Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black):
Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge).
➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed.
🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1:
The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation.
➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2.
🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356
📉 Momentum Analysis
Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding.
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events.
If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario.
If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔ Stop Loss: 3362
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Bears up 3366 , waiting for GDP ! XAUUSDPlan XAU day: 26 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday and maintains its positive momentum during the first half of the European session. The US Dollar (USD) continues to face strong selling pressure amid reports that US President Donald Trump is considering replacing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, raising concerns about the central bank’s future independence. Additionally, growing expectations that the Fed may resume its rate-cutting cycle as early as July have pushed the USD to a more than three-year low, which supports demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
personal opinion:!!!
European session buying pressure helped gold price successfully break 3340, continuing the upward trend 3366
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold's Price Action Amidst Fed's Inflationary Warnings XAUUSD: Gold's Price Action Amidst Fed's Inflationary Warnings – Key Levels to Watch!
Hello TradingView Community!
Gold (XAUUSD) continues to be a focal point amidst the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious stance on inflation and interest rates. Recent statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlight concerns that large-scale tariffs could trigger persistent inflation, moving beyond conventional economic models. Despite recent inflation cooling, Powell emphasized the need for more data from June and July before considering any rate cuts, warning of the risk that "price shocks turn into persistent inflation".
This creates a nuanced market sentiment, torn between hopes for rate cuts and the emerging inflation risk from tariffs. In this environment, Gold remains a crucial psychological anchor, especially if the Fed delays its reaction to new inflationary pressures.
📊 XAUUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart Analysis):
Based on our recent chart analysis (e.g., image_008403.png): Gold is currently in a corrective or consolidating phase after a notable pullback. Price action indicates that key support and resistance levels are being tested.
Resistance Levels (Potential Sell Zones): We see significant resistance around 3352.383 - 3353.860 and higher up at 3371.205, with a major resistance area near the top at 3391.750 - 3395.000.
Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones): Key support is identified around 3317.738 - 3311.214, with a stronger demand zone at 3302.939 - 3302.857. A critical lower support lies at 3286.257.
🎯 XAUUSD Intraday Trading Plan:
Here are the key zones and targets for today, based on current market dynamics:
BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3316 - 3314
SL: 3310
TP: 3320 - 3324 - 3328 - 3332 - 3336 - 3340
BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3304 - 3302
SL: 3298
TP: 3308 - 3312 - 3316 - 3320 - 3330 - 3340 - 3350
SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3353 - 3355
SL: 3360
TP: 3350 - 3345 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330
SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3390 - 3392
SL: 3396
TP: 3386 - 3382 - 3378 - 3374 - 3370 - 3360
⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor:
Fed Speeches: Any further comments from Fed officials on inflation or policy outlook.
US Economic Data: Upcoming inflation (CPI, PCE) and employment reports (NFP) will heavily influence Fed policy expectations.
Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing global tensions can always boost Gold's safe-haven appeal.
Gold Technical Update: Is Tuesday's Low the Bottom ?It looks like we printed our low on Tuesday (June 24th), and now gold is showing some signs of reversal with the current bounce. The key question is whether this momentum can sustain itself through some critical resistance zones.
Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
3350-55 - This is our first major test. this level is the confluence with the 0.38 Fibonacci retracement level. If we see a clean break here with volume, it sets up the next target.
3380-85 - This is the big one for today and this week. this level also aligns with the weekly pivot. If the bulls can claim this territory and hold it into the close, we're likely looking at a continuation higher toward upper levels around 3400+.
Support Levels:
The PDL is now acting as our immediate support level. Below that, we've still got that psychological 3300 level as major support ,the same area that provided the floor earlier this week.
Gold Creating Liquidity Trap Before Major ReversalGold (XAUUSD) is currently in a broader downtrend, but recent price action on the 15-minute chart suggests a liquidity grab in the form of a fake uptrend structure. The price is forming higher highs and higher lows, but it is still failing to break the key resistance zone between 3340.130 – 3343.433, as marked in the chart.
This zone is a critical supply area, and a strong breakout and retest above this range would indicate a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
Until that breakout happens, any upward move is likely to be a liquidity trap, aimed at trapping late buyers before resuming the downtrend.
Trade Idea:
Sell zone: Below 3340
Stop loss: Above 3345
Target 1: 3300
Target 2: 3270
Only consider a buy entry after a confirmed break and close above 3345 with a retest.
Gold Trading Strategy for 26th June 2025📊 GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) – 15-Minute Candle Strategy
Track the 15-minute candle closely. Wait for the candle to close and take action based on the breakout or breakdown of that candle.
🟢 BUY SETUP – Bullish Breakout
✅ Buy above the High of the 15-minute candle if it closes above $3341
📌 This indicates strong momentum. Confirm breakout before entering the trade.
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3356
🎯 2nd Target: $3367
🎯 3rd Target: $3378
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: Below $3330 (or below the 15-min candle low)
🔴 SELL SETUP – Bearish Breakdown
✅ Sell below the Low of the 15-minute candle if it closes below $3311
📌 This signals bearish strength. Confirm the breakdown before entering short.
🎯 Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $3301
🎯 2nd Target: $3291
🎯 3rd Target: $3278
🛡️ Suggested Stop Loss: Above $3320 (or above the 15-min candle high)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 This trading setup is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
📊 Please conduct your own technical analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
📉 Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always use strict risk management and trade responsibly.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 25, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
Looking at the H1 chart, we can see a 5-wave black triangle structure has formed within wave Y. This suggests two possible scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave Y has completed → the current upward move is wave 1 of a new 5-wave green structure. The ongoing pullback would then be wave 2 of this sequence.
Scenario 2: Wave A of wave Y has completed as a 5-wave move → we are now in wave B of wave Y, which typically forms a 3-wave pattern. In this case, wave a (black) has formed and wave b (black) is currently developing.
✅ In both scenarios, the ongoing decline is a shared element — representing a buying opportunity.
🎯 Key Target Zones
Target 1: 3313 – 3310
Target 2: 3301
⚠️ If price breaks below 3297, the current wave count is invalidated, and we must prepare for a deeper correction. Updates will follow if that happens.
🔁 Momentum Outlook
D1 Timeframe:
Momentum is about to reverse upward. We expect at least 5–6 days of bullish movement for D1 momentum to reach overbought territory ⇒ This supports a potential short-term uptrend and favors both bullish wave counts.
H4 Timeframe:
Momentum is about to reverse downward from the overbought zone → A further decline to our buy zones is likely.
H1 Timeframe:
Momentum is currently declining → The ongoing pullback is expected to continue.
📌 What to wait for: A bullish reversal in H1 momentum aligned with H4 in the oversold region will confirm the bottom is in.
✅ Trade Plan
🔹 BUY ZONE 1: 3313 – 3310
• SL: 3306
• TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3350 | TP3: 3376
🔹 BUY ZONE 2: 3303 – 3301
• SL: 3296
• TP1: 3335 | TP2: 3363 | TP3: 3376
Gold price short growth: price zone 3345Plan XAU day: 25 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump criticized both Israel and Iran for violating a full ceasefire agreement shortly after it was announced. Moreover, media reports indicated that the recent US airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities likely did not destroy the core components but only delayed Tehran’s program by a few months. Trump, however, reiterated that Iran’s nuclear sites were completely destroyed.
Nonetheless, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding for now, with both sides declaring victory in the conflict and warning that they are prepared to resume hostilities if attacked. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and is likely to continue supporting the safe-haven appeal of Gold ahead of key US macroeconomic data releases later in the week.
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulation price zone: 3300 - 3335 is being maintained in the Asian and European sessions. Pay attention to selling pressure in the liquidity zone 3345.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3345; 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
XAUUSD Short Setup – Bearish Structure with Risk-Reward 1:2I am expecting a short opportunity in XAUUSD based on the 15-minute timeframe. The price is currently trading around 3326 and has shown multiple rejections from the 3330–3340 resistance zone, forming lower highs, indicating a bearish structure.
I’ve entered a sell trade near 3326 with the following setup:
Stop Loss: 3348 (above recent swing high)
Take Profit: 3298 (previous demand zone)
The trade offers a good risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2, making it a favorable setup. This setup is supported by strong resistance and lack of bullish momentum, as seen in the recent candles with long upper wicks.
If the price breaks below the 3320 zone with strong volume, we can expect bearish continuation toward the take profit zone. I’ll be closely monitoring for any reversal signs near 3300–3298 to possibly exit or trail the stop.
Note: Always manage your risk and use position sizing suitable to your capital.
WE ARE LOOKING FOR BUYING GOLDWe intend to execute a long position in gold, predicated on yesterday's bullish activity observed during the New York session. A support level has been identified near 3322, and the instrument is anticipated to find support at this level. The entry is justified by the confirmation of support on a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Consequently, a buy position will be initiated with a stop-loss set at 3318 and profit targets established at 3333, 3340, and 3350.
Gold shorts point to 3245
Gold market analysis: Short-term dominant pattern established, rebound high-altitude main tone
Market review and driving factors
Spot gold fell sharply, with a single-day drop of more than 2%, hitting a low of $3295/ounce (a new low since June 9), and finally closed at around $3322. The decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Geopolitical risks cool down: Iran and Israel reach a ceasefire agreement, and market risk aversion demand weakens;
Fed hawkish expectations strengthen: Powell reiterates cautious interest rate cut stance, and the strengthening of the US dollar suppresses gold prices.
Technical analysis: Short-term dominant, rebound under pressure
1. Daily level: Big Yin breaks, strong short momentum
K-line pattern: The daily line closes with a real big Yin line, confirming the short-term short trend, and the price falls below the shock low of the previous two weeks.
Key support: $3295 (yesterday's low) is the last line of defense for bulls. If it is lost, it may further explore the 3280-3270 area.
Resistance level:
3340-3347 USD (top and bottom conversion position + hourly moving average suppression);
3370 USD (yesterday's high point, strong resistance).
2. 4-hour level: oscillating down, limited rebound
Disk pattern: Yesterday showed an oscillating downward rhythm of "Asia session down → rebound → European session continued to fall → US session bottomed out and rebounded", which is in line with the technical correction expectations.
Moving average system: MA5/MA10 dead cross downward, 3340-3347 area constitutes short-term rebound suppression.
MACD indicator: Dead cross with large volume, but the fast and slow lines are close to the oversold area, so be alert to short-term rebound correction.
Trading strategy: rebound high and empty
Short order strategy (main idea):
Entry range: 3342-3347 USD;
Stop loss: 3355 USD (short order invalid if it breaks through);
Target: 3310→3295 (if it breaks through, look at 3280).
Logic: 3347 is the resistance level after the previous low is broken. Combined with the moving average pressure, the rebound to this point can be regarded as an ideal short-selling point.
Long order strategy (short-term rebound):
Prerequisite: If the Asian and European sessions first fall back to 3300-3295 without breaking, you can try long with a light position;
Stop loss: 3288 US dollars;
Target: 3320-3330 (quick in and out).
Key risk reminder
Upward risk: If Powell's speech unexpectedly turns dovish, or the geopolitical situation changes again, the gold price may break through 3355 and rebound to 3370.
Downward risk: If 3295 is lost, it will accelerate the decline to the 3280-3270 support area, and even test the 3250 mark.
Conclusion and operation suggestions
Overall tone: Under the pressure of the big negative line on the daily line, rebound shorting is still the main strategy, focusing on the pressure near 3347.
Asia-Europe session: If it rebounds above 3340 first, short orders can be arranged in batches; if it directly breaks below 3295, short orders can be followed.
US session: Pay attention to Powell's speech and US economic data, and be alert to the intensification of market volatility.
Gold Likely to Face Selling Pressure at $3338-$3345Gold has recovered some of its yesterday's losses in a $40 bounce back off the lows that reached immediate resistance $3338 during early European session and current price action is consolidating gains some $10 below resistance trading around $3330-$3326
Break below $3326 will extend drop further to $3318-$3314 which may act as primary support zone while break below this area will call for retracement lower to $3308-$3304 and even psychological zone $3300
As macro economic concerns remain in focus, local demand may resurface taking Gold higher from these areas towards $3318-$3338 while breaking through $3345 resistance will boost momentum further towards $3358-$3362
Note: Immediate resistance $3338 and 4 hourly 50 EMA $3345 will act as turning point for Gold's next move.
tXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key SupportXAU/USD Bullish Reversal from Key Suppor 📈🟢
📊 Chart Analysis:
Rounded Bottom Structure ⬆️
The price has formed a rounded bottom pattern, indicating potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Multiple bounces (🟠 circles) from the curved support trendline confirm the validity of this structure.
Support Zone Rejection ✅
Price recently rejected from a major horizontal support zone (around 3,303.796 USD) with a strong bullish wick.
This zone has acted as a springboard for prior upward moves.
Falling Wedge Breakout 💥
A falling wedge (bullish pattern) has formed and is breaking to the upside.
Breakout confirmation is underway, indicating momentum shift.
Target Projection 🎯
The projected move from the breakout suggests a potential target at 3,385.820 USD.
This aligns with previous resistance areas.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,385.820 USD (target) and 3,425–3,450 USD (major resistance zone)
Support: 3,303.796 USD (short-term), followed by 3,225–3,250 USD zone
🔔 Conclusion:
Price action suggests a bullish bias with a possible upward continuation if it sustains above the wedge breakout.
Confirmation above 3,330 USD with volume can fuel a rally toward the 3,385–3,400 USD target zone.
📌 Risk Management Tip: Watch for fakeouts near wedge resistance or a re-test of 3,303 USD for better entries.
Trading strategy for GOLDXAUUSD is at a good support level (3296.7 to 2219.80), which is a confluence of supporting trendline.
From this support zone breakdown, prices will be falling till the key reversal/breakout zone, i.e., $3279 to 3265.60
If price breaks this key level, it will find another support at $3223 as T1
On the contrary, price bouncing from the support zone will retest
$3430 to 3451 zone.
Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz?XAUUSD: Powell's "Soft Tone" Ignites Gold – Ready for a Fresh Rally Ahead of July FOMC Buzz?
🌍 Macro Landscape: Gold Reacts to Fed's Cues – Easing Rate Pressures?
The gold market (XAUUSD) is witnessing a resurgence of positive momentum, driven by recent "dovish-leaning" signals from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell during his congressional testimony. Powell's acknowledgment of lower-than-expected inflation from tariffs, coupled with hints of a potential earlier interest rate cut (possibly as early as July), is creating a fresh wave of market anticipation.
While Powell cautiously noted "no need to rush," market participants are interpreting his remarks as an indication that current monetary policy might be "somewhat restrictive." Should inflation continue its sustainable deceleration, the Fed would be poised to ease policy sooner. This directly impacts gold: as rate cut expectations rise, the opportunity cost of holding gold (a non-yielding asset) diminishes, making it significantly more appealing to investors.
🏦 Central Bank Policy: Fed's Evolving Stance & Market Re-calibration
Federal Reserve (Fed): Chair Powell's nuanced message suggests a more adaptable Fed, ready to align its policy with actual inflation data. His emphasis on the Fed's independence from political influence further solidifies confidence in data-driven decisions.
Market Re-calibration: While the broader market still leans towards a September rate cut, the probability of a July cut is subtly increasing, according to the CME FedWatch Tool (with 70.1% anticipating a cut to 4.00 - 4.25% by September). This re-pricing of policy risk is a crucial supportive factor, helping gold maintain stability around the $3,300–$3,320/oz mark, indicating smart money accumulation.
This evolving Fed perspective, even a slight shift, is powerful enough to influence capital flows and investor sentiment globally, setting the stage for significant gold movements.
🌐 Capital Flows: Gold & USD – The Shifting Safe-Haven Dynamics
Global capital flows are highly sensitive to interest rate expectations and perceived risks. Historically, both gold and the U.S. dollar serve as primary safe havens during periods of uncertainty.
If Powell's "dovish tilt" gains further traction and leads to earlier rate cuts, we could anticipate a notable rotation in capital:
Outflows from USD: Lower U.S. yields would diminish the attractiveness of the USD as a yielding asset.
Inflows into Gold: The reduced opportunity cost of holding gold, combined with its intrinsic store-of-value appeal, could trigger substantial capital flows into the precious metal, especially amidst persistent global geopolitical tensions.
The market's re-evaluation of Fed policy risk is already contributing to gold's resilience, suggesting that strategic positioning for an upside move might be underway.
📊 Technical Structure (H4/M30 Chart Analysis): Gold Breaking Bearish Bias, Targeting Higher Levels
Based on the provided XAUUSD chart (H4/M30 timeframe):
Channel Breakout: Gold has visibly broken out of a prior descending channel, signaling a clear weakening of selling pressure and a potential trend reversal. The price is currently consolidating and appears to be forming a new accumulation pattern or a smaller ascending channel.
Key Price Levels:
Potential Sell Zone (Resistance): Around 3,352.383 - 3,371.205. This zone aligns with significant Fibonacci retracement levels (0.5 and 0.618 from the last major swing down) and represents a strong historical resistance cluster. If the price attempts to breach this zone and fails, selling pressure could emerge.
Higher Resistance: 3,391.750 - 3,395.000. This is a formidable resistance area. A decisive break above this level would confirm a more robust long-term bullish trend.
Current Buy Zone (Support): Around 3,302.939 - 3,311.214. This is a critical demand zone, where strong buying interest is likely to surface, coinciding with recent swing lows.
Next Key Support: 3,286.257. Should the 3,302.939 - 3,311.214 zone be breached, this level would be the next significant support to watch.
Moving Averages (EMA 13-34-89-200):
The price is currently trading above the shorter-term EMAs (13 & 34), indicating positive short-term momentum.
The longer-term EMAs (89 & 200) are likely transitioning from resistance to dynamic support, or showing signs of convergence, suggesting a potential shift in market structure. A 'Golden Cross' formation among these EMAs would be a powerful bullish signal.
Projected Price Action: The chart depicts a scenario where the price might retrace slightly towards the 3,317.738 support or even deeper to 3,302.939 before embarking on a strong upward rally, targeting resistance zones like 3,352.383 and further to 3,371.205.
🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations (Based on Provided Zones):
BUY ZONE: 3286 - 3284
SL: 3280
TP: 3290 - 3294 - 3298 - 3302 - 3306 - 3310 - 3315 - 3320
BUY SCALP: 3302 - 3300
SL: 3295
TP: 3306 - 3310 - 3314 - 3318 - 3322 - 3326 - 3330
SELL ZONE: 3353 - 3355
SL: 3360
TP: 3350 - 3346 - 3340 - 3335 - 3330 - 3320
SELL ZONE: 3372 - 3374
SL: 3378
TP: 3370 - 3366 - 3362 - 3358 - 3354 - 3350
⚠️ Key Events to Watch:
Further Speeches by Fed Officials: Any new comments on inflation, economic data, or the rate path will heavily influence market dynamics.
Global Geopolitical Developments: Ongoing tensions or new uncertainties can always bolster gold's safe-haven appeal.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 25, 2025, at 03:52 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a sell position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,322.840, with a slight decline of -0.190 (-0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend with a potential resistance level near the current price.
Sell Entry: Enter a sell position at 3,323.400 (near the current price and entry level marked), as it aligns with a resistance zone where the price has struggled to break higher.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,357.864, above the recent high, to protect against an upward breakout. This level is approximately 34.464 points above the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit: 3,286.372, a target about 37.028 points below the entry, aligning with a support zone and offering a 1:1 risk-reward ratio as indicated on the chart.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a recent bounce that may be exhausting near the current level. The horizontal dashed line suggests a resistance area, supporting a sell setup.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (34.464 points) compared to the take profit (37.028 points) provides a balanced 1:1 risk-reward ratio, making this a reasonable short-term trade.
Conclusion
Enter a sell at 3,323.400, with a stop loss at 3,357.864 and a take profit at 3,286.372. Monitor the price action for confirmation of a continued downtrend, and be cautious of potential reversals if the price breaks above the stop loss level.
Gold avoid any sell trade market expecting fed rate cut How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Gold Day Trade Outlook – June 25, 2025Gold is currently trading around the 3326 zone after a breakout below the higher HVZ, which has now flipped into a strong rejection zone. This breakout trap confirms a bearish sentiment shift, especially as price re-enters the dead volume zone – a region characterized by low conviction and weak momentum. Price to bounce slightly within this chop zone, potentially faking strength, before resuming its move downward. The short-term outlook remains bearish as long as price stays below the 3345–3350 rejection shelf. Day traders should watch for rejection setups near 3330–3335 to enter short positions, targeting the lower HVZ around 3280. This zone is highlighted as the ideal day trade target given the market structure breakdown and volume voids above. U.S. economic events on the horizon (as marked by calendar icons) could provide the volatility needed for this move to complete. Until 3350 is reclaimed cleanly, selling the bounce remains the preferred strategy.
Gold tested 3300, what next ?Yesterday's breakdown below the 3345-50 area created a failed low scenario, and gold tested psychological 3300 level before finding some support.
Right now we're seeing a bit of correction higher from yesterday's lows, but this is still unconfirmed territory. For intraday 3330-33 resistance zone .
If gold manages to push through with decent momentum, the next major hurdle zone is up at 3360- 3385. but as long as we're staying under 3330 and especially under 3360, any upward movement as a pullback rather than a true reversal .
For a genuine reversal to take hold,we need good bullish candle follow up today and gold needs to break above 3360- 3385 convincingly without revisiting yesterday's lows. and have to re claim 3450, which would signal a more significant shift in sentiment.
XAUUSD – Technical Pullback, Bearish Trend Remains DominantGold posted a mild recovery of around 650 pips on June 25, closing near 3,329.57 USD, marking a short-term rebound after a sharp decline. However, both technical structure and macroeconomic outlook suggest that the bearish trend remains in control.
On the H4 timeframe, XAUUSD has broken below a multi-week ascending channel and is now trading beneath the previous support trendline, which has turned into resistance. The price gap around 3,360–3,376 USD remains partially unfilled, making it a potential magnet for a short-term technical pullback.
The current price structure is forming a “lower high – lower low” pattern, confirming sustained bearish momentum. If price fails to reclaim the FVG zone near 3,376.5 USD, a decline toward the support area at 3,308—and possibly down to 3,270—remains likely. Upcoming U.S. Core PCE and Q1 GDP data will be key in determining gold’s next directional move.
Gold Trading Strategy for 25th June 2025📈 GOLD Intraday Trade Setup (15-Min Chart – USD)
🟢 Buy Setup
Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-minute candle if it closes above $3344
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3356
🎯 Target 2: $3367
🎯 Target 3: $3378
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3334 (adjust per your risk management)
🔴 Sell Setup
Entry: Sell below the low of the 15-minute candle if it closes below $3295
Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $3283
🎯 Target 2: $3271
🎯 Target 3: $3258
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3305 (adjust per your risk management)
⚠️ Important Guidelines
⏱️ Timeframe: 15-Minute Candle
✅ Confirm candle close above/below the breakout levels before entry
📉 Use proper position sizing and maintain a minimum 1:2 Risk-Reward Ratio
🕐 Avoid trading during high-volatility news events
📢 Disclaimer
This trading setup is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Trading in commodities and derivatives involves significant risk.