Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week✅ Gold has recorded eight consecutive bullish weekly closes, indicating that bullish momentum continues to dominate the market. From the weekly structure perspective, the trend remains strong, and the short-term outlook stays bullish.
✅ On Friday, gold rebounded after a second dip failed to make a new low, reaching as high as 4022 in the evening and closing with a long lower shadow bullish candle, showing strong buying support below.
If the rebound continues early next week, the price could extend higher; however, if a second rally fails to break a new high, gold may face short-term pressure and enter a sideways consolidation phase before launching another upward move.
✅ If the price fails to break above 4059, gold will likely remain in a high-level consolidation range — no need to be overly bearish.
But if it reclaims 4059 decisively, the market could resume its upward trend, with an additional upside potential of 50–100 dollars.
✅ In its latest report, Goldman Sachs raised its gold target from $4,300 to $4,900, reflecting the institution’s strong medium-to-long-term bullish outlook.
As long as there are no clear signs of a trend reversal, the overall strategy should remain “buy on dips.”
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4025–4030 / 4040–4059
🟢 Support Levels: 3970–3975 / 3944–3884
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
Based on both technical and fundamental analysis, the key focus next week will be the 3970 support area.
🔰 If gold pulls back and stabilizes around 3970, it will likely mark the end of the short-term correction, and the price may resume an upward consolidation pattern.
🔰 If gold breaks below 3970, attention should shift to the 3944–3884 defensive support zone.
As long as the price holds above 3970, the short-term structure remains bullish, with potential for another test of the recent highs.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Trade ideas
XAUUSD / GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The 1H structure is showing a clean breakout and retest, indicating strong bullish continuation.
✅ Technical Breakdown:
Price broke above the resistance zone and retested the breakout level, confirming support at $4,007–$4,012.
Fibonacci 0.618 Golden Ratio aligned with the support adds confluence for a long setup.
An upward trendline is being respected, signaling controlled bullish structure.
A fair value gap remains unfilled below, but since it’s in the order block zone, it’s less likely to break for a sell.
Strong bullish momentum candles indicate buyers in control.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,030 (Resistance R1)
TP2: $4,050 (Resistance R2 / ATH Zone)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below $3,996 (order block zone) would weaken this bullish projection.
📈 Summary:
Entry: $4,007–$4,012 zone after retest
TP1: $4,030
TP2: $4,050
SL: Below $3,996
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: 1H
⚠️ Always use proper risk management and follow the trend structure.
XAUUSD / GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION – 12.10.25The market is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean V-shaped reversal from the support zone around $3,960–$3,980.
✅ Key Technical Highlights:
Support S2 Zone held well, forming a reversal V pattern, confirming buyers stepping in.
Price has broken and retested the breakout zone around $4,000, indicating buying strength.
A bullish momentum candle confirms continuation towards higher levels.
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 retracement zone aligned perfectly with the support, giving more confluence for long entries.
If momentum sustains, price is projected to push towards:
📍 Resistance R1: $4,060 zone (first TP)
📍 Resistance R2 / New ATH Zone: $4,120 zone (final TP)
🛡️ Invalidation:
A clean break below the $3,960 support and the fair value gap would signal weakening momentum and cancel the bullish outlook.
📈 Summary:
Entry: After retest of breakout zone ($4,000–$4,010)
TP1: $4,060
TP2: $4,120
SL: Below $3,960 (Fair value gap)
🚀 Bias: Bullish
📅 Timeframe: 4H / Weekly
⚠️ Note: Always manage risk with proper position sizing and SL discipline
$4024 Gold: 8-Week Jhakaas Record! BUY Pivot $398x!Hello, traders!
Gold just wrapped up an impressive 8-week winning streak, closing the session at $4,024.40/oz (Futures). This bada (big) rally was immediately triggered by President Trump's unexpected tariff threat on China, which, boss, fueled a massive rush toward safe-haven assets.
Fundamentals & Technical Bias: Buying the Pivot
Core Drivers: Escalating trade panga (conflict) thanks to Trump, steady Fed rate cut expectations, and ongoing global gadbadi (instability) are all making Gold the top safe haven.
Technical Recovery: After a deep correction to $394x, Gold recovered super fast and closed firmly above $399x. This confirms that buying power is dominant and the bullish momentum is pakka (confirmed).
Priority Bias: BUY (Long). $398x is the critical short-term pivot point. Risk management is key, remember that.
Risk Warning: Only switch to SELL (Short) if the price rapidly breaks below $398x due to major negative news.
Key Price Levels:
Resistance: $4064, $4084, $4104, $4124
Support: $3984, $3951, $3934
Trading Strategy (Prioritize BUY at the Pivot)
BUY ZONE (Pivot $398x): $3984 - $3982
SL: $3974
TPs: $3992, $4002, $4012, $4022, $4032
SELL ZONE (Counter-Trend): $4024 - $4026
SL: $4034
TPs: $4016, $4006, $3996, $3986, $3976
Will this trade war tension take Gold past $4100 next week? Kya lagta hai? 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #4KGold #TrumpTariffs #8WeeksUp #Pivot #TradingView #PaisaBanega
Gold Xauusd uptrend will continue on tarrif uncertainty rate cutGold XAUUSD uptrend will continue on tarrif uncertainty and rate cut bets .
Updated levels given on chart for next week
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
XAUUSD GOLD 15 MINTUS ANANLYSIS BULLISH OUTLOOK 📊 Technical Analysis:
1. Pattern Identification
Double Bottom Formation:
Found near the support area — indicates a reversal from bearish to bullish.
Price bounced twice from the same zone, showing strong buyer activity.
Breakout Confirmation:
After forming the double bottom, the price broke above the neckline/trendline, confirming a bullish reversal.
Upward Channel:
The price movement after breakout is confined between parallel ascending lines, showing a controlled bullish trend.
Each dip to the lower boundary offers a buy opportunity within the channel.
Double Top Formation (Near Resistance):
This pattern forms at the top of the bullish channel, indicating a potential short-term correction or pullback before continuation.
---
💹 Key Levels:
Support Area: Around $3,960 – $3,980
Resistance Area: Around $4,040 – $4,060
Entry Point: Near $3,980 (bottom of the channel / breakout retest zone)
Target Point: Around $4,140+ (upper resistance & measured move target)
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below $3,950 (to protect from false breakouts)
---
📈 Market Sentiment:
Overall Trend: Bullish (due to breakout + double bottom confirmation)
Short-term Risk: Possible minor pullback from double top area before resuming upward.
Bias: Wait for small correction → look for bullish confirmation candle near support → enter long targeting resistance.
XAUUSD GOLD BULLISH NOW 4028📈 XAU/USD (Gold) Trade Alert ✨
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing strong bullish momentum, presenting an excellent buy opportunity at the entry point of 4028. The support level at 4001 provides a solid foundation for this upward move, indicating potential strength in price action. Our target point is set at 4100, offering an attractive risk-to-reward setup for traders. Keep an eye on the resistance area around 4060, as a breakout above this zone could confirm continued bullish momentum. Manage your positions wisely and follow price action closely for optimal results.
XAUUSD Analysis for the New WeekXAUUSD Analysis for the New Week: Sideways Accumulation Awaiting Big Waves - Detailed Trading Strategy
Hello trading community!
Last week, XAUUSD (Gold) moved as predicted within a narrow range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. However, the main trend on larger time frames remains bullish. At the start of the new week, Gold is likely to continue accumulating before making stronger breakthroughs. This article will provide a detailed analysis of technical and fundamental factors, along with specific trading strategies.
📊 Technical Analysis
Based on the H1 chart, we can clearly see the following important price structures:
Ascending Channel: Gold is still moving steadily within an ascending channel, indicating that the buying trend remains dominant in the medium term. The lower support line of the channel will be a crucial support area for buyers.
Key Support: The price range of $3970 - $3974 is acting as a solid support zone. This is the confluence area of the lower channel line and a dense volume profile zone, showing strong buyer interest here. The "Buy test support" scenario as shown in the image is entirely feasible.
Resistance Zone: The $4060 area and further the old peak around $4080 (corresponding to the Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area) are significant barriers. Sellers might be active in these areas.
Volume Profile Indicator (VPVR): The Point of Control is around $3982, further reinforcing the importance of the nearest support zone. Any break below this area could trigger a short-term sell-off towards the $3946 area.
📰 Fundamental Analysis
The market is influenced by mixed information streams, creating uncertainty and reinforcing Gold's sideways scenario:
⚠️ Hawkish Stance from the FED: Recent statements by Mr. Musallem (FED) indicate concerns about inflation potentially rising further. He emphasised the need to control inflation expectations, even at the cost of short-term labour market fluctuations. This implies that the FED might continue to maintain tight monetary policy, putting pressure on Gold prices (due to a stronger USD).
📈 Risk Asset Frenzy: Bitcoin reaching the $111,000 mark is raising concerns about an asset "bubble" and potential crisis risks. In this scenario, Gold could benefit as a safe haven asset, attracting funds when market risks are high.
The contradiction between FED policy and market risk sentiment is the reason for Gold's sideways accumulation.
🎯 Trading Strategy
Based on the above analysis, we can build two trading scenarios for the upcoming week. The main priority remains to buy along the trend.
Scenario 1: Buy at Support (BUY) 📈
Entry: Look to buy when the price adjusts to the $3974 - $3971 area.
Stop Loss (SL): $3965 (Below the safe support zone).
Take Profit (TP): $3985 - $3999 - $4020 - $4050 - $4080.
Scenario 2: Sell at Resistance (SELL) 📉
Entry: Look to sell when the price approaches the strong resistance area of $4077 - $4080.
Stop Loss (SL): $4086 (False breakout above the peak).
Take Profit (TP): $4055 - $4020 - $4000 - $3970.
Summary
The main trend of Gold remains bullish, but in the short term, the price may continue to move sideways within the $3970 - $4080 range to accumulate. The optimal strategy is to look for buying opportunities at key support areas and consider short-term sell orders at strong resistance zones.
Always remember to manage your capital strictly as the market always holds unexpected fluctuations. Wishing traders a successful new week!
Note: This article is for reference only and is not investment advice.
LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave..LiamTrading – GOLD: Risk of ABC Correction Wave, Short-term Sell at 4028
Hello traders,
Gold has had an impressive growth week, but as prices hit new highs, the risk of correction always increases. Let's examine this week's Gold scenario based on wave analysis and market liquidity.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart H4 – XAUUSD)
Based on the H4 chart, Gold (GOLD) seems to have completed the Push Wave 5 (Elliott Wave 5) in the current uptrend cycle, reaching strong resistance around 4050–4060.
Current Structure:
The price is within a sustainable Uptrend Channel.
The 4050–4060 range is a significant resistance where selling pressure may emerge.
An ABC correction wave scenario appears after completing Wave 5.
Key Liquidity Zones:
Potential Resistance Zone (Sell Wave C): Around 4028–4033 (Price area to watch for the reaction of the final Wave C).
Confirmed Drop Support Zone: 3972 (Critical price area confirming if selling pressure is strong enough).
Attractive Buy Zone: 3976 (Temporary liquidity if price corrects, waiting for Breakout confirmation).
Long-term Buy Zone (POC Buy): ~3850 (Price area with a huge Volume Profile, ideal for long-term buy orders).
🎯 New Week Trading Scenario
📉 Short-term Sell
This scenario is based on the expectation of an ABC correction wave starting from the resistance zone.
📍 Entry: 4033
🛑 SL: 4040 (Very tight SL, suitable for short-term Sell strategy at the wave peak)
🎯 TP: 3976 → 3943 → POC (~3850)
📈 Long-term Buy
This setup waits for a correction to lower liquidity zones to enter Buy orders with optimal R:R ratio.
📍 Entry: 3976 (Temporary liquidity buy zone)
🛑 SL: 3970
🎯 TP: 4040 → 4090 → 4150
🛑 Failure Scenario (Wait for Breakout Confirmation)
If the price breaks the 4060 peak and creates a new ATH (All-Time High), the ABC wave scenario will fail.
Action: Continue to prioritize Buying. The best entry is to wait for the price to retest the broken liquidity zone (Breakout Retest) around 3976.
🧭 Fundamental & Long-term Analysis
Macroeconomic Sentiment: The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) forecasts Gold to rise to $4,500 in the next two years, bolstered by long-term inflation concerns. This confirms the long-term uptrend of Gold remains intact.
US Dollar Impact (USD): The traditional view is that USD rises as investors seek liquidity during market stress. However, Gold's rise alongside USD shows the market prioritizes gold as an inflation hedge rather than just a safe haven.
Long-term Strategy: The buy zone at POC (~3850) according to Volume Profile is extremely suitable. Large liquidity here will help traders enter optimal orders and hold long-term, leveraging the pressure from the Seller's Liquidity to push prices up.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is at a critical crossroads. Although the long-term trend is up, the short-term correction risk (ABC Wave) at the 4028–4033 zone is very high.
Priority: Watch for short-term sells at the resistance zone with a tight SL.
Safe strategy: Wait to Buy at liquidity support zones like 3976 or POC (~3850) to optimize risk/reward (R:R).
I will continue to update Gold scenarios daily with insights from 8 years of trading experience.
👉 Follow me to not miss important updates!
$4,000 RECLAIMED! Targeting Fibo Extremes on H4.The big picture is clear: Gold has strongly pushed past the $4,000 mark, driven by major safe-haven demand amidst US-China tensions. Buyers are pushing for an eighth straight weekly gain!
But where are the high-probability zones?
🔑 THE FRANCI$$_FIBOMATRIX PLAN (H4)
We're keying in on two critical Fibo Reaction Zones for the perfect entry:
1. SELL ZONE (Correction/Reversal Focus):
Zone 1 (FIBO): 402x - 403x (4,025.424 - 4,032.844). Action: Look for H1/H4 candle rejection here to initiate a corrective short trade.
Zone 2 (Extension): 411x - 412x (4,115.422 - 4,128.811). Action: The ultimate target if momentum holds; watch this for the major supply zone.
2. BUY ZONE (Trend Continuation):
The Sweet Spot: 392x - 389x (3,907.030 - 3,895.674). This is our key Liquidity React Fibo Buy Zone. Action: Wait for the deep pullback here, confirm with bullish signals, and join the main trend with a target back to the 402x/411x range.
🚨 Critical Risk Alert:
A decisive weekly close below $3,962 signals a high risk of deep correction towards $3,900. Manage your Longs tightly below this level!
XAUUSDLadies & Gentlemen, you all are seeing this is the chart of gold (XAUUSD). This is one of the most popular charts in the world. Everyone wants to predict.
We have started counting this cycle from the low created by Gold on 6 October 2023. We have done two cycles in it, the first cycle is of 63 trading days, and the second is its double i.e. 126 trading days.
In the shorter cycle (63 BAR), you will see that it has maximum given 10 to 18% returns till date within EVERY 90 days
It has more than doubled in the last two years.And no down train cycle has started yet. And this is nine Cycles from Small Cycle.
Do you think this cycle will continue to grow like this in the future?
GOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF,Weekend Short-term Trading PLANGOLD: ACCUMULATION POST SELL-OFF, Weekend Short-term Trading Plan
Hello traders 👋
The Gold market witnessed a strong and clear Sell-off yesterday, especially with the decisive break of the $4000 zone – a confirmation area for a new corrective trend, or at least a long-term downtrend cycle.
Currently, Gold prices are fluctuating within a narrow range (Sideways), mainly due to the cautious sentiment of investors and the weak liquidity characteristic of Friday. This lack of momentum makes it likely for Gold to continue moving sideways until the New York Session opens.
🔎 Technical Analysis (Chart 30M – XAUUSD)
Resistance Retest Zone (Fibonacci Retest): $4030 – $4035. An ideal area for Sellers to re-enter.
Sell Scalping/FIBO 50 Zone: $4000 – $4004. The $4000 price zone, once broken, now becomes strong resistance.
Key Support/Accumulation Zone: $3940 – $3945 (Confluence of Support level 1.618).
Long-term Buy Zone (Buy Scalping): $3890 – $3880.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan (Short-term Trading)
The strategy for the day is Short-term trading (Scalping) when the price hits minor resistance zones and seeks larger orders when matching Entry zones according to Fibonacci Extension.
🔴 SELL Scenario (Priority according to the downtrend structure)
1. Sell Re-test Zone $4000
Entry: 📍 4002 – 4004
SL: 🛑 4010
TP: 🎯 3998 – 3985 – 3960 (Can hold the position if the reaction is good)
2. Sell Re-test Zone $4030 (Fibonacci Retest)
Entry: 📍 4030 – 4032
SL: 🛑 4037
TP: 🎯 4016 – 4002 – 3998 – 3978
🟢 BUY Scenario (Bottom-fishing/Support)
1. Buy Scalping Zone $3940
Entry: 📍 3940 – 3942
SL: 🛑 3935
TP: 🎯 3965 – 3977 – 3999 – 4035
💡 Fundamental View & Weekend Risk
News: A report from SEB Research suggests that market expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates might be too high due to persistent inflation risks. This could pressure Gold and support the USD on a macro level.
Friday Risk: Reduced liquidity, prone to Stop Hunts or Fakeouts.
⚖️ Conclusion & Recommendations
Short-term main trend: Correction/Downtrend.
Action: Closely observe market reactions this Friday. Prioritise Selling at strong Resistance zones ($4000, $4030) and manage capital tightly (Tight SL) for Buy Scalping orders.
👉 Follow me for timely updates on the latest scenarios in the weekend trading session!
Gold 4H – Bullish Setup Ahead of Fed & CPI Week🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade near the ₹4,000 mark as traders brace for a volatile week driven by the U.S. CPI release and Federal Reserve remarks.
Recent Fed comments hint that policymakers are open to rate cuts if inflation cools further, boosting gold’s appeal as a hedge against policy easing and market uncertainty.
Meanwhile, tensions in the Middle East and strong central bank demand for gold continue to provide underlying bullish momentum, though short-term pullbacks remain likely.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC Style)
• The higher-timeframe BOS (Break of Structure) confirms that gold remains in a bullish market phase, with buyers defending every major retracement.
• The current pullback could target the Potential Reaccumulation Zone around 3947, where liquidity may be swept before the next bullish impulse.
• The Discount Demand Zone (3873–3875) aligns with strong 4H imbalance and previous structure support — ideal for a high-probability buy setup.
• The Premium Supply Zone (4134–4132) is positioned as a liquidity target, where price may react for short-term corrections.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3873–3875
SL: 3866
TP targets: 3947 → 4020 → 4050 → 4130+
🔴 Sell Zone: 4134–4132
SL: 4141
TP targets: 4080 → 4020 → 3950
⚠️ Risk Management Tips
• Wait for H1 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before executing positions.
• Anticipate liquidity hunts near 3950–3970 ahead of CPI or Fed events.
• Use partial scaling and secure partial profits once the structure confirms continuation.
• Avoid entering during the first 15 minutes of major news releases to reduce slippage risk.
✅ Summary
Gold remains structurally bullish on the 4H timeframe, with potential retracement opportunities offering premium entries.
Smart Money may induce a liquidity sweep into 3873–3875 before pushing toward 4130+, where a reaction from institutional supply is likely.
With major macro catalysts this week, traders should expect sharp volatility and manipulative moves before the next major leg develops.
🔔 Stay patient — let the market reveal its intent before entering.
Premium buys remain favored above 3870 while watching for potential distribution near 4130.
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack
The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant:
Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive.
Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support.
Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery.
📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active!
Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones.
1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup)
We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels.
Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level):
This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down.
PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000.
TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910.
The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone):
This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper.
2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup)
We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure.
Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910:
This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom.
PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation.
TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000.
🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy
Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS.
Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels.
Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND?
Hello trader,
The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control.
Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD)
The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled:
Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch.
Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter.
Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272).
Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618).
🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH)
Sell entry 4000 – 4002
SL 4008
TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923
Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG)
SL 4036
TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960
Buy Scalping
3926 – 3928
SL 3921
TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990
Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908
SL 3895
TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988
Export to Spreadsheet
🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment
The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors:
Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal.
CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility.
Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level.
📌 Conclusion & Recommendations
Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030).
Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing.
👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
Master Technical Indicators1. Understanding Technical Indicators
A technical indicator is a mathematical calculation based on price, volume, or open interest of a security or asset. Indicators are plotted on charts to help traders visualize trends, reversals, and potential entry or exit points.
Traders use these indicators to simplify the complexity of raw price data. Rather than analyzing each candle or tick, indicators smooth out noise and highlight the underlying strength or weakness of a trend. They are particularly effective when used alongside chart patterns, price action, and market sentiment analysis.
Why Are Technical Indicators Important?
They help identify the direction of a trend (up, down, or sideways).
They signal potential entry and exit points.
They assist in determining market strength and volatility.
They provide confirmation for trade setups.
They help in risk management by defining stop-loss and target zones.
2. Types of Technical Indicators
Technical indicators are generally classified into four main categories:
a. Trend Indicators
These show the direction and strength of a market trend.
Examples: Moving Averages, MACD, Average Directional Index (ADX), Parabolic SAR.
b. Momentum Indicators
These measure the speed of price movements, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions.
Examples: RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, CCI, Momentum Indicator.
c. Volatility Indicators
They measure the rate of price change or fluctuations, showing how much an asset moves over a specific time period.
Examples: Bollinger Bands, ATR (Average True Range), Donchian Channels.
d. Volume Indicators
Volume-based indicators analyze the strength behind price movements, helping traders confirm trends or reversals.
Examples: On-Balance Volume (OBV), Volume Oscillator, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF).
3. Top Technical Indicators Every Trader Should Master
Let’s dive deep into the most powerful and widely used technical indicators.
a. Moving Averages (MA)
The Moving Average is one of the simplest yet most powerful tools in technical analysis. It smooths price data to identify the direction of the trend.
Types:
Simple Moving Average (SMA) – Calculates the average price over a specific period.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive.
How Traders Use It:
Trend Identification:
When price is above the moving average, it indicates an uptrend; below it indicates a downtrend.
Crossovers:
Golden Cross: When the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA (bullish signal).
Death Cross: When the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA (bearish signal).
Dynamic Support & Resistance:
MAs often act as support or resistance zones.
Popular Settings:
50-day and 200-day MAs for long-term trends, 9-day and 21-day EMAs for short-term trading.
b. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to determine overbought or oversold conditions.
Formula:
RSI = 100 – ,
where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss.
Interpretation:
RSI above 70: Overbought zone (potential sell signal).
RSI below 30: Oversold zone (potential buy signal).
RSI between 40–60: Neutral or consolidation phase.
Pro Tips:
Watch for divergences (price makes a new high, but RSI does not). This often signals a reversal.
RSI can also act as trend confirmation when it stays above 50 (bullish) or below 50 (bearish).
c. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)
The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator. It shows the relationship between two EMAs (typically 12-day and 26-day).
Components:
MACD Line: 12-day EMA – 26-day EMA.
Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD line.
Histogram: Difference between MACD and Signal line.
How to Use:
Crossover Signals:
Bullish when MACD line crosses above the Signal line.
Bearish when it crosses below.
Zero Line Cross:
When MACD crosses above zero → bullish momentum.
When MACD crosses below zero → bearish momentum.
Divergences:
If price makes new highs while MACD fails to, it signals a weakening trend.
d. Bollinger Bands
Developed by John Bollinger, these bands measure volatility using standard deviations around a moving average.
Structure:
Middle Band: 20-day SMA.
Upper Band: SMA + 2 standard deviations.
Lower Band: SMA – 2 standard deviations.
How to Interpret:
Squeeze: When bands contract, it indicates low volatility and possible breakout soon.
Expansion: When bands widen, it shows high volatility.
Touch of Upper/Lower Band:
Price touching the upper band signals overbought.
Touching the lower band signals oversold.
Pro Tip: Combine Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD for confirmation.
e. Average Directional Index (ADX)
The ADX, created by Wilder, measures the strength of a trend — not its direction.
Scale:
0–25: Weak or no trend.
25–50: Strong trend.
50–75: Very strong trend.
75–100: Extremely strong trend.
Usage:
A rising ADX indicates strengthening trend momentum.
A falling ADX indicates weakening momentum.
Traders often combine ADX with +DI and -DI lines to detect whether bulls or bears are in control.
f. Stochastic Oscillator
This momentum indicator compares the closing price of an asset to its price range over a set period (usually 14 days).
Formula:
%K = × 100
%D = 3-day SMA of %K.
Interpretation:
Above 80: Overbought.
Below 20: Oversold.
Crossovers between %K and %D lines indicate potential reversals.
Pro Tip: Use with trend direction to avoid false signals — only buy oversold signals in an uptrend and sell overbought signals in a downtrend.
g. Average True Range (ATR)
The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a given period.
Usage:
Higher ATR: Indicates more volatility (use wider stop-losses).
Lower ATR: Indicates less volatility (use tighter stop-losses).
It helps traders adjust position sizing and risk management strategies.
h. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
The OBV indicator links price movement with volume to measure buying and selling pressure.
Formula:
If today’s close > yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV + Volume.
If today’s close < yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV – Volume.
Interpretation:
Rising OBV confirms upward momentum (buying pressure).
Falling OBV confirms downward momentum (selling pressure).
Divergences between OBV and price can signal reversals.
4. Combining Indicators for Better Accuracy
No single indicator is perfect. The best traders combine multiple indicators to create a confluence of signals that increase trade accuracy.
Popular Combinations:
Trend + Momentum: Moving Average + RSI or MACD.
Volatility + Momentum: Bollinger Bands + Stochastic.
Volume + Trend: OBV + Moving Average.
For example, a trader might go long when:
The price is above the 50-day EMA (uptrend).
RSI crosses above 40 from oversold levels.
OBV is rising — confirming strong buying interest.
5. Common Mistakes Traders Make
Even the best indicators can mislead when misused. Here are some common pitfalls:
Overloading charts with too many indicators:
This creates confusion and conflicting signals.
Ignoring price action:
Indicators should confirm, not replace, price structure analysis.
Using the same type of indicators together:
Combining multiple momentum indicators (like RSI and Stochastic) adds redundancy.
Not adjusting settings:
Default settings may not suit every market; fine-tune them to your asset and time frame.
Trading without confirmation:
Always wait for indicator alignment before entering a trade.
6. Building a Strategy Using Technical Indicators
A robust trading strategy built around indicators should include:
Market Trend Filter:
(e.g., 50 EMA or ADX to determine direction)
Entry Signal:
(e.g., RSI crossing above 30 or MACD bullish crossover)
Exit Signal:
(e.g., RSI reaching overbought or MACD turning bearish)
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Rules:
(e.g., ATR-based stop-loss for volatility adjustment)
Risk Management:
Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
By backtesting your strategy on historical data, you can evaluate its accuracy and profitability.
7. Adapting Indicators for Different Markets
Each market behaves differently. For instance:
Stocks: Indicators like RSI, MACD, and OBV work best due to volume data.
Forex: Moving Averages, ADX, and Bollinger Bands help identify trends in volatile environments.
Crypto: Volatility-based indicators (ATR, Bollinger Bands) are more effective because of rapid price swings.
Adjust your settings and time frames accordingly:
Short-term traders (scalpers/day traders) → 1-min to 15-min charts.
Swing traders → 1-hour to daily charts.
Long-term investors → weekly/monthly charts.
8. The Psychology Behind Indicators
Technical indicators ultimately reflect trader psychology.
When RSI is overbought, it shows euphoria and overconfidence.
When moving averages flatten, it reflects indecision.
High ATR reflects fear and panic; low ATR reflects calmness.
Understanding this emotional rhythm helps traders align technical signals with real-world behavior — the essence of market sentiment analysis.
9. Future of Technical Indicators
With advancements in AI and algorithmic trading, indicators are becoming more adaptive. Machine learning models can now optimize indicator parameters dynamically, improving accuracy. However, human intuition still plays a key role — especially in interpreting false signals and reading macroeconomic trends.
Conclusion
Mastering technical indicators is not about memorizing dozens of formulas; it’s about understanding the story they tell about price, volume, and emotion. The best traders use a balanced approach — combining trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators — to develop high-probability trading setups.
To truly master them:
Keep your chart simple.
Focus on 2–3 core indicators.
Always confirm signals with price action.
Backtest your strategy before applying it live.
When used with discipline, patience, and proper risk management, technical indicators can become your guiding compass in the ever-changing ocean of financial markets.
Good will make new ATH next week buy on dip Gold buy on dip recommended bounce from support area , levels given on chart
How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active.
Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area
Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start.
If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate
1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels.
30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 10✅ 4-Hour Chart Analysis
Gold is currently hovering around the MA5 and MA10 (near 3990), with short-term direction still undecided. The MA20 (around 4004) has shifted from support to resistance, indicating that short-term bullish strength is limited.
The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, showing reduced volatility and suggesting the market has entered a consolidation phase. The middle band (4004) is acting as a key upper resistance. After the recent decline, gold is showing a weak rebound but remains within a corrective structure. If it fails to break above 4000–4005, the rebound is likely to be limited, with the risk of another pullback.
✅ 1-Hour Chart Analysis
Short-term moving averages (MA5/MA10) are turning upward, and the price is consolidating around 3995–4000, showing some rebound momentum. However, the MA20 and MA60 above are acting as resistance, limiting further upside potential.
The Bollinger mid-band (around 3978) has been reclaimed, and the price is now near the upper band, but without a clear breakout, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. The 1-hour chart shows a short-term rebound, but with heavy resistance above, if gold cannot hold above 4000–4005, it may quickly retreat again.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3995–4005
🟢 Support Levels: 3945–3925
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻 Watch the 3995–4005 zone; if the price is rejected, consider short positions targeting 3970–3950.
🔺 If the price pulls back to 3945–3925 and stabilizes, consider light long positions targeting 3980–4000.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
Part 3 Trading Master Class With ExpertsTypes of Option Traders
Different traders use options for different purposes. Here’s how:
Speculators – Trade options to profit from short-term market moves.
Hedgers – Use options to protect their existing investments (like insurance).
Income Traders – Sell options regularly to collect premium income.
Arbitrageurs – Exploit price differences between spot and derivatives markets.
For example, a portfolio manager holding stocks may buy put options to safeguard against sudden market falls. Meanwhile, a retail trader may sell call options to earn regular premium income.
Part 1 Trading Master Class With ExpertsBasic Terminology in Option Trading
Before diving deep, let’s get familiar with key terms used in options:
Call Option – Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy the underlying asset at a certain price before expiry.
Put Option – Gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to sell the underlying asset at a certain price before expiry.
Strike Price – The fixed price at which the option holder can buy (for calls) or sell (for puts) the underlying asset.
Premium – The price paid to buy the option contract. This is the cost of obtaining the right.
Expiry Date – The date when the option contract expires. After this, the contract becomes invalid.






















