gold swing new ideabuy and sell setups on gold
sell conditions valid on if 45 min candle closed below prev week low. buy condition possible above the inverse head and shoulder neck line. either one of it activated means opposite other criteria get automatically invalidated. if the market condition is stable this can give profit. if not at the very worst choppy and volatile both side stops can get be triggerd..
my opinion hold till target to get the max benefit of the trade.
Trade ideas
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 24✅ From the 4-hour structure:
Gold has formed a continuous downtrend after a period of high-level consolidation, showing a clear bearish pattern. The price is currently moving near the lower Bollinger Band, around the 4050–4060 zone.
The moving averages (MA5 < MA10 < MA20) are arranged in a bearish formation, with MA10 and MA20 sloping downward, indicating that the medium- to short-term trend remains in a decline phase. The current candles are trading below all major MAs, suggesting that upward rebounds will face heavy resistance. If gold breaks below 4026, it could open further downside potential toward 3980 support.
✅ From the 1-hour chart:
Gold has fallen continuously after facing resistance at 4154.69, breaking below the 4115 support level. The price is now consolidating around 4050, with bearish pressure still dominating.
Currently, the candles are near the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term technical rebound is possible; however, since the lower band continues to expand downward, the rebound is likely to be limited.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4075 / 4115 / 4155
🟢 Support Levels: 4050 / 4025 / 3985
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to the 4070–4080 zone but fails to break above, consider light short positions, with a stop loss above 4090 and targets at 4045–4025.
🔰 If the price pulls back to the 4025–4030 area and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions targeting 4050–4060.
✅ The medium-term trend remains bearish. Unless the price firmly holds above 4115–4120, the overall strategy should still focus on selling the rallies.
XAUUSD BUY TRADE PLAN🔱 VALHALLA CORE — XAUUSD (1H) TRADE PLAN
Date: 24 Oct 2025
🧭 Market Outlook:
Gold dropped hard from the 4,150 area after rejecting the Golden Zone (50–61.8% retracement).
Now heading toward our main BUYING ZONE at 4,012–4,004 where we’ll look for a bullish setup.
📉 If Price Pulls Back Up:
Sell zone: 4,092–4,150 (Golden Area / Supply zone)
SL: Above 4,165
TP1: 4,035
TP2: 4,010 (Buying Zone)
📈 If Price Drops to Buying Zone:
Buy zone: 4,012–4,004
SL: Below 3,995
TP1: 4,092
TP2: 4,120–4,150
💡 Plan Summary:
Short from the Golden Area = continuation trade.
Buy from the Buying Zone = reversal setup.
Wait for 1H confirmation before entry (strong candle or rejection wick).
Always move SL to BE after TP1 hits.
Gold Stuck Near ₹4,100 Ahead of CPIMarket Pulse:
Gold is holding steady around ₹4,100, caught between uncertainty and opportunity as traders brace for the US CPI release and new developments in US–China trade talks.
The yellow metal has paused its recovery from ₹4,050 → ₹4,160, while the US Dollar and bond yields edge higher amid renewed geopolitical tension and surging oil prices.
This is the classic “calm before volatility” moment — the market is simply waiting for data to decide the next wave.
If CPI comes in softer or trade talks disappoint, liquidity could flood back into gold, breaking above ₹4,155–₹4,160 and opening the path toward ₹4,215 → ₹4,261.
But a strong CPI surprise could flip sentiment fast — dragging price back into the ₹4,056 and ₹4,018 buy zones, where the next reaction will decide direction.
📊 Technical Outlook (M30)
Price continues to coil within a tight structure between ₹4,100 – ₹4,155, forming a “spring compression” right below trendline resistance.
Market flow suggests accumulation beneath ₹4,100, hinting that liquidity is building before the next expansion.
Key Structure Zones:
Resistance Pivot: ₹4,154 – ₹4,155 → Key breakout level
Breakout Support (CP Zone): ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Liquidity Buy Zone: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Sell Zone (Fibo Reaction): ₹4,215 – ₹4,261
🎯 Trading Plan – MMFLOW Style
🔹 BUY PLAN – Reaccumulation Base
Entry: ₹4,056 – ₹4,060
Stop Loss: ₹4,045
Targets: ₹4,100 → ₹4,140 → ₹4,155
Focus on reaction candles & liquidity grab confirmation.
🔹 BUY PLAN – Liquidity Sweep Setup
Entry: ₹4,018 – ₹4,020
Stop Loss: ₹4,005
Targets: ₹4,056 → ₹4,100 → ₹4,150
If liquidity sweeps this zone clean, watch for a sharp recovery flow.
🧭 Summary – MMFLOW View
Gold is in “decision mode”, waiting for CPI and macro catalysts to trigger the next trend.
The structure stays neutral-bullish as long as price holds above ₹4,056.
A confirmed breakout above ₹4,155 may unlock a fast rally toward ₹4,215–₹4,260, while a break below ₹4,018 could open the door for one more liquidity flush.
⚜️ MMFLOW Bias: No need to predict the move — just follow the flow when liquidity confirms.
📊 Do you expect gold to break higher after CPI, or trap traders before reversing?
$4,005 BROKEN! GOLD READY FOR CPI COLLAPSEFranCi$$_FiboMatrix Emergency Action Plan (H1 Focus)
Welcome Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) has attracted sellers and is now trading below $4,100. With the US CPI release looming, the DOWNSIDE BREAKDOWN is our highest conviction scenario!
1. Market Snapshot
Current State: Gold is consolidating in a Sideway Zone between $4,159 (Resistance) and $4,005 (Critical Support).
Pressure: The recent break below $4,100$ and the recovering USD are key bearish factors.
The Catalyst: US CPI today. A hot inflation print will fuel the USD and shatter the $4,005$ floor.
Dominant Risk: Break below $4,005.438$ confirms the major bearish trend targeting $3,889$.
2. MAIN TRADING PLAN: Breakdown Scenario (SHORT) 💰
We are setting the trap to execute the SELL trade immediately upon the decisive breach of the $4,005$ Support.
Activate SHORT: Breakdown below $4,005.438$. (Wait for H1 close confirmation).
STOP-LOSS (SL): $4,159.686$. Placed safely above the Sideway Resistance.
TAKE-PROFIT 1 (TP1): $3,938.128 (Fibo Target).
TAKE-PROFIT 2 (TP2): $3,889.330 (Ultimate Structural Target).
3. Contingency Scenario (LONG) ⬆️
Activate LONG: Only if Gold decisively breaks $4,159.686$ (Breakout Zone) and targets $4,237.334.
Note: High-risk counter-trend trade, likely requiring a major negative surprise from the CPI report.
Community Interaction 🚀
The CPI is coming! Will the data be hot enough to smash $4,005$? Or is the Sideway Zone here to stay?
Drop your priority scenario NOW! 👇
Gold Maintains Re-Accumulation Above OB, Wave Recovery Target🔍 Market Context
After a sharp decline from the ATH GOLD 4,371 USD peak, gold has completed a liquidity sweep around the 4,010 USD bottom and formed a stable accumulation zone above the Order Block 4,080 USD .
The buyers are gradually regaining control as the price holds firm at the OB and shows signs of short-term supply absorption.
The Resistance 4,149 USD zone is currently a temporary barrier; if successfully breached – gold could trigger a recovery wave towards the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones at 4,197 and 4,235 USD.
The current price structure leans towards a bullish retracement structure – prioritising buy orders when the price reacts from the active demand zone.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Order Block (OB): 4,080 – 4,085 USD → crucial support zone, confluence with Fibo 0.786, serving as an accumulation base.
Resistance (Breakout Level): 4,149 USD → confirmation zone for upward direction, requires decisive breakout.
FVG1: 4,197 – 4,210 USD → first target, short-term supply test zone.
FVG2: 4,225 – 4,235 USD → confluence resistance zone, potential profit-taking for recovery wave.
ATH GOLD: 4,371 USD → long-term resistance, expanded target if the market maintains strong buying flow.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery.
→ Medium-term: re-accumulation after a deep correction phase.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest Order Block 4,080 USD
Entry: 4,080 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,149
TP2: 4,197
TP3: 4,235
✅ Condition:
Wait for the price to retrace to the OB zone and show clear bullish reversal signals (rejection or bullish engulfing).
➡️ This is a classic “Buy the Dip” setup – aligning with the recovery structure, with high probability due to OB + strong Fibonacci confluence.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest zone 4,149 USD
Entry: 4,149 – 4,155
SL: 4,130
TP1: 4,197
TP2: 4,235
✅ Condition:
Price breaks through the 4,149 resistance zone with good volume and lightly retests, without closing candles below 4,130.
➡️ Trend-following setup, aligning with the flow when the market confirms a short-term resistance break.
3️⃣ SELL Scalp – Reaction at FVG 4,235 USD (short-term)
Entry: 4,230 – 4,235
SL: 4,245
TP: 4,197 → 4,150
✅ Condition:
If gold reacts weakly and there is no follow-up buy at the FVG2 zone → a short-term technical sell can be considered on pullback.
➡️ Short-term sell – only execute if there is no confirmation of continued upward movement.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main structure (retracement bullish).
Do not FOMO buy within the zone (4,110 – 4,130).
If H1 closes candles below 4,060 → invalidates the bullish scenario, wait for structure reconstruction.
Maintain moderate order size when trading around the FVG zone to avoid noise.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is in the process of re-accumulation and preparing for a technical recovery phase.
As long as the price holds the Order Block 4,080 USD zone, the recovery structure remains valid, and the feasible target is 4,197 → 4,235 USD .
If it breaks through 4,235 USD, the market could extend the rally towards the 4,300 – 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,080 → TP 4,197 / 4,235.
Buy more when 4,149 break confirms upward direction.
Sell short reaction at 4,235 if there is no signal of continued break.
🔥 “Patience at the base — profits come to those who wait for the OB reaction.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Update: 24/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
XAU/USD: GEMING! US-RUSSIA TENSION DI MANA MAU ENTRY?Gold ($4,140/oz) has bounced back nicely after a big drop from the top. This strength is mostly because of the new US sanctions on Russia (more geopolitical heat!) and everyone is waiting for the key US Inflation Data (today, 24/10). Basically, the fundamentals are giving Gold a strong support!
📌 TECHNICALS & THE GAME PLAN (H1)
Crucial Resistance (Level Berat): $4,180 - $4,186
Action: Jual (Sell) if price reaches this level and gets rejected. Beli (Buy) only if it breaks decisively above $4,186 for a big continuation.
The 'Sweet Spot' Support (Area Cuan): $4,085 - $4,091
Action: Bias BUY. This is the 'Buy The Dip' opportunity. Watch for bullish confirmation here—this is a high-value area.
Safety Net (SL Aman): Below $4,057
If this level is lost, watch out! Pressure will mount to push Gold towards $4,000.
💡 VERDICT & STRATEGY
Gold is currently consolidating. With all this strong news backing it up, the best strategy is to look for BUY entries around the established support zone.
Ideal Entry: $4,085 - $4,091
Stop Loss (SL): Below $4,057
Target (TP): Aim for $4,180
Yuk, trading hati-hati! Don't forget to keep an eye on US Inflation later! 🚀
#XAUUSD #Emas #ForexIndonesia #TradingViewID #Geopolitik #AnalisaTeknikal #BuyTheDip #TradingStrategy #SinyalEmas
Gold leaning on $4100 psychological zone, Bulls to break $4150Gold Daily Technical Report
Gold is trading sideways with temporary downward bias affected by price stability below immdiate resistance 4118 while immediate support sits at psychological zone 4100 which appears to be carrying some recovery attempts.
Clear breakout above 4118 will face hurdle at 4123-4128 above which momentum builds up for further extension to 4134-4144-4154 & 4170
Break and stability below 4100 exposes broad support zone 4080 & 4060 which is next potential point of interest for buyers.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (October 23, 2025)
1️⃣ Momentum
D1 Timeframe:
• The D1 momentum is now in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal at any moment.
• Once we see a D1 candle close with a bullish confirmation, it could trigger 3–5 consecutive bullish days ahead.
H4 Timeframe:
• The H4 momentum is currently overbought, indicating a possible downward correction during today’s session.
H1 Timeframe:
• The H1 momentum is now turning upward, meaning price may rise slightly or move sideways in the short term.
• Watch two key liquidity zones: 4098 and 4143.
If H1 momentum reaches the overbought zone around these levels, it will align with the H4 bearish momentum, creating a strong resistance area.
________________________________________
2️⃣ Wave Structure
D1 Structure:
• The D1 momentum is preparing to reverse, showing that the current decline is weakening.
• A short-term recovery wave is likely to appear soon.
• As discussed in yesterday’s plan, we must observe the upcoming bullish move to confirm whether the recent downtrend has completed.
H4 Structure:
• The H4 momentum is overbought, meaning a bearish reversal may happen soon.
• Price movement is slow and overlapping, suggesting that the next decline could be either:
o Wave 4 of Wave Y (blue), or
o A larger corrective phase if momentum fully shifts downward.
H1 Structure:
• The current formation may be developing as a Flat or a Triangle correction.
o If it’s a Flat, the 4143 level is a potential completion zone for Wave C (black), after which price could resume its decline.
o If it’s a Triangle, the pattern is not yet complete — confirmation will come when price breaks below the lower boundary, offering a Sell opportunity.
🎯 Target zone if the decline unfolds:
• Based on the H4 momentum cycle (typically lasting 4–5 candles),
• And according to Fibonacci projection, Wave 5 of Wave Y (blue) targets around 3927.
________________________________________
3️⃣ Trading Plan
• The current H1 candle range is very wide (300–400 pips), while my typical stop-loss size is 100–150 pips.
• This makes limit orders risky in the current environment.
• Therefore, it’s better to wait for clear confirmation before entering trades, rather than placing early limit orders.
🔹 Sell Zones:
• 4143 and 4190 – expected top areas of this correction.
• Additionally, if price breaks above liquidity zones and then retests, these can serve as Sell entries aligned with the H4 downward momentum.
XAU/USD – Gold Completes Liquidity Sweep Phase🔍 Market Context
After a prolonged decline from the peak ATH GOLD 4,371 USD , gold has formed a Liquidity Sweep around the 4,010 USD zone, where the selling side was completely absorbed by strong buying pressure from the demand zone below.
The price structure shows signs of a Change of Character (ChoCH) for the first time since the peak, along with the appearance of an Order Block (OB) 4,081 USD – the starting point for a new upward momentum.
This indicates a high possibility that the market is entering a technical retracement phase , aiming to retest the FVG resistance zone above, or even expand back to the ATH zone if buying pressure continues.
💎 Key Technical Structure
Liquidity Sweep: 4,010 – 4,020 USD → liquidity sweep bottom zone, increased volume appears, confirming absorption of sell orders.
Order Block (OB): 4,081 – 4,090 USD → starting zone for recovery momentum; if the price retests this zone and holds → confirmation signal for an upward phase.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• FVG1: 4,196 – 4,210 USD → first target for the recovery wave.
• FVG2: 4,234 – 4,250 USD → next target, confluence of medium-term resistance.
OB | ATH GOLD: 4,370 – 4,380 USD → major resistance zone, previous peak; if the price surpasses → confirmation of a new upward trend.
Current market structure:
→ Short-term: bullish recovery (recovering from the bottom zone).
→ Medium-term: waiting for confirmation to break 4,234 to transition to a complete bullish structure.
📈 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ BUY Setup #1 – Retest the Order Block 4,081 USD
Entry: 4,081 – 4,085
SL: 4,060
TP1: 4,196
TP2: 4,234
TP3: 4,370
✅ Conditions:
Wait for the price to retest the OB 4,081 zone, a confirmation signal for an increase appears (rejection / engulfing bullish) or a small BoS on M15.
➡️ This is a classic buy-the-dip setup after a Liquidity Sweep – high probability due to the confluence of OB + ChoCH + strong demand zone.
2️⃣ BUY Setup #2 – Break & Retest FVG 4,196 USD
Entry: 4,196 – 4,200
SL: 4,180
TP: 4,234 → 4,370
✅ Conditions:
The price breaks up the first FVG with good volume, then lightly retests without closing candles below 4,180.
➡️ Trend-following setup, following the money flow when the price confirms breaking the short-term resistance zone.
📉 Alternative Scenario – SELL reaction at 4,234 USD (Short-term Scalp)
Entry: 4,234 – 4,240
SL: 4,255
TP: 4,196 → 4,100
✅ Conditions:
If the price reacts strongly and fails at the second FVG without follow-up volume increase → a short adjustment phase may appear.
➡️ Short-term sell, only execute if there is no continuation confirmation at FVG2.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise BUY according to the main recovery trend, only SELL when there is a clear reaction.
Do not FOMO buy in the middle range (4,130–4,180).
If the price closes H1 candles below 4,060 → invalidate the recovery trend, pause all buy orders.
💬 Conclusion
Gold has completed the Liquidity Sweep phase and is signaling a sustainable technical reversal .
Two important zones to monitor:
4,081 USD (OB Zone): first rebound support zone.
4,234 USD (FVG Zone): zone confirming a new upward structure.
If the price holds OB and breaks through FVG, there is a high chance gold will resume its upward momentum towards the 4,370 USD (ATH GOLD) zone.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Buy 4,081 USD → TP 4,234 / 4,370 USD.
Sell reaction 4,234 USD only when a clear reversal signal appears.
🔥 “Liquidity has been swept — now it’s time to ride the recovery wave.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H
📅 Updated: 23/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold Trading Strategy for 24th October 2025📊 TVC:GOLD (XAUUSD) INTRADAY TRADE SETUP
🟢 BUY SETUP:
🔹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-minute candle if it closes above $4166
🎯 Targets:
➡️ T1: $4177
➡️ T2: $4188
➡️ T3: $4199
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below $4155 (or as per your risk tolerance)
🔴 SELL SETUP:
🔹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle if it closes below $4100
🎯 Targets:
➡️ T1: $4088
➡️ T2: $4077
➡️ T3: $4066
🛡️ Stop Loss: Above $4112 (or as per your risk tolerance)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📉 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice.
📊 Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk carefully before taking any trade.
💰 Trading involves significant risk of loss, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 23-24✅ 4-Hour Chart: Gold is currently in a consolidation and recovery phase after a sharp decline. If the price can stabilize above 4100 and break through 4173, it will further confirm the continuation of the short-term rebound. However, if it remains pressured below 4170, the rebound may end at any time.
The price is trading above MA5 and MA10 but below MA20, showing short-term stabilization signs, while the overall structure remains in a medium-term correction phase.
The moving average system shows MA5 turning upward, MA10 flattening, and MA20 and MA50 still trending downward, indicating a short-term rebound but a weak mid-term trend.
If gold breaks above MA20 (around 4173), it may continue to recover higher; however, if it falls below 4100, there is still a risk of testing 4050 or even 4000 again.
✅ 1-Hour Chart: After rebounding from 4004, gold has been moving upward in a choppy pattern, currently trading between the Bollinger middle and upper bands, showing a mild short-term bullish momentum.
The moving averages MA5, MA10, and MA20 have formed a golden cross, but they are still at a low level, indicating that the short-term rebound continues but remains limited in strength.
If the price breaks above 4156 (Bollinger upper band), it may open further upside potential; however, a break below MA20 (around 4110) would signal the end of the rebound.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4156 / 4173 / 4244
🟢 Support Levels: 4100 / 4080 / 4050
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰If gold rebounds to the 4160–4170 zone and faces resistance, consider taking light short positions, with a stop loss above 4178 and targets at 4130–4110.
🔰If gold pulls back to the 4100–4110 zone and stabilizes, consider short-term long positions, targeting 4145–4160.
✅ Summary:
Gold remains in a medium-term downtrend, and the current rebound is mainly a technical correction.
In the short term, focus on the 4120–4170 consolidation range.
As long as key support holds, avoid blindly shorting. Traders should stay flexible and adjust their strategies according to market rhythm.
Buy Pressure Building on GoldGold is displaying signs of buyer re-entry after a period of controlled downside movement. The recent liquidity sweep around the lower range indicates that short-term selling pressure has been largely absorbed, creating favorable conditions for a potential upward expansion.
Market activity suggests renewed interest from institutional participants accumulating within the current price zone. The consolidation phase appears to be forming a base, signaling the possibility of a directional shift as liquidity gradually migrates upward. Increasing momentum on the lower end of the range reflects confidence returning to the market, setting the stage for a possible continuation toward higher valuation areas.
The outlook remains constructive as long as current accumulation behavior sustains, with market sentiment leaning toward a recovery-driven advance in the near term.
XAU/USD – Gold Tests Final Structure Before Deciding New Wave“If the 3,950 USD zone is breached, the long-term uptrend may end.”
🔍 Market Context
After reaching the historic peak ATH GOLD 4,381 USD , gold has sharply corrected and formed a clear Change of Character (ChoCH) on the H1 timeframe.
Currently, the price is technically recovering to the Resistance – FVG – Fibonacci 4,216 USD zone, which was previously a distribution peak.
The sellers are regaining short-term dominance, while the Order Block zone (3,953–3,960 USD) — which was the starting point of the strongest growth on H4/Daily — is becoming the most critical defense line of the uptrend.
If this zone is decisively broken, it is highly likely that the medium-term bullish structure will break and trigger a bearish expansion towards deeper liquidity zones like 3,689 USD.
💎 Technical Analysis
Resistance – FVG – Fib Zone: 4,216 – 4,228 → confluence resistance zone FVG + Fibo 0.618, suitable for sell reaction.
Liquidity Sweep Zone: 4,043 – 4,006 → intermediate liquidity sweep zone, may see a temporary pause.
Order Block | Structural Base: 3,953 – 3,960 → H4 momentum creation zone → ATH; if breached, long-term bullish structure is invalidated.
Liquidity Zone $$$: 3,689 – 3,685 → deep liquidity zone, potential target if OB is broken.
Overall Structure:
→ Short-term: bearish corrective phase.
→ Medium-term: bullish remains if 3,950 is not broken.
📉 Trading Scenarios
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Reaction at 4,216 – 4,228 USD zone
Entry: 4,216 – 4,228
SL: 4,240
TP1: 4,043
TP2: 3,956
TP3: 3,689
✅ Condition:
Wait for a clear reversal signal (strong rejection or bearish engulfing) on H1/M15 at the FVG resistance zone.
➡️ Classic “Sell the Rally” setup – follow the flow post-ChoCH, targeting the key OB zone 3,953 USD.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – Reaction at Order Block 3,953 – 3,960 USD
Entry: 3,956 – 3,953
SL: 3,940
TP: 4,043 → 4,216
✅ Condition:
Price holds OB and a strong reversal signal appears (bullish engulfing / increased volume / small BoS structure turns bullish again).
➡️ This is the decisive zone for the medium-term trend: if it bounces strongly, buyers will regain control; if it breaks, gold enters a new deep decline cycle.
⚠️ Risk Management
Prioritise SELL when price retraces to 4,216 – 4,228 with reversal signals.
BUY at 3,953 only with a clear reaction; if broken, cease all buy orders.
When price closes H4 candle below 3,950 → confirm bearish break, extend target to 3,689 USD.
💬 Conclusion
Gold is testing the Order Block foundation of the long-term uptrend (3,953–3,960 USD) .
If this zone holds, the market may rebound to 4,216 – 4,280;
but if breached, gold is likely to open a deep decline phase towards 3,689 USD – where a large liquidity pool is concentrated at the bottom.
👉 Reasonable Strategy:
Sell 4,216 – 4,228 USD if clear reversal signals appear.
Buy 3,953 – 3,960 USD if strong reaction;
If 3,950 is breached → confirm extended downtrend, prioritise SELL continuation.
🔥 “This Order Block built the last gold rally — if it breaks, the next leg down will be brutal.”
⏰ Timeframe: 1H – reference H4/Daily
📅 Update: 22/10/2025
✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
Gold's Historic Crash! MSS $4195: Kindly Wait for SELL at $4185📰 FUNDAMENTALS (Context is Key)
Gold has seen a massive drop—sharpest since 2013, mind you—after hitting that record high of $4,398. This steep fall is primarily technical profit-booking, not any major panga (trouble) on the macro side. The core drivers (inflation, uncertainties) for Gold are still intact, pakka (surely), for the long term. However, short-term, a good correction is compulsory.
📊 TECHNICALS (1H Chart Basis)
Market Structure Shift (MSS) Done: The price has given a proper Breakout of the strong support at $4,195 - $4,200. This zone is now our New Resistance—the best place for selling, no doubt.
The market is currently undergoing a Technical Pullback.
🎯 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (Actionables)
Our main focus is to SELL at the Resistance re-test, which aligns nicely with the changed market structure.
1. SELL Strategy (Pro-structure Trade)
SELL ZONE: $4183 - 4185
SL (Stop Loss): $4193
TP (Take Profit): $4175 - 4165 - 4155 - 4145
2. BUY Strategy (Counter-trend Scalp)
BUY ZONE: $4060 - 4055
SL (Stop Loss): $4030
TP (Take Profit): $4091 - 4114 - 4185
🔥 Expert Mandate: Kindly wait for the price to revert to the $4183 - 4185 zone. That is where you Do the needful and look for a SELL (Short) setup. The Risk-Reward is quite handsome.
Please ensure strict risk management (1-2% capital) is followed.
What is your good name for this market? BUY or SELL? Leave your comments and Kindly Follow for the timely updates!
#XAUUSD #GOLD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisAnalysis:
Gold is currently trading around 4,120, showing a minor bullish correction within a descending channel. The price has bounced from the support buy zone (4,040–4,060), indicating buyer activity at this level. However, the structure remains bearish in the short term as long as the price stays below the descending trade line.
A possible scenario is a short-term pullback toward the upper trade line before another retest of the support zone. If the support holds again, a bullish reversal could target the 4,383 level, aligning with the upper boundary of the previous high.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 4,040 – 4,060
Resistance (Trade Line): 4,180 – 4,200
Target (Bullish): 4,383
Outlook:
Neutral-to-bullish in the medium term if the support zone remains intact. A break below 4,040 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside continuation. KSE:GFH KSE:AGLTY KSE:SENERGY KSE:KFH KSE:CLEANING KSE:NCCI KSE:EKTTITAB KSE:EQUIPMENT KSE:NIH KSE:THURAYA KSE:FUTUREKID KSE:ALEID KSE:URC KSE:URC KSE:ARKAN
XAUUSD – Awaiting a Breakout to Confirm the Next Bullish WaveGold remains under pressure, trading slightly below 4,100 USD/oz despite ongoing geopolitical tensions and weak global sentiment.
On the higher timeframe, the structure still respects its ascending channel, showing no signs of a deep breakdown yet.
During the early Asian session, renewed buying interest has started to emerge, supported by a stable inflow of safe-haven demand.
Technically, price is attempting to form a bullish continuation structure (Dow wave) around the 4,110 zone.
If a breakout above this key level occurs, gold could accelerate toward 4,155, and potentially extend into a corrective bullish wave targeting 4,220–4,260, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement confluence and the CP/OBS sell zone on the chart.
Technical Outlook (M30):
Price action suggests a potential wave recovery structure forming after last week’s steep decline.
The 4,155 level acts as a key inflection point — it will decide whether bulls regain control or bears push for another correction.
Key Levels:
CP Zone Up / Breakout Base: 4,053 – 4,055
Short-Term Key Level: 4,110 – 4,115
Mid-Level Resistance: 4,155 (structure pivot)
Fibo Sell Zone / Wave End Target: 4,220 – 4,263
Trading Plan:
🔹BUY Setup #1
💥Entry: 4,020 – 4,018
❌Stop Loss: 4,010
✔️Take Profit: 4,030 → 4,035 → 4,040 → 4,050 → 4,060 → 4,100
⏸Bias: Reaccumulation Phase (structure support)
🔹BUY Setup #2 (Scalp Play)
🔔Entry: 4,053 – 4,051
❌Stop Loss: 4,043
✔️Take Profit: 4,060 → 4,070 → 4,080 → 4,090 → 4,100 → 4,150
⏸Note: Ideal for intraday traders watching the breakout base.
🔹SELL ZONE (Liquidity Reaction Zone)
📊Entry: 4,263 – 4,265
❌Stop Loss: 4,273
✔️Take Profit: 4,255 → 4,250 → 4,240 → 4,230 → 4,220 → 4,210 → 4,200
⭐️Summary:
Gold continues to consolidate above 4,050, showing signs of early recovery after the recent 3,000-pip correction.
The 4,155 level remains the key pivot for short-term direction — a breakout here could confirm a Wave 3–5 recovery structure, while rejection could bring one more pullback.
Macro and geopolitical uncertainty still favour safe-haven flows, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as 4,000–4,020 holds.
📊What’s your take — will gold break above 4,155 to start a new bullish wave, or reject and extend the correction further?






















