Gold Maintains Bullish Momentum Above Uptrend SupportAnalysis:
The 1-hour chart of XAU/USD shows a strong upward trendline, which has been consistently respected by price action. After a clear bullish momentum breakout around September 25th, gold has continued to post higher lows, confirming buyers’ control of the market.
Currently, gold is trading at $3,878, consolidating just below the $3,924–$3,935 resistance zone. The chart suggests two possible scenarios:
Continuation: If the price respects the upward trendline and breaks above the $3,924–$3,935 resistance, gold could aim for new highs, extending the bullish run.
Short-Term Pullback: A minor correction to retest the trendline is possible, but as long as the trendline holds, the bullish structure remains intact.
Technical Outlook:
Support: $3,855 / $3,785
Resistance: $3,924 – $3,935
Trend: Strongly bullish, supported by ascending trendline
Bias: Buy on dips towards the trendline, targeting a breakout above $3,935
GOLDCFD trade ideas
(XAU/USD) – Gold likely to touch $4,000/oz: Ideal buying levels?1. Market Structure & Trend Outlook
On the H1 chart, gold is sustaining its bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
After the BoS (Break of Structure), price retraced near 3,862 Buy Zone and bounced upward.
At present, price trades above EMA34 and EMA89, keeping bullish bias intact.
2. Important Levels
Buy Zone: 3,862 – 3,865. Acts as short-term support. Holding above strengthens the bullish case.
OB1: 3,806 – 3,810. Next support in case Buy Zone breaks.
OB2: 3,763 – 3,770. Deeper support, triggered only if market corrects heavily.
Sell Scalping Zone (Fibo): 3,912. A short-term resistance, profit booking expected.
Sell Zone / ATH: 3,933 – 3,935. Breakout here may lead to fresh record highs.
3. Trade Setups
Bullish Setup: Buy on retest of 3,862 – 3,865.
SL: Below 3,850.
TP1: 3,912.
TP2: 3,933 – 3,935.
Bearish Setup (Defensive): If below 3,860, expect test of 3,806 – 3,810.
If this fails, price may decline towards 3,763 – 3,770.
4. Conclusion
Trend remains positive on H1. Best strategy: Buy on dips near support, manage SLs carefully, and book partial profits near resistances. Sustaining above 3,933 may open doors for new highs.
GoldOn weekly chart we discuss major (3) wave in brief
Major (3) wave unfolding as (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v)
Wave (i) ,(ii) ,(iii) and (iv) wave completed as you can seen in the chart
Wave (iv) completed as triangle
Right now (v) running as five wave structures
Lets discuss wave (v) in brief in daily time frame
Disclaimer : do research before investing / do trade at your own risk
Gold 1H – Will Liquidity Above 3903 Fuel Reversal?Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,872 after multiple ChoCHs, with the next liquidity cluster resting above 3903–3901. Market structure shows engineered liquidity sweeps possible at premium supply, aligning with short-term sell opportunities. On the downside, a defined FVG buy zone and discount demand around 3832–3834 provide scope for continuation if tapped.
From the macro side, traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. economic data, while a resilient dollar and persistent geopolitical risks in energy markets continue to shape volatility. This backdrop supports tactical plays: fading rallies into premium supply while preparing to join the move from discount demand zones.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3903–3901 (SL 3910): Premium liquidity sweep zone. Downside targets at 3880 → 3860 → 3845.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3832–3834 (SL 3825): Discount demand aligned with FVG mitigation. Upside targets at 3855 → 3875 → 3890+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep at 3903–3901
• Entry: 3903–3901
• Stop Loss: 3910
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3880
• TP2: 3860
• TP3: 3845
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Mitigation at 3832–3834
• Entry: 3832–3834
• Stop Loss: 3825
• Take Profits:
• TP1: 3855
• TP2: 3875
• TP3: 3890+
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains range-bound but liquidity-driven. Expect engineered sweeps above 3903 before deeper corrections, while discounted dips into 3832–3834 offer potential continuation setups. Flexibility is key: fade rallies at premium, but scale into buys if liquidity clears into discount demand.
LiamTrading – INTRADAY TRADING SCENARIO
When we look at the global financial landscape, an interesting picture emerges:
Equities – All Time High (ATH)
Housing Prices – ATH
Bitcoin – ATH
Gold – ATH
Money Supply – ATH
National Debt – ATH
CPI Inflation – averaging 4% per year since 2020, double the Fed’s “target”
Federal Reserve – continuing rate cuts this month
Clearly, easy money combined with inflationary pressure is a powerful driver pushing gold to new historical levels. This makes buying with the trend more reasonable than ever.
📊 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
Gold is moving within a well-defined upward channel.
Volume Profile highlights the POC around 3840–3850, a key zone to watch for scalping buys.
The VAL coincides with the rising trendline near 3820–3822, offering strong confluence for medium-term buys.
If price breaks above 3895 to confirm a new ATH, trend-following buys remain the priority.
Key resistance: 3913–3915, suitable for short-term scalping sells.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
Buy scalping: 3845 | SL 3839 | TP 3856 – 3870
Buy zone (main): 3820 – 3822 | SL 3816 | TP 3832 – 3845 – 3860 – 3875 – 3890
Sell scalping: 3915 – 3913 | SL 3920 | TP 3900 – 3885 – 3872 – 3860
Buy breakout: If price breaks ATH 3895 and confirms, continue buying with the trend → Open targets towards 3915+
📌 Conclusion
Gold remains in a strong uptrend, both fundamentally and technically. Short-term pullbacks are simply opportunities to add to buy positions. However, traders should watch the immediate resistance zones to optimise entries.
👉 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD, not financial advice.
Follow me to stay updated with the latest daily gold scenarios 🔥
XAUUSD – Maintaining the Core Uptrend (BUY Bias)
Hello traders,
On the H4 timeframe, gold continues to show a steady upward trend. After testing the upper trendline, price bounced back and is now consolidating around the 386x region. This suggests the market may be in an accumulation phase, awaiting major news.
Fundamental Context
Tomorrow, the market will look towards the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, an event that often brings strong volatility to gold prices.
In addition, concerns around the potential US Government shutdown are adding to the macro uncertainty, further supporting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
At present, there is little evidence to suggest gold will decline, particularly when other markets are also breaking higher.
Technical Analysis
Price continues to trade within the ascending channel on H4, with buyers holding the advantage.
MACD remains above the zero line, showing no clear signs of weakness.
Price is likely to consolidate further in the 3860 – 3870 range before a sharp move triggered by news.
Trading Plan
Buy Setup (preferred – trend following)
Entry: 3829 – 3832
SL: 3825
TP: 3845 – 3862 – 3877 – 3890
Sell Scalping (counter-trend, higher risk)
Entry: 3927 – 3930
SL: 3934
TP: 3915 – 3900 – 3882 – 3865
Note: Sell setups should be treated only as short-term scalps, as the primary bias remains on the buy side.
Conclusion
Gold is holding firmly within the uptrend structure, with no significant weakness yet. Given the backdrop of political uncertainty and the upcoming NFP release, the priority remains buying at suitable support zones. Any sell trades should be viewed as quick reactions rather than core positions.
👉 Follow me to get the latest updates as soon as price structure changes.
XAUUSD – Gold Smashes to New ATH: Bulls in Full Control📊 Market Overview
Gold has surged into uncharted territory, breaking through to a fresh All-Time High (ATH). The earlier dip toward 3,800 USD acted as nothing more than a springboard, allowing buyers to reload before launching this powerful breakout.
Safe-haven demand continues to fuel the rally, as concerns over a potential US government shutdown and expectations of more Fed rate cuts strengthen bullish momentum.
📍 Crucial Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,911 – 3,915 (Liquidity Resistance) → Potential short-term ceiling, profit-taking may appear here.
🟢 BUY Reaction Zones
3,830 – 3,820 (Fibo Support) → First pullback level for intraday buyers.
3,808 – 3,810 → Secondary support zone for a deeper correction.
3,747 – 3,752 (Liquidity BUY Zone) → Stronger base for swing buyers.
🎯 Trading Setups
1️⃣ Buy the Dip (Primary Play)
Entry: 3,830 – 3,820, confirmation needed.
Targets: 3,900 → 3,915, extend toward 3,950+ if momentum remains strong.
Stop: Below 3,808.
2️⃣ Sell the Spike (Countertrend)
Entry: 3,911 – 3,915, only on visible rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,830.
Stop: Above 3,922.
3️⃣ Swing Buy Opportunity
Entry: 3,752 – 3,747 (Fibo confluence).
Targets: 3,830 → 3,900.
Stop: Below 3,735.
⚡ Pro Tips
Trend bias = Strongly Bullish, prioritize long setups.
Countertrend shorts are tactical; keep stops tight.
Headlines from the US political scene and Fed could trigger extra volatility at highs.
💬 Discussion
Will gold extend to 3,950 – 4,000 USD, or is a sharp pullback around the corner? Drop your views and charts below 👇
US Government Shutdown, Gold Benefits & FOMO BUY Continues📊 Market Context The gold market kicks off Q4/2025 with great enthusiasm as safe-haven flows continue to surge.
Not only that, the potential delay of the NFP employment report this week further fuels the market's "thirst" for directional information, positioning gold as the central asset in everyone's sights. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure from political uncertainties and expectations that the Fed is moving closer to further rate cuts.
Combined, the current picture shows that gold is not only maintaining its strength after a breakout rally but also has the opportunity to expand and conquer new high price territories, as safe-haven capital and FOMO momentum from the BUY side continue to amplify.
🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4)
The price maintains the main upward trend, staying above the support structure.
Important BUY ZONE: 3833–3831 (Fibo + CP zone) – this area is likely to react strongly.
Secondary BUY ZONE: 3817–3815 (OBS zone) – stronger support, suitable for accumulating additional BUY orders.
Resistance area 3919–3923 (Liquidity Sell Zone) may be where liquidity traps appear.
✅ BUY ZONE 1: 3833–3831
SL: 3827
TP: 3838 - 3842 - 3846 - 3850 - 3855 - 3860 - 3870 - ???
✅ BUY ZONE 2: 3817–3815
SL: 3810
TP: 3822 - 3826 - 3830 - 3835 - 3840 - 3850 - 3860 - 3870 - ???
✅ Summary Gold is directly benefiting from political instability and the delay in US economic data. The main trend remains BUY with safe-haven flows, with strategic zones at 3833–3831 and 3817–3815. The expansion target aims for 3870–3880 and beyond to 3920+ if buying momentum remains strong.
Gold 1H – Correction or Continuation After Supply Test?Gold on the 1H timeframe is trading near 3,861 after consolidating below a premium supply zone at 3876–3874. Structure shows a recent BOS to the upside, but current rejection signals potential engineered liquidity sweeps into the nearby FVG and discount demand zones. The first support rests at 3796–3798, aligning with discount territory and previous accumulation, offering scope for continuation if price reacts positively.
From the macro side, today’s headlines point to persistent U.S. dollar strength as traders await fresh Federal Reserve guidance on inflation and rate path. Meanwhile, heightened geopolitical concerns in energy markets are maintaining safe-haven flows, adding volatility to gold’s intraday swings.
This dual backdrop sets up a tactical approach: fading rejections at supply while being prepared to enter on discounted dips at demand.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL GOLD 3876–3874 (SL 3883): Premium supply zone, downside targets at 3850 → 3835 → 3815.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE SUPPORT 3796–3798 (SL 3790): Discount demand zone aligned with BOS, upside targets at 3820 → 3845 → 3860+.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Supply Rejection (3876–3874)
• Entry: 3876–3874
• Stop Loss: 3883
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3850
TP2: 3835
TP3: 3815
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Mitigation (3796–3798)
• Entry: 3796–3798
• Stop Loss: 3790
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3820
TP2: 3845
TP3: 3860+
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🔑 Strategy Note
Gold remains in a corrective phase after testing supply. Expect liquidity sweeps into discount levels before continuation. With the dollar strengthening and Fed commentary in focus, intraday traders should:
• Fade supply rejections at 3876–3874.
• Scale into buys around 3796–3798 if liquidity is cleared.
XAUUSD Daily Plan – Gold’s Pullback Before the Next Leg Higher📊 Market Overview
Gold has pulled back from its fresh record highs but the move looks more like healthy accumulation than a reversal. The 3,800 zone has acted as a strong support, absorbing selling pressure and keeping the broader bullish trend intact. Immediate rebounds confirm that buyers are still in control, preparing for the next breakout.
📍 Key Levels to Watch
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
3,871 – 3,872 → First resistance level, possible short-term rejection.
3,915 – 3,920 (Fibo Liquidity Zone) → Stronger sell wall where profit-taking may appear.
🟢 BUY Zones
3,808 – 3,810 (Fibo 0.786 Support) → Important reaction zone for intraday buy setups.
3,747 – 3,752 (Fibo Liquidity Buy Zone) → Deep correction level, strong long-term demand area.
🎯 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ Bullish Continuation Setup
Entry: Buy near 3,808 – 3,810 on bullish candlestick confirmation.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,900+
Stop: Below 3,795
2️⃣ Deep Pullback Opportunity
Entry: 3,747 – 3,752 if price flushes lower.
Targets: 3,808 → 3,871
Stop: Below 3,735
3️⃣ Countertrend SELL Setup
Entry: 3,915 – 3,920 only with strong rejection.
Targets: 3,871 → 3,808
Stop: Above 3,928
⚡ Trading Notes
Gold remains in a strong bullish channel – selling should only be tactical and short-term.
Watch US political headlines and end-of-month flows, as they could trigger volatility.
Stick to defined Fibo zones for best risk-to-reward setups.
💬 Community Discussion
Do you think Gold will test 3,900+ this week or will we see a deeper correction first? Share your charts and ideas below 👇
GOLD ATH: US Shutdown Drama! Buy The Dip, Yaar? Gold just smashed a new record at $3,833.37/oz (Sept 29) on high safe-haven demand due to the impending US Govt shutdown (Oct 1) and solid FED rate cut hopes. USD pullback (0.2%) also playing its part.
The sudden dip to $3,794 looks like pure end-of-month profit-booking, not a proper reversal. If US tensions worsen, the Buy opportunity is still very much active!
📈 Technical View & Intraday Trade Setup
Gold has done a major flush, stopping out the weak hands. Selling pressure is there, but the drop without big news suggests caution. Look for a technical bounce to fill the FVG before a potential continuation lower.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3827 / $3846 / $3870
Support: $3787 / $3778 / $3763
Detailed Trading Strategy (US Session):
1. BUY Zone (Aggressive Dip Buy):
Entry: $3784 - $3782
SL: $3774
TP: $3792 / $3812 / $3832
2. SELL Scalp (Quick Short):
Entry: $3827 - $3829
SL: $3833
TP: $3824 / $3814 / $3804
3. SELL Zone (Main Short Entry):
Entry: $3866 - $3868
SL: $3876
TP: $3858 / $3838 / $3818
⚠️ Alert! The US Government Shutdown news is the main event. If budget talks are positive, Gold might see a sharp fall. Manage risk (SL) like a boss!
Kya lagta hai? Will Gold fly to $4K or take support near $378x? 👇
#XAUUSD #Gold #MCX #TradingStrategy #USShutdown #FED #TechnicalAnalysis #Intraday #MarketUpdate #Commodities
XAUUSD / GOLD / GC Analysis 01-OCT-2025LTP 3863
Supports: 3355/3110/2721/1921
As long as Gold supported by the above levels, we can see 3991-4385 next.
Bigger picture targets: 3748(done)-3991-4385 (Min target)
Further targets:
4934
5420-5655-6036 (Normal target)
7082-7334-8116 (ultimate target)
Extension 11225.
NOTE: I expect big correction between 3748-3991-4385 levels to 3355-3110-2721 before next bull run towards 5K+.
BUY ON DIPS VIEW
LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”LiamTrading – Gold continues to be “crazy”: Strong trend, but awaiting reaction at 3900
Gold has just recorded its 39th all-time high in 2025, now approaching the 3,900 USD/oz mark. This is not only a significant psychological threshold but also coincides with extended Fibonacci levels, making this area a sensitive point in the market.
Trend & Trendline
On the H4 chart, gold remains firmly within the upward channel formed since early September. The price continuously bounces off the lower trendline and expands its range towards the upper boundary.
The lower trendline around 3760–3780 acts as a dynamic support. If the price breaks below this area, a deeper correction scenario towards 3720–3730 will be triggered.
The upper trendline is currently “pressing” the price right at the 3897–3900 area, confluencing with the 2.618 Fibonacci. This is a strong resistance, potentially causing profit-taking reactions and creating a technical pullback.
Volume Profile & Liquidity
The 3800 and 3720 areas are dense volume clusters, indicating significant capital is positioned here. These are also potential Buy zones when the price corrects.
The 3640–3650 area is a larger liquidity cluster, but will only be activated if a strong breakdown occurs from the current trendline.
Reference Trading Scenarios
Sell zone: 3897 – 3900, SL 3905, TP 3885 – 3862 – 3850 – 3833
Short-term Buy zone: 3797 – 3800, SL 3793, TP 3822 – 3840 – 3855 – 3872 – 3890
Medium-term Buy: 3720 – 3730, SL 3710, TP 3760 – 3800 – 3850
Conclusion
The upward trend remains very strong, but the 3897–3900 area will be a crucial challenge. If the price is rejected here, we might witness a correction back to the lower trendline before gold continues towards the larger target of 4000 USD.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. Please manage risks carefully and stay updated with the latest scenarios.
Gold Trading Strategy | October 1✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Gold surged to 3871 before pulling back sharply, showing strong resistance at that level.
Support was found in the 3790–3800 zone, followed by a rebound. Currently, the candlesticks are fluctuating above the mid-band (around 3837), but remain capped by the upper band at 3855–3860.
The MACD histogram has contracted significantly, indicating weakening bullish momentum and stronger pressure at the highs.
The 4-hour chart shows gold is still in a high-level consolidation range, with strong resistance above and solid support below, reflecting clear range-bound characteristics.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis
The MA5 has crossed above the MA10 again, showing short-term stabilization.
The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with price trading above the mid-band, signaling a short-term consolidation pattern.
The MACD histogram is shrinking, showing that bearish momentum is weakening and bulls may gradually recover.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3855–3860 / 3870–3872
🟢 Support Levels: 3825–3830 / 3790–3800
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
🔰 If gold faces resistance around 3855–3860 and fails to break through, consider short positions with targets at 3830–3825, and further down to 3800 if broken. Stop-loss above 3872.
🔰 If price pulls back to 3825–3830 and finds support, light long positions can be considered with targets at 3855–3860. Stop-loss below 3815.
🔰 If price breaks above 3872 effectively and holds, it could open the door for further upside. Light long positions may be taken with targets at 3890–3900.
✅ Conclusion
Gold is currently fluctuating within the 3800–3870 range, with a short-term bias toward rebound recovery but facing clear resistance above. Trading is best approached with a range-bound strategy (sell highs, buy lows) as the main plan, and breakout-following as secondary, while strictly controlling stop-loss levels.
The Unstoppable Rise of GoldTechnical Analysis (XAU/USD):
Gold is trading around $3,816, showing continued bullish strength along the upward trend line. Price has respected higher lows, confirming buyers remain in control. Key short-term support levels are visible at $3,797, $3,759, and $3,718. As long as price stays above the $3,718 zone (major support), the bullish structure remains intact.
The chart indicates two bullish scenarios:
A direct continuation higher from current levels.
A potential retest of the $3,797 – $3,759 zone before another push upward.
Upside targets in the coming sessions stand between $3,860 – $3,900, with further momentum potentially extending beyond $3,925.
Fundamental Analysis:
Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent geopolitical uncertainties and global economic slowdown fears are keeping gold attractive as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: If the Fed maintains a dovish stance or signals rate cuts, real yields may decline, further boosting gold.
Inflation Hedge: Despite cooling in some regions, sticky inflation supports long-term gold demand.
Central Bank Purchases: Record gold buying by global central banks continues to provide a solid floor under prices.
Conclusion:
Gold remains in a strong bullish phase, with technicals showing steady upward momentum and fundamentals reinforcing demand. Any dips toward $3,759–$3,718 may offer buying opportunities as long as the trendline holds, while the broader outlook points toward further gains.
Gold Bulls in Control: Buy Zones Lined Up for the Breakout!📊 Market Context
Gold is trading near record highs around $3,850, heading toward its best month in 14 years. With Q3 2025 and September closing, gold has surged nearly 12% this month, driven by rising safe-haven demand amid the looming U.S. government shutdown and weaker USD sentiment.
The bullish structure remains intact, and dips continue to attract aggressive buyers.
📍 Key Trading Levels
🟢 BUY Zones
3846 – 3843 → Intraday BUY scalp zone
SL: 3836
TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (hold longer if above 389x)
3818 – 3816 → Deeper reaction BUY zone
SL: 3810
TP: 1R → 2R → 3R → 4R (limit orders can be set for extended swing positions)
🔴 SELL Reaction Zone
Around 387x → Expect heavy profit-taking and short-term pullbacks.
🎯 Trade Plan
Prioritize BUY setups only; gold remains in strong bullish momentum.
Use the 384x zone for scalps and 381x zone for deeper limit buys.
Trail stops once price breaks 389x, opening room for 3920+ targets.
⚡ Trading Notes
Volatility may spike with U.S. political risks – manage positions carefully.
Avoid chasing highs; wait for structured retracements to BUY zones.
Stick to R/R discipline; market rewards patience in strong trends.
💬 Community Insight
Do you think gold will smash through 3920+ this week, or will we get another retracement first? Drop your setups and let’s compare strategies 👇
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 30, 2025📊
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🔥 Momentum
• D1 timeframe:
Momentum is currently bullish. We have 3 consecutive bullish candles so far, meaning there may be only 1–2 more daily candles before momentum reaches the overbought zone → risk of reversal.
• H4 timeframe:
Momentum is stuck in the overbought zone with 4 consecutive bullish candles. This signals that the bullish force is weakening.
• H1 timeframe:
Momentum is reversing inside the overbought zone. This shows the bullish force is fading, and price may reverse downward within 1–2 hours.
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🌊 Wave Structure
• D1 timeframe:
Price is moving inside the Elliott channel drawn from wave 2 – wave 4 and wave 3 (yellow).
There is not much room left before hitting the upper channel.
This matches D1 momentum and the second target zone of wave 5 (yellow).
• H4 timeframe:
As mentioned in the previous plan, price broke the old high at 3793, confirming wave 5 (purple).
However, H4 momentum has been overbought for 4 consecutive candles, signaling that wave 5 (purple) is nearing its end.
• H1 timeframe:
Currently forming a 5-wave structure (1–2–3–4–5) in black inside wave 5 (purple).
All timeframes are showing signals that price is approaching a major top.
Although the trend is still bullish, sharp pullbacks of over 100 pips happen frequently, making it very difficult to trade with tight stop-losses.
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🎯 Key Price Levels
• Price is now testing the 2.618 Fibonacci extension of wave 1 (black) at 3865.
• Upper channels from D1, H4, and H1 converge around 3885.
👉 This is the critical area to look for reversal signals and consider a Sell entry.
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📌 Trading Plan
• Swing trades: Be patient, wait for clear signals before entering.
• Scalp trades: Possible, but avoid holding positions too long.
• Risk management: Strictly apply safe trade management as price is at a potential top zone.