Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
GOLD trade ideas
Weekly Candle Closes High | Prioritise Buying on Pullback to Sup🟡 XAU/USD – 22/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Quick Overview
Last week, gold closed around 3,685, paving the way for further advancement and a new ATH.
After the FED cut 25bps, Powell's 'brake' remarks slowed the rise, but the larger trend remains bullish.
This morning, prices surged to 3,697.xx, now slightly adjusting around 3,692 – 3,690 → a sensible strategy: wait for a pullback to continue Buying.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: The gold voyage still heads North, Buying remains the main choice, but wait for a pullback to board.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone):
Thin support: ~3,698 (recently broken old range top).
OB Dock: 3,687 – 3,690.
FVG Dock: 3,672 – 3,676 (liquidity check on deep pullback).
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone):
3,714 – 3,720 (supply cluster / old ATH – likely to react).
Price Structure:
Continuous BoS series, price breaks short-term up channel and creates higher highs → bullish remains the main trend.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trading Plan (before US session)
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,698 – 3,701
SL: 3,688
TP: 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,720+
Buy Zone 2 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,690
SL: 3,680
TP: 3,698 – 3,706 – 3,714 – 3,72x
Buy Zone 3 (FVG)
Entry: 3,672 – 3,676
SL: 3,664
TP: 3,687 – 3,706 – 3,714
⚡ Sell (only scalp when overbought)
Sell Zone (ATH test)
Entry: 3,740 – 3,738
SL: 3,750
TP: 3,730 – 3,690 – 3,695
Captain’s Note ⚓
“The new week kicks off with a high-closing candle, the gold vessel continues its bullish course. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,690 – 3,672) is a safe anchorage for the crew to watch for Buys. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,714 – 3,720) is the wave crest where winds may rise, suitable for Quick Boarding 🚤 short scalps. Before the US session, the seas might get choppy – hold the helm tight and manage volume wisely.”
XAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market InsightsXAUUSD Forecast – Gold Price Action and Market Insights
Gold is showing signs of stabilization after recent fluctuations, with price consolidating around the mid-range levels. The chart highlights repeated sequences of structural breaks and shifts, indicating that liquidity has been actively swept on both the buy and sell side.
The latest market move shows a controlled decline, followed by an attempt to absorb selling pressure. Current positioning suggests the possibility of a short-term liquidity grab to the downside, which could fuel a stronger recovery leg in the sessions ahead.
The projected outlook favors a scenario where buyers regain momentum, aiming to retest the upper price zones. If this momentum develops, the market may establish a renewed upward leg in alignment with the broader bullish cycle observed across higher timeframes.
From a macro perspective, gold continues to be supported by demand for safe-haven assets amid ongoing global financial uncertainty and shifting monetary policies. This backdrop enhances the probability of gold sustaining its mid-term bullish trajectory despite temporary corrective phases.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on (18/09/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 3659
If price stay below 3680, then next target 3640,3620 and above that 3700
Plan;If price break 3659-3665 area, and stay below 3660, we will place sell order in gold with target of 3640 and 3620 & stop loss should be placed at 3700
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION 16.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Buy Projection (16.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of the key points from your analysis:
🔹 Chart Analysis
Support & Resistance
Support S1: Around 3678 zone.
Minor Resistance Breaked: Price broke above the 3680 resistance area.
Resistance R1 (ATH): Around 3692 – 3696 area.
Entry & Stoploss
Current price: 3683.63
Stoploss: Below 3676 level.
Risk Zone (Red Area): Price should not break below this zone for the buy setup to remain valid.
Target Levels
Target Price 1: ~3688
Target Price 2: ~3692–3696
Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator (top indicator):
Showing a bullish crossover (green line crossing above red), suggesting upward momentum.
RSI (bottom indicator):
Turning upward from 64.47, showing renewed buying pressure.
🔹 Projection
The setup is bullish with expected upward movement from 3683 → 3692 → 3696+.
The chart suggests a possible pullback and continuation before reaching higher targets.
As long as 3680 support holds, momentum favors the upside.
XAUUSD-UPCOMING PROBALBE DIRECTIONAL ANALYSIS1. We can see a retracement in XAUUSD upto retesting area.
2. Also the move take more time as compaired to previous uptrend, means we can't see clear downtrend here.
3. The lines marked at chart are the characters of the trend, means we can see a bit candle which cross the line.
4. The characters are:
1.Minor character-3692.290
2. Major Characters-3547.005, 3581.210,3546.050 & 3478.350.
Gold Rebounds Within Upward Channel – Eyes on $3,700+Gold (XAUUSD) is holding inside its upward channel on the 1H timeframe, bouncing strongly off the lower boundary near $3,640. The bullish structure remains intact as long as price respects channel support, keeping $3,700+ in play.
Technical Setup:
Price continues to trend within a rising channel since early September.
The recent dip tested the lower band near $3,640, where buyers stepped back in.
Current price action shows momentum building toward the channel midpoint (~$3,680).
A decisive breakout above $3,685–3,700 could trigger further upside toward $3,720–3,740.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,640, $3,610, $3,600
Resistance: $3,685, $3,700, $3,720–3,740
Takeaway:
Gold’s trend remains bullish while holding above $3,640. A push above $3,700 confirms bullish continuation toward $3,720–3,740. A close below $3,640 shifts bias bearish toward $3,600.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TradingStrategy
PCR Trading Strategies1. Strategic Approaches to Options Trading
Options strategies can be simple or complex, depending on the trader’s risk tolerance, market outlook, and capital. These strategies are categorized into basic, intermediate, and advanced levels.
1.1. Basic Strategies
Buying Calls and Puts: Simple directional trades.
Protective Puts: Hedging against portfolio declines.
Covered Calls: Generating income from existing holdings.
1.2. Intermediate Strategies
Spreads: Simultaneous buying and selling of options to limit risk and reward.
Vertical Spread: Buying and selling options of the same type with different strike prices.
Horizontal/Calendar Spread: Exploiting differences in time decay by using options of the same strike but different expiration dates.
Diagonal Spread: Combining vertical and horizontal spreads for strategic positioning.
Collars: Combining protective puts and covered calls to limit both upside and downside.
1.3. Advanced Strategies
Iron Condor: Selling an out-of-the-money call and put while buying further OTM options to limit risk, profiting from low volatility.
Butterfly Spread: Exploiting low volatility by using three strike prices to maximize gains near the middle strike.
Ratio Spreads and Backspreads: Advanced plays to profit from skewed market expectations or strong directional moves.
2. Identifying Option Trading Opportunities
Successful options trading requires analyzing market conditions, volatility, and liquidity. Key factors include:
2.1. Market Direction and Momentum
Use technical indicators (moving averages, RSI, MACD) to gauge trends.
Trade options in alignment with market momentum for directional strategies.
2.2. Volatility Analysis
Historical Volatility (HV): Measures past price fluctuations.
Implied Volatility (IV): Market’s expectation of future volatility.
Opportunities arise when IV is underpriced (buy options) or overpriced (sell options).
2.3. Earnings and Event Plays
Companies’ earnings announcements, product launches, or macroeconomic events create volatility spikes.
Strategies like straddles or strangles are ideal to capitalize on such events.
2.4. Liquidity and Open Interest
Highly liquid options ensure tight spreads and efficient entry/exit.
Monitoring open interest helps identify support/resistance levels and market sentiment.
3. Risk Management in Options Trading
While options offer significant opportunities, risk management is crucial:
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to a small percentage of capital.
Defined-Risk Strategies: Use spreads and collars to control maximum loss.
Stop-Loss Orders: Protect against rapid adverse movements.
Diversification: Trade multiple assets or strategies to reduce concentration risk.
Implied Volatility Awareness: Avoid buying expensive options during volatility spikes unless justified by market events.
GOLD - Breakout / Swept High appear - Where to BUY ? 🟡 OANDA:XAUUSD XAUUSD Daily Plan – September 19, 2025
1. Market Overview
Price is consolidating around 3655 – 3660 after forming a short-term bearish structure.
On H1, several supply & demand zones are highlighted:
Liquidity Buy Zone around 3640 (potential demand).
Imbalance / Supply Zone around 3670 – 3680.
The overall higher-timeframe trend remains bullish, but in the short term, the market is retesting liquidity areas.
2. Key Levels & Zones
Liquidity Buy Zone: 3640 – 3645 → key support.
Sell Scalp Zone / Imbalance: 3670 – 3680 → short-term resistance.
Higher High Target (HH): 3700 – 3710 → strong higher-timeframe resistance.
Longer-term Support: 3620 – 3630.
3. Main Trading Scenarios
🟢 Long Setup (trend-aligned)
Wait for price to retest Liquidity Buy zone 3640 – 3645.
If reversal signals appear (pin bar, engulfing, etc.), consider opening Long.
Targets:
Short-term: 3678 (trendline break retest).
Mid-term: 3700 – 3710 (HH).
🔴 Short Setup (scalp only)
If price retraces into Sell Scalp Zone 3670 – 3680 and shows strong rejection → Short scalp opportunity.
Target: 3640 – 3645.
Note: Short trades are counter-trend, so manage quickly.
4. Trade Management Notes
Prioritize Longs from support zones since the higher-timeframe trend is still bullish.
Shorts should only be seen as short-term scalp opportunities near resistance.
Risk management: limit to 1–2% per trade, avoid holding against the main trend.
📌 Conclusion: XAUUSD is currently testing the descending trendline and resistance area. A successful breakout could target 3700+. Otherwise, the market is likely to revisit 3640 before launching the next bullish leg.
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy Zone
Hello traders,
In the recent sessions, gold has continued to show strong volatility around important liquidity zones and support–resistance levels. The current structure indicates that sellers remain in control in the short term, while buyers are expected to return only if price reaches deeper support areas.
Technical View
Main Resistance: 3670 – 3680, aligning with the FVG zone → key area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A break below could open the way for a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suitable for quick intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, confluence with strong liquidity zone and major support.
MACD Indicator: leaning bearish, with a negative histogram, showing selling pressure still dominant.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (priority)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Buy Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Buy Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing with further declines. Sellers remain in control for now, but deeper support zones will provide potential entry levels for medium-term buyers.
Keep a close watch on these key levels and align your trades with your personal strategy.
Follow along to get the earliest updates whenever market structure changes.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 16-17✅ From the 4-hour chart: Gold formed a high near 3703 and then pulled back, currently trading around 3688. The MA5 and MA10 are turning down, and the price has fallen back below the MA5, showing that short-term bullish momentum has weakened. The MA20 (around 3661) serves as a key support.
The upper Bollinger Band near 3705 is showing strong resistance, and the price has returned to oscillate around the mid-band, indicating that upward momentum is capped. The 4-hour chart suggests weakening bullish momentum, with a potential for consolidation and pullback.
✅ From the 1-hour chart: The MA5 and MA10 are turning downward, creating short-term pressure on the price, while the MA20 around 3687 is providing support.
Gold has broken below the middle Bollinger Band and is oscillating near the lower band, reflecting short-term weakness and the possibility of further testing support. The KDJ has formed a bearish crossover, and the MACD histogram has turned from red to green, showing that short-term bearish momentum is strengthening and there is risk of further downside.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3700–3705 / 3715–3730
🟢 Support levels: 3675–3665 / 3660–3655
📊 Trading Strategy Reference
🔻 Short Setup
● Entry: Sell in batches if gold rebounds to 3695–3700
● Target 1: 3680–3675
● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3665
🔺 Long Setup
● Entry: Buy in batches if gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3670–3675
● Target 1: 3690–3695
● Target 2: If broken, look further toward 3700
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
Gold 1H – Risk of Premium Sweeps Before ReversalOn the 1H timeframe, gold is consolidating after consecutive BOS and ChoCH signals, showing rejection from premium levels. The market is oscillating between the fresh FVG sell zone at 3,673–3,671 and the deep discount support at 3,634–3,636. Liquidity remains positioned above 3,705 and below 3,632, keeping scope for engineered sweeps before a clearer directional move emerges.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 FVG SELL ZONE 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640.
• 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,705 – 3,703 (SL 3,712)
Major premium liquidity trap, likely to precede continuation lower towards 3,690 → 3,675 → 3,660.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,634 – 3,636 (SL 3,627)
Discount demand zone, aiming for recovery towards 3,645 → 3,660 → 3,670 if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – FVG Rejection (3,673–3,671)
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Targets:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,640
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into the FVG before downside extension.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Sweep (3,705–3,703)
• Entry: 3,705 – 3,703
• Stop Loss: 3,712
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,675
TP3: 3,660
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,705 before resuming bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,634–3,636)
• Entry: 3,634 – 3,636
• Stop Loss: 3,627
• Targets:
TP1: 3,645
TP2: 3,660
TP3: 3,670
👉 High risk-reward opportunity if gold defends discount demand; suitable for counter-trend scalps.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains under pressure below 3,673–3,705, favouring short setups into premium sweeps. However, close attention is needed at 3,634–3,636, as buyers may attempt to accumulate and reclaim structure. Best practice: trade smaller lots until the New York session provides confirmation of direction.
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 18, 2025
Momentum
• D1: Currently, D1 momentum is declining, therefore a downward move is likely to extend over the next 4–5 days.
• H4: Momentum is falling, so today we may see further downside to push momentum into the oversold zone before a potential reversal.
• H1: Momentum is still heading down, suggesting the bearish move is likely to continue.
________________________________________
Wave Structure
• D1: With momentum turning lower, it is highly probable that wave v black has completed and price has entered a corrective ABC phase. If this is the case, the correction will likely last for at least more than one week.
• H4: A 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) within wave v black has been completed. The current decline could be wave A of the correction. We need to observe closely to confirm whether wave A is done. Note: during corrective phases, trading becomes more difficult; targets beyond 500 pips are rarely achieved as price tends to overlap. Toward the end of corrections, price often compresses and whipsaws both sides, so trade with smaller positions and manage risk carefully.
• H1:
o Scenario 1: Wave 1 of wave (5) black has formed, and the market is now in wave 2. This scenario is invalidated if price breaks below 3626.
o Scenario 2: Wave v black has already completed with a 5-wave structure. Price is now in a larger corrective phase (i–ii–iii–iv–v black on the D1). In this case, the correction will likely last longer than previous waves ii and iv – an important guide to prepare for an extended bearish or sideways phase.
On H1, the current drop is steep and impulsive, likely part of a 5-wave structure. The recovery was capped at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, which indicates:
• If this is wave 4 of the decline, price will break below 3649, with wave 5 of A projected toward 3632 → Buy zone.
• If price breaks above the minor high at the 38.2% Fibonacci level, it is more likely wave B of an ABC correction. In that case, the upside targets would be 3677 or 3694 → Sell zones.
⚠️ Note: Once price hits one target, the opposite entry setup will be canceled.
________________________________________
Trading Plan
Buy Zone:
• Entry: 3633 – 3630
• SL: 3620
• TP: 3649
Sell Zone 1:
• Entry: 3676 – 3679
• SL: 3686
• TP: 3657
Sell Zone 2:
• Entry: 3693 – 3696
• SL: 3703
• TP: 3677
XAUUSD – Strategic Selling Zone and Detailed Trading ScenarioTechnical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is experiencing a strong upward trend and has now reached the Fibonacci extension zone of 1.618 – 2.618, a region often associated with profit-taking and short-term distribution.
Sell Zone Fibo 2.618 (3,730–3,735): The first potential supply area, if a bearish confirmation candle appears on H1/H4, a corrective phase is likely to commence.
Sell Zone Swing (3,745–3,750): A strong supply zone confluencing with multiple Fibonacci extensions, posing a higher reversal risk.
Short-term Buy Zone (3,690–3,700): An intermediate support area after breaking the previous peak, suitable for short-term buy orders if the price retests and confirms.
Buy Swing (3,645–3,650): The main support zone, confluencing with EMA200 H1 and an old trendline, considered a 'safe buying point' if a deep correction occurs.
The RSI (14) is currently at 77, indicating that the price has entered the overbought territory. Historically, whenever the RSI exceeds 75, a significant correction follows. This serves as a warning signal for traders to consider gradually taking profits on short-term Buy positions and preparing for Sell or Buy scenarios at lower price levels.
Trading Scenario
Scenario 1 – Sell at Supply Zone:
Entry: 3,732–3,735 (Fibo 2.618) or extend to 3,745–3,750 (Sell Zone Swing)
SL: above 3,740
TP1: 3,707
TP2: 3,690–3,700 (Buy Zone)
TP3: 3,661
TP4: 3,645
Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy (regression scalping):
Entry: 3,670–3,700 (after H1 confirmation candle)
SL: below 3,690
TP1: 3,718
TP2: 3,730
Scenario 3 – Long-term Buy Swing:
Entry: 3,645–3,648 (EMA200 + main support zone)
SL: below 3,640
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,707
TP3: 3,730
Price Levels to Watch
3,730–3,750: The strongest current supply zone, suitable for a Sell scenario based on Fibonacci extensions.
3,690–3,700: Short-term Buy Zone, a crucial retest area to confirm the trend.
3,661: An intermediate level, if breached, could lead to a decline towards EMA200.
3,645: Potential Buy Swing, the main support of the upward structure.
Overall Assessment
The main trend on H1 remains upward; however, the current price level has entered the overbought zone, indicating a likely correction towards support before continuing the trend.
The most suitable strategy at this time: Monitor for short-term Sell opportunities at the supply zone – take profits at the support zone, then wait for Buy Swing at lower levels to follow the main trend.
XAUUSD - Flag PatternWhats your take on Guys.
#Institutions Consolidation going on - #Accumulation or #Distribution.
Kind of #Triangle #pattern in formation, ##Flagpattern. DO your analysis, Enter trade on Breakout and confirmation side. Trade with #confluence. i would say accumulate at bottom of pattern with SL and Participate in full swing before #Breakout.
Gold Nears Peak: Fed Cuts & Tensions Fuel Indian Trades!Namaste, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) bounced from an early Asian dip at $3,626-$3,627 on Monday (15/09/2025), staying strong near record highs as weak US labor data locks in a 100% chance of a 0.25% Fed rate cut on 17/09, with two more expected in October and December (CME FedWatch). Geopolitical sparks—Ukraine hitting Russian energy and Iran pushing Qatar to counter Israel—make gold a top pick for Indian traders on MCX. With big central bank moves this week, let’s dive into the market and spot trading setups! 💰
Fundamental Analysis: Gold Shines for Indian Investors 🌟
Fed Rate Cut Fever: Weak US jobs (surging claims, 911,000 jobs revised down) keep USD near its 24/07 low and Treasury yields soft, driving gold’s 39% YTD rally—perfect for INR portfolios. The Fed’s set for three rate cuts in 2025, starting 17/09.
Geopolitical Boost: Ukraine’s energy strikes on Russia, US pushing NATO sanctions, and Iran’s missile talk in Qatar ahead of the Arab-Islamic summit fuel gold’s safe-haven demand. China’s relaxed gold import rules add more bullish vibes for MCX traders!
Key Events: Watch Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments (17/09), Bank of Canada, Bank of England (18/09), and Bank of Japan (19/09) decisions. Soft CPI and labor data mean dips are buying opportunities—don’t miss out!
Technical Analysis: Sideways Near Highs – Buy Dips 📉
Gold’s consolidating in a wide sideways range on M30, H1, H2 around 3650. If Fed news triggers a sharp drop, FVG zones (3608-3598) are prime for buying. Watch volume to confirm entries and dodge liquidity traps near round levels.
Resistance: 3646 - 3655 - 3666
Support: 3623 - 3615 - 3608 - 3598
Trade Setups (Tight RR):
Buy Scalp:
Range: 3623 - 3621
SL: 3617
TP: 3626 - 3631 - 3636 - 3641
Buy Zone:
Range: 3608 - 3606
SL: 3598
TP: 3616 - 3626 - 3636 - 3646
Sell Scalp:
Range: 3654 - 3656
SL: 3660
TP: 3651 - 3646 - 3641 - 3636
Sell Zone:
Range: 3665 - 3667
SL: 3675
TP: 3657 - 3647 - 3637 - 3627
Gold’s holding near highs—beware liquidity traps around Fed news! Above 3623, bulls aim for new highs; below, test 3608/3598. Indian traders, keep risk tight with central bank volatility ahead! Buy dips or sell highs? Share your MCX strategies below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #GoldTrading #IndiaTrading #MCX #Geopolitics #CentralBanks
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL PROJECTION 15.09.25XAUUSD/Gold 1H Sell Projection (15.09.25). Here’s a structured breakdown of what the chart indicates:
🔎 Chart Analysis
Entry Zone: Around 3646 – 3647 (confluence of trendline + 0.618 Fibonacci retracement = "Golden Ratio").
Stop Loss: Around 3653.16 (above trendline & key resistance).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1 (Support S1): Around 3639 – 3640
TP2 (Support S2): Around 3630 – 3631
🧭 Trade Idea (Sell Bias)
Reasoning:
Price has rejected the descending trendline resistance.
Confluence with Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level (3647).
Bearish projection towards support zones.
📌 Summary
Setup: Short/Sell
Entry Zone: 3646 – 3647
Stop Loss: 3653
Target 1: 3640
Target 2: 3630
XAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for ConfirmationXAUUSD – Pennant Pattern Waiting for Confirmation
Hello Traders,
Gold started the week with a strong bounce of nearly 20 dollars after testing the ascending trendline. This move further confirms the Pennant Flag formation that is currently in play. The key now is to wait for a clear breakout from this structure to position trades effectively.
Bullish Scenario
A break above the upper trendline, with confirmation ideally above 3657, would signal continuation of the uptrend.
Best entry: around 3650, targeting 3680 in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
The 3627 level is critical. A breakdown below this zone, along with a close under nearby support, would validate the bearish case.
Traders can either enter directly on the break or wait for a retest around 3630 for a cleaner entry.
Downside targets could extend to 356x or even lower.
Medium-Term Buy Setup
The 3560 – 3564 zone remains an attractive area, aligning with an FVG and strong volume accumulation.
This is a medium-term buying opportunity, with stop-loss placed below 3544.
Requires larger account size (above $1000) due to wider stop distance, but offers higher reward potential while aligning with the broader bullish trend.
This is my outlook for gold today. Traders can take it as a reference and align it with their own setups.
If you trade gold regularly, you can follow me here and join my community to receive updates quickly when the price action changes.
👉 Wishing everyone a profitable and disciplined trading week with Gold.
5 Defensive & Growth Sectors Perfect for Dip Buying1. Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare
Why It’s Defensive
Healthcare is a necessity, not a luxury. People need medicines, hospitals, and diagnostic services regardless of economic conditions. That’s why pharma and healthcare stocks are considered defensive – they remain resilient even during recessions, global slowdowns, or financial crises.
For example, during the COVID-19 crash of March 2020, while many sectors collapsed, pharma stocks quickly recovered and even surged due to global demand for medicines, vaccines, and hospital services.
Why It’s Growth-Oriented
Rising global healthcare spending: Aging populations in developed countries and increasing middle-class income in emerging markets boost demand.
Innovation in biotech & generics: Indian pharma companies are global leaders in generic drugs and are expanding into biosimilars, CRAMS (Contract Research and Manufacturing Services), and specialty medicines.
Telemedicine & digital health: Healthcare is undergoing digital transformation, creating new growth avenues.
Dip Buying Opportunities
Pharma stocks often face sharp corrections due to regulatory concerns, USFDA observations, or temporary pricing pressures. These dips are usually opportunities because:
Core demand for healthcare doesn’t vanish.
Once regulatory issues are resolved, stocks bounce back strongly.
Defensive nature ensures limited downside risk.
Example: Sun Pharma, Dr. Reddy’s, and Cipla often correct 15–20% due to quarterly margin pressures, but these are great accumulation zones for long-term investors.
Investment Strategy
Focus on large-cap pharma for stability and mid-cap specialty companies for higher growth.
Accumulate in phases during 10–20% marketwide corrections.
Diversify across hospitals, diagnostics, and pharma manufacturing for balanced exposure.
2. FMCG (Fast-Moving Consumer Goods)
Why It’s Defensive
FMCG companies sell essentials – food, beverages, personal care, and household products. Even in recessions, people continue buying soaps, biscuits, and packaged goods. This makes FMCG stocks highly resilient.
Historically, FMCG stocks like Hindustan Unilever (HUL), Nestlé, and Dabur have delivered steady returns regardless of market cycles. Their low volatility and strong brand loyalty make them classic defensive plays.
Why It’s Growth-Oriented
Rural consumption growth: Government spending on infrastructure and rising rural incomes increase demand for everyday goods.
Premiumization: Consumers are upgrading from basic to premium products.
Export opportunities: Many Indian FMCG firms are expanding into Southeast Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.
E-commerce & D2C channels: Online retail is boosting FMCG distribution and margins.
Dip Buying Opportunities
FMCG stocks rarely see sharp falls, but when markets correct heavily, they too trade at attractive valuations. These dips are perfect to accumulate:
High dividend yields add to returns.
Sector is less affected by inflation and currency swings.
Low-beta nature reduces portfolio volatility.
Example: ITC was ignored for years due to regulatory risks in its cigarette business, but patient investors who accumulated during dips saw multi-fold returns once FMCG growth kicked in.
Investment Strategy
Look for market leaders with strong distribution networks.
FMCG works best for long-term compounding, so use SIP-style accumulation.
Mix large brands (HUL, Nestlé) with emerging challengers (Marico, Emami).
3. Information Technology (IT) & Digital Services
Why It’s Defensive
At first glance, IT may not seem defensive, but global outsourcing and digitization trends provide resilience. Indian IT companies like TCS, Infosys, and HCL Tech derive a majority of revenues from recurring service contracts with global clients, ensuring steady cash flows.
Even during global slowdowns, IT spending often shifts from discretionary projects to cost-saving digital initiatives – keeping demand steady.
Why It’s Growth-Oriented
Digital transformation: Cloud computing, AI, data analytics, and cybersecurity are high-growth areas.
Global outsourcing demand: Companies worldwide seek cost efficiency, benefiting Indian IT firms.
New-age verticals: FinTech, healthtech, and e-commerce drive additional IT services demand.
High free cash flow: IT majors regularly return cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.
Dip Buying Opportunities
IT is cyclical and often corrects sharply when:
The US or Europe signals a slowdown.
Clients cut IT budgets temporarily.
Currency fluctuations impact quarterly results.
But these dips are ideal for accumulation because long-term demand for digitization is irreversible.
Example: During 2022, IT stocks corrected 30–40% due to global slowdown fears. Investors who accumulated Infosys and TCS during the correction are sitting on solid gains as digital spending picked up again.
Investment Strategy
Large-caps for stability (TCS, Infosys).
Mid-cap IT for higher growth (LTIMindtree, Persistent Systems).
Accumulate during 20–30% corrections in IT index.
Avoid chasing small-cap IT unless fundamentals are strong.
4. Banking & Financial Services
Why It’s Defensive
Banking is the backbone of any economy. Regardless of cycles, credit, deposits, and payments continue. In India, the financialization of savings and increasing credit penetration make banking a structural growth story.
Defensive elements include:
Strong regulatory framework by RBI.
Essential role in supporting all other industries.
Diversification across retail, corporate, and digital lending.
Why It’s Growth-Oriented
Credit expansion: India’s credit-to-GDP ratio is still low compared to global averages, leaving massive room for growth.
Digital finance: UPI, fintech partnerships, and mobile banking expand customer reach.
Insurance & asset management: BFSI sector is diversifying into wealth management and insurance.
Consolidation: Strong banks gain market share when weaker NBFCs or PSU banks face stress.
Dip Buying Opportunities
Banking stocks are volatile due to:
Rising interest rate cycles.
NPA concerns.
Global macroeconomic risks.
But dips often reverse quickly because banking demand is long-term.
Example: In 2020, HDFC Bank corrected sharply due to lockdown fears, but within a year, it made new highs as loan growth revived. Similarly, SBI’s turnaround post-2018 NPA cycle rewarded patient investors.
Investment Strategy
Private banks (HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank) for stability.
Select PSU banks (SBI, Bank of Baroda) during dip cycles.
NBFCs like Bajaj Finance for higher growth.
Accumulate gradually since BFSI can be volatile.
5. Energy & Power (with Renewable Focus)
Why It’s Defensive
Energy is a basic necessity. Industries, households, and transportation all rely on it. Demand for electricity, fuel, and energy infrastructure rarely collapses, making this sector defensive.
Why It’s Growth-Oriented
Renewable revolution: Solar, wind, and green hydrogen are the future, creating massive growth opportunities.
Government push: India targets net-zero emissions by 2070, meaning long-term policy support.
Rising demand: India’s power consumption grows consistently with urbanization and industrialization.
Energy diversification: Companies are shifting from traditional coal-based power to renewables, ensuring sustainability.
Dip Buying Opportunities
Energy and power stocks often correct due to:
Regulatory tariff changes.
Fuel cost fluctuations.
Global crude oil price swings.
But long-term demand remains intact, making dips valuable entry points.
Example: NTPC and Tata Power corrected during coal price hikes but bounced back as renewable capacity additions boosted valuations.
Investment Strategy
Balance between traditional leaders (NTPC, Power Grid) and renewable-focused players (Adani Green, Tata Power).
Accumulate during dips linked to global crude swings.
Long-term horizon needed, as renewable projects take time to scale.
How to Approach Dip Buying in These Sectors
Phased Buying: Don’t invest all at once. Break your investment into tranches and buy during market-wide or sector-specific corrections.
Valuation Discipline: Even defensive sectors can be overvalued. Wait for P/E multiples to come back to reasonable levels.
Diversification: Spread investments across all five sectors to balance risk and growth.
Use ETFs/Mutual Funds: If stock-picking is tough, sectoral ETFs or actively managed funds provide easier access.
Stay Patient: Dip buying works when you hold through recovery cycles. Avoid panic selling.
Conclusion
Market dips are uncomfortable but essential for building wealth. Instead of fearing corrections, smart investors use them to accumulate quality sectors. The five sectors we discussed – Pharma & Healthcare, FMCG, IT & Digital Services, Banking & Financials, and Energy with Renewables – combine the best of both worlds: resilience during downturns and strong growth potential during expansions.
By adopting a disciplined dip-buying approach, investors can build a portfolio that not only weathers volatility but also compounds steadily over time. Remember, corrections are temporary, but the growth stories of these defensive sectors are structural and long-term.
If you position yourself well, every market dip can become your wealth-building opportunity.
XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS ON (11/09/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 3636
If price stay below 3660, then next target 3600,3680 and above that 3700
Plan;If price break 3640-3648 area, and stay below 3640, we will place sell order in gold with target of 3600 and 3580 & stop loss should be placed at 3660
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)