GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD GOLD SHOWING A GOOD UP MOVE WITH 1:10 RISK REWARD
DUE TO THESE REASON
A. its following a rectangle pattern that stocked the market
which preventing the market to move any one direction now it trying to break the strong resistant lable
B. after the break of this rectangle it will boost the market potential for break
C. also its resisting from a strong neckline the neckline also got weeker ald the price is ready to break in the outer region
all of these reason are indicating the same thing its ready for breakout BREAKOUT trading are follws good risk reward
please dont use more than one percentage of your capitalfollow risk reward and tradeing rules
that will help you to to become a bettertrader
thank you
Trade ideas
Gold Intraday Analysis: Range Play Until BreakoutGold is currently trading in a range-bound structure after pulling back from the 3700 level. The weekly pivot around 3632 is acting as strong support, while the 3700 zone serves as resistance, forming the upper boundary of the range. Price is showing signs of consolidation between these levels, suggesting a sideways market. For any breakout confirmation, we need to see a clear H1 or H4 candle close above 3700 or below 3632, along with volume or strong price rejection/follow-through. Until then, the price action favors range trading within these key levels.
Gold Trading Inside Channel – Key Support & Resistance Levels!Hello Traders!
Gold is currently moving inside a well-defined ascending channel on the 30-min chart. Both buyers and sellers are respecting the levels of this channel, giving us clear trading opportunities.
Key Observations
Price has tested the upper channel resistance multiple times, facing rejection near $3,710–$3,720.
The lower channel support around $3,650 has been well respected, creating strong buying reactions.
A minor resistance trendline is now forming, which could temporarily limit upside momentum.
Short-term path suggests: rejection from minor resistance → retest of channel bottom → potential bounce back toward the upper channel.
Trading Plan
Bullish bias remains intact as long as Gold holds above $3,650 channel support.
A bounce from support may target $3,710–$3,720 zone again.
If support breaks, deeper correction may follow.
Rahul’s Tip
Always wait for confirmation near channel edges. Trading inside the channel can be tricky, but respecting support and resistance gives you high-probability setups.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
👉 If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for regular updates.
Gold Trading Strategy | September 18-19🎉 Congratulations to our members who followed our trading strategy - today's trades yielded a profit of over 300++ pips!
✅ Based on the 4-hour chart, gold formed a phase top at 3707 and has since pulled back in a consolidation.
The moving averages MA5 and MA10 have crossed downward, while MA20 near 3670 is acting as resistance.
The short- to medium-term trend shows weakening bullish momentum with bears gradually taking control. The Bollinger Bands’ midline is around 3670, and the price has broken below it, now moving near the lower band, indicating weakness. If it cannot quickly reclaim the midline, the trend is likely to remain bearish.
Currently, gold is trading in the 3640–3650 range. If this zone breaks, the price may further test the 3625–3630 support. A break below 3625–3630 would open more downside potential, with the next target around 3600.
🔴 Resistance levels: 3660–3670
🟢 Support levels: 3640–3630
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If the price rebounds to 3660–3670 and faces resistance, consider light short positions with targets at 3630–3625.
🔰 If the price drops to around 3625 and stabilizes, short-term long positions can be considered, targeting 3655–3660.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
FED slows down: Cuts 25bps, gold stays flat🟡 XAU/USD – 18/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : Cut rates by 25bps as expected, hinted at 2 more cuts this year → initially supported Gold to rebound around 3,65x.
Powell turned hawkish :
• “No need to move quickly on rate cuts.”
• “Today’s cut is mainly risk-management.”
This message signaled that the FED is not fully opening the easing door → Gold fluctuated and stalled its upside momentum.
Tonight: Awaiting Jobless Claims & Philly Fed for more clarity on the FED’s path.
⏩ Captain’s Summary
Gold is supported by the rate cut, but Powell’s “braking” caused volatility.
Zone 3,663 – 3,665 has become the pivot support to determine the next move.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,684 – 3,686 (strong OB)
3,717 – 3,719 (ATH Zone – very strong, likely heavy selling)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Pivot Dock: 3,663 – 3,665 (new pivot support)
Main Harbor: 3,629 – 3,630 (BoS confluence & old sideway)
Market Structure
After breakout and profit-taking, Gold returned to test support.
3,663 – 3,665 : pivot support.
• If it holds → rebound to 3,684 – 3,717.
• If it breaks → deeper correction to 3,629.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Zone 1
Entry: 3,663 – 3,666
SL: 3,655
TP: 3,684 – 3,717
Buy Zone 2
Entry: 3,629 – 3,630
SL: 3,618
TP: 3,663 – 3,684 – 3,717
⚡ Sell (only at resistance)
Sell Zone OB
Entry: 3,684 – 3,686
SL: 3,695
TP: 3,665 – 3,645
Sell Zone ATH NEW
Entry: 3,717 – 3,719
SL: 3,727
TP: 3,706 – 3,690 – 3,675
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails caught wind as the FED cut rates, but Powell’s headwind slowed the advance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,663 – 3,629) is the pivot dock to decide the next course. If it holds, the ship may rebound to test Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,684 – 3,719) . If it breaks, the ship will retreat deeper to gather strength. For now, Quick Boarding 🚤 should only be done at strong resistance, while the larger voyage still leans northward.”
Gold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for ItselfGold Breaking Limits – Trend Speaks for Itself
Gold Market Outlook
Gold continues to demonstrate a well-structured bullish cycle, characterized by steady momentum and clean trend development. The market has transitioned from a prolonged consolidation phase into a sustained directional move, where each breakout is validated by controlled retracements. This reflects strong participation and confidence from larger players.
The sequence of market shifts and break-of-structure signals highlight how short-term pullbacks are consistently absorbed, turning into fuel for further expansion. Price action is orderly, with no signs of erratic volatility, showing that buyers remain in control and liquidity is being managed efficiently.
Overall, gold is moving in line with the broader macro sentiment. The rhythm of accumulation, expansion, and continuation suggests that the current cycle has not yet exhausted its potential. While interim pauses are expected, the structural integrity of the trend continues to favor upside development over the medium term.
Strategic Long-Term Perspective on GoldGold Market Analysis – Report View
Gold has delivered a strong bullish cycle after weeks of accumulation. The past phase showed a contracting range where liquidity was built up and multiple structural shifts occurred, signaling preparation for expansion. Once price broke out of that range in late August, momentum accelerated, leading to a clean and sustained rally into September.
The recent move highlights how market flow continues to favor the upside, with each correction acting as a re-accumulation zone rather than a trend reversal. Institutional order flow remains visible, supporting higher valuations as price respects bullish market structure.
Currently, gold is stabilizing after the sharp leg upward. This pause suggests a phase of healthy consolidation, likely absorbing liquidity before attempting the next impulsive wave higher. Overall sentiment remains constructive, with bullish continuation the dominant narrative unless a major structural shift occurs.
Gold’s Next Bullish Move: Key Buy Zones & Targets to Watch Today🔥 Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Momentum Alert! 🔥
After a strong rally, Gold bounced back impressively from today’s low at 3633 and is pushing up towards 3673. For intraday traders, the setup is clear: look for dips to jump in on the long side around 3654 - 3646 with exciting upside targets ahead!
📈 Trade Setup – Long on Pullback
Entry: Buy Gold at 3654
Add-on Dip: Add more at 3646
Targets: First target 3670-3675, then aiming for 3685
Invalidation: Cut losses if price falls below 3630
📊 Risk/Reward Snapshot
This is a tight-risk, high-reward setup — perfect for traders who want to keep their stops close while chasing solid gains. As always, manage your risk wisely and size your positions according to your plan.
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Gold 1H – Retail Sales Impact Before FedOn the 1H chart, Gold is holding near 3,682 after showing a clear Break of Structure. Liquidity is now seen both above the premium resistance at 3,700 and below the Fair Value Gap demand around 3,669–3,667. With U.S. Retail Sales data due at 19:30 IST today, intraday volatility is expected, but overall positioning is still cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week. Traders can look for liquidity sweeps towards premium levels before retracements into demand zones.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,700 – 3,698 (SL 3,707): Premium resistance likely to trigger rejection towards 3,690 → 3,680 → 3,670.
• 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,669 – 3,667 (SL 3,660): Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracements, targeting 3,680 → 3,690 → 3,700+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,641 – 3,639 (SL 3,632): Deep discount support, targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,685+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,669–3,667)
• Entry: 3,669 – 3,667
• Stop Loss: 3,660
• Targets:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,690
TP3: 3,700+
👉 Look for a liquidity sweep into the FVG zone before New York session begins.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Sweep (3,641–3,639)
• Entry: 3,641 – 3,639
• Stop Loss: 3,632
• Targets:
TP1: 3,655
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,685+
👉 A good risk-to-reward opportunity if price sweeps stops below structure before Retail Sales release.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Liquidity Run (3,700–3,698)
• Entry: 3,700 – 3,698
• Stop Loss: 3,707
• Targets:
TP1: 3,690
TP2: 3,680
TP3: 3,670
👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium supply before fading lower.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
While Retail Sales data may bring short-term price swings, market attention is focused on the Fed. Smart Money is likely to trap both sides of liquidity: fading premium near 3,700–3,698 while accumulating buys at 3,669–3,667 and 3,641–3,639. Trade with smaller positions and confirm with H1 closes before entries.
Gold Rebounds Within Upward Channel – Eyes on $3,700+Gold (XAUUSD) is holding inside its upward channel on the 1H timeframe, bouncing strongly off the lower boundary near $3,640. The bullish structure remains intact as long as price respects channel support, keeping $3,700+ in play.
Technical Setup:
Price continues to trend within a rising channel since early September.
The recent dip tested the lower band near $3,640, where buyers stepped back in.
Current price action shows momentum building toward the channel midpoint (~$3,680).
A decisive breakout above $3,685–3,700 could trigger further upside toward $3,720–3,740.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $3,640, $3,610, $3,600
Resistance: $3,685, $3,700, $3,720–3,740
Takeaway:
Gold’s trend remains bullish while holding above $3,640. A push above $3,700 confirms bullish continuation toward $3,720–3,740. A close below $3,640 shifts bias bearish toward $3,600.
#Gold #XAUUSD #Commodities #TradingStrategy
XAUUSD/GOLD Unemployment Claims 18.09.25XAUUSD/Gold – Unemployment Claims (18.09.25):
Current Price Zone: Gold is trading around $3,668.81.
Trading Idea: The chart suggests a buying opportunity if the U.S. unemployment claims data comes out negative (worse than expected).
Key Levels:
Major Resistance R1 → Around $3,685 – $3,690
Breakout and retest of this level signals a buy entry.
Resistance 2 – Yesterday’s High & News High → Around $3,710
Acts as the next upside target after breakout.
Resistance 3 – Expected New ATH → Around $3,736 – $3,740
This is the final bullish target if momentum sustains.
Strategy:
Plan A (Main Setup):
Wait for breakout above R1 (3,690) → Enter buy trade on retest.
Ride the move towards R2 (3,710) and possibly R3 (3,736–3,740).
Confirmation Zone:
If news is negative for USD, gold is expected to rally strongly (bullish bias).
Risk Management:
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3,680 zone, as marked in the red area.
Take Profit (TP): Stepwise at 3,710 → 3,736 → 3,740.
👉 In summary: The chart indicates a news-driven bullish breakout plan — gold buys are favored if the data weakens the USD, with targets up to 3,740.
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H BUY PROJECTION – 18.09.25The 1-hour chart of Gold shows a recent V pattern formation, signaling a strong bullish reversal after a sharp drop.
A downtrend breakout is confirmed, supported by a Three White Soldiers pattern, strengthening the bullish momentum.
Entry Zone: Around 3,668 (current price).
Support (S1): 3,655 – strong demand zone where buyers are likely to defend.
Resistance (R1): 3,685 – key target level for this bullish move.
Risk-to-Reward Setup: Stop-loss below support (S1) at 3,655, with take-profit at resistance (R1) near 3,685.
🔑 Conclusion: Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish signs with breakout confirmation. As long as price holds above support at 3,655, the projection favors upside movement towards 3,685.
“XAU/USD 1H – Bullish Continuation from Demand Zone Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price has been consistently making Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), confirming an overall bullish market structure.
Break of Structure (BOS) levels confirm continuation of the trend.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
Recently, price created a short-term shift downward (MSS) but retraced into a POI zone (demand area) near 3,646 – 3,659.
Current Setup:
The price bounced from the POI zone and is now recovering upward.
A long position was marked with entry near 3,659, Stop Loss at 3,646, and Target around 3,709.
Bias:
As long as price holds above 3,646 (POI zone), bullish continuation is favored.
If broken below 3,646, bearish correction could extend further.
Gold's U-Turn: A Dive into Fundamentals & Trading StrategyHello, fellow traders! The gold market's moves last night were absolutely wild, not at all what one would expect. After hitting a new all-time high of $3,707.40/oz, gold surprisingly took a U-turn and dropped to $3,681.39/oz. And this happened right after the Fed cut rates by 0.25% as predicted! So, what exactly went down?
Fundamental Analysis: The Fed's Move and Powell's "Cool" Comments
Rate Cut as Expected: The Fed delivered the 0.25% rate cut, its first this year after a pause since late 2024. This action, along with the forecast for two more cuts, met market expectations and initially sent gold soaring.
USD and Bond Yields Drop: Lower interest rates tend to weaken the USD and pull down bond yields, making non-yielding assets like gold more attractive. This was the initial push for gold's new peak.
Powell's "Hawkish" Spin: Everything changed when Fed Chair Jerome Powell stepped up. He gave some surprisingly "hawkish" statements, suggesting the Fed isn't in a hurry to cut rates and that this move was just "risk management."
The Aftermath: This statement threw cold water on market expectations for a faster, more aggressive rate-cutting path. Powell was quite clever; he met market expectations and diffused political pressure (especially from the Trump administration), all while keeping investors on their toes. As a result, bond yields and the USD bounced back, putting strong selling pressure on gold.
Outlook: This shock might just be temporary. Fundamentally, the Fed starting a loosening cycle is a big long-term positive for gold. While gold might face some headwinds in the short term, the underlying bullish trend is still very much intact.
Technical Analysis: Volatility and Key Levels
Gold had some unpredictable swings after the news. After dropping to the $363x zone, it bounced back super fast. This shows that there's still solid buying power at these key support levels.
Key Support: $3624, $3612, $3600, $3584, $3569
Resistance: $3667, $3675, $3686, $3700
Today's Key Level: The $364x range. If gold holds above this level by the end of the European session, we should look for long positions for the US session.
Trading Setups (Remember to Manage Risk Strictly):
Buy Scalp
Zone: $3639 - $3637
SL: $3633
TP: $3642 - $3647 - $3652 - $3657 - $3667
Buy Zone
Zone: $3606 - $3604
SL: $3596
TP: $3614 - $3624 - $3634 - $3644 - $3664
Sell Scalp
Zone: $3674 - $3676
SL: $3680
TP: $3671 - $3665 - $3660 - $3655 - $3645
Sell Zone
Zone: $3686 - $3688
SL: $3696
TP: $3678 - $3668 - $3658 - $3648 - $3628
Note: The market is highly volatile. Be careful with every trade. Will gold continue its rally or see a deeper correction? Share your thoughts below! 👇
#Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #InterestRates #FinancialMarkets #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Powell #CMEFedWatch
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate CutXAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook After Fed Rate Cut
Hello fellow traders,
The most anticipated event of September is now clear: the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the first reduction this year. Market expectations also indicate the possibility of another 50 basis points cut in the upcoming meeting. In his speech, Chairman Powell highlighted the “dual risk” – inflation could rise further while employment shows signs of weakness.
Technical View
Gold has formed an H1 candle closing below the rising price channel, signalling a possible violation of the medium-term uptrend.
The buying side failed to maintain momentum after the rate cut news, showing caution in entering at elevated price levels.
Medium-term investors may consider waiting for a lower price to enter fresh longs.
However, the downside is not fully confirmed, as price is still hovering around the ascending trendline → selling directly at current levels still carries certain risks.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Strategy
Scalping: 3676 – 3678 | SL: 3683 | TP: 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
(Stop loss can be moved to breakeven if price reacts well, to hold positions longer).
Sell Zone: 3697 – 3700 | SL: 3705 | TP: 3680 – 3666 – 3650 – 3635 – 3628
Buy Strategy
Scalping: 3634 – 3636 | SL: 3629 | TP: 3645 – 3660 – 3672
Buy Zone: 3600 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3633 – 3645 – 3660 – 3675 (extended)
Conclusion
Gold is currently in a sensitive phase after the Fed’s decision to cut rates. Traders must watch price action carefully around major support and resistance levels to confirm a clearer direction.
Stay tuned to this outlook — I will continue to provide updates as the market structure evolves. Follow along to receive the fastest scenario changes as price action develops.
Gold 1H – Dollar Strength Weighs Ahead of US DataGold on the 1H chart is testing deeper demand zones near 3,612–3,614 after repeated liquidity sweeps into 3,678 and 3,702. Sellers continue to defend premium supply zones, with engineered stop-runs fading quickly. Today’s US data releases and renewed dollar strength keep gold vulnerable to further downside unless discount demand zones show strong defence.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,678 – 3,680 (SL 3,685)
Premium intraday pocket for rejection targeting 3,675 → 3,670 → 3,665.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,704 – 3,702 (SL 3,711)
Major premium supply trap for engineered sweep before continuation lower toward 3,670 → 3,655 → 3,640.
• 🟢 BUY GOLD SUPPORT 3,616 – 3,618 (SL 3,610)
Fresh deep discount demand zone, targeting recovery into 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+ if defended.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Intraday Premium Rejection (3,678–3,680)
• Entry: 3,678 – 3,680
• Stop Loss: 3,685
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,675
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,665
👉 Expect engineered liquidity grab into premium before NY session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Higher Premium Trap (3,704–3,702)
• Entry: 3,704 – 3,702
• Stop Loss: 3,711
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Smart money may sweep highs near 3,704 before extending bearish leg.
🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Reversal (3,616–3,618)
• Entry: 3,616 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 Strong bounce potential if dollar retraces post-data; favourable risk/reward from deep demand.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
With US data and dollar strength in focus, gold remains heavy below 3,678–3,704. Favour short setups into premium sweeps, but monitor 3,612–3,614 closely for signs of accumulation. Trade lighter size until direction clarifies post-news.
XAUUSD GOLD Analysis on (18/09/2025)#XAUUSD UPDATEDE
Current price - 3659
If price stay below 3680, then next target 3640,3620 and above that 3700
Plan;If price break 3659-3665 area, and stay below 3660, we will place sell order in gold with target of 3640 and 3620 & stop loss should be placed at 3700
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend EmergingHello traders, gold has just formed a new structure as it began a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a clear bearish Dow structure is developing, indicating potential medium-term sustainability.
Most buy-side liquidity has already been cleared, which makes the chances of a strong recovery quite low – except for a brief FVG right after the news. However, given overall market sentiment, trading activity in that phase was not significant. The gap formation signals that sellers are now confident in taking control after the Fed’s statement.
The current decline could push gold towards the 363x region, and possibly as far as 361x. A key confirmation level remains at the strong support of 3651, where price previously bounced more than 20 dollars immediately after the news.
Trading plan for today:
Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615
Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660
Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660
This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD for today – use it as a reference for your own trading decisions. If you find this analysis helpful, do follow me for more gold trading scenarios and daily insights.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Sell XAU/USD now at 3688.00 level and take a stop loss of 3703.00 and the targets will be as follows.
Entry range 3691.00 to 3687.00
Take Profit 1 = 3673.00
Take Profit 2 = 3665.00
Take Profit 3 = 3655.00
Take Profit 4 = 3645.00
Stock Loss 3703.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)






















