Gold 1H – Bearish Reaction After Consecutive Gains🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
After several sessions of steady gains, gold is showing signs of exhaustion as U.S. Treasury yields stabilize and traders reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move.
The market’s focus today is on U.S. housing data and Fed officials’ remarks, which could shape expectations for the December policy outlook.
• A hawkish tone from policymakers may strengthen the dollar and pressure gold lower.
• Conversely, softer remarks could briefly trigger buying around key discount zones, but the overall tone remains corrective after the recent rally.
Market liquidity is concentrated near the ₹4,230 area — where price may tap into unmitigated supply before continuing its bearish leg.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Structure: The overall bias has shifted bearish following consecutive ChoCH and BOS formations.
• Premium Zone: The 4,230–4,228 area aligns with an H1 order block and previous liquidity pool — a prime zone for short re-entry.
• Liquidity Sweep: The recent upside push toward 4,230 may sweep late buyers before the next bearish leg unfolds.
• Discount Zone: Short-term liquidity may rest around 4,080–4,100, which aligns with previous sell-side imbalance (SSI) and acts as an intraday reaction zone.
🔴 Sell Setup
• Entry: 4,230 – 4,228
• Stop-Loss: 4,240
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,080 → 4,050+
🟢 Buy Scalp Setup (Short-Term Countermove)
• Entry: 4,081 – 4,083
• Stop-Loss: 4,074
• Take-Profit Targets: 4,100 → 4,115
(Only valid if liquidity sweep confirms reaction within discount zone)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Confirm M15 BOS/ChoCH before entry — avoid blind orders during news.
• Reduce position size for scalp entries; primary directional bias remains bearish.
• Lock partial profits near first liquidity targets and trail stops as structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold faces near-term correction pressure after multiple bullish sessions.
The 4,230–4,228 zone offers a clean premium OB entry for continuation shorts, while reactive buyers may scalp intraday from 4,081 if liquidity sweeps occur.
Stay adaptive — today’s sentiment is short-term bearish within a larger range-bound structure.
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Trade ideas
GOLD RECOVERS: H1 Bounces at $4,150 – Sniping the Fibo SELL Zone🎯 Macro Summary & Bias: Weak USD & CPI Focus Drive Recovery
Gold price gained some traction in early European trading on Wednesday, recovering above the $4,150 level.
Primary Driver: The weaker US Dollar (USD) is currently supporting the price recovery.
Mixed Forces: Easing US-China trade tensions are putting some pressure on Gold, but this is offset by Fed rate cut expectations and general market uncertainty, which should limit the downside.
Key Event: Traders are keenly focused on the US CPI (Consumer Price Index) inflation report for September this Friday. Any sign of hotter-than-expected US inflation could lift the USD and pressure Gold in the short term.
Technical Bias: After the DOUBLE TOP DUMP and a +3000 PIPS move down, the market is now attempting a corrective rally. Our strategy is to SELL the strong Fibo/Volume resistance (Sell on Rally) before looking for the next BUY zone.
📊 In-Depth Technical Analysis (H1): Pinpointing the FIBO Reaction Levels
Based on the recent major market reversal from the Double Top and the current corrective bounce (Referencing image_43ce7f.png), we have our strategic levels:
1. Strategic SELL Zones (FIBO SELL REACT ZONES):
These are the primary resistance zones for executing SELL trades, anticipating the continuation of the post-dump correction:
REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200: This is the first critical resistance zone (0.5 Fibo retracement) to look for a Short entry.
REACTION FIBO - SELL ZONE BIG VOLUME for SELL SIDE 4300 - 4310: This is the major supply/liquidity zone and the ultimate target for the current corrective rally.
2. Strategic BUY Zone (ORDER BUY REACT ZONE):
This is the key support area where the previous dump found temporary relief, which we use for stop-loss or potential re-entry:
ORDER BUY ZONE 4100 - 4090: This is the immediate support zone formed after the dump, which is currently holding the price.
📈 TODAY'S ACTION PLAN
Primary Action (Prioritize SELL on Rally): Wait for the corrective bounce to reach the REACTION FIBO 0.5 ZONE - SELL ZONE 4190 - 4200.
Short Entry: Execute the SELL entry upon confirmed reversal candles (H1/M30/M15) in the 4190 - 4200 zone.
Targets (TP): Aim to retest the recent low and the LIQUIDITY PUMP area.
Contingency BUY: If price breaks decisively above 4200, the rally may extend to the BIG VOLUME SELL ZONE 4300 - 4310.
⚠️ Risk Warning
Risk Management: Place Stop Loss (SL) above the 4200 zone for the short entry. Watch the US CPI report on Friday closely, as inflation data could cause extreme volatility.
Wishing all FranCi$$_FiboMatrix traders a disciplined and victorious day!
How Professional Traders Trade Smartly Introduction
Professional traders operate in highly competitive and dynamic markets, where success requires a combination of technical expertise, psychological discipline, risk management, and continuous learning. Unlike casual or retail traders, pros approach trading systematically, treating it as a business rather than a hobby. Their strategies focus not just on making profits but on preserving capital, optimizing risk-adjusted returns, and adapting to ever-changing market conditions. This essay explores how professional traders trade smartly and grow their trading business.
1. Developing a Strong Trading Mindset
The foundation of professional trading lies in psychology. Market behavior is often unpredictable, driven by collective human emotions such as fear, greed, and uncertainty. Pro traders cultivate a mindset that allows them to stay rational and disciplined even in volatile conditions.
Emotional Discipline: Professionals avoid impulsive decisions. They follow their trading plan strictly, resisting the temptation to chase losses or over-leverage positions.
Patience and Consistency: They understand that profitable trades come from patience, waiting for high-probability setups rather than forcing trades.
Acceptance of Losses: Losses are inevitable. Pros treat them as a cost of doing business and focus on minimizing them rather than trying to eliminate them entirely.
2. Comprehensive Market Knowledge
Professional traders have deep knowledge of the markets they trade in, whether equities, commodities, forex, or crypto.
Market Structure Awareness: They understand order flows, liquidity zones, support and resistance levels, and macroeconomic factors influencing prices.
Asset-Specific Knowledge: A trader specializing in tech stocks, for instance, studies earnings reports, industry trends, and regulatory impacts.
Global Economic Awareness: Professionals track global news, monetary policies, geopolitical events, and market correlations that can affect their trades.
This deep understanding enables them to make informed decisions and anticipate market movements rather than reacting blindly.
3. Strategic and Technical Approach
Professional traders rely on structured strategies to increase their probability of success.
Technical Analysis: They use charts, patterns, indicators, and volume analysis to identify entry and exit points. Tools like moving averages, RSI, MACD, and Fibonacci retracements help in precise decision-making.
Fundamental Analysis: Long-term traders evaluate financial statements, economic indicators, and company performance to assess the intrinsic value of assets.
Algorithmic and Quantitative Strategies: Some professionals leverage algorithmic trading and quantitative models to automate trades, reduce emotional bias, and exploit market inefficiencies.
Diversification of Strategies: Pros rarely depend on one strategy. They maintain multiple strategies suitable for trending, range-bound, or volatile markets.
4. Risk Management Mastery
Risk management separates successful traders from amateurs. Professionals prioritize capital preservation over chasing high returns.
Position Sizing: They calculate the exact size of each trade to ensure no single loss can drastically affect their portfolio.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Orders: Smart traders define exit points before entering a trade, ensuring losses are limited and profits are systematically captured.
Risk-Reward Ratios: They target trades with favorable risk-reward ratios (e.g., risking $1 to gain $3), improving long-term profitability.
Hedging: Advanced traders use options, futures, or other instruments to hedge positions against market volatility.
Effective risk management allows them to survive losing streaks and remain consistent over time.
5. Technology and Tools Utilization
Professional traders leverage modern technology to enhance decision-making and execution efficiency.
Trading Platforms: High-speed platforms provide real-time data, charting tools, and fast execution capabilities.
Market Scanners: Tools to identify trade setups based on pre-defined criteria save time and increase efficiency.
News Feeds and Economic Calendars: Real-time news helps traders react to events before the market fully adjusts.
Backtesting Software: Professionals test strategies on historical data to evaluate performance before committing real money.
6. Continuous Learning and Adaptation
Financial markets are dynamic, requiring traders to adapt constantly.
Learning from Past Trades: They maintain trading journals, reviewing winning and losing trades to identify patterns, mistakes, and improvements.
Education: Pro traders invest in courses, mentorship, and seminars to stay updated with new strategies and market trends.
Adapting Strategies: When market conditions change (e.g., low volatility, high inflation, or geopolitical uncertainty), professional traders adjust their strategies to remain profitable.
7. Networking and Market Intelligence
Trading is not only about charts; it’s also about information.
Professional Networks: Pros connect with other traders, analysts, and mentors to exchange ideas and insights.
Market Sentiment Analysis: Understanding crowd psychology and institutional behavior allows professionals to anticipate major market moves.
Information Advantage: Being aware of earnings reports, policy changes, or macroeconomic data before the market reacts can provide an edge.
8. Building Capital and Growing Professionally
Smart trading is also about business growth, not just trading skill.
Compounding Gains: Profits are reinvested systematically, using compounding to grow capital over time.
Scaling Trading Strategies: Successful strategies are scaled gradually to handle larger capital without increasing risk disproportionately.
Diversifying Income Streams: Professionals may expand into multiple markets, asset classes, or even start advisory services.
Brand and Reputation: Long-term success allows pros to manage external funds, run hedge funds, or attract institutional clients.
9. Avoiding Common Pitfalls
Professional traders are aware of mistakes that can destroy accounts.
Overtrading: Trading too frequently or with excessive leverage reduces profitability.
Emotional Biases: Greed, fear, overconfidence, and revenge trading are avoided through discipline and pre-defined rules.
Following the Crowd Blindly: Pros make independent decisions based on data, not hype or rumors.
Ignoring Risk Management: Even a few careless trades without proper stops can offset months of gains.
10. Case Studies of Professional Trading
Examining successful traders provides insight into smart trading practices.
Paul Tudor Jones: Focused on macroeconomic trends and disciplined risk management.
George Soros: Known for his speculative strategies with clear exit plans and risk control.
Ed Seykota: Advocated trend-following and strict discipline in trading systems.
Modern Algo Traders: Use high-frequency algorithms to capture small inefficiencies across multiple markets, showing how technology amplifies traditional strategies.
These examples highlight that consistent success comes from discipline, intelligence, and adaptation rather than luck.
Conclusion
Professional traders succeed by combining knowledge, strategy, psychology, risk management, and technology. They treat trading as a disciplined business, not a gamble, focusing on capital preservation, high-probability setups, and long-term growth. Through continuous learning, adaptation, and networking, they stay ahead in competitive markets. Smart trading is thus a blend of science and art—where skill, patience, and discipline turn opportunities into sustainable profits. By leveraging these practices, traders can steadily grow both their capital and professional stature, building a resilient and profitable trading career.
Intermediate wave 4 correction.As expected earlier Gold shoot over 4308 but ultimately fell below it ,next day we had got a good green candle however volume was not huge probably indicating local buying. This chart is weekly time frame not shown that. It seems C wave of correction is in progress. Intermediate 3rd wave is completed around 4308 now 4 th wave is in progress. Still Gold has left with primary 3 rd and 4th wave. This on going intermediate 4 th wave might take time.we can see intermediate 2nd wave had taken several weeks to complete and had retraced 50 percent of corresponding 1st wave. Let us observe how this 4th wave unfolds. Please go through my other posts of Gold and see their accuracy.
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Support and Resistance with Volume ProfileWe generally say that Support and Resistance are the levels from where price reacts sharply. But have you ever imagined why price takes support and resistance from specific levels?
That's where Volume Profile comes into play.
Normally I use FRVP which can work on a Fixed Range (wave) instead of a session or visible range (we also have Session Volume profile and Visible Range Volume profiles in Tradingview).
After drawing VP for a fixed range, I look for high volume nodes (HVN). You can simply find those levels through long rectangular areas visible on the profiles. Large rectangles mean high volume activity at particular level.
Huge volume activity means big boys were interested in there and large number of contracts changed hands at that level. These levels act as a magnet and price often tests these levels and take support or resistance (as the case may be) and reacts.
In the above chart, notice when the price reacted from 4380 highs, it took support at HVN and reacted, forming a structure support, to form a new high 4381.
It is best to look for buying selling opportunities on the first touch of HVN areas. The second or third touch may be low probability. Always look for signs of strength (Bullish candle) before taking trade at these levels. I don't use limit orders for such a trade.
Currently the price is taking support near 4000 psychological level (also a structure support) and trading above a HVN (4130) zone of the recent sharp sell off.
Next resistance on the chart would be the structure resistance near 4200 and then the HVN at 4265.
How do you find support and resistance on the chart?
Have you ever used Volume profiles?
Comment your views.
Gold (XAU/USD) Sell Trade Analysis1. Technical Rationale for a Sell (Short) Setup
Rejection from All-Time Highs (ATH): Gold recently printed an all-time high around $4380. The sharp, rapid reversal from this level is a classic sign of profit-taking and potential exhaustion in the immediate uptrend, often forming a possible Double Top on the higher timeframes (e.g., 4-Hour, Daily).
Trendline Break: The recent sell-off broke below a significant ascending trendline/channel on intraday and possibly 4-hour charts, signaling a near-term shift in market structure from bullish to bearish.
Key Resistance Test: The price is currently finding resistance near the previous key support and psychological round numbers that were broken during the recent sharp drop. This zone is a likely area for sellers to re-enter the market.
2. Trade Setup Details
Parameter Recommended Zone (Approx.) Rationale
Entry Zone (Sell Limit/Market) $4200 - $4225 This is a major psychological and former support area. It also aligns with the "Neckline" of the potential Double Top pattern and key structural resistance from which the previous drop initiated.
Stop Loss (SL) $4240 - $4250 Placing the SL safely above the main short-term resistance and the high of the current pullback, which would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook.
Target 1 (TP1) $4100 - $4095 This level represents the low of the initial sharp sell-off (the Double Top's neckline) and a key psychological round number, which is a common immediate target for profit-taking.
Target 2 (TP2) $4020 - $4000 A break below TP1 clears the path to the major psychological support at $4000. This also aligns with the typical "Measured Move" target of the Double Top pattern.
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3. Key Levels to Watch
Level Type Significance
Immediate Resistance $4225 High of the current bounce/re-test area.
Critical Resistance $4380 All-Time High (ATH) and top of the potential Double Top. A close above this invalidates all bearish structure.
Immediate Support $4100 Key psychological and structural support (Neckline).
Major Support $4000 Major psychological round number, a long-term anchor.
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4. Risk Management Note
The overarching long-term trend for Gold is still considered bullish due to global economic uncertainty and central bank rate cut expectations. This Sell Trade is a counter-trend or short-term correctional trade.
Only enter with confirmation (e.g., a bearish candlestick rejection on a lower timeframe like 1-Hour or 4-Hour once the price hits the entry zone).
Risk Management is paramount: Do not risk more than 1-2% of your capital on this single trade\
Disclaimer: Trading is highly risky. This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always use a Stop Loss and manage your risk.
Gold Trading Strategy for 22nd October 2025🌟 GOLD INTRADAY LEVELS (22 OCT 2025) 🌟
📊 Buy Setup:
🟢 Buy Above: High of 15-min candle (Close above ₹4206)
🎯 Targets:
➡️ 1️⃣ ₹4220
➡️ 2️⃣ ₹4235
➡️ 3️⃣ ₹4250
🛑 Stop Loss: Below ₹4190 (or as per your risk appetite)
📉 Sell Setup:
🔴 Sell Below: Low of 15-min candle (Close below ₹4044)
🎯 Targets:
➡️ 1️⃣ ₹4030
➡️ 2️⃣ ₹4017
➡️ 3️⃣ ₹4001
🛑 Stop Loss: Above ₹4060 (or as per your risk tolerance)
💡 Trade Logic:
The levels are based on 15-minute candle confirmation — enter only after candle closes above or below the breakout level for better reliability. Avoid impulsive entries during volatile spikes.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📘 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice.
💰 Trading in commodities or derivatives involves significant risk. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trades.
📉 Trade at your own risk.
XAUUSD Forms a Cup and Handle PatternOANDA:XAUUSD has been steadily rising, maintaining strong and consistent upward momentum. If you’ve been following my previous analyses, you’ll notice a familiar pattern developing on the chart — the classic Cup and Handle formation.
Looking closer, the left side of the chart reveals a strong supply zone, forming the cup. Then, we see the market building a potential handle on the right, indicating that the price is accumulating strength for the next move.
Now, here’s where things get interesting: if buying pressure aligns with Dow Theory waves and the Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.786 and 0.618 hold steady, with the price breaking through the neckline, this setup could push gold to 4500 USD.
However, if selling pressure comes in stronger than expected, the pattern may fail, and we could see a price pullback.
Gold (XAU/USD) Potential Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry Zone For**Analysis:**
The chart illustrates a possible bullish reversal scenario after a recent downward move in Gold (XAU/USD). The marked *Change of Character (ChoCH)* indicates an early sign of a trend shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Price has entered a **consolidation zone** near the support area, where the **entry level** is highlighted. This zone suggests accumulation and potential preparation for an upward move.
The setup shows:
* **ENTRY:** Around current support, within the highlighted range.
* **STOP:** Below the recent low, providing risk control if the reversal fails.
* **TARGET:** The projection points to a **100% measured move**, aligning with a strong bullish continuation potential toward 4,700 levels.
If price maintains structure and confirms a breakout above the short-term resistance, it may initiate a new **bullish impulse phase**.
Is Gold (XAUUSD) Set for a Major Pullback? Short Below 4185!Gold has been in a massive range between 3500 and 3120 (a 320-point base). Following the breakout, we witnessed an explosive rally up to 4380 —an 880-point surge, nearly 2.5x the previous range!
But now, caution is warranted. Gold has formed a bearish reversal candle at the peak, and the RSI is deeply overbought . Despite the strong bullish trend, a confirmed short signal will trigger only if Gold breaks below 4185 .
Trade Setup:
Entry: Sell Gold (XAUUSD) below 4185
Sell on Rallies: Add to shorts near 4280
Targets:
1st target: 4050 - 4000
2nd target: 3850
Stop Loss / Invalidation: Close shorts if price moves above 4402
Why this setup matters:
With Gold’s momentum stalling at key resistance and technical indicators signaling overextension, a well-timed short could capture a strong corrective move.
Do you agree with this bearish outlook?
👍 Like if you’re ready to short!
💬 Comment your take or questions below — let’s build a powerful, informed trading community!
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Selling in GoldGood has mede M pattern in 4 hour time frame.
Entry, SL and target is mentioned in the chart.
A good Risk Reward Ratio is there 1:2.
An entry after retracement in 1 hour time frame will be much better. And will better make the trade efficiency and Risk.
For more such content, subscribe to my channel given in bio.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup): Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,2Technical Overview:
Gold is currently in a retracement phase, testing a strong BUY ZONE between 4,180 – 4,200.
This zone has previously acted as a major support area, where buyers stepped in.
The chart shows a possible bullish reversal pattern forming near this zone, suggesting a potential rebound.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Primary Setup):
Entry (Buy Zone): 4,180 – 4,200 LME:ZS1! LME:CA1! LME:AH1! LME:NI1! LME:HC1! LME:MC1! LME:PB1! LME:SN1! LME:MZ1! LME:MA1! LME:SR1! LME:AN1!
Target: 4,384
Stop-Loss: Below 4,160
Rationale:
The buy zone aligns with previous price reactions, confirming strong demand.
Wick rejections around 4,190 indicate buyer interest.
Price action suggests a possible V-shaped recovery or higher-low formation before continuation upward.
🟥 Bearish Scenario (Alternative):
If price closes below 4,160, the support zone will be invalidated.
In that case, expect further downside toward 4,120 – 4,100.
⚙️ Summary Table:
Parameter Value
Trend Bias (Short-Term) Neutral to Bullish
Key Support (Buy Zone) 4,180 – 4,200
Target 4,384
Stop-Loss Below 4,160
Risk–Reward Ratio ≈ 1:3
📊 Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a critical support zone. As long as the price holds above 4,160, a bullish rebound toward 4,384 remains likely. However, a confirmed break below this level could trigger a deeper correction.
XAU USD SELL OFF Good sell off in Xau USD from top level .it's falling from 4331. Now at support near 4200. If crossed below 4200 then again good sell off . Or may take support here and then fall again after taking retracement. Let us see what may happen further. Support 4200 Round level . If fall then 4167 possible.
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#xuausd Make or Break - Gold Analysis🥇 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Technical Analysis & Outlook
Timeframe: 4H & Daily Charts
Current Price: 2,718.99
Market Structure Analysis
Gold is currently in a **strong uptrend** and will maintain its bullish bias until it forms a clear lower low. The recent consolidation near all-time highs suggests a potential for either continuation or a sideways movement phase.
Key Price Levels
Support Zones
- Immediate Support: 4,218.99 - 4,240.00
- Major Support: 4,185.91 (0 Fibonacci - Recent Low)
- Critical Support: 4,160.00 - 4,180.00 zone
Resistance Zones
- Immediate Resistance: 4,253.97 (Current High)
- Next Resistance: 4,280.00 - 4,300.00
- Target Extension: 4,320.00 - 4,360.00
- Major Target: 4,380.99 (Fibonacci Extension)
Technical Scenarios
- Continuation of the current uptrend expected
- Any pullback to support zones presents buying opportunities
- Target: 4,280 - 4,360 zone
- Extended Target: 4,380+ levels
Consolidation Scenario (Secondary)
Condition: Sideways movement similar to the 3,400 consolidation phase
- Gold may enter a ranging phase at current elevated levels
- Watch for sideways movement between 4,200 - 4,280
- Accumulation pattern before next leg up
- Patience required during this phase
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Condition: Only if price breaks and closes below 4,185
- Bearish only on confirmed break of structure
- Potential retracement to $4,160 or lower
- Wait for clear reversal signals before shorting
RSI Analysis (Daily Chart)
- RSI Position: Near trendline support (around 62)
- Signal: RSI holding above trendline support indicates continued bullish momentum
- Watch For: RSI breakdown below trendline would signal weakening momentum
- Strength: RSI still in bullish territory, no divergence observed
Key Observations
1. **Strong Uptrend Intact:** No lower lows formed yet, trend remains bullish
2. **Fibonacci Levels:** Price respecting key Fibonacci retracement zones
3. **Consolidation Pattern:** Similar behavior to previous $3,400 consolidation
4. **Volume Profile:** Accumulation visible near support zones
5. **Daily RSI:** Holding trendline support, maintaining bullish structure
Critical Points to Monitor
🔸 22/10/2025 Close: Will provide clearer direction
🔸 Support Level: 4,218 - Must hold for bullish continuation
🔸 RSI Trendline: Break would signal momentum shift
🔸 Volume: Watch for increasing volume on moves
🔸 Global Events: Fed policy, geopolitical tensions, USD strength
🎓 #Trading Wisdom
"The #trend is your friend until it bends. #Gold will remain #bullish until it makes a #lowerlow. Stay patient, follow the structure, and let the market show its hand."*
Risk Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always manage your risk appropriately, use stop losses, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Like and Follow for Daily Gold Analysis!
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #PreciousMetals #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Gold 1H – Can Gold Hold Above 4247 as Powell Takes the Stage?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold holds firm near ₹4,230, with traders cautiously awaiting U.S. Retail Sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s remarks later today.
After a series of softer inflation reports, market sentiment has tilted mildly dovish — yet the U.S. dollar remains steady as investors hesitate to price in early rate cuts.
The Fed’s tone today will be critical: a hawkish Powell could trigger short-term profit-taking on gold, while any dovish signals may reignite safe-haven bids.
Expect choppy intraday movement with liquidity sweeps around key zones before a confirmed directional move emerges.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• The structure remains bullish, confirmed by previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) and a Change of Character (ChoCH) earlier in the week.
• Price is now approaching a premium supply zone at 4247–4249, where potential short-term sell reactions could appear before retracement.
• Below, the discount demand zone at 4184–4186 aligns with prior BOS support and acts as a high-probability reaccumulation area.
• If price revisits the buy zone and forms bullish confirmation on M15, continuation toward new highs around 4260+ is favored.
🔴 Sell Setup: 4247 – 4249
SL: 4255 – 4257
TP targets: 4210 → 4195
🟢 Buy Setup: 4184 – 4186
SL: 4174
TP targets: 4210 → 4245 → 4260+
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation before executing either setup.
• Watch for volatility spikes around Powell’s speech and U.S. Retail Sales release — spreads may widen.
• Consider partial profits at intra-day liquidity points and trail stops once structure confirms.
✅ Summary
XAUUSD maintains its bullish structure but may face a liquidity sweep above 4247–4249 before a deeper retracement into 4184–4186.
Institutional activity could drive accumulation near the discount zone if macro data supports dovish sentiment.
The intraday bias remains “Buy the Dip”, with tactical sells possible at premium resistance for short-term scalps.
Gold 1H – Slight Correction or Bullish Reaccumulation Ahead?XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold extends its rebound near ₹4 250 as traders weigh the recent uptick in U.S. Treasury yields against growing expectations of a softer Federal Reserve stance.
After the latest mixed U.S. economic data, markets are leaning toward a mildly dovish outlook — rate-cut bets for early 2026 are gaining traction, while the dollar remains steady.
Today’s focus centers on U.S. housing-starts and jobless-claims data, which could steer short-term volatility.
A stronger-than-expected report may trigger temporary selling pressure on gold, while weaker figures could revive safe-haven demand and extend the rally toward ₹4 380 +.
Expect liquidity hunts before any clear directional move, as institutional players refine positions near the week’s range extremes.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style)
• Market structure remains bullish, with previous Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming continuation after the earlier accumulation phase.
• A short-term Change of Character (ChoCH) signals corrective movement — likely a liquidity sweep before the next bullish leg.
• Liquidity resting below ₹4 200 has already been taken, aligning with the discount zone around ₹4 196 – ₹4 198.
• A potential re-accumulation is forming; buyers may look for confirmation (M15 BOS/ChoCH) inside this demand zone.
• Upside liquidity targets cluster near ₹4 375 – ₹4 380, coinciding with a premium supply zone where sellers might re-enter.
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: 4378 – 4376
Stop-Loss: 4386
Take-Profit Targets: 4325 → 4260
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: 4196 – 4198
Stop-Loss: 4190
Take-Profit Targets: 4250 → 4370 → 4380 +
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for lower-timeframe BOS/ChoCH confirmation before execution.
• Be cautious around U.S. macro data releases — spreads and volatility can widen temporarily.
• Use partial take-profits at nearby liquidity zones and trail stops once market structure confirms continuation.
✅ Summary
Gold maintains its bullish bias above ₹4 200 after sweeping liquidity.
A short-term correction could retest ₹4 196 – ₹4 198 for fresh buy entries, while the broader trend remains upward.
Only a clean structural break below ₹4 190 would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario.
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Part 2 Intraday Master ClassHedging and Risk Management with Options
One of the main uses of options is hedging, or protecting against adverse price movements. For example, a portfolio manager might buy put options on stocks to guard against potential losses during market declines. This acts like insurance—limiting downside while keeping upside potential. Options can also hedge currency, interest rate, or commodity exposure. However, hedging isn’t free; the premium cost reduces overall returns. Smart traders use hedging selectively, balancing risk and cost. In volatile markets, effective hedging with options can prevent significant capital erosion and ensure stability in long-term investment strategies.
XAUUSD — Prioritise selling on H1 todayXAUUSD — Prioritise selling on H1 today | Sell retest 4313–4315, wait to buy back 4230–4232 🟡
Summary: H1 is moving within a descending channel; the rebound is merely a pullback. The main plan is to sell when the price rebounds to the confluence zone of Fibo 50% + resistance box around 4313–4315. Buying is only a strategy to catch the technical rebound at deep support zones, prioritising 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236 + support box). The article is optimised for mobile readers: concise – clear zones – if–then.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Structure & Context
Price has fallen from the recent peak and is moving within a descending channel → intraday trend leans bearish.
Zone 4313–4315 coincides with the 50% Fibonacci of the decline + resistance box on the chart (marked “Sell fibonacci 50”) → a nice confluence for sell retest.
Support boxes in order: 4288–4292 (near Fibo 0.786 of the rebound wave), 4250–4255, 4230–4232 (Fibo 0.236). Below that is a strong liquidity zone around ~4185–4195 (near EMA200 H1 ≈ 4181).
If–Then (structure)
If it rebounds to 4313–4315 and prints a clear rejection candle (long tail/closes below the zone), then prioritise selling according to the descending channel.
If it breaks 4250–4255 and holds below this zone, then the downward momentum is likely to extend to 4230–4232.
If it breaks above 4320 (H1 close), then the intraday sell scenario becomes invalid, shifting to the zone 4336–4345 (next box top).
📰 Basic Context (quick points)
Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic about potential improvements in US–China trade negotiations; however, the USD remains strong following banking news (Zions Bank report generally stable, despite some fraud factors) → putting pressure on gold during rebounds.
Large central bank inflows into gold and strong net inflows into gold ETFs recently remain a medium-term support; but in the short term, prices are heavily influenced by yields/USD.
🎯 Trading Plan (intraday) — if–then, clear zones
Scenario 1 — SELL retest (priority)
Entry: 4313–4315
SL: 4320
TP: 4290 → 4277 → 4252 → 4220
Condition: clear rejection appears at zone 4313–4315 (Fibo 50% + resistance box + channel edge).
Scenario 2 — BUY technical rebound (secondary, quick)
Entry: 4230–4232 (assumption: the zone you provide is 4230–4232)
SL: 4224
TP: 4250 → 4272 → 4290 → 4308
Condition: a wick/shadow at 4230–4232; better if it reclaims 4250–4255 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — BUY intermediate (support the rhythm)
Entry: 4288–4292
SL: 4282
TP: 4302 → 4310
Note: only scalp short when the selling momentum slows at 0.786; do not hold if the market slips back below 4288.
Invalidation & Risk Management
Close H1 above 4320 ⇒ pause the intraday sell scenario.
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first – position later. 🛡️
Summary
Intraday bias: Bearish within the H1 descending channel; prioritise sell retest at 4313–4315.
Buy only to catch technical rebounds at deep supports: 4288–4292 and 4230–4232.
Key levels to watch: 4313–4315 | 4320 (invalidation) | 4290 | 4277 | 4252 | 4232 | ~4190.
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