Gold responds to Mid east crisis, clocks $3389 and retests $3352As war between Iran and Israel witnesses sudden entry of the US, escalation fears cause spike in Gold prices opening with a gap up reaching $3389 only to return to local demand zone $3352
Bulls will have to defend $3352-3348 in order to maintain uptrend while strong break is needed to clear through immediate hurdle $3368-$3372
If Gold finds enough buying support above $3368-$3372, next immediate resistance comes at $3378-$3384-$3388 followed by $3395
It is important to note that failing to hold above $3352-$3348 will expose lower areas $3328 below which next support is seen located at $3308
GOLDCFD trade ideas
Gold Gap Up But Range Remains IntactThe price is still facing resistance at that key 3385 level we talked about in our weekly analysis video. This 3385 level is our monthly pivot (marked with the red arrow), and it's crucial for the gold bulls to not just break above this level but also sustain above it. Only then can we expect to see some fresh buying momentum kick in.
On the downside, we've a solid support zone around 3350-3360 that's worth keeping an eye on.
We did see a gap-up opening this morning, which is due to the ongoing war situation creating some safe-haven demand for gold. However, from price action perspective, gold is still trading within its range, and we need to wait for breakout from this range .
Until this range breaks definitively one way or the other, . No point in forcing trades when the market is clearly telling us it's still deciding which direction to go.but above 3360 level bulls are still in control (on Daily close).
Gold Trading Strategy for 23rd June 2025📈 GOLD TRADING STRATEGY 💰
Based on 15-Minute Candle Breakout
🟢 Buy Setup:
✅ Buy Above: 15-min candle high close above $3383
🎯 Targets:
🔹 1st Target: $3394
🔹 2nd Target: $3407
🔹 3rd Target: $3419
📍 Confirmation: Wait for candle to close above $3383
🔴 Sell Setup:
❌ Sell Below: 15-min candle low close below $3354
🎯 Targets:
🔹 1st Target: $3342
🔹 2nd Target: $3330
🔹 3rd Target: $3318
📍 Confirmation: Wait for candle to close below $3354
👤 V. Ramakrishnan
🪐 Astro-Trading Analyst
🔍 Specialist in decoding individual horoscopes to identify trading potential and financial opportunities.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📌 This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk and may not be suitable for everyone. Always conduct your own research and use appropriate risk management. Past performance or astrological assessments do not guarantee future results.
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis For June - 23 - June 27 ~~ Fundamental Analysis ~~
Key Drivers
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating conflicts in the Middle East (e.g., Israel-Iran) continue to drive safe-haven demand for gold. However, recent U.S. delays in decisions regarding Iran conflict involvement have led to investor hesitation, contributing to the current narrow trading range.
Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed maintained interest rates at 4.25%–4.5% on June 12, 2025, with no immediate rate cuts signaled. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that tariffs could increase inflation, potentially capping gold’s upside in the short term. A hawkish Fed stance could pressure gold prices, while global policy easing could support bullish momentum.
U.S. Dollar Strength: A recovering U.S. dollar has exerted downward pressure on gold, as seen in recent pullbacks from highs above $3,450.
Economic Data: Upcoming U.S. labor market data (e.g., May data) and inflation reports (e.g., core PCE price index) could influence gold prices. Rising inflation expectations may drive XAU/USD toward higher prices.
China’s Economy: A weakening Chinese economy due to U.S.-China trade tensions could reduce gold demand, while a recovery could bolster prices.
Long-Term Outlook
Bullish Case: Continued global policy easing, escalating geopolitical conflicts, or a recovering Chinese economy could push gold toward $3,500 or higher in 2025, supported by safe-haven flows.
Bearish Case: Easing geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation, or a hawkish Fed could lead to declines toward $3,000
Refer Chart for your reference
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
xauusd chart analysis for trade 23/06/2025The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
🎁 Please hit the like button and
🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Gold Trading Strategy on Monday✅Gold trend on Friday showed a "roller coaster" fluctuation, fluctuating downward in the Asia-Europe session, and rebounded rapidly after a second dip to around 3340 in the US session. The daily line finally closed with a cross K-line with upper and lower shadows, indicating that the divergence between long and short positions has intensified.
✅In terms of news, the US military dropped six bunker-buster bombs on Iran's Fordow nuclear facility on Saturday. If the news is true, it means that the United States may formally intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict, and the situation in the Middle East may further escalate. Gold is expected to open higher on Monday next week due to risk aversion.
✅Technical analysis:
The oscillating trend for several consecutive days shows that the market is digesting the resonance of news and technical structure. The cross star pattern closed on Friday, reflecting the balance of power between long and short positions, but considering that the support below is still strong, if there is a fundamental catalyst in the future, it may usher in a directional breakthrough. The support below focuses on the 3350-3355 area, and the resistance above focuses on the 3385-3395 area.
✅From the hourly chart, gold formed a small double bottom structure near 3340, and the European session fell back to form a low point. The US session fell again but failed to break, and then rebounded and strengthened, forming a typical double bottom pattern. If the neckline of 3360 is effectively broken in the future market, the double bottom will be established, and the target can be seen in the 3380-3390 area.
✅The current 3360 line is the short-term long-short watershed. If the price holds the 3340-3342 support area during the retracement, it can be regarded as a short-term stabilization signal. If the Asian session rises strongly next Monday, you can choose to go long after the US and European sessions fall back.
🔴Upper resistance: 3385-3395
🟢Lower support: 3350-3355
✅Long order strategy:
🔰If the Asian session opens directly high and rises, you can wait for the US and European sessions to fall back to the 3355-3345 range to arrange long orders, with the stop loss below 3340 and the target at 3365-3385;
🔰If the price directly breaks through 3360 and stabilizes, you can aggressively chase longs, with the target above 3390.
✅Short order strategy:
🔰If gold approaches the 3385-3395 area and there is an obvious stagflation signal, you can short with a light position, with the target back to 3360-3355 and the stop loss above 3398.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 23, 2025
🌀 Current Wave Structure – H1 Timeframe
In previous plans, we were debating between two triangle patterns in green:
1. A leading diagonal triangle forming wave 1, or
2. A corrective triangle structure forming wave X (as labeled on the chart).
In last Friday’s plan, I also identified a five-wave triangle structure forming within wave c, with strong evidence of completion shown by a sharp bullish candle.
📰 News Supporting the Move
At this point, it seems war-related news is supporting an upcoming bullish trend, which also strengthens the case that a three-wave abc correction (black) has completed. We are now expecting a bullish leg this week.
🎯 Price Outlook
The current zone is a promising area for a BUY NOW setup. However, we should be cautious about the potential gap-up at the market open. If that occurs, we’ll observe whether the gap gets filled to reassess the buy zone.
If price rallies to the 3382 area and then pulls back, we will look for a swing BUY entry around 3357.
📈 Momentum & Larger Wave Outlook
D1 timeframe: Momentum is about to shift upward, indicating a potential strong and steep bullish trend this week. If confirmed, this supports the scenario that wave 2 (black) has ended and wave 3 is beginning.
However, if price moves in a slow and overlapping fashion, we must prepare for an alternative scenario: that the correction is not yet complete, and another leg down may occur to finalize the structure.
H4 timeframe: Momentum has already shifted to the upside, suggesting a high probability of a gap-up during the Asian session open.
H1 timeframe: Momentum is also about to reverse to the upside, allowing us to consider buying at current levels.
📝 Trade Plan – BUY Setup:
✅ Buy Zone: 3361 – 3379
❌ Stop Loss: 3351
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 3382
TP2: 3396
TP3: 3412
Analysis of Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart
Historical Trend: The chart displays the Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) price movement on a 15-minute timeframe from June 19 to June 22, 2025. The price was in a clear downtrend, defined by a descending trendline, until a recent shift.
Key Levels:
Resistance: The $3,395.724 level (green line) has emerged as a significant resistance following the breakout. A break above this could confirm further upside.
Support: The $3,350.743 level (red line) acted as a major support during the downtrend and was recently breached upward.
Recent Price Action: The price broke above the downtrend line (highlighted with a yellow circle and labeled "TREND LINE BREAKOUT" in red), indicating a potential reversal. This breakout occurred around 12:00 on June 21, followed by a sharp upward move into a consolidation zone (light green).
Projected Movement: The upward projection (blue arrow) suggests the price could target levels around $3,380.00-$3,400.00 if the breakout momentum continues. The consolidation above $3,350.743 supports the bullish outlook.
Volume and Indicators: The chart includes Bollinger Bands (O3,368.320 H3,369.500 L3,367.660 C3,368.750) with a -0.360 (-0.01%) change, indicating low volatility. The breakout suggests increasing buying interest, though specific volume data is not detailed.
Outlook: The trend line breakout signals a potential shift from bearish to bullish momentum. Maintaining above $3,350.743 is crucial for the uptrend to continue. A failure to hold this level could see the price retest the downtrend line or lower supports. Monitor for confirmation of sustained momentum above resistance.
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
Gold updated levels this week we again get good profit How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below :
Recent High or Low :
D-0% is our recent low or high
Profit booking zone: D13% -D15% is
range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed
SL reversal zone : SL 23% and SL 25% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade
Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and .
Are our Target zone
Sell Area for Short Position on XAU/USD Based on Trading AnalysiBased on the trading analysis chart published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 20, 2025, at 23:09 UTC+5:30, here’s a recommendation for a sell area to take a short position on XAU/USD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) as of 11:17 PM IST on June 20, 2025. The chart provides a 4-hour timeframe with key support and resistance levels, aligned with recent price action and technical patterns.
Context and Technical Analysis
Current Price: The chart shows XAU/USD with an open of $3,371.525, a high of $3,371.790, a low of $3,368.065, and a close of $3,369.115, reflecting a slight decline of -0.07% for the period. This suggests a consolidation phase near the current level of approximately $3,369–$3,371.
Resistance Zone: A significant resistance zone is identified between $3,425.000 and $3,457.047, marked by a red shaded area where price has previously faced rejection. This aligns with a potential triple top formation, indicating strong selling pressure at these levels.
Support Zones: Multiple support levels are outlined:
Support 1: $3,250.000–$3,275.000, a key area where price may find initial buying interest.
Support 2: $3,150.000–$3,169.121, a deeper support zone if the decline accelerates.
Support 3: $3,100.000, a psychological and technical level for a potential bottom.
Trend and Pattern: The chart features a descending triangle pattern, with a downward-sloping trendline connecting recent highs (e.g., around $3,425) and a horizontal support near $3,250–$3,275. A break below this support could confirm a bearish move.
Volume and Momentum: The chart includes volume bars and a momentum indicator (not fully detailed), but the price rejection at higher levels suggests fading bullish momentum, supporting a short opportunity.
Sell Area for Short Position
The optimal sell area for a short position on XAU/USD is in the $3,425–$3,457 resistance zone. This recommendation is based on:
Resistance Confirmation: The red shaded area on the chart indicates a strong resistance where XAU/USD has repeatedly failed to break through, forming a triple top. A retest of this zone (e.g., after a bounce from current levels) offers a high-probability entry for a short.
Trendline Rejection: The descending trendline intersecting near $3,425 suggests that a rejection here would reinforce bearish momentum.
Current Price Context: With XAU/USD currently at $3,369–$3,371, a move back toward $3,425–$3,457 (potentially driven by short-term profit-taking or a weaker dollar pause) would align with the chart’s resistance setup.
Trading Strategy
Entry Zone: Sell XAU/USD on a 4-hour candle close below $3,425 or after a clear rejection (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern) at $3,435–$3,457. This confirms resistance holding and initiates the downward move.
Target Levels:
Target 1: $3,250–$3,275 (first support zone, as marked on the chart).
Target 2: $3,150–$3,169 (secondary support for a deeper correction).
Target 3: $3,100 (final support if bearish momentum strengthens).
Stop Loss: Place above $3,460 (just above the resistance high) or $3,470 (tighter risk management) to protect against a breakout above the triangle.
Risk Management: Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For example, risking 15–25 pips ($3,435–$3,460 stop loss) to target 50–75 pips ($3,250–$3,275). Adjust lot size based on your risk tolerance (e.g., 1% of account per trade).
Confirmation: Wait for a 4-hour candle close below $3,425 or a rejection signal (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing) at $3,435–$3,457 to avoid false breakouts. Monitor volume for increased selling pressure.
Rationale
Powell’s Speech Impact: Following Jerome Powell’s June 18, 2025, speech, where he projected only two 0.25% rate cuts for 2025 with a data-dependent stance, the U.S. dollar may remain supported, pressuring gold downward from resistance levels like $3,425–$3,457.
Technical Setup: The descending triangle and triple top at $3,425–$3,457 indicate a high likelihood of a reversal, with support targets at $3,250–$3,275 aligning with the chart’s levels.
Market Context: The slight decline to $3,369 and consolidation suggest a pause before a potential retest of resistance, offering a strategic short entry.
Risks and Considerations
Breakout Risk: A strong bullish candle above $3,457 could invalidate the short setup, potentially targeting higher levels. Tight stop losses are critical.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing Middle East tensions could drive safe-haven buying, pushing XAU/USD above resistance. Monitor news for sudden spikes.
Data Events: Upcoming U.S. economic data (e.g., retail sales) could influence dollar strength and gold prices, requiring real-time adjustments.
Conclusion
The recommended sell area for a short position on XAU/USD on June 20, 2025, is $3,425–$3,457, with a 4-hour candle close below $3,425 or rejection at $3,435–$3,457 as confirmation. Target $3,250–$3,275, $3,150–$3,169, and $3,100, with a stop loss above $3,460. This strategy leverages the chart’s resistance zone and Powell’s cautious rate cut outlook. Practice proper risk management due to gold’s volatility.
If you’d like a chart to visualize these levels further or additional analysis, let me know!
XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure.
Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias.
Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection:
First target: 3,435 – 3,452
Final target zone: 3,500+
Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum.
Conclusion:
Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction.
This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective.
➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones:
3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297
Among these, we’re giving special attention to:
🎯 Target 1: 3335
🎯 Target 2: 3297
We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend.
H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone.
H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold.
✅ Trade Setup
🔹 Scenario 1
BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333
SL: 3326
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402
🔹 Scenario 2
BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297
SL: 3290
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402
⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
XAUUSD – Gold Wobbles, Breakdown Risk IntensifiesGold is currently testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel after pulling back from the 3,398 USD resistance zone. The recent breakdown from a triangle pattern signals growing bearish pressure.
If the price fails to reclaim the 3,397 USD area, a continued move down toward 3,307 USD becomes likely — a level that coincides with key technical support. The latest FOMC minutes reaffirmed a “hawkish” stance, boosting the USD and adding downside pressure on gold.
The bearish outlook will strengthen if gold fails to hold the current support zone.
Gold price returns to 3363 price zone, gold selling pointPlan XAU day: 20 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) is seen consolidating its intraday losses to over a one-week low and is trading just below the $3,350 level during the first half of the European session. Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) trimmed its outlook for rate cuts in 2026 and 2027, which is seen as a tailwind for the US Dollar (USD) and is weighing on demand for the non-yielding yellow metal.
In addition, a generally positive tone in European equity markets is another factor putting pressure on Gold prices. However, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may cap market optimism amid ongoing trade-related uncertainties and help limit losses for the safe-haven XAU/USD, which remains on track for weekly losses
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price in sell zone, trend line 3362
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3362 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
.
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
XAUUSD – Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?XAUUSD – Goldman Sachs Issues a Storm Warning: Will Gold Break Free from the Downtrend?
As gold continues to trade in a narrow range for the sixth week, one major catalyst could be on the horizon — Goldman Sachs has issued a bold warning about the US debt crisis. Indian traders, this may be the signal we’ve been waiting for…
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US DEBT SET TO BREAK WWII RECORDS
US public debt is approaching historic highs, with interest payments projected to exceed $1 trillion in 2025 — surpassing even defense and healthcare spending.
Goldman warns that if urgent action isn’t taken, the US may face aggressive fiscal tightening, which could shrink GDP without lowering the debt-to-GDP ratio.
Root causes: overspending, rising interest rates, and deep political division.
📌 For Indian investors, such instability in the US economy tends to weaken the USD and increase demand for gold, which has always been a trusted asset in Indian households and institutional portfolios alike.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (Updated – M30/H1)
Gold remains within a strong descending channel, and price action is currently showing signs of a bearish continuation setup.
The zone at 3,338.422 is acting as a mid-pivot. A pullback to the upper trendline (around 3,368.048) is expected before the next leg lower.
EMA ribbons are stacked downward, confirming short-term bearish momentum.
If the bounce toward 3,368 fails to break out, we expect price to revisit the FVG zone near 3,325.783, and possibly extend toward 3,309.256.
✅ TRADING PLAN (Unchanged Zones)
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3310 – 3308
SL: 3303
TP: 3314 → 3318 → 3322 → 3326 → 3330 → 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🟢 BUY SCALP: 3325 – 3323
SL: 3318
TP: 3330 → 3334 → 3338 → 3342 → 3346 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3418 – 3420
SL: 3424
TP: 3414 → 3410 → 3405 → 3400 → 3396 → 3390 → 3385 → 3380
🔻 SELL SCALP: 3396 – 3398
SL: 3403
TP: 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3375 → 3370
💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS
As we close the trading week, market liquidity may spike suddenly after Thursday’s US bank holiday. This could trigger a decisive move — either a breakout or a trap.
✅ Stick to your SL/TP, avoid emotional trading, and let the market confirm the direction.
Gold remains structurally bearish, but any shift in global sentiment — especially driven by US debt concerns — could flip the script fast.
Watch. Plan. Execute. Let the market come to you.
Gold Day Trade analysis - 20-6-2025Gold has decisively broken below the HVZ , confirming a structural shift in momentum. The bias is confidently bearish as the price now trades under key value, rejecting any bullish reclaim attempts. A temporary support exists near 3350, but it lacks strength unless backed by volume and momentum reversal.
Unless gold reclaims the HVZ range, the current structure favors continued downside. The day trade target is set at 3322, which aligns with the next demand zone from prior price action. Any pullbacks toward 3360–3365 can be seen as opportunities to build shorts with invalidation above 3370. As of now, all signs point to further weakness ahead.
Gold Trading Strategy for 20th June 2025📊 GOLD (XAUUSD) TRADING STRATEGY – INTRADAY LEVELS
Smart Plan Based on 1-Hour Candle Close
🟢 BUY SETUP
🔼 Buy Above: 1-Hour candle closes above $3388
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3400
✅ Target 2: $3413
✅ Target 3: $3426
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Below $3375 (Risk Management Advised)
🔴 SELL SETUP
🔽 Sell Below: 1-Hour candle closes below $3360
🎯 Targets:
✅ Target 1: $3348
✅ Target 2: $3335
✅ Target 3: $3321
🛡️ Stop-Loss: Above $3372 (Risk Management Advised)
📌 Strategy Tips:
📅 Wait for a full 1-hour candle close above or below the breakout level.
⚖️ Stick to position sizing based on your capital.
📰 Avoid trading during high-impact news like Fed announcements or NFP.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
📢 This setup is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis or consult your financial advisor. Trading involves risk. 📉💼 Use strict capital and risk management. 💰
XAUUSD Potential long setup before big drop ?Gold is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a prolonged pullback within the Keltner Channel. Price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the 1H channel, indicating possible accumulation. The Heikin Ashi candles are flattening, and momentum appears to be stabilizing.
📍 Entry Zone: Near 3,369
🎯 TP1: 3,391 – aligned with mid-Keltner resistance and recent structure
🎯 TP2: 3,415 – upper Keltner band, offering a strong confluence zone
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below 3,357 – under recent support and Keltner lower band
Gold until 3400 not break them sell on rise will continue How to take trades using Harmonic pattern projection Trade setup is explained below :-
Entry : 1st SL point : 0% is recent top or bottom.
Trailing D: 15.1% is work as trailing SL of buy or sell trade if hit then we have to book profit
.If price goes below 2nd D 22.5% to 24.5% range then early traders can make fresh reversals trade after breaking 1st D 15.1% safe traders can reversal trade after breaking Point D 22.5.4% to 24.5% range
Targets :
Target T1 : 36.1% to 38.3%
Target T3 : 49.1% to 52.5%
T3: 60.9% to 64.8% is our 3rd Target since this is reversal zone so must book profit if break then take fresh trade again
Target T4 : 76.4% to 79.7%
Next Targets are 100% , 127.2% ,141.4% and final Target 161.8%.
How to take reversal trade :
If price going upside/ downside then then buy or sell levels appear on Chart ( Automatically show when price reach any reversal zone of harmonic projection ).
Trailing SL:
After reach 1st Target trail SL to just above or below cost ( for example we are holding sell trade from 100 1st Target 110 hit then move trailing sl to 104-105 and move SL as price move upside or Downside)
Re- Entry :
For Re-entry in any pull back Point D ( 15.1% ) is used for re-entry then SL recent high or low Point SL ( 0% ) .
Blue Line is 1st support/ Resistance
Green line is 2nd support/ resistance
Red line is 3rd Support/ resistance
short term downtrend! sell gold 3379Plan XAU day: 19 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices show minimal gains as the Asian session begins, following the Fed’s decision to maintain rates while indicating they are still considering two rate cuts. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump’s comments on Iran triggered a pullback toward a weekly low of $3,362 before settling at around current levels. XAU/USD is trading at $3,375, up 0.19%.
On Wednesday, the Fed kept rates unchanged as expected and updated its economic projections for the United States (US). The median forecasts suggest that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be lower than in March’s projections, while the unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly. Inflation is likely to end around the 3% level, and the Federal Funds Rate forecast indicates policymakers are anticipating 50 basis points of easing
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price confirms downtrend in Asian session, price zone 3379 following downtrend line
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3379 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market