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XAU/USD Bullish Trade Setup Buy from POI Zone towards 3668TargetXAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Analysis ✅ Trend: The market is in a clear bullish trend with higher highs & higher lows. Price is trading above both EMA 70 (3,547) and EMA 200 (3,486), confirming strong upward momentum. 📌 Key Levels: POI Buying Zone: 3,554 – 3,576 (strong support area) Target Point: 3,668 – 3,669 Support Line: Still respected, adding confluence to the bullish setup. 📈 Strategies Applied: Trend Following: Bullish as long as price stays above EMAs. Support & Resistance: Buying zone aligns with strong support. EMA Strategy: Price above EMAs = buy signal. Price Action: Retest of POI zone before moving up.mm 🎯 Trade Idea: Entry: Around 3,555 – 3,576 (buying zone) Stop Loss: Below 3,547 (EMA 70 / zone invalidation) Target: 3,668 – 3,670 ⚡ Summary: Market remains bullish, correction into the POI zone is a good buying opportunity aiming for new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MR_JOHN144
1
Gold Targets $3,600 After Strong BreakoutAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) continues its bullish rally after breaking above the buy zone near $3,440 and holding strong momentum. The market has recently made higher highs, with price consolidating slightly below the resistance zone. Currently, gold is trading at $3,548, with the short-term target identified at $3,600. The chart suggests potential consolidation in the highlighted area before another upward push. The SMA (9) at $3,552 is acting as dynamic support, keeping the bullish bias intact. If buyers maintain control, a clear breakout above $3,552 – $3,560 could confirm a move toward $3,600 – $3,604. However, if momentum weakens, support lies at $3,511 and $3,499, with a deeper pullback possible toward the $3,440 buy zone. Overall, the sentiment remains bullish, and gold looks positioned to test the $3,600 psychological resistance in the near term.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Pipshunter27
Weekly Outlook: Big Bullish Move + Key US DataMarket View: Gold (XAUUSD) finished the week with strong momentum after Nonfarm pushed price close to $3600/oz ATH. On the daily chart, the candle closed almost full body (only ~30% wick), showing no profit-taking yet. The weekly chart is also strongly bullish – confirming that buyers are in control. This signals more upside likely in the coming week and month. Key US Events This Week: Wed, Sep 10: Core PPI & PPI m/m → If higher than expected, USD may strengthen short-term, creating pressure on gold. Thu, Sep 11: CPI (Core, m/m, y/y) + Jobless Claims → the most important release. Lower CPI + higher claims = bullish for gold. Higher CPI = hawkish Fed = pressure. Fri, Sep 12: UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations → could shift Fed outlook further. 👉 Fundamentals may bring volatility, but overall medium-term trend remains bullish. Technical Outlook (H1 Chart): After the Nonfarm breakout, gold is consolidating sideways. Levels to watch: Support: 3574 – 3551 – 3530 – 3516 Resistance: 3600 – 3621 – 3633 – 3649 – 3669 – 3678 Trading Plan: BUY bias (preferred): Long on dips near 3574–3550 SL: below 3530 TP: 3600 → 3621 → 3633 → 3649 → 3669 → 3678 SELL scalp (alternative): Only if 3530 breaks with strong CPI surprise → target 3516/3527 Summary: ✅ Gold stays in a strong uptrend on Daily & Weekly charts. Macro factors support more upside if inflation keeps easing. 👉 Watch 3592 (bullish trigger) and 3575 (bearish trigger) as the key decision levels. Follow MMFLOW TRADING for daily plans and quick updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GIFT Nifty & Its Impact on Indian MarketsPart 1: Background & Origin of GIFT Nifty What is GIFT City? GIFT City (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City) is India’s first International Financial Services Centre (IFSC). Located near Gandhinagar, Gujarat, it was conceptualized to create a world-class financial hub in India to compete with global centers like Singapore, Dubai, and Hong Kong. GIFT City offers tax incentives, relaxed regulatory norms, and state-of-the-art infrastructure for global financial institutions to operate. What is SGX Nifty? The SGX Nifty was a derivative contract based on the Nifty 50 index, traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). It allowed international investors to take exposure to Indian equities without registering in India. For years, SGX Nifty acted as a barometer for Indian markets, especially because it traded during hours when Indian markets were closed. Traders in India would often look at SGX Nifty early morning to predict the likely opening of the Indian stock market. The Dispute & Transition In 2018, NSE (National Stock Exchange of India) announced it would stop licensing its Nifty index to foreign exchanges like SGX. The decision led to arbitration between NSE and SGX, as SGX Nifty had become very popular among global investors. Finally, a compromise was reached: SGX Nifty contracts would be migrated to GIFT City under NSE IFSC. On July 3, 2023, SGX Nifty officially rebranded as GIFT Nifty and trading began on NSE IFSC. Part 2: Structure & Features of GIFT Nifty Key Features Underlying Index: Nifty 50 (India’s flagship index). Contract Type: Futures contracts (similar to SGX Nifty). Trading Venue: NSE International Exchange (NSE IX) at GIFT City IFSC. Currency: Denominated in US Dollars instead of Indian Rupees. Trading Hours: Nearly 21 hours (from 6:30 AM to 2:45 AM IST) — allowing overlap with Asian, European, and US markets. Participants: International investors, Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs), NRIs, and eligible domestic investors. Types of GIFT Nifty Contracts Currently, NSE IFSC offers futures contracts on: GIFT Nifty 50 GIFT Nifty Bank GIFT Nifty Financial Services GIFT Nifty IT This expands the scope beyond just the Nifty 50 index, giving investors wider access to Indian sectoral indices. Why Dollar Denominated? International investors prefer USD-denominated contracts as it eliminates INR currency risk. It makes Indian markets more accessible globally without forcing traders to manage currency exposure. Part 3: Importance of GIFT Nifty 1. A Gateway for Global Investors Earlier, SGX Nifty allowed foreign investors to participate in Indian markets indirectly. With GIFT Nifty, India itself now provides that gateway, strengthening its own financial ecosystem. 2. Deepening Market Liquidity By concentrating derivatives trading within India, NSE IFSC attracts liquidity that was earlier routed abroad. This boosts India’s derivatives market depth, transparency, and volumes. 3. Enhancing India’s Global Financial Standing Shifting trading from Singapore to India signals that India is ready to host global investors on its own platform. This strengthens India’s ambition of making GIFT City a financial hub like Dubai or Singapore. 4. Longer Trading Hours Indian stock exchanges (NSE & BSE) operate from 9:15 AM to 3:30 PM IST. GIFT Nifty trades for 21 hours, giving almost round-the-clock access to Indian equity exposure. This aligns India with global markets, reduces overnight risks, and improves price discovery. 5. Price Discovery & Market Sentiment Earlier, SGX Nifty served as an indicator of Indian market openings. Now, GIFT Nifty performs that role. With long trading hours, it reflects global sentiment on Indian equities more effectively. Part 4: Impact of GIFT Nifty on Indian Markets A. Impact on Indian Exchanges (NSE & BSE) Positive: More visibility, control, and revenue for NSE as global trading activity comes under its umbrella. Neutral/Negative: Indian retail traders may feel disconnected since contracts are in USD and primarily targeted at international investors. B. Impact on Market Liquidity Migration of volumes from SGX to GIFT increases liquidity within Indian jurisdiction. Higher liquidity means tighter spreads, better efficiency, and more robust risk management for investors. C. Impact on Global Investors Easier access to Indian markets without worrying about Indian regulations. Extended trading hours make Indian assets more attractive for hedging and speculative purposes. Dollar-denominated contracts align with global trading practices. D. Impact on Domestic Investors Initially limited, since GIFT Nifty is mainly designed for FPIs and international traders. However, over time, domestic institutions (like mutual funds and banks) may benefit by using it for hedging foreign flows. E. Impact on Indian Rupee (INR) Since contracts are in USD, demand for Indian equities could indirectly influence INR movements. GIFT City also has potential to become a hub for INR trading in future. F. Impact on India’s Financial Image Positions India as a serious global financial player. Increases foreign confidence in Indian regulatory and market structures. Part 5: Comparison – GIFT Nifty vs SGX Nifty Aspect SGX Nifty GIFT Nifty Location Singapore Exchange NSE IFSC (GIFT City, India) Currency USD USD Trading Hours 16 hours 21 hours Regulator MAS (Singapore) IFSCA (India) Ownership of Revenues SGX NSE Underlying Index Nifty 50 Nifty 50, Bank, IT, Financial Services Role in Price Discovery Yes Yes (now the official one) The shift essentially moves control and revenues from Singapore to India. Part 6: Opportunities Created by GIFT Nifty Boost for GIFT City – The success of GIFT Nifty can attract other asset classes like global bonds, currencies, and commodities. Increased FPI Flows – Easier access encourages more foreign portfolio investment into India. Derivatives Ecosystem Expansion – Potential to introduce options, ETFs, and structured products linked to Indian indices. Cross-Border Collaboration – GIFT Nifty opens avenues for India to collaborate with global exchanges in other products. Risk Management for Global Investors – Long trading hours provide effective hedging tools. Part 7: Challenges & Concerns Liquidity Migration – Will all volumes shift smoothly from SGX to GIFT Nifty? Some traders may prefer Singapore due to familiarity. Regulatory Environment – Global investors need confidence in IFSCA’s regulatory robustness. Dollar Contracts Disconnect – Indian retail traders may feel left out since contracts are not INR-based. Competition from Other Hubs – Dubai, Singapore, and Hong Kong remain strong competitors as global finance centers. Infrastructure Readiness – GIFT City must maintain world-class standards to handle high-frequency global trades. Part 8: Long-Term Implications Strengthening NSE’s Global Role NSE may emerge as a global exchange platform beyond Indian borders. Growth of GIFT City Success of GIFT Nifty sets the tone for making GIFT City India’s Wall Street. Integration with Global Finance Longer trading hours and dollar-denomination bring Indian equities closer to global investors. Increased FPI Confidence Consistent performance of GIFT Nifty could increase foreign flows into India’s cash equity markets. Policy Influence If successful, it could encourage policymakers to replicate such models in bonds, currencies, and commodities. Part 9: Case Study – First Year of GIFT Nifty In its first year, GIFT Nifty volumes have been rising steadily. According to exchange reports, daily average turnover crossed billions of dollars within months. Many global institutional investors have already shifted positions from SGX. This indicates strong acceptance and confidence in India’s financial infrastructure. Conclusion The launch of GIFT Nifty is a historic milestone in India’s journey toward becoming a global financial powerhouse. By bringing offshore trading of Indian equity derivatives back to Indian soil, it strengthens the domestic ecosystem, enhances liquidity, and improves price discovery. For global investors, GIFT Nifty provides almost round-the-clock access to Indian markets in a familiar USD-denominated format. For India, it symbolizes financial sovereignty, global competitiveness, and the ambition of positioning GIFT City as an international financial hub. While challenges remain—such as building liquidity, ensuring robust regulation, and competing with established hubs—GIFT Nifty has already made a significant impact on how the world interacts with Indian equities. Over the next decade, its success could pave the way for India’s deeper integration into global capital markets, making it a win-win for investors, exchanges, and the Indian economy alike.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1
Gold Analysis and Trading strategy ✅ After a continuous rally, gold faced resistance around 3599, with significant short-term selling pressure. The price has moved far from the MA20 (around 3547), creating a short-term deviation. Without continued volume support, there is a risk of a technical pullback. The MACD histogram is shrinking, and both DIF and DEA are flattening at high levels, indicating weakening bullish momentum. The KDJ is in the overbought zone (K > 80) and showing signs of topping out, suggesting an increased probability of a short-term correction. ✅ The 4-hour chart shows that gold’s upward momentum is weakening, with a higher likelihood of sideways consolidation or a minor pullback. Key support lies at 3568–3575, and if this level breaks, the next support to watch is 3540–3550. 🔴 Resistance: 3600–3605 🟢 Support: 3568–3575 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If the price rebounds but fails to break above 3600, consider light short positions with targets at 3570–3550. 🔰 If the price pulls back to 3568–3575 and stabilizes, consider scaling into long positions, targeting another breakout above 3600.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
1
XAU/USD – FED, Tariffs & NFP Today | Captain Vincent🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News The probability of a FED rate cut in September has risen to 99.4% (from 96.6%) → almost certain. FED’s Cook is under fraud investigation , combined with weak prior economic data → further strengthens momentum for Gold. US–Japan deal : US reduces chip import tariffs to 15%, in return Japan invests 550B USD + purchases 8B USD in agricultural products. Although positive, it does not change the main outlook as markets remain focused on interest rates & inflation. Trump : Threatens tariffs on all chip/semis companies not entering the US → raises geopolitical concerns. NFP & Unemployment Rate (UR) tonight at 19:30 → key event, may trigger strong volatility. ⏩ Captain’s Summary: Capital flow still leans towards BUY Gold thanks to FED rate cut expectations, but short-term shakeouts may occur before/after the news. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis M30 BOS: Gold has just formed a Break of Structure, overall trend remains bullish. Captain’s Shield (Support): 3484 – 3486 (Main Buy Zone). Storm Breaker (Resistance): 3575 – 3593 (aligned with Fibo 0.5 – 0.618). If it breaks 3591 – 3593 → pathway to new ATH 3608 – 3610 or higher. If it fails at Storm Breaker → price may retest Golden Harbor (3484) before bouncing back. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios ✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3484 – 3486 SL: 3478 TP: 3490 → 3493 → 3497 → 3505 → 35xx ⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short-term) Entry: 3575 – 3577 SL: 3585 TP: 3570 → 3565 → 3560 → 3555 → 35xx 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Resistance) Entry: 3591 – 3593 SL: 3600 TP: 3588 → 3585 → 3580 → 3575 → 35xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship sails smoothly as FED is almost certain to cut rates in September. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3484) is the safe anchorage to continue riding the bullish tide. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3575–3593) may create big waves for short Quick Boarding 🚤 , but the main current still carries us North.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD Daily Trading Plan Ahead of NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGGold (XAUUSD) has slowed down after a strong bullish rally and is now consolidating in a sideways range 355x – 354x, waiting for today’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data to set the next major move. 📊 Macro View: If NFP comes out better than expected, USD strength could push Gold lower into 352x – 350x zones, filling liquidity gaps before buyers step in. If NFP is worse than forecast, Gold may break above ATH 357x and test higher liquidity zones near 3594+. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3560 – 3576 3594 🔑 Key Support Levels 3540 3528 – 3514 3502 – 3488 – 3478 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Zone: 3488 – 3486 🔴 SL: 3480 ✔️ TP: 3492 – 3496 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ???? 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3528 – 3526 🔴 SL: 3520 ✔️ TP: 3532 – 3536 – 3540 – 3550 – 3560 – ???? 🔴 SELL Scalp: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ???? 🔴 SELL Zone: 3593 – 3595 🔴 SL: 3600 ✔️ TP: 3588 – 3584 – 3580 – 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – ???? 📊 MMFLOW Trading View: Gold is building momentum inside the 3540 – 3565 range. Break below 3540 → correction towards 352x – 350x. Break above 3565 → retest of 357x – 3595 supply zone. Best setups are waiting for price reaction near 3515 – 3528 (Buy Zone) or 3576 – 3595 (Sell Zone).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
XAU/USD – Market awaits JOLTS, Gold holds safe-haven role⚓️ Captain Vincent – XAU/USD: US–Venezuela tensions push Gold as safe haven 1. Market News 🌍 US Secretary of State Marco Rubio confirmed that the US military attacked a drug ship departing from Venezuela, as Washington steps up pressure on the Maduro government. Earlier, Trump offered a $50 million bounty to force Venezuela’s President out of power, while deploying military forces near the Caribbean coast. 👉 These moves raise fears of a potential regional conflict, making Gold the top safe-haven asset. The strong rally this morning reflects safe-haven flows returning to GOLD. 📌 Tonight’s focus (3/9 – 21:00): JOLTS Job Openings report – a key gauge of US labour market health. If the data comes weaker than expected → USD may face more pressure → Gold could accelerate higher. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On the H1 chart, Gold has formed multiple BOS (Break of Structure), showing the bullish trend remains in control. Buy Zone 3,478 – 3,480: Aligns with a major Order Block, strong support for pullback entries. Sell Zone 3,577 – 3,579: Near fib extension 1.618, potential resistance where profit-taking may appear. Key Support – Resistance zones: Support: 3,528 – 3,507 Resistance: 3,562 – 3,585 3. Trade Scenarios 📌 🔺 BUY Zone (Priority) Entry: 3,478 – 3,480 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,489 → 349x → 35xx 🔻 SELL Zone (Resistance) Entry: 3,577 – 3,579 SL: 3,586 TP: 3,573 → 3,570 → 3,567 → 3,560 → 35xx 4. Conclusion ⚓ Gold continues to benefit from US–Venezuela geopolitical tensions, while maintaining a bullish structure with consecutive BOS signals. In the short term, traders may: Look to BUY around 3,478 – 3,480 to follow the main trend. Watch for short-term SELL at 3,577 – 3,579 if price retests strong resistance. 👉 With geopolitical risks rising and US economic data (JOLTS) due tonight, Gold remains the No.1 safe-haven asset.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 5, 2025: Gold rebounds after correction, market eyes on NFP data and Donald Trump's surprise statement for the week. Fundamentals: Spot gold prices experienced extreme volatility on Thursday, with intraday swings reaching $53 before closing lower, currently trading at $3,557/oz, representing a gain of about $11 on the day. Gold's slight decline also reflects traders taking profits from the recent incredible rally. Investor focus now shifts to today's Non-Farm Payrolls report, which is expected to provide clues on the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Technical analysis: Yesterday's strong decline showed investors' short-term profit-taking, but the current gold price is still trading above 3500. We continue to trade according to the main trend, waiting for support areas for long-term trading. Important price zones today: 3525 - 3520 and 3495- 3500. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended orders: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3515 - 3517 SL 3512 TP 3520 - 3530 - 3550 - 3580. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3498 - 3500 SL 3495 TP 3503 - 3513 - 3530 - 3550. Wishing you a safe, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
Gold Price Analysis – Testing Resistance near Sell ZoneAnalysis: Gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 3,551.40, showing minor intraday losses (-0.03%). The chart indicates a strong resistance zone between 3,556–3,563, identified as the “sell zone,” with an All-Time High (ATH) slightly above at 3,578.12. Price is consolidating beneath this resistance, struggling to break higher. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) below suggests a potential retracement toward 3,511–3,520 if sellers gain momentum. The Ichimoku cloud shows mixed signals, with price hovering around the equilibrium, indicating indecision in the short term. A break above 3,563 could trigger bullish continuation toward ATH, while rejection at this level may lead to a pullback into the highlighted FVG region.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
Gold Slips After Peak: Trade Fed Uncertainty & Jobs Report!Hello traders! Gold (XAU/USD) pulled back on Thursday (04/09/2025) as investors took profits after its record-breaking rally, with focus now shifting to the upcoming US jobs report for fresh signals on the Fed’s policy path. Spot gold closed down 0.3% at $3,547.68/oz—is this a buying dip or a reversal? Let’s dive in and uncover trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: What’s Behind Gold’s Dip & Potential Rebound? 🌟 Profit-Taking Post-Record: Gold eased after hitting an all-time high of $3,578.50/oz on 03/09, driven by weak job openings data that bolstered rate cut bets and ongoing uncertainty fueling safe-haven demand. 📉 US Jobs Report Looms: Set for release tomorrow (05/09), this key report follows early-session data showing US jobless claims rising more than expected last week, signaling a softening labor market. Fed Signals & Rate Cut Buzz: Several Fed officials on 03/09 highlighted labor market concerns, reinforcing confidence in rate cuts. Markets now see a 98% chance of a 0.25% rate cut this month, per CME FedWatch. As a non-yielding asset, gold thrives in low-rate and uncertain environments! 🏦 Fed Drama Heats Up: Trump’s attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook has sparked a serious legal challenge, raising fresh concerns about Fed independence. Coupled with tariff tensions (Trump’s appealing to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses), this is eroding USD asset confidence and boosting gold demand. Bullish Outlook: Standard Chartered predicts further gains, citing persistent tariff uncertainty and Fed independence fears as key safe-haven drivers. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Before Big Data—Buy Dips or Wait? 📉 Gold has been trading in an uptrend channel, with early-session accumulation. After a strong Asian session push, it hit the 356x OB zone and dropped quickly. The European session may see sideways action, awaiting tonight’s critical data. If gold holds the channel, bulls could take charge—watch for breakouts! Key Resistance: 3560 - 3576 - 3586 Key Support: 3540 - 3526 - 3500 - 3490 - 3476 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3558 - 3560 SL: 3564 TP: 3555 - 3545 - 3535 Sell Zone: 3576 - 3578 SL: 3587 TP: 3568 - 3558 - 3548 - 3538 Buy Scalp: 3526 - 3524 SL: 3520 TP: 3529 - 3539 - 3549 Buy Zone: 3500 - 3498 SL: 3490 TP: 3508 - 3518 - 3518 - 3538 Gold’s in consolidation mode, but the jobs report could trigger a breakout—manage risk tightly! If it holds above supports, bulls may push for new highs post-data. 📊💡 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #USJobs #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold (XAUUSD) forming wonderful sell scenarioGoldUSD price is moving at higher side and showing weakness. It is also forming double top kind of scenario. We may see a good short trade if liquidity sweep is witness at the resistance level with the additional confirmation of higher volume. Overall trend is still upside but buyers seems exhausted. We may find a good sell trade if Liquidity sweeps at resistance and everything goes as we planned. 1. Price is approaching 4H resistance zone. Which may act as a strong supply zone. 2. Buying is slow and weak. 3. Most probably price will take liquidity of resistance zone and break trend line. 4. After breaking trend line it should pullback till resistance/trend line or any newly created OB/FVG. All these combinations are signalling a high probability and high Risk and Reward (1:8) trade scenario. Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it. Also follow me for notification for incoming ideas. Also Feel free to comment if you have any input to share. Disclaimer – This analysis is just for education purpose not any trading suggestion. Please take the trade at your own risk and with the discussion with your financial advisor.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by hari_log
Gold: Profit-Taking Before NFP, Main Trend Still BullishHello everyone, after a strong rally, gold has seen a short-term pullback. On the daily chart, this looks more like profit-taking at historical highs rather than a reversal. The broader structure remains intact: price holds above the Ichimoku cloud, the Kijun is sloping upwards, and layered demand FVG zones sit right below—typical of a healthy uptrend. In terms of levels, immediate resistance is 3,555–3,565; a clear daily close above would naturally open the path towards 3,600–3,620. On the downside, the key buffer lies at 3,525–3,510 (clustered FVG + upper edge of the cloud). Only a decisive daily close below 3,510 would raise risks of a deeper correction towards 3,480–3,450. News flow also explains the pause: ETF outflows and caution ahead of NFP have capped momentum. Yet, with safe-haven demand still present (as labour data and PMI suggest economic risks), I see this more as profit-locking than a trend reversal. NFP scenarios: if the numbers are strong (USD/yields ↑), gold could retreat to 3,525–3,510; losing this zone would expose 3,480–3,450. If data is weak (USD/yields ↓), odds of breaking 3,565 are high, opening the way to 3,600+. Overall, the main trend stays bullish as long as 3,525–3,510 holds. After NFP, a daily close above 3,565 would clearly confirm continuation. Do you think gold will break 3,565 right after NFP and aim for 3,600+, or pull back once more to test support first? Share your view below.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EmmaChartist
Trade the Fed Drama & Jobs Data Wave!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold’s Rally Is Unstoppable 🌟 Historic Surge: Gold soared to an all-time high before US jobs data showed a sharper-than-expected drop in July 2025 openings and steady hiring, pointing to a softening labor market. This fueled gold’s rise, with $3,600/oz as the next target. 📈 Fed Rate Cut Fever: Post-data, the odds of a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s Sept 16-17 meeting jumped from 92% to 98%, per CME FedWatch. Fed Governor Christopher Waller stressed the need for a cut this month, with future moves tied to economic trends. 🏦 Key Data Ahead: All eyes are on today’s (04/09) ADP employment and US jobless claims, plus the big monthly payrolls report on 05/09. These could steer the Fed’s path and gold’s trajectory. Fed Drama Boosts Gold: On Sept 3, Fed Governor Lisa Cook pushed back against Trump’s attempt to oust her, while Trump keeps slamming Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Worries about Fed independence are shaking confidence in USD assets, making gold the go-to safe haven. Trump’s also gearing up to appeal tariffs to the Supreme Court after two lower court losses. ⚖️🇺🇸 Gold’s Sweet Spot: As a non-yielding asset, gold shines in uncertain times and low-rate environments—perfect for India’s gold-loving market! Technical Analysis: Bullish Run Continues, Buy Dips but Watch Reversals! 📉 After the Asian session opened, gold plunged to the 351x zone before bouncing back above 352x. This could be big players flushing out retail liquidity—a classic move during relentless all-time highs (ATHs) that create large FVGs. Stick to BUY if gold holds above 352x, but if it fails to break 365x today, brace for a SELL reversal, especially with ADP Nonfarm data incoming. Stay sharp for volatility! Key Resistance: 3545 - 3561 - 3578 - 3586 - 3596 Key Support: 3521 - 3508 - 3493 - 3475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp: 3560-3562 SL: 3566 TP: 3557 - 3552 - 3547 Sell Zone: 3594 - 3596 SL: 3604 TP: 3586 - 3576 - 3566 - 3566 - 3546 Buy Scalp: 3508 - 3506 SL: 3502 TP: 3511 - 3516 - 3521 Buy Zone: 3493 - 3491 SL: 3483 TP: 3501 - 3511 - 3521 - 3531 - Open Gold is blazing, but today’s data could shake things up—keep your risk tight! If it stays above 352x, bulls might charge to new highs. 📊💡
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold 05/09: Ready to Scalp the Drop or Buy the Dip?🟢 Market Context Gold is currently showing a short-term bearish setup after a ChoCH (Change of Character) near 3,536.556. The market is rejecting supply and forming liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. Expect price to pull lower towards demand areas before the next bullish leg. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Opportunity) • Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 • Stop Loss: 3,535 • Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 o Stop Loss: 3,470 o Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 o Stop Loss: 3,435 o Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias • Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. • Mid-term: Looking for liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. • Long-term: Maintaining bullish order flow as long as deeper demand (3,441) holds.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Wave 🌍 The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects. Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut. 👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight. 📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time): ADP Nonfarm (7:15) Jobless Claims (7:30) ISM Services PMI (9:00) ➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back. Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,477 – 3,479 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx 🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride) Entry: 3,561 – 3,563 SL: 3,569 TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance) Entry: 3,573 – 3,575 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Crazy gold! Buy or wait for a pullback?Market News: Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Friday (September 5th), currently trading around $3,550 per ounce. International gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, hit a record high of $3,578 per ounce on Wednesday amid growing global economic uncertainty. The London gold price declined after reaching a record high, primarily due to profit-taking by traders. After a strong rally, the market accumulated a large amount of long positions, and many investors chose to cash in their profits at the peak, leading to a short-term price decline. Traders are focused on the upcoming US non-farm payroll report, which could directly influence the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and, in turn, the price of gold. In the current environment, weak employment indicators reinforce expectations of rate cuts and support gold's safe-haven demand. However, if the data exceeds expectations, gold may face further pressure. Technical Analysis: After seven consecutive days of gains, gold experienced a sharp drop yesterday, closing with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. Technically, this closing pattern is often a continuation of an upward trend, as prices remain within the ascending channel. Furthermore, a double top or head-and-shoulders top pattern has yet to emerge and establish. The daily chart retreated to yesterday's 5-day moving average at 3511, then bottomed out and rebounded. The European and American markets strengthened again, pulling back towards the 3559/60 levels. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remained open and moved upward to 3504/3467, and the RSI indicator remained above 70. On the short-term four-hour chart, gold prices are trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages converging and the hourly Bollinger Bands closing. Regarding news data, focus on the non-farm payroll report today. The market's estimate is slightly bearish, but the 4.3% increase in the unemployment rate is favorable for buying. The main strategy for intraday trading is to focus on wide range fluctuations, primarily buying on dips and selling on highs. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3535-3538, stop loss at 3527, target at 3570-3590; Short-term gold sell at 3577-3580, stop loss at 3588, target at 3540-3520; Key Points: First support level: 3536, second support level: 3523, third support level: 3510 First resistance level: 3562, second resistance level: 3576, third resistance level: 3590
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578Gold Market Analysis: The market's greatest allure lies in its ever-changing nature. Yesterday, gold plummeted in the Asian session, plummeting to around 3510. It then hit the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and rebounded rapidly. It then went on to not only rebound, but also rise in a V-shaped pattern. Your supposed sell-off was a lie. The daily chart ultimately closed with a bearish hammer candlestick pattern. The long lower shadow suggests yesterday's sharp drop was fleeting. Gold has not yet shifted its buying trend. Today is the time for the non-farm payroll report, and I predict a period of volatile correction with a buying bias. If gold can rally to a new high in the Asian session today, consider buying directly. Our approach in the Asian session is to buy low and then wait for the non-farm payroll data. It's difficult to determine whether 3578 on the daily chart is the high point, and the pattern doesn't signal a peak. The 1-hour chart shows a new support level near 3540. Buying in the Asian session is possible based on this support level. Furthermore, support from moving averages and indicators is near 3531. This level, which represents daily support, presents a buying opportunity. If gold reaches 3578 during the Asian session, do not consider selling. The strategy of buying at low prices can be maintained until the release of the non-farm payroll data. Support levels are 3531 and 3540, while resistance levels are 3578 and 3560. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3540. Fundamental Analysis: Recent fundamentals have not significantly stimulated the market. Today, we will focus on the US non-farm payroll data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold Trading Strategy for 05th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Setup 🟢 Buy Setup Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle once price closes above $3561 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3573 🎯 Target 2: $3585 🎯 Target 3: $3597 🔴 Sell Setup Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle once price closes below $3531 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3520 🎯 Target 2: $3508 🎯 Target 3: $3495 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is purely for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities, forex, or any financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Bearish Pressure Builds: Gold Poised for More RetreatGold retreated sharply today as expected, and directly hit my expected retracement target of 3520-3510 area; the lowest point happened to be around 3511. We added a lot of short positions around 3575 and 3578 overnight, which helped us to make considerable profits during the gold retreat. All short positions made a total profit of 1830pips after being closed. Since gold has begun to retreat from 3578, and the retracement has reached 670 pips in the short term, a retracement that is rare in recent times, as gold has shown obvious signs of retreat, once large funds begin to withdraw, it may trigger serious selling sentiment in the market. Taking this opportunity, the gold market may usher in a round of sharp correction. Moreover, after gold retreats, 3578 is expected to become the interim peak, which will limit the room for gold to rebound while being conducive to the downward pressure on gold. In addition, gold rose sharply before the NFP market, probably to reserve room for the NFP market to fall, so I think gold still has the demand and space to continue to retreat, so the current decline has not ended yet, and I think the current short-term rebound provides us with good conditions for entering the short market. According to the current structure, gold still needs to retreat after fluctuating at high levels. Therefore, in trading, we can still look for suitable opportunities to short gold during the gold rebound. First of all, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance area of 3545-3555. Once gold cannot effectively stand in this area during the rebound, gold will also test the 3510-3500 area. After falling below this area, it is expected to continue to the 3490-3480 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure ShiftXAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs. Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward. Key Observation: The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation. A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed. Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03