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XAU/USD H1 – Rejection at 3770 Resistance, Trendline Break✅✅✅Gold price on the H1 chart has tested the key 3770 resistance zone (orange area) and faced rejection. Price has also broken below the rising trendline, signaling a possible short-term pullback. Immediate support is at 3744, and a break below could push the price towards 3720. Key points: Resistance: 3770 (major supply zone) Support: 3744, then 3720 Technical Signal: Rising trendline broken Short bias valid as long as price stays below 3770
FX:XAUUSD
by mforexsense
XAU/USD H1 – Gold at Key Resistance, Potential Pullback to 0.618 💥✅🎯On the one-hour (H1) timeframe, the price of gold (XAU/USD) has reached the key resistance level of 3,766–3,770 after a strong bullish rally. This resistance zone coincides with the upper supply area marked in red, as well as the rising orange trendline channel mid-level. Key points: Resistance Zone: 3,766–3,770 Support Levels: 3,740 and 3,720 Fibonacci Levels: Possible correction targets at 0.618 (~3,740) and 0.786 (~3,720). Price action is consolidating near the resistance; watch for reversal candlestick patterns for short opportunities. If resistance breaks, next upside target is around 3,800. If rejection occurs, expect a corrective move down to Fibonacci levels before resuming the uptrend. Risk Management: For long positions: Wait for a breakout above 3,770 with sustained volume. For short positions: Place stops above 3,780 to limit exposure. Always use appropriate position sizing.
FX:XAUUSD
by mforexsense
2
Gold "Cools Down": A Sign of a Coming Downturn? Hello, investors! Gold saw a notable correction on September 24, closing at $3,762.73/oz after reaching a historic high of $3,790.82/oz just one day earlier. Gold futures also dropped 0.5% to $3,795.80/oz. Is this a sign of a deeper correction or just a short-term profit-taking before key news? Fundamental Analysis: Market "Holds Its Breath" Before the PCE Inflation Report Yesterday's drop in gold seems to have little to do with the released U.S. economic data, as the USD index only had a slight rebound and housing data wasn't strong enough to cause such a major move. Instead, the most likely reasons are: Cautious Profit-Taking: Investors are taking profits after a rapid run-up, aiming to mitigate risk before the upcoming PCE inflation report on September 26. Fed Expectations: Despite short-term volatility, the market holds firm on its expectation that the Fed will cut rates in October and December with a high probability (94% and 77%). A low-rate environment and geopolitical concerns remain the core drivers supporting gold's price in the long term. Technical Analysis: "Sell" or "Wait to Buy"? Gold had a significant correction from the $3,770 area, indicating that a large number of profit-taking sell orders were triggered. However, the downtrend has paused and is now looking for a new balance point. Outlook: With the current cautious sentiment, there's a chance gold may see further selling pressure in the short term. However, any deeper drop would be an excellent opportunity to buy back at a better price, as the long-term bullish momentum is still intact. Suggested Trading Strategy (Strict Risk Management): Sell Zone: Zone $3766 - $3768, SL $3776 Buy Zone: Zone $3702 - $3700, SL $3692 The market is highly sensitive. Do you think this correction is a buying opportunity or a time to step back? Share your thoughts! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #Inflation #PCE #USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jeremy_NPC
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed Technical Analysis After a strong rally hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) failed to maintain momentum and began forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominant in the short term. The 3767–3769 zone coincides with a local resistance, where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone. Fibonacci Retracement levels from the most recent upward wave show the 0.618 area around 3700–3705 acting as short-term support, where a technical rebound may occur. The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers. RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards a decline, confirming that a corrective trend is prevailing. Trading Scenario SELL Scenario (trend-following priority): Entry: 3767–3769 SL: 3775 TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694 Buy scalping Scenario (short-term support reaction): Entry: 3701–3704 SL: 3698 TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736 Buy zone Scenario (priority for medium-term rebound): Entry: 3673–3675 SL: 3666 TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736 Price zones to watch 3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone. 3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area. 3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci. 3694 and 3736: key intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is advisable. The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may offer opportunities for counter-trend Buy or trend-following Buy after price correction. This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
Fed Cuts & Geopolitical Risks Keep Gold Strong📊 Market Overview Gold is holding firm above 3750 USD/oz, extending gains and refreshing daily highs in the European session. Expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting rates this year are supporting bullish sentiment, while ongoing geopolitical tensions keep safe-haven demand elevated. For Indian traders, this combination of softer USD and global uncertainty keeps gold attractive both as a hedge and a short-term trading instrument. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) Price structure remains bullish while holding above 3750. Buy Zones: 3742–3740 (main support) and 3757–3755 (scalp setup). Resistance nearby at 3778, with extended upside potential towards 3813–3815 (liquidity sell zone). A rejection at 3813–3815 could trigger a short-term pullback to demand levels. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3778 - 3813 - 3815 Support / Buy Zones: 3757 - 3755 - 3742 - 3740 📈 Scenarios & Trading Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (Main Setup): 3742–3740 SL: 3735 TP: 3748 - 3752 - 3756 - 3760 - 3770 - 3780 - … ✅ BUY SCALP (Quick Entry): 3757–3755 SL: 3750 TP: 3762 - 3766 - 3780 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (Liquidity Trap): 3813–3815 SL: 3820 TP: 3810 - 3805 - 3800 - 3795 - 3790 - 3780 - … ⚠️ Risk Management Notes Watch out for false breakouts at 3813–3815 — liquidity sweeps are likely before reversals. Focus on buying confirmed pullbacks rather than chasing price mid-range. Keep trade size moderate — volatility can increase on Fed comments or geopolitical updates. ✅ Summary Gold’s bullish trend remains intact, supported by Fed cut expectations and geopolitical risks. Trading plan: buy dips at 3757–3755 and 3742–3740, aiming for 3770–3780, while monitoring the 3813–3815 zone for short-term sell opportunities if rejection occurs. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING on TradingView for intraday setups, liquidity-based strategies, and high-probability trade ideas tailored for global traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold shakes violently | Priority Buy on dip to support🟡 XAU/USD – 24/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Geopolitics : Trump unexpectedly supported Ukraine reclaiming full territory and called on NATO to be tougher on Russia → defensive sentiment returned, supporting Gold. US Economy : Housing data due today, no FED speeches. Earlier: Weak US PMI + dovish FED tone → no momentum for a prolonged downtrend. Price Action : Gold dropped more than 20 points overnight, then quickly rebounded to 3,76x → likely profit-taking pressure at higher levels. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Main trend stays bullish, but the voyage will remain choppy as Gold absorbs profit-taking near resistance. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H45) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) Buy Scalp OB: 3,754 – 3,757 OB Harbor: 3,741 – 3,744 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) Sell Scalp Zone: 3,797 – 3,800 Higher Sell Zone: 3,813 – 3,815 Market Structure After the deep drop, Gold rebounded and held above 3,76x. Bullish trend remains intact, but waves of volatility may occur near higher resistance zones. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy Scalp OB Entry: 3,754 – 3,757 SL: 3,747 TP: 3,762 – 3,767 – 3,772 – 3,777 – 3,782 Buy Zone OB Entry: 3,741 – 3,744 SL: 3,732 TP: 3,749 – 3,754 – 3,759 – 3,764 – 3,769 ⚡ Sell (short scalp – lower RR) Sell Scalp Zone Entry: 3,797 – 3,800 SL: 3,806 TP: 3,795 – 3,790 – 3,785 – 3,780 – 3,775 Higher Sell Zone Entry: 3,813 – 3,815 SL: 3,823 TP: 3,810 – 3,805 – 3,800 – 3,795 – 3,790 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship rocked violently overnight but still anchored firmly at Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,754 – 3,741) . Profit-taking waves may still rise at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,797 – 3,815) , suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Yet the main voyage continues north – Buy the Dip remains the compass to follow the strong winds.” 📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest signals. 💬 Got your own view on Gold? Share it in the comments and join the crew discussion!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold Trading Plan: After Record High Pullback📊 Market Context Gold is struggling to recover after the pullback from its all-time high near 3791 USD/oz. During the Asian session on Thursday, price action turned cautious as traders await US mid-tier data and further comments from Federal Reserve officials. While the long-term outlook remains bullish, in the short-term, XAU/USD faces potential liquidity sweeps and sharp volatility around key zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (H1/H4) ATH zone 3791 triggered heavy selling pressure. Price is currently moving below the 3755–3757 downtrend reaction zone, signaling short-term weakness. Strong demand/liquidity sits at 3712 and deeper at 3688–3686 (CP + OBS Buy Zone). Sell-side liquidity lies at 3775–3777, likely to trigger reactions on retests. A broader Liquidity Sell Zone is visible at 3824–3830, only valid if 3777 breaks cleanly. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance / Sell Zones: 3775–3777 - 3791 - 3824–3830 Support / Buy Zones: 3712 - 3688–3686 📈 Trading Scenarios & Plan ✅ BUY ZONE (priority): 3688–3686 SL: 3680 TP: 3696 - 3700 - 3705 - 3710 - 3720 - 3730 - … ✅ SELL ZONE (scalp): 3775–3777 SL: 3782 TP: 3770 - 3765 - 3760 - 3750 - 3740 - 3730 - … ⚠️ Risk Notes Be careful with false breakouts at 3775–3777 before reversals. Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range; wait for price action confirmations at zones. US data and Fed speeches can bring volatility – adjust position sizes accordingly. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating after its sharp rally to 3791 ATH, waiting for new catalysts from the US and Fed. Main plan: buy dips at 3688–3686 aiming for 3720–3730, while a short-term sell opportunity at 3775–3777 remains valid if rejection signals appear. If bulls clear 3777, the upside opens towards 3824–3830 liquidity. 📢 Follow MMFLOW TRADING for real-time liquidity setups and BIGWIN strategies!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDLiamTrading – XAUUSD Scenario Today: Opportunities at Key Price Levels Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently fluctuating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakthroughs. The technical structure on the H1 chart shows the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans. Technical Analysis RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the possibility of a short-term correction. The upper price range around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions. Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x exhibit dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices adjust. The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed for the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak. Reference Trading Plan Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650 Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790 Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790 In summary, the main trend still leans towards an increase, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is very high. Traders need to patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entries, while managing risk tightly. This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 25, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum on the daily chart has turned bearish, indicating that the main downtrend may continue. • H4: Momentum on H4 is about to turn bullish, suggesting a possible upward move today. However, if this bullish reversal fails to break the previous high, the downtrend will remain intact. • H1: Momentum on H1 is declining and about to enter the oversold zone. This downward move may need around 2 more H1 candles before entering oversold territory and reversing. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1: o The first target of wave 5 (yellow) was reached at 3789. o Price is currently reacting at this level. With D1 momentum turning bearish, there is a strong possibility that wave 5 (yellow) has already completed, meaning price could move towards 3632 and potentially break below it. • H4: An ABC corrective structure (blue) has formed, opening three scenarios: 1. The correction is complete → price rallies strongly, breaking the previous high to continue the uptrend. 2. Price rallies but with overlap, forming a Flat 3-3-5 pattern → price may rise toward the previous high at 3793. 3. Price remains in a zigzag structure → another decline may occur to complete wave C. 👉 Given the bearish momentum on D1, I lean more towards scenario 2 and 3. 👉 Note: In scenarios (1) and (2), price must hold above 3729, then break 3752, which could lead to a minimum rally towards 3777. • H1: Under scenario 3 (further decline to complete wave C): o Price may break below 3718. o Wave 5 (black) targets:  3713 (first target).  3698 (second target). ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3729 – 3726 o SL: 3717 o TP: 3751 • Buy Zone 2: 3714 – 3711 o SL: 3703 o TP: 3751 ________________________________________ ⚠️ Important Note The market is likely in a corrective wave at a higher structure. • Characteristic: Price often shows overlapping moves. • Therefore: Manage trades carefully, avoid over-risking, as reversals can happen at any time – this is typical of corrective waves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX
GOLD TREND TODAY - Support and Resistance - Simple Analysis📈 Trend & Market Structure XAUUSD Gold is still in a clear uptrend, respecting higher highs and higher lows on H4. Recent breakout structures (BOS) confirm bullish order flow, but price is approaching a liquidity zone near $3,800. On the downside, unmitigated Fair Value Gaps (FVG) and Order Blocks (OB) remain potential buy zones if price retraces. 🔑 Key Levels Resistance: 3800 – 3830 Support: 3765 – 3760 – 3755 Liquidity Buy Zone: 3715 – 3712 📌 Trade Ideas 🔴 SELL Setup (Countertrend / Scalping) Entry: 3855 – 3858 Stop Loss: 3863 Take Profit: TP1: 3850 TP2: 3840 TP3: 3820 TP4: 3800 Open TP: 3780 🟢 BUY Setup (Trend-following / SMC zones) Entry: 3715 – 3712 (Liquidity + Strong OB) Stop Loss: 3705 Take Profit: TP1: 3725 TP2: 3735 TP3: 3755 TP4: 3775 Open TP: 3800 🎯 Strategy Note Main bias: Look for buys on retracements in line with the uptrend. Shorts at 3855 – 3858 are countertrend scalps only; use tight stops. Apply scalping entries once price reacts at the defined S/R levels with confirmation (candlestick rejection, BOS, or volume shift). Always use SL/TP for risk management. ⚡ Gold remains bullish overall; the plan favors buy opportunities from demand zones, while countertrend shorts should be quick and managed tightly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
6
Gold Finds Support at R1 , buy the Dip stills looks good We have seen a solid pullback (of over 72 points from the highs) in yesterday’s session, yet the broader structure on the H4 and higher timeframes remains firmly bullish, maintaining its HH-HL pattern. Price has so far rejected the 3720 zone (Weekly R1), confirming it as near-term support, and is now retesting the immediate resistance at 3750 along with the descending trendline overhead. As long as gold holds above the PWH / 3700–3680 demand zone, this looks like a healthy consolidation rather than a trend reversal. A sustained breakout above 3750 and the descending trendline could trigger momentum toward the 3790–3800 zone once again. For the short- to mid-term outlook, buying dips remains the preferred strategy, with invalidation coming only on a clean breakdown and H4 close below 3700 with strong volume.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Strategy 🟢 Buy Setup (Bullish) Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-min candle if it closes above 3754. Targets: 🎯 Target 1 → 3765 🎯 Target 2 → 3777 🎯 Target 3 → 3789 Stop Loss: Place stop loss just below 3750 (or recent swing low for safer risk management). Confirmation Tip: Look for strong bullish candle close with good volume. 🔴 Sell Setup (Bearish) Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle if it closes below 3719. Targets: 🎯 Target 1 → 3705 🎯 Target 2 → 3693 🎯 Target 3 → 3680 Stop Loss: Place stop loss above 3725 (or previous swing high for extra safety). Confirmation Tip: Watch for bearish momentum and rejection at higher levels. ⚖️ Risk Management Use 1–2% of your capital per trade. Always maintain risk-to-reward ratio (1:2 or better). Avoid over-leveraging. ⚠️ Disclaimer This trading setup is for educational purposes only. Trading in gold and financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before taking any trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Gold Trading Strategy | September 24-25✅ 4-Hour Chart Structure: Gold prices pulled back after testing the 3791 level, breaking below the 3763 pivot and reaching as low as 3732. Consecutive bearish candles indicate strong downside momentum. The trend has shifted from bullish to bearish. If 3730 is broken, further downside toward 3709 or even 3682 is possible. ✅ Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 have formed a bearish crossover, with price trading below both, showing weakening short-term momentum. MA20 (around 3738) is now the key support; if broken, it could open further downside potential. ✅ 1-Hour Chart: Gold faced repeated resistance near 3780 and gradually moved lower, now hovering in the 3730–3735 range. No clear signs of a bottom have appeared during the decline, suggesting bears remain in control. In the short term, if the price fails to reclaim 3760, the weak trend will likely continue. 🔴 Resistance Levels: 3760 / 3785 / 3791 🟢 Support Levels: 3730 / 3709 / 3682 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰If the price rebounds to around 3760 and faces resistance, consider light short positions, targeting 3730–3710. 🔰If the price pulls back and stabilizes within the 3730–3735 area, consider short-term long positions, targeting 3760. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingProX
XAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARDXAUUSD SHOWING A GOOD DOWN MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the marketwhich preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for breakC. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by tradergyan01
Gold 1H – Inflation Worries & Risk Sentiment Guide MovesGold on the 1H chart is hovering near 3,753 after multiple BOS confirmations, holding a firm bullish bias yet approaching premium resistance. Liquidity sits above 3,787–3,785, while fresh demand zones are placed at 3,725–3,723 and deeper at 3,688–3,686. Today’s narrative around sticky U.S. inflation expectations and renewed geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe is boosting safe-haven appetite. Still, intraday price action suggests possible liquidity sweeps into resistance before price retraces back towards demand zones. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,787–3,785 (SL 3,794): Premium resistance where liquidity runs may spark short-term selling towards 3,780 → 3,775 → 3,770. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,723 (SL 3,718): Pullback demand aligned with structure, favouring longs towards 3,740 → 3,755 → 3,770+. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,688–3,686 (SL 3,680): Deeper discount demand area, attractive for positional buys targeting 3,700 → 3,715 → 3,730+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔺 Buy Setup – Pullback Demand (3,725–3,723) • Entry: 3,725–3,723 • Stop Loss: 3,718 • Targets:  TP1: 3,740  TP2: 3,755  TP3: 3,770+ 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,688–3,686) • Entry: 3,688–3,686 • Stop Loss: 3,680 • Targets:  TP1: 3,700  TP2: 3,715  TP3: 3,730+ 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Sweep (3,787–3,785) • Entry: 3,787–3,785 • Stop Loss: 3,794 • Targets:  TP1: 3,780  TP2: 3,775  TP3: 3,770 ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Rising inflation concerns and safe-haven flows from geopolitical risks are keeping gold buyers in play. However, smart money could drive engineered stop-hunts near premium resistance before retracements set in. The bias remains buy-on-dips around key supports, while short-term scalps against liquidity sweeps near 3,787–3,785 should be approached with caution. Volatility is expected as markets digest U.S. inflation updates and risk headlines.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Pressure at the 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trenXAUUSD – Pressure at the 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy Technical Analysis After a strong rally, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price zone prone to short-term selling pressure and is a decisive point for the next trend. EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains bullish, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with the possibility of a correction before continuing upward. RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if the price forms a new peak without accompanying momentum. The Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend. Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone: Entry: 3777–3780 SL: 3784 TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705 Scenario 2 – Short-term Buy scalping: Entry: 3738–3740 SL: 3734 TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770 Scenario 3 – Trend-following Buy (preferred when deep correction): Entry: 3719–3722 SL: 3715 TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780 Price Zones to Watch 3777–3780: important resistance, potential Sell zone. 3738–3740: near support, suitable for Buy scalping. 3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence with support structure. 3705: deep support, target if correction trend expands. Outlook The major trend for gold still leans towards bullish, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the correction, while buyers should wait for the price to retreat to support zones to enter trend-following orders. This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
BUYER FOMO: BREAK ALL THE RULES📌 GOLD – Trading Plan OANDA:XAUUSD Follow Signals On weekend Linda published you got SELL PLAN 3720 +120PIPS Absolutely that up first down after: 1. Market Context (H1) Main trend: Bullish (following several upward BOS). The price has just broken the peak and created new liquidity above the 3715 – 3720 zone. Below, there are CP Orders + FVG at 3693 / 3669 / 3650 → the price may retrace to test demand before continuing to rise. Above: the 3749 – 3750 zone is a strong resistance, likely to see liquidity sweeps. 2. Main Scenario – BUY with the trend Entry 1: CP ORDER + Trend Timing Zone: 3693 – 3695. Stoploss: 3685. TP1: 3715. TP2: 3730+. R:R ratio: ~1:3. Entry 2: Deeper CP ORDER Zone: 3669 – 3670. Stoploss: 3660. TP1: 3710. TP2: 3730+. R:R: ~1:4. Entry 3: Final FVG Zone: 3650 – 3655. Stoploss: 3640. TP: 3710 – 3720. This is the final entry; if it breaks, consider the trend reversed. 3. Alternative Scenario – SELL counter-trend (scalp) Entry Sell Zone: 3749 – 3750 (resistance + liquidity). Stoploss: 3757. TP1: 3730 – 3735. TP2: 3695 – 3670 (if selling pressure is strong). Confirmation required on M5/M15: MSS down. Bearish engulfing. Long wick rejection. 4. Capital Management Total risk for the day: max 3 – 4% of the account. Each trade risk 1 – 1.5%. Prioritize Buy, Sell is just a small scalp. If the price hits TP1 → move SL to entry, let the rest run. 5. Notes Main trend: Bullish, don't attempt too many counter-sells. Only sell when clear signals appear at 3749 – 3750. The 3693/3669 mark is a key zone → if it breaks strongly, wait for trend confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
8
Part 2 Ride The Big Moves 1. Option Pricing and Valuation Option prices are determined by two main components: 1.1 Intrinsic Value The difference between the current price of the underlying asset and the option’s strike price. 1.2 Time Value The remaining portion of the premium, reflecting time until expiration and volatility. Options with longer time to expiration usually have higher time value. 1.3 Factors Affecting Option Prices Underlying Asset Price: Movement in the underlying asset directly affects the option’s value. Strike Price: Determines whether the option is ITM, ATM, or OTM. Time to Expiration: Longer expiration provides higher flexibility and premium. Volatility: Higher volatility increases option premiums. Interest Rates: Rising interest rates can increase call option values and decrease put option values. Dividends: Expected dividends reduce the value of call options. 1.4 Option Pricing Models Black-Scholes Model: Widely used for European options, factoring in asset price, strike price, time, volatility, and risk-free rate. Binomial Model: Flexible and suitable for American options, where early exercise is possible. 2. Risk and Reward in Options Trading 2.1 Risk for Option Buyers The maximum risk for buyers is limited to the premium paid. If the market moves unfavorably, the option can expire worthless, but the loss cannot exceed the initial investment. 2.2 Risk for Option Sellers (Writers) Sellers face potentially unlimited risk: For a call writer without owning the underlying asset (naked call), losses can be infinite if the asset price rises sharply. For put writers, losses occur if the asset price falls significantly below the strike price. 2.3 Reward Potential Buyers have unlimited profit potential for calls and substantial profit for puts if the market moves favorably. Sellers earn the premium as maximum profit, regardless of market movement, assuming they manage positions correctly. 3. Hedging and Speculation Using Options 3.1 Hedging Options are a powerful tool for risk management. For instance: Investors holding a stock can buy put options to protect against downside risk. Traders can use options to lock in profit targets or minimize losses. 3.2 Speculation Speculators use options to capitalize on market movements with limited capital. Examples: Buying calls to profit from an anticipated rise. Buying puts to profit from an anticipated fall. Using complex strategies to exploit volatility or time decay. 4. Options in Different Markets 4.1 Stock Options Options on individual stocks are most popular and widely traded. They provide leverage and hedging opportunities. 4.2 Index Options Options on market indices like Nifty or S&P 500 allow traders to speculate on broader market trends. 4.3 Commodity Options Used in commodities markets like gold, crude oil, and agricultural products for hedging or speculation. 4.4 Currency Options Provide protection or speculation opportunities in the forex market against currency fluctuations.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
Gold Soars: Will a Weak USD Open the Door for New Highs?Hello traders, it’s clear that gold is rising sharply, supported by the weakening of the USD. Can gold continue to conquer new highs? On the chart, the price is moving within a clear upward channel. The key support level at 3,750,000 has been tested multiple times, and if the price holds above this level, gold could continue rising towards 3,827,000. The areas near recent highs also show an increase in trading volume, reinforcing the bullish trend. Forecasts indicate that the U.S. labor market is slowing down, with 233K jobs created, slightly higher than the previous 231K. This weakens the USD, creating an opportunity for gold to continue its rise, as gold typically benefits from a weaker USD. With strong technicals and a weakening USD, XAU/USD could continue its upward momentum. Get ready for some exciting opportunities!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShadowReaper_
3
Gold 1H – Should We Hold or Fade Liquidity at 3800?On the 1-hour timeframe, gold is trading near 3,776 within a corrective channel. Premium liquidity remains clustered above 3,800–3,798, while discount demand is positioned at 3,725–3,727. Recent BOS (Break of Structure) signals confirm bullish intent, but engineered sweeps into premium zones are still likely before price retraces toward discount levels. Today’s headlines on the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are reinforcing safe-haven demand. However, intraday volatility may continue to produce liquidity grabs before clear direction is established. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H) • 🔴 SELL GOLD LIQUIDITY 3,800–3,798 (SL 3,807): Premium resistance where liquidity sweeps may cause rejections towards 3,770 → 3,760 → 3,755. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,725–3,727 (SL 3,720): Discount demand in line with BOS, with upside targets at 3,740 → 3,760 → 3,775. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based) 🔻 Sell Setup – Liquidity Run (3,800–3,798) • Entry: 3,800–3,798 • Stop Loss: 3,807 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,770 o TP2: 3,760 o TP3: 3,755 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand (3,725–3,727) • Entry: 3,725–3,727 • Stop Loss: 3,720 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,740 o TP2: 3,760 o TP3: 3,775+ ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note With the Fed’s cautious stance and geopolitical risks supporting gold, the broader bias remains buy-the-dip. At the same time, fading engineered sweeps into premium liquidity zones can offer tactical short-term opportunities. Expect volatility around 3,800 liquidity runs before retracements into well-defined discount zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Understanding the Psychology of Trading1. The Role of Psychology in Trading Trading is a mental battlefield. Financial markets are complex systems influenced by countless variables, from economic data and geopolitical events to investor sentiment. However, the human mind is inherently emotional, often reacting irrationally to market fluctuations. Even the most robust trading strategies can fail if a trader cannot manage emotions such as fear, greed, overconfidence, or frustration. Psychological discipline ensures traders follow their plans consistently, avoid impulsive decisions, and maintain a long-term perspective. Studies suggest that over 80% of trading mistakes are rooted in poor psychological management rather than technical errors. Key aspects of trading psychology include: Emotional regulation: Maintaining composure in the face of gains and losses. Cognitive control: Avoiding biases that cloud judgment. Discipline: Following trading rules and strategies without deviation. Resilience: Recovering quickly from losses and mistakes. 2. Common Emotional Traps in Trading 2.1 Fear Fear is perhaps the most pervasive emotion in trading. Fear manifests in several ways: Fear of losing: Traders may hesitate to enter positions, missing opportunities. Fear of missing out (FOMO): Conversely, traders may impulsively enter trades to avoid missing profits, often at unfavorable prices. Fear after losses: A losing streak can lead to panic and overly cautious behavior, reducing trading effectiveness. Example: A trader sees a strong upward trend but hesitates due to fear of a sudden reversal. By the time they act, the price has already surged, causing frustration and regret. This cycle often leads to indecision and missed profits. 2.2 Greed Greed is the desire for excessive gain, often leading to poor risk management. Traders may hold on to winning positions too long, hoping for unrealistic profits, or take excessive risks to recover previous losses. Example: A trader makes a small profit but refuses to exit, hoping for a bigger gain. Suddenly, the market reverses, and the profit evaporates, turning into a loss. 2.3 Overconfidence After a series of successful trades, traders may develop overconfidence, believing they are infallible. This often leads to reckless trades, ignoring risk management rules, and underestimating market volatility. 2.4 Impatience Markets do not always move predictably. Impatience causes traders to enter or exit positions prematurely, deviating from their strategy. The result is frequent small losses that accumulate over time. 3. Cognitive Biases in Trading Cognitive biases are systematic thinking errors that affect decision-making. Recognizing these biases is crucial for traders. 3.1 Confirmation Bias Traders often seek information that confirms their existing beliefs while ignoring contrary evidence. This bias can lead to holding losing positions or entering trades without proper analysis. 3.2 Anchoring Bias Anchoring occurs when traders fixate on specific price levels or past outcomes, influencing future decisions irrationally. For instance, a trader may refuse to sell a stock below their purchase price, even when fundamentals have deteriorated. 3.3 Loss Aversion Humans are naturally more sensitive to losses than gains. In trading, loss aversion may prevent traders from cutting losses early, hoping the market will turn, which often worsens financial outcomes. 3.4 Recency Bias Traders give undue weight to recent events, assuming trends will continue indefinitely. This bias can cause chasing performance or overreacting to short-term market moves. 4. The Importance of Discipline in Trading Discipline is the bridge between strategy and execution. A disciplined trader follows a clear set of rules and adheres to risk management, regardless of emotional fluctuations. 4.1 Developing a Trading Plan A trading plan is a blueprint that defines: Entry and exit criteria Risk-reward ratio Position sizing Trade management rules Example: A trader may decide to risk only 2% of their account on a single trade and exit if losses reach that limit. Following this plan consistently prevents emotional decisions and catastrophic losses. 4.2 Sticking to Risk Management Risk management is the cornerstone of psychological stability. Setting stop-losses, diversifying trades, and controlling leverage ensures that no single loss can devastate your account or trigger panic. 5. Emotional Control Techniques Successful traders develop mental strategies to control emotions and maintain focus. 5.1 Mindfulness and Meditation Mindfulness techniques improve awareness of thoughts and feelings, helping traders remain calm during volatility. Meditation has been shown to reduce stress and improve decision-making under pressure. 5.2 Journaling Maintaining a trading journal helps identify recurring emotional patterns and mistakes. By recording each trade, the rationale behind decisions, and emotional states, traders can objectively review performance and refine their strategies. 5.3 Routine and Preparation A structured daily routine reduces emotional fatigue. Preparation includes reviewing charts, setting alerts, and defining trading goals before market hours. 5.4 Breathing and Relaxation Techniques Simple breathing exercises can reduce stress during high-pressure trading moments, preventing impulsive decisions. 6. Building a Resilient Trading Mindset 6.1 Accepting Losses as Part of Trading Losses are inevitable in trading. Accepting them as a natural part of the process prevents emotional spirals and promotes learning from mistakes. 6.2 Focusing on Probabilities, Not Certainties Markets are probabilistic. Traders must view each trade as a calculated bet, not a guaranteed outcome. Focusing on risk-reward ratios and statistical probabilities reduces emotional overreactions to individual trades. 6.3 Continuous Learning and Adaptation Markets evolve, and so should traders. A resilient mindset embraces learning from both successes and failures, adapting strategies to changing market conditions. 7. Psychological Traits of Successful Traders Through observation and research, several psychological traits consistently appear in successful traders: Patience: Waiting for the right setup rather than forcing trades. Discipline: Adhering to plans and strategies without deviation. Emotional stability: Remaining calm under pressure. Self-awareness: Recognizing personal biases and tendencies. Confidence without arrogance: Trusting analysis without reckless behavior. Adaptability: Adjusting strategies as markets evolve. 8. Avoiding Psychological Pitfalls 8.1 Overtrading Overtrading is driven by boredom, greed, or the desire to recover losses. It usually results in higher transaction costs and emotional exhaustion. Limiting the number of trades and focusing on quality setups can mitigate this. 8.2 Revenge Trading After a loss, some traders attempt to “win back” money through aggressive trades. This emotional reaction often leads to larger losses. Accepting losses calmly and returning to a plan is key. 8.3 Chasing the Market Jumping into trades based on hype or short-term trends often results in poor entries and exits. Patience and adherence to trading plans prevent this behavior. 9. Developing Mental Strength Through Simulation and Practice Simulation trading or “paper trading” allows traders to practice strategies without financial risk. This helps build psychological resilience, test reactions to losses, and develop disciplined trading habits. Reviewing simulated trades offers insights into emotional patterns and decision-making flaws. 10. Integrating Psychology Into Strategy Successful trading requires the integration of psychological awareness into technical and fundamental strategies. Some approaches include: Pre-trade checklist: A psychological and analytical checklist ensures readiness for trades. Post-trade reflection: Assessing decisions objectively to identify emotional interference. Routine review sessions: Weekly or monthly analysis of trades to refine strategy and mindset. 11. Real-World Examples of Psychological Trading George Soros: Known for his high-risk trades, Soros emphasizes the importance of understanding one’s own psychology and the market’s reflexive behavior. His success stemmed from disciplined risk management and emotional control, even in volatile markets. Jesse Livermore: Despite enormous successes, Livermore’s career was marked by the dangers of emotional trading, including overconfidence and revenge trading. His life highlights the balance between psychological mastery and the destructive power of unchecked emotions. Retail Traders: Many retail traders fail due to emotional decision-making, overtrading, and lack of risk discipline. Psychological resilience differentiates consistent winners from occasional profitable traders. 12. Conclusion Trading is as much a psychological pursuit as it is a technical or analytical one. Emotional regulation, cognitive control, discipline, and resilience are crucial for consistent success. Understanding one’s own mind, recognizing biases, and developing a disciplined, patient approach transforms trading from a high-stress gamble into a strategic, probabilistic endeavor. Mastering the psychology of trading is an ongoing journey. It requires self-awareness, continuous learning, and practice. By integrating psychological insights into trading strategies, traders can navigate market volatility with confidence, make rational decisions, and achieve long-term profitability. In short, the mind is the ultimate trading tool. Sharpen it, discipline it, and respect it, and the markets become not just a place of opportunity, but a mirror reflecting your mastery over fear, greed, and uncertainty.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
6