XAUUSD (GOLD ) BO STRUCTURE SHORT TERMCurrently, the price is hovering near the mid-support box (~3300 zone) with a small bullish candle, indicating a possible bounce. The two blue arrows highlight potential scenarios:
A bullish breakout towards the upper resistance zone (~3427), if price holds and reverses upward from current support.
A bearish breakdown towards the lower support (~3201), if price breaches the current demand zone.
CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)
3,309.230USDR
+33.413+1.02%
As of today at 09:25 GMT
USD
No trades
GOLD trade ideas
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 22, 2025
🔍 Momentum Overview
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, signaling a potential reversal within the next 1–2 sessions. That said, the current bullish leg may still extend — it’s important to wait for tomorrow’s D1 candle close for confirmation. Entering overbought territory is a warning that upside momentum is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining. Unless a strong bullish candle closes above 3391 to trigger a reversal, the price is likely to continue moving sideways or downward today.
• H1 timeframe: There are signs of a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3385 and posts a strong breakout candle above 3391, it could present a short-term buying opportunity.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
• Price is consolidating within the 3390 – 3402 range — a key zone to monitor closely.
• The 3380 level is a critical threshold, aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of Wave (3). A daily close below this level would raise the possibility that the move is part of a correction rather than Wave 4.
• A flat ABC correction is currently unfolding, with the 1.618 extension of Wave A already reached at 3385.
• If price breaks below 3360, it would overlap with the previous Wave 1, invalidating the current impulsive wave count. In that case, we should consider the potential continuation of a larger abcde triangle correction.
🔗 Momentum & Wave Structure Combined
• H1 is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, but H4 momentum remains bearish. Without a strong breakout candle above 3391, price is likely to drift sideways or lower until H4 reaches the oversold zone.
• Conservative approach: Wait for H4 to enter oversold territory before considering any long positions.
• The ideal buy setup would be a bullish reaction from the 3382 – 3380 zone.
📈 Trade Setup
• Buy Zone: 3382 – 3380
• Stop Loss: 3372
• Take Profit 1: 3402
• Take Profit 2: 3412
• Take Profit 3: 3428
Rising wedge with equal highs| Aspect | **2016 Chart** (Image 2) | **2025 Chart** (Image 1) |
| ----------------- | --------------------------------- | ------------------------------------ |
| Pattern Type | Rising wedge with **lower highs** | Rising wedge with **equal highs** |
| Key Resistance | \~\$1,370 zone (flat top) | \~\$3,465 zone (flat top) |
| Trendline Support | Broken around \~\$1,315 | Just **testing break** at \~\$3,310 |
| Retest Zone | \~\$1,325–\$1,340 (small bounce) | Likely retest \~\$3,250–\$3,300 zone |
| Fall Target | \~\$1,200–\$1,150 zone | Targeting \~\$2,960 and below |
Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025Gold XAUUSD Trading Strategy July 29, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices continued to fall as expected. After approaching the resistance area of 3300, gold prices are recovering.
Basic news: The market is almost unlikely to see the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates in July and about 40% chance that the FED will continue to keep interest rates unchanged in September, up from about 10% the previous month. US non-farm payrolls are likely to continue to increase rapidly, showing a rapid recovery in the labor market.
Technical analysis: Gold prices continue to stick with the MA lines, the downtrend channel has not been broken. Currently, the 3280 - 3285 area may be a support area for gold prices to recover after the previous sharp decline. We will mainly trade according to the short-term trend and wait for a long-term buying point.
Important price zones today: 3330 - 3335, 3350 - 3355 and 3280 - 3285.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3333 - 3335
SL 3338
TP 3330 - 3320 - 3300 - 3280.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3358
TP 3350 - 3340 - 3320 - 3300.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3283 - 3285
SL 3280
TP 3288 - 3300 - 3320 - 3340 - Open.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.💗💗💗💗💗
Gold dives toward 3,320 as Fed decision loomsHello everyone, what are your thoughts on gold prices?
Gold's decline is accelerating, dragging the precious metal down toward the 3,320 USD mark. A stronger U.S. dollar and further developments on the trade front following the U.S.-EU agreement have significantly impacted demand for safe-haven assets.
From a technical perspective, the break below the rising price channel could mark the beginning of a deeper correction. Oscillators on the chart have just started turning negative, suggesting that the path of least resistance for gold is now downward.
Looking ahead, Wednesday’s key FOMC decision—along with the accompanying policy statement and Powell’s press conference—will be closely scrutinized for clues on the Fed’s interest rate cut roadmap.
Additionally, investors will face several important U.S. macroeconomic data releases this week, which will play a vital role in shaping the USD’s trajectory and provide new momentum for XAUUSD.
What do you think about the precious metal? Share your thoughts below!
XAU/USDThis XAU/USD trade setup is a buy trade, indicating an expectation that gold prices will rise. The entry price is 3318, the stop-loss is set at 3307, and the exit price is 3346. This setup shows a bullish outlook on gold, with the trader aiming to capture an upward move of 28 points from entry to exit. The stop-loss at 3307 limits the downside risk to 11 points, providing a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio of more than 1:2.
Buying at 3318 suggests that the trader expects gold to gain strength due to factors such as a weaker US dollar, lower Treasury yields, or increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. The target of 3346 is set at a key resistance level, where the trader expects to book profits.
Proper risk management is essential because gold can be volatile, especially during major economic news releases or geopolitical events. The trade should be monitored closely, ensuring that market conditions support a bullish move.
Overall, this setup provides a structured plan to enter long at 3318, place a tight stop-loss at 3307, and exit at 3346, aiming for disciplined and profitable trading in XAU/USD.
XAUUSD: Weak rebound, eyes on 3,300 support zone!Hello traders! A new trading week has just begun, so let’s take a moment to review last week’s market movements and outline our game plan for today.
Overall, the bearish trend in XAUUSD extended into the end of last week. The strong support level around $3,370 failed to reverse the market, and the downward momentum continued as expected.
Currently, gold is trading around $3,335, attempting a mild recovery near the $3,325 support zone. However, bullish momentum remains limited, with buyers lacking the conviction to drive prices higher.
Given the prevailing trend, further downside is possible—though it may be short-lived as the market approaches the key support near $3,300. This level aligns with a previously established price base, making it a logical target if selling pressure persists.
There’s technical evidence suggesting that price may continue lower upon retesting resistance levels, especially as the EMA remains tilted downward, signaling persistent bearish control.
XAU/USD 1H – Range Consolidation Below Ichimoku Cloud. Chart Review & Technical Insight
1. Ichimoku Cloud & Overall Structure
Price is below the Ichimoku Cloud, with the cloud ahead sloping downward—indicative of bearish short‑term momentum and resistance overhead as long as the cloud holds above price.
The Kijun-sen (blue) line is above the Tenkan-sen (red), reinforcing the bearish bias on this timeframe.
2. Price Action & Key Zones
A support zone around 3,327–3,330 USD/oz is visible, underpinned by multiple rejection taps and price consolidation (“$$$” zone). A clean break below could open the path toward the 3,320’s or lower imbalance region.
On the upside, resistance lies near 3,339–3,340, backed by the cloud’s lower boundary and the Kijun-sen level.
The highlighted green rectangle appears to signal a potential bullish breakout target zone toward 3,365–3,392, contingent on recovery above the cloud.
3. Momentum & Trade Considerations
Momentum is weak, with price moving sideways inside a low‑volatility rectangle on diminishing volume and few directional impulses.
Possible ABC corrective structure is forming as marked, suggesting price may oscillate sideways or continue correcting within established bounds.
A bullish scenario would require clearing the Ichimoku Cloud and resistance at 3,340–3,360 USD.
Conversely, a bearish breakdown below ~3,327 could confirm continuation deeper into the 3,320s or toward the next significant demand zone near 3,300 USD.
✅ Summary
Bias: Slightly bearish to neutral until price can clear the Ichimoku Cloud.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 3,327–3,330 (immediate), then 3,320–3,300.
Resistance: 3,339–3,365, cloud top near 3,365, further target zone 3,392.
Scenarios:
Bullish breakout: Close above cloud → potential rally toward 3,365–3,392.
Bearish breakdown: Close below 3,327 → deeper correction toward 3,320 and lower imbalance areas.
Gold price accumulation, price reduction rangePlan XAU day: 28 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) have stalled their intraday rebound from a more than one-week low and are trading around the $3,335 level during the early European session on Monday, marking a decline for the third consecutive day. Renewed strength in the US Dollar (USD) continues to weigh on the precious metal, serving as a primary headwind. Additionally, a broadly positive market sentiment—supported by recent trade-related optimism—is further limiting the upside potential for the safe-haven asset.
That said, USD bulls may exercise caution and refrain from initiating aggressive positions ahead of further clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook. As such, market participants are expected to closely monitor the outcome of the upcoming two-day FOMC meeting concluding on Wednesday, which is likely to influence USD dynamics and provide fresh directional impetus for non-yielding gold. Moreover, this week’s key US macroeconomic data releases will be instrumental in determining the next leg of movement for the XAU/USD pair
personal opinion:!!!
Very important news this week, gold price is forecast to continue to fall sharply below 3300 with the almost certain result that the FED will continue to keep the current interest rate unchanged.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3340, 3358 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAU/USD
On July 25, a strategic trade setup was identified in the XAU/USD pair with an entry price at 3371, a stop-loss at 3364, and a target exit at 3385. The trade capitalized on bullish momentum following a minor pullback, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2. The price action showed strong support near the 3365 level, where buyers had previously stepped in, indicating a solid base for a potential upward move.
Entering at 3371 allowed the trade to ride the bullish wave as price moved above a short-term resistance. The stop-loss at 3364 was placed strategically just below the recent swing low, protecting capital in case of a reversal. The target at 3385 was aligned with a key resistance zone from earlier sessions, offering a realistic and achievable exit.
This setup was ideal for intraday or short-term traders looking to take advantage of price volatility in gold. Technical indicators, such as RSI and MACD, supported the bullish bias, and volume showed a surge during entry time. The trade closed in profit at 3385, reflecting a successful execution based on disciplined entry and exit criteria. Such trades highlight the importance of planning, analysis, and timely action in gold trading.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD July 24, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD July 24, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, after rising to the 343x area, created a double-top pattern and fell sharply at the beginning of today's trading session.
Basic news: The EU is close to a 15% tariff agreement with the United States. The yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell more than 5 basis points to 4.332% before recovering to 4.364% but is still very low. The US real yield also fell 4.5 basis points to 1.932%.
Technical analysis: Gold prices fell sharply after forming a double-top pattern at the 343x area. RSI H1 is approaching the oversold area; RSI H4 and D1 are currently showing signs of correction to the average line. We will wait for the recovery of gold prices and continue trading at resistance areas.
Important price zones today: 3400 - 3405, 3420- 3425 and 3360 - 3365.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3400 - 3402
SL 3405
TP 3397 - 3387 - 3377 - 3367.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422
SL 3425
TP 3417 - 3407 - 3387 - 3367.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3363 - 3365
SL 3360
TP 3368 - 3378 - 3388 - 3400.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold breaks 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level 3358
**Gold Positional Trade Setup:**
If Gold breaks 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and closes above **3358**, consider initiating a **long position**.
* **Entry:** Above 3358 (after a confirmed close)
* **Target:** 3440
* **Note:** Maintain a proper risk-reward ratio and adhere to your risk management strategy.
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XAU/USD Buy Setup - SMC CONCEPT🔔 XAU/USD Buy Setup – Smart Money Concept Based |4H Order Block + Liquidity Sweep
📍 Buy Zone (4H OB): $1,977 – $1,908
📍 Liquidity Swept: $1,983.840
📍 Confirmation: Wait for 15min Break of Structure (BOS) before executing long entry.
🧠 Context:
Gold just swept key liquidity resting above $1,983.840 and tapped into a strong 4H Bullish Order Block between $1,977 and $1,908.
We anticipate potential bullish continuation — but only upon lower-timeframe confirmation.
⚠️ Avoid early entries. Enter only after a valid 15min BOS forms from this zone, which signals smart money accumulation.
🎯 Potential Targets (TPs):
• TP1: $2,010
• TP2: $2,025
• TP3: $2,048
(Adjust based on real-time PA and structure)
🛑 Stoploss: Below $1,905 (structure-based only)
📌 Trade Plan Summary:
This setup is based on smart money principles — liquidity sweep + OB reaction + LTF BOS.
Wait for confirmation, follow your risk management rules, and avoid FOMO.
✅ If this analysis adds value, give it a like and follow for more trade breakdowns based on institutional concepts.
Drop your views or charts in the comments! Let’s trade smart in 2025 🚀
XAUUSD – Is a Deep Correction Just Around the Corner?Gold just took a brutal hit, plunging over 3,728 pips in a single session — down 1.10%, marking the sharpest drop in weeks.
Why?
Jobless claims dropped → Labor market too strong
Flash Manufacturing PMI beat expectations → U.S. economy remains resilient
The Fed is likely to keep rates higher for longer → USD strengthens → Gold gets dumped hard.
Currently, price is testing the FVG zone and the channel support. If it fails to hold above 3,363, the next target could be 3,344.5 or even lower.
Strategy: Look for SELL opportunities if price fails to reclaim 3,402.4, followed by a potential break of support and deeper drop.
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD July 23, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, the gold price increased sharply from the 3383 area to the 3440 area. Currently, the gold price continues to increase according to the main trend.
Basic news: The tension between the United States and its three largest partners, Mexico, Canada and the European Union, due to the White House imposing tariffs on August 1. Investors are confused about the statement that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell may be replaced and the structure of Federal Reserve officials may be reshaped.
Technical analysis: After a long multi-frame compression process before, the gold price has increased sharply since the beginning of the week. Currently, the RSI on the H1 and H4 time frames is approaching the overbought area, but the MA lines are still supporting the price to continue to increase. Today the 3395 - 3400 area will be very important, if the price breaks this area it can form a short-term downtrend, showing the profit-taking rhythm of investors in the short term.
Important price zones today: 3395 - 3400, 3369 - 3374 and 3445 - 3450.
Today's trading trend: BUY (scalp).
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3395 - 3397
SL 3392
TP 3400 - 3410 - 3430 - 3450.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3369 - 3371
SL 3366
TP 3374 - 3380 - 3390 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3448 - 3450
SL 3453
TP 3445 - 3435 - 3415 - 3405 - OPEN.
Wish you a safe, favorable and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold technical analysis and operation strategyGold technical analysis and operation strategy
Market review and current trend
Gold fell from $3402 as expected in the morning trading today. After the price rose in resonance in the evening, it chased more again at 3397.8. The current gold price has broken through the short-term acceleration line. The key resistance above is at $3420 (the pressure of the convergent triangle trend line). If it is touched for the first time, you can try shorting. The support below focuses on 3400-3405. After stabilization, it is still bullish. Breaking through 3420 is expected to challenge the previous high of 3452.
Key driving factors of fundamentals
Fed policy expectations: The market focuses on the speech of Fed Chairman Powell at 20:30 tonight. If he releases dovish signals (such as hinting at a rate cut), it may boost gold; if he maintains a hawkish stance, gold prices may be under pressure by 37.
Geopolitical and trade risks:
The escalation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has boosted safe-haven demand, and gold open interest has surged by 23%5.
As trade frictions between Europe and the United States intensify, the EU may impose retaliatory tariffs of $72 billion on the United States, exacerbating market volatility6.
US dollar and US Treasury yields: The US dollar index fell below 98, and the 10-year US Treasury yield fell back below 2%, reducing the cost of holding gold and supporting the gold price of 610.
Key points of technical analysis
Support level:
3400-3405 (short-term long-short watershed)
3385 (today's low, key defensive position)
3360-3350 (daily moving average support) 18
Resistance level:
3420 (convergent triangle upper track, short short for the first time)
3452 (previous high pressure, may accelerate upward after breaking through) 10
Operation strategy
Short-term short order: first touch 3430 light position short, stop loss 3438, target 3415-3410.
Pullback long: 3410-3405 stabilizes and then long, stop loss 3395, target 3430, break to see 3430-3452.
Breakout strategy: If it stands firm at 3420, you can follow up with long orders, with the target being 810 above 3450.
Risk warning
Powell's speech may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to control positions and avoid heavy positions in the data market.
If it falls below 3385, the short-term bullish structure may be destroyed, and we need to be vigilant about further corrections to 3360-3350.