XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe...XAU/USD (Gold) chart on the 3-hour timeframe, I can see my using the Ichimoku Cloud and have marked a range with a potential breakdown area and a target point already indicated on the chart.
Here’s what the chart suggests:
Current price: around 4031 USD
Range low (support): around 4030 USD (which is currently being tested)
Range high (resistance): around 4190–4200 USD
Breakdown target (measured move): around 3940–3950 USD
📉 Analysis:
Price has broken below the range box, indicating a bearish breakout.
The Ichimoku Cloud ahead is bearish and thick, showing potential resistance.
A measured move from the height of the range (≈ 150–170 points) projects downward to around 3940–3950 USD.
My chart already marks 3944.299 as the target point, which aligns well with this projection.
✅ Target Summary
Type Level (USD) Comment
Short-term target 3,944 Measured move target after range breakdown
Extended target 3,900–3,880 Possible continuation if bearish momentum sustains
Invalidated above 4,090–4,100 If price re-enters the range and closes above the cloud
Trade ideas
Sell Projection for XAUUSD (Gold/USD) dated 28.10.25Market Structure
Price Action: The chart shows a sideways channel breakout followed by a strong bearish engulfing candle.
This indicates a shift from consolidation to bearish momentum.
📈 Entry Setup
Entry Zone: Around the retest area near 3,984 (highlighted in blue).
Price is expected to pull back to this zone before continuing downward.
The “ENTRY FOR SELLERS & RETEST ZONE” is marked clearly in the chart.
🛑 Stop Loss
Stop Loss Level: ~ 4,008.551
Positioned above day resistance, giving enough buffer to avoid fake breakouts.
🟢 Target
Target Price: ~ 3,950.397
This level aligns with monthly support, giving a clean RR (Risk-to-Reward) structure.
⚡ Additional Notes
Day Resistance: 3,984.320
Monthly Support: 3,950.397
Breaked the sideways channel: This is the key trigger zone that shows bearish pressure building.
If price rejects the retest zone strongly, it can accelerate toward the target quickly.
📊 Summary of the Trade Idea
Setup Element Details
Pair XAUUSD / Gold
Direction Sell
Entry Zone 3984
Stop Loss 4008.551
Target 3950.397
Structure Sideways Breakout → Retest → Sell
Confirmation Candle Bearish Engulfing
✅ Trading Tip: Wait for clear rejection or bearish confirmation at the entry zone (e.g., wick rejection or engulfing candle) before executing the sell.
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30-Year Downtrend Tested — Can Gold Break the Chain?🥇 #GOLD/#NIFTY Ratio (Yearly Chart)
📊 What Is the GOLD/NIFTY Ratio?
This ratio tracks how Gold performs vs. Indian equities (NIFTY) over time.
📈 Ratio ⬆️ → Gold outperforming NIFTY
📉 Ratio ⬇️ → NIFTY outperforming Gold
📍 Current Market Setup:
Trading inside a long-term falling channel (35 years) - consistent lower highs & lower lows
Recently made a strong rebound from the lower boundary, but the LH–LL structure remains valid
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term downtrend (favoring equities)
⚠️ Short-Term: Momentum turning positive — possible medium-term Gold strength
💡 Still below major resistance , so reversal not yet confirmed
🧭 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Continued bounce → Gold may outperform for a while
❌ Rejection from channel top → NIFTY likely resumes dominance
⏳ Neutral for now → Watch for breakout or rejection from top of the falling channel
🏁 Macro Takeaway:
The GOLD/NIFTY ratio sits at a critical long-term zone .
A breakout could mark a major rotation from equities to Gold, while rejection keeps the equity uptrend intact .
Smart investors can use this ratio to balance equity vs. Gold exposure over long cycles. ⚖️
#GoldVsEquity | #NiftyVsGold | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
Gold Trading Strategy for 31st October 2025📈 TVC:GOLD TRADING PLAN (31 OCT 2025)
💰 BUY SETUP:
➡️ Enter GETTEX:BUY above the high of the 1-hour candle — only after candle closes above $4063
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ $4073
2️⃣ $4083
3️⃣ $4095
🛡️ Stop Loss: Low of the breakout candle or as per your risk appetite
📊 Confirm with strong bullish momentum (RSI rising / volume spike) before entry.
📉 SELL SETUP:
➡️ Enter $Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle — only after candle closes below $3993
🎯 Target Levels:
1️⃣ $3983
2️⃣ $3973
3️⃣ $3963
🛡️ Stop Loss: High of the breakdown candle or as per your risk appetite
📊 Wait for bearish confirmation (strong red candle / volume support) before selling.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in TVC:GOLD or any other financial instrument involves market risk. Always perform your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before taking any trade. The author is not responsible for any profits or losses.
GOLD RETESTING SUPPLY BEFORE NEXT LEG DOWN🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN – GOLD (XAU/USD)
Date: Oct 28, 2025
Main timeframe: M30 – H1
Strategy: SMC + Market Structure + Supply Zone
1. MARKET CONTEXT
Gold continues its bearish momentum after multiple CHoCH and BOS confirmations on lower timeframes.
Price is currently trading around 3935, after rejecting from several supply zones (4045–4047, 4011–4013, and 3975–3977).
Higher timeframe structure (H1–H4) remains bearish, with resistance forming between 4010–4050 and potential liquidity resting below 3928.
2. INTRADAY BIAS
Bias: Bearish
Expectation: Short retracement into supply → continuation down to support zone.
3. TRADING SETUP
Sell Zone #1: 3975 – 3977
Sell Confirmation: Price forms bearish CHoCH on M15–M30 near supply zone.
Entry: 3976
Stop Loss: 3982 (6 USD range)
Take Profit 1: 3940
Take Profit 2: 3928
R:R ≈ 1:4 — targeting liquidity below the previous swing low.
Avoid buying until clear BOS above 4013 is confirmed.
4. NOTES
If price closes above 4013, invalidates short bias and shifts to neutral — wait for fresh structure before entering again.
Monitor volume + reaction near Support Zone (3928–3940) for potential profit-taking.
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th October 2025 (IST)🪙 TVC:GOLD Intraday Trading Plan
📈 Buy Setup:
🔹 Entry: Above the high of 15-min candle (Close > $3990)
🎯 Targets: $4000, $4015, $4030
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3975 (or below candle low for confirmation)
📉 Sell Setup:
🔹 Entry: Below the low of 15-min candle (Close < $3915)
🎯 Targets: $3903, $3889, $3870
🛑 Stop Loss: Above $3930 (or above candle high for confirmation)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading in gold or any commodity involves substantial risk. This plan is for educational and informational purposes only — not financial advice. Always assess your own risk before entering any position. 📊
XAU/USD – Gold Eyes 4,100$ as Safe-Haven Demand Holds Firm🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to attract buyers for the second consecutive day, as renewed safe-haven demand supports a modest recovery from last week’s lows near 3,890$.
While the Fed’s hawkish stance keeps the Dollar firm, concerns over a prolonged US government shutdown and weaker macro sentiment have limited further USD gains — allowing gold to stabilize above the 3,970–3,990$ zone.
Still, with mixed fundamentals in play, traders remain cautious ahead of next week’s US data releases and policy speeches.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4)
Gold has successfully broken its short-term downtrend, reclaiming momentum from the 3,933–3,973$ liquidity zone.
Price is now consolidating below the psychological 4,000$ handle, forming a clean breakout–retest structure.
Key Levels:
• Immediate Support: 3,973$ – 3,933$ (Breakout & Retest Zone)
• Resistance 1: 4,035$ – 4,050$
• Resistance 2 / Target: 4,114$ – 4,127$ (Fibo 1.618 extension)
• Extended Bull Target: 4,148$+ if momentum sustains
Invalidation: A breakdown below 3,930$ would invalidate the bullish scenario and re-open short-term downside liquidity toward 3,890$.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold holds the breakout above 3,970$, the bias remains bullish —
buyers may continue driving price toward 4,100$+, aligned with fib extensions and prior supply structure.
However, any hawkish narrative from Fed speakers could trigger intraday pullbacks before continuation.
⚜️ MMFLOW Insight:
“Smart money never rushes the breakout — it builds conviction where liquidity confirms direction.”
XAUUSD/GOLD 1H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 28.10.251H Sell Limit Projection Chart for XAU/USD (Gold):
📝 Chart Summary (28.10.25)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Setup Type: Sell Limit Projection
Market Structure: Bearish
📈 Key Levels:
Sell Limit Zone (Entry Area): Around $3,958 (Resistance R1)
Stop Loss: Around $3,982 (Top of FVG + Trendline)
Target 1 (TP1): Support S1 – around $3,920
Target 2 (TP2): Support S2 – around $3,883
📉 Technical Confluences:
🔹 1H Downtrend Line acting as dynamic resistance
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with entry zone
🔹 Fibonacci retracement zone overlap
🔹 Resistance R1 matches previous supply zone
🧭 Trading Plan Idea:
Wait for price to retrace back to $3,958 zone.
Place Sell Limit order in the zone.
Stop loss: Above $3,982 zone to protect from fakeouts.
Take Profit: First target at $3,920 (partial booking), second target at $3,883 (runner).
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Watch for liquidity grabs above R1 before rejection.
Avoid market entry — wait for price confirmation near the zone.
Adjust SL if price structure shifts on lower timeframes.
GOLD (XAU/USD) — Calm Before the FOMC Storm Gold is currently consolidating above $3,950, signaling a pause in volatility as traders await the FOMC decision for the next directional move.
1️⃣ Macro Outlook & Core Bias – FOMC in Focus 🔑
Market Pause: After rebounding during the Asian session, Gold’s upside momentum remains limited. Market participants are cautious ahead of the Fed’s policy update.
Headwinds: Renewed optimism on US–China trade and a slightly stronger USD are capping Gold’s advances.
Game Plan: Stay tactical — identify scalp zones and prepare for a major breakout once the FOMC event unfolds.
2️⃣ Technical Setup – Descending Channel in Play 📉
Structure: Price action is holding above $3,950, but movement remains confined within a descending channel/flag.
Bias: Short-term demand persists, yet the broader structure still favors bears.
Preferred Setup: Watch for BUY scalps from lower demand zones toward the Fibo/channel resistance area.
3️⃣ Trading Plan – Precision & Patience 💰
🟩 BUY Scenario (Long Scalp)
Buy Zone: $3,939.468
Strategy: Look for long scalps targeting the Fibo 0.5 resistance.
Stop-Loss: Tight SL just below the $3,939 level.
🟥 SELL Scenario (Short Setup)
Scalp Sell Zone: $4,015.646 (Fibo 0.5)
→ Short scalps targeting a retest of the channel midline.
Main Sell Zone: $4,046.448 (Fibo 0.618 / Channel Ceiling)
→ Ideal entry for a continuation short, aligning with the overall bearish channel.
4️⃣ Trader’s Take 🚀
The FOMC decision will set the tone —
Are you eyeing a bounce from $3,939, or waiting for the $4,046 rejection to ride the next wave down?
Gold Breaks Trendline: 4000 Back in FocusYesterday's trading session brought further downside pressure as gold pushed lower to test the 3880 zone, which is just above the monthly open. We have seen a decent recovery bounce from there, suggesting some buying interest is emerging at these lower levels. However, it's important to maintain perspective here while we're seeing short-term stabilization, the reversal signs on higher timeframes haven't materialized yet. We need to see more convincing price action and stronger closes on the larger timeframes before we can confidently call this as reversal to bullish case.
Also today we have extremely narrow CPR positioned at 3954. When we see such tight CPR levels, it often signals either an impending trend reversal or the potential for a high volatility session ahead. The early Asian session has already given us something to work with price is attempting to reclaim this CPR zone, which is a constructive development. Adding to the bullish case, we've also seen a breakout from the descending trendline structure that had been capping rallies over the past few sessions.
From a tactical perspective, the immediate support zone to monitor is 3900-3910.... If buyers can defend and sustain price action above this level, we could see gold make an attempt toward the first meaningful hurdle at 4000-4010. This target zone is particularly significant as it aligns with today's R1 pivot and the prior week's low, creating a confluence resistance area. A daily close above 4000-4010 would be an encouraging sign that momentum is genuinely shifting back in favor of the bulls and could open the door for further upside.
As for my positioning, I'm maintaining my existing buy positions and continuing to manage them as the price action develops. The risk-reward from these levels still appears favorable given the technical setup unfolding.
Gold Gathers Momentum Ahead of Fed's Move as Bulls Aim $4070Gold is in a bullish consolidation as prices made sharp upward bounce back off the lows of 3915 and reached a tad higher at 3982 which again faces intermediate resistance.
This may be an attempt to reset institutional order flows for some recovery towards 4050-4100-4150 before any major breakthrough in the directional move or a correctional A-B-C before the next impulse.
Intraday perspective shows buying dips around 3945-3935 as long as swing low of 3915 is intact, with potential upside move in the pipeline.
XAUUSDGold has been going down from the beginning of the week. There is possibility of retracement to the up side and take out Buy side liquidity.
Price slows down as it moves down.
Daily is closing bullish. Giving us Inside bar.
We can expect a sell side liquidity sweep and then reverse to target buy side liquidity.
Expect a pull back as price opens on Friday 31 Oct. then reverse to go up.
🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION🇺🇸 IMPACT OF FED AFTER FOMC DECISION
Hello traders,
The latest Federal Reserve rate decision shook global markets — pushing Gold (XAUUSD) and Bitcoin lower while the US Dollar strengthened sharply.
The Fed cut interest rates for the second time this year, bringing them down to 3.75%–4%, but the announcement to end Quantitative Tightening (QT) by 1st Dec 2025 was the real game changer.
This is the moment to stay calm, read the market structure, and act according to your plan.
📰 MACRO ANALYSIS – THE FED’S DOUBLE IMPACT
Rate Cut (Normally Bullish for Gold):
The second rate cut should, in theory, support Gold prices. However, much of this was already priced in before the announcement.
QT Ending (USD Strength Booster):
Ending QT signals that the Fed is trying to rebalance its monetary stance. This boosted the US Dollar Index (DXY), putting heavy selling pressure on both Gold and BTC.
Market Reaction:
Gold saw a sharp drop right after the announcement, then moved sideways in a wide range. During today’s Asian session, Gold fluctuated nearly $70 before retracing slightly.
📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – WIDE RANGE, BUILDING BULLISH STRUCTURE
Looking at the current XAUUSD market structure:
Structure: Gold is currently consolidating in a wide range. However, a bullish structure seems to be forming with higher lows — a sustainable Dow-style uptrend pattern.
Trading Plan: Stay flexible and trade both sides —
🔴 Sell (Short) near liquidity resistance zones.
🟢 Buy (Long) from deep liquidity supports.
🎯 TRADING ACTION PLAN
🔴 SELL CONTINUATION – Short from Resistance
Entry Zone: 4005
Stop Loss: 4013
Targets:
TP1: 3990
TP2: 3975
TP3: 3960
TP4: 3943
🟢 BUY RECOVERY – Long from Support
Entry Zone: 3907–3909
Stop Loss: 3902
Targets:
TP1: 3933
TP2: 3954
TP3: 3970
TP4: 3999
⚖️ FINAL THOUGHTS
The Fed’s decision has reshaped the short-term outlook.
A $70 volatility range shows Gold’s high liquidity — but also high risk.
📌 LiamTrading’s Note:
A strong bullish structure is building up on the lower timeframes. Patience is key — wait for the ideal Buy zone near 3907 to catch the next recovery leg.
Always maintain strict risk and capital management, especially during post-FOMC volatility.
Are you ready to ride this 70-dollar range?
👉 Tap LIKE 👍 and COMMENT your setup!
Gold at Key Support — Will XAUUSD Bounce From 3900 - 3895?Gold is testing a crucial demand zone at 3900–3895, where buyers have previously stepped in.
If this level continues to hold, we could see a bullish intraday rebound play out.
📊 Trade Setup
Buy Zone: 3900 – 3895
Stop Loss: 3878
Target 1: 3924
Target 2: 3936
💡 Technical Outlook
Price action is hinting at renewed buying pressure around 3900, with candles showing wicks and slowing momentum on the downside.
This could indicate that bulls are defending this key zone, setting up for a short-term bounce toward the 3920–3935 area.
Watch for:
A bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick near 3895
Increasing volume confirmation on smaller timeframes (M15–H1)
🧭 Bias
✅ Expecting a bullish bounce from the 3900–3895 zone
❌ Invalidated if price closes below 3878
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is for educational purposes only — not financial advice. Always manage your risk and use proper position sizing.
Gold Extends Decline Below $4,000 as Risk Appetite Returns🔍 Market Context
Gold continues to weaken as renewed optimism over US–China trade relations reduces safe-haven demand.
Despite the Fed’s dovish tone after the latest FOMC meeting, the Dollar remains relatively capped, offering limited support to bullion.
However, the technical landscape remains bearish — the decisive break below the $4,000 handle signals a continuation of the downside structure that’s been unfolding since early in the week.
📊 Technical Analysis
• Structure: Clear downtrend across H1–H4, with consistent lower highs and controlled liquidity sweeps.
• Key Resistance: 3,985 – 4,000 (former support now turned supply).
• Short-Term Targets:
– 3,925 – 3,930 → initial liquidity pocket.
– 3,880 – 3,860 → extended bearish target aligned with Fibo 1.618 extension.
• Invalidation: Only a confirmed break & hold above 4,020 – 4,030 would shift bias neutral-to-bullish.
🎯 Trading Outlook
If gold retests the 3,985–4,000 zone and fails to reclaim it, sellers are likely to extend control toward 3,920 or lower ahead of the FOMC-driven volatility.
Momentum remains bearish as long as the market trades below the 4,000 pivot — liquidity below 3,900 may attract smart money before any meaningful rebound.
⚜️ Summary
This decline isn’t random — it’s a structural reset.
The market is rebalancing after months of overextended bullish sentiment.
Watch how price reacts between 3,920–3,880 — this zone could define the next shift in gold’s short-term direction.
📊 MMFLOW TRADING Insight:
“Smart money doesn’t chase candles — it waits for liquidity to shift.”
Gold Struggles at 4000: Managing Longs in Corrective PhaseYesterday's session brought some disappointment for the bulls as gold tested the psychological 4000 level but failed to sustain above it on the larger timeframes. After reaching a high around 4028, we saw sellers step in with conviction, leading to a breakdown of the ascending trendline that had been supporting the recent recovery attempt. The rejection at these levels was swift, and now we're trading back at lower levels, which puts the immediate bullish case on hold for the time being.
For today's trading session, the CPR range positioned between 3943-3968 represents the intraday battleground. This zone is now acting as resistance, and bulls will need to prove themselves here if they want to regain any meaningful momentum. To shift the current selling sequence and get back into control, price needs to reclaim the broken trendline support and more importantly, break above yesterday's high at 4028. Until that happens, the path remains to the downside, and we need to respect what the market is telling us for current short term structure.
On the support side, the 3880-3900 zone that we have to watch and losing control here could open the door for more corrections toward lower levels and can make attempt towards 3850 (50% Fib Level).
From a fundamental perspective, we're also dealing with some interesting cross-currents. The China-US trade deal developments are currently providing some headwinds for gold, giving short-term sellers additional reasons to press their advantage. However, zooming out to the bigger picture, yesterday's Federal Reserve decision to cut rates by another 25 basis points and signal the end of Quantitative Tightening is structurally bullish for gold over the medium to long term. This transition to monetary easing typically creates a favorable environment for precious metals.
As for my positioning, I'm continuing to manage my existing long positions. My broader view remains to buy the dip because the longer-term structure still favors the bulls. These short-term corrections, while uncomfortable, are part of the journey in trending markets. The key is staying patient and not getting shaken out by near-term volatility when the fundamental and structural backdrop remains supportive.
GOLD - ENTERS COREECTION PHASESymbol - XAUUSD
Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase following approximately six weeks of aggressive upward movement. Price action is forming a consolidation range while continuing to pressure the support zone.
The recent record breaking rally became overheated, prompting profit-taking and long liquidation. Additionally, a gradual shift in market sentiment and macroeconomic backdrop is contributing to capital outflows. However, ongoing US–China trade negotiations, the US government shutdown, and heightened geopolitical uncertainty, including the cancellation of Trump’s meeting with President Putin, continue to pose economic risks that could provide underlying support for the precious metal.
Overall, the current pullback appears to be a healthy corrective pause within the broader structure. The 4000 level remains a critical support area. A sustained recovery above 4110 would indicate that buyers are interested, though further momentum largely depends on developments surrounding global trade policies.
Resistance levels: 4100, 4110, 4163
Support levels: 4058, 4000
A decisive breakdown of the lower boundary of the trading range could trigger a deeper corrective wave. The 4000 level is the primary focus, as strong volatility may occur around this zone. Given the current market conditions - with declines matching the previous intensity of the rally, patience is warranted until momentum stabilizes, enabling more informed technical decisions.
XAU/USD Completing Wave Y: Final Dip Before RallyGold has completed its major 5-wave rise and is now finishing a corrective W-X-Y pattern. The recent drop looks like the final leg of this correction, meaning sellers are getting weaker. Price may show a small bounce up and then one last dip to complete the correction. After that final drop, a strong new uptrend is expected to start again. In short: correction ending soon, last dip big bullish move ahead.
Is GOLD headed to ~2500 as part of correction ?Gold had a good run up from ~1600 levels to ~3500 level.
It seems to have completed Wave3 and has ended week with Shooting start candle.
Invalidation :
This view of correction is invalidated if Gold closes above 3500 as part of weekly close.
The correction time period may be around 6~8 months.,
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | October 28✅ From the daily chart of spot gold, the price is approaching the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level near 3897, combined with the 3900 psychological level, forming a strong short-term support zone where intense buying and selling pressure is expected. However, it is important to note that gold has already broken below the head-and-shoulders neckline, confirming a structural shift into a bearish trend.
The measured move target lies near 3750, which overlaps with the 50% Fibonacci retracement around 3800, marking the potential target zone for the next phase of downside.
Overall, daily-timeframe bearish momentum remains dominant, and downside risk has not yet been fully released.
✅ From the Asian session through the European session, the market has remained in a unidirectional bearish move, with no meaningful rebound, showing clear bearish pressure.
Earlier in the European session, the price broke below the 1-hour consolidation rectangle, and the former key support at 3945 has now turned into resistance.
Gold is currently trading around 3900, still within a downward trend channel.
✅ In such a one-way drop with no pullback, where the 1-hour timeframe shows no rebound opportunity, trading should shift to the 5-minute / 15-minute short-term timeframes, using the Bollinger Bands middle line to follow the downtrend.
If the price breaks above the middle band on short timeframes, stop loss should be triggered immediately.
The ultimate target remains 3800, and long positions should be avoided against this extreme momentum.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 3930–3945
🟢 Support Levels: 3800–3805
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 3930–3945 and shows rejection, consider scaling into short positions, targeting 3850–3800.
🔰 If gold drops to 3800–3805 and stabilizes, consider light-lot long positions, targeting 3855–3880.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.






















