Gold daily analysisintermediate 5 th wave completed rounded black numbers.Primary 3 wave also completed and now 4 th wave pull back is going on.it has not retraced 23.6 percent as of now.this rounded 3 rd wave red colour is extended one.primary 2 nd wave had retraced 50 percent of 1 st wave. we are waiting for completeion of the red colour 4 th wave .When 3 rd wave is extended it can jump after retracing even 23.6 percent. not sure of it.how it unflods.Daily chart.
Follow me to get updates.
Like this post if it helps you
Trade ideas
Part 1 Ride The Big Moves Option Expiry and Settlement
Every option has an expiry date. In India:
Index options (like Nifty and Bank Nifty) are cash-settled.
Stock options are physically settled, meaning actual delivery of shares can occur if positions are held until expiry.
As the expiry date approaches, time decay (Theta) reduces the option’s value if the underlying doesn’t move in the trader’s favor.
Gold – Distribution Before DropGold – Distribution Before Drop
Gold is showing signs of exhaustion after the recent corrective bounce. The 3H market structure highlights a clear distribution pattern, as price continues to reject from the 4,100–4,250 supply zone. Repeated Break of Structure (BOS) signals that bearish momentum remains dominant.
Institutional activity suggests that liquidity is being built above local highs, preparing for another downside leg. The current market sentiment stays bearish as long as price trades below the key premium area. A confirmed rejection from this zone could trigger a decline toward the 3,904 liquidity pool.
Only a breakout and hold above 4,250 would invalidate this scenario and shift bias back to bullish accumulation.
Gold Squeeze: Range Breakout Can Trigger $4,100+ MoveLooking at the current gold price action on the H1 chart, we're seeing a technical setup that's been developing over the past several sessions. The market has clearly established a well-defined range between approximately $3,900 and $4,040, with price respecting both the upper and lower boundaries quite consistently.
price is holding above this ascending support while simultaneously testing the middle-to-upper zone of the range suggests building bullish momentum.
We've seen multiple attempts to push lower get absorbed by buyers, creating a series of higher lows that demonstrate underlying strength. The grey horizontal zone around $4,020-$4,040 represents the key resistance level where sellers have previously shown up, but notice how price action is becoming increasingly compressed near this level a classic sign that a breakout may be imminent.
From a probability standpoint, the combination of higher lows, sustained buying interest, and the current positioning near range highs favors an upside breakout. If gold manages to close convincingly above $4,040, we could see an accelerated move toward the $4,100+ zone fairly quickly, as there's limited technical resistance overhead once this range ceiling is breached.
However, it's worth noting that range-bound markets can be deceptive, and false breakouts are always a possibility. The key will be watching for a decisive move with strong volume and follow-through. Until we get that confirmation, remaining patient with existing positions while maintaining appropriate risk management makes sense.
The market appears coiled and ready to make its next significant move all signs point to higher prices, but as always, let the price action confirm the breakout before adding to positions.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario...LiamTrading – XAUUSD | Early Week Bullish Scenario: Successful Box Breakout, Watch for Retest at 4056 & Deep Buy at 3998–4000
The price has just broken out of the accumulation box and accelerated as per the weekend scenario. Bullish inclination for the day, with a near-term target of 4080 → 4110; the 4110–4112 zone is a suitable psychological resistance for scalping. Prioritise buying at the 4056 retest or deep buying at 3998–4000 when the price sweeps liquidity and then rebounds.
The US Senate takes further procedural steps to end the shutdown. Expectation of systemic risk cooling → pressure on USD decreases, supporting gold in the short term.
The process still has a few steps, fluctuations around news hours might be volatile → adhere to technicals, manage risks tightly.
Technical Analysis (H1/H2) – Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci
Structure & Trendline: Box breakout upwards, trend-following capital dominates. Short-term uptrend when the price holds above 4056 (retest point of breakout zone).
Support/Resistance (S/R):
Support: 4056 (retest), 4025–4038 (FVG liquidity fill), 3998–4000 (Buy Zone Liquidity).
Resistance: 4110–4112 (psychological + short-term supply cluster), 4160–4165 (Fibo extension).
Fibonacci Extension:
1.618 coincides with 4110–4112 → likely reaction/scalp sell.
2.272 targets ~4160 → extended target/final profit exit.
Today's Trading Scenario
Continuation Buy (priority)
Entry: 4056–4060 (retest of breakout zone)
SL: 4048
TP: 4080 → 4110 → 4160
Management: Move SL to breakeven at +1R; partial close at 4080/4110.
Deep Liquidity Buy (cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4000
SL: 3992
TP: 4020 → 4045 → 4080 → 4110
Note: Enter only with clear rejection candle (long lower wick, M1–M15 reversal) or after FVG fill and rebound.
Scalp Sell at Psychological Resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4110–4112
SL: 4118
TP: 4100 → 4080 → 4065
Note: Abandon trade if H1 closes strongly above 4112 or if the uptrend is too strong (breakout with volume).
Invalidation & Notes
Short-term bullish bias invalidated if H1 closes below 4048 → may test deeper at 4025–4038 or 3998–4000.
Avoid entering trades close to news hours about the US government reopening process.
Risk per trade: 0.5–1%, adhere to discipline of moving SL at +1R.
If you find this useful, comment on the price levels you're watching and hit Follow on LiamTrading to receive daily updates.
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINEXAUUSD – GOLD CONFIRMS SHORT-TERM DECLINE AFTER BREAKING TRENDLINE
🪞 1. Overview
🌤️ In the Asian session this morning, gold broke the upward trendline even though the selling pressure wasn't particularly strong.
However, this is the first signal indicating that the short-term trend is leaning towards the sellers.
💬 Currently, the 3996 level is a significant resistance, and the price might retest this area before continuing to decline.
If the price surpasses the FVG at 4007, the trend might temporarily rebound in the short term.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
🔸 Market structure: After breaking the trend, the structure temporarily shifts to short-term bearish.
🔸 Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity is drawn to the 3960–3940 area, while FVG 4007 is the first barrier.
🔸 Order Flow: Smart Money may lightly sweep up to the resistance area before pushing the price further down.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💔 MAIN SELL
Entry: 3996 | SL: 4004
TP: 3985 – 3972 – 3948
💢 SELL scalping
Entry: 4007 | SL: 4014
TP: 3998 – 3978
💖 REACTIVE BUY
Entry: 3965 | SL: 3957
TP: 3976 – 3988 – 3999
🌸 DEEP BUY
Entry: 3941 | SL: 3931
TP: 3955 – 3968 – 3988 – 4012 – 4066
🔍 4. Price Levels to Note
✨ 4007 → FVG resistance, short-term trend confirmation area
✨ 3996 → Retest area of the broken trendline
✨ 3965 – 3941 → Strong support area, likely to see reversal reactions
💬 5. Notes & Call for Interaction
⚠️ This is not an investment recommendation, but merely a personal technical perspective following the ICT method.
Observe the price reaction around the trendline carefully before making a decision 💭
If you find this post helpful, please 💛 like – 💬 leave a comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with daily gold insights and learn more about the Smart Money Concept 🌷✨
Gold Trading Strategy Reference for Next Week✅ Daily Chart Analysis
Gold has continued to fluctuate within a tight range, repeatedly surging and then pulling back sharply. The overall movement remains around the 4000 level, with 30–40 points of volatility. After a long period of consolidation, the market appears to be gathering momentum, suggesting that a breakout could be approaching.
From the daily timeframe, gold remains in a low-range consolidation and technical recovery phase. After several sessions of sideways movement, short-term moving averages have begun to turn upward, and candles are gradually stabilizing above them. This technical signal indicates that there is still room for further rebound in the near term.
✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis
On the 4-hour chart, the short-term structure is improving, with price action slowly forming a small ascending triangle. Resistance remains near 4030, where price has repeatedly faced pressure. Candlesticks are climbing above short-term moving averages, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
The 4030 level is a key area to watch — a decisive breakout above it could open a new upward channel, while failure to break it would likely keep gold within its current range.
On the downside, 3980 serves as an important support area; if price weakens, pay close attention to reactions around this level.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis
From the 1-hour perspective, the previous short-term uptrend has paused, with 4030 turning into a crucial resistance zone. Support remains around 3985, where gold has repeatedly rebounded, showing continued buying interest. As long as this support holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and the upward potential could continue to expand. Traders can consider entering with normal position sizes near key support levels.
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔸Strategy 1 (Short Setup):
Sell in batches around 4030–4035,
Targets at 4000–3990,
If price breaks below, look for 3980 as the next target.
🔹Strategy 2 (Long Setup):
Buy in batches around 3980–3985,
Targets at 4020–4030,
If price breaks above, look for 4050 as the next target.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
🔴Resistance: 4030–4046
🟢Support: 3980–3965
✅ Summary:
Gold remains in a high-level consolidation phase with a short-term bullish bias. A successful breakout above 4030 would confirm renewed upside momentum, while continued rejection at this level would likely keep the price oscillating within the range. In the short term, it’s best to trade the range — sell near resistance and buy near support — while adapting to market rhythm.
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure
After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD.
Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD.
The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline.
If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones.
Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout.
💎 Key Technical Zones
• Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area.
• Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers.
• Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB:
If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing):
• Entry: 3,972 – 3,975
• SL: 3,960
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 4,028
• TP3: 4,070
→ Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed.
2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance:
If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal:
• Entry: 4,045
• SL: 4,065
• TP1: 4,015
• TP2: 3,985
→ Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears.
🧠 Vincent’s View
Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion .
Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact.
Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above.
“Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 07/11/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
StevenTrading – XAUUSD Strategy for Gold in an Upward ChannelStevenTrading – XAUUSD
Strategy for Gold in an Upward Channel
Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with today's gold insights – a deeper analysis of price behaviour as global capital flows are undergoing significant shifts.
The latest data shows that gold investment funds recorded a net outflow of -7.5 billion USD last week as investors took profits after a historic rise. Notably, the previous week saw an inflow of +8.5 billion USD, reflecting the extreme volatility of capital flows.
In the last 4 months, gold funds have still attracted a total of +59 billion USD, indicating that institutional money maintains a positive trend, despite short-term adjustments.
📰 Fundamental Analysis – Market Perspective
The main driver keeping gold strong is the rotation of capital between assets amid abundant global liquidity.
With persistent inflation and central banks maintaining a cautious stance, investors tend to take temporary profits but still keep a portion of gold in their portfolios.
Short-term selling pressure is thus merely a phase of re-accumulation, not a signal of trend reversal.
As long as global liquidity is not tightened, gold will maintain its upward momentum in the medium to long term.
📊 Technical Analysis – Trading Strategy in the Price Channel
On the chart, gold continues to move within an upward price channel, with no signs of breaking the structure.
Currently, the price fluctuates within the 396x – 404x range, indicating a temporary equilibrium state.
The market respects the upper and lower boundaries of the price channel, creating opportunities for short-term trades at the boundaries while awaiting clear breakout signals.
Main mindset: As long as the price holds the upward channel structure, prioritize Buying at the lower trendline and short Selling at resistance areas, waiting for confirmation signals to enter trades.
🎯 Trading Scenarios (Action Plan)
🔴 Sell Scenario – When the price fails at resistance:
If the price slightly breaks the resistance and then reverses, a sell setup will be activated.
Entry: Sell 3978 after confirming price rejection.
SL: 3985
TP: 3962 – 3946 – 3922
🟢 Buy Scenario – Buy when the price bounces from the trendline:
If the price adjusts to touch the upward trendline and bounces strongly, this is the area for trend-following entries.
Entry: Buy 3993 after confirming trendline reaction.
SL: 3985
TP: 4010 – 4048 – 4103
📌 Steven's Notes
The overall structure still leans towards an uptrend, but the market is in a liquidity hunting phase, suitable for short-term and flexible trading.
Maintain discipline, only enter trades in clearly confirmed areas, and always manage risk tightly.
This week's success comes from patience and precision in every entry.
XAUUSD – Intraday H1 Plan: Liquidity Sweep or Reversal Base?Date: November 4, 2025
Timeframe: H1
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold is consolidating between $3,976 and $4,006 after a volatile session yesterday.
Market sentiment remains mixed, as traders weigh the rebound in U.S. Treasury yields against ongoing geopolitical and inflation concerns.
Recent move: Gold rebounded from the $3,975 low after a minor liquidity sweep below last week’s range.
Sentiment: Neutral-to-bullish in the short term — safe-haven demand still provides a soft floor.
Sessions to watch:
London session: Expect retracement and liquidity grab below intraday lows.
New York session: Possible expansion to the upside if $4,000 zone holds as support.
Macro Bias: Mildly bullish if price maintains structure above $3,980–$3,985; potential liquidity sweep downside before reversal.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY STRUCTURE)
Market Structure:
H1 is forming a short-term accumulation range with liquidity resting below $3,976 (SSL) and above $4,006 (BSL).
A break and close above $4,005.5 may trigger a short-term BOS → potential push toward $4,015–$4,020.
Key SMC Confluences:
$4,200–4,230 Extended Resistance – higher untested supply if momentum returns.
Demand Zone: $3,978–$3,980 → aligned with FVG + previous sweep low.
Supply Zone: $4,004–$4,006 → previous OB + high liquidity.
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
Price Zone Type Explanation
4,006–4,004 🔴 Supply Previous high + BSL liquidity
3,996–3,994 🟡 Resistance Equilibrium rejection zone
3,986–3,984 🟢 Demand OB + CHoCH base support
3,980–3,978 🟢 Strong Demand SSL sweep + FVG confluence
3,976–3,974 ⚠️ Liquidity Sweep Deep liquidity / stop-hunt zone
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS
✅ BUY SCENARIO 1– Deep Sweep Recovery
Entry: 3,968–3,966
Stoploss: 3,960
TP1: 3,988
TP2: 3,996
TP3: 4,004
Logic: SSL sweep below the range + FVG mitigation → bullish reaction expected during London open.
🚫 SELL SCENARIO – Supply Rejection
Entry: 4,010–4,008
Stoploss: 4,016
TP1: 3,994
TP2: 3,986
TP3: 3,980
Logic: Price sweeps the previous BSL liquidity above $4,006 → look for bearish CHoCH + confirmation candle M5 before entry.
⚠️ SCALPING SELL – Aggressive Short
Entry: 4,008–4,009
Stoploss: 4,012
TP: 3,998 – 3,990 – Open
Logic: High-risk scalp at liquidity spike above day’s high; confirm rejection with volume drop.
🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN
Prioritize long setups near $3,980–3,984 zone during London open.
Look for liquidity sweep before entering — avoid premature entries.
During NY session, re-evaluate if gold re-tests the $4,004–$4,006 supply zone.
Avoid overtrading; use smaller position sizing due to narrow range ($30).
Always wait for H1 close confirmation before committing.
🏁 CONCLUSION
Gold remains range-bound within $3,976–$4,006, but the structure hints at a potential bullish bias if liquidity below $3,978 is swept first.
The preferred buy zones are $3,984–$3,986 and $3,978–$3,980, while sell reactions may occur near $4,004–$4,006.
Expect whipsaw volatility between London and NY overlap; trade only with clear SMC confirmations and proper risk control.
Advanced Chart Patterns in Technical Analysis1. Introduction to Advanced Chart Patterns
In trading, patterns repeat because human behavior is repetitive. Fear, greed, and hope drive market movements, and these emotions get imprinted in price charts. Advanced chart patterns are an extension of classical technical formations, combining structure, volume, and momentum to forecast price trends. Mastering them helps traders differentiate between false breakouts and genuine opportunities.
Advanced patterns generally fall into two main categories:
Continuation Patterns – Indicating a pause before the prevailing trend continues.
Reversal Patterns – Signaling the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one.
2. Head and Shoulders (Reversal Pattern)
The Head and Shoulders pattern is one of the most reliable reversal signals. It indicates a change in trend direction — from bullish to bearish (standard form) or from bearish to bullish (inverse form).
Structure:
Left shoulder: A price rise followed by a decline.
Head: A higher peak than the left shoulder, followed by another decline.
Right shoulder: A lower rise, followed by a breakdown through the neckline.
Neckline: Connects the lows between the shoulders and serves as a key breakout level.
Once the price breaks below the neckline, it confirms a bearish reversal. The target is estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Inverse Head and Shoulders works similarly but in the opposite direction — signaling a bullish reversal after a downtrend.
3. Cup and Handle Pattern
The Cup and Handle is a bullish continuation pattern resembling a teacup. It was popularized by William O’Neil in his book How to Make Money in Stocks.
Formation:
Cup: A rounded bottom, showing a gradual shift from selling to buying.
Handle: A short pullback or consolidation that follows the cup, forming a downward-sloping channel.
When the price breaks above the handle’s resistance with strong volume, it often signals a continuation of the prior uptrend.
Target: The depth of the cup added to the breakout point.
This pattern is often seen in growth stocks and long-term bullish markets.
4. Double Top and Double Bottom
These patterns are classic but essential to advanced technical traders due to their reliability and frequency.
Double Top:
Appears after a strong uptrend.
Price makes two peaks at similar levels separated by a moderate decline.
A breakdown below the “neckline” confirms a bearish reversal.
Double Bottom:
Appears after a downtrend.
Two troughs form around the same level with a peak in between.
A breakout above the neckline signals a bullish reversal.
Volume confirmation is crucial — rising volume on the breakout adds credibility to the pattern.
5. Flag and Pennant Patterns
Flags and Pennants are short-term continuation patterns that often appear after a strong price movement, known as the “flagpole.”
Flag: Forms as a small rectangular channel sloping against the main trend.
Pennant: Appears as a small symmetrical triangle following a sharp move.
These patterns typically consolidate the market before the next strong move in the same direction.
Breakout Rule:
When price breaks in the direction of the previous trend, accompanied by high volume, it confirms continuation.
Target Projection:
Length of the flagpole added to the breakout point.
6. Wedge Patterns
Wedges are advanced chart patterns signaling either continuation or reversal depending on their position and direction.
Rising Wedge:
Forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the slope narrows upward.
Typically appears in an uptrend and indicates weakening bullish momentum — a bearish reversal signal.
Falling Wedge:
Forms with lower highs and lower lows converging downward.
Usually appears in a downtrend, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
Volume generally declines during formation and expands during breakout, confirming the move.
7. Symmetrical, Ascending, and Descending Triangles
Triangles represent consolidation phases and serve as reliable continuation patterns.
Symmetrical Triangle:
Characterized by converging trendlines with no clear direction bias.
Breakout direction typically follows the prior trend.
Ascending Triangle:
Horizontal resistance with rising support.
Usually forms during an uptrend, signaling bullish continuation.
Descending Triangle:
Horizontal support with declining resistance.
Typically bearish, indicating continuation of a downtrend.
Triangles are volume-sensitive patterns — declining volume during formation and surge during breakout strengthens reliability.
8. Rectangle Pattern
A Rectangle or Trading Range represents a period of indecision between buyers and sellers.
Formation: Price oscillates between horizontal support and resistance.
Interpretation:
Breakout above resistance → bullish signal.
Breakdown below support → bearish signal.
Traders often trade within the rectangle until a confirmed breakout occurs, using stop-losses near the opposite boundary.
9. Diamond Pattern
The Diamond Top is an advanced reversal pattern that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It begins as a broadening formation (wider price swings) and ends with a narrowing triangle — resembling a diamond shape.
Indicates distribution and market exhaustion.
Once price breaks below the support line, it confirms a bearish reversal.
This pattern is rare but highly reliable when spotted correctly.
10. Harmonic Patterns (Advanced Category)
Harmonic patterns use Fibonacci ratios to predict potential reversals with high precision. These include Gartley, Bat, Butterfly, and Crab patterns.
Gartley Pattern: Indicates retracement within a trend, typically completing at the 78.6% Fibonacci level.
Bat Pattern: Uses deeper retracement levels (88.6%) to identify precise turning points.
Butterfly Pattern: Suggests a reversal near 127% or 161.8% Fibonacci extensions.
Crab Pattern: Known for extreme projections (up to 224% or more), signaling deep retracements.
These patterns require advanced understanding of Fibonacci tools and are used by professional traders for precision entries.
11. Rounding Bottom and Top
Rounding Bottom:
Gradual shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Indicates long-term accumulation before a breakout.
Typically seen in major trend reversals in large-cap stocks.
Rounding Top:
Slow shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Represents distribution and is often followed by a sustained downtrend.
These patterns form over long durations (weeks or months) and are reliable for positional traders.
12. Broadening Formation
Also known as a megaphone pattern, it shows increasing volatility and investor uncertainty.
Formation: Two diverging trendlines — one ascending, one descending.
Meaning: Early sign of market instability; may precede major reversals.
Trade Setup: Enter once a confirmed breakout occurs beyond the pattern boundaries.
13. Volume and Confirmation in Chart Patterns
Volume plays a critical role in confirming pattern validity. Key principles include:
Decreasing volume during consolidation or pattern formation.
Increasing volume during breakout, confirming institutional participation.
False breakouts often occur on low volume, trapping retail traders.
Combining volume indicators (like OBV or Volume Oscillator) with pattern analysis enhances accuracy.
14. Practical Application and Risk Management
Even the most reliable patterns fail without proper risk management and confirmation strategies.
Wait for breakout confirmation with candle close beyond key levels.
Use stop-loss slightly below support or above resistance.
Combine patterns with momentum indicators like RSI or MACD for confirmation.
Avoid overtrading; focus on quality setups with clear symmetry and volume validation.
15. Conclusion
Advanced chart patterns bridge the gap between price action and trader psychology. They help traders interpret market behavior and anticipate future movements with a structured approach. Patterns like the Cup and Handle, Head and Shoulders, and Wedges reveal not just the direction but also the strength and conviction of trends.
Mastering these patterns requires practice, discipline, and confirmation through indicators and volume. When used correctly, advanced chart patterns empower traders to make informed, high-probability decisions — transforming random price data into profitable trading opportunities.
XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – AWAITING CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today remains in a phase of indecision – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying pressure is gradually gaining dominance.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the upward momentum may extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this zone to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The area 3964–4018 is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell orders (scalp) if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price surpasses 4018, the upward structure will be confirmed and the expansion target may aim towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 zone before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more tightly, prioritise accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 zone – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
XAUUSD TRADE SETUP @3996.480
stop at AR low 3985.600
tp 4046.615
Last trading day of the week, so caution makes sense. There are a few potential news catalysts that could create some volatility. My bias here is long, and I’m scaling into the position gradually as confluences develop.
Add this pair to your watchlist and monitor price action. Only take the trade if it aligns with your own analysis and directional bias. This isn’t a chase setup — patience matters here.
Gold start buying on dip if break 4060 then 4150-4180 come Gold start buying on dip for nex week 4150-4180 upside will come if break 4060
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
XAUUSD | Gold 4H Breakout Setup | Wait for Retest Before Long Gold is currently trading near the 4H resistance zone after a short-term recovery move. The price is approaching a key supply area where a breakout or rejection can decide the next direction. I am planning a long entry only after a proper retest to avoid chasing the move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 4045 – 4075
• Strong Support: 3955 – 3980 (200 EMA zone)
• Major Upside Target after breakout: 4210 – 4230
Trade Plan:
1. Let price approach the resistance zone
2. Wait for breakout and then retest near 4045 – 4075
3. Look for bullish rejection candle to confirm entry
4. If retest holds, next leg up toward 4210 is possible
Why Wait for Retest?
Retest reduces false breakout risk and improves risk to reward. Market is still recovering from a previous strong sell-off, so patience gives a more controlled entry.
Sentiment: Neutral to Bullish
Timeframe: 4H
Style: Swing / Position
Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice, just my personal price structure view.
Gold Trading Strategy | November 6-7✅ From the 4-hour timeframe, gold experienced a significant pullback after touching 4019 and is currently in a consolidation phase following a short-term rebound failure. The candlesticks have fallen back below the short-term moving averages, while the MACD continues to weaken.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 have flattened and are slightly turning downward → indicating weakening bullish momentum. MA20 continues to suppress the price, showing clear overhead pressure. Price has returned below the short-term MA cluster, reflecting weakening mid-term upside momentum and fading rebound strength.
🔸 Bollinger Bands Structure:
The middle band (3978–3980) has become a key short-term support. The upper band is narrowing downward, suggesting reduced volatility and short-term consolidation. Candlesticks failed to hold above the middle band, indicating insufficient rebound strength and a corrective sideways structure.
✅ From the 1-hour timeframe, gold staged a technical rebound after a sharp decline, but the strength remains limited and failed to stand above MA20, leaving the price in a weak rebound pattern.
🔸 Moving Average Structure:
MA5 and MA10 are flattening and intertwining, while MA20 applies downward pressure. The moving average convergence signals a consolidation phase.
🔸 Bollinger Bands:
The middle band (3994) serves as short-term resistance, while the lower band (3967) continues to rise, indicating supportive pressure at the bottom. After the bearish momentum was released, a minor technical rebound is reasonable, but the upside remains limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3994–3996 / 4003–4005 / 4015
🟢 Support Levels: 3978–3980 / 3966–3968 / 3942
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 Rebound Short Setup
If gold rebounds to:
3994–3996 or 4003–4005 and faces rejection → consider light short positions
🎯 Targets: 3980 / 3970
⛔ Stop Loss: above 4008
🔰 Pullback Long Setup
If gold pulls back to:
3978–3980 and stabilizes → consider light long positions
🎯 Targets: 3994–3996
⛔ Stop Loss: below 3968
✅ Overall Outlook:
Gold is currently showing a weak corrective rebound and remains overall bearish. Short-term rebound strength is limited. Unless price can stabilize above 4010–4015, further downside support tests are likely.
Gold Rebuilds Structure Above $3940, Eyeing $4030 Liquidity Pool🔍 Market Context
Gold is attempting to regain bullish momentum as safe-haven demand remains supported by rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty around the upcoming US ADP employment data.
The market continues to oscillate between risk aversion and rate expectations — with the Fed’s hawkish tone keeping the Dollar capped but steady.
At the same time, capital flow rotation from equities into defensive assets is quietly supporting the metal’s structural recovery, with gold holding above key liquidity levels despite intraday volatility.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1–H4)
After forming a double-bottom structure near $3,938, XAU/USD has reclaimed the 38.2% retracement zone (3,974–3,975) from its previous bearish leg.
This area now acts as a pivot zone, separating short-term bullish continuation from potential retracement.
The chart reveals a classic liquidity cycle shift:
Phase 1: Sweep of downside liquidity below 3,930, marking an internal structural low.
Phase 2: Expansion leg reclaiming short-term FVGs, signaling a potential smart money accumulation phase.
Phase 3: Repricing toward upper liquidity targets aligned with Fibonacci extensions.
Key Technical Zones:
• 💎 Liquidity Base: 3,938 – 3,950 (recent demand re-entry area)
• 🎯 Rejection Zone 1: 3,974 – 3,999 (previous inefficiency block)
• ⚙️ Target Zone: 4,033 – 4,045 (1.272–1.618 Fibo extensions, liquidity pool)
• ⚠️ Invalidation: Break below 3,920 would shift structure back to distribution.
🎯 MMFLOW Scenario
If gold sustains above the 3,950 support cluster, buyers are likely to extend the retracement toward 3,999–4,033 where resting liquidity sits.
A clean rejection from 4,000 could trigger an intraday pullback — but as long as price holds above the 3,938 OB base, the bullish recovery structure remains intact.
The short-term narrative favors controlled accumulation, suggesting that smart money is building positions into liquidity zones before the next impulsive move.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Liquidity isn’t random — it’s engineered. Every move leaves a footprint, and gold is tracing its next one above $3,950.”






















