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GOLD trade ideas

XAUUSD| Unstoppable Uptrend, Gold Benefits from Fed & ETF Inflow📊 Market Context Gold continues to maintain its upward trend amidst the political and economic instability in the US. The US government has entered its second week of shutdown with no signs of reaching an agreement, raising further concerns about the impact on economic performance. Simultaneously, the Fed's entry into a monetary easing cycle since September, with expectations of further 25-point rate cuts in October and December, is driving strong buying momentum in gold. Not just investors, but global central banks are also continuing to accumulate gold, adding 15 tonnes to reserves, indicating a gradual shift away from US public debt. All these factors combined continue to reinforce a sustainable upward trend, opening up opportunities for strategic BUY moves. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Prices remain within the upward channel, continuously retesting and bouncing off support zones. Buy Scalp Zone 4004–4002: a quick reaction zone in the short term. Main Buy Zone 3986–3984: key support, combined with FVG. Target Resistance: 4068–4082 (Liquidity Zone). 📈 Trading Plan ✅ BUY SCALP: 4004–4002 SL: 3996 TP: 4008 - 4012 - 4016 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ✅ BUY ZONE: 3986–3984 SL: 3980 TP: 3990 - 3995 - 4000 - 4010 - 4020 - 4030 - 4040 - ???? ⚠️ Risk Management Note The 4000 level is a psychological resistance – prone to liquidity sweeps. Prioritise waiting for clear price action signals at BUY zones. Adjust volume sensibly as volatility may increase with political news & Fed impacts on market sentiment. ✅ Summary Gold's uptrend remains solid thanks to political instability, Fed easing, record ETF inflows, and central banks continuing to hoard gold. Strategy prioritises BUY at 4004–4002 and 3986–3984 with targets aiming at 4068–4082.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028 Hello traders, Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD) Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060. Current Structure: The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel. The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge. An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5. Key Liquidity Zones: Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C). Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough). Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation). Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders). 🎯 New Week Trading Scenario 📉 Short-term Sell This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone. 📍 Entry: 4033 🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak) 🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850) 📈 Long-term Buy This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio. 📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone) 🛑 SL: 3970 🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150 🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation) If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail. Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976. 🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact. US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven. Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up. 📌 Conclusion Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high. Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL. Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R). I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience. 👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 6, 2025) ________________________________________ 🔹 1. Momentum D1 Timeframe • Daily momentum is currently declining, with both lines starting to converge inside the overbought zone. • Today is a critical day: o If the daily candle closes strongly bullish, price may extend the upside for another 2–3 days. o If the daily candle closes bearish, momentum will continue to decline, suggesting the correction may extend further. ➡️ Therefore, today’s daily close will be important to determine the mid–term trend direction. H4 Timeframe • H4 momentum lines are stuck together in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal could happen at any moment. H1 Timeframe • H1 momentum is turning upward, but since it’s already near the overbought area, the current push may not be sustainable. ➡️ A short-term pullback is likely to occur within the next 1–2 H1 candles. ________________________________________ 🔹 2. Wave Structure D1 Timeframe • On the daily chart, price has broken above 3877, which is the second target of the yellow wave 5. • Given the strong move, this could simply be a liquidity sweep, not necessarily the end of wave 5 yet. ➡️ We need to observe the daily close to confirm whether momentum continues to weaken or stabilizes. H4 Timeframe • After a 3-wave ABC correction (in blue), the price is now moving within purple wave 5. • Based on the current price channel, two possible targets for purple wave 5 are: o 🎯 Target 1: 3923 o 🎯 Target 2: 3986 H1 Timeframe • The structure shows a 5-wave pattern (in black) inside purple wave 5. • The 0.618 projection of wave 5 has already been reached near 3926, which also aligns with the 0.382 retracement level of the H4 structure — creating a strong confluence zone suitable for a potential short setup. • If price closes decisively above 3926, it may continue to extend toward 3986. ➡️ In that case, it’s better to wait for a clear reversal signal near 3986 rather than shorting too early. ________________________________________ 🔹 3. Trading Plan 📍 Setup: • Sell Now: 3925 – 3926 • Stop Loss: 3936 • Take Profit: 3899 📌 Safer Option: Wait for a bearish H1 confirmation candle before entering the trade. ⚠️ Note: This is a potential topping phase, so it’s essential to manage positions carefully — avoid loose stop losses or unprotected exposure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
SELL XAU USDThis setup on XAUUSD is based on a bullish reversal pattern. After multiple rejections near support, a long entry was taken with a defined stop loss below the recent swing low. The target is set at a 3.3 Risk-to-Reward ratio, aligning with momentum and price structure. Entry: After bullish confirmation candle Stop Loss: Below the rejection zone Take Profit: At projected resistance zone (3.3R) Reasoning: Price showed strong rejection wicks, increasing buy pressure, and higher volume support. This trade idea focuses on risk management first — accepting a small controlled loss while targeting a larger potential gain.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Aj1t4
Gold Day Trading Outlook: Resistance Holding! Gold is showing signs of weakness as the resistance around 3860–3865 continues to hold strong, keeping the intraday sentiment tilted to the bearish side. As long as price stays below this band, the market is vulnerable to further downside pressure with immediate support seen near 3827 and an extended target towards 3798. Any minor pullbacks into the 3855–3860 region may attract sellers, maintaining the short-term bearish structure. However, a decisive hourly close above 3865 would invalidate this bearish view and shift the bias back to the upside, opening the door for a possible retest of 3880–3900. Until then, day trading leans bearish with sellers holding the upper hand. Trade safe !
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by sparkrlight
Gold Hits $394x! New ATH: Fed & BoJ Drive the Rally.Hello, traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has just delivered a massive breakthrough in the Asian session, setting a New ATH around $394x after comfortably breaching that $3900 level. This strength, bhai, is getting serious support from two big monetary policy moves: Fed rate cut expectations and the likelihood of the BoJ (Bank of Japan) delaying rate hikes due to the new PM. Paisa hi paisa! Fundamentals & Technical Caution: Mind the FOMO Dual Drivers: Market sentiment is clear—the Fed is expected to cut rates two more times, and the dovish BoJ outlook only adds more fuel, creating a rock-solid foundation for Gold. Safe-Haven: The continuous US Shutdown drama and geopolitical tensions are keeping that safe-haven bid strong. FOMO Warning: The momentum is fierce, but you must avoid buying the high. Prioritize Buying on pullbacks to FVG (Fair Value Gaps) to secure a safer entry point. Discipline is key, boss. Key Price Levels: Resistance: $3954, $3963 Support: $3910, $3895, $3883, $3870 Trading Strategy (Absolute Risk Management): BUY SCALP: $3910 - $3908 SL: $3904 TPs: $3918, $3928, $3938, $3948, $3958 BUY ZONE (FVG): $3895 - $3893 SL: $3885 TPs: $3903, $3913, $3923, $3933, $3943 SELL ZONE (High Risk): $3964 - $3966 SL: $3974 TPs: $3956, $3946, $3936, $3926, $3916 Are you placing your bets on a $4000 target this week? Let me know your plan! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #ATH #Fed #BoJ #Shutdown #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #GoldFever
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy Hello trading community! Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies. 📊 Technical Analysis Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures: Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers. Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible. Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas. Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area. 📰 Fundamental Analysis The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario: ⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD). 📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high. The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation. 🎯 Trading Strategy Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend. Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈 Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area. Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone). Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080. Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉 Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080. Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak). Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970. Summary The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones. Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week! Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 10✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis Gold is currently hovering around the MA5 and MA10 (near 3990), with short-term direction still undecided. The MA20 (around 4004) has shifted from support to resistance, indicating that short-term bullish strength is limited. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, showing reduced volatility and suggesting the market has entered a consolidation phase. The middle band (4004) is acting as a key upper resistance. After the recent decline, gold is showing a weak rebound but remains within a corrective structure. If it fails to break above 4000–4005, the rebound is likely to be limited, with the risk of another pullback. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis Short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are turning upward, and the price is consolidating around 3995–4000, showing some rebound momentum. However, the MA20 and MA60 above are acting as resistance, limiting further upside potential. The Bollinger mid-band (around 3978) has been reclaimed, and the price is now near the upper band, but without a clear breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The 1-hour chart shows a short-term rebound, but with heavy resistance above, if gold cannot hold above 4000–4005, it may quickly retreat again. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3995–4005 🟢 Support Levels: 3945–3925 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔻 Watch the 3995–4005 zone; if the price is rejected, consider short positions targeting 3970–3950. 🔺 If the price pulls back to 3945–3925 and stabilizes, consider light long positions targeting 3980–4000. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Ideathis is for educational purpose only it clearly explains how to handle 2-point stop-loss and retry logic (max 3–4 times) for automation or manual trading Wait for a green candle close above the 4088 level before entering. Confirm the breakout with strong volume support. The green line acts as your entry trigger zone. Entry Level: 4088 (Green Line) Exit Level: 4151 (Red Line) Stop-Loss: 2 points Max Attempts: 3–4 times per setup The red line (4151) is the final exit target. Keep a tight 2-point stop loss for controlled risk. Rejection may happen 2–3 times near the entry zone — stay patient. Avoid early entries before confirmation. Watch for volume expansion during breakout candles. Use 30-minute time frame for accuracy and clarity. Once confirmed, ride the move toward the 100% level at 4117. Partial profit booking is advised near 4117 zone. Move SL to cost after price closes above 4100. Avoid trading if candle closes below 4088 again. The momentum remains bullish as long as price stays above 4088. Red candle rejection below entry zone means wait again for setup. Don’t chase enter only after a confirmed breakout. Keep your chart clean and focus on price + volume behavior. Plan your trade before execution , no impulsive entries. Respect SL — discipline ensures long-term success. Always analyze candle behavior near major levels before deciding. Enter on candle close above 4088 with volume confirmation. SL: 2 points below entry. Targets: 4117 (first), 4151 (final). Expect 2–3 rejections — wait for confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Powerniftypro
XAUUSD – Waiting for breakout confirmation at 3956XAUUSD – ACCUMULATION & WAIT FOR NEW TREND CONFIRMATION WHEN BREAKING 3956 Hello trader 👋 Gold is fluctuating in a short-term accumulation phase, following a strong rally last week. The technical structure on the H1 frame shows the price is retesting the central support area around 3956, which will determine the next direction. In the current context, price action is mainly restrained within the rising channel, but buying momentum has slowed. The market is waiting for new trend confirmation – either breaking up to the 4000 area or adjusting to lower support. 🔎 Technical Perspective Fibonacci 0.618 – 1.618 indicates significant resistance at the 3997–4000 area, coinciding with a strong liquidity zone. The medium-term uptrend line remains intact, however, the RSI momentum shows slight divergence – warning of a potential adjustment. Key price areas to watch: 3956 – 3946 – 3927 – 3917. ⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenarios 🔴 Main SELL Scenario: Entry: 3997 – 4000 Stop Loss: 4005 Take Profit: 3976 → 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Sell at the Fibonacci extension area + psychological resistance 4000 (high liquidity zone). 🔴 SELL upon confirmation of breaking 3956: Entry: 3959 – 3961 SL: 3965 TP: 3945 → 3928 → 3910 👉 Short-term breakout order when the price closes below 3956, confirming a daily downtrend. 🟢 BUY when price retraces to support: Entry: 3942 – 3944 SL: 3938 TP: 3955 → 3970 → 3990 👉 Suitable for Buy strategy following the short rising channel, prioritised when there is a strong candlestick reaction. 🟢 BUY at deep support area (POC & Trendline): Entry: 3900 – 3898 SL: 3892 TP: 3910 → 3928 → 3940 → 3955 → 3970 💡 Macro Perspective Many major financial institutions have raised their December 2026 gold price forecast from $4,300 to $4,900/oz, citing that central banks in emerging markets continue to diversify foreign exchange reserves into gold. This reinforces the belief that the long-term uptrend remains robust. 📌 Summary: Gold is in an accumulation phase waiting for a new direction around the 3956 area. Strict capital management – the market may experience strong volatility when political news and US data return. share your thoughts in the comments section, follow me for the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of correction before hitting the $4000 mark? Hello everyone, Gold is approaching the psychological price zone of $4000/oz, but before reaching this historic milestone, the market may be preparing for a short-term correction. According to Bank of America's technical strategist – Paul Ciana, gold's upward momentum is “too hot,” and a mid-cycle correction could occur soon. 📉 Technical Analysis (Chart H1 – Wolfe Waves Formation) Observing the chart, a Wolfe Waves pattern is clearly forming: The Sell zone 3988–3990 is the convergence point of wave number 5 – a potential short-term reversal zone. The Buy zone 3963–3965 is the retest point of local support, where sellers often tend to take short-term profits. The Wolfe trend line indicates the possibility that the price will take liquidity above the peak zone before a corrective decline appears. If a correction occurs, the 3940–3955 zone will be the first reaction area, where strong buying support is present. 🎯 Trading Scenario Buy retest: 📍 3963–3965 🛑 SL: 3960 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3985 – 4000 Sell following Wolfe wave: 📍 3988–3990 🛑 SL: 3995 🎯 TP: 3972 – 3955 – 3945 🧭 Medium-term Outlook Although the upward momentum remains dominant, the momentum is gradually decreasing and the market needs to “cool down” to create a new accumulation rhythm. Dense liquidity zones around POC 3957–3960 may trigger a short-term pullback, before gold gains momentum to advance to the ATH zone of $4000 in the late-week sessions. 📌 Conclusion Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, but a short correction is necessary to maintain a sustainable upward structure. Traders should prioritize flexible scalping, observing reactions at Fibo zones – Volume Profile – and especially the developing Wolfe Waves pattern. I will continue to update the latest scenario details for XAUUSD daily. 👉 Follow me to not miss important wave rhythms!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
US Government Shutdown Sends Gold Flying HigherWhat's Happening With Gold? Gold continues recording new high despite monthly RSI reading of 89-90 signalling extremely overbought conditions and casual pullbacks are attracting buyers on any dip towards value areas resuming higher high and higher low structure which is precisely bullish. Disappointing ADP numbers keep dollar under pressure and Gold gets substantial support as bond yields remain neutral or dull. Recent record high of $3895 witnessed a minor pullback to $3852 which was quickly absorbed by buyers retesting $3893 today and prices stand at striking distance of record high. What's Driving the Bullish Rally? Fundamental Drivers: The US government shutdown and fiscal stress has caused global concerns triggering increased bets for risk off sentiments driving investors for higher Gold prices on safe haven buying. Continued Dollar Weakness below critical resistance 98 is supportive for dollar denominated Gold reducing opportunity cost of holding the non yielding asset. Sticky Inflation makes Gold a preferred hedge against inflation as store of value. Geo political concerns across Europe, mid east keep safe haven demand strong and boost Gold prices further. Robust buying by major Central Banks create further structural demand for Gold as several central banks continue increasing Gold in reserve than dollar and no central bank selling Gold despite record high prices. Any surprise hawkish message from the Fed members or strong economic data can cause a pullback in Gold prices while any dovish tone by Fed will further boost Gold prices. Technical Drivers: Technical structure is still bullish favouring further continuation supported by price stability above immediate support $3852 and moving within a strong ascending bullish parallel channel as seen on the 4 hourly chart while further bullish extension requires strong break and stability above immediate resistance $3898 which targets next leg higher $3914 followed by $3934 Overbought conditions on Monthly RSI reading 89-90 urges caution on heights as break below crucial support may trigger profit booking pressure, especially if some news about potential agreement on US shutdown strengthens dollar and treasury yields. If Gold breaks below $3872, expect a retest of $3860-$3858 while break below $3852 will expose $3845 followed by $3830-$3820
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
13
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation. ✅ Technical Breakdown: Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012. Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup. An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure. A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell. Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control. 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1) TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection. 📈 Summary: Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest TP1: $4,030 TP2: $4,050 SL: Below $3,996 Bias: Bullish Timeframe: 1H ⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING WITH THE TREND | TARGET 4100 Hello trader 👋 Gold continues to set new highs, maintaining a strong upward momentum despite the USD stabilizing temporarily. The current market structure shows a sustainable uptrend, with short-term corrections only serving as entry points for trend-aligned buying. 🔎 Technical Analysis The price is currently moving within an ascending channel and has just broken out above the previous high, confirming the dominance of buying pressure. The 4.618 Fibonacci extension signals a technical target around 4100, a strong psychological resistance and the mid-term price expectation. RSI remains above the 60 level → upward momentum shows no signs of weakening. EMA200 (H1–H4) is well below, reinforcing a stable uptrend structure. ⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan 🟢 BUY 1: Entry: 4003 – 4005 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit: 4016 → 4025 → 4040 → 4062 👉 Buy when the price retraces to the lower edge of the channel or retests the key level. 🟢 BUY 2: Entry: 3961 – 3963 Stop Loss: 3956 Take Profit: 3975 → 3988 → 3996 → 4008 → 4025 👉 Enter at the FVG (Fair Value Gap) support area in agreement with the ascending trendline. 💡 Market Insight Fed rate cut bets: Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the coming months continue to boost gold demand. Temporary U.S. government shutdown → creates uncertainty, increasing safe-haven flows. USD is stable but not strong, keeping gold attractive. With the current market sentiment, every correction is a “buy the dip” opportunity. ⚖️ Scenarios & Strategy Main strategy: Only look to buy with the trend, avoid counter-trend selling (if any – should only be short-term). Buy around trendline / FVG / key level 3960 for a reasonable entry point and low risk. Monitor the breakout area 4040 – 4060: If decisively broken, the likelihood of reaching 4100 is very high. 📌 Summary: Trend: Strong bullish continuation Priority: Buy with the trend – Buy on dips Technical target: 4100 USD/oz Manage capital carefully, avoid FOMO at new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steven-GoldTrading
LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark LiamTrading – GOLD approaches the $4000 mark: The upward wave continues Hello everyone, Gold continues to maintain its impressive upward momentum as the DXY only slightly increases by 0.50% and is currently at 98.21 – a signal indicating that safe-haven flows still prioritise precious metals. Currently, the technical structure on H1 shows gold is in a clear upward channel, with price reaction zones accurately identified through Fibonacci and trendline, aiming for the next major target of $4000/oz. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1) Main Trend: Strong upward, Higher High – Higher Low structure remains intact Main Support Zone: around 3890 – 3900, coinciding with Fibo 1.0 confluence + upward trendline Psychological Resistance Zone: 3955 – 3999, corresponding to Fibo extension 2.0 – 3.6 RSI is moving into the 70+ zone, reflecting strong buying force but short-term correction signs need to be observed. 🎯 Today's Trading Scenarios Buy scalping 📍 3909 – 3911 🛑 SL: 3904 🎯 TP: 3940 – 3955 – 3970 – 3990 Buy swing 📍 3888 – 3890 🛑 SL: 3882 🎯 TP: 3910 – 3925 – 3950 – 3975 – 3990 Sell scalping 📍 3956 – 3958 🛑 SL: 3964 🎯 TP: 3935 – 3910 – 3890 Sell swing 📍 3997 – 3999 🛑 SL: 4010 🎯 TP: 3975 – 3950 – 3925 🧭 Trend Analysis With the current upward force and stable technical structure, the $4000 target is entirely feasible in the short term. The preferred strategy is to BUY with the trend, watch for pullbacks to optimise entry, and avoid FOMO at the peak. Adjustments to the support zone 3890–3900 will be a beautiful opportunity to open buy positions. 💡 I will continue to update detailed reaction zones & new plans in each session. Follow me for the earliest updates on daily gold scenarios!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks. Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty. Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style) • The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement. • The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse. • The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup. • The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections. 🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875 SL: 3866 TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+ 🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132 SL: 4141 TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips • Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions. • Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events. • Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation. • Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk. ✅ Summary Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries. Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely. With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops. 🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering. Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
October 9 Gold AnalysisOctober 9 Gold Analysis Looking back at this week's performance, gold, driven by rising expectations of rate cuts and geopolitical risks, has performed exceptionally strongly, breaking through the $3,900 and $4,000 levels in succession and reaching new all-time highs. Despite a sharp drop in Thursday's Asian session due to the sudden news of a ceasefire agreement, gold prices quickly found strong support at the key psychological level of $4,000 and rebounded, having largely recovered the lost ground. This clearly demonstrates that the core driving forces of the current market remain unchanged, with strong buying appetite on dips and the overall upward trend remaining intact. Analysis of Core Drivers 1. Expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts: This is the fundamental driving force behind this surge in gold prices. Market expectations of further Fed rate cuts in October and December continue to build, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing gold and providing a solid underlying support for gold prices. 2. Spreading risk aversion: The US government shutdown entered its second week, with bipartisan negotiations repeatedly breaking down, and market concerns about a prolonged shutdown intensified. This political risk has triggered widespread panic, driving continued safe-haven flows into the gold market. 3. Strong Technical Breakout: After breaking through $4,000, gold prices have confirmed entering a new price range. Although technical indicators suggest short-term overbought conditions and correction potential, the moving averages are bullish, and the upward trend remains solid. Trading Strategy Downward Support: Primary support: $4,022 (the intraday low of the European session). A breakout here would indicate that market sentiment remains positive. Core Support: $4,000. This is a key level that has been tested and successfully stabilized multiple times in the past two days and is the lifeline for determining the continuation of this upward trend. As long as gold prices hold above this level, the overall bullish outlook remains unchanged. Upward Resistance: Near-term resistance: $4,045 (the morning opening price and the rebound high in the Asian and European sessions). A breakout here would confirm the end of the short-term correction and reassert buying momentum. Key Resistance: $4,060 (near the all-time high). A successful breakout above this level will open up further upside potential, with the next target likely reaching $4,100. Trading Recommendations: We recommend a volatile bullish outlook. Focus on stabilizing signals near the support area. I've shared strategies earlier on my channel. Profitable traders can continue to increase their positions at lower levels, targeting 4,060-4,100. Trade with caution and manage risk! Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily35753702
GOLD XAU/USD – Intraday Plan | Bulls Targeting 4,000$Gold has once again proven its safe-haven dominance, pushing close to 3,980$ during the Asian session. Despite USD fluctuations and global market risk-on vibes, buyers remain firmly in control. The psychological milestone of 4,000$ is now directly in focus. 🔎 Technical Snapshot (M30) Trend remains bullish, supported by the Fibo channel. Dip-buying pressure continues to dominate intraday price action. Sellers will only gain short-term control near the 3988 – 4000$ resistance zone. 🔑 Key Trading Levels BUY Zone (Fibo 0.618): 395x → Ideal intraday demand. Support Zone: 393x → Must hold for bullish structure. Immediate Resistance: 397x → Current ATH zone. SELL Reaction Zone: 3988 – 4000$ → Potential short scalp. Major Resistance: 4000 – 4006$ → Strong psychological wall. 📌 Trading Plan (FranCi$$ Style) ✅ BUY on Dips Entry: 395x – 393x Targets: 3975 → 3988 → 4000$ Stop Loss: Below 392x ⚡ SELL Scalp Entry: 3988 – 4000$ Targets: 3970 → 3950$ Stop Loss: Above 4015$ 🎯 Final Take Gold’s path remains upward, but the 4000$ barrier is where bulls meet the biggest challenge. Smart traders will look to buy dips for continuation and use scalp sells only at strong rejection zones. 🔥 Stay tuned with FranCi$$ for realtime intraday updates – precision signals, scalping setups, and golden opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold 1H – Liquidity Plays Between 3794 and 3918Gold on the 1H timeframe is fluctuating within a defined range after multiple ChoCH signals, with liquidity concentrated at both premium supply and discount demand. Current price action suggests engineered sweeps remain likely: upside liquidity sits near 3918–3916, while downside support aligns with 3794–3796. This dual structure sets up both tactical sell and buy plays depending on liquidity grabs. From the macro perspective, gold traders are balancing caution ahead of upcoming U.S. data releases with the backdrop of a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks. These drivers reinforce intraday volatility, where engineered liquidity hunts at extremes provide clearer opportunities. ⸻ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL GOLD 3918–3916 (SL 3925): Premium supply sweep zone. Downside targets at 3896 → 3872 → 3853. • 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3794–3796 (SL 3788): Discount demand aligned with structural lows. Upside targets at 3819 → 3853 → 3872+. ⸻ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Grab at 3918–3916 • Entry: 3918–3916 • Stop Loss: 3925 • Take Profits: • TP1: 3896 • TP2: 3872 • TP3: 3853 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand at 3794–3796 • Entry: 3794–3796 • Stop Loss: 3788 • Take Profits: • TP1: 3819 • TP2: 3853 • TP3: 3872+ ⸻ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold remains liquidity-driven and range-bound, with engineered sweeps expected at both premium highs and discount lows. Flexibility is crucial: fade rallies into the 3918 supply zone, while preparing to scale into longs if liquidity clears into the 3794 demand base.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
2
XAUUSD / GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean V-shaped reversal from the support zone around $3,960–$3,980. ✅ Key Technical Highlights: Support S2 Zone held well, forming a reversal V pattern, confirming buyers stepping in. Price has broken and retested the breakout zone around $4,000, indicating buying strength. A bullish momentum candle confirms continuation towards higher levels. Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone aligned perfectly with the support, giving more confluence for long entries. If momentum sustains, price is projected to push towards: 📍 Resistance R1: $4,060 zone (first TP) 📍 Resistance R2 / New ATH Zone: $4,120 zone (final TP) 🛡️ Invalidation: A clean break below the $3,960 support and the fair value gap would signal weakening momentum and cancel the bullish outlook. 📈 Summary: Entry: After retest of breakout zone ($4,000–$4,010) TP1: $4,060 TP2: $4,120 SL: Below $3,960 (Fair value gap) 🚀 Bias: Bullish 📅 Timeframe: 4H / Weekly ⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with proper position sizing and SL discipline
FX:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
AI Predicts Market Moves1. The Foundation: How AI Understands Market Behavior AI predicts market movements by analyzing enormous amounts of structured and unstructured data. Unlike traditional models that rely on past prices and fixed formulas, AI adapts dynamically to changing market conditions. Here’s how the process works: Data Collection: AI systems gather information from multiple sources — stock prices, volumes, social media sentiment, macroeconomic indicators, corporate filings, and even satellite images. Feature Engineering: Machine learning algorithms identify key features (price momentum, volatility, correlations) that may impact future movements. Model Training: AI models, especially deep learning networks, are trained using historical data to learn patterns that precede bullish or bearish trends. Prediction: The trained model predicts probable outcomes, such as price direction, volatility range, or breakout levels. Feedback Loop: The system continuously learns from real-time data, refining its accuracy over time. This self-learning nature makes AI a powerful force in financial prediction, as it becomes more accurate and efficient the longer it operates. 2. Machine Learning Models That Power Market Predictions Several AI techniques are used to predict market movements. Each serves a unique role depending on the type of market data and the trading objective. A. Supervised Learning Supervised models are trained on labeled data (e.g., past price data with known outcomes). Common algorithms include: Linear and Logistic Regression: Useful for basic price trend forecasts. Random Forests and Gradient Boosting: Handle complex, nonlinear relationships between variables. Support Vector Machines (SVM): Ideal for identifying trend reversals. B. Unsupervised Learning Unsupervised models detect hidden patterns without pre-labeled outcomes. Clustering (e.g., K-means): Groups similar stocks or market behaviors. Principal Component Analysis (PCA): Reduces data complexity to identify dominant market factors. C. Deep Learning and Neural Networks These models simulate how the human brain processes information. Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory): Designed to analyze sequential data like time series, making them perfect for price prediction. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs): Surprisingly effective for pattern recognition in candlestick charts or heatmaps. Transformers (like those used in ChatGPT): Emerging models that can process multiple forms of data — text, numbers, sentiment — simultaneously for market insight. D. Reinforcement Learning In this model, AI acts as an agent that learns by taking actions and receiving feedback (reward or penalty). It’s widely used in algorithmic trading to optimize execution strategies or portfolio balancing. 3. Sentiment Analysis: Reading the Market’s Mood The market is not purely mathematical — it’s emotional. Investor sentiment can drive markets up or down faster than fundamentals. AI sentiment analysis decodes these emotions from textual and social data sources. Natural Language Processing (NLP) allows AI to read news articles, analyst reports, earnings calls, and social media posts. By detecting tone and language, AI gauges whether market sentiment is bullish, bearish, or neutral. Sentiment data is then quantified and fed into predictive models to anticipate short-term movements. For example, a sudden surge in positive social media mentions about a stock may indicate upcoming bullish momentum. Conversely, a negative news trend could trigger an early warning for a price drop. 4. Big Data Meets AI: The New Market Edge Market prediction used to depend primarily on numerical data — prices, volumes, and indicators. Today, AI uses big data to analyze patterns across multiple dimensions simultaneously. Key data types AI analyzes include: Price and Volume Data: Traditional market information. Fundamental Data: Balance sheets, earnings reports, P/E ratios. Macroeconomic Data: Inflation, interest rates, GDP growth. Alternative Data: Satellite imagery (e.g., tracking retail traffic), credit card spending, or shipping volumes. Behavioral Data: Search engine trends, social media posts, and online sentiment. AI’s ability to merge these data types into a single predictive framework creates a far more holistic understanding of market dynamics — something human analysts can’t achieve manually. 5. High-Frequency Trading (HFT) and Predictive Algorithms AI plays a crucial role in high-frequency trading, where thousands of trades occur in milliseconds. Here, even a microsecond advantage can yield significant profits. AI systems in HFT: Predict short-term price fluctuations based on market microstructures. Execute trades automatically using reinforcement learning strategies. Continuously adapt to new data and refine models to maintain a competitive edge. For instance, if AI detects a sudden imbalance between buy and sell orders, it might predict a short-term breakout and place rapid-fire orders to capitalize on the move — all before human traders can react. 6. Predictive Portfolio Management and Risk Control AI doesn’t just forecast prices; it predicts risk. Predictive portfolio models use AI to optimize allocations by analyzing correlations, volatility, and macroeconomic scenarios. Predictive Asset Allocation: AI forecasts which assets are likely to outperform under certain conditions. Dynamic Hedging: Machine learning models predict downside risk and automatically adjust hedges using derivatives. Anomaly Detection: AI identifies abnormal price movements that may indicate fraud, manipulation, or systemic instability. This predictive capability helps fund managers stay one step ahead of uncertainty, minimizing losses and enhancing long-term returns. 7. AI-Powered Tools Used by Traders The global trading ecosystem now hosts numerous AI-based tools and platforms that help traders predict and react faster. Examples include: Bloomberg Terminal AI: Integrates NLP to summarize financial news instantly. Kavout’s Kai Score: AI-driven stock ranking system. Upstox and Zerodha (India): Implement algorithmic and data-driven recommendations powered by AI analytics. AlphaSense: Scans millions of financial documents to detect sentiment and trends. Even retail traders can now use AI-based trading bots that combine technical indicators, sentiment data, and reinforcement learning to generate predictive insights. 8. Limitations and Risks of AI Predictions While AI has immense potential, it’s not infallible. Market predictions are inherently uncertain, and several challenges remain: Black-Box Models: Deep learning models often lack transparency. Traders may not understand why a prediction was made. Data Bias: If training data is skewed or incomplete, predictions may be inaccurate. Overfitting: Models may perform well on past data but fail in new, unseen conditions. Market Manipulation Risks: Predictive AI can be exploited by bad actors who manipulate data sources. Flash Crashes: Rapid automated trading decisions can trigger sudden market collapses, as seen in past HFT incidents. Thus, while AI enhances prediction power, it must be used responsibly, with human oversight and ethical guardrails. 9. The Human-AI Partnership in Trading Despite automation, human intuition still matters. The most successful traders today combine AI-driven insights with human experience. AI handles the data overload, filtering millions of variables into actionable signals. Humans interpret context, political events, and macroeconomic nuances that models might miss. Hybrid Strategies — where AI predicts and humans confirm — are proving to be the most effective approach for modern trading. This collaboration ensures that traders harness the computational power of AI without losing the strategic foresight that only human judgment provides. 10. The Future of AI Market Predictions: What Lies Ahead The next generation of AI in trading will go beyond prediction — it will move toward autonomous financial decision-making. Emerging trends include: Quantum AI Trading: Combining quantum computing with AI to handle even more complex datasets. Generative AI Models: Creating simulated market scenarios for predictive testing. Explainable AI (XAI): Making black-box models transparent so traders understand the “why” behind predictions. Emotion AI: Measuring real-time trader sentiment through voice and facial analysis for behavioral prediction. Global Integration: AI systems linking across markets — equities, commodities, forex, and crypto — for unified predictive analysis. By 2030, it’s expected that over 70% of all trades globally will be AI-assisted or AI-driven, making machine intelligence the core of the financial ecosystem. Conclusion: The Predictive Revolution in Trading AI has evolved from being a buzzword to becoming the backbone of market prediction and trading. Its ability to process massive datasets, identify hidden correlations, and forecast potential moves with remarkable accuracy is transforming the very structure of financial markets. Yet, while AI can predict patterns and probabilities, it cannot guarantee certainty — because markets are influenced by human behavior, policy shifts, and black swan events that defy logic. The key lies in balance: leveraging AI’s speed, precision, and learning capability while maintaining human control and intuition. As AI continues to mature, those who adapt early — blending technology with insight — will dominate the next generation of global trading.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress