XAUUSDThis is also a type of consolidation.Symmetrical Triangle in the chart, we can see that neither the buyers nor the sellers could push the price in their direction. When this happens we get lower highs and higher lows.
As these two slopes get closer to each other, it means that a breakout is getting near.
We don’t know what direction the breakout will be, but we do know that the market will most likely break out. Eventually, one side of the market will give in.
We can place entry orders above the slope of the lower highs and below the slope of the higher lows of the symmetrical triangle.
Since we already know that the price is going to break out, we can just hitch a ride in whatever direction the market moves.
So, I enter with target 3750
GOLD trade ideas
Gold Surges After FOMC, Eyes Breakout Above 3,515Gold prices surged sharply on June 12 following positive FOMC and CPI results, closing at 3,429 – up more than 1.2%. The technical structure remains firmly within an ascending channel on the 8H chart, with higher lows consistently supported by the EMA34 and trendline.
The 3,488–3,515 resistance zone will be a key test in the coming sessions. If price breaks and holds above this level, the next target will be new highs. Conversely, a minor pullback toward the 3,348 area – aligned with the trendline and EMA – may offer a trend-following buy opportunity if confirmed by price action.
Gold is receiving strong support from cooler U.S. CPI data, which has boosted expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates soon. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and bullish outlooks from major institutions continue to reinforce gold’s safe-haven appeal.
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈
📊 Overview:
Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429.
🔍 Key Levels:
🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal.
📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it.
🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues.
📈 Technical Outlook:
Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout.
Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg.
As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish.
🛑 Risk Note:
Watch for possible rejection near TP2.
A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones.
✅ Conclusion:
The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
Gold Trading Strategy–June 13During the Asian session, spot gold broke through the $3,400/ounce mark, reaching a high of around $3,444, setting a recent record high.
✅Fundamental Analysis
🔹Tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Iran launched drone attacks on Israel, while conflicts continue along the Syria–Lebanon border. U.S. military bases have entered the highest state of alert.
🔹The market is closely watching the security of the Strait of Hormuz — a key route that handles about 20% of global oil transport. Any escalation or disruption could lead to surging oil prices and safe-haven demand, triggering a synchronized rally in crude oil and gold. In response, some sovereign wealth funds and central banks have urgently increased their holdings of physical gold.
✅Technical Analysis
🔸Gold has successfully broken through the critical $3,400 psychological level, confirming the continued strength of bullish momentum. The price structure remains within a strong upward trend channel dominated by the bulls.
🔸The moving average system shows a bullish alignment;
🔸Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, with price candles holding firm near the upper band;
🔸The MACD lines remain in a bullish crossover with increasing momentum bars;
🔸The KDJ indicator is in overbought territory — suggesting potential short-term pullbacks due to overheating risks.
🔴Key Resistance Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Initial resistance: 3,445 (dense previous high zone);
🔰If this level is broken, it could open further upside potential, targeting the 3,450–3,485 range.
🔰In the event of further geopolitical escalation and global market panic, gold may surge toward the 3,600 psychological level.
🟢Key Support Levels (Short-Term)
🔰Critical intraday support lies in the $3,410–$3,400 zone. A successful pullback and hold above this range would present a strong buy-the-dip opportunity;
🔰Deeper support lies in the $3,371–$3,360 area. A break below this range may trigger a short-term technical correction, with potential downside toward $3,330.
✅Intraday Trading Strategy
🔰If the European session pulls back to the $3,410–$3,400 support zone and holds, consider entering long positions; Initial upside target: $3,440;
🔰If gold holds above $3,420 ahead of the U.S. session, bullish momentum is expected to continue.
⛔Risk Management
If there are signs of easing geopolitical tensions or short-term profit-taking, gold may see a rapid retracement. Pay close attention to the $3,371 and $3,360 support levels for potential defense zones.
GOLD (XAU/USD) 4H CHART – BULLISH BREAKOUT TRADE SETUP🔵 Trendline Breakout 📈
📏 Price broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
🔼 This breakout is often seen as a buy signal by traders.
🧱 Resistance Area 🛑
🔹 Price has entered and broken through a horizontal resistance zone.
🔄 This zone may now flip into support, adding confidence to the long setup.
🟧 Demand Zone 📦
📍 Marked between 3,267 – 3,298.
🛡️ Strong buying interest historically observed in this area.
📉 EMA (70) at 3,298.065 acts as dynamic support.
🟦 Entry Point 🚪
🎯 Entry Level: 3,322.930
🔄 Enter after retest confirmation or bullish candle above resistance.
🔴 Stop Loss ⛔
⚠️ SL Level: 3,267.993
💣 Below the demand zone and EMA — protecting against false breakouts.
🟩 Target Point 🎯
🚀 TP Level: 3,490.000
📌 Prior high zone — strong historical resistance expected here.
💰 Trade Setup Summary
✅ Buy Above: 3,322.930
❌ Stop Loss: 3,267.993
🎯 Target: 3,490.000
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable (approx. 1:3)
🔎 Technical Confidence Levels
🔵 EMA Support ✅
🔵 Trendline Breakout ✅
🔵 Resistance Flip ✅
🔴 False Breakout Risk
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsXAUUSD – Gold Surges Amid Middle East Tensions | What’s Next After 3430 Break?
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
Gold prices accelerated sharply in the Asian session on June 13 after Israel launched a large-scale airstrike campaign against Iran, targeting nuclear facilities including the Natanz uranium enrichment site.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared the mission would continue until the Iranian nuclear threat is “completely neutralized.”
Iran suffered major losses and scrambled its air force to prepare for retaliation.
WTI oil jumped over 8%, gold spiked to $3,430/oz, and US equities dropped sharply.
While the US claimed it would not participate directly in the attack, it vowed to defend its forces in the region if threatened.
This rapidly escalating geopolitical conflict has triggered a renewed flight into safe-haven assets, with gold leading the pack.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 / H1 Chart
🔹 Trend Structure
Gold has broken out decisively above 3,392, forming a strong bullish leg and carving new short-term support around 3,412 – 3,426.
Price action is forming a Higher High – Higher Low structure within a rising channel.
🔹 Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A visible FVG between 3,405 – 3,412 has formed. As long as price holds above this zone, bullish continuation is favored.
🔹 EMA Structure
Price is well above all key EMAs (13, 34, 89, 200), confirming a strong bullish environment. EMA13 continues to guide intraday momentum.
🔹 Key Resistance Zone
Watch for potential distribution or profit-taking around 3,441 – 3,456 – a major resistance area if no further escalation occurs.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Behavior
Investor sentiment has shifted firmly into risk-off mode.
Funds are flowing heavily into gold, oil, CHF, and JPY.
Price volatility is likely to spike further, as headlines continue to drive intraday sentiment.
🎯 Updated Trade Setup – 13 June
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Take-Profit: 3388 → 3392 → 3396 → 3400 → 3405 → 3410
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Take-Profit: 3450 → 3446 → 3442 → 3438 → 3434 → 3430
✅ Conclusion
The renewed conflict between Israel and Iran is fueling gold’s rise as global risk appetite collapses. Technically, the trend remains bullish, but volatility is extremely elevated. Traders should watch key price zones closely and avoid emotional trades during event-driven spikes.
⚠️ Trade the reaction, not the prediction. Let key levels confirm bias before entering.
Golden and Death Cross Strategy....📌 GOLDEN CROSS AND DEATH CROSS – A Classic Trend Signal
WHAT IS A GOLDEN CROSS?
A golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average (typically 50 EMA) crosses above a long-term moving average (typically 200 EMA).
This is widely seen as a bullish signal, indicating a potential long-term trend reversal to the upside.
💡 It often signals that momentum is shifting from bearish to bullish.
WHAT IS A DEATH CROSS?
A death cross is the opposite — it forms when the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average.
It is considered a bearish signal, warning of a potential downtrend or trend exhaustion.
📊 APPLICATION IN TRADING
* Works well in trending markets, especially on higher timeframes such as daily or weekly
* Can be used in combination with volume, RSI, or MACD for confirmation
* False signals can occur in sideways or choppy markets
🛠️ STRATEGY TIPS
* Use golden cross to look for long setups
* Use death cross to consider shorting or exiting long positions
* Combine with risk management — no signal is perfect
💬 YOUR THOUGHTS?
Do you use golden and death crosses in your strategy? Share your insights in the comments
👇👇👇
📝 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Confirmation 🚀📈
📊 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout above a well-defined resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400. Price action has decisively closed above this resistance, suggesting strong bullish momentum.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟦 Support Zone:
Marked clearly between $3,250–$3,280, this level has held firm multiple times (highlighted with green arrows and orange circles), confirming buyer interest and market structure.
🟦 Resistance Turned Support:
The previous resistance zone around $3,390–$3,400 has now potentially turned into a new support. Price retesting this zone and holding would further validate the breakout.
📈 Future Projections:
The chart anticipates a retest-pullback-continuation scenario:
Pullback to new support 📉
Bullish continuation toward $3,460+ 🎯 if support holds.
✅ Bias:
Bullish as long as price remains above the $3,390 zone. Break and hold below would invalidate the bullish setup.
📌 Strategy Tip:
Look for confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) on the retest before entering long.
Mid East Tensions Boost Gold for $3500 & Beyond The world was adapting to Trump Tariff Trumpet and Israeli preemptive strikes on Iran triggered sudden surge in safe haven demand for Gold causing a flash bullish momentum in prices reaching 3445 during early asian session.
Any retracement pullback towards support zone 3415 or a tad lower to psychological zone 3400 will attract buyers again in anticipation of retesting all time high 3500 and beyond.
If prices retrace down further below 3400, next local demand zone sits at 3388-3378
XAUUSD – Testing the Descending Trendline, Awaiting FOMC SignalsGold has rebounded to the 3,371 zone after U.S. CPI data showed cooling inflation, putting pressure on the USD. The price is now approaching the descending trendline and the 3,400 resistance zone – a level that marked the top on June 5.
If this area fails to break clearly, gold is likely to pull back toward the 3,327 support – the confluence of the EMA89 and a recent low. On the other hand, if the FOMC delivers a dovish signal, price could break out and aim for 3,457.
Trade Setup:
SELL near 3,400 if rejection candles appear
BUY near 3,327 if bullish reversal signals show
BUY breakout above 3,405 if FOMC supports further gains
Gold Trading Strategy for 13th June 2025📊 GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Setup – 30-Minute Time Frame
📈 Buy Setup
🔼 Buy Above: 3403
🎯 Targets:
3411
3421
3431
📉 Sell Setup
🔽 Sell Below: 3369
🎯 Targets:
3357
3345
3338
🧠 Strategy Note:
This setup is based on a 30-minute chart.
Consider Buying above the 30-min high (3403) if the price breaks with volume.
Consider Selling below the 30-min low (3369) if there's a clear breakdown.
Use tight stop-losses just below/above breakout levels to manage risk effectively.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not investment advice. The above levels are for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis or consult a financial advisor before taking any trading decisions. Trading in commodities and financial markets involves significant risk of loss.
Gold Bulls Eye Breakout: Cup & Handle Signals 3400+ Rally Incomi🔍 Bullish Confirmation Checklist:
✅ Cup & Handle Formation – Textbook structure with bullish momentum.
✅ Higher Lows (Price Action) – Sign of accumulation beneath resistance.
✅ No Bearish Divergence on RSI (15m/1H) – Momentum confirms move.
✅ Breakout Candle with Follow-through Needed – Awaiting 1H closing above $3349 for strong confirmation.
✅ Target Projection Logic:
Using Cup & Handle breakout range logic:
Cup depth ≈ $40 →
Projected Move = $3349 + $40 = $3389–$3400+
🛠️ Trading Outlook (for education):
Aggressive Entry: On breakout above $3349 with volume confirmation.
Safer Entry: Retest near $3341–$3344 zone with bullish candle.
Stoploss: Below $3333.36
Targets: $3375 > $3394 > $3404 > $3418 (Step-by-step)
🔔 Conclusion:
Gold is showing textbook bullish continuation with a Cup and Handle pattern triggering breakout above $3341–$3349 zone. Momentum is building, and bulls are eyeing higher Fibonacci cluster zones near $3394–$3418. This structure remains valid as long as price holds above $3333.
XAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold HigherXAUUSD – CPI Data Pushes Gold Higher | Should You Follow the Trend or Sell the Top?
Gold prices surged strongly after the US CPI report came in lower than expected. This triggered a sharp drop in the US Dollar and yields, while boosting demand for safe-haven assets. The question now: Is this the beginning of a new leg higher, or a setup for a short-term correction?
🌐 MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT
📰 US CPI (May): Increased only 0.1% MoM and 2.4% YoY vs. forecast of 2.5%.
➤ This softer inflation reading reignited expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September.
📉 USD Weakness: The Dollar Index (DXY) dropped ~0.4%, making gold cheaper and more attractive for global investors.
📉 Bond Yields Falling: US 10Y yields declined, further increasing the appeal of gold as a non-yielding safe asset.
💡 Market Psychology: Traders are rotating capital back into gold ahead of FOMC and geopolitical uncertainties (China, Middle East).
📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H1 & H4 STRUCTURE
🔹 Trend Structure
Gold remains in a Higher High – Higher Low formation since the 3,312 level. Price recently broke above the 3,360–3,374 resistance and is now consolidating around 3,375 — a possible accumulation before breakout.
🔹 Price Channel
Gold is respecting an ascending channel with the lower bound aligning with the key support area at 3,339 – 3,345. As long as this zone holds, bulls are in control.
🔹 EMA Indicators
EMA13 / EMA34: Price is comfortably above both — indicating strong short-term momentum.
EMA89 / EMA200: Both EMAs are well below price action, confirming a medium-term bullish trend.
🔹 Caution Zone
Resistance at 3,392 – 3,395 is a key area to watch for reversal patterns (Pin Bars, Bearish Engulfing, etc.)
If price pulls back to 3,339 – 3,345 and holds, it can offer high-probability long entries with trend continuation.
🎯 TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3324 – 3322
Stop-Loss: 3318
Take-Profit Targets: 3330, 3334, 3338, 3342, 3346, 3350
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3337 – 3335
Stop-Loss: 3330
Take-Profit Targets: 3341, 3345, 3350, 3354, 3360, 3370, 3380
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3392 – 3394
Stop-Loss: 3398
Take-Profit Targets: 3388, 3384, 3380, 3375, 3370, 3360, 3350
🧠 CONCLUSION
The lower-than-expected CPI has given gold a short-term macro boost, and technically, bulls remain in control. However, caution is needed near the 3,392 zone — where price could face strong supply and trigger a pullback.
✅ Trade with confirmation, not assumptions. Let the price action guide your next move.
Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap?XAUUSD: Gold Holds Breath for CPI – Decisive Catalyst or Price Trap?
🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Awaits CPI, Real Interest Rate Pressure
The Gold market (XAUUSD) is in a highly sensitive phase as investors hold their breath for the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report during the U.S. session. CPI is the most crucial inflation gauge, and any deviation from expectations can trigger significant market shocks, especially for safe-haven assets like gold.
In this context, real interest rates are playing a pivotal role. If inflation cools faster than anticipated (lower CPI), pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates will increase, leading to a drop in bond yields and making gold more attractive. Conversely, if inflation remains "sticky" (higher CPI), the Fed may maintain a "higher-for-longer" policy stance, pushing bond yields up and putting downward pressure on gold due to the increased opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed's Caution, BoJ's Waiting Game
Federal Reserve (Fed): FOMC members continue to signal patience with rate cuts. Recent inflation data shows persistent price pressures, particularly in the services sector, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish bias. This creates pressure on gold if the USD continues to strengthen due to higher interest rates.
Bank of Japan (BoJ): (While not directly related to XAUUSD, global policy divergence still impacts capital flows and sentiment. For Gold, our focus is primarily on the Fed and other major central banks.)
The divergence in global monetary policies, especially between the Fed and other major central banks, is creating a volatile environment for the gold market.
🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Safe-Haven Race Amid Instability
Global capital flow models suggest that the USD and Gold are currently the two most sought-after safe-haven assets amidst geopolitical tensions (such as US-China tensions) and EU fiscal risks.
If the upcoming CPI data surprises the market, it could trigger significant capital flows between the USD (a yielding asset) and gold (a non-yielding asset). A lower-than-expected CPI could boost inflows into gold, while a higher CPI could reinforce USD strength and push gold prices lower.
📊 Technical Structure (M30 Chart): Gold in Decision Zone
On the M30 chart for XAUUSD:
Primary Trend: Gold prices are currently in a consolidation or slight correction phase, accumulating before the CPI news. The EMA 13 - 34 - 89 - 200 indicators present a mixed picture, with the price oscillating around the short-term MAs, while the longer-term MA (EMA 200) still acts as dynamic support/resistance. A "fan-out formation" or MA crossovers will be crucial signals confirming the next trend direction.
Crucial Resistance Zone (SELL Zone): Around 3374 - 3376. This is a strong resistance area where the price has reacted or has the potential to reverse. If the price rallies and approaches this zone before or after the CPI news without breaking through, it presents a potential selling opportunity.
Crucial Support Zone (BUY ZONE): Around 3314 - 3312. This is a strong support area where the price may find significant buying pressure to bounce. If the price corrects to this zone and shows bullish reversal signals (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), it presents a potential buying opportunity.
🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations
Scenario 1 – BUY (Await reaction at support):
Entry: 3314 - 3312 (Wait for bullish reversal candle confirmation or strong buying pressure in this zone).
Stop-Loss: 3308 (Just below the support zone for capital protection).
Take-Profit:
TP1: 3318
TP2: 3322
TP3: 3326
TP4: 3330
TP5: 3335
TP6: 3340
Scenario 2 – SELL (Await reaction at resistance):
Entry: 3374 - 3376 (Wait for bearish reversal candle confirmation or strong selling pressure in this zone).
Stop-Loss: 3380 (Just above the resistance zone for capital protection).
Take-Profit:
TP1: 3370
TP2: 3366
TP3: 3362
TP4: 3358
TP5: 3352
TP6: 3348
TP7: 3340
⚠️ Key Events to Watch:
U.S. CPI Report (U.S. session): This is the most critical event, which will dictate gold's primary direction in the short term. Be prepared for strong volatility upon its release.
Any statements from Fed members: Comments on inflation or monetary policy can impact market sentiment.
XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 XAU/USD Price Action Analysis – June 12, 2025 🪙📈
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound market structure with well-defined zones of support and resistance:
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,380 – $3,400
Price has been rejected multiple times from this level, as indicated by red arrows. It marks a strong supply zone.
🟢 Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,300
Price has bounced several times from this demand area, forming a reliable support base.
📏 Intermediate Level: $3,319.38
Marked with a purple line, this is likely a mid-range liquidity zone or a previous minor structure level.
🔄 Price Action Insights:
Double Bottom Formation: Notable at the support zone, confirming strong buying interest (highlighted with orange circles and green arrows). This pattern often signals a bullish reversal.
Current Price: Trading near $3,375.645, approaching the resistance area again.
Projected Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation 📈: Break and close above the resistance could trigger momentum to the upside — watch for a breakout with strong volume.
Pullback Scenario 🔁: A rejection from resistance could cause a retest of $3,319.38 or even the support zone, forming a higher low before a potential rally.
🧠 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Bias 🐂 as long as price holds above $3,319.38.
Watch for Breakout 🚀 above resistance with volume confirmation for long entries.
Caution ⚠️ near resistance; ideal to wait for either a breakout or clear rejection.
📌 Conclusion:
The chart reflects accumulation within a range, with bullish structure emerging. A break above $3,400 could shift market sentiment decisively upward, while a failure at resistance invites a deeper pullback.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)
🌀 Wave Structure
According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit.
After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended.
Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428.
In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones:
3358 – 3355
3390 – 3393
⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion.
🔍 Momentum Outlook
D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week.
H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone.
H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance.
⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup
⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup
🎯 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355
SL: 3348
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389
SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393
SL: 3404
TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
Gold Breakdown Imminent? Watch These Gann & Fib Levels”📊 XAUUSD ChartView Analysis – Fib Support-Based Buy Zone Strategy
Gold is currently consolidating above a crucial Fib support zone at 3351. If this level holds, a potential bullish wave could trigger targets at:
🟢 3382 (minor resistance & structural pivot)
🔵 3417 (key fib extension target)
🔵 3434 (major breakout zone)
🔁 However, strict stop loss at 3351 is mandatory.
⚠️ If 3351 breaks decisively, downside targets open toward:
🟡 3331 (previous support zone)
🟠 3300 (psychological & structural base)
📐 Trade setups should follow Fibonacci level logic.
RSI and Stoch RSI indicate potential short-term reversal, but confirmation required on price + volume breakout above 3382.
📌 Trade with discipline, follow risk-reward logic.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FibLevels #WhiteRock #PriceAction #RiskManagement #Forex #Commodities
“Gold Levels Respected to the Dot — See How Price Obeyed the Map🔼 If Price Breaks Above $3379.07 (Confirmed Breakout):
Entry: Above $3380 with volume
Target 1: $3403.62 — First reactive supply
Target 2: $3430.23 — Mid-term target
Target 3: $3443.34 — Extreme resistance (high-RR exit zone)
📌 Logic: $3379 acts as institutional trigger level. If broken with momentum, expect a quick run into prior imbalance zones.
🔻 If Price Breaks Below $3339.35 (Demand Collapse):
Entry: Below $3337–3335 on volume breakdown
Target 1: $3312.74 — Mid-term pullback zone
Target 2: $3299.62 — Final downside trap + reversal base
📌 Logic: Repeated tests weaken support. Once broken, $3339 will flip to resistance, opening doors for deeper flushes.
📍 Bias Strategy:
Currently Rangebound: Between $3339 and $3379
No trade zone: While price is between $3340–$3378
Conviction Setup: Only above $3380 or below $3337
Volume & candle body confirmation mandatory for entry
📎 Institutional Take:
This chart clearly reflects liquidity engineering and reversal planning by smart money. Every level here is not just drawn — it’s mathematically tested. The WhiteRock price geometry system is built for setups like this where entries are triggered not by chance, but by clean market structure.
Gold’s Tight Coil – Structure Tells the Story ! Gold continues to hover near the high-volume zone (HVZ) around the $3,370–$3,400 range, showing signs of hesitation. This HVZ remains a strong liquidity area where institutional orders might be sitting. Price has tested the upper edge multiple times, but with descending volume, indicating buyer exhaustion or lack of aggressive follow-through. As long as gold remains trapped below the top resistance zone ($3,432), the bullish momentum looks limited unless there’s a sudden macro trigger — such as geopolitical panic or inflation surprises — that spikes uncertainty and drives flight-to-safety buying.
On the downside, weak support sits around $3,323. If price loses that level convincingly, it could set up a sharp selloff targeting the lower pivot zone around $3,261.64. The rising trendline from May also looks threatened. A break below it confirms structural weakness and could invite aggressive shorting. Until then, gold may keep chopping within the tightening triangle. Expect quick intraday trades and sharp fakeouts unless supported by strong volume. Keep your eyes on whether gold can decisively break and hold above $3,400 — otherwise, it’s just noise within a distribution zone.
STRUCTURAL BEHAVIOR: BEARISH BIAS DOMINANT (Until Proven Otherwise)
1. Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel (Bearish Structure)
The structure from early May to June is forming a rising wedge or an ascending channel with lower volume — this is typically a bearish pattern.
Price keeps making higher lows, but struggles to make higher highs. That divergence is a red flag.
2. HVZ Rejections (Distribution Behavior)
Price gets repeatedly rejected in the 3370–3400 HVZ, suggesting supply absorption.
This resembles a distribution zone — strong sellers offloading while buyers get trapped.
3. Volume Profile – Descending Volume
Volume is declining while price remains within a tightening range — a classic exhaustion signal.
In bullish breakouts, you'd expect volume to rise as price pushes higher — that’s not happening here.
4. Support Weakening
The 3323 zone is getting tested multiple times, making it weaker.
The more a support is tested, the higher the chance it breaks.
5. False Breakout Possibility Above Triangle
If price breaks slightly above the wedge/triangle without volume, it's likely a fakeout — classic bull trap setup.
⚠️ HOWEVER: One Bullish Escape Route
If sudden uncertainty spikes (e.g., geopolitical crisis, bad economic data), gold might break 3432, and structure turns bullish.
That’s why the arrow saying IF SUDDEN UNCERTAINTY SPIKES is important — external news can invalidate price structure.
🔚 Verdict:
Bias: Bearish.
The structure, volume, and HVZ rejections suggest distribution and a potential breakdown ahead.
Invalidation: Clean breakout and hold above 3432 on high volume — then structure flips bullish.
Gold Trading Strategy for 12th June 2025📊 GOLD INTRADAY TRADE PLAN – USD ($)
(Based on 30-Minute Candle Confirmation)
🟢 BUY ABOVE $3367
✅ Entry Rule:
🔍 Wait for a 30-minute candle to close above $3367
🔼 Enter only if price breaks the HIGH of that candle
🎯 Targets:
🎯 T1: $3375
🎯 T2: $3385
🎯 T3: $3395
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below the candle low that triggered the buy
🔴 SELL BELOW $3342
✅ Entry Rule:
🔍 Wait for a 30-minute candle to close below $3342
🔽 Enter only if price breaks the LOW of that candle
🎯 Targets:
🎯 T1: $3330
🎯 T2: $3315
🎯 T3: $3300
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above the candle high that triggered the sell
⏱️ STRATEGY CONDITIONS
⚠️ Always wait for a 30-minute candle to close above/below the key levels
🎯 Take trades only if high/low of that candle breaks
📉 Avoid low-volume / sideways markets
💼 Maintain strict risk-reward and capital management
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
📌 This is not financial advice. This setup is shared for educational purposes only.
💹 Trading involves risk. Always use your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before taking any position.