WILL GOLD CONTINUE TO DROP?1. Market Context Yesterday, gold was almost in accumulation throughout the Asian–European session and only broke out strongly in the latter half of the US session.
After breaking out of the accumulation zone, the price dropped sharply around 4006 – a crucial key level – and surged strongly from there.
However, statements from FED members remain hawkish, affirming the stance of keeping interest rates high for longer and not considering rate cuts yet.
This creates
-Downward pressure on gold
-Cash flow leaning towards USD
------>>Market sentiment prioritises SELL on price recovery
➡️ Conclusion: Today, the main scenario remains SELL following the trend, BUY is only a secondary strategy & short scalp when reaching strong support.
🎯2. Today's Trading Scenario
(SL: 10 points TP 10 points. RR ratio:1-2/1:3/1:5)
🔻 Main SELL (priority)
SELL Zones:
4050 – 4055
4075 – 4080
4105 – 4110
🟦 Secondary BUY
BUY Zones:
3996 – 3994
3965 – 3960
3935 – 3930
3895 – 3890
Trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy for 18th November 2025✨ XAUUSD (Gold) Intraday Trade Setup ✨
(Price levels based on your strategy plan)
🔻 SELL Setup (Below 5-min Candle Low)
📉 Sell Below: $3,997 (only if a 5-minute candle closes below this level)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,985
TP2: $3,975
TP3: $3,960
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Above the breakdown candle high or above $4,005 (safety buffer).
📌 Trade Logic:
A 5-minute candle closing below $3,997 confirms bearish momentum and opens the path toward intraday support levels. Targets are placed at logical liquidity zones.
🔺 BUY Setup (Above 15-min Candle High)
📈 Buy Above: $4,070 (only if a 15-minute candle closes above this level)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $4,083
TP2: $4,095
TP3: $4,110
🛡️ Suggested Stop-Loss: Below the breakout candle low or below $4,055 (safety buffer).
📌 Trade Logic:
A 15-minute candle closing above $4,070 signals bullish strength. The upside levels represent potential liquidity and resistance zones.
⚠️ Disclaimer
📜 This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only.
💼 This is not financial advice and should not be considered a buy or sell recommendation.
📊 Trading involves significant risk. Always do your own analysis and use proper risk management.
XAUUSD Double Bull Flag — Danger AheadHello my dear traders, Laura here.
This week, the market has been extremely tense, and the price action reflects it well.
As I mentioned before, we are currently seeing the formation of a large bull flag. Just above it, a smaller flag is developing, and this smaller structure is the key trigger for any potential continuation. The bullish outlook remains valid only if this smaller flag breaks cleanly.
The recent pullback dipped deeper than expected, which signals hesitation from buyers. When confidence fades, even a promising breakout can turn into a sweet trap that lifts briefly before falling sharply.
Because of this, patience becomes essential. Before entering, we need a clear and decisive breakout that confirms strength. Specifically, we should look for a candle that breaks through resistance with firmness and clarity. If such a confirmation appears, the path toward the 4,300 level becomes structurally supported.
On the other hand, if the price falls below the lower trendline, the bullish scenario is invalidated immediately. At that point, the setup no longer holds and should not be traded.
For now, the principle is straightforward.
No breakout means no entry. Stay disciplined and avoid letting the market pull you into unnecessary risk.
Gold/XAUSSD weekly analysis and possible sell/buy scenarios....Currently gold is showing pressure and generating sell signals. There are multiple sell opportunities developed in Gold in different time frames. And we can anticipate couple of opportunities out of these will trigger. Gold has already created CISD on HTF and tested daily FVG and changed delivery and showing down fall in price. There is already one sell scenario executed. And we can see few more in coming week.
1. Price has already changed delivery in daily time frame and tasted daily FVG and price is falling now.
2. Currently price is holding at daily FVG and we may see slight pull back around the levels of 424152 & 4205 and then further fall till ~3888 level.
3. We can see another higher probability sell scenario at 4300 level if aforementioned levels are breached.
4. RSI is also showing sell side pressure, giving another confluence.
5. Most probably price will take liquidity of FVG/RDRB level and create MSS/CISD/TS/iFVG in LTF.
6. Price should show rejection/reversal in respective LTF (1h/15m) at FVG zone.
7. Take the trade only once clear entry model i.e. turtle soup. iFVG break, CDS or MSS happens on LTF
All these combinations are signalling a high probability and ~10R trade scenario.
Note – if you liked this analysis, please boost the idea so that other can also get benefit of it.
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Join me on live stream for real time update.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) and check with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Automated AI Trading1. What is Automated AI Trading?
Automated AI trading is a system that uses machine-learning models to identify market patterns, predict price movements, and execute trades without human intervention. It operates on:
Data (price, volume, order flow, macro news, sentiment)
Logic (rules, model predictions, risk parameters)
Execution engines (API connectivity with brokers/exchanges)
Feedback loops (continuous learning and improvement)
Unlike traditional algo trading, which follows fixed mathematical rules (e.g., moving average crossover), AI-driven trading systems learn from data, recognize non-linear relationships, adapt to different market regimes, and evolve over time.
How AI differs from simple algos:
Traditional Algo Trading AI-Driven Trading
Follows fixed rules Learns from millions of data points
Struggles in changing markets Adapts to new volatility and structure
Limited to indicators Understands patterns, order flow, sentiment
No self-improvement Continuously improves via ML models
This shift is why the world’s biggest hedge funds—Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma—rely heavily on AI-powered trading.
2. Core Components of Automated AI Trading
**1. Data Collection Systems
AI learns from large amounts of data such as:
Historical price data (candles, ticks)
Volume profile and order-book data
News articles, macro releases
Social media sentiment
Company fundamentals
Global market correlations (Forex, commodities, indices)
The more accurate the data, the more powerful the AI.
2. Machine-Learning Models
AI trading uses models like:
Supervised learning → Predicting future prices from historical patterns
Unsupervised learning → Detecting hidden clusters and regimes
Reinforcement learning → Teaching models how to “reward” profitable actions
Deep learning → Working on complex and high-dimensional inputs (order flow, charts)
For example, a reinforcement learning model may learn to buy dips in a rising market and fade breakouts in a choppy market because it has “experienced” millions of simulated trades.
3. Strategy Engine
This links model predictions to market actions. It includes:
Entry signals
Exit signals
Stop-loss and target placement
Position sizing
Hedging decisions
Time-based rules
Even if the AI predicts a bullish move, the strategy engine decides:
how much capital to deploy,
how many trades to execute,
whether to trail SL or take partials,
whether to hedge via options.
4. Order Execution Engine
This is the part that actually executes trades through APIs. It handles:
Slippage control
Spread detection
Smart order routing
Latency optimization
High-frequency micro-decisions
Professional systems place orders in milliseconds to take advantage of liquidity pockets.
5. Feedback & Reinforcement System
AI trading bots track every action:
Did the model react correctly?
Was there unnecessary drawdown?
Did volatility shift?
Did correlations break?
These results feed back into the learning cycle, making the system smarter.
3. How Automated AI Trading Works Step-by-Step
Here’s a simplified version of how an AI system might trade Nifty or Bank Nifty:
Data Input:
The AI collects candlesticks, volume profile, India VIX, global cues (SGX/GIFT Nifty), news sentiment, and order-flow metrics.
Prediction:
The model predicts probabilities such as:
Market trending or ranging
Expected volatility
Direction bias (up/down/neutral)
Strength of buyers vs sellers
Signal Generation:
If the AI believes there is a 70% chance of an upside breakout based on VWAP deviation, delta imbalance, and global sentiment, it triggers a buy signal.
Risk Management:
The AI sets SL based on ATR or structure, adjusts position sizing based on volatility, and may hedge using options if needed.
Execution:
Orders are placed instantly at the best liquidity point, often slicing orders to reduce slippage.
Monitoring & Adaptation:
If volatility spikes due to news, the AI tightens stops or exits early.
Feedback Learning:
After the trade, the outcome is fed back into the model to refine future decisions.
This continuous loop is what makes AI trading so powerful.
4. Types of AI Trading Strategies
AI systems can run multiple strategy categories simultaneously:
1. Trend-Following AI Strategies
They identify trending markets using ML-based pattern recognition.
Useful for:
Indices
FX
Commodities
2. Mean Reversion AI Strategies
The AI detects overextensions or liquidity vacuum areas.
Excellent for:
Low-volatility equities
Options premium selling
3. High-Frequency Trading (HFT)
AI reads order-book microstructure and executes trades in milliseconds.
4. Arbitrage & Statistical Arbitrage
The system scans correlated assets (e.g., Nifty–BankNifty, Gold–USDINR) and identifies mispricing.
5. Option Trading AI Models
They use Greeks, IV crush patterns, gamma exposure, and flow data to:
Sell premium during low volatility
Buy options during breakout volatility expansions
Hedge positions dynamically
5. Advantages of Automated AI Trading
1. Eliminates Emotional Trading
Fear, greed, revenge trading, and FOMO are removed completely.
2. Faster Decision Making
AI can scan hundreds of markets in milliseconds.
3. High Accuracy in Pattern Recognition
It sees relationships invisible to human eyes.
4. Consistency
AI follows rules perfectly 24/7 with no fatigue.
5. Ability to Adapt
Markets shift from trending to ranging, from low to high volatility—AI systems detect these shifts early.
6. Better Risk Management
AI adjusts SL, TS, exposure, and hedging dynamically.
6. Limitations of Automated AI Trading
Despite its power, AI trading has practical challenges:
1. Overfitting Risk
Models may memorize old data and fail in live markets.
2. Regime Changes
AI trained on low-volatility years might struggle during black-swan events.
3. Technology Costs
High-quality data, GPUs, and low-latency infra are expensive.
4. Black-Box Nature
Many AI decisions lack transparency—difficult to interpret.
5. Dependency
Traders relying too much on bots may lose market intuition.
7. The Future of Automated AI Trading
The next era will combine:
AI + Market Structure
Using volume profile, liquidity zones, order-flow imbalance.
AI + Global Macro Intelligence
Models that read FOMC statements, inflation prints, and currency flows.
AI + Voice/Chat Interfaces
Traders will speak: “AI, manage my Nifty long, hedge with a put spread,” and the system will execute.
AI-Driven Portfolio Automation
Fully autonomous wealth-management engines.
We are entering a world where AI will not assist traders—it will act as a complete trading partner.
Conclusion
Automated AI trading is transforming financial markets by combining vast data processing, machine learning, and rule-based automation. It removes human emotion, enhances precision, adapts to market shifts, and executes strategies with high speed. While it comes with limitations like overfitting and model opacity, the benefits far outweigh the challenges. Whether you trade indices, equities, commodities, or options, AI will play a central role in future trading success.
Part 12 Trading Master Class With Experts Types of Options
There are two primary types:
1. Call Option (CE)
A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the asset at a predetermined price (strike price).
Buyers profit when the underlying price goes up.
Sellers profit when the price stays below the strike.
2. Put Option (PE)
A put option gives the buyer the right to sell the asset at the strike price.
Buyers profit when the underlying price goes down.
Sellers profit when price stays above the strike.
Gold Still in Distribution, FOCUS ON SELL Setups at 4,10x–4,14x 🔍 Market Context
Risk sentiment remains fragile as investors reassess the global rate and stimulus story.
Goldman Sachs notes that rising worries about the size of Japan’s fiscal stimulus are bringing financial risk premia back, putting pressure on long-term JGBs and the JPY. Capital tends to rotate into USD and yield-bearing assets in this environment, which limits the upside for gold in the short term.
📊 XAU/USD Technical Structure (H1)
After topping around 4,242 USD, gold broke its short-term uptrend and is now moving in a descending structure.
Price is currently capped below the 0.5–0.382 Fibonacci area around 4,11x, which overlaps with a strong supply / Sell Liquidity zone on the chart.
Below price, we have a series of liquidity / support pockets:
4,098 – 4,077 – 4,048 USD: short-term downside liquidity levels.
OBS BUY ZONE around 4,00x: major demand zone where price previously launched a strong rally.
Current price action shows sellers still in control – every bounce into 4,10x–4,14x is being rejected quickly, which fits a “sell the rally” approach.
🎯 Trend-Following Trade Ideas (for reference)
Zones below are technical areas to watch, not signals or financial advice.
Scenario 1 – Shallow Pullback Sell
Sell Zone 1: 4,102 – 4,104
SL: 4,110
TP levels:
TP1: 4,098
TP2: 4,077
TP3: 4,048
Idea: Price makes a minor intraday pullback into local supply, then resumes selling pressure toward lower liquidity pockets.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback into Fib/Trendline Confluence
Sell Zone 2: 4,142 – 4,144
(confluence of descending trendline + Fibonacci combo)
SL: 4,150
TP levels:
TP1: 4,133
TP2: 4,105
TP3: 4,088
TP4: 4,060
Idea: If the market grabs more upside liquidity first, the 4,14x zone offers a better R:R area to align with the H1 downtrend.
⚜️ MMFLOW TRADING View
As long as price stays below 4,14x and H1 structure keeps printing lower highs, gold remains in a distribution phase.
Pullbacks into the 4,10x–4,14x liquidity band are treated as opportunities to optimize SELL entries, while the 4,00x OBS BUY ZONE is the key area to reassess any potential larger bottoming process.
“In a downtrend, our job isn’t to call the bottom – it’s to use every weak bounce to sell from a better position.”
Gold Trading Strategy for 17th November 2025Gold Trading Plan
💰 Buy Setup (Long Trade)
Buy only if gold price closes above the high of the 30-minute candle at:
$4132
Targets:
$4142 (Target 1)
$4155 (Target 2)
$4170 (Target 3)
Idea:
If the price closes above $4132, it shows buyers are strong. Enter after the breakout and aim for the targets one by one.
📉 Sell Setup (Short Trade)
Sell only if gold price closes below the low of the 30-minute candle at:
$4032
Targets:
$4020 (Target 1)
$4006 (Target 2)
$3990 (Target 3)
Idea:
If the price closes below $4032, sellers are taking control. Enter after the breakdown and aim for the mentioned targets.
✔️ Tips for New Traders
Always wait for the 30-minute candle to close before entering the trade.
Use a stop loss to limit risk:
For buys, SL can be below $4125 (or below breakout candle).
For sells, SL can be above $4038 (or above breakdown candle).
Avoid trading during high-impact news unless experienced.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This information is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Gold Trading Strategy for Next Week✅ From the daily chart, gold closed with a large bearish candle, showing a clear decline. Short-term rebound pressure is heavy and market sentiment has turned bearish. The 4000 psychological level is the key support: if it holds, gold may continue to fluctuate within the upper range; if it breaks, the price may further fall toward 3930 or even the 3886 area for support. OANDA:XAUUSD
✅ From the 4-hour chart, gold is still in a corrective phase, and the overall structure remains weak. If the price can climb back above the key moving averages, bulls still have a chance to repair the structure; if not, bears will continue to dominate, and the probability of further downside increases.
✅ From the 1-hour chart, the short-term structure has already formed a Head and Shoulders top, and the rebound strength is limited. If gold cannot break above 4150 next week, the current rebound will form the right shoulder, creating continued downward pressure. After Friday’s sharp drop, gold is expected to see a technical rebound early next week, and the next move will depend on the strength of that rebound.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4110–4120 / 4140–4150
🟢 Support Levels: 4030–4050 / 4000–3970
✅ Trading Strategy Reference:
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4110–4120 and meets resistance, consider light short positions. The target can be set at 4050–4030. If the decline continues, further targets are 4000 and 3930–3887.
🔰 If gold rebounds to 4140–4150 and faces rejection, high-position shorts can be taken, targeting 4100–4080.
🔰 If gold pulls back to 4035–4040 and stabilizes, consider low-position longs, targeting 4060–4080.
✅ Overall, next week’s short-term gold trading should focus on selling the rebounds, with buying on dips as a secondary approach. If gold fails to break above 4150, the Head and Shoulders top pattern will be confirmed, and the bearish trend is expected to continue.
XAUUSD MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
GOLD: The Bigger Picture is Finally Getting Clearer !Gold finally showed some clarity after weeks of structure, and now the bigger picture is lining up perfectly across the daily and multi-year weekly charts. The rejection from the 4250–4350 zone triggered the first meaningful retracement after a parabolic rally, and price is now hovering right above the 4030–4060 daily support the only level holding back a much deeper corrective cycle. This entire region is critical because it marks the last breakout base, the liquidity origin, and the midpoint of the 3600-4300 vertical leg. As long as this shelf holds, gold will continue to move in a compressed range, but once a clean daily close breaks below it, the market naturally opens up a fast move toward the 3500–3550 target zone. All confluences measured move, channel midline, point to this same cluster, making it a high-confidence retracement level inside a long-term bullish trend.
On the upside, the structure is very clean. Only a sustained breakout above 4300–4350 invalidates the entire correction and flips the bias back to full-bull mode, where gold can easily run toward 4600–4800 as the next discovery leg. Anything below that zone still falls under the extended correction category, not a bullish continuation. This is why the invalidation level is drawn exactly where it is to protect from guessing the reversal too early.
On the weekly chart, gold has slipped back inside the multi-year ascending channel after briefly wicking above it. That wick was nothing but a classic blow-off extension followed by a reversion to mean. Now price is sitting comfortably inside the same long-term structure . The upper red band remains the multi-year resistance, the green midline is the structural backbone of the trend, and the purple lower band is the deep cycle accumulation zone. As long as gold stays inside this channel, the macro remains strongly bullish and corrections within this structure are normal and healthy. The mid-channel region around 3500 also aligns perfectly with the expected daily correction, which adds even more confirmation that this retracement is simply part of the long-term trend and not a trend reversal.
Commodity index on both daily and weekly frames is cooling off from extreme levels, which supports a deeper pullback rather than an immediate rally. No new bullish divergence has appeared yet, meaning momentum still favors a downside sweep before any major upside continuation. Combine that with the lack of fresh macro drivers and a stabilization in rate-cut expectations, this cooling phase was overdue.
In simple below daily support, gold continues the correction toward 3500-3650 above 4350, the correction thesis dies and the bull trend resumes aggressively. Until then, this is a textbook retracement inside a long-term uptrend nothing broken, nothing unexpected, just a parabolic market taking a breath. Trade safe !
XAUUSD: Continuing Uptrend with Potential Expansion to $4,280OANDA:XAUUSD has shown strong performance in the ascending channel, and I expect this trend to continue as shown in my chart, with a target price of $4,280.
The current area represents a key turning point, where prices could find support allowing them to rise, or they may break down, which could lead to a further downward movement.
If I were to choose the most likely direction, I would lean towards upward price movement. However, only market action will determine whether the channel will continue or not.
If the downtrend line is breached strongly, it will invalidate the bullish scenario, meaning that the bullish momentum could weaken or even reverse in the short term.
These are just my personal forecasts based on technical analysis, and they do not represent financial advice. Always make sure to verify your setups and manage risks wisely.
Wishing you successful and profitable trading!
GoldTrading Strategy | November 28-29✅ 4-Hour Chart (H4) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Overall Structure: Bulls in Control, Price Breaks Key Resistance
Price has broken above and stabilized above the key resistance at 4156 (yellow line), forming consecutive bullish candles with strong volume, indicating clear bullish strength.
The latest bullish candle has a strong body and closed near its high, showing that upward momentum is still continuing.
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Bullish Alignment
MA5, MA10, and MA20 are in a classic bullish formation, and price is consistently advancing along MA5 and MA10.
MA20 is turning upward, which is a key signal of trend reversal.
➡️ This indicates that the medium-term trend has strengthened, with bulls dominating the market.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Opening, Trend Strengthening
Price is riding along the upper Bollinger Band — a typical sign of a strong bullish trend.
The upper band is expanding upward, indicating rising volatility and expanding upside potential.
✅ 1-Hour Chart (H1) Trend Analysis
1️⃣ Trend Structure: Strong Rally, Short-Term Pullback Expected
H1 recently surged to 4226.89 and then pulled back slightly, showing a normal correction after a strong rally.
Price remains above MA5 and MA10, indicating a strong pullback rather than a trend reversal.
2️⃣ Moving Averages: Short-Term Still Bullish
MA5 and MA10 remain in a bullish formation.
MA20 is starting to provide support, making it the key level for short-term pullbacks.
➡️ Short-term bias remains bullish, but a technical correction may occur at any time.
3️⃣ Bollinger Bands: Upper Band Pressure
The H1 upper Bollinger Band is around 4222, and price saw reduced volume after touching it, suggesting short-term profit-taking.
🔴 Resistance Levels: 4226 / 4230
🟢 Support Levels: 4195 / 4182
✅ Trading Strategy Reference
1️⃣ Buy on Pullback (Main Strategy)
Buy in the 4182–4195 range
🎯 Targets: 4218 / 4230
⛔ Stop Loss: 4170
Reason:
H4 has clearly broken above 4156, confirming a medium-term bullish trend. A pullback is a buying opportunity.
2️⃣ Short at High Levels (Secondary Strategy, Light Positions)
Short near 4226–4230 if price shows rejection
🎯 Targets: 4205 / 4195
⛔ Stop Loss: Above 4238
Reason:
H1 faces pressure at the upper Bollinger Band, showing short-term exhaustion and potential for a pullback.
“GOLD MEGA RALLY: Road to $6,500 — Super-Cycle in Full Power
Gold has broken above $4,200/oz, confirming that a super-cycle has officially started. The breakout is not just technical — it is backed by global liquidity, record central-bank demand, and collapsing real yields.
My view: Gold is preparing for a parabolic rally toward $6,500 next year, where a major cycle top is likely to form.
🔥 Why Gold Can Hit $6,500
* Liquidity Cycle Turning Up
Fed QT slowdown + rising expectations of QE → strongest setup for commodities in a decade.
* Historic Central Bank Buying
China, India, Middle East are accumulating gold aggressively → long-term supply squeeze.
* Inflation Pressure Still Alive
Sticky inflation + slowing growth = real yields trending lower → ultra-bullish for gold.
* Geopolitical Premium
Safe-haven flows accelerating with every global conflict headline
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion.
What Smart Money desks are targeting today:
• Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias
• Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs
• Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning
• CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move
The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region).
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase
Liquidity map highlighted zones:
• Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap)
• Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry)
• Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced)
• Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation)
Expected sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222
Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS
Targets:
1. 4200 (first reaction)
2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone)
3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium)
4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143
Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price sweeps into 4163 pool
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation
Targets:
1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone
2. 4200+ institutional expansion target
3. 4212+ premium revisit
⚠️ Risk Management
• Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced
• Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps
• SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation
• Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms
📝 Summary
Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either:
• Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest,
or
• Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+
Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE ...XAUUSD – LANA WAITING TO BUY THE CONTINUATION WITHIN THE UPTREND CHANNEL
1. Fundamental Analysis
Gold is maintaining its upward momentum as investors closely monitor the Russia–Ukraine tension and the mixed signals around potential peace efforts.
President Putin’s recent statements suggest peace proposals could form the basis of a future agreement, yet Russia is still prepared to continue fighting if conditions are not favourable. This creates a mixed risk environment — reducing short-term safe-haven demand but still keeping geopolitical uncertainty elevated, which may pressure the USD in the medium term.
In this context, Lana prefers the scenario where gold continues to follow the broader uptrend, looking for opportunities to buy on technical pullbacks into major liquidity zones rather than FOMO entries at higher prices.
2. Technical Analysis
On the H1 timeframe, XAUUSD is moving inside a clear ascending channel, currently trading near the midline of the channel. The dominant structure remains bullish, with no sign of a break of market structure.
After a strong bullish candle, the market left a Strong Liquidity area below and created a small Gap under the channel — this is where Lana expects price to retrace and retest before resuming the upward movement.
The Buy zone aligns with a major liquidity region near 4,166–4,167, close to the lower boundary of the channel — an ideal level for continuation buys during a controlled pullback.
Using Fibonacci extensions, the key levels include:
1.618: near the current price — a region where price often pauses or consolidates
2.618: around 4,210 — Lana marks this as a potential short-term Sell scalping zone
3.618: around 4,235–4,237 — a stronger Sell zone where heavy profit-taking may appear
The 4,155 level is a key structural boundary:
If price breaks below and holds under this zone, Lana will stop prioritising long-term buy setups, as the bullish channel may be invalidated.
3. Key Levels to Watch
Support / Buy zone & strong liquidity:
4,166 – 4,167 (near the midline descending toward the lower channel boundary)
4,155 — mid-term trend boundary
Resistance / Fibo extension & Sell zones:
4,210 – 4,213: Sell scalping zone (Fibo 2.618)
4,235 – 4,237: Strong Sell zone (Fibo 3.618), near the channel top
4. Trade Setups
BUY Setup:
Buy: 4166 – 4167
SL: 4160
TP: 4182 – 4195 – 4210 – 4250
SELL Setup 1:
Sell: 4210 – 4213
SL: 4218
TP: 4200 – 4185 – 4160 – 4145
SELL Setup 2:
Sell: 4235 – 4237
SL: 4243
TP: 4212 – 4200 – 4185 – 4160
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to read all updates early. 💛
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240
Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance
Market overview & structure
On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with:
The upper boundary of the channel.
A key resistance zone.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs.
This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases.
Wave & technical context
The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one.
Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance.
The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend.
As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path.
Key zones & trading plan
Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel
Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone).
Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long.
Targets:
Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity).
Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders.
Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240
Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support.
This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so:
Position size should be smaller than the main long setup.
Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion.
News & broader context
Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools.
On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment.
Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention.
Strategy & risk management
For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240.
I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic.
Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades.
What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
GOLD broke out of the H4 trendline — real breakout or trap? Hello Traders! 👋
Gold has broken out of the H4 descending trendline, boosted by geopolitical tension and a weaker USD.
But the real question is: Is this a true breakout or just FOMO before a drop?
Here are the key zones I’ll be watching today:
BUY Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4165 – 4155
• 4170 – 4175
• 4140 – 4145
• 4110-4108
• 4099-4096
SELL Reaction Zones (SL 10 – TP 10)
• 4200 – 4203
• 4212 – 4215
• 4230-4035
• 4245 – 4247
👉 If price breaks below 4133, the trendline fails → potential sell-continuation setup.
📌 Bias: BUY is the main play — SELL only for short reaction scalps.
💬 What do YOU think — real breakout or classic bull trap? Drop your thoughts below!
❤️ Let’s discuss & grow together!
XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO ...XAUUSD – SHORT-TERM TREND STILL UNCERTAIN, WAIT FOR PRICE TO RETURN TO LIQUIDITY ZONES
1. Fundamental Analysis
In today’s session, gold is holding a mild pullback after touching its highest level in nearly two weeks.
Market sentiment has turned slightly more risk-on, causing capital to move away from safe-haven assets. This reduces short-term demand for gold and triggers profit-taking.
However, the Fed’s dovish expectations continue to keep the USD weak, which remains a supporting factor for gold in the medium term. Lana views the current phase mainly as a technical correction and prefers waiting for price to reach key liquidity zones before taking action.
2. Technical Analysis
On the H1 timeframe, after a strong upside move, price is slowing down and showing a confirmation of downward pressure from the upper resistance zone.
The rising trendline beneath is still holding the overall structure, suggesting the broader trend remains intact, but momentum is fading and the market is entering a more indecisive phase.
Below the price, the FVG demand zones around 4113–4111 and the deeper 4085–4088 represent liquidity areas where Lana expects buyers may step back in.
Above the price, the 4194–4196 zone is a key resistance area, aligned with supply and upper liquidity, suitable for a correction sell setup if price retests it.
3. Key Price Zones to Watch
Upper liquidity / major resistance:
• 4194 – 4196
Lower liquidity / support & FVG zones:
• 4113 – 4111: first demand zone, near the rising trendline
• 4085 – 4088: deeper FVG zone, stronger support if correction extends
4. Trade Setups
SELL: 4194 – 4196
SL: 4200
TP: 4175 – 4160 – 4122 – 4105
BUY: 4113 – 4111
SL: 4105
TP: 4133 – 4155 – 4170 – 4190
BUY: 4085 – 4088
SL: 4080
TP: 4095 – 4110 – 4133 – 4150 – 4185
👉 Follow Lana on TradingView to get the earliest gold analysis updates. 💛
XAUUSD Outlook: Recent Gains Have Been Quite Steady!The market outlook for XAUUSD remains clearly optimistic. The latest price movement has shown a steady recovery, pushing towards the upper boundary of the newly forecasted price channel. This presents another excellent opportunity to get involved.
The market may be in the early stages of a strong new bullish leg. We could also see some consolidation or a short-term pullback before continuing towards the upper boundary, but I believe the second scenario is more likely.
My target would be 4,350.
Update 3: GOLD BUY POINTS Buy point:
4148
4140
Target : 4172 - 4205
entry are valid only when you see 5 min CHoCH any candle touch a the zone and then any minor support breaks then punch a trade with Close base Sl on top and Vice versa
Sell side only when : if this triangle give breakout and then sell at 4168 and book near at 4145 and then again plan for a buy just play the move..
these are the points of reversal i already published this if you dont want to buy then just check the analysis tomorrow night






















