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Gold 30-Min Chart: Sellers Active Near Resistance!Gold is once again testing its falling resistance trendline, which has already rejected the price several times in recent sessions. Each time the price touches this trendline, selling pressure increases, showing how strong this resistance zone is. Currently, the price is near $4070–$4080, where short-term traders should stay alert. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a pullback toward the $4000–$3980 support zone looks likely. This area has previously acted as a strong demand zone, where buyers may re-enter. However, if Gold breaks and sustains above this trendline resistance, we could see a fresh upside momentum building up toward $4115–$4135 levels. For now, the structure looks weak near resistance, and traders should wait for a clear breakout or rejection confirmation before taking any position. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing. Analysis By @TraderRahulPal | More analysis & educational content on my profile. If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by TraderRahulPal
1
GOLD DAILY TRADING 17/11: BUY TODAY🦁 THE GOLDEN ARENA – 17 NOV, 2025 “Rebound or Trap? Let the Orderflow Decide.” A visually striking TradingView plan – part narrative, part tactical map. This is not just a bias, it’s a battlefield strategy. 🧭 MARKET CONTEXT SNAPSHOT Price currently consolidating around 4076 – 4084, after clean breaks of structure (BOS) and a deep retracement. Significant supply zones confirmed at 4157 – 4180, where POC clusters, FVG imbalances, and volume absorptions align. Orderflow on M5–M30 shows fading buy pressure and aggressive sells into lower highs. 🎯 CORE STRATEGIES FOR TODAY 🔺 Scenario 1: Breakout Trap SELL (High Conviction) Target Zone 4178 – 4180 (Main Supply) Stop Loss (SL) 4185 Take Profit 1 (TP1) 4155 (Low volume node) Take Profit 2 (TP2) 4100 (Local support) Take Profit 3 (TP3) 4040 (Structural SSL level) 🔍 Why this setup? Clear liquidity pool above 4178 being targeted. Volume tapering off into the move → classic reversal signal. Footprint shows absorption candles at key supply. 🪙 Scenario 2: FVG Scalping SELL (Secondary) Entry Zone 4157 – 4158 SL 4163 TP 4100 – 4105 ✅ Perfect for short-term scalpers looking to ride the intraday rejection from the imbalance zone. 🟢 Bullish Reversal INVALIDATION (Failsafe Plan) Trigger Break and hold above 4185 Entry Breakout Buy above 4190 SL 4175 TP 4220 Only flip bullish if aggressive buyers step in + strong delta + profile breakout. 🧱 KEY PRICE ZONES TO MONITOR Level Description 4185 Stopline – invalidates Sell 4178 – 4180 Main SELL Zone (POC + FVG) 4157 – 4158 Minor FVG Scalping Area 4100 Micro support + Bull trap 4040 SSL – liquidity target 📊 VOLUME & ORDERFLOW INSIGHT M5–M30 Footprints: Massive seller imbalances from 4175+ Footprint at 4084 shows buyer exhaustion Volume Profile: High-volume node at 4178 acting as strong resistance Low-volume gap below 4155 → fast price travel zone Delta: Negative delta buildup confirming sell bias 💡 EXECUTION CHECKLIST ✅ Wait for entry trigger at marked zones – don’t pre-empt. 🚫 Avoid FOMO buy into supply unless 4185 is cleanly broken. 🔔 Set alerts at 4157 and 4180 for rejection signs. 🧠 TRADING MANTRA OF THE DAY "The chart speaks in structure, The volume whispers the truth, But the orderflow shouts the conviction." 📌 Bias: SELL on retracements toward supply → hold for 4100–4040 📌 Watchlist: Footprint aggression, absorption blocks, spoof traps
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD Repricing MoveXAUUSD Repricing Move Gold continues to trade inside a broader corrective cycle, with price action showing a clear transition from prior strength into a short-term distribution phase. The chart highlights repeated breaks in market structure and shifts in order flow, signalling a controlled decline built on institutional rebalancing. After the recent downside sweep, price is now hovering around a key reaction zone where liquidity has already been absorbed. Sellers dominated the previous swing, but the latest candles show a slowdown in bearish momentum, indicating that the market may be preparing for a corrective repricing attempt. The volume footprint on the left side of the chart reflects previous heavy activity from major participants, and the current area sits beneath an inefficiency pocket that remains unmitigated. This opens the door for a short-term bullish rotation if buyers defend this accumulation region. The marked arrow in your chart aligns with a potential internal shift where gold could attempt a short retracement toward the mid-range of the prior move. Momentum indicators embedded in the structure show reduced volatility, meaning the market may be positioning itself for a liquidity-driven bounce rather than continuing straight lower. The next sessions will reveal whether this zone becomes a launch point for a recovery leg or if the broader trend resumes its downward trajectory.
TVC:GOLDLong
by XAU_EMPIRE
1
Gold Analysis & Trading Strategy | November 17-18✅ From the 4-hour chart, after gold topped at 4245, the price continued to break downward and is still trading below all short-term moving averages (MA5 / MA10 / MA20). This indicates that the larger-cycle bearish trend remains intact. MA5 < MA10 < MA20 — the bearish alignment is clear, and every rebound has been suppressed near MA10 (4110). 💹 Bollinger Bands: The lower band continues to extend downward, the middle band (around 4146) is sloping lower, and the lower band has moved down to 4035. Gold is currently oscillating weakly near the lower band, suggesting that the market is still releasing downside momentum and the lower support has not stabilized. ✅ From the 1-hour chart, gold has been unable to hold above MA20 (around 4084). MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, while MA20 and MA60 act as strong resistance. Each rebound candle shows an upper wick, indicating heavy selling pressure. The 1-hour timeframe is a weak consolidation and there is no valid sign of bottoming or reversal. 💹 Bollinger Bands: The bands are narrowing at the lows, with the middle band (around 4084) moving sideways. The market is consolidating at low levels and may choose a direction soon — with a higher probability of continuing downward in line with the main trend. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150 🟢 Support Levels: 4060–4050 / 4032–4035 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887. 🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080. 🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTrading_JACK
Pressured Below 4050$ as Bears Target the 4,000$ Liquidity BreakGold continues to trade under heavy selling pressure, staying capped beneath 4,050$ and hovering just above the major liquidity floor at 4,000$. With fading expectations for a December Fed cut and cautious global sentiment, buyers remain defensive while sellers maintain structural control. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1) Price remains inside a tight 4,053$ → 4,000$ distribution zone, with the descending trendline keeping gold suppressed. The POC around 4,053$ is acting as a firm ceiling; every retest so far has been rejected. Fibonacci projections from the last drop highlight two major downside liquidity zones: 3,945$ → first liquidity cluster 3,876$ → deeper extension and key demand Current structure resembles a bear flag, hinting that the market may be preparing for another downside expansion. 🎯 Key Scenarios 1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario) If gold loses 4,000$, expect momentum to accelerate into: 3,945$ 3,876$ This remains the most probable path while price holds below 4,053$. 2️⃣ Liquidity Sweep → Short-Covering Bounce If price sweeps 3,945$ and forms bullish rejection wicks: A relief bounce could develop back toward 4,000$, Then 4,053$ (POC) And possibly 4,098$ if buyers gain traction. Still a corrective move unless bulls reclaim the upper structure. ❌ Invalidation (Bearish Bias Weakens) H4 acceptance above 4,098$ → would shift the narrative and force a reassessment of trend direction. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING Insight Gold is still trading below value and below the trendline — this is not a bullish environment yet. The market must either break 4,000$ or reclaim 4,053$–4,098$ before any stronger directional conviction returns. “Let the market show its hand. In a downtrend, weak rallies are opportunities — not reversals.”
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session. After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply around 4006 – a crucial key level – and surged strongly from there. However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts yet. This creates -Downward pressure on gold -Cash flow leaning towards USD ------>>Market sentiment prioritises SELL on price recovery ➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL following the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support. 🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario (SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5) 🔻 Main SELL (priority) SELL Zones: 4050 – 4055 4075 – 4080 4105 – 4110 🟦 Secondary BUY BUY Zones: 3996 – 3994 3965 – 3960 3935 – 3930 3895 – 3890
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Chum_trades
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th November 2025✨ XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Trade Setup ✨ (Price levels based on your strategy plan) 🔻 SELL Setup (Below 5-min Candle Low) 📉 Sell Below: $3,997 (only if a 5-minute candle closes below this level) 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,985 TP2: $3,975 TP3: $3,960 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Above the breakdown candle high or above $4,005 (safety buffer). 📌 Trade Logic: A 5-minute candle closing below $3,997 confirms bearish momentum and opens the path toward intraday support levels. Targets are placed at logical liquidity zones. 🔺 BUY Setup (Above 15-min Candle High) 📈 Buy Above: $4,070 (only if a 15-minute candle closes above this level) 🎯 Targets: TP1: $4,083 TP2: $4,095 TP3: $4,110 🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle low or below $4,055 (safety buffer). 📌 Trade Logic: A 15-minute candle closing above $4,070 signals bullish strength. The upside levels represent potential liquidity and resistance zones. ⚠️ Disclaimer 📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. 💼 This is not financial advice and should not be considered a buy or sell recommendation. 📊 Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own analysis and use proper risk management.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
XAUUSD Double Bull Flag — Danger AheadHello my dear traders, Laura here. This week, the market has been extremely tense, and the price action reflects it well. As I mentioned before, we are currently seeing the formation of a large bull flag. Just above it, a smaller flag is developing, and this smaller structure is the key trigger for any potential continuation. The bullish outlook remains valid only if this smaller flag breaks cleanly. The recent pullback dipped deeper than expected, which signals hesitation from buyers. When confidence fades, even a promising breakout can turn into a sweet trap that lifts briefly before falling sharply. Because of this, patience becomes essential. Before entering, we need a clear and decisive breakout that confirms strength. Specifically, we should look for a candle that breaks through resistance with firmness and clarity. If such a confirmation appears, the path toward the 4,300 level becomes structurally supported. On the other hand, if the price falls below the lower trendline, the bullish scenario is invalidated immediately. At that point, the setup no longer holds and should not be traded. For now, the principle is straightforward. No breakout means no entry. Stay disciplined and avoid letting the market pull you into unnecessary risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story. Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term. 📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1) After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure. Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart. Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets: 4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels. OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally. Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach. 🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference) Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice. Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104 SL: 4,110 TP levels: TP1: 4,098 TP2: 4,077 TP3: 4,048 Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets. Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144 (confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo) SL: 4,150 TP levels: TP1: 4,133 TP2: 4,105 TP3: 4,088 TP4: 4,060 Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend. ⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase. Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process. “In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE...✨ XAUUSD – LANA FOCUSES ON BUYING WITH THE SWING TREND AT THE START OF THE WEEK Fundamental Analysis The Fed has just announced that it will end its QT (Quantitative Tightening) programme starting from 1st December, along with setting the federal funds target rate at 3.75–4%. When QT stops, the balance-sheet reduction slows down, meaning liquidity is no longer being aggressively withdrawn from the market. This generally supports risk assets — and gold as well. Mechanism recap: QE: Expands the Fed’s balance sheet, injecting liquidity into the market. QT: Shrinks the balance sheet, pulling liquidity out. With QT paused, the market expects the Fed to take a softer stance on monetary policy, which strengthens the medium-term bullish outlook for gold. Given this environment, Lana expects gold to retain upside potential early in the week, though price may show volatility near key liquidity zones. Technical Analysis On the H4 timeframe, price structure is following a clear bullish Elliott Wave sequence (1)–(2)–(3)–(4)–(5). The current upward wave has not shown any major reversal signal yet. The Swing Zone at 4190–4195 is the nearest important low and serves as the primary short-term support. This is Lana’s preferred zone for swing-trend buying. Above price, two notable Liquidity Zones are forming: 4250–4260: Near liquidity zone where fake breaks or temporary pullbacks may appear. 4365–4370: Higher liquidity zone aligned with previous highs — likely an area for significant profit-taking if the bullish wave continues. Lana’s main expectation: gold may pull back slightly into the 4190–4195 swing zone, then extend the bullish wave to re-test the liquidity regions above. However, since liquidity zones often create stop-hunts and fake breakouts, Lana does not recommend buying directly at these resistance levels. Key Price Levels Main Support (Swing Buy Zone): 4190 – 4195 Resistance / Liquidity Zones: 4250 – 4260 4365 – 4370 Trade Setup Buy: 4190 – 4195 Stop Loss: 4185 Take Profit: 4250 – 4260 – 4365 – 4370
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lana_M2
XAUUSD Smart Money Outlook – Intraday Discount Buy ModelXAUUSD Bias: Bullish – Looking for Longs Only The market remains in a clear bullish structure on the Daily, H4, and H1. Price is currently trading in premium levels after a strong displacement. The expected behavior for the next trading day is for price to retrace into the Intraday Discount zone during Asia, accumulate in London, and then expand bullishly during New York session. #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #Trading #ICT #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #Liquidity #PriceAction #NYSession #LondonSession #FVG
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shahuthm
XAUUSD DECISION POINT: hold for longs or break for shorts XAUUSD is currently retesting a major weekly level after a strong bullish push, and this area will decide the next directional move. I’m watching for price to reject this resistance zone and pull back into the trendline/structure support—if we see bullish rejection there, longs remain in play toward the 4,330 region. However, if price breaks and closes below the trendline and key support area, that would invalidate the bullish structure and open clean downside continuation into lower levels. Pure price action: reaction at this weekly level will guide whether gold continues its climb or shifts into a deeper correction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ismeerahkhan
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | December 1✅ Last week, gold moved exactly as we anticipated and continued its strong upward trend. On Friday, we repeatedly emphasized that the 4160–4165 zone was an excellent short-term buying opportunity and highlighted the core strategy of “buying on pullbacks.” Gold then rallied strongly as expected, closing firmly near 4217, fully validating our trend outlook. Despite the early closure of the U.S. market during Thanksgiving and the CME technical outage on Friday—which caused temporary liquidity issues and abnormal price fluctuations—the overall bullish rhythm remained intact. The essence of the strong trend did not change. ✅ 4H Chart Analysis Gold has continued to rise steadily since rebounding from the 4020–4030 area. Recent candles show multiple strong bullish bars, and the highs have successively broken above 4169 → 4182 → 4195, indicating continuously strengthening bullish momentum. The latest large bullish candle has pierced the upper Bollinger band, clearly showing powerful upside momentum. ➡️ The 4H structure remains firmly bullish with no signs of a top forming. Bollinger Bands: The upper band is opening upward, showing a trending bullish move. Price is riding along the upper band—a classic sign of a strong trend, where pullbacks are shallow and price tends to continue higher after brief consolidation. ✅ 1H Chart Analysis The structure is clear: 4155 → 4170–4180 pullback → rally to 4226, forming a textbook bullish uptrend. As long as 4155 is not broken, the trend is expected to continue toward the 4240–4250 zone. Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 remain upward-sloping and close to price. MA20 sits at 4188–4190, acting as the key short-term support. A retest of MA20 should be viewed as a healthy pullback, not a reversal. ➡️ As long as price holds above MA20, the bullish trend will keep extending. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 4240–4245 / 4300 🟢 Support Levels: 4175–4180 / 4155 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference 📌 1. Buy on Pullbacks (Main Strategy) 🟠Key buying zone: 4175–4180 🟠If price dips quickly but holds above 4175, consider entering long positions 🟠Strong buy zone: 4155–4160 (secondary long entry) 🎯 Targets: 4225 / 4240–4245 ⛔ Stop-loss: below 4150 📌 2. Short on Rejections (Secondary Strategy) 🟠4245–4250 is a major resistance zone 🟠If price spikes into this area but shows rejection (long upper wicks or 1H bearish candle), consider light short positions 🎯 Targets: 4210 / 4185 ⛔ Stop-loss: above 4255 ✅ Summary 1️⃣ The market trend is bullish → support levels are rising → the uptrend is not finished 2️⃣ The 4H trend is strong, and the 1H chart is accelerating upward 3️⃣ 4155 is the key line — the “life line” of the bullish structure ✅ Key Levels to Watch Next Week 🔴 Upside: 4245–4250 — A break above this opens the path toward 4300 🟢 Downside: 4175–4180 — As long as this support holds, the bullish trend continues
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingPro
Weekly Gold analysis & 8R scenarioLast week gold closed positively with a strong candle showing positivity and approaching to a strong 4H FVG nested inside weekly quadrant level and making cluster. We may see both buying and selling scenarios. Gold has also broken 4H trend line and retested it. So we can see a possible move till FVG. We may also witness a breakout if price violates FVG and breaks all time high with strong volume support. 1. Price is creating higher highs in micro structure level and approaching towards 4hours FVG after breaking and retesting trend line at 4 Hours. 2. Trend line breakout is supported by strong volume. 3. Price is continuously running above EMAs confirming up move for now. 4. We may see a reversal scenario at 4 hour FVG level. 5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF. 6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone. 7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~8R trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Join me on live stream for real time update. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HareeyMarketMantraah
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – Week 1 of December 20251. Momentum W1 – Weekly Timeframe Weekly momentum is currently turning upward, exactly as warned last week: if weekly momentum continues to rise strongly, the market may enter a bullish phase lasting 4–5 weeks. However, the candlestick structure still shows short, overlapping candles, which do not yet reflect a clear long-term uptrend. Therefore, we need to continue monitoring closely. D1 – Daily Timeframe Daily momentum remains compressed in the overbought zone, indicating a potential reversal on the daily chart in the coming week. H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe H4 momentum is currently rising, suggesting that early in the Asian session on Monday the market may continue with another upward move or remain in a sideways structure. ________________________________________ 2. Wave Structure W1 – Weekly Timeframe On the weekly chart, the main focus remains on weekly momentum: • If weekly momentum pushes decisively into the overbought zone and price breaks the 4,396 high, the current corrective structure may be considered complete, and the market could begin yellow wave 5. • The initial upside target in this scenario would be the 4,592 region. However, weekly candles still do not support a long-term bullish view, as they lack a pattern of higher highs and higher lows and instead show overlapping behavior. Therefore, for now, we prioritize monitoring the wave structure and momentum on D1. ________________________________________ D1 – Daily Timeframe The strong rally on Friday pushed the price higher, threatening the red 1–2–3–4–5 count. However, to fully invalidate this structure, price must reach or exceed 4,245. → Therefore, at this moment, the red 1–2–3–4–5 wave count remains valid. If price breaks above 4,245, it suggests that purple wave X is still unfolding, forming a W–X–Y Flat correction in purple, with wave Y potentially ending near the previous wave X bottom. If price breaks strongly above the orange wave 3 high (4,383), the market will enter orange wave 5, and given the nature of commodities—where wave 5 often extends—targets could exceed 4,592. ________________________________________ H4 – 4-Hour Timeframe Since the red 1–2–3–4–5 count has not been invalidated, we continue to follow this plan. On the H4 chart: • Price is currently inside blue wave 5, which itself belongs to black wave 5 of blue wave C. • Black wave 5 shows a five-wave internal structure in blue, but with overlapping price action, suggesting a possible ending diagonal formation for black wave 5. If this is indeed an ending diagonal, the market should experience a sharp decline to confirm the pattern. Key confirmation signals to watch on Monday: • A H4 candle closing below 4,184 • Ideally, a stronger close below 4,158 If these conditions appear, we will prioritize breakout trading around: • 4,184 • 4,158 I will provide a detailed update once we have real market data early next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Part 11 Trading Master Class What Are Options? Options are financial contracts that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (called the strike price) before or on a specific date. Unlike shares, which give ownership, options only provide trading rights. There are two main types of options: Call Option – gives the right to buy. Put Option – gives the right to sell. The buyer of an option pays a premium, while the seller (or writer) receives the premium and must fulfill the contract if the buyer exercises it.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Gold Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win the $4,100 Battle?🧭 Market Overview Current Price Zone: Gold is trading near $4,141.27, slightly below recent highs around $4,200. 52-Week Range: From a low of $2,583.49 to a high of $4,381.60, indicating strong bullish momentum over the past year. Recent Action: Price is consolidating between $4,040 and $4,080, suggesting a pause after a multi-month rally. 📊 Technical Indicators Trend: Long-term bullish, but short-term momentum is neutral to slightly bearish. Support Zones: $3,987: 55-day SMA, acting as a dynamic support. $3,886: Weekly low, a key horizontal support level. Resistance Zones: $4,245: November high, first major resistance. $4,380: All-time high, ultimate bullish target. Momentum Indicators: RSI and MACD show weakening bullish momentum. Stochastics and Williams %R suggest potential overbought conditions. 📐 Chart Analysis Demand Zone: The grey rectangle around $4,173.23 likely marks a support area where buyers previously stepped in. Stop-Loss Zone: The red rectangle below current price could represent a risk threshold for long positions. Take-Profit Zone: The upper grey rectangle suggests a bullish target zone, possibly aligned with the $4,245–$4,380 resistance band. Time Markers: Vertical red dashed lines may indicate key news events or session starts that influenced volatility. 🧠 Strategic Insights Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $4,245 could trigger a run toward $4,380. Traders may look for confirmation via volume spikes or bullish candlestick patterns. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $4,040 could expose the $3,987 and $3,886 supports. Watch for bearish divergence in momentum indicators. Neutral Bias: Until price breaks out of the current range, scalping or range-bound strategies may be more effective than trend-following. 🛠 Trade Setup Suggestions Entry: Consider entries near $4,100 if bullish signals emerge (e.g., bullish engulfing, MACD crossover). Stop-Loss: Below $4,040 or $3,987 depending on risk tolerance. Take-Profit: Target $4,245 initially, with extended targets at $4,380 if momentum continues. 🔍 Final Thoughts Gold’s technical landscape is rich with opportunity but demands precision. The current consolidation phase is a battleground between bulls and bears. Traders should stay nimble, monitor macroeconomic cues (like Fed rate decisions), and adjust risk management accordingly.
BLUEBERRY:XAUUSDLong
by ishhakmansur
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory 4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion. Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts. 🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View) 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 SL: 4130 TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+ Rationale: • Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf • Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep 🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247 SL: 4255 TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140 Rationale: • Premium supply above equal-high liquidity • 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning. • Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases. • Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers). • Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed. Summary Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility. Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins. 🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader