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Gold Trading Strategy for 02nd October 2025📊 Gold Intraday Trading Plan 👉 Timeframe: 15-Minute Candle Strategy 🟢 Buy Setup (Long Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if a 15-min candle closes above ₹3878 🎯 Targets: ₹3889 ₹3899 ₹3905 🛑 Stop Loss: Place below the candle low that gave the breakout 💡 Explanation Wait for a 15-minute candle to fully close above 3878. Do not enter if the price just spikes above – wait for the close to confirm. Once confirmed, buy with the targets mentioned. 🔴 Sell Setup (Short Trade) ✅ Condition: Enter only if a 15-min candle closes below ₹3853 🎯 Targets: ₹3842 ₹3831 ₹3823 🛑 Stop Loss: Place above the candle high that gave the breakdown 💡 Explanation Wait for the candle to close below 3853 before selling. Enter only after confirmation, not during the dip. Keep stop loss strict to protect capital. ⚖️ Key Notes ⏳ Be patient — confirmation matters more than speed. 🛑 Always use stop loss — never trade without it. 📉 Risk only a small portion of your capital (1–2%). Record your trades and review them daily. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is educational information only and not financial advice. Trading in gold or any market involves risk of capital loss. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
Gold Market Analysis – Sell Opportunity Emerging in XAU/USDGold has been climbing with strong momentum, but the current leg is showing signs of transition. After a period of consolidation, the market expanded upward, taking liquidity from previous highs and creating an extended run. This behavior often reflects the final stage of a bullish cycle before rebalancing begins. What stands out now is the engineered path of price: a push into untested liquidity zones above, followed by a potential shift as large players unwind positions. Once liquidity is collected at the extremes, price tends to rotate back into inefficiencies left behind during the rapid climb. This suggests gold is not simply trending higher, but moving through a liquidity cycle. The near-term structure favors a sweep of higher levels, then a corrective phase where price retraces to refill imbalances and reset order flow for the next directional move.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – 01/10/2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔹 Momentum • D1: Momentum is still rising but already entering the overbought zone → buying power is weakening. Price may continue to rise or move sideways in the short term, but the risk of reversal is increasing. • H4: Momentum is still pushing upward. Until it reaches the overbought zone and reverses, price can continue to rise or consolidate sideways. • H1: Momentum is moving into oversold territory and preparing to turn upward. This aligns with H4, suggesting another short-term push higher. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure • D1 Wave: Price is still within Wave 5. Yesterday it reached the second target zone – a strong resistance area and potential top. Once D1 momentum reverses in overbought territory, a major correction will be confirmed. Note: If a correction occurs on D1, it will likely last longer than Wave 2 and Wave 4 → avoid catching swing bottoms too early. • H4 Wave: A strong drop yesterday gave sellers momentum, but price quickly recovered and is now testing highs. With both D1 and H4 momentum showing more room to rise, price may still push higher. → Use the H4 price channel as a key observation tool. • H1 Wave: A 5-wave structure (12345 black) is forming. Wave 5 is usually the hardest to predict due to FOMO-driven buying. As warned yesterday, long swing trades are risky. After a sharp drop, price rebounded but momentum signals weakness. Multiple Wave 5 structures are converging near 3885, making this a high-probability reversal zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Trade Plan • Sell Zone: 3885 – 3887 • Stop Loss: 3895 • Take Profit: o TP1: 3830 📌 Notes: • This is a sensitive potential top zone → volatility is usually unpredictable. • If selling at 3885, use small position size and strict SL discipline. • Best approach: wait for further confirmation before committing heavily.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
XAUUSD – Gold Daily Plan | Sharp Drop, What’s Next?Gold printed a sudden 70+ point drop from 388x to 380x, leaving traders questioning: – Was this a big player manipulation? – Or simply institutional profit taking? Key reaction zones will define if Gold holds above 3800 or dives deeper. 📍 Critical Levels 🔴 SELL Reaction Zone 387x → Strong resistance where sellers may step in. 🟢 BUY Zones 3780 (Retest Breakout + Trendline) → First demand zone. 375x (Fibo Support Zone) → Strong liquidity pocket, potential reversal. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ SELL Idea Entry: 387x Targets: 3800 → 3780 SL: Above 3888 2️⃣ BUY Idea Entry: 3780 – 375x Targets: 3838 → 387x SL: Below 3745 ⚡ Trading Notes High volatility expected near 3800 psychological mark. Stick to zone trading – avoid mid-range traps. Monitor USD strength; any spike could pressure XAU further. 💬 Discussion Do you think Gold will break below 3800 or bounce back to test 387x? Drop your views 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
Gold holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910We are holding buy trade from 3760 , upside target 3855,3910 Levels on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 12.3% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas
“Gold (XAU/USD) – Breakout Play from Resistance (1-Hour View)Chart Structure & Key Levels You’ve drawn a resistance zone above current price. The label “this is the resistance area here if break we will hold” points to a horizontal resistance line or zone. You also show a descending trendline acting as dynamic resistance. On the lower side, you mark LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High) points, implying the prior structure was in a downtrend or consolidation. Your trade setup (green = target area, red = stop area) suggests you are expecting a break above resistance and a move upward with three target levels:  • TP1 at ~ 3,759.74  • TP2 at ~ 3,779.03  • TP3 at ~ 3,799.67 What Your Setup Implies (and Risks) Bullish Bias on Breakout You are expecting that if price breaks above the resistance zone + trendline, that resistance may flip into support, allowing the price to rally further. This is a classic breakout reversal expectation. If the breakout is confirmed (with strong candle close above, ideally with volume), then the path is “clearer” for your targets. Stop / Risk Control Your red zone (stop area) is placed below the resistance/trendline region. If price fails and falls back below this, your trade idea would be invalidated. Target Levels Logic TP1 is relatively conservative, just above resistance. TP2 and TP3 stretch further to capture the upside momentum if the breakout has strength. Additional Considerations & Technical Tips Confirm the Breakout Don’t just enter on a quick wick above resistance. Wait for a sustained close above the zone (on your timeframe) to reduce the chance of a false breakout. Check volume: higher-than-average volume on the breakout gives it more credibility. Watch for Retest Often after a breakout, price returns to retest the broken resistance (which now may act as support). This retest can offer a better entry with lower risk. Manage Risk Aggressively The more distant your TP3, the more room for price to reverse. Consider scaling out of the trade (taking partial profits as price hits TP1, TP2) to lock in gains. Keep an Eye on Macro / Fundamental Factors Gold (XAU/USD) is sensitive to U.S. monetary policy, the strength of the U.S. dollar, inflation expectations, and geopolitical risk. For example, stronger U.S. data or hawkish Fed statements could work against a bullish breakout in gold. Divergences & Momentum Indicators Use RSI / MACD / ADX to check whether momentum supports your breakout idea. If momentum is weak or showing divergence, be cautious. Timeframe Alignment Make sure that higher timeframes (4H, daily) are not giving strong bearish signals conflicting with your breakout bias on the 1-hour chart.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader
Risk Management Secrets for Trading XAU/USD!Hello Traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is one of the most rewarding instruments, but also one of the most dangerous if you don’t manage risk properly. Many traders lose not because their strategy is bad, but because they fail to protect their capital. Here are some key risk management secrets every gold trader must know. 1. Position Sizing is Everything Gold moves fast, a $5 move can wipe out accounts if the lot size is too big. Always calculate position size based on risk per trade (ideally 1–2% of your account). This way, even if you hit multiple stop losses, your account survives. 2. Wider Stops, Smaller Lots Gold often spikes and hunts tight stop losses. Use slightly wider stops, but reduce lot size to balance the risk. This gives your trade room to breathe without increasing overall risk. 3. Never Trade News Without a Plan During events like NFP, CPI, or Fed speeches, XAU/USD becomes extremely volatile. If you’re not experienced, it’s better to stay out. If you do trade, cut position size and expect slippage. 4. Daily Loss Limit Decide in advance how much you can lose in one day (for example, 3% of account). If that limit is hit, stop trading for the day. This prevents emotional revenge trading, which is the biggest killer in gold trading. 5. Use Partial Profits Gold reverses quickly, so book partial profits when the trade moves in your favor. This locks in gains and reduces pressure. Move stop loss to break-even once part profits are secured. Rahul’s Tip: Your job as a trader is not to catch every move, but to stay in the game . Risk management may feel boring, but it’s the only reason why professional traders survive while retail traders blow up. Conclusion: In XAU/USD trading, strategy decides entries, but risk management decides survival. By controlling lot size, stops, and emotions, you can make gold work for you instead of against you. If this post helped you see risk management in a new light, like it, drop your thoughts in comments, and follow for more trading wisdom!
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
Gold Hits Fresh ATH fresh Support at 3790, Bulls Eye 3806 & 3850Gold printed a fresh all time high today and, so far, there are no signs of rejection on higher timeframes. The immediate level to watch on the downside is last week’s high near 3790, which now acts as key support. As long as price holds above this level on a 4H or higher close, bulls remain in control and may attempt a move toward the next resistance zone at 3800–3806, which is aligned with the weekly R1 and psychological round number resistance. A sustained breakout above this zone could open the door for a push toward 3850 (weekly R2). On the flip side, if sellers manage to drag price back below 3790 on a closing basis, we could see a deeper pullback before the next leg higher.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Trading Strategy for 29th September 2025📊 Gold Trading Plan ✨ Buy Setup 🔹 Entry: Buy above the high of the 15-min candle (close above $3773) 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3783 2nd Target → $3793 3rd Target → $3805 ✨ Sell Setup 🔹 Entry: Sell below the low of the 1-hour candle (close below $3758) 🎯 Targets: 1st Target → $3747 2nd Target → $3735 3rd Target → $3722 ⚠️ Risk Management Tips (Novice-Friendly) Always set a stop-loss (just below/above entry candle). Trade with small position size if you’re a beginner. Don’t risk more than 1–2% of your capital per trade. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading in commodities, stocks, or forex involves significant risk of loss. Do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. 💡 Tip for Traders: Stick to your plan. Don’t chase trades outside these levels. Discipline = Profitability.
TVC:GOLD
by ramkkyy
1
Gold awaits PCE | EMA squeeze, big waves ahead🟡 XAU/USD – 26/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News Trump : Announced a 100% tariff on branded drugs if not produced in the US → escalating trade tensions. PCE tonight : The FED’s most important inflation gauge, key to shaping October rate cut expectations (current probability 91.09%). The market is in “hold breath” mode, awaiting the PCE spark to decide the next direction. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Gold is squeezed between two winds – short-term EMA pressure and major expectations from PCE. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) remains below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish pressure persists, but narrowing gap signals big volatility ahead. Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) 3,738 – 3,730 3,718 3,687 3,651 Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) 3,755 – 3,773 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ⚡ Sell (scalp at resistance) Entry: 3,773 – 3,776 SL: 3,783 TP: 3,755 – 3,745 – 3,734 ✅ Buy (trend-follow priority) Buy Zone 1 (Scalping) Entry: 3,72x – 3,718 SL: 3,710 TP: 3,750 – 3,769 – 3,776 Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB) Entry: 3,685 – 3,683 SL: 3,675 TP: 3,690 – 3,695 – 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,7xx ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden sails are being squeezed between EMA 34 & 89. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,683) remains the safe dock for sailors to await the big wave. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,773 – 3,776) is raising fierce waves, only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight’s PCE will be the decisive wind – either pushing the ship beyond 3,78x or forcing it back to retest 3,72x.” 📢 If you find Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest updates. 💬 What do you think? Will Gold break through 3,78x or retest 3,72x first?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
XAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 FrameXAUUSD – New Week Scenario on D1 Frame: Prioritise buying, the 3790 – 3720 zone decides the trend Hello Trader, Trading is a journey, and the most important destination is conquering oneself. On the D1 frame, gold has experienced a series of consecutive strong increases, indicating that buyers still maintain the advantage. The buying force shows no clear signs of weakening, even though gold has recently reacted with a slight decrease around 3790. Currently, the price is accumulating around 3760 – the closing candle zone for this week. Basic Outlook Political pressure from President Trump on the Fed is increasing, as the market expects an easing move soon. However, Chairman Powell remains cautious, prioritising price stability over inflation issues. This factor may continue to keep gold in the position of an important safe-haven asset, especially in the context of policy uncertainty. Technical Outlook The price zone of 3790 – 3720 will play a decisive role in the medium-term trend for next week. If 3790 is broken, gold will have the opportunity to advance to the Fibonacci Extension zone of 3822. Further, strong resistance lies around 3840 – 3860. If 3720 is breached, selling pressure will retest the strategic support zone at 3650. This is also the confluence area with the upward trendline on D1. MACD Indicator: continues to support buyers, the histogram remains positive, not showing a clear decrease signal. Volume: no significant selling pressure has appeared, indicating that gold is entering an accumulation phase, waiting for a breakout. Trading Scenario for Next Week Buying Scenario (priority): Buy around 3650 – 3660 (if there is an adjustment). SL: below 3640. TP: 3720 – 3790 – 3822. Selling Scenario at Resistance: Sell around 3822 – 3830 (Fibo + strong resistance). SL: above 3840. TP: 3790 – 3760 – 3720. Conclusion In the medium term, the upward trend still prevails. Next week, gold will revolve around the 3790 – 3720 mark, and reactions here will pave the way for the next trend. The priority strategy is to buy at the support zone of 3650, while observing reactions at 3822 to consider short-term selling orders. Short-term scenarios will be updated during the day, helping you be more proactive with market fluctuations. Follow me and the community to update the earliest scenarios
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
1
XAUUSD/GOLD WEEKLY BUY PROJECTION 28.09.25XAUUSD/Gold Weekly Buy Projection (27.09.25). Here’s a breakdown of what it shows: Current Price Level: Around 3,759.85. Technical Zones Marked: Broke the Uptrend Line (earlier support turned resistance). Bearish Engulfing Failed (bullish strength seen). Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 3,740–3,750 zone, acting as a demand zone. Projection Path: Price expected to bounce from the FVG/demand area. Then follow an upward zigzag movement toward the target zone around 3,860. Trend Channel: Multiple parallel blue channels drawn indicate a bullish structure. Projection suggests continuation of the uptrend. Target Price: Marked close to 3,860, aligning with the upper channel line. 🔑 Summary of Projection: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: 3,740–3,760 (Fair Value Gap zone) Target Zone: 3,860 Risk Area: If price breaks below 3,720, projection may fail. 👉 Do you want me to prepare a trading plan (entry, SL, TP, and risk %) based on this projection for you?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by kripsonfx97
1
XAUUSD – Need confirmation before placing orders Hello everyone, Last week, gold experienced a strong surge, but after hitting the resistance at 378x, a noticeable selling pressure emerged, causing the price to drop and the weekly candle to close in a corrective direction. This indicates a market sentiment of hesitation, especially for those trading on margin, who are more susceptible to fear-driven decisions. Technical Analysis Currently, the price is returning to test the trendline around 3752. This is a crucial area where a reactive Buy can be considered, with a safe stop loss placed below 3743. However, this is merely a trade based on crowd psychology, so careful observation of price action is necessary. In the event the price breaks the upward channel, we will wait for a pullback around 3760 to enter a Sell order. Should this scenario unfold, the downtrend will become clearer, with the target potentially reaching the 366x–367x region. Additionally, pay special attention to the support area of 3717–3723. This is a significant price zone, and if breached, gold is likely to enter a medium-term downtrend. In this context, a reactive Buy at 3715 could also be a reasonable scalping option for those who prefer short-term trading. Trading Scenarios Buy around 3752, SL 3743. Sell upon breaking the trendline and pulling back to 3760, expecting a decline to 366x–367x. Buy scalping at 3715, SL 3709, short TP towards 3723–3735. 📌 As the new week begins, be patient and observe the price reactions at key areas to obtain clear confirmation signals before placing orders. Hopefully, this scenario will be helpful for everyone's trading process. I will continue to share more so that everyone can keep a better track of the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this stock , let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the position will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by okako_trading
Gold → Ready for the Next Bullish WaveGold (XAUUSD) continues to gain momentum as shifting global conditions drive investors toward safer assets. The ongoing uncertainty in financial markets, coupled with renewed concerns over U.S. fiscal policy and interest rate adjustments, has strengthened gold’s long-term appeal. Recent market behavior reflects consistent institutional demand, with traders positioning ahead of potential monetary easing cycles. As confidence in traditional currencies weakens, gold remains a preferred store of value for both investors and central banks. Structurally, the market is maintaining a healthy uptrend, showing controlled corrections within a broader bullish framework. The latest price movements suggest that momentum is building for another upward phase, possibly targeting new historical zones if global instability persists. In summary, gold’s outlook stays constructive — supported by both macroeconomic sentiment and steady technical momentum. How do you see the XAUUSD trajectory evolving — continuation of growth or a major pause ahead?
TVC:GOLD
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold–Bullish Reversal Setup from Extreme POI Toward 4060 TargetTimeframe: 30-minute chart (XAU/USD – Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) Market Structure: Price made a structural low (SMT) around the $$$ liquidity zone. A Market Structure Shift (MSS) occurred as price broke above short-term highs. POI (Point of Interest) Zones: High Probability POI: Previous accumulation zone that caused a bullish impulse. Extreme POI: Current demand zone (around 3960–3980), where price is rebounding. Current Price Action: Price has reacted bullishly from the Extreme POI. The breakout above MSS signals possible continuation to the upside. Target Zone: The shaded grey target area (~4060–4080) aligns with previous liquidity highs. Bias: Bullish short-term bias toward 4060–4080 zone, assuming the demand zone holds. Break below Extreme POI would invalidate the setup and suggest deeper retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DavidFX02
GOLD: The Dollar Blinks! Time to 'Pay' at the 0.618 Fibo (4018) The Macro Play: USD Retreat Sets the Stage for Gold's Counter-Attack The precious metal is catching a bid as the US Dollar softens after hitting its recent highs. The fundamental backdrop is keeping Gold buoyant: Fed Pivot Narrative: Despite the hawkish undertones in the last FOMC meeting minutes, the market's conviction in two potential Fed rate cuts by year-end remains a powerful tailwind, making non-yielding Gold more attractive. Geopolitical Fog: While the short-term truce news caused a minor retreat, the overarching safe-haven demand driven by global tensions and the looming US government funding crisis provides critical floor support. Bottom Line: Gold is navigating a choppy consolidation phase. Short-term pressure exists, but the Long-Term Macro Thesis favors a cautious recovery. 📊 The MatrixFibo PTKT: SCALP Zones Are Active! Price action shows clear reaction points within the recent sharp move lower. Our plan is to Trade the Reactions at these high-probability confluence zones. 1️⃣ The Aggressive SELL Zone (SELL SCALP Setup) We are looking for the market to exhaust its short-term recovery rally at major resistance levels. Primary SELL ZONE: 3997 - 4000 (0.5 Fibo Level): This area is critical psychological resistance and the 50% retracement of the latest impulse down. PLAN: Await a failed breakout or clear bearish rejection signal (Pinbar, Bearish Engulfing) at 3997 - 4000. TARGET: The move should aim to clear the lows, heading straight for 3915 - 3910. The Ultimate SELL Reversal: 4014 - 4018 (0.618 Fibo Downtrend Zone): This is the REACTION FIBO 0.618 DOWNTREND H1 ZONE. This level is our strongest strategic SELL point if the bounce extends deeper. 2️⃣ The Key BUY Zone (BUY SCALP Setup) We treat this area as the final line of defense for the current uptrend structure. Key Support & BUY SCALP REACT ZONE: 3915 - 3910: This zone is a Major Confluence point: Key Support, the 0.786 Fibo, and the Uptrend Channel Bottom. PLAN: Look for strong buying pressure to emerge as price tests 3915 - 3910. Requires a solid Bullish Price Action Confirmation. TARGET: A successful bounce targets the liquidity back at 3997 - 4000. 🛑 FranCis MatrixFibo Risk Policy Volatility Alert: Expect large swings around US data and Fed commentary. NEVER TRADE WITHOUT A HARD STOP LOSS (SL) on SCALPS. Strategy Focus: The market is range-bound. Stick to a Two-Sided Scalping Plan defined by the identified price levels. Discipline: Only enter trades at or with clear confirmation from the React Zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FranCis-MatrixFibo
LiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure BreakLiamTrading – XAUUSD: Structure Break, Preparing for a STRONG DOWNTREND? Hello trader, The Gold market has undergone a significant Market Structure Shift, breaking the previous sustainable uptrend. After the key support area around 4000 was breached with high volume, the Bears have taken short-term control. Currently, the price is experiencing a slight correction after a sharp drop, but overall, it is forming Lower High – Lower Low patterns on the H1 chart, confirming the downward movement. 📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 1H – XAUUSD) The recent sharp decline has broken the upward structure (Break of Structure - BOS) and created significant inefficiencies/imbalances that need to be filled: Liquidity Zone (Resistance): $4050 – $4060. This is the resistance peak to watch. Sell Liquidity Zone (FVG Sell Zone): $4030 – $4040. This is the ideal Fair Value Gap for Bears to re-enter. Key Support/Buy Scalping Zone: $3925 – $3935 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.272). Swing Buy/Accumulation Zone: $3905 – $3915 (Confluence area of Fibonacci Extension 2.618). 🎯 Main Trading Scenario (Short-term BEARISH) Sell entry 4000 – 4002 SL 4008 TP 3986 – 3965 3950 – 3923 Sell Entry 4028 – 4031 (FVG) SL 4036 TP 4022 – 4010 4000 – 3960 Buy Scalping 3926 – 3928 SL 3921 TP 3939 – 3955 3970 – 3990 Buy Bottom Zone 3900 – 3908 SL 3895 TP 3922 – 3945 3970 – 3988 Export to Spreadsheet 🧭 Fundamental View & Market Sentiment The downward momentum is being driven by the following factors: Monetary Policy: Fed official Williams' remarks supporting continued rate cuts seem to be reducing the safe-haven demand for Gold. Although rate cuts typically support Gold in the long term (due to "cheap money"), a slowing labour market is a short-term negative signal. CPI News: The Bureau of Labour Statistics recalling staff to compile the CPI report amid a government shutdown highlights the importance of this data. If CPI is not as expected, it could cause significant volatility. Market Sentiment: After the structure break, technical selling sentiment may dominate, especially if the price cannot quickly recover to the 4000 level. 📌 Conclusion & Recommendations Gold has confirmed a short-term structure change to a downtrend. While the long-term trend is not yet clearly defined, the current priority is to seek Sell opportunities when the price retraces to key resistance and FVG areas (such as $4000 and $4030). Advice: Always adhere to SL (Stop Loss) and prioritise risk reduction when the market shows reversal signals. DO NOT BUY when the downtrend structure is prevailing. 👉 Follow me for detailed updates and the latest trading plans during the session!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Master Technical Indicators1. Understanding Technical Indicators A technical indicator is a mathematical calculation based on price, volume, or open interest of a security or asset. Indicators are plotted on charts to help traders visualize trends, reversals, and potential entry or exit points. Traders use these indicators to simplify the complexity of raw price data. Rather than analyzing each candle or tick, indicators smooth out noise and highlight the underlying strength or weakness of a trend. They are particularly effective when used alongside chart patterns, price action, and market sentiment analysis. Why Are Technical Indicators Important? They help identify the direction of a trend (up, down, or sideways). They signal potential entry and exit points. They assist in determining market strength and volatility. They provide confirmation for trade setups. They help in risk management by defining stop-loss and target zones. 2. Types of Technical Indicators Technical indicators are generally classified into four main categories: a. Trend Indicators These show the direction and strength of a market trend. Examples: Moving Averages, MACD, Average Directional Index (ADX), Parabolic SAR. b. Momentum Indicators These measure the speed of price movements, helping traders spot overbought or oversold conditions. Examples: RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, CCI, Momentum Indicator. c. Volatility Indicators They measure the rate of price change or fluctuations, showing how much an asset moves over a specific time period. Examples: Bollinger Bands, ATR (Average True Range), Donchian Channels. d. Volume Indicators Volume-based indicators analyze the strength behind price movements, helping traders confirm trends or reversals. Examples: On-Balance Volume (OBV), Volume Oscillator, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF). 3. Top Technical Indicators Every Trader Should Master Let’s dive deep into the most powerful and widely used technical indicators. a. Moving Averages (MA) The Moving Average is one of the simplest yet most powerful tools in technical analysis. It smooths price data to identify the direction of the trend. Types: Simple Moving Average (SMA) – Calculates the average price over a specific period. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) – Gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive. How Traders Use It: Trend Identification: When price is above the moving average, it indicates an uptrend; below it indicates a downtrend. Crossovers: Golden Cross: When the short-term MA crosses above the long-term MA (bullish signal). Death Cross: When the short-term MA crosses below the long-term MA (bearish signal). Dynamic Support & Resistance: MAs often act as support or resistance zones. Popular Settings: 50-day and 200-day MAs for long-term trends, 9-day and 21-day EMAs for short-term trading. b. Relative Strength Index (RSI) Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the magnitude of recent price changes to determine overbought or oversold conditions. Formula: RSI = 100 – , where RS = Average Gain / Average Loss. Interpretation: RSI above 70: Overbought zone (potential sell signal). RSI below 30: Oversold zone (potential buy signal). RSI between 40–60: Neutral or consolidation phase. Pro Tips: Watch for divergences (price makes a new high, but RSI does not). This often signals a reversal. RSI can also act as trend confirmation when it stays above 50 (bullish) or below 50 (bearish). c. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) The MACD is a powerful trend-following momentum indicator. It shows the relationship between two EMAs (typically 12-day and 26-day). Components: MACD Line: 12-day EMA – 26-day EMA. Signal Line: 9-day EMA of MACD line. Histogram: Difference between MACD and Signal line. How to Use: Crossover Signals: Bullish when MACD line crosses above the Signal line. Bearish when it crosses below. Zero Line Cross: When MACD crosses above zero → bullish momentum. When MACD crosses below zero → bearish momentum. Divergences: If price makes new highs while MACD fails to, it signals a weakening trend. d. Bollinger Bands Developed by John Bollinger, these bands measure volatility using standard deviations around a moving average. Structure: Middle Band: 20-day SMA. Upper Band: SMA + 2 standard deviations. Lower Band: SMA – 2 standard deviations. How to Interpret: Squeeze: When bands contract, it indicates low volatility and possible breakout soon. Expansion: When bands widen, it shows high volatility. Touch of Upper/Lower Band: Price touching the upper band signals overbought. Touching the lower band signals oversold. Pro Tip: Combine Bollinger Bands with RSI or MACD for confirmation. e. Average Directional Index (ADX) The ADX, created by Wilder, measures the strength of a trend — not its direction. Scale: 0–25: Weak or no trend. 25–50: Strong trend. 50–75: Very strong trend. 75–100: Extremely strong trend. Usage: A rising ADX indicates strengthening trend momentum. A falling ADX indicates weakening momentum. Traders often combine ADX with +DI and -DI lines to detect whether bulls or bears are in control. f. Stochastic Oscillator This momentum indicator compares the closing price of an asset to its price range over a set period (usually 14 days). Formula: %K = × 100 %D = 3-day SMA of %K. Interpretation: Above 80: Overbought. Below 20: Oversold. Crossovers between %K and %D lines indicate potential reversals. Pro Tip: Use with trend direction to avoid false signals — only buy oversold signals in an uptrend and sell overbought signals in a downtrend. g. Average True Range (ATR) The ATR measures market volatility by calculating the average range between high and low prices over a given period. Usage: Higher ATR: Indicates more volatility (use wider stop-losses). Lower ATR: Indicates less volatility (use tighter stop-losses). It helps traders adjust position sizing and risk management strategies. h. On-Balance Volume (OBV) The OBV indicator links price movement with volume to measure buying and selling pressure. Formula: If today’s close > yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV + Volume. If today’s close < yesterday’s close → OBV = Previous OBV – Volume. Interpretation: Rising OBV confirms upward momentum (buying pressure). Falling OBV confirms downward momentum (selling pressure). Divergences between OBV and price can signal reversals. 4. Combining Indicators for Better Accuracy No single indicator is perfect. The best traders combine multiple indicators to create a confluence of signals that increase trade accuracy. Popular Combinations: Trend + Momentum: Moving Average + RSI or MACD. Volatility + Momentum: Bollinger Bands + Stochastic. Volume + Trend: OBV + Moving Average. For example, a trader might go long when: The price is above the 50-day EMA (uptrend). RSI crosses above 40 from oversold levels. OBV is rising — confirming strong buying interest. 5. Common Mistakes Traders Make Even the best indicators can mislead when misused. Here are some common pitfalls: Overloading charts with too many indicators: This creates confusion and conflicting signals. Ignoring price action: Indicators should confirm, not replace, price structure analysis. Using the same type of indicators together: Combining multiple momentum indicators (like RSI and Stochastic) adds redundancy. Not adjusting settings: Default settings may not suit every market; fine-tune them to your asset and time frame. Trading without confirmation: Always wait for indicator alignment before entering a trade. 6. Building a Strategy Using Technical Indicators A robust trading strategy built around indicators should include: Market Trend Filter: (e.g., 50 EMA or ADX to determine direction) Entry Signal: (e.g., RSI crossing above 30 or MACD bullish crossover) Exit Signal: (e.g., RSI reaching overbought or MACD turning bearish) Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Rules: (e.g., ATR-based stop-loss for volatility adjustment) Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. By backtesting your strategy on historical data, you can evaluate its accuracy and profitability. 7. Adapting Indicators for Different Markets Each market behaves differently. For instance: Stocks: Indicators like RSI, MACD, and OBV work best due to volume data. Forex: Moving Averages, ADX, and Bollinger Bands help identify trends in volatile environments. Crypto: Volatility-based indicators (ATR, Bollinger Bands) are more effective because of rapid price swings. Adjust your settings and time frames accordingly: Short-term traders (scalpers/day traders) → 1-min to 15-min charts. Swing traders → 1-hour to daily charts. Long-term investors → weekly/monthly charts. 8. The Psychology Behind Indicators Technical indicators ultimately reflect trader psychology. When RSI is overbought, it shows euphoria and overconfidence. When moving averages flatten, it reflects indecision. High ATR reflects fear and panic; low ATR reflects calmness. Understanding this emotional rhythm helps traders align technical signals with real-world behavior — the essence of market sentiment analysis. 9. Future of Technical Indicators With advancements in AI and algorithmic trading, indicators are becoming more adaptive. Machine learning models can now optimize indicator parameters dynamically, improving accuracy. However, human intuition still plays a key role — especially in interpreting false signals and reading macroeconomic trends. Conclusion Mastering technical indicators is not about memorizing dozens of formulas; it’s about understanding the story they tell about price, volume, and emotion. The best traders use a balanced approach — combining trend, momentum, volume, and volatility indicators — to develop high-probability trading setups. To truly master them: Keep your chart simple. Focus on 2–3 core indicators. Always confirm signals with price action. Backtest your strategy before applying it live. When used with discipline, patience, and proper risk management, technical indicators can become your guiding compass in the ever-changing ocean of financial markets.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Good will make new ATH next week buy on dip Gold buy on dip recommended bounce from support area , levels given on chart How My Harmonic pattern projection Indicator work is explained below : Recent High or Low : D-0% is our recent low or high Profit booking zone ( Early / Risky entry) : D 13.2% -D 16.1 % is range if break them profit booking start on uptrend or downtrend but only profit booking, trend not changed SL reversal zone (Safe entry ) : SL 23.1% and SL 25.5% is reversal zone if break then trend reverse and we can take reverse trade Target : T1, T2, T3, T4 and . Are our Target zone Any Upside or downside level will activate only if break 1st level then 2nd will be active if break 2nd then 3rd will be active. Total we have 7 important level which are support and resistance area Until , 16% not break uptrend will continue if break then profit booking will start. If break 25% then fresh downtrend will start then T1, T2,T3 will activate 1,3,5,10,15,20 minutes are short term levels. 30 minutes 60 minutes , 2 hours,3 hours, ... 1 day and 1 week chart positional and long term levels
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EquityCommodityMarketJaiPrakas