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Gold (XAUUSD) | 4H Triangle Breakout SetupPrice is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle with clear compression. We've just seen a breakout toward the upside, now testing a minor supply zone (3,355–3,365). I'm watching two scenarios: Bullish Case: Break and close above 3,393 confirms continuation toward 3,445–3,460 major supply. Bearish Case: Rejection from 3,355–3,365 zone could send price back to 3,300 or even to the 3,180 demand zone. Key Confluences: Triangle breakout Clean supply/demand zones Price structure support below Let’s see how price reacts. #gold #xauusd #priceaction #supplydemand #orderblock #technicalanalysis #breakout #forex
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by badalsharma918
2
XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Imminent? Targeting 3500 +This is a long term plan not suitable for day trading and scalping Idea: Gold (XAUUSD) has been consolidating in a falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart — a classic bullish setup. We've already seen two previous impulsive rallies of ~17%, each adding ~$530 to the price. Currently, price is respecting the wedge resistance and appears to be gearing up for a breakout. If we break above the wedge, a similar move could project XAUUSD towards the 3650 zone, aligning with the previous move projection. Technical Highlights: 📊 Pattern: Falling wedge (bullish) ✅ Historical rallies of ~$530 (~17%) suggest similar potential 🎯 Target: 3650.743 🟢 Confirmation: Break and close above wedge resistance ⚠️ Risk: Failure to break may lead to another consolidation phase Strategy: Wait for a confirmed breakout with strong bullish candles and volume. Entry can be taken on retest of the breakout level, with SL below recent swing low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by wkabichandra
TRADER PSYCHOLOGY - Overtrading The Silent Killer of ConsistencyTRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 1: Overtrading – The Silent Killer of Consistency In the dynamic world of forex trading, success doesn't come from doing more — it comes from doing right. Yet many traders, especially full-time traders in India, unknowingly fall into a common psychological trap that slowly erodes both their capital and confidence: Overtrading. Let’s break it down — what overtrading is, why it happens, and most importantly, how to stop it before it burns through your progress. 🧠 What Is Overtrading in Forex? Overtrading refers to excessive trading – opening too many positions without clear signals or justification based on your strategy. In most cases, it’s driven by emotion, not logic. It usually shows up in two forms: Trading out of boredom or the urge to “do something” Trying to recover from previous losses (a.k.a. revenge trading) Over time, this behavior becomes a habit — and like most bad habits in trading, it’s expensive. ⚠️ Signs You Might Be Overtrading If you answer "yes" to any of these, it’s time to check your discipline: Do you feel uncomfortable when you’re not in a trade? Do you enter trades even when your system says “no trade”? Do you keep switching charts hoping to “find a setup”? After a losing trade, do you jump right back in to recover? Have you lost more to fees/spread than actual price movement? 🧩 Why Indian Traders Often Fall Into Overtrading 🔹 The Action Bias Traders often feel they must "do something" to be productive. In reality, sitting out is a strategy — especially when markets are flat or unclear. 🔹 Pressure to Perform Daily Many traders in India try to generate consistent income from trading — and assume they must win every day. That pressure leads to forcing trades just to “hit targets.” 🔹 Overconfidence After a Winning Streak Success leads to confidence — but too much confidence without structure leads to impulsive trading. One good day shouldn’t convince you that you’ve mastered the market. 🔥 Consequences of Overtrading Overtrading doesn’t just hurt your account — it breaks your mindset. Capital Depletion: Small losses + transaction costs = big drawdown over time Mental Burnout: You feel drained, frustrated, and reactive Lack of System Trust: You abandon good strategies because you never followed them properly Emotional Instability: You start making decisions based on fear or revenge, not analysis ✅ How to Control Overtrading – Practical Steps 1. Limit the Number of Trades Per Day Set a clear rule — e.g., “Maximum 3 trades per day.” This forces you to choose the best setups and ignore mediocre ones. 2. Keep a Simple Trading Journal Write down: Why you took the trade Whether it matched your plan Your emotional state Reviewing this weekly will reveal patterns you never noticed in real time. 3. Block Out Non-Active Trading Hours For Indian traders, this might mean avoiding low-volume periods like mid-Asia session. Focus on London or US overlap hours — when liquidity and volatility are high. 4. Understand: Not Trading Is Still Trading Being flat (no position) is a strategic decision. Markets reward patience, not impatience. 🎯 Final Thoughts Overtrading is not a technical issue — it’s a mindset issue. When you feel the urge to “do something,” remind yourself: the best traders don’t trade all the time. They wait, they observe, and they only act when everything aligns. "The market doesn’t pay you for activity — it pays you for accuracy." If you want to grow consistently, you must master the art of waiting, filtering, and executing with purpose. 📌 Next in the Series: TRADER PSYCHOLOGY | EPISODE 2: FOMO – How Fear of Missing Out Destroys Good Decisions Follow this page to get notified when it drops!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD (XAUUSD) – NEXT WEEK PROFESSIONAL OUTLOOK & STRATEGY ### ✅ **Chart Observation** * **Timeframe:** 4H * **Pattern:** **Clear Flag Formation** identified after a sharp impulsive move up. * The flag is highlighted in **blue channel**, confirming classic **bullish continuation** structure. * Breakout above upper channel line **has already triggered** fresh momentum. --- 🔎 **Technical Analysis** * Flag patterns generally resolve in the direction of the prior trend — here **uptrend**. * The measured move target typically equals the flagpole length projected from breakout — *this suggests a near-term move toward the **3410–3420 zone**.* * Strong support now seen at **3320–3330** (previous consolidation + flag base). * RSI remains healthy near 55–65 on 4H, confirming momentum sustainability without extreme overbought risk. * Minor intraday resistance will be faced near **3380–3390**, but above that, clear runway toward **3410–3420**. 📈 **Next Week Short-Term Strategy (15–22 July)** ✅ **Bias:** **Bullish / Buy-on-Dips** ✅ **Buy Zone:** 3340–3350 (if retraced) ✅ **Targets:** 3380 / 3410 / 3420 ✅ **Stoploss:** 3317 (below flag structure base) ✅ **Aggressive Target Extension:** 3450 (if strong momentum continues mid-week) ⚡ **Key Support Levels:** * 3330–3340 (flag base & breakout retest) * 3317 (critical invalidation) ⚡ **Key Resistance Levels:** * 3380–3390 (first hurdle) * 3410–3420 (projected move from flag) * 3450 (extension) --- 💼 **WHITEROCK PRO INSIGHT:** This flag breakout shows a *classic textbook bullish setup.* Short-term view remains **strongly bullish** as long as price holds above **3320–3330 support zone.** ⚠️ Clients are advised to **accumulate on dips** within recommended zone and **scale out near upper targets** for efficient risk management. --- ⭐ **“Trade Smart. Ride the Trend. Be Ahead.”** ✅ *Stay connected for live levels, strategy updates, and premium support with WHITEROCK.*
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by barotharshil14121992
Gold .....Triangle pattern in the making ?Do you see what i see ? Marked on the above chart are two triangular patterns which are identical in nature, one already formed and one in the making . if we break the sloping trend line on the upside, the targets mentioned is possible. stoploss for the trade will be the swing low of the structure which breaks the upper trend line. Plan your trade and then trade the plan. This is just my view. Trade according to your risk management or consult your financial consultant before taking the trade.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by stocksinboxx
1
XAUUSD - 1H SHORT (GOLD)FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Phinics
6
XAUUSD Analysis – Bearish Pressure ReturnsGold is facing renewed bearish pressure, as the H4 chart shows a failed attempt to break above the resistance FVG zone around $3,339. The overall structure remains bearish, with a likely move toward the $3,264 support zone in the coming sessions. On the news front, recent U.S. CPI data came in stronger than expected, supporting the USD. Additionally, hawkish comments from Fed officials like Musalem, along with FOMC minutes showing no rush to cut rates, have stalled gold’s upward momentum. Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated, reducing the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. If XAUUSD fails to hold above the $3,300 zone, a move down toward $3,265 is highly probable in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:8 RISK REWARD DUE TO THESE REASON A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules that will help you to to become a bettertrader thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by tradergyan01
7.11 Gold Analysis7.11 Gold Analysis At present, the long and short forces are in a tug-of-war between three key factors: 1. Expectations of Fed rate cuts (core support) Latest developments: Fed Governor Waller strongly called for a rate cut in July, but the market expects a rate cut in September with a probability of over 70% (CME data). The chairman of the San Francisco Fed expressed support for two rate cuts this year to ease inflation concerns. Influence mechanism: Rate cuts will lower real interest rates and the US dollar exchange rate, significantly reducing the cost of holding gold. If subsequent CPI/PPI data are weak or the job market deteriorates, the rally may be triggered in advance. 2. Middle East geopolitical risks (pulse momentum) Event escalation: The Israeli Defense Minister threatened to strike Iran again, and the risk of obstruction of Red Sea shipping increased. Risk aversion logic: If the conflict breaks out in substance (such as an attack on oil facilities), it will trigger a safe-haven fund to flow into gold. At the same time, the surge in oil prices may push up global inflation and strengthen the anti-inflation properties of gold. 3. Trump's tariff policy (stagflation catalyst) Policy impact: 50% tariff on Brazilian goods and imported copper (effective on August 1), triggering global supply chain disturbances. Double effect: Pushing up the US dollar in the short term will suppress gold prices, but it may aggravate stagflation risks in the medium and long term, providing underlying support for gold. Key contradiction conclusion: The expectation of interest rate cuts is the cornerstone of gold's trend rise, and geopolitical and tariff risks provide breakthrough momentum. If the three resonate (such as escalation of conflicts + September interest rate cuts + tariffs push up inflation), gold prices may quickly hit above $3,400. Technical multi-cycle analysis Daily level Pattern structure: Gold has fallen from the April high of $3,500, forming a triangular convergence pattern. After breaking through the previous high resistance of $3,346 and standing firm, it will enter the $3,350-3,374 oscillation box. MACD shows a golden cross signal, and RSI stands firm in the neutral zone of 55, indicating that bulls are accumulating power. Key watershed: Upward breakthrough point: $3374 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level + previous daily high), after stabilization, it will open up the 3400-3420 space. Downward risk point: $3330 (10-day moving average + triangle upper rail), if it fails, it may drop to 3310-3280 support. Short cycle (4H/1H) 4-hour chart: The price runs in the rising channel (lower edge 3340/upper edge 3372), and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates that a breakthrough is imminent. Pay attention to the $3345 moving average support, and maintain the offensive if it holds. 1-hour chart: MACD top divergence repair is completed, and the high point of $3340 breaks through and stabilizes, which will trigger short-term follow-up buying. Today's key events and trading windows US June PPI annual rate: If the data is lower than the previous value of 2.2%, it will strengthen the logic of interest rate cuts and push up gold prices; Federal Reserve Board member Waller's speech: Dovish remarks may become a catalyst for breaking through $3,346; Israel Security Cabinet Meeting: Any signal of military action will trigger safe-haven buying. Today's strategy It is recommended to buy around 3,320, stop loss at 3,300. Target 3,340. If my analysis can help you, I hope you can cheer me up.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmilyShared256112
Gold Struggles Under Tariff Pressure Hello everyone, great to see you again! Today, OANDA:XAUUSD remains under notable pressure as the U.S. continues to signal a tougher trade stance. The latest move: the U.S. President announced a 50% import tariff on copper and a potential 200% tariff on pharmaceuticals, following a previous tariff notice ranging from 25% to 40% sent to 14 countries — including Japan, South Korea, Thailand, and Malaysia. This isn’t just about protectionism. These measures fuel fears of global inflation, supply chain disruptions, and a broader economic slowdown. With surging prices in raw materials and essential goods, consumers may be forced to cut back spending, a classic warning sign for future growth. In this environment, investors had hoped gold would shine again as a safe haven asset. However, the recent bullish momentum has been underwhelming, signaling ongoing market hesitation. 📉 On the H4 chart, XAUUSD is being squeezed into a descending pattern, which typically carries a high probability of a downside breakout. If the current support fails, the next target could fall below the 32xx area. On the flip side, if supportive news emerges — such as a hint of rate cuts from the Fed — gold must break above the $3,335 level to revive bullish sentiment. 🔎 What do you think? Will gold break lower — or bounce back? Drop your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
2
Gold Update - July 11th, 2025Gold is holding strong above 3300 on the daily close and today price breakout from the resistance trendline I mentioned yesterday. Also price is staying above the weekly pivot, which shows the bulls are getting more confident. We're seeing some real momentum building up. The breakout from that trendline resistance is a good sign that buyers are ready to push higher. Key Levels to Watch: Upside Targets: For intra day, watch 3340-45 as the next resistance area For the bigger timeframe, we need to break and hold above 3355-60. That's the major level that will tell us if this is just a bounce or the start of something bigger. Downside Support: If things go wrong, the weekly pivot is our first support to watch Also keep an eye on this week's low as backup support Gold is finally picking a direction and it's pointing up. The breakout from the trendline gives us some confidence, but we're still in range on higher TF. The real test will be if we can push through 3340-45 and then tackle that bigger 3355-60 area. If we can do that, then we might be back in business for the bulls.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold trading in narrow range sell on rise will continue How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
Gold Trading Strategy for 11th July 2025📊 GOLD (XAU/USD) Trading Plan – Intraday Strategy 🔔 Breakout Strategy Based on 1-Hour Candle 🟢 Buy Setup: ✅ Condition: Enter Buy if a 1-hour candle closes above the high of the previous candle and that high is above 3331. 🎯 Targets: 📌 1st Target: 3342 📌 2nd Target: 3353 📌 3rd Target: 3364 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the breakout candle’s low (maintain proper risk-reward) 🔴 Sell Setup: ✅ Condition: Enter Sell if a 1-hour candle closes below the low of the previous candle and that low is below 3314. 🎯 Targets: 📌 1st Target: 3302 📌 2nd Target: 3290 📌 3rd Target: 3279 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the breakdown candle’s high (risk-reward 1:2 or better) 📌 Pro Tips: Use a confirmation candle close to avoid false breakouts. Apply this strategy during high-volume sessions (London/New York overlap is preferred). Always monitor macroeconomic news impacting gold prices like US CPI, Fed decisions, or geopolitical events. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or trading recommendations. Trading in financial markets involves risk. Always do your own analysis and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
how to use choppiness index indicator ?the choppiness index is a volatility-based indicator designed to determine whether the market is trending or consolidating. it doesn’t predict direction, but helps traders identify the nature of price movement — choppy or directional. 🔍 how it works: * the indicator ranges from 0 to 100. * values above 60 usually indicate a sideways or consolidating market. * values below 40 suggest a trending market (either up or down). * the closer it is to 100, the more choppy the market; the closer to 0, the stronger the trend. 🧠 how to use it in trading: 1. use choppiness index to filter trades — avoid trading trend-based strategies during high choppiness. 2. combine it with a trend-following indicator (like moving average or adx) to confirm entries when the choppiness index is low. 3. during low choppiness, you can also trail your stops more aggressively as the market is likely trending. ⚙️ custom settings tip: some traders use fibonacci levels (38.2 and 61.8) as thresholds. you can adjust the period (default is often 14) based on your timeframe and strategy. 💡 example usage: * wait for the choppiness index to fall below 38.2. * then look for a breakout or moving average crossover to align your trade in the direction of the trend. 🎯 summary: the choppiness index helps you avoid trading during indecisive market conditions and improves your strategy’s timing by telling you when the market is likely to move. it's best used as a filter alongside other indicators. Disclaimer : This idea post is not financial advice, it's for educational purposes only, I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. Trading and investing involve risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. I do not guarantee profits or take responsibility for any losses you may incur.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Shivam_Mandrai
XAU/USD Tests Bearish Channel Top – Key Levels Ahead📊 Chart Overview: Gold is currently presenting an interesting technical setup on the 2-hour timeframe: ✅ After a sharp rally from the ~$3244 zone, price has been consolidating in a downward-sloping, well-defined blue channel. ✅ This structure is highly suggestive of a flag pattern, often interpreted as a bullish continuation signal. ✅ At the same time, price action also fits the description of a classic descending channel in creation. 👉 The real decisive clue will be in which direction this channel eventually breaks. 📌 Key Technical Levels: Immediate Resistance: ~$3320–$3340 (channel top / breakout trigger zone) Major Resistance Above: ~$3380–$3400 Current Price: ~$3317 Near-term Support: ~$3270 (channel base) Major Support Below: ~$3244 (recent swing low) 🧭 Technical Observations: ✅ The blue highlighted zone on the chart clearly shows price respecting channel boundaries. ✅ A break above the upper channel line (~$3320–$3340) would confirm the flag breakout, with potential to retest ~$3380–$3400 levels. ✅ Conversely, failure to hold support at ~$3280 risks a revisit of the critical ~$3244 zone. ✅ The longer price remains inside the channel, the more explosive the eventual breakout move can be. ⚙️ Possible Trading Scenarios: ✅ Bearish Failure: Break and close below ~$3310. Opens downside toward ~$3270/3285/3291. Stops can be placed above ~$3315–$3310 depending on risk. 💡 Is It a Flag Pattern or Just a Channel? ✅ It has all the hallmarks of a bull flag: sharp pole, parallel consolidation. ✅ But confirmation only comes on decisive breakout above the upper trendline. ✅ Until then, treat it as a channel in creation—and plan trades for both breakout or breakdown scenarios.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by barotharshil14121992
Gold price stabilizes above 3300Plan XAU day: 10 July 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices (XAU/USD) have pared a portion of their modest intraday gains but continue to maintain a positive bias for the second consecutive day, trading around the $3,320 level during the early European session on Thursday. Ongoing uncertainties surrounding US President Donald Trump’s trade policies and their potential implications for the global economy are keeping investors cautious. In addition, expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will lower interest rates later this year continue to lend support to the non-yielding precious metal. Meanwhile, the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting released on Wednesday indicated limited support for a potential rate cut as early as this month. This has provided a boost to the US Dollar (USD), which—alongside a broadly positive tone in equity markets—is capping the upside potential for gold as a safe-haven asset. As such, it would be prudent to await confirmation through sustained buying interest before anticipating further gains, as market participants turn their attention to upcoming US Weekly Jobless Claims data and speeches from Federal Reserve officials for near-term trading cues personal opinion:!!! Market accumulates, sideways above 3300 waiting for US unemployment news today Important price zone to consider : !!! support zone point: 3307 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JJainy
1