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The Psychology Behind Winning TradesThe Psychology Behind Winning Trades 🧠💹✨ Introduction – Hook: 📊 “Why do some traders consistently win 💰 while others struggle 💔?” It’s rarely the strategy—it’s the mindset behind the trade! 🧠🌟 Your emotions, thoughts, and biases control your decisions, even with perfect technical skills. 🎯 1️⃣ What is Trading Psychology? Trading psychology is the study of how emotions and mental habits affect trading decisions. 🌈🧘‍♂️ It’s about understanding: How fear 😨, greed 😍, or impatience ⏳ impacts your trades Why you sometimes ignore your rules 📝 How discipline 💪 can make the difference between profit 🏆 and loss 💸 💡 Tip: Even the best strategies fail if your mind isn’t in control. 🧠✨ 2️⃣ Common Psychological Traps & How They Appear in Trades Trap Emoji Effect Example in Trading Fear 😨 Exiting too early Closing a winning trade because you’re scared of losing profits 💔 Greed 😍 Holding losing trades Waiting for a loss to “come back” and losing more money 💸 FOMO 🏃‍♂️💨 Jumping impulsively Entering trades last minute because everyone else is trading 🚀 Revenge Trading 😤🔥 Emotional loss-chasing Trying to recover losses by taking bigger, risky trades 💣 💡 Insight: Recognizing these emotions is the first step to controlling them. 🌟 3️⃣ How to Master Your Trading Mind 1️⃣ Pre-Trade Preparation 🧘‍♀️✅ Check your emotional state before trading 🕊️ Confirm your trade plan is clear 📋✨ 2️⃣ During the Trade ✋🎯 Stick to your rules, don’t let emotions take over 💪🔥 Avoid impulsive exits or entries ⏱️❌ 3️⃣ Post-Trade Reflection 📖🖊️ Keep a Trading Journal: note emotions, mistakes & wins ✨📓 Review trades to improve your mindset over time 📈🌟 4️⃣ Pro Tips for Winning Psychology 🔥 Mindset Checklist: Am I trading calmly? 😌💭 Am I following my plan? 📋✅ Am I chasing losses or profits emotionally? ⚖️💡 💡 Daily Mindset Practice: Meditation 🧘‍♂️, journaling ✍️, or reviewing trades 📊 can help you stay disciplined under pressure 💎🌟 5️⃣ Why It Matters Trading without psychology = strategy leaks money 💸💨 Emotional control = consistency, higher win rates, confidence 🏆💪 Professionals don’t just trade charts—they trade themselves 🧠✨ 6️⃣ Engagement Section 👇 Question for your audience: “What’s the biggest psychological trap YOU’ve faced in trading? Share your story below! 💬💭💖”
TVC:GOLDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (Gold) | November 7, 2025 Momentum D1 timeframe: Daily momentum is turning upward, but just one more bullish candle will push it into the overbought zone. This suggests that the current upward move may not be sustainable, and a short-term correction could occur soon. H4 timeframe: H4 momentum is about to turn bullish from the oversold area. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a short-term upward move. However, as the market is currently in a balanced state, even a small push from either buyers or sellers could shift momentum direction. Therefore, it’s better to observe carefully rather than act too early. 90M timeframe: Momentum on the 90-minute chart is turning downward, indicating a possible short-term pullback before any further advance. ________________________________________ Wave Structure D1 timeframe: The ongoing rise in momentum indicates that wave X is still unfolding, meaning the corrective phase is not yet complete. H4 timeframe: Wave X is currently forming. The liquidity zone at 4028 remains a key level to watch. If the price breaks above this zone, the next target will likely be the upper liquidity zone at 4070. On the H4 chart, the green level around 4007 represents the highest-volume area, currently acting as a strong resistance. Combined with the H4 bullish momentum reversal, it shows buying pressure exists, but the resistance remains heavy, making the 4007–4028 region a key battleground. We should wait for a clear breakout before confirming the next direction. 90M timeframe: • A triangle-like structure seems to be forming, but it’s not yet complete, so confirmation is needed. • Waves a and b appear finished; the market may now be forming wave c (black) or wave d (black). • Since H4 momentum is turning bullish, if the price breaks above 4012, it will likely confirm wave c continuation. • Conversely, if the price drops toward 3950, completing a three-wave WXY (blue) structure, we can consider it wave d instead. Currently, wave c (black) is temporarily labeled since the structure already shows three subwaves completed. Therefore, I expect a decline toward 3950, where we can look for a short-term buy setup. ________________________________________ Trade Plan • Buy Zone: 3952 – 3950 • Stoploss: 3935 • TP1: 3980 • TP2: 4000
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Rejection at Resistance – Bearish Channel Targeting 3930📉 Analysis: The chart shows a clear shift from an uptrend into a bearish correctional channel: 1. Uptrend Broken Price previously followed a clean uptrend channel, making BOS (Break of Structure) swings upward. A ChoCH (Change of Character) occurred, confirming momentum weakening. 2. Strong Resistance Zone Price entered the 4018–4030 resistance level, marked as a weak high. This zone acted as a reaction area, causing multiple rejections. 3. Bearish Channel Formation After hitting resistance, price began forming lower highs and lower lows inside a falling channel. The rejection line confirms sellers defending the zone. 4. Expected Bearish Leg The projected path shows consolidation inside the channel followed by a sharp downward impulsive move. Clean liquidity below supports the bearish scenario. 5. Targets Major target: 3930 (Highlighted as the trader's target and matches channel support + demand zone.) 📌 Summary Gold is rejecting the 4020–4030 resistance and forming a bearish channel. A continuation downward toward 3930 remains likely unless price breaks above the resistance with strong momentum.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DrForexPhd
XAU/USD – REJECTION AT 3997 SUPPLY ZONE | SHORT-TERM PULLBACK SE📅 Date: Nov 06, 2025 📊 Main timeframe: H2 confirmation + M30 execution 🎯 Strategy: SMC + Liquidity Grab + OB Rejection 🟡 MARKET CONTEXT: Gold (XAU/USD) is retesting the 3995–3997 supply zone where a previous liquidity sweep and Break of Structure (BOS) took place. The higher timeframe bias remains bullish, but intraday price action suggests a short-term pullback before continuation. 🔸 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK: Strong rejection from OB/Supply Zone (3995–3997) BOS and CHoCH confirm short-term weakness. Key buy zones aligning with demand + FVG areas: • 3968–3966 → first liquidity pocket • 3957–3955 → main intraday demand • 3936–3934 → deep liquidity / FVG zone 🎯 TRADING PLAN: SELL Setup • Entry: 3995 – 3997 • Stop Loss: 4001 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3970 / 3968 • Reason: OB rejection + liquidity sweep confirmation BUY Setup • Entry: 3968 – 3966 (conservative) / 3957 – 3955 (aggressive) • Stop Loss: 3949 (≤ 6$ risk) • Take Profit: 3988 / 3995 • Reason: Demand zone reaction + FVG fill + bullish BOS 📊 BIAS: Short-term bearish retracement within a bullish higher timeframe trend. Expecting liquidity sweep below 3970 before potential continuation toward 3995–4000.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
GOLD IS SETTING UP FOR ANOTHER BULLISH RUN — BUY THE DIP BEFORE November 7, 2025 — GOLD Daily Trading Plan 💰 🎯 Bias: LONG Setup (Buy the Dip) Gold continues to show bullish market structure after multiple BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations on both intraday and H1 charts. Price has reacted from the previous demand area 3969–3977, leaving a clean FVG below, suggesting unfilled imbalance and potential liquidity resting underneath. At the moment, XAUUSD is hovering near 4007, approaching a minor supply zone at 4018–4020. I expect price to potentially sweep liquidity above 4018, then retrace back toward 3975–3969 to form a higher low before continuing its bullish leg. Key confluences supporting the long bias: ✅ Multiple BOS and CHoCH shifts confirm bullish intent. ✅ FVG + Volume Gap below aligns with a discount zone for entries. ✅ Structural higher low formation still intact as long as price holds above 3965. 📌 Trade Plan: 🟩 Buy Zone: 3977 – 3969 ⛔ Stop Loss: 3963 (max 6 points) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 4005 🎯 Take Profit 2: 4018 If price decisively breaks above 4020, expect continuation toward 4035–4040, but intraday traders should secure profits around the 4018 zone. In case of a deeper retracement, watch for liquidity grabs near 3965–3950 FVG before another bullish push.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2) After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing against the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 5/11). The advantage will clearly lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and held. Technical Analysis (prioritise H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci) Trendline & Structure The descending trendline is blocking recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports adjustment waves. Closing the H2 candle above the confluence area ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement. Support / Resistance (S/R) Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”). Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone). Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110. Volume Profile (recent session / composite) POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad. LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010. Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing) 1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target. 2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking. Today's Trading Scenarios Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout direction Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020 SL: 4014 TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110 Management: Partially close at 4045; move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 means POC 4015–4017 should switch roles to support. Scenario 1b – Buy on adjustment wave (before breakout, cautious volume) Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline SL: 3988 TP: 4017 → 4045 Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order. Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence Fibo 1.618 + supply zone) SL: 4056 TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020 Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052. Summary The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LiamTradingFX
XAUUSD Eyes 4000$ Breakout as Accumulation Phase Near Completion🔍 Market Context After a week of sideways consolidation within a broad range, gold (XAU/USD) is showing the first signs of structural recovery. The market is gradually carving a potential short-term bottom, hinting that the corrective phase may be ending — and a breakout from the range could be imminent. Despite the lack of new macro catalysts, sentiment remains underpinned by renewed safe-haven flows and expectations that the Fed will maintain its easing stance through early 2026. Traders are now watching closely whether the 4,000$ handle will finally give way — a key inflection zone that could trigger aggressive momentum buying if reclaimed. 📊 Technical Structure (H1–H4) Gold is currently trading above the intraday demand zone 3,969$–3,982$, maintaining a short-term bullish structure while compressing under resistance. The descending trendline and Fibo confluence near 4,019$–4,048$ act as the next critical reaction area for breakout confirmation. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Demand Zone: 3,969$ – 3,982$ (liquidity base + ascending trendline confluence) • 🎯 Primary Resistance: 4,019$ – 4,048$ (trendline + Fibo 1.272/1.618) • ⚙️ Bullish Target: 4,046$ → 4,052$ → 4,090$ (extended range liquidity) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,960$ → risk of a deeper correction toward 3,940$. 🎯 MMFLOW Outlook Smart money appears to be absorbing liquidity within the 3,970$ zone, suggesting accumulation before expansion. If gold can break and sustain above 4,000$, the bias flips decisively bullish — opening the door for a range expansion toward 4,050$+. This could mark the beginning of a new impulse phase following weeks of compression. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “When volatility sleeps, liquidity quietly builds the next trend.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD – Retest Before Takeoff📊 Market Structure After several days of fluctuating within a narrow range, gold has finally broken through the main descending trendline extending from the peak of 4,108 USD. Buyers are currently controlling the short-term structure by continuously creating BoS (Break of Structure) in the price range of 3,965 – 3,980 USD. The Order Block 3,970 – 3,975 USD area has become an important dynamic support zone , converging with the newly formed trendline. If the price continues to hold above this area, there is a high possibility of a light retest to absorb liquidity before breaking out to higher resistance zones. Above, the Resistance 4,028 USD zone is the first barrier to overcome to confirm the medium-term uptrend, while the Liquidity Zone around 4,070 – 4,080 USD is the extended target of the breakout. 💎 Key Technical Zones • Order Block (Support): 3,970 – 3,975 USD → potential retest area. • Resistance Zone: 4,028 USD → first profit-taking point for buyers. • Liquidity Zone: 4,070 – 4,080 USD → extended target if resistance is successfully broken. 🎯 Trading Scenarios 1️⃣ BUY Scenario – Retest OB: If the price adjusts to the 3,970 – 3,975 USD area and a confirming candle signal appears (bullish rejection / engulfing): • Entry: 3,972 – 3,975 • SL: 3,960 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 4,028 • TP3: 4,070 → Prioritize trading with the trend after the uptrend structure is confirmed. 2️⃣ SELL Scenario – Reaction at Resistance: If the price hits the 4,028 – 4,070 USD area and there is a strong reversal signal: • Entry: 4,045 • SL: 4,065 • TP1: 4,015 • TP2: 3,985 → Short-term scalp, only activate if a clear rejection signal appears. 🧠 Vincent’s View Gold is showing signs of transitioning from accumulation to range expansion . Breaking the descending trendline is the first signal for a new upward move, as long as the OB 3,970 area remains intact. Buyers can take advantage of pullbacks to increase their position, targeting 4,070 USD – where significant liquidity converges above. “Break the line, respect the retest — that’s where smart money joins the move.” ⚜️ ⏰ Timeframe: 1H 📅 Updated: 07/11/2025 ✍️ Analysis by: Captain Vincent
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CaptainVincent
Gold 1H – Pullback Expected as USD Softens After Jobless Claims🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Trading Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader 📈 Market Context Gold is trading within a corrective structure today as the U.S. dollar weakens slightly following higher-than-expected Jobless Claims. Market sentiment remains mixed ahead of upcoming Fed speeches, which could provide clues about December policy expectations. • A more hawkish tone could trigger a deeper downside move toward unfilled discount zones. • Conversely, any dovish signals may push gold into a short-term liquidity grab before resuming its corrective trend. Liquidity remains concentrated near the $4,030 area, where price may tap into resting buy-side liquidity before forming the next bearish leg. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Style) • Structure: Current bias shows corrective bearish intent following recent ChoCH → BOS sequence on H1. • Premium Zone: The 4030–4028 region aligns with an unmitigated H1 supply — ideal for continuation shorts. • Liquidity Sweep: Price may reach 4030 to sweep early breakout buyers before confirming downside continuation. • Discount Zone: Strong demand sits at 3932–3934, overlapping with previous bullish displacement and unmitigated demand. 🔴 Sell Setup • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4040 • Take-Profit Targets: → 3980 → 3964 → 3934 (major demand zone) 🟢 Buy Setup (Countertrend Reaction) • Entry: 3932 – 3934 • Stop-Loss: 3925 • Take-Profit Targets: → 3964→ 3995 → 4020 (Only valid if liquidity sweep and bullish reaction occur at the demand zone) ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Wait for M15 BOS/ChoCH confirmation at both zones to avoid premature entries. • Avoid trading directly at the minor support around 3964 — it is not a valid SMC entry zone. • Prioritize the sell setup; intraday bias remains corrective-bearish within a broader range. • Secure partial profits at the first liquidity target and trail stops according to structure. ✅ Summary Gold is likely to seek premium liquidity near 4030 before resuming its corrective move lower. The 4030–4028 supply area offers a clean continuation-short entry, while 3932–3934 remains the strongest discount zone for reactive long setups. Stay adaptable — the market maintains a mild bearish tone while waiting for further Fed guidance. FOLLOW RYAN_TITANTRADER for daily SMC setups ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Consolidation Before Drop**Gold (XAUUSD) – Consolidation Before Potential Downside Move** Gold continues to hover in a consolidation range after the recent breakout and structural shift on the 3H chart. The bullish momentum that previously dominated has now slowed, indicating a possible distribution phase forming near the $4,050–$4,100 zone. The market structure shows repeated rejections at the upper boundary, suggesting that buyers are losing strength. With BOS (Break of Structure) confirmations in the recent candles and a clear lack of higher highs, a potential downside continuation could unfold once the current range is broken. If sellers take control below $3,978, the next liquidity targets lie around **$3,886** and possibly **$3,614**. This scenario aligns with the broader retracement expectation after a strong prior uptrend. However, a confirmed breakout above the consolidation area would shift the short-term bias back to bullish, with upside potential toward **$4,248** and beyond. **Market Outlook:** Neutral → Bearish **Bias:** Short-term corrective move expected **Key Levels:** * Resistance: $4,050 – $4,100 * Support: $3,886 – $3,614 **Tags:** #Gold #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSDforecast #GoldPricePrediction #GoldTrading #GoldMarket #Commodities #TradingViewIdeas
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Breaks Above $4000, Bulls Take Control for $4100.Dollar Index Meets Resistance at 100.35 near 50 Week EMA .ADP and ISM Non-Manufacturing data improved sentiments. .Fed signals dovish tilt in monetary policy shift. .Mid east tensions and global concerns on economic growth support safe haven demand. .Gold gains strong momentum on breakout above $4000 psychological zone. What's Going on in Gold? After historical one sided bullish rally in Gold the technical indicators were extremely overbought with Monthly RSI reading above 92 screaming for a healthy price correction long overdue and the metal price has witnessed almost $500 correction since then, from $4380 down to $3886 which is very close, just $40 away from 50% Fibonacci retracement zone of $3846 The recent few weeks have witnessed dramatic volatility surge and several unseen records like a $300 intraday drop from the record high and wild swings like a giant roller-coaster. The recent downward spike that dragged Gold prices to $3929 has attracted buyers once again leading to strong breakout above the psychological mark of $4000 reaching $4017 which is lower boundary of immediate resistance bracket $4017-$4028 What's Likely Scenario Ahead for Bulls? This $4017-$4028 zone is significant as solid demand accumulation above this zone will extend rebound towards next resistance cluster of $4060-$4085 above which $4100 sits as next critical resistance. If macro factors align together in favour of safe haven demand for Gold with consolidated break above $4100, the probability for bullish rebound extending further would increase with potential upside reaching $4130 followed by $4190 in near term. Will the Bullish Rally Pause at $4200? The probability of current rebound extending or pausing is purely subject to price reaction to key price levels aligned with Fibonacci retracements. As of now considering the strong breakout above $4000 psychological mark and current consolidation above $4010, a strong push above $4018-$4020 will extend move to $4028-$4035-$4045 while next effective resistance areas are $4060 and $4085 with major hurdle $4100 which may act as supply zone. If the rally has to pause, price action needs to be monitored at $4060 and $4085-$4100 for signs of rejection and momentum exhaustion. If price resistance shows rejection on the critical areas, a sell off may be witnessed towards $4000-$3975 Short Term Outlook: The breakout and price consolidation above $4000 is supportive for a short term bullish rebound which initially targets $4030-$4045-$4060 followed by $4085-$4100 Any pullback towards $3975-$3965 is likely to attract buyers on dips.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SunilKumarDixitSKCharting
StevenTrading – Gold confirms an upward trend across multiple...StevenTrading – Gold confirms an upward trend across multiple timeframes Hello everyone, StevenTrading is back with the latest insights on the gold market. While USD speculators continue to bet on the decline of the greenback – even challenging the Federal Reserve's (Fed) “hawkish” stance – gold is seizing this period to strengthen its position. Although Chairman Powell still signals maintaining a tight policy, most strategists believe that the USD will remain weak in November, creating a favourable environment for the precious metal's rise. 📰 Fundamental Analysis – Cash Flow Perspective Cash flow is shifting from USD-denominated assets to safe-haven assets, with gold being the top choice. Financial instability and divisions within the Fed keep inflation expectations high, supporting gold's upward trend in the medium term. 📊 Technical Analysis – Structure Break & Trend Confirmation On the technical chart, gold has broken the downtrend line on the H4 timeframe and surged past the strong resistance zone around 3990–4000, confirming an extended upward trend across multiple timeframes. Currently, the price is hesitating around the trendline – a sign of the market attracting liquidity before continuing to rise. The medium-term price target is aimed at the 418x zone, where the confluence between FVG and major resistance occurs. However, the 4080 zone is a critical area to closely observe price reactions, especially if short-term distribution signals appear. 🎯 Trading Scenario (Action Plan) 🟢 BUY Scenario – Buy in line with the upward trend: Logic: The price has confirmed a resistance break and retested the breakout zone, presenting an opportunity for trend-following buy orders. Entry: Buy 4000 SL: 3990 TP: 4035 – 4050 – 4080 – OPEN 🔴 SELL Scenario – Only for short-term reactions (Scalping): If the price reacts strongly at the 4080 zone, consider a short sell with short-term targets within the liquidity zone – prioritise quick exits, do not hold positions overnight. 📌 Steven's Notes The main trend remains upward in the medium term, however, monitor price reactions on smaller timeframes (M15–M30) to optimise entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steven-GoldTrading
GOLD RANGE PLAY — CLEAN SUPPLY & DEMAND REACTIONS AHEAD🧭 DAILY TRADING PLAN — GOLD (XAU/USD) Date: Nov 3, 2025 Main Timeframe: M30 – H1 Strategy: SMC + Trendline Structure + Supply/Demand Zones 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold continues to consolidate inside a symmetrical triangle, forming clear supply and demand zones within a tightening range. Current structure shows a bearish bias below 4039 but still holding a bullish base above 3970–3980. Both buyers and sellers have clear liquidity zones to play from — ideal for short-term reactions and fade setups. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 🔹 BUY SCENARIO 1 (Main Setup) BUY 3980 – 3978 → SL: 3973 (6 pips) → TP1: 4010 | TP2: 4038 Structure support + local BOS. Wait for bullish rejection or engulfing confirmation. R:R ≈ 5–9 depending on TP target. 🔹 BUY SCENARIO 2 (Aggressive Entry) BUY 3970 – 3968 → SL: 3963 → TP1: 4000 | TP2: 4038 Deep retest into lower trendline + demand imbalance zone. Only valid if market respects structure and holds above 3960. 🔸 SELL SCENARIO 1 SELL 4027 – 4029 → SL: 4034 → TP1: 4000 | TP2: 3970 Short from supply zone with bearish CHoCH confirmation on lower timeframe. Rejection at this level can target liquidity below 3980. 🔸 SELL SCENARIO 2 (Higher Supply) SELL 4037 – 4039 → SL: 4044 → TP1: 4010 | TP2: 3970 This is the weak high area — potential sweep zone before reversal. Look for liquidity grab + bearish candle confirmation before entry. 🧩 STRUCTURE RECAP Bias: Range-bound → Bearish within triangle BOS / CHoCH: Confirmed on M30 around 4029 zone Weak High: 4039 Strong Support: 3970–3980 Major Resistance: 4045–4128 ⚙️ TRADE MANAGEMENT Risk per setup ≤ 1–2% Move SL → BE after TP1 Avoid entries during high-impact news Wait for confirmation (no blind limits) 🧠 SUMMARY Gold is ranging within a compressed structure, where shorts from supply and buys from demand both align with liquidity targets. The cleanest play remains: → Buy near 3978 / Sell near 4038, trade between zones until a breakout occurs. If price breaks and holds above 4045, expect bullish continuation to 4128. If breaks below 3960, bearish expansion likely resumes toward 3920.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Anneliese_Engel
Gold Holds 3,980$ as Bulls Eye Recovery Toward 4,020$🔍 Market Context Gold steadies near the 3,980$ mark as traders weigh shifting expectations on US interest rates. The latest ADP employment report showed a modest increase of 42,000 jobs — easing fears of an accelerated slowdown but reinforcing the broader cooling trend in the labor market. While the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts have supported bullion throughout the year, the prolonged US government shutdown now clouds macro visibility, delaying key economic data. Despite mixed sentiment, gold remains one of 2025’s strongest-performing assets, up over 50% year-to-date, driven by ETF inflows and central bank demand. 📊 Technical Outlook (H1–H4) Gold has staged a notable rebound from the 3,947$–3,969$ demand zone, reclaiming short-term structure and approaching the 3,990$–4,000$ liquidity pocket. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fib retracement and descending trendline resistance — making it the next decision point for intraday traders. Key Technical Zones: • 💎 Support: 3,947$ – 3,969$ (Liquidity Base / Re-accumulation) • 🎯 Resistance: 3,992$ – 4,024$ (Fibo 0.618 + Trendline Confluence) • ⚙️ Extended Bull Target: 4,028$ – 4,033$ (1.272–1.618 Fibo Expansion) • ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 3,940$ → shifts bias toward 3,905$ liquidity pool. 🎯 MMFLOW View Smart money continues to accumulate within the re-accumulation pocket near 3,950$, hinting at latent bullish intent. If price holds above 3,970$ after today’s consolidation, an extension toward 4,020$–4,033$ remains highly probable. However, failure to maintain intraday demand could invite another liquidity sweep before a larger push higher. ⚜️ MMFLOW Insight: “Liquidity reveals intention — structure only confirms it.”
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAUUSD)🟡 Timeframe: 1H Current Price: $3,989 Market Overview: Gold prices are consolidating near the $3,985–$3,990 zone after recovering from recent lows. The metal maintains bullish momentum supported by strong price action above short-term moving averages, with buyers regaining control amid stable US Dollar movement. Indicator Analysis: 1. EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The price is currently trading above the 21-EMA and 50-EMA, indicating a short-term bullish bias. As long as Gold holds above the 21-EMA ($3,982), momentum remains favorable for buyers. 2. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price): Price is above VWAP, suggesting active buying pressure and potential continuation toward the next resistance zones. The VWAP band support sits around $3,977, acting as a key intraday cushion. 3. Bollinger/VWAP Bands: Price is testing the upper VWAP band, showing possible short-term resistance but overall strength in the trend. Any pullback toward mid-band levels ($3,975–$3,980) could attract new buying interest. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: $4,000 / $4,015 Major Resistance: $4,035 / $4,050 Immediate Support: $3,980 / $3,972 Major Support: $3,965 / $3,950 Technical Bias: Bullish above: $3,980 Neutral zone: $3,970–$3,980 Bearish below: $3,965 Outlook: Gold remains in a short-term uptrend, with momentum favoring further upside as long as it holds above $3,980. A clean breakout above $4,000 could open room toward $4,015–$4,035. Conversely, a drop below $3,970 would signal weakening momentum, potentially retesting the $3,950 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by carlos_fx2
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – November 6, 2025🔹 Momentum D1 timeframe: The D1 momentum is now closing in, signaling a possible transition phase with two potential outcomes: • If today’s D1 candle closes bullish (green): momentum is likely to reverse upward, suggesting a short-term bullish correction. • If today’s candle closes bearish (red): the downtrend may continue. The current momentum behavior is unusual, reflecting market indecision between buyers and sellers after a strong decline. As a result, even a small impulse from either side could cause a quick momentum shift. H4 timeframe: Momentum on H4 is still in a downward phase but already showing early signs of closing and potential bullish reversal. • If the current H4 candle closes bearish, the downtrend may extend. • If it closes bullish and momentum turns upward, price could retest the 4028 zone. H1 timeframe: Momentum on H1 is now entering the oversold area, indicating that a reversal could occur within 1–2 more H1 candles. If momentum turns down again from resistance, this could offer an opportunity for a short-term sell (scalp) around the nearest liquidity zone. ________________________________________ 🔹 Wave Structure D1 timeframe: As discussed in previous plans, the current structure still forms a W–X–Y correction in yellow, representing wave (4) of the larger cycle. • The W wave has already reached the 0.382 retracement of wave (3) yellow — which often marks the typical end zone of wave 4. • Therefore, the following X and Y waves may take longer to complete to maintain time balance within wave (4). Meanwhile, the X wave (purple) remains relatively shallow, having retraced only about 0.236 of wave W (purple). Combined with the still-uncertain momentum discussed above, a potential rise toward the 4149 zone remains a realistic scenario. However, if today’s D1 candle closes bearish, price could continue lower to complete wave Y (purple). Given the current structure favors time balance rather than depth, this Y wave may unfold sideways rather than deeply downward. At this stage, price is compressed within a narrow range, reflecting market hesitation. It’s best to wait for major catalysts such as the Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could trigger the next decisive move. ________________________________________ H4 timeframe: The current X wave is developing within a narrow range under the form of a contracting triangle (a–b–c–d–e). A triangle can only be confirmed once all five internal legs are completed. Once that happens, a breakout above or below the triangle boundaries will define the next direction. 👉 For now, observation should be prioritized over action. ________________________________________ H1 timeframe: Wave labeling on H1 is somewhat noisy due to overlapping three-wave structures within a tightening range. Tentatively, the labeling shows a W–X–Y correction in green, where wave X appears to be a triangle formation. A final small drop forming wave e could complete this triangle (wave X in green). Once it’s done, a new Y wave in green may start unfolding upward. ________________________________________ 🔹 Summary At present, the market remains noisy and compressed, making it unsuitable for swing entries. • Avoid swing positions until the structure and momentum become clearer. • Focus only on short-term scalp setups around key liquidity zones identified earlier. • Wait for confirmation of direction and structure before committing to larger trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WavePoint_FX