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LiamTrading – XAUUSD: A New Trend EmergingHello traders, gold has just formed a new structure as it began a sharp correction following Chairman Powell’s announcement of a Fed rate cut. On the H1 chart, a clear bearish Dow structure is developing, indicating potential medium-term sustainability. Most buy-side liquidity has already been cleared, which makes the chances of a strong recovery quite low – except for a brief FVG right after the news. However, given overall market sentiment, trading activity in that phase was not significant. The gap formation signals that sellers are now confident in taking control after the Fed’s statement. The current decline could push gold towards the 363x region, and possibly as far as 361x. A key confirmation level remains at the strong support of 3651, where price previously bounced more than 20 dollars immediately after the news. Trading plan for today: Sell 3656 – 3659, SL 3666, TP 3651 – 3646 – 3638 – 3634 – 3626 – 3615 Buy 3634 – 3632, SL 3628, TP 3640 – 3652 – 3660 Buy zone 3607 – 3604, SL 3600, TP 3616 – 3625 – 3638 – 3647 – 3660 This is my personal outlook on XAUUSD for today – use it as a reference for your own trading decisions. If you find this analysis helpful, do follow me for more gold trading scenarios and daily insights.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Blockchain & Tokenized Assets in Trading1. Understanding Blockchain in Trading 1.1 Blockchain Fundamentals Blockchain is a decentralized ledger that records transactions across multiple computers, ensuring that records cannot be altered retroactively. Key characteristics include: Decentralization: No single entity controls the network, reducing the risk of centralized failures or manipulation. Immutability: Once recorded, transactions cannot be altered, enhancing transparency and trust. Consensus Mechanisms: Networks use methods like Proof of Work (PoW) or Proof of Stake (PoS) to validate transactions. Smart Contracts: Self-executing contracts with rules encoded directly on the blockchain automate processes, reducing human intervention. In trading, these features eliminate many traditional inefficiencies, such as delayed settlement, dependency on intermediaries, and manual record-keeping. 1.2 Blockchain vs Traditional Trading Systems Traditional trading systems, such as stock exchanges and commodity markets, are centralized and rely heavily on brokers, clearinghouses, and custodians. These systems often involve: Settlement delays: Trades typically settle in T+2 or T+3 days. Limited accessibility: Small investors may face restrictions due to high entry barriers. Manual reconciliation: Back-office operations are labor-intensive and prone to errors. Blockchain addresses these issues by providing: Real-time settlement: Transactions can be settled almost instantly using digital tokens. Global accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection can participate in tokenized markets. Reduced costs: Automation through smart contracts lowers administrative and operational expenses. 2. Tokenized Assets: Definition and Scope 2.1 What Are Tokenized Assets? Tokenized assets are digital tokens issued on a blockchain that represent ownership rights to real-world assets. These tokens can be broadly categorized into: Security Tokens: Represent traditional securities like stocks, bonds, or real estate shares. They are often regulated and provide legal rights to holders, including dividends or interest payments. Utility Tokens: Provide access to a service or platform rather than ownership of an asset. For example, tokens used in decentralized exchanges for transaction fees. Commodity Tokens: Represent tangible assets like gold, oil, or other commodities. NFTs as Assets: While traditionally linked to art and collectibles, NFTs can represent ownership of unique financial contracts or intellectual property. 2.2 Benefits of Tokenization Fractional Ownership: High-value assets, like real estate or rare art, can be divided into smaller tokens, allowing retail investors to participate. Liquidity: Tokenization enables trading of illiquid assets in secondary markets, improving asset liquidity. Transparency and Security: Ownership and transaction history are recorded immutably on the blockchain. Global Market Access: Investors worldwide can buy and sell tokenized assets without geographic restrictions. Programmability: Smart contracts automate payouts, compliance, and corporate actions. 3. Blockchain-Powered Trading Platforms 3.1 Decentralized Exchanges (DEXs) Decentralized exchanges allow peer-to-peer trading without intermediaries. Examples include Uniswap, Sushiswap, and PancakeSwap. Key advantages: Users retain custody of their assets. Automated Market Makers (AMMs) provide liquidity using smart contracts. Cross-border and 24/7 trading is possible. 3.2 Security Token Exchanges Security token exchanges, like tZERO and OpenFinance, cater to regulated security tokens. Features include: Compliance with KYC/AML regulations. Integration with traditional financial systems. Fractional trading of securities like real estate, bonds, or shares. 3.3 Hybrid Trading Platforms Hybrid platforms combine centralized and decentralized elements to provide regulatory compliance, liquidity, and efficient execution. Examples include Binance and FTX (prior to its collapse). They often provide: Custody services. Access to tokenized securities. Integration with fiat onramps. 4. Applications of Tokenized Assets in Trading 4.1 Equity Tokenization Companies can issue shares as digital tokens, making fundraising faster and accessible globally. Benefits include: Reduced costs of IPOs and share issuance. Increased liquidity for traditionally illiquid stocks. Fractional ownership for small investors. 4.2 Bond Tokenization Tokenized bonds offer programmable interest payouts and shorter settlement cycles. This reduces operational costs and increases market efficiency. 4.3 Commodity Tokenization Gold, silver, and oil can be tokenized, allowing traders to buy small fractions of physical commodities. Advantages: Reduced storage and transport costs. Global access to commodities markets. Instant settlement and 24/7 trading. 4.4 Real Estate Tokenization Tokenizing real estate allows multiple investors to co-own properties without traditional paperwork. Benefits: Liquidity in traditionally illiquid markets. Diversification across geographies and asset types. Automated rental income distribution via smart contracts. 4.5 Derivatives and Synthetic Assets Blockchain enables tokenized derivatives and synthetic assets that mirror the price movements of traditional assets. Traders can gain exposure to equities, commodities, or currencies without holding the underlying asset. 5. Advantages of Blockchain and Tokenization in Trading Efficiency and Speed: Trade settlement occurs almost instantly compared to traditional T+2/T+3 systems. Reduced Counterparty Risk: Smart contracts automate settlement, reducing reliance on third parties. Cost Reduction: Fewer intermediaries and automation lower transaction and operational costs. Transparency: All transactions are recorded on a public ledger, reducing fraud risk. Global Access: Investors across the world can participate without geographical restrictions. Programmable Assets: Smart contracts allow automation of dividends, interest, or royalties. 6. Challenges and Risks While the benefits are significant, blockchain and tokenized assets face several challenges: 6.1 Regulatory Challenges Regulatory frameworks for tokenized assets are still evolving worldwide. Different countries have varying rules for securities, taxation, and investor protection. Compliance with anti-money laundering (AML) and know-your-customer (KYC) standards is mandatory but complicated in decentralized systems. 6.2 Security Concerns Smart contract vulnerabilities can lead to hacks and loss of assets. Private key management is critical; loss of keys results in irreversible loss. 6.3 Market Liquidity Tokenized asset markets are still emerging; liquidity may not always match traditional markets. Low liquidity can lead to price volatility and market manipulation. 6.4 Technological Risks Blockchain scalability and transaction speed are ongoing challenges, especially during periods of high demand. Interoperability between different blockchain networks is limited. 9. Conclusion Blockchain technology and tokenized assets are reshaping the landscape of trading. By combining decentralization, transparency, and programmability, they address the inefficiencies of traditional financial markets. Investors can now access fractional ownership of assets, trade globally, and benefit from faster settlement cycles. However, challenges remain—regulation, security, liquidity, and technological limitations need resolution for mainstream adoption. Despite these hurdles, the trajectory is clear: tokenized trading is moving from niche innovation to an integral part of global financial markets. The future may see fully decentralized exchanges for stocks, bonds, commodities, and real estate, offering unprecedented access, efficiency, and democratization of financial markets. Blockchain and tokenized assets do not merely represent a new way to trade—they signal a paradigm shift in how value is represented, transferred, and monetized in the digital era. For traders, investors, and institutions, embracing this evolution is no longer optional; it is essential for staying ahead in the rapidly changing financial landscape.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Technology & Innovation in Trading1. Historical Context: From Open Outcry to Digital Platforms 1.1 The Open-Outcry Era Traditionally, trading took place in physical exchanges using open-outcry systems, where traders would shout and use hand signals to execute orders. While this method facilitated human interaction and negotiation, it had significant limitations: Time and geographical constraints: Trading required physical presence on the floor. Limited access: Retail investors found it difficult to participate. Risk of human error: Manual execution often resulted in mistakes. 1.2 Advent of Electronic Trading The 1980s and 1990s marked the transition from floor-based trading to electronic systems. Exchanges like NASDAQ pioneered automated order matching, allowing trades to be executed faster and more efficiently. The introduction of electronic trading platforms democratized market access and laid the foundation for further innovations. Key innovations included: Real-time quotes and order books. Electronic order matching. Automated risk management tools for brokers and traders. 2. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading (HFT) 2.1 Algorithmic Trading Algorithmic trading (algo trading) uses computer programs to execute trades based on predefined criteria. These algorithms analyze vast amounts of market data to identify patterns, trends, and opportunities that humans may overlook. Advantages: Increased execution speed. Reduced transaction costs. Minimized human bias and emotional decision-making. Applications: Trend-following strategies. Arbitrage opportunities. Market-making operations. 2.2 High-Frequency Trading High-Frequency Trading represents a subset of algorithmic trading characterized by ultra-fast execution and extremely short holding periods. HFT relies on sophisticated algorithms, co-location facilities near exchange servers, and ultra-low latency networks. Impact of HFT: Liquidity provision: HFT firms often act as market makers. Market volatility: While providing liquidity, HFT can amplify short-term volatility. Technological arms race: Firms compete to reduce latency by microseconds, driving continuous innovation in network and hardware technology. 3. Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Trading 3.1 Predictive Analytics Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) enable predictive analytics in trading. By analyzing historical price patterns, market sentiment, and macroeconomic indicators, AI models can forecast market movements with increasing accuracy. Applications: Sentiment analysis: AI analyzes news articles, social media, and financial reports to gauge market sentiment. Pattern recognition: ML algorithms identify recurring patterns that signal potential buy or sell opportunities. Portfolio optimization: AI helps traders optimize asset allocation based on risk-return profiles. 3.2 Reinforcement Learning Reinforcement learning, a branch of AI, is increasingly applied to trading. Here, algorithms learn through trial and error, optimizing strategies over time. These models are particularly useful in dynamic markets where traditional rule-based algorithms may fail. 4. Big Data and Market Intelligence The explosion of digital information has given rise to big data, which is transforming trading decisions. Financial markets generate enormous volumes of structured and unstructured data, including: Price and volume data. News and macroeconomic indicators. Social media trends. Alternative data sources like satellite imagery, shipping logs, and consumer behavior metrics. Big data technologies in trading: Real-time data processing frameworks. Advanced analytics platforms. Data visualization tools for actionable insights. Traders now leverage these tools to gain competitive advantages, optimize strategies, and identify market anomalies before competitors. 5. Blockchain and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) 5.1 Blockchain Technology Blockchain introduces decentralized, immutable ledgers that enhance transparency and security in trading. Its applications in trading are vast: Cryptocurrency exchanges: Platforms like Binance and Coinbase rely on blockchain for secure transactions. Tokenized assets: Traditional assets such as stocks, bonds, and real estate can now be tokenized for fractional ownership and global trading. 5.2 Decentralized Finance DeFi platforms use smart contracts to execute trades without intermediaries, reducing costs and settlement times. Innovations like automated market makers (AMMs) and decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are reshaping the conventional trading ecosystem. 6. Mobile Trading and Retail Empowerment The proliferation of smartphones has democratized access to trading. Mobile trading apps enable retail investors to trade anytime, anywhere. Innovations include: Real-time price alerts and notifications. Fractional share trading. Integration with AI-based advisory services. Gamification features to enhance engagement and financial literacy. This trend has increased market participation and encouraged the growth of retail trading, particularly among younger investors. Conclusion Technology and innovation have fundamentally reshaped trading, making it faster, more accessible, and more sophisticated. From algorithmic trading and AI-driven insights to blockchain, DeFi, and mobile platforms, the financial markets of today are more interconnected and data-driven than ever. While these innovations create unprecedented opportunities, they also pose challenges related to security, regulation, and systemic risk. The future of trading lies in the continuous interplay of technology, human ingenuity, and robust regulatory frameworks—ensuring that markets remain efficient, inclusive, and resilient. The next decade promises even more radical transformations, as AI, quantum computing, and immersive technologies converge with finance. Traders, institutions, and regulators must adapt proactively to leverage opportunities while mitigating risks, ensuring that the financial markets continue to thrive in an era of rapid technological change.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold 1H – Fed Decision Looms After $3,700 BreakOn the 1H timeframe, Gold is consolidating around 3,675 after sweeping through the key $3,700 level. Price briefly touched 3,702 before retreating back into the 3,670s, showing engineered liquidity runs on both sides. With the Fed policy decision expected at 1 AM VN time, volatility is likely to spike. The market remains supported by easing USD, central bank flows, and geopolitical tensions, but short-term positioning indicates possible liquidity grabs before a clear directional move. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H) • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,696 – 3,694 (SL 3,703) Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection targeting 3,690 → 3,685 → 3,680. • 🟢 FVG BUY ZONE 3,674 – 3,665 (SL 3,660) Fair Value Gap demand zone for retracement into structure, targeting 3,685 → 3,695 → 3,700+. • 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,636 – 3,638 (SL 3,630) Deep discount accumulation zone targeting 3,655 → 3,670 → 3,680+. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based) 🔺 Buy Setup – FVG Reclaim (3,674–3,665) • Entry: 3,674 – 3,665 • Stop Loss: 3,660 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,685 o TP2: 3,695 o TP3: 3,700+ 👉 Look for liquidity sweep into FVG before NY session/Fed. 🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount (3,636–3,638) • Entry: 3,636 – 3,638 • Stop Loss: 3,630 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,655 o TP2: 3,670 o TP3: 3,680+ 👉 High risk-to-reward setup if stops are hunted before Fed decision. 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Trap (3,696–3,694) • Entry: 3,696 – 3,694 • Stop Loss: 3,703 • Take Profits: o TP1: 3,690 o TP2: 3,685 o TP3: 3,680 👉 Expect engineered stop-runs into premium before fading lower. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Gold’s break above $3,700 highlights strong bullish sentiment, but the Fed decision risk suggests smart money may sweep liquidity both ways. Stay flexible: short from premium zone (3,696–3,694), and defend longs at demand zones (3,674–3,665 and 3,636–3,638). Use lighter position sizing until post-Fed clarity emerges.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Next Day's Trend: Short Gold on RalliesNext Day's Trend: Short Gold on Rallies The following is a reassessment of gold's technicals following the Fed's rate cut decision: 1: Spot gold experienced a sharp correction, breaking through key support levels such as 3680 and 3650. 2: The short-term technical structure was broken, shifting the market from bullish to bearish, entering a technical correction. 3: The 4-hour and daily charts are clearly bearish. Gold prices broke through the short-term moving average system with a large black candlestick pattern, forming a bearish "dark cloud cover" pattern. 4: Bears are currently in full control of the short-term trend. Any rebound is likely to face renewed selling pressure, and a trend reversal will take time to recover. 5. Key Resistance: $3620-3627 (previous support, now initial resistance) 6. $3655-3665 (stronger resistance). Any rebound in gold prices will first be tested at these levels. Failure to break through these levels suggests a potential downtrend. Macro Support Levels: 1. $3,600 (Important Psychological Level) 2. $3,570-3,580 (Near the 50-Day Moving Average) 3. $3,550 (Deeper Retracement Level) Summary: $3,600 is crucial. A break below this level would open a downtrend towards the $3,550-3,580 area. Trading Strategy: Primarily short on rallies, watching for a rebound to resistance around $3,680 or $3,670. Any resistance below this level could be a shorting opportunity. Avoid blindly buying on dips.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Katyusha202509
Next Steps in Gold Day Trading: Shorting with the TrendNext Steps in Gold Day Trading: Shorting with the Trend Spot gold experienced significant volatility during the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. During Powell's speech, spot gold prices continued to decline, falling over 1% intraday to below $3,650/oz, nearly $60 below the intraday high. While the market eagerly anticipated the expected 25 basis point rate cut, Powell's guidance on the path of future rate cuts clearly fell short of the dovishness expected by the market. This "buy the expectation, sell the reality" strategy caused gold prices to initially rise, then rapidly fall. Prior to the meeting, gold prices were significantly overbought and in need of a technical correction. The Fed's news merely provided a catalyst for a pullback. Technical Analysis: Downside Support Levels: Short-term Support Level: $3,645 (bullish flag breakout point) Important Support Level: $3,633 (horizontal support); a break below this level could lead to a drop to the $3,610-3,600 range. Stronger support levels: $3562-3560 area and the psychologically important $3500 level. Many analysts believe this pullback could be a healthy technical correction, and that gold's long-term bull market fundamentals remain solid. Trading Strategy Recommendations: For short-term traders, aim to profit on a rebound or further decline after a pullback, and maintain a tight stop-loss. 1: Cautiously long from now on: First entry point: Around $3640-3645 Second entry point: $3620-3630 range Consolidated stop-loss: Below $3610 First target: $3670-3680 Second target: $3700 (reduce or close positions) Put on a technical rebound on a pullback to the "bullish flag" breakout point and horizontal support. 2: Short with the trend: Short on a rebound to the $3675-3685 range and stagnate. Stop loss: above 3700 points First target: 3650 points Second target: 3630-3640 points Bets that the Federal Reserve will not be as dovish as expected continue to persist. Capitalize on rallies to resistance levels and profit from pullbacks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Analysis of the Most Likely Future Gold Price TrendAnalysis of the Most Likely Future Gold Price Trend Watch for fluctuations above $3,600. Based on the combination of expected rate cuts and hawkish dot plot guidance, the gold market logic has shifted: Short-term trend: Technical adjustments and downward volatility. The market needs to digest the impact of a hawkish stance and previous heavy profit-taking. The most likely trend for gold prices is a repeated struggle around the $3,600 mark. If $3,600 is effectively broken, gold prices will fall further to $3,570-3,580 (50-day moving average) for support, and may even test $3,550. A rebound would be an opportunity to short on rallies, not the start of a trend reversal. The main resistance level for the rebound is around $3,620. Summary: The Fed's tough rate cuts have dealt a heavy blow to gold bulls. The short-term technical outlook has turned bearish, and gold prices are entering a correction. In terms of operations, we should shift from the previous "buy on dips" approach to "short on rebounds" and pay close attention to the rise and fall of the key level of $3,600.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Timo_Weber
Gold Trading Strategy | September 17-18🎉 Congratulations to our members who followed our trading strategy — today’s trades yielded over 500+ pips in profit! ✅With the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision released, gold faced resistance above 3700 and entered a phase of high-level consolidation and pullback. The short-term outlook is weak, with attention on the 3660–3650 support zone. If this level breaks, the price may extend its decline toward 3630–3625. Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 are flattening with signs of a bearish crossover, while MA20 (around 3627) remains upward-sloping, providing mid-term support. Bollinger Bands: Price has retested the mid-band support near 3675; if this level fails, a further move toward 3627 is likely. ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: If the price rebounds to the 3670–3675 area and holds, consider short positions, with targets at 3630–3625. 🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions , feel free to contact me🤝
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MarketSage_FX
LiamTrading – XAUUSD OutlookSharing my personal view on the possible next move for gold. Based on the current chart structure, the wave formation suggests that XAUUSD is most likely in Wave 4. The correction started yesterday after price touched the 3,700 mark – a round resistance level which also coincides with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This area often attracts heavy liquidity, and the subsequent pullback further supports the view that Wave 4 has been activated. At present, the key support to watch is 3,675. If this level breaks, the corrective structure could complete around 3,656. On the H1 timeframe, the RSI has moved below the 30 level, indicating oversold conditions. In my view, while the market remains in this phase, it is still preferable to look for selling opportunities, though patience is needed until clearer confluence signals appear. Trading plan (short-term focus): Sell entry 3685–3687, SL 3693, TP 3670 – 3656 Buy entry 3656–3654, SL 3648, TP 3675 – 3690 – 3702 – 3721 – 3740 I will continue to share further updates if there are significant moves in price. Wishing everyone successful and effective trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LiamTradingFX
Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025Gold (XAUUSD) FOMC Forecast – 17 Sept 2025 Current Price: ~3666 Key Levels Identified: Resistance R1: ~3700 Trendline Resistance R2: ~3780 Support S1: ~3623 Support S2: ~3540 📰 News Impact Projection: If the Federal Reserve Cuts the Funds Rate Expect bullish momentum. Strategy: Buy after a retest above Resistance R1 (~3700). Target: Trendline Resistance R2 → ~3780. If the Federal Reserve Increases the Funds Rate Expect bearish momentum. Strategy: Sell after a retest below Support S1 (~3623). Target: Support S2 → ~3540. ⚠️ Stop Loss (SL): Around 3658, near current consolidation zone. 🎯 Summary Bullish case (Rate Cut): Buy above 3700 → Target 3780. Bearish case (Rate Hike): Sell below 3623 → Target 3540. Market direction will strongly depend on FOMC Funds Rate decision.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
Volume Profile & Market Structure AnalysisPart 1: Understanding Market Structure 1.1 What is Market Structure? Market structure is the framework of price movement. It’s the natural rhythm of the market, made up of highs, lows, trends, ranges, breakouts, and consolidations. Think of it as the skeleton of price action, which reveals how institutions and retail traders interact. In simple terms, market structure helps us answer: Is the market trending up, trending down, or consolidating? Where are liquidity pools likely located? Which price levels matter most to big players (banks, hedge funds, market makers)? 1.2 The Building Blocks of Market Structure Swing Highs and Swing Lows Swing High: A peak where price fails to continue higher. Swing Low: A valley where price fails to continue lower. These levels often act as liquidity pools where stop losses gather. Trends Uptrend: Higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Downtrend: Lower lows (LL) and lower highs (LH). Sideways/Range: Price oscillates between support and resistance with no clear direction. Break of Structure (BoS) When price violates the previous high or low, signaling a shift in trend. Example: if price makes a new higher high after a downtrend, that could signal a bullish shift. Change of Character (ChoCh) A sudden break in the short-term market rhythm, often the first clue of a potential trend reversal. Liquidity Stop orders, pending orders, and clusters of positions sitting around obvious levels (support, resistance, round numbers). Market makers often push price toward these liquidity zones to fill large institutional orders. 1.3 Institutional vs. Retail Market Structure Retail traders often focus on patterns (double tops, triangles, flags). Institutions care about liquidity and order flow. They engineer moves to trap retail positions and accumulate their own. This is why understanding structure at an institutional level (smart money concepts) is crucial. It explains phenomena like false breakouts, liquidity sweeps, and stop hunts. Part 2: Understanding Volume Profile 2.1 What is Volume Profile? Volume Profile is a charting tool that shows how much trading volume occurred at each price level during a given period. Instead of just telling you “when” trades occurred (time-based volume), it tells you “where” trades occurred in price. The Volume Profile is plotted as a horizontal histogram along the price axis. This makes it easier to see which price zones attracted the most participation from traders and institutions. 2.2 Key Components of Volume Profile Point of Control (POC) The price level with the highest traded volume. Acts as a magnet for price because it represents “fair value.” Value Area (VA) The range where about 70% of trading volume occurred. Split into: Value Area High (VAH) Value Area Low (VAL) High-Volume Nodes (HVN) Areas of heavy participation (accumulation zones). Price often consolidates here. Low-Volume Nodes (LVN) Areas where price quickly passed through with little trading. Often act as support/resistance. 2.3 Why Volume Profile Matters Shows institutional footprints: Institutions need liquidity to fill big orders, so they often transact heavily around POC and HVNs. Highlights imbalances: When price rejects LVNs, it suggests aggressive buying/selling dominance. Helps with trade entries & exits: Knowing where fair value is (POC) vs. imbalance zones helps traders time reversals or continuations. Part 3: Combining Market Structure & Volume Profile Market Structure tells you the direction of the market, while Volume Profile shows you where the heavy battles occur. Used together, they create a powerful framework. 3.1 Example: Trend Continuation Setup Step 1: Identify the trend using Market Structure (higher highs, higher lows). Step 2: Look at Volume Profile to find the POC or Value Area Low (support). Step 3: If price retraces to VAL while maintaining bullish structure, it’s often a high-probability continuation zone. 3.2 Example: Reversal Setup Step 1: Notice a Change of Character (ChoCh) in structure. Step 2: Check if price swept liquidity near an HVN or POC. Step 3: If Volume Profile shows rejection of that value area, it signals strong reversal potential. 3.3 Liquidity & Volume Synergy Liquidity pools (stop-loss clusters) often sit near low-volume nodes because price moves fast through those zones. Institutions push price into these LVNs to trigger stops and then absorb liquidity. Once filled, price usually returns to HVNs (fair value). Part 4: Practical Strategies with Volume Profile & Market Structure 4.1 The Volume Profile Rejection Strategy Identify LVNs. Wait for price to test and sharply reject. Enter with trend confirmation from market structure. 4.2 Breakout + Volume Profile Confirmation If price breaks a structural level (BoS), check if it’s supported by high volume near POC. Strong volume = genuine breakout. Weak volume = likely false breakout. 4.3 Value Area Rotations Price often oscillates between VAH and VAL. Strategy: Buy near VAL, sell near VAH, exit at POC. Works best in ranging conditions. Part 5: Psychological & Institutional Insights Retail Traps: Market structure fakeouts occur around LVNs, engineered by institutions. Smart Money Accumulation: Seen in HVNs—where large players accumulate before big moves. Auction Theory: Markets function as auctions—Volume Profile is essentially a visualization of that auction process. Conclusion Volume Profile and Market Structure Analysis are not “magic bullets,” but together they form one of the most institutionally aligned trading frameworks available to retail traders. Market Structure explains where price wants to go. Volume Profile explains where participants are most active. By combining them, traders can anticipate moves with higher probability, avoid traps, and align themselves closer to the behavior of professional market participants. Ultimately, the goal is to stop thinking like a retail trader chasing indicators and start thinking like a liquidity hunter—someone who understands where the market is auctioning, who’s trapped, and where the next wave of orders is likely to hit.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Gold Technical Analysis and OutlookGold Technical Analysis and Outlook: Fluctuating Upwards Ahead of the Interest Rate Decision, Beware of a Rally and a Rebound Fundamental Analysis This week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced. The outcome will have a decisive impact on the future of gold: A 25 basis point rate cut is expected to trigger a direct decline in gold prices. A 50 basis point cut, exceeding expectations, could push gold prices back down after a surge. Market sentiment is cautious ahead of the decision, and volatility may narrow. Technical Analysis Yesterday's Market Review Gold's early-week trend was fully in line with expectations, with a continuation of high-level fluctuations. It dipped to 3626 in the morning (4 dollars below the 3630 support level) before quickly recovering. The inverted hammer pattern on the hourly chart clearly signals a rebound. It continued to consolidate during the European trading session. Maintaining the volatile trend at the end of last week. After breaking through the 3656-57 resistance level, the US market accelerated upward, reaching a new high of 3685. Key Technical Signals Breakout Confirmation Signal: A large bullish candlestick on the hourly chart breaks through the trendline resistance level, followed by a pullback to confirm support. Accurate Pullback: The 5-minute chart shows a breakout above 3656 followed by a pullback to 3654-55 (the bottom of the last large bullish candlestick), creating a standard second entry opportunity. Strong Early Morning Close: The US market closed at a high level after a strong performance, indicating continued upward momentum the following morning. Key Level Update Support Level: 3630 (the recent rebound of 6 1.8% golden ratio level) Resistance levels: 3700, 3750 (extreme target) Subsequent strategic layout Short-term trading strategy Long positions: Morning long positions at 3682-83 can be held, with the target at 3700. Increase position strategy: Consider increasing positions in batches if the price falls back to the 3655-60 range. Risk management tips: Execute stop-loss orders decisively if the price breaks below the 3630 support level, turning short-term bearish. Medium-term strategy Pre-interest rate decision: Maintain the 3700-3750 target range and gradually reduce long positions. Post-decision strategy: 25 basis point rate cut: Direct Short Position 50 basis point rate cut: Short position after a surge Target: 3600-3580 area is the primary target during the pullback phase. Trading Alert Market liquidity may decrease and volatility may increase before Thursday's interest rate decision. Avoid chasing highs, especially long positions above 3700. Manage your positions carefully and reserve funds to mitigate market volatility after the decision. Pay close attention to the forward-looking guidance and dot plot changes in the decision statement. Risk Warning: The above analysis is based on current market conditions. Investors are advised to strictly manage risk and allocate positions appropriately based on their risk tolerance.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Fibonacci_Gold
Elliott Wave Analysis XAUUSD – September 17, 2025 Momentum • D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising. As of today, the upward move has lasted for 3–4 daily candles. Therefore, in the next 1–2 days, momentum is likely to enter the overbought zone. • H4 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold area and starting to reverse. Once confirmed, we can expect at least 4–5 bullish H4 candles. • H1 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone and has turned upward, suggesting an immediate short-term rally. Wave Structure • D1 timeframe: Price is moving within black wave v. Since black wave iii was extended, black wave v is likely to be approximately equal in length to black wave i. • H4 timeframe: Inside black wave v, we expect a 5-wave green structure to form. Currently, green wave 1 seems to have completed, and price is correcting within green wave 2. • H1 timeframe: Within green wave 1, a 5-wave black structure has been completed. Price is now developing a corrective black ABC pattern. Target zones for black wave C: • Target 1: 3675 • Target 2: 3657 Note: Wave 2 usually retraces to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of wave 1, which coincides with the 3657 zone. This is the key level to consider for a buy setup. Trading Plan • Buy Zone: 3658 – 3655 • Stop Loss: 3645 • Take Profit (TP1): 3677
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓ 🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context FED & US Politics : S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence. Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin. Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court. US Economy : 6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator. Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week. ⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH. 📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) : 3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance) 3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test) Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) : FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668 OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645 Strong Low: 3611 (deep support) Market Structure : After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged. Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722. If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum. 🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan ✅ Buy (priority) Buy 1 (FVG) Entry: 3666 – 3668 SL: 3657 TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x Buy 2 (OB) Entry: 3643 – 3645 SL: 3632 TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x ⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance) Sell Zone Entry: 3722 – 3724 SL: 3732 TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690 ⚓ Captain’s Note “The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CaptainVincent
Wednesday's gold price target: 3750Wednesday's gold price target: 3750 As shown in Figure 1h: The current converging fluctuation range of gold prices is clearly visible within the fan structure. Gold prices have remained strong after breaking through. We expect Thursday's interest rate cut to drive another surge in gold prices across the board. Expected target: Around 3750 points. Next, it's important to note that after all the positive news is released, gold prices will be cashed out at high levels, leading to profit-taking. This is likely to cause a waterfall-like decline in gold prices at the top. Therefore, ordinary traders must remain cautious when buying with the trend. Currently, the most effective way to profit is scalping, entering and exiting quickly, and setting reasonable stop-loss orders. Trading Strategy: Conservative: BUY: 3675-3685 SL: 3660 TP: 3700-3750 Aggressive: BUY: 3685-3690 SL: 3675 TP: 3700-3720-3750 Be cautious with short positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb
Gold on Fire: Fed Rate Cuts & Global Tensions Fueling the Rally!Hello, fellow traders! Gold (XAU/USD) is on an absolute tear, closing strong at $3,680.80/oz on September 15, 2025, after hitting a new all-time high (ATH) of $3,685.39/oz. The past week has been solid, with gold up 1.6% as the US dollar weakened (down 0.3% to a one-week low) and US bond yields dropped. The market is buzzing with talk of a sure-shot 0.25% Fed rate cut on September 17, with some even betting on a bigger 0.5% move as per the CME FedWatch Tool. Plus, geopolitical tensions and reports of China easing gold import norms are adding more fuel to this fire. Let's do a deep dive and check out some solid trading setups! 💰 Fundamental Analysis: All That Glitters Is Gold! 🌟 Fed Rate Cuts: The latest US data is a mixed bag—the August CPI was hot, but the jobs market is cooling down. This is giving the Fed a clear signal to cut rates for the first time since December 2024. Lower interest rates are a big negative for the US Dollar, making non-yielding assets like gold super attractive. This is a classic "buy the rumor, sell the news" situation, but right now, the rumor is all about buying gold! Geopolitical Jitters: The upcoming Fed meeting is quite tense, with political drama and a lot of pressure from the White House. This kind of uncertainty is gold's best friend, as it’s the ultimate safe-haven asset. Chinese Demand: Recent reports suggest China is making it easier to import gold, which means more demand is coming from the world's biggest consumer. Strong buying from both official and private players in China is a major tailwind for gold's upward move. Technical Analysis: Breaking All Barriers! 📉 Gold has smashed through the Fibo 2.618 level and is in uncharted territory. What's impressive is that the pullbacks are very shallow, just a $10 blip before it resumes its rally. This shows the bulls are in complete control, and selling pressure is minimal. The strategy is simple: look to buy on dips and be very selective about any shorting opportunities. Resistance Levels: $3704, $3714, $3724 Support Levels: $3694, $3686, $3674, $3666 Trading Setups (Strict Risk Management Is Key): Buy Scalp: Zone: $3688 - $3686 SL: $3682 TP: $3691 - $3696 - $3701 - $3706 Buy Zone: Zone: $3667 - $3665 SL: $3657 TP: $3675 - $3685 - $3695 - $3705 - $3715 Sell Scalp: Zone: $3704 - $3706 SL: $3710 TP: $3701 - $3696 - $3691 - $3686 Sell Zone: Zone: $3724 - $3726 SL: $3734 TP: $3716 - $3706 - $3696 - $3686 - $3676 Gold is at an ATH—so be careful of liquidity traps around the Fed announcement! Above $3694, the target is the sky; below, we could see a test of $3666. Manage your risk tightly before September 17! What's your plan: buy the dip or sell the top? Let me know your strategy in the comments! 👇 #Gold #XAUUSD #Fed #RateCuts #CPI #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Forex #Investing #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading #Finance #Geopolitics #CentralBank
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jeremy_NPC
Gold Facing Strong Resistance – Bearish Move Towards Support ?Analysis: Resistance Zone: Price is struggling to break above the $3,645–$3,650 area, which has acted as a strong resistance multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate support lies around $3,620 and $3,614, with the major support zone at $3,580. Price Action: Repeated rejections from resistance indicate weakening bullish momentum. Sellers are gaining control near the resistance zone. Bearish Outlook: A potential downward move is projected, with price likely to test $3,580 support if resistance continues to hold. Risk Management: A break and close above $3,650 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation. ✅ Bias: Bearish below $3,650 🎯 Targets: $3,620 → $3,614 → $3,580 🛑 Invalidation: Above $3,650
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Pipshunter27
Part ! Ride The Big MovesWhat is an Option? An option is a financial derivative that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an underlying asset at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before a specified date (expiration date). Underlying Asset: This can be a stock, index, commodity, currency, or ETF. Strike Price: The price at which the asset can be bought or sold. Expiration Date: The date on which the option contract expires. Premium: The price paid to purchase the option. There are two main types of options: Call Option: Gives the holder the right to buy the underlying asset at the strike price. Put Option: Gives the holder the right to sell the underlying asset at the strike price. Call Options Explained A call option becomes profitable when the price of the underlying asset rises above the strike price plus the premium paid. Example: Stock price: ₹1,000 Strike price: ₹1,050 Premium: ₹20 If the stock rises to ₹1,100: Profit = (Stock Price – Strike Price – Premium) = 1,100 – 1,050 – 20 = ₹30 If the stock remains below ₹1,050, the option expires worthless, and the loss is the premium paid.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Gold 1H – Breakout Liquidity Trap Ahead of ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating around 3,652 after sweeping discount liquidity and reclaiming structure. Price has tapped the breakout zone and is currently trading between the scalp supply in premium and the higher liquidity pools. The structure indicates engineered moves into 3,656–3,658 or deeper liquidity around 3,672–3,674 before the next expansion. Discount demand remains protected at 3,614–3,612. ________________________________________ 📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H): • 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,672 – 3,674 (SL 3,679): Premium supply pocket for engineered rejection, targeting 3,660 → 3,650 → 3,640. • 🔴 SELL SCALP 3,656 – 3,658 (SL 3,663): Short-term premium sweep zone for intraday liquidity grabs, targeting 3,645 → 3,640. • 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,614 – 3,612 (SL 3,607): Discount demand block aligned with bullish order flow, targeting 3,630 → 3,640 → 3,655. ________________________________________ 📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based): 🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Scalp Rejection • Entry: 3,656 – 3,658 • Stop Loss: 3,663 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,645  TP2: 3,640 👉 Intraday scalp opportunity if price sweeps into shallow premium liquidity. 🔻 Sell Setup – Deeper Premium Sweep • Entry: 3,672 – 3,674 • Stop Loss: 3,679 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,660  TP2: 3,650  TP3: 3,640 👉 Expect an engineered sweep into higher premium before reversal. 🔺 Buy Setup – Discount Demand Reaction • Entry: 3,614 – 3,612 • Stop Loss: 3,607 • Take Profits:  TP1: 3,630  TP2: 3,640  TP3: 3,655 👉 A high R:R trade if price retraces to the protected demand before expansion. ________________________________________ 🔑 Strategy Note Smart money is likely to manipulate both premium and discount zones near the breakout point. The directional bias favours: • Scalp sells at 3,656–3,658 • Swing sells at 3,672–3,674 • Discount buys at 3,614–3,612 Strict risk management is essential — expect liquidity sweeps on both sides before the actual expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660.Gold prices are expected to remain volatile: $3,635-3,660. International gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, with market expectations of a Fed rate cut and geopolitical risks acting as key support. From a technical perspective, the overbought region supports the view that gold prices will continue to fluctuate within a range. As shown in Figure 2h: Key short-term support levels: $3,620-3,635-3,600; resistance level: $3,660. Market focus is highly focused on this week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting, with the market pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut probability exceeding 93%. This is likely to trigger the next directional breakout in gold. Gold faces short-term technical correction pressure and needs to consolidate before building momentum for the next round of gains. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Upward Resistance: Near-term major resistance lies in the $3,657-3,658 range. A successful breakout could re-challenge the all-time high of $3,675 and open the door for a test of the $3,700 mark. Downside Support: Immediate support lies in the $3,627-3,620 range. If broken, further declines to $3,600-3,580 (static level, 20-day simple moving average) are possible. Stronger support lies at the psychological level of $3,500. Current Trend Analysis: Since reaching a new all-time high, gold prices have not shown any clear reversal signals (such as a high-level shooting star or a large black candlestick), indicating that bullish market sentiment remains dominant. Currently, the price is consolidating at a high level, which can be considered a healthy correction within the trend. Trading Strategy: Short-term traders: Try to buy low and sell high in the $3,620-3,660 range, but be sure to maintain a small position and set a strict stop-loss. Focus on a directional breakout opportunity after the Fed's decision. Medium- to long-term investors: The bullish trend in gold remains unchanged. Any pullback caused by the market "selling the facts" or by less-than-expected dovish Fed comments could be an opportunity to establish a phased long position in the $3,600-3,500 support area. Key Points to Watch Next: Federal Reserve FOMC Meeting (this week): More importantly, it's not just the interest rate decision, but also the future rate trajectory and Powell's outlook for the economy and inflation. Other Central Bank Moves: The Bank of England, Bank of Japan, and others will also announce interest rate decisions, which will influence global liquidity expectations and the dollar's trajectory. Geopolitical Situation: Any escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict or the situation in the Middle East could trigger a new round of safe-haven buying. US Economic Data: Any data on employment, inflation, and economic growth will influence market expectations of Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Freja_rb