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Gold Holds Firm Near $4,180 as Markets Await Fed Signal Gold prices are holding steady around $4,184 per ounce, maintaining strong momentum after last week’s sharp rebound of nearly $250 from the $3,930 low. On the 4-hour chart, the uptrend remains intact with multiple Fair Value Gaps acting as key support zones. The nearest support is seen between $4,150–4,120, while resistance lies at $4,220–4,260. According to Kitco and Reuters, the rally is largely supported by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut rates in December, amid signs of a cooling U.S. economy. The reopening of the U.S. government after a 35-day shutdown means crucial data such as CPI, NFP, and GDP will soon be released — which could reinforce the market’s belief that a dovish shift is near. Adding to the intrigue, the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review former President Donald Trump’s authority to dismiss Fed Governor Lisa Cook in early 2026. Analysts warn that if this threatens the Fed’s independence, it could trigger a sharp decline in the U.S. dollar and push gold up by as much as $500 per ounce. Meanwhile, UBS forecasts global gold demand in 2025 could reach its highest level since 2011, as central banks continue increasing reserves. Heightened geopolitical risks — including the upcoming U.S. election in 2026, the Middle East conflict, and renewed U.S.–China trade tensions — are further strengthening gold’s appeal as a safe haven. In the near term, gold could correct slightly towards $4,150–4,120 before resuming its advance towards $4,260. A decisive break above that level could open the path to $4,300–4,340. With a weakening dollar, potential rate cuts, and global uncertainty, gold appears well-positioned for the next medium-term bullish cycle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KaelRune
1
GOLD H1 – Awaiting CPI Data for Next Big Move🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (12/11) 📈 Market Context Gold remains in a controlled retracement phase after a strong impulsive leg last week. The market is now consolidating within a defined 1H range, showing clear reactions near short-term EMAs as traders await today’s U.S. CPI release, a key driver of intraday volatility. • A higher-than-expected CPI could reignite USD strength and push gold toward the discount zone. • A softer CPI print may trigger a renewed push into the premium zone, inviting liquidity grabs above 4200. Institutional flows remain balanced between short-term profit-taking and position building ahead of the inflation print, suggesting engineered liquidity sweeps before the real move unfolds. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Market structure is still bullish but showing distribution signs at the top of the range. • Premium Zone: 4201–4199 aligns with unmitigated supply — a prime area for potential sell-side reaction if CPI sparks a bullish liquidity sweep. • Discount Zone: 4083–4081 overlaps with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and sits just above EMA100 — an ideal re-accumulation area for institutional buys. • Liquidity: Equal lows near 4080 and equal highs near 4200 make both sides vulnerable to engineered stop-hunts before direction is confirmed. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,201 – 4,199 • Stop-Loss: 4,210 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,140 (first liquidity pocket) → 4,102 (mid-range equilibrium) → 4,083 (discount zone confluence) 📌 Only valid if CPI causes a liquidity sweep into premium, followed by M5–M15 bearish BOS confirmation. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4,081 – 4,083 • Stop-Loss: 4,074 • Take-Profit Targets: → 4,102 → 4,140 → 4,199 📌 Only valid if price sweeps 4080 liquidity and reclaims structure with bullish BOS on M15 timeframe. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for CPI-induced volatility before executing any setup. • Avoid mid-range trades between 4100–4140 — this is equilibrium noise. • Reduce size pre-news; volatility spikes can trigger premature stops. • Scale partials at each liquidity pocket and trail stop-losses accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating ahead of CPI, with dual liquidity zones clearly defined: • Sell zone: 4201–4199 (premium reaction area) • Buy zone: 4083–4081 (discount re-entry area) The market is likely to hunt one side of liquidity before revealing true intent. Traders should remain patient, trade from extremes, and align entries with confirmed structure shifts. FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for real-time SMC updates ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold Trading Strategy for 13th November 2025🌟 GOLD TRADE SETUP 💰 (Intraday / Short-term View) 📈 BUY Setup: 🔹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle close if price closes above $4226 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4237 2️⃣ $4249 3️⃣ $4265 🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $4210 (or as per your risk level) 📉 SELL Setup: 🔹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle close if price closes below $4155 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ $4125 2️⃣ $4100 3️⃣ $4082 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $4170 (or as per your risk level) ⚠️ Disclaimer: 📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading in commodities like Gold ($XAU/USD) involves risk. Please conduct your own analysis and manage your risk properly before entering any trade. ✨ Tip: Watch for strong volume confirmation and momentum breakout on the 1-hour chart before entry. Stay disciplined and avoid emotional trades! 💪
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | November 12-13✅From the 4H chart, gold surged sharply to a high of 4206.57 before experiencing a strong pullback, forming a long upper shadow. This indicates that bullish momentum weakened after testing resistance around the upper Bollinger Band (4203.88). The current price is trading around 4190–4195, slightly above the MA10 (4133.81) and close to the Bollinger midline (4099.50) — this area serves as a short-term support zone. The MA5 (4140.23) remains above MA10, showing that the broader trend is still upward, but the sudden bearish candle signals short-term correction pressure. The uptrend remains intact on the 4H timeframe, but the rejection near 4206 signals exhaustion of short-term buying power. If gold fails to reclaim 4200, a temporary pullback toward 4130–4100 is likely before another potential rise. ✅ On the 1H chart, gold spiked to 4206, then quickly reversed, forming a bearish engulfing candle. This reflects profit-taking pressure from intraday bulls. The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating increased volatility, and the price is currently testing the midline (4138.49) as a short-term pivot. The MA5 (4181.73) is crossing below the MA10 (4154.48), forming a short-term bearish crossover, suggesting that gold may consolidate or correct slightly before resuming any uptrend. MACD is showing early signs of divergence, with the histogram turning down after a strong expansion, confirming that momentum is cooling off. 🔴 Resistance levels: 4203–4206 / 4215–4230 🟢 Support levels: 4150–4155 / 4130–4138 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4200–4210 and shows resistance, consider taking light short positions, targeting 4150–4130, with a stop loss above 4220. 🔰 If gold drops to 4130–4140 and stabilizes, consider taking long positions, targeting 4180–4200. 📈 Summary: Gold remains in a broader bullish structure, but short-term charts indicate correction pressure after the surge to 4206. In the near term, focus on the 4100–4210 range. Adopt a “sell high, buy low” approach — wait for retracement confirmation before entering new positions, and avoid chasing price near resistance levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | 12 November 2025🔹 Momentum • D1: The daily momentum has completed its upward phase, indicating that we may expect a bearish wave to bring the D1 momentum back to the oversold zone. • H4: The H4 momentum is currently preparing to turn upward, suggesting a potential bullish move lasting 4–5 H4 candles before the next larger decline. • H1: The H1 momentum is also about to turn upward, implying that a short-term rally could begin from the current levels. 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: On the daily chart, price remains within wave (4) yellow. We expect a downward move aligned with D1 momentum, lasting 4–5 daily candles, to complete this corrective wave. • H4: On the H4 chart, price is currently inside wave X (purple). As H4 momentum approaches the oversold zone while price continues to move sideways, it suggests that one more upward leg may occur to complete wave X. • H1: On the H1 chart, price has already formed a 3-wave correction, which I mentioned in yesterday’s update. Currently, wave 4 (red) is forming, and once price breaks above the top of wave 3 (red), wave 5 (red) will be confirmed. 🎯 Wave 5 (red) is expected to target the 4200 zone, which is our primary Sell Zone. If price breaks above 4145 and RSI forms a lower high compared to RSI at wave 3, this will create a bearish RSI divergence, confirming that wave 5 is forming — a good opportunity to look for Sell setups. However, if price breaks below the bottom of wave 4 (red), it may indicate a truncated wave 5, which would trigger strong selling pressure and lead to a sharp, steep decline. 📈 Trading Plan • Sell Zone: 4199 – 4201 • Stop Loss: 4215 • Take Profit 1: 4145 • Take Profit 2: 4046 • Take Profit 3: 3932
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Defends $4100 As Senate Works to Resolve Shutdown .Dollar Index consolidates Above 200 Day SMA 99.00 .Global stock Indices show resilience on optimism on US shutdown. .Markets count on rate cut by Fed in early next year. .Global economic concerns continue to boost Gold demand. What's Going on in Gold? Recent drop in Gold prices reaching $4097 has witnessed mild recovery which faces hurdle at $4145 as global stock indices show resilience in the backdrop of optimism on the US Senate working on a possible resolution to the longest government shutdown in the US history stretching to 42 days. The demand for the greenback shows some limited recovery as the dollar index consolidates above 200 day SMA 99.00 Fundamental Drivers: US Senate votes to end the longest shutdown. Dollar Index shows mild recovery above 99.00 Markets expect interest rate cut in early next year though Fed officials maintain neutrality. Central Banks, especially China and Mid East, continue Gold purchases. Safe haven demand continues in consistent manner. Investors position for future inflation hedging. Technical Drivers: Price stability above psychological handle of $4100 Bulls defending 5 Day EMA $4090, the first line of defence. 4 Hour RSI reading at 62, still room for extension towards next leg higher before overbought conditions appear. Immediate hurdle sits at $4145 above which $4155 is next challenge. Immediate support sits at $4118-$4115 below which $4100 my be exposed. What's Next High Probability Scenario: Prevailing price stability above immediate support $4118-$4115 favours further upside on strong break above descending trend line resistance dynamically positioned at $4143-$4145 which next requires clear break above $4153-$4155 to advance towards next target $4193 which aligns with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of correction from $4381 record high to $3886 low
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
Candle Patterns Understanding the Basics of a Candlestick Each candlestick represents the price movement of an asset within a specific time period — it could be one minute, one hour, one day, or even one week. A candlestick consists of four main components: Open – the price at which the asset started trading for the period. Close – the price at which the asset finished trading for that period. High – the highest price reached during the period. Low – the lowest price reached during the period. The body (the thick part of the candle) shows the range between the open and close prices. If the close is higher than the open, the candle is bullish (usually green or white). If the close is lower than the open, it’s bearish (usually red or black). The thin lines above and below the body are called wicks or shadows, showing the highest and lowest traded prices.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAU/USD – Price Accumulating in a Narrow Range, Ready to Expand⏰ Timeframe: 30m 📅 Update: 11/12/2025 🔍 Market Context Gold maintains a neutral structure after forming a Change of Character (CHoCH) around the 4,144 USD area. Yesterday's session witnessed a narrow fluctuation between the Demand Zone – Support Zone, indicating the market is absorbing liquidity before determining the next direction. The medium-term upward momentum remains unbroken, but the price needs a clear balancing phase before continuation. 📊 Technical Structure Demand Zone (4,144 USD): a short-term supply – demand area where the market previously reacted strongly, now becoming a potential testing zone. Support Zone (4,099 USD): confluence structure – an area where buying flows may return when the price retests. Order Block (4,081 USD): a deep defensive zone, corresponding to the main Discount area in the current cycle. Equal Lows (EQL) & CHoCH: indicate a short-term transition between two sides, but the overall bias slightly leans towards an increase. 🎯 Market Outlook High probability scenario for the day: 1️⃣ Price may fluctuate within the 4,099–4,144 USD balance zone to attract liquidity. 2️⃣ If a strong reaction occurs from the Support Zone or Order Block, gold may establish a new upward move towards 4,165–4,180 USD. 3️⃣ Conversely, if the price closes below 4,081 USD, the short-term structure will temporarily shift to neutral, prioritizing a re-accumulation phase. 🧠 Analyst’s View Current price behavior reflects a “pause phase” in the larger upward structure. When the market balances at lower levels, the key observation is not the bounce, but the reaction when liquidity is swept — where the true momentum of the trend is reignited. As long as the price does not break the 4,081 USD mark, the medium-term upward trend remains intact. 🛡️ Risk Note This is a technical analysis, not investment advice. The market can change rapidly during US sessions – wait for clear confirmation from price action before participating.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Goldscale-Capital
XAUUSD H1 – Double Tap Liquidity & Reentry Setup🕊️ Market Context Gold just delivered a beautiful liquidity sweep from the highs at 4148, after multiple CHoCH–BMS transitions confirmed structural bullish intent. We are now seeing price forming equal lows, tapping the buy zone (4090–4085) — a clean H1 demand block aligned with the 0.618 retracement. 💎 Technical Analysis (SMC Perspective) Structure: Higher-timeframe structure remains bullish, following multiple BMS breaks to the upside. Current pullback is corrective — a typical liquidity sweep to rebalance inefficiency. BUY ZONE: 4090 – 4085 (SL 4080) → H1 Demand (OB) + 0.618 Fib confluence. → Watching for M15 CHoCH confirmation before entering long. Target: 4148 → Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) resting above previous highs — likely magnet for the next push. 🪶 Trading Plan I’ll wait patiently for a clean sweep + M15 confirmation around 4085–4090 to re-enter long. As long as price respects 4080, my bias remains bullish, targeting the next BSL @ 4148. No trade if price fails to confirm on lower timeframe — patience over impulse. 💛 💭 Karina’s Note This setup perfectly reflects the essence of SMC — liquidity engineering before continuation. It’s not about catching every move; it’s about aligning with the story the market is telling. This is my personal view based on SMC principles – not financial advice. ✨ Like & Follow for daily London session updates ✨
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Karina_ilina
Gold H1 – 5-Wave Complete Amid Fed Rate Hopes & Dollar Rebound🟡 XAUUSD – Elliott Wave Intraday Outlook | 12/11 | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Elliott Wave Context Gold appears to have completed a clear 5-wave impulsive advance on the H1 chart, with wave 5 reaching into the premium zone around 4,149–4,151. Concurrently, macro news is supporting bullion: weaker US labour data and rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut have bolstered safe-haven flows. Now price is retracing from the highs, suggesting that a classic corrective ABC sequence may be forming. 🔎 Technical Breakdown (Wave Structure) • Wave 1: Initiation rally from ~3,965 • Wave 2: Shallow pull-back to near ~4,000 • Wave 3: Strong impulse past ~4,080 → extended • Wave 4: Controlled correction holding trend-line support • Wave 5: Final push topping near ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE) With the 5-wave impulse complete, the market is likely shifting into: Wave A → bear leg Wave B → corrective rebound Wave C → deeper decline 📉 Expected Elliott Wave Path (ABC) Wave A projection: • Likely break below the 2-4 trend-line • First reaction zone: ~4,081 (Fibonacci 0.382) • Main downside target: ~4,059 (BUY ZONE) Wave B projection: • Corrective rebound toward either ~4,108 or ~4,149 (upper premium) Wave C projection: • Key downside targets: o ~4,037 (Fibo 0.618) o ~4,025–4,010 (trend-line support) Wave C often equals Wave A in length → aligns with ~4,059 zone for potential cycle end. Intraday Trade Plan (Elliott-based) Scenario 1 – SELL the corrective wave (A–B–C) Preferred strategy given completed impulse. Entry: After H1 candle breaks below 2-4 trend-line, or on Wave B retest into ~4,149–4,151 (SELL ZONE) Stop Loss: Above wave-5 high: ~4,155 Take Profit zones: • TP1: ~4,081 • TP2: ~4,059 • TP3: ~4,037 Scenario 2 – BUY only if correction invalidates If gold refuses to break the 2-4 trend-line and pushes above ~4,155 → wave 5 may extend. Entry: Above ~4,155 SL: ~4,149 TP: ~4,175–4,200 📌 Summary For 12/11, gold has completed a textbook 5-wave impulse and is now ripe for a corrective ABC pattern. With macro forces (Fed rate-cut expectations, weaker dollar) providing backdrop, the highest-probability trade is to sell the Wave B retest and ride Wave C toward deeper support near ~4,059. Stay patient, let the structure confirm the impulse → correction transition before committing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChloeTrader
XAU/USD – Gold Maintains Bullish Structure, Monitor FVG 4,060📊 Market Structure After completing the structure break (ChoCH + BoS) at the 4,080 USD zone, gold has sustained a strong upward momentum and created Equal High 4,140 – 4,145 USD , corresponding with the short-term resistance Order Block . Currently, the price is technically reacting in this area, indicating short-term profit-taking pressure from buyers after a prolonged rally. The H1 structure remains bullish as the main support zones have not been broken. A potential scenario is that the price will adjust to FVG zones or support to absorb liquidity before bouncing towards the Liquidity Zone 4,197 USD — the upper liquidity peak. 💎 Key Technical Zones • OB & Resistance: 4,127 – 4,140 USD • Support Zone: 4,104 – 4,107 USD • FVG Zone #1: 4,060 – 4,067 USD • FVG Zone #2: 4,031 – 4,037 USD • Liquidity Target: 4,197 USD 🎯 Trading Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Pullback Scalping If the price reacts sharply downward at the OB zone 4,127 – 4,140 USD: • Entry: 4,132 – 4,137 • SL: 4,150 • TP1: 4,104 • TP2: 4,067 → Short-term trade, leveraging the pullback to the support zone to prepare for the next BUY setup. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – Continuation When the price completes its adjustment to the FVG or Support Zone and a bullish signal appears (rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 4,067 or 4,037 • SL: 4,020 • TP1: 4,140 • TP2: 4,197 • TP3: 4,210 → Main setup in the current trend. Prioritize buying at the discount zone after sufficient liquidity is absorbed at the lower zone. 🧠 Vincent’s View The H1 structure remains buyer-favored. Current adjustments are technical, not reversals. The FVG zone around 4,060 USD is a key point to observe price behavior — if a clear reaction occurs, this could be the starting point for the next upward wave to 4,197 USD . “Liquidity fuels the next move — let the market breathe before the impulse.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 11/12/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAU/USD – Tug of War Before CPI: Sideway or Breakout? 1. MARKET CONTEXT The US government reopens after a 40-day shutdown (a historic record). Investors are on the sidelines observing ahead of tomorrow's CPI announcement → the market is likely to sideway awaiting news. 2. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–M30) Main fluctuation range: 4097–4148 Break 4097 → adjust deeply to 407x – 403x Break 4148 → trigger short-term increase, target 418x – 4205 Decision zone: 4097 & 4148 3. TRADING PLAN 🎯 Main strategy: Trade within the range (Sideway) → “Buy low – Sell high” according to support/resistance zones RR ratio: 1:1 – 1:2 | SL: 10 points | TP: 10–20 points BUY zone: 4097–4100 (strong support) → TP 4110–4120 Buy scalp: 4120–4124 → TP 4140–4145 Buy swing: 407x / 403x (if there is a candle reaction) SELL zone: 4145–4147 → TP 4125–4100 If break 415x & retest, switch to Buy breakout → Entry 4140–4145 | TP 416x–418x–4205 4. SUMMARY Main trend: Sideway awaiting CPI news Strategy: “Break whichever range, trade that range” Focus zones: Upper range: 414x (Sell) Lower range: 4095–4100 (Buy)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Chum_trades
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; await correction to 4090/4041 – break 4145 to confirm further rise Quick context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Price is moving within an upward channel, hitting the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, not forming a lower low yet. To confirm the continuation of the uptrend, a break of 4145 is needed; otherwise, prioritise the technical correction scenario towards liquidity zones. Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci) Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Holding the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid. Liquidity & FVG: Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing direction. Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if deep correction occurs. Main resistance: 4130–4135 (retest of channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears). Main support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive point for buyers. Trading Scenarios (optimised for mobile reading) Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority) Entry: 4084–4086 SL: 4078 TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160 Suggestion: Wait for rejection candle at 4090 or M15 reversal signal before entry. Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R) Entry: 4041–4043 SL: 4036 TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120 Suggestion: Prioritise when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick. Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend) Entry: 4130–4132 SL: 4138 TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060 Note: Quick scalp only; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145. Bonus – Sell scalp 4200 Condition: Clear rejection on smaller timeframe. SL: above the nearest recent high. Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145. Risk Management & Invalidation Short-term bullish bias remains valid if price holds above 4085–4090. H2 closes above 4145 → prioritise buying on breakout, limit all sell orders. H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020. Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average against the trend. Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025 📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution 🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection 🟡 MARKET CONTEXT: Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place. The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation. 🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997) BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness. Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas: • 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket • 3957–3955 → main intraday demand • 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone 🎯 TRADING PLAN: SELL Setup • Entry: 3995 – 3997 • Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3970 / 3968 • Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation BUY Setup • Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive) • Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3988 / 3995 • Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS 📊 BIAS: Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend. Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel