrend: political instability + dovish Fed + safe haven demand = BUY is the main strategy. Plan to accumulate around 3904–3902 and 3885–3883, with an extended target of 3950–3990. SELL is only a short-term strategy at the liquidity zone. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time updates & BIGWIN setups with the team!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD@ 3890 : Bubble Peak or Just a Pit-Stop?Pullback vs. Correction The 100th-Idea Deep Dive !! Gold has moved almost 88% in the last two years to new records. The main drivers are falling real yield expectations with an easing bias, persistent geopolitical risk, record central bank buying and the 2025 rebound in ETF demand. Geopolitics is shifting as Washington pushes for a Gaza ceasefire. Headlines talk about partial acceptance and ultimatums but nothing is done yet. The war premium can fade step by step though headline shocks will still remain. Key levels:- Resistance 3890–4000 Pullback zone 3640–3650 (5%) Correction zone 3475–3480 (11%) Weekly RSI stretched into high 70s and 80s → risk of mean reversion before any bigger change. Macro gears:- Real yields and the dollar:- Lower real yields = higher gold. That is the key lever. As rate cuts and softer real rates were priced into 2025, gold repriced hard. Central bank sponsorship:- Official demand has been consistent three years in a row. 2022 at 1082t, 2023 at 1037t, 2024 at 1045t. This is rare in modern data and explains why dips are shallow. ETF flows:- After outflows in 2024, 2025 turned. Three straight months of inflows into August, strongest since 2020, YTD around 588t. Pure fuel ✨ Geopolitics & the premium:- From 2023 to 2025 Middle East risk kept term premia elevated. Now Gaza peace talks open a path for that premium to fade. But timelines and enforcement are unclear. Strikes still came even with peace headlines. Means the bleed can be gradual but headline spikes remain.. Pullback or true correction:- 3890–4000 is the confluence zone. Psychological milestone + vertical extension after 88% impulse. Bubble behavior meets supply. Level 1 at 3640 → about -5% pullback. If bids hold, trend resumes. Level 2 at 3470→ -10 to -12% wash into prior shelf. Would be first real reset in two years. Weekly momentum overbought. Phases like this don’t end instantly but forward returns improve after reset. Flows @ CBs rarely chase tops, they buy weakness across months. That softens drawdowns. ETFs are flighty. Peace plus firmer yields can stall inflows. Any Fed pivot or growth wobble can flip them back fast. Possible future paths :- Continuation bubble :- Break 3900 → 4050–4200 Triggers dovish Fed, softer yields, failed peace, ETF flows Tactic = only add above 3900 on daily/weekly close. No chasing wicks. Shallow pullback :-Tag 3630–3660 then rotate Triggers peace holds, modestly firm yields, demand returns Tactic = scale in near 3640–3650 if H4 shows higher low + reclaim POC. First TP 3780–3820. True correction :- flush 3520–3460 Triggers Gaza settlement + real yields higher + ETF stall Tactic = let it wash. Look for capitulation + basing 3480–3460. Best R:R after failed bounce and reclaim. Levels & invalidation:- Bull continuation pivot 3890–3900. Opens 4050–4200. Pullback buy zone 3630(Hvz)–3650 with confirmation. Invalidation H4 <3600. Correction buy zone 3480 ±20 after basing. Invalidation weekly <3420 → opens 3300–3350. If flat → stagger entries and size carefully. If long from lower → trail under last daily HL, book partial 3880–3950. Surprise risk (Imp) ETF squeeze higher – inflows still not at 2020 peak → late cycle melt-up possible. Policy shock – faster cuts or fiscal noise sink yields = blow-off. Strong data → pop in yields = sharp air pocket. Geopolitical whipsaw – peace unravels → $50–100 spike in thin tape!! Bottom line:- This is a two year vertical impulse meeting macro reality at 3890. Level 1 = 3640–3650 pullback line. Level 2 = 3480 correction line. Until weekly breaks, dips are still opportunities not obituaries. But only with structure. No blind catching this high up. Bubbles don’t end quietly – great trends reset then go again ✨ Fade euphoria into 39xx if momentum stalls. Buy fear into 348x if the market finally delivers the reset it owes. Trade safe ⚡ Sparkrlight ♾️✨⚡
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by sparkrlight
1
XAUUSD GOLD IS HEADING TOWARDS 7000$ Cycle started when gold is around 1450$ some years ago. 1st cycle - 1000$ to 2000$ 2nd cycle - 2000$ to 3000$ 3rd cycle - 3000$ to 4000$ 4th cycle - 4000$ to 7000$ 5th cycle - 7000$ to 12000$ Every impulse has corrective phase according to price theory. you will see minor & major correction , profit bookings between level's to level's. oppurtunity will arise always so don't be greedy. This analysis based on fundamental factor's. Technically it will correct after every impulses. This analysis based on daily timeframe and it is not suitable for day trader , intraday or scalper. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by martiantrader9
Gold trading strategy | October 9-10✅Gold prices formed a double-top pattern around the 4059.2 level and the previous high, followed by a sharp decline. During the drop, the 3996 (previous support) level was broken, and the price is now consolidating around the 3950 area. On the short-term chart, consecutive bearish candles indicate strong bearish momentum. Key short-term support lies in the 3950–3920 zone; if this level breaks, further downside potential will open up. ✅On the 4-hour chart, the price has broken below the MA5 and MA10, quickly pulling back toward the MA20. The bullish momentum near the upper Bollinger Band has already faded, and candles have fallen directly below the mid-band, signaling a phase of correction. If the 3950 support fails, the price may test the 3920–3900 area. On the upside, resistance lies at 3996–4000, and only a sustained break above this zone would allow the bullish trend to resume. 🔴Resistance Levels: 3996–4000 / 4028–4035 🟢Support Levels: 3950–3940 / 3920–3910 ✅Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰If the price rebounds but fails to break 3996–4000, short positions can be considered, targeting the 3950 area. 🔰If the price holds steady around 3950 and shows a bottoming signal, long positions can be considered, targeting the 4000 area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
GOLD UPDATE – Bulls Defend $4,000 Ahead of Powell’s SpeechGold continues to hold firm above the key $4,000 psychological level, even after a sharp correction from the all-time high near $4,059. The market’s focus now shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech, which could set the tone for the next directional move. Despite the recent dip, the overall structure remains bullish, and the FiboMatrix setup still signals that buyers are not out of the game yet. Technical Structure (H1 – FiboMatrix View) Support Zone (BUY Setup): 4010 – 4012 → Retest of breakout trendline + Fibo 0.618 reaction zone. Strong intraday base where liquidity may reload for another bullish leg. Reaction Buy Zone: 402x → Potential confirmation area if price reacts positively. Resistance Zone (ATH): 4060 → Previous intraday top, acting as the first major barrier before retesting 408x. SELL Reaction Zone: 4084 – 4086 → Fibo 1.5 – 1.618 expansion zone, potential scalp short zone with tight stop above 4090. 🎯 Trading Plan (Francis Strategy) ✅ BUY Setup: Entry: 4010 – 402x (wait for confirmation). TP1: 4060 TP2: 4084 SL: Below 3996 ⚠️ SELL Setup (Short-term scalp): Entry: 4084 – 4086 (if rejection forms). Target: 4040 → 4020 SL: Above 4096 🔑 Francis Outlook Gold’s short-term correction looks more like a controlled retracement than a trend reversal. As long as the price holds above the $4,000 handle, the bullish bias stays intact. 👉 Expect potential consolidation before Powell’s remarks, followed by a sharp reaction depending on the tone of his speech. A clean breakout above 4060 – 4086 will open the path toward $4,100+ and new ATH targets. 🚀 Trend Bias: Bullish above 4010 – Buy the Dip, Sell only at Fibo extremes with confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (10/10/2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum In the October 9th plan, based on H1 momentum and wave structure, I anticipated a strong bearish move, which indeed occurred during yesterday’s late session. D1 Momentum: Currently turning downward, meaning the main trend in the coming sessions remains bearish to bring D1 momentum into the oversold zone. H4 Momentum: Now showing signs of reversal from the oversold area, suggesting that a short-term recovery wave may appear soon. H1 Momentum: Currently approaching the oversold zone, so within the next 1–2 hours, a minor corrective upward move could take place. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Wave Structure: We can now see a confirmed bearish reversal candle, whose body is larger than previous bearish candles. This indicates that the yellow wave ⑤ has likely completed, and I expect a deeper corrective move to unfold — potentially reaching the 3700 area. H4 Wave Structure: As mentioned yesterday, we use the price channel for observation, and now the price has closed back inside the channel. This gives us additional confirmation that wave ⑤ has completed. With H4 momentum preparing to turn upward, the market is likely to form a corrective upward wave on this timeframe. H1 Wave Structure: Currently, a blue ABC correction has formed after yesterday’s strong decline. Notably, wave C is twice the length of wave A, showing that the panic selling yesterday may have exhausted the sellers. Combining this with the H4 momentum reversal, it suggests a potential upward move ahead. Furthermore, after a complete ABC structure, according to Elliott theory, the market often forms another ABC pattern or a 5-wave structure in the opposite direction, → therefore, we will now look for Buy opportunities. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Liquidity Zones Observing the liquidity areas on the chart, there are two key zones to focus on: • 3953 • 3933 These are the two zones where we will look for Buy setups. Yesterday’s oversold decline (an irregular wave C) suggests, by Elliott principles, that a strong rebound from the 0.618 retracement up to the previous high is likely — this will be important for determining our Take-Profit levels. ________________________________________ 🔹 4. Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: • Entry: 3956 – 3953 • SL: 3943 • TP: 3989 Buy Zone 2: • Entry: 3934 – 3931 • SL: 3922 • TP: 3953 ________________________________________ 💡 Note: This rebound is a technical correction after an oversold sell-off, so it’s recommended to monitor price reaction near TP and consider moving SL to breakeven to secure profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 7, 2025)📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum D1 Timeframe: Yesterday’s D1 candle closed and confirmed that the upward move is still continuing. However, momentum has started to turn in the overbought zone, indicating that the upside move may not last long — this is a typical overextension signal, often seen at the top of a wave. H4 Timeframe: Momentum on H4 is reversing in the overbought zone, meaning the short-term uptrend can still continue today, but traders should be cautious as this is a sensitive area for potential reversals. H1 Timeframe: Momentum on H1 is turning upward, suggesting there could be one more short-term bullish push before exhaustion. ➡️ Conclusion: Over the past few days, price has diverged from momentum across multiple timeframes — a classic sign of a potential top formation. 👉 Be extremely cautious with long-term positions. ________________________________________ 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Analysis Commercials: Currently 18% Long / 82% Short — this means hedgers are heavily shorting to protect against downside risk. This behavior is typically seen at major tops. Institutional Traders: Holding 83% Long / 17% Short, showing extreme bullish sentiment among large funds. Such sentiment often appears near market peaks. Retail Traders: 69% Long / 31% Short, indicating that retail traders are FOMO-buying, which reflects a classic crowd behavior at the top. 🧭 Summary: The current COT data strongly warns of a potential top formation in the market. Notes: • Commercials: Hedgers trading against the main trend to reduce business risk. • Institutionals: Large speculative funds trading with the main trend. • Retail Traders: Small investors, usually following market emotion. ________________________________________ 🌊 Wave Structure D1 Timeframe: Price remains within wave 5 (yellow). Momentum is in the overbought zone, so a correction could occur anytime. → For now, use the wave structure and price channel to observe potential topping reactions. H4 Timeframe: Wave 5 (purple) is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 target around 3986. Combined with D1 momentum still slightly rising within the overbought zone, price may continue higher for 1–2 more days before turning down. According to additional H1 measurement, the second target lies at 4006. H1 Timeframe: The 5-wave (black) structure has been relabeled based on the latest data. Calculated projection shows Wave 5 = 0.618 of Waves 1–3, targeting 4006. → The potential target zone is 3985 – 4006. Currently, momentum divergence against price is developing — this typically happens in the final wave of a trend. Combined with COT’s top warning, the market is now slow and choppy, consistent with a distribution and topping phase. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trading Plan • Maintain strict discipline at this stage. • Reduce position size and avoid holding long-term trades. • Wait for clear top confirmation before planning the next swing setup. ________________________________________ 👉 Summary: Wave 5 is likely completing. Both momentum and COT warn of a potential top — stay patient, observe reactions, and avoid large positions until a confirmed reversal appears.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
Intraday Scalping Tips1. Understanding the Scalping Concept Scalping is different from traditional intraday trading. While intraday traders may hold positions for several hours, scalpers aim to profit from very small price fluctuations that occur over minutes—or even seconds. Key principles include: High Trade Frequency: Scalpers often make dozens of trades in a single day. Small Gains: Each trade typically targets 0.1–0.5% profit. Minimal Exposure: Trades are closed quickly to avoid major market risks. Scalping is particularly effective in highly liquid markets like Nifty, Bank Nifty, or major blue-chip stocks where order execution is smooth and spreads are low. 2. Choosing the Right Stocks or Instruments Not all stocks are suitable for scalping. Selecting the right instruments is critical for consistent profits. Key considerations include: Liquidity: Highly traded stocks allow quick entry and exit. Volatility: Moderate volatility provides enough price movement for scalping without excessive risk. Tight Spreads: Stocks with narrow bid-ask spreads reduce transaction costs. Market Depth: Strong support and resistance levels make prediction of price action more reliable. Popular choices for scalpers in India include Nifty, Bank Nifty, HDFC Bank, Reliance, and Infosys, as they provide both liquidity and predictable movement patterns. 3. Time Frame Selection and Chart Analysis Time frame selection is critical in scalping since trades are short-lived: 1-Minute and 5-Minute Charts: Most scalpers rely on very short time frames for identifying entry and exit points. Tick Charts: Some traders use tick charts to focus on the number of trades instead of time intervals, offering precision in fast markets. Indicators: Common indicators include: Moving Averages: For trend confirmation. Relative Strength Index (RSI): To spot overbought/oversold conditions. Volume Indicators: Confirm breakout strength and liquidity. Chart patterns like flags, pennants, and micro-trends are also useful for short-term trade setups. 4. Setting Precise Entry and Exit Points Successful scalping relies on strict entry and exit discipline: Entry Rules: Enter trades when technical indicators align (e.g., price breaks a micro-resistance on high volume). Exit Rules: Always set a pre-determined profit target (e.g., 0.2–0.5%) to avoid greed. Stop-Loss Discipline: A tight stop-loss (0.1–0.3% below entry price) prevents small losses from becoming large. Risk-Reward Ratio: Even for small profits, maintain a risk-reward ratio that ensures overall profitability. Automation tools like bracket orders in NSE allow traders to simultaneously set stop-loss and target levels. 5. Capital Management and Trade Sizing Proper capital management is crucial to survive in high-frequency scalping: Small Position Sizes: Avoid risking too much on a single trade. Leverage Management: Use leverage cautiously; while it magnifies profits, it also amplifies losses. Diversification: Spread trades across multiple instruments to reduce concentration risk. Daily Loss Limits: Decide beforehand how much you can lose in a day and stick to it—emotional control is key. Even small profits can accumulate when losses are strictly controlled. 6. Using Technology for Speed and Accuracy Scalping is a speed-driven strategy, making technology a critical factor: Direct Market Access (DMA): Enables faster order execution compared to traditional brokers. Low Latency Trading Platforms: Platforms like Zerodha Kite, Upstox Pro, and Interactive Brokers help reduce slippage. Hotkeys and Advanced Orders: Pre-set hotkeys speed up entries and exits. Real-Time Data Feeds: Access to live market data is essential for micro-trend identification. Automated scripts and algorithmic tools can also be employed to execute scalping strategies without hesitation. 7. Psychological Discipline and Emotional Control Scalping is mentally demanding due to rapid decision-making: Avoid Overtrading: Even if setups are frequent, wait for high-probability signals. Embrace Small Wins: Focus on cumulative gains rather than single trades. Detach from Emotions: Fear and greed can destroy scalping strategies in seconds. Routine and Focus: A disciplined pre-market routine enhances performance. Mental fatigue can lead to poor execution, so breaks and mental preparation are crucial. 8. Continuous Learning and Strategy Adaptation Markets are dynamic, and scalping strategies must evolve: Review Trades Daily: Maintain a trade journal to track setups, wins, and losses. Backtesting: Test strategies on historical data to identify strengths and weaknesses. Adapt to Market Conditions: Scalping in trending markets differs from range-bound markets. Stay Updated: Economic events, corporate news, and global market movements can drastically affect intraday behavior. Continuous refinement ensures long-term profitability and helps scalpers stay ahead of changing conditions. Conclusion Intraday scalping is a high-speed, high-discipline trading approach that rewards precision, strategy, and emotional control. Success depends on selecting the right instruments, leveraging technology, maintaining strict risk management, and continuously learning from market behavior. While scalping can offer consistent profits, it is not suitable for everyone due to its demanding nature. Traders who combine discipline with strategic execution and adaptive methods can use scalping to capitalize on micro-movements in the market and achieve steady gains over time.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
Gold Trading Strategy for 03rd October 2025Gold Intraday Trade Setup 📊 Trade Setup ✅ Buy Opportunity Condition: Enter long above the High of 15-minute candle, if it closes above $3878 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3889 🎯 Target 2: $3899 🎯 Target 3: $3905 ❌ Sell Opportunity Condition: Enter short below the Low of 15-minute candle, if it closes below $3834 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3821 🎯 Target 2: $3813 🎯 Target 3: $3800 💰 Trade Execution Notes ⏱️ Timeframe: 15-minute chart 📌 Levels are trigger-based (not market orders). 🧾 Keep strict stop-loss at opposite side of trigger. ⚖️ Use proper position sizing and risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This trade setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy/sell securities. Trading gold, commodities, and derivatives involves high risk of financial loss. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
XAUUSD – PRIORITISE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilising temporarily. The current market structure indicates a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-following buys. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and a medium-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 zone → indicating that the upward momentum has not weakened. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Entry at the support zone of FVG (Fair Value Gap) in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Outlook Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to drive gold demand. US government temporary shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is an opportunity to “buy the dip”. ⚖️ Scenario & Strategy Main strategy: Focus only on buying with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout zone 4040 – 4060: If it breaks decisively, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong uptrend (Bullish continuation) Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation. ✅ Technical Breakdown: Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012. Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup. An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure. A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell. Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control. 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1) TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection. 📈 Summary: Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest TP1: $4,030 TP2: $4,050 SL: Below $3,996 Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97