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FED dovish, Gold stays bullish; SELL only for scalps⚓️ Captain Vincent – Gold Plan XAU/USD 1. Market Wave 🌍 The probability of a FED rate cut in September surged to 96.6% (vs 90.4% earlier) after the JOLTS report showed weakening job prospects. Several FED officials, from Kashkari to Bostic, shifted dovish. Only Musallim maintained a hawkish stance with a scenario of just one cut. 👉 Result: Capital flows returned to Gold as the No.1 safe haven, pushing prices strongly higher overnight. 📌 Key data today (04/09 – US time): ADP Nonfarm (7:15) Jobless Claims (7:30) ISM Services PMI (9:00) ➡️ This trio of data will be crucial catalysts for GOLD volatility. 2. Technical Analysis ⚙️ On M30/H1, Gold continues to form bullish BOS, keeping the main trend upward. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (Buy Zone 3,477 – 3,479): Old Order Block, strong support if price pulls back. Quick Boarding 🚤 (Sell Scalp 3,561 – 3,563): Only for short-term scalps. Storm Breaker 🌊 (Sell Zone 3,573 – 3,575): Aligned with Fibo 0.618–0.786, strong resistance with potential selling pressure. Captain’s Shield 🛡️ (Support): 3,526 – 3,515 – 3,508 3. Captain Vincent’s Map – Trade Scenarios 🪙 🔺 Golden Harbor 🏝️ (BUY – Priority) Entry: 3,477 – 3,479 SL: 3,470 TP: 3,480 → 3,483 → 3,486 → 3,491 → 349x → 35xx 🚤 Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Short Ride) Entry: 3,561 – 3,563 SL: 3,569 TP: 3,558 → 3,555 → 3,552 → 354x 🌊 Storm Breaker (SELL Zone – Strong Resistance) Entry: 3,573 – 3,575 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,570 → 3,565 → 3,560 → 3,555 → 35xx 4. Captain’s Note ⚓ "The golden sail is filled with wind as the FED turns dovish. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3477) remains the safe haven to align with the bullish trend. SELLs are just Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps at Storm Breaker 🌊 , not long voyages."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Crazy gold! Buy or wait for a pullback?Market News: Spot gold prices fluctuated narrowly in early Asian trading on Friday (September 5th), currently trading around $3,550 per ounce. International gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, hit a record high of $3,578 per ounce on Wednesday amid growing global economic uncertainty. The London gold price declined after reaching a record high, primarily due to profit-taking by traders. After a strong rally, the market accumulated a large amount of long positions, and many investors chose to cash in their profits at the peak, leading to a short-term price decline. Traders are focused on the upcoming US non-farm payroll report, which could directly influence the pace of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and, in turn, the price of gold. In the current environment, weak employment indicators reinforce expectations of rate cuts and support gold's safe-haven demand. However, if the data exceeds expectations, gold may face further pressure. Technical Analysis: After seven consecutive days of gains, gold experienced a sharp drop yesterday, closing with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. Technically, this closing pattern is often a continuation of an upward trend, as prices remain within the ascending channel. Furthermore, a double top or head-and-shoulders top pattern has yet to emerge and establish. The daily chart retreated to yesterday's 5-day moving average at 3511, then bottomed out and rebounded. The European and American markets strengthened again, pulling back towards the 3559/60 levels. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages remained open and moved upward to 3504/3467, and the RSI indicator remained above 70. On the short-term four-hour chart, gold prices are trading within the upper middle Bollinger Band, with the moving averages converging and the hourly Bollinger Bands closing. Regarding news data, focus on the non-farm payroll report today. The market's estimate is slightly bearish, but the 4.3% increase in the unemployment rate is favorable for buying. The main strategy for intraday trading is to focus on wide range fluctuations, primarily buying on dips and selling on highs. Trading Strategy: Short-term gold buy at 3535-3538, stop loss at 3527, target at 3570-3590; Short-term gold sell at 3577-3580, stop loss at 3588, target at 3540-3520; Key Points: First support level: 3536, second support level: 3523, third support level: 3510 First resistance level: 3562, second resistance level: 3576, third resistance level: 3590
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 5, 2025 ———————————— Momentum • D1: Momentum has already turned bearish, suggesting that in the coming days we could see a corrective decline. Since today is Friday, be cautious of potential liquidity sweeps before the weekly close. • H4: Momentum is still rising, but with about 1 hour left before the current H4 candle closes, it is likely to enter the overbought zone, which would increase the risk of reversal. • H1: Momentum is weakening and preparing to reverse, showing that the current upward move is losing strength. ———————————— Wave Structure • D1: No major changes. A corrective decline is likely in the coming days. The depth of this correction will help us identify the exact wave structure. For now, patience is needed until D1 momentum reaches the oversold area and new patterns form. • H4: Price still seems to be in the corrective phase of wave iv (purple). With H4 momentum about to enter the overbought zone, I still expect a downward move to complete wave iv before the market continues upward into wave v (purple). • H1: We can see an ABC (green) structure forming, as mentioned yesterday. However, because it developed quite quickly, it could also evolve into a Flat, Triangle, or Combination pattern. o Price is moving in a choppy, overlapping manner. o Combined with H4 momentum nearing overbought → it’s likely that wave B is forming, followed by a downward move to complete wave iv (purple). o If a Flat plays out, price could rise toward 3578 (or higher) before dropping back below that level. ———————————— Targets • Wave C: We need to wait for wave B to complete before setting more reliable targets. For now, keep yesterday’s target zones: 3498 – 3469. • Wave v (purple): No significant change compared to yesterday’s plan. ———————————— Trading Plan Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 • SL: 3490 • TP1: 3524 Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 • SL: 3459 • TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578Gold Market Analysis: The market's greatest allure lies in its ever-changing nature. Yesterday, gold plummeted in the Asian session, plummeting to around 3510. It then hit the 5-day moving average on the daily chart and rebounded rapidly. It then went on to not only rebound, but also rise in a V-shaped pattern. Your supposed sell-off was a lie. The daily chart ultimately closed with a bearish hammer candlestick pattern. The long lower shadow suggests yesterday's sharp drop was fleeting. Gold has not yet shifted its buying trend. Today is the time for the non-farm payroll report, and I predict a period of volatile correction with a buying bias. If gold can rally to a new high in the Asian session today, consider buying directly. Our approach in the Asian session is to buy low and then wait for the non-farm payroll data. It's difficult to determine whether 3578 on the daily chart is the high point, and the pattern doesn't signal a peak. The 1-hour chart shows a new support level near 3540. Buying in the Asian session is possible based on this support level. Furthermore, support from moving averages and indicators is near 3531. This level, which represents daily support, presents a buying opportunity. If gold reaches 3578 during the Asian session, do not consider selling. The strategy of buying at low prices can be maintained until the release of the non-farm payroll data. Support levels are 3531 and 3540, while resistance levels are 3578 and 3560. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3540. Fundamental Analysis: Recent fundamentals have not significantly stimulated the market. Today, we will focus on the US non-farm payroll data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Buy near 3540, target 3558-3578
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BullMarketKing
Gold Trading Strategy for 05th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Setup 🟢 Buy Setup Entry: Buy above the high of the 1-hour candle once price closes above $3561 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3573 🎯 Target 2: $3585 🎯 Target 3: $3597 🔴 Sell Setup Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle once price closes below $3531 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3520 🎯 Target 2: $3508 🎯 Target 3: $3495 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is purely for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in commodities, forex, or any financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should never risk more than you can afford to lose. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
Bearish Pressure Builds: Gold Poised for More RetreatGold retreated sharply today as expected, and directly hit my expected retracement target of 3520-3510 area; the lowest point happened to be around 3511. We added a lot of short positions around 3575 and 3578 overnight, which helped us to make considerable profits during the gold retreat. All short positions made a total profit of 1830pips after being closed. Since gold has begun to retreat from 3578, and the retracement has reached 670 pips in the short term, a retracement that is rare in recent times, as gold has shown obvious signs of retreat, once large funds begin to withdraw, it may trigger serious selling sentiment in the market. Taking this opportunity, the gold market may usher in a round of sharp correction. Moreover, after gold retreats, 3578 is expected to become the interim peak, which will limit the room for gold to rebound while being conducive to the downward pressure on gold. In addition, gold rose sharply before the NFP market, probably to reserve room for the NFP market to fall, so I think gold still has the demand and space to continue to retreat, so the current decline has not ended yet, and I think the current short-term rebound provides us with good conditions for entering the short market. According to the current structure, gold still needs to retreat after fluctuating at high levels. Therefore, in trading, we can still look for suitable opportunities to short gold during the gold rebound. First of all, we need to pay attention to the short-term resistance area of 3545-3555. Once gold cannot effectively stand in this area during the rebound, gold will also test the 3510-3500 area. After falling below this area, it is expected to continue to the 3490-3480 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PriceSniper_Steffen
2
"XAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure ShiftXAUUSD Update – Resistance Rejection and Market Structure Shift Price Action: Gold has recently tested the 3550 – 3600 resistance zone, where the market showed signs of rejection. This level represents a significant supply area formed by previous liquidity grabs. Market Structure: After a strong bullish impulse, the current price behavior suggests a possible correction phase. The rally left behind areas of imbalance that could attract price back downward. Key Observation: The first reaction zone sits around 3480, which aligns with a structural support level from past consolidation. A deeper correction may extend toward the 3330 – 3320 support region, a critical level where historical demand has been observed. Context: Liquidity above recent highs has been taken, and the chart now shows potential for retracement to restore balance before determining the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next? 📊 Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) 🔹 Fundamental Outlook Macroeconomic Sentiment Recent economic data from the U.S. continues to shape gold’s trajectory. Slower job growth and rising recessionary signals are fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance. This increases investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. U.S. Dollar & Yields The U.S. Dollar Index has shown weakness, which typically boosts gold prices since gold is dollar-denominated. Meanwhile, Treasury yields remain under pressure as investors anticipate lower interest rates in the medium term, further supporting bullish momentum. Geopolitical Factors Ongoing political tensions in Eastern Europe and uncertainty in energy markets are driving hedging demand. Institutional flows have recently shifted back into gold ETFs, signaling increased demand from large investors. 🔹 Technical Outlook Trend Strength The chart reflects a strong impulsive bullish move over the past sessions, characterized by clean breakouts and higher highs. Momentum is still intact but shows the first signs of exhaustion near the recent peak. Market Structure Price action has been characterized by consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) events, showing dominance of buyers. However, the latest candles indicate slowing momentum, with smaller bodies and longer wicks hinting at potential short-term weakness. Volume Profile The visible volume profile suggests that earlier accumulation phases fueled this strong rally. Current levels are showing higher participation, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders. Possible Scenarios Short-term pullback: Likely retracement as buyers take profit after a strong rally. Medium-term continuation: If macro drivers (Fed dovish stance, weaker dollar) persist, gold may regain momentum after consolidation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next?Gold Rally Faces Exhaustion – Is a Pullback Next? 📊 Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) 🔹 Fundamental Outlook Macroeconomic Sentiment Recent economic data from the U.S. continues to shape gold’s trajectory. Slower job growth and rising recessionary signals are fueling expectations that the Federal Reserve may adopt a more dovish stance. This increases investor interest in safe-haven assets like gold. U.S. Dollar & Yields The U.S. Dollar Index has shown weakness, which typically boosts gold prices since gold is dollar-denominated. Meanwhile, Treasury yields remain under pressure as investors anticipate lower interest rates in the medium term, further supporting bullish momentum. Geopolitical Factors Ongoing political tensions in Eastern Europe and uncertainty in energy markets are driving hedging demand. Institutional flows have recently shifted back into gold ETFs, signaling increased demand from large investors. 🔹 Technical Outlook Trend Strength The chart reflects a strong impulsive bullish move over the past sessions, characterized by clean breakouts and higher highs. Momentum is still intact but shows the first signs of exhaustion near the recent peak. Market Structure Price action has been characterized by consecutive break-of-structure (BOS) events, showing dominance of buyers. However, the latest candles indicate slowing momentum, with smaller bodies and longer wicks hinting at potential short-term weakness. Volume Profile The visible volume profile suggests that earlier accumulation phases fueled this strong rally. Current levels are showing higher participation, indicating profit-taking by short-term traders. Possible Scenarios Short-term pullback: Likely retracement as buyers take profit after a strong rally. Medium-term continuation: If macro drivers (Fed dovish stance, weaker dollar) persist, gold may regain momentum after consolidation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025Gold Trading Strategy XAUUSD September 4, 2025: New all-time high of $3,578, gold eases to $3,536/oz as US ADP data takes center stage. Fundamentals: Spot gold hit a record high on Wednesday as weaker-than-expected US jobs data weighed on the US dollar. Gold bulls are betting on further gains. The US Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report on Wednesday, showing that job vacancies, an indicator of labor demand, fell by 176,000 to 7.181 million on the last day of July. Economists surveyed by Reuters had previously forecast the number of vacant jobs in the United States at 7.378 million in July. Technical analysis: After creating the latest ATH of 3578, the gold price corrected strongly to the 3511 area and then continued to increase; this can be considered a short-term profit-taking wave of the gold price. However, the selling pressure is still not strong. The multi-frame RSI is in the overbought area and shows signs of entering the buying zone. We continue to wait at the support areas combined with MA, Fib and FVG zones. Important price zones today: 3495 - 3500 and 3475 - 3480. Today's trading trend: BUY. Recommended order: Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3495 - 3497 SL 3492 TP 3500 - 3510 - 3530 - 3550 - OPEN. Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3475 - 3477 SL 3472 TP 3480 - 3490 - 3520 - 3550 - OPEN. Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3549 - 3551 SL 3554 TP 3546 - 3536 - 3516 - 3500. (small volume, effective before US session). Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
OANDA:XAUUSD
by tieeggsly
GOLD 03/09: TIME TO SELL, WHERE TO BUY TODAY?1. Overall Analysis Elliott Wave: Wave (5) seems to have completed, signalling a possible distribution phase. The market is likely moving into an ABC corrective structure, with Wave A expected to retrace to key Fibonacci levels before a Wave B rebound. Smart Money Concept (SMC): The Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. There’s a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around the 3,500 level, which price may revisit to fill. The CP Order Buy Zone near 3,485 indicates a strong liquidity area for potential medium- to long-term buying opportunities. 2. SELL Plan SELL Zone: 3,550 – 3,552 Stop Loss (SL): 3,558 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 – short-term target) TP2: 3,517 (Fib 0.382 – first support level) TP3: 3,508 – 3,506 (BUY SCALP/FVG zone) Logic: Price has completed Wave 5, forming a distribution zone. Smart Money may sweep liquidity around 3,550 before pushing the price down to test the FVG levels. 3. BUY SCALP Plan BUY Zone: 3,508 – 3,506 (aligning with the FVG) Stop Loss (SL): 3,499 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 3,526 (Fib 0.266 retracement) TP2: 3,540 (previous reaction level) Logic: This zone lines up with an unfilled FVG and the 0.5–0.618 retracement levels of the last leg. If price holds its bullish structure here, Wave B could stage a strong rebound. 4. Medium-Term BUY Zone CP Order Buy Zone: Around 3,485 Logic: This area acts as a major liquidity pool, often targeted by Smart Money. If price breaks below 3,506, this level could be the next key spot for medium-term accumulation, with an eye on a Wave C move back toward 3,550+. 5. Main Scenarios Primary Setup: Look for a SELL entry at 3,550 – 3,552 with SL at 3,558, and scale out profits at support levels. Watch for a BUY SCALP setup in the 3,508 – 3,506 range if bullish confirmation appears. Alternate Setup: If price dips below 3,506 and keeps falling, wait for confirmation at 3,485 to build a medium-term long position. 6. Risk Management Always place tight stop-losses for each setup. For SELL trades: lower your position size during high-impact news events. For BUY SCALP trades: only enter after confirmation signals, such as a pin bar, engulfing candle, or a minor structure break on the M5/M15 charts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Linda_OneShotTrader
7
GOLD Daily Plan – Sideway before ADP & NFP | MMFLOW TRADINGAfter yesterday’s strong rally, Gold (XAUUSD) corrected by over 60 Prices, moving back to the VPOC 3537 zone. This pullback indicates a potential short-term ATH near 357x, where SELL positions were shaken out and BUY positions booked profits. Currently, Gold is consolidating ahead of ADP today and NFP tomorrow. With ADP expected at 73K vs. 104K previously, weaker job data could pressure USD and provide upside momentum for Gold. The 60+ point drop highlights profit-taking by institutions and created liquidity gaps on both sides, bringing price into the 353x–354x sideway zone. A clear breakout of this zone will decide today’s trend direction. 🔑 Key Resistance Levels 3540 – 3548 – 3560 – 3576 🔑 Key Support Levels 3526 – 3515 – 3502 – 3490 – 3476 📌 Trade Setups (MMFLOW Trading View) 🔵 BUY Scalp: 3502 – 3500 🔴 SL: 3494 ✔️ TP: 3506 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? 🔵 BUY Zone: 3477 – 3475 🔴 SL: 3470 ✔️ TP: 3485 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – 3550 – ??? 🔵 SELL Scalp: 3559 – 3561 🔴 SL: 3566 ✔️ TP: 3554 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 – ??? 🔵 SELL Zone: 3574 – 3576 🔴 SL: 3580 ✔️ TP: 3570 – 3560 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – ??? 📊 MMFLOW TRADING View: Today’s outlook suggests continued correction before ADP/NFP releases. Sideway accumulation dominates between 353x–354x, but whichever side breaks first will set the day’s direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Gold Stalls as USD Regains StrengthThe ISM Services PMI was reported at 50.9, higher than the previous 50.1 and still above the 50 threshold – indicating that the U.S. services sector remains in expansion. This is a sign that the U.S. economy is still resilient, and the USD immediately benefited. With a stronger dollar, it’s natural for gold to come under corrective pressure. On the 8H chart, after a sharp rally, XAUUSD was capped at the 3,579 USD resistance . From there, price showed a reversal signal and started to retreat. The nearest support lies around 3,465 USD, and if this level is broken, the probability of a deeper decline increases significantly – especially as the fundamentals continue to favor the greenback. In the short term , I favor a bearish scenario: sell while price stays below 3,579, targeting 3,465. Only a clear close above 3,579 would bring the bullish outlook back, but for now, gold looks set for a correction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
2
Gold 04/09 – Smart Money Setup: Sell Scalp, Prep for Buy Zones🟢 Market Context Gold is currently reflecting a short-term bearish setup after a Change of Character (ChoCH) near 3,536.556. The market is reacting from supply and creating liquidity sweeps around the 3,531–3,533 zone. We anticipate the price to move lower towards demand areas before the next upward push. 📍 Key Levels & Trade Plan 🔴 Intraday Sell (Scalp Trade) Entry: 3,531 – 3,533 Stop Loss: 3,535 Target: 3,485 🟢 Swing Buy Zones Buy Zone 1: 3,475 – 3,477 Stop Loss: 3,470 Target: 3,508 – 3,526 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper Discount): 3,441 – 3,443 Stop Loss: 3,435 Target: 3,500+ ⚖️ SMC Bias Short-term: Bearish scalp from supply zone. Mid-term: Expecting liquidity grab and bullish reversal at demand zones. Long-term: Bullish order flow intact as long as deeper demand (3,441) is respected.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold 03/09 – Smart Money Playbook: Buy the Dip, Sell the High🟢 Market Context Gold continues to show a bullish trend with multiple BOS (Break of Structure) and ChoCH (Change of Character) confirmations. The price is currently consolidating around the 3,533–3,540 range, with a noticeable FVG (Fair Value Gap) below. The market is likely to sweep liquidity before making another upward move. 📍 Key Levels • Resistance (Sell Zones): 3,564 | 3,575–3,576 | 3,586 | 3,595 • Support (Buy Zones): 3,528 | 3,508 | 3,494 | 3,480–3,478 | 3,468 🛠️ Trade Ideas ✅ Buy Zone (Intraday Swing) • Entry: 3,480 – 3,478 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,473 • TP (Take Profit): 3,485 – 3,490 – 3,500 – 3,515 – 3,520 – 3,530 📌 Expectation: Price is expected to fill the FVG and react from the demand zone before resuming its upward trend. ✅ Buy Scalp (Quick Reaction) • Entry: 3,501 – 3,503 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,491 • TP (Take Profit): 3,510 – 3,525 – 3,545 – 3,550 📌 Expectation: A short-term liquidity grab above the 3,500 psychological level, leading to a bullish push. ❌ Sell Zone (Countertrend Play) • Entry: 3,575 – 3,573 • SL (Stop Loss): 3,582 • TP (Take Profit): 3,565 – 3,555 – 3,545 – 3,530 – 3,520 📌 Expectation: A strong supply zone where smart money may target liquidity before a price reversal. 🔑 SMC Insights • BOS confirms a bullish bias, but the price may pull back to address the FVG imbalance. • Liquidity is likely to be present around 3,480–3,500 before a push towards 3,575 or higher. • High probability of buying at demand zones (dips) and selling at extreme supply zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday, we planned to buy gold at 3531, and the blog post clearly stated buying at 3526. Almost all of the purchases were made at the lowest point. Gold surged to 3578 in the European and American trading sessions, closing with a strong positive daily candlestick pattern. However, gold plummeted in the Asian session, giving back all of yesterday's gains in just a few hours. Does this signal a topping? A technical pullback after a significant surge is normal, but the magnitude of the pullback has disrupted the short-term buying structure, allowing gold to re-enter a new pattern. This week is a data week, and the further into the future, the more critical the market for gold. I believe the current sharp drop is merely profit-taking ahead of the data releases, and it's not yet a definitive peak signal. The overall trend should continue to be buying today. Don't blindly buy in the Asian session. Consider selling on a short-term rebound. The 3526 level has been broken. This level is the hourly low and also the daily support level. A break of this level indicates a weakening trend. Another level is the 5-day moving average of the daily chart, 3508-3500. A significant drop below this level would confirm a short-term Yin-enclosing Yang pattern, potentially signaling the start of a major correction. We can buy and sell intraday, capitalizing on this trend. Furthermore, the 4-hour chart's consecutive reversals into the red are causing market confusion. Support is 3508-3500, while resistance lies at 3566, 3553, and 3542. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3526. Fundamental Analysis: Today we will have ADP employment and unemployment benefit data. Trading Recommendation: Gold - Sell around 3532, target 3500-3480
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BullMarketKing
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 4/9/2025 Momentum • D1: Currently showing bearish reversal signals. We need to wait for today’s daily candle close to confirm. If confirmed, it is likely that the recent rally has ended and the market will enter a corrective phase lasting several days. • H4: Momentum is moving into the oversold zone, suggesting that the current downward correction may be close to completion. Afterward, a rebound is expected within the next 1–2 H4 candles. • H1: Momentum is in the oversold zone and showing signs of turning upward, indicating a short-term bullish bounce is likely. Wave Structure • D1: The first bearish candle has appeared after a steep rally, suggesting a 5-wave structure. The ongoing correction will help determine whether this was the completion of a larger Wave 5 or just Wave 1 within Wave 5. • H4: After reaching 3578, price turned lower. This likely marked the completion of black Wave 5, as well as the green wave and purple Wave iii. The market is now in the corrective phase of purple Wave iv. • H1: Purple Wave iii has completed, including both black Wave 5 and green Wave v. An ABC corrective structure is currently forming, but its formation time is relatively short, which means extra caution is needed as the correction may not be fully completed or could extend further. 📍 Target zones for the completion of purple Wave iv: • Zone 1: 3498 • Zone 2: 3469 Once purple Wave iv is completed, the uptrend is expected to continue into purple Wave v with projected targets: • Target 1: 3602 • Target 2: 3667 Trading Plan • Buy Zone 1: 3500 – 3498 o SL: 3490 o TP1: 3524 • Buy Zone 2: 3471 – 3469 o SL: 3459 o TP1: 3500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Smashes Records: Trade the Fed Drama & Rate Cut Hype!Fundamental Analysis: Why Gold Keeps Breaking Records! 🌟 New Peaks: Spot gold hit a record $3,527.5/oz on September 2, with analysts predicting a climb to $3,600-$3,900 this year, potentially surpassing $4,000 by 2026 if economic and geopolitical uncertainty persists. Reuters polls show 2025 average price forecasts rising from $2,756/oz (January) to $3,220/oz (July). 📈 Fed Rate Cut Buzz: Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged rising job market risks, boosting bets for a September rate cut. “A weakening USD, fueled by rate cut expectations, investor aversion to US assets, and tariff-related economic uncertainty, supports gold,” says Ricardo Evangelista from ActivTrades. Gold thrives in low-rate environments! 🏦 USD Weakness: The USD has lost nearly 11% since Trump’s return to the White House in January 2025, making gold more attractive to foreign currency holders. 📉 Fed Drama: Trump’s criticism of Powell and attempts to oust Fed Governor Lisa Cook have raised fears about Fed independence, driving safe-haven gold demand. “Speculative bullishness stems from potential Fed interference and concerns over the USD’s safe status,” notes Carsten Menke from Julius Baer. ⚖️🇺🇸 Other Drivers: Middle East tensions, Russia-Ukraine conflict, and central bank buying (e.g., China’s PBOC added gold for the 9th consecutive month in July 2025). The World Gold Council (WGC) reports central banks plan to increase gold reserves while reducing USD holdings. “Rising gold prices and central bank accumulation are boosting gold’s share in reserves,” says Michael Hsueh from Deutsche Bank. Gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust saw holdings rise 12% YTD to 977.68 tons, the highest since August 2022. Technical Analysis: Bullish Surge Continues, Prioritize BUY but Watch for Pullbacks! 📉 Gold keeps setting new highs, breaking through the round 3,500 level, dipping briefly to 3,469, then surging to 3,54x—near the Fibonacci extension 0.618. No clear reversal signals yet, so prioritize BUY if gold retraces to 3,52x or 3,51x. Bulls remain in control! Key Resistance: 3,554 - 3,564 - 3,574 Key Support: 3,521 - 3,508 - 3,450 - 3,475 Trading Opportunities: Sell Scalp : 3,543 - 3,545 SL: 3,549 TP: 3,540 - 3,535 - 3,530 Sell Zone : 3,571 - 3,573 SL: 3,581 TP: 3,563 - 3,553 - 3,543 - 3,523 Buy Scalp: 3,510 - 3,508 SL: 3,504 TP: 3,513 - 3,518 - 3,528 Buy Zone: 3,475 - 3,473 SL: 3,465 TP: 3,483 - 3,493 - 3,503 - 3,513 - Open #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #Trump #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Crypto
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
GOLD crosses $3500! What’s next for Indian traders?Gold (XAUUSD) has shown massive momentum, moving nearly 50–60 points daily. Price is now reacting at an important FIBO extension level. Sellers are stepping in, but so far there is no strong confirmation on higher timeframes (H1–H2). 📊 MMFLOW VIEW Sideways consolidation → Breakout → New ATHs every day. Liquidity & FVG zones are still favoring the BUY side. SELL is only safe when higher timeframe volume confirms. For now: Focus on BUY entries from liquidity zones. 🔑 KEY LEVELS Resistance: 3440–3446 (ATH) | 3564 | 3576 | 3586 | 3595 Support: 3528 | 3508 | 3494 | 3480 | 3468 🎯 MMFLOW PLAN ✅ BUY ZONE: 3481 – 3479 SL: 3474 TP: 3486 – 3490 – 3495 – 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – ??? ✅ BUY SCALP: 3496 – 3494 SL: 3490 TP: 3500 – 3510 – 3520 – 3530 – 3540 – ??? ❌ SELL ZONE: 3576 – 3578 SL: 3584 TP: 3570 – 3565 – 3560 – 3555 – 3550 – 3540 – 3530 – 3520 – 3510 – 3500 ⚠️ Important for Indian traders: GOLD is extremely volatile right now. Don’t rush into trades. 👉 Wait for confirmation at Key Levels, use proper Risk Management, and target smart entries for maximum profit. 🔥 This is the MMFLOW TRADING PLAN – Follow us on TradingView for daily GOLD strategies and never miss the next big move!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
1
Healthy Pause in Gold’s Rally, Bulls Still in ControlGold has finally started to show a healthy daily correction after its sharp rally and breakout above 3500. This pullback was not unexpected, as intraday charts were looking overstretched in the last sessions. Despite today’s dip, the broader structure remains strong with momentum still favoring the upside as long as key supports hold. For the short term, 3500 (previous high) will be the immediate level to watch, followed by 3450 as secondary support. Holding above these levels will keep the bullish trend intact, and any stabilization here can set the stage for another leg higher. Overall, the correction looks more like a consolidation phase rather than a reversal, keeping the bigger picture positive.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started?XAUUSD – Has the Downtrend Really Started? Hello traders, Gold is now showing signs of a corrective move lower. Price has already dropped by nearly 40 dollars, signalling that selling pressure is starting to build. Traders are accepting lower prices at this level, but to truly confirm a bearish shift, we need to see price action around the 3530 zone, which acts as a key level for validation. On the higher timeframe, gold has rallied almost 250 dollars (2500 pips) in just two weeks, a very strong bullish run. However, with the upcoming NFP release today and tomorrow, the market could redistribute liquidity. Current forecasts suggest weak NFP numbers, and if that plays out, gold may still push higher – but this remains speculative. Trading strategy for now: Short entries: around 354x, aiming for a medium- to long-term move lower. Potential buy zones: watch for reactions at the FVG liquidity gaps around 3510 – 3460 – 3430, where strong demand previously created imbalances. For now, my outlook remains medium-term short, while staying flexible around key liquidity levels. Take this as reference, and share your views in the comments – let’s discuss together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital